WEBVTT - The Russian SPY Factory In Brazil, Explained: New York Times BOMBSHELL Story Reaction

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<v Speaker 1>Hello there, Welcome to another episode of the Chuck Podcast.

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<v Speaker 1>We have a fascinating set of guests for you today.

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<v Speaker 1>It's the two New York Times reporters behind the uncovering

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<v Speaker 1>of these I guess you might call them a sleeper

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<v Speaker 1>Russian agents and how the country of Brazil essentially became

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<v Speaker 1>an incubator for the You know, if you were a

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<v Speaker 1>fan of the show of the Americans and this idea

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<v Speaker 1>of the illegals and the actual program where you had

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<v Speaker 1>these deep undercover spies that Russia will infiltrate various Western societies, well,

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<v Speaker 1>way do you understand? And you're going to hear and

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<v Speaker 1>they do a terrific job of telling you the story.

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<v Speaker 1>But how Brazil and it sort of has unique ways

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<v Speaker 1>of proving of being able to get a birth certificate,

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<v Speaker 1>that it became basically ground zero for the Russians and

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<v Speaker 1>for Putin's factctory to potentially and what's interesting is that

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<v Speaker 1>it's possible this has been going on since before the

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<v Speaker 1>end of the Cold War and in fact may have

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<v Speaker 1>been sort of never It wasn't some a program that

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<v Speaker 1>was quote unquote revived when Putin came into power that

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<v Speaker 1>actually never ended, even as the Cold War ended. Anyway,

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<v Speaker 1>It's a fascinating conversation. I hope you make time for it.

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<v Speaker 1>It's a terrific It's why I'm releasing it on Thursday,

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<v Speaker 1>because I think it's a terrific longer listen if you will.

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<v Speaker 1>But before we get to that, I want to do

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<v Speaker 1>a little bit of I've got my hands on polling

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<v Speaker 1>in a couple of important states, Texas and Michigan, as

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<v Speaker 1>well as some polling that I'm going to be dismissive

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<v Speaker 1>of in South Carolina. I'll tell you that in a minute.

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<v Speaker 1>And while both Texas and Michigan are very twenty twenty

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<v Speaker 1>six oriented, there is I want to sort of sort

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<v Speaker 1>of do a little big picture here and just say,

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<v Speaker 1>you know, as we're sort of the leader of the

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<v Speaker 1>Republican Party has put the Republican Party right now, and

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<v Speaker 1>how Donald Trump is actually putting them and starting to

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<v Speaker 1>make some of the same mistakes that leaders of previous

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<v Speaker 1>you know, previous presidents have helped to create similar mistakes

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<v Speaker 1>that have only led their party to losses, particularly in

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<v Speaker 1>midterm years. Just think about what he's been talking about

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<v Speaker 1>more over the last oh say, seventy two ninety six hours,

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<v Speaker 1>right he spent Memorial Day weekend attacking Harvard. He compared

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<v Speaker 1>himself to al Capone. He hyped his crypto business. His

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<v Speaker 1>kids are out in Vegas doing more crypto business this week.

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<v Speaker 1>His vice president was raising money from crypto guys. Didn't

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<v Speaker 1>really mention fallen soldiers, particularly at West Point, used the

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<v Speaker 1>West Point commencement address to rehash his personal legal grievances.

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<v Speaker 1>The point is he was making it all about himself.

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<v Speaker 1>And the thing with midterm elections is that presidents, you know,

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<v Speaker 1>are even when they're not on the ballot, they composed

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<v Speaker 1>the mood music of it, and they can have an

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<v Speaker 1>impact on that. And this is sort of doubly a

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<v Speaker 1>problem for the Republican Party because Donald Trump, you know,

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<v Speaker 1>when his name's on the ballot, there are a group

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<v Speaker 1>of voters that show up. But when his name's not

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<v Speaker 1>on a ballot, these voters don't show up, and the

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<v Speaker 1>voters that do show up are more are listening to

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<v Speaker 1>the mood music that's being composed by Trump, and right

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<v Speaker 1>now that is not in a good place for the midterms.

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<v Speaker 1>And in fact, even if he gets his big agenda bill,

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<v Speaker 1>the problem he's got is that there's no new deliverable. Right,

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<v Speaker 1>there's not an extra tax cut, it's just keeping the

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<v Speaker 1>tax bill the same. And it's hard to convince somebody, oh,

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<v Speaker 1>it could have been worse if I didn't do it.

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<v Speaker 1>And yet that's you know, he doesn't have a lot

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<v Speaker 1>of wins. The one place where he has some wins

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<v Speaker 1>is on the border, and it's not an insignificant thing.

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<v Speaker 1>And I think that it's the one place that I

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<v Speaker 1>think voters are pretty happy with how things are going.

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<v Speaker 1>But look at the central issue of how he won

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<v Speaker 1>this election. He won this election on prices in the economy.

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<v Speaker 1>I think the border was second, but I think it

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<v Speaker 1>was and I think when you think about these swing voters,

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<v Speaker 1>they didn't swing on the border. Those swing voters swung

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<v Speaker 1>on prices in the economy and the belief that Trump

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<v Speaker 1>knew how to manage a better economy and a disbelief

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<v Speaker 1>that Biden and Harris knew what they were doing on

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<v Speaker 1>the economy. So he hasn't really focused on lowering prices

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<v Speaker 1>because prices haven't been lowered. If anything, it feels as

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<v Speaker 1>if prices are going to go back up right thanks

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<v Speaker 1>to what's happening in what's happening with his with his

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<v Speaker 1>unsteady tariff policy, So he's not looking forward, he's not

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<v Speaker 1>addressing sort of the near term needs of the electorate

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<v Speaker 1>or it economically, and he's not going to have to

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<v Speaker 1>campaign on this. Other Republicans are going to be having

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<v Speaker 1>to campaign on this, and they have to campaign defending this.

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<v Speaker 1>They can't run as change candidates. And one thing I

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<v Speaker 1>think we've learned is that we're perpetually in a change

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<v Speaker 1>change cycle. It was a change election in six it

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<v Speaker 1>was a change election in o eight, It's a change

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<v Speaker 1>election in ten, and was not a change election in

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<v Speaker 1>twelve as a term out or Mitt Romney would have won.

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<v Speaker 1>But it was a change election in fourteen. It was

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<v Speaker 1>a change election in sixteen. It was a change election

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<v Speaker 1>in eighteen, so change election in twenty, so a change

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<v Speaker 1>election in twenty two, and it was a change election

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<v Speaker 1>in twenty twenty in twenty four. Do you see a

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<v Speaker 1>pattern here?

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<v Speaker 2>Right?

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<v Speaker 1>We know what we don't want, and we're certainly not

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<v Speaker 1>happy with incumbency in general, especially when it appears you've

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<v Speaker 1>taken your eye off the ball. Right, George W. Bush

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<v Speaker 1>and the Republicans got pummeled in six because in five

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<v Speaker 1>and six after winning reelection in four on safety and

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<v Speaker 1>security issues. He started focusing on social security, don't touch it.

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<v Speaker 1>Then we got into these sort of weird, nuanced issues

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<v Speaker 1>where government was getting involved in an end of life

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<v Speaker 1>care the Terry Schivo If you want to know more

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<v Speaker 1>about that, if you ahead and do your own Google

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<v Speaker 1>and deep dive on Terry Schivo. But it really was

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<v Speaker 1>sort of government, you know, getting too involved in your life,

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<v Speaker 1>and it was the Republicans right doing that, and they

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<v Speaker 1>and it and handed the Democrats the hey, get government

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<v Speaker 1>out out of your life message. Do you see something

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<v Speaker 1>similar happening here? Go read the most recent column of

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<v Speaker 1>George Will, and he makes the case that the current

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<v Speaker 1>version of the Republican Party has become as pro government

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<v Speaker 1>and in some way as dictatorial of what government that

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<v Speaker 1>government should tell you how to live your life, in

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<v Speaker 1>the same way that he would criticize progressives for wanting

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<v Speaker 1>to do similar things. In fact, he called it a

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<v Speaker 1>progress said it's the most progressive administration we've ever had

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<v Speaker 1>in the American presidency. Obviously, George Will, who's more of

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<v Speaker 1>a limited government conservative, doesn't see his version of conservatism

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<v Speaker 1>at all being represented by this wing of the Republican Party.

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<v Speaker 1>And the problem is Trump is the party right for

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<v Speaker 1>better or for worse. So he defines the party and

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<v Speaker 1>we already know this. It is his version is not popular.

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<v Speaker 1>He only succeeds when something is more unpopular standing next

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<v Speaker 1>to him, and he won't be on the ballot. And yes,

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<v Speaker 1>he'll try to revive Joe Biden, and they'll try to

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<v Speaker 1>make that a issue. You already see some Republicans are

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<v Speaker 1>trying to revise that the issue of the trans women

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<v Speaker 1>in sports. That's the first ad and the Georgia Senate

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<v Speaker 1>race that a Republican is running. So they certainly want

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<v Speaker 1>to try to keep running on the culture wars of

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<v Speaker 1>some sort. But it's going to be tough if Democrats

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<v Speaker 1>actually focus on near term issues. Look, Democrats have you know,

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<v Speaker 1>Barack Obama focusing on healthcare even though he was arguing

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<v Speaker 1>that healthcare would help long term economic prospects, that did

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<v Speaker 1>not answer the near term need that voters had when

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<v Speaker 1>it came to the financial crisis, And why wasn't there

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<v Speaker 1>more of a focus on that, and why wasn't there

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<v Speaker 1>more you know, essentially old Testament justice when it came

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<v Speaker 1>to the financial crisis, and so and I think that

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<v Speaker 1>was among the explanations of why why Obama got Obama's

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<v Speaker 1>party got their head handed to them in the twenty

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<v Speaker 1>ten midterms and then, arguably to a lesser extent in

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<v Speaker 1>twenty fourteen. So I don't think right now and this

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<v Speaker 1>is a critical time. This isn't a random time to

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<v Speaker 1>be bringing this up. This is a critical time for

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<v Speaker 1>Republicans to be recruiting candidates for office, for Republicans to

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<v Speaker 1>be convincing incumbents to run for reelection again. And when

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<v Speaker 1>they look at the mood music that Donald Trump is composing,

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<v Speaker 1>and they look at the at this big, beautiful bill

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<v Speaker 1>that is not going to have a lot of things

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<v Speaker 1>that are easy to sell to the public that feel

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<v Speaker 1>responsive to their current needs. You know, maybe he figures

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<v Speaker 1>out a way to write a check signed by Donald

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<v Speaker 1>Trump to people. Maybe it'll be twenty bucks, whatever it is.

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<v Speaker 1>He's going to try some gimmick like that, because they're

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<v Speaker 1>going to have to try something like that. But these,

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<v Speaker 1>you know, any changes to Medicaid are going to be unpopular.

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<v Speaker 1>I think one thing we're going to learn is that

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<v Speaker 1>Medicaid is as an untouchable. As I pointed out yesterday

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<v Speaker 1>in the previous podcast is as untouchable as Social Security

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<v Speaker 1>and Medicare. And I think that back of part of

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<v Speaker 1>this is that Republicans have never been defenders of Medicaid before.

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<v Speaker 1>They've been critics of the program for decades, and now

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<v Speaker 1>that it's essentially universally popular, and because it is a

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<v Speaker 1>safety net, not just if you if you're out of

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<v Speaker 1>a job, but it's a safety net if you're stuck

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<v Speaker 1>doing a job that doesn't offer benefits. It's also a

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<v Speaker 1>safety net if you run out of money before before

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<v Speaker 1>the end of your life. It is a safety net

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<v Speaker 1>for a lot of Americans, not just Americans unquote unquote welfare.

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<v Speaker 1>So with that, I just wanted to put that out

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<v Speaker 1>there because I do think Donald Trump's not helping his

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<v Speaker 1>party at all, and we have some initial polling to show,

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<v Speaker 1>you know, his job. There's a new Texas poll that

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<v Speaker 1>I think is a quite good poll, although I think

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<v Speaker 1>it did a real poor job asking one question and

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<v Speaker 1>I'll get to it, but Texas Southern University, the Barbara

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<v Speaker 1>Jordan School, they put out a very uh and there. Look,

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<v Speaker 1>there's not a lot of great polling in the state

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<v Speaker 1>of Texas, but this is a pretty good one and

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<v Speaker 1>has had a pretty good track record, and it measures

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<v Speaker 1>the big stuff, including presidential job rating. In Texas. Okay,

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<v Speaker 1>there's a red state. He's sitting at fifty three percent

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<v Speaker 1>and they did her. If you could do a revote,

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<v Speaker 1>Trump's fourteen point win over Harris would be down to eight. Now,

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<v Speaker 1>part of that is we know that the midterm electorate

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<v Speaker 1>is going to be less trumpy, right, Yet another reason

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<v Speaker 1>for why Trump's inability to give to sort of deliver

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<v Speaker 1>items that the voters are going to care about come

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<v Speaker 1>the midterms is going to be a real challenge for

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<v Speaker 1>them because it's electorate. As we know, the more focused

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<v Speaker 1>you are on voting in a midterm, the less pro

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<v Speaker 1>Trump you are. But just to give you a sense

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<v Speaker 1>of because this is I think a pretty good standing.

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<v Speaker 1>He's got a fifty three percent job approval, which again

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<v Speaker 1>this is Texas, that's not the greatest. Forty seven percent

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<v Speaker 1>in Texas are disapproving of the job he's doing. Now,

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<v Speaker 1>his approval rating is higher on immigration than any other

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<v Speaker 1>issue at fifty six percent, and this is the one

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<v Speaker 1>issue that he has been pulling universally across the board.

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<v Speaker 1>Has been given credit for that. Ironically, he was assisted

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<v Speaker 1>by finally in the last year of his presidency, after

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<v Speaker 1>a new chief of staff came in, Jeff Science, that

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<v Speaker 1>allowed the Department of Homeland Security in Ali Mayorcus to

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<v Speaker 1>actually do the job that they were trying to do

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<v Speaker 1>in the first two years of the Biden administration, and

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<v Speaker 1>for some reason the West wing or the president wasn't

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<v Speaker 1>allowing them to do their job. But in many ways,

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<v Speaker 1>the Biden administration gave Trump a head start at getting

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<v Speaker 1>I mean, the cynic in me thinks that one of

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<v Speaker 1>the reasons why Stephen Miller is pushing for rescinding some

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<v Speaker 1>of these temporary protected status citations for different for different

0:11:47.240 --> 0:11:50.880
<v Speaker 1>immigrants from different countries is so they can then drum

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<v Speaker 1>up their deportation numbers, because once you pull away the

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<v Speaker 1>protected status, then suddenly they're eligible for deportation. And clearly

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<v Speaker 1>they care more about the metrics than than wanting to

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<v Speaker 1>admit that Biden did seventy percent of the job for

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<v Speaker 1>them before they got to it, because that's an uncomfortable

0:12:08.040 --> 0:12:11.200
<v Speaker 1>truth that they would not want to admit. Here's what's

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<v Speaker 1>also interesting in here is that Texas voters he's got

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<v Speaker 1>a higher approval rating than his overall approval rating on

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<v Speaker 1>the issue of reduction of the size of government. I

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<v Speaker 1>think this is a reminder and Democrats need to be

0:12:22.080 --> 0:12:24.120
<v Speaker 1>very careful here at how they go after Elon Musk.

0:12:24.280 --> 0:12:26.720
<v Speaker 1>I think Elon Musk is unpopular. What Elon Musk was

0:12:26.760 --> 0:12:30.840
<v Speaker 1>doing was not unpopular. Right. This gets at to what

0:12:30.880 --> 0:12:34.280
<v Speaker 1>I've argued is a competency issue for this administration. Their

0:12:34.400 --> 0:12:38.880
<v Speaker 1>goals are aligned with the voters, their ability to implement

0:12:38.920 --> 0:12:41.880
<v Speaker 1>their goals are not, you know, is sort of incompetent. Right.

0:12:41.880 --> 0:12:45.000
<v Speaker 1>They've done a terrible job on tariffs. They've done a

0:12:45.080 --> 0:12:47.600
<v Speaker 1>terrible job on how you would actually cut government. There

0:12:47.600 --> 0:12:49.800
<v Speaker 1>were ways to do this that they could have had

0:12:49.840 --> 0:12:52.000
<v Speaker 1>congressional buy in a lot sooner, and they didn't do it.

0:12:52.480 --> 0:12:55.360
<v Speaker 1>But the fact is the voters have noticed he got

0:12:55.360 --> 0:12:57.839
<v Speaker 1>caught trying, and they're giving them credit for getting caught trying.

0:12:58.240 --> 0:13:01.120
<v Speaker 1>But this is where you see the trouble spots where

0:13:01.160 --> 0:13:03.880
<v Speaker 1>he's below that fifty three percent job eRating on specific

0:13:03.960 --> 0:13:07.400
<v Speaker 1>issues in Texas, Trump is at fifty one on foreign policy,

0:13:07.520 --> 0:13:10.600
<v Speaker 1>at forty nine on the economy, at forty five percent

0:13:10.640 --> 0:13:15.679
<v Speaker 1>on tariffs. Okay, at and he's got a fifty one

0:13:15.679 --> 0:13:20.560
<v Speaker 1>percent personal favorable rating, So I think it shows you

0:13:20.600 --> 0:13:24.520
<v Speaker 1>what the warning signs are, right, And already voters, even

0:13:24.640 --> 0:13:28.720
<v Speaker 1>in red Texas have decided he doesn't. He's not handling

0:13:28.720 --> 0:13:31.720
<v Speaker 1>the economy well, and he's not handling tariffs well well.

0:13:31.760 --> 0:13:33.640
<v Speaker 1>Tariffs and the economy to me are almost going to

0:13:33.679 --> 0:13:37.439
<v Speaker 1>be conflated as one issue. This is a giant flashing

0:13:37.640 --> 0:13:42.720
<v Speaker 1>red flag, red light, if you will, for Republicans, which

0:13:42.920 --> 0:13:48.600
<v Speaker 1>probably does explain why the president keeps backing off these tariffs, right.

0:13:48.840 --> 0:13:51.520
<v Speaker 1>And it's not just that he's shown the volatility in

0:13:51.520 --> 0:13:55.280
<v Speaker 1>the bond markets bad for the economy, raises, mortgage rates,

0:13:55.360 --> 0:13:58.679
<v Speaker 1>all those things. But then it's like, hey, buddy, people

0:13:58.679 --> 0:14:01.000
<v Speaker 1>don't think you know what you're doing on the economy anymore.

0:14:01.280 --> 0:14:06.000
<v Speaker 1>That was the singular reason voters chose the voters who

0:14:06.000 --> 0:14:09.119
<v Speaker 1>were who were who weren't fans of him, but reluctantly

0:14:09.200 --> 0:14:13.160
<v Speaker 1>voted for him. It was almost universally on the issue

0:14:13.280 --> 0:14:15.840
<v Speaker 1>of the economy. One other note on the Texas poll

0:14:15.920 --> 0:14:18.160
<v Speaker 1>in here on the Senate race, and by the way,

0:14:18.160 --> 0:14:21.239
<v Speaker 1>a little request to my friends at Texas Southern University,

0:14:22.040 --> 0:14:24.920
<v Speaker 1>which is they didn't do a three way matchup because

0:14:24.920 --> 0:14:26.520
<v Speaker 1>what I really want to see is what is the

0:14:26.560 --> 0:14:29.040
<v Speaker 1>strength of the corn voter when when Cornyn would be

0:14:29.040 --> 0:14:30.760
<v Speaker 1>there and is an independent. I know he's not threatened

0:14:30.760 --> 0:14:32.400
<v Speaker 1>as an independent, but if you really want to see

0:14:32.400 --> 0:14:35.920
<v Speaker 1>the strength of the Republican brand in Paxton, the Democratic

0:14:35.960 --> 0:14:39.800
<v Speaker 1>brand and Colin all read and where the middle is right,

0:14:39.800 --> 0:14:42.400
<v Speaker 1>who were the persuadable voters? If you asked a three

0:14:42.400 --> 0:14:46.800
<v Speaker 1>way general election race for for for social science purposes

0:14:46.960 --> 0:14:50.200
<v Speaker 1>to my professor friends of Texas State, Texas Southern, you

0:14:50.240 --> 0:14:53.000
<v Speaker 1>would get a better understanding of who the who the

0:14:53.040 --> 0:14:55.440
<v Speaker 1>group of voters that are the most movable right, the

0:14:55.480 --> 0:14:57.720
<v Speaker 1>group of voters that picked corn And when given the

0:14:57.760 --> 0:14:59.880
<v Speaker 1>other two choices, I think will tell you who the

0:15:00.040 --> 0:15:01.600
<v Speaker 1>who the swing voters are. So I think it's a

0:15:01.800 --> 0:15:06.360
<v Speaker 1>it's a missed opportunity to truly identify an easier way

0:15:06.360 --> 0:15:08.920
<v Speaker 1>to entify. But what's interesting here John Cornyan has the

0:15:08.960 --> 0:15:12.040
<v Speaker 1>lowest favorable rating among Republicans than any of the other

0:15:12.080 --> 0:15:16.280
<v Speaker 1>Republican candidates tested. He is the highest unfavorable rating among

0:15:16.320 --> 0:15:19.640
<v Speaker 1>Republicans than any the only one that's over thirty percent unfavorable.

0:15:21.320 --> 0:15:25.320
<v Speaker 1>Now Trump's endorsement, it would matter to seventy plus percent

0:15:25.440 --> 0:15:29.040
<v Speaker 1>of primary voters. That's a big deal. I have a

0:15:29.080 --> 0:15:31.600
<v Speaker 1>feeling Trump's going to endorse both Conan Impacston, and he's

0:15:31.600 --> 0:15:33.480
<v Speaker 1>going to pull an air. You know. One of the

0:15:33.480 --> 0:15:36.320
<v Speaker 1>things Trump does is that he is that is that

0:15:36.400 --> 0:15:39.000
<v Speaker 1>if he if he is afraid of letting somebody down,

0:15:39.320 --> 0:15:41.800
<v Speaker 1>he will then just endorse both candidates. He's done that

0:15:41.840 --> 0:15:44.720
<v Speaker 1>in a handful of races. I suspect he will do

0:15:44.760 --> 0:15:48.280
<v Speaker 1>that here. For what it's worth, I think it's fascinating

0:15:48.320 --> 0:15:51.280
<v Speaker 1>that Congressman Wesley Hunt, when he's included in the race,

0:15:52.040 --> 0:15:55.560
<v Speaker 1>he immediately is able to get fifteen percent. The fact is,

0:15:56.040 --> 0:15:58.920
<v Speaker 1>I think Cornan and the question I have is, and

0:15:58.960 --> 0:16:00.440
<v Speaker 1>it's going to get me to another poll here in

0:16:00.480 --> 0:16:04.360
<v Speaker 1>a minute. Incumbency may be as big of a problem

0:16:04.400 --> 0:16:09.320
<v Speaker 1>for Cornin as not being maga enough is. And I

0:16:09.400 --> 0:16:13.760
<v Speaker 1>think that, you know, I think being an incumbent, whether

0:16:13.800 --> 0:16:15.360
<v Speaker 1>you're a D or an R, is going to be

0:16:15.360 --> 0:16:18.440
<v Speaker 1>a negative to most voters in twenty twenty six. I

0:16:18.440 --> 0:16:21.320
<v Speaker 1>think there's a real disillusionment with the with the political

0:16:21.400 --> 0:16:23.960
<v Speaker 1>power in both parties. I mean, at the end of

0:16:24.000 --> 0:16:25.560
<v Speaker 1>the day, you have a lot of voters who didn't

0:16:25.600 --> 0:16:27.120
<v Speaker 1>like the fact that their choices were going to be

0:16:27.160 --> 0:16:30.040
<v Speaker 1>Biden and Trump, and that was due to the lack

0:16:30.080 --> 0:16:32.640
<v Speaker 1>of leadership in either party to do something about it.

0:16:33.080 --> 0:16:35.080
<v Speaker 1>And I think there's going to be you know, there's

0:16:35.120 --> 0:16:39.920
<v Speaker 1>going to be a lot of openness to alternative candidates

0:16:39.920 --> 0:16:43.000
<v Speaker 1>to incumbents, whether that's in third party candidacies. And I'm

0:16:43.040 --> 0:16:44.960
<v Speaker 1>going to tell you about a minute in Michigan or

0:16:45.040 --> 0:16:49.240
<v Speaker 1>it's about it's about primaries. But the fact is John

0:16:49.280 --> 0:16:52.960
<v Speaker 1>Cornyn's in deep trouble. If he can figure out how

0:16:52.960 --> 0:16:56.240
<v Speaker 1>to win this primary, he's going to win reelection. But

0:16:56.440 --> 0:16:58.720
<v Speaker 1>I don't know if he can win this primary. When

0:16:58.760 --> 0:17:01.480
<v Speaker 1>you start to look at his fundaments, because he's not

0:17:01.640 --> 0:17:03.320
<v Speaker 1>it's not going to be an even you know, even

0:17:03.320 --> 0:17:05.200
<v Speaker 1>if he has it at best, he can hope for

0:17:05.240 --> 0:17:07.560
<v Speaker 1>an even financial playing field. Now I will say this,

0:17:07.680 --> 0:17:10.520
<v Speaker 1>It is worth noting that John corn hired Chris Losovita,

0:17:10.800 --> 0:17:13.640
<v Speaker 1>who is one of the architects of Donald Trump's successful

0:17:13.680 --> 0:17:16.719
<v Speaker 1>twenty twenty four reelection. And las Avita knows how to

0:17:16.760 --> 0:17:18.760
<v Speaker 1>I've pointed this out before. He knows how to play ball,

0:17:18.800 --> 0:17:20.240
<v Speaker 1>and he knows how to play ball in a primary

0:17:20.240 --> 0:17:25.239
<v Speaker 1>when necessary, and he's a tough He's one of your

0:17:25.640 --> 0:17:29.560
<v Speaker 1>tougher players on the playing field there, but Cornyn has

0:17:29.560 --> 0:17:32.879
<v Speaker 1>an uphill battle. And you know, all of them in

0:17:32.960 --> 0:17:36.000
<v Speaker 1>matchups with various Democrats, whether veter or a Roora, Colin Allred,

0:17:36.320 --> 0:17:38.760
<v Speaker 1>or Joaquim Castro, those are the three Democrats they tested.

0:17:39.280 --> 0:17:42.760
<v Speaker 1>None of them lead any of the Republican nominees, but

0:17:42.800 --> 0:17:45.000
<v Speaker 1>all of them are within single digits. Even if Cornin's

0:17:45.000 --> 0:17:48.560
<v Speaker 1>a nominee. Clearly Paxton is the weakest candidate. He tests

0:17:48.600 --> 0:17:50.840
<v Speaker 1>the weakest. He only has a two point lead over all.

0:17:50.880 --> 0:17:55.440
<v Speaker 1>Read So there's no doubt that the premier Republican primary

0:17:55.440 --> 0:17:56.720
<v Speaker 1>in the country right now is going to be this

0:17:56.800 --> 0:17:59.280
<v Speaker 1>Texas Senate primary. And let's just say, just as a

0:17:59.280 --> 0:18:01.800
<v Speaker 1>political junk, I'm here for it. It's going to be

0:18:02.000 --> 0:18:04.200
<v Speaker 1>a fabulous race. I can't wait. I'm going to be

0:18:04.240 --> 0:18:06.440
<v Speaker 1>going down there in the fall to get my own

0:18:06.480 --> 0:18:08.760
<v Speaker 1>flavor of that. But it's going to be great. Another

0:18:08.800 --> 0:18:10.520
<v Speaker 1>poll that came out over the last twenty four hours

0:18:10.560 --> 0:18:13.199
<v Speaker 1>is one in Michigan. My friends at the Detroit at

0:18:13.200 --> 0:18:16.280
<v Speaker 1>the Chamber of Commerce put out their big pole going

0:18:16.320 --> 0:18:19.400
<v Speaker 1>into mckinaw Island, which is their big political policy conference.

0:18:19.400 --> 0:18:22.919
<v Speaker 1>It takes place up there on Mcina Island, which, by

0:18:22.960 --> 0:18:27.040
<v Speaker 1>the way, is a fabulous the one of the probably

0:18:27.080 --> 0:18:34.480
<v Speaker 1>one of the best best islands that isn't surrounded by

0:18:34.480 --> 0:18:38.320
<v Speaker 1>saltwater that you can find anywhere in this hemisphere. It

0:18:38.400 --> 0:18:41.040
<v Speaker 1>is a fascinating place. But the whole Michigan political world

0:18:41.080 --> 0:18:45.040
<v Speaker 1>is going to be there, and what they found is

0:18:45.320 --> 0:18:48.399
<v Speaker 1>shocking strength, I think for Mike Duggan as an independent

0:18:48.480 --> 0:18:51.880
<v Speaker 1>candidate in all of the matchups. So in the gubernatorial

0:18:51.960 --> 0:18:54.840
<v Speaker 1>race there the mayor of Detroit is running. He's got

0:18:54.880 --> 0:18:57.960
<v Speaker 1>high name ID in Metro Detroit, low name ID everywhere else,

0:18:58.520 --> 0:19:03.479
<v Speaker 1>but as a baseline, in every matchup, he starts in

0:19:03.520 --> 0:19:05.920
<v Speaker 1>the low twenties. And it doesn't matter whether he's matched

0:19:05.960 --> 0:19:09.399
<v Speaker 1>up against Jocelyn Benson, who's the runaway front runner on

0:19:09.400 --> 0:19:12.760
<v Speaker 1>the Democratic side, who's the current Secretary of State, or

0:19:12.840 --> 0:19:15.840
<v Speaker 1>John James, who's a congressman who's the runaway frontrunner on

0:19:15.880 --> 0:19:18.960
<v Speaker 1>the Republican side, whoever is matched up there, Dougan is

0:19:19.000 --> 0:19:22.000
<v Speaker 1>sitting at twenty to twenty one percent. What's interesting, he's

0:19:22.000 --> 0:19:24.760
<v Speaker 1>also the only candidate tested in this poll that had

0:19:24.800 --> 0:19:29.200
<v Speaker 1>positive ratings among Democrats, positive ratings among independents and positive

0:19:29.240 --> 0:19:33.040
<v Speaker 1>ratings among Republicans. Right, Jocelyn Benson had positive ratings among

0:19:33.320 --> 0:19:38.520
<v Speaker 1>Democrats but not Republicans. James among Republicans but not Democrats.

0:19:38.920 --> 0:19:44.199
<v Speaker 1>So I will just say this, Duggan starts out in

0:19:44.280 --> 0:19:48.440
<v Speaker 1>a shockingly strong position. And again, in this idea of

0:19:48.480 --> 0:19:50.800
<v Speaker 1>an anti incumbency place, you're going to have a sitting

0:19:50.800 --> 0:19:53.800
<v Speaker 1>member of Congress who's running for governor on the Republican

0:19:53.840 --> 0:19:58.000
<v Speaker 1>side and a sitting statewide officeholder on the other side.

0:19:58.200 --> 0:20:01.320
<v Speaker 1>Him being able to sort of run again the establishments

0:20:01.359 --> 0:20:04.760
<v Speaker 1>of both parties is sitting there, and already voters view

0:20:04.880 --> 0:20:08.240
<v Speaker 1>him in a sort of less partisan way. They don't

0:20:08.240 --> 0:20:11.320
<v Speaker 1>see him he's a former Democrat, yet he's not somehow

0:20:11.440 --> 0:20:15.600
<v Speaker 1>viewed more as a Democrat by Republicans. Everybody sees him

0:20:15.880 --> 0:20:18.960
<v Speaker 1>more as an independent figure. The point is this dug

0:20:18.960 --> 0:20:21.840
<v Speaker 1>and race is real, This three way race is real.

0:20:22.560 --> 0:20:26.480
<v Speaker 1>Be paying attention to that, that's for sure. And then finally,

0:20:26.480 --> 0:20:29.600
<v Speaker 1>another poll that I want to make note of in

0:20:29.720 --> 0:20:32.560
<v Speaker 1>order to be dismissive of, and that is you may

0:20:32.560 --> 0:20:35.520
<v Speaker 1>have seen some numbers about Lindsay Graham potentially in a

0:20:35.920 --> 0:20:41.200
<v Speaker 1>closer than expected race. It was sort of a poll

0:20:41.240 --> 0:20:44.240
<v Speaker 1>that was just released via press release only to sort

0:20:44.240 --> 0:20:47.399
<v Speaker 1>of right wing media that wrote it up as if

0:20:47.440 --> 0:20:49.680
<v Speaker 1>it was a serious poll. But it looked like there

0:20:49.760 --> 0:20:54.600
<v Speaker 1>was some push language in there, in meaning like, you know,

0:20:54.920 --> 0:20:56.600
<v Speaker 1>do you want to vote for Lindsay Graham, who's been

0:20:56.600 --> 0:21:00.440
<v Speaker 1>an entrenched incumbent for twenty five years? Do you want

0:21:00.440 --> 0:21:04.919
<v Speaker 1>to vote for this fresh businessman named Lynch over here?

0:21:05.240 --> 0:21:08.600
<v Speaker 1>And even you know, sort of having where they clearly

0:21:08.960 --> 0:21:10.960
<v Speaker 1>it appears that they sort of pushed the electorate a

0:21:11.000 --> 0:21:13.240
<v Speaker 1>little bit or sort of created the as good of

0:21:13.240 --> 0:21:16.240
<v Speaker 1>conditions as you can. Graham still leads in a primary. Yes,

0:21:16.240 --> 0:21:20.360
<v Speaker 1>it's under fifty percent, but he already already has Trump's endorsement.

0:21:20.480 --> 0:21:24.280
<v Speaker 1>So I don't buy that South Carolina poll number. I

0:21:24.320 --> 0:21:27.439
<v Speaker 1>certainly want to see a more legitimate polling organization to

0:21:27.440 --> 0:21:29.879
<v Speaker 1>come out with another set of numbers before I will

0:21:29.920 --> 0:21:33.600
<v Speaker 1>buy into the idea that Lindsey Graham, who is you

0:21:33.640 --> 0:21:36.399
<v Speaker 1>know in theory, has supposedly been vulnerable to a primary

0:21:36.440 --> 0:21:39.359
<v Speaker 1>for the last twenty years, including I'm old enough to

0:21:39.400 --> 0:21:43.280
<v Speaker 1>remember when a young woman named Nancy Mace planned to

0:21:43.280 --> 0:21:47.040
<v Speaker 1>primary him just fresh out of the citadel. So I

0:21:47.520 --> 0:21:51.040
<v Speaker 1>am I'll believe that when I see some more polling

0:21:51.160 --> 0:21:55.760
<v Speaker 1>to see it. So with that, I want to take

0:21:55.760 --> 0:21:58.320
<v Speaker 1>a break and when you come back, this fascinating conversation

0:21:58.760 --> 0:22:04.760
<v Speaker 1>how Brazil became the incubator for the Russian illegal the

0:22:04.800 --> 0:22:09.199
<v Speaker 1>next Americans may have been born in Brazil. It's a

0:22:09.200 --> 0:22:11.199
<v Speaker 1>weird way of putting it. Huh. Just listen to the

0:22:11.240 --> 0:22:19.439
<v Speaker 1>interview and you'll get it. Well. Joining me now our

0:22:19.480 --> 0:22:23.680
<v Speaker 1>two reporters from the New York Times. It's Michael Schwartz

0:22:23.840 --> 0:22:27.000
<v Speaker 1>and Jane Bradley. And if you're like me and we're

0:22:27.000 --> 0:22:31.159
<v Speaker 1>a fan of the TV show, back when we watched

0:22:31.160 --> 0:22:33.840
<v Speaker 1>things on channels, I know we don't do that anymore,

0:22:33.880 --> 0:22:36.520
<v Speaker 1>but we used to watch things on channels. It was

0:22:36.560 --> 0:22:39.959
<v Speaker 1>on Fax. It was called The Americans, and it was

0:22:40.359 --> 0:22:45.800
<v Speaker 1>about this fictitious spy program where Russian said Soviet Union

0:22:45.840 --> 0:22:49.760
<v Speaker 1>had infiltrated and had these sort of home grown spies

0:22:50.000 --> 0:22:54.680
<v Speaker 1>and they so assimilated into American culture that no one

0:22:55.040 --> 0:22:57.720
<v Speaker 1>saw what they were actually up to. It's made a

0:22:57.760 --> 0:22:59.879
<v Speaker 1>lot of us that have watched that program very suspicious.

0:22:59.880 --> 0:23:02.800
<v Speaker 1>For instance, of travel agencies, are they all just fronts?

0:23:02.920 --> 0:23:06.680
<v Speaker 1>Since the Big Front organization, there was a travel agency well.

0:23:06.920 --> 0:23:08.919
<v Speaker 1>In the New York Times earlier this month, there was

0:23:08.920 --> 0:23:12.240
<v Speaker 1>a fascinating story by these two reporters, Michael and Jane,

0:23:13.119 --> 0:23:18.000
<v Speaker 1>about a real life version of this, where it is

0:23:18.119 --> 0:23:23.240
<v Speaker 1>Brazil that is still apparently an incubator, if you will,

0:23:23.840 --> 0:23:30.640
<v Speaker 1>for this now Russian program of essentially growing spies, getting

0:23:30.720 --> 0:23:36.199
<v Speaker 1>them alternative identifications, Brazil being in a tremendous place to

0:23:36.240 --> 0:23:37.560
<v Speaker 1>do it, and it makes a lot of sense to

0:23:37.600 --> 0:23:40.199
<v Speaker 1>me if you've ever spent any time in Rio. But

0:23:40.359 --> 0:23:43.960
<v Speaker 1>the story reads like a real life like it's now,

0:23:44.040 --> 0:23:48.679
<v Speaker 1>you know, the Americans twenty first century. Addition, So Michael

0:23:48.680 --> 0:23:51.320
<v Speaker 1>and Jane, welcome to the podcast, and thanks for humoring

0:23:51.320 --> 0:23:51.600
<v Speaker 1>me on.

0:23:51.560 --> 0:23:55.000
<v Speaker 3>This, thanks for having us, Thanks tov.

0:23:55.480 --> 0:23:58.880
<v Speaker 1>So look and you tell me which one who's who

0:23:58.960 --> 0:24:02.440
<v Speaker 1>originally had this story. I know you've worked together. One

0:24:02.440 --> 0:24:04.200
<v Speaker 1>of you worked one angle, one of you worked the other.

0:24:04.280 --> 0:24:07.880
<v Speaker 1>But give me, give me the sort of origin story

0:24:09.200 --> 0:24:13.640
<v Speaker 1>of your tip, the reporting, and what sort of got

0:24:13.680 --> 0:24:17.399
<v Speaker 1>you to the point where you started unraveling this larger story,

0:24:17.560 --> 0:24:20.359
<v Speaker 1>obviously with the help of some sources in the Brazilian

0:24:21.320 --> 0:24:23.119
<v Speaker 1>with Brazilian federal investigators.

0:24:25.000 --> 0:24:26.720
<v Speaker 2>Sure you want to tell them the story?

0:24:27.119 --> 0:24:28.359
<v Speaker 3>It's your tip you tell us story.

0:24:30.480 --> 0:24:35.240
<v Speaker 2>This story basically starts with the invasion of Ukraine by

0:24:35.320 --> 0:24:40.960
<v Speaker 2>Russia and twenty two. I was covering that war, but

0:24:41.160 --> 0:24:45.440
<v Speaker 2>at the same time I started noticing these reports of

0:24:45.560 --> 0:24:51.280
<v Speaker 2>various arrests and discoveries of deep cover Russian spies all

0:24:51.280 --> 0:24:55.320
<v Speaker 2>over the world, in Greece and Italy, some in Latin America.

0:24:55.640 --> 0:24:57.720
<v Speaker 1>And so let me pause you there. So right after

0:24:57.760 --> 0:25:01.200
<v Speaker 1>the invasion, countries all over the world world, we're double checking, Hey,

0:25:01.200 --> 0:25:03.159
<v Speaker 1>do we have any Russian spies in our midst is

0:25:03.200 --> 0:25:04.080
<v Speaker 1>that was? It?

0:25:04.119 --> 0:25:04.159
<v Speaker 2>Was?

0:25:04.200 --> 0:25:07.160
<v Speaker 1>It like almost like a global APB went out.

0:25:07.840 --> 0:25:10.399
<v Speaker 2>Well, that's what That's what I wanted to know. We

0:25:10.400 --> 0:25:13.040
<v Speaker 2>were you know, as often happens, we sort of get

0:25:13.080 --> 0:25:16.840
<v Speaker 2>the information side of things and then want to dig

0:25:16.880 --> 0:25:21.400
<v Speaker 2>deeper and find out what was going on here. So yeah,

0:25:21.480 --> 0:25:26.680
<v Speaker 2>I said, you know, as as overtly states were banding together,

0:25:26.800 --> 0:25:33.439
<v Speaker 2>banding together and imposing sanctions and cutting off a Russian

0:25:33.480 --> 0:25:37.800
<v Speaker 2>access to their countries, mostly in the West, I wondered

0:25:37.800 --> 0:25:40.800
<v Speaker 2>if there was sort of a covert spy war going on,

0:25:40.880 --> 0:25:43.119
<v Speaker 2>where where spy services around the world We're going and

0:25:43.160 --> 0:25:47.919
<v Speaker 2>trying to get uh, these Russian deep cover operatives that

0:25:47.960 --> 0:25:50.680
<v Speaker 2>had stationed all over the world, and I started asking

0:25:50.680 --> 0:25:52.920
<v Speaker 2>around about this and at some point, just the long

0:25:52.960 --> 0:25:55.399
<v Speaker 2>story short on this and where the tip came from,

0:25:55.720 --> 0:25:58.359
<v Speaker 2>one of my sources at one point came to me

0:25:58.400 --> 0:26:00.919
<v Speaker 2>and said, oh, by the way, did you know that

0:26:00.960 --> 0:26:04.040
<v Speaker 2>the Brazilians have uncovered a bunch I was operating there,

0:26:04.240 --> 0:26:06.240
<v Speaker 2>and they're about to do this crazy thing. They're about

0:26:06.280 --> 0:26:09.760
<v Speaker 2>to out them to the Interpol Service, which is this

0:26:09.800 --> 0:26:13.920
<v Speaker 2>global policing network, and basically destroyed their career. And I said,

0:26:14.400 --> 0:26:16.320
<v Speaker 2>I haven't heard about that, but I know somebody who

0:26:16.359 --> 0:26:18.520
<v Speaker 2>knows a lot of people at Interpol, and so I

0:26:18.600 --> 0:26:23.240
<v Speaker 2>turned to Jane, who helped me start digging into this problem.

0:26:23.320 --> 0:26:25.040
<v Speaker 4>And there was an extraordinary moment at the start of

0:26:25.040 --> 0:26:28.439
<v Speaker 4>this investigation. So it started off with four names we

0:26:28.480 --> 0:26:32.400
<v Speaker 4>had that Mike had got from his source and as

0:26:32.400 --> 0:26:35.520
<v Speaker 4>well as some interpolse sources. It did have some connections

0:26:35.560 --> 0:26:38.600
<v Speaker 4>to the Brazilian police, so we asked around there as well,

0:26:38.680 --> 0:26:42.080
<v Speaker 4>and we had this first meeting with a key Brazilian

0:26:42.119 --> 0:26:45.879
<v Speaker 4>source on this and we came away from that meeting

0:26:46.240 --> 0:26:48.800
<v Speaker 4>knowing there were nine names. And that was quite extraordinary

0:26:48.840 --> 0:26:51.000
<v Speaker 4>because at the beginning we thought, okay, you know this

0:26:51.080 --> 0:26:51.720
<v Speaker 4>is a pattern.

0:26:52.240 --> 0:26:53.040
<v Speaker 3>Here's the name of four.

0:26:53.080 --> 0:26:55.480
<v Speaker 4>But with nine, we decided this is a much bigger

0:26:55.520 --> 0:26:56.840
<v Speaker 4>story than we first thought.

0:26:57.960 --> 0:27:00.119
<v Speaker 1>So you're sitting there it's nine. First of all, well,

0:27:01.160 --> 0:27:04.360
<v Speaker 1>color me a little bit surprised that the Brazilians decided

0:27:04.359 --> 0:27:09.320
<v Speaker 1>to be so aggressive against the Russians. Brazilians in some

0:27:09.400 --> 0:27:14.600
<v Speaker 1>ways are almost pride themselves of being unaligned, right. They

0:27:14.680 --> 0:27:16.960
<v Speaker 1>love being able to say, hey, we've got good relations

0:27:17.000 --> 0:27:20.360
<v Speaker 1>with the United States, with China, with Russia. They're part

0:27:20.400 --> 0:27:25.160
<v Speaker 1>of the brick countries, right, the alternative economic engine, right,

0:27:25.480 --> 0:27:31.800
<v Speaker 1>brick standing for Brazil, Russia, Indian and China. Were you surprised, Jane,

0:27:31.800 --> 0:27:34.120
<v Speaker 1>at how aggressive the Brazilian FEDS were being on this.

0:27:36.119 --> 0:27:37.800
<v Speaker 3>Yeah, I was completely surprised.

0:27:37.800 --> 0:27:42.439
<v Speaker 4>So for context, like my Brazilian police sources or the

0:27:42.480 --> 0:27:46.240
<v Speaker 4>introductions came from my interpoal reporting and reported on this election,

0:27:46.280 --> 0:27:46.639
<v Speaker 4>and who.

0:27:46.480 --> 0:27:48.000
<v Speaker 3>Would be the new leader of Interpol, And you.

0:27:48.000 --> 0:27:50.239
<v Speaker 4>Had the Brits running in one corner and you had

0:27:50.240 --> 0:27:52.960
<v Speaker 4>a Brazilian candidate Aldesuu Kuifa running in.

0:27:54.080 --> 0:27:54.840
<v Speaker 3>And the corner.

0:27:54.920 --> 0:27:58.720
<v Speaker 4>Though, like the whole center point of the Brazilians campaign

0:27:58.920 --> 0:28:04.320
<v Speaker 4>was that, hey, we put politics aside, We're politically neutral, unbiased,

0:28:04.359 --> 0:28:07.560
<v Speaker 4>like we will represent all countries as part of Interpol.

0:28:08.480 --> 0:28:11.679
<v Speaker 3>So then, you know, when I went to the Brazilians.

0:28:11.119 --> 0:28:15.439
<v Speaker 4>On after getting this tip about these spies, I didn't

0:28:15.480 --> 0:28:17.920
<v Speaker 4>know whether they would talk to us honestly about it,

0:28:17.960 --> 0:28:21.800
<v Speaker 4>because of the political sensitivities around speaking out about this

0:28:21.880 --> 0:28:27.320
<v Speaker 4>kind of thing against Russia, and the police of sources.

0:28:27.400 --> 0:28:31.200
<v Speaker 4>Intelligence sources we spoke to were just incredibly open from

0:28:31.240 --> 0:28:31.840
<v Speaker 4>the beginning, and.

0:28:31.800 --> 0:28:33.600
<v Speaker 3>I think it shocked me.

0:28:33.640 --> 0:28:38.040
<v Speaker 4>But I think that speaks to just how honestly annoyed

0:28:38.040 --> 0:28:42.480
<v Speaker 4>and pissed off they were, how Russia had exploited you know, Brazilians,

0:28:43.440 --> 0:28:46.600
<v Speaker 4>Brazil's kind of political neutrality and the fact they tried

0:28:46.600 --> 0:28:49.680
<v Speaker 4>not to take sides and have been relatively friendly, and

0:28:49.760 --> 0:28:54.200
<v Speaker 4>yet here they were kind of exploiting Brazilian territory to

0:28:54.280 --> 0:28:57.360
<v Speaker 4>train up build these curve identities for the spies before

0:28:57.400 --> 0:29:00.520
<v Speaker 4>they went off elsewhere. And what was also interesting is

0:29:00.560 --> 0:29:03.240
<v Speaker 4>when as we were chatting to the police officers, the

0:29:03.240 --> 0:29:07.480
<v Speaker 4>Brazilian police officers, they all kind of explained, look, there

0:29:07.560 --> 0:29:11.840
<v Speaker 4>is a split between the government in Brazil and the

0:29:11.880 --> 0:29:14.000
<v Speaker 4>politics of Brazil and the police. We're here to do

0:29:14.040 --> 0:29:17.840
<v Speaker 4>the police work, but others will be more concerned politics.

0:29:19.000 --> 0:29:22.200
<v Speaker 1>So look, the conclusion you come from this is that

0:29:22.280 --> 0:29:26.520
<v Speaker 1>Brazil is the main incubator, because that was what was

0:29:26.560 --> 0:29:28.560
<v Speaker 1>amazing out of here. It wasn't this wasn't just about

0:29:28.560 --> 0:29:31.920
<v Speaker 1>infiltrating Brazil. It was just Brazil was an easy place

0:29:31.960 --> 0:29:35.840
<v Speaker 1>to create cover identities to then launch these folks everywhere.

0:29:35.880 --> 0:29:37.840
<v Speaker 1>And you know when you said Brazil, I grew up

0:29:37.840 --> 0:29:39.680
<v Speaker 1>in Miami, and I remember the first time I went

0:29:39.680 --> 0:29:43.920
<v Speaker 1>to Rio, because you have this this phenomenon in Miami,

0:29:43.760 --> 0:29:47.200
<v Speaker 1>which is you can't assume based on how somebody looks

0:29:47.200 --> 0:29:50.360
<v Speaker 1>where they're from in Miami more so than in really

0:29:50.800 --> 0:29:53.600
<v Speaker 1>until I went to Rio, right, which was another one

0:29:53.600 --> 0:29:56.640
<v Speaker 1>of these, And you know when geographic locations matter, right,

0:29:56.680 --> 0:29:59.800
<v Speaker 1>And this is a very international city. It is truly

0:29:59.840 --> 0:30:03.479
<v Speaker 1>a melting pot city. Brazil's a melting pot country, just

0:30:03.560 --> 0:30:06.240
<v Speaker 1>like South Florida is a melting pot area. And so

0:30:06.320 --> 0:30:08.360
<v Speaker 1>then when you started, when I started putting together my

0:30:08.400 --> 0:30:11.320
<v Speaker 1>own picture of this, you're like, actually, Brazil's a brilliant

0:30:11.360 --> 0:30:14.400
<v Speaker 1>place to do this because you can take any Russian

0:30:15.320 --> 0:30:19.120
<v Speaker 1>and sort of make a claim. Ah, they're sort of

0:30:19.120 --> 0:30:21.920
<v Speaker 1>half this half half half. I mean in Brazil, you're

0:30:22.000 --> 0:30:25.800
<v Speaker 1>a little bit of everything when it comes there, so

0:30:26.520 --> 0:30:30.160
<v Speaker 1>just sort of culturally in the history of the of

0:30:30.240 --> 0:30:34.520
<v Speaker 1>the of sort of civilization, civilized development of Brazil, it

0:30:34.640 --> 0:30:35.840
<v Speaker 1>ended up being brilliant.

0:30:37.760 --> 0:30:40.720
<v Speaker 2>And I think this is something you have to understand

0:30:40.720 --> 0:30:45.080
<v Speaker 2>about the Russians, and in particular as regards this spy program,

0:30:45.080 --> 0:30:50.200
<v Speaker 2>their legal spy program. They're planning for these things is meticulous. Sometimes,

0:30:50.920 --> 0:30:54.400
<v Speaker 2>you know, the the operations themselves can be botched, and

0:30:54.480 --> 0:30:58.760
<v Speaker 2>sometimes spectacularly. We all remember the poisoning of Sergei Scripall,

0:30:58.800 --> 0:31:03.800
<v Speaker 2>where they had sort of left this highly toxic residue

0:31:03.840 --> 0:31:06.720
<v Speaker 2>all over the place and killed somebody and really caused

0:31:06.760 --> 0:31:09.360
<v Speaker 2>an incredible international incident, which, by the way, is probably

0:31:09.400 --> 0:31:12.960
<v Speaker 2>one reason so many countries were able to so quickly

0:31:12.960 --> 0:31:16.760
<v Speaker 2>spring into action after the invasion is because the groundwork

0:31:16.840 --> 0:31:21.719
<v Speaker 2>was laid following the Scriptball poisoning in twenty eighteen. But

0:31:21.800 --> 0:31:25.480
<v Speaker 2>we tend to focus on their spectacular failures, but the

0:31:25.520 --> 0:31:29.520
<v Speaker 2>planning that these intelligence operatives put into this, and it's

0:31:29.520 --> 0:31:32.800
<v Speaker 2>not just the operatives themselves, it's the whole embassy apparatus

0:31:33.240 --> 0:31:36.720
<v Speaker 2>that goes into laying the groundwork for these people to

0:31:36.800 --> 0:31:40.160
<v Speaker 2>operate it's incredibly meticulous and incredibly well thought out.

0:31:40.720 --> 0:31:43.560
<v Speaker 1>Well, and that's the thing like this, you imply that

0:31:43.600 --> 0:31:47.360
<v Speaker 1>this was decades in the making, not years, but decades.

0:31:47.560 --> 0:31:52.080
<v Speaker 4>Explain well, that's one of the things that the Brazilian

0:31:52.120 --> 0:31:53.400
<v Speaker 4>police are looking at.

0:31:53.480 --> 0:31:54.160
<v Speaker 3>So they don't know.

0:31:54.200 --> 0:31:57.360
<v Speaker 4>They don't as yet, but at the end, towards the

0:31:57.480 --> 0:32:01.560
<v Speaker 4>end of our investigation, we checked in with our Brazilian

0:32:01.640 --> 0:32:06.120
<v Speaker 4>sources and in April, they had this forensic analysis come

0:32:06.160 --> 0:32:09.400
<v Speaker 4>back on the birth certificates of all nine Russian spies

0:32:09.400 --> 0:32:12.480
<v Speaker 4>who'd been using Brazilian cover identities. They all had these

0:32:12.480 --> 0:32:16.480
<v Speaker 4>Brazilian birth certificates, and they were shocked because they expected

0:32:16.520 --> 0:32:20.920
<v Speaker 4>the results to show that these bersertificates had been adopted,

0:32:20.920 --> 0:32:23.920
<v Speaker 4>they've been tampered with, that someone had come in in

0:32:24.000 --> 0:32:28.800
<v Speaker 4>recent years and created these fake identities. But actually what

0:32:28.880 --> 0:32:32.040
<v Speaker 4>the forensic analysis suggests was that there was no evidence

0:32:32.120 --> 0:32:34.520
<v Speaker 4>of any tampering, Like the ink was normal, the paper

0:32:34.640 --> 0:32:37.160
<v Speaker 4>was normal, like, there was none of the tampering the

0:32:37.160 --> 0:32:41.720
<v Speaker 4>Brazilians expected to find because until that point they'd assumed

0:32:41.960 --> 0:32:45.720
<v Speaker 4>they'd been working on the hypothesis that the Russians had

0:32:45.720 --> 0:32:48.840
<v Speaker 4>managed to obtain these birth certificates through corrupt officials, like

0:32:49.760 --> 0:32:55.680
<v Speaker 4>Brazil is decentralized, it's open, it's vulnerable to corruption, So

0:32:55.760 --> 0:32:58.760
<v Speaker 4>that is what they'd expected to find. So now the

0:32:58.800 --> 0:33:02.120
<v Speaker 4>focus of their investigation is how did the Russians do

0:33:02.160 --> 0:33:04.400
<v Speaker 4>it and did they really plant these in the wake

0:33:04.440 --> 0:33:05.160
<v Speaker 4>of the Cold War.

0:33:06.040 --> 0:33:08.120
<v Speaker 1>Well, the other thing you imply in your piece was

0:33:08.120 --> 0:33:11.479
<v Speaker 1>that you know it in your piece is how easy

0:33:11.520 --> 0:33:14.120
<v Speaker 1>it is to actually get a birth certificate in Brazil.

0:33:14.280 --> 0:33:17.240
<v Speaker 1>Explain that. I mean, when you the minute I read that,

0:33:17.360 --> 0:33:20.239
<v Speaker 1>you're like, oh, how many other countries are like this?

0:33:20.560 --> 0:33:24.080
<v Speaker 1>And is Brazil unique in this situation? Explain the birth

0:33:24.160 --> 0:33:25.360
<v Speaker 1>certificate process.

0:33:25.920 --> 0:33:28.120
<v Speaker 4>Well, I don't know if it's completely unique Brazil, but

0:33:28.160 --> 0:33:31.520
<v Speaker 4>it's definitely unusual in that. So most countries, like the US,

0:33:31.640 --> 0:33:34.880
<v Speaker 4>like the UK, to get a birth certificate, you need

0:33:35.000 --> 0:33:38.520
<v Speaker 4>a signature, a witness there who's a doctor or a

0:33:38.560 --> 0:33:41.360
<v Speaker 4>hospital to sign off someone from a hospital and off

0:33:41.400 --> 0:33:43.479
<v Speaker 4>to say yes, this child was born here on this

0:33:43.600 --> 0:33:47.600
<v Speaker 4>day under this name. In Brazil, mostsive certificates are done

0:33:47.600 --> 0:33:51.360
<v Speaker 4>that way. But there is this kind of n niche exemption,

0:33:51.960 --> 0:33:55.840
<v Speaker 4>kind of a loophole of you like that allows anyone

0:33:55.920 --> 0:33:57.720
<v Speaker 4>to just present two witnesses they don't have to be

0:33:57.760 --> 0:34:00.000
<v Speaker 4>a doctor or anything like that and just say, yeah,

0:34:00.320 --> 0:34:01.800
<v Speaker 4>I saw this baby.

0:34:01.880 --> 0:34:04.840
<v Speaker 1>Two random people. You could just bring a couple of people,

0:34:06.000 --> 0:34:09.719
<v Speaker 1>throw them some rubles. Hey, you just need to swear

0:34:09.760 --> 0:34:12.120
<v Speaker 1>in front of this official that you witnessed this birth.

0:34:12.719 --> 0:34:14.720
<v Speaker 4>Yeah, and they probably don't even know what they're doing.

0:34:14.920 --> 0:34:17.800
<v Speaker 4>That's what the Brazilian said. And the reason that exemption

0:34:17.920 --> 0:34:21.160
<v Speaker 4>exists was to accommodate these rural parts of Brazil whether

0:34:21.320 --> 0:34:23.800
<v Speaker 4>or no doctors, are no hospitals, and babies are routinely

0:34:23.840 --> 0:34:27.720
<v Speaker 4>born without without any kind of medical support.

0:34:28.040 --> 0:34:29.480
<v Speaker 3>But yeah, that's.

0:34:29.080 --> 0:34:31.879
<v Speaker 4>One of the areas the I'm investigating is to try

0:34:31.880 --> 0:34:34.440
<v Speaker 4>and find out was that why Brazil was targeted or

0:34:34.480 --> 0:34:36.680
<v Speaker 4>was that one of the reasons why it made it

0:34:36.719 --> 0:34:37.440
<v Speaker 4>a weak target.

0:34:37.960 --> 0:34:41.200
<v Speaker 1>So your story, I assume, has probably triggered a lot

0:34:41.239 --> 0:34:43.759
<v Speaker 1>of other countries to do some double takes, to do

0:34:43.880 --> 0:34:47.200
<v Speaker 1>some deeper dives. What are you hearing? What kind of

0:34:47.760 --> 0:34:49.960
<v Speaker 1>you know? Have you gotten any new tips since the

0:34:50.000 --> 0:34:50.520
<v Speaker 1>peace ran?

0:34:51.680 --> 0:34:54.879
<v Speaker 2>What are we allowed to talk about all of it?

0:34:54.960 --> 0:35:00.680
<v Speaker 2>Come on, yes, yes, we have ex and we're looking

0:35:00.719 --> 0:35:01.200
<v Speaker 2>into it.

0:35:01.600 --> 0:35:04.959
<v Speaker 1>Status multiple countries, I would assume.

0:35:06.800 --> 0:35:11.600
<v Speaker 2>A few, in particular in Latin America. It seemed that

0:35:12.200 --> 0:35:14.719
<v Speaker 2>it seems that Latin America has been a target of

0:35:15.840 --> 0:35:19.000
<v Speaker 2>of this type of program for the Russians for quite

0:35:19.040 --> 0:35:19.479
<v Speaker 2>some time.

0:35:19.840 --> 0:35:21.480
<v Speaker 1>Yeah, I got a tip for them. It's been going

0:35:21.480 --> 0:35:24.120
<v Speaker 1>on for decades. It's been going on since the fifties.

0:35:24.200 --> 0:35:26.680
<v Speaker 1>Like we've been fighting a cold We fought a cold

0:35:26.719 --> 0:35:29.480
<v Speaker 1>war over this stuff in Latin America for quite some time.

0:35:29.560 --> 0:35:33.000
<v Speaker 1>I mean, how when you were working on this story,

0:35:33.160 --> 0:35:35.680
<v Speaker 1>did you work with any of the investigators that broke

0:35:35.800 --> 0:35:38.840
<v Speaker 1>up the Ring of Americans? I want to say, was

0:35:38.840 --> 0:35:42.640
<v Speaker 1>that about twenty ten, twenty eleven, if memory serves, And

0:35:42.760 --> 0:35:47.440
<v Speaker 1>how similar was that program to this and were do

0:35:47.520 --> 0:35:49.839
<v Speaker 1>we know were those folks incubated in America or were

0:35:49.840 --> 0:35:53.000
<v Speaker 1>they actually incubated in other countries and then sent to America.

0:35:54.160 --> 0:35:56.000
<v Speaker 2>So that program was a little bit different, and we

0:35:56.040 --> 0:35:59.840
<v Speaker 2>didn't we hadn't talked to the investigators from that for

0:36:00.040 --> 0:36:02.040
<v Speaker 2>this story, but it did serve as a reference for

0:36:02.160 --> 0:36:04.240
<v Speaker 2>us doing our research, and it was a bit different.

0:36:04.400 --> 0:36:09.880
<v Speaker 2>And you know those aside aside from a few of them, Uh,

0:36:10.160 --> 0:36:13.279
<v Speaker 2>there there were a key Uh, there were a key

0:36:13.320 --> 0:36:17.480
<v Speaker 2>couple who were based in Boston who indeed were incubated

0:36:17.480 --> 0:36:21.000
<v Speaker 2>in fact in Canada and presented as Canadian citizens who

0:36:21.040 --> 0:36:23.279
<v Speaker 2>then moved to Boston and really well were really well

0:36:23.280 --> 0:36:31.600
<v Speaker 2>integrated into into the society in Boston. Uh. But for

0:36:31.760 --> 0:36:36.560
<v Speaker 2>most of them are a significant number of those individuals

0:36:36.600 --> 0:36:38.719
<v Speaker 2>from the twenty ten case in the United States, they

0:36:38.760 --> 0:36:42.000
<v Speaker 2>were not posing as anybody. They were posing as Russians.

0:36:42.120 --> 0:36:44.719
<v Speaker 2>They were they were. There was a there was one

0:36:44.760 --> 0:36:48.880
<v Speaker 2>Russian student the most of Chapman was UH, and she

0:36:48.880 --> 0:36:50.680
<v Speaker 2>didn't hide the fact that she was Russian, but she

0:36:50.920 --> 0:36:54.360
<v Speaker 2>claimed that she was in the United States doing business.

0:36:54.600 --> 0:36:57.080
<v Speaker 2>And they were hiding the fact that they were spies,

0:36:57.080 --> 0:36:58.759
<v Speaker 2>of course, but they weren't hiding the fact that they

0:36:58.760 --> 0:37:01.360
<v Speaker 2>were Russians. And that's why this case in Brazil was

0:37:01.360 --> 0:37:04.200
<v Speaker 2>so different, because every one of the individuals that we

0:37:04.600 --> 0:37:08.600
<v Speaker 2>tracked down, their goal would come Brazilian. They wanted to

0:37:09.040 --> 0:37:15.080
<v Speaker 2>shed their Russian identities and create an entire Brazilian backstory.

0:37:15.160 --> 0:37:18.120
<v Speaker 1>And the whole goal was not to infiltrate Brazil per se.

0:37:18.280 --> 0:37:20.520
<v Speaker 1>It was then they were going to get. The assumption

0:37:20.680 --> 0:37:23.640
<v Speaker 1>was they'd be transferred to a more useful country, correct, And.

0:37:23.560 --> 0:37:25.960
<v Speaker 2>Several of them were transferred to countries. You know, one

0:37:26.000 --> 0:37:29.920
<v Speaker 2>of them was posing as a researcher, a Brazilian researcher

0:37:30.960 --> 0:37:35.200
<v Speaker 2>in the Norwegian Arctic. Another one went to the Middle East,

0:37:35.719 --> 0:37:38.280
<v Speaker 2>some others went to Portugal, and so yeah, their goal

0:37:38.520 --> 0:37:41.400
<v Speaker 2>was to then move on to the rest of the

0:37:41.440 --> 0:37:47.800
<v Speaker 2>world and pose as Brazilians while conducting espionage for Russia.

0:37:47.840 --> 0:37:49.480
<v Speaker 2>And one made it to the United States, as we

0:37:49.520 --> 0:37:51.680
<v Speaker 2>pointed out in the article, and even gone to Johns

0:37:51.680 --> 0:37:55.040
<v Speaker 2>Hopkins University and was preparing to This is probably the

0:37:55.080 --> 0:38:01.520
<v Speaker 2>more successful case that of City Chef and was on

0:38:01.560 --> 0:38:05.840
<v Speaker 2>the verge of starting an internship at the Hague at

0:38:05.840 --> 0:38:08.920
<v Speaker 2>the International Criminal Court, which had been incredible because it

0:38:08.960 --> 0:38:12.040
<v Speaker 2>was around the time that the court was starting to

0:38:12.440 --> 0:38:16.880
<v Speaker 2>open human rights war crimes cases against Russia for the

0:38:16.880 --> 0:38:17.799
<v Speaker 2>war in Ukraine.

0:38:18.400 --> 0:38:23.160
<v Speaker 1>Did the Brazilian officials get any of these folks? They

0:38:23.200 --> 0:38:25.440
<v Speaker 1>were they successful in arresting any of these folks or

0:38:25.440 --> 0:38:26.600
<v Speaker 1>did they all flee the country?

0:38:27.320 --> 0:38:29.719
<v Speaker 4>One of them they got, so gay check us off.

0:38:30.239 --> 0:38:32.040
<v Speaker 4>He is the only one they managed to get. And

0:38:32.080 --> 0:38:35.879
<v Speaker 4>he was the most successful at the spies probably when

0:38:35.880 --> 0:38:36.879
<v Speaker 4>they arrested him.

0:38:38.239 --> 0:38:39.719
<v Speaker 1>What makes it? What what do you when you say

0:38:39.920 --> 0:38:41.840
<v Speaker 1>the most successful of the spies just because he was

0:38:41.880 --> 0:38:45.640
<v Speaker 1>about to be launched to America, to the Hague.

0:38:45.760 --> 0:38:46.640
<v Speaker 3>Yes, exactly.

0:38:46.719 --> 0:38:51.080
<v Speaker 2>So any got a master's degree from John Hobbins University posing.

0:38:50.840 --> 0:38:53.120
<v Speaker 4>As a Brazilian and he had completed like on as

0:38:53.360 --> 0:38:55.800
<v Speaker 4>these the covers spent about like seven to eight years

0:38:55.840 --> 0:38:59.000
<v Speaker 4>building their cover identities before you know, being dispatched as

0:38:59.000 --> 0:39:02.640
<v Speaker 4>by use where and Sagay had completed he'd been there

0:39:02.680 --> 0:39:05.800
<v Speaker 4>about eight years right where some of the other spies

0:39:05.800 --> 0:39:07.680
<v Speaker 4>seemed to have been interrupted when they were still in

0:39:07.680 --> 0:39:10.960
<v Speaker 4>the process of building their identities, like a couple in Portugal,

0:39:11.040 --> 0:39:14.080
<v Speaker 4>like they had Brazilian birth certificates but hadn't yet got

0:39:14.080 --> 0:39:17.720
<v Speaker 4>passports or they were trying to get citizenship elsewhere, when suddenly,

0:39:17.760 --> 0:39:20.680
<v Speaker 4>you know, these global intelligence agencies and the Brazilians kind

0:39:20.719 --> 0:39:22.560
<v Speaker 4>of jumped on them.

0:39:22.600 --> 0:39:24.160
<v Speaker 1>You may think there's a weird question, but there's a

0:39:24.160 --> 0:39:26.080
<v Speaker 1>part of me like did he do his own homework

0:39:26.080 --> 0:39:30.000
<v Speaker 1>at Johns Hopkins? Was there a team of FSB operatives

0:39:30.000 --> 0:39:32.719
<v Speaker 1>that like did his thesis for him? Or was he

0:39:32.800 --> 0:39:35.319
<v Speaker 1>the did he do his own academic work? I mean,

0:39:35.400 --> 0:39:37.520
<v Speaker 1>I know that seems like a silly question, but you're

0:39:37.560 --> 0:39:41.239
<v Speaker 1>just curious as to how how much did they sell it?

0:39:41.360 --> 0:39:43.480
<v Speaker 1>You know, did they get help with the work or

0:39:43.480 --> 0:39:45.840
<v Speaker 1>do they actually do the academics themselves.

0:39:46.440 --> 0:39:48.640
<v Speaker 2>I mean, I you know, we didn't. We didn't spend

0:39:48.640 --> 0:39:51.360
<v Speaker 2>a lot of time on this case in the story,

0:39:51.480 --> 0:39:55.000
<v Speaker 2>but because because some of the details are pretty well known.

0:39:55.200 --> 0:39:58.000
<v Speaker 2>But he did use his position as a student to

0:39:58.000 --> 0:40:01.960
<v Speaker 2>get close to academics who who were close to you know,

0:40:02.000 --> 0:40:06.560
<v Speaker 2>the Johns Hopkins University is very uh, the professors that

0:40:06.640 --> 0:40:09.120
<v Speaker 2>are very tight with the Washington establishment. So he did

0:40:09.239 --> 0:40:12.279
<v Speaker 2>use his contacts. I can't remember off the top of

0:40:12.600 --> 0:40:15.520
<v Speaker 2>my head all of the people he was uh accused

0:40:15.520 --> 0:40:17.800
<v Speaker 2>of buddying up to, But he did use his positions

0:40:17.840 --> 0:40:20.880
<v Speaker 2>as a student to get close to people in the

0:40:20.920 --> 0:40:26.640
<v Speaker 2>government and government adjacent academics. Whether or not he did.

0:40:28.080 --> 0:40:29.600
<v Speaker 1>The thing, that's somewhat str.

0:40:29.880 --> 0:40:31.680
<v Speaker 2>And No, I know, that's it.

0:40:32.040 --> 0:40:34.120
<v Speaker 1>Like these are the questions. I hope we get one

0:40:34.160 --> 0:40:36.680
<v Speaker 1>that like will confess one day, you know, tell us

0:40:36.719 --> 0:40:40.920
<v Speaker 1>all about the program. I mean, have serving I know

0:40:41.120 --> 0:40:44.919
<v Speaker 1>there has there been Has any investigative agency actually gotten

0:40:44.920 --> 0:40:47.280
<v Speaker 1>any of these folks to talk or are they almost

0:40:47.280 --> 0:40:52.840
<v Speaker 1>always like I believe we've traded some of these folks

0:40:52.880 --> 0:40:56.319
<v Speaker 1>back to the Russians as they've kidnapped Americans, so we

0:40:57.040 --> 0:40:59.120
<v Speaker 1>you know, I'm guessing we haven't broke these people.

0:40:59.360 --> 0:41:03.000
<v Speaker 2>I don't think think that they would expect a very

0:41:03.000 --> 0:41:06.320
<v Speaker 2>warm welcome back in Moscow should they eventually be traded.

0:41:06.440 --> 0:41:09.440
<v Speaker 2>If they were to spill a bunch of information because.

0:41:09.160 --> 0:41:11.319
<v Speaker 1>They got caught, well there's that right, if they were

0:41:11.320 --> 0:41:15.960
<v Speaker 1>spelling information. But did they automatically Are they automatically in

0:41:16.040 --> 0:41:17.400
<v Speaker 1>trouble just for getting caught.

0:41:19.239 --> 0:41:21.760
<v Speaker 2>We don't know of any example of anyone being punished

0:41:22.239 --> 0:41:25.920
<v Speaker 2>upon going back, I mean publicly anyway, we know that

0:41:26.040 --> 0:41:29.640
<v Speaker 2>you know, Putin, if you if we're talking about the

0:41:29.680 --> 0:41:34.560
<v Speaker 2>trade that occurred last August, that Evan Gershkovich, the Wall

0:41:34.600 --> 0:41:39.960
<v Speaker 2>Street General border two deep cover legals that we're posing

0:41:40.000 --> 0:41:44.520
<v Speaker 2>as Argentinians who are rested in Slovenia. We're part of

0:41:44.600 --> 0:41:48.080
<v Speaker 2>that swap. And you know, Putin greeted them on the

0:41:48.400 --> 0:41:51.719
<v Speaker 2>tarmac and gave one of the bouquet of flowers, and

0:41:51.760 --> 0:41:56.279
<v Speaker 2>they've been the sort of subject of glowing coverage in

0:41:56.280 --> 0:41:59.200
<v Speaker 2>the Russian media. So you know what happens behind closed doors,

0:41:59.280 --> 0:42:02.200
<v Speaker 2>got you know, got only knows. But publicly anyway, these

0:42:02.239 --> 0:42:04.840
<v Speaker 2>people are really praised and sort of you know, presented

0:42:04.880 --> 0:42:06.400
<v Speaker 2>as heroes when they get back to Russia.

0:42:07.520 --> 0:42:09.640
<v Speaker 4>One of the most interestant things for me on this

0:42:09.760 --> 0:42:13.279
<v Speaker 4>investigation is like, like Michael said, like these spies are

0:42:13.440 --> 0:42:17.000
<v Speaker 4>Putin's elite spies as premiere, like the pride and joy

0:42:17.160 --> 0:42:20.040
<v Speaker 4>of Russia, and he has this kind of romantic idea

0:42:20.160 --> 0:42:23.600
<v Speaker 4>around about them. They are held up as like, you know,

0:42:24.200 --> 0:42:26.640
<v Speaker 4>these kind of heroes, if you like, and they're promised

0:42:27.560 --> 0:42:29.920
<v Speaker 4>they when they sign up this thing that's kind of

0:42:30.000 --> 0:42:32.760
<v Speaker 4>exciting life where you're going to be working abroad, serving

0:42:32.840 --> 0:42:35.920
<v Speaker 4>Mother Russia. But as part of our investigation, we kind

0:42:35.920 --> 0:42:40.400
<v Speaker 4>of got hold of some texts between a couple of

0:42:40.480 --> 0:42:44.560
<v Speaker 4>the spies, some messages from between certainly check us off

0:42:44.600 --> 0:42:48.080
<v Speaker 4>and a handler, and in particular these texts between two spies,

0:42:49.680 --> 0:42:55.640
<v Speaker 4>a guy called Schmirov and his Russian wife also had

0:42:55.680 --> 0:42:57.919
<v Speaker 4>a Brazilian girlfriend who didn't know about the Russian wife.

0:42:58.719 --> 0:43:01.359
<v Speaker 1>That was an amazing part. So here they were both

0:43:01.440 --> 0:43:04.480
<v Speaker 1>married couples doing their own thing, right, like you know,

0:43:04.840 --> 0:43:07.359
<v Speaker 1>very much right. I felt like a plot line out

0:43:07.400 --> 0:43:08.120
<v Speaker 1>of the Americans.

0:43:08.760 --> 0:43:11.080
<v Speaker 4>It did, It did, And what these tech show I

0:43:11.120 --> 0:43:14.000
<v Speaker 4>think is so interesting because you've gotten this, you know,

0:43:14.160 --> 0:43:16.560
<v Speaker 4>on the outside there's this idea of this glamorous life

0:43:16.640 --> 0:43:19.600
<v Speaker 4>of a spy that's you know, held up higher regard

0:43:20.000 --> 0:43:22.719
<v Speaker 4>and actually the tech show that's really personal and often

0:43:22.760 --> 0:43:27.680
<v Speaker 4>frustrating side not only but also maintaining a long distance relationship.

0:43:28.400 --> 0:43:33.319
<v Speaker 4>These texts basically show like Artiam complaining about his lot,

0:43:33.400 --> 0:43:35.480
<v Speaker 4>really about not being where he wanted to be in

0:43:35.520 --> 0:43:37.200
<v Speaker 4>life by his middle thirtieth year.

0:43:37.280 --> 0:43:40.399
<v Speaker 3>You know, no, no, no relationship, not where he wants

0:43:40.440 --> 0:43:40.560
<v Speaker 3>to be.

0:43:40.920 --> 0:43:44.960
<v Speaker 1>And millennials are millennial, right, no matter where what they're doing.

0:43:45.040 --> 0:43:47.959
<v Speaker 3>No, I'm just but his wife, you know, his wife.

0:43:47.960 --> 0:43:48.600
<v Speaker 3>I'm with his wife.

0:43:48.680 --> 0:43:51.520
<v Speaker 4>She basically tells him to get a grip and says, look,

0:43:51.600 --> 0:43:53.719
<v Speaker 4>this is a life life we've chosen. If you wanted

0:43:53.760 --> 0:43:56.360
<v Speaker 4>a normal family life, this is the life for you.

0:43:57.280 --> 0:44:00.200
<v Speaker 4>She does kind of say, like, yes, this life is

0:44:00.320 --> 0:44:03.320
<v Speaker 4>not as we were told. They're basically tricking people into it,

0:44:03.480 --> 0:44:06.800
<v Speaker 4>and it's bad. But we found that a really interesting

0:44:07.200 --> 0:44:10.520
<v Speaker 4>kind of contrasting image to what's kind of publicly out

0:44:10.560 --> 0:44:12.880
<v Speaker 4>there about the life of these deepcovers.

0:44:12.760 --> 0:44:15.239
<v Speaker 2>Wild to hear to at least see a bunch of

0:44:15.400 --> 0:44:17.400
<v Speaker 2>spies bitching about their employder.

0:44:17.640 --> 0:44:20.799
<v Speaker 1>Right, No, it's kind of actually it's actually reassuring. Right,

0:44:20.880 --> 0:44:23.880
<v Speaker 1>You're just like, okay, it's it's a job, right, like

0:44:24.400 --> 0:44:26.400
<v Speaker 1>you know, it's a job just like any other. You know,

0:44:26.960 --> 0:44:29.200
<v Speaker 1>you're gonna have you have a We all have a boss, right,

0:44:29.280 --> 0:44:31.640
<v Speaker 1>that's always the joke. Well, we are to report to somebody.

0:44:32.280 --> 0:44:35.160
<v Speaker 4>We all have expenses. We can't get approved. These messages

0:44:36.280 --> 0:44:39.480
<v Speaker 4>checkers off to his handler. He's asking for money for

0:44:39.719 --> 0:44:42.759
<v Speaker 4>to buy an apartment, and he's complaining about basically having

0:44:42.800 --> 0:44:45.479
<v Speaker 4>to stay with a friend of his whose wife isn't happy.

0:44:46.160 --> 0:44:48.360
<v Speaker 1>Is he paid attention to how much this war with

0:44:48.520 --> 0:44:51.080
<v Speaker 1>ukrate's costing. I mean, the Russian coffer is not doing

0:44:51.160 --> 0:44:52.160
<v Speaker 1>so well, right.

0:44:52.280 --> 0:44:54.560
<v Speaker 4>Yeah, well that's why that's why they wanted to give

0:44:54.640 --> 0:44:55.880
<v Speaker 4>him only the cheapest apartment.

0:44:56.360 --> 0:45:00.640
<v Speaker 1>Right. You got to be careful you treat your right.

0:45:01.719 --> 0:45:04.160
<v Speaker 1>So look, one of the things that I think is

0:45:05.920 --> 0:45:08.680
<v Speaker 1>one of the odder ways that we cover espionage, and

0:45:08.800 --> 0:45:13.279
<v Speaker 1>I say we the collective we is we're always very

0:45:13.440 --> 0:45:16.440
<v Speaker 1>like shocked in g whiz about what other countries do.

0:45:17.400 --> 0:45:19.239
<v Speaker 1>And then there's like no mention of what we do.

0:45:20.400 --> 0:45:24.520
<v Speaker 1>I you know, there's you know, do we do this?

0:45:25.360 --> 0:45:27.400
<v Speaker 1>Do we incubate in other countries?

0:45:27.920 --> 0:45:28.080
<v Speaker 2>You know?

0:45:28.160 --> 0:45:31.120
<v Speaker 1>In some ways America the melting pot. We're there's no

0:45:31.360 --> 0:45:36.799
<v Speaker 1>better place to recruit potential spies for infiltration into other

0:45:36.880 --> 0:45:38.759
<v Speaker 1>countries than right here in the good old US of

0:45:39.239 --> 0:45:43.800
<v Speaker 1>us of A. You know, I I think we'd be

0:45:43.920 --> 0:45:46.440
<v Speaker 1>naive to assume we don't do this. But are we

0:45:46.520 --> 0:45:49.000
<v Speaker 1>as sophisticated about it or as obsessed with it as

0:45:49.000 --> 0:45:49.600
<v Speaker 1>the Russians?

0:45:51.080 --> 0:45:53.440
<v Speaker 2>I think I think, you know, one way to think

0:45:53.440 --> 0:45:55.560
<v Speaker 2>about this as sort of an HR issue.

0:45:57.520 --> 0:46:00.120
<v Speaker 1>I just love that you just said that sentence. You

0:46:00.280 --> 0:46:02.320
<v Speaker 1>one way to look at this is like an HR issue.

0:46:02.719 --> 0:46:06.320
<v Speaker 1>I also wait to see where this is going, because

0:46:06.360 --> 0:46:09.200
<v Speaker 1>that's where I was going an HR issue. But anyway,

0:46:09.320 --> 0:46:10.920
<v Speaker 1>go tell us about healthcare benefit.

0:46:11.480 --> 0:46:13.000
<v Speaker 2>It kind of comes down to who gets to be

0:46:13.120 --> 0:46:15.800
<v Speaker 2>called what? Right in Russia, you know the it's the

0:46:15.920 --> 0:46:21.320
<v Speaker 2>officers who are the ones that are infiltrating these countries

0:46:21.480 --> 0:46:24.520
<v Speaker 2>and shedding their identities and trying to lend in with

0:46:24.600 --> 0:46:29.680
<v Speaker 2>the local population. Perhaps you know the CIA, I six,

0:46:29.920 --> 0:46:33.000
<v Speaker 2>they do some of this, but it's really hard to

0:46:33.120 --> 0:46:38.440
<v Speaker 2>become a nationality that you didn't grow up in. And

0:46:38.840 --> 0:46:41.719
<v Speaker 2>rather than spend the time, energy and resources doing that

0:46:42.040 --> 0:46:45.640
<v Speaker 2>and using their trained officers to do that they go

0:46:46.160 --> 0:46:52.440
<v Speaker 2>out and find what are called agents in the intelligence parlance.

0:46:52.520 --> 0:46:55.480
<v Speaker 2>And these are going to be locals who know the customs,

0:46:55.520 --> 0:46:56.520
<v Speaker 2>who speak the language.

0:46:56.560 --> 0:46:58.839
<v Speaker 1>You're saying, we're more likely to use a double agent.

0:46:59.560 --> 0:47:04.759
<v Speaker 2>Yeah, they would be. There's some there's confusion about the

0:47:04.840 --> 0:47:07.239
<v Speaker 2>term double agent, a double a hr again about this

0:47:07.480 --> 0:47:10.759
<v Speaker 2>working both sides. The agent is just this, just the

0:47:10.880 --> 0:47:15.160
<v Speaker 2>guy a CIA officer uses to get intelligence. They do

0:47:15.239 --> 0:47:15.600
<v Speaker 2>the ground.

0:47:15.880 --> 0:47:18.480
<v Speaker 1>You and I might call them sources. Yeah, you might

0:47:19.280 --> 0:47:21.680
<v Speaker 1>as journalists, right, you just say just a source guy

0:47:21.800 --> 0:47:22.200
<v Speaker 1>I talked to.

0:47:23.239 --> 0:47:26.239
<v Speaker 2>Yeah, he's he's our guy in the Foreign Ministry who

0:47:26.320 --> 0:47:28.360
<v Speaker 2>sits in on a meeting that I want to know about,

0:47:28.800 --> 0:47:31.360
<v Speaker 2>and you know, we meet afterwards and he tells me

0:47:31.400 --> 0:47:33.960
<v Speaker 2>about it. And I may be posing as like an

0:47:34.000 --> 0:47:37.960
<v Speaker 2>American businessman in Angola, you know, you know, you know,

0:47:38.080 --> 0:47:40.720
<v Speaker 2>doing whatever I'm doing, But really I'm a CIA officer

0:47:41.280 --> 0:47:44.440
<v Speaker 2>meeting with you know, some some you know, uh and

0:47:44.600 --> 0:47:47.880
<v Speaker 2>goal and official in the Foreign Ministry to get information

0:47:48.000 --> 0:47:50.000
<v Speaker 2>about what you know about the Russians they're meeting with,

0:47:50.120 --> 0:47:55.759
<v Speaker 2>for instance. Uh, it's it's uh, you know my my,

0:47:56.080 --> 0:48:00.560
<v Speaker 2>My Western intelligence sources assure me they don't have budgets

0:48:00.640 --> 0:48:09.120
<v Speaker 2>to devote to the kind of intensive training and time

0:48:09.239 --> 0:48:12.879
<v Speaker 2>and resources that are required to actually do the things

0:48:12.920 --> 0:48:15.360
<v Speaker 2>that the Russian illegals do, and they would say that

0:48:15.520 --> 0:48:17.160
<v Speaker 2>a lot of that is just counterproductive.

0:48:18.440 --> 0:48:20.759
<v Speaker 1>Do we think this Russian illegal program is only still

0:48:20.800 --> 0:48:23.560
<v Speaker 1>alive because it's because Putin's in charge of that country

0:48:23.600 --> 0:48:26.640
<v Speaker 1>And there's sort of a romantics He's romanticizes it because

0:48:27.280 --> 0:48:30.880
<v Speaker 1>in this day and age of communication, of technology, of frankly,

0:48:31.000 --> 0:48:34.000
<v Speaker 1>it's impossible to hide all right, right, you know, every

0:48:34.120 --> 0:48:38.200
<v Speaker 1>place is frankly under surveillance, whether your country is free

0:48:38.280 --> 0:48:39.880
<v Speaker 1>or less free. However you want to look at it,

0:48:41.560 --> 0:48:43.760
<v Speaker 1>that this really is just sort of almost like Putin

0:48:43.880 --> 0:48:45.279
<v Speaker 1>just loves this and he keeps it going.

0:48:46.480 --> 0:48:48.359
<v Speaker 2>I think that's part of it. I think I really

0:48:48.480 --> 0:48:52.480
<v Speaker 2>do think that that Putin really and he's spoken openly

0:48:52.920 --> 0:48:56.200
<v Speaker 2>about this. You know, Putin loves these spies. They are

0:48:56.280 --> 0:48:58.759
<v Speaker 2>to him kind of the patriot he is.

0:48:58.880 --> 0:49:01.200
<v Speaker 1>Right, you are? I mean, look, I mean, you know,

0:49:01.400 --> 0:49:03.960
<v Speaker 1>I love me a good political reporter that started covering

0:49:04.400 --> 0:49:06.520
<v Speaker 1>house races. Why well that's what I started to do,

0:49:06.680 --> 0:49:09.560
<v Speaker 1>right in many ways, you you know, why does Donald

0:49:09.600 --> 0:49:12.840
<v Speaker 1>Trump love other fellow real estate developers, right, he hires

0:49:12.880 --> 0:49:16.360
<v Speaker 1>them as envoys. Right. It's actually not a it's actually

0:49:16.440 --> 0:49:20.719
<v Speaker 1>a normal in some ways, a normal behavior that he

0:49:20.800 --> 0:49:23.160
<v Speaker 1>wants to lionize what he believed he did.

0:49:24.280 --> 0:49:27.400
<v Speaker 2>Even more than that, these are the people he wanted

0:49:27.560 --> 0:49:31.000
<v Speaker 2>to become and and didn't. He didn't quite measure up.

0:49:31.160 --> 0:49:34.040
<v Speaker 2>Was it good enough as an intelligence officer, And it's

0:49:34.120 --> 0:49:37.200
<v Speaker 2>sort of the people he idea. It's I think he

0:49:37.360 --> 0:49:40.680
<v Speaker 2>got into intelligence, if you read his biographies, he got

0:49:40.719 --> 0:49:43.120
<v Speaker 2>into intelligence work kind of wanting to become one of

0:49:43.160 --> 0:49:45.560
<v Speaker 2>these people, and he just sort of never measured up.

0:49:47.040 --> 0:49:49.920
<v Speaker 2>But he he lionizes them, and I think that's one

0:49:50.000 --> 0:49:54.000
<v Speaker 2>reason it keeps going though those some sources of mine

0:49:54.040 --> 0:49:58.520
<v Speaker 2>have pushed back now, particularly since the Ukraine War started,

0:49:58.640 --> 0:50:01.040
<v Speaker 2>and the origins of the legals program go back to

0:50:01.120 --> 0:50:03.279
<v Speaker 2>the Soviet Union, the very start of the Soviet Union.

0:50:03.400 --> 0:50:05.840
<v Speaker 1>Well, in fact, in this piece you imply it's possible

0:50:06.480 --> 0:50:09.279
<v Speaker 1>that the seeds of this Brazilian program goes back to

0:50:09.360 --> 0:50:09.840
<v Speaker 1>the Cold.

0:50:09.680 --> 0:50:13.479
<v Speaker 2>War, right, right, I mean the entire the entire legals

0:50:13.560 --> 0:50:15.799
<v Speaker 2>program goes back to this time when the Soviet Union

0:50:15.840 --> 0:50:19.480
<v Speaker 2>didn't have many representations, They didn't countries, didn't recognize the

0:50:19.560 --> 0:50:22.759
<v Speaker 2>Soviet Union in the years right it was founded, and.

0:50:22.800 --> 0:50:25.000
<v Speaker 1>They didn't have embassies and councilates to just sort of

0:50:25.040 --> 0:50:29.279
<v Speaker 1>house people, right, yeah, in infiltry countries, right, And you're right.

0:50:29.320 --> 0:50:33.640
<v Speaker 2>One of the extraordinary things that we haven't quite established yet,

0:50:33.680 --> 0:50:35.560
<v Speaker 2>but that we're looking into in the Brazilian government is

0:50:35.600 --> 0:50:38.360
<v Speaker 2>looking into, is that these birth certificates that are the

0:50:38.440 --> 0:50:41.759
<v Speaker 2>lynchpin of the identities that these buys have adopted in

0:50:41.840 --> 0:50:45.520
<v Speaker 2>Brazil were in fact planted in the waning days of

0:50:45.600 --> 0:50:48.160
<v Speaker 2>the Soviet Union. And this is because the forensic analysis

0:50:48.200 --> 0:50:50.400
<v Speaker 2>shows that the ink and the paper used in these

0:50:50.440 --> 0:50:54.160
<v Speaker 2>birth certificates way back right matches matches the birth certificates

0:50:54.200 --> 0:50:57.840
<v Speaker 2>that were put into these files in the eighties. And

0:50:57.920 --> 0:51:02.920
<v Speaker 2>when you talk to experts on Soviet espionage, very few

0:51:02.960 --> 0:51:05.440
<v Speaker 2>of them should I should say I have heard of

0:51:05.480 --> 0:51:09.040
<v Speaker 2>anything like this happening, but they do say that it

0:51:09.120 --> 0:51:16.680
<v Speaker 2>really fits with the modus operendi, particularly of the Soviet

0:51:16.760 --> 0:51:20.520
<v Speaker 2>KGB during the Cold War. They would do this type

0:51:20.560 --> 0:51:23.560
<v Speaker 2>of long term planning as a way essentially think of

0:51:23.840 --> 0:51:25.560
<v Speaker 2>what was going on in the late nineteen eighties. Their

0:51:25.680 --> 0:51:27.880
<v Speaker 2>entire world was crumpled, an entire edifice upon which the

0:51:27.960 --> 0:51:31.160
<v Speaker 2>KGB was built. This confrontation with the West was coming

0:51:31.200 --> 0:51:34.080
<v Speaker 2>to an end, and it's not hard to imagine an

0:51:34.239 --> 0:51:37.440
<v Speaker 2>enterprising KGB officer to saying, look, I'm going to plant

0:51:37.480 --> 0:51:40.879
<v Speaker 2>the seeds for future conflict. This is not going to last.

0:51:41.360 --> 0:51:44.320
<v Speaker 2>This experiment with democracy that we're doing. I'm going to

0:51:44.400 --> 0:51:47.200
<v Speaker 2>have the seeds so that just in case my colleagues

0:51:47.280 --> 0:51:49.960
<v Speaker 2>thirty forty years in the future can come back and have.

0:51:50.920 --> 0:51:55.080
<v Speaker 1>It's extraordinary if it was done right, the chances you

0:51:55.160 --> 0:51:56.080
<v Speaker 1>think you can prove.

0:51:55.920 --> 0:52:00.480
<v Speaker 4>That that's what the PASILI is right now, that's what

0:52:00.560 --> 0:52:03.719
<v Speaker 4>they're trying to do. But yeah, it's extraordinary, and it

0:52:03.760 --> 0:52:06.919
<v Speaker 4>would make it one of the most most extraordinary long

0:52:07.440 --> 0:52:10.959
<v Speaker 4>forward planning esperonage operations and in modern history.

0:52:11.000 --> 0:52:14.680
<v Speaker 1>I think I am curious of the Brazilian governments. You

0:52:14.800 --> 0:52:17.760
<v Speaker 1>said that there was sort of a sort of Brazilian police,

0:52:18.400 --> 0:52:20.520
<v Speaker 1>right who sort of you know, strike me. It's no

0:52:20.640 --> 0:52:22.759
<v Speaker 1>different than running into an FBI guy who goes, God

0:52:22.840 --> 0:52:25.440
<v Speaker 1>damn it. It's right and wrong. I don't care who's

0:52:25.480 --> 0:52:28.400
<v Speaker 1>in charge of me. Politically, this is wrong. I'm pursuing

0:52:28.440 --> 0:52:31.839
<v Speaker 1>it versus But I also look at this and if

0:52:31.880 --> 0:52:34.520
<v Speaker 1>you're you know, if you're a Brazilian high up in

0:52:34.560 --> 0:52:38.640
<v Speaker 1>Brazilian government, you have to realize that the world does

0:52:38.800 --> 0:52:41.360
<v Speaker 1>think that it's easy to do shady things in Brazil.

0:52:42.239 --> 0:52:45.479
<v Speaker 1>And you know that isn't a reputation as it tries

0:52:45.560 --> 0:52:48.320
<v Speaker 1>to move from third world to first world it wants

0:52:48.400 --> 0:52:52.719
<v Speaker 1>to have. So I wonder if they're actually extra motivated

0:52:52.840 --> 0:52:53.800
<v Speaker 1>to get to the bottom of this.

0:52:54.960 --> 0:52:56.080
<v Speaker 3>Yeah, it's a good question.

0:52:56.480 --> 0:53:01.480
<v Speaker 4>And look, the police officers investigators who dug into this

0:53:01.719 --> 0:53:05.000
<v Speaker 4>the same as the same unit account intelligence unit the

0:53:05.080 --> 0:53:08.600
<v Speaker 4>federal police who investigated Bolscenaro over.

0:53:08.520 --> 0:53:09.360
<v Speaker 3>The alleged coups.

0:53:09.400 --> 0:53:13.040
<v Speaker 4>So they've got history of putting aside politics and focusing on.

0:53:13.280 --> 0:53:15.560
<v Speaker 1>And they also went after Lula too, Right, isn't this

0:53:15.680 --> 0:53:18.440
<v Speaker 1>the same? I mean, look, the rule of law. I've

0:53:18.480 --> 0:53:23.000
<v Speaker 1>had some political science colleagues of mine say, you know, hey,

0:53:23.239 --> 0:53:26.239
<v Speaker 1>you know, Brazil's rule of law is sturdier than we

0:53:26.360 --> 0:53:27.080
<v Speaker 1>give it credit for.

0:53:28.480 --> 0:53:30.400
<v Speaker 2>I think that I think that is born out in

0:53:30.440 --> 0:53:33.160
<v Speaker 2>this case. I mean it's telling we went around to

0:53:34.000 --> 0:53:36.719
<v Speaker 2>sort of the political leadership in the country before this

0:53:36.960 --> 0:53:39.800
<v Speaker 2>article came out, seeking comment, and this is just the

0:53:39.920 --> 0:53:42.800
<v Speaker 2>time when the president Lula is in Moscow for the

0:53:43.000 --> 0:53:47.920
<v Speaker 2>eightieth anniversary of the of the end of World War Two, for.

0:53:48.040 --> 0:53:50.840
<v Speaker 1>Putin's sending Trump a message at hey, I'm not afraid

0:53:50.840 --> 0:53:52.680
<v Speaker 1>of hanging out with him exactly.

0:53:52.840 --> 0:53:55.840
<v Speaker 2>And and I don't think it's any surprise that nobody

0:53:56.239 --> 0:53:58.200
<v Speaker 2>sort of on the political side got back to us

0:54:00.640 --> 0:54:03.359
<v Speaker 2>all told by visuals and nobody's gonna nobody's gonna touch

0:54:03.400 --> 0:54:08.320
<v Speaker 2>this right now while the president is in Moscow. But nobody,

0:54:08.560 --> 0:54:11.480
<v Speaker 2>as far as we're told, interfered in this investigation either.

0:54:11.920 --> 0:54:14.640
<v Speaker 4>No, And that's one point I wanted to make as well, like, yes,

0:54:15.280 --> 0:54:19.399
<v Speaker 4>you know, the fact that investigation you know, did, did

0:54:19.600 --> 0:54:22.279
<v Speaker 4>go ahead and was so successful.

0:54:22.400 --> 0:54:24.920
<v Speaker 3>And I think the Brazilians know that. Okay, they have

0:54:25.040 --> 0:54:26.200
<v Speaker 3>this reputation as being a.

0:54:26.239 --> 0:54:29.520
<v Speaker 4>Corrupt country, and here you've got this pretty extraordinary team

0:54:29.600 --> 0:54:35.680
<v Speaker 4>of cops investigating pretty you know, pretty fearlessly a case

0:54:35.719 --> 0:54:39.440
<v Speaker 4>of you know, basically Russia into exploiting Brazil. And you

0:54:39.640 --> 0:54:43.640
<v Speaker 4>have to have some level of buy in or cooperation

0:54:43.800 --> 0:54:46.240
<v Speaker 4>or at least not obstruction, I think, from a political

0:54:46.320 --> 0:54:47.160
<v Speaker 4>level to be able to.

0:54:47.560 --> 0:54:48.520
<v Speaker 3>Do what they've done.

0:54:49.200 --> 0:54:50.759
<v Speaker 1>Look, I don't know if you guys want to delve

0:54:50.800 --> 0:54:52.840
<v Speaker 1>into this or go make David Sayger, come on and

0:54:52.880 --> 0:54:56.160
<v Speaker 1>answer this question. But I'm half kidding, but I look

0:54:56.200 --> 0:54:59.239
<v Speaker 1>at this program in Brazil and to me, I just say,

0:54:59.719 --> 0:55:03.399
<v Speaker 1>once again an American failure in Latin America, that our

0:55:04.120 --> 0:55:08.160
<v Speaker 1>inability to be full partners with Latin American countries and

0:55:08.640 --> 0:55:11.399
<v Speaker 1>full trading partners and sort of you know, having better

0:55:11.480 --> 0:55:14.239
<v Speaker 1>relations that in some ways we open ourselves up to

0:55:15.040 --> 0:55:18.279
<v Speaker 1>not so friendly actors to take advantage of our sort

0:55:18.320 --> 0:55:21.359
<v Speaker 1>of when I say, are the United States the United States?

0:55:21.440 --> 0:55:23.960
<v Speaker 1>Sort of? I don't want to say we were dismissive

0:55:24.000 --> 0:55:26.279
<v Speaker 1>of Latin America, but we're just never as engaged in

0:55:26.360 --> 0:55:30.200
<v Speaker 1>Latin America as you think we should be. And and

0:55:31.040 --> 0:55:33.520
<v Speaker 1>you do you sense any of that? And again I'm

0:55:33.560 --> 0:55:36.360
<v Speaker 1>not asking you guys to be, you know, foreign policy

0:55:36.440 --> 0:55:40.840
<v Speaker 1>experts here, but you're you're both covering international stories like this.

0:55:42.880 --> 0:55:45.680
<v Speaker 1>Is this far fetched to me? Linking this or you know,

0:55:45.840 --> 0:55:48.520
<v Speaker 1>if we had better relationship with Brazil, would we have

0:55:48.600 --> 0:55:49.600
<v Speaker 1>seen this kind of behavior?

0:55:50.640 --> 0:55:54.560
<v Speaker 2>I mean, I think that could be. But we'll remind

0:55:54.640 --> 0:55:57.719
<v Speaker 2>you that this whole investigation was launched by a tip

0:55:57.800 --> 0:55:58.480
<v Speaker 2>from the CIA.

0:55:58.960 --> 0:56:03.160
<v Speaker 1>So interesting, Okay, so this was this was in some

0:56:03.280 --> 0:56:07.120
<v Speaker 1>ways Americans that this was going on. Okay, well, we've

0:56:07.120 --> 0:56:10.399
<v Speaker 1>always known this stuff was going on, right, It's it's

0:56:10.520 --> 0:56:12.840
<v Speaker 1>choosing when they think they can act, right exactly.

0:56:13.080 --> 0:56:14.239
<v Speaker 3>That's the interesting option.

0:56:14.600 --> 0:56:17.000
<v Speaker 2>Well, you know, and and and and and we were

0:56:17.040 --> 0:56:19.920
<v Speaker 2>aware of a lot of intelligence help that the Brazilians

0:56:19.960 --> 0:56:24.080
<v Speaker 2>got when they were looking into this case. But but uh,

0:56:24.520 --> 0:56:27.120
<v Speaker 2>you know, with with these intelligence stories, it's really difficult

0:56:27.120 --> 0:56:31.520
<v Speaker 2>because we don't know. Oftentimes it is more advantageous for

0:56:31.560 --> 0:56:35.200
<v Speaker 2>an intelligent service to discover the operations of an enemy

0:56:35.280 --> 0:56:38.319
<v Speaker 2>intelligence service and just let them do.

0:56:38.440 --> 0:56:40.719
<v Speaker 1>With don't want to expose it, right, I mean, that

0:56:40.920 --> 0:56:43.719
<v Speaker 1>is the surprise, because you actually want to see, let's

0:56:43.719 --> 0:56:46.560
<v Speaker 1>see what they do with this. Let's keep following these people.

0:56:46.800 --> 0:56:48.440
<v Speaker 1>Maybe it leads to something bigger.

0:56:51.080 --> 0:56:53.600
<v Speaker 2>And so yeah, it's always a difficult decision to expose

0:56:53.680 --> 0:56:55.680
<v Speaker 2>one of these things because I think the tendency is

0:56:55.760 --> 0:56:59.040
<v Speaker 2>to want to you know, the uh, the the spies

0:56:59.080 --> 0:57:01.719
<v Speaker 2>that were arrested in the United States in twenty ten,

0:57:01.800 --> 0:57:04.560
<v Speaker 2>the FBI had been watching them for a decade, and

0:57:05.320 --> 0:57:07.960
<v Speaker 2>you know, you can imagine the sort of crushing psychological

0:57:08.000 --> 0:57:09.799
<v Speaker 2>effect that had on these spies who thought that they

0:57:09.840 --> 0:57:12.040
<v Speaker 2>were sort of operating for the Motherland for so long

0:57:12.560 --> 0:57:14.759
<v Speaker 2>to find out that the FBI had been watching them

0:57:15.680 --> 0:57:18.040
<v Speaker 2>for a decade of their careers. And so we don't

0:57:18.120 --> 0:57:20.720
<v Speaker 2>really know how long the CIA and others might have

0:57:20.800 --> 0:57:24.360
<v Speaker 2>been watching this go on, and what in fact triggered

0:57:27.240 --> 0:57:30.240
<v Speaker 2>triggered them to act at this at this juncture. Maybe

0:57:30.400 --> 0:57:32.800
<v Speaker 2>was the Ukraine War and in order sort of from

0:57:33.200 --> 0:57:35.560
<v Speaker 2>politically to go after these people, like show us some

0:57:35.640 --> 0:57:38.080
<v Speaker 2>results that you're wrapping up some of these spies. Maybe

0:57:38.120 --> 0:57:40.120
<v Speaker 2>something else happened that caused them to move.

0:57:40.400 --> 0:57:43.280
<v Speaker 1>But I assume you guys are pulling a lot of threads.

0:57:43.360 --> 0:57:45.160
<v Speaker 1>What are the various threads you're trying to get at

0:57:45.240 --> 0:57:47.880
<v Speaker 1>here to see because that, you know, it would be

0:57:48.000 --> 0:57:51.520
<v Speaker 1>nice to know what triggered why did the CIA make

0:57:51.600 --> 0:57:52.920
<v Speaker 1>this call? Why?

0:57:53.000 --> 0:57:55.240
<v Speaker 2>Now, that's what the threads we're pulling. I mean, we

0:57:56.080 --> 0:57:59.040
<v Speaker 2>you know, would desperately love to if any are listening,

0:57:59.240 --> 0:58:02.280
<v Speaker 2>talk to any of these people. I've sent some messages

0:58:02.320 --> 0:58:04.600
<v Speaker 2>out to numbers I think belonged to them in Russia.

0:58:05.560 --> 0:58:08.160
<v Speaker 2>They've left me on red. Uh.

0:58:09.880 --> 0:58:12.240
<v Speaker 1>That's a tough interview, right, because how do you know

0:58:12.280 --> 0:58:14.240
<v Speaker 1>if they're telling you the truth or if you're being used.

0:58:14.960 --> 0:58:17.080
<v Speaker 1>I've always found that that's a right.

0:58:18.160 --> 0:58:19.040
<v Speaker 3>So we can figure it out.

0:58:19.160 --> 0:58:22.480
<v Speaker 2>But I'm with you, that's a lot of our interviews.

0:58:22.440 --> 0:58:25.400
<v Speaker 1>Not just I was just going to say that's sometimes

0:58:25.440 --> 0:58:32.640
<v Speaker 1>domestic reporters are having this problem. But I digress. But anyway, Well,

0:58:33.440 --> 0:58:37.960
<v Speaker 1>is this, uh, how much is this story taking up

0:58:38.000 --> 0:58:41.000
<v Speaker 1>your bandwidth versus other stuff? And is this more of

0:58:41.640 --> 0:58:43.440
<v Speaker 1>this is now in the rear view mirror or is

0:58:43.480 --> 0:58:45.520
<v Speaker 1>this still this is still on your front burners?

0:58:46.400 --> 0:58:48.000
<v Speaker 3>No, I think it's still definitely interested in this.

0:58:48.200 --> 0:58:50.320
<v Speaker 4>Like you said, there's a lot of mysteries and unanswered

0:58:50.400 --> 0:58:54.800
<v Speaker 4>questions around the investigation. It's funny when I'm when I

0:58:54.920 --> 0:58:58.640
<v Speaker 4>came onto the story with with Michael, initially, he was like,

0:58:59.120 --> 0:59:00.520
<v Speaker 4>I don't know how interest sing it is.

0:59:00.720 --> 0:59:02.720
<v Speaker 3>He does so many spy stories that you.

0:59:02.800 --> 0:59:06.360
<v Speaker 4>Kind of became defensitized to just how extraordinary story.

0:59:06.520 --> 0:59:08.920
<v Speaker 1>You come in and go, oh my god, this is

0:59:08.960 --> 0:59:12.640
<v Speaker 1>a TV show's back Who owns the rights? Right? Have

0:59:12.720 --> 0:59:14.880
<v Speaker 1>you guys made money on that yet? No, I'm kidding.

0:59:14.920 --> 0:59:20.200
<v Speaker 2>Allows now the New York Times, Yeah, well, well, isn't it.

0:59:20.680 --> 0:59:23.120
<v Speaker 1>By the way they the way they parlay this stuff,

0:59:23.160 --> 0:59:27.080
<v Speaker 1>I assume a Hulu streaming episodic show is coming soon, right,

0:59:27.200 --> 0:59:29.240
<v Speaker 1>you know, Well, if it.

0:59:29.280 --> 0:59:31.000
<v Speaker 4>Gets out to more any of the spies to reach

0:59:31.040 --> 0:59:32.920
<v Speaker 4>out to us, great, But no, it is.

0:59:33.000 --> 0:59:33.440
<v Speaker 3>It's one of them.

0:59:33.480 --> 0:59:37.400
<v Speaker 4>It's probably the most interesting, fascinating story that I've worked on.

0:59:37.480 --> 0:59:39.160
<v Speaker 4>And I think there's definitely, you know, like you said,

0:59:39.200 --> 0:59:40.280
<v Speaker 4>answers to chase down.

0:59:40.800 --> 0:59:41.560
<v Speaker 3>So we're still on it.

0:59:42.680 --> 0:59:44.760
<v Speaker 1>So, Michael, you were in Ukraine cover in the war.

0:59:44.800 --> 0:59:46.720
<v Speaker 1>When was the last time you were in country there?

0:59:48.200 --> 0:59:51.040
<v Speaker 2>I was there about a year a little less a

0:59:51.040 --> 0:59:53.240
<v Speaker 2>little less than a year ago, so so my my

0:59:53.360 --> 0:59:55.160
<v Speaker 2>information is not as fresh.

0:59:55.480 --> 0:59:58.600
<v Speaker 1>Right, No, And and do you expect to go back

0:59:59.000 --> 1:00:01.919
<v Speaker 1>or how did that a few weeks I'll go back,

1:00:04.440 --> 1:00:07.200
<v Speaker 1>I think, you know, I'd love for you to share

1:00:07.280 --> 1:00:11.160
<v Speaker 1>sort of how does the times rotate so that you know,

1:00:12.120 --> 1:00:15.120
<v Speaker 1>so that you know, no one person is frankly getting

1:00:15.920 --> 1:00:19.760
<v Speaker 1>you know, getting desensitized to war at any given time,

1:00:19.920 --> 1:00:21.720
<v Speaker 1>So how do you how do you prevent that?

1:00:22.560 --> 1:00:23.880
<v Speaker 2>I mean, at the beginning of the war, we had

1:00:23.920 --> 1:00:26.200
<v Speaker 2>a pretty we had a pretty regular rotation. I was

1:00:26.280 --> 1:00:29.320
<v Speaker 2>in for about six seven weeks and then would come

1:00:29.360 --> 1:00:31.560
<v Speaker 2>out for about three four weeks and then go back

1:00:31.600 --> 1:00:35.160
<v Speaker 2>in again. They like you to get a break our

1:00:35.240 --> 1:00:37.520
<v Speaker 2>bureau chief has been there since the very beginning. I

1:00:37.560 --> 1:00:39.400
<v Speaker 2>mean he comes out as well on a rotation, but

1:00:40.480 --> 1:00:42.960
<v Speaker 2>he's been overseeing the story since the beginning. But since then,

1:00:43.280 --> 1:00:47.280
<v Speaker 2>I think among the original team who was reporting when

1:00:47.320 --> 1:00:51.200
<v Speaker 2>the war started, I think only our bureau chief, Andrew

1:00:51.280 --> 1:00:55.640
<v Speaker 2>cran is still on the story, along with our very

1:00:55.680 --> 1:00:59.800
<v Speaker 2>many dedicated Ukrainian colleagues who live there.

1:01:00.240 --> 1:01:03.840
<v Speaker 1>And are you guys in Russia or not? These days

1:01:05.040 --> 1:01:05.760
<v Speaker 1>we just had.

1:01:05.680 --> 1:01:08.760
<v Speaker 2>A couple of reporters in the country. It's it's, uh,

1:01:08.960 --> 1:01:12.720
<v Speaker 2>it's very dicey. We normally like to go in when

1:01:12.840 --> 1:01:17.240
<v Speaker 2>there's sort of a specific event, uh to cover, particularly

1:01:17.320 --> 1:01:19.560
<v Speaker 2>if it's as if it's a holiday. So we had

1:01:19.840 --> 1:01:24.600
<v Speaker 2>we had reporters in there, uh covering the May ninth,

1:01:24.640 --> 1:01:26.640
<v Speaker 2>the victory day, uh celebration.

1:01:27.120 --> 1:01:29.240
<v Speaker 1>In some ways, if there's a lot of eyeballs and

1:01:29.320 --> 1:01:32.640
<v Speaker 1>it'd be it would be pretty that's pretty good form

1:01:32.720 --> 1:01:35.760
<v Speaker 1>to Yanka reporter. You know, is that the idea that

1:01:35.920 --> 1:01:38.080
<v Speaker 1>you would assume that I was.

1:01:38.280 --> 1:01:41.000
<v Speaker 2>I was having these conversations, you know, in the first

1:01:41.120 --> 1:01:43.360
<v Speaker 2>year of the war, before Evan was arrested, with our

1:01:43.440 --> 1:01:45.560
<v Speaker 2>colleagues and with Evan as well, about sort of what

1:01:46.480 --> 1:01:49.000
<v Speaker 2>what is possible? And what what what is impossible? And

1:01:49.080 --> 1:01:52.920
<v Speaker 2>I think, you know, uh, we all thought, you know,

1:01:53.000 --> 1:01:56.240
<v Speaker 2>the arrest of an American reporter is probably probably, you know,

1:01:56.360 --> 1:01:59.280
<v Speaker 2>pretty unlikely, and so keep going in as it was

1:01:59.360 --> 1:02:05.040
<v Speaker 2>probably uh uh probably an okay risk to take. But

1:02:05.160 --> 1:02:07.720
<v Speaker 2>as as as evans arrest showed, you know, we were

1:02:07.840 --> 1:02:08.480
<v Speaker 2>we were all wrong.

1:02:09.080 --> 1:02:11.720
<v Speaker 1>Well, let me ask this, you know, get based on

1:02:11.920 --> 1:02:16.280
<v Speaker 1>the experience, would you recommend any American to travel to

1:02:16.320 --> 1:02:18.680
<v Speaker 1>Russia these days if you have an American.

1:02:19.560 --> 1:02:22.960
<v Speaker 2>No, uh, and that and that's that's a different answer

1:02:23.040 --> 1:02:26.720
<v Speaker 2>than maybe I would have given, uh, even a year

1:02:27.040 --> 1:02:31.640
<v Speaker 2>or two ago. I think I think Evan's arrest really

1:02:31.640 --> 1:02:36.760
<v Speaker 2>affected me. And I also think the Russian government has changed, uh,

1:02:37.040 --> 1:02:39.560
<v Speaker 2>it has become I mean, you know, the Russian government

1:02:39.640 --> 1:02:44.320
<v Speaker 2>is always sort of notoriously callous. They have become much

1:02:44.400 --> 1:02:52.240
<v Speaker 2>more vicious and and and and uh difficult to barter with. Plus,

1:02:52.400 --> 1:02:55.120
<v Speaker 2>I think at the moment we have I don't think

1:02:55.120 --> 1:02:59.320
<v Speaker 2>I'm saying anything to sort of politically incorrect or opinion it,

1:02:59.600 --> 1:03:01.720
<v Speaker 2>but we have at the moment an administration that I

1:03:01.840 --> 1:03:05.840
<v Speaker 2>didn't fight very hard in the in the United States

1:03:05.920 --> 1:03:08.800
<v Speaker 2>to get an American uh, certainly not an American reporter

1:03:08.920 --> 1:03:11.240
<v Speaker 2>out maybe depending on the American and they might put

1:03:11.240 --> 1:03:14.400
<v Speaker 2>some export into it. They have negotiated the release of Sudden.

1:03:15.640 --> 1:03:18.000
<v Speaker 1>No. I mean you're You're not wrong, You're like, is

1:03:18.760 --> 1:03:23.360
<v Speaker 1>is you know, well, this administration decide, you know, whether

1:03:23.640 --> 1:03:26.960
<v Speaker 1>someone's friendly enough to them to help right that they

1:03:27.120 --> 1:03:29.200
<v Speaker 1>that they make they make a decision based on that,

1:03:29.400 --> 1:03:32.400
<v Speaker 1>not just simply based on an American citizen was was

1:03:32.560 --> 1:03:36.040
<v Speaker 1>illegally detained. Well, look, it's a it's a great story.

1:03:37.400 --> 1:03:40.720
<v Speaker 1>And if you, like I said it was, you you

1:03:40.840 --> 1:03:43.920
<v Speaker 1>sit back where you did, both of you watch the Americans.

1:03:44.520 --> 1:03:47.280
<v Speaker 3>Yes, I loved it, obsessed, loved it, all right.

1:03:49.720 --> 1:03:53.240
<v Speaker 1>You've never seen it. Well, that's well, you know, it's funny.

1:03:53.320 --> 1:03:55.280
<v Speaker 1>I feel that way about West Wing. I think West

1:03:55.320 --> 1:03:59.840
<v Speaker 1>Wing's crap. I hate it. And it's because it's too

1:04:00.400 --> 1:04:04.320
<v Speaker 1>like it it's too It isn't real. It's not reality based.

1:04:04.360 --> 1:04:06.680
<v Speaker 1>It's sort of you know, Aaron Sork and Fantasyland, God

1:04:06.720 --> 1:04:10.200
<v Speaker 1>bless them. And there's nothing wrong with fantasy. But people

1:04:10.280 --> 1:04:12.560
<v Speaker 1>that got into politics thinking life is the West Wing,

1:04:12.640 --> 1:04:15.800
<v Speaker 1>It's like, nope, go watch Veep. That's a little more realistic,

1:04:16.120 --> 1:04:21.880
<v Speaker 1>you know, right, than than than West Wing. So I so, so, Michael,

1:04:21.920 --> 1:04:25.520
<v Speaker 1>do you not watch are you? Because you do so

1:04:25.720 --> 1:04:29.680
<v Speaker 1>much of this espionage beat. Has it made movies and

1:04:30.040 --> 1:04:32.280
<v Speaker 1>programs about espionage less interesting to you?

1:04:33.160 --> 1:04:35.600
<v Speaker 2>I think so? Yeah. I read a lot of books

1:04:35.640 --> 1:04:37.600
<v Speaker 2>about espionage, like historic.

1:04:37.400 --> 1:04:41.440
<v Speaker 1>The real stuff, right, yeah, but the yeah, I I

1:04:42.520 --> 1:04:44.240
<v Speaker 1>need to, you know, draw.

1:04:44.160 --> 1:04:46.640
<v Speaker 2>Some line where I'm thinking about other things.

1:04:46.760 --> 1:04:49.600
<v Speaker 1>So you needed Jane on this, You needed this partnership

1:04:49.680 --> 1:04:54.720
<v Speaker 1>to say, dude, this is an amazing story, not to sensitized.

1:04:54.760 --> 1:04:54.960
<v Speaker 2>I think.

1:04:54.960 --> 1:04:57.760
<v Speaker 1>I'm yeah, And it sounds like you brought in that

1:04:58.000 --> 1:05:01.680
<v Speaker 1>that sort of you brought in the plotline joy to

1:05:01.760 --> 1:05:02.480
<v Speaker 1>this story.

1:05:02.840 --> 1:05:06.240
<v Speaker 3>The American since why I was living the American story. Yeah,

1:05:06.320 --> 1:05:06.520
<v Speaker 3>that's what.

1:05:08.200 --> 1:05:10.320
<v Speaker 4>That's the fantastic energy we've brought to it.

1:05:10.840 --> 1:05:14.480
<v Speaker 1>Well, this is why whoever your editor is very smart

1:05:14.560 --> 1:05:19.080
<v Speaker 1>bringing you two together. Because I couldn't put the story.

1:05:19.120 --> 1:05:20.800
<v Speaker 1>It was one of those days You're like, I can't

1:05:20.840 --> 1:05:23.120
<v Speaker 1>put this story down, and I think it was a

1:05:23.160 --> 1:05:24.960
<v Speaker 1>pretty long read, and I say this, you know for

1:05:25.200 --> 1:05:27.439
<v Speaker 1>these days for newspapers, right, and You're like, I can't

1:05:27.480 --> 1:05:28.920
<v Speaker 1>put this down. And then I just wanted more and

1:05:28.960 --> 1:05:30.560
<v Speaker 1>more and more. So I appreciate you guys coming on

1:05:31.440 --> 1:05:32.880
<v Speaker 1>and humoring me on this.

1:05:33.760 --> 1:05:34.560
<v Speaker 2>Thanks for having us.

1:05:34.640 --> 1:05:35.120
<v Speaker 4>Thanks Jock.

1:05:42.800 --> 1:05:46.840
<v Speaker 1>Well, I hope you enjoyed Season nine of The Americans. No,

1:05:46.880 --> 1:05:49.320
<v Speaker 1>I'm half kidding, but you now, don't you want the

1:05:49.360 --> 1:05:51.120
<v Speaker 1>show back? I mean, I know I've been on a

1:05:51.200 --> 1:05:56.440
<v Speaker 1>Kerrie Russell unofficial showcase. Here, right, we had Debora khn

1:05:56.560 --> 1:06:00.600
<v Speaker 1>talking about the diplomat. Now we're rehashing the America thanks

1:06:00.640 --> 1:06:02.800
<v Speaker 1>to the news of the week when it comes to

1:06:04.000 --> 1:06:07.920
<v Speaker 1>Russian illegal spies and the Brazilian government. Anyway, just a

1:06:08.040 --> 1:06:09.960
<v Speaker 1>fascinating I can't get enough of the story. I hope

1:06:09.960 --> 1:06:13.160
<v Speaker 1>you enjoyed it as much as I did conducting the interview. Well,

1:06:13.240 --> 1:06:15.400
<v Speaker 1>let's do a little last Chuck, answer a few questions,

1:06:15.760 --> 1:06:22.640
<v Speaker 1>ask Chuck. All right, Oh let's see. Oh this is great.

1:06:22.680 --> 1:06:25.720
<v Speaker 1>This comes from Charlie L from Berlin, Germany via Montreal, Canada.

1:06:26.880 --> 1:06:29.560
<v Speaker 1>Got it. When it comes to primaries, why is America

1:06:29.600 --> 1:06:31.680
<v Speaker 1>stuck with a single first in the nation state? We

1:06:31.760 --> 1:06:33.560
<v Speaker 1>see things like Super Tuesday in March, where a bunch

1:06:33.560 --> 1:06:36.240
<v Speaker 1>of states run their primaries or caucuses in parallel. Referring

1:06:36.280 --> 1:06:39.040
<v Speaker 1>to presidential politics here, obviously, I understand the state pride

1:06:39.040 --> 1:06:40.680
<v Speaker 1>of going first. If I were Iowa, wouldn't want to

1:06:40.680 --> 1:06:42.800
<v Speaker 1>give that up. But the question is whether does having

1:06:42.840 --> 1:06:44.520
<v Speaker 1>all eyes on a single state for the first race

1:06:44.640 --> 1:06:47.920
<v Speaker 1>ultimately help the presidential electoral process. My two cents, why

1:06:48.000 --> 1:06:50.040
<v Speaker 1>not have Iowa, New Hampshire, South Carolina had all run

1:06:50.080 --> 1:06:51.880
<v Speaker 1>on the same day. Strikes me that it would be

1:06:51.920 --> 1:06:54.560
<v Speaker 1>a mini Super Tuesday electorally. These states are pretty comparable

1:06:54.600 --> 1:06:57.280
<v Speaker 1>in size. They seem to represent a lot of America's facets.

1:06:57.320 --> 1:06:59.360
<v Speaker 1>A candidate could try to aim and win just one

1:06:59.480 --> 1:07:01.240
<v Speaker 1>or two of these aids, but anyone worth their salt

1:07:01.680 --> 1:07:04.200
<v Speaker 1>should opt for a four state campaign. Love the new

1:07:04.240 --> 1:07:07.640
<v Speaker 1>show look. I think it's a great thought about how

1:07:07.680 --> 1:07:10.200
<v Speaker 1>to do that, which is those first. I completely agree

1:07:10.200 --> 1:07:13.400
<v Speaker 1>about the first four states. If we all accept Iowa,

1:07:13.480 --> 1:07:17.920
<v Speaker 1>New Hampshire, South Carolina, and Nevada, they all showcase different

1:07:18.000 --> 1:07:23.680
<v Speaker 1>parts of the American electorate. Rural America, Independence are a

1:07:23.840 --> 1:07:28.240
<v Speaker 1>huge chunk of New Hampshire voters, African Americans and Evangelical voters.

1:07:28.280 --> 1:07:33.320
<v Speaker 1>In South Carolina, you have Latino voters and transient voters.

1:07:33.360 --> 1:07:37.000
<v Speaker 1>Really as people migrate to Nevada all the time in there,

1:07:37.160 --> 1:07:41.000
<v Speaker 1>and they're all small states. Look, Charlie, the most important

1:07:41.400 --> 1:07:45.600
<v Speaker 1>thing about going first is making sure the whole theory

1:07:45.680 --> 1:07:48.480
<v Speaker 1>of the case is of why a small state is

1:07:48.640 --> 1:07:51.200
<v Speaker 1>to make it accessible so that a guy like Howard Dean,

1:07:51.240 --> 1:07:54.520
<v Speaker 1>who was governor of Vermont, who didn't have the financial

1:07:54.880 --> 1:07:57.800
<v Speaker 1>who didn't have the donor base that the governor of

1:07:57.840 --> 1:08:00.600
<v Speaker 1>Illinois would have, you know, or the or the governor

1:08:00.600 --> 1:08:03.960
<v Speaker 1>of California would have to actually be able to, you know,

1:08:04.200 --> 1:08:08.080
<v Speaker 1>give have a fair shot of having voters give them

1:08:08.120 --> 1:08:10.480
<v Speaker 1>a look. Right. This is what allowed Jimmy Carter to

1:08:10.560 --> 1:08:14.200
<v Speaker 1>go from zero to hero. It's what allowed We've seen

1:08:14.840 --> 1:08:18.920
<v Speaker 1>quite a few people take campaigns in Iowa and become

1:08:19.040 --> 1:08:21.920
<v Speaker 1>national figures. Pat Robertson successfully pulled that off back in

1:08:22.000 --> 1:08:25.040
<v Speaker 1>nineteen eighty eight. He didn't win Iowa, but he overperformed.

1:08:25.080 --> 1:08:27.599
<v Speaker 1>He did better than expected, and it sort of put

1:08:27.640 --> 1:08:29.160
<v Speaker 1>his name on the map and in some ways beat

1:08:29.200 --> 1:08:32.360
<v Speaker 1>Boodagic right is the mayor of South Bend him, you know,

1:08:32.800 --> 1:08:35.439
<v Speaker 1>essentially coming in a tie for first. I guess we

1:08:35.520 --> 1:08:37.800
<v Speaker 1>still don't know who quite won him or Bernie, but

1:08:37.920 --> 1:08:39.439
<v Speaker 1>the fact that he was tied for first sort of

1:08:39.479 --> 1:08:41.760
<v Speaker 1>helped put him on the map and gave the mayor

1:08:41.840 --> 1:08:45.360
<v Speaker 1>of South Bend Access. So the theory behind the small states,

1:08:45.400 --> 1:08:47.960
<v Speaker 1>but you know, putting all four in the same day,

1:08:49.080 --> 1:08:51.559
<v Speaker 1>you know that is one way to solve that problem.

1:08:51.600 --> 1:08:55.760
<v Speaker 1>There's some constitutional state constitutional stuff in New Hampshire and

1:08:55.960 --> 1:08:58.880
<v Speaker 1>in Iowa where they both embedded the whole first first

1:08:58.960 --> 1:09:01.920
<v Speaker 1>in the Nation thing into their state constitutions. But you know,

1:09:02.880 --> 1:09:05.200
<v Speaker 1>as Donald Trump has taught us, these constitutions are just

1:09:05.320 --> 1:09:10.760
<v Speaker 1>suggestions anyway, right, I kid, I kid, Second question here

1:09:11.120 --> 1:09:15.120
<v Speaker 1>from Beaverdale, Pennsylvania. It's Lindsay, as she notes, just outside Johnstown.

1:09:15.560 --> 1:09:17.559
<v Speaker 1>I'm enjoining a new podcast and the freedom it clearly

1:09:17.600 --> 1:09:20.400
<v Speaker 1>gives you to be more open about your opinions on

1:09:20.479 --> 1:09:23.160
<v Speaker 1>various topics. Your take on faith in politics is something

1:09:23.160 --> 1:09:24.880
<v Speaker 1>that I would love to hear you dive into further,

1:09:24.920 --> 1:09:26.720
<v Speaker 1>particularly if we will ever get to a point where

1:09:26.760 --> 1:09:29.400
<v Speaker 1>being religious is not required of a politician. Are there

1:09:29.400 --> 1:09:32.599
<v Speaker 1>examples of politicians that keep their faith private or even

1:09:33.080 --> 1:09:35.600
<v Speaker 1>or are even atheist or agnostic and still succeed in

1:09:35.640 --> 1:09:38.559
<v Speaker 1>getting elected. Do you think America could ever elect one

1:09:38.600 --> 1:09:41.040
<v Speaker 1>as president? I know that some argue that Donald Trump

1:09:41.520 --> 1:09:43.639
<v Speaker 1>may not be a very religious person, but he still

1:09:43.680 --> 1:09:46.519
<v Speaker 1>pretends to be so I don't think he should count. Look,

1:09:46.560 --> 1:09:49.880
<v Speaker 1>I agree, I think the question is I remember, I

1:09:49.960 --> 1:09:52.560
<v Speaker 1>think we had a poll question that indicated this that

1:09:52.720 --> 1:09:57.720
<v Speaker 1>the we would do a round of polling. Where are you?

1:09:57.880 --> 1:10:00.800
<v Speaker 1>Are you comfortable with this attribute? Mute or uncomfortable with

1:10:00.880 --> 1:10:04.360
<v Speaker 1>this attribute? You know, a woman president, a gay president,

1:10:04.479 --> 1:10:08.200
<v Speaker 1>a divorced president, a president that doesn't believe in God.

1:10:09.680 --> 1:10:13.320
<v Speaker 1>I believe that the worst performing what if in that

1:10:13.439 --> 1:10:16.760
<v Speaker 1>scenario was a president that doesn't believe in God? Right

1:10:16.920 --> 1:10:20.320
<v Speaker 1>when we when we're still standing up at seventh innings

1:10:20.360 --> 1:10:23.000
<v Speaker 1>of baseball games to God bless America and it's seen

1:10:23.000 --> 1:10:26.000
<v Speaker 1>as a patriotic song and not necessarily as a song

1:10:26.080 --> 1:10:30.320
<v Speaker 1>of faith. I think that tells you that you're probably

1:10:30.400 --> 1:10:32.799
<v Speaker 1>not decided. You know, I'm I. You know, I certainly

1:10:32.800 --> 1:10:35.960
<v Speaker 1>wouldn't be recommending to a politician. They attempt to be

1:10:36.040 --> 1:10:38.320
<v Speaker 1>the first politician to prove that an atheist can win.

1:10:40.240 --> 1:10:44.360
<v Speaker 1>So I think it's now, you know, I, You've You've

1:10:44.400 --> 1:10:46.200
<v Speaker 1>probably caught I. I sort of feel like I'm not

1:10:46.240 --> 1:10:50.600
<v Speaker 1>a very religious person, but i'm culturally you know, I

1:10:50.720 --> 1:10:53.960
<v Speaker 1>was culturally raised Jewish, as I sort of mixed religion,

1:10:53.960 --> 1:10:56.040
<v Speaker 1>so I was related with all the religions, which you

1:10:56.080 --> 1:10:57.840
<v Speaker 1>could argue then was I relized with any right? But

1:10:57.960 --> 1:11:01.320
<v Speaker 1>if I but I did my deepest eye in Judaism,

1:11:01.360 --> 1:11:04.639
<v Speaker 1>and I raised both my kids Jewish because I wanted

1:11:04.680 --> 1:11:07.200
<v Speaker 1>them to have a religious education. And I think the

1:11:07.280 --> 1:11:10.920
<v Speaker 1>Old Testament is as good as any of a baseline education.

1:11:11.080 --> 1:11:14.120
<v Speaker 1>And look, I do think religious education matters even if

1:11:14.160 --> 1:11:17.360
<v Speaker 1>you're not a person of faith, because it's so foundational

1:11:17.400 --> 1:11:20.840
<v Speaker 1>in music, in the arts, in literature. And yes, it

1:11:20.920 --> 1:11:25.400
<v Speaker 1>impacts our politics. So you know, not understanding faith in

1:11:26.760 --> 1:11:32.439
<v Speaker 1>the world will just make you understand how the world

1:11:32.520 --> 1:11:36.439
<v Speaker 1>works less so, right, you'll be less willing to do that.

1:11:36.640 --> 1:11:39.840
<v Speaker 1>So but no, I don't think we're there yet. I mean,

1:11:40.360 --> 1:11:42.439
<v Speaker 1>do I think we will be by the end of

1:11:42.479 --> 1:11:45.720
<v Speaker 1>this century? I do? You know, I think that you

1:11:45.800 --> 1:11:48.680
<v Speaker 1>can see the trend lines. I've always said if you

1:11:48.840 --> 1:11:51.919
<v Speaker 1>look at the number of people who call themselves religious

1:11:51.920 --> 1:11:53.880
<v Speaker 1>in nineteen hundred versus the number of people that call

1:11:53.920 --> 1:11:56.840
<v Speaker 1>themselves religion in two thousand, Right, And we had this

1:11:57.000 --> 1:11:59.040
<v Speaker 1>sort of you know, if you look at it from

1:11:59.200 --> 1:12:02.360
<v Speaker 1>over one hundred year period, it's on its way to collapse.

1:12:02.439 --> 1:12:05.240
<v Speaker 1>Now we've seen a many religious sort of plateauing. Right,

1:12:05.960 --> 1:12:09.080
<v Speaker 1>there had been a steady decrease in sort of people

1:12:09.320 --> 1:12:12.040
<v Speaker 1>following organized religion, and now there seems to be a

1:12:12.080 --> 1:12:16.600
<v Speaker 1>bit of a plateau and even some incremental upswing in

1:12:16.720 --> 1:12:19.839
<v Speaker 1>certain groups. And I do think that our need for community,

1:12:20.040 --> 1:12:23.680
<v Speaker 1>that faith becomes a place potentially to go. There. My

1:12:23.760 --> 1:12:25.840
<v Speaker 1>friend John Kasik would be and argue that this is

1:12:25.840 --> 1:12:27.720
<v Speaker 1>a good thing, that this could bring people together. And

1:12:28.520 --> 1:12:30.719
<v Speaker 1>you know, I think we all wish if people actually

1:12:30.760 --> 1:12:32.760
<v Speaker 1>followed the tenants of their religion, then we would be

1:12:33.640 --> 1:12:36.840
<v Speaker 1>in a better place in this world. But you know,

1:12:36.960 --> 1:12:39.799
<v Speaker 1>what people do in the name of religion isn't always

1:12:40.400 --> 1:12:44.880
<v Speaker 1>following the tenants of said religion. But yeah, I don't think.

1:12:46.360 --> 1:12:48.600
<v Speaker 1>I think you still have to have politicians pay some

1:12:48.680 --> 1:12:52.720
<v Speaker 1>lip service, and I think, look, it's gonna Yeah, I'm

1:12:52.880 --> 1:12:54.920
<v Speaker 1>here's a trend line that I'm curious about over the

1:12:55.000 --> 1:12:58.600
<v Speaker 1>next twenty years. Well, we start to see Africa Americans

1:12:58.680 --> 1:13:04.320
<v Speaker 1>divide on religion. So, for instance, in among Jewish voters,

1:13:04.600 --> 1:13:07.880
<v Speaker 1>if you go to synagogue once a week or more,

1:13:07.880 --> 1:13:12.000
<v Speaker 1>you're more likely to vote Republican. That's true of any faith.

1:13:12.280 --> 1:13:14.200
<v Speaker 1>If you go months a week or more, you're more

1:13:14.320 --> 1:13:16.519
<v Speaker 1>likely to vote on the right side of the isle

1:13:16.560 --> 1:13:18.160
<v Speaker 1>than on the left side of The less you go

1:13:18.880 --> 1:13:21.840
<v Speaker 1>to church, the more likely you vote on the left.

1:13:22.680 --> 1:13:26.120
<v Speaker 1>Will we the one exception has always been religious African Americans.

1:13:28.120 --> 1:13:30.599
<v Speaker 1>That is turning into a generational divide right where you're

1:13:30.600 --> 1:13:37.680
<v Speaker 1>seeing younger African Americans not as not as not as

1:13:38.840 --> 1:13:41.639
<v Speaker 1>as full intendance in the Black Church as you saw

1:13:41.800 --> 1:13:44.519
<v Speaker 1>with previous generations. And the Black Church is sort of

1:13:44.560 --> 1:13:48.400
<v Speaker 1>a is an very important political organizing force as well.

1:13:48.560 --> 1:13:51.680
<v Speaker 1>So that's you know, that's something I want to watch

1:13:51.760 --> 1:13:54.120
<v Speaker 1>for in over the next twenty or thirty years. Will

1:13:54.160 --> 1:13:58.799
<v Speaker 1>there be a divide among African Americans on religious grounds,

1:13:59.479 --> 1:14:03.160
<v Speaker 1>because we've seen it in every other demographic. You know,

1:14:03.240 --> 1:14:06.479
<v Speaker 1>there's you know, the Catholic vote, you divide based on

1:14:06.600 --> 1:14:08.479
<v Speaker 1>if you attend Mass or don't attend Mass. It's not

1:14:08.560 --> 1:14:11.040
<v Speaker 1>whether the Catholic vote leans one way or the other right.

1:14:11.200 --> 1:14:15.840
<v Speaker 1>It depends on how religious you really are. But we

1:14:15.920 --> 1:14:19.880
<v Speaker 1>hadn't seen that yet impact the African American vote just yet,

1:14:20.000 --> 1:14:23.400
<v Speaker 1>and I'm curious to see if that happens. Last question,

1:14:23.479 --> 1:14:26.600
<v Speaker 1>this one comes from Darren in San Francisco. All the

1:14:26.640 --> 1:14:29.679
<v Speaker 1>new revelations about Biden's decline and related shortcomings that selling

1:14:29.760 --> 1:14:32.720
<v Speaker 1>his agenda have reminded me that after the ACA had

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<v Speaker 1>barely passed and then took years to become popular, I

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<v Speaker 1>was convinced that the Democrats would have learned the necessity

1:14:37.240 --> 1:14:39.840
<v Speaker 1>of strong and sustained messaging. But during Biden's term and

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<v Speaker 1>continuing into the tobacco we're in now, it's as if

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<v Speaker 1>this still completely fails to register on a party wide scale.

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<v Speaker 1>What do you think accounts for this pervasive cluelessness. Is

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<v Speaker 1>it resigning to the fact that complicated positions and policies

1:14:51.840 --> 1:14:54.800
<v Speaker 1>aren't easy to communicate effectively something these very smart people

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<v Speaker 1>are paid to figure out how to do and or

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<v Speaker 1>my theory, do they have an inexplicable content evidence in

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<v Speaker 1>the average voter to reason and pay attention on their own.

1:15:02.840 --> 1:15:04.840
<v Speaker 1>Republicans seem to have the opposite view and take full

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<v Speaker 1>advantage of it. Yes, I'll simplify it even more, Darren.

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<v Speaker 1>You know as a as a friend of mine likes

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<v Speaker 1>to put it, Republicans try to agree with the voter.

1:15:15.240 --> 1:15:18.560
<v Speaker 1>Democrats try to tell the voter what to believe and

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<v Speaker 1>so and then in campaigns you want to be on

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<v Speaker 1>the side of the voters. Versus trying to make the

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<v Speaker 1>voters be on your side.

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<v Speaker 2>Right.

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<v Speaker 1>And I think ultimately, if I were to pinpoint the

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<v Speaker 1>philosophical problem with the Democratic strategic machinery, it is just

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<v Speaker 1>that it's not that they believe people. It's just that

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<v Speaker 1>they believe they can always convince people that they're right

1:15:41.240 --> 1:15:43.880
<v Speaker 1>and that they're versus Republicans go, oh, you don't like

1:15:44.000 --> 1:15:46.599
<v Speaker 1>illegal immigration, neither do we. You don't like the cost

1:15:46.640 --> 1:15:49.040
<v Speaker 1>of in neither do way we agree with you. Right.

1:15:49.120 --> 1:15:51.240
<v Speaker 1>It's more of a they find a way to agree

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<v Speaker 1>with the voter, and they'll do it on some you know,

1:15:55.240 --> 1:15:58.320
<v Speaker 1>Trump jumped on the opioid issue because voters in New

1:15:58.320 --> 1:16:01.000
<v Speaker 1>Hampshire were concerned about it. This is one of those cases.

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<v Speaker 1>Democratic candidates for president in twenty fifteen and twenty sixteen

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<v Speaker 1>weren't listening to the voters. Republican candidates in twenty fifteen

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<v Speaker 1>and twenty sixteen New Hampshire were, and they all jumped

1:16:10.760 --> 1:16:13.360
<v Speaker 1>on the opioid thing a lot quicker, and I think

1:16:13.400 --> 1:16:16.040
<v Speaker 1>more effectively as far as the electorate was concerned than

1:16:16.080 --> 1:16:18.680
<v Speaker 1>Democrats did. And it was simply just hearing, listening to

1:16:18.720 --> 1:16:20.960
<v Speaker 1>the voters and agreeing with the voter that yes, this

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<v Speaker 1>is a problem. So I think it's it's you know,

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<v Speaker 1>it's sort of an even bigger anyway, I totally get

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<v Speaker 1>your question. I know I'm not answering it directly, but

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<v Speaker 1>I hope my view on this in essence does answer

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<v Speaker 1>your question. I think it only reinforces, perhaps what you

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<v Speaker 1>already believe in the messaging mess that is the Democratic

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<v Speaker 1>Party these days. All right, I'm going to leave it there.

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<v Speaker 1>The next time I talk to you, we will flip

1:16:50.560 --> 1:16:53.960
<v Speaker 1>the calendar to June. I've had an incredible first sixty

1:16:54.080 --> 1:16:56.400
<v Speaker 1>days on this run. I really appreciate everybody that is

1:16:56.600 --> 1:16:59.000
<v Speaker 1>like subscribed all of those things. Don't forget we have

1:16:59.040 --> 1:17:01.400
<v Speaker 1>a substack. Now we've got all these things. You can

1:17:01.439 --> 1:17:03.800
<v Speaker 1>hear us anywhere you want. YouTube, we'd love for you

1:17:03.920 --> 1:17:07.519
<v Speaker 1>to subscribe to the channel, everything else, Spotify, Apple, you

1:17:07.640 --> 1:17:11.800
<v Speaker 1>name it. And if Apple isn't uploading right away, automatically

1:17:12.200 --> 1:17:15.360
<v Speaker 1>help us inform Apple that they're messed up. This has

1:17:15.400 --> 1:17:18.040
<v Speaker 1>been an issue. Luckily apparently we're not the only podcast

1:17:18.120 --> 1:17:20.439
<v Speaker 1>with this issue. But please feel free to let the

1:17:20.479 --> 1:17:24.200
<v Speaker 1>engineering team know themselves. Hey Apple, you've got a problem.

1:17:24.439 --> 1:17:28.080
<v Speaker 1>We've done it. Maybe they'll be responsive to you, a

1:17:28.080 --> 1:17:31.280
<v Speaker 1>little more responsive to you. So with that, I'll take

1:17:31.280 --> 1:17:33.360
<v Speaker 1>a little respite until we upload again.