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Speaker 1: The Action Network podcast, named vest Vetting Podcast or radio

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Speaker 1: show by the Fantasy Sports and Gaming Association and the

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Speaker 1: number one show for the invested sports fan.

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Speaker 2: All Right, here we go.

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Speaker 3: We're growing in job spectacular.

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Speaker 4: They're saying it to cash.

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Speaker 5: We'll see most gamblers when they go to gamble, they

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Speaker 5: go to wind.

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Speaker 2: That's incredible.

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Speaker 6: Big bank, small banks.

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Speaker 7: I like to make money.

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Speaker 2: All right, this is the ultimate combine you want to pull,

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Speaker 2: and we are underway. Hello, everyone, Welcome back to another

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Speaker 2: NFL Fantasy Flex episode of the award winning Action Network podcast,

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Speaker 2: presented by Bett MGM, the official arts provider of the show.

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Speaker 2: I'm Matthew Freeman, the editor in chief of Fantasy Labs.

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Speaker 2: Here with me are Shawn Corner and Chris Raymond. Shawn

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Speaker 2: is the Action Network Director of Predictive Analytics. Chris is

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Speaker 2: a senior editor and analyst at the act Network, and

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Speaker 2: they are two of the best fantasy football rankers in

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Speaker 2: the world. In this episode, we are highlighting the players

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Speaker 2: at the top of our week six rankings, Life and

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Speaker 2: our Fantasy tool at the Action Network. We are discussing

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Speaker 2: the guys we're high and lo on and looking at

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Speaker 2: how they do in our Fantasy Labs models and we're

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Speaker 2: speculating on some player props and joining us in his

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Speaker 2: return to the show is Pat Fitzmorris, a contributor at

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Speaker 2: the Footballgirl dot com. He's one of the top rankers

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Speaker 2: at Fantasy Pros and he's the host of the fits

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Speaker 2: on Fantasy podcast fits. How's it going doing great?

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Speaker 8: Matt, Always good to join you and Sean and Chris.

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Speaker 8: Looking forward to discussing week six.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, it's great to have you on the show.

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Speaker 6: Man.

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Speaker 2: What a random week, but you know, I think it

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Speaker 2: can make for good content, good competitive games, So excited

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Speaker 2: to have you on the show to talk about it.

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Speaker 2: I want to remind everyone to participate in the best

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Speaker 2: DFS contest ever, the Action Network Podcast Tournament of Champions

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Speaker 2: give a quick shout out to John dubukan Anny, who

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Speaker 2: has dominated this competition so far. In the first five weeks,

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Speaker 2: he has not one, but two top five finishes. He

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Speaker 2: is with the Fantasy Football Elite on Twitter at Fantasy

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Speaker 2: fb Elite John dubukkan Anny. What a legendary performer. In

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Speaker 2: our Action Network podcast, Tournament of Champions presented by bet MGM, again,

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Speaker 2: listeners can join for free every week. Click on the

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Speaker 2: link in the episode description to join. Pat, let's talk

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Speaker 2: about the guys at the top of our quarterback rankings.

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Speaker 2: Probably no surprise here, nothing to controversial. Patrick Mahomes, Josh Allen,

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Speaker 2: Kyler Murray. Now you could, you know, maybe make an

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Speaker 2: argument for some other guys right after them, but right now,

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Speaker 2: give us your top three, keeping in mind that we're

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Speaker 2: recording this on Tuesday and a lock and change.

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Speaker 8: Yeah, right now, I've got Mahomes one, Kyler two, Lamar

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Speaker 8: Jackson three, and Josh Allen four.

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Speaker 6: So a little off base there, I guess with the.

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Speaker 8: Allen ranking, But you know it's not some take lock

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Speaker 8: where I'm saying that Josh Allen sucks or anything. I

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Speaker 8: think he's for real, and you know, he is so

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Speaker 8: far averaging about thirty fantasy points the game versus twenty

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Speaker 8: for Lamar. I do think there's a little bit of

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Speaker 8: gravitational pull that might come into play on Allen's fantasy scoring.

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Speaker 8: And you know, Lamar, I think we're going to see

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Speaker 8: scoring a little bit higher most weeks.

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Speaker 6: So I don't know.

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Speaker 8: I guess it's kind of a matchup base thing, Like

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Speaker 8: the Chiefs are fifth and opponent passer rating. I know

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Speaker 8: that's not a great stat like a bulletproof stat, but

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Speaker 8: it is a pretty good back of the envelope gauge

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Speaker 8: of a pass defense. So you know, not the easiest

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Speaker 8: matchup for Allen, kind of splitting hairs with those two.

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Speaker 8: But I do have Jackson just a tad higher.

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Speaker 2: So that's your top three. Who is a guy that,

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Speaker 2: again early in the week you think that you are

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Speaker 2: probably going to be higher on than the consensus.

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Speaker 6: It's Magic, baby, you know.

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Speaker 8: He is I believe, eighth right now in fantasy points

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Speaker 8: per game, and he's doing it with some of these

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Speaker 8: games factored in where he hasn't even had to throw

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Speaker 8: that much.

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Speaker 6: And that's what kind of an odd year. Twenty twenty

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Speaker 6: has been.

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Speaker 8: I guess that we've got games where the Dolphins are

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Speaker 8: blowing people out and not having to throw a lot.

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Speaker 8: But it has kind of happened twice with the Jaguars

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Speaker 8: and the forty nine ers this past week. You know,

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Speaker 8: he's got three three hundred yard game, three multiple TD games.

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Speaker 8: He's averaging I think, better than twenty yards rushing per game.

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Speaker 8: You know, And I'm not that daunted by a matchup

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Speaker 8: against the Jets. You know, I know they've got kind

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Speaker 8: of a past funnel defense, Like one of the few

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Speaker 8: things they actually do somewhat decently is stop the run.

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Speaker 8: So I don't know, I'm kind of optimistic that the

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Speaker 8: fitsmagic continues for another week.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, I mean we're there with you at Leastean, and

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Speaker 2: I mean, who knows what's going on with Raybon, But no,

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Speaker 2: I mean Sean and I we have him in the

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Speaker 2: top twelve. And it's not just not daunted by a

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Speaker 2: matchup with the Jets, actively enjoying the matchup with the Jets.

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Speaker 2: I think it's a good spot for him. Sean, who

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Speaker 2: is a quarterback you are relatively high on.

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Speaker 4: So I'm really high on Matthew Stafford this week. He

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Speaker 4: comes in at my QB nine right now. You know

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Speaker 4: they're coming off of buy so I think in DFS

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Speaker 4: he might be overlooked a bit in that regards. You know,

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Speaker 4: he's not coming off a big game or anything. But

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Speaker 4: the Lions are the second highest team total this week.

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Speaker 4: I actually took the over fifty two and a half

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Speaker 4: when it came out. I think it should be closer

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Speaker 4: to fifty five fifty six, and I think the numbers

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Speaker 4: now up to fifty four at the MGM. So yeah,

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Speaker 4: the Lions have the second highest team total. There should

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Speaker 4: be plenty of touchdowns to go around. The Jaggars defense

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Speaker 4: is you know, already in rough shape as is, but

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Speaker 4: they're now they're banged up. Miles Jack, Josh Allen, and CJ.

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Speaker 4: Henderson are questionable this week after missing Week five, so

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Speaker 4: you know this could be just a blow up spot

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Speaker 4: for Stafford. I could see myself having a ton of Stafford,

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Speaker 4: Galladay and Hawkinson stack. So I'm all in on Stafford

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Speaker 4: this week. And another guy I want to touch on

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Speaker 4: as Kirk Cousins. He's also in my top ten. Now

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Speaker 4: that it sounds like Dalvin Cook's going to be out.

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Speaker 4: I think you know there's going to be even more

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Speaker 4: on his plate against this you know, brutal Falcons defense.

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Speaker 4: So you know the Falcons have given up at least

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Speaker 4: ninety yards to seven different receivers in five games. So

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Speaker 4: I think, you know, Adam Feelin and Justin Jeffers and

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Speaker 4: should have massive games. But it's also encouraging to see

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Speaker 4: IRV Smith step up as potentially a reliable number three

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Speaker 4: weapon for Cousins. So I think just this week he's

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Speaker 4: my top streaming QB. I'll have plenty of him in

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Speaker 4: dfs once prices come out. But yeah, Kirk Cousins is

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Speaker 4: the top ten QB for me as well.

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Speaker 2: All right, Chris, you are right there with Sean when

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Speaker 2: it comes to rankings. With Stafford and Cousins, who are

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Speaker 2: you relatively high on this week?

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Speaker 5: I agree with Sean on that Jaguars in Wyan's game.

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Speaker 5: I think that should be a good game for fantasy production.

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Speaker 5: We know that quarterback stats are strongly correlator. Should look

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Speaker 5: at the Fantasy Labs correlations tool. Opposing quarterbacks have a

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Speaker 5: very high correlation with each other. So Minshew and Stafford

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Speaker 5: are the two guys for me. Both within my top

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Speaker 5: ten this week.

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Speaker 2: All right, So I'm with you guys on Stafford there,

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Speaker 2: I actually have him number six, and Raybond, I'm with

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Speaker 2: you there on Minshew, you have him number six, I

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Speaker 2: have him number five. I was surprised when I did

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Speaker 2: my first you know, projection run through to have him

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Speaker 2: that high, but yeah, I mean the total on that

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Speaker 2: game is high. It's a good matchup for him. And

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Speaker 2: then we just kind of have to remember we're now

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Speaker 2: in the bye weeks and you know, no Dak Prescott

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Speaker 2: on the slate. You know, the quarterback position is starting

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Speaker 2: to get thinned out a little bit. So guys that

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Speaker 2: we normally want and think of as top ten plays,

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Speaker 2: all of a sudden, they're showing up in the top

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Speaker 2: ten fits. Who is someone you are relatively low on.

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Speaker 8: It's gonna seem sort of reactionary to have Matt Ryan

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Speaker 8: down at quarterback sixteen, especially in a week with four

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Speaker 8: teams on by after he's had three games where I

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Speaker 8: think he's had a combined one touchdown pass. But as

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Speaker 8: of now, it looks like there's a very strong chance

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Speaker 8: that he's going to be without Julio Jones again. You know,

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Speaker 8: the Vikings defense is not the cupcake matchup anymore. Perhaps

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Speaker 8: that it seemed in the first couple of weeks of

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Speaker 8: the season that past defense looked a little better, except

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Speaker 8: for maybe on that last drive against Seattle on Sunday night.

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Speaker 8: You know, the cornerbacks kind of didn't know anyone. It

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Speaker 8: was an entirely new cornerback room for the Vikings going

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Speaker 8: into the season. I think Zimmer sort of is getting

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Speaker 8: the defense tightened up. And yeah, it's just you know,

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Speaker 8: with a guy who's been as consistent as Matt Ryan,

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Speaker 8: I just sort of after that ranking came up, I

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Speaker 8: looked and kind of back tested it, looking against the

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Speaker 8: other quarterbacks ranked directly above him. Just binary decisions when

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Speaker 8: I want to start Ryan or this other guy. And

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Speaker 8: it really was the other guy in all these cases.

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Speaker 8: So I just can't get excited about him this week.

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Speaker 2: Not all that far off from me. I have him

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Speaker 2: at number fourteen, and yeah, I mean, you look at

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Speaker 2: some of the guys right ahead of him, and you know,

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Speaker 2: I feel decent about having them there. Sean, who are

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Speaker 2: you relatively long?

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Speaker 4: So first off, I want to say I'm with fits

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Speaker 4: on Fits. I have Fitsmagic ranked QB eleven right now,

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Speaker 4: but I just I should have said this last week.

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Speaker 4: When it comes to Daniel Jones as well, you know,

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Speaker 4: we can't really trust them or they have a wider

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Speaker 4: range of outcomes in other quarterbacks, So you know, I'd

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Speaker 4: be careful when it comes to Fitzpatrick. You know, I'm

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Speaker 4: projecting him to have a good game, but still he

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Speaker 4: always has a lower floor than most people realize. And

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Speaker 4: this week, I mean, the Dolphins are nearly ten point

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Speaker 4: favorites against the Jets, so that could hurt his ceiling

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Speaker 4: as well. So you know, I would just be a

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Speaker 4: little bit careful with him, and I would I would

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Speaker 4: prefer trusting guy like Stafford or Cousins in season long.

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Speaker 4: So I just want to put that out there. Even

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Speaker 4: though I have Fitzpatrick rank really high, I do think

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Speaker 4: that you want to lean towards these safer guys if

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Speaker 4: you can. And the other guy I want to touch

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Speaker 4: on is Carson Wentz. Again, I have him ranked outside

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Speaker 4: of the top twenty this week at QB twenty two.

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Speaker 4: He has another brutal matchup against the Ravens. Luckily, you know,

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Speaker 4: he was able to put up a useful score against

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Speaker 4: the Steelers thanks to Travis Fulgan but I'm down on

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Speaker 4: him this week. But I do think there's a light

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Speaker 4: at the end of the tunnel. He could be getting

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Speaker 4: Elshon Jeffrey, even DeShawn Jackson DeShawn Jackson back this week

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Speaker 4: or next, so you know, once he gets those guys

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Speaker 4: back Jalen Rager, Dallas Godder, at some point the schedule

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Speaker 4: is gonna clear up here for him. I think he's

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Speaker 4: a good BILO candidate or just a guy to keep

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Speaker 4: tabs on in your waiver wire, but I'm passing on

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Speaker 4: him this week. But I think in the second half

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Speaker 4: of the season, Carson Wentz will be a guy that

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Speaker 4: you know he could return to the QB one discussion.

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Speaker 2: Ray Bond, who are you relatively low on?

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Speaker 9: A guy that I think we all like last week

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Speaker 9: with Teddy Bridgewater.

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Speaker 5: He's been pretty good this season overall, very efficient, but

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Speaker 5: I don't like the matchup this week going against the

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Speaker 5: Chicago Bears. You look at the Bears and they haven't

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Speaker 5: allowed multiple touchdown passes to a quarterback yet in five games.

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Speaker 5: They haven't allowed multiple touchdowns because they haven't allowed a

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Speaker 5: rushing score to a quarterback either, and they've only allowed

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Speaker 5: over two hundred and fifty three passing yards once to

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Speaker 5: a quarterback. So I think it's going to be a

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Speaker 5: situation where, probably a lower scoring game, Bridgewater is going

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Speaker 5: to need a lot of attempts to get to get

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Speaker 5: up and down the field, So it doesn't probably doesn't

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Speaker 5: hurt the receivers as much I think in PPR. But

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Speaker 5: as far as Bridgewater's overall numbers, he's not a guy

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Speaker 5: that I would recommend streaming this week.

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Speaker 2: All right, one guy that I am relatively low on,

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Speaker 2: and I should say this is something of a precautionary

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Speaker 2: ranking or projection where I have him right now. I'm

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Speaker 2: low on Lamar Jackson. I have him at number sixteen,

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Speaker 2: and it has solely to do with the rushing production

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Speaker 2: because he had just two carries last week, and I

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Speaker 2: think that there actually might be something up with his knee,

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Speaker 2: and so I just I'm going to pay attention to

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Speaker 2: what we see in the practice reports. Does he actually

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Speaker 2: practice on Wednesday and or Thursday. I'm imagining that I'm

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Speaker 2: going to end up bumping up his rushing projection. But

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Speaker 2: if he doesn't have the rushing who is he like?

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Speaker 2: That's that's pretty much all the Lamar Jackson is is

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Speaker 2: the rushing, like he's he's been efficient as a passer

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Speaker 2: in terms of turning his attempts into touchdowns, but that's

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Speaker 2: something that is also kind of fluky. So if he

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Speaker 2: doesn't have the rushing, then he really is a guy

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Speaker 2: who probably should not be in the top ten. And

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Speaker 2: so right now, I'm just taking a sort of precautionary approach,

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Speaker 2: knowing that later in the week I'm probably going to

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Speaker 2: go back in and bump him up. But based on

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Speaker 2: what we saw last week with just three yards rushing

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Speaker 2: on two carries, granted in a game where they didn't

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Speaker 2: really need him to run, but given what we saw

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Speaker 2: out of him last week, I want to be extremely

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Speaker 2: cautious about him this week. I'm imagining that ranking Lamar

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Speaker 2: Jackson at number sixteen is something that you guys would

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Speaker 2: have some comments about Raybo.

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Speaker 5: The decay rate on your basion priors. It's just ridiculous

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Speaker 5: right now, Like why are you just using like the

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Speaker 5: last game and throwing out like like it's like last

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Speaker 5: game eighty percent everything else like twenty There.

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Speaker 2: Is something legitimate with the knee issue with Lamar Jackson

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Speaker 2: to where if like we actually just might see him

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Speaker 2: running only two to five times per game, and if

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Speaker 2: that happens, like he seriously drops down the rankings.

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Speaker 5: According to our Sports Insights VET signals, the Sharks are

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Speaker 5: on the over in that game, So that's a good

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Speaker 5: sign at least.

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Speaker 9: But yeah, I saw that too, and it is worrisome.

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Speaker 5: I think it may have been a one week thing

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Speaker 5: with he did mispractice two days, so you know, maybe,

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Speaker 5: and I think there was an illness involved as well,

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Speaker 5: So maybe it was just one of those situations where

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Speaker 5: you know, kind of want to go into Cincinnati, get

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Speaker 5: that well state, you know, get play that game, get

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Speaker 5: that win, get out of their healthy and in a

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Speaker 5: situation like that. But yeah, if he doesn't have his

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Speaker 5: rush upside, Yeah he's not as we saw against Kansas City,

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Speaker 5: he's not that much of a difference maker as some

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Speaker 5: of these other guys.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, I feel the need to contextualize Sean go ahead.

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Speaker 4: No, it's it's a fair concern. Like last week I

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Speaker 4: was joking, he was, you know, turning into two thousand

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Speaker 4: and eighteen Lamar Jackson. You know, he's doing for under

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Speaker 4: two hundred yards every game and now he's not even rushing,

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Speaker 4: so what, you know, what value does he provide. So

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Speaker 4: I get the early week sixteen q you know QB

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Speaker 4: sixteen ranking.

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Speaker 6: But we'll have to monitor this for sure.

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Speaker 4: If we're only expecting a handful of carries for him, Yeah,

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Speaker 4: he's absolutely outside the top twelve for me. But yeah,

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Speaker 4: it's early.

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Speaker 2: In the week, okay, Sean. Every week we have our

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Speaker 2: little ritual, you give us the player prop. Props aren't live,

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Speaker 2: but when they are live, you can bet on them

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Speaker 2: at bet MGM and you can use our Fantasy Labs

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Speaker 2: player prop tool where the props with the bet quality

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Speaker 2: of ten have a sixty percent win rate over the

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Speaker 2: past two seasons. Sean, give us the player prop for

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Speaker 2: the quarterback posision.

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Speaker 4: So I think this is the most critical QB projection

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Speaker 4: of the week, and it's Andy Dalton's passing up cards

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Speaker 4: because this dictates the rest of the offense. So I'm

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Speaker 4: curious to hear where you guys are on this one.

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Speaker 4: So they're at home against the Cardinals Monday night. I

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Speaker 4: have Andy Dalton's passing yards at two hundred and seventy

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Speaker 4: eight and a half.

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Speaker 9: Are you guys over under?

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Speaker 6: I'm a little bit under, just.

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Speaker 2: A little optimist that I am. I'm known for my

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Speaker 2: optimism world over. I'm going to take the over here,

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Speaker 2: but it's very close. I haven't projected for two eighty four,

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Speaker 2: and a lot of it is just based on the

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Speaker 2: fact that I still expect the Cowboys, even though they

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Speaker 2: will be less efficient, to try to do something similar

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Speaker 2: on offense. I think they will still want to play fast,

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Speaker 2: and even if they lean a little bit more towards

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Speaker 2: the running game, I still think they will throw at

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Speaker 2: an above average rate. So that's where this is coming from.

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Speaker 9: I'm going under number one.

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Speaker 5: The Cardinals haven't even given up that many passing arts

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Speaker 5: to any quarterback yet this season. And number two, what

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Speaker 5: is the kryptonite of Andy Dalton. It's an offensive line.

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Speaker 5: It's it's a bad offensive line. The Cowboys are missing

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Speaker 5: their center and Joe Woni the tyron Smith is out

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Speaker 5: for the year, Collins is out for the year. Irving's

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Speaker 5: on the ir I mean, this offensive line is decimated.

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Speaker 5: I expect them to try to feed Zeke and protect Dalton,

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Speaker 5: and even if he does have to throw, I think

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Speaker 5: he's going to struggle because he always has behind the

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Speaker 5: bad offensive line. Twenty six in rating under pressure a

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Speaker 5: season ago, now about two sixty six.

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Speaker 2: My heart is broken right now. Okay, let's talk about

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Speaker 2: running backs.

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Speaker 2: And Now back to the show, Ezekiel Elliott is at

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Speaker 2: the top of our rankings, followed by Clyde Edwards. Layer

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Speaker 2: in Mike Davis fits, who do you have in your

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Speaker 2: top three?

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Speaker 6: Ooh, I guess I'm a little contrarian.

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Speaker 8: I've got Zeke and then Derrick Henry locking in that workload,

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Speaker 8: and then I struggled with number three, but I've got

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Speaker 8: Aaron Jones. I know a lot of people are going

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Speaker 8: to see that matchup against the Buccaneers as just murderous.

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Speaker 8: The Bucks are averaging less than three yards given up

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Speaker 8: per carry. They've been tough against the run, you know,

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Speaker 8: for the better part of two years now, but you know,

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Speaker 8: they just keep giving it to Jones consistently. His carries

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Speaker 8: in the season so far sixteen, eighteen, sixteen and fifteen,

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Speaker 8: he's punched in six touchdowns. If you throw at McCaffrey,

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Speaker 8: he is number two among running backs and fantasy points

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Speaker 8: per game. And I don't think that Bucks Rundy is

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Speaker 8: going to be quite as tough with Vida Vea out

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Speaker 8: for this season, so you know, and also the use

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Speaker 8: is in the passing game. Jones has fifteen catches at

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Speaker 8: least four catches in three of his four games, so

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Speaker 8: I mean the guy's just good man, and I'm not

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Speaker 8: going to back down on that matchup.

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Speaker 2: All right, And Sean is with you. I believe on

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Speaker 2: Derrick Henry. I think he has Derrick Henry number two

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Speaker 2: in his rankings. Fits. Who else is someone that you

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Speaker 2: are relatively high on?

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Speaker 8: Captain obvious here with Alexander Madison, with Dalvin Cook likely

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Speaker 8: going to miss the game with his groin injury or

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Speaker 8: abductor stray in whatever it is, Minnesota's fourth and rushing attempts,

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Speaker 8: you know, they project for favorable game script. Again, the

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Speaker 8: winless Falcons, I guess the worries here are just that

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Speaker 8: Madison is not really a pass catcher. He's got eighteen

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Speaker 8: catches in eighteen career games, you know, and the Falcons

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Speaker 8: are a little bit easier to throw.

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Speaker 6: Well, they're a lot easier to throw on than they

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Speaker 6: are to run on.

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Speaker 8: But Madison and the Vikings run game we're operating in

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Speaker 8: Seattle was pretty encouraging. You know, Madison looked good throughout

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Speaker 8: that game and at home with the favorable game scripts

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Speaker 8: and you know, a game where there's a pretty good

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Speaker 8: chance he gets at least eighteen carries or so, he

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Speaker 8: looks like a pretty good bat a top ten running

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Speaker 8: back play this week, I think for sure.

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Speaker 2: Okay, Sean, I want to kick it to you, who

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Speaker 2: is someone that you are relatively high on.

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Speaker 4: I'm sticking with Ronald Jones this week. He's my RB eleven.

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Speaker 4: He's coming out back to back Hunter games, so this

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Speaker 4: isn't a surprise. But you know, I think they continue

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Speaker 4: to lean on him this week with Keishawn Vaughn, Leonard Fournette,

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Speaker 4: and Lashaw McCoy all banged up, not to mention, you know,

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Speaker 4: most of the pass catchers on the Buccaneers are up

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Speaker 4: or out, so I think they lean on him again

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Speaker 4: this week against Green Bay. Love him, love his touch

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Speaker 4: on upside as well. And Raheem Mosert, I'm I'm gonna

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Speaker 4: be pretty high on him this week. Right now he's

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Speaker 4: my RB nineteen, but that that could be going up,

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Speaker 4: you know, the closer I look at it, he looked

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Speaker 4: closer to one hundred percent than I was expecting this week,

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Speaker 4: and he relegated Jack McKinnon basically to a change of

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Speaker 4: pace roll And one of the knocks I had a

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Speaker 4: Mozart heading into the season was his lack of you know,

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Speaker 4: receiving upside but he led the team with rats run

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Speaker 4: per dropback with thirty five percent, and I think that

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Speaker 4: could actually go up this week, so he could become

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Speaker 4: more of a workhorse back in this offense than I

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Speaker 4: even thought, you know, going into the season, especially with

436
00:21:41,240 --> 00:21:43,320
Speaker 4: the woes at quarterback right now, I think they're going

437
00:21:43,400 --> 00:21:45,240
Speaker 4: to lean on the run game heavily against the Rams

438
00:21:45,320 --> 00:21:48,159
Speaker 4: this week. So I think Mozart, you know, he had

439
00:21:48,200 --> 00:21:49,880
Speaker 4: a good game last week, but I think that people

440
00:21:50,000 --> 00:21:52,560
Speaker 4: might be overlooking you know, he's you know, potentially a

441
00:21:52,680 --> 00:21:55,480
Speaker 4: high upside RB two right now, So I'm going to

442
00:21:55,520 --> 00:21:58,480
Speaker 4: be high on him again early week ranking of RB nineteen,

443
00:21:58,520 --> 00:22:01,600
Speaker 4: but I could see that pushing closer to RB twelve

444
00:22:01,680 --> 00:22:02,920
Speaker 4: fourteen range by the end of the week.

445
00:22:03,359 --> 00:22:06,720
Speaker 2: Yeah, and maybe I'm being aggressive on this, but a

446
00:22:06,800 --> 00:22:09,600
Speaker 2: lot of the things that you pointed out I've incorporated

447
00:22:09,800 --> 00:22:12,560
Speaker 2: into my projections here. So I have him at number eleven,

448
00:22:13,000 --> 00:22:17,000
Speaker 2: which which feels like, feels aggressive. Maybe I need to

449
00:22:17,040 --> 00:22:19,800
Speaker 2: adjust down a little bit, but I mean I do

450
00:22:19,960 --> 00:22:23,800
Speaker 2: think that he's he's pretty much the guy in that backfield,

451
00:22:23,920 --> 00:22:28,919
Speaker 2: especially considering that McKinnon got almost no action last week. Raybon,

452
00:22:29,080 --> 00:22:31,040
Speaker 2: who are you relatively high on I'm.

453
00:22:30,880 --> 00:22:32,240
Speaker 9: Gonna go with David Montgomery.

454
00:22:32,760 --> 00:22:35,320
Speaker 5: You look at Carolina, they have given up the second

455
00:22:35,400 --> 00:22:39,879
Speaker 5: most fantasy points to the running back position, and Montgomery

456
00:22:39,960 --> 00:22:42,639
Speaker 5: took over a lot of that passing down work for

457
00:22:43,600 --> 00:22:46,840
Speaker 5: Tarik Cohen, who is you know, on ir with the

458
00:22:47,000 --> 00:22:49,280
Speaker 5: with the torn Aco. So I think it's a good

459
00:22:49,359 --> 00:22:52,320
Speaker 5: matchup for Montgomery. The Bears really have it shown an

460
00:22:52,400 --> 00:22:55,600
Speaker 5: interest in getting you know, other guys besides him involved

461
00:22:55,680 --> 00:22:58,680
Speaker 5: in that backfield. You know, it's been you know, Ryan

462
00:22:58,720 --> 00:23:01,080
Speaker 5: and All's there. He hasn't really done anything. I think

463
00:23:01,280 --> 00:23:03,240
Speaker 5: Pierce is there. I don't know if he's been active.

464
00:23:03,359 --> 00:23:07,640
Speaker 5: So Montgomery is a guy who is pushing top ten

465
00:23:07,680 --> 00:23:08,840
Speaker 5: for me this week.

466
00:23:10,280 --> 00:23:15,160
Speaker 2: Okay, one guy I have very high once again, Kareem Hunt.

467
00:23:15,560 --> 00:23:18,040
Speaker 2: Is it unreasonable for me to have him number one?

468
00:23:18,200 --> 00:23:21,000
Speaker 2: Of course it is. I'm probably going to adjust that

469
00:23:21,160 --> 00:23:24,040
Speaker 2: down a little bit. But I mean I thought he was,

470
00:23:24,200 --> 00:23:26,800
Speaker 2: you know, very locked in as the lead back last week.

471
00:23:27,320 --> 00:23:29,359
Speaker 2: I think he will continue to be the lead back

472
00:23:29,440 --> 00:23:31,840
Speaker 2: this week. And I think one way or another, whether

473
00:23:31,960 --> 00:23:36,200
Speaker 2: it's with the Browns, you know, really leaning on the

474
00:23:36,280 --> 00:23:39,200
Speaker 2: running game and feeding their lead back, or you know,

475
00:23:39,240 --> 00:23:41,280
Speaker 2: whether the Browns get down and then they you know,

476
00:23:41,359 --> 00:23:44,239
Speaker 2: end up funneling some targets to Kareem Hunt. I think

477
00:23:44,320 --> 00:23:47,280
Speaker 2: one way or another, he ends up having a good game,

478
00:23:47,680 --> 00:23:51,040
Speaker 2: even in a tough matchup against the Steelers. So probably

479
00:23:51,320 --> 00:23:53,200
Speaker 2: I should not have him in the top three. He's

480
00:23:53,240 --> 00:23:55,840
Speaker 2: probably more in the like five to eight range, but

481
00:23:55,960 --> 00:24:00,200
Speaker 2: I think certainly locked into the top eightier fits who

482
00:24:00,280 --> 00:24:00,760
Speaker 2: is some one you.

483
00:24:00,760 --> 00:24:01,159
Speaker 6: Are low on.

484
00:24:01,720 --> 00:24:03,720
Speaker 8: So maybe this is too low for a lot of

485
00:24:03,760 --> 00:24:06,280
Speaker 8: people to consider for their lineups anyway, But I guess

486
00:24:06,320 --> 00:24:08,680
Speaker 8: in a fourteen by can we just like knock it

487
00:24:08,760 --> 00:24:12,240
Speaker 8: off with the Naheim Heines stuff. Like his expert consensus

488
00:24:12,359 --> 00:24:15,880
Speaker 8: ranking is at Fantasy Pros's running back twenty nine, which

489
00:24:15,920 --> 00:24:18,200
Speaker 8: in a bye week I think makes him like borderline

490
00:24:18,880 --> 00:24:22,159
Speaker 8: flex possibility if he were really that valuable. But like,

491
00:24:22,320 --> 00:24:25,240
Speaker 8: ever since he had that first week where the two touchdowns,

492
00:24:25,720 --> 00:24:30,000
Speaker 8: fifteen catches or fifteen touches, eight receptions, like, people have

493
00:24:30,080 --> 00:24:33,040
Speaker 8: been wanting to make Naheim Heines a thing, and I've

494
00:24:33,080 --> 00:24:36,199
Speaker 8: been like pulling my hair out with Frank Reich wasting

495
00:24:36,280 --> 00:24:38,960
Speaker 8: these early down carries on Naheim Hines. The last couple

496
00:24:39,000 --> 00:24:41,720
Speaker 8: of weeks, he's averaging like three point one yards of

497
00:24:41,800 --> 00:24:44,360
Speaker 8: carry He's not even good in the passing game, man,

498
00:24:44,480 --> 00:24:47,040
Speaker 8: like five point seven yards per target, which is like,

499
00:24:47,160 --> 00:24:48,880
Speaker 8: if you're going to be a passing down back, you've

500
00:24:48,880 --> 00:24:49,760
Speaker 8: got to be over six.

501
00:24:49,880 --> 00:24:51,800
Speaker 6: You know, James White is always over six.

502
00:24:52,480 --> 00:24:55,359
Speaker 8: Guys like Jalen raschhard in the sevens, you know, like

503
00:24:55,480 --> 00:24:59,120
Speaker 8: he's not even good at that one job. Give Jonathan

504
00:24:59,160 --> 00:25:00,640
Speaker 8: Taylor the freaking ball, man.

505
00:25:01,200 --> 00:25:01,560
Speaker 6: Just do it?

506
00:25:02,280 --> 00:25:02,560
Speaker 7: Love it?

507
00:25:02,640 --> 00:25:06,159
Speaker 2: Impassioned Sean, who are you relatively low on?

508
00:25:06,840 --> 00:25:07,280
Speaker 9: First off?

509
00:25:07,280 --> 00:25:09,359
Speaker 4: I agree with the Heenes call, especially you know, the

510
00:25:09,480 --> 00:25:13,680
Speaker 4: Cults are eight point favorites, so yeah, there's no reason

511
00:25:13,760 --> 00:25:16,160
Speaker 4: to be giving Hinds the ball here. The guys I'm

512
00:25:16,240 --> 00:25:19,600
Speaker 4: down on this week are James Connor at home against

513
00:25:19,640 --> 00:25:22,800
Speaker 4: the Browns. I have him as RB seventeen. The Browns

514
00:25:22,840 --> 00:25:25,720
Speaker 4: have been very, very good against opposing running backs and

515
00:25:26,480 --> 00:25:28,080
Speaker 4: very weak against the past, so I think this is

516
00:25:28,080 --> 00:25:31,720
Speaker 4: a pass funnel situation for the Steelers, who it's surprising

517
00:25:31,760 --> 00:25:34,159
Speaker 4: to see that big Ben he's only passed for over

518
00:25:34,200 --> 00:25:37,040
Speaker 4: two hundred and forty yards once this year. I think

519
00:25:37,119 --> 00:25:39,240
Speaker 4: with all the talent they have a wide receiver and

520
00:25:39,359 --> 00:25:41,600
Speaker 4: even tight end. I think they attack the Bears through

521
00:25:41,640 --> 00:25:43,680
Speaker 4: the air here, So I think James Connor could have

522
00:25:43,800 --> 00:25:46,399
Speaker 4: a down game, and you know, Benny Snell and Anthony

523
00:25:46,480 --> 00:25:49,360
Speaker 4: McFarland have been eating away at a bit too many

524
00:25:49,480 --> 00:25:52,320
Speaker 4: carries in my opinion. I think McFarland actually took the

525
00:25:52,359 --> 00:25:54,840
Speaker 4: second carry of the game, so that's something a monitor.

526
00:25:54,920 --> 00:25:57,119
Speaker 4: I think Connor, you know, he could be, you know,

527
00:25:57,960 --> 00:25:59,960
Speaker 4: a high floor RB two this week, but I'd be

528
00:26:00,080 --> 00:26:02,680
Speaker 4: careful with him in DFS. And then the other guy

529
00:26:02,760 --> 00:26:05,439
Speaker 4: that I'm down on is Melvin Gordon. I have him

530
00:26:05,440 --> 00:26:07,960
Speaker 4: all the way down to RB twenty four. You know,

531
00:26:08,040 --> 00:26:11,960
Speaker 4: Philip Lindsay had this additional bye week, so to speak,

532
00:26:12,359 --> 00:26:13,920
Speaker 4: to get closer to one hundred percent. He's going to

533
00:26:13,960 --> 00:26:17,040
Speaker 4: return pretty much one hundred percent, so I think he's

534
00:26:17,080 --> 00:26:19,119
Speaker 4: going to eat in and Melvin Gordon's workload. This is

535
00:26:19,160 --> 00:26:21,120
Speaker 4: a matchup at New England where you know the game

536
00:26:21,160 --> 00:26:23,600
Speaker 4: script is not going to be in favor for Melvin Gordon.

537
00:26:23,920 --> 00:26:26,520
Speaker 4: And hopefully you're able to sell high on Gordon after

538
00:26:26,560 --> 00:26:29,480
Speaker 4: his hundred yard two touchdown game in week four because

539
00:26:29,480 --> 00:26:31,840
Speaker 4: I think, you know, going forward, I consider him more

540
00:26:31,880 --> 00:26:34,560
Speaker 4: of a low end RB two with Philip Lindsay back

541
00:26:34,600 --> 00:26:34,960
Speaker 4: in the mix.

542
00:26:37,200 --> 00:26:38,400
Speaker 2: Ray On, who are you Lowing.

543
00:26:40,440 --> 00:26:43,200
Speaker 9: I'm gonna have to go with Mark Ingram.

544
00:26:43,960 --> 00:26:47,000
Speaker 5: Ingram has been a guy that just he hasn't been

545
00:26:47,160 --> 00:26:51,960
Speaker 5: really separating himself with from Dobbins and Edwards and those

546
00:26:51,960 --> 00:26:55,639
Speaker 5: guys in Baltimore. You had expected a little more production

547
00:26:56,880 --> 00:27:00,200
Speaker 5: last week, especially with Lamar Jackson not running, but it's

548
00:27:00,240 --> 00:27:04,600
Speaker 5: still kind of, you know, middling for him. So Philadelphia

549
00:27:04,960 --> 00:27:07,879
Speaker 5: is a team that one thing that one strength of

550
00:27:07,960 --> 00:27:11,159
Speaker 5: theirs is that they have a strong D line, and

551
00:27:11,440 --> 00:27:14,159
Speaker 5: their D line can generally control games most weeks. So

552
00:27:14,840 --> 00:27:17,240
Speaker 5: I don't think this is a great spot for Ingram

553
00:27:17,520 --> 00:27:19,639
Speaker 5: or any of these were even running backs really, especially

554
00:27:19,640 --> 00:27:22,080
Speaker 5: when they're using this this committee where they're not really

555
00:27:22,160 --> 00:27:23,840
Speaker 5: differentiating all the time between them.

556
00:27:25,240 --> 00:27:28,160
Speaker 2: All Right, one guy, I am relatively long, and I'll

557
00:27:28,200 --> 00:27:33,120
Speaker 2: just say I made I made adjustments to the Cowboys

558
00:27:33,240 --> 00:27:36,119
Speaker 2: based on Andy Dalton being the quarterback, and so I

559
00:27:36,240 --> 00:27:37,879
Speaker 2: probably need to go in and check some of the

560
00:27:37,920 --> 00:27:40,720
Speaker 2: assumptions I'm making because I have Zeke now at number seven,

561
00:27:41,160 --> 00:27:44,080
Speaker 2: which that just like in my gut that that feels

562
00:27:44,119 --> 00:27:47,120
Speaker 2: too low. But a big part of that is I'm

563
00:27:47,240 --> 00:27:51,560
Speaker 2: just expecting fewer touchdowns for that offense, fewer rushing touchdowns

564
00:27:51,880 --> 00:27:54,840
Speaker 2: and that really is where the big drop is coming

565
00:27:55,520 --> 00:27:59,560
Speaker 2: for Zeke in the touchdowns that I am projecting to him,

566
00:27:59,600 --> 00:28:01,720
Speaker 2: and so I I still think he's going to, you know,

567
00:28:01,800 --> 00:28:05,560
Speaker 2: obviously be the heart of that offense, be the guy

568
00:28:05,600 --> 00:28:08,560
Speaker 2: who gets the vast majority of the rushing attempts. I

569
00:28:08,760 --> 00:28:12,879
Speaker 2: just think there will be probably fewer goal line opportunities

570
00:28:13,320 --> 00:28:17,879
Speaker 2: for him moving forward, and so that that's what is

571
00:28:18,000 --> 00:28:20,800
Speaker 2: dragging down my projection of him so far. I say

572
00:28:20,840 --> 00:28:23,680
Speaker 2: that knowing I probably I feel as if I should

573
00:28:23,720 --> 00:28:25,760
Speaker 2: tweak this a little bit, but I don't know, I

574
00:28:25,800 --> 00:28:27,480
Speaker 2: don't know. I still think that offense is going to

575
00:28:27,560 --> 00:28:32,240
Speaker 2: be pretty run heavy, sorry, pretty pass heavy without a

576
00:28:32,320 --> 00:28:35,920
Speaker 2: lot of opportunities at the goal line. So something I'm

577
00:28:35,960 --> 00:28:38,280
Speaker 2: going to be keeping in mind moving forward with the

578
00:28:38,360 --> 00:28:41,200
Speaker 2: projections there Sean give us the player prop.

579
00:28:42,600 --> 00:28:45,880
Speaker 4: So this one's a running back battle that maybe some

580
00:28:46,040 --> 00:28:48,840
Speaker 4: of us are expected, but not this soon. It's the

581
00:28:49,120 --> 00:28:55,440
Speaker 4: Cardinals running backs, Kenyon Drake versus Chase Edmonds and DK points.

582
00:28:55,640 --> 00:28:58,480
Speaker 4: I'm setting the line at Drake minus three and a half.

583
00:28:59,280 --> 00:29:03,800
Speaker 2: I'll still take Drake, but it's close. I think I

584
00:29:03,920 --> 00:29:07,480
Speaker 2: have them separated by maybe four points. It's very close.

585
00:29:07,880 --> 00:29:09,040
Speaker 6: I'm gonna take Drake two.

586
00:29:10,160 --> 00:29:13,160
Speaker 8: Edmonds is getting the higher value targets, but Drake has

587
00:29:13,280 --> 00:29:15,480
Speaker 8: out touched him I think ninety one to thirty seven

588
00:29:15,600 --> 00:29:17,880
Speaker 8: so far, So I got to go with Drake there.

589
00:29:18,480 --> 00:29:19,600
Speaker 9: Yeah, I'm gonna go with Drake.

590
00:29:19,600 --> 00:29:22,680
Speaker 5: It's close, but Drake still has enough touches and I

591
00:29:22,720 --> 00:29:25,400
Speaker 5: don't think either of them are threats for the three

592
00:29:25,480 --> 00:29:29,040
Speaker 5: point bonus necessarily. But Drake with the touches in the

593
00:29:29,160 --> 00:29:31,400
Speaker 5: run game, you know, if he makes a big play there,

594
00:29:32,000 --> 00:29:33,280
Speaker 5: I think still has the edge there.

595
00:29:33,400 --> 00:29:35,560
Speaker 9: So it's not good.

596
00:29:35,760 --> 00:29:38,120
Speaker 5: It's not comforting to see Edwon's getting so much pass

597
00:29:38,160 --> 00:29:41,320
Speaker 5: game usage and Drake really not even getting targeted much

598
00:29:41,360 --> 00:29:42,520
Speaker 5: when he does run a rout.

599
00:29:42,600 --> 00:29:45,520
Speaker 9: But still going to go Drake in this spot.

600
00:29:45,800 --> 00:29:48,360
Speaker 2: At wide receiver. The guys at the top of the board,

601
00:29:48,680 --> 00:29:54,080
Speaker 2: Dodre Hopkins, Adam Thielen, Calvin Ridley fits, where are you

602
00:29:54,320 --> 00:29:56,000
Speaker 2: on your top three at wide receiver?

603
00:29:56,400 --> 00:29:59,400
Speaker 8: So I've got Tyreek Hill number one and gonna tend

604
00:29:59,440 --> 00:30:02,360
Speaker 8: my hatch here for really kind of opening my eyes

605
00:30:02,440 --> 00:30:04,120
Speaker 8: being one of the guys who's opened my eyes to

606
00:30:04,200 --> 00:30:06,760
Speaker 8: the value of Tyreek Hill, and like, I kind of

607
00:30:06,800 --> 00:30:08,920
Speaker 8: think he's the best receiver in the league, So he's

608
00:30:09,000 --> 00:30:13,000
Speaker 8: won for me, Hopkins two and DeVante Adams third. You know,

609
00:30:13,120 --> 00:30:15,680
Speaker 8: Adams is just going to get such a massive target

610
00:30:15,800 --> 00:30:19,120
Speaker 8: share in that offense. Now should be back and ready

611
00:30:19,160 --> 00:30:22,120
Speaker 8: to roll for this matchup with the Buccaneers. And you know,

612
00:30:22,400 --> 00:30:25,160
Speaker 8: if the Buccaneers run defense hasn't lost that much with

613
00:30:25,280 --> 00:30:27,360
Speaker 8: Vitavea being hurt, then they're going to be a pass

614
00:30:27,440 --> 00:30:30,680
Speaker 8: funnel and maybe Packers are throwing more than they might otherwise.

615
00:30:31,120 --> 00:30:33,880
Speaker 2: All Right, So aside from Tyreek, who is someone you

616
00:30:33,960 --> 00:30:34,920
Speaker 2: are relatively high.

617
00:30:34,720 --> 00:30:38,200
Speaker 8: On, I'm pretty high on DeVante Parker this week. You know,

618
00:30:38,360 --> 00:30:41,720
Speaker 8: just as I mentioned with Fitzmagic earlier, I sort of

619
00:30:41,760 --> 00:30:44,920
Speaker 8: like this matchup against the Jets and the individual matchup.

620
00:30:44,960 --> 00:30:47,080
Speaker 8: I think Parker is probably going to be going against

621
00:30:47,400 --> 00:30:50,880
Speaker 8: Pierre Decier, so that's kind of a chef's kiss matchup

622
00:30:51,000 --> 00:30:51,320
Speaker 8: right there.

623
00:30:51,960 --> 00:30:53,560
Speaker 6: It's been weird with him and the targets.

624
00:30:53,600 --> 00:30:57,040
Speaker 8: He's only had thirty two targets, which seems like it's

625
00:30:57,160 --> 00:31:01,360
Speaker 8: pretty low for a guy's clearly the alpha receiver there,

626
00:31:01,520 --> 00:31:05,600
Speaker 8: But again those blowout games against the Jaguars and the

627
00:31:05,720 --> 00:31:07,920
Speaker 8: forty nine ers. He only had three targets last week.

628
00:31:07,920 --> 00:31:11,360
Speaker 8: Against San Francisco, so maybe that weighs into it. And

629
00:31:11,920 --> 00:31:14,560
Speaker 8: he's just been really efficient with the targets he has had.

630
00:31:14,840 --> 00:31:17,200
Speaker 8: I think he's got a catch rate over eighty percent

631
00:31:17,360 --> 00:31:21,160
Speaker 8: right now, twenty second in fantasy scoring among receivers, So

632
00:31:22,000 --> 00:31:23,880
Speaker 8: really like this matchup for him. I just think it's

633
00:31:23,920 --> 00:31:24,440
Speaker 8: a good spot.

634
00:31:24,960 --> 00:31:28,240
Speaker 2: Sean, Who are you high on Kenny freaking Galladay?

635
00:31:28,640 --> 00:31:31,600
Speaker 4: I have him as my wide receiver six this week,

636
00:31:31,920 --> 00:31:33,840
Speaker 4: which is right about where he was drafted heading into

637
00:31:33,880 --> 00:31:36,560
Speaker 4: the season, right but this week at Jacksonville, they're coming

638
00:31:36,600 --> 00:31:39,720
Speaker 4: off a bye, so you know, his injured hamstring should

639
00:31:39,720 --> 00:31:42,200
Speaker 4: be closer to one hundred percent. They've limited him to

640
00:31:42,240 --> 00:31:45,280
Speaker 4: about eighty percent ruts run so far, so I think

641
00:31:45,400 --> 00:31:47,520
Speaker 4: that's going to be closer in ninety ninety five percent

642
00:31:47,600 --> 00:31:50,640
Speaker 4: this week. We should see the Kenney Galladay were used to.

643
00:31:50,760 --> 00:31:53,680
Speaker 4: There's you know, massive scoring potential here. Like I said,

644
00:31:53,720 --> 00:31:56,760
Speaker 4: they have the second highest team total. Kenny Galladay is

645
00:31:56,760 --> 00:31:58,840
Speaker 4: a guy that thrives in environments like that. I think

646
00:31:58,880 --> 00:32:01,280
Speaker 4: he's he's a good bet for a multi touchdown game.

647
00:32:01,760 --> 00:32:03,760
Speaker 4: I just think he might be overlooked this point in

648
00:32:03,760 --> 00:32:05,640
Speaker 4: the season because he hasn't had that massive game yet,

649
00:32:05,680 --> 00:32:07,840
Speaker 4: but it could be coming this week. And the other

650
00:32:07,960 --> 00:32:10,720
Speaker 4: guy is T Higgins right now, I have him with

651
00:32:10,800 --> 00:32:11,800
Speaker 4: wide receiver thirty four.

652
00:32:11,880 --> 00:32:12,600
Speaker 9: That could go up.

653
00:32:12,720 --> 00:32:16,920
Speaker 4: But you know, with with AJ Green out, Higgins already

654
00:32:16,920 --> 00:32:18,960
Speaker 4: passed up AJ Green a couple of weeks ago, I

655
00:32:19,040 --> 00:32:21,600
Speaker 4: want to say, but with AJ Green out, those those

656
00:32:21,680 --> 00:32:24,440
Speaker 4: empty targets that we're really doing much are now going

657
00:32:24,480 --> 00:32:26,640
Speaker 4: to be going T Higgins way. So I think he

658
00:32:26,720 --> 00:32:28,520
Speaker 4: could be a good bet for you know, one of

659
00:32:28,600 --> 00:32:30,520
Speaker 4: these rookies that we've seen break out in the past

660
00:32:30,560 --> 00:32:34,400
Speaker 4: few weeks, like Justin Jefferson, Chase Claypool, T higgins turn

661
00:32:34,480 --> 00:32:36,080
Speaker 4: is coming up. It could be this week, could be

662
00:32:36,200 --> 00:32:38,640
Speaker 4: next week. But I'm all in on T Higgins going

663
00:32:38,680 --> 00:32:40,880
Speaker 4: forward with AJ Green out right now him as wide

664
00:32:40,920 --> 00:32:41,720
Speaker 4: receiver thirty four.

665
00:32:42,360 --> 00:32:44,600
Speaker 3: I hope you're enjoying this great Action Network podcast. I

666
00:32:44,640 --> 00:32:46,280
Speaker 3: want to make sure you know about the Locked On

667
00:32:46,440 --> 00:32:49,680
Speaker 3: podcast network. Locked On as a daily podcast on your

668
00:32:49,760 --> 00:32:50,320
Speaker 3: favorite team.

669
00:32:50,480 --> 00:32:52,720
Speaker 2: Welcome to you, Lockdown forty nine ers. You are locked

670
00:32:52,720 --> 00:32:53,640
Speaker 2: on of the Dallas Matrick.

671
00:32:53,680 --> 00:32:55,720
Speaker 9: Welcome everybody for the Lockdown Lakers podcast.

672
00:32:55,960 --> 00:32:56,360
Speaker 2: Let's Go.

673
00:32:56,800 --> 00:32:59,680
Speaker 3: Locked On podcasts are hosted by the local experts who

674
00:32:59,760 --> 00:33:01,800
Speaker 3: know you your team better than anyone and give you

675
00:33:01,920 --> 00:33:04,400
Speaker 3: the inside scoop. So go to your podcast apt and

676
00:33:04,520 --> 00:33:08,520
Speaker 3: search locked on your favorite team. Subscribe to your Locked

677
00:33:08,560 --> 00:33:15,120
Speaker 3: on podcast, Raymond, who is someone you are relatively high on?

678
00:33:15,640 --> 00:33:18,880
Speaker 9: Chase Claypool, right that's that's that's the easy answer for me.

679
00:33:19,560 --> 00:33:21,560
Speaker 5: You know, seventy nine and sixty eight percent of the

680
00:33:21,760 --> 00:33:23,680
Speaker 5: routes run per drop back in the last two weeks.

681
00:33:24,200 --> 00:33:26,600
Speaker 5: He's cutting into these other guys in the top three

682
00:33:27,440 --> 00:33:30,600
Speaker 5: in that Steelers wide receiver rotation. And now you're facing

683
00:33:30,640 --> 00:33:33,480
Speaker 5: the Browns, a team who is bottom three in terms

684
00:33:33,480 --> 00:33:35,040
Speaker 5: of fantasy points allowed.

685
00:33:35,120 --> 00:33:36,440
Speaker 9: To the position.

686
00:33:37,200 --> 00:33:38,920
Speaker 5: I don't know how you keep this guy off the

687
00:33:38,960 --> 00:33:40,880
Speaker 5: field at this point, after after the game he had

688
00:33:41,000 --> 00:33:45,400
Speaker 5: last week. He's carrying the football, he's catching the football.

689
00:33:45,960 --> 00:33:49,840
Speaker 5: This guy may be the number one receiver in Steelers

690
00:33:49,920 --> 00:33:50,600
Speaker 5: fantasy points.

691
00:33:50,800 --> 00:33:51,840
Speaker 9: You know, by the end of the year.

692
00:33:52,200 --> 00:33:57,200
Speaker 5: It's disappointing for Juju, It's disappointing for Deontay Johnson, obviously,

693
00:33:57,320 --> 00:33:59,719
Speaker 5: but this guy is just better than these guys right now,

694
00:33:59,800 --> 00:34:02,720
Speaker 5: and I expect him to be closer to ninety percent

695
00:34:02,760 --> 00:34:04,000
Speaker 5: of the routes this we got and see how they

696
00:34:04,040 --> 00:34:04,440
Speaker 5: keep him.

697
00:34:04,360 --> 00:34:07,200
Speaker 2: Off the Field Raybon. It's almost as if you looked

698
00:34:07,240 --> 00:34:09,239
Speaker 2: in the outline and saw who I was going to

699
00:34:09,320 --> 00:34:13,040
Speaker 2: talk about, because I am also talking about Chase claypol

700
00:34:13,800 --> 00:34:16,680
Speaker 2: I'm with you one hundred percent on everything you said.

701
00:34:17,080 --> 00:34:19,480
Speaker 2: And by the way, though, if there's one area where

702
00:34:19,520 --> 00:34:21,960
Speaker 2: I'm disagreeing with you, I think we're not high enough

703
00:34:22,200 --> 00:34:25,000
Speaker 2: on Chase Claypool. Am I ridiculous and having him ranked

704
00:34:25,080 --> 00:34:28,200
Speaker 2: number twelve? You bet, I'm ridiculous, But I don't care.

705
00:34:28,480 --> 00:34:31,400
Speaker 2: It's early in the week. I can be ridiculous early

706
00:34:31,600 --> 00:34:34,440
Speaker 2: in the week. But here's the thing, all right, A

707
00:34:34,520 --> 00:34:37,120
Speaker 2: lot of this is under the assumption that Deontay Johnson

708
00:34:37,320 --> 00:34:40,480
Speaker 2: does not play, and maybe he does play, so I

709
00:34:40,760 --> 00:34:44,200
Speaker 2: end up, you know, drastically adjusting the projections. But right now,

710
00:34:44,320 --> 00:34:48,400
Speaker 2: assuming Deontay Johnson doesn't play, we're looking at a rookie

711
00:34:48,840 --> 00:34:52,920
Speaker 2: who as a second rounder was a strong college producer,

712
00:34:53,520 --> 00:34:59,400
Speaker 2: has a nearly unrivaled athletic profile that approaches something like

713
00:34:59,560 --> 00:35:02,480
Speaker 2: Calvin Johnson. Not quite Calvin Johnson, but not all that

714
00:35:02,760 --> 00:35:05,680
Speaker 2: far off from Calvin Johnson, just in terms of his

715
00:35:06,040 --> 00:35:10,280
Speaker 2: size and athleticism. Right in Week one, he did almost nothing.

716
00:35:10,320 --> 00:35:12,720
Speaker 2: He had just a six percent target chair. In week seven,

717
00:35:13,000 --> 00:35:14,719
Speaker 2: he had a seven percent target chair, but we saw

718
00:35:14,800 --> 00:35:18,080
Speaker 2: him flash with eighty eight yards in a touchdown. He

719
00:35:18,200 --> 00:35:22,120
Speaker 2: had eleven percent target chair in week three, and then

720
00:35:22,160 --> 00:35:24,319
Speaker 2: he had the bye. It's almost as if you could

721
00:35:24,400 --> 00:35:28,160
Speaker 2: see the Steelers thinking, how do we get this guy

722
00:35:28,280 --> 00:35:30,320
Speaker 2: like over the bye week because they don't have to

723
00:35:30,400 --> 00:35:33,640
Speaker 2: focus on another team, they can focus on themselves, evaluate

724
00:35:33,719 --> 00:35:35,800
Speaker 2: themselves and think, what is it that we could be

725
00:35:35,920 --> 00:35:38,120
Speaker 2: doing better? You know what, why don't we get the

726
00:35:38,160 --> 00:35:40,360
Speaker 2: ball more to Chase Claypool Because I don't think it

727
00:35:40,520 --> 00:35:45,239
Speaker 2: was just that Deontay Johnson was out for you know,

728
00:35:45,360 --> 00:35:48,280
Speaker 2: most of the game. I mean they were scheming carries

729
00:35:48,680 --> 00:35:51,200
Speaker 2: to him, which like that's the sign for a wide

730
00:35:51,280 --> 00:35:54,759
Speaker 2: receiver that the team really wants to get him the ball.

731
00:35:55,080 --> 00:35:58,600
Speaker 2: And he had a thirty two percent target share last

732
00:35:58,680 --> 00:36:01,719
Speaker 2: week with three he carries. And it's not as if

733
00:36:01,840 --> 00:36:04,279
Speaker 2: like the touchdowns he was scoring, like you know, some

734
00:36:04,400 --> 00:36:06,760
Speaker 2: of them, you know, maybe it smitching up a busted

735
00:36:06,800 --> 00:36:09,400
Speaker 2: coverage hereot whatever, but like some of these touchdowns were

736
00:36:09,480 --> 00:36:14,120
Speaker 2: like legit, like big boy touchdowns, like he immediately looks

737
00:36:14,200 --> 00:36:17,560
Speaker 2: like the wide receiver and raybonds as you say, I agree,

738
00:36:17,600 --> 00:36:20,520
Speaker 2: with you. I think from this point forward, if you

739
00:36:20,640 --> 00:36:22,839
Speaker 2: looked at all of the fantasy points these guys are

740
00:36:22,880 --> 00:36:25,799
Speaker 2: going to score. I think he actually leads these wide

741
00:36:25,880 --> 00:36:28,520
Speaker 2: receivers in fantasy points for the rest of the season.

742
00:36:28,920 --> 00:36:30,960
Speaker 5: Yeah, Matt, you're You're exactly right. And I just want

743
00:36:30,960 --> 00:36:32,759
Speaker 5: to because I haven't quoted about this yet. This is

744
00:36:32,800 --> 00:36:34,200
Speaker 5: not about you, guys. This is about the rest of

745
00:36:34,239 --> 00:36:37,000
Speaker 5: the industry. I haven't voted about this yet. But don't

746
00:36:37,120 --> 00:36:40,560
Speaker 5: draft rookies. They said, like, like, just avoid them. They're

747
00:36:40,600 --> 00:36:42,680
Speaker 5: not gonna this is not the year to draft rookies.

748
00:36:42,800 --> 00:36:45,920
Speaker 5: Everyone said that. Almost everyone said that like this it

749
00:36:46,040 --> 00:36:48,640
Speaker 5: was the obvious play. I know we were all on it,

750
00:36:48,719 --> 00:36:51,040
Speaker 5: but like what you're seeing with Jefferson, Look what you're

751
00:36:51,040 --> 00:36:53,080
Speaker 5: seeing with Claypool. Look what you're saying with au CD

752
00:36:53,239 --> 00:36:57,239
Speaker 5: lamb ceedee lamb uh. Judy's been consistently, he's been in there.

753
00:36:57,560 --> 00:36:57,719
Speaker 6: You know.

754
00:36:58,000 --> 00:37:00,760
Speaker 9: This is like and they said, you know, don't draft rookies.

755
00:37:00,800 --> 00:37:01,160
Speaker 7: Like it was.

756
00:37:01,520 --> 00:37:04,520
Speaker 5: Anytime there's like such a wild consensus about something, you

757
00:37:04,560 --> 00:37:06,360
Speaker 5: always have the second guess it's not always going to

758
00:37:06,400 --> 00:37:08,440
Speaker 5: be right. But like, we are seeing this in a

759
00:37:08,480 --> 00:37:10,880
Speaker 5: big way, and why because it's athleticism is gonna win

760
00:37:10,880 --> 00:37:12,480
Speaker 5: out at that position. And in this day and age

761
00:37:12,480 --> 00:37:15,120
Speaker 5: of the NFL like this their spread offenses. This is

762
00:37:15,200 --> 00:37:17,560
Speaker 5: not about learning route trees and all this and that.

763
00:37:17,600 --> 00:37:19,360
Speaker 5: This is about you're good at a few things, like

764
00:37:19,640 --> 00:37:22,040
Speaker 5: I don't know how like Creapoo's probably running the same.

765
00:37:21,880 --> 00:37:24,120
Speaker 9: Like three routes all day and like, you know, it's

766
00:37:24,200 --> 00:37:25,120
Speaker 9: just bonkers.

767
00:37:25,200 --> 00:37:28,960
Speaker 5: So you didn't even mention rugs, right, yeah, yeah, yeah,

768
00:37:28,960 --> 00:37:32,200
Speaker 5: Well I mean with my two Kansas City minus ten.

769
00:37:32,200 --> 00:37:39,040
Speaker 9: Bets, Yeah, I said, well they do have r we're

770
00:37:39,120 --> 00:37:40,120
Speaker 9: just gonna forget about that.

771
00:37:40,320 --> 00:37:42,200
Speaker 5: But and then what you know, like Teddy Bridgewater in

772
00:37:42,280 --> 00:37:45,399
Speaker 5: the new system Carolina three and two, don't like these

773
00:37:45,440 --> 00:37:49,479
Speaker 5: teams need continuity, Like come on, man, like Town's gonna

774
00:37:49,480 --> 00:37:50,080
Speaker 5: win out man.

775
00:37:50,880 --> 00:37:54,799
Speaker 2: Yeah, So I mean I am incredibly high on him

776
00:37:55,120 --> 00:37:58,200
Speaker 2: this this week. And even when Deontay Johnson comes back,

777
00:37:58,760 --> 00:38:03,719
Speaker 2: there's no way that they like entirely put Claypool back

778
00:38:03,760 --> 00:38:06,840
Speaker 2: on the sideline. Maybe it's a rookie year Randy Moss

779
00:38:06,880 --> 00:38:10,000
Speaker 2: type of situation where it's like, Okay, we strategically use him.

780
00:38:10,000 --> 00:38:12,799
Speaker 2: He's not out there every snap, but they, I mean,

781
00:38:12,920 --> 00:38:15,120
Speaker 2: they have to figure out a way to get the

782
00:38:15,160 --> 00:38:18,520
Speaker 2: ball to this guy at least six times a game,

783
00:38:18,920 --> 00:38:22,400
Speaker 2: probably more, Fitz, who is someone you are relatively low on.

784
00:38:23,000 --> 00:38:25,319
Speaker 8: Just because we have not talked about this subject enough,

785
00:38:25,360 --> 00:38:28,200
Speaker 8: I've got Juju out of the top twenty five this week.

786
00:38:28,520 --> 00:38:30,239
Speaker 8: And it's funny, Matt, because I had you on my

787
00:38:30,360 --> 00:38:34,080
Speaker 8: podcast a couple of months ago, and as original Juju truthers,

788
00:38:34,520 --> 00:38:37,680
Speaker 8: we had a joint therapy session during that podcast, and

789
00:38:38,520 --> 00:38:41,799
Speaker 8: you know, talked about the meaning of Deontay Johnson coming

790
00:38:41,840 --> 00:38:44,719
Speaker 8: along and sort of putting at this, putting us at

791
00:38:44,760 --> 00:38:48,040
Speaker 8: this pivot points on our love for Juju, you know,

792
00:38:48,080 --> 00:38:51,160
Speaker 8: and we didn't even factor in the Canadian DK Metcalf

793
00:38:51,520 --> 00:38:54,680
Speaker 8: coming in and totally ruining things for both of those guys.

794
00:38:54,960 --> 00:38:57,600
Speaker 8: I'm seeing guys who still have Juju, like in the

795
00:38:57,680 --> 00:39:01,000
Speaker 8: top fifteen this week on Fantasy Pro and wondering how

796
00:39:01,600 --> 00:39:04,560
Speaker 8: they can possibly do that with you know, Claypool is

797
00:39:05,040 --> 00:39:08,160
Speaker 8: just the truth man, totally echo what Raybon is saying

798
00:39:08,160 --> 00:39:10,960
Speaker 8: about the rookie receivers like we used to that used

799
00:39:10,960 --> 00:39:13,120
Speaker 8: to be just such a general rule of thumb, like

800
00:39:13,239 --> 00:39:17,160
Speaker 8: you do not take rookie receivers in fantasy Rookie running

801
00:39:17,200 --> 00:39:19,560
Speaker 8: backs are good bets. And look at where we are

802
00:39:19,640 --> 00:39:23,239
Speaker 8: with that, with Cam Akers and Keishan Vaughn and you know,

803
00:39:23,400 --> 00:39:27,600
Speaker 8: even Clyde Edwards, Zilarin Jonathan Taylor not being quite the

804
00:39:27,680 --> 00:39:31,439
Speaker 8: monsters we thought they were going to be so absolutely. Man, Yeah,

805
00:39:31,560 --> 00:39:33,839
Speaker 8: I'm fading Juju hard this week.

806
00:39:34,600 --> 00:39:37,200
Speaker 2: I have n't at number nineteen and it hurts my

807
00:39:37,320 --> 00:39:40,800
Speaker 2: heart both ways. I feel like it's too low and

808
00:39:41,000 --> 00:39:43,839
Speaker 2: yet it's still too high. Yeah.

809
00:39:44,080 --> 00:39:45,840
Speaker 6: Can I just go back to Juju for a second.

810
00:39:45,960 --> 00:39:49,960
Speaker 8: Like his average depth of target this year is five yards, Like,

811
00:39:50,040 --> 00:39:52,200
Speaker 8: that's way down. He was at I think eight point

812
00:39:52,280 --> 00:39:55,560
Speaker 8: eight as a rookie and nine point seven the next year,

813
00:39:56,440 --> 00:39:59,120
Speaker 8: and now he's basically twenty eighteen.

814
00:39:58,960 --> 00:40:01,879
Speaker 6: Jarvis Landry and like that. Yeah, it'd be one.

815
00:40:01,840 --> 00:40:05,120
Speaker 8: Thing if he was getting like nine, ten twelve targets

816
00:40:05,160 --> 00:40:07,359
Speaker 8: a week. I mean, I think he's had six, eight,

817
00:40:07,560 --> 00:40:12,200
Speaker 8: five and five. So man, it's just uh yeah, Trutherism

818
00:40:12,280 --> 00:40:12,759
Speaker 8: dies hard.

819
00:40:13,320 --> 00:40:16,120
Speaker 2: Sean, Who are you real? Yeah, Lowe, Well I'm with

820
00:40:16,239 --> 00:40:16,800
Speaker 2: you on the Juju.

821
00:40:16,840 --> 00:40:18,680
Speaker 4: Remember I had to use him the past two weeks

822
00:40:18,719 --> 00:40:22,239
Speaker 4: in this segment because of the bye week in week four. Yeah,

823
00:40:22,440 --> 00:40:24,239
Speaker 4: I just thought they would spread it around too much.

824
00:40:24,280 --> 00:40:27,239
Speaker 4: In Claypool and even James Washington has been really good too.

825
00:40:27,600 --> 00:40:29,160
Speaker 4: It's gonna be tough to keep him off the field.

826
00:40:29,280 --> 00:40:32,240
Speaker 4: Raray McLeod, I mean, they just have too many weapons.

827
00:40:32,280 --> 00:40:34,759
Speaker 4: So a guy like Juju that thrives on volume, this

828
00:40:34,920 --> 00:40:37,480
Speaker 4: just hurts his stock a time. So glad you guys

829
00:40:37,520 --> 00:40:39,239
Speaker 4: are all on the same page. I have n't a

830
00:40:39,239 --> 00:40:42,040
Speaker 4: wide receiver twenty six right now, so it still seems

831
00:40:42,080 --> 00:40:44,359
Speaker 4: too high. But the guys that I'm low on are

832
00:40:44,480 --> 00:40:46,880
Speaker 4: all the Cowboys wide receivers. I think that goes to

833
00:40:46,960 --> 00:40:50,640
Speaker 4: that saying. But I think specifically Michael Gallup. You know,

834
00:40:50,760 --> 00:40:53,000
Speaker 4: he was already kind of a dicey wide receiver three

835
00:40:53,040 --> 00:40:55,000
Speaker 4: with Dak in the lineup, but I have him all

836
00:40:55,040 --> 00:40:58,239
Speaker 4: the way down to wide receiver fifty one, which might

837
00:40:58,280 --> 00:41:00,320
Speaker 4: be a little bit too low because he did connect

838
00:41:00,400 --> 00:41:03,520
Speaker 4: with Dalton on those two plays in the final drive.

839
00:41:03,680 --> 00:41:05,680
Speaker 4: I think it was fifty seven yards on two catches,

840
00:41:05,760 --> 00:41:08,759
Speaker 4: so they do have that potential there, but that could

841
00:41:08,800 --> 00:41:11,000
Speaker 4: have been you know, the two minute warning type of

842
00:41:11,239 --> 00:41:15,120
Speaker 4: two minute style offense that gave him those opportunities. But

843
00:41:15,719 --> 00:41:17,400
Speaker 4: with Gallup, I think it's wait and see. I think

844
00:41:17,440 --> 00:41:19,359
Speaker 4: you leave Mon in the bench this week, and if

845
00:41:19,400 --> 00:41:21,000
Speaker 4: he has a good game, then you might be able

846
00:41:21,000 --> 00:41:22,680
Speaker 4: to trust him next week. But I think going forward,

847
00:41:23,080 --> 00:41:24,680
Speaker 4: gallup Stock takes the biggest.

848
00:41:24,400 --> 00:41:27,080
Speaker 2: Hit here, and I actually I have him ranked exactly

849
00:41:27,160 --> 00:41:30,600
Speaker 2: where you do. And Raymond is actually even a little

850
00:41:30,640 --> 00:41:32,960
Speaker 2: bit lower than we are. I mean, I think we're

851
00:41:33,000 --> 00:41:35,759
Speaker 2: all on the same page there, Raymond, who are you

852
00:41:35,840 --> 00:41:36,520
Speaker 2: relatively low on?

853
00:41:37,080 --> 00:41:40,040
Speaker 5: Yeah, I mean this happens almost every week. Sean goes

854
00:41:40,040 --> 00:41:42,359
Speaker 5: ahead of me. But we have to talk more about

855
00:41:42,360 --> 00:41:45,080
Speaker 5: these Dallas receivers. I mean, Dak Prescott was throwing for

856
00:41:45,400 --> 00:41:47,080
Speaker 5: you know, four hundred and fifty plus.

857
00:41:46,960 --> 00:41:48,640
Speaker 9: Yards three of the last four games.

858
00:41:49,600 --> 00:41:52,040
Speaker 5: You're gonna see a massive drop in production from a

859
00:41:52,120 --> 00:41:57,920
Speaker 5: guy who again has historically struggled with a shaky offensive line.

860
00:41:58,040 --> 00:42:00,479
Speaker 5: And like I remember before the twenty eight teen season

861
00:42:00,560 --> 00:42:03,680
Speaker 5: actually running a correlation between just like his his O

862
00:42:03,800 --> 00:42:06,680
Speaker 5: lines PFF grade and Andy Dalton and his passer rating

863
00:42:06,760 --> 00:42:09,319
Speaker 5: and there was like a very strong correlation there.

864
00:42:09,400 --> 00:42:12,799
Speaker 9: So I am worried about these guys, especially because.

865
00:42:12,880 --> 00:42:16,160
Speaker 5: We're also seeing, you know, the number four guy, Cedric

866
00:42:16,239 --> 00:42:19,520
Speaker 5: Wilson mix in a little bit more than I think

867
00:42:19,560 --> 00:42:21,880
Speaker 5: any of us thought. And that's taking you know a

868
00:42:22,000 --> 00:42:25,560
Speaker 5: rep here and there away from Gallup Cooper. Lamb Cooper

869
00:42:25,680 --> 00:42:28,719
Speaker 5: was quiet most of the game. I'm assuming I didn't

870
00:42:28,719 --> 00:42:30,719
Speaker 5: get a chance to rewatch yet, but I'm assuming it was,

871
00:42:31,440 --> 00:42:33,160
Speaker 5: you know, something to do with Bradbury and getting a

872
00:42:33,160 --> 00:42:36,000
Speaker 5: lot of attention, which could happen again with Peterson in

873
00:42:36,080 --> 00:42:39,960
Speaker 5: Arizona this week. So just a situation where these guys

874
00:42:40,000 --> 00:42:43,920
Speaker 5: are knocking down probably like a whole, you know, two

875
00:42:44,040 --> 00:42:46,520
Speaker 5: tier to two tiers from where we have them with

876
00:42:46,600 --> 00:42:48,960
Speaker 5: dak at quarterback, I have a Maari right now at

877
00:42:49,040 --> 00:42:53,239
Speaker 5: wide receiver sixteen, Lamb at thirty eight, Gallop sixty.

878
00:42:52,960 --> 00:42:57,040
Speaker 2: Three, Raymon Sadly, I am with you there on the

879
00:42:57,080 --> 00:43:00,680
Speaker 2: analysis with the Dallas wide receivers one guy relatively low

880
00:43:00,760 --> 00:43:03,839
Speaker 2: on and it correlates with Robbie Anderson. I think all

881
00:43:03,880 --> 00:43:06,000
Speaker 2: of us are pretty comfortable having him in the top

882
00:43:06,040 --> 00:43:08,120
Speaker 2: twelve thinking of him as a wide receiver one at

883
00:43:08,120 --> 00:43:11,160
Speaker 2: this point. And it's because DJ Moore is just really

884
00:43:11,320 --> 00:43:14,279
Speaker 2: not seeing the volume in Carolina that we expected he

885
00:43:14,320 --> 00:43:17,200
Speaker 2: would see entering the season. In weeks one and two,

886
00:43:17,520 --> 00:43:20,240
Speaker 2: everything seemed kind of normal. Even if he wasn't getting

887
00:43:20,239 --> 00:43:23,399
Speaker 2: the production, he still had target shares of twenty six

888
00:43:23,480 --> 00:43:26,279
Speaker 2: and thirty two percent. But you know, in the three

889
00:43:26,360 --> 00:43:31,520
Speaker 2: weeks since then, fourteen percent, seventeen percent, fourteen percent. That

890
00:43:31,719 --> 00:43:34,960
Speaker 2: is clearly in the willhouse of a wide receiver two, right,

891
00:43:35,080 --> 00:43:38,759
Speaker 2: not someone who's like a co wide receiver one. And

892
00:43:39,120 --> 00:43:41,840
Speaker 2: you know, looking at those numbers, I don't think I

893
00:43:41,840 --> 00:43:44,120
Speaker 2: don't think there's any reason to think that that's just

894
00:43:44,200 --> 00:43:46,919
Speaker 2: something that's sort of a slump and is automatically going

895
00:43:47,000 --> 00:43:49,800
Speaker 2: to bounce back up. I think it's almost kind of

896
00:43:49,880 --> 00:43:53,200
Speaker 2: disheartening that Moore had a good game, or like what

897
00:43:53,320 --> 00:43:55,399
Speaker 2: we're thinking of as a good game in Week five

898
00:43:55,640 --> 00:43:58,280
Speaker 2: and he still had only fourteen percent of the targets.

899
00:43:58,520 --> 00:43:59,560
Speaker 7: Well, the one thing with that.

900
00:43:59,680 --> 00:44:02,120
Speaker 5: Is that he got what was it, sixty five yards

901
00:44:02,160 --> 00:44:03,920
Speaker 5: on at one player fifty seven, So like when you

902
00:44:03,960 --> 00:44:05,560
Speaker 5: don't need more targets when you just you.

903
00:44:05,600 --> 00:44:07,439
Speaker 9: Know, jogging into the end zone.

904
00:44:07,960 --> 00:44:08,680
Speaker 2: I'm sure they all.

905
00:44:08,560 --> 00:44:10,279
Speaker 5: Would have gotten like one or two more targets on

906
00:44:10,360 --> 00:44:12,279
Speaker 5: that drive. So that's something to keep in mind. But

907
00:44:12,320 --> 00:44:14,520
Speaker 5: but I do agree Robbie Anderson is clearly the number

908
00:44:14,560 --> 00:44:14,879
Speaker 5: one guy.

909
00:44:15,000 --> 00:44:18,480
Speaker 2: Yeah, but still only fourteen percent of the team's targets.

910
00:44:18,560 --> 00:44:20,680
Speaker 2: That's for me, that's the big number there, So I

911
00:44:20,760 --> 00:44:23,640
Speaker 2: actually I have him at number twenty seven like that

912
00:44:24,000 --> 00:44:26,880
Speaker 2: that feels low. I probably need to adjust it up

913
00:44:26,880 --> 00:44:30,040
Speaker 2: a little bit, but I'm pretty pessimistic about where we

914
00:44:30,160 --> 00:44:32,400
Speaker 2: are with DJ Moore in the volume that he's going

915
00:44:32,480 --> 00:44:33,360
Speaker 2: to see moving forward.

916
00:44:33,560 --> 00:44:35,040
Speaker 4: Right, Just to add on, he's not a guy that

917
00:44:35,120 --> 00:44:37,399
Speaker 4: you can bank on touchdowns most week, so yeah, he's

918
00:44:37,680 --> 00:44:40,000
Speaker 4: very volume dependent. So if that's not there for him,

919
00:44:40,360 --> 00:44:42,000
Speaker 4: I could see why you would downgrade him a ton.

920
00:44:42,320 --> 00:44:44,719
Speaker 2: Yeah, Sean, give us the prop.

921
00:44:45,120 --> 00:44:47,759
Speaker 4: What we're gonna have to go there, Chase Claypool. This

922
00:44:47,920 --> 00:44:49,920
Speaker 4: is a very tough line this. I will say I

923
00:44:50,080 --> 00:44:51,920
Speaker 4: was happy to get the over twenty three and a

924
00:44:51,920 --> 00:44:54,200
Speaker 4: half yards last week. I think that'll be the last

925
00:44:54,239 --> 00:44:56,560
Speaker 4: time his prop is that low. It's hard to say

926
00:44:56,560 --> 00:44:59,279
Speaker 4: if Deontay will be enter out. So this this line is,

927
00:44:59,600 --> 00:45:02,680
Speaker 4: you know, a complete crapshuret. Right now, I'm going to

928
00:45:02,760 --> 00:45:05,200
Speaker 4: go with sixty five and a half as the overender.

929
00:45:05,960 --> 00:45:08,239
Speaker 2: I mean, I'll just be the donkey here and you

930
00:45:08,640 --> 00:45:11,640
Speaker 2: can basically bank on Friedman always taking the overs in

931
00:45:11,680 --> 00:45:15,800
Speaker 2: this situation. But yeah, I have it at around seventy

932
00:45:15,880 --> 00:45:17,920
Speaker 2: and a half. So I feel like not all that

933
00:45:18,160 --> 00:45:21,640
Speaker 2: far off from where you are, but I'm.

934
00:45:21,320 --> 00:45:21,920
Speaker 7: Taking the over.

935
00:45:22,120 --> 00:45:24,160
Speaker 4: Do you have Deontay in or out? With that projection?

936
00:45:24,800 --> 00:45:29,719
Speaker 2: I have him projected for two percent market share, so

937
00:45:29,960 --> 00:45:32,680
Speaker 2: just as a placeholder, so I basically have him out,

938
00:45:33,280 --> 00:45:37,440
Speaker 2: but just within my projections. I have him projected minimally

939
00:45:37,760 --> 00:45:39,560
Speaker 2: so that I can kind of remember that I need

940
00:45:39,640 --> 00:45:40,759
Speaker 2: to do something with him later.

941
00:45:41,320 --> 00:45:43,680
Speaker 8: Makes sense, that's a really good number. I'm going to

942
00:45:43,719 --> 00:45:46,120
Speaker 8: go a little lower on that. I'm going to take

943
00:45:46,160 --> 00:45:46,560
Speaker 8: the under.

944
00:45:47,040 --> 00:45:48,879
Speaker 5: I'm with Pat, I'm going to take the under as well.

945
00:45:49,800 --> 00:45:51,040
Speaker 5: That's not a knock on him.

946
00:45:51,040 --> 00:45:51,200
Speaker 9: Again.

947
00:45:51,239 --> 00:45:53,879
Speaker 5: I have him in my top twenty five. But he's

948
00:45:53,920 --> 00:45:56,000
Speaker 5: a guy who he's been getting carried. He could be

949
00:45:56,200 --> 00:45:58,360
Speaker 5: a red zone guy, so he doesn't necessarily need to,

950
00:45:59,200 --> 00:46:01,000
Speaker 5: you know, go crazy with the yardish have a very

951
00:46:01,000 --> 00:46:01,760
Speaker 5: productive basie.

952
00:46:01,800 --> 00:46:03,000
Speaker 9: I have him in the high fifties.

953
00:46:03,480 --> 00:46:07,400
Speaker 5: That may change if I still do have Deyontay, you know,

954
00:46:07,560 --> 00:46:10,200
Speaker 5: kind of fifty to fifty to go, so that could

955
00:46:10,200 --> 00:46:10,920
Speaker 5: bump up a little bit.

956
00:46:11,000 --> 00:46:12,080
Speaker 9: Right now, have him be in the high fifties.

957
00:46:12,440 --> 00:46:14,960
Speaker 2: Sean, if you set a line and I take the over,

958
00:46:15,440 --> 00:46:17,680
Speaker 2: and Raybond takes the under, and the guest takes the

959
00:46:17,800 --> 00:46:19,799
Speaker 2: under you know, it's it's the right line.

960
00:46:21,280 --> 00:46:23,319
Speaker 6: I will say over and play it a little bit.

961
00:46:24,840 --> 00:46:28,040
Speaker 4: I would probably set this line closer like sixty and

962
00:46:28,080 --> 00:46:30,239
Speaker 4: a half right now, but it's hard to stay with

963
00:46:30,320 --> 00:46:32,920
Speaker 4: Deontay's status up in the air, so it's almost impossible

964
00:46:32,960 --> 00:46:33,560
Speaker 4: a cap right now.

965
00:46:33,840 --> 00:46:36,600
Speaker 2: Yeah, I mean, given that I'm projecting this with Deontay

966
00:46:36,719 --> 00:46:41,480
Speaker 2: basically out, that's the big difference. Okay, let's talk about

967
00:46:41,520 --> 00:46:44,520
Speaker 2: the tight ends, the guys at the top of our rankings.

968
00:46:44,920 --> 00:46:49,000
Speaker 2: I mean, no surprise, George Kittle, Travis Kelce, Mark Andrews fits.

969
00:46:49,280 --> 00:46:50,520
Speaker 2: Do you see it any differently?

970
00:46:51,200 --> 00:46:52,720
Speaker 6: Yeah, Kelsey, Kittle, Andrews.

971
00:46:56,280 --> 00:46:59,759
Speaker 2: Nice. Okay, who are you relatively high on?

972
00:47:00,400 --> 00:47:00,719
Speaker 6: All right?

973
00:47:00,800 --> 00:47:03,520
Speaker 8: So I was really interested to see how people were

974
00:47:03,560 --> 00:47:06,600
Speaker 8: going to regard Robert Tanyan coming off as by this week,

975
00:47:06,719 --> 00:47:09,360
Speaker 8: And it turns out I'm a little above consensus on

976
00:47:09,440 --> 00:47:09,879
Speaker 8: Big Bob.

977
00:47:09,960 --> 00:47:13,359
Speaker 6: I've got him at tight end eight and all right.

978
00:47:13,520 --> 00:47:15,520
Speaker 8: Maybe I'm a cynic, but I don't think he's going

979
00:47:15,600 --> 00:47:18,759
Speaker 8: to maintain a twenty six touchdown pace here. But he

980
00:47:18,840 --> 00:47:22,520
Speaker 8: did have eleven targets in the last two games. Granted

981
00:47:22,560 --> 00:47:24,879
Speaker 8: Devanta Adams was out, but you know, I think They're

982
00:47:24,920 --> 00:47:27,320
Speaker 8: going to keep feeding him. With Aaron Rodgers having a

983
00:47:28,239 --> 00:47:31,480
Speaker 8: I think one hundred and fifty seven point seven passer

984
00:47:31,520 --> 00:47:35,040
Speaker 8: rating un throwst to Tanyan so far, MVS has frying

985
00:47:35,120 --> 00:47:38,480
Speaker 8: pants for hands. They do need another weapon in this offense.

986
00:47:39,200 --> 00:47:41,759
Speaker 8: And this dude's good man. I mean, Rogers was saying

987
00:47:41,800 --> 00:47:45,040
Speaker 8: it throughout the training camp. Obviously, it's been well publicized

988
00:47:45,040 --> 00:47:47,799
Speaker 8: that Tanyan trained with George Kittle. This dude is good,

989
00:47:48,080 --> 00:47:51,120
Speaker 8: and I'm ready to regard him as a tight end one.

990
00:47:51,160 --> 00:47:54,560
Speaker 2: I think I'm there with you, Fitz, and I have

991
00:47:54,640 --> 00:47:56,880
Speaker 2: him number nine, Sean. I think you also have him

992
00:47:57,080 --> 00:48:00,520
Speaker 2: ranked in that vicinity, Sean. Who's someone you are relatively

993
00:48:00,600 --> 00:48:00,800
Speaker 2: high on?

994
00:48:01,239 --> 00:48:04,759
Speaker 4: For me, it's TJ Hawkinson this week. He's my tight

995
00:48:04,880 --> 00:48:07,759
Speaker 4: end four, which is a bit surprising. I'm not really

996
00:48:07,840 --> 00:48:10,719
Speaker 4: projecting him for much. It's four catches for forty five yards.

997
00:48:10,760 --> 00:48:13,560
Speaker 4: But I think the increased scoring environment. I've mentioned it

998
00:48:13,680 --> 00:48:15,880
Speaker 4: many times already, but the you know, the Lions have

999
00:48:15,920 --> 00:48:18,000
Speaker 4: the second highest team toil this week, so he has

1000
00:48:18,080 --> 00:48:21,279
Speaker 4: increased touchdown odds. And it's kind of a weird tight

1001
00:48:21,400 --> 00:48:23,160
Speaker 4: end week. I mean, we talked about the top three.

1002
00:48:23,239 --> 00:48:25,759
Speaker 4: It's pretty much set in stone, but after that it

1003
00:48:26,160 --> 00:48:29,560
Speaker 4: kind of falls off quite a bit. You have guys

1004
00:48:29,640 --> 00:48:35,520
Speaker 4: like Darren Waller, Jared Cook. I guess he doesn't really matters.

1005
00:48:35,640 --> 00:48:38,279
Speaker 4: Neither does Greg Golson and Hunter Henry are out. So

1006
00:48:38,520 --> 00:48:41,400
Speaker 4: you know, Darren Waller, Hunter Henry being out our to

1007
00:48:41,560 --> 00:48:44,000
Speaker 4: top ten tight end so it's made it pretty bunched

1008
00:48:44,600 --> 00:48:46,600
Speaker 4: up in the tight end one range, which is why

1009
00:48:46,600 --> 00:48:48,640
Speaker 4: a guy like Robert Tonyan is up there. But I

1010
00:48:48,800 --> 00:48:51,839
Speaker 4: just TJ Hawkinson sticks out of all these guys as

1011
00:48:51,920 --> 00:48:54,360
Speaker 4: the guy with the most potential for you know, a

1012
00:48:54,560 --> 00:48:56,759
Speaker 4: touchdown upside this week. Like I said, I think I'll

1013
00:48:56,760 --> 00:49:00,480
Speaker 4: be stacking Stafford, Galladay and Hawkinson pretty heavily in DFS

1014
00:49:00,560 --> 00:49:00,879
Speaker 4: this week.

1015
00:49:01,640 --> 00:49:02,480
Speaker 2: Rayvon, who do you like?

1016
00:49:04,520 --> 00:49:06,000
Speaker 9: I'm going with Evan Ingram.

1017
00:49:07,120 --> 00:49:10,440
Speaker 5: It's been a kind of weird season for him, but

1018
00:49:10,680 --> 00:49:14,480
Speaker 5: he continues to run between eighty five and ninety five

1019
00:49:14,560 --> 00:49:18,359
Speaker 5: percent of routes per dropback each week. The football team

1020
00:49:18,680 --> 00:49:22,560
Speaker 5: is in the bottom three in terms of fantasy production

1021
00:49:22,600 --> 00:49:25,640
Speaker 5: allowed to the tight end position, and Ingram is one

1022
00:49:25,680 --> 00:49:27,920
Speaker 5: of those few guys that, yeah, he didn't do much

1023
00:49:27,960 --> 00:49:29,560
Speaker 5: through the air last week, but he did get that

1024
00:49:29,680 --> 00:49:30,719
Speaker 5: carry for a touchdown.

1025
00:49:31,400 --> 00:49:33,200
Speaker 9: You know, he's right there with John new Smith, another

1026
00:49:33,239 --> 00:49:35,319
Speaker 9: guy I like this week. Both of those guys.

1027
00:49:35,360 --> 00:49:37,960
Speaker 5: You know, they can kind of smooth over a bad

1028
00:49:38,040 --> 00:49:40,000
Speaker 5: receiving day with a carry here and there.

1029
00:49:40,120 --> 00:49:43,040
Speaker 9: Kittles like that too, So give me some Evan Ingram.

1030
00:49:43,040 --> 00:49:45,040
Speaker 5: We're going back to the well one more time in

1031
00:49:45,120 --> 00:49:47,239
Speaker 5: a spot where the giants, I mean, if they don't

1032
00:49:47,239 --> 00:49:50,000
Speaker 5: get a win here, they might be headed toward O one.

1033
00:49:50,000 --> 00:49:53,920
Speaker 2: Sixteen Ravon, I'm with you there. On Johnny Smith. I

1034
00:49:54,000 --> 00:49:57,560
Speaker 2: actually have him ranked number three, which is aggressive, but

1035
00:49:57,680 --> 00:50:02,800
Speaker 2: it's assuming that there's no Corey Davis in Adam Humphries,

1036
00:50:02,920 --> 00:50:06,680
Speaker 2: or at least limited Corey Davis and Adam Humphries. And

1037
00:50:06,800 --> 00:50:08,600
Speaker 2: with those guys out, I mean, I think John new

1038
00:50:08,800 --> 00:50:11,480
Speaker 2: is kind of already the number two receiving option within

1039
00:50:11,560 --> 00:50:14,640
Speaker 2: that offense. But with the numbers two and three wide

1040
00:50:14,680 --> 00:50:18,200
Speaker 2: receivers out, I mean, man, he's really the other guy

1041
00:50:18,280 --> 00:50:21,239
Speaker 2: there next to aj Brown, and so because of the

1042
00:50:21,480 --> 00:50:24,480
Speaker 2: enhanced target volume I would expect him to see I

1043
00:50:24,520 --> 00:50:26,919
Speaker 2: would think of him as having a pretty decent chance

1044
00:50:27,080 --> 00:50:30,400
Speaker 2: of finishing in the top three fits. Who are you

1045
00:50:30,480 --> 00:50:30,719
Speaker 2: low on?

1046
00:50:31,200 --> 00:50:32,759
Speaker 8: So I think we got to slow our role on

1047
00:50:33,040 --> 00:50:35,680
Speaker 8: Dalton Schultz a little bit. With Dak out of the picture,

1048
00:50:36,200 --> 00:50:38,840
Speaker 8: He's tight end seven right now at Fantasy Pros and

1049
00:50:39,160 --> 00:50:41,239
Speaker 8: I would be right there if it was still Dak

1050
00:50:41,320 --> 00:50:43,840
Speaker 8: at quarterback. But you know, I mean, Dak was just

1051
00:50:44,000 --> 00:50:48,719
Speaker 8: magic for quarterbacks. He basically, like doctor Frankenstein, reanimated the

1052
00:50:48,800 --> 00:50:51,800
Speaker 8: corpse of Jason Witten and made him a fantasy relevant

1053
00:50:51,840 --> 00:50:55,240
Speaker 8: tight end. He had us all excited about Blake Jarwin.

1054
00:50:55,680 --> 00:50:57,759
Speaker 8: He brought Dalton Schultz to life this year, and I

1055
00:50:57,920 --> 00:50:59,239
Speaker 8: just don't know if we're going to get that with

1056
00:50:59,360 --> 00:51:01,879
Speaker 8: Andy Dalton under center. So having him in the top

1057
00:51:01,960 --> 00:51:04,319
Speaker 8: ten seems a little, I know, just a little bit

1058
00:51:04,360 --> 00:51:06,480
Speaker 8: of a reach to me. So he is now out

1059
00:51:06,520 --> 00:51:07,239
Speaker 8: of my top ten.

1060
00:51:07,560 --> 00:51:10,160
Speaker 2: Totally with you there, Sean, I believe you also have

1061
00:51:10,320 --> 00:51:14,759
Speaker 2: Schultz outside of the top ten or thereabouts. But who

1062
00:51:14,800 --> 00:51:15,320
Speaker 2: are you low on?

1063
00:51:15,680 --> 00:51:17,799
Speaker 4: This one pays me because it's a guy I took

1064
00:51:17,880 --> 00:51:20,480
Speaker 4: quite a bit heading into the season. But it's Hayden Hurst.

1065
00:51:21,719 --> 00:51:23,719
Speaker 4: I have him a tight end thirteen right now. I

1066
00:51:23,840 --> 00:51:25,680
Speaker 4: just don't think we can trust him. He just looked

1067
00:51:25,719 --> 00:51:28,600
Speaker 4: out of sync when it comes with Matt Ryan, and

1068
00:51:28,719 --> 00:51:30,239
Speaker 4: it's one of those things where maybe the lack of

1069
00:51:30,280 --> 00:51:34,080
Speaker 4: offseason could have affected this specific situation. They just don't

1070
00:51:34,120 --> 00:51:37,240
Speaker 4: have that chemistry. I think they will figure it out eventually,

1071
00:51:37,880 --> 00:51:40,400
Speaker 4: but just you can't trust Hayden Hurst right now. And

1072
00:51:40,719 --> 00:51:42,640
Speaker 4: you know, I expect Julio Jones a return this week,

1073
00:51:43,480 --> 00:51:46,360
Speaker 4: but yeah, it hasn't looked good to start. And he's

1074
00:51:46,400 --> 00:51:48,000
Speaker 4: a tough guy to drop because, like I said, I

1075
00:51:48,040 --> 00:51:50,520
Speaker 4: think he still has top ten potential. But if there's

1076
00:51:50,520 --> 00:51:52,000
Speaker 4: a way you could just dash him on the bench

1077
00:51:52,040 --> 00:51:53,799
Speaker 4: for the next few games, I think that's warranted at

1078
00:51:53,840 --> 00:51:54,160
Speaker 4: this point.

1079
00:51:54,680 --> 00:51:55,800
Speaker 2: Raymon, who are you low on?

1080
00:51:56,280 --> 00:51:56,640
Speaker 6: Same guy?

1081
00:51:56,640 --> 00:51:58,120
Speaker 9: I've been loll on for like the last three weeks,

1082
00:51:58,200 --> 00:51:58,880
Speaker 9: Tyra Higbee.

1083
00:51:58,960 --> 00:52:01,400
Speaker 5: I mean, we need to stop ranking him as if

1084
00:52:01,440 --> 00:52:02,400
Speaker 5: it's his last season.

1085
00:52:03,560 --> 00:52:05,800
Speaker 9: It's not. I thought he would be more involved.

1086
00:52:05,840 --> 00:52:07,799
Speaker 5: I was wrong, But I've been down on in these

1087
00:52:07,880 --> 00:52:09,840
Speaker 5: last you know, three weeks, and again you just have

1088
00:52:09,920 --> 00:52:11,920
Speaker 5: to look at these routes run numbers with tight end

1089
00:52:12,040 --> 00:52:15,440
Speaker 5: and Higgbe dropped under fifty percent last week, and it

1090
00:52:15,640 --> 00:52:17,839
Speaker 5: was Gerald Everett that ended up having the big game,

1091
00:52:17,920 --> 00:52:18,319
Speaker 5: not him.

1092
00:52:18,480 --> 00:52:21,560
Speaker 9: So you know, Higbee's at about.

1093
00:52:21,280 --> 00:52:23,920
Speaker 5: A twelve percent target share for the season, and that's

1094
00:52:23,960 --> 00:52:25,799
Speaker 5: what you would expect for a guy that's running about

1095
00:52:25,840 --> 00:52:30,120
Speaker 5: fifty percent of the routes per drop back and trending downward.

1096
00:52:30,239 --> 00:52:33,480
Speaker 5: So Niners gave up some big plays to Mike Giseki

1097
00:52:33,600 --> 00:52:35,400
Speaker 5: or a big play to Mike Giseki last year, but

1098
00:52:35,680 --> 00:52:38,239
Speaker 5: we don't even know, We can't guarantee that that would

1099
00:52:38,239 --> 00:52:41,080
Speaker 5: be Higbee and not Everett. So I got Higbee down

1100
00:52:41,120 --> 00:52:42,279
Speaker 5: at tight end nineteen this.

1101
00:52:42,320 --> 00:52:45,920
Speaker 2: Week, Okay, Ray Bond for the rest of the episodes.

1102
00:52:45,960 --> 00:52:48,319
Speaker 2: From here on out, what's going to happen is I'm

1103
00:52:48,400 --> 00:52:50,600
Speaker 2: going to say what I think and then I'm going

1104
00:52:50,680 --> 00:52:52,719
Speaker 2: to ask you the question because I'm tired of you

1105
00:52:53,200 --> 00:52:56,400
Speaker 2: taking my guys. All right, Higbee was the guy I

1106
00:52:56,600 --> 00:52:58,759
Speaker 2: was going to talk about. I have him all the

1107
00:52:58,800 --> 00:53:03,120
Speaker 2: way down at tight end twenty seven, which feels aggressively low,

1108
00:53:03,320 --> 00:53:05,759
Speaker 2: but let's be honest. He hasn't, as you say, he

1109
00:53:05,920 --> 00:53:08,920
Speaker 2: hasn't had all that much market share for the entire season,

1110
00:53:09,160 --> 00:53:13,040
Speaker 2: and it's gotten reduced in the past three games. Six

1111
00:53:13,160 --> 00:53:17,600
Speaker 2: percent target chair, twelve percent target chair, seven percent target chair,

1112
00:53:17,960 --> 00:53:20,760
Speaker 2: and none of that even takes into account the matchup.

1113
00:53:21,280 --> 00:53:23,840
Speaker 2: And you know, the forty nine ers, they at this

1114
00:53:23,960 --> 00:53:27,760
Speaker 2: point have well documented defensive woes because they are missing

1115
00:53:28,120 --> 00:53:30,759
Speaker 2: six starters. But one of the things they can still

1116
00:53:30,840 --> 00:53:34,280
Speaker 2: do they can still defend the tight end position because

1117
00:53:34,280 --> 00:53:37,320
Speaker 2: they have Jawiskey Tart at strong safety, and so it

1118
00:53:37,600 --> 00:53:40,799
Speaker 2: is a bad matchup for a guy who isn't even

1119
00:53:40,880 --> 00:53:44,239
Speaker 2: seeing volume at this point. So I think it's really

1120
00:53:44,320 --> 00:53:47,680
Speaker 2: easy to be pretty low on Tyler Higbee this week

1121
00:53:48,400 --> 00:53:52,600
Speaker 2: and for the rest of the season. Sean give us

1122
00:53:52,600 --> 00:53:52,919
Speaker 2: the prop.

1123
00:53:54,360 --> 00:53:57,160
Speaker 4: It fits a like this one, but it's Robert Tonyan

1124
00:53:57,880 --> 00:53:59,960
Speaker 4: receiving yards. I wanted us to talk about him abouit,

1125
00:54:01,160 --> 00:54:04,600
Speaker 4: but I have his over under at thirty five.

1126
00:54:04,480 --> 00:54:09,360
Speaker 6: And a half. Oh, I'm over for sure. You knew that.

1127
00:54:13,680 --> 00:54:17,200
Speaker 2: I'll take the over. I'm you know. I'm looking at

1128
00:54:17,239 --> 00:54:20,720
Speaker 2: the target chair that he's gotten over the past few games,

1129
00:54:20,760 --> 00:54:23,120
Speaker 2: and a lot of that has come without DeVante Adams.

1130
00:54:23,200 --> 00:54:28,040
Speaker 2: But yeah, now, especially with Alan Lazard out, someone still

1131
00:54:28,160 --> 00:54:30,680
Speaker 2: has to get those targets. Yeah, I think I think

1132
00:54:30,800 --> 00:54:32,160
Speaker 2: Tanian he looks like the guy.

1133
00:54:32,680 --> 00:54:35,040
Speaker 4: Yeah, I think Lazard being out is what's kind of

1134
00:54:35,120 --> 00:54:38,360
Speaker 4: fueling this. Obviously, Davante coming back will steal some targets,

1135
00:54:38,400 --> 00:54:41,040
Speaker 4: but I think Lazard being out for a significant amount

1136
00:54:41,040 --> 00:54:44,000
Speaker 4: of time well, we'll keep Tanyan in the tight end

1137
00:54:44,040 --> 00:54:45,160
Speaker 4: one discussion for sure.

1138
00:54:45,800 --> 00:54:50,520
Speaker 5: Going under, and that's because I think that number one,

1139
00:54:50,719 --> 00:54:53,200
Speaker 5: Davante does have a big impact on this. But number two,

1140
00:54:53,840 --> 00:54:56,279
Speaker 5: if you look at the routes run per drop back

1141
00:54:56,360 --> 00:55:00,520
Speaker 5: in his big game, h seventy For the season, he's

1142
00:55:00,520 --> 00:55:04,120
Speaker 5: at sixty three percent, so he's not seeing a massive

1143
00:55:04,360 --> 00:55:07,359
Speaker 5: increase due to all the injuries, just you know, maybe

1144
00:55:07,400 --> 00:55:10,160
Speaker 5: a couple extra routes per game. So I still I

1145
00:55:10,280 --> 00:55:12,919
Speaker 5: still think that there's some a lot of wide range

1146
00:55:12,920 --> 00:55:15,760
Speaker 5: of outcomes. I'll put it that way. You know, Marcedes

1147
00:55:15,840 --> 00:55:19,040
Speaker 5: Lewis missed last game, and we'll see what happens with him,

1148
00:55:19,080 --> 00:55:21,000
Speaker 5: But you still have other tight ends, like you still

1149
00:55:21,040 --> 00:55:23,759
Speaker 5: have Friedman's guys, Turnberger you know, you never know, and

1150
00:55:23,800 --> 00:55:25,000
Speaker 5: he's going to get a snap or two. They have

1151
00:55:25,040 --> 00:55:28,360
Speaker 5: a fullback Jonathan Lovett who gets snapped. So there's like

1152
00:55:28,440 --> 00:55:31,120
Speaker 5: a lot going on there to where I could see

1153
00:55:31,160 --> 00:55:32,640
Speaker 5: him having a blow up game. But I'm just not

1154
00:55:32,760 --> 00:55:35,560
Speaker 5: confident in kind of locking him in for a huge

1155
00:55:35,560 --> 00:55:37,880
Speaker 5: targets here when he only went like seventy one percent

1156
00:55:38,040 --> 00:55:40,960
Speaker 5: was just one percent higher than his previous season high.

1157
00:55:41,040 --> 00:55:43,400
Speaker 5: And we in the second game, which was seventy percent,

1158
00:55:43,520 --> 00:55:46,560
Speaker 5: so he's right around. You know, fifty high fifties to

1159
00:55:46,640 --> 00:55:49,600
Speaker 5: low seventies in routes run pretty much no matter who's

1160
00:55:49,600 --> 00:55:50,560
Speaker 5: been in er out of the lineup.

1161
00:55:50,640 --> 00:55:52,279
Speaker 9: So that's just something to keep in mind.

1162
00:55:52,880 --> 00:55:55,840
Speaker 2: Nice shot there, Friedman's guy Sternberger. By the way, how's

1163
00:55:55,880 --> 00:55:57,319
Speaker 2: your guy Dan Arnold doing?

1164
00:55:58,040 --> 00:55:58,640
Speaker 9: He's terrible.

1165
00:55:58,920 --> 00:56:01,640
Speaker 4: Darryl Daniels pass them up on Mete.

1166
00:56:01,719 --> 00:56:03,520
Speaker 5: You can't run block. You can't run block. That's one

1167
00:56:03,560 --> 00:56:04,839
Speaker 5: of the reasons Kenyan Drake is strung.

1168
00:56:04,880 --> 00:56:04,920
Speaker 2: No.

1169
00:56:05,040 --> 00:56:07,400
Speaker 5: I've been reading about like the Arizona beat, like Kenyan

1170
00:56:07,480 --> 00:56:09,200
Speaker 5: Drake struggles there, like putting it on Arnold.

1171
00:56:09,280 --> 00:56:11,839
Speaker 9: So it's not looking good. Not looking good?

1172
00:56:11,920 --> 00:56:15,359
Speaker 2: All right? Fits great having you on the show. Talk

1173
00:56:15,400 --> 00:56:19,120
Speaker 2: to us about your content where people can find it.

1174
00:56:19,160 --> 00:56:20,359
Speaker 2: What are you putting out for the people?

1175
00:56:20,719 --> 00:56:23,400
Speaker 8: Well, thanks for having me. I always like talking to

1176
00:56:23,440 --> 00:56:25,879
Speaker 8: you guys, and I'm a regular listener of this show.

1177
00:56:25,920 --> 00:56:27,960
Speaker 8: It's one of my favorites. So you can always find

1178
00:56:28,000 --> 00:56:31,520
Speaker 8: my rankings at the Footballgirl dot com of a weekly podcast,

1179
00:56:31,760 --> 00:56:35,280
Speaker 8: the fits On Fantasy Podcast. You know that's available wherever

1180
00:56:35,360 --> 00:56:37,879
Speaker 8: podcasts are phone and you can find me on Twitter

1181
00:56:38,040 --> 00:56:40,800
Speaker 8: at fits underscore FF.

1182
00:56:40,920 --> 00:56:43,080
Speaker 2: All right for sure. To give him a follow, you

1183
00:56:43,120 --> 00:56:45,800
Speaker 2: can follow Sean, Chris and Me and the Action Network

1184
00:56:45,840 --> 00:56:48,640
Speaker 2: app at the Underscore odds maker, Chris Ravon and Matt

1185
00:56:48,760 --> 00:56:50,759
Speaker 2: f u orcle use the app to get real time

1186
00:56:50,800 --> 00:56:53,440
Speaker 2: odds and track your bets for free. Please subscribe to

1187
00:56:53,440 --> 00:56:55,400
Speaker 2: you and rate, interview the show, and listen and download

1188
00:56:55,480 --> 00:56:58,560
Speaker 2: on Spotify. See you again next episode.

1189
00:57:15,640 --> 00:57:16,680
Speaker 7: We're finished talking