Speaker 1: Hello everyone, and welcome back to the Betting Pros PGA Podcast.
Speaker 1: I'm Pat Fitzmorris, joined once again by my esteemed colleague
Speaker 1: mister Bau mcbrair. You can find me on Twitter at
Speaker 1: fits underscore ff. You can find bo at bo underscore
Speaker 1: mcbig time and we are going to preview the Sony Open,
Speaker 1: the second leg of the two leg Hawaiian Swing for
Speaker 1: the PGA Tour. We're going to recap the Century from
Speaker 1: last week, and we're going to give you some of
Speaker 1: our favorite bets and our one and done picks for
Speaker 1: this week. So well, Bo, we have won event in
Speaker 1: twenty twenty four in the books, and the winner was
Speaker 1: a guy we weren't really on last week. It was
Speaker 1: Chris Kirk winning the century with a score of twenty
Speaker 1: nine under, beating Saheith Thigala by a stroke. And it's
Speaker 1: funny bout the midpoint of the century, it looked like
Speaker 1: we were gonna get one of the big guns as
Speaker 1: a winner. It was Scotti Scheffler leading after two rounds
Speaker 1: with Colin Morikawa and Victor Hovlin two shots back. Sung
Speaker 1: Jay m and Tyro Hatton I believe were just one
Speaker 1: shot back, but Chris Kirk prevailed deservedly so, and now
Speaker 1: he rolls into the Sony Open, the second event of
Speaker 1: the Hawaii Swing, and he's got a pretty intriguing track
Speaker 1: record at the Sony so could we possibly get a
Speaker 1: Hawaii sweep. More on that in a minute, but first,
Speaker 1: if you want a chance to win a free one
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Speaker 1: All right, bo, let's talk about this event. The Sony
Speaker 1: Open will once again be playing at Wilea Country Club
Speaker 1: in Honolulu. It is a parse seventy course and it's
Speaker 1: pretty short by tour standards, measuring seven four yards. In
Speaker 1: many ways, it's like the polar opposite of the Plantation
Speaker 1: course that they played the Sentry on. Capelua has huge
Speaker 1: fairways and huge greens. Wile AA tight fairways, small greens.
Speaker 1: So driving accuracy is going to be much more important
Speaker 1: this week than it was last week at Capellua. Even
Speaker 1: though the rough isn't all that penal here at Wilea,
Speaker 1: approach shots are going to be a little more critical,
Speaker 1: especially with the short irons, and of course good putting
Speaker 1: is going to be rewarded. The forecast for this tournament,
Speaker 1: calling for temperatures in the low to mid seventies, sounds
Speaker 1: pretty good right now, since I'm gonna be shoveling six
Speaker 1: inches of snow tomorrow here in the Chicago suburbs and
Speaker 1: a slight chance of rain on Thursday afternoon, be a
Speaker 1: little breezy on Friday. Wins in the sixteen mile per
Speaker 1: hour range, but for the most part, the weather should
Speaker 1: be pretty agreeable. So, Bo, were you a fan of
Speaker 1: Wilea Country Club in this event in general? Is there
Speaker 1: anything that stands out to you about the course? Any
Speaker 1: notes you want to share?
Speaker 2: Yeah, So that course is kind of an opposite of
Speaker 2: the Plantation course for Coppolua in that it's short, it
Speaker 2: requires different skill sets. At the same time, it's still
Speaker 2: an island resort course. You're still dealing with a similar field,
Speaker 2: just an expanded one at that. So there's going to
Speaker 2: be some overlapping performers here where Kappaalua. A lot of
Speaker 2: times we overrate driving distance because of how long the
Speaker 2: course is, and that came to fruition again last week
Speaker 2: with Chris Kirk shooting a really low Sunday. He had
Speaker 2: a great weekend, came through with the win because he
Speaker 2: made the most putts, and that's what it kind of
Speaker 2: came down to in at Wilie Country Club, which is
Speaker 2: a course that had a Nintendo sixty four game. It
Speaker 2: was completely is the first. It was right along the
Speaker 2: same time as the Tiger Woods PGA Tour game, and
Speaker 2: I played a lot of both and it was fun
Speaker 2: because it was the only one course loaded. There was
Speaker 2: only one player you could use. But you got to
Speaker 2: play Wilie Country Club in its current form too, just
Speaker 2: with a par seventy two, very demanding off the tee.
Speaker 2: As far as accuracy, there's going to be no bearing
Speaker 2: on driving distance on this course whatsoever. A lot of
Speaker 2: these guys are long enough to where they're actually going
Speaker 2: to be dialing back and hitting long irons, driving irons
Speaker 2: fairway metals off the tees just to find the fairway.
Speaker 2: Because last year they what they found is that if
Speaker 2: you increase the length of the rough by three quarters
Speaker 2: of an inch from two and a quarter inches to
Speaker 2: three inches. The scoring was down by I think five
Speaker 2: strokes from the year's previous average. So we're talking about
Speaker 2: a course that does have some teeth. It has a
Speaker 2: little bit more exposure to trade winds than Kapolua does,
Speaker 2: So this is not going to be your scoring birdie
Speaker 2: fest like we saw last week when the weather was
Speaker 2: calm and tranquil and the course was right for the pickings.
Speaker 2: I do think with an expanded field, this course is
Speaker 2: going to have a long shot winner, and we have
Speaker 2: some really nice odds that will expose the books to
Speaker 2: bets by people who know who does well here. There's
Speaker 2: a lot of correlation between guys that have played well
Speaker 2: in Hawaii in general and also have come here and
Speaker 2: have played this course before, and if you're of a
Speaker 2: certain skill set and in this course seems to fit
Speaker 2: your eye, there's a lot of guys in the history
Speaker 2: of this tournament that have come back and played well
Speaker 2: year over year, and that includes our defending champion of
Speaker 2: the event, which we'll cover in a little bit.
Speaker 1: Yeah, this is one of those events where it's horses
Speaker 1: for courses like you do see some guys repeating, Guys
Speaker 1: with strong track records tend to do well here again
Speaker 1: and again. One thing I meant forgot to mention about
Speaker 1: the course, Bowen, This is to your point about the
Speaker 1: reduced emphasis on distance. We got some trees on the
Speaker 1: along the fairways here and some dog legs, So on
Speaker 1: the dog leg part fours, the placement of your t
Speaker 1: shots is critical. And like you can get in some
Speaker 1: trouble into the trees here.
Speaker 2: That and they dry out the greens and the fairways.
Speaker 2: So where we saw a lot of spongy approach landing
Speaker 2: areas and driving areas at Kapolua, this place is dried
Speaker 2: out and it's fast. Fairways are fast, and the greens
Speaker 2: are fast. And that's going to put a more emphasis
Speaker 2: on the short game. It's going to put more emphasis
Speaker 2: on target golf like this. This course actually comps a
Speaker 2: lot to TPC sawgrats in a way where you have
Speaker 2: to plan your way around the course, a lot more
Speaker 2: cappelu as a bomb and gouge type course. This course
Speaker 2: won't allow for that. So some of those guys that
Speaker 2: did well last week just because they were muscling the course,
Speaker 2: that that's not going to work. Here and they're going
Speaker 2: to struggle.
Speaker 1: Yeah, and we've seen although I think you can, we've
Speaker 1: seen a range of winners here. We've seen guys who
Speaker 1: hit it long win, but we've also seen the likes
Speaker 1: of Zach Johnson win here before, like you can be
Speaker 1: a short hitter, a bunter and win here. And yeah.
Speaker 1: So this, unlike the Century, is a full field event,
Speaker 1: and some of the big guns who played at the Century.
Speaker 1: He decided not to stick around for leg two of
Speaker 1: the Hawaii Swings, So no Scottie Scheffler, no Victor Hovlin,
Speaker 1: no Patrick Cantley, no Colin Morikawa. But a few of
Speaker 1: the bigger names stuck around, so we'll get to them
Speaker 1: in a minute. The defending champion here is Seawu Kim.
Speaker 1: He beat Hayden Buckley by a shot last year, and
Speaker 1: if I recall correctly, Seawu chipped in on the par
Speaker 1: three seventeenth for a birdie and the final day and
Speaker 1: then hit a really good fairway would out of a bunker,
Speaker 1: something I've never learned how to do on eighteen to
Speaker 1: help seal the deal and finishing third last year just
Speaker 1: three shots back was one mister Chris Kirk, who now
Speaker 1: comes in hot as the defending champ. So let's look
Speaker 1: at the odds bow our favorites this week. Ludwig Obert,
Speaker 1: how do you say it, bo.
Speaker 2: It's Albert Yeah, o ar. We always said Aberg until
Speaker 2: we actually heard him say his own name, and it
Speaker 2: was Oberg. So that little tiny little loop above the
Speaker 2: A in the name, which I actually learned to type
Speaker 2: as I'm writing up these reports. A fantastic young golfer,
Speaker 2: collegiate champion, one of the best amateur golfers the last
Speaker 2: quarter century. He's the class of this field as far
Speaker 2: as the odds are concerned.
Speaker 1: Yeah, everyone should know his name soon because he is
Speaker 1: a world class young player and he's going to be
Speaker 1: making a lot of noise in the years to come.
Speaker 1: He is at plus fourteen hundred. I know everyone loves
Speaker 1: the young Swede, but he is coming off a tie
Speaker 1: for forty seventh at the century, so he was not
Speaker 1: exactly on top of his game at Kapalua out of
Speaker 1: seventy seven there on Saturday.
Speaker 2: I was a full faate on him too, So I'm
Speaker 2: happy to say that if you listen to me, you
Speaker 2: were you were saying, hey, Ludwig, not only wasn't a
Speaker 2: good fit for that course, but he was much too
Speaker 2: short to bet last week.
Speaker 1: Yeah, he wasn't really short odds again, a little surprising
Speaker 1: that he's only plus fourteen hundred. Tyrol Hatton plus sixteen
Speaker 1: hundred better finish at the Century than mister o'berg he finished.
Speaker 1: Hatton did fourteenth at the Century. Matthew Fitzpatrick also played
Speaker 1: well at the Century plus eighteen hundred, and interestingly, the
Speaker 1: three players with the shortest odds here, Oberg, Hatton and
Speaker 1: Fitzpatrick all making their debuts at the Sony. None of
Speaker 1: them have ever played this event before. Then we've got
Speaker 1: Brian Harmon and past winner Russell Henley at plus two thousand,
Speaker 1: Corey Conners, the Canadian ball striker extraordinary at plus twenty
Speaker 1: five hundred, and Eric Cole is plus twenty eight hundred
Speaker 1: on DraftKings anyone, you're partial two among the favorites ball
Speaker 1: So right there.
Speaker 2: You mentioned that those top three shortest odds getters are
Speaker 2: first timers at Sony Open. Well, that doesn't play well
Speaker 2: here at all. This course is very unique on the
Speaker 2: PGA tour. You mentioned it's very short by tour standards.
Speaker 2: It's one of the shortest courses on the RODA. This
Speaker 2: is going to be a really tough ask for them
Speaker 2: to come up with the performance that meets those odds.
Speaker 2: Even if you're just making a top five or top
Speaker 2: ten bet with those three shortest guys, I wouldn't do it.
Speaker 2: I'm starting with Russell Henley and Brian Harmon. Those two
Speaker 2: guys are extremely accurate off the tee, which is going
Speaker 2: to be paramount here. On top of that, this is
Speaker 2: a second shot golf course that requires approach distances with
Speaker 2: the short and mid irons. They're some of the best
Speaker 2: ball strikers from those distances on tour overall, regardless of
Speaker 2: how strong the field is. And on top of that,
Speaker 2: par four scoring and par four birdie making is going
Speaker 2: to be paramount this week, and those guys all pop
Speaker 2: up in those stat models as the best plays. Russell Henley,
Speaker 2: Brian Harmon or where I start. Corey Connors checks the
Speaker 2: boxes from tee to green, but his short game is atrocious.
Speaker 2: And short game not just putting, but chipping is going
Speaker 2: to be very important here too, because the greens are
Speaker 2: very small and the greens are very fast, so it's
Speaker 2: going to be really hard for a lot of these
Speaker 2: guys to not just get close to the hole, but
Speaker 2: to hit these greens Compared to last week. It's a
Speaker 2: total juxtaposition of skill set and so Corey Connor's short
Speaker 2: game demands are going to be tough on him. Eric
Speaker 2: Cole is one of my favorite golfers to root four,
Speaker 2: last year's Rookie of the Year. He's got the chops
Speaker 2: to be there. I want to see his odds slip
Speaker 2: a little bit farther back, maybe into that thirty to
Speaker 2: thirty five range. If that happens, I'll be all over him. Yeah.
Speaker 1: I thought we might get a better price on coal
Speaker 1: than this. The odds are a little shorter than I
Speaker 1: was hoping for, so I can't quite embrace him. I
Speaker 1: don't know, boy, I kind of like Fitzpatrick a little
Speaker 1: bit at plus eighteen hundred, just because I know what
Speaker 1: you're saying about course familiarity being key, but it feels
Speaker 1: to me, and I don't know what the statistical correlation
Speaker 1: is between this event and the RBC heritage, but in
Speaker 1: some ways this course reminds me a little bit of
Speaker 1: that course where we saw Fitzpatrick winn last year and
Speaker 1: has played historically well. He's a world class player, number
Speaker 1: eight in the world ranking. It was playing at such
Speaker 1: a high level in the FedEx Cup playoffs with a
Speaker 1: couple of top tens there to close out twenty twenty three,
Speaker 1: and opened in good form at Kapalua. So I'm kind
Speaker 1: of intrigued by him, wondering if he might be a
Speaker 1: guy who can sort of defy the historical bias against
Speaker 1: first timers in this event. And the other guy like
Speaker 1: Bo you mentioned Corey Connors, And yes, his putting is
Speaker 1: not always there and not a very good chipper good
Speaker 1: around the greens, but he is such a great ball striker,
Speaker 1: and like, if he can just keep hitting those greens,
Speaker 1: I think he's got a chance. And I think the
Speaker 1: small greens sort of favor guy who's as good with
Speaker 1: his irons as Corey Connors is. And by the way,
Speaker 1: in his last four appearances at the Sony he has
Speaker 1: finished third, twelfth, eleventh, and twelfth. So this course is
Speaker 1: clearly a good fit for him. Just a matter of
Speaker 1: whether he can have a good week with the flatstick, right.
Speaker 2: Yeah, and he's extremely streaky, as we've known if you've
Speaker 2: been betting golf for any number of years, Corey Connors
Speaker 2: will both bless you and burn you. In any given season,
Speaker 2: You'll go through the trials and tribulations of golf betting
Speaker 2: just by being a Corey Connors guy. I've gone through
Speaker 2: six month stretches where I refuse to bet him for
Speaker 2: any odds because he burned me so bad. Like we're
Speaker 2: talking a guy who should win some of these tournaments
Speaker 2: that line up with his eye more often than he does,
Speaker 2: and when he does win, it's usually on a course
Speaker 2: that's more wide open. Despite how good he is Tita Green,
Speaker 2: he doesn't necessarily do well on places with fast tracks.
Speaker 2: He's more of your target golf type of guy. But
Speaker 2: I do like his course history here. Do I think
Speaker 2: he's the caliber of golfer that's going to take that
Speaker 2: next step and defeat that top ten streak that he's
Speaker 2: got to turn it into a win. I don't know
Speaker 2: that he's that good, especially for odds less than twenty
Speaker 2: to one. I don't know if he's that type of golfer,
Speaker 2: and so I'm more at odds with his odds than
Speaker 2: I am with the person and the golfer himself, because
Speaker 2: he's wonted me money before he's lost me money before.
Speaker 2: I just don't know that his week to say, hey,
Speaker 2: I'm Corey Connors in twenty twenty four is going to
Speaker 2: be my year. I just don't believe in that.
Speaker 1: Yeah, twenty five to one for the record ball, but
Speaker 1: admittedly yes, betting on a guy only to watch him
Speaker 1: repeatedly miss six footers can be very, very front frustrating. Friends,
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Speaker 1: Pros in the app store. All right, bo I am
Speaker 1: fascinated by some of the guys in the plus three
Speaker 1: thousand and two plus four thousand range. Let's start with
Speaker 1: Chris Kirk plus three thousand, and he's coming off that
Speaker 1: win at Capealua, and with his history at this tournament,
Speaker 1: four top five finishes and thirteen career starts at the
Speaker 1: Sony Opening a third place finish last year, in a
Speaker 1: second place finish in twenty twenty one. The funny thing
Speaker 1: is baul I was going to be interested in betting
Speaker 1: Kirk this week anyway. So I was sort of dismayed
Speaker 1: when he won the sentry and I figured it would
Speaker 1: just like cause him to be listed as one of
Speaker 1: the favorites in this event.
Speaker 3: Not so.
Speaker 1: At plus three thousand, it seems to me like there's
Speaker 1: still some value here. Would you agree with that?
Speaker 2: Yeah, there's value, and I don't expect it to last.
Speaker 2: So if you're watching this on a Tuesday or Wednesday early,
Speaker 2: just know that these odds are on a ski slope.
Speaker 2: It's not going to stay at thirty to one very long.
Speaker 2: As the sharp. As the sharp betting public gets more
Speaker 2: involved in this field, we're going to see we're going
Speaker 2: to see that number come down. Twenty to twenty five
Speaker 2: would be my target area, twenty five or shorter. I'm
Speaker 2: not interested anymore. But if he stays, if he stays
Speaker 2: at twenty five to thirty, then where all systems go
Speaker 2: because Chris Kirk loves it here, he loves playing in
Speaker 2: Hawaii in general, and he has that all around skill
Speaker 2: set that we're looking for. We're not saying he's great
Speaker 2: at Kapalua and not great at Wili, even though they
Speaker 2: are very different courses. He doesn't have many weaknesses. He's
Speaker 2: not your master of none, jack of all trades. He's
Speaker 2: just solid all around the board, and with a guy
Speaker 2: like that, you can trust him, especially when the odds
Speaker 2: don't line up with how much success he's had here
Speaker 2: and how haught he is. Right at this moment, this
Speaker 2: is a green flag all the way until if he
Speaker 2: goes shorter than twenty five, then I might be put
Speaker 2: off by it. But I'm pleasantly surprised that we have
Speaker 2: this betting window on Chris Kirk because he pops up
Speaker 2: in the top five of my model no matter how
Speaker 2: I scratch it.
Speaker 1: I was really expecting plus two thousand to open, and
Speaker 1: to get him at this price just seems like it's
Speaker 1: really nice value.
Speaker 2: This is why we bet golf is to find find
Speaker 2: advantages in the lines. Make your own lines before you
Speaker 2: look at the professional ones. The casinos are going to
Speaker 2: react to money coming in. That's what their job is
Speaker 2: to do, is to balance it out where they make
Speaker 2: their juice. Either way, they're just going to go based
Speaker 2: on movement of money. There's gonna be a lot of
Speaker 2: money flowing in on Chris Kirk as the week progresses.
Speaker 2: So strike while the iron's hot.
Speaker 1: Yeah, he doesn't have the big name that some of
Speaker 1: the other favorites. You know, he's not as well known
Speaker 1: as Matthew Fitzpatrick or Tyro Hatton, but like this just
Speaker 1: seems like such a nice setup for him. Also a
Speaker 1: plus three three thousand, Saheith Thigala, who was in the
Speaker 1: Haunts down the Stretch at the Century, JT. Post In
Speaker 1: plus three thousand, Bijunghun on plus three thousand, Seewu Kim
Speaker 1: the defending champion plus three thousand, and then we've got
Speaker 1: Cam Davis at plus thirty five hundred, Justin Rose at
Speaker 1: plus four thousand, Hideki Matsuyama at plus four thousand, and
Speaker 1: Harris English, who's played this event pretty well historically plus
Speaker 1: four thousand. What about the players in this regna? Is
Speaker 1: there anyone you're partial to?
Speaker 2: I really like JT. Poston and see what Kim from
Speaker 2: what I can see right this moment is at thirty
Speaker 2: five to one, which is even better as the defending
Speaker 2: champion of this event somebody who is also one of
Speaker 2: the most accurate t ball players and gets streaky hot
Speaker 2: and last year he got really hot. And this is
Speaker 2: a guy who is just one of those guys that
Speaker 2: can put together an incredible round in the clutch because
Speaker 2: he's not scrambling to find fairways. And that's where I
Speaker 2: kind of am off of Sahiti Gala because last week
Speaker 2: we kind of could tell that this is the kind
Speaker 2: of course that it was going to be. He's a
Speaker 2: lot like Jordan Speeth. His short game's phenomenal, but he
Speaker 2: needs a course that has wide fairways for giving off
Speaker 2: the tee because if he's if he's forced to find fairways,
Speaker 2: he's not going to do well. That's why he's He's
Speaker 2: off the board for me completely on this course. Poston's
Speaker 2: had great success here been on short game wise, He's
Speaker 2: a lot like Thegala, where he's a terrible putter and
Speaker 2: he's also kind of iffy off the tee. I wouldn't
Speaker 2: bet on him, but seaw Kim having the prior success
Speaker 2: defending his trophy here. I had him. I had him
Speaker 2: and the runner up last year bets, so I didn't
Speaker 2: care who won. It was like I win either way.
Speaker 2: I had top five bets and overall bets on both
Speaker 2: of those guys last year at this event. But I'm
Speaker 2: off Thigala and ben On. I'm on jt posted in
Speaker 2: seaw Kim and of course Chris Kirk if the line
Speaker 2: holds steady enough. Yeah.
Speaker 1: Now let's talk about some of the players with odds
Speaker 1: longer than plus four thousand. One guy who's kind of
Speaker 1: interesting is Matt Kucher. I mean talk about a horse
Speaker 1: for a course. Yes, he's getting older and maybe not
Speaker 1: as big a threat to win as he has been
Speaker 1: in the past, But in his last eight starts at
Speaker 1: the Sony dating back to twenty fourteen, he has five
Speaker 1: top eight finishes, including a win in twenty nineteen.
Speaker 2: It's a long way to go back, though.
Speaker 1: It is a long way to go back, admittedly, but yeah,
Speaker 1: the course history is good here. Another guy I kind
Speaker 1: of find myself drawn to ball for the ball striking
Speaker 1: is Alex Norn at plus six thousand. He's only played
Speaker 1: this event once, I believe, finishing thirty second in twenty twenty,
Speaker 1: but just such a fantastic ball striker. I'm a little
Speaker 1: intrigued by him at longer odds, Is there anyone you
Speaker 1: like among the longer or long shots?
Speaker 2: So the guy that popped up for me beside Harris
Speaker 2: English of course to this great history here and then
Speaker 2: of course you said Nora, and Noorn statistically lines up here.
Speaker 2: I just don't trust him to win like he's He's
Speaker 2: one of those stat model guys that always pops up
Speaker 2: at courses like this, and then at the end of
Speaker 2: the day you look the standings and he's nowhere near
Speaker 2: where you expected him to be because of ball striking
Speaker 2: or whatever. It's like, yeah, we can, we can be
Speaker 2: analytical about it, look at the stats. But and we
Speaker 2: can do all the things from the past. But as
Speaker 2: it is now, I don't like Matt Kucher because his
Speaker 2: recent form has been atrocious. I can't stand watching him
Speaker 2: play right now. He's he's been awful, and that that
Speaker 2: pays a lot more to credence to what this event
Speaker 2: is about. Yes, prior history matters, but current form matters
Speaker 2: more to me. I wait, that heavier Alex Norn is
Speaker 2: not a guy I usually bet outright because I don't
Speaker 2: think he's ever won anything, and at least not in
Speaker 2: a really long time. And the one guy that popped
Speaker 2: up for me that has won recently and played extremely
Speaker 2: well last year, despite or last week, despite not being
Speaker 2: necessarily a great fit for Kapalua, it was Akshavatiya. We're
Speaker 2: talking about a guy who won the Fortnet last year
Speaker 2: and or no, he won the Barracuda last year and
Speaker 2: Lake Tahoe on a very very similar course to this,
Speaker 2: very short, tight, fast, and this is the kind of
Speaker 2: field where he's at an advantage as an approach player
Speaker 2: with wedges. He was top ten in the PGA Tour
Speaker 2: last year as a person who has a great short
Speaker 2: game and a new putter. He went to the broomstick
Speaker 2: putter last week and that was where he made the
Speaker 2: biggest difference. Was his weakness last year was putting the ball,
Speaker 2: making the birdies that he was supposed to make after
Speaker 2: hitting great approach shots. And last week where it was
Speaker 2: pretty much a putting contest, akshe Batia was rolling him
Speaker 2: in all day. And I just love his fit for
Speaker 2: this course in particular, I did not expect his performance
Speaker 2: from last week. I'm very encouraged by his recent form,
Speaker 2: and this guy's a phenom. He's up there in talent
Speaker 2: with Ludvigelbert. He's just getting a lot less credit for
Speaker 2: it because he didn't go to college and dominate the
Speaker 2: collegiate ranks like Obert did. This guy dropped out of
Speaker 2: high school, didn't go to college at seven team because
Speaker 2: he wanted to be a pro golfer. That was his
Speaker 2: lot in life, and he's turning it into a real career.
Speaker 2: I love this kid, and he's at fifty to one.
Speaker 2: I just can't get enough of that number right there.
Speaker 1: Yeah, Akshay Batia terrific young player, and maybe this is
Speaker 1: the breakthrough.
Speaker 2: Year for him, so that it certainly looks like it.
Speaker 1: And bo, I mean, like, take the value while you
Speaker 1: can get it, because his odds are going to get
Speaker 1: shorter and shorter as the results start piling up for him.
Speaker 1: So all right, bo, as of now, what have you
Speaker 1: got on your betting card for the Sony Open.
Speaker 2: Well, I would like to go over a couple of
Speaker 2: long shots because there's a couple of guys that are
Speaker 2: really deep in these betting on means. Last year's runner up,
Speaker 2: which is Hayden Buckley, So Hayden Buckley. The running joke
Speaker 2: with me last year was that Hayden Buckley, if you
Speaker 2: took away his Friday scoring average, he was the best
Speaker 2: scoring average on the PGA Tour, better than John rom
Speaker 2: better than Scotti Scheffler. His scoring average on Thursday, Saturday
Speaker 2: and Sunday he was sixty seven point three. His scoring
Speaker 2: average on Fridays was seventy three something, so it knocked
Speaker 2: him down to I think fourteenth overall in scoring average.
Speaker 2: But he missed some cuts because of his poor Friday performances.
Speaker 2: But if he made the weekend, he was spectacular. He
Speaker 2: nearly won last year, but until see who Kim kind
Speaker 2: of climbed back and pulled one out of a hat.
Speaker 2: Hayden Buckley is coming in at one hundred and fifty
Speaker 2: to one this week, and we're talking about an uber
Speaker 2: talented golfer who just happens to not be quite there
Speaker 2: at putting four rounds together. But he put four rounds
Speaker 2: together last year at this event. His game fits this
Speaker 2: course like a glove. I think one hundred and fifty
Speaker 2: one is an insult to the type of golf for
Speaker 2: Hayden Buckley is. And then Dylan Wu one hundred and
Speaker 2: fifty to one as well. He was absolutely amazing last year,
Speaker 2: one of the most consistent golfers on the PGA Tour
Speaker 2: last season. Overall, he's getting no respect this week despite
Speaker 2: how many times he popped up in top twenties of
Speaker 2: the leaderboards last year. Regardless, of course, this guy is
Speaker 2: all around solid and with another year under his belt
Speaker 2: after last season having a great rookie season, Dylan Wu
Speaker 2: is a guy that's on my radar this year as
Speaker 2: as a breakout winner and somebody who can definitely get
Speaker 2: more respect coming back with a good result this week.
Speaker 1: We need to get Rick Flair to endorse some sort
Speaker 1: of Wu parlay with Dylan Wu and Sea Woo Kim.
Speaker 1: So I like that, all right, So what do you got, bo,
Speaker 1: What's on your what's on your card? As of now?
Speaker 2: So I have outright bets on Brian Harmon and Russell Henley,
Speaker 2: Chris Kirk, Ox shave Atiya, and then I went quarter
Speaker 2: unit outright bets with top twenty kickers with Buckley and Wu.
Speaker 1: Yeah, I might have to get on your Bettilla and
Speaker 1: Buckley wagers. You're talking me into those. As of now,
Speaker 1: I do have bets outrights on Matthew Fitzpatrick, Corey Connors,
Speaker 1: Chris Kirk, Coocher No sorry not Coocher and Alex Norrin
Speaker 1: because I figure, like I'm not going to bother betting
Speaker 1: a top five or top ten with Norn, Like I'm
Speaker 1: counting on him to just feed lights out with the
Speaker 1: ball striking and that's it. In a small bet on
Speaker 1: Ryan Palmer to win at one hundred and one, like
Speaker 1: he's got a pretty good history on this course, five
Speaker 1: top twenties over the last ten years. And then I
Speaker 1: have let's see a top five on Corey Connors at
Speaker 1: plus six hundred, a top five on Christian Kirk Chris Kirk,
Speaker 1: sorry at getting my football my golf mixed up plus
Speaker 1: six fifty for Chris Kirk to finish top five and
Speaker 1: Cooch a top ten bet at plus four fifty. I
Speaker 1: know the forum has been terrible, so that's like I
Speaker 1: wanted to cast a wider net with him on a
Speaker 1: top ten.
Speaker 2: Roof for him because he's a good guy. But it's
Speaker 2: like I think he's he's entering the twilight where I mean,
Speaker 2: he's old enough now where the Champions Tour is on
Speaker 2: the horizon, very soon and he's forty eight now, so
Speaker 2: he's he's very, very live to be one of the
Speaker 2: best Champions Tour guys for a while in a couple
Speaker 2: of years. So as far as competing with these guys,
Speaker 2: I think those days are mostly behind him.
Speaker 1: He's a good guy unless here's caddie looking for a
Speaker 1: big tip after a win. So otherwise he's great. For
Speaker 1: those of you who are into props, I'll just run
Speaker 1: two of them by you. I have not bet these yet,
Speaker 1: but I found these intriguing. A top ten parlay with
Speaker 1: Saheith Thigala and Corey Connors at plus twenty two hundred.
Speaker 1: I know your reservations about Figalabo, but with top ten,
Speaker 1: I'm hoping he can defy maybe some of the course
Speaker 1: limitations on him. And B because I can't quit irishman
Speaker 1: Seamus Power, I'm thinking about betting him at plus twenty
Speaker 1: eight hundred to finish as the top European in this event.
Speaker 2: Wow, that's steep.
Speaker 1: It narrows the field a little bet.
Speaker 2: I can't put a stamp of approval on that one.
Speaker 2: He looked awful last week.
Speaker 1: He did look awful. And speaking of awful, for our
Speaker 1: one and done competition. You had Patrick cant Leigh last
Speaker 1: week finished tied for twelve, good for four hundred and
Speaker 1: fifty thousand dollars in a field with a rather large purse.
Speaker 1: And I had Wolf Ricky Fowler, who managed to finish
Speaker 1: fifty six in a fifty nine man field, good for
Speaker 1: fifty two thousand dollars, barely enough to pay his caddy
Speaker 1: and pay for meals in Hawaii.
Speaker 2: So I'm going to get a big head about this
Speaker 2: gigantic lead I have over you after one event. We
Speaker 2: have a long way to go.
Speaker 1: Yes, you do.
Speaker 2: You can flip the script just as soon as this week.
Speaker 2: But I am encouraged that I've got an up substantial,
Speaker 2: substantial lead on my hands and I didn't burned through
Speaker 2: anybody elite yet.
Speaker 1: So who are you going for this week? Paul?
Speaker 2: So this week I am going to go with Russell Henley.
Speaker 2: That's my one and done.
Speaker 1: Okay, Yeah, that was That was one of my two choices. Boy,
Speaker 1: I'm going with Corey Connors. Like I think Henley was
Speaker 1: was my optimal, but uh, you know, Connors was a
Speaker 1: close second. So I'm gonna go with Connors. You know
Speaker 1: you have reservation.
Speaker 2: The show is gonna use Henley. I was gonna use
Speaker 2: Henley either this week or at Pebble Beach because of
Speaker 2: the course fits. But I decided it's like Henley is
Speaker 2: due and he played pretty well, so I think that
Speaker 2: this is the time and I'm gonna kick myself off.
Speaker 2: Henley plays poorly this week and wins Pedal Beach, but.
Speaker 1: Yes, Pebble and there are a couple he plays some
Speaker 1: of the Florida courses too, I think has and he'd
Speaker 1: been pretty good at the Honda, and uh.
Speaker 2: He's good at the Windom too in North Carolina, So
Speaker 2: that one, that one scares me.
Speaker 1: Yeah, he's got He's got a couple of tracks that
Speaker 1: he seems to like quite a bit. So and that
Speaker 1: Folks is going to do it. For our betting preview
Speaker 1: of the Sony Open. We will be back next week
Speaker 1: when the PGA Tour returns to the mainland and Bow's
Speaker 1: home state of California. And uh, until then, good luck
Speaker 1: with your bets. We will talk to you again next week.
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