1 00:00:00,840 --> 00:00:05,279 Speaker 1: Hello everyone, and welcome back to the Betting Pros PGA Podcast. 2 00:00:05,400 --> 00:00:10,080 Speaker 1: I'm Pat Fitzmorris, joined once again by my esteemed colleague 3 00:00:10,119 --> 00:00:13,760 Speaker 1: mister Bau mcbrair. You can find me on Twitter at 4 00:00:13,880 --> 00:00:19,440 Speaker 1: fits underscore ff. You can find bo at bo underscore 5 00:00:19,680 --> 00:00:24,439 Speaker 1: mcbig time and we are going to preview the Sony Open, 6 00:00:25,280 --> 00:00:28,240 Speaker 1: the second leg of the two leg Hawaiian Swing for 7 00:00:28,280 --> 00:00:31,720 Speaker 1: the PGA Tour. We're going to recap the Century from 8 00:00:31,800 --> 00:00:35,559 Speaker 1: last week, and we're going to give you some of 9 00:00:35,600 --> 00:00:39,120 Speaker 1: our favorite bets and our one and done picks for 10 00:00:39,240 --> 00:00:42,720 Speaker 1: this week. So well, Bo, we have won event in 11 00:00:42,800 --> 00:00:45,600 Speaker 1: twenty twenty four in the books, and the winner was 12 00:00:45,640 --> 00:00:48,680 Speaker 1: a guy we weren't really on last week. It was 13 00:00:48,800 --> 00:00:51,760 Speaker 1: Chris Kirk winning the century with a score of twenty 14 00:00:51,880 --> 00:00:57,120 Speaker 1: nine under, beating Saheith Thigala by a stroke. And it's 15 00:00:57,120 --> 00:00:59,840 Speaker 1: funny bout the midpoint of the century, it looked like 16 00:01:00,040 --> 00:01:03,480 Speaker 1: we were gonna get one of the big guns as 17 00:01:03,480 --> 00:01:07,560 Speaker 1: a winner. It was Scotti Scheffler leading after two rounds 18 00:01:08,000 --> 00:01:11,920 Speaker 1: with Colin Morikawa and Victor Hovlin two shots back. Sung 19 00:01:12,000 --> 00:01:14,920 Speaker 1: Jay m and Tyro Hatton I believe were just one 20 00:01:14,920 --> 00:01:19,280 Speaker 1: shot back, but Chris Kirk prevailed deservedly so, and now 21 00:01:19,319 --> 00:01:23,160 Speaker 1: he rolls into the Sony Open, the second event of 22 00:01:23,200 --> 00:01:26,520 Speaker 1: the Hawaii Swing, and he's got a pretty intriguing track 23 00:01:26,600 --> 00:01:29,840 Speaker 1: record at the Sony so could we possibly get a 24 00:01:29,920 --> 00:01:33,160 Speaker 1: Hawaii sweep. More on that in a minute, but first, 25 00:01:33,520 --> 00:01:35,280 Speaker 1: if you want a chance to win a free one 26 00:01:35,319 --> 00:01:39,160 Speaker 1: year premium Betting Pros subscription, you need to subscribe to 27 00:01:39,160 --> 00:01:42,760 Speaker 1: the Betting Pro's YouTube channel right now comment below on 28 00:01:42,840 --> 00:01:46,240 Speaker 1: this video and that is it. We will be announcing 29 00:01:46,240 --> 00:01:48,400 Speaker 1: a winner right here on the channel, so make sure 30 00:01:48,440 --> 00:01:51,040 Speaker 1: to turn on those notifications so that you can be 31 00:01:51,080 --> 00:01:55,000 Speaker 1: alerted when new episodes are up and to claim your prize. 32 00:01:55,320 --> 00:01:58,320 Speaker 1: All right, bo, let's talk about this event. The Sony 33 00:01:58,560 --> 00:02:01,640 Speaker 1: Open will once again be playing at Wilea Country Club 34 00:02:01,720 --> 00:02:05,240 Speaker 1: in Honolulu. It is a parse seventy course and it's 35 00:02:05,280 --> 00:02:11,520 Speaker 1: pretty short by tour standards, measuring seven four yards. In 36 00:02:11,560 --> 00:02:15,040 Speaker 1: many ways, it's like the polar opposite of the Plantation 37 00:02:15,280 --> 00:02:19,799 Speaker 1: course that they played the Sentry on. Capelua has huge 38 00:02:19,840 --> 00:02:25,240 Speaker 1: fairways and huge greens. Wile AA tight fairways, small greens. 39 00:02:26,080 --> 00:02:28,360 Speaker 1: So driving accuracy is going to be much more important 40 00:02:28,360 --> 00:02:30,519 Speaker 1: this week than it was last week at Capellua. Even 41 00:02:30,520 --> 00:02:35,040 Speaker 1: though the rough isn't all that penal here at Wilea, 42 00:02:35,440 --> 00:02:37,480 Speaker 1: approach shots are going to be a little more critical, 43 00:02:37,639 --> 00:02:40,960 Speaker 1: especially with the short irons, and of course good putting 44 00:02:41,000 --> 00:02:44,600 Speaker 1: is going to be rewarded. The forecast for this tournament, 45 00:02:45,280 --> 00:02:48,280 Speaker 1: calling for temperatures in the low to mid seventies, sounds 46 00:02:48,280 --> 00:02:50,360 Speaker 1: pretty good right now, since I'm gonna be shoveling six 47 00:02:50,480 --> 00:02:54,600 Speaker 1: inches of snow tomorrow here in the Chicago suburbs and 48 00:02:55,400 --> 00:03:00,239 Speaker 1: a slight chance of rain on Thursday afternoon, be a 49 00:03:00,280 --> 00:03:03,720 Speaker 1: little breezy on Friday. Wins in the sixteen mile per 50 00:03:03,720 --> 00:03:07,320 Speaker 1: hour range, but for the most part, the weather should 51 00:03:07,320 --> 00:03:10,359 Speaker 1: be pretty agreeable. So, Bo, were you a fan of 52 00:03:10,800 --> 00:03:14,040 Speaker 1: Wilea Country Club in this event in general? Is there 53 00:03:14,040 --> 00:03:16,840 Speaker 1: anything that stands out to you about the course? Any 54 00:03:16,880 --> 00:03:17,919 Speaker 1: notes you want to share? 55 00:03:18,520 --> 00:03:21,280 Speaker 2: Yeah, So that course is kind of an opposite of 56 00:03:21,320 --> 00:03:24,320 Speaker 2: the Plantation course for Coppolua in that it's short, it 57 00:03:24,400 --> 00:03:27,320 Speaker 2: requires different skill sets. At the same time, it's still 58 00:03:27,360 --> 00:03:31,120 Speaker 2: an island resort course. You're still dealing with a similar field, 59 00:03:31,480 --> 00:03:34,200 Speaker 2: just an expanded one at that. So there's going to 60 00:03:34,240 --> 00:03:38,520 Speaker 2: be some overlapping performers here where Kappaalua. A lot of 61 00:03:38,600 --> 00:03:42,520 Speaker 2: times we overrate driving distance because of how long the 62 00:03:42,560 --> 00:03:45,880 Speaker 2: course is, and that came to fruition again last week 63 00:03:45,920 --> 00:03:48,600 Speaker 2: with Chris Kirk shooting a really low Sunday. He had 64 00:03:48,640 --> 00:03:51,560 Speaker 2: a great weekend, came through with the win because he 65 00:03:51,640 --> 00:03:53,760 Speaker 2: made the most putts, and that's what it kind of 66 00:03:53,800 --> 00:03:57,560 Speaker 2: came down to in at Wilie Country Club, which is 67 00:03:57,600 --> 00:04:01,040 Speaker 2: a course that had a Nintendo sixty four game. It 68 00:04:01,080 --> 00:04:03,640 Speaker 2: was completely is the first. It was right along the 69 00:04:03,680 --> 00:04:06,480 Speaker 2: same time as the Tiger Woods PGA Tour game, and 70 00:04:06,640 --> 00:04:08,440 Speaker 2: I played a lot of both and it was fun 71 00:04:08,720 --> 00:04:11,000 Speaker 2: because it was the only one course loaded. There was 72 00:04:11,040 --> 00:04:13,480 Speaker 2: only one player you could use. But you got to 73 00:04:13,520 --> 00:04:17,039 Speaker 2: play Wilie Country Club in its current form too, just 74 00:04:17,080 --> 00:04:20,599 Speaker 2: with a par seventy two, very demanding off the tee. 75 00:04:21,000 --> 00:04:24,240 Speaker 2: As far as accuracy, there's going to be no bearing 76 00:04:24,279 --> 00:04:27,760 Speaker 2: on driving distance on this course whatsoever. A lot of 77 00:04:27,800 --> 00:04:30,120 Speaker 2: these guys are long enough to where they're actually going 78 00:04:30,200 --> 00:04:32,799 Speaker 2: to be dialing back and hitting long irons, driving irons 79 00:04:33,000 --> 00:04:35,800 Speaker 2: fairway metals off the tees just to find the fairway. 80 00:04:35,960 --> 00:04:39,160 Speaker 2: Because last year they what they found is that if 81 00:04:39,200 --> 00:04:41,480 Speaker 2: you increase the length of the rough by three quarters 82 00:04:41,480 --> 00:04:42,880 Speaker 2: of an inch from two and a quarter inches to 83 00:04:42,960 --> 00:04:46,600 Speaker 2: three inches. The scoring was down by I think five 84 00:04:46,720 --> 00:04:50,600 Speaker 2: strokes from the year's previous average. So we're talking about 85 00:04:50,880 --> 00:04:53,360 Speaker 2: a course that does have some teeth. It has a 86 00:04:53,400 --> 00:04:56,520 Speaker 2: little bit more exposure to trade winds than Kapolua does, 87 00:04:56,800 --> 00:04:59,520 Speaker 2: So this is not going to be your scoring birdie 88 00:04:59,520 --> 00:05:01,839 Speaker 2: fest like we saw last week when the weather was 89 00:05:01,880 --> 00:05:05,000 Speaker 2: calm and tranquil and the course was right for the pickings. 90 00:05:05,960 --> 00:05:08,600 Speaker 2: I do think with an expanded field, this course is 91 00:05:08,640 --> 00:05:11,720 Speaker 2: going to have a long shot winner, and we have 92 00:05:11,839 --> 00:05:15,599 Speaker 2: some really nice odds that will expose the books to 93 00:05:16,600 --> 00:05:20,680 Speaker 2: bets by people who know who does well here. There's 94 00:05:20,720 --> 00:05:23,159 Speaker 2: a lot of correlation between guys that have played well 95 00:05:23,160 --> 00:05:27,120 Speaker 2: in Hawaii in general and also have come here and 96 00:05:27,200 --> 00:05:30,560 Speaker 2: have played this course before, and if you're of a 97 00:05:30,600 --> 00:05:33,440 Speaker 2: certain skill set and in this course seems to fit 98 00:05:33,520 --> 00:05:36,040 Speaker 2: your eye, there's a lot of guys in the history 99 00:05:36,080 --> 00:05:38,080 Speaker 2: of this tournament that have come back and played well 100 00:05:38,240 --> 00:05:42,360 Speaker 2: year over year, and that includes our defending champion of 101 00:05:42,400 --> 00:05:44,599 Speaker 2: the event, which we'll cover in a little bit. 102 00:05:44,800 --> 00:05:47,960 Speaker 1: Yeah, this is one of those events where it's horses 103 00:05:48,000 --> 00:05:52,279 Speaker 1: for courses like you do see some guys repeating, Guys 104 00:05:52,279 --> 00:05:55,159 Speaker 1: with strong track records tend to do well here again 105 00:05:55,240 --> 00:05:58,440 Speaker 1: and again. One thing I meant forgot to mention about 106 00:05:58,440 --> 00:06:01,760 Speaker 1: the course, Bowen, This is to your point about the 107 00:06:01,800 --> 00:06:06,560 Speaker 1: reduced emphasis on distance. We got some trees on the 108 00:06:06,720 --> 00:06:10,479 Speaker 1: along the fairways here and some dog legs, So on 109 00:06:10,560 --> 00:06:14,240 Speaker 1: the dog leg part fours, the placement of your t 110 00:06:14,440 --> 00:06:17,479 Speaker 1: shots is critical. And like you can get in some 111 00:06:17,560 --> 00:06:19,080 Speaker 1: trouble into the trees here. 112 00:06:20,360 --> 00:06:22,920 Speaker 2: That and they dry out the greens and the fairways. 113 00:06:22,920 --> 00:06:26,000 Speaker 2: So where we saw a lot of spongy approach landing 114 00:06:26,040 --> 00:06:30,160 Speaker 2: areas and driving areas at Kapolua, this place is dried 115 00:06:30,200 --> 00:06:32,559 Speaker 2: out and it's fast. Fairways are fast, and the greens 116 00:06:32,600 --> 00:06:35,200 Speaker 2: are fast. And that's going to put a more emphasis 117 00:06:35,279 --> 00:06:37,240 Speaker 2: on the short game. It's going to put more emphasis 118 00:06:37,279 --> 00:06:40,440 Speaker 2: on target golf like this. This course actually comps a 119 00:06:40,480 --> 00:06:43,320 Speaker 2: lot to TPC sawgrats in a way where you have 120 00:06:43,400 --> 00:06:45,480 Speaker 2: to plan your way around the course, a lot more 121 00:06:45,520 --> 00:06:48,200 Speaker 2: cappelu as a bomb and gouge type course. This course 122 00:06:48,240 --> 00:06:50,560 Speaker 2: won't allow for that. So some of those guys that 123 00:06:50,640 --> 00:06:53,279 Speaker 2: did well last week just because they were muscling the course, 124 00:06:54,040 --> 00:06:55,680 Speaker 2: that that's not going to work. Here and they're going 125 00:06:55,720 --> 00:06:56,240 Speaker 2: to struggle. 126 00:06:56,440 --> 00:07:00,560 Speaker 1: Yeah, and we've seen although I think you can, we've 127 00:07:00,560 --> 00:07:03,360 Speaker 1: seen a range of winners here. We've seen guys who 128 00:07:03,480 --> 00:07:06,520 Speaker 1: hit it long win, but we've also seen the likes 129 00:07:06,560 --> 00:07:09,479 Speaker 1: of Zach Johnson win here before, like you can be 130 00:07:09,560 --> 00:07:14,280 Speaker 1: a short hitter, a bunter and win here. And yeah. 131 00:07:14,320 --> 00:07:18,040 Speaker 1: So this, unlike the Century, is a full field event, 132 00:07:18,800 --> 00:07:21,200 Speaker 1: and some of the big guns who played at the Century. 133 00:07:21,240 --> 00:07:23,480 Speaker 1: He decided not to stick around for leg two of 134 00:07:23,520 --> 00:07:26,480 Speaker 1: the Hawaii Swings, So no Scottie Scheffler, no Victor Hovlin, 135 00:07:26,560 --> 00:07:30,679 Speaker 1: no Patrick Cantley, no Colin Morikawa. But a few of 136 00:07:30,400 --> 00:07:34,160 Speaker 1: the bigger names stuck around, so we'll get to them 137 00:07:34,200 --> 00:07:37,480 Speaker 1: in a minute. The defending champion here is Seawu Kim. 138 00:07:37,920 --> 00:07:40,920 Speaker 1: He beat Hayden Buckley by a shot last year, and 139 00:07:40,920 --> 00:07:44,560 Speaker 1: if I recall correctly, Seawu chipped in on the par 140 00:07:44,680 --> 00:07:48,160 Speaker 1: three seventeenth for a birdie and the final day and 141 00:07:48,480 --> 00:07:51,160 Speaker 1: then hit a really good fairway would out of a bunker, 142 00:07:52,160 --> 00:07:55,800 Speaker 1: something I've never learned how to do on eighteen to 143 00:07:55,880 --> 00:08:00,640 Speaker 1: help seal the deal and finishing third last year just 144 00:08:00,720 --> 00:08:04,120 Speaker 1: three shots back was one mister Chris Kirk, who now 145 00:08:04,120 --> 00:08:07,680 Speaker 1: comes in hot as the defending champ. So let's look 146 00:08:07,720 --> 00:08:12,840 Speaker 1: at the odds bow our favorites this week. Ludwig Obert, 147 00:08:12,880 --> 00:08:13,840 Speaker 1: how do you say it, bo. 148 00:08:14,760 --> 00:08:18,280 Speaker 2: It's Albert Yeah, o ar. We always said Aberg until 149 00:08:18,520 --> 00:08:20,520 Speaker 2: we actually heard him say his own name, and it 150 00:08:20,560 --> 00:08:23,320 Speaker 2: was Oberg. So that little tiny little loop above the 151 00:08:23,360 --> 00:08:26,360 Speaker 2: A in the name, which I actually learned to type 152 00:08:26,400 --> 00:08:30,440 Speaker 2: as I'm writing up these reports. A fantastic young golfer, 153 00:08:31,000 --> 00:08:34,280 Speaker 2: collegiate champion, one of the best amateur golfers the last 154 00:08:34,360 --> 00:08:38,040 Speaker 2: quarter century. He's the class of this field as far 155 00:08:38,080 --> 00:08:39,160 Speaker 2: as the odds are concerned. 156 00:08:39,280 --> 00:08:42,440 Speaker 1: Yeah, everyone should know his name soon because he is 157 00:08:42,559 --> 00:08:44,480 Speaker 1: a world class young player and he's going to be 158 00:08:44,480 --> 00:08:46,400 Speaker 1: making a lot of noise in the years to come. 159 00:08:46,760 --> 00:08:51,720 Speaker 1: He is at plus fourteen hundred. I know everyone loves 160 00:08:51,880 --> 00:08:53,920 Speaker 1: the young Swede, but he is coming off a tie 161 00:08:53,960 --> 00:08:56,600 Speaker 1: for forty seventh at the century, so he was not 162 00:08:56,720 --> 00:09:00,280 Speaker 1: exactly on top of his game at Kapalua out of 163 00:09:00,320 --> 00:09:02,880 Speaker 1: seventy seven there on Saturday. 164 00:09:03,720 --> 00:09:05,439 Speaker 2: I was a full faate on him too, So I'm 165 00:09:05,480 --> 00:09:08,080 Speaker 2: happy to say that if you listen to me, you 166 00:09:08,120 --> 00:09:10,600 Speaker 2: were you were saying, hey, Ludwig, not only wasn't a 167 00:09:10,600 --> 00:09:13,040 Speaker 2: good fit for that course, but he was much too 168 00:09:13,080 --> 00:09:14,800 Speaker 2: short to bet last week. 169 00:09:14,920 --> 00:09:18,400 Speaker 1: Yeah, he wasn't really short odds again, a little surprising 170 00:09:18,440 --> 00:09:22,680 Speaker 1: that he's only plus fourteen hundred. Tyrol Hatton plus sixteen 171 00:09:22,760 --> 00:09:27,560 Speaker 1: hundred better finish at the Century than mister o'berg he finished. 172 00:09:28,320 --> 00:09:33,520 Speaker 1: Hatton did fourteenth at the Century. Matthew Fitzpatrick also played 173 00:09:33,520 --> 00:09:37,880 Speaker 1: well at the Century plus eighteen hundred, and interestingly, the 174 00:09:38,000 --> 00:09:40,720 Speaker 1: three players with the shortest odds here, Oberg, Hatton and 175 00:09:40,720 --> 00:09:44,319 Speaker 1: Fitzpatrick all making their debuts at the Sony. None of 176 00:09:44,360 --> 00:09:47,520 Speaker 1: them have ever played this event before. Then we've got 177 00:09:47,559 --> 00:09:52,520 Speaker 1: Brian Harmon and past winner Russell Henley at plus two thousand, 178 00:09:53,160 --> 00:09:56,920 Speaker 1: Corey Conners, the Canadian ball striker extraordinary at plus twenty 179 00:09:56,960 --> 00:10:01,040 Speaker 1: five hundred, and Eric Cole is plus twenty eight hundred 180 00:10:01,040 --> 00:10:05,760 Speaker 1: on DraftKings anyone, you're partial two among the favorites ball 181 00:10:05,920 --> 00:10:06,840 Speaker 1: So right there. 182 00:10:06,960 --> 00:10:10,360 Speaker 2: You mentioned that those top three shortest odds getters are 183 00:10:11,040 --> 00:10:14,400 Speaker 2: first timers at Sony Open. Well, that doesn't play well 184 00:10:14,600 --> 00:10:17,000 Speaker 2: here at all. This course is very unique on the 185 00:10:17,000 --> 00:10:19,640 Speaker 2: PGA tour. You mentioned it's very short by tour standards. 186 00:10:19,679 --> 00:10:22,760 Speaker 2: It's one of the shortest courses on the RODA. This 187 00:10:22,840 --> 00:10:24,600 Speaker 2: is going to be a really tough ask for them 188 00:10:24,640 --> 00:10:27,680 Speaker 2: to come up with the performance that meets those odds. 189 00:10:27,679 --> 00:10:29,560 Speaker 2: Even if you're just making a top five or top 190 00:10:29,600 --> 00:10:32,520 Speaker 2: ten bet with those three shortest guys, I wouldn't do it. 191 00:10:32,880 --> 00:10:36,360 Speaker 2: I'm starting with Russell Henley and Brian Harmon. Those two 192 00:10:36,400 --> 00:10:39,360 Speaker 2: guys are extremely accurate off the tee, which is going 193 00:10:39,400 --> 00:10:41,920 Speaker 2: to be paramount here. On top of that, this is 194 00:10:41,960 --> 00:10:45,080 Speaker 2: a second shot golf course that requires approach distances with 195 00:10:45,200 --> 00:10:47,760 Speaker 2: the short and mid irons. They're some of the best 196 00:10:47,760 --> 00:10:51,760 Speaker 2: ball strikers from those distances on tour overall, regardless of 197 00:10:51,760 --> 00:10:54,160 Speaker 2: how strong the field is. And on top of that, 198 00:10:54,320 --> 00:10:57,400 Speaker 2: par four scoring and par four birdie making is going 199 00:10:57,440 --> 00:11:00,560 Speaker 2: to be paramount this week, and those guys all pop 200 00:11:00,679 --> 00:11:03,880 Speaker 2: up in those stat models as the best plays. Russell Henley, 201 00:11:03,880 --> 00:11:07,640 Speaker 2: Brian Harmon or where I start. Corey Connors checks the 202 00:11:07,679 --> 00:11:10,600 Speaker 2: boxes from tee to green, but his short game is atrocious. 203 00:11:10,960 --> 00:11:14,400 Speaker 2: And short game not just putting, but chipping is going 204 00:11:14,440 --> 00:11:16,360 Speaker 2: to be very important here too, because the greens are 205 00:11:16,440 --> 00:11:18,679 Speaker 2: very small and the greens are very fast, so it's 206 00:11:18,679 --> 00:11:21,000 Speaker 2: going to be really hard for a lot of these 207 00:11:21,000 --> 00:11:23,240 Speaker 2: guys to not just get close to the hole, but 208 00:11:23,360 --> 00:11:25,960 Speaker 2: to hit these greens Compared to last week. It's a 209 00:11:26,000 --> 00:11:30,439 Speaker 2: total juxtaposition of skill set and so Corey Connor's short 210 00:11:30,480 --> 00:11:32,840 Speaker 2: game demands are going to be tough on him. Eric 211 00:11:32,920 --> 00:11:34,880 Speaker 2: Cole is one of my favorite golfers to root four, 212 00:11:34,960 --> 00:11:37,920 Speaker 2: last year's Rookie of the Year. He's got the chops 213 00:11:37,960 --> 00:11:40,120 Speaker 2: to be there. I want to see his odds slip 214 00:11:40,160 --> 00:11:42,280 Speaker 2: a little bit farther back, maybe into that thirty to 215 00:11:42,360 --> 00:11:45,600 Speaker 2: thirty five range. If that happens, I'll be all over him. Yeah. 216 00:11:45,679 --> 00:11:48,400 Speaker 1: I thought we might get a better price on coal 217 00:11:48,640 --> 00:11:50,800 Speaker 1: than this. The odds are a little shorter than I 218 00:11:50,840 --> 00:11:54,280 Speaker 1: was hoping for, so I can't quite embrace him. I 219 00:11:54,280 --> 00:11:57,600 Speaker 1: don't know, boy, I kind of like Fitzpatrick a little 220 00:11:57,600 --> 00:12:00,600 Speaker 1: bit at plus eighteen hundred, just because I know what 221 00:12:00,640 --> 00:12:04,920 Speaker 1: you're saying about course familiarity being key, but it feels 222 00:12:04,960 --> 00:12:08,280 Speaker 1: to me, and I don't know what the statistical correlation 223 00:12:08,480 --> 00:12:11,400 Speaker 1: is between this event and the RBC heritage, but in 224 00:12:11,440 --> 00:12:14,400 Speaker 1: some ways this course reminds me a little bit of 225 00:12:14,440 --> 00:12:19,920 Speaker 1: that course where we saw Fitzpatrick winn last year and 226 00:12:20,360 --> 00:12:24,240 Speaker 1: has played historically well. He's a world class player, number 227 00:12:24,240 --> 00:12:27,480 Speaker 1: eight in the world ranking. It was playing at such 228 00:12:27,480 --> 00:12:30,120 Speaker 1: a high level in the FedEx Cup playoffs with a 229 00:12:30,160 --> 00:12:33,440 Speaker 1: couple of top tens there to close out twenty twenty three, 230 00:12:33,559 --> 00:12:37,960 Speaker 1: and opened in good form at Kapalua. So I'm kind 231 00:12:37,960 --> 00:12:41,240 Speaker 1: of intrigued by him, wondering if he might be a 232 00:12:41,280 --> 00:12:46,280 Speaker 1: guy who can sort of defy the historical bias against 233 00:12:46,360 --> 00:12:48,720 Speaker 1: first timers in this event. And the other guy like 234 00:12:48,800 --> 00:12:53,599 Speaker 1: Bo you mentioned Corey Connors, And yes, his putting is 235 00:12:54,000 --> 00:12:57,280 Speaker 1: not always there and not a very good chipper good 236 00:12:57,320 --> 00:13:01,000 Speaker 1: around the greens, but he is such a great ball striker, 237 00:13:01,600 --> 00:13:04,520 Speaker 1: and like, if he can just keep hitting those greens, 238 00:13:04,559 --> 00:13:07,360 Speaker 1: I think he's got a chance. And I think the 239 00:13:07,480 --> 00:13:10,840 Speaker 1: small greens sort of favor guy who's as good with 240 00:13:11,600 --> 00:13:15,040 Speaker 1: his irons as Corey Connors is. And by the way, 241 00:13:15,080 --> 00:13:17,960 Speaker 1: in his last four appearances at the Sony he has 242 00:13:18,040 --> 00:13:22,280 Speaker 1: finished third, twelfth, eleventh, and twelfth. So this course is 243 00:13:22,320 --> 00:13:25,160 Speaker 1: clearly a good fit for him. Just a matter of 244 00:13:25,160 --> 00:13:29,000 Speaker 1: whether he can have a good week with the flatstick, right. 245 00:13:28,960 --> 00:13:32,840 Speaker 2: Yeah, and he's extremely streaky, as we've known if you've 246 00:13:32,840 --> 00:13:35,520 Speaker 2: been betting golf for any number of years, Corey Connors 247 00:13:35,559 --> 00:13:38,880 Speaker 2: will both bless you and burn you. In any given season, 248 00:13:40,040 --> 00:13:43,240 Speaker 2: You'll go through the trials and tribulations of golf betting 249 00:13:43,360 --> 00:13:46,440 Speaker 2: just by being a Corey Connors guy. I've gone through 250 00:13:46,520 --> 00:13:48,920 Speaker 2: six month stretches where I refuse to bet him for 251 00:13:49,000 --> 00:13:52,040 Speaker 2: any odds because he burned me so bad. Like we're 252 00:13:52,040 --> 00:13:54,760 Speaker 2: talking a guy who should win some of these tournaments 253 00:13:54,800 --> 00:13:58,439 Speaker 2: that line up with his eye more often than he does, 254 00:13:59,000 --> 00:14:02,560 Speaker 2: and when he does win, it's usually on a course 255 00:14:02,640 --> 00:14:06,720 Speaker 2: that's more wide open. Despite how good he is Tita Green, 256 00:14:07,200 --> 00:14:11,160 Speaker 2: he doesn't necessarily do well on places with fast tracks. 257 00:14:11,360 --> 00:14:14,080 Speaker 2: He's more of your target golf type of guy. But 258 00:14:14,800 --> 00:14:17,200 Speaker 2: I do like his course history here. Do I think 259 00:14:17,240 --> 00:14:20,320 Speaker 2: he's the caliber of golfer that's going to take that 260 00:14:20,440 --> 00:14:24,720 Speaker 2: next step and defeat that top ten streak that he's 261 00:14:24,720 --> 00:14:26,720 Speaker 2: got to turn it into a win. I don't know 262 00:14:26,760 --> 00:14:29,800 Speaker 2: that he's that good, especially for odds less than twenty 263 00:14:29,800 --> 00:14:32,200 Speaker 2: to one. I don't know if he's that type of golfer, 264 00:14:32,280 --> 00:14:35,320 Speaker 2: and so I'm more at odds with his odds than 265 00:14:35,360 --> 00:14:37,520 Speaker 2: I am with the person and the golfer himself, because 266 00:14:37,560 --> 00:14:39,760 Speaker 2: he's wonted me money before he's lost me money before. 267 00:14:40,040 --> 00:14:43,200 Speaker 2: I just don't know that his week to say, hey, 268 00:14:43,200 --> 00:14:45,400 Speaker 2: I'm Corey Connors in twenty twenty four is going to 269 00:14:45,480 --> 00:14:47,520 Speaker 2: be my year. I just don't believe in that. 270 00:14:47,720 --> 00:14:50,560 Speaker 1: Yeah, twenty five to one for the record ball, but 271 00:14:51,320 --> 00:14:54,280 Speaker 1: admittedly yes, betting on a guy only to watch him 272 00:14:54,320 --> 00:15:00,600 Speaker 1: repeatedly miss six footers can be very, very front frustrating. Friends, 273 00:15:00,800 --> 00:15:04,760 Speaker 1: download the Betting Pros app for iOS and Android. Sink 274 00:15:04,800 --> 00:15:07,200 Speaker 1: your sports books in less than a minute to automatically 275 00:15:07,240 --> 00:15:10,160 Speaker 1: track your bets across all sports books in one spot. 276 00:15:10,680 --> 00:15:14,720 Speaker 1: After sinking, you will enjoy access to detailed bet analytics 277 00:15:14,720 --> 00:15:18,360 Speaker 1: by sports and by bet type, including game picks, props, 278 00:15:18,400 --> 00:15:23,400 Speaker 1: and parlays. You'll also get insights and personalized recommendations for props, 279 00:15:23,600 --> 00:15:27,320 Speaker 1: game picks, and more tailored to your interests. To enjoy 280 00:15:27,320 --> 00:15:30,840 Speaker 1: the benefits of sportsbooks SYNC, download the Betting Pros app 281 00:15:31,080 --> 00:15:35,200 Speaker 1: by visiting Bettingpros dot com, slash apps, or search Betting 282 00:15:35,200 --> 00:15:38,160 Speaker 1: Pros in the app store. All right, bo I am 283 00:15:38,200 --> 00:15:40,760 Speaker 1: fascinated by some of the guys in the plus three 284 00:15:40,920 --> 00:15:44,560 Speaker 1: thousand and two plus four thousand range. Let's start with 285 00:15:44,680 --> 00:15:48,400 Speaker 1: Chris Kirk plus three thousand, and he's coming off that 286 00:15:48,440 --> 00:15:53,360 Speaker 1: win at Capealua, and with his history at this tournament, 287 00:15:54,360 --> 00:15:57,560 Speaker 1: four top five finishes and thirteen career starts at the 288 00:15:57,600 --> 00:16:02,400 Speaker 1: Sony Opening a third place finish last year, in a 289 00:16:02,520 --> 00:16:05,560 Speaker 1: second place finish in twenty twenty one. The funny thing 290 00:16:05,640 --> 00:16:08,240 Speaker 1: is baul I was going to be interested in betting 291 00:16:08,320 --> 00:16:11,160 Speaker 1: Kirk this week anyway. So I was sort of dismayed 292 00:16:11,160 --> 00:16:13,400 Speaker 1: when he won the sentry and I figured it would 293 00:16:13,480 --> 00:16:17,720 Speaker 1: just like cause him to be listed as one of 294 00:16:17,720 --> 00:16:18,840 Speaker 1: the favorites in this event. 295 00:16:19,040 --> 00:16:19,520 Speaker 3: Not so. 296 00:16:21,520 --> 00:16:24,800 Speaker 1: At plus three thousand, it seems to me like there's 297 00:16:24,800 --> 00:16:26,720 Speaker 1: still some value here. Would you agree with that? 298 00:16:28,360 --> 00:16:30,640 Speaker 2: Yeah, there's value, and I don't expect it to last. 299 00:16:30,680 --> 00:16:33,200 Speaker 2: So if you're watching this on a Tuesday or Wednesday early, 300 00:16:34,400 --> 00:16:36,880 Speaker 2: just know that these odds are on a ski slope. 301 00:16:36,880 --> 00:16:39,280 Speaker 2: It's not going to stay at thirty to one very long. 302 00:16:40,200 --> 00:16:42,960 Speaker 2: As the sharp. As the sharp betting public gets more 303 00:16:42,960 --> 00:16:46,000 Speaker 2: involved in this field, we're going to see we're going 304 00:16:46,040 --> 00:16:48,320 Speaker 2: to see that number come down. Twenty to twenty five 305 00:16:48,680 --> 00:16:52,120 Speaker 2: would be my target area, twenty five or shorter. I'm 306 00:16:52,160 --> 00:16:55,000 Speaker 2: not interested anymore. But if he stays, if he stays 307 00:16:55,000 --> 00:16:58,080 Speaker 2: at twenty five to thirty, then where all systems go 308 00:16:58,160 --> 00:17:00,640 Speaker 2: because Chris Kirk loves it here, he loves playing in 309 00:17:00,680 --> 00:17:03,640 Speaker 2: Hawaii in general, and he has that all around skill 310 00:17:03,680 --> 00:17:07,240 Speaker 2: set that we're looking for. We're not saying he's great 311 00:17:07,280 --> 00:17:09,960 Speaker 2: at Kapalua and not great at Wili, even though they 312 00:17:09,960 --> 00:17:15,640 Speaker 2: are very different courses. He doesn't have many weaknesses. He's 313 00:17:15,680 --> 00:17:18,560 Speaker 2: not your master of none, jack of all trades. He's 314 00:17:18,600 --> 00:17:22,320 Speaker 2: just solid all around the board, and with a guy 315 00:17:22,440 --> 00:17:25,160 Speaker 2: like that, you can trust him, especially when the odds 316 00:17:25,200 --> 00:17:27,480 Speaker 2: don't line up with how much success he's had here 317 00:17:27,760 --> 00:17:30,120 Speaker 2: and how haught he is. Right at this moment, this 318 00:17:30,200 --> 00:17:32,600 Speaker 2: is a green flag all the way until if he 319 00:17:32,640 --> 00:17:35,400 Speaker 2: goes shorter than twenty five, then I might be put 320 00:17:35,400 --> 00:17:38,480 Speaker 2: off by it. But I'm pleasantly surprised that we have 321 00:17:38,560 --> 00:17:41,560 Speaker 2: this betting window on Chris Kirk because he pops up 322 00:17:41,560 --> 00:17:43,480 Speaker 2: in the top five of my model no matter how 323 00:17:43,520 --> 00:17:44,159 Speaker 2: I scratch it. 324 00:17:44,720 --> 00:17:49,040 Speaker 1: I was really expecting plus two thousand to open, and 325 00:17:49,080 --> 00:17:50,960 Speaker 1: to get him at this price just seems like it's 326 00:17:51,280 --> 00:17:52,280 Speaker 1: really nice value. 327 00:17:52,359 --> 00:17:55,399 Speaker 2: This is why we bet golf is to find find 328 00:17:55,440 --> 00:17:58,520 Speaker 2: advantages in the lines. Make your own lines before you 329 00:17:58,560 --> 00:18:01,840 Speaker 2: look at the professional ones. The casinos are going to 330 00:18:01,880 --> 00:18:04,679 Speaker 2: react to money coming in. That's what their job is 331 00:18:04,720 --> 00:18:06,680 Speaker 2: to do, is to balance it out where they make 332 00:18:06,720 --> 00:18:09,160 Speaker 2: their juice. Either way, they're just going to go based 333 00:18:09,200 --> 00:18:11,399 Speaker 2: on movement of money. There's gonna be a lot of 334 00:18:11,400 --> 00:18:14,040 Speaker 2: money flowing in on Chris Kirk as the week progresses. 335 00:18:14,119 --> 00:18:16,000 Speaker 2: So strike while the iron's hot. 336 00:18:16,160 --> 00:18:18,000 Speaker 1: Yeah, he doesn't have the big name that some of 337 00:18:18,000 --> 00:18:21,040 Speaker 1: the other favorites. You know, he's not as well known 338 00:18:21,080 --> 00:18:25,280 Speaker 1: as Matthew Fitzpatrick or Tyro Hatton, but like this just 339 00:18:25,359 --> 00:18:27,879 Speaker 1: seems like such a nice setup for him. Also a 340 00:18:27,920 --> 00:18:32,080 Speaker 1: plus three three thousand, Saheith Thigala, who was in the 341 00:18:32,119 --> 00:18:36,639 Speaker 1: Haunts down the Stretch at the Century, JT. Post In 342 00:18:36,840 --> 00:18:41,639 Speaker 1: plus three thousand, Bijunghun on plus three thousand, Seewu Kim 343 00:18:42,000 --> 00:18:45,280 Speaker 1: the defending champion plus three thousand, and then we've got 344 00:18:45,280 --> 00:18:48,359 Speaker 1: Cam Davis at plus thirty five hundred, Justin Rose at 345 00:18:48,359 --> 00:18:52,199 Speaker 1: plus four thousand, Hideki Matsuyama at plus four thousand, and 346 00:18:52,280 --> 00:18:56,560 Speaker 1: Harris English, who's played this event pretty well historically plus 347 00:18:56,600 --> 00:19:00,840 Speaker 1: four thousand. What about the players in this regna? Is 348 00:19:00,880 --> 00:19:02,080 Speaker 1: there anyone you're partial to? 349 00:19:04,040 --> 00:19:07,480 Speaker 2: I really like JT. Poston and see what Kim from 350 00:19:07,480 --> 00:19:09,280 Speaker 2: what I can see right this moment is at thirty 351 00:19:09,320 --> 00:19:12,080 Speaker 2: five to one, which is even better as the defending 352 00:19:12,160 --> 00:19:16,200 Speaker 2: champion of this event somebody who is also one of 353 00:19:16,200 --> 00:19:19,639 Speaker 2: the most accurate t ball players and gets streaky hot 354 00:19:19,720 --> 00:19:23,520 Speaker 2: and last year he got really hot. And this is 355 00:19:23,520 --> 00:19:26,000 Speaker 2: a guy who is just one of those guys that 356 00:19:26,200 --> 00:19:31,080 Speaker 2: can put together an incredible round in the clutch because 357 00:19:31,119 --> 00:19:34,480 Speaker 2: he's not scrambling to find fairways. And that's where I 358 00:19:34,600 --> 00:19:37,840 Speaker 2: kind of am off of Sahiti Gala because last week 359 00:19:37,560 --> 00:19:40,000 Speaker 2: we kind of could tell that this is the kind 360 00:19:40,000 --> 00:19:41,159 Speaker 2: of course that it was going to be. He's a 361 00:19:41,200 --> 00:19:44,639 Speaker 2: lot like Jordan Speeth. His short game's phenomenal, but he 362 00:19:44,760 --> 00:19:47,160 Speaker 2: needs a course that has wide fairways for giving off 363 00:19:47,200 --> 00:19:50,920 Speaker 2: the tee because if he's if he's forced to find fairways, 364 00:19:50,920 --> 00:19:54,399 Speaker 2: he's not going to do well. That's why he's He's 365 00:19:54,640 --> 00:19:58,000 Speaker 2: off the board for me completely on this course. Poston's 366 00:19:58,040 --> 00:20:01,480 Speaker 2: had great success here been on short game wise, He's 367 00:20:01,560 --> 00:20:05,080 Speaker 2: a lot like Thegala, where he's a terrible putter and 368 00:20:05,119 --> 00:20:08,159 Speaker 2: he's also kind of iffy off the tee. I wouldn't 369 00:20:08,200 --> 00:20:10,880 Speaker 2: bet on him, but seaw Kim having the prior success 370 00:20:11,680 --> 00:20:15,240 Speaker 2: defending his trophy here. I had him. I had him 371 00:20:15,280 --> 00:20:19,960 Speaker 2: and the runner up last year bets, so I didn't 372 00:20:20,000 --> 00:20:22,360 Speaker 2: care who won. It was like I win either way. 373 00:20:22,600 --> 00:20:25,200 Speaker 2: I had top five bets and overall bets on both 374 00:20:25,240 --> 00:20:28,640 Speaker 2: of those guys last year at this event. But I'm 375 00:20:28,680 --> 00:20:32,080 Speaker 2: off Thigala and ben On. I'm on jt posted in 376 00:20:32,200 --> 00:20:35,000 Speaker 2: seaw Kim and of course Chris Kirk if the line 377 00:20:35,040 --> 00:20:37,280 Speaker 2: holds steady enough. Yeah. 378 00:20:37,680 --> 00:20:40,560 Speaker 1: Now let's talk about some of the players with odds 379 00:20:40,640 --> 00:20:44,280 Speaker 1: longer than plus four thousand. One guy who's kind of 380 00:20:44,280 --> 00:20:47,600 Speaker 1: interesting is Matt Kucher. I mean talk about a horse 381 00:20:47,680 --> 00:20:52,919 Speaker 1: for a course. Yes, he's getting older and maybe not 382 00:20:53,160 --> 00:20:55,840 Speaker 1: as big a threat to win as he has been 383 00:20:55,920 --> 00:20:58,600 Speaker 1: in the past, But in his last eight starts at 384 00:20:58,600 --> 00:21:02,840 Speaker 1: the Sony dating back to twenty fourteen, he has five 385 00:21:03,359 --> 00:21:07,360 Speaker 1: top eight finishes, including a win in twenty nineteen. 386 00:21:08,640 --> 00:21:10,080 Speaker 2: It's a long way to go back, though. 387 00:21:10,160 --> 00:21:13,440 Speaker 1: It is a long way to go back, admittedly, but yeah, 388 00:21:13,480 --> 00:21:16,440 Speaker 1: the course history is good here. Another guy I kind 389 00:21:16,440 --> 00:21:19,480 Speaker 1: of find myself drawn to ball for the ball striking 390 00:21:19,600 --> 00:21:24,359 Speaker 1: is Alex Norn at plus six thousand. He's only played 391 00:21:24,400 --> 00:21:28,600 Speaker 1: this event once, I believe, finishing thirty second in twenty twenty, 392 00:21:29,080 --> 00:21:32,720 Speaker 1: but just such a fantastic ball striker. I'm a little 393 00:21:32,720 --> 00:21:37,200 Speaker 1: intrigued by him at longer odds, Is there anyone you 394 00:21:37,400 --> 00:21:41,160 Speaker 1: like among the longer or long shots? 395 00:21:41,800 --> 00:21:45,600 Speaker 2: So the guy that popped up for me beside Harris 396 00:21:45,640 --> 00:21:48,560 Speaker 2: English of course to this great history here and then 397 00:21:48,720 --> 00:21:52,040 Speaker 2: of course you said Nora, and Noorn statistically lines up here. 398 00:21:52,119 --> 00:21:55,640 Speaker 2: I just don't trust him to win like he's He's 399 00:21:55,680 --> 00:21:57,639 Speaker 2: one of those stat model guys that always pops up 400 00:21:57,680 --> 00:21:59,480 Speaker 2: at courses like this, and then at the end of 401 00:21:59,520 --> 00:22:01,440 Speaker 2: the day you look the standings and he's nowhere near 402 00:22:01,480 --> 00:22:04,359 Speaker 2: where you expected him to be because of ball striking 403 00:22:04,440 --> 00:22:06,359 Speaker 2: or whatever. It's like, yeah, we can, we can be 404 00:22:06,400 --> 00:22:08,720 Speaker 2: analytical about it, look at the stats. But and we 405 00:22:08,760 --> 00:22:12,080 Speaker 2: can do all the things from the past. But as 406 00:22:12,119 --> 00:22:14,480 Speaker 2: it is now, I don't like Matt Kucher because his 407 00:22:14,560 --> 00:22:17,480 Speaker 2: recent form has been atrocious. I can't stand watching him 408 00:22:17,480 --> 00:22:21,639 Speaker 2: play right now. He's he's been awful, and that that 409 00:22:21,680 --> 00:22:26,240 Speaker 2: pays a lot more to credence to what this event 410 00:22:26,359 --> 00:22:30,560 Speaker 2: is about. Yes, prior history matters, but current form matters 411 00:22:30,600 --> 00:22:34,199 Speaker 2: more to me. I wait, that heavier Alex Norn is 412 00:22:34,240 --> 00:22:36,360 Speaker 2: not a guy I usually bet outright because I don't 413 00:22:36,400 --> 00:22:39,000 Speaker 2: think he's ever won anything, and at least not in 414 00:22:39,040 --> 00:22:42,560 Speaker 2: a really long time. And the one guy that popped 415 00:22:42,600 --> 00:22:45,520 Speaker 2: up for me that has won recently and played extremely 416 00:22:45,560 --> 00:22:49,600 Speaker 2: well last year, despite or last week, despite not being 417 00:22:49,640 --> 00:22:53,200 Speaker 2: necessarily a great fit for Kapalua, it was Akshavatiya. We're 418 00:22:53,240 --> 00:22:56,160 Speaker 2: talking about a guy who won the Fortnet last year 419 00:22:56,800 --> 00:22:59,840 Speaker 2: and or no, he won the Barracuda last year and 420 00:23:00,160 --> 00:23:02,399 Speaker 2: Lake Tahoe on a very very similar course to this, 421 00:23:02,600 --> 00:23:06,720 Speaker 2: very short, tight, fast, and this is the kind of 422 00:23:06,800 --> 00:23:11,480 Speaker 2: field where he's at an advantage as an approach player 423 00:23:11,480 --> 00:23:13,680 Speaker 2: with wedges. He was top ten in the PGA Tour 424 00:23:13,760 --> 00:23:16,960 Speaker 2: last year as a person who has a great short 425 00:23:17,000 --> 00:23:19,920 Speaker 2: game and a new putter. He went to the broomstick 426 00:23:19,960 --> 00:23:23,000 Speaker 2: putter last week and that was where he made the 427 00:23:23,000 --> 00:23:26,920 Speaker 2: biggest difference. Was his weakness last year was putting the ball, 428 00:23:27,359 --> 00:23:29,280 Speaker 2: making the birdies that he was supposed to make after 429 00:23:29,359 --> 00:23:32,320 Speaker 2: hitting great approach shots. And last week where it was 430 00:23:32,359 --> 00:23:35,680 Speaker 2: pretty much a putting contest, akshe Batia was rolling him 431 00:23:35,680 --> 00:23:38,879 Speaker 2: in all day. And I just love his fit for 432 00:23:38,920 --> 00:23:42,159 Speaker 2: this course in particular, I did not expect his performance 433 00:23:42,160 --> 00:23:45,439 Speaker 2: from last week. I'm very encouraged by his recent form, 434 00:23:45,720 --> 00:23:49,000 Speaker 2: and this guy's a phenom. He's up there in talent 435 00:23:49,359 --> 00:23:52,240 Speaker 2: with Ludvigelbert. He's just getting a lot less credit for 436 00:23:52,280 --> 00:23:54,480 Speaker 2: it because he didn't go to college and dominate the 437 00:23:54,840 --> 00:23:58,080 Speaker 2: collegiate ranks like Obert did. This guy dropped out of 438 00:23:58,119 --> 00:24:00,919 Speaker 2: high school, didn't go to college at seven team because 439 00:24:00,960 --> 00:24:02,679 Speaker 2: he wanted to be a pro golfer. That was his 440 00:24:02,760 --> 00:24:06,080 Speaker 2: lot in life, and he's turning it into a real career. 441 00:24:06,400 --> 00:24:08,680 Speaker 2: I love this kid, and he's at fifty to one. 442 00:24:09,520 --> 00:24:12,120 Speaker 2: I just can't get enough of that number right there. 443 00:24:12,200 --> 00:24:15,480 Speaker 1: Yeah, Akshay Batia terrific young player, and maybe this is 444 00:24:15,520 --> 00:24:16,560 Speaker 1: the breakthrough. 445 00:24:16,160 --> 00:24:19,760 Speaker 2: Year for him, so that it certainly looks like it. 446 00:24:19,960 --> 00:24:22,720 Speaker 1: And bo, I mean, like, take the value while you 447 00:24:22,760 --> 00:24:24,640 Speaker 1: can get it, because his odds are going to get 448 00:24:24,680 --> 00:24:28,280 Speaker 1: shorter and shorter as the results start piling up for him. 449 00:24:28,400 --> 00:24:30,560 Speaker 1: So all right, bo, as of now, what have you 450 00:24:30,560 --> 00:24:32,280 Speaker 1: got on your betting card for the Sony Open. 451 00:24:32,920 --> 00:24:34,480 Speaker 2: Well, I would like to go over a couple of 452 00:24:34,560 --> 00:24:36,960 Speaker 2: long shots because there's a couple of guys that are 453 00:24:37,000 --> 00:24:41,560 Speaker 2: really deep in these betting on means. Last year's runner up, 454 00:24:42,440 --> 00:24:46,680 Speaker 2: which is Hayden Buckley, So Hayden Buckley. The running joke 455 00:24:46,760 --> 00:24:49,480 Speaker 2: with me last year was that Hayden Buckley, if you 456 00:24:49,560 --> 00:24:53,119 Speaker 2: took away his Friday scoring average, he was the best 457 00:24:53,160 --> 00:24:55,760 Speaker 2: scoring average on the PGA Tour, better than John rom 458 00:24:55,800 --> 00:24:59,640 Speaker 2: better than Scotti Scheffler. His scoring average on Thursday, Saturday 459 00:24:59,640 --> 00:25:02,800 Speaker 2: and Sunday he was sixty seven point three. His scoring 460 00:25:02,840 --> 00:25:05,520 Speaker 2: average on Fridays was seventy three something, so it knocked 461 00:25:05,600 --> 00:25:08,600 Speaker 2: him down to I think fourteenth overall in scoring average. 462 00:25:08,800 --> 00:25:12,240 Speaker 2: But he missed some cuts because of his poor Friday performances. 463 00:25:12,440 --> 00:25:15,080 Speaker 2: But if he made the weekend, he was spectacular. He 464 00:25:15,160 --> 00:25:18,480 Speaker 2: nearly won last year, but until see who Kim kind 465 00:25:18,480 --> 00:25:21,000 Speaker 2: of climbed back and pulled one out of a hat. 466 00:25:21,280 --> 00:25:23,280 Speaker 2: Hayden Buckley is coming in at one hundred and fifty 467 00:25:23,320 --> 00:25:26,240 Speaker 2: to one this week, and we're talking about an uber 468 00:25:26,320 --> 00:25:30,560 Speaker 2: talented golfer who just happens to not be quite there 469 00:25:31,040 --> 00:25:34,000 Speaker 2: at putting four rounds together. But he put four rounds 470 00:25:34,000 --> 00:25:36,560 Speaker 2: together last year at this event. His game fits this 471 00:25:36,640 --> 00:25:39,000 Speaker 2: course like a glove. I think one hundred and fifty 472 00:25:39,040 --> 00:25:41,000 Speaker 2: one is an insult to the type of golf for 473 00:25:41,080 --> 00:25:44,080 Speaker 2: Hayden Buckley is. And then Dylan Wu one hundred and 474 00:25:44,080 --> 00:25:47,840 Speaker 2: fifty to one as well. He was absolutely amazing last year, 475 00:25:47,880 --> 00:25:50,200 Speaker 2: one of the most consistent golfers on the PGA Tour 476 00:25:50,320 --> 00:25:54,120 Speaker 2: last season. Overall, he's getting no respect this week despite 477 00:25:54,200 --> 00:25:56,679 Speaker 2: how many times he popped up in top twenties of 478 00:25:56,680 --> 00:26:00,240 Speaker 2: the leaderboards last year. Regardless, of course, this guy is 479 00:26:00,320 --> 00:26:04,000 Speaker 2: all around solid and with another year under his belt 480 00:26:04,040 --> 00:26:07,840 Speaker 2: after last season having a great rookie season, Dylan Wu 481 00:26:07,960 --> 00:26:09,919 Speaker 2: is a guy that's on my radar this year as 482 00:26:09,960 --> 00:26:13,760 Speaker 2: as a breakout winner and somebody who can definitely get 483 00:26:13,800 --> 00:26:16,879 Speaker 2: more respect coming back with a good result this week. 484 00:26:17,119 --> 00:26:19,240 Speaker 1: We need to get Rick Flair to endorse some sort 485 00:26:19,240 --> 00:26:22,320 Speaker 1: of Wu parlay with Dylan Wu and Sea Woo Kim. 486 00:26:23,119 --> 00:26:27,280 Speaker 1: So I like that, all right, So what do you got, bo, 487 00:26:27,480 --> 00:26:29,440 Speaker 1: What's on your what's on your card? As of now? 488 00:26:30,960 --> 00:26:34,679 Speaker 2: So I have outright bets on Brian Harmon and Russell Henley, 489 00:26:35,760 --> 00:26:40,920 Speaker 2: Chris Kirk, Ox shave Atiya, and then I went quarter 490 00:26:41,040 --> 00:26:45,000 Speaker 2: unit outright bets with top twenty kickers with Buckley and Wu. 491 00:26:45,920 --> 00:26:48,920 Speaker 1: Yeah, I might have to get on your Bettilla and 492 00:26:49,320 --> 00:26:52,720 Speaker 1: Buckley wagers. You're talking me into those. As of now, 493 00:26:52,800 --> 00:26:58,800 Speaker 1: I do have bets outrights on Matthew Fitzpatrick, Corey Connors, 494 00:27:00,080 --> 00:27:05,160 Speaker 1: Chris Kirk, Coocher No sorry not Coocher and Alex Norrin 495 00:27:05,160 --> 00:27:07,400 Speaker 1: because I figure, like I'm not going to bother betting 496 00:27:07,440 --> 00:27:09,720 Speaker 1: a top five or top ten with Norn, Like I'm 497 00:27:09,840 --> 00:27:12,119 Speaker 1: counting on him to just feed lights out with the 498 00:27:12,119 --> 00:27:14,679 Speaker 1: ball striking and that's it. In a small bet on 499 00:27:14,760 --> 00:27:17,199 Speaker 1: Ryan Palmer to win at one hundred and one, like 500 00:27:17,240 --> 00:27:19,680 Speaker 1: he's got a pretty good history on this course, five 501 00:27:19,760 --> 00:27:22,879 Speaker 1: top twenties over the last ten years. And then I 502 00:27:23,040 --> 00:27:26,119 Speaker 1: have let's see a top five on Corey Connors at 503 00:27:26,160 --> 00:27:31,480 Speaker 1: plus six hundred, a top five on Christian Kirk Chris Kirk, 504 00:27:31,520 --> 00:27:35,240 Speaker 1: sorry at getting my football my golf mixed up plus 505 00:27:35,280 --> 00:27:38,600 Speaker 1: six fifty for Chris Kirk to finish top five and 506 00:27:38,720 --> 00:27:42,080 Speaker 1: Cooch a top ten bet at plus four fifty. I 507 00:27:42,119 --> 00:27:44,600 Speaker 1: know the forum has been terrible, so that's like I 508 00:27:44,640 --> 00:27:47,359 Speaker 1: wanted to cast a wider net with him on a 509 00:27:47,400 --> 00:27:47,960 Speaker 1: top ten. 510 00:27:47,960 --> 00:27:50,359 Speaker 2: Roof for him because he's a good guy. But it's 511 00:27:50,640 --> 00:27:53,600 Speaker 2: like I think he's he's entering the twilight where I mean, 512 00:27:53,600 --> 00:27:56,119 Speaker 2: he's old enough now where the Champions Tour is on 513 00:27:56,160 --> 00:27:59,679 Speaker 2: the horizon, very soon and he's forty eight now, so 514 00:27:59,720 --> 00:28:02,240 Speaker 2: he's he's very, very live to be one of the 515 00:28:02,240 --> 00:28:05,160 Speaker 2: best Champions Tour guys for a while in a couple 516 00:28:05,200 --> 00:28:08,480 Speaker 2: of years. So as far as competing with these guys, 517 00:28:08,520 --> 00:28:10,560 Speaker 2: I think those days are mostly behind him. 518 00:28:10,640 --> 00:28:12,600 Speaker 1: He's a good guy unless here's caddie looking for a 519 00:28:12,600 --> 00:28:18,520 Speaker 1: big tip after a win. So otherwise he's great. For 520 00:28:18,600 --> 00:28:21,160 Speaker 1: those of you who are into props, I'll just run 521 00:28:21,200 --> 00:28:23,639 Speaker 1: two of them by you. I have not bet these yet, 522 00:28:23,680 --> 00:28:27,560 Speaker 1: but I found these intriguing. A top ten parlay with 523 00:28:27,800 --> 00:28:31,359 Speaker 1: Saheith Thigala and Corey Connors at plus twenty two hundred. 524 00:28:31,640 --> 00:28:35,240 Speaker 1: I know your reservations about Figalabo, but with top ten, 525 00:28:35,480 --> 00:28:38,920 Speaker 1: I'm hoping he can defy maybe some of the course 526 00:28:39,120 --> 00:28:42,240 Speaker 1: limitations on him. And B because I can't quit irishman 527 00:28:42,320 --> 00:28:45,040 Speaker 1: Seamus Power, I'm thinking about betting him at plus twenty 528 00:28:45,080 --> 00:28:49,480 Speaker 1: eight hundred to finish as the top European in this event. 529 00:28:49,800 --> 00:28:50,840 Speaker 2: Wow, that's steep. 530 00:28:51,160 --> 00:28:52,720 Speaker 1: It narrows the field a little bet. 531 00:28:53,360 --> 00:28:55,560 Speaker 2: I can't put a stamp of approval on that one. 532 00:28:55,640 --> 00:28:56,920 Speaker 2: He looked awful last week. 533 00:28:57,240 --> 00:29:00,960 Speaker 1: He did look awful. And speaking of awful, for our 534 00:29:01,000 --> 00:29:04,400 Speaker 1: one and done competition. You had Patrick cant Leigh last 535 00:29:04,400 --> 00:29:07,960 Speaker 1: week finished tied for twelve, good for four hundred and 536 00:29:08,000 --> 00:29:12,840 Speaker 1: fifty thousand dollars in a field with a rather large purse. 537 00:29:13,480 --> 00:29:17,440 Speaker 1: And I had Wolf Ricky Fowler, who managed to finish 538 00:29:17,640 --> 00:29:20,920 Speaker 1: fifty six in a fifty nine man field, good for 539 00:29:20,960 --> 00:29:24,160 Speaker 1: fifty two thousand dollars, barely enough to pay his caddy 540 00:29:24,240 --> 00:29:26,840 Speaker 1: and pay for meals in Hawaii. 541 00:29:26,880 --> 00:29:28,720 Speaker 2: So I'm going to get a big head about this 542 00:29:28,840 --> 00:29:31,480 Speaker 2: gigantic lead I have over you after one event. We 543 00:29:31,520 --> 00:29:32,480 Speaker 2: have a long way to go. 544 00:29:32,880 --> 00:29:33,440 Speaker 1: Yes, you do. 545 00:29:33,680 --> 00:29:36,120 Speaker 2: You can flip the script just as soon as this week. 546 00:29:36,960 --> 00:29:40,280 Speaker 2: But I am encouraged that I've got an up substantial, 547 00:29:40,320 --> 00:29:43,320 Speaker 2: substantial lead on my hands and I didn't burned through 548 00:29:43,360 --> 00:29:44,400 Speaker 2: anybody elite yet. 549 00:29:44,440 --> 00:29:47,640 Speaker 1: So who are you going for this week? Paul? 550 00:29:48,520 --> 00:29:51,560 Speaker 2: So this week I am going to go with Russell Henley. 551 00:29:51,720 --> 00:29:52,720 Speaker 2: That's my one and done. 552 00:29:52,920 --> 00:29:57,520 Speaker 1: Okay, Yeah, that was That was one of my two choices. Boy, 553 00:29:57,560 --> 00:30:02,040 Speaker 1: I'm going with Corey Connors. Like I think Henley was 554 00:30:02,040 --> 00:30:04,920 Speaker 1: was my optimal, but uh, you know, Connors was a 555 00:30:05,080 --> 00:30:07,640 Speaker 1: close second. So I'm gonna go with Connors. You know 556 00:30:07,720 --> 00:30:08,480 Speaker 1: you have reservation. 557 00:30:08,920 --> 00:30:11,520 Speaker 2: The show is gonna use Henley. I was gonna use 558 00:30:11,560 --> 00:30:13,640 Speaker 2: Henley either this week or at Pebble Beach because of 559 00:30:13,680 --> 00:30:17,320 Speaker 2: the course fits. But I decided it's like Henley is 560 00:30:17,400 --> 00:30:20,640 Speaker 2: due and he played pretty well, so I think that 561 00:30:20,720 --> 00:30:23,400 Speaker 2: this is the time and I'm gonna kick myself off. 562 00:30:23,440 --> 00:30:25,840 Speaker 2: Henley plays poorly this week and wins Pedal Beach, but. 563 00:30:26,760 --> 00:30:29,640 Speaker 1: Yes, Pebble and there are a couple he plays some 564 00:30:29,680 --> 00:30:31,640 Speaker 1: of the Florida courses too, I think has and he'd 565 00:30:31,680 --> 00:30:34,320 Speaker 1: been pretty good at the Honda, and uh. 566 00:30:34,080 --> 00:30:36,560 Speaker 2: He's good at the Windom too in North Carolina, So 567 00:30:36,600 --> 00:30:37,800 Speaker 2: that one, that one scares me. 568 00:30:37,880 --> 00:30:39,760 Speaker 1: Yeah, he's got He's got a couple of tracks that 569 00:30:39,840 --> 00:30:42,600 Speaker 1: he seems to like quite a bit. So and that 570 00:30:42,680 --> 00:30:44,920 Speaker 1: Folks is going to do it. For our betting preview 571 00:30:44,960 --> 00:30:48,320 Speaker 1: of the Sony Open. We will be back next week 572 00:30:48,560 --> 00:30:51,600 Speaker 1: when the PGA Tour returns to the mainland and Bow's 573 00:30:51,880 --> 00:30:55,680 Speaker 1: home state of California. And uh, until then, good luck 574 00:30:55,680 --> 00:30:58,040 Speaker 1: with your bets. We will talk to you again next week. 575 00:30:58,480 --> 00:31:01,080 Speaker 3: Thanks for listening to the Betting Pros podcast. If you 576 00:31:01,160 --> 00:31:03,520 Speaker 3: love the show, the best freeway to support us is 577 00:31:03,520 --> 00:31:06,920 Speaker 3: by leaving a positive review on Apple Podcasts or Spotify. 578 00:31:07,200 --> 00:31:09,840 Speaker 3: Follow us on x and TikTok at Betting Pros and 579 00:31:09,960 --> 00:31:13,600 Speaker 3: Instagram at Betting Pros NFL. 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