1 00:00:02,400 --> 00:00:16,159 Speaker 1: Bloomberg Audio Studios, Podcasts, radio News, Single Best Idea. It 2 00:00:16,280 --> 00:00:19,560 Speaker 1: is a podcast. Our strategy is to give you a podcast. 3 00:00:20,160 --> 00:00:23,000 Speaker 1: It's sharp and focused. It's not twenty minutes, it's about 4 00:00:23,040 --> 00:00:26,319 Speaker 1: six minutes long. We are humbled by what we have 5 00:00:26,440 --> 00:00:30,040 Speaker 1: seen so far. We're rolling out very slowly, figuring it out. 6 00:00:30,480 --> 00:00:32,360 Speaker 1: And what we're going to do today is focus on 7 00:00:32,360 --> 00:00:35,800 Speaker 1: one guest. Dominic Constam is a tour de force with 8 00:00:35,920 --> 00:00:39,479 Speaker 1: Parchment from Cambridge and Oxford. He has been a fixed 9 00:00:39,560 --> 00:00:43,000 Speaker 1: year on the London, New York axis for Global Wall 10 00:00:43,000 --> 00:00:46,040 Speaker 1: Street for decades. You'll hear about that here later in 11 00:00:46,120 --> 00:00:50,280 Speaker 1: Single Best Idea at Credit Suite, number of other depots 12 00:00:50,280 --> 00:00:52,919 Speaker 1: as well. Now at Missuo with Steve Shudel. Can't say 13 00:00:53,040 --> 00:00:57,440 Speaker 1: enough about the intelligence of his work. I really only 14 00:00:57,440 --> 00:01:01,920 Speaker 1: equated with Michael Mobison of Morgan Stanley, someone really trying 15 00:01:01,960 --> 00:01:06,000 Speaker 1: to think bigger and broader. Today we went more narrow 16 00:01:06,120 --> 00:01:09,080 Speaker 1: with doctor Constem and to begin we had to look 17 00:01:09,080 --> 00:01:13,479 Speaker 1: at the Bloomberg headlines of Japan unraveling. I don't want 18 00:01:13,520 --> 00:01:17,319 Speaker 1: to overplay it, but our Tokyo News Bureau making clear 19 00:01:17,680 --> 00:01:22,480 Speaker 1: that after one intervention, after two interventions, and now the 20 00:01:22,560 --> 00:01:27,880 Speaker 1: discussion of weaker Japanese yen. Well, the government intervene again. 21 00:01:28,000 --> 00:01:30,880 Speaker 1: As of this taping, we do not see that. But 22 00:01:30,920 --> 00:01:34,760 Speaker 1: the fact is it is a Japan after an inflation 23 00:01:35,040 --> 00:01:40,280 Speaker 1: and reflation experiment in some form of modest crisis. Dominic 24 00:01:40,360 --> 00:01:41,800 Speaker 1: constem on Japan. 25 00:01:41,880 --> 00:01:43,840 Speaker 2: I think it's too soon to say. I think you 26 00:01:43,880 --> 00:01:46,800 Speaker 2: can be so somewhat optimistic that Japan is getting out 27 00:01:46,840 --> 00:01:49,600 Speaker 2: of its hole. I mean, you've now taken interest rates 28 00:01:49,640 --> 00:01:53,520 Speaker 2: back to like twenty ten, twenty eleven levels. You know, 29 00:01:53,560 --> 00:01:55,680 Speaker 2: there's the lost thing. You know, there's been a lost decade, 30 00:01:55,720 --> 00:01:59,080 Speaker 2: the lost decades before sort of thing. But they've they've 31 00:01:59,800 --> 00:02:01,360 Speaker 2: kind of got themselves out of that whole. So I 32 00:02:01,360 --> 00:02:04,480 Speaker 2: think the outlook for Japan is a you know, somewhat constructive, 33 00:02:04,560 --> 00:02:08,040 Speaker 2: especially if they can get a virtuous circle of wage 34 00:02:08,120 --> 00:02:11,800 Speaker 2: inflation and price inflation, albeit at low levels, that that 35 00:02:11,919 --> 00:02:14,480 Speaker 2: keeps a positive interest rate, I mean positive interest rates. 36 00:02:15,000 --> 00:02:16,880 Speaker 2: You know, will will you know, our good thing in 37 00:02:16,960 --> 00:02:20,600 Speaker 2: terms of eternal capital, and I'll support risky, risky asset 38 00:02:20,600 --> 00:02:23,560 Speaker 2: markets as well. So that's kind of the idea, this 39 00:02:23,600 --> 00:02:27,919 Speaker 2: sort of adjustment. And Japan, you know, traditionally has been 40 00:02:28,120 --> 00:02:30,959 Speaker 2: obviously a big exporter of capital because there haven't been 41 00:02:31,360 --> 00:02:34,880 Speaker 2: opportunities at that home in Japan, and that's why you know, 42 00:02:34,919 --> 00:02:36,880 Speaker 2: they've had this sort of massive kind of count surface 43 00:02:36,919 --> 00:02:40,520 Speaker 2: and over time that's obviously, you know, is correcting in 44 00:02:40,560 --> 00:02:42,519 Speaker 2: a hopefully sustainable way. 45 00:02:42,880 --> 00:02:46,280 Speaker 1: Dominic constant there and of course wonderful talk and what 46 00:02:46,320 --> 00:02:49,840 Speaker 1: the FED is doing. He says they will be patient. 47 00:02:50,000 --> 00:02:55,200 Speaker 1: He says, it's a delicate task not to reduce reduce demand, 48 00:02:56,080 --> 00:02:59,840 Speaker 1: and we'll see how the FED does. Long ago and 49 00:03:00,120 --> 00:03:03,520 Speaker 1: our way. Sarah Yango of Bloomberg ELP, he came up 50 00:03:03,520 --> 00:03:06,040 Speaker 1: to me and said, Tom, we want we want to 51 00:03:06,080 --> 00:03:12,359 Speaker 1: do Bloomberg terminal sales to colleges to their investment clubs. 52 00:03:13,160 --> 00:03:15,280 Speaker 1: And I said, yeah, yeah, yeah, it sounds great, Sarah, 53 00:03:15,360 --> 00:03:17,600 Speaker 1: let's do it. And it turned out to be a 54 00:03:17,800 --> 00:03:23,320 Speaker 1: ginormous success. In the modern day. Across this nation there 55 00:03:23,320 --> 00:03:28,000 Speaker 1: are all sorts of universities and colleges with finance major 56 00:03:28,200 --> 00:03:32,520 Speaker 1: investment clubs where they get access to the Bloomberg terminal 57 00:03:32,560 --> 00:03:37,160 Speaker 1: for an extremely reasonable incentive package. We're obviously incentive to 58 00:03:37,200 --> 00:03:41,040 Speaker 1: have the financial employees of the future to be conversant 59 00:03:41,080 --> 00:03:46,120 Speaker 1: with the meal ticket here at Bloomberg. The Bloomberg professional service. 60 00:03:46,200 --> 00:03:49,480 Speaker 1: That was not true many many decades ago. I asked 61 00:03:49,520 --> 00:03:54,600 Speaker 1: Dominie Constam about Brexit and he talked about his investment club. 62 00:03:55,200 --> 00:03:56,720 Speaker 1: A number of decades in the. 63 00:03:56,680 --> 00:03:59,200 Speaker 2: Past, I went to school with Nigel farreansh. I was 64 00:03:59,200 --> 00:04:01,440 Speaker 2: in the same class Nigel Faris. There are only six 65 00:04:01,480 --> 00:04:04,920 Speaker 2: of us. We started the investment club together. His father 66 00:04:05,200 --> 00:04:07,720 Speaker 2: was very kind and helped us in terms of doing 67 00:04:07,720 --> 00:04:10,240 Speaker 2: some of those trades. So I feel very close to 68 00:04:10,320 --> 00:04:13,440 Speaker 2: the to the sort of Brexit experiment. But I have 69 00:04:13,520 --> 00:04:15,440 Speaker 2: to say it's been a complete failure and I was 70 00:04:15,480 --> 00:04:17,919 Speaker 2: against it, and I'm I'm a bit sad that Nigel 71 00:04:18,000 --> 00:04:21,520 Speaker 2: went down that road, but yes, it's it was. It 72 00:04:21,560 --> 00:04:23,800 Speaker 2: was that, you know, the British people were told things 73 00:04:23,800 --> 00:04:26,680 Speaker 2: that would happen and they didn't happen. You know, they 74 00:04:26,720 --> 00:04:28,679 Speaker 2: would I had a vote again, I think they would 75 00:04:29,440 --> 00:04:32,440 Speaker 2: not vote the same way. But again it does reflect 76 00:04:32,440 --> 00:04:34,799 Speaker 2: an underlying discontent with the population. 77 00:04:35,560 --> 00:04:39,000 Speaker 1: They did not have a Bloomberg terminal. That's probably why 78 00:04:39,880 --> 00:04:43,479 Speaker 1: the mess of Brexit happened. Nigel Ferraud and Dominic Constant 79 00:04:43,560 --> 00:04:46,680 Speaker 1: years ago in the United Kingdom, and of course now 80 00:04:46,720 --> 00:04:48,760 Speaker 1: it is the election. Look to our London Bureau for 81 00:04:48,839 --> 00:04:52,080 Speaker 1: coverage of the British election. There's so many elections coming up, 82 00:04:52,120 --> 00:04:56,760 Speaker 1: the dates, my head's spinning. Tomorrow a US debate, Thank 83 00:04:56,800 --> 00:04:59,880 Speaker 1: you Joe Matthew, Kayley Lynes and David Gera for prepper 84 00:05:00,360 --> 00:05:05,320 Speaker 1: towards the CNN debate that you'll see tomorrow. I believe 85 00:05:05,880 --> 00:05:10,200 Speaker 1: on the thirtieth there's a French election that's a weekend vote, 86 00:05:10,880 --> 00:05:13,839 Speaker 1: and then I believe it's easy to remember, the fourth 87 00:05:13,839 --> 00:05:17,599 Speaker 1: of July there's a United Kingdom vote. I have to 88 00:05:17,600 --> 00:05:21,159 Speaker 1: remind John Farrell that's when the Colonies won. The fourth 89 00:05:21,200 --> 00:05:24,720 Speaker 1: of July there's a United Kingdom election, and then three 90 00:05:24,800 --> 00:05:29,080 Speaker 1: days after that there's the final election in France, and 91 00:05:29,120 --> 00:05:32,040 Speaker 1: then after that, a million months and weeks away is 92 00:05:32,080 --> 00:05:35,360 Speaker 1: a US election November fifth. Stay with us with all 93 00:05:35,400 --> 00:05:39,200 Speaker 1: of our politics. David Gura leading our effort there, of course, 94 00:05:39,200 --> 00:05:41,680 Speaker 1: looked at the Big take as well out on Apple 95 00:05:41,720 --> 00:05:45,719 Speaker 1: Podcasts from New York. All I can say we're on 96 00:05:45,839 --> 00:05:48,359 Speaker 1: Apple Podcasts single best I did