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Speaker 1: The Big Bets on Campus Podcast Podcast.

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Speaker 2: Pot all right, here we go fifteen twenty twenty five,

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Speaker 2: thirty thirty five, forty forty five fifty and the.

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Speaker 1: Kick as block the college football world stundar.

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Speaker 2: Oh my goodness, he stumbled and bumble the lateral turn

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Speaker 2: a canter on the inside.

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Speaker 3: Don't you believe that I'm not.

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Speaker 2: Gonna table up the field the night. It's not the

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Speaker 2: size of the dog in the fight. It's the size

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Speaker 2: of the fight in the dog.

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Speaker 4: What's up the general nation? Welcome to the Big Bets

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Speaker 4: on Campus Podcast. This is the Week twelve college football

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Speaker 4: betting preview. I'm stucky joining me as always my fellow

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Speaker 4: BBOC Coast Colin Wilson kind of just double check to

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Speaker 4: make sure that was right. Week twelve. You know, seeing

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Speaker 4: some of these teams have already played ten games. Season

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Speaker 4: is flying by, but still a lot of college foot

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Speaker 4: We played the College Playoff Bowl season, one of our

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Speaker 4: favorites on this podcast, so we are still right in

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Speaker 4: the thick of it. But cherish these games. Seasons flying by,

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Speaker 4: even the match games.

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Speaker 2: You and I have had seasons where Tuesday Wednesdays have

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Speaker 2: been pretty bad, but it's been okay. For us this year.

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Speaker 4: That's always been my couple of big all right, we

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Speaker 4: have a lot to get today. We'll get to our

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Speaker 4: marquee games before we get started. We've had a lot

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Speaker 4: of people reach out looking for long shot bets. They're

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Speaker 4: in vogue right now. Big parlays, same game parlays kind

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Speaker 4: of stuff. We don't cover a lot on our shows,

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Speaker 4: but I get it. A ton of you out there

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Speaker 4: love those, and they aren't always easy to find.

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Speaker 5: You know.

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Speaker 4: It includes Round Robins two, which I do part time

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Speaker 4: in myself, Colin our other experts here at Action created

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Speaker 4: a new account on the app just for these kinds

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Speaker 4: of bets. It's called parlay Express. So if you're interested

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Speaker 4: in long shot bets, open the Action app and follow

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Speaker 4: parlay Express. That'll be all of our experts long shots

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Speaker 4: that'll be noted who bet what like the college football

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Speaker 4: around Robins for example, coming from us, and it's all

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Speaker 4: under one account. We'll still be tracking all of our

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Speaker 4: stuff ourselves as always, but parlay Express is one central

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Speaker 4: location for all the long shots, so just make sure

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Speaker 4: if you're interested in that, go to the app and

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Speaker 4: follow parlay Express.

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Speaker 2: Obviously all free somebody, oddly enough contacting me on Instagram

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Speaker 2: and told me the Board of Transparency is the greatest

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Speaker 2: edition to the podcast this year. I was like, that's

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Speaker 2: really nice.

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Speaker 4: I've gotten great feedback on it as well. You know, transparency,

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Speaker 4: we always preach that here, like our producer that writes

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Speaker 4: down the games that we both like. But now we

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Speaker 4: have it all right here for you on a board.

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Speaker 4: Games you agree on so far twenty four and thirteen

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Speaker 4: against the spread, so those are at sixty five percent

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Speaker 4: head to head, them up three to two, and trash,

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Speaker 4: I'm twelve and five. Collins are one in one. All right,

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Speaker 4: let's get into it. We have two marquee matchups this weekend.

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Speaker 1: It's another fabulous weekend of college football. Let's check out

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Speaker 1: the marquee matchups we'll all end up bedding for Week twelve.

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Speaker 4: It's a weekend where the top four teams are all

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Speaker 4: on the road. Top four teams in the AP pole

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Speaker 4: are all on the road. Don't see that often. I

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Speaker 4: don't know if we're going to see any upsets if

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Speaker 4: you look at projected spreads. But an interesting note, nonetheless,

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Speaker 4: but let's start with Tennessee at Georgia. George is a

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Speaker 4: very interesting team as far as the Collegewall Playoff is

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Speaker 4: concerned with all this talk about like, hey, Penn State

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Speaker 4: hasn't played anybody. If Georgia suffers it's third loss, like

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Speaker 4: they're basically out, but they would have. They had a

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Speaker 4: win at Texas in dominant fashion, a dominant win over

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Speaker 4: Clemson on a neutral ish field, and they have the

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Speaker 4: number one strength of schedule in the country. I mean

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Speaker 4: they have played a gauntlet all season, with their two

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Speaker 4: previous losses coming against Ole Miss and Alabama on the road.

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Speaker 4: There's a lot of injury speculation in this Tennessee Georgia

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Speaker 4: game around Nico there a couple of people have come

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Speaker 4: out Puba Cleton said he's not gonna play. Hipel has

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Speaker 4: said he feels good about it. You know, he left

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Speaker 4: last week's game. They said it was precautioner and he

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Speaker 4: didn't come back. But it's not like that game was

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Speaker 4: completely out of hand.

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Speaker 2: What did you think the hit? I thought he took

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Speaker 2: a pretty good hit off the off the grass his head.

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Speaker 4: Yeah, for sure. But Hipel and Hypel also has an

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Speaker 4: incentive to not disclose anything, right and for the college

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Speaker 4: ball playoff rankings, for preparation for Georgia preparing, but we

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Speaker 4: just don't know. And there's some people saying I'm here.

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Speaker 4: Some people say he's gonna be out. I hear some

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Speaker 4: people say that they don't know yet. Other people say

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Speaker 4: that they think he's gonna play. I don't know. If

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Speaker 4: he doesn't play, and he hasn't been great this this

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Speaker 4: offense is it's been broken all season. If he doesn't play,

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Speaker 4: you're down to a senior, you know, fifty year senior

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Speaker 4: walk on who transferred in from UCF because he was

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Speaker 4: familiar with Hypel's system. In Gaston Moore Nico has been

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Speaker 4: pretty bad, but that would be a drop off for sure.

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Speaker 4: I played Georgia in this game. I lay nine at

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Speaker 4: CEP ten. Now I wouldn't go any higher than that.

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Speaker 4: But why so the Georgia offense I've been saying for weeks.

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Speaker 4: The Georgia offense is broken, just like Tennessee's, and it is.

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Speaker 4: Their offensive line has injuries, They can't really get their

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Speaker 4: run game going. The wide receiver room who they're throwing

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Speaker 4: to is just not as talented as we've seen in Georgia.

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Speaker 4: Carson Beck looks like he's prime seeing ghosts. Sam Darnold

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Speaker 4: throughout the season. So the offense is back. Why did

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Speaker 4: I lay lay it with Georgia. Well, I think it's

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Speaker 4: going to come down Number one of the spot, so

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Speaker 4: this is their season at home at night. Number two,

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Speaker 4: the uncertainty of quarterback. But most importantly it's the defense.

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Speaker 4: I think that this defense is going to win this

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Speaker 4: game for them, and ultimately they're going to cover because

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Speaker 4: of it. I think that they can hold Tennessee to

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Speaker 4: ten to fourteen points, and I think they can get

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Speaker 4: the twenty four. We've seen the peak of Georgia and

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Speaker 4: this defense. This Tennessee offense, they can't run the ball

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Speaker 4: anymore in league play. Their offensive line has issues, the

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Speaker 4: wide receiver room has been underwhelming, and the quarterback play

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Speaker 4: has not been great. And you might not get Nico here.

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Speaker 4: And who knows how to shut down this Tennessee offense,

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Speaker 4: Kirby Smart. That's all they've done since Heipel has arrived

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Speaker 4: in Knoxville. Schumann and Smart have shut them down. Twenty

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Speaker 4: twenty one, forty one seventeen Georgia, twenty twenty two, twenty

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Speaker 4: seven to thirteen Georgia, last year thirty eight ten Georgia.

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Speaker 4: Two of those games were in Noxville, and some of

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Speaker 4: those Tennessee offenses were much better than the current that

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Speaker 4: we see today, and you might have a backup quarterback

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Speaker 4: in there. So I think this Georgia defense, you know

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Speaker 4: how much more motivations is Georgia. You had already have

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Speaker 4: two losses, coming off a bad loss at home against Tennessee,

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Speaker 4: you're one spot out of the College twelve playoff after

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Speaker 4: finishing no. One spot out last year. I think this

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Speaker 4: defense shows up. I think they shut down Tennessee. I

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Speaker 4: think they win by double digits. And if you look

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Speaker 4: the strength of scheduled disparity is massive in this game.

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Speaker 4: Georgia already talked about it number one most difficult schedule

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Speaker 4: in the country Tennessee outside the top fifty. Who has

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Speaker 4: Tennessee played. The one win that they can hang their

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Speaker 4: hat on was Alabama at home, and an ugly one.

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Speaker 4: It was clear jale Milroe was not one hundred percent.

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Speaker 4: Playing Alabama with a banged up Jalen Milroe is a

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Speaker 4: completely different animal than the Alabama we saw out of

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Speaker 4: the buy with a healthy Milroe. Look at the rest

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Speaker 4: of the Tennessee schedule. The non conference ended up being

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Speaker 4: an absolute joke. We've seen NC State in Oklahoma, since

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Speaker 4: the other wins were against an FCS team in Kent State.

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Speaker 4: We finally had a league but souls that won a game.

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Speaker 4: And then in conference play there are other games they

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Speaker 4: should have lost at Florida at home, you know, then

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Speaker 4: they beat Mississippi State and then an injury ravage Kentucky team.

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Speaker 4: They haven't met Odds Baker's expectations in any of those games.

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Speaker 4: So back against the wall, Georgia at home playoff line

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Speaker 4: lives on the line. Kirby knows how to shut down

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Speaker 4: this offense, might not get Nico. For what it's worth,

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Speaker 4: Kirby thirty two and eighteen against the spread, sixty four

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Speaker 4: percent against ranked opponents, thirteen and six as a non

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Speaker 4: road favorite of a touchdown or more, covering by over

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Speaker 4: ten points per game. I like Georgia here.

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Speaker 2: Yeah. If you took a seven quarter sample for Georgia

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Speaker 2: against Texas and three quarters against Alabama, this is an

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Speaker 2: easy national championship looking team. The problem is is every

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Speaker 2: other quarter against SEC play has been a little troubled.

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Speaker 4: So you can say that about Tennessee too.

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Speaker 2: Oh, I could say a lot of things about Tennessee.

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Speaker 2: I could keep going about Tennessee. So I agree with

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Speaker 2: you on every point that you made. I have not

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Speaker 2: dipped into Georgia because I thought maybe there was a

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Speaker 2: better angle at attacking this game. Because if Niko is

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Speaker 2: not going to go, which the people that I trust

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Speaker 2: the most are saying that he's not going to play.

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Speaker 2: Now you know how concussion protocol is going to go.

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Speaker 2: They're going to get me the test on Friday night.

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Speaker 2: They're gonna get him a test on Saturday morning. He will dress.

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Speaker 2: I would assume if he's even not allowed to play,

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Speaker 2: that he would do warm ups and then just walk

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Speaker 2: off the field. That's usually how these things work. And

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Speaker 2: the point spread is going to fluctuate until we get

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Speaker 2: til we find out exactly what his status is. But

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Speaker 2: why in the world would Hype Will ever give up

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Speaker 2: any information and give Kirby, Smart and Schumann any information

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Speaker 2: about what they should prepare for. They won't. So this

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Speaker 2: game really should come down to Dylan Sampson and the

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Speaker 2: and the ground game for Tennessee. On the offensive side,

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Speaker 2: George's deep.

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Speaker 4: He got banged up though last week too, so he

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Speaker 4: is dealing with an injury.

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Speaker 2: He did and the other bad news is that Georgia

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Speaker 2: dominates power run concepts. There's sixty six percent success rate

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Speaker 2: on defense against that which Tennessee runs a lot of.

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Speaker 2: And the defense for Georgia is finally healthy. Mikel Williams

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Speaker 2: full health, no availability report. Linebacker Smile Mundon got his

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Speaker 2: first bit of action against Little Miss after going out

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Speaker 2: against Week five with an injury to Alabama. So there

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Speaker 2: are a lot of positives for Georgia. Like you said,

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Speaker 2: I think what you're.

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Speaker 4: Getting to, which I also like it. And mention is

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Speaker 4: you're eventually gonna get the Tennessee team total under.

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Speaker 2: I do like the Tennessee team total under. I bet

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Speaker 2: I bet first half under because I still have issues

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Speaker 2: with the Georgia offensive line. This Tennessee pass rush needs

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Speaker 2: to be acknowledged in this game. They are a force.

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Speaker 2: It is not a joke. Thirty seven of the eighty

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Speaker 2: pressures on Carson Beck this season have come in the

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Speaker 2: last three games. It is being franked up on their

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Speaker 2: schedule on the amount of pressures that Beck is seeing.

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Speaker 2: Left tackle Ernest Green is fighting through in right now,

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Speaker 2: sinking run and pass blocking grades. Right guard Xavier Trust

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Speaker 2: has been an absolute disaster in a couple games from

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Speaker 2: a grading perspective, center Jared Wilson uncharacteristically has had some

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Speaker 2: huge problems with pass blocking. Beck. Over his last twelve quarters,

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Speaker 2: eight turnover worthy plays, zero big time throws. He is

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Speaker 2: not connecting the dots, and every time he gets pressure,

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Speaker 2: it's a disaster. I took first half under. I think

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Speaker 2: the number is a little bit lower if we talked

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Speaker 2: into it, But with the struggles Doorge offensive line has

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Speaker 2: and what Carson Beck has done with pressure, I'm just

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Speaker 2: going to opt for a first half under and I'll

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Speaker 2: look for a live spot on the Dogs.

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Speaker 4: Yeah, there's there's gonna be a lot of difference of

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Speaker 4: opinions in this game, so I wouldn't be surprised. Like

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Speaker 4: you said that the line keeps fluctuating. Let's get to

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Speaker 4: our second marquee game, Kansas at BYU. BYU still undefeated,

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Speaker 4: in control of their college football playoff destiny line sitting

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Speaker 4: around two and a half total fifty six and a

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Speaker 4: half to be the late night game ten to fifteen

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Speaker 4: Eastern on ESPN. I played Kansas anything three or better.

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Speaker 4: My one concern for Kansas is, I mean, this team

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Speaker 4: is rolling right now, and this match is you've met

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Speaker 4: your matching arguably the unluckiest team in the country in Kansas,

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Speaker 4: and argue the luckiest in BYU. I mean BYU should

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Speaker 4: have lost at home to Utah and Oklahoma State, two

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Speaker 4: teams that might not make a bowl. I mean Oklahoma

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Speaker 4: State is not Utah might not talk about them in

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Speaker 4: a bit, and Kansas, if you had a couple bounces

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Speaker 4: go the other way for each of these teams. Kansas

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Speaker 4: could be in first place in the Big Twelve or

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Speaker 4: playing for a spot in the title game, and BYU

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Speaker 4: could have a couple losses and be completely out of it.

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Speaker 4: But sometimes that's the way the ball bounces. Look. My

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Speaker 4: one concern for Kansas here, I mean their offense is rolling,

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Speaker 4: absolutely rolling out of the buy Daniels is playing at

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Speaker 4: like a Heisman level. That that offense is right now

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Speaker 4: is just unstoppable. And what can BYU not stop the

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Speaker 4: run game and mobile quarterbacks? We saw that with Oli

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Speaker 4: Gordon and Garrett Wrangle. What do you think is what

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Speaker 4: do you think Jalen Daniels and a really good backfield

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Speaker 4: of Kansas is gonna do? And then that's gonna set

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Speaker 4: up everything downfield. The Kansas run. The run dye is bad,

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Speaker 4: but BYU, I know they're a little better with l. J. Martin.

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Speaker 4: It's not a great rushing teams. They're not overly efficient.

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Speaker 4: You're gonna be relying on Rett's left to chuck the

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Speaker 4: ball here. He's been getting lucky. The turnovers are gonna come.

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Speaker 4: I mean even the fumbles last week, two fumbles fall

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Speaker 4: right back into his hands. You're gonna be throwing at

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Speaker 4: two really good corners, Mellow Dotson and Kobe Bryant. Kobe

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Speaker 4: Barrant will get drafted. I think they're gonna force him

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Speaker 4: into a mistake or two and just to go back

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Speaker 4: to the luck. I mean, you look at these records

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Speaker 4: b AU nine and oh well, they're four to zero

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Speaker 4: in one possession games. They also had a ridiculous win

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Speaker 4: over Kansas State where they had like four non offensive

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Speaker 4: touchdowns Kansas ZHO and five in one possession games. So

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Speaker 4: so I think this is a really good matchup for Kansas.

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Speaker 4: Mentioned their rushing attack, they're sixth an epa per rush BYU.

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Speaker 4: Their defense one hundred and sixth in that department, So

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Speaker 4: really good matchup. This Kansas team is rolling and they're motivated.

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Speaker 4: Obviously we might if for this game win out go

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Speaker 4: to a bowl. They're well coached, big coaching advantage here.

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Speaker 4: The turnovers are coming for retslaf He has eighteen touchdowns

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Speaker 4: of seven interceptions, but a one to one big time

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Speaker 4: throw to turnover worthy play ratio dua plus ten turnover margin.

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Speaker 4: On the year, They've recovered seventy percent of their fumbles.

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Speaker 4: They're also sixteen of twenty on fourth downs. Like the

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Speaker 4: regression is coming Sataki for what it's worth as a

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Speaker 4: field goal, as a field goal favorite or more, He's

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Speaker 4: eight and fifteen against the spread at home, oh to

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Speaker 4: nine over his past nine. My one concern for Kansas

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Speaker 4: is I don't think Price cable do. Their stud left

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Speaker 4: tackle is going to play. Got hurt the end of

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Speaker 4: last game BYU starting right tackle bring Kim. He got

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Speaker 4: hurt late against UTAs, but that's something worth monitoring. And

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Speaker 4: by you could potentially get their center back, and Connor

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Speaker 4: pay has missed the past few he was on the

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Speaker 4: depth chart this week, so the offensive line injury news

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Speaker 4: could work against Kansas. But I still like the jay Awks.

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Speaker 4: I think they get this done and wouldn't be shocked

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Speaker 4: if they beat Colorado at home next week too. I'll

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Speaker 4: probably you on them. There's a team I'm riding right

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Speaker 4: or I through the end of the season. This Big

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Speaker 4: Twelve race is not over.

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Speaker 2: Listen, I think, first of all, I think the game

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Speaker 2: should be a pick. Yeah, the Big Twelve referees have

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Speaker 2: a decision to make here, because.

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Speaker 4: God, I forgot.

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Speaker 2: I didn't even mention that you could keep BYU undefeated

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Speaker 2: or you can help Kansas out and get another team

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Speaker 2: in your conference to a bowl. We'll have to see

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Speaker 2: after what happened in Lubbock last week and what happened

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Speaker 2: in Provo, so we'll see. The ground attack has produced

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Speaker 2: a sixty seven percent success rate. You were mentioning maybe

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Speaker 2: a possible injury that could affect Kansas on the offensive line.

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Speaker 2: I would combat that and say that BYU defensively is

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Speaker 2: outside the top ninety in line yards and pass rush.

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Speaker 2: So whether it's passed or run for Kansas, I don't

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Speaker 2: know if BYU can expose that, we'll see. But what

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Speaker 2: we do know is that Kansas is up to third

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Speaker 2: in line yards in the country and finishing drives. I listen,

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Speaker 2: I don't know. Maybe we reassess Andy Kotalniky and what

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Speaker 2: we think of him right now they're fourth in the

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Speaker 2: country and offensive finishing drives they average five points and

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Speaker 2: they've had forty nine trips into into scoring territory passed

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Speaker 2: the forty yard line against opponents. So Kansas is really

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Speaker 2: lighting it up in a lot of aspects. BYU is

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Speaker 2: not ready for this Kansas attack on the ground. So

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Speaker 2: what you're looking for Kansas is maybe stop the explosives.

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Speaker 2: I'm not sure they can. There's seventieth in defense in

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Speaker 2: pass EPA, but rets Laft is not accurate whatsoever. I

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Speaker 2: wish I had something for the Kansas secretary secondary to

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Speaker 2: say that they're gonna be able to stop this madness

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Speaker 2: Retsloft passing where it's all over the place. But they're

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Speaker 2: ninety fifth and created contested catches.

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Speaker 4: Yeah, pay six calling.

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Speaker 2: I agree with you, Kansas. I do think there's a

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Speaker 2: little bit of voodoo still in play because Kansas secondary

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Speaker 2: is not showing the numbers to create contested catches. But

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Speaker 2: we're on Kansas all the way.

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Speaker 4: Rett's left. Fine, he makes his own contestant catches like,

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Speaker 4: that's all right, So you're first half under. I like Georgia,

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Speaker 4: we both like Kansas, and this is the luckiest first

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Speaker 4: n luckiest team, so by he probably wins up by

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Speaker 4: one on like a walk off Hail Mary. All right,

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Speaker 4: let's get to the rundown Oregon at Wisconsin. Oregon is

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Speaker 4: laying fourteen and a half. Here, Wisconsin off of the bye,

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Speaker 4: this is flane come down to fourteen. I assumed it

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Speaker 4: would have been checked total send a fifty one and

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Speaker 4: a half and mostly fourteen's across the board now, I mean,

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Speaker 4: I look, it was under a touchdown against Penn State

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Speaker 4: when Wisconsin was hosting Penn State. I don't think that

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Speaker 4: there's over a touchdown difference between Penn State and Oregon,

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Speaker 4: so maybe this is a bit high. I don't know.

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Speaker 4: Oregon probably still not a full strength on offense. You

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Speaker 4: have something here I can't. I would lean Wisconsin, but

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Speaker 4: probably stay away from me.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, I mean, I make the game fourteen, so I've

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Speaker 2: been off of it all week. I want to bet Wisconsin.

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Speaker 2: I just have a hard time believing that Oregon is

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Speaker 2: going to make all of these trips. And I mean,

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Speaker 2: we're watching Gladiator footage. We're waiting for Michigan fans to

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Speaker 2: pile out so we can rub it in their face

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Speaker 2: and score another one like we won this huge game

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Speaker 2: against Ohio State at home, Like, there have been so

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Speaker 2: many emotional hurdles and Dan Lanning's team continues to cross

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Speaker 2: all of them. And when is the hangovercoming? This is

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Speaker 2: college football, This isn't well, it is professional now, but

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Speaker 2: at some point these college teams lay an egg, even

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Speaker 2: the best ones. Right, look at everybody in the SEC,

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Speaker 2: and so I'm just kind of wondering when it's going

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Speaker 2: to happen for Oregon now, you know, you look at

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Speaker 2: them offensively, there's nothing really where Wisconsin has something they

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Speaker 2: can hang their hat on and say we can stop

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Speaker 2: you from doing this. They do have great coverage grade

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Speaker 2: time thirty in coverage grades, they are top twenty five

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Speaker 2: in limiting quality drives. But at the same time, Oregon

364
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Speaker 2: can attack you in places that you can't defend. Wisconsin

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Speaker 2: can't defend the rush. Jordan James is on a limited

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Speaker 2: count if you're talking about load management, if you want to.

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Speaker 4: James land one carry in the second half, he got

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Speaker 4: beat up. Birch also got hurt, and then Tess Johnson

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Speaker 4: will probably still be out and so they're not.

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Speaker 2: They're limited.

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Speaker 4: Yeah, Bedford is still out.

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Speaker 2: And this is how I have such a hard time

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Speaker 2: handicapping organ from here on out because Jordan James is

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Speaker 2: going to play, but his snap counts are going to

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Speaker 2: be extremely limited until they get to the Big Ten

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Speaker 2: Championship game. So how do you look at these numbers

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Speaker 2: and cross references against each other and think that Landing's

378
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Speaker 2: he's giving everybody that has value on this offense. They're

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Speaker 2: all on limited snaps until they get to the Big Boy.

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Speaker 2: So now you're heading into Camp Randall. To me, I

381
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Speaker 2: think this is either backdoor cover. I think Wisconsin's got

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Speaker 2: enough in them to cover in this game. Offensively, We'll

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Speaker 2: have to see what they can do against his defense.

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Speaker 2: Where you want to push them around is on the ground.

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Speaker 2: I think Wisconsin should be able to do that, at

386
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Speaker 2: least from a line yards perspective that says they are.

387
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Speaker 2: Nothing explosive is coming out of this offense. Generally, quality

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Speaker 2: drives their ninety six. That's going to be bad against Oregon.

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Speaker 2: So I have a hard time making a case for

390
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Speaker 2: how Wisconsin's going to score. But I do know that

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Speaker 2: Oregon's players are on a limited snap count.

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Speaker 4: And I don't know, Harper, I should have set their guard.

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Speaker 4: You're still out. I mean Bedford has been out for

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Speaker 4: a while, but Harper won't play here either, So and

395
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Speaker 4: you look, that offense wasn't crisp last week against Maryland.

396
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Speaker 4: Right now tes Tess Johnson's a big loss not having him.

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Speaker 4: I think they can get Toabby Walker going here. That's

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Speaker 4: like when their offense is at its best.

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Speaker 2: That's when they were the best.

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Speaker 4: It's Wisconsin or nothing, and maybe I'll play it small

401
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Speaker 4: need for at least four team though.

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Speaker 2: If Maryland can produce methodicals against you, that signals a

403
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Speaker 2: little bit of a problem.

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Speaker 4: Utah at Colorado, Man, this is uh. I was surprised.

405
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Speaker 4: I upgraded to Colorado a lot. I'm trying to it's

406
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Speaker 4: They've been a tough team for me to power rate.

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Speaker 4: I've talked about how their defensive coordinator has been great.

408
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Speaker 4: Their offense is obviously super talented. I was like, man,

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Speaker 4: this line canna be too high and I'm gonna show

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Speaker 4: value on Utah. But I made it ten and a half.

411
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Speaker 4: Colorado is sitting eleven and a half point favorite total

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Speaker 4: forty five and a half. I actually don't mind the

413
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Speaker 4: under The Colorid of defense is playing much better. I'm

414
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Speaker 4: not sure the market's fully caught up there. I don't

415
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Speaker 4: know what in Utah's defense I think will show up.

416
00:22:33,160 --> 00:22:35,920
Speaker 4: Utah's defense can, I think. I mean, if you look

417
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Speaker 4: at who's Colorado played from a defensive perspective, that you're

418
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Speaker 4: scared of. Right, they played Texas Tech sincey Arizona, Kansas

419
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Speaker 4: State will beat them. U see athletic. None of these

420
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Speaker 4: teams they can't get after the quarterback. That's like how

421
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Speaker 4: you The corrad offense line is playing better, But I

422
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Speaker 4: think Utah's defensive front can get after Sanders create a

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Speaker 4: lot of negative plays. I don't think they're gonna get

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Speaker 4: to run the ball here. So I think the Utah

425
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Speaker 4: defense will show up, but maybe they don't. It's a

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Speaker 4: tough spot. You lost that heartbreaker to YU. Where are

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Speaker 4: they at mentally? Can Wittingham get them up here? I

428
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Speaker 4: think he can. I mean it's Colorado like you're trying

429
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Speaker 4: to end their season, all the hype. I think they'll

430
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Speaker 4: show up here. So I kind of the unders taking

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Speaker 4: a bit of money. I still like it above forty

432
00:23:25,359 --> 00:23:29,600
Speaker 4: five because what's Utah going to do on offense? Rose

433
00:23:29,640 --> 00:23:32,640
Speaker 4: out for the year, Hootie out for the year. You're

434
00:23:32,680 --> 00:23:36,639
Speaker 4: going back to Wilson who's just atrocious, and this car

435
00:23:36,640 --> 00:23:39,040
Speaker 4: out of defense is playing well. They also make good adjustments,

436
00:23:40,920 --> 00:23:42,800
Speaker 4: so I would look at the under. I have nothing

437
00:23:42,840 --> 00:23:46,159
Speaker 4: from a side perspective, but I do think the Utah

438
00:23:46,280 --> 00:23:50,120
Speaker 4: defense shows up here. But it's a question where's Utah mentally?

439
00:23:50,640 --> 00:23:51,320
Speaker 4: What do you see here?

440
00:23:51,800 --> 00:23:53,639
Speaker 2: I took the first half under under twenty three and

441
00:23:53,640 --> 00:23:55,400
Speaker 2: a half. I took that early in the week. There'll

442
00:23:55,440 --> 00:23:57,520
Speaker 2: be a full write up on Action Network. Dion came

443
00:23:57,520 --> 00:24:00,760
Speaker 2: out in as presser and said, I love the kickoff

444
00:24:00,760 --> 00:24:03,119
Speaker 2: time of this game. I did not want it at

445
00:24:03,240 --> 00:24:07,280
Speaker 2: night against Utah. I mean eleven am. What time is

446
00:24:07,320 --> 00:24:09,760
Speaker 2: that for Utah? I mean that that's a you know,

447
00:24:09,760 --> 00:24:12,240
Speaker 2: that's a body clock, a nine am kick. For Colorado

448
00:24:12,280 --> 00:24:14,120
Speaker 2: it's a ten am kick. I mean, these big noon

449
00:24:14,119 --> 00:24:16,000
Speaker 2: games have happened in Colorado. I don't think they've happened

450
00:24:16,000 --> 00:24:18,359
Speaker 2: that much for Utah since Fox has kind of taken

451
00:24:18,400 --> 00:24:22,080
Speaker 2: over that time slot. So from an offense is getting

452
00:24:22,119 --> 00:24:23,240
Speaker 2: started perspective, this is.

453
00:24:23,720 --> 00:24:25,600
Speaker 4: I didn't even realize if this game is at noon, what.

454
00:24:25,840 --> 00:24:28,000
Speaker 2: It's so early. That's why early this week I was

455
00:24:28,040 --> 00:24:30,040
Speaker 2: like under first half. I don't whenever the first half

456
00:24:30,160 --> 00:24:31,960
Speaker 2: numbers come out Monday night Tuesday morning. I'm going to

457
00:24:32,080 --> 00:24:34,280
Speaker 2: hit the under on the first half because hangover for

458
00:24:34,440 --> 00:24:36,880
Speaker 2: Utah after that really late game in the Holy War

459
00:24:37,200 --> 00:24:40,280
Speaker 2: Big Neon kickoff. Brandon Rose is out Isaac Wilson, who

460
00:24:40,280 --> 00:24:43,800
Speaker 2: I think could have started last week, but Whittiam just

461
00:24:43,800 --> 00:24:45,879
Speaker 2: wanted him to sit it out. And then you go

462
00:24:45,960 --> 00:24:48,720
Speaker 2: with what the handicap was against the Holy War against

463
00:24:48,800 --> 00:24:52,000
Speaker 2: ret Slav. Utah is still number one defensively in the

464
00:24:52,080 --> 00:24:55,160
Speaker 2: nation and creating contested catches. That is a huge thing

465
00:24:55,200 --> 00:24:59,240
Speaker 2: to have against Travis Hunter Wester. You know, Jimmy Horn's

466
00:24:59,240 --> 00:25:01,720
Speaker 2: not there, but Shador and that whole trio of the

467
00:25:02,160 --> 00:25:05,480
Speaker 2: passing game, Utah being number one contested catches, I'll take

468
00:25:05,480 --> 00:25:08,600
Speaker 2: the first half under here, and I think Colorado eventually

469
00:25:08,600 --> 00:25:11,439
Speaker 2: wins this game. But they have been by the way,

470
00:25:11,480 --> 00:25:13,800
Speaker 2: if you want to go to the scoring splits, Colorado

471
00:25:13,840 --> 00:25:16,520
Speaker 2: has been ridiculous in the third quarter, like one of

472
00:25:16,560 --> 00:25:20,000
Speaker 2: the best defensively and one of the best offensively in

473
00:25:20,119 --> 00:25:22,480
Speaker 2: third quarter. So I think if the Colorado BET's going

474
00:25:22,520 --> 00:25:24,040
Speaker 2: to come for me, it's going to come at halftime.

475
00:25:24,640 --> 00:25:28,240
Speaker 4: Yeah, their defensive adjustments have been tremendous all year. Under Livingston.

476
00:25:29,400 --> 00:25:35,480
Speaker 4: Tulane at Navy. Big game for Tulane in the American

477
00:25:35,480 --> 00:25:37,960
Speaker 4: for their college flball playoff hopes, they've been a wagon.

478
00:25:38,800 --> 00:25:40,680
Speaker 4: I've tried to fade them a couple times this year

479
00:25:41,000 --> 00:25:44,320
Speaker 4: to no avail. What do you got here, Tulane sitting

480
00:25:44,400 --> 00:25:47,760
Speaker 4: Let's see up to seven fifty two and a half.

481
00:25:47,960 --> 00:25:50,480
Speaker 2: Tulane is a senior dominated offense, even back to the

482
00:25:50,480 --> 00:25:53,359
Speaker 2: Willie Fritz days. They've seen the triple option a billion times.

483
00:25:53,440 --> 00:25:57,119
Speaker 2: They have the numbers when it comes to rushing success rate. Defensively,

484
00:25:57,640 --> 00:26:00,120
Speaker 2: stuff rates in the top thirty line yards or twenty.

485
00:26:00,400 --> 00:26:02,679
Speaker 2: They're in the top thirty, rushing success in the top twenty.

486
00:26:03,480 --> 00:26:05,040
Speaker 2: This is also a team the top twenty five in

487
00:26:05,119 --> 00:26:07,359
Speaker 2: quality and finishing drives. And I think the number is

488
00:26:07,400 --> 00:26:09,960
Speaker 2: completely boosted by the fact that Navy has injuries on

489
00:26:10,000 --> 00:26:12,840
Speaker 2: the offensive side of the ball. The more that you

490
00:26:12,880 --> 00:26:15,520
Speaker 2: get that Delaware wing te offense on tape for Navy,

491
00:26:15,880 --> 00:26:17,879
Speaker 2: the better teams have been defending it. You look at

492
00:26:17,880 --> 00:26:19,959
Speaker 2: Notre Dame, it was just it was a bludgeting from

493
00:26:20,000 --> 00:26:22,520
Speaker 2: the very from the opening kick. And I think more

494
00:26:22,520 --> 00:26:24,760
Speaker 2: that you have that on tape, it benefits defenses. And

495
00:26:24,760 --> 00:26:28,880
Speaker 2: two lane right now under John Somemral, who is quickly

496
00:26:29,280 --> 00:26:32,119
Speaker 2: flying up radars for head coaches. I know it's on

497
00:26:32,240 --> 00:26:35,320
Speaker 2: Arkansas's list. I like two lane in this game. I

498
00:26:35,359 --> 00:26:36,879
Speaker 2: just think the number is too high, but I believe

499
00:26:36,920 --> 00:26:38,879
Speaker 2: it's injury related to the Navy offense.

500
00:26:40,000 --> 00:26:43,679
Speaker 4: Yeah, Horvath dealing with that thumb injury, but didn't impact

501
00:26:43,720 --> 00:26:48,200
Speaker 4: them last week against USF Who's dead to me, I

502
00:26:48,200 --> 00:26:51,639
Speaker 4: don't have much there. I think the line is close

503
00:26:51,680 --> 00:26:56,040
Speaker 4: to fair if it gets above seven. I might look

504
00:26:56,040 --> 00:26:59,520
Speaker 4: at Navy, but not rushing to bet against this two

505
00:26:59,600 --> 00:27:02,159
Speaker 4: lane team because they just I can't catch up to

506
00:27:02,200 --> 00:27:04,159
Speaker 4: how good they are, and they just keep covering. And

507
00:27:04,200 --> 00:27:07,320
Speaker 4: the Navy defense certainly has questions. Not sure they can

508
00:27:07,359 --> 00:27:13,560
Speaker 4: really slow down this two lane attack. Virginia at Notre Dame. Oh,

509
00:27:13,840 --> 00:27:26,360
Speaker 4: Donny boy, the pipes pipe so from les, I got

510
00:27:26,359 --> 00:27:29,000
Speaker 4: nothing to hear. I'm I'm close to market. I thought

511
00:27:29,000 --> 00:27:30,680
Speaker 4: I was gonna be backing my boy Kalanda. I'll be

512
00:27:30,720 --> 00:27:33,359
Speaker 4: doing that next week when he beats your SMU boys.

513
00:27:33,640 --> 00:27:36,520
Speaker 4: O boy, not twenty three, fifteen and a half. Here

514
00:27:36,880 --> 00:27:37,720
Speaker 4: you have something.

515
00:27:37,480 --> 00:27:40,120
Speaker 2: Here, Yeah, I took a Notre Dame at twenty it's obviously.

516
00:27:39,920 --> 00:27:41,200
Speaker 4: Your fane Kalandry again.

517
00:27:41,560 --> 00:27:44,920
Speaker 2: Yeah, I am listen. First off, this is a beauty pageant.

518
00:27:44,960 --> 00:27:47,640
Speaker 2: Notre Dame is one of our beauty pageant contestants. We're

519
00:27:47,680 --> 00:27:50,359
Speaker 2: all jockeying proceeding between five and eleven. Notre Dame is

520
00:27:50,400 --> 00:27:53,520
Speaker 2: one of those characters. Defense is number one and then

521
00:27:53,600 --> 00:27:56,520
Speaker 2: in the country and defensive passing success rate they're also

522
00:27:56,600 --> 00:27:59,159
Speaker 2: number one and stopping the explosive pass. You could argue

523
00:27:59,240 --> 00:28:02,240
Speaker 2: what passing off fences Notre Dame face. I think they'll

524
00:28:02,280 --> 00:28:05,280
Speaker 2: be fine against Virginia. And Virginia they've had some success

525
00:28:05,280 --> 00:28:07,359
Speaker 2: on offense running the ball their top forteen line yards

526
00:28:07,359 --> 00:28:11,040
Speaker 2: with Kobe Pace who transferred in from Clemson. But yeah,

527
00:28:11,280 --> 00:28:12,520
Speaker 2: I just don't think that's going to be in the

528
00:28:12,560 --> 00:28:14,920
Speaker 2: script once Notre Dame has like a two possession lead, Like,

529
00:28:14,960 --> 00:28:16,640
Speaker 2: you're not gonna turn around hand the ball with Kobe Pace.

530
00:28:16,720 --> 00:28:19,240
Speaker 2: You're gonna let Calandria go back into what he was

531
00:28:19,320 --> 00:28:21,359
Speaker 2: last year, which is eight dot was like eleven yards

532
00:28:21,359 --> 00:28:23,240
Speaker 2: per attempt. It is just gonna be fifty yard bombs

533
00:28:23,240 --> 00:28:25,399
Speaker 2: all the way, and Notre Dame is completely suited on

534
00:28:25,400 --> 00:28:27,040
Speaker 2: the back end to take care of that. So I'm

535
00:28:27,080 --> 00:28:28,480
Speaker 2: not sky. I wouldn't be scared of the twenty two

536
00:28:28,480 --> 00:28:29,879
Speaker 2: and a half. I think Notre Dame's in a beauty

537
00:28:29,880 --> 00:28:31,280
Speaker 2: pageant and they need style points.

538
00:28:32,760 --> 00:28:38,160
Speaker 4: LSU at Florida is an awful spot for LSU just

539
00:28:38,320 --> 00:28:43,120
Speaker 4: on the surface. Your season. It's not technically over because

540
00:28:43,160 --> 00:28:47,440
Speaker 4: there are scenarios where LSU gets to the SEC championship

541
00:28:47,480 --> 00:28:51,000
Speaker 4: game in crazy tiebreakers and then obviously if they win

542
00:28:51,720 --> 00:28:55,479
Speaker 4: the SEC, they would go to the Collge twelve playoff

543
00:28:55,480 --> 00:28:57,560
Speaker 4: and get a buy So if their season isn't over,

544
00:28:57,680 --> 00:29:00,600
Speaker 4: but it's got to kind of feel that way after

545
00:29:00,680 --> 00:29:05,600
Speaker 4: last week. Now you're going to Florida. So I had

546
00:29:05,600 --> 00:29:08,000
Speaker 4: this spot circle for Florida. The reason I haven't bet

547
00:29:08,000 --> 00:29:11,040
Speaker 4: it one DJ Lagway status. I think he's trending towards

548
00:29:11,080 --> 00:29:14,720
Speaker 4: playing yep, it's gotten some practices in to just the

549
00:29:14,760 --> 00:29:19,160
Speaker 4: rest of the injury report for Florida not great, no,

550
00:29:19,240 --> 00:29:23,760
Speaker 4: but I mean just the defensive backfield even I mean

551
00:29:23,760 --> 00:29:27,800
Speaker 4: they already lost Wilson for the year. Badger's questionable, Montchell John.

552
00:29:27,840 --> 00:29:29,920
Speaker 4: I mean, you can go on and on with their

553
00:29:29,960 --> 00:29:36,040
Speaker 4: injury report, but with Lagway in and the spot should

554
00:29:36,040 --> 00:29:39,000
Speaker 4: be able to hit his explosives with his deep passes

555
00:29:39,040 --> 00:29:44,479
Speaker 4: against LSU. So assuming to get just a couple guy

556
00:29:44,560 --> 00:29:48,040
Speaker 4: lagways in there, I'd look at Florida probably my round robin,

557
00:29:48,160 --> 00:29:50,520
Speaker 4: just because of the uncertainty in the spot. Do you

558
00:29:50,600 --> 00:29:51,280
Speaker 4: like Gators here?

559
00:29:51,760 --> 00:29:54,280
Speaker 2: I do. We'll start off with why I like Florida.

560
00:29:54,360 --> 00:29:56,600
Speaker 2: I was easy to bet them early in the week.

561
00:29:56,760 --> 00:29:59,000
Speaker 2: Now I'm kind of holding on for dear life after

562
00:29:59,120 --> 00:30:01,120
Speaker 2: I want this available. Report means a lot, and I'm

563
00:30:01,120 --> 00:30:03,000
Speaker 2: gonna have to step away from family dinners when it

564
00:30:03,000 --> 00:30:05,960
Speaker 2: comes out tonight Friday night. Like there's a couple names

565
00:30:05,960 --> 00:30:07,520
Speaker 2: on there I really got my eyes on. But we'll

566
00:30:07,520 --> 00:30:09,480
Speaker 2: start off with LSU. I mean they committed six turnovers

567
00:30:09,480 --> 00:30:11,720
Speaker 2: their last two games against Alabama and Texas A and M,

568
00:30:11,720 --> 00:30:14,600
Speaker 2: who each averaged forty points. If you combine those scores

569
00:30:14,640 --> 00:30:18,040
Speaker 2: forty points against the Tigers D LSU is going the

570
00:30:18,080 --> 00:30:20,840
Speaker 2: wrong direction on defense, and really it's all been based

571
00:30:20,880 --> 00:30:23,120
Speaker 2: on motible quarterbacks. Milrow one hundred and eighty five on

572
00:30:23,160 --> 00:30:25,560
Speaker 2: the ground. Marcel Reid comes in mid game as three

573
00:30:25,640 --> 00:30:28,240
Speaker 2: rushing touchdowns. You go back earlier in the season, Lenora

574
00:30:28,400 --> 00:30:30,920
Speaker 2: Seller's eighty eight rushing yards, two touchdowns on the ground

575
00:30:30,920 --> 00:30:34,600
Speaker 2: against LSU. DJ Lagway is critical to this game. He's

576
00:30:34,600 --> 00:30:37,040
Speaker 2: listed as questionable, but people around the program say that

577
00:30:37,080 --> 00:30:39,320
Speaker 2: he's absolutely gonna play. I think they're trying to keep

578
00:30:39,320 --> 00:30:41,400
Speaker 2: it under wraps a little bit. I projected as a

579
00:30:41,440 --> 00:30:44,200
Speaker 2: pick with DJ Lagway and four and a half of warners,

580
00:30:44,200 --> 00:30:45,800
Speaker 2: So even if he doesn't play, I still think there's

581
00:30:45,800 --> 00:30:47,320
Speaker 2: a wiggle room in this number. I think it's exactly

582
00:30:47,360 --> 00:30:49,800
Speaker 2: where it should be if he doesn't play. Now, the

583
00:30:49,840 --> 00:30:52,320
Speaker 2: offensive line, there's some names we got to keep track on.

584
00:30:52,680 --> 00:30:55,640
Speaker 2: Damian George Junior on the offensive line, he's questionable to

585
00:30:55,680 --> 00:30:59,000
Speaker 2: return Montreal Johnson. There are other running back options. Katie

586
00:30:59,040 --> 00:31:01,040
Speaker 2: Daniels should be healthy. Aaden Bough has been a great

587
00:31:01,080 --> 00:31:03,840
Speaker 2: red zone option. Those will be available no matter Flagway

588
00:31:03,920 --> 00:31:07,040
Speaker 2: is available there to play or not. Really, it's the

589
00:31:07,040 --> 00:31:10,960
Speaker 2: corner position. Devin Moore and Justin Marshall did not play

590
00:31:11,040 --> 00:31:14,800
Speaker 2: last week against Texas. It was it was the biggest

591
00:31:14,840 --> 00:31:17,000
Speaker 2: handicap of the week for me with the Texas team

592
00:31:17,040 --> 00:31:19,920
Speaker 2: total over and it cashed before halftime, and that was

593
00:31:19,960 --> 00:31:22,520
Speaker 2: the absence of Devon Moore and Justin Marshall corners where

594
00:31:22,800 --> 00:31:25,080
Speaker 2: some true freshmen tried to fill in on the spot.

595
00:31:25,960 --> 00:31:28,280
Speaker 2: Devon Moore and Justin Marshall are listed is out on

596
00:31:28,320 --> 00:31:30,320
Speaker 2: the availability report as of Wednesday night.

597
00:31:30,440 --> 00:31:33,240
Speaker 4: Now yeh bad, you're questionable too, Ed wider receiver.

598
00:31:33,760 --> 00:31:38,360
Speaker 2: Yeah now, per Lane Kiffin rules, I'm just gonna treat

599
00:31:38,400 --> 00:31:41,200
Speaker 2: this availability report on Wednesday like as nothing. I would

600
00:31:41,240 --> 00:31:44,360
Speaker 2: like to see Devin Moore and Justin Marshall status change.

601
00:31:44,400 --> 00:31:47,720
Speaker 2: If it doesn't, maybe I look at LSU. I'm not

602
00:31:47,760 --> 00:31:49,520
Speaker 2: sure because right now I think they're in disarray and

603
00:31:49,560 --> 00:31:51,560
Speaker 2: I think this is a terrible spot. Nuss Meyer has

604
00:31:51,600 --> 00:31:53,280
Speaker 2: not been able to deal with pressure or against this

605
00:31:53,360 --> 00:31:56,240
Speaker 2: SEC schedule. His turn of a worthy play rate spikes

606
00:31:56,240 --> 00:31:58,959
Speaker 2: from one point nine percent to six point five percent

607
00:31:59,440 --> 00:32:01,959
Speaker 2: when he has in his face, and the problem is

608
00:32:02,680 --> 00:32:06,880
Speaker 2: similar to Carson Beck and the Georgia offensive line. LSU's

609
00:32:06,920 --> 00:32:09,560
Speaker 2: offensive line has allowed thirty one of ninety six pressures

610
00:32:09,600 --> 00:32:12,560
Speaker 2: in the last two games against Alabama and Texas A

611
00:32:12,600 --> 00:32:14,920
Speaker 2: and M. Sure give credit to those defensive lines, but

612
00:32:14,960 --> 00:32:16,400
Speaker 2: when a third of your pressures have come in the

613
00:32:16,480 --> 00:32:19,240
Speaker 2: last two games, your offense is going backwards, especially if

614
00:32:19,240 --> 00:32:21,000
Speaker 2: two tackles are going to be the first two taken

615
00:32:21,400 --> 00:32:24,440
Speaker 2: offensive line wise, in the NFL, draft. I don't understand

616
00:32:24,440 --> 00:32:25,920
Speaker 2: what's going on here, Like that's why Still is not

617
00:32:26,560 --> 00:32:29,080
Speaker 2: hitting deep shots. It's still a methodical offense, and he's

618
00:32:29,080 --> 00:32:31,080
Speaker 2: getting a lot of pressure with the short release time.

619
00:32:31,600 --> 00:32:33,160
Speaker 2: It's just a lot of bad things happening here. So

620
00:32:33,200 --> 00:32:35,520
Speaker 2: I like Florida, we need Lagway. I'd like to see

621
00:32:35,520 --> 00:32:37,600
Speaker 2: improvement on Devin Moore and Justin Marshall at corner.

622
00:32:38,400 --> 00:32:42,920
Speaker 4: San Jose State against Boise State. I love the spartans here.

623
00:32:43,200 --> 00:32:43,480
Speaker 2: Yep.

624
00:32:44,200 --> 00:32:48,280
Speaker 4: Nick Nash, Baby, It's Nick Nash season. Two of the

625
00:32:48,280 --> 00:32:50,200
Speaker 4: best group of five players in the country. Leading rusher,

626
00:32:50,280 --> 00:32:54,160
Speaker 4: Ashton Genty versus the leading receiver, Nick Nash. Boise State

627
00:32:54,240 --> 00:32:57,440
Speaker 4: secondary is vulnerable. You have to throw on them. They're

628
00:32:57,560 --> 00:33:00,720
Speaker 4: but I think outside the top ninety and he pass,

629
00:33:01,360 --> 00:33:03,640
Speaker 4: the San Jose State offense can do that. Two good

630
00:33:03,640 --> 00:33:10,280
Speaker 4: receivers led by Nash. Also, keep in mind Ooise's senior captain,

631
00:33:10,480 --> 00:33:18,640
Speaker 4: starting safety Tubner Green dot everything on that day quarterback

632
00:33:18,640 --> 00:33:20,880
Speaker 4: of the defense. He went out last week. He was

633
00:33:20,920 --> 00:33:24,920
Speaker 4: on crutches. I don't think he's gonna play. It's a

634
00:33:24,920 --> 00:33:27,920
Speaker 4: big loss, a big drop off to his replacement. So

635
00:33:28,000 --> 00:33:30,240
Speaker 4: I think San Jose State can keep up here. Their

636
00:33:30,240 --> 00:33:33,320
Speaker 4: defense isn't great, but they do a good job of

637
00:33:34,360 --> 00:33:38,240
Speaker 4: preventing explosive runs, which is important against Gent, and Gent's

638
00:33:38,280 --> 00:33:39,840
Speaker 4: kind of just I mean he's hit maybe hitting a

639
00:33:39,840 --> 00:33:41,600
Speaker 4: wall a bit. I know he had a big game

640
00:33:41,680 --> 00:33:44,640
Speaker 4: last week, but the efficiencies kicked down and I think

641
00:33:44,640 --> 00:33:46,040
Speaker 4: a lot of that suit with the offensive line injuries.

642
00:33:46,080 --> 00:33:50,040
Speaker 4: Offensive line isn't healthy. Defense can be attacked. And if

643
00:33:50,080 --> 00:33:52,760
Speaker 4: you look Walker, he get he's taken over a quarterback

644
00:33:52,760 --> 00:33:55,360
Speaker 4: for Xanase State. He only has three touchdown bess to

645
00:33:55,400 --> 00:33:58,320
Speaker 4: six interceptions, but he has fourteen big time throws to

646
00:33:58,440 --> 00:34:01,760
Speaker 4: six turnover wheth. He plays with a fifteen yard a

647
00:34:01,880 --> 00:34:05,640
Speaker 4: dot fourteen point seven. That's number one among one hundred

648
00:34:05,640 --> 00:34:08,400
Speaker 4: and fifty quarterbacks with at least one hundred dropbacks. You

649
00:34:08,440 --> 00:34:11,359
Speaker 4: need that aggressiveness against this Boise State secondary. He's also

650
00:34:11,440 --> 00:34:14,200
Speaker 4: much better under pressure than EMMITTT. Brown. That's important because

651
00:34:14,200 --> 00:34:16,520
Speaker 4: Boise can get after the quarterback. That's the strength their day.

652
00:34:17,280 --> 00:34:21,080
Speaker 4: Compare that he get fourteen to seven excuse me, fourteen

653
00:34:21,120 --> 00:34:22,920
Speaker 4: to six big time throw to turnover whealth they play right,

654
00:34:23,160 --> 00:34:25,880
Speaker 4: three touchdown six picks. Maddox Madson. Everyone gives him a

655
00:34:25,920 --> 00:34:26,960
Speaker 4: lot of credit for to take care of the ball.

656
00:34:27,120 --> 00:34:30,400
Speaker 4: His eighteen touchdowns, three picks, his four big time throws

657
00:34:30,400 --> 00:34:33,120
Speaker 4: to ten turnover where he plays with a much lower

658
00:34:33,160 --> 00:34:35,680
Speaker 4: a dot of like nine and a half. There's some

659
00:34:35,760 --> 00:34:38,319
Speaker 4: picks may be coming for Madison. Poise State offense don't

660
00:34:38,320 --> 00:34:40,840
Speaker 4: have success here, but I think Santose State can keep up.

661
00:34:40,880 --> 00:34:43,040
Speaker 4: They've also been unlucky on late downs on both sides

662
00:34:43,040 --> 00:34:46,000
Speaker 4: of the ball, which you're less predictive. The early down

663
00:34:46,080 --> 00:34:48,719
Speaker 4: data suggests they're better than they actually have been. The

664
00:34:48,960 --> 00:34:51,239
Speaker 4: Poison States get everyone's best effort. This is Santose State

665
00:34:51,320 --> 00:34:53,360
Speaker 4: super Bowl. Ken is a double digit dog. I know

666
00:34:53,400 --> 00:34:55,960
Speaker 4: a lot of that came against you know, when he's

667
00:34:55,960 --> 00:34:57,800
Speaker 4: with Navy, with the Service Academy, but he's won to

668
00:34:57,880 --> 00:34:59,560
Speaker 4: zer against. That's against the spread. It's a double digit

669
00:34:59,600 --> 00:35:02,440
Speaker 4: dog this year when they almost beat Washington State and

670
00:35:02,480 --> 00:35:05,040
Speaker 4: that's aged pretty well. That game meant that fifty four

671
00:35:05,160 --> 00:35:08,040
Speaker 4: fifty two. I make this like eleven and a half

672
00:35:08,120 --> 00:35:13,640
Speaker 4: eleven eight Spartans from A wouldn't be surprised they get

673
00:35:13,680 --> 00:35:14,520
Speaker 4: Boise a scarier.

674
00:35:15,160 --> 00:35:16,640
Speaker 2: I make it twelve, and I think that's where this

675
00:35:16,760 --> 00:35:19,040
Speaker 2: line's gonna go once people figure out the injury situation

676
00:35:19,080 --> 00:35:22,279
Speaker 2: for Boise agree Board. Oh absolutely. I wrote this up.

677
00:35:23,360 --> 00:35:25,080
Speaker 2: This was the first thing I wrote on Monday. It

678
00:35:25,120 --> 00:35:26,640
Speaker 2: was like, this is an easy one for me, like

679
00:35:26,680 --> 00:35:28,680
Speaker 2: knowing which side I'm gonna be on. Yeah, I did

680
00:35:28,680 --> 00:35:29,120
Speaker 2: some digging.

681
00:35:29,120 --> 00:35:29,279
Speaker 3: You know.

682
00:35:29,280 --> 00:35:33,399
Speaker 2: Maddix Madson, he's he's had over three seconds time time

683
00:35:33,440 --> 00:35:35,439
Speaker 2: to throw his release time over the last two games

684
00:35:35,440 --> 00:35:39,279
Speaker 2: against Nevadas and San Diego State. He's gonna see quarters

685
00:35:39,320 --> 00:35:41,399
Speaker 2: coverage against San Jose State. I think he's gonna have

686
00:35:41,719 --> 00:35:45,600
Speaker 2: some more problems in known passing situations. We'll see if

687
00:35:45,600 --> 00:35:47,920
Speaker 2: Maddox Madson can pick that up, because it's going the

688
00:35:47,960 --> 00:35:51,560
Speaker 2: wrong direction for him in passing downs, Genti I would

689
00:35:51,600 --> 00:35:53,560
Speaker 2: expect to run wild. I don't see anything in the

690
00:35:53,560 --> 00:35:55,480
Speaker 2: San Jose State defense and says they're gonna be able

691
00:35:55,480 --> 00:35:57,760
Speaker 2: to stop him. He's within a thousand yards of Barry Sanders'

692
00:35:57,800 --> 00:36:01,480
Speaker 2: all time single season record. Outside zone is what Boyse

693
00:36:01,640 --> 00:36:04,000
Speaker 2: likes to run. Their number one in offensive finishing drives.

694
00:36:05,120 --> 00:36:05,319
Speaker 4: You know.

695
00:36:05,360 --> 00:36:08,280
Speaker 2: San Jose State forty one percent success rate in defending

696
00:36:08,320 --> 00:36:11,440
Speaker 2: outside zone. They have limited explosives. But like I said,

697
00:36:11,520 --> 00:36:13,759
Speaker 2: quarters coverage, We're gonna put everybody back. We're gonna make

698
00:36:13,800 --> 00:36:16,200
Speaker 2: sure solo tackling, no one's going to be able to

699
00:36:16,200 --> 00:36:16,720
Speaker 2: get biased.

700
00:36:16,760 --> 00:36:19,360
Speaker 4: So I think it's important though, just like prevent genty

701
00:36:19,440 --> 00:36:21,200
Speaker 4: from breaking off the seventy yards.

702
00:36:21,480 --> 00:36:24,759
Speaker 2: Yeah yeah, but listen, the biggest handicapp in this game

703
00:36:24,840 --> 00:36:29,000
Speaker 2: is I mean, Nick Nash is an animal, absolute animal,

704
00:36:29,040 --> 00:36:31,720
Speaker 2: And what makes this play in this game? Nick Nash

705
00:36:31,760 --> 00:36:34,680
Speaker 2: lines up ninety three percent of snaps out of the slot.

706
00:36:34,960 --> 00:36:37,800
Speaker 2: Who defends the slot? The strong safety? Who's the strong safety?

707
00:36:38,360 --> 00:36:42,160
Speaker 2: Captain six year player Alex Tebner, right, who's not going

708
00:36:42,239 --> 00:36:44,000
Speaker 2: to play in this game? So I like San Jose

709
00:36:44,080 --> 00:36:46,200
Speaker 2: State to keep up. I would just suggest everybody get

710
00:36:46,200 --> 00:36:47,920
Speaker 2: the best number before it falls below thirteen.

711
00:36:48,800 --> 00:36:52,719
Speaker 4: Arizona State at Kansas State. I like the Wildcats here.

712
00:36:53,600 --> 00:36:56,600
Speaker 4: I like it. Anything under ten, I bet on minus

713
00:36:56,600 --> 00:36:58,520
Speaker 4: eight and a half. I think, what's what's the mark?

714
00:36:58,520 --> 00:36:59,680
Speaker 4: And now I think you get better than that? Now

715
00:36:59,719 --> 00:37:02,399
Speaker 4: because Kataboo practice and looks like he's gonna play. Oh

716
00:37:02,440 --> 00:37:03,680
Speaker 4: it's not confirmed.

717
00:37:03,719 --> 00:37:07,120
Speaker 2: Right now, there's some eights out, there's nine and eights.

718
00:37:06,800 --> 00:37:09,200
Speaker 4: So yeah, I bet eight and a half. How do

719
00:37:09,280 --> 00:37:12,000
Speaker 4: I get anything under ten? Look, Kenny Dillingham's done a

720
00:37:12,000 --> 00:37:15,160
Speaker 4: great job, but the SUNDOL has been so lucky. I

721
00:37:15,160 --> 00:37:17,040
Speaker 4: mean they're five to one in one possession games plus

722
00:37:17,120 --> 00:37:20,200
Speaker 4: seven turnover margin. They've also had a ton of breaks

723
00:37:20,200 --> 00:37:23,120
Speaker 4: that don't even show up in box scores. Look at

724
00:37:23,239 --> 00:37:26,680
Speaker 4: last week against UCF. They were out gained against UCS

725
00:37:26,719 --> 00:37:30,279
Speaker 4: thirteen quarterback four oh six to two sixty. UCF missed

726
00:37:30,320 --> 00:37:32,640
Speaker 4: two field goals, gave up a block punt for a touchdown,

727
00:37:32,800 --> 00:37:35,520
Speaker 4: and threw an interception at the one yard line with

728
00:37:35,640 --> 00:37:37,720
Speaker 4: thirty second their own one yard line with thirty seconds

729
00:37:37,760 --> 00:37:40,680
Speaker 4: ago in the half they for that was returned for

730
00:37:40,719 --> 00:37:44,160
Speaker 4: a touchdown. Unbelievable, still had a chance to win even

731
00:37:44,160 --> 00:37:49,400
Speaker 4: with two non offensive touchdowns, multiple missed field goals ridiculous.

732
00:37:51,400 --> 00:37:53,000
Speaker 4: And Kansas State, by the way, they're coming in off

733
00:37:53,000 --> 00:37:54,520
Speaker 4: of by They have the same record as that was

734
00:37:54,560 --> 00:37:55,840
Speaker 4: in a state, but they've been much better. They've had

735
00:37:55,880 --> 00:37:58,839
Speaker 4: the much more difficult schedule. They've been unlucky too. They

736
00:37:58,880 --> 00:38:01,719
Speaker 4: lost to BYU and game where they outgained them by

737
00:38:01,719 --> 00:38:04,480
Speaker 4: over one hundred and twenty yards, but they gave up

738
00:38:04,520 --> 00:38:06,439
Speaker 4: twenty eight points in like three minutes with a couple

739
00:38:06,480 --> 00:38:09,799
Speaker 4: of non offensive touchdowns. They just lost to Houston. They're

740
00:38:09,880 --> 00:38:11,400
Speaker 4: up nine in the fourth quarter out gained them by

741
00:38:11,400 --> 00:38:15,480
Speaker 4: one hundred yards, but had a turnover late. Two late

742
00:38:15,520 --> 00:38:17,719
Speaker 4: touchdowns were used to win that game. Combined sixty yards

743
00:38:17,760 --> 00:38:22,279
Speaker 4: of offense. Pretty unlucky. So yeah, I think this this

744
00:38:22,360 --> 00:38:24,400
Speaker 4: Kansas State team, Why do I really like them?

745
00:38:24,440 --> 00:38:24,640
Speaker 3: Here?

746
00:38:24,840 --> 00:38:26,759
Speaker 4: It's a great spot. I think Ay Johnson should be healthy.

747
00:38:26,840 --> 00:38:29,760
Speaker 4: You unleash his legs here. This is your big twelve

748
00:38:29,800 --> 00:38:34,920
Speaker 4: lives on the line. This Arizona State defense mediocre pedestrian

749
00:38:35,120 --> 00:38:38,919
Speaker 4: national average? Would I have it power rated that even

750
00:38:38,920 --> 00:38:41,160
Speaker 4: if Scataboo plays, and even if he's one hundred percent,

751
00:38:42,280 --> 00:38:45,360
Speaker 4: Kansas State's run to the's elite yep. So, I mean

752
00:38:45,360 --> 00:38:47,880
Speaker 4: their top ten success rate EPA per rush, So I

753
00:38:47,920 --> 00:38:50,520
Speaker 4: think they can slow Scataboo down. You have to attack

754
00:38:50,600 --> 00:38:52,799
Speaker 4: Kansas State through the air. That's their weakness. I don't

755
00:38:52,800 --> 00:38:56,719
Speaker 4: trust Sam Levitt to do that consistently. And by the way,

756
00:38:57,520 --> 00:39:02,640
Speaker 4: Kansas State huge huge advantage on special teams. Chris Climbing

757
00:39:03,040 --> 00:39:05,040
Speaker 4: sixteen and six against the spread as a home favor,

758
00:39:05,160 --> 00:39:08,919
Speaker 4: covering by nearly ten points per game. Email, baby, Kansas State,

759
00:39:09,160 --> 00:39:10,240
Speaker 4: how come a couple digits?

760
00:39:10,520 --> 00:39:10,719
Speaker 5: Yeah?

761
00:39:10,719 --> 00:39:12,080
Speaker 2: I think this was the first bet that I put

762
00:39:12,120 --> 00:39:14,160
Speaker 2: in on Sunday openers. I tried to get Kansas State

763
00:39:14,239 --> 00:39:16,279
Speaker 2: minus six and a half. That was gone. I think

764
00:39:16,280 --> 00:39:18,520
Speaker 2: it was there for a couple seconds. I did not

765
00:39:18,640 --> 00:39:21,799
Speaker 2: hesitate to fire on seven and a half. And when

766
00:39:21,840 --> 00:39:24,560
Speaker 2: you look at the cross matchup the analytics, you'll see

767
00:39:24,600 --> 00:39:26,120
Speaker 2: that Kansas State is number one in the nation and

768
00:39:26,200 --> 00:39:28,840
Speaker 2: defensive rushing success rate. You're gonna have to go a

769
00:39:28,840 --> 00:39:31,960
Speaker 2: little bit farther to find out, like, does this justify

770
00:39:32,080 --> 00:39:33,560
Speaker 2: enough for me to make this bet. Well, if you

771
00:39:33,560 --> 00:39:35,560
Speaker 2: go to Arizona State, who runs the ball sixty two

772
00:39:35,600 --> 00:39:38,719
Speaker 2: percent of the time through Scatabo, you'll say, what kind

773
00:39:38,719 --> 00:39:41,800
Speaker 2: of run concept do they run? It's almost all outside zone.

774
00:39:42,160 --> 00:39:43,960
Speaker 2: When you flip over to Kansas State and look at

775
00:39:43,960 --> 00:39:46,360
Speaker 2: what they do defensively, they have faced a lot of

776
00:39:46,360 --> 00:39:48,640
Speaker 2: outside zone this year. They have a very high fifty

777
00:39:48,719 --> 00:39:51,560
Speaker 2: nine percent success rate against outside zone. They produce a

778
00:39:51,600 --> 00:39:54,520
Speaker 2: negative EPA for their opponents who are running outside zone.

779
00:39:54,840 --> 00:39:58,520
Speaker 2: I have full confidence, whether Scatabo's there or not, that

780
00:39:58,600 --> 00:40:01,319
Speaker 2: Arizona State element of running the ball is just not

781
00:40:01,360 --> 00:40:02,680
Speaker 2: going to be there for them in this game. And

782
00:40:02,680 --> 00:40:05,440
Speaker 2: when you talk about the special team's edge eleventh per

783
00:40:05,520 --> 00:40:07,960
Speaker 2: sp plus for Kansas State one hundred and twenty eighth

784
00:40:08,280 --> 00:40:11,840
Speaker 2: for Arizona State. You know that's a punt, that's a kickoff.

785
00:40:12,400 --> 00:40:14,439
Speaker 2: I will give credit to Kenny Billingham. He's top five

786
00:40:14,440 --> 00:40:17,000
Speaker 2: in the nation as a coach in middle eight scoring,

787
00:40:17,080 --> 00:40:18,680
Speaker 2: but I don't think that's going to be relevant here.

788
00:40:18,800 --> 00:40:20,760
Speaker 2: But you know, Kansas State all the way.

789
00:40:21,960 --> 00:40:25,759
Speaker 4: South Alabama at Louisiana, Louisiana in you know off too

790
00:40:25,760 --> 00:40:27,799
Speaker 4: a great start. The one thing that's kind of might

791
00:40:27,840 --> 00:40:29,560
Speaker 4: hold them back is they have a loss of Tulane,

792
00:40:29,680 --> 00:40:31,640
Speaker 4: who's also in the discussion with the coachwall playoff. They

793
00:40:31,960 --> 00:40:35,279
Speaker 4: also need cast appen like Boise losing Army, but they're

794
00:40:35,280 --> 00:40:39,200
Speaker 4: in the discussion regardless. I like South Alabama here. I

795
00:40:39,200 --> 00:40:41,440
Speaker 4: think this is the peak of the market on Louisiana.

796
00:40:42,600 --> 00:40:45,000
Speaker 4: I'm not fully sold on the raging cagents. I also

797
00:40:45,000 --> 00:40:48,880
Speaker 4: don't like their coach still. I like anything over our touchdown.

798
00:40:49,280 --> 00:40:54,960
Speaker 4: It's trending towards going towards a touchdown. Everywhere I got

799
00:40:55,000 --> 00:40:56,759
Speaker 4: eight and a half would go down to seven and

800
00:40:56,760 --> 00:41:01,200
Speaker 4: a half, maybe at seven, but nothing lower than that.

801
00:41:01,360 --> 00:41:06,880
Speaker 4: I make it around six ish six and a half. Louisiana,

802
00:41:06,880 --> 00:41:10,080
Speaker 4: they've been good but look, let's look at their eight wins,

803
00:41:11,280 --> 00:41:15,879
Speaker 4: grambling your Kannessas State owls Wake by three, Wake missed

804
00:41:15,880 --> 00:41:19,200
Speaker 4: the field goal late, Southern miss by ten, app State

805
00:41:19,600 --> 00:41:26,680
Speaker 4: by ten, Coastal Carolina by ten, Texas State by six

806
00:41:26,840 --> 00:41:29,080
Speaker 4: when coke you know, Texas State minus two turn over margin,

807
00:41:29,080 --> 00:41:31,520
Speaker 4: their quarterback got hurt, and then they blew out Arkansas

808
00:41:31,600 --> 00:41:33,920
Speaker 4: State like everyone has been in the game against them,

809
00:41:33,920 --> 00:41:35,880
Speaker 4: and there's drink to schedule. I have it per my

810
00:41:35,920 --> 00:41:40,880
Speaker 4: powertings average, even if you're removed grambling, their wins very

811
00:41:40,960 --> 00:41:46,439
Speaker 4: wins average power rating ninety ninth, defensive Frank one hundred

812
00:41:46,480 --> 00:41:49,520
Speaker 4: and ninth. So I mean their best wins are against

813
00:41:49,560 --> 00:41:53,279
Speaker 4: Texas State by six, and when their quarterback got hurt

814
00:41:53,280 --> 00:41:55,000
Speaker 4: and then Wake Forest and missed the forty two yard

815
00:41:55,000 --> 00:41:56,520
Speaker 4: field goal to tie it, the game was dead. Even

816
00:41:56,560 --> 00:42:02,040
Speaker 4: statistically at South Alabama. I just don't think there's that

817
00:42:02,120 --> 00:42:03,879
Speaker 4: much difference to these seams. He's they're four and five,

818
00:42:04,520 --> 00:42:06,560
Speaker 4: but their losses they've just been on lucky close games.

819
00:42:06,560 --> 00:42:08,279
Speaker 4: They lost to Ohio, or at least in Ohio is

820
00:42:08,280 --> 00:42:10,839
Speaker 4: significantly better than I thought. But Goo Lopez ruled out

821
00:42:10,840 --> 00:42:14,919
Speaker 4: before the game. In that game, their league losses were

822
00:42:15,320 --> 00:42:18,239
Speaker 4: to Arkansas State on a last second field goal and

823
00:42:18,320 --> 00:42:23,319
Speaker 4: Georgia Southern after they blew a thirty to sixteen fourth

824
00:42:23,440 --> 00:42:26,359
Speaker 4: quarter lead or thirty to fourteen fourth quarter lead. They're

825
00:42:26,440 --> 00:42:28,879
Speaker 4: up by sixteen and a fourth go Lopez also went

826
00:42:28,920 --> 00:42:31,600
Speaker 4: out of that game with a concussion. They've just been

827
00:42:31,680 --> 00:42:35,400
Speaker 4: super unlucky. Raging Cages have been pretty fortunate with a

828
00:42:35,440 --> 00:42:38,680
Speaker 4: bottom twenty schedule. I think they'll just be in this game.

829
00:42:38,960 --> 00:42:42,239
Speaker 4: They can match Louisiana here. I mean Louisiana's defense one

830
00:42:42,280 --> 00:42:44,680
Speaker 4: hundred and twenty eighth and overall success rate one hundred

831
00:42:44,680 --> 00:42:46,479
Speaker 4: and twenty fourth and tackles for loss. There's not gonna

832
00:42:46,480 --> 00:42:49,279
Speaker 4: be many negative plays here. I think South Alabama get

833
00:42:49,280 --> 00:42:51,920
Speaker 4: his ground game going. That should set up everything for Lopez.

834
00:42:52,520 --> 00:42:55,279
Speaker 4: He's his offensive line is bad, but he's not gonna

835
00:42:55,280 --> 00:42:58,040
Speaker 4: have to deal with overwhelming pressure in this matchup against Louisiana.

836
00:42:58,320 --> 00:43:02,560
Speaker 4: So yeah, I like South Albama could easily a couple

837
00:43:02,600 --> 00:43:04,720
Speaker 4: of bounces be playing for first place in this game.

838
00:43:05,280 --> 00:43:08,880
Speaker 4: So I like South Alabama here to keep this close.

839
00:43:08,960 --> 00:43:13,600
Speaker 4: Wouldn't be surprised if they pulled off the upset. Any

840
00:43:13,600 --> 00:43:15,040
Speaker 4: thoughts here put it on the board.

841
00:43:15,239 --> 00:43:17,960
Speaker 2: I love Ben Woldridge, I love the entire program, the

842
00:43:18,040 --> 00:43:20,120
Speaker 2: win that they I mean, what they've been able to

843
00:43:20,160 --> 00:43:22,880
Speaker 2: do right now, they're undefeated in the conference standings. They

844
00:43:22,880 --> 00:43:24,440
Speaker 2: don't I don't think they really believe that they have

845
00:43:24,480 --> 00:43:26,120
Speaker 2: a shot at making the College Ball Playoff with an

846
00:43:26,120 --> 00:43:28,840
Speaker 2: eight and one record, the victory on the road against

847
00:43:28,880 --> 00:43:31,959
Speaker 2: Texas State a couple of weeks ago pretty much gave

848
00:43:32,000 --> 00:43:33,920
Speaker 2: them a huge cushion. I mean, and they went on

849
00:43:34,000 --> 00:43:37,560
Speaker 2: to just boat race Arkansas State, which could play out

850
00:43:37,680 --> 00:43:40,200
Speaker 2: in tiebreakers. But if you look at the standings, they

851
00:43:40,239 --> 00:43:42,040
Speaker 2: have a two game lead over everybody in the West.

852
00:43:42,600 --> 00:43:44,480
Speaker 2: Now one of the you know, they'll have a tiebreaker

853
00:43:44,480 --> 00:43:46,440
Speaker 2: over Arkansas State no matter what. They have a tiebreaker

854
00:43:46,480 --> 00:43:47,560
Speaker 2: over Texas State, no matter what.

855
00:43:47,600 --> 00:43:47,759
Speaker 4: Who.

856
00:43:48,160 --> 00:43:49,879
Speaker 2: You know, they have a two game lead essentially over

857
00:43:49,920 --> 00:43:54,120
Speaker 2: South Alabama. Even if they drop this game, they'll host

858
00:43:54,160 --> 00:43:57,719
Speaker 2: Troy and then go to ULM. I seriously doubt they're

859
00:43:57,719 --> 00:43:59,799
Speaker 2: sweating those two games. I'm not saying Louisiana is going

860
00:43:59,880 --> 00:44:02,279
Speaker 2: to in this game, but there's no urgency here. The

861
00:44:02,400 --> 00:44:04,520
Speaker 2: urgency is all on South Alabama in this game. And

862
00:44:04,520 --> 00:44:06,560
Speaker 2: then when you go and look at the analytics of

863
00:44:06,600 --> 00:44:10,160
Speaker 2: the offenses and the defenses. Louisiana is dead last in

864
00:44:10,200 --> 00:44:13,239
Speaker 2: the nation and defensive rushing success rate. They're one hundred

865
00:44:13,239 --> 00:44:15,160
Speaker 2: and twenty first in defensive line yards.

866
00:44:15,000 --> 00:44:17,239
Speaker 4: One hundred and twenty eight tackles for loss, and that's

867
00:44:17,400 --> 00:44:19,920
Speaker 4: the South Abama's weakness is their offensive line. So like

868
00:44:19,960 --> 00:44:21,680
Speaker 4: that they're gonna be able to move the ball? Here?

869
00:44:22,600 --> 00:44:24,439
Speaker 2: Am I reading this right? They're dead last and giving

870
00:44:24,520 --> 00:44:27,640
Speaker 2: up rush explosives. Yeah, just put this shit on the board.

871
00:44:27,760 --> 00:44:28,759
Speaker 2: It's gonna be in the round robin.

872
00:44:28,800 --> 00:44:31,200
Speaker 4: Yeah, Louisiana defense is bad, bad, and they've played a

873
00:44:31,239 --> 00:44:35,480
Speaker 4: bottom fifteen schedule. South Ambuma a huge game for their

874
00:44:35,480 --> 00:44:38,960
Speaker 4: postseason aspirations because they get a free win next week

875
00:44:38,960 --> 00:44:41,400
Speaker 4: against Southern mess that would get them to six if

876
00:44:41,400 --> 00:44:43,120
Speaker 4: they win this game, but they close out the season

877
00:44:43,160 --> 00:44:45,480
Speaker 4: gets Texas State, which certainly is in a gimme one

878
00:44:45,520 --> 00:44:47,800
Speaker 4: final one. Before we get the quarterback news sparty first

879
00:44:47,840 --> 00:44:50,880
Speaker 4: half against Illinois SPARTI off the by Jonathan pep have

880
00:44:50,880 --> 00:44:53,520
Speaker 4: a good script, That's all I say. I'd worry about

881
00:44:53,520 --> 00:44:56,440
Speaker 4: their secondary and Illinois coming back and being able to

882
00:44:56,440 --> 00:44:58,759
Speaker 4: throw in them, so I don't like them full game,

883
00:44:59,480 --> 00:45:02,080
Speaker 4: but first alf script will be good.

884
00:45:09,320 --> 00:45:12,080
Speaker 5: I don't want to be a.

885
00:45:11,960 --> 00:45:15,480
Speaker 4: Quarterback news Nico questionable. Who knows may Ava getting the

886
00:45:15,520 --> 00:45:19,200
Speaker 4: start for USC? Miller Moss he gone. I don't know

887
00:45:19,200 --> 00:45:20,799
Speaker 4: what to make of that USC Nebraska game. You had

888
00:45:20,800 --> 00:45:23,120
Speaker 4: a new offensive coordinator Dana Holgerson for Nebraska and a

889
00:45:23,120 --> 00:45:27,240
Speaker 4: new quarterback for USC. Maybe Nebraska money line with the variants.

890
00:45:27,239 --> 00:45:27,600
Speaker 4: I don't know.

891
00:45:27,640 --> 00:45:29,920
Speaker 2: You got nothing there, nothing there. This is a game.

892
00:45:29,960 --> 00:45:31,279
Speaker 2: I don't want one of these teams to make it

893
00:45:31,320 --> 00:45:34,600
Speaker 2: a bowl game. I'll recollect their resumes when we get there.

894
00:45:35,200 --> 00:45:40,239
Speaker 4: Riola should be good to go for Nebraska ELI host team.

895
00:45:40,320 --> 00:45:41,400
Speaker 4: Is he going to play for Pitt?

896
00:45:42,200 --> 00:45:44,080
Speaker 2: I p Yeah.

897
00:45:44,080 --> 00:45:45,640
Speaker 4: He's had a couple of head injuries though in like

898
00:45:45,680 --> 00:45:49,279
Speaker 4: the last couple of weeks. I think that lines about

899
00:45:49,320 --> 00:45:54,720
Speaker 4: right against Clemson Taylor gru we'll get to Taylor Green

900
00:45:55,000 --> 00:45:59,919
Speaker 4: Lagway questionable. I think he's gonna play Brady Cook still

901
00:46:00,080 --> 00:46:04,040
Speaker 4: outful right, doesn't look like he's gonna go well.

902
00:46:05,640 --> 00:46:09,839
Speaker 2: On Wednesday night, he is doubtful per per Lane Kiffin rules.

903
00:46:09,880 --> 00:46:12,200
Speaker 2: Let's check back on Friday, but yeah, he's listed as doubtful.

904
00:46:13,239 --> 00:46:15,120
Speaker 4: By the way, Pitt the one thing that's really hurting

905
00:46:15,160 --> 00:46:17,680
Speaker 4: their offense, which is regressed hard. I mean, one luck,

906
00:46:17,760 --> 00:46:19,640
Speaker 4: but their offensive line has been a mess. They lost

907
00:46:19,680 --> 00:46:21,600
Speaker 4: the tailor in Jacobe on the left side of their

908
00:46:21,600 --> 00:46:24,080
Speaker 4: offensive line during that col game hasn't been the same

909
00:46:24,160 --> 00:46:28,120
Speaker 4: since do you do you have anything in South Carolina Missouri?

910
00:46:28,160 --> 00:46:30,439
Speaker 4: I kind of like the under there. Yeah, he's already

911
00:46:30,440 --> 00:46:31,080
Speaker 4: gonna do anything.

912
00:46:31,280 --> 00:46:32,560
Speaker 2: I mean, I don't know how you can play the

913
00:46:32,600 --> 00:46:36,040
Speaker 2: side if Missouri is not gonna I mean, whoever starting

914
00:46:36,040 --> 00:46:39,680
Speaker 2: a quarterback against the South South Carolina defensive front. I

915
00:46:39,680 --> 00:46:43,080
Speaker 2: think the under is the play, but it's hard. It's

916
00:46:43,080 --> 00:46:45,239
Speaker 2: hard to handicap what Missouri is offensively right now.

917
00:46:46,160 --> 00:46:48,000
Speaker 4: I mean, they just got lucky last week. I think

918
00:46:48,040 --> 00:46:49,960
Speaker 4: that after that win that the defense will show up.

919
00:46:50,280 --> 00:46:55,280
Speaker 4: This is still a limited South Carolina offense this assuming

920
00:46:55,320 --> 00:47:01,440
Speaker 4: Cook doesn't play, it's still Drew Pine Cooper also is

921
00:47:02,480 --> 00:47:06,080
Speaker 4: questionable for them. Utah, we already mentioned Rose out the year.

922
00:47:08,440 --> 00:47:11,359
Speaker 4: U Mass will get to Oregon State will get to

923
00:47:11,480 --> 00:47:16,880
Speaker 4: West Virginia, We'll get to cam Fancher out for the year. Wiseman,

924
00:47:17,000 --> 00:47:19,879
Speaker 4: their backup was banged up to maybe it's he goes,

925
00:47:19,920 --> 00:47:23,640
Speaker 4: maybe it starts their dogs at Temple Ross. If he

926
00:47:23,719 --> 00:47:24,160
Speaker 4: watched that.

927
00:47:24,120 --> 00:47:25,640
Speaker 2: Game, you can't even do it. I can't even pull

928
00:47:25,680 --> 00:47:27,480
Speaker 2: the turner on it either. I can't do it.

929
00:47:28,160 --> 00:47:29,520
Speaker 4: That is horrific.

930
00:47:29,760 --> 00:47:31,759
Speaker 2: You're not even in our trash, are they? Is there

931
00:47:31,760 --> 00:47:34,920
Speaker 2: a layer below the trash for Temple of Florida Atlantic. Yes,

932
00:47:35,680 --> 00:47:39,080
Speaker 2: sometimes a game can be so bad it's almost good,

933
00:47:39,320 --> 00:47:40,040
Speaker 2: you know what I'm saying.

934
00:47:40,800 --> 00:47:43,920
Speaker 4: No, keep an eye on you. Yukon ever's there. They

935
00:47:43,920 --> 00:47:46,640
Speaker 4: have a vibe it Evers or Fanano. They like paid Evers.

936
00:47:46,640 --> 00:47:49,040
Speaker 4: They want to play, but like Faniana is better right

937
00:47:49,080 --> 00:47:51,240
Speaker 4: now and came in and let them back to victory

938
00:47:51,320 --> 00:47:53,560
Speaker 4: last week. I don't know what's going on there. That's

939
00:47:53,560 --> 00:47:56,680
Speaker 4: something worth watching. Virginia Tech in the Future Drones and

940
00:47:56,680 --> 00:47:59,680
Speaker 4: schle are apparently both banged up. Slee came in last week.

941
00:47:59,719 --> 00:48:02,120
Speaker 4: I don't know what's going on there. New Mexico State.

942
00:48:02,800 --> 00:48:04,880
Speaker 4: Good luck at Texas A and M even though I'm

943
00:48:04,880 --> 00:48:07,280
Speaker 4: sure TEXAM doesn't want to show anything here with Auburn

944
00:48:07,360 --> 00:48:12,160
Speaker 4: and Texas coming up. But Marucci and Nunez will continue

945
00:48:12,200 --> 00:48:15,000
Speaker 4: to split time. One throws it ineffective or the other

946
00:48:15,080 --> 00:48:18,279
Speaker 4: just tries to battering ram ahead. I don't know what's

947
00:48:18,280 --> 00:48:21,879
Speaker 4: going on there. They stink. I can't then, I can't

948
00:48:21,880 --> 00:48:23,560
Speaker 4: believe they got in the back door. Marucci got the

949
00:48:23,560 --> 00:48:25,960
Speaker 4: back door to screw you last week all right, before

950
00:48:26,000 --> 00:48:27,640
Speaker 4: we get this in trash, it is ten horn weekend,

951
00:48:27,760 --> 00:48:29,800
Speaker 4: so we got to get a Saban clip in here.

952
00:48:30,360 --> 00:48:32,440
Speaker 2: You all don't remember the Georgia Southern game, do you?

953
00:48:33,200 --> 00:48:34,880
Speaker 5: I don't think we had a guy on that field

954
00:48:35,040 --> 00:48:36,880
Speaker 5: that didn't play in the NFL. In About four or

955
00:48:36,920 --> 00:48:39,160
Speaker 5: five of them were first round draft picks, and they

956
00:48:39,239 --> 00:48:41,359
Speaker 5: run through our ass like shit through a ten horn man,

957
00:48:41,400 --> 00:48:42,960
Speaker 5: and we could not stop them.

958
00:48:43,120 --> 00:48:45,040
Speaker 4: Mercer at Bama, I can't play it. It's not a

959
00:48:45,040 --> 00:48:46,840
Speaker 4: great spot for Bana. I'm sure they don't want to

960
00:48:46,880 --> 00:48:49,799
Speaker 4: run mill Row right, so their offense probably is going

961
00:48:49,840 --> 00:48:52,960
Speaker 4: to be as effective. But Mercer's nine and one. They

962
00:48:52,960 --> 00:48:56,399
Speaker 4: also they played like their new coach came from Lenor Rhyne.

963
00:48:56,719 --> 00:48:58,840
Speaker 4: They run, they want to spread you out. They recve

964
00:48:58,840 --> 00:49:01,800
Speaker 4: me Ad a quarterback change so the freshman they're playing well,

965
00:49:02,480 --> 00:49:05,600
Speaker 4: but they also just clinched the playoff for college. They're

966
00:49:05,600 --> 00:49:08,279
Speaker 4: going to the college twell playoff, Like why do they

967
00:49:08,280 --> 00:49:09,319
Speaker 4: want to risk anything here?

968
00:49:09,440 --> 00:49:09,600
Speaker 2: Right?

969
00:49:09,600 --> 00:49:10,520
Speaker 4: So they might sit.

970
00:49:10,400 --> 00:49:13,200
Speaker 2: Guys, Alabama first quarter is against anybody I don't care

971
00:49:13,239 --> 00:49:14,880
Speaker 2: if it's an NFL team. Just give me a spread

972
00:49:14,920 --> 00:49:18,120
Speaker 2: in Alabama first quarter because they're just murdering it on

973
00:49:18,160 --> 00:49:19,520
Speaker 2: both sides of the ball with the script.

974
00:49:20,000 --> 00:49:22,279
Speaker 4: Yeah, and then I'm sure they're just gonna want to

975
00:49:22,280 --> 00:49:24,839
Speaker 4: get out healthy and it's not like their backup quarterbacks

976
00:49:24,880 --> 00:49:26,719
Speaker 4: are great. Yeah, I don't mind.

977
00:49:27,040 --> 00:49:30,160
Speaker 2: First holder work to do on the recruiting chail in

978
00:49:30,200 --> 00:49:30,600
Speaker 2: the portal.

979
00:49:31,680 --> 00:49:36,080
Speaker 4: Kentucky hosting Mary State. So Mary is the opposite. Mary

980
00:49:36,120 --> 00:49:39,160
Speaker 4: lost earlier this year fifty two to nothing to Missouri.

981
00:49:39,960 --> 00:49:42,080
Speaker 4: I'm sure this is like a get right game for Kentucky,

982
00:49:42,560 --> 00:49:44,400
Speaker 4: like they have a lot of frustrations they want to

983
00:49:44,400 --> 00:49:45,960
Speaker 4: take out. But I think they might be going with

984
00:49:46,000 --> 00:49:48,640
Speaker 4: this freshman at quarterback. I think he's going to start

985
00:49:49,800 --> 00:49:52,360
Speaker 4: and he's not. He's like a three star Cutter Bowley.

986
00:49:53,160 --> 00:49:55,440
Speaker 4: I think Cutter Bowlie is going to start in this game.

987
00:49:55,680 --> 00:49:57,719
Speaker 4: He was like a Lexington Catholic kid. Now he's a

988
00:49:57,719 --> 00:49:59,600
Speaker 4: four star. Okay, he's a little better than I thought.

989
00:50:00,120 --> 00:50:02,520
Speaker 4: Murray State is so bad. I mean, you want to

990
00:50:02,520 --> 00:50:06,239
Speaker 4: look it's Kentucky or nothing, but yeah, I can't bet

991
00:50:06,320 --> 00:50:10,680
Speaker 4: this game. Murray State though, is you look at their scores.

992
00:50:11,120 --> 00:50:17,239
Speaker 4: They are horrifying. They lost their last game fifty nine.

993
00:50:17,280 --> 00:50:20,000
Speaker 4: They go a fifty nine to Missouri State. They lost

994
00:50:20,000 --> 00:50:23,240
Speaker 4: to South Dakota State fifty two to six, North Dakota

995
00:50:23,280 --> 00:50:26,959
Speaker 4: State fifty nine to six, you know, forty to Illinois State,

996
00:50:27,440 --> 00:50:31,160
Speaker 4: fifty nine nothing to South Dakota. They lost to North

997
00:50:31,239 --> 00:50:35,440
Speaker 4: Dakota seventy two to thirty five and fifty one nothing

998
00:50:35,520 --> 00:50:40,240
Speaker 4: to Missouri. Yeah, it's probably this is probably like forty

999
00:50:40,280 --> 00:50:43,719
Speaker 4: four to three or something like that. All right, let's

1000
00:50:43,760 --> 00:50:44,960
Speaker 4: get too some trash.

1001
00:50:46,080 --> 00:50:47,919
Speaker 1: The trash man pick of the week.

1002
00:50:48,480 --> 00:50:51,920
Speaker 2: I'm the trash man. Just throw me the trash, your garbage,

1003
00:50:52,200 --> 00:50:55,480
Speaker 2: and you know it, totally unreliable, undependable.

1004
00:50:55,480 --> 00:50:56,799
Speaker 5: That's it. You've been told off.

1005
00:50:56,800 --> 00:50:58,200
Speaker 2: How do you like that? Good?

1006
00:50:58,800 --> 00:51:02,759
Speaker 4: All right? Trash twelve and five on the year we

1007
00:51:02,920 --> 00:51:06,040
Speaker 4: are going. We're gonna start off with you Mass you

1008
00:51:06,200 --> 00:51:10,640
Speaker 4: Mass plus fourteen and a half baby against liberty. Liberty

1009
00:51:11,320 --> 00:51:13,799
Speaker 4: stinks people. I don't know how many times I gotta

1010
00:51:13,800 --> 00:51:17,960
Speaker 4: tell you that. Also, why do they care about this game? Liberties?

1011
00:51:18,040 --> 00:51:20,200
Speaker 4: They were supposed to go to the collgepball Playoff. They're not.

1012
00:51:20,360 --> 00:51:23,200
Speaker 4: They're already out of it. Their only hope is to

1013
00:51:23,200 --> 00:51:25,160
Speaker 4: win their conference. They got to win their final two

1014
00:51:25,160 --> 00:51:27,400
Speaker 4: games and get some help. They can start, starting with

1015
00:51:27,440 --> 00:51:30,360
Speaker 4: Western Kentucky next year. Next week they're going to U

1016
00:51:30,400 --> 00:51:34,719
Speaker 4: Mass this Why would they care about this game? UM

1017
00:51:34,719 --> 00:51:37,600
Speaker 4: Mass quarterback out. I don't think it's a big drop

1018
00:51:37,600 --> 00:51:40,080
Speaker 4: off to Hasten or they might go with the You

1019
00:51:40,120 --> 00:51:42,640
Speaker 4: might see some of the freshmen too. I don't care.

1020
00:51:43,160 --> 00:51:45,239
Speaker 4: This line is too high number one. I make it

1021
00:51:45,239 --> 00:51:47,520
Speaker 4: closer to like eleven and a half. And this is

1022
00:51:47,560 --> 00:51:51,879
Speaker 4: an awful spot for Liberty, who just don't They've had

1023
00:51:51,920 --> 00:51:55,320
Speaker 4: injuries all over. The passing attack doesn't have any juice.

1024
00:51:55,400 --> 00:51:57,240
Speaker 4: I'm sure Cooley will get his on the ground.

1025
00:51:57,440 --> 00:51:58,000
Speaker 2: But this is some U.

1026
00:51:58,040 --> 00:52:00,960
Speaker 4: Mass team that's been competitive, like they have a higher

1027
00:52:01,000 --> 00:52:04,000
Speaker 4: ceiling this year. Look at their three MAC road games

1028
00:52:05,239 --> 00:52:09,120
Speaker 4: Northern Illinois lost in overtime or now Miami Ohio they

1029
00:52:09,160 --> 00:52:14,320
Speaker 4: lost in overtime at Miam of Ohio lost in overtime,

1030
00:52:14,360 --> 00:52:19,200
Speaker 4: and that's pretty impressive. They've outplayed Toledo at Toledo and

1031
00:52:19,920 --> 00:52:25,400
Speaker 4: they were right there with Northern Illinois. So they have

1032
00:52:25,480 --> 00:52:27,200
Speaker 4: a higher ceiling than they have in years past. They

1033
00:52:27,200 --> 00:52:33,040
Speaker 4: have better depth. So yeah, coming off a bye here,

1034
00:52:35,080 --> 00:52:40,319
Speaker 4: I like it, agree or disagree, Pa, this travel does

1035
00:52:40,400 --> 00:52:42,480
Speaker 4: and run off the score. He doesn't so and if

1036
00:52:42,480 --> 00:52:45,160
Speaker 4: it's like sitting at fourteen, he doesn't. He takes knees.

1037
00:52:46,440 --> 00:52:48,480
Speaker 4: He's twelve and twenty against the spread, by the way,

1038
00:52:48,480 --> 00:52:50,120
Speaker 4: as a favorite of more than ten points. That's part

1039
00:52:50,120 --> 00:52:51,560
Speaker 4: of that U Mess passing.

1040
00:52:51,920 --> 00:52:54,080
Speaker 2: Yeah, U Mess has the ability to cover the entire game,

1041
00:52:54,080 --> 00:52:55,960
Speaker 2: and then something stupid happens at the end, and then

1042
00:52:56,040 --> 00:52:58,000
Speaker 2: all you know, one hundred and twenty ninth and special teams,

1043
00:52:58,040 --> 00:52:59,920
Speaker 2: something stupid happens at the end and they don't call

1044
00:53:00,080 --> 00:53:04,240
Speaker 2: or so a pass for me, here's a chance.

1045
00:53:04,040 --> 00:53:05,960
Speaker 4: To be a man taking my hand on a stand.

1046
00:53:07,080 --> 00:53:12,000
Speaker 3: I don't want no man and man. I don't want

1047
00:53:12,120 --> 00:53:13,480
Speaker 3: no man and man.

1048
00:53:15,520 --> 00:53:20,359
Speaker 4: Air force going air Force's what's it at? Now? Three

1049
00:53:20,360 --> 00:53:24,200
Speaker 4: and a half? That's fine. Anything over three Oregon State

1050
00:53:24,400 --> 00:53:27,080
Speaker 4: I think is a corpse. They are reeling right now.

1051
00:53:27,560 --> 00:53:29,799
Speaker 4: They are not getting better and they have They went

1052
00:53:29,840 --> 00:53:32,520
Speaker 4: to a new quarterback, Ben Golberdson. He doesn't fit this offense.

1053
00:53:32,840 --> 00:53:36,120
Speaker 4: This is a supposed to let he came to corballis

1054
00:53:36,840 --> 00:53:39,480
Speaker 4: for Jonathan Smith in a pro style offense. This is

1055
00:53:39,480 --> 00:53:41,920
Speaker 4: Ben golberds it's offense, which is they need a dual threat.

1056
00:53:42,480 --> 00:53:44,719
Speaker 4: He's not that. How many times do you throw at

1057
00:53:44,719 --> 00:53:47,520
Speaker 4: the Trent Walker? I mean that's their offense. The rushing

1058
00:53:47,520 --> 00:53:51,560
Speaker 4: attack was the strength. But Hankerson's starting to wear down

1059
00:53:52,320 --> 00:53:56,920
Speaker 4: because Bam has been hurt. This offense is just a

1060
00:53:56,960 --> 00:53:58,759
Speaker 4: mess right now. I don't know what's going on. They

1061
00:53:58,760 --> 00:54:02,120
Speaker 4: don't have an identity. And then, most importantly, their defense

1062
00:54:02,239 --> 00:54:06,080
Speaker 4: is horrific. They cannot defend the run. One hundred and

1063
00:54:06,080 --> 00:54:09,000
Speaker 4: thirtieth rushed success rate NDPA per rush all out, They're

1064
00:54:09,000 --> 00:54:10,560
Speaker 4: one of ten teams in the country lying more than

1065
00:54:10,600 --> 00:54:13,120
Speaker 4: five and a half yards per carry. Well, that's a

1066
00:54:13,160 --> 00:54:15,799
Speaker 4: problem against Army. Army ran at eighty excuse me, that's

1067
00:54:15,800 --> 00:54:18,040
Speaker 4: a problem against air Force. Air Force ran it eighty

1068
00:54:18,120 --> 00:54:21,120
Speaker 4: times last week. Could gains Spresno in an upset win.

1069
00:54:21,640 --> 00:54:23,480
Speaker 4: They could do that this week, just three yards at

1070
00:54:23,520 --> 00:54:26,200
Speaker 4: a time against this Oregon State day that cannot stop

1071
00:54:26,239 --> 00:54:30,160
Speaker 4: the run. Oregon State has thirty two tackles for loss

1072
00:54:30,160 --> 00:54:33,480
Speaker 4: on this season. Only Georgia State and Temple have fewer.

1073
00:54:34,280 --> 00:54:36,800
Speaker 4: So look, air Force, they were really bad, but I

1074
00:54:36,800 --> 00:54:39,359
Speaker 4: think they're actually starting to improve. Collin's a good coach.

1075
00:54:39,400 --> 00:54:42,000
Speaker 4: They had to completely reset their roster. They got the

1076
00:54:42,040 --> 00:54:45,400
Speaker 4: best quarterback under center to run the triple option now

1077
00:54:45,960 --> 00:54:48,719
Speaker 4: and air Force has only been a home dog in

1078
00:54:48,760 --> 00:54:51,160
Speaker 4: the month of November five times since twenty ten under

1079
00:54:51,239 --> 00:54:55,520
Speaker 4: Calhoun won all five outright, including last week's win over

1080
00:54:55,560 --> 00:54:58,600
Speaker 4: Fresno State. I think air Force trending up, Oregon State

1081
00:54:58,600 --> 00:55:03,400
Speaker 4: trending down. Matchup for the air Force rushing attack and

1082
00:55:03,440 --> 00:55:07,120
Speaker 4: the Oregon State offense identity crisis. Give me the Falcons

1083
00:55:07,120 --> 00:55:07,439
Speaker 4: at home.

1084
00:55:08,040 --> 00:55:11,000
Speaker 2: Love put it on the board. Quintin Hayes took over

1085
00:55:11,040 --> 00:55:13,879
Speaker 2: this air Force offense a couple weeks ago, and now

1086
00:55:13,880 --> 00:55:18,120
Speaker 2: you've got Calhoun and fullback Dylan Carlson telling everybody in

1087
00:55:18,200 --> 00:55:21,000
Speaker 2: the media, anyone that'll listen. He is our field general,

1088
00:55:21,040 --> 00:55:23,680
Speaker 2: he is our team leader. We are a different team.

1089
00:55:24,080 --> 00:55:25,919
Speaker 2: You can look back to last week. You mentioned eighty

1090
00:55:25,960 --> 00:55:28,960
Speaker 2: times they rushed against Fresno. They were only stuffed on

1091
00:55:29,120 --> 00:55:33,399
Speaker 2: seventeen percent of attempts nine offensive possessions. Five of them

1092
00:55:33,400 --> 00:55:36,960
Speaker 2: were methodical. You're only supposed to have like one methodical possession,

1093
00:55:37,160 --> 00:55:39,880
Speaker 2: like every eight possessions. That's national average. He had five.

1094
00:55:40,360 --> 00:55:43,600
Speaker 2: The air Force offense I believe is back now. I know,

1095
00:55:43,640 --> 00:55:46,480
Speaker 2: everybody runs on Oregon State like crazy. I mean, we

1096
00:55:46,520 --> 00:55:48,399
Speaker 2: watched Colorado State due we had a lot of teams

1097
00:55:48,440 --> 00:55:50,200
Speaker 2: do it. This is one of the worst rush defenses

1098
00:55:50,239 --> 00:55:53,240
Speaker 2: in the nation. They haven't seen anything on their schedule

1099
00:55:53,239 --> 00:55:55,800
Speaker 2: close to the triple option. The Oregon State defensive coordinator

1100
00:55:55,840 --> 00:55:59,239
Speaker 2: Keith Hayward on prep, he said, well, I played them

1101
00:55:59,239 --> 00:56:02,320
Speaker 2: once when I played UNLV, Like there is no triple

1102
00:56:02,360 --> 00:56:05,239
Speaker 2: option prep for Oregon State going on whatsoever. And their

1103
00:56:05,239 --> 00:56:07,560
Speaker 2: defensive coordinator saw it with his eyes when he was

1104
00:56:07,600 --> 00:56:10,120
Speaker 2: on the field. It was mentioned to him and his

1105
00:56:10,200 --> 00:56:12,160
Speaker 2: little quick press conference that he had and like, do

1106
00:56:12,200 --> 00:56:15,480
Speaker 2: you have any experience, like is UNLV's go go offense?

1107
00:56:15,760 --> 00:56:17,640
Speaker 2: You know, is that any kind of help to this offense?

1108
00:56:17,680 --> 00:56:19,600
Speaker 2: And he's like, no, it's full back dive, it's pitched,

1109
00:56:19,600 --> 00:56:21,759
Speaker 2: it's keeper. We don't know, you know, this is all

1110
00:56:21,760 --> 00:56:23,840
Speaker 2: new concepts that we're getting ready for this week. And

1111
00:56:23,880 --> 00:56:25,239
Speaker 2: that's when I kind of sat back and I was like,

1112
00:56:25,560 --> 00:56:28,920
Speaker 2: this week, everybody that has service academies on their schedule

1113
00:56:28,960 --> 00:56:31,399
Speaker 2: starts working on this shit in the summer, like you're

1114
00:56:31,480 --> 00:56:33,040
Speaker 2: worried about it this week.

1115
00:56:33,600 --> 00:56:38,440
Speaker 4: That's what Northwestern against Ohio State. Too many points. I'm

1116
00:56:38,440 --> 00:56:41,280
Speaker 4: taking over four touchdowns. All this comes down to Northwestern.

1117
00:56:41,320 --> 00:56:44,240
Speaker 4: It has like a top thirty SHD coming off a bye.

1118
00:56:44,880 --> 00:56:47,040
Speaker 4: Ohio State's been pretty fortunate in the red zone, like

1119
00:56:47,080 --> 00:56:48,960
Speaker 4: someone's gonna score on them. Eventually they lead the nation

1120
00:56:48,960 --> 00:56:51,440
Speaker 4: and points for triple out. I don't think the Northwestern's

1121
00:56:51,440 --> 00:56:53,919
Speaker 4: off it's gotta much success. But I don't think Ohio

1122
00:56:53,960 --> 00:56:56,439
Speaker 4: State's gonna care that much here. They have Indiana on deck.

1123
00:56:56,840 --> 00:56:59,239
Speaker 4: You don't want to show anything. Indiana's all buy me

1124
00:56:59,360 --> 00:57:03,120
Speaker 4: watching Ohio State too many points. Maybe some win. This

1125
00:57:03,160 --> 00:57:05,680
Speaker 4: game is did wrigglely for what it's worth. Conference home

1126
00:57:05,719 --> 00:57:09,440
Speaker 4: dogs catching thirty plus since twenty twenty ten and three

1127
00:57:09,480 --> 00:57:11,600
Speaker 4: against the spread since twenty ten, by the way, and

1128
00:57:11,680 --> 00:57:15,000
Speaker 4: get conference games with the spread of thirty plus. I

1129
00:57:15,000 --> 00:57:16,960
Speaker 4: know this has come down a bit, but when I

1130
00:57:17,000 --> 00:57:19,000
Speaker 4: bet it, it was there just when I took these notes.

1131
00:57:19,920 --> 00:57:23,920
Speaker 4: The spread thirty plus total forty six or less. The

1132
00:57:24,000 --> 00:57:27,240
Speaker 4: over's gone thirty six and eight. But yeah, super low

1133
00:57:27,240 --> 00:57:29,600
Speaker 4: total here. I think if the northwestial scores one touchdown,

1134
00:57:29,640 --> 00:57:31,280
Speaker 4: they cover, give me the Cats.

1135
00:57:31,920 --> 00:57:34,200
Speaker 2: This will be a pass. First off, I'm not going

1136
00:57:34,240 --> 00:57:37,360
Speaker 2: to fade you, but the number one rule is I'm

1137
00:57:37,360 --> 00:57:39,480
Speaker 2: not fading any teams in November they're in a beauty

1138
00:57:39,480 --> 00:57:41,240
Speaker 2: pageant for the College of Ball playoff, and that would

1139
00:57:41,240 --> 00:57:43,120
Speaker 2: be Ohio State, because if there's an extra kick to

1140
00:57:43,120 --> 00:57:44,720
Speaker 2: make or there's an extra score to make, it's going

1141
00:57:44,800 --> 00:57:46,560
Speaker 2: to happen. So I'm not getting the way of this

1142
00:57:46,760 --> 00:57:48,600
Speaker 2: either way. Not in front of you, not in front

1143
00:57:48,600 --> 00:57:49,240
Speaker 2: of Ohio State.

1144
00:57:49,800 --> 00:57:55,960
Speaker 4: All right, let's talk. It's marktsas football. Arkansas will hosting Texas.

1145
00:57:56,640 --> 00:57:59,560
Speaker 4: I like Arkansas, kurious gy your thoughts here. Sammy Pittman

1146
00:57:59,640 --> 00:58:02,000
Speaker 4: doubled dog. By the way, He's twenty two and ten

1147
00:58:02,000 --> 00:58:03,920
Speaker 4: against the spread as a dog, sixty eight point eight percent,

1148
00:58:03,960 --> 00:58:06,600
Speaker 4: ten and three when catching double digits. Whenever you don't

1149
00:58:06,640 --> 00:58:10,120
Speaker 4: expect anything from Arkansas, whenever you think that they're completely overmatched,

1150
00:58:10,160 --> 00:58:11,600
Speaker 4: this is when Piman covers.

1151
00:58:11,560 --> 00:58:14,120
Speaker 5: There's really what's a state Arkansas's all about?

1152
00:58:14,400 --> 00:58:16,720
Speaker 4: Coming off of buy two good coordinators? And are we

1153
00:58:16,720 --> 00:58:18,920
Speaker 4: one hundred percent sure Texas is in the elite elite

1154
00:58:18,920 --> 00:58:22,280
Speaker 4: tears which would it would required to be to be

1155
00:58:22,360 --> 00:58:26,160
Speaker 4: laying two touchdowns here at Arkansas? Who if they where

1156
00:58:26,200 --> 00:58:28,320
Speaker 4: are their rock style data points? What is their best

1157
00:58:28,360 --> 00:58:32,600
Speaker 4: win by three at Vandy at Michigan that those are

1158
00:58:32,640 --> 00:58:34,560
Speaker 4: their best ways. There's eight teams right from the top

1159
00:58:34,600 --> 00:58:37,360
Speaker 4: twenty five in the SEC. Texas has played one and

1160
00:58:37,400 --> 00:58:40,440
Speaker 4: they got blown out at home by Georgia. That's it.

1161
00:58:40,480 --> 00:58:42,960
Speaker 4: Strength of schedule outside the top fifty nationally. They also

1162
00:58:43,000 --> 00:58:45,400
Speaker 4: got to play Florida with like they're a third string

1163
00:58:45,480 --> 00:58:49,760
Speaker 4: Yale quarterback and their entire team out. This resume is terrible. Arkansas,

1164
00:58:50,000 --> 00:58:52,360
Speaker 4: we've seen the his and lows. Their secondary is a mess.

1165
00:58:52,600 --> 00:58:54,880
Speaker 4: I mean, Pittman's holding open tryouts. Who knows who's going

1166
00:58:54,920 --> 00:58:56,760
Speaker 4: to be out there. I'm sure Texas will moved the ball,

1167
00:58:57,200 --> 00:58:59,600
Speaker 4: but I think Arkansas can keep up. I'm assuming Green's

1168
00:58:59,600 --> 00:59:01,760
Speaker 4: gonna be all, assuming the backfield's going to be healthier.

1169
00:59:02,320 --> 00:59:03,560
Speaker 4: Give me the Hogs.

1170
00:59:03,720 --> 00:59:07,320
Speaker 2: Woo pig Suey absolute.

1171
00:59:06,960 --> 00:59:08,240
Speaker 4: Dumpster fire dumps for fine.

1172
00:59:08,280 --> 00:59:09,600
Speaker 2: I don't know how we win a game the rest

1173
00:59:09,600 --> 00:59:11,760
Speaker 2: of the year. Just blow the program up. Give us

1174
00:59:11,760 --> 00:59:17,280
Speaker 2: a death sentence. Collins talking razorback football. Yeah, I disagree.

1175
00:59:17,280 --> 00:59:18,919
Speaker 2: You can put it on the board head to head,

1176
00:59:18,960 --> 00:59:20,120
Speaker 2: but you know what we had to talk about.

1177
00:59:20,120 --> 00:59:21,680
Speaker 4: I'm on the Hogs and you're on Texas.

1178
00:59:21,760 --> 00:59:23,560
Speaker 2: Now we should talk about the number because as we've

1179
00:59:23,560 --> 00:59:25,360
Speaker 2: been doing the podcast, this thing dropped to twelve and

1180
00:59:25,400 --> 00:59:28,000
Speaker 2: a half. But we can make it thirteen. Whoa, we

1181
00:59:28,080 --> 00:59:30,120
Speaker 2: can make it thirteen for the Hey, you know it's

1182
00:59:30,160 --> 00:59:30,600
Speaker 2: just money.

1183
00:59:30,640 --> 00:59:32,960
Speaker 4: Nah, I need fourteen fourteen.

1184
00:59:33,000 --> 00:59:35,000
Speaker 2: It's twelve and a half. Why would I make it thirteen?

1185
00:59:35,000 --> 00:59:35,920
Speaker 2: And let's get on the board.

1186
00:59:36,240 --> 00:59:39,280
Speaker 4: Oh it's on a twelve now, Yeah, put it thirteen

1187
00:59:39,320 --> 00:59:42,240
Speaker 4: on the board. The head to head you gave me nada,

1188
00:59:42,600 --> 00:59:46,920
Speaker 4: you obliged to obliged. I'm on Arkansas, you're on Texas.

1189
00:59:46,960 --> 00:59:47,920
Speaker 4: We'll call it thirteen.

1190
00:59:48,280 --> 00:59:51,640
Speaker 5: We need to be tough, consistent. Our focus is to

1191
00:59:51,720 --> 00:59:53,840
Speaker 5: embrace the hog with pride.

1192
00:59:54,160 --> 00:59:56,520
Speaker 2: Yeah, somebody walked into the West Gate with a big

1193
00:59:56,640 --> 00:59:59,440
Speaker 2: fucking stash and knocked it down to twelve. And now

1194
00:59:59,440 --> 01:00:00,760
Speaker 2: everybody else this is reacting.

1195
01:00:01,760 --> 01:00:04,720
Speaker 4: Maybe they rode a re motorcycle the Bobby Petrino.

1196
01:00:05,080 --> 01:00:07,200
Speaker 5: Bobby's been a great resource.

1197
01:00:06,720 --> 01:00:10,880
Speaker 2: For me, So listen, I have problems with this game.

1198
01:00:10,880 --> 01:00:12,160
Speaker 2: I have a lot of problems with this game, and

1199
01:00:12,360 --> 01:00:13,680
Speaker 2: we'll see how it works out. It wouldn't be the

1200
01:00:13,720 --> 01:00:15,720
Speaker 2: first time I faded Arkansas and it's gone right or

1201
01:00:15,720 --> 01:00:17,720
Speaker 2: it's gone wrong. But oh, by the way, I think

1202
01:00:17,760 --> 01:00:19,560
Speaker 2: I think Pittman hurt us on the new BCS with

1203
01:00:19,600 --> 01:00:22,440
Speaker 2: Brett because he was asked in the press conference very

1204
01:00:22,480 --> 01:00:24,240
Speaker 2: first question like are you retiring at the end of

1205
01:00:24,240 --> 01:00:26,360
Speaker 2: the season because of your hip and he said no,

1206
01:00:26,440 --> 01:00:28,920
Speaker 2: just let everybody know I'm having hip replacement surgery the

1207
01:00:28,960 --> 01:00:30,800
Speaker 2: day after the Missouri game. I'll be back for the

1208
01:00:30,800 --> 01:00:33,120
Speaker 2: transfer portal and if we make a bowl. So I

1209
01:00:33,400 --> 01:00:36,720
Speaker 2: don't know if like card, New BCS made it, made

1210
01:00:36,720 --> 01:00:39,440
Speaker 2: it to the Razorbacks re beat reporters. But he was

1211
01:00:39,480 --> 01:00:42,040
Speaker 2: asked first thing Wednesday morning, listen, I have problems here

1212
01:00:42,040 --> 01:00:44,520
Speaker 2: with Arkansas. There's just big time issues for the for

1213
01:00:44,520 --> 01:00:47,840
Speaker 2: the Arkansas offense in terms of havoc allowed here Taylor Green,

1214
01:00:47,880 --> 01:00:50,240
Speaker 2: he's been popped twice and s but against LSU and

1215
01:00:50,280 --> 01:00:52,960
Speaker 2: Old miss for scoop and scores. That's a problem. The

1216
01:00:53,000 --> 01:00:55,800
Speaker 2: offensive line has been extremely efficient, so bad that Patrick

1217
01:00:55,840 --> 01:00:58,200
Speaker 2: Cootis had left guard now has an or next to

1218
01:00:58,280 --> 01:01:00,480
Speaker 2: his name on the depth chart. He's been terrible in

1219
01:01:00,480 --> 01:01:04,240
Speaker 2: pass blocking alongside left tackle Francisco Carmona, the transfer in

1220
01:01:04,280 --> 01:01:08,000
Speaker 2: from San Jose State. This offensive line has not gotten

1221
01:01:08,040 --> 01:01:11,040
Speaker 2: anything done from pass blocking from rushing. The good news

1222
01:01:11,120 --> 01:01:14,120
Speaker 2: is Quinnin Jackson's fully healthy, ready to go, Taylor Green,

1223
01:01:14,200 --> 01:01:16,240
Speaker 2: fully healthy, ready to go. That's what you need.

1224
01:01:16,280 --> 01:01:17,320
Speaker 4: You need greed running around.

1225
01:01:17,920 --> 01:01:20,640
Speaker 2: You do the hass are run around because the blocking

1226
01:01:20,640 --> 01:01:22,840
Speaker 2: has just not bit there been there for them whatsoever.

1227
01:01:23,120 --> 01:01:25,600
Speaker 2: The defense is where I have a problem. Stuck for

1228
01:01:25,720 --> 01:01:28,640
Speaker 2: Pittman to say out loud on Monday, Jayden Johnson is

1229
01:01:28,640 --> 01:01:30,480
Speaker 2: the only one who is secure in his safety position.

1230
01:01:30,800 --> 01:01:33,560
Speaker 2: All the other positions in Travis Williams secondary are up

1231
01:01:33,560 --> 01:01:36,120
Speaker 2: for grabs, up for competition. So I mean there's even

1232
01:01:36,120 --> 01:01:40,000
Speaker 2: third stringers listed on the depth chart, Isaiah Bond, Ryan Wingo,

1233
01:01:40,120 --> 01:01:42,280
Speaker 2: Matthew Golden. The ones that are out at the white

1234
01:01:42,280 --> 01:01:44,800
Speaker 2: out position, they get flares, they get dumped off, they

1235
01:01:44,800 --> 01:01:47,880
Speaker 2: get wide receiver screens from quinn Ewers. That's a problem

1236
01:01:47,960 --> 01:01:49,760
Speaker 2: for Arkansas. There are one hundred and twenty third and

1237
01:01:49,800 --> 01:01:52,600
Speaker 2: creating contested catches. I don't think that changes here, so

1238
01:01:52,640 --> 01:01:56,880
Speaker 2: I'm not seeing it defensively. I understand Travis Williams shut

1239
01:01:56,920 --> 01:02:01,120
Speaker 2: down Tennessee, but we've had questions about Tennessee, then about

1240
01:02:01,200 --> 01:02:04,680
Speaker 2: Nico and just a magnet to Sacks And by the way,

1241
01:02:05,080 --> 01:02:07,960
Speaker 2: Sark has been waiting for this game He mentioned it

1242
01:02:08,000 --> 01:02:10,720
Speaker 2: in the preseason, he mentioned it in other various points

1243
01:02:10,760 --> 01:02:12,760
Speaker 2: this season, and he talked about it on Monday. It

1244
01:02:12,920 --> 01:02:15,760
Speaker 2: was an embarrassing performance by him and the team when

1245
01:02:15,760 --> 01:02:18,000
Speaker 2: they came to Fable in twenty twenty one. I think

1246
01:02:18,000 --> 01:02:20,240
Speaker 2: that was like what game two of his of his

1247
01:02:20,440 --> 01:02:22,960
Speaker 2: entire tenure at Texas. They got blown out of the

1248
01:02:23,000 --> 01:02:28,120
Speaker 2: water by Pittman. So I'm just seeing this way differently

1249
01:02:28,120 --> 01:02:30,200
Speaker 2: than the money. I'm seeing it differently than way all

1250
01:02:30,240 --> 01:02:32,320
Speaker 2: the other people I respect, I get it. I know

1251
01:02:32,360 --> 01:02:35,000
Speaker 2: what you guys are looking at. But the secondary is

1252
01:02:35,040 --> 01:02:37,840
Speaker 2: atrocious for Arkansas and the offensive line is bad. I

1253
01:02:37,920 --> 01:02:40,440
Speaker 2: can't back that. And if Sark's got an axe to grind,

1254
01:02:41,160 --> 01:02:44,000
Speaker 2: that's a problem too. So I'm on Texas here.

1255
01:02:44,440 --> 01:02:48,680
Speaker 4: Woo Pig, siweye baby, going head to head again.

1256
01:02:48,840 --> 01:02:50,640
Speaker 2: We're going to a bowl after La Tech though. That's

1257
01:02:50,680 --> 01:02:51,200
Speaker 2: gonna be great.

1258
01:02:51,920 --> 01:02:58,760
Speaker 4: You're going to a bowl after this weekend, outright, Woo

1259
01:02:58,760 --> 01:03:02,160
Speaker 4: pig silly before we go three and out nowhere fast.

1260
01:03:04,440 --> 01:03:07,320
Speaker 3: You are about to enter a world unlike any you've

1261
01:03:07,320 --> 01:03:11,440
Speaker 3: ever seen before, where the beautiful, the brutal, and the

1262
01:03:11,480 --> 01:03:25,720
Speaker 3: brave all me.

1263
01:03:29,440 --> 01:03:31,360
Speaker 4: This is a Friday night game San Diego State at

1264
01:03:31,400 --> 01:03:35,160
Speaker 4: UNLV gros. How many times dian Diego State could have

1265
01:03:35,160 --> 01:03:35,920
Speaker 4: tried to hand it the Cooper.

1266
01:03:35,960 --> 01:03:36,280
Speaker 3: I don't know.

1267
01:03:36,320 --> 01:03:38,919
Speaker 2: I hate watching San Diego State over or under here

1268
01:03:39,280 --> 01:03:42,840
Speaker 2: over not big and not a huge player, but you know,

1269
01:03:44,160 --> 01:03:46,080
Speaker 2: you know, I project it right around where it's at.

1270
01:03:46,120 --> 01:03:48,320
Speaker 2: I think we're gonna go over here. San Diego State

1271
01:03:48,440 --> 01:03:51,040
Speaker 2: terrible success rate numbers in rushing and passing, but they do.

1272
01:03:51,240 --> 01:03:53,680
Speaker 2: They are top thirty five in EPA. There's gonna be

1273
01:03:53,680 --> 01:03:55,680
Speaker 2: some explosives they can get on UNLV. That has been

1274
01:03:55,720 --> 01:03:58,760
Speaker 2: the Aztec's game the entire year. Is there any stopping

1275
01:03:58,800 --> 01:04:01,080
Speaker 2: the go go here? I don't think so. Rush explosives

1276
01:04:01,080 --> 01:04:05,160
Speaker 2: from Jaydon, Thomas Hodge, Malik Williams. They have been everything

1277
01:04:05,200 --> 01:04:07,680
Speaker 2: to the rebels. San Diego State is one hundred and

1278
01:04:07,720 --> 01:04:09,919
Speaker 2: twenty eighth defensively in lineyards and one hundred and thirty

1279
01:04:09,920 --> 01:04:12,000
Speaker 2: three and stuff. Right, the go go should have get

1280
01:04:12,160 --> 01:04:14,800
Speaker 2: everything they want at the line of scrimmage. Tempo's are

1281
01:04:14,840 --> 01:04:17,840
Speaker 2: going to be fast. We'll go with you over all.

1282
01:04:17,800 --> 01:04:19,520
Speaker 4: Right before we get here, Let's go three and out.

1283
01:04:21,080 --> 01:04:23,880
Speaker 2: Great, let's make it a quick three and out.

1284
01:04:24,840 --> 01:04:27,120
Speaker 4: All right, Let's go three and out Friday night lights.

1285
01:04:27,440 --> 01:04:31,720
Speaker 2: That's here, gentlemen, clear eyes, full hearts. Let's go play

1286
01:04:31,760 --> 01:04:32,720
Speaker 2: some football.

1287
01:04:33,680 --> 01:04:36,000
Speaker 4: I'll start off. I like Wyoming plus ten.

1288
01:04:36,560 --> 01:04:36,800
Speaker 2: Yeah.

1289
01:04:36,920 --> 01:04:39,040
Speaker 4: Against Calage State, they got Wayley back for coming off

1290
01:04:39,080 --> 01:04:42,480
Speaker 4: of by Kate and Anderson much better at quarterback than Slaboda.

1291
01:04:42,920 --> 01:04:46,000
Speaker 4: He played two really bad defenses in New Mexico and

1292
01:04:46,160 --> 01:04:50,080
Speaker 4: Utah State. But we saw Savoda against Utah State. He

1293
01:04:50,120 --> 01:04:52,640
Speaker 4: was two of seven, fourteen yards and a pick. Anderson

1294
01:04:52,680 --> 01:04:54,840
Speaker 4: came in almost won that game. Will always be competitive

1295
01:04:54,840 --> 01:04:57,160
Speaker 4: in League Player like they've They've been in almost every game.

1296
01:04:58,560 --> 01:05:01,520
Speaker 4: Got Wayley back. That's huge. This Colorada State team. They

1297
01:05:01,560 --> 01:05:04,360
Speaker 4: beat air Force New Mexico in Nevada and basically statistically

1298
01:05:04,400 --> 01:05:08,160
Speaker 4: even games, they were plus seven turnovers in those games.

1299
01:05:08,680 --> 01:05:10,760
Speaker 4: They've gone from a bottom five run rate to a

1300
01:05:10,800 --> 01:05:14,320
Speaker 4: top twenty five. By the way, just feed Marshall and Morrow.

1301
01:05:14,720 --> 01:05:16,840
Speaker 4: But I think peak of the market on Colida State,

1302
01:05:17,520 --> 01:05:19,960
Speaker 4: Big Border Warrior, big Rabbit. I like Pokes.

1303
01:05:20,240 --> 01:05:22,080
Speaker 2: Yeah. I like Wyoming two. You can put it on

1304
01:05:22,120 --> 01:05:25,760
Speaker 2: the board. There's two tens out there, so we can

1305
01:05:25,880 --> 01:05:28,080
Speaker 2: put our grade against that. I would like one of

1306
01:05:28,120 --> 01:05:30,520
Speaker 2: the more prominent national books to have that before I

1307
01:05:30,520 --> 01:05:32,640
Speaker 2: put it in the AP, but Kateen Anderson five big

1308
01:05:32,680 --> 01:05:36,200
Speaker 2: time throws, one turnover, worthy play, three tds, and I

1309
01:05:36,320 --> 01:05:39,160
Speaker 2: in t last week. Listen. It was his first start.

1310
01:05:39,280 --> 01:05:41,439
Speaker 2: It was a tremendous first start. But the big news

1311
01:05:41,440 --> 01:05:44,400
Speaker 2: is Harrison Whaley. Whaley Man. We cut a Mountain West

1312
01:05:44,400 --> 01:05:46,560
Speaker 2: pod and all I could talk about was FWODA running

1313
01:05:46,680 --> 01:05:48,480
Speaker 2: zone read with Whaley. I thought that was going to

1314
01:05:48,520 --> 01:05:50,560
Speaker 2: be something that could dominate in Mountain West. Will Wayley

1315
01:05:50,720 --> 01:05:54,040
Speaker 2: finally returned twenty seven rushing attempts, one hundred and seventy

1316
01:05:54,120 --> 01:05:56,240
Speaker 2: yards and a score. It was his first game of

1317
01:05:56,320 --> 01:06:00,800
Speaker 2: the season. I think stuck from here last couple of games.

1318
01:06:01,160 --> 01:06:04,600
Speaker 2: You take Wyoming's offensive numbers and you chuck them. It's

1319
01:06:04,600 --> 01:06:07,360
Speaker 2: a new season for this offense. I'm with you on Wyoming.

1320
01:06:07,880 --> 01:06:10,200
Speaker 4: North Texas at UTSA. I got nothing here. I think

1321
01:06:10,200 --> 01:06:12,600
Speaker 4: I saw you put it bet in. I'm not betting

1322
01:06:12,600 --> 01:06:13,560
Speaker 4: North Texas games.

1323
01:06:15,080 --> 01:06:17,040
Speaker 2: I put in UTSA on the app. I do want

1324
01:06:17,040 --> 01:06:18,800
Speaker 2: the over. Seventy two and a half is a little

1325
01:06:18,840 --> 01:06:21,680
Speaker 2: bit harder to take. Pregame. I think you throw out

1326
01:06:21,680 --> 01:06:24,160
Speaker 2: the Army score with North Texas and the wasted opportunities

1327
01:06:24,160 --> 01:06:26,880
Speaker 2: because before that there was four straight games where they

1328
01:06:26,920 --> 01:06:31,600
Speaker 2: scored over seventy two points. UTSA they're in defense optional mode.

1329
01:06:31,640 --> 01:06:34,080
Speaker 2: They allowed They had eighty point games of Memphis and Tulsa,

1330
01:06:34,160 --> 01:06:35,920
Speaker 2: so there's gonna be a lot of scoring here. I

1331
01:06:35,960 --> 01:06:38,440
Speaker 2: think if you can take UTSA at a plus one

1332
01:06:38,520 --> 01:06:40,200
Speaker 2: or maybe get a good looking money line, you can

1333
01:06:40,240 --> 01:06:41,840
Speaker 2: come back on the other side with North Texas. But

1334
01:06:41,880 --> 01:06:45,480
Speaker 2: I think UTSA, their offense is going to be able

1335
01:06:45,480 --> 01:06:47,240
Speaker 2: to get whatever they want with Owen McCown. From an

1336
01:06:47,280 --> 01:06:50,200
Speaker 2: EPA perspective, from an explosive pass perspective, I see it

1337
01:06:50,280 --> 01:06:52,320
Speaker 2: more in their numbers than I knew in North Texas.

1338
01:06:52,360 --> 01:06:54,520
Speaker 2: So I'm gonna take the roadrunners. I will be looking live,

1339
01:06:55,000 --> 01:06:56,840
Speaker 2: not just run over, but also come back in on

1340
01:06:56,880 --> 01:06:57,520
Speaker 2: North Texas.

1341
01:06:57,600 --> 01:06:59,800
Speaker 4: If I bet UTSA, North Texas will score every single

1342
01:06:59,800 --> 01:07:02,280
Speaker 4: time in the red zone at their last week fast

1343
01:07:02,520 --> 01:07:05,880
Speaker 4: Ucla Washington. I like Washington. I'm open seem I want

1344
01:07:05,960 --> 01:07:08,440
Speaker 4: UCLA to take some money with love A three, but

1345
01:07:08,640 --> 01:07:11,480
Speaker 4: Washington different team. At home. They're undefeated there. Ucla can't

1346
01:07:11,560 --> 01:07:13,720
Speaker 4: run the ball. It's their offense is playing better. They're

1347
01:07:13,720 --> 01:07:15,440
Speaker 4: playing better over all, but it's garbage, chuck and run.

1348
01:07:15,440 --> 01:07:17,400
Speaker 4: You can't throw in Washington. This is a good matchup.

1349
01:07:17,480 --> 01:07:20,440
Speaker 4: Washington's so matchup specific. Can the other team run the ball?

1350
01:07:20,480 --> 01:07:22,040
Speaker 4: They can, They're gonna be the ball. They can't, They're not.

1351
01:07:22,280 --> 01:07:27,000
Speaker 4: UCLA can't. I think you reached peak of their market here.

1352
01:07:27,360 --> 01:07:29,320
Speaker 4: I show value the number. I like the Huskies. You

1353
01:07:29,360 --> 01:07:30,040
Speaker 4: got anything there.

1354
01:07:30,240 --> 01:07:33,200
Speaker 2: It's that reason. It's Washington's defense why I want to

1355
01:07:33,240 --> 01:07:34,880
Speaker 2: take the under. I'm leaning on the under. I might

1356
01:07:34,920 --> 01:07:36,920
Speaker 2: put it in the app. Washington's defense number two and

1357
01:07:36,960 --> 01:07:40,520
Speaker 2: defensive passing success rate ninth in creating contested catches, and

1358
01:07:40,560 --> 01:07:42,720
Speaker 2: that comes against a UCAL offense that loves to chuck

1359
01:07:42,760 --> 01:07:45,160
Speaker 2: to the ball all the time. The problem is, once

1360
01:07:45,280 --> 01:07:48,440
Speaker 2: ucl he gets into scoring position bottom five nationally and

1361
01:07:48,480 --> 01:07:51,920
Speaker 2: finishing drives. Listen to. Washington offense is also bottom ten

1362
01:07:52,040 --> 01:07:54,840
Speaker 2: nationally and creating rusher pass explosives. There's just nothing big

1363
01:07:54,880 --> 01:07:57,800
Speaker 2: coming out of them. And the uclad is actually top

1364
01:07:57,880 --> 01:08:00,280
Speaker 2: five and preventing rush explosives. I mean, you don't expect

1365
01:08:00,280 --> 01:08:02,560
Speaker 2: that out of the Huskies offense, but there's a lot

1366
01:08:02,600 --> 01:08:05,520
Speaker 2: of avenues here where there's no scores. Even Washington's offensive

1367
01:08:05,520 --> 01:08:08,000
Speaker 2: finishing drives is one hundred and seventeenth. I leaned to

1368
01:08:08,080 --> 01:08:09,919
Speaker 2: the under here. I'm not really sure why I haven't played,

1369
01:08:09,960 --> 01:08:11,280
Speaker 2: other than it's kind of a short number.

1370
01:08:11,880 --> 01:08:14,120
Speaker 4: I think Washington can efficiently move the ball through the air,

1371
01:08:15,040 --> 01:08:19,760
Speaker 4: which you can do against UCLA Houston. At Arizona, I

1372
01:08:19,760 --> 01:08:22,760
Speaker 4: think Arizona's dead. There's rumors about Brennan being out. If

1373
01:08:22,760 --> 01:08:25,080
Speaker 4: they lose this game, you gotta buy them out line,

1374
01:08:25,120 --> 01:08:28,040
Speaker 4: you just keep fish. Arizona is a mess. They've covered

1375
01:08:28,080 --> 01:08:32,360
Speaker 4: one game all year. There Where do I start? I mean,

1376
01:08:32,400 --> 01:08:35,280
Speaker 4: they're defenders that are out for the year. Malnando their

1377
01:08:35,320 --> 01:08:38,880
Speaker 4: best safety, Stuke's one of the best corners, Manu their

1378
01:08:38,880 --> 01:08:41,280
Speaker 4: best linebacker. They lost three of them, and then from

1379
01:08:41,360 --> 01:08:44,280
Speaker 4: last year's team, they lost Herbie at linebacker. He was important.

1380
01:08:44,479 --> 01:08:47,439
Speaker 4: They lost Price Hock at corner. He was important to Washington.

1381
01:08:47,680 --> 01:08:49,960
Speaker 4: They lost their nose tackle Norton to Texas, their dn

1382
01:08:50,040 --> 01:08:53,519
Speaker 4: War to Washington, Davis to Washington, Manoa to the NFL.

1383
01:08:53,600 --> 01:08:56,599
Speaker 4: Upshaw Graduate. They lost their entire defensive line. They lost

1384
01:08:56,600 --> 01:08:58,679
Speaker 4: now they lost their three best defenders to injury. What's left?

1385
01:08:58,720 --> 01:09:01,000
Speaker 4: You got Davis at one corner spot, and then then

1386
01:09:01,200 --> 01:09:03,120
Speaker 4: Trey Smith, the transferred to Santas they say that's it.

1387
01:09:03,160 --> 01:09:06,880
Speaker 4: This defense is done. It's decimated. How about offense? Their

1388
01:09:06,920 --> 01:09:10,600
Speaker 4: offensive line is nothing like, there's nothing left. Polito was

1389
01:09:10,600 --> 01:09:14,280
Speaker 4: supposed to be Jordan Morgan's successor, an NFL tackle. He

1390
01:09:14,320 --> 01:09:16,280
Speaker 4: went to the Gut drafted. Well, he left the team

1391
01:09:16,280 --> 01:09:19,320
Speaker 4: for personal reasons. Your new left tackle, he got hurt.

1392
01:09:19,520 --> 01:09:21,639
Speaker 4: He's out for the year. So they moved the right

1393
01:09:21,640 --> 01:09:24,360
Speaker 4: tackle there. Now the new right tackle is a disaster.

1394
01:09:24,600 --> 01:09:27,200
Speaker 4: They're left guard Magnuson. He had concussions. He's out for

1395
01:09:27,240 --> 01:09:31,000
Speaker 4: the year. They're moving guys all over. It's to disaster.

1396
01:09:31,120 --> 01:09:33,920
Speaker 4: The scheme is much worse. Play action right way down.

1397
01:09:34,760 --> 01:09:37,479
Speaker 4: If they don't have the second receiver, Cowing is gone.

1398
01:09:37,840 --> 01:09:40,800
Speaker 4: McLaughlin at tight end is gone. It's just throw the

1399
01:09:40,840 --> 01:09:44,719
Speaker 4: ball to tap McMillan. That's it. Houston really well coached

1400
01:09:44,720 --> 01:09:49,280
Speaker 4: defensive team. Can't run on them. Double team McMillan. Take

1401
01:09:49,320 --> 01:09:53,759
Speaker 4: away Arizona's offense. This Arizona teams a corpse.

1402
01:09:54,680 --> 01:09:55,600
Speaker 2: Are you joining me or not?

1403
01:09:55,720 --> 01:09:57,720
Speaker 4: I bet Houston? Yeah, I bet I bet Houston too.

1404
01:09:57,760 --> 01:09:59,200
Speaker 2: Yeah, I get that thing on the board. Yes, young,

1405
01:09:59,240 --> 01:10:04,000
Speaker 2: I'll use the money. Yeah, hear that. Everybody. Interim Dino Babers.

1406
01:10:04,400 --> 01:10:05,720
Speaker 2: I'll do the other side of the ball like I

1407
01:10:06,040 --> 01:10:07,720
Speaker 2: like Houston's offense. I mean, they've won three of their

1408
01:10:07,800 --> 01:10:12,320
Speaker 2: last four. They have scorched everybody's preseason total under which

1409
01:10:12,320 --> 01:10:14,360
Speaker 2: I had the over and it's such a relief to

1410
01:10:14,360 --> 01:10:16,559
Speaker 2: get that. At Willie Fritz's first year. If you look

1411
01:10:16,560 --> 01:10:18,320
Speaker 2: at Zion Chris three and one as a starter, he's

1412
01:10:18,320 --> 01:10:20,760
Speaker 2: only committed three terna were worthy plays and sixty five

1413
01:10:20,880 --> 01:10:25,600
Speaker 2: dropbacks so far. You know, he's just destroyed teams on

1414
01:10:25,640 --> 01:10:27,639
Speaker 2: the ground on hundred and eleven yards against TCU ninety

1415
01:10:27,680 --> 01:10:31,920
Speaker 2: nine last week against Kansas State. Arizona has been horrific

1416
01:10:32,000 --> 01:10:34,720
Speaker 2: against inside zone, which is what Houston runs, only a

1417
01:10:34,760 --> 01:10:38,080
Speaker 2: forty percent success rate and a negative EPA. Let's go Koog's.

1418
01:10:39,200 --> 01:10:40,360
Speaker 4: By the way, make sure you check out the group

1419
01:10:40,360 --> 01:10:42,040
Speaker 4: of five guys the episodes down now, Mike, Mike. They

1420
01:10:42,040 --> 01:10:46,040
Speaker 4: always do a great job. Second doun favorite overdog.

1421
01:10:46,280 --> 01:10:47,919
Speaker 3: It's called the overdog parlay.

1422
01:10:48,280 --> 01:10:51,080
Speaker 4: I'm gonna go Baylor, Baylor on the road to Westernia.

1423
01:10:51,120 --> 01:10:55,080
Speaker 4: Anything under field goals fine. Baylor's playing soup very well.

1424
01:10:55,160 --> 01:10:57,479
Speaker 4: I mean, they've made a change at left tackle. They

1425
01:10:57,600 --> 01:11:00,400
Speaker 4: found some balance in the run game, with the freshman.

1426
01:11:00,560 --> 01:11:01,639
Speaker 4: But they're gonna be able to throw in this West

1427
01:11:01,680 --> 01:11:02,639
Speaker 4: Virginia Sea West Virginia.

1428
01:11:02,680 --> 01:11:02,920
Speaker 2: They won.

1429
01:11:03,000 --> 01:11:04,479
Speaker 4: I know they won a Cincy last week. Think it

1430
01:11:04,520 --> 01:11:06,360
Speaker 4: was a gifted win. They were awful and the other

1431
01:11:06,400 --> 01:11:08,479
Speaker 4: win came against the corpse of Arizona. I don't buy

1432
01:11:08,520 --> 01:11:10,880
Speaker 4: this team. Their secondary can't stop anybody. I don't care

1433
01:11:10,880 --> 01:11:13,960
Speaker 4: if it's Green or Marco quarterback bail or trending up.

1434
01:11:14,240 --> 01:11:16,920
Speaker 4: I like the Bears on the road coming off the bye.

1435
01:11:17,720 --> 01:11:20,000
Speaker 2: How about you, yeah, Penn State all the way. I'll

1436
01:11:20,040 --> 01:11:22,600
Speaker 2: take the beauty pageant contestants in this overdog for the

1437
01:11:22,600 --> 01:11:24,720
Speaker 2: remainder of the year. Look at beauty pageants last week.

1438
01:11:24,720 --> 01:11:27,360
Speaker 2: Ohio State forty five to zero, Texas forty nine to seventeen,

1439
01:11:27,400 --> 01:11:29,760
Speaker 2: Penn State thirty five six overw Washman Notre Dame fifty

1440
01:11:29,800 --> 01:11:32,760
Speaker 2: two to three. Listen, Perdue gave up fifty points to

1441
01:11:32,800 --> 01:11:36,040
Speaker 2: the offenses of Illinois and Wisconsin. Penn Stay can do

1442
01:11:36,080 --> 01:11:38,040
Speaker 2: the same here, and there's no analytics that says Perdue

1443
01:11:38,040 --> 01:11:40,400
Speaker 2: can have any kin resistance against Penn State. So give me.

1444
01:11:40,560 --> 01:11:42,519
Speaker 2: It's steaming, by the way, I'd stop at thirty one.

1445
01:11:43,520 --> 01:11:46,920
Speaker 4: All right, let's go third down, our money line underdog.

1446
01:11:46,560 --> 01:11:54,599
Speaker 1: Parlay turning good weekends into great weekends. It's time for

1447
01:11:54,640 --> 01:11:56,200
Speaker 1: the money line parlay.

1448
01:11:57,400 --> 01:12:00,320
Speaker 4: Give you Old Dominion. I was wrong about this. This

1449
01:12:00,320 --> 01:12:03,760
Speaker 4: team has been good. The Colton Joseph I don't. He's

1450
01:12:03,760 --> 01:12:05,800
Speaker 4: been great at quarterbacks since taken over, even led him

1451
01:12:05,840 --> 01:12:07,640
Speaker 4: to an impressive road win at Bowling Green when he

1452
01:12:07,680 --> 01:12:10,839
Speaker 4: came in. There's a lot of familiarity here Kevin Decker

1453
01:12:11,320 --> 01:12:15,360
Speaker 4: and Bob Chesney from their days in the Patriot League.

1454
01:12:16,000 --> 01:12:17,680
Speaker 4: But I might provide allD the menu with an edge

1455
01:12:17,680 --> 01:12:20,600
Speaker 4: because they're coming off the buye here important game for

1456
01:12:20,680 --> 01:12:23,639
Speaker 4: them to get to Bowl eligibility. Both these teams are

1457
01:12:23,680 --> 01:12:26,960
Speaker 4: like seven to eight percent to get to the conference title,

1458
01:12:27,000 --> 01:12:30,880
Speaker 4: probably out of reach, but I mean, look, I'm at

1459
01:12:30,960 --> 01:12:33,439
Speaker 4: JMU top of the market here. They beat just beat

1460
01:12:33,439 --> 01:12:35,439
Speaker 4: Southern Miss and Georgia State, and that Georgia State game

1461
01:12:35,439 --> 01:12:37,200
Speaker 4: is one of the best situational spots of the season.

1462
01:12:37,280 --> 01:12:42,519
Speaker 4: Is you pointed out? And like Old Dominion, they lost

1463
01:12:42,520 --> 01:12:44,240
Speaker 4: that app staved they had five hundred yards, they were

1464
01:12:44,320 --> 01:12:46,639
Speaker 4: negative three turnover margin now gained them by one hundred.

1465
01:12:47,160 --> 01:12:50,080
Speaker 4: Jmu's market, I think the market sesson them is inflated

1466
01:12:50,080 --> 01:12:52,160
Speaker 4: because of a couple of blowout losses on the road

1467
01:12:52,160 --> 01:12:54,800
Speaker 4: in conference. They lost outright as a favorite against Uel

1468
01:12:54,840 --> 01:12:57,759
Speaker 4: Mona and Georgia Southern, and they scored thirty three combined points.

1469
01:12:57,800 --> 01:13:00,600
Speaker 4: They also have a plus eighteen turnover marg on the

1470
01:13:00,680 --> 01:13:03,559
Speaker 4: year that leads all of FBS. There's some regression coming there.

1471
01:13:03,680 --> 01:13:05,439
Speaker 4: I think if you spread out this gen new team,

1472
01:13:05,439 --> 01:13:07,679
Speaker 4: which odo you certainly will, you can move the ball

1473
01:13:07,720 --> 01:13:11,040
Speaker 4: on them. So Barnett has regressed as the season has

1474
01:13:11,080 --> 01:13:14,200
Speaker 4: gone on and teams have gotten tape on him. I like,

1475
01:13:14,280 --> 01:13:15,840
Speaker 4: go to you, Ricky, Ronnie. All he does is win

1476
01:13:16,280 --> 01:13:17,840
Speaker 4: as a dog. He's twenty two and twelve against the

1477
01:13:17,840 --> 01:13:21,000
Speaker 4: spread as a dog, fifteen and six in league play,

1478
01:13:21,640 --> 01:13:24,080
Speaker 4: ten outright upsets and twenty one tries with an average

1479
01:13:24,080 --> 01:13:26,720
Speaker 4: spread of nine. I think the Monarchs win.

1480
01:13:28,280 --> 01:13:29,960
Speaker 2: Yeah. I'm gonna go with air Force here in our

1481
01:13:30,000 --> 01:13:32,800
Speaker 2: money line underdog parlay. Listen, just go back to the

1482
01:13:32,840 --> 01:13:35,000
Speaker 2: trash segment. I won't repeat everything I said, but Quentin

1483
01:13:35,040 --> 01:13:37,599
Speaker 2: Hayes has taken over this team, Air Force. They are

1484
01:13:37,880 --> 01:13:41,360
Speaker 2: now an efficient triple option club that everybody, the head

1485
01:13:41,360 --> 01:13:43,479
Speaker 2: coach and the fullback, everybody respects him as the field

1486
01:13:43,560 --> 01:13:46,599
Speaker 2: general and I just cannot get over Oregon State's defensive

1487
01:13:46,640 --> 01:13:50,320
Speaker 2: coordinator zero experience against the triple and is just now

1488
01:13:50,320 --> 01:13:53,519
Speaker 2: trying to learn how to defend it. Wo Air Force.

1489
01:13:54,720 --> 01:13:56,439
Speaker 4: All right, fourth down before we get out of board.

1490
01:13:56,280 --> 01:13:59,479
Speaker 2: Review Hot damn, this is fun.

1491
01:14:00,120 --> 01:14:03,120
Speaker 4: Three, twenty four and thirteen in the year we have Kansas,

1492
01:14:03,160 --> 01:14:09,879
Speaker 4: San Jose, State, South Alabama Air Force, Wyoming, and Houston

1493
01:14:09,920 --> 01:14:14,639
Speaker 4: Wyoming in Houston on Friday night. So we have four

1494
01:14:14,680 --> 01:14:16,599
Speaker 4: on Saturday two or Friday head to head.

1495
01:14:16,680 --> 01:14:20,600
Speaker 6: Woop big siwye Baby, I'm on Arkansas, Colins on Texas

1496
01:14:21,200 --> 01:14:27,160
Speaker 6: and then the trash UMass Air Force and Northwestern Sarga and.

1497
01:14:27,160 --> 01:14:30,000
Speaker 4: I will still be friends hogs out right. That'll do

1498
01:14:30,040 --> 01:14:31,920
Speaker 4: it for us. Thanks to Colin for joining me, Thanks

1499
01:14:31,960 --> 01:14:33,400
Speaker 4: to for producing on the back end. Thanks most of bly,

1500
01:14:33,400 --> 01:14:35,400
Speaker 4: thanks to all of you for tuning in. Nine five

1501
01:14:35,479 --> 01:14:39,639
Speaker 4: nine Bad Beat Voicemail recap episode will be on Monday

1502
01:14:40,360 --> 01:14:43,120
Speaker 4: Live Show ten thirty a m Eastern Saturday. Myself, Colin,

1503
01:14:43,240 --> 01:14:45,479
Speaker 4: Mike Calbrey, spremik Worth makesure you tune in there, follow

1504
01:14:45,560 --> 01:14:49,120
Speaker 4: the new account on the app Parlay Express. Thanks again

1505
01:14:49,160 --> 01:14:51,040
Speaker 4: for tuning in. Makes you subscribe on subscribe, subscribe to

1506
01:14:51,120 --> 01:14:53,639
Speaker 4: a friend, to on enemy. Let's keep it rolling. In

1507
01:14:53,880 --> 01:14:56,400
Speaker 4: Week twelve, enjoyed the weekend. We'll see you Saturday. Cheers.

1508
01:14:56,600 --> 01:14:57,280
Speaker 2: Peace Out.

1509
01:15:05,439 --> 01:15:10,000
Speaker 1: Action Network reminds you please gamble responsibly. If you or

1510
01:15:10,000 --> 01:15:12,800
Speaker 1: someone you care about has a gambling problem, help is

1511
01:15:12,840 --> 01:15:15,919
Speaker 1: available twenty four to seven at one eight hundred gambler