Speaker 1: Um check it down Man Now Down Now Monday morning,
Speaker 1: gets up for second twenty nine Gamed Up, Needing a
Speaker 1: Book podcast. Guesting Lines Week fourteen in the National Football League.
Speaker 1: It's Skill Alexander, Christie Andrews standing by to go through
Speaker 1: the exercise. We'll go through every week, try to extract
Speaker 1: value for the upcoming weeks. NFL lines. Lots to talk about.
Speaker 1: Maybe the most inexplicable outcome of any game of the
Speaker 1: National Football League season, a mensa match between Vic Fangio
Speaker 1: and Anthony Lynn and the Patriots last night. Where do
Speaker 1: you place the blame? What's going on? So much more
Speaker 1: to talk about than all that, even still Guessing Lines
Speaker 1: Week fourteen in the National Football League to the Beating
Speaker 1: the Book podcast. Enjoy It's a numbers game, Alexander. It
Speaker 1: is the numbers game right here at Visa, the Vegas
Speaker 1: Stats and Informason Network, Visa dot Com, the Visa app,
Speaker 1: serious x MP Channel two for It's Gill Alexander's Where
Speaker 1: Sports Betting Analytics Live, actionable sports betting information Producing Number five.
Speaker 1: Jeff Parlay is here this morning for some guessing lines,
Speaker 1: so we'll get to momentarily. Good morning to you Jeffrey,
Speaker 1: how you doing, man, good morning, Gil you good? Oh,
Speaker 1: I'm fine. Should we talk about your thumb? No, we
Speaker 1: don't want to grow talk about No, just just a
Speaker 1: just a just a big look and blister thing that
Speaker 1: I have to have drained. And uh, let's I'll be okay.
Speaker 1: Let's start the show with a public Okay, I'll be okay.
Speaker 1: Don't bite your nails, kids said, there it is there.
Speaker 1: Jeff bites his nails. He developed an infection under his
Speaker 1: under the nail bed of the thumb. And why you're
Speaker 1: puffed up. And it was discussed. It was very boys
Speaker 1: and girls. Don't bite you, don't bite your nails. That's
Speaker 1: a simple, simplistic There are we done for the day?
Speaker 1: We out of here. Yeah. Whatever we say after this
Speaker 1: not as important as that. Kids. We do guess lines
Speaker 1: on a Monday, Week fourteen upon us in the National
Speaker 1: Football League. My goodness, week fourteen the quarter pole, I
Speaker 1: guess is what we call it, you know in horse
Speaker 1: racing parlance. Let's bring in the star of guessing lines
Speaker 1: each and every week through the years. He is the
Speaker 1: South Point Hotel Casino sports director. He is off site,
Speaker 1: but he is on the phone with us my book,
Speaker 1: Chrissy Andrews, Good morning, Chris. What's going on now? You
Speaker 1: use quarter pole right? Most of these guys were a
Speaker 1: quarterway through the season. We'll say we're at the quarter pole,
Speaker 1: which of course is a million percent wrong a million
Speaker 1: and when you're a quarter mile ago, yes, and that's
Speaker 1: where we are at least after tonight, that's where we're
Speaker 1: working officially, all right, Chris. We always asked the first
Speaker 1: question to get this out of the way, how did
Speaker 1: you guys do behind the desk there? Uh? You know,
Speaker 1: we did really well Yesterday. Saturday not so hot. We
Speaker 1: made a couple of bucks, but it really wasn't very good.
Speaker 1: Friday was great, way better than we thought it would be.
Speaker 1: Was just one of those days we kind of wanted everything.
Speaker 1: And then Thursday was terrific too. So those um talked
Speaker 1: to Mr Vaughan last night. He was very happy with
Speaker 1: the weekend. So in other words, it's usually a happy
Speaker 1: guy regardless, he's got a lot to be happy about it.
Speaker 1: So Thursday and Friday is, but I mean, he's just
Speaker 1: a good natured guy, he really is. So Thursday and
Speaker 1: Friday reverse engineering that Thursday and Friday really bad for Betters. Basically,
Speaker 1: I would say so yeah from certainly from my point
Speaker 1: of view, Yeah, alright, Saturday and Sunday not so not
Speaker 1: so much either way. Here's what we do for those
Speaker 1: who are landing on the show for the first time.
Speaker 1: Every Monday morning, I stay in a cocoon from Sunday
Speaker 1: night into Monday morning and guess the subsequent week's lines
Speaker 1: in the NFL. The purpose of this exercise, as was
Speaker 1: the case with the old Stardust radio show back in
Speaker 1: the day with Roxy Roxborough, is to try to extract
Speaker 1: some value, a first look at value in the upcoming
Speaker 1: week's NFL line. Sometimes, um, pretty accurate, and we don't
Speaker 1: extract much value, like last week. Sometimes I'm wildly off,
Speaker 1: including the worst guests of all time earlier this year
Speaker 1: where we were full seven and seven and a half
Speaker 1: points off and I ended up being more right than
Speaker 1: the market and that one. Um. So it's it's an
Speaker 1: interesting exercise. And then Chrissie tells us right after the show,
Speaker 1: because you haven't put up anything yet, but right after
Speaker 1: the show, based on this sort of repartee or back
Speaker 1: and forth, we uh, you put up the lines right
Speaker 1: after the show. That's how it works, yes, correct, Okay, yeah,
Speaker 1: and uh, you know this is a good exercise for
Speaker 1: both of us really to uh just figure out where
Speaker 1: we want to go. And because we're not the earliest
Speaker 1: to get up, get up and we take up that,
Speaker 1: I can tell you that that's for sure. We'll do it,
Speaker 1: all right. Well, let's start with Thursday. Let's do this
Speaker 1: Thursday night, Dallas at Chicago, And of course in doing this,
Speaker 1: we will review everything that happened in the National Football
Speaker 1: League yesterday as well and Thursday and this being Thanksgiving
Speaker 1: week just passed. So Dallas at Chicago to six and sixteen,
Speaker 1: and the Dallas Cowboys, despite their debacle on Thanksgiving against
Speaker 1: the Bills, remain a top the National Football Conference Eastern
Speaker 1: Division in in the driver's seat with four games left.
Speaker 1: And then there's the Bears, who are mired in a
Speaker 1: wild card and really are on the outside looking in.
Speaker 1: On that Dallas loss for the six time in nine
Speaker 1: games on Thursday against the Bills, Dak Prescott filled up statute,
Speaker 1: so did Zeke, but they were minus two in turnovers.
Speaker 1: Here's the stat that I gave out on Friday about
Speaker 1: the Cowboys here on this show, and it's really the
Speaker 1: only one. You need to know. This sort of expresses
Speaker 1: their season. There, six and six. The opponents they've beaten
Speaker 1: are a combined sixteen fifty and one sixteen fifty and one.
Speaker 1: Straight up, those are the six wins against opponents that
Speaker 1: are sixteen fifty and one. The six losses excuse me
Speaker 1: the other way around, the six loss Let's start that again.
Speaker 1: The six wins were against teams, Yes, six wins sixteen
Speaker 1: fifty and one. The six losses against teams that are
Speaker 1: forty nine and nineteen. That is the split among all splits.
Speaker 1: So they are feasting on terrible teams and they're getting
Speaker 1: crushed by the good ones. Um Chicago Bears. They flirt
Speaker 1: with disaster against the Lions also on Thursday with Thanksgiving,
Speaker 1: but they did prevail against the Detroit Lions. Mitch Drabinsky
Speaker 1: came through in the clutch thirty eight for three thirty eight,
Speaker 1: three touchdowns and a pick. But he was really good
Speaker 1: in the clutch. Let's give Drabinsky credit for that. All
Speaker 1: of that said, and this, by the way, they're you know,
Speaker 1: good for Jerry Jones not firing Jason Garrett, are coming
Speaker 1: on right after that game and saying we're not gonna
Speaker 1: make a move here till the end of the season.
Speaker 1: It's probably true that Jason Garrett probably has to get
Speaker 1: to the Super Bowl, I would imagine, and not get fired,
Speaker 1: maybe the NFC Championship. But good for him for not
Speaker 1: doing it. Because Dallas still controls their own destiny. They
Speaker 1: could still write a totally different story to this season.
Speaker 1: I'll say, Dallas minus three at Chicago, Well, you're dead
Speaker 1: on but yo, you're you're, you're you're burying the league.
Speaker 1: You know who's still in the hunt for that division
Speaker 1: of the Washington Redskins. Yeah, yeah, you're dead on three.
Speaker 1: And that's what I'm gonna open. And I gotta tell
Speaker 1: you it looks a little higher than me. Uh. Trebinsky
Speaker 1: probably played his best game of the year. Is QBR
Speaker 1: was seventy five point two, which is really good for him.
Speaker 1: He talking about the the Cowboys filled up the statue.
Speaker 1: What they did, I'll get that in a second, But
Speaker 1: so did the Bears. Anthony Miller and nine catches from
Speaker 1: a hundred forty yards, Robinson had eight grade six uh
Speaker 1: Roe Kwan Smith and fifteen tackles. Is all over film.
Speaker 1: But again, you look at the Cowboys, you know dak
Speaker 1: As QBR wasn't very good. It was forty three point six,
Speaker 1: so not great. They didn't play horribly, had three hundred
Speaker 1: yards passing, you know, Ezekiel Elliott seventy one yards, and
Speaker 1: Marity Cooper had eight catches for eighty five year. They
Speaker 1: really tried to get him in the ball, by the way,
Speaker 1: after him being shut out the week before. Even thefensively
Speaker 1: Jalen Smith fourteen tackles, Shawn Lee twelve tackles. So they were,
Speaker 1: you know, again, statistically they look great. What happened on
Speaker 1: the winning side, Uh, they got twenty six fifteen and
Speaker 1: it really wasn't even that close. You know, they got dominated,
Speaker 1: got dominant. I'm gonna open three. Yeah, they got dominated.
Speaker 1: I'm gonna open three just because that's what it is everywhere.
Speaker 1: But I wouldn't be surprised if this thing goes down that.
Speaker 1: You know, I think Chicago is probably the right side here,
Speaker 1: I really do. You know, we were joking, h Jeff
Speaker 1: and I were via text. I want to say this
Speaker 1: was on Thursday. You correct me if I'm wrong, Jeff,
Speaker 1: But get ready for a situation where like the thirteen
Speaker 1: and three San Francisco forty Niners have to travel to
Speaker 1: eight and eate Dallas in the playoffs like that is
Speaker 1: coming Dallas's remaining record and again there's six and six.
Speaker 1: They could still have a winning record quite easily here
Speaker 1: at Chicago Thursday, then their last three games home against
Speaker 1: the Rams at Philly, which could very well be an
Speaker 1: NFC East decider, and then the final game home Washington.
Speaker 1: Wouldn't that be interesting if it was If it was
Speaker 1: an NFC East decider, I'm just dreaming. That is too funny.
Speaker 1: By the way, I'm very proud of that first guest
Speaker 1: Dallas minus three is when I came up with there,
Speaker 1: and I am I'm thrilled to know that that's what
Speaker 1: it was on that. We'll see if I can mimic
Speaker 1: that some other times. Let's go to Sunday. What do
Speaker 1: we have Sunday? First game up? Pretty good games Baltimore
Speaker 1: at Buffalo. That is a great game. Baltimore ten and
Speaker 1: two after their win against the Niners yesterday, game that
Speaker 1: they end up winning on a field goal, best starting
Speaker 1: franchise history. By the way, the Tenant two record Justin
Speaker 1: Tucker's thirty eight straight fourth quarter field goal attempt made
Speaker 1: let me repeat that justin Tucker's thirty eight straight fourth
Speaker 1: quarter field goal made unbelievable. He's the He's the most reliable,
Speaker 1: maybe the only reliable kicker in the National Football League.
Speaker 1: And I talked about it with Lombardi uh every week,
Speaker 1: or at least they tried to every week. We don't
Speaker 1: talk about place kickers enough in this league. Eight in
Speaker 1: a row. Now for the Ravens, Lamar and Jackson once
Speaker 1: again in victory. He was fourteen of twenty three for
Speaker 1: one oh five through the air, one touchdown note picks
Speaker 1: sack just once, but sixteen carries for one one yards
Speaker 1: and a touchdown. He had nearly seventy three per cent
Speaker 1: of the Ravens yards from scrimmage for the excuse me
Speaker 1: for the last seven games of that eight game streak,
Speaker 1: twenty total touchdowns, zero interceptions. And then, and what was
Speaker 1: the theme yesterday throughout the NFL? Very few yards, very
Speaker 1: few total yards for winning teams. Baltimore two three totally
Speaker 1: yards yesterday in their victory against the Niners. By the way,
Speaker 1: the Niners had nothing to be ashamed about. You might
Speaker 1: even m even say they could have won that football game,
Speaker 1: maybe should have won that football game. And then Buffalos
Speaker 1: we talked about on Thursday here there on extra rest,
Speaker 1: they beat the Cowboys. For those who forgot Josh Allen
Speaker 1: nineteen one touchdown through the air, no picks, sacked four times.
Speaker 1: Called Beasley in his return to Dallas, was his best
Speaker 1: target that day, six for one, tenant to touchdown. I
Speaker 1: talked about the splits with the Cowboys. The Bills are
Speaker 1: nine and three, so the Cowboys six and six. We
Speaker 1: talked about those stark splits. The Bills at nine and three.
Speaker 1: The opponents they've beaten, the nine wins that combined twenty
Speaker 1: seven and sixties six at least with the Bills. Uh,
Speaker 1: you can say that one of those opponents was seven
Speaker 1: and five Tennessee. So there is that they beat one
Speaker 1: winning team there um. But that's the nine wins twenty
Speaker 1: seven and sixty six opponents. So here's the thing with
Speaker 1: the Bills, though. Now the Bills are one out in
Speaker 1: the a f C East, and they control their own
Speaker 1: destiny to get the number one seed in the American
Speaker 1: Football Conference. The Buffalo Bills control their own destiny. Why
Speaker 1: because they've got Baltimore here in this game, and then
Speaker 1: they'll go to New England. Week sixteen. So, uh, there's that.
Speaker 1: So they control their own destiny. All of that said, Um,
Speaker 1: I said, Baltimore minus four and a half. Here on
Speaker 1: the road in what should be a great football game.
Speaker 1: You're you're a shade light. It's I see anywhere between
Speaker 1: five and six. Five and a half the predominant number.
Speaker 1: I kind of like your number. I'm gonna open this five.
Speaker 1: So I'm at the low end of the spectrum. I
Speaker 1: gotta tell you, I'm very impressed with this Buffalo team.
Speaker 1: You know, everybody knocked Josh Allen. He was kind of
Speaker 1: like the favorite whipping boy coming out of the draft.
Speaker 1: A lot of people thought he, you know, way over drafted,
Speaker 1: and not that he didn't, but he really fits this
Speaker 1: team very well. Uh. He had ten carries for forty
Speaker 1: three yards himself running the football, so he is a threat.
Speaker 1: And uh I'm looking he had he did get four.
Speaker 1: He got sacked four times for twenty seven yards. The
Speaker 1: thing about him is, I think he becomes a threat
Speaker 1: down in the red zone. Uh. You could cover everybody
Speaker 1: and watch the running game. But I mean this kid
Speaker 1: is just a big, strong, athletic guy, and you know,
Speaker 1: he's fast, he's strong and he can get the ball
Speaker 1: in the end zone, or at least you certainly have
Speaker 1: to be aware of that. And I think he's This
Speaker 1: is a tough, tough team, and they beat Baltimore straight up, Yeah,
Speaker 1: I mean five points pretty sure. I think they can. Um.
Speaker 1: I think it'd be an upset, but I do think
Speaker 1: they have the ability to do that. At some point.
Speaker 1: The well is gonna run dry for Baltimore. They you
Speaker 1: know it's I mean, maybe it won't, but they've been
Speaker 1: playing such fantastic ball. They really are a good team
Speaker 1: and probably the best team in the NFL right now.
Speaker 1: But I think Buffalo is a great chance to beat
Speaker 1: them in this week. I'm gonna open at five, and uh,
Speaker 1: you know, weather conditions you know, might help Buffalo here,
Speaker 1: although I don't see Baltimore being a team has to
Speaker 1: play in great weather either. But all that being said,
Speaker 1: I think Buffalo is a great, great chance. I'm opening
Speaker 1: on the lower end here at five. Good game. Good
Speaker 1: to have the Baltimore San Francisco game yesterday in the morning,
Speaker 1: and this one's a morning game this coming Sunday, Yes, Jeff,
Speaker 1: So you know how well it's going for the Bills.
Speaker 1: The Bills against Chrissie's Steelers next week and Week fifteen
Speaker 1: was flex the Sunday night football guilt. Well, and here's
Speaker 1: here's the thing with that. Yeah, I mean we talked
Speaker 1: about Buffalo is a game out of the a f
Speaker 1: C East. They're too clear of the number two wild
Speaker 1: card position. The Buffalo right now in the number one
Speaker 1: wild card position, two games up on the number two
Speaker 1: wild card team, which is currently the Pittsburgh Steelers but
Speaker 1: effectively tied with the Titans. If Buffalo doesn't win this
Speaker 1: game against Baltimore and Pittsburgh and or Tennessee do get
Speaker 1: a victory, that game has a totally different narrative at
Speaker 1: that point. Well, they perfectly said. I was going through
Speaker 1: the the playoff machine on ESPN dot com to figure
Speaker 1: out all the scenarios if Buffalo does lose to Baltimore
Speaker 1: and Tennessee in Pittsburgh do win that game next Sunday night.
Speaker 1: Huge Actually could be a scenario where Buffalo loses the
Speaker 1: Pittsburgh and they're actually on the outside looking in going
Speaker 1: into a game at Foxboro week sixteen, which is something
Speaker 1: that I couldn't really wrap my mind around until I
Speaker 1: saw the scenario. That's right, because there will be two
Speaker 1: teams or basically three teams fighting for two playoff berths
Speaker 1: at that point. So Buffalo is in one of these
Speaker 1: interesting situations where it could go wildly well for them
Speaker 1: or they could be out completely, which happens quite often
Speaker 1: this time of year in the National Football League for
Speaker 1: one or two teams. It seems every year. Let's do
Speaker 1: another one here, Chris before the break. Okay, you're Washington
Speaker 1: Redskins at the Green Bay Packers. Well you you stole
Speaker 1: my headline, but I was gonna say three games out baby,
Speaker 1: the three and nine Washington Redskins. You said at the
Speaker 1: Packers at the nine and three Packers. Packers beat the Giants.
Speaker 1: Packers beat the Giants. Let's just start there. Aaron Rodgers
Speaker 1: one thirty three for two forty three, another four touchdown passes,
Speaker 1: another zero interception game. He was not sacked for the season.
Speaker 1: Twenty two touchdown passes and two picks. Is that good?
Speaker 1: Lazar three for one oh three to touchdown DeVante Adam
Speaker 1: six or sixty four two touchdowns. They were seven of
Speaker 1: thirteen on third downs and they were one of one
Speaker 1: on fourth. Again, low total yards totals for winning teams
Speaker 1: yesterday three twenty two for the Packers in victory. They
Speaker 1: were plus three in turnovers. Eighth game this season without
Speaker 1: a turnover for the Packers. Let me repeat that, eighth
Speaker 1: game this season without a turnover. That's the most in
Speaker 1: the NFL. And then there's the Redskins. Now, I'll sudden
Speaker 1: this to both of you, guys. Was this the most
Speaker 1: inexplicable outcome of any game this season in the NFL?
Speaker 1: The Redskins and the Panthers. Bizarro, Redskins beat the Panthers,
Speaker 1: and they beat them. Uh you know in the end,
Speaker 1: the final score was twenty one. They do so as
Speaker 1: ten and a half point dogs. But the Panthers went
Speaker 1: up fourteen to nothing in this game, and you figure
Speaker 1: the route is on and then from that point forward.
Speaker 1: And I know this was not a marquee game. So
Speaker 1: I'm not sure how many people laid eyes on this game,
Speaker 1: but the Redskins absolutely dominated the Panthers on the line
Speaker 1: of scrimmage, like, just absolutely gash them. Uh. Darius guys
Speaker 1: ten of one, ten carries, one nine yards, two touchdowns.
Speaker 1: Ten carries one twenty nine yards, two touchdowns. By the way,
Speaker 1: Redskins fans rejoicing everywhere because Geis blew out his knee
Speaker 1: preseason last year after getting drafted, So this was the
Speaker 1: the Darius Guys coming out party. Adrian Peterson not to
Speaker 1: be out done. Thirteen carries, ninety nine yards in a touchdown,
Speaker 1: two hundred and forty eight total rushing yards for the
Speaker 1: Washington Redskins yesterday. By the way, Caroline only had sixty five.
Speaker 1: It was the first time the Redskins have had consecutive games,
Speaker 1: by the way, with six plus sacks since Night four. Now,
Speaker 1: none of this really had anything to do with Dwayne Haskins.
Speaker 1: He was thirteen of twenty five or one seven, no touchdowns,
Speaker 1: no picks, He was sacked five times. But they just
Speaker 1: absolutely ran through the Panthers and then even having done that,
Speaker 1: taking this massive lead after down fourteen nothing, they go
Speaker 1: up twenty nine to fourteen. Then the Panthers score late
Speaker 1: to make a get the on side kick. They got
Speaker 1: the onside kick where there didn't they Jeff might remember that. Great.
Speaker 1: This is the week where everybody got on side kicks
Speaker 1: from Thanksgiving on. Panthers got one. They got all the
Speaker 1: way to the one yard line, could not punch it
Speaker 1: in Redskins win Redskins win three out in the NFC East,
Speaker 1: green Bay is gonna be a thirteen point favorite. All
Speaker 1: all that's said and done, green Bay by thirteen. Chris Well,
Speaker 1: I see, I see thirteen and a half and there's
Speaker 1: one fourteen. But pretty heavily juiced on the dog. I
Speaker 1: like the higher number. I think I'm an open four
Speaker 1: teen to take a bet. Um. It was one of
Speaker 1: those things. The closer we got the game time, the
Speaker 1: more I like green Bay. I just felt we were
Speaker 1: kind of buying low on them after the they looked
Speaker 1: so horrible the week before. But I have to say,
Speaker 1: the closer we got to the games and the more
Speaker 1: I like Carolina too. Uh, that was just an inexplicable outcome.
Speaker 1: Where's my note to happens? QBR nine point seven. He
Speaker 1: had the lowest QBR of any winning quarterback of any
Speaker 1: when you know, but then you know, like you said,
Speaker 1: they had what two hundred? Where's my two yards on
Speaker 1: the Yeah? Yeah, I mean so they did dominated Christian McCaffrey.
Speaker 1: They held him the forty four yards rushing. Um, you
Speaker 1: know what happened? I have no idea. I'm kind of
Speaker 1: like you, Well, you probably watched a lot closer than
Speaker 1: I did. But I had it like on one of
Speaker 1: my corner TVs, you know, once it was up fourteen.
Speaker 1: Nothing I really, you know, because like I said, I
Speaker 1: like Caroline, We're in a couple of different contests. I
Speaker 1: had him in a couple of them. I thought we
Speaker 1: were coasting at that point. But joint obvious. We always
Speaker 1: need the dogs. I mean, especially we can get one
Speaker 1: that went out right like that, and uh, I really
Speaker 1: wasn't paying attention. Kind of tell the end, you know,
Speaker 1: but man, oh man that that. I have no explanation
Speaker 1: for that at all. But like it's thirteen and a half,
Speaker 1: I'm an open fourteen. I know they're gonna take it.
Speaker 1: But come Sunday morning, I'm probably gonna be rooted for
Speaker 1: those guys who took the fourteen because I think green Bay,
Speaker 1: really I think they are a really good team. They
Speaker 1: had really a bad game a week before, but I
Speaker 1: think they got back on track yesterday. Rogers looked terrific
Speaker 1: and they're gonna smoke this Washington team. I believe that
Speaker 1: you really not that good. Yeah, I would have said
Speaker 1: fourteen were it not for that Redskins performance yesterday. Give it.
Speaker 1: Give it to Bill Callahan and the Skins they seem
Speaker 1: to care deeply, they really do. And they didn't have
Speaker 1: Ryan Carrigan yesterday for the first time. I'm thinking maybe
Speaker 1: his career um time he had a big straight go
Speaker 1: on hundred and thirty four games or something like that. Uh.
Speaker 1: And they sat Kyle Allen seven times, and like I said,
Speaker 1: the offensive line just gash, just absolutely dominated the Panthers.
Speaker 1: The Panthers, who I guess technically are still in the
Speaker 1: in the playoff race, who are well, maybe they're not
Speaker 1: anymore five and seven, they're still in it mathematically, but
Speaker 1: good lord, should you even don't even utter the word playoffs?
Speaker 1: Cue the Jim Mora tape at that point, because after
Speaker 1: that performance and you said it best Christian McCaffrey forty
Speaker 1: four yards on the ground, fifty eight through the air.
Speaker 1: That's a huge win when he only barely breaks a
Speaker 1: hundred yards from scrimmage. So the Redskins doing their thing.
Speaker 1: But thirteen point and you said you'll open it at
Speaker 1: I'm gonna open a fourteen and take a bad I
Speaker 1: don't beat me on it because I see mostly thirteen
Speaker 1: and a half, but you know, go ahead, takes We'll
Speaker 1: take a we'll get some more lines momentarily Week four
Speaker 1: teen in the NFL. We'll talk a little college football later,
Speaker 1: Jeff and I will. If you're looking for the perfect
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Speaker 1: we look forward to that. Jeff was in here with
Speaker 1: John Murray drinking beers during market Watch the other day,
Speaker 1: biting his nails drinking beer. Let's just do. By the way,
Speaker 1: are your mom and dad are they? Are they telling
Speaker 1: you what they should be telling you, which is this
Speaker 1: should be a wake up call from I didn't. No
Speaker 1: one needed to tell me that. As soon as they
Speaker 1: diagnosed it, it was very You are easy. You are
Speaker 1: a grown man with your own national radio show. Time
Speaker 1: to stop biting your nails. The nail clipper will be
Speaker 1: utilized now, Yes, it'll be good. Chris. Sorry, We're sorry
Speaker 1: you had to be subjected to that. Chris and I apologize.
Speaker 1: We're just trying to help people out of here with
Speaker 1: p s A. Is it nervousness biting your nails out
Speaker 1: of nervousness, and it's all, it's all. It's always been
Speaker 1: a nervous habit for whatever reason. I don't know what
Speaker 1: are you so nervous about. I don't know. You got
Speaker 1: the world beat. I know, I know we'll make him
Speaker 1: less uh less anst, give him less anst. Moving forward
Speaker 1: here hopefully, all right, chrissie, a lot of games to
Speaker 1: get to. Nobody's got buys, we got six d Let's go,
Speaker 1: what do we got? Denver at Houston? Okay, start with
Speaker 1: Denver for a second. We'll get to Euston here. Momentarily.
Speaker 1: Denver beats the Chargers yesterday. Now I was gonna, yeah,
Speaker 1: I'm gonna skip ahead to the Chargers, just so I
Speaker 1: could explain here because the Chargers, now that was there.
Speaker 1: By the way, Denver wins that game by a field goal.
Speaker 1: They went at twenty three to twenty. Brandon McManus at
Speaker 1: the buzzer fifty three yard field goal. I know we
Speaker 1: don't say it a buzzard football, but fifty three yard
Speaker 1: or after he threw a tender temper tantrum at the
Speaker 1: end of the first half when he was not allowed
Speaker 1: to kick like a sixty five yard but he uh,
Speaker 1: he kicks a fifty three yarder as time expired after
Speaker 1: Casey Hayward was flagged for a thirty seven yard pass
Speaker 1: interference that effectively put the Broncos into that field goal range.
Speaker 1: They had no timeouts, neither side had any time ounts.
Speaker 1: And I've talked with Lombardi about this. This year, the
Speaker 1: Chargers had come back and tied the game as at
Speaker 1: uh at seventeen apiece in excuse me, at twenty a
Speaker 1: piece in this game, it from all intents and bourboses,
Speaker 1: it was headed over time. But when you're in this
Speaker 1: situation in the NFL, the way that refs control these games,
Speaker 1: and how how egregious p i s are because it's
Speaker 1: not the college rule of fifteen yards. It's spot of foul.
Speaker 1: You just send receivers out and you heave it and
Speaker 1: you hope that you draw a flag. And you know what,
Speaker 1: we we go after vic Fangio a lot if that
Speaker 1: was there. They're they're thinking good for vic Fangio, good
Speaker 1: for him. Uh. As far as the Charger side is concerned,
Speaker 1: you have got to tell your dbs you cannot let
Speaker 1: this happen. Drew Lock, by the way, in his debut
Speaker 1: for the the Chargers have no excuses. Man, you're playing
Speaker 1: a quarterback who's not only in his first year, it's
Speaker 1: his first game ever. Drew lock eighteen of twenty eight
Speaker 1: for one thirty four two touchdowns. One pick wasn't sad.
Speaker 1: Courtland Sutton his big target four for seventy four two touchdowns.
Speaker 1: The Broncos were seven of fifteen on third downs, and
Speaker 1: in the theme of the day, winning teams who didn't
Speaker 1: gain that many yards, the Broncos win this football game
Speaker 1: with two hundred and eighteen total yards of offense. Broncos
Speaker 1: win their four and eight. We'll get to the Chargers
Speaker 1: later because there's a lot to get to. Um. This
Speaker 1: is at Houston. Houston beats the Patriots last night. Now,
Speaker 1: cosmetically I could go through this box score, but there's
Speaker 1: no point because it looks like New England played a
Speaker 1: competitive football game and Houston wins it to twenty two
Speaker 1: and have to stave off an on side kick attempt
Speaker 1: late to hang on. But in truth, when this game
Speaker 1: was competitive, or in the competitive time frame of this game,
Speaker 1: Houston dominated the Patriots last night. By the way, Houston
Speaker 1: now with a one game lead over Tennessee and a
Speaker 1: two game lead over Indianapolis in the a f C South.
Speaker 1: They play Tennessee though still twice weeks fifteen and seventeen.
Speaker 1: That's a there's a scheduling cork for you. I've seen
Speaker 1: teams play each other two times in the final or
Speaker 1: two times over a three week span, but how many
Speaker 1: times it happened weeks fifteen and seventeen. That's the case.
Speaker 1: So Houston is not, uh, you know, a lock to
Speaker 1: win the division yet. Deshaun Watson was eighteen or two
Speaker 1: thirty four three touchdowns note picks. He was sacked three times.
Speaker 1: He caught a touchdown pass from DeAndre Hopkins. Great trick
Speaker 1: play there from Bill O'Brien and crew. There were six
Speaker 1: of eleven on third downs, but again out gained forty
Speaker 1: eight to two seventy six. The Pats ran twenty seven
Speaker 1: more plays. The Texans only had fifty two rushing yards.
Speaker 1: None of that matters because it was all cosmetic. Here's
Speaker 1: all you need to know. And this is more of
Speaker 1: a Patriots thing than it is a Texans thing. But
Speaker 1: the Texans defense entered this week ranked twenty six in
Speaker 1: d v o A. That's Aaron Shots Football Outsiders Proprietary
Speaker 1: stat Defense Adjusted value over average. The Texans had given
Speaker 1: up the sixth highest opposing passer rating in the NFL
Speaker 1: prior to last night, and yet the Patriots and Tom
Speaker 1: Brady found itself down twenty one to three late in
Speaker 1: the third quarter. Houston dominated. Uh, Denver still got drew luck.
Speaker 1: Houston still Houston. I'll say it's more than a touchdown.
Speaker 1: I'll say Houston. Mine is seven and a half. Oh,
Speaker 1: you're here quite a bit low here, I see nine
Speaker 1: and a half and ten. I personally I liked the
Speaker 1: nine and a half a little bit better. You know, yo,
Speaker 1: we didn't. We didn't mention this last week, and we
Speaker 1: should have, but I'll mention it now. Be careful of
Speaker 1: the home dogs becoming a road favorite. Now, obviously this
Speaker 1: team has to be the ex Houston over dead. But
Speaker 1: last week we had three situations like that, Right, I'm
Speaker 1: gonna take a mea call. But I should have mentioned
Speaker 1: it myself. Three teams went from home dogs the road favorites. Uh.
Speaker 1: One of them covered and that was the Rams against
Speaker 1: the Cardinals. The other two were the Eagles and the
Speaker 1: Jets went from home dogs to road favorites, and obviously
Speaker 1: they neither one of them covered. Uh, and really what
Speaker 1: I'm not a big like system guy and trend I
Speaker 1: think a lot of that is data mining. But this
Speaker 1: is one of those cases where I think it makes
Speaker 1: sense because the number gets too high and uh, Like
Speaker 1: I said, I feel a lot of tens around on
Speaker 1: this game, and I think that's just a little bit
Speaker 1: too high of the number for a total. Looking at
Speaker 1: a total is forty one and a half, and the
Speaker 1: points bridge just seems a little bit too high. Of course,
Speaker 1: I think we only had two games over the weekend
Speaker 1: where the point spread matter. Otherwise just you know, teams
Speaker 1: won or lost, uh, you know, regardless of the points.
Speaker 1: But this one I think is just a little bit
Speaker 1: too high. Now you're getting up around ten, there's a
Speaker 1: game where the dog could cover but not win, And
Speaker 1: I think this has a very good chance of being
Speaker 1: one of those games I've seen nine and a half
Speaker 1: and ten. I'm gonna open nine and a half and
Speaker 1: they'll probably bent me up to the tent. But again,
Speaker 1: be careful of that. That's the one trend that I
Speaker 1: do tend to look at, and like I said, not
Speaker 1: I think the psychology of it is that it just
Speaker 1: the price gets created too high. Off off of the
Speaker 1: past week's game. Only game where the spread mattered yesterday,
Speaker 1: and let's defy that for people who are just landing here,
Speaker 1: meaning that the dog didn't win out right, or the
Speaker 1: favorite didn't win and cover in the process, meaning a
Speaker 1: favorite covered excuse me one, but didn't cover. Only examples
Speaker 1: of that where the spread actually came into play Baltimore
Speaker 1: San Francisco or Baltimore won by field goal but was
Speaker 1: favored by six and then I guess on Thursday, depending
Speaker 1: on where you got it, Yeah, depending on where you
Speaker 1: got that bear's number, right, Yeah, most guys had it
Speaker 1: at five and happ and six. You know, so the
Speaker 1: dog covered most guys. Okay, so I'm a couple of
Speaker 1: points short on that, but not through a key number.
Speaker 1: I do think that if it gets to ten, people
Speaker 1: are going to buy that back. That would be my
Speaker 1: my hunch on that. So I had seven and a
Speaker 1: half and you're saying nine and a half is where
Speaker 1: you're opening. Yes, okay, all right, let's do another here.
Speaker 1: Another good game San Francisco at Wow. Yeah, this was
Speaker 1: the one we were expecting. When we know San Francisco
Speaker 1: had the Baltimore New Orleans Kinniella here in this next
Speaker 1: couple of weeks doesn't work out for San Francisco. Yesterday
Speaker 1: their tenant to New Orleans tenant two with the extra rest,
Speaker 1: having beaten the Falcons on Thursday. Um, Jimmy Garoppolo fifteen
Speaker 1: twenty one yesterday for one sixty five. You know, just
Speaker 1: typical Garoppolo. You don't know what you're getting from one touchdown.
Speaker 1: Note pics sacked twice. Raheem Moster nineteen carries for one
Speaker 1: d forty six yards and a touchdown for the Niners
Speaker 1: in defeat yesterday. And the Saints, uh, they have clinched
Speaker 1: a playoff spot. They've clinched the NFC South already. Now
Speaker 1: they are playing for seating. Drew Brees was eighteen and
Speaker 1: thirty one eighty four on Thursday, but that was the
Speaker 1: Taysom Hill game. He blocked upon, scored rushing touchdown, caught
Speaker 1: a touchdown. Saints did have nine penalties for a hundred
Speaker 1: twenty one yards in that game. Um, I thought about this.
Speaker 1: The only thing that I could think to make this
Speaker 1: with Saints minus three, know what else could it be? Really? Yeah,
Speaker 1: I think it's got to be three, although I think
Speaker 1: some I think kind of a wide variety of numbers. Um,
Speaker 1: you know, I see some like one three and a
Speaker 1: half the juice on the dog. I see some three,
Speaker 1: one three with juice on the favorite. Uh. I see
Speaker 1: three with some juice on the dog. And I see
Speaker 1: two and a half about two and apps are heavily
Speaker 1: juice towards the favorite. But I think you've got to
Speaker 1: open the street. I gotta tell you, kind of like,
Speaker 1: kind of like the Niners in this spot. I thought
Speaker 1: they looked pretty good yesterday, traveling to a very very
Speaker 1: good team. Um, you know, I'm always a little careful though,
Speaker 1: you know, second team in the second game in a row,
Speaker 1: second very tough game in a row on the road,
Speaker 1: you be a little careful. But you know, let's kind
Speaker 1: of you know, like James Selina, see like to read
Speaker 1: the stories coming out of the you know, the locker
Speaker 1: rooms on each team all week. I'd be interested in
Speaker 1: seeing how this plays out. New Orleans, like you said,
Speaker 1: has quints that division they are playing for seeding. Uh.
Speaker 1: San Francisco is really kind of in the dog fight here,
Speaker 1: especially if Seattle wins tonight with their slight favorite to
Speaker 1: do so, I think this game might be a little
Speaker 1: more important to San Francisco, and you know, once they
Speaker 1: hit the field, of course, that doesn't really matter, guys,
Speaker 1: you're competing, but all weeks the preparation, you know that
Speaker 1: that's where it makes a difference. In New Orleans might
Speaker 1: be coasting a little bit, they have a little extra time,
Speaker 1: and San Francisco's, you know, at this point, might might
Speaker 1: be a little more desperate than you think for the
Speaker 1: team that easily could be about I don't know. I mean,
Speaker 1: certainly one of the best teams in the NFL, so
Speaker 1: I would keep my eye on this one. I kind
Speaker 1: of kind of favorite Sanrancisco a little bit. I think
Speaker 1: I have a great chance of going there and win
Speaker 1: this game. But three is definitely what I think the
Speaker 1: line should be, and that's what it is. I'm gonna be.
Speaker 1: What else could it be? Yeah, and I'm with you
Speaker 1: on San Francisco yesterday. I think they looked real, real
Speaker 1: good at defeat. Probably listen, could have maybe even should
Speaker 1: have won that football game yesterday. We'll come back, we'll
Speaker 1: continue some line guessing week four in the National Football League,
Speaker 1: and then uh, it's manny about this whole Utah, Oklahoma scenario.
Speaker 1: Now that we don't have to worry about Alabama. We'll
Speaker 1: talk about that potential scenario coming up on a numbers
Speaker 1: game right here at Visa. It's a numbers game, kil Alexander,
Speaker 1: it is a numbers game has brought to you by
Speaker 1: the bet mg MF Jeff, what is the promo of
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Speaker 1: one more time, Visa in one hundred. I'm gonna say
Speaker 1: that happens. Yeah, to say, are in pretty good shape
Speaker 1: if you have I'm going to say that happens. Chris
Speaker 1: Andrews is here. Let's get some more lines, Chris sie
Speaker 1: what he got next? Uh, we got 're going from
Speaker 1: Cincinnati at Cleveland. Here they come, um Cincinnati off the
Speaker 1: schneide as I said last week. Oh, a two game
Speaker 1: cushion between them and the next worst team. So they
Speaker 1: can actually put Andy Dalton back in here and don't
Speaker 1: have to worry about losing the number one pick. Andy
Speaker 1: Dalton comes in and the Bengals beat Jeff Parl's New
Speaker 1: York Jets two to six. They do, so it's two
Speaker 1: and a half point dollars. What do you have to
Speaker 1: say for yourself, Jeff nothing? Okay, I have nothing to say.
Speaker 1: It's a pretty good notes show, That's all I'll say.
Speaker 1: Pretty good. And one other thing. Andy Dalton much better
Speaker 1: at football than Ryan Finley. Dalton two of thirty seven
Speaker 1: for two forty three, one touchdown. Note picks and sacks
Speaker 1: Again the the overriding theme teams that win football games
Speaker 1: with less than three d yards. There were very little
Speaker 1: in terms of Toto's two hundred and seventy seven total
Speaker 1: yards of offense from the Bengals yesterday. They outgained uh
Speaker 1: the Jets to seventy seven to seventy one. They only
Speaker 1: had forty four yards rushing did the Bengals. And then
Speaker 1: there's Cleveland, who's head coach Freddie Kitchens. What was that
Speaker 1: T shirt he wore? What did it say? Pittsburgh started this?
Speaker 1: Very smart of Kitchens. Oh yeah, oh goodness, Belichick, Gibbs,
Speaker 1: the greats Parcels Walsh. And then there's Kitchens wearing that
Speaker 1: T shirt. Uh, Cleveland loses to Pittsburgh yesterday. We'll get
Speaker 1: to Pittsburgh. Give it up for Mike Tomlin. But Cleveland
Speaker 1: loses twenty to thirteen. In this ballgame. They were they
Speaker 1: were one point favorites in the end consensus in that one.
Speaker 1: Mayfield eighteen thirty nine six, one touchdown, one pick. He
Speaker 1: was sacked five times by a Pittsburgh defense. That is
Speaker 1: no joke. Odell Beckham for those who like to know
Speaker 1: things about Odell every week, three catches, twenty nine yards,
Speaker 1: targeted six times. Do you think he's happy? Last Cleveland
Speaker 1: quarterback to win in Cleveland? Tim Couch two thous is
Speaker 1: in three, excuse me to win in uh? In Pittsburgh,
Speaker 1: Tim Couch in two thousand three. It's the last Brown's
Speaker 1: quarterback to win in Pittsburgh, Cincinnati and Cleveland. So this listen,
Speaker 1: I'm gonna say it's and I'm worried I'm gonna be
Speaker 1: short here, but I'm gonna say Cleveland minus seven and
Speaker 1: a half because they don't deserve to be double digit favorites. Yeah,
Speaker 1: it's a little higher. I see eight and a half. Um,
Speaker 1: you know, I think eight and a half's okay. I
Speaker 1: mean I listened Sincinnatti. It may didn't even play that great.
Speaker 1: Yesterday was really just one of those where the I
Speaker 1: think the Jets lost more than Cincinnati one. Although Cleveland really,
Speaker 1: I mean, this team is just you know, missing, They're
Speaker 1: missing a lot of heart, really a lot of discipline.
Speaker 1: You know, a lot of that stuff just goes to
Speaker 1: the coach and it's just one of those teams. They
Speaker 1: did a lot of things right as far as you know,
Speaker 1: drafting and and uh, you know, signing free agents, all
Speaker 1: that sort of stuff as far as drafting individuals, but
Speaker 1: they didn't put together a good team. And of course
Speaker 1: that again starts with a coach probably a general manager too. Uh,
Speaker 1: and that's just where Cleveland is, you know, I guess
Speaker 1: eight and a halfs okay. I really don't know what
Speaker 1: to think about. This game is a very tough number
Speaker 1: to make for me, you know, I think eight and
Speaker 1: happs all right, that's probably that's where I'm gonna open it.
Speaker 1: But I looked for this game to move. This is
Speaker 1: gonna be one of those movers. I'm not I'm just
Speaker 1: not sure which way it's gonna go, because you know this,
Speaker 1: this and this will be a very volatile game either way.
Speaker 1: And uh, you know, if you're betting our pleaser card,
Speaker 1: the reverse teaser by the way, on a bunch of
Speaker 1: winners yesterday, uh, this might be one you want to
Speaker 1: put on both ways. Yeah, oh yeah, sure, did you
Speaker 1: have you have individuals who won those those policer cards.
Speaker 1: I have the individuals that want a few of those cars.
Speaker 1: But there's you look now, and of course they all
Speaker 1: sound very easily easy, you know. Well, yeah, you take
Speaker 1: Washington of course, of course, and uh you know Miami
Speaker 1: of course are gonna be You didn't know that. Yeah,
Speaker 1: you know a couple of those games like yeah, uh,
Speaker 1: you'd have done pretty good. Unfortunately, not too many you
Speaker 1: have to string them together, right, not too many people did.
Speaker 1: But yeah you could have won some money though on
Speaker 1: that part. But this would be one that you might
Speaker 1: have a good chance of playing this one because this
Speaker 1: game could go either way very very easily. Yeah, sorry,
Speaker 1: Bengals fans, Sorry Brown's fans, We're not gonna linger on
Speaker 1: this game. I just want to say one last thing,
Speaker 1: But how many millions of years in the same situation
Speaker 1: would it take before Bill Belichick wore a T shirt
Speaker 1: that said Pittsburgh started this days before the game never
Speaker 1: would happen? Oh man, all right, let's see how long
Speaker 1: has life been on Earth? Year? Right yet? Okay, this
Speaker 1: one isn't much better. Carolina had ALM well, so much
Speaker 1: better now right after after sting Carolina yesterday already went
Speaker 1: through Kyle Allen stats. He was sacked seven times. McCaffrey,
Speaker 1: you know, a hundred two yards from scrimmage total for him,
Speaker 1: which is just a terrible game for him. In Atlanta
Speaker 1: with the extra rest now, they lost to New Orleans
Speaker 1: Matt Ryan three twelve yards and defeat. He was sacked
Speaker 1: nine times by the Saints in that game, two weeks
Speaker 1: after they had crushed a New Orleans inexplicably. But again,
Speaker 1: you know, they had the advantage in first downs UM
Speaker 1: held New Orleans to two of ten on third downs UM,
Speaker 1: but there were minus three in turnovers and that's all
Speaker 1: it matters. And kup Young Hoku missed a forty two
Speaker 1: yard or he missed a point after, so they've got
Speaker 1: you know, despite the fact that they recovered two on
Speaker 1: side kicks officially and really three, they were kind of
Speaker 1: hosed on a third before that, so they had that
Speaker 1: going for them. But um, look after Carolina yesterday, I'll
Speaker 1: say Atlanta, I won't give him the full field goal,
Speaker 1: but I'll say Atlanta minus two and a half. I guess, yeah,
Speaker 1: it's tenure between one and a half and two and
Speaker 1: a half. Uh you know, I think two's okay to
Speaker 1: start and we'll see what they want to take me
Speaker 1: from there. If I get steamed one way or the other,
Speaker 1: and you know, I could easily go to three, I
Speaker 1: could easily go to one with this game. It's kind
Speaker 1: of a real tough game to figure. I'm just not
Speaker 1: sure what caroline Is mindset is going to be after
Speaker 1: Uh you know, we talked about them earlier. They had
Speaker 1: a fourteen nothing lead against you know, vastly inferior team
Speaker 1: and blew the game and uh, you know, Atlanta, Um,
Speaker 1: you know, I I know they cut it to what
Speaker 1: they was by eight. They kind of to eight, but
Speaker 1: then you know, they didn't look very good. Uh, you know,
Speaker 1: you know New Orleans. I think as we got closer
Speaker 1: to game time, I like New Orleans really all week.
Speaker 1: We want to need in Atlanta pretty good in the game,
Speaker 1: I just couldn't keep them off New Orleans. But you know,
Speaker 1: Atlanta kind of made it close at the end. But
Speaker 1: I think that's a little deceptive. Um, So I think
Speaker 1: two is okay, We'll start there and see what they
Speaker 1: want to go at this game. But I think a
Speaker 1: lot of it has to do with the mindset of
Speaker 1: either both of these teams. They were just kind of
Speaker 1: again James Selina's we mentioned him a couple of times. Uh,
Speaker 1: see what's going on in this game? You might be
Speaker 1: able to find a winner because I think it's uh,
Speaker 1: it's a weird week for both of them. You agree
Speaker 1: with me what I said earlier, Um, we were talking
Speaker 1: about the Redskins earlier. For those who are just tuning
Speaker 1: in now, that that Carolina Redskins outcome was, if not
Speaker 1: the single most among the shortlist of most inexplicable outcomes
Speaker 1: of the entire NFL season. Yeah, I mean, really a
Speaker 1: team that isn't very good. I mean, listen to you,
Speaker 1: like Parcel says you are what your record says you are.
Speaker 1: They dominated both lines of scrimmage, don't strongly, yes, dominate.
Speaker 1: Where did that come from? Gil, I have no idea
Speaker 1: what you know I mean, but they absolutely did. And uh,
Speaker 1: I'm not the kind of guy who looks at film.
Speaker 1: I wanted to really know what I'm looking at anyway,
Speaker 1: But just look at the numbers. I mean, they totally
Speaker 1: dominated that the line of scrimmage. And until we talk
Speaker 1: about quarterbacks an awful lot and let me a little
Speaker 1: bit about running backs and receivers, but football begins at
Speaker 1: the line of scrimmage offensively and defensively. And this team
Speaker 1: got got you know, we're talking about Carolina. They got
Speaker 1: dominated by a clearly inferior team. And you know, where
Speaker 1: do we go with that? I don't know. But Atlanta,
Speaker 1: of course, they gave up board. They I'm gonna act
Speaker 1: that they give us uh nine tack and when they
Speaker 1: sat grieve a couple of weeks before that, like six
Speaker 1: times or something like that. So you know, it's just listen,
Speaker 1: it's a crazy game that you know, that's part of
Speaker 1: what we love about the NFL. What a league. We'll
Speaker 1: come back, We'll get some more lines. Week four teams
Speaker 1: try to extract some value a little off at two
Speaker 1: points here and there, but not through any key numbers
Speaker 1: yet coming back right here on a numbers game in visa.
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Speaker 1: It's on numbers game with your host Gil Alexander wants
Speaker 1: to believe in Adams were guesting lines. That's what we
Speaker 1: do on Monday's Week four teen in the National Football League.
Speaker 1: The quarter pole, as I so accurately described it earlier,
Speaker 1: thanks to uh Chrissy's confirmation on that uh, it's brought
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Speaker 1: Let's bring Chris Andrews back in. Here is the South
Speaker 1: Point Hotel Casino sports book director. He is my mish Chris.
Speaker 1: We got a whole bunch more games to get to here,
Speaker 1: So let us without further ado, let us resume, sir.
Speaker 1: What's next? Next up? We have the Lions at the Viking. Well,
Speaker 1: the Vikings have not played yet. They played the Seahawks tonight.
Speaker 1: By the way, good Monday night game Seahawks. As Jeff
Speaker 1: alluded to in the promo, there Seahawks favorite now by
Speaker 1: two and a half consensus with extra juice two and
Speaker 1: a half extra juice across the board, UH teetering on
Speaker 1: the three UH Seahawks favorite at Seattle tonight. Which Vikings
Speaker 1: team will show up? By the way, Adam feeling now out.
Speaker 1: So for those people whose fantasy teams playoffs or no
Speaker 1: playoffs depended on the presence of Adam feeling, God help you,
Speaker 1: I would fall into that category. By the way, ESPN
Speaker 1: Fantasy does not let you switch in and out on that,
Speaker 1: so great for all of us. Detroit at Minnesota, Sorry
Speaker 1: about that side right there, Detroit on extra rest. They
Speaker 1: lose to the Bears. They snatch defeat from the jaws
Speaker 1: of victory. But David blou performed well twenty two for
Speaker 1: thirty eight to eighty two touchdowns. One pick was sacked twice.
Speaker 1: Golla Day his biggest target there. For touchdown they were
Speaker 1: eight have sixteen on third downs. They did have nine
Speaker 1: penalties for eighty five yards. And then Minnesota's I mentioned
Speaker 1: not having played yet, they played tonight. This to me
Speaker 1: would come down to Stafford versus no Stafford, no real
Speaker 1: distinction between driscoll or blow here chrissie. If it's not Stafford,
Speaker 1: let's just do that. I would say Minnesota would probably
Speaker 1: be borring anything that goes crazy tonight. Probably about a
Speaker 1: thirteen point favorite somewhere in that pocket. Uh it's it's fourteen.
Speaker 1: Uh pretty much everybody that has it up has fourteen.
Speaker 1: I'm gonna put it up just I hate to not
Speaker 1: put up a number like this, so we'll put it
Speaker 1: up that right now. Uh, they're saying Stafford is very questionable.
Speaker 1: I can't you know if I was I mean, if
Speaker 1: I was a doctor, and I'd never signed off on
Speaker 1: this guy playing the rest of the year and all
Speaker 1: with a back injury like that. You know, Um, I
Speaker 1: don't see why you would played David Blow. You know,
Speaker 1: I really didn't know much about him. He played for Perdue.
Speaker 1: I remember seeing his numbers and stuff like that. And uh,
Speaker 1: I finally played really well for you know, an undrafted
Speaker 1: free agent getting his first start on national TV. It
Speaker 1: seemed like a very confident kid too, and uh, you know,
Speaker 1: good for him. I think the four teams a little high.
Speaker 1: So not that I don't like your number better. I
Speaker 1: just don't want to mess around with this number too much.
Speaker 1: With Minnesota playing tonight and you know, I'm assuming Stafford
Speaker 1: isn't play, but I really don't know. So I'm gonna
Speaker 1: open fourteen and they gets okay. By the way, I
Speaker 1: do want to correct one thing you said, Gil. It's
Speaker 1: not to an alf with extra juice on the favorite
Speaker 1: everywhere and a half. It's two and a half minus
Speaker 1: one and the sound point. As we do every week,
Speaker 1: I keep reminding everybody everything is eleven and ten on
Speaker 1: the board here at the South Point on straight bets
Speaker 1: on halves are a little different. But on the games,
Speaker 1: whether it's you know, basketball, football, college pro, whatever, everything's
Speaker 1: eleven and ten. Yes, it's worked out highly in our
Speaker 1: favorite let's say, over the years, and we surely helped
Speaker 1: our handle quite a bit. We should remind people that's
Speaker 1: a that's a Michael gone on down policy. That's just
Speaker 1: a policy, blanket policy here. But yeah, I had a
Speaker 1: new kid came in this last year and he moved.
Speaker 1: We had a game I can't remember us. He moved
Speaker 1: into a dollar fifteen and I come running out of
Speaker 1: what the hell are you doing? They were just steaming
Speaker 1: and we don't do that here. Don't do that here,
Speaker 1: We don't do that here. Stop taking a lot of
Speaker 1: your own hands. Um. But yeah, no, no, no, I
Speaker 1: understand you came from another book. That's what you guys did.
Speaker 1: We don't do that here. Um. I I stand correct,
Speaker 1: and I apologize for that. Of course at the South
Speaker 1: Point that is not the case. By the way, we
Speaker 1: talked about this with the Bills earlier, how they're sort
Speaker 1: of in this strange not strange, but in this in
Speaker 1: this uh sort of sphere where they can really ascend
Speaker 1: to the top of the a f C. They could
Speaker 1: also be out of the playoffs well. Tonight's game between
Speaker 1: the the Seahawks and the Vikings. Seahawks win, they are
Speaker 1: technically in first place in the NFC West and the
Speaker 1: and the Niners would move down to the fifth seed,
Speaker 1: at least temporarily. If the Seahawks win tonight. For the Vikings,
Speaker 1: they're very much in the Bills situation. Uh. If they
Speaker 1: win tonight, they're in a tie with Green Bay atop
Speaker 1: the NFC North. However, by the way, the Bills won
Speaker 1: out in the a f C East, but the similarity
Speaker 1: is if the Vikings lose tonight, they just have a
Speaker 1: one game lead over the Rams for the final wild
Speaker 1: card position, the final playoff position in the National Football Conference.
Speaker 1: So huge implications for both teams to night, particularly the Vikings,
Speaker 1: who could be teetering um as the Bills could be
Speaker 1: next week if they lose on in the playoff picture
Speaker 1: entirely as good as they look in their position right now.
Speaker 1: All right, So Detroit at Minnesota, you are opening at
Speaker 1: what was the final word, I'm gonna open four. I'm
Speaker 1: gonna be very careful with this game too, because I
Speaker 1: don't know a lot of a lot of things could
Speaker 1: happen here, but I'm gonna open four. Dad just want
Speaker 1: to be great with everybody else. What is next? Miami
Speaker 1: at the Jets? All right now? Whenever I do Miami guesses,
Speaker 1: I always get because of that Miami Pittsburgh. We'll call
Speaker 1: it the incident from from six weeks ago. That will
Speaker 1: always be referred to as the incident where I guess
Speaker 1: minus seven and a half of it was minus fourteen
Speaker 1: or minus fourteen a half. I will give. I'll give
Speaker 1: what I think it should be and what I what
Speaker 1: I guess it will be. What I think it should
Speaker 1: be is the Jets minus four. What I guess it
Speaker 1: will be will be higher than that. Because we always
Speaker 1: do this every week with Miami. I bet it will
Speaker 1: be the Jets minus five and a half before you
Speaker 1: give the answer to that. Miami ten and two now
Speaker 1: ten and two in one possession football games since the
Speaker 1: start of last season, they are the anti Chargers. Ten
Speaker 1: and two are the Dolphins in one position game since
Speaker 1: it started last season, they've won three of five since
Speaker 1: starting Owen seven. They beat the Eagles, of course, marying
Speaker 1: the headline. They beat the Eagles yesterday outright by the
Speaker 1: score of let's get the final score on man thirty
Speaker 1: seven to thirty one. They did so as ten or
Speaker 1: ten and a half point dogs. They outscored the Eagles
Speaker 1: twenty three to three after trailing by fourteen in the
Speaker 1: third quarter, another fourteen point deficit. Dolphins and Redskins had
Speaker 1: that in common yesterday. The Dolphins scored on six of
Speaker 1: their seven final drives. Ryan Fitzpatrick thirty nine for three
Speaker 1: sixty five, three touchdowns, one pick. He was sacked three times.
Speaker 1: In Davante Parker seven for one fifty nine and two touchdowns.
Speaker 1: Dolphins were three or three on fourth downs. And we
Speaker 1: talked about the Jets. They just got crushed by the
Speaker 1: Bengals two to six. Donald forty eight for two thirty nine,
Speaker 1: no touchdowns, No Pixy was sacked four times. They had
Speaker 1: ten penalties for one hundred five yards. Um. So again,
Speaker 1: let's review. I think it should be minus four, but
Speaker 1: I guess it'll be minus five and a half in
Speaker 1: favor of the Jets. Here. Yeah, it's actually a lot
Speaker 1: more six than five and a half. There's a couple
Speaker 1: of five and a halfs out there. I'm opening five
Speaker 1: and a half. I'm with you. You know, I'm sure
Speaker 1: I'll bet me up. But you know, I looked back
Speaker 1: with Miami game, and I like, totally I'm smarted myself.
Speaker 1: As I said, uh, the Eagles went from a homegogs
Speaker 1: or road favorite. And as I'm as we got closer
Speaker 1: to games, I'm reading all these guys back for the Eagles.
Speaker 1: You know, Aldar's back, how Sean Jeffreys back. Uh you
Speaker 1: know what, what's the tackle's named Johnson? Is that the kids?
Speaker 1: The tackle? He's back? Uh, finally we're gonna get to
Speaker 1: see the real Eagles. And uh, you know, actually Carson
Speaker 1: Wentz played a pretty good game. But nonetheless I started
Speaker 1: I put the put the Eagles in a bunch of
Speaker 1: my contests, and and uh, you know, there's no doubt
Speaker 1: there were the wrong side. It was unquestioned. It wasn't
Speaker 1: like that Red Skin game where the Redskins looked bad
Speaker 1: and then all of a sudden came along Miami was
Speaker 1: the right side from the big game. Uh, and the Jets,
Speaker 1: you know, the whole world new Cincinnati was gonna win
Speaker 1: that game yesterday. I don't know what it was. I
Speaker 1: guess Dalton coming back and they didn't want to be
Speaker 1: in sixteen. This was their chance to go to win
Speaker 1: the whole world. New Cincinnati was gonna win, and the
Speaker 1: Jets just look prowful. Six is too high. I'm with you, yea,
Speaker 1: you know the six is way too high. I'm gonna
Speaker 1: mark that on my sheet. That's one of the sides
Speaker 1: I like, I'm gonna open five and a half. They'll
Speaker 1: bet me up and God love him, they can have it.
Speaker 1: How many yeah, how many times have we been on
Speaker 1: this show this year? And I was at Miami pick
Speaker 1: that that. That's the first pick of of so many
Speaker 1: of these dancing lines this year. I just think they
Speaker 1: are criminally underrated. And again they've they've won three out
Speaker 1: of the last five. Out right, yes, Jeff, forget forget
Speaker 1: the points. Miami's winning the game. Out right, Gil there
Speaker 1: it is Jets fan Jeff Carls. It's like he's my child.
Speaker 1: It's like he's my child. He's taking my Redskins defeatism.
Speaker 1: And he said he's through osmosis taking it for the Jets.
Speaker 1: So it is minus six. Give me the Dolphins. Give
Speaker 1: me the Dolphins again, Miami ten of two, ten and
Speaker 1: two rather in one possession game since the start of
Speaker 1: last season. They're not a bad They're not a terrible
Speaker 1: Let me rephrase that they are not a terrible football
Speaker 1: team when Ryan Fitzpatrick is playing quarterback. This notion that
Speaker 1: they suck when he's their quarterback is just wrong. They're
Speaker 1: not good, but they're okay. Um, so give me the
Speaker 1: Dolphins there, let's do one more. I'll say what to
Speaker 1: Let's give credit where'd that fours has done a really
Speaker 1: good job as their head coach. He's kept his team
Speaker 1: together when they could have really gone south it looked
Speaker 1: like it was going to It's kept this team together
Speaker 1: pretty good. You know, all right, give him credit to
Speaker 1: It's Fitzpatrick. He is what he is. He's had a
Speaker 1: very interesting career. But you know, he's put up some numbers,
Speaker 1: no doubt he he was the right move for this team.
Speaker 1: About it, No, you make you make a good point
Speaker 1: there before we move on to the next game. You know,
Speaker 1: as much as we talk about the Freddie Kitchens of
Speaker 1: the world and the Jason here, it's and you know,
Speaker 1: the Ron Rivera as he deserves some criticism yesterday and
Speaker 1: all these guys, and believe me, we'll talk about Lombardi tomorrow.
Speaker 1: All these coaches Shermer who might be you know, and
Speaker 1: there's a lot of one and done here. Give Flora's
Speaker 1: credit in Miami, give Callahan credit in Washington. Uh and uh,
Speaker 1: and give Mike Tomlin credit, which will get to momentarily
Speaker 1: with Pittsburgh. Let's do another here. We got the Colts
Speaker 1: at Tampa Bay Colts and Tampa Bay Boy. The Colts
Speaker 1: are six and six again, fourth time in five seasons
Speaker 1: they've been six and six. This time they they kind
Speaker 1: of staggering and are staggering into six and six. Jacobe
Speaker 1: Brissette yesterday in the colts thirty one to seventeen home
Speaker 1: loss to the Titans. Uh. He was forty three nineteen
Speaker 1: one touchdown, two picks, act three times. Zach Pascal was
Speaker 1: his main target seven and one on nine. But Adam Vinitary, Look,
Speaker 1: this is the thing. I get it. Frank Wright has
Speaker 1: been so loyal to Adam Vinitary. But I think Uh.
Speaker 1: Siciliano said this on on Red Zone yesterday Andrew Siciliano,
Speaker 1: and he's right. When you look back at this cold season,
Speaker 1: the headline is Adam Vinitari probably cost him this season.
Speaker 1: He really did. Yesterday two field goals blocked fifty three
Speaker 1: and forty six yards. He missed another one which was
Speaker 1: fifty five. Obviously the one block was returned to the
Speaker 1: house and really sort of I didn't clinch the game,
Speaker 1: but it really sort of put the nail or was
Speaker 1: about to put the nail in the coffin for the
Speaker 1: Colts at that point against the Titans. Yesterday, Tampa Bay
Speaker 1: they yesterday, you know, they win. They beat Jacksonville eleven.
Speaker 1: Tampa Bay has worked themselves to a five and seven record,
Speaker 1: which is, you know, okay, great Jamis Winstom doing Jamis
Speaker 1: Winston things thirty three, two sixty eight, no touchdowns, no picks.
Speaker 1: Yesterday for him, he was sacked four times. Uh. The
Speaker 1: Bucks were seven of seventeen on third down three hundred
Speaker 1: fifteen total yards in victory. But the key stat turnovers.
Speaker 1: They were plus three in turnover is against jackson Millton.
Speaker 1: That's all you need. They win that game. Um listen,
Speaker 1: this wouldn't have been the line even two weeks ago,
Speaker 1: but now, um god, I was debating between Bucks minus
Speaker 1: two and a half or Bucks minus three here, which
Speaker 1: is hard to believe that you would make this line
Speaker 1: at this point. But that's where it is. I'll say
Speaker 1: Bucks by three, so pretty solid three. I do see
Speaker 1: some juice on the favorite and some spots. Um, I
Speaker 1: think the public will be on Tampa Bay in this game,
Speaker 1: just a hunch. I don't know about the wise guys,
Speaker 1: but I have a hunch public will be on Tampa Bay.
Speaker 1: But you know, you know one thing we've we've set
Speaker 1: off and on this show in the NFL, the key
Speaker 1: to winning long term you buy low, you sell high.
Speaker 1: And right now I think this would be a perfect
Speaker 1: example of that game. You're buying low on the Colts
Speaker 1: and uh, selling high on the on Tampa Bay. I
Speaker 1: kind of like the Colts in this spot, you know,
Speaker 1: But I think you're right by vance Erry. I think
Speaker 1: they probably won't make the playoffs. And and you know,
Speaker 1: you hate the pennant on one guy, especially a guy
Speaker 1: what's the guy? What super Bowl ring? Yeah? What a career? Yeah,
Speaker 1: I mean he really is, but you know, I mean
Speaker 1: he'd probably cost him a playoff spot in this in
Speaker 1: this season. Um, you know, not that they're a great team,
Speaker 1: but they have a pretty good lineup. I mean I
Speaker 1: think you know, we can go off under Andrew Luck
Speaker 1: think I think if Andrew Luck was on this team
Speaker 1: and with the right kicker, then they'd be one of
Speaker 1: the top teams in the a f C. Uh. But
Speaker 1: right now, I think I think right now, Indianapolis, I
Speaker 1: think it's a good chance that they that they win
Speaker 1: this game. Out Right, I'm gonna mark myself next to
Speaker 1: the Colts here. I'm gonna open three. I think that's
Speaker 1: a number of you guys kind of got to open
Speaker 1: at this point. But I definitely like the Colts. Wasn't
Speaker 1: the kind blow on them strolling ais on Tampa back
Speaker 1: and and the season? You know, I shouldn't we say
Speaker 1: when he read the PostScript on this season? Listen, they're
Speaker 1: only two out in the a f C South, two
Speaker 1: back behind the Titans, one back behind the two back
Speaker 1: behind the Texans, one behind the Titans, only one game
Speaker 1: out of playoff position. So I'm mean, look, there's still
Speaker 1: time here for the Colts, but they're gonna have to
Speaker 1: do better than they did yesterday. And they they really
Speaker 1: have got to figure out what to do with Adam Vinitari. Um.
Speaker 1: I don't know if there's any move pending, but this
Speaker 1: is really an albatross for them. Uh, let's do one
Speaker 1: more here before the break Chargers at Jacksonville. All right,
Speaker 1: we finally get to talk about the Chargers now, Parlay, Jeff, Jeff,
Speaker 1: Parl's was outraged more than anybody I know yesterday you thought,
Speaker 1: by the way, Chargers again lose to the Broncos and
Speaker 1: the the NFL veteran that is Drew Lock, who has
Speaker 1: one game under his belt. Now they lose by a
Speaker 1: field goal. It's the fourth loss this season for the
Speaker 1: Chargers by three points or fewer, the fourth loss by
Speaker 1: three points or fewer. That's the most in the NFL.
Speaker 1: All of their eight losses, their four and eight are
Speaker 1: by seven points or fewer. It's the same movie every
Speaker 1: damn week. Philip Rivers nine for two seventy two touchdowns,
Speaker 1: a pick, he was sacked three times, Mike Williams five
Speaker 1: for one seventeen. But you know what's the only long
Speaker 1: the only downfield pass that Philip Rivers ever completes now
Speaker 1: is a heave and a prayer that Mike Williams somehow
Speaker 1: comes down with. There is nothing structured downfield. But you, you, Jeff,
Speaker 1: you were like Fangio and Lynn both played this wrong
Speaker 1: down the two of them. Well, let's put it this way,
Speaker 1: not a mensa meeting. When these two teams meet, the
Speaker 1: two of them now do not break out. But but
Speaker 1: Anthony Lynn did everything wrong on the Chargers last drive.
Speaker 1: We did one thing right at least well, he mills
Speaker 1: the clock. He decided to kick the field goal in correctly.
Speaker 1: He milked the clock correctly, that is correct. But the
Speaker 1: whole sequence fourth and one way deep? All right? Do
Speaker 1: you absolutely have to go for it? That's correct? False start? Um? Then?
Speaker 1: Or was that the delay a game on fourth? Oh? No,
Speaker 1: the delay a game was it became fourth and left,
Speaker 1: then the fourth and X. All right, yet all three
Speaker 1: time outs. I thought, maybe our idea punt. Then fourth
Speaker 1: and eleven. There's no way you can possibly go forward.
Speaker 1: You're handing Denver three points. Denver is gonna run the
Speaker 1: ball into the offensive lineman's behind three straight times. You're
Speaker 1: gonna get it back with two minutes down three You
Speaker 1: know what, I didn't have a problem. Oh it was
Speaker 1: completely wrong. It would work. And then one at the
Speaker 1: end it was fourth and a foot. And this comes
Speaker 1: back to what we've talked about plenty on the show.
Speaker 1: Philip Rivers doesn't sneak. He doesn't If you if you
Speaker 1: if you had a quarterback that sneaks, you sneak, you
Speaker 1: get the first down, and you go for the touchdown
Speaker 1: and try to win the game. It's funny. More than anything,
Speaker 1: this show in recent times has been known more for
Speaker 1: the Philip Rivers thing than anything. Every time it happens,
Speaker 1: I get a flood of tweets and people, look, you're right,
Speaker 1: he doesn't steak. Sneak. It's a competitive disadvantage. The reason
Speaker 1: that the Chargers shouldn't have gone for it on fourth
Speaker 1: and one is unlike the decision making for any other
Speaker 1: team because they don't have the sneak option. It's like
Speaker 1: it's in his contract. It's amazing. And also also I
Speaker 1: know it ended up working in the end for Denver,
Speaker 1: but throwing ball in that spot was completely and utterly
Speaker 1: reckless with a rookie quarterback. Well, okay, but no, let's
Speaker 1: see all counter it was. But it was it reckless?
Speaker 1: Or is it the exact right thing in this modern
Speaker 1: day of the NFL where refs will throw a flag
Speaker 1: for seemingly anything. What, let's just just walk this through.
Speaker 1: Maybe Vic Fangio is smarter than you think. Maybe that
Speaker 1: coaching staff got together and said, look, there's nineteen seconds
Speaker 1: left or however many there was. Nobody got to telling
Speaker 1: just heave it, just heave it. And I can't remember
Speaker 1: who the receiver was. Um, was it Setting? Also Setting?
Speaker 1: He had a great game to touchdown already Sutton find
Speaker 1: the d back and just run into him. Now in
Speaker 1: this case, he didn't have to change direction. He just
Speaker 1: made a B line towards the ball, and um, you know,
Speaker 1: Casey Hayward just absolutely lost the ball and crashed right
Speaker 1: into him. And you don't live. When we were watching
Speaker 1: it live, I was like, oh, you can't throw the flag.
Speaker 1: And then when they showed the replay from the back
Speaker 1: judges viewpoint, you had to float throw that flag. You
Speaker 1: had do so I don't know. Maybe maybe Vick fan
Speaker 1: jo on that Bronco staff deserves a lot of credit
Speaker 1: if they do. Anthony lynnon that staff should be equally
Speaker 1: admonished for not saying to their backs, whatever you do,
Speaker 1: make sure you're looking back at that ball at all
Speaker 1: times so they don't throw the flag. Um. Anyway, who
Speaker 1: are they playing Jacksonville? I forgot about Jacksonville. Uh, charges
Speaker 1: are playing Jacksonville? Jacksonville? What did they do? Oh? Yeah,
Speaker 1: they lost the Tampa Bay We just talked about eleven.
Speaker 1: Nick Foles was seven or fourteen for nine three. But
Speaker 1: then Gardner Minshew came back, and I've gotta tell you
Speaker 1: it's a different football team. He was sixteen of twenty
Speaker 1: seven seven, one touchdown, one pick, sack two times the Jaguars.
Speaker 1: You wonder why I mentioned penalties. The Jaguars yesterday had
Speaker 1: sixteen penalties for one twenty five yards. That good. Uh, listen,
Speaker 1: I don't know what to make this line. I had
Speaker 1: the more more trouble with this line than I think
Speaker 1: any of them because it's the Charges of Jacksonville. I
Speaker 1: wouldn't Let's put it this way. Let's put two and
Speaker 1: a half on each side. If there's any number in
Speaker 1: between the two and a half, so I will not
Speaker 1: be surprised by any of it. I just said pick
Speaker 1: them because the Chargers don't deserve to be a favorite
Speaker 1: on the road against anybody. They will find a way
Speaker 1: to lose. But I wouldn't be surprised if they're a
Speaker 1: tick of a favorite here. But I'll say pick them. Yeah,
Speaker 1: you go as high as three? Whoa three? Yeah, as
Speaker 1: high as that. With juice on the dog I'm gonna
Speaker 1: open to and half. I mean, anybody wants to go
Speaker 1: to this charge of thing. But I gotta tell you,
Speaker 1: Gardner Minshew wasn't any good either yesterday, this New Orleans
Speaker 1: or this Jacksonville team. Remember on how many years we've
Speaker 1: done this show. Gil said, if you didn't like Jack's
Speaker 1: olle every week they took away your exactly how nobody
Speaker 1: like Jacksonville Yesterday? I gotta tell you that was a
Speaker 1: bad game for us UMN. Tampa Bay just got steam.
Speaker 1: We went from we opened Acting to the one and half,
Speaker 1: but we closed Campa Bay three and there was just
Speaker 1: no takers. Suge Acting go on this game and I
Speaker 1: then just a bad, bad football team. But here we
Speaker 1: go on the Chargers road favorites again. Come on, man,
Speaker 1: I And I was I did. I did a podcast
Speaker 1: or radio spot with Aaron Ooster who's with the NBC
Speaker 1: UH Sports Radio, the Daily Line and this show, and
Speaker 1: he tweeted me back yesterday because I was on the show,
Speaker 1: and I forget what we was. We were talking about
Speaker 1: an upcoming Charger game. I well, you know it's the Chargers,
Speaker 1: but they tend to do Chargery things, you know, good
Speaker 1: and bad and yesterday he tweeted the regulations. There they
Speaker 1: go doing chargery things again and they blew the game.
Speaker 1: And yeah, I'm with Jeff as far as Yeah, definitely
Speaker 1: not a mensa meeting between these two coaches. But I
Speaker 1: think Fan Joe did the right thing. You know, I
Speaker 1: gotta agree with you there, and that was you know,
Speaker 1: what was what was the downside? I mean, I guess
Speaker 1: they could intercept the ball and run it all the
Speaker 1: way back, but I mean, the kid has a strong
Speaker 1: army threw it, you know what, fifty yards down the field,
Speaker 1: you know, I mean, be a hell of return that
Speaker 1: he We're going to get it back in position the score,
Speaker 1: you know. So, yeah, I thought it was a pretty
Speaker 1: good move on their part. I was surprised they did it,
Speaker 1: to be honest with you, but they wounded up. Okay,
Speaker 1: but charges I'm gonna open to and half. I guess
Speaker 1: they'll probably land to me. But you know, I don't know,
Speaker 1: can I You know, we always talked about the game.
Speaker 1: There are a couple of games I wouldn't want to
Speaker 1: have any part of it. This wouldn't certainly be there's
Speaker 1: a few and one o'clock window, by the way, afternoon okay,
Speaker 1: first afternoon, that afternoon games. Okay, boy for for for
Speaker 1: more of the country to watch. Uh, let me just
Speaker 1: repeat that Chargers fourth loss this season by three points
Speaker 1: are fewer than most in the NFL, all eight losses
Speaker 1: this season by seven points or fewer. I'm sure Anthony
Speaker 1: Lynn is a nice guy, but at some point you
Speaker 1: have got a point to coaching. For all of that,
Speaker 1: you can't figure out your way to win any of
Speaker 1: these football games. Goes round, blame goes around. Philip rivers
Speaker 1: on the downside, to say the least, coming back, We'll
Speaker 1: guess some more. We'll do the rest of the afternoon games,
Speaker 1: in the primetime games, guessing lines on a numbers game
Speaker 1: right here at Visa Welcome back to a numbers game
Speaker 1: with Jill Alexander. Don't forget to take advantage of Visan's
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Speaker 1: slash subscribe. That's Visa dot com slash subscribe, we get texts,
Speaker 1: or at least I do here. Chris Felak, of the
Speaker 1: Bear from ESPN's College Game Day, Who Like You Jeff,
Speaker 1: is a noted New York Jets fan. He said, Jets
Speaker 1: minus six, Dolphins money line police. I think we're all
Speaker 1: on the same page there. Uh. He also said, does
Speaker 1: that not some up Anthony Lynn? Perfectly? Once he incorrectly
Speaker 1: decided to do something, he then correctly did something After that.
Speaker 1: That's pretty much it. One thing good, one thing bad. Uh.
Speaker 1: It'll be curious to see if the ending of that
Speaker 1: Chargers Broncos game will now rekindle the age old NFL
Speaker 1: versus college debate on pass interference spot of foul in
Speaker 1: the National Football League fifteen yards in college and for
Speaker 1: everyone who immediately knee jerks to yes, it should always
Speaker 1: be fifteen yards because of stuff like that. You know,
Speaker 1: I'll give you the Brent Musburger counter argument. Brent is
Speaker 1: famous for saying this, if you if you make it
Speaker 1: fifteen yards, you're going to have an NFL that is
Speaker 1: riddled with people just yanking on every play that they're
Speaker 1: beating on. And so you're gonna have this just epidemic
Speaker 1: of fifteen yard pass interference penalties, like it will just
Speaker 1: exponentially increase. That was his take on the argument. Hope,
Speaker 1: I'm not quoting him, but I'm paraphrasing what he had
Speaker 1: to say. So there's two sides of that argument. Um.
Speaker 1: But yeah, I mean that's one of those where you're like, god,
Speaker 1: thirty seven yards on that mistake and it is a
Speaker 1: game decider. Um, let us continue with some game. Actually
Speaker 1: before we do, do you have that David Perdama tweet yet,
Speaker 1: Jeff Um? If not, I can read what David perdam
Speaker 1: had to say here because David Perdham, who works for
Speaker 1: ESPN shalk and who we love here at the network,
Speaker 1: friend of the show, friendom Network, David Bate and Burdham.
Speaker 1: In September, at DraftKings twenty four of thirty two teams
Speaker 1: had attracted more bets to win the Super Bowl than
Speaker 1: the Ravens. In September and DraftKings twenty four, thirty two
Speaker 1: teams had attracted more bets to win the Super Bowl
Speaker 1: than the Ravens, including the Miami Dolphins, New York Jets,
Speaker 1: and New York Giants. Well, some regional bias with the
Speaker 1: Ladder two. But there's the Dolphins in there as well,
Speaker 1: proving once again with when it comes to the NFL,
Speaker 1: no one knows a damn thing. Interesting stuff. By the way,
Speaker 1: that's just one little highlight from an article that Purdham
Speaker 1: has out at ESPN dot com and ESPN chock um.
Speaker 1: Check that out because he's got a lot more details,
Speaker 1: including the fact that he was mentioning that. Um the Ravens.
Speaker 1: Let's see they were in September. Well, first of all,
Speaker 1: they kicked off the season. There's a forty five to
Speaker 1: one Super Bowl long shot, and they were forty to
Speaker 1: one in early October after losing to the Chiefs in
Speaker 1: the Browns before this tear forty to one in early
Speaker 1: October on the Ravens. Pretty interesting. Read that article there,
Speaker 1: David paying perd David Perdham there at ESPN Chalk. You
Speaker 1: follow him on Twitter at David Perdham p U R
Speaker 1: d U M. Let's guess some more lines, chrissie, what
Speaker 1: is next in the afternoon for Week fourteen? Before we
Speaker 1: go on, I wanted to make two quick comments. First
Speaker 1: of all, the Chargers game yesterday, that was our biggest
Speaker 1: game of the day. We opened the Chargers one and
Speaker 1: a half. We closed three and a half. And if
Speaker 1: we lose that game, that there goes our whole day.
Speaker 1: We had a really good day. We'd have lost it
Speaker 1: all pretty much on that one game. That's how big
Speaker 1: that was. And I saw a couple other guys said
Speaker 1: the same thing. Uh, and then onto David Purdham. You know,
Speaker 1: I saw a couple of guys kind of Pernam made
Speaker 1: some quotes yesterday and some guys said, well, bookmakers only
Speaker 1: tell you what they want to tell you, you know
Speaker 1: they Well, I mean that's everybody only tells you what
Speaker 1: they want to tell you on any walk of life,
Speaker 1: whether the politician or a bookmaker or you know, uh,
Speaker 1: you know, a movie star or whatever. But I can
Speaker 1: tell you this, David Purdham, of everybody I know in
Speaker 1: this business, we all pretty much trust David person to
Speaker 1: tell the truth. Well, you know, you know so, I
Speaker 1: mean I like Purdham a lot personally, and I find
Speaker 1: them to be a very honorable guy. Anyway, Chris, you
Speaker 1: you mean people? Are you suggesting that people don't tell
Speaker 1: other people everything about their lives that you're suggesting? Yeah,
Speaker 1: And when I supposed to tell David you know how
Speaker 1: I lost my virginity or something. Okay, anyway, uh, next,
Speaker 1: we had some lousy games. There's some really good ones too.
Speaker 1: There's a really good one Kansas City at New England
Speaker 1: eight and for Kansas City after crushing the Raiders yesterday,
Speaker 1: Derek Carr now to intend games that start below fifty
Speaker 1: degrease Marynande Kansas City eight and four. Now as they
Speaker 1: beat the Raiders by the final score of um, what
Speaker 1: was it forty nine? Yeah, forty two nine in a
Speaker 1: game where that blocked blocked extra point was a black
Speaker 1: extra point black field goal returned for two pushes the
Speaker 1: total over is that correct? Depending on when you got it,
Speaker 1: depending on where you got it to That is tough
Speaker 1: to lose on that first consecutive wins for the Chiefs
Speaker 1: in September. How about that first back to back wins
Speaker 1: for the Chiefs in September, Andy Reid, Now, for those
Speaker 1: who are wondering, after a regular season, by eighteen and
Speaker 1: three straight up mahomes fifteen seventy one touchdown note picks
Speaker 1: sacked once there were seven eleven on third downs were
Speaker 1: the Chiefs in the theme of the day. They won
Speaker 1: the football game by thirty one points, gaining a grand
Speaker 1: total of two fifty nine yards of offense plus three
Speaker 1: in turnovers versus Oakland and included a pick six. The
Speaker 1: Chiefs had z euro accepted penalties. So again in the
Speaker 1: year of the penalty, some teams don't get penalized. Chiefs
Speaker 1: zero accepted penalties yesterday. We haven't said that, I think
Speaker 1: all year for any team. Then there's the Patriots who
Speaker 1: lose yesterday. Again we talked about this earlier to the
Speaker 1: Texans and the final score twenty two. It wasn't nearly
Speaker 1: that close, and yet the Patriots had a shot in
Speaker 1: an onside kick late to perhaps have the ball to
Speaker 1: win the game. But Brady in the end, I go
Speaker 1: through these stats, I'm not even gonna bother because they
Speaker 1: don't mean anything. They're all done in garbage time. But
Speaker 1: Brady did still post a passerrating below a hundred for
Speaker 1: the seventh consecutive game. Seven times in a row, Tom
Speaker 1: Brady has had a passerrating that scored at a one
Speaker 1: fifty eight point three of less than one hundred. It's
Speaker 1: the first time that he's done seven straight games like
Speaker 1: that in his entire career. Forty two year old Tom Brady, who,
Speaker 1: let's face it, I'm gonna be kind and say I
Speaker 1: don't think he's well. Let let me let me pose
Speaker 1: it to you guys. Is it that he's no longer elite?
Speaker 1: Is it the fact that he had no receivers to
Speaker 1: go to? Is the fact that his offensive line is
Speaker 1: banged up? And really his only weapons are white Needelman?
Speaker 1: Where it's all of those things, isn't it? That's what
Speaker 1: I would think, all the above? Yeah, but there's part
Speaker 1: of this to all those yeah, oh yes, to all
Speaker 1: of us Dorset, Lacosse, Myers and s New those are
Speaker 1: your white outs besides Edelman, And remember Antonio Brown in
Speaker 1: and out, Josh Gordon in and out, to various Thomas
Speaker 1: in and out. And of course the retirement of Gronk
Speaker 1: was everything Patriots by three, like the Saints and the
Speaker 1: and the Niners. I didn't know what else to make it. Yeah,
Speaker 1: I mean this is this is the three and uh
Speaker 1: I see three though, but with juice on the dog
Speaker 1: and I think the public is gonna bet the Chiefs
Speaker 1: here and again, you know we talked about buying low
Speaker 1: selling high. If you play New England here, you're buying
Speaker 1: low and I like New England this game. Um, you know,
Speaker 1: I think the number has to be three. But it's
Speaker 1: not the Homes versus Brady, it's the Chiefs versus the Patriots.
Speaker 1: And say what you will, I mean, I think all
Speaker 1: those things you mentioned are true. He does not have
Speaker 1: many weapons. Um, I can't remember the Dante SCARNECKI had
Speaker 1: the offensive line coach that he retired this year regardless
Speaker 1: is he's still there. But they have a lot of
Speaker 1: offensive line problems. And that's always been one of the
Speaker 1: strengths of this team because they've shuttled in different running
Speaker 1: backs that have done well. Um, you know, we're not
Speaker 1: seeing that so much this year out of New England. Uh.
Speaker 1: You know, they've done a great job with Brady making
Speaker 1: the receivers into you know, stars or at least you know,
Speaker 1: you know, extremely competent players. Again, we're not seeing that
Speaker 1: this year. But this team tends to get better as
Speaker 1: the year goes on. And uh, you know, I know
Speaker 1: we can quote a lot of garbage times stats out
Speaker 1: of New England yesterday, but they still have a chance
Speaker 1: to win that game as badly as they were outplayed.
Speaker 1: You know that on side kick, if that guy tipped
Speaker 1: us for himself. He could have gone all the way
Speaker 1: there and the seconds of the game, and I mean
Speaker 1: that very easily could have happened. Um. I just think
Speaker 1: right now, like I said, I think you're buying very
Speaker 1: low on New England, and I liked them in this spot.
Speaker 1: I think they beat Kansas City here, I really do it.
Speaker 1: I'm I'm putting a slash next to this game. I
Speaker 1: definitely like this side, and that win for the Chiefs
Speaker 1: yesterday puts them too clear now of the racers in
Speaker 1: the a f C West. What is next, sir, well,
Speaker 1: I'm interested in this game, Pittsburgh at Arizona. I bet
Speaker 1: you are Pittsburgh seven and five after their win against
Speaker 1: the Browns yesterday against Arizona, who laid an egg for
Speaker 1: the first time. We had love to say betting against
Speaker 1: Kyler Murray is always scary. It wasn't yesterday as Arizona
Speaker 1: gets crushed by the Rams thirty four to seven, and
Speaker 1: that was a cosmetics seven late for the Cardinals. Uh.
Speaker 1: Pittsburgh has won six of seven now under Mike Tomlin
Speaker 1: after a one in four start, and they're doing it
Speaker 1: without Big Ben, without Juju. James Conner has been banged
Speaker 1: up uh duck Hodges yesterday fourteen of twenty one for
Speaker 1: two twelve, one touchdown, one pick sacked. Once again, one
Speaker 1: big pass to James Washington. That's been the stable for
Speaker 1: the Steelers here last couple of games, four for one,
Speaker 1: eleven for Washington touchdowns. Have no idea how he came
Speaker 1: down with that ball. And again the theme of the day.
Speaker 1: Winning teams Pittsburgh three twenty three total yards of all
Speaker 1: offense in victory, ten penalty sixty five yards in Arizona.
Speaker 1: There o n six versus teams that are above five
Speaker 1: hundred first nine drives yesterday is all you need to
Speaker 1: know against the Rams, seven punts, one pick, one turnover,
Speaker 1: uh thirteen. They were out first downed by the Rams.
Speaker 1: They were out gained five forty nine to one. Oh
Speaker 1: Man in the first half it was three nine to
Speaker 1: sixty seven and they were two of thirteen on third downs.
Speaker 1: Pittsburgh not not by a field goal on the road.
Speaker 1: I'll split the difference. I'll say Pittsburgh minus one and
Speaker 1: a half at Arizona. Yeah, I see one and a
Speaker 1: half to I even see a two and a half.
Speaker 1: You know, I'd like your number. I like the one
Speaker 1: and a half. I think they certainly deserved to be
Speaker 1: the favorite here. Once again, be careful, uh team went
Speaker 1: from home dog to a road favorite. They wind up
Speaker 1: you know, the wise guys were on Pittsburgh late yesterday,
Speaker 1: so we closed this game Cleveland one, so they weren't
Speaker 1: much of a home dog and not not gonna be
Speaker 1: much of a home favorite or a road favorite here.
Speaker 1: So you know the part of that series, you know,
Speaker 1: the pricing of the game. And I think this, this,
Speaker 1: this makes sense regardless of yesterday's outcomes. So I do
Speaker 1: I think Pittsburgh's a decent one and half point favorite.
Speaker 1: I think that's the right number. I have no real
Speaker 1: opinion here, but you know, Pittsburgh day, they've been winning
Speaker 1: a lot of close games this year. They're they're kind
Speaker 1: of the anti Chargers, I guess in a lot of
Speaker 1: way because, uh, you know, they they did not have
Speaker 1: their full uh consort of players, certainly Estuary, and still
Speaker 1: you know, won that game, look pretty good in doing it.
Speaker 1: And I think Palms is gonna be back this week,
Speaker 1: and we'll see about ju Ju and Corner, and if
Speaker 1: those guys are back at Pittsburgh, he arguably could be
Speaker 1: the right side. I careful here for sure. Pittsburgh right
Speaker 1: now in the number six position in the a f
Speaker 1: C wild card picture if the playoffs were to begin today,
Speaker 1: which spoiler alert they don't, but they'd have a winning
Speaker 1: percentage in conference games, tie break over Tennessee, but obviously
Speaker 1: a fluid situation for all teams involved. One more afternoon game,
Speaker 1: Chris yep Tennessee and openly speaking of Tennessee, Tennessee Yesterday,
Speaker 1: Ryan Tannehill seventeen of twenty two for one eight two,
Speaker 1: two touchdowns, no picks. He was sacked six times. Ryan
Speaker 1: Tannehill now in the Titans three game winning streak, eight touchdowns,
Speaker 1: six through the air, two on his feet, no picks.
Speaker 1: He's five and one this season, tanne Ill. When the
Speaker 1: when he starts, the Titans are five and one. You
Speaker 1: remember that guy, Marcus Marianna. Every week I'm gonna say that,
Speaker 1: did you remember, like Marcus Marianne. Derrick Henry twenty six
Speaker 1: one nine for a touchdown Titans in victory yesterday, two
Speaker 1: hundred ninety two total yards of offense. There's so many
Speaker 1: games like that yesterday. You don't often see that. Tennessee
Speaker 1: beating Indianapolis, of course by two touchdowns thirty one is
Speaker 1: seventeen and then Oakland and defeat Oakland who were six
Speaker 1: and four. They fall the six and six. Derek Carry
Speaker 1: two twenty two, one touchdown, two picks. He was sacked twice.
Speaker 1: UH Josh Jacob seventeen for one oh four and Waller
Speaker 1: his tight end seven for one hundred. But they were
Speaker 1: minus three in turnovers against Kansas City, and they had,
Speaker 1: as the Raiders tend to do historically, twelve penalties for
Speaker 1: ninety nine yards. They get housed by the Chiefs forty
Speaker 1: to nine. Huge implications for both teams. UH Tennessee on
Speaker 1: the road. I'll do the same thing I did in
Speaker 1: the last game. Split the difference Tennessee minus one and
Speaker 1: a half. That's mostly three almost, it's all three what
Speaker 1: I'm looking at, Yeah, Tennessey three, some juice on the dog.
Speaker 1: But of course we're gonna open three. You know. I
Speaker 1: kind of like what you're saying, No, Gil, You know, again,
Speaker 1: we've hit on this team a couple of times, buying low,
Speaker 1: selling high. You're buying very low on opening. I mean,
Speaker 1: they looked absolutely horrible yesterday. Tennessee one, very convincingly, but
Speaker 1: were they that great or did they just have a
Speaker 1: few things go their way? So I think you know
Speaker 1: you're buying high you play Tennessee here. I kind of
Speaker 1: like Oakland in this spot. You know, they've taken the
Speaker 1: full three. I think there's some value there. I'm not
Speaker 1: gonna I'm not gonna mark that down just yet. I
Speaker 1: want to look a little more closely into this game.
Speaker 1: One of the things I would say, and somebody has
Speaker 1: on Twitter this morning, somebody mentioned it. I see their point.
Speaker 1: They said, Pokland collectively, is it hitting the rookie wall
Speaker 1: like too many young players And all of a sudden, yeah,
Speaker 1: here they are late in the season. Uh you know,
Speaker 1: they they had a nice little run where they looked
Speaker 1: like they were right back in the playoff hunt, which
Speaker 1: they were, and all of a sudden, they haven't played
Speaker 1: well the last couple of weeks. I mean, because they
Speaker 1: looked like a kind of a beaten team the last
Speaker 1: two weeks. And y F I have Derek Carr had
Speaker 1: a couple of games where he played extremely well, but
Speaker 1: he certainly didn't play well yesterday. But it wasn't an
Speaker 1: all car really was. You know, the whole team did
Speaker 1: not play well. Did they hit that rookie wall I
Speaker 1: think that's a very good point that I want to
Speaker 1: look into a little bit more closely before I would say,
Speaker 1: but three is the number. I think it's a little
Speaker 1: too high. Uh, but that is what I'm going to
Speaker 1: open and right now, gun to my head, I would
Speaker 1: play old Tennessee. Um, they've got Houston two more times
Speaker 1: week fifteen, in Week seventeen, they're one back in the
Speaker 1: South and of course the same record as Pittsburgh right
Speaker 1: now for the number six position in the a f
Speaker 1: C Playoffs. Coming back prime time and recap on a
Speaker 1: numbers game, guessing lines right here at Visa Well back
Speaker 1: to kill Alexander. It is kill Alexander. Jeff Parls is here,
Speaker 1: so is Christie Andrews. Chris. We've had a good run
Speaker 1: of primetime games. What is Sunday Night, Seattle at the Rain,
Speaker 1: Seattle at the Ram, Seattle favored by two and a
Speaker 1: half tonight against the Vikings. As we mentioned the Rams
Speaker 1: easy win over the Cardinals yesterday. Thirty four is seven.
Speaker 1: Jared Goff thirty two, forty three for four, twenty four
Speaker 1: two touchdowns, no picks, in a sack. In the first
Speaker 1: half alone, he was twenty four of thirty one for
Speaker 1: three twenty three and a touchdown. Girly nineteen ninety five
Speaker 1: touchdown on the ground, and Robert Woods thirteen catches for
Speaker 1: one seventy two yards. Who didn't play him in Fantasy
Speaker 1: Jeff this guy? Um, you know what I think this
Speaker 1: is gonna come down to. Honestly, I don't usually do this,
Speaker 1: but I think tonight's outcome really affects that line. I
Speaker 1: think if Seattle looks bad tonight, this is probably a
Speaker 1: coin flip. If Seattle looks really good, I could see
Speaker 1: Seattle being as big as a I don't know, two
Speaker 1: and a half only favorite on the road here. Well,
Speaker 1: right now it's two and a half. I ain't two
Speaker 1: and a half with some juice on the favorite in
Speaker 1: a couple of spots. Um, I thought this game should
Speaker 1: be closer to pick on that. I'll open it two
Speaker 1: and a Yeah, I'll open it two and a half
Speaker 1: just because, like I said, I see two and apple
Speaker 1: juice on the stament. So if I open lower than that,
Speaker 1: I know they'll bet me they'll probably be playing two
Speaker 1: and a half. But that's what I'm going to open it,
Speaker 1: and uh, you know, we'll see I think tonight's game
Speaker 1: is very interesting, and this should be a really good
Speaker 1: game tonight, and I think it will be a great
Speaker 1: game next Sunday. I do. I think the Rams I'd
Speaker 1: rediscovered Girlly for one, and golf all of a sudden,
Speaker 1: it's playing like the golf that played last year. So
Speaker 1: we'll see what happens. Yeah, Neutral outcome tonight. I'm I'm
Speaker 1: closer to pick him on it, all right, and then
Speaker 1: Monday night to Monday night. You look great in the preseason,
Speaker 1: I guess Giants at Philadelphia. Oh jeez, well, there goes
Speaker 1: in the primetime streak. Giants are two and ten, Eagles
Speaker 1: of five and seven. Uh. The Giants have eight losses
Speaker 1: in a row. That's eight in a row. Daniel Jones
Speaker 1: sixteen turnovers in that span. Um but um. He's the
Speaker 1: fourth quarterback also in the Super Bowl era, with a
Speaker 1: touchdown pass and each of his first ten starts, So
Speaker 1: that's something. Here's the thing with Shermer though. Patrimmer uh
Speaker 1: ten plus losses in each of his first two seasons
Speaker 1: through twenty eight games. Now he's seven and twenty one.
Speaker 1: Keep in mind Ben McAdoo was fired after twenty eight games.
Speaker 1: He was thirteen and fifteen, and he had a playoff
Speaker 1: appearance Shermer seven and twenty one. By the way, the
Speaker 1: Giants officially eliminated from playoff contention with their loss to
Speaker 1: the Packers yesterday thirty one to thirteen. Eagles. As we mentioned,
Speaker 1: they go into Miami, they lose to the Dolphins. Um
Speaker 1: They allowed two hundred sixty four total yards and twenty
Speaker 1: three points in the second half alone, and allowed thirty
Speaker 1: seven plus points for the third time this season. I'll
Speaker 1: say Eagles by a touchdown, Eagles by seven, you're a
Speaker 1: little low. It's eight and a half, and I'd like
Speaker 1: the high number better here. I don't want to I
Speaker 1: don't want to say I like the Eagles, but you know,
Speaker 1: I mean, it's one of those how many times are
Speaker 1: gonna let them break my heart? I don't know, but
Speaker 1: I let them break my heart. Yes, I really like
Speaker 1: them going into the game. They were absolutely the wrong
Speaker 1: side from start consenters, but they got a bunch of
Speaker 1: guys back, and I just think the Giants are just
Speaker 1: terrible and they're eliminated from the playoffs. Where is there
Speaker 1: incentive here? Well, I guess playing on TV, I guess,
Speaker 1: you know, should I mean, plus do your job. How's
Speaker 1: that for an incentif? Uh? But I kind of like
Speaker 1: the Eagles here, you know, you know, I don't know.
Speaker 1: I mean, like I said, I'm not gonna put my
Speaker 1: mark next to them as one of the games I like,
Speaker 1: but I do favor them certainly at this point. Okay,
Speaker 1: we'll come back, we'll recap it, we'll tell you what
Speaker 1: we like the best of first look at week four
Speaker 1: teen lines right here on the Numbers game at Visa.
Speaker 1: Welcome back to a Numbers game with Jill alex Under.
Speaker 1: All right, let's go around the horn here. Here's what
Speaker 1: I like. Miama for sure getting six at the Jets.
Speaker 1: I like Dallas Thursday night giving three. I think at Chicago,
Speaker 1: even though I knew that'd be the line. I think
Speaker 1: I like them to bounce back San Francisco getting three
Speaker 1: at New Orleans, Tennessee giving one and a half at Oakland,
Speaker 1: and maybe Baltimore depending at at five. I kind of
Speaker 1: like Baltimore. Those are my five, Jeff, Miami, forget the points,
Speaker 1: just take them to win the game. The Jets are done,
Speaker 1: the offensive line imploded again. I'll tell you this, girl,
Speaker 1: I kind of like Pittsburgh lay in the one and
Speaker 1: a half on the road. I think that's a that's
Speaker 1: a good spot for the defense. I know Arizona just
Speaker 1: got embarrassed, but I think that the Steelers win that
Speaker 1: game and then the last one. I know it's a
Speaker 1: ton of points and I'll wait and see if it
Speaker 1: comes down. How about green Bay Lane? Like once it
Speaker 1: gets back to thirteen and a half, I think the
Speaker 1: Packers the Redskins fun is gonna end. There are three out, Jeffrey,
Speaker 1: it's all over from Washington. Yet again, there's three out,
Speaker 1: baby Darius. Guys feel the power. Chris, what do you like? Uh?
Speaker 1: You know, I kind of like the Niners. I like Miami.
Speaker 1: Uh we all do there. I like the Colts plus
Speaker 1: the three, and I like the Patriots minus the three.
Speaker 1: By low Cell High. That's the theme of the day, sir,
Speaker 1: Indie and Marland qualifying for sure on both of those. Uh, Chris,
Speaker 1: thank you as always. How are you feeling? You're feeling okay?
Speaker 1: These days? Feel great? Yeah, it feels great. My doctor
Speaker 1: gets mad at me because, uh, you know, I act
Speaker 1: like I've never been sick of day in my life.
Speaker 1: That's the way I feel. Although I know there's things
Speaker 1: out there that I have to be careful of that.
Speaker 1: How do I feel? I feel great good. I'm like you, Junior,
Speaker 1: basically my last uh to say, how are you? How
Speaker 1: are you? You know? I got one leg, but I'm fine.
Speaker 1: I'm gonna lift. That's all that matters now nothing. It's
Speaker 1: so funny when you go through an experience like that,
Speaker 1: your perspective on everything. Chance, I'm like, nothing bout Let
Speaker 1: me tell you, yeah, nothing bothers me anymore. All right, Chris, well,
Speaker 1: I appreciate it. We'll talk to you on Monday for
Speaker 1: week fifteen as it rolls on, sir, Thank you so much.
Speaker 1: All right, sounds great? All right, the great, the great
Speaker 1: Chris Andrews. We are privileged to have him. By the way,
Speaker 1: you can follow him on Twitter at Andrew's Sports. And
Speaker 1: the book is then one day Chrissy's book that is
Speaker 1: selling like hotcakes. You can find it on Amazon wherever
Speaker 1: books are sold. Then one day is forty year journey
Speaker 1: as a bookmaker. Uh, pick up a copy there, Jeff,
Speaker 1: thank you, Thank you too. Who's in the corners that
Speaker 1: Los Los patient X in the corner? Thank you everybody
Speaker 1: downstairs as well. Good luck with the game. Tonight, all
Speaker 1: of us here at Lucity wish you well.