WEBVTT - Who Are The Winklevoss Twins Behind Gemini?

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<v Speaker 1>This is Bloomberg Crypto, a daily Bloomberg Ihad podcast, and

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<v Speaker 1>I'm Stacy Marie Ishmael, Managing editor of Crypto for Bloomberg News.

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<v Speaker 1>It's Monday, February. If you've heard the name Winklevoss, it's

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<v Speaker 1>likely that you've watched the movie The Social Network. That

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<v Speaker 1>film featured a memorable depiction of the Harvard Twins and

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<v Speaker 1>Olympic rowers who sued Mark Zuckerberg for allegedly stealing their

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<v Speaker 1>idea for a social network. Or you might know that

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<v Speaker 1>Cameron and Tyler Winklevoss set up a crypto exchange called Gemini,

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<v Speaker 1>which is currently involved in a very ugly and very

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<v Speaker 1>public dispute with the folks over a Genesis. Both Genesis

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<v Speaker 1>and Gemini we know so many gennames are facing serious

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<v Speaker 1>allegations from US regulators about their products and services. Or

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<v Speaker 1>perhaps you're familiar with their cover band, Mars Junction, Tyler's

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<v Speaker 1>the lead singer, Cameron jams on guitar. The twins certainly

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<v Speaker 1>lead a very interesting life, one enabled by their billions

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<v Speaker 1>of dollars. That wealth comes in part from their early

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<v Speaker 1>adoption of digital assets like bitcoin. When they settled out

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<v Speaker 1>of court with Mark Zuckerberg all those years ago for

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<v Speaker 1>around sixty five million dollars. They put some of those

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<v Speaker 1>assets into crypto. Here to break down what's up with

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<v Speaker 1>the Winklevoss twins and their presence and digital assets is

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<v Speaker 1>Bloomberg reporta Olga karif Olga, welcome back to the show.

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<v Speaker 1>Great to be back. Thank you. Let's talk about some twins,

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<v Speaker 1>specifically the winkle Voss twins or as many of us

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<v Speaker 1>like to call them, the winkle v What's going on

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<v Speaker 1>with them? Why are we talking about them today? So

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<v Speaker 1>we are talking about them to day because there are

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<v Speaker 1>about three hundred forty thousand people who are very unhappy

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<v Speaker 1>with them. So these are people who used the Brothers

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<v Speaker 1>Gemini Exchange for their crypto and then they decided to

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<v Speaker 1>also use the so called earned program that Gemini offered. Basically,

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<v Speaker 1>the way this program worked was, you know, if you

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<v Speaker 1>have crypto and you want to earn yield on it,

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<v Speaker 1>you put it into Earn and your crypto has been

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<v Speaker 1>being lent out through Genesis, which is a partner of Gemini,

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<v Speaker 1>and you can earn up to you know, around eight

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<v Speaker 1>percent yield, which is high, which is like what was

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<v Speaker 1>attractive about this product? Yeah, way higher than you could

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<v Speaker 1>earn at a bank, except of course the bank your

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<v Speaker 1>deposits are ensured. And as all of the Gemini Earned

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<v Speaker 1>customers know. Now you know all this, you're whatever you

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<v Speaker 1>put into earn is not ensured um And of course

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<v Speaker 1>Gemini has said this upfront, but many people don't read

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<v Speaker 1>terms of service. Well, okay, so Gemini was offering this

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<v Speaker 1>interesting product it was it was providing you know, yields

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<v Speaker 1>or returns that were unavailable to other folks. How did

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<v Speaker 1>they get into trouble though? How did they end up

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<v Speaker 1>with having hundreds of thousands of people being mad at them?

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<v Speaker 1>So the trouble really started with um Genesis their partner.

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<v Speaker 1>So over the summer, Genesis basically couldn't collect alone. It

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<v Speaker 1>gave to another crypto firm that went under called Three Arrows.

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<v Speaker 1>It was a hedge fund, and you know, essentially genesis

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<v Speaker 1>Is financial trouble started right there. And in November, Genesis

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<v Speaker 1>halted withdrawals and that meant that if you're in their

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<v Speaker 1>earned program, you cannot withdraw your money. And essentially the

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<v Speaker 1>Winkless Brothers have been working with Genesis on some sort

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<v Speaker 1>of a resolution. Now, remember the Winkle Boss brothers have

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<v Speaker 1>been waging a public fight against Genesis, even calling for

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<v Speaker 1>Barry Silber, the founder of the digital currency group Empire,

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<v Speaker 1>to step down as it's CEO. As Genesis is lending.

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<v Speaker 1>So we've got this situation, and we've talked about on

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<v Speaker 1>the show a couple of times, where even if one

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<v Speaker 1>entity is quote unquote fine, the real risk for a

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<v Speaker 1>lot of consumers is what's called a counter party, right,

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<v Speaker 1>It's like who that entity is also doing business with

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<v Speaker 1>and what kinds of stresses and risks they're exposed to.

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<v Speaker 1>A lot of Gemini's arguments, including in the UK, were

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<v Speaker 1>that they were better than other folks at you know,

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<v Speaker 1>managing their risk, at making sure that even if they

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<v Speaker 1>had those exposures, they were at relatively shall we say,

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<v Speaker 1>not stressful levels. As Genesis is lending business bankruptcy, Gemini

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<v Speaker 1>has been listed as its largest outside creditor with the

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<v Speaker 1>most money owed by a landslide. What went wrong And

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<v Speaker 1>it's a great point that people thought about Gemini differently

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<v Speaker 1>than about a lot of other companies. So Ever since

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<v Speaker 1>the brothers started the exchange in fourteen, they've been all about,

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<v Speaker 1>you know, following regulation and being super conservative, you know,

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<v Speaker 1>most other exchanges would list tons of you know, tokens.

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<v Speaker 1>Uh in this exchange wouldn't list a ton, just because

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<v Speaker 1>they wanted to be super conservative and super compliant, and

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<v Speaker 1>so people kind of thought about them in this way

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<v Speaker 1>even after Gemini launched turn in early and at the

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<v Speaker 1>time the brothers said that, you know, essentially they're checking

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<v Speaker 1>up on their partner, They're checking up genesiss financials from

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<v Speaker 1>time to time. So people had a lot more faith

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<v Speaker 1>in in what gem and I was doing with EARN

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<v Speaker 1>even as a lot of other yield programs collapsed last year. Now,

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<v Speaker 1>one of the bits of reporting that you had in

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<v Speaker 1>the profile that you wrote of you know, the Winklevoss

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<v Speaker 1>Twins and what they've been dealing with is that they

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<v Speaker 1>have a cover band. Absolutely it's called Mars Junction and essentially,

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<v Speaker 1>uh they actually went on tour last summer as a

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<v Speaker 1>lot of this troubles and Crypto just first started appearing

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<v Speaker 1>and boiling to the surface. Why are people not about this?

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<v Speaker 1>Do they hit music? So? No? I think um, I

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<v Speaker 1>think it just a lot of people are wondering why

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<v Speaker 1>they went on tour when things were going south and Crypto,

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<v Speaker 1>you know, at the time when they went on tour

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<v Speaker 1>h three arrows the hedge fund that ultimately um led

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<v Speaker 1>to troubles. That Genesis was collapsing and uh Celsius was

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<v Speaker 1>in the brink of bankruptcy, and you know, this domino

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<v Speaker 1>started following and we uh, you know, only months later

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<v Speaker 1>can see just how interconnected all the different parts of

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<v Speaker 1>the crypto ecosystem are. All these companies you know, lent

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<v Speaker 1>and borrowed from each other and did business with each other,

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<v Speaker 1>and you know, um, there's hardly anybody in the crypto

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<v Speaker 1>industry that hasn't been impacted in some way by what happened. Now.

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<v Speaker 1>I feel like over the past couple of weeks of episodes,

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<v Speaker 1>I have to talk about the Securities and Exchange Commission

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<v Speaker 1>like every single time because they're like, Hi, we're here too,

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<v Speaker 1>So what is the sec of two as it relates

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<v Speaker 1>to this Genesis Gemini situation? Why are they also involved? Sure? So,

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<v Speaker 1>the sec essentially filed a lawsuit against Genesis and gem

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<v Speaker 1>and I, accusing them of basically running this earned program

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<v Speaker 1>even though in their opinion, it's equivalent to offering unregistered securities.

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<v Speaker 1>So you have regulators as part of the mix as well,

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<v Speaker 1>which I'm sure complicates any sort of settlement and discussions

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<v Speaker 1>that are happening. Why over the past several months do

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<v Speaker 1>you think we have seen so much more of this

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<v Speaker 1>kind of SEC litigation, because you know, if we go

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<v Speaker 1>back to let's say two thousand twenty early one, the

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<v Speaker 1>rhetoric was much different. You know, there was this kind

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<v Speaker 1>of excitement and enthusiasm because folks were like, oh, Gary Gensler,

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<v Speaker 1>he taught a blockchain class, like he's down for the cause.

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<v Speaker 1>And now they're like, Gary Ginsler, why is he coming

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<v Speaker 1>for us? Like what what happened to? You know, have

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<v Speaker 1>this shift of the SEC from like we're keeping an

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<v Speaker 1>eye on things too, and now we're coming after you.

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<v Speaker 1>You know, Gary Ginsler is under a lot of pressure

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<v Speaker 1>as well. He is facing a lot of criticism because

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<v Speaker 1>he was pursuing Kim Kardashi and with his enforcement actions

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<v Speaker 1>while you know, a lot of this bad stuff that

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<v Speaker 1>is affecting thousands or hundreds of thousands of people has

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<v Speaker 1>been happening and the SEC has done nothing until sort

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<v Speaker 1>of everybody was already uh, you know, in bankruptcy if

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<v Speaker 1>you will, right, or nearing bankruptcy. And so Gary Ginsler

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<v Speaker 1>is facing a lot of criticistem off, like where were

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<v Speaker 1>you and why didn't you go after this guy's earlier

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<v Speaker 1>while uh, you know, they weren't in such trouble and

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<v Speaker 1>maybe the users could have gotten some of some more

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<v Speaker 1>of their money back up next, more from Bloomberg Reports

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<v Speaker 1>to Olga Karif on what's happening with the Winkle Lost Wins.

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<v Speaker 1>We'll be right back in the Gloomberg ecosystem, you know,

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<v Speaker 1>our colleague. On Bloomberg Opinion, Aaron Brown made the argument

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<v Speaker 1>that the Winklevoss twins reputation has been severely tarnished. This

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<v Speaker 1>idea that they were like the literal golden Boys of

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<v Speaker 1>crypto seems to be fading a little bit. Do you

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<v Speaker 1>think that the Winklevosses have a tarnished reputation? Quote unquote.

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<v Speaker 1>So so I'm of two minds here. On the one hand,

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<v Speaker 1>um Gemini says it worked with regulators, It ran it's

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<v Speaker 1>earned product by them and they didn't say anything against it.

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<v Speaker 1>And of course we know that coin Base tried to

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<v Speaker 1>launch a similar product and was directly told by regulators

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<v Speaker 1>that if you launch, it will sue, and so they

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<v Speaker 1>put it back off the clear. So, on the one hand,

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<v Speaker 1>you would think that once Gemini saw the coin based action,

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<v Speaker 1>maybe it should have reconsidered or done something. On the

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<v Speaker 1>other hand, if they what what they say is true,

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<v Speaker 1>and they initially got a green light from from their regulators,

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<v Speaker 1>then they could also feel like, we we haven't done

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<v Speaker 1>anything wrong, you know. I think part of what needs

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<v Speaker 1>to happen is re examination of regulators role and actions

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<v Speaker 1>and whether they were asleep at the wheel, whether they

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<v Speaker 1>did all they were supposed to, and overall, I think

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<v Speaker 1>Gemini still continues to have, you know, a much better

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<v Speaker 1>reputation than a lot of other overseas exchanges, and the

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<v Speaker 1>wink of US twins are obviously accomplished and known people

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<v Speaker 1>who are trying to comply with the US law, as

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<v Speaker 1>they have repeatedly said, so, you know, but I also

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<v Speaker 1>at the same time, um, there are a lot of

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<v Speaker 1>posts on Reddit and other social networks essentially saying, you know,

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<v Speaker 1>I used to be a loyal Gemini customer and I've left.

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<v Speaker 1>I am fed up with this. I lost money on

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<v Speaker 1>earn not coming back, and in fact, if we look

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<v Speaker 1>at statistics, Gemini lost quite a bit of market share

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<v Speaker 1>over the last year. So I think there's definitely been

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<v Speaker 1>damaged done. You know, at the same time, this is

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<v Speaker 1>part of a problem that has impacted the entire industry.

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<v Speaker 1>The Winkle Vye have had to play this very delicately,

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<v Speaker 1>these two different things where we're like, we wear polo shirts,

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<v Speaker 1>but we also shred I mean guitar and you know,

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<v Speaker 1>it seems like kind of emblematic of what they were

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<v Speaker 1>trying to do with Gemini, right, like offer these attractive,

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<v Speaker 1>slightly risky yields but also benefit from the perception that

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<v Speaker 1>they were one of the safer places to be. How

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<v Speaker 1>possible is is going to be in the future in

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<v Speaker 1>this regulatory environment. I think with regulators really kind of

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<v Speaker 1>tightening their grip on the sector, like you said, it

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<v Speaker 1>all goes to this trade off between risk and yield,

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<v Speaker 1>and I think what we might see is that as

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<v Speaker 1>regulations tighten, the ability to sort of speculate and earn

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<v Speaker 1>crazy double or triple digit yields here might decline. I'm

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<v Speaker 1>not sure it will go away completely, but it might decline.

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<v Speaker 1>But maybe it's a good thing from the point of send,

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<v Speaker 1>point of investor protection and so forth. But in terms

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<v Speaker 1>of where Gemini and the Winkless Brothers go from here,

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<v Speaker 1>I think it still remains to be seen. They they

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<v Speaker 1>both sort of insist that they're not going anywhere. They're

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<v Speaker 1>very strong believers in the sector. A couple of years ago,

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<v Speaker 1>Tyler winkle Loss wrote The Big Essays, saying, according to

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<v Speaker 1>his estimates, he believes that bitcoin will will reach you know,

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<v Speaker 1>five thousands. We think at attend trillion dollar market cap.

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<v Speaker 1>We think one bitcoin well worth five dollars, and we

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<v Speaker 1>think that could happen inside this decade, definitely the next

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<v Speaker 1>five years. So we're hardlers at least until they're not

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<v Speaker 1>just saying that they completely believe that this will be achieved.

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<v Speaker 1>And I sort of tend to be of the mind

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<v Speaker 1>that he has. People's memories are short and and if

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<v Speaker 1>we enter another bullmarket, you know, their business will recover.

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<v Speaker 1>And just as a last question on that points about

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<v Speaker 1>them sticking around, you know, one of the things that

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<v Speaker 1>you've mentioned is the fact that the brothers have a

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<v Speaker 1>lot of their own personal wealth right partly from investing

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<v Speaker 1>in bitcoin. Very very early. Have they made any suggestions

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<v Speaker 1>too towards saying that they would personally make any of

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<v Speaker 1>the investors in the urned products whole, or the kind

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<v Speaker 1>of separating them as individuals from Geminio's entity. So there

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<v Speaker 1>has been no suggestion that they would use their personal

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<v Speaker 1>wealth to bail anybody out. So each brother has about

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<v Speaker 1>three point two billion and personal wealth at this point. Uh.

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<v Speaker 1>And I think a lot of investors, even investors in

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<v Speaker 1>Gemini who you know, the latest round uh Gemini raised

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<v Speaker 1>was in late they raised four hundred million at valuation

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<v Speaker 1>of seven billion for the Gemini exchange. Uh. You know,

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<v Speaker 1>a lot of investors in Gemini even believe that, you know,

0:15:43.160 --> 0:15:47.320
<v Speaker 1>if something goes wrong, the brothers will backstop the exchange

0:15:47.400 --> 0:15:51.160
<v Speaker 1>because they own about seventy of it. But whether they

0:15:51.240 --> 0:15:54.560
<v Speaker 1>would backstop earn users, I don't think that's clear at all.

0:15:54.680 --> 0:15:57.080
<v Speaker 1>They haven't said anything like this, and I think it's

0:15:57.200 --> 0:16:01.920
<v Speaker 1>very unlikely because they're not out right required to bail

0:16:02.040 --> 0:16:05.320
<v Speaker 1>anybody out. And while I think there might be some

0:16:05.560 --> 0:16:09.360
<v Speaker 1>legal arguments saying they have to make their users whole,

0:16:10.000 --> 0:16:12.280
<v Speaker 1>you know, this would have to go through a legal

0:16:12.400 --> 0:16:16.120
<v Speaker 1>process most likely before we know whether that's the case

0:16:16.280 --> 0:16:19.280
<v Speaker 1>or not. Well, as we say, it's never a dull moment.

0:16:19.440 --> 0:16:21.000
<v Speaker 1>Thank you so much for bring on the show today.

0:16:21.320 --> 0:16:25.480
<v Speaker 1>It was my pleasure. Thank you. That was Bloomberg reporter

0:16:25.600 --> 0:16:27.840
<v Speaker 1>Olga Carife. You can find more of her reporting on

0:16:27.840 --> 0:16:30.800
<v Speaker 1>the Bloomberg Terminal and on Bloomberg dot com, and be

0:16:30.880 --> 0:16:33.800
<v Speaker 1>sure to check out our twice weekly newsletter, Bloomberg Crypto.

0:16:40.000 --> 0:16:43.120
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