WEBVTT - Searching for Alien Life Starts Here

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<v Speaker 1>Brought to you by Toyota. Let's go places. Welcome to

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<v Speaker 1>Forward Thinking, Taylor, and welcome to Forward Thinking, the podcast

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<v Speaker 1>that looks at the future and says I was lonely

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<v Speaker 1>then like an alien. I'm Jonathan Strickland, I'm Lauren, and

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<v Speaker 1>I'm Joe McCormick. And yes, folks, we're going to talk

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<v Speaker 1>about aliens again today. Yes, because there's nothing more futuristic

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<v Speaker 1>than where life on Earth came from. Well, sometimes to

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<v Speaker 1>go forward, you first must move backward. What did the

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<v Speaker 1>two topics I just said have to do with each other? Well,

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<v Speaker 1>in this case, we're talking about kind of a model

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<v Speaker 1>that's been made that could possibly predict where we would

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<v Speaker 1>most likely find aliens. But that's we're getting ahead of ourselves. Yeah,

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<v Speaker 1>because because alien life had to come from somewhere, our

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<v Speaker 1>life had to come from somewhere. Studying one can potentially

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<v Speaker 1>lead to figuring stuff out about the other, Right, And

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<v Speaker 1>it's possible that both the alien life and our life

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<v Speaker 1>came from the same place. Wait a minute, I saw Prometheus. Yeah,

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<v Speaker 1>I did not think about the Prometheus tie in when

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<v Speaker 1>I agreed to do this topic. Joe has feelings about Prometheus,

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<v Speaker 1>don't we all have feelings. I don't. I never watched Okay,

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<v Speaker 1>I it makes me feel things about Wiley Coyote mostly there. Yeah, okay,

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<v Speaker 1>there is a there is a bald, godlike muscled figure

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<v Speaker 1>in it that I suppose you might be able to

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<v Speaker 1>relate to somewhat. Jonathan being the bald, muscular dude that

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<v Speaker 1>I am, I'm mostly made off. Actually, I was emphasizing

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<v Speaker 1>the godlike part. Okay, all right, I'll take it. But no,

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<v Speaker 1>this is this is a thing that happens in the

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<v Speaker 1>movie Prometheus. You see these bald, pale, weird dough is

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<v Speaker 1>flying throughout the galaxy seeding life on other planets. So

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<v Speaker 1>he sets down on what looks like some part of

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<v Speaker 1>Iceland and appears to PLoP some weird DNA goop into

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<v Speaker 1>the water and boom life on Earth. Yeah, and we're

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<v Speaker 1>gonna get to a theory that is essentially really I

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<v Speaker 1>should say, a hypothesis that is essentially that well, a

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<v Speaker 1>little bit less purposeful, I would say. Yeah, So to

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<v Speaker 1>to kind of just do a quick run through of

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<v Speaker 1>some of the stuff we mentioned before with alien life,

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<v Speaker 1>just so that we uh, you know, have a foundation here.

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<v Speaker 1>One of the things we have often referenced on this

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<v Speaker 1>show is the Drake equation, which is a probabilistic formula

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<v Speaker 1>created by Dr Frank Drake. Sure, and this equation is

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<v Speaker 1>it is an equation, but when you think of an equation,

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<v Speaker 1>you often think of something that has lots of known

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<v Speaker 1>values in it, Right, you can you can manipulate to

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<v Speaker 1>your will potentially. This is more of a thought experiment

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<v Speaker 1>expressed in the form of a mathematical equation with lots

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<v Speaker 1>of variables. Yeah, it's it's meant to be a way

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<v Speaker 1>to kind of estimate how many uh, technologically advanced alien

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<v Speaker 1>civilizations would be out there. But in order to actually

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<v Speaker 1>get a number on that, we would have to have

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<v Speaker 1>a lot more information than what the the what we

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<v Speaker 1>currently have. Yeah, but you arrive at it by multiplying

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<v Speaker 1>a bunch of different probabilities. And of course, as you know,

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<v Speaker 1>when multiplying probabilities, if any of these probabilities are in

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<v Speaker 1>fact zero, then your product in the end is going

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<v Speaker 1>to be zero, right, And if there are fractions, your

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<v Speaker 1>product in the end is going to be tiny. Yeah,

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<v Speaker 1>it's gonna get smaller and smaller as you multiply these

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<v Speaker 1>small fractions together. Yeah. So here are some of the

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<v Speaker 1>things are actually here are all the things that go

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<v Speaker 1>into the Drake equation. First, you take the rate of

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<v Speaker 1>formation of stars capable of developing and supporting intelligent life.

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<v Speaker 1>That's your first number, which already is a little complicated

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<v Speaker 1>because we're basing this on a sample size of one. Right,

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<v Speaker 1>because based upon our assumptions, we could say, all right,

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<v Speaker 1>let's just look at the stars that are son like,

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<v Speaker 1>But it may be that there are other types of

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<v Speaker 1>stars that also are able to support life. It's just

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<v Speaker 1>life that's very different from the kind that we have

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<v Speaker 1>on our planet. Yeah, sure, what if there is life

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<v Speaker 1>on planets orbiting red giants, life on planets orbiting neutron stars. Right,

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<v Speaker 1>there's also the possibility of life on rogue planets which

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<v Speaker 1>don't orbit a star at all, or on commets or yeah,

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<v Speaker 1>so such, I guess orbit stars. Never mind, but still

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<v Speaker 1>it's not a planet commets, sure, I guess. Well, I mean,

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<v Speaker 1>whatever they're doing, whether or not they're orbiting a star,

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<v Speaker 1>they're orbiting the galactic center here. Yeah, So then you

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<v Speaker 1>take that number and you multiply that by the fraction

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<v Speaker 1>of those stars that have planetary systems, because some stars

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<v Speaker 1>do not. I want to come back to this variable

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<v Speaker 1>in a minute. Ye, then multiply that by the number

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<v Speaker 1>of planets per solar system that have an environment suitable

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<v Speaker 1>for life. For this, multiply that by the action of

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<v Speaker 1>suitable plants on which life is present, Multiply that by

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<v Speaker 1>the fraction of life bearing planets on which intelligent life

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<v Speaker 1>can evolve, and then multiply that by the length of

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<v Speaker 1>time such civilizations released detectable signals into space. You know,

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<v Speaker 1>one of the funny parts about this thought experiment is

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<v Speaker 1>that back when it was first articulated, I think more

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<v Speaker 1>of these probability variables were just big question marks. Sure,

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<v Speaker 1>no idea at all, But a couple of the things

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<v Speaker 1>you mentioned are actually figures where we are starting to

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<v Speaker 1>gain some relevant knowledge, where we we could actually look

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<v Speaker 1>at this and say, here's a good guess for what

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<v Speaker 1>this number would be. For example, the fraction of stars

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<v Speaker 1>that have planetary systems. Oh, yeah, we're learning more about

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<v Speaker 1>extra planets every day. Yeah, I mean, that's something we

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<v Speaker 1>can actually put a pretty reasonable estimate on now, and

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<v Speaker 1>and back at the time we didn't know, although, of

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<v Speaker 1>course they there are other parts of that variable that

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<v Speaker 1>we would have to add to you know, we we

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<v Speaker 1>have some information about some of the planets about whether

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<v Speaker 1>or not there are any kind of uh, you know,

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<v Speaker 1>markers for potential biological life, but for the most part,

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<v Speaker 1>we don't know for a lot of those exoplanets yet. Yeah. Yeah,

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<v Speaker 1>and we've certainly never received a signal. It's like, hey, guys,

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<v Speaker 1>text me back, right, you're Toad's not in the group message,

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<v Speaker 1>what's wrong with you? Guys? But I do think it's

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<v Speaker 1>interesting that here's one where here's one figure where we

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<v Speaker 1>used to not know, and now we we have a

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<v Speaker 1>pretty good idea, And there are other ones where we're

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<v Speaker 1>about to get a much better idea, Like we're about

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<v Speaker 1>to be able to use telescopic techniques to learn more

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<v Speaker 1>about the environments of extra planets, so like whether they

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<v Speaker 1>have an atmosphere that we think would be conducive to life.

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<v Speaker 1>I mean, who knows what's really conducive to life, but right, yeah,

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<v Speaker 1>conducive to our type of life. Yeah. So this this

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<v Speaker 1>means that we are slowly filling in those blanks, but

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<v Speaker 1>we haven't. We're still far away from being able to

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<v Speaker 1>use this equation in any real meaningful way. Now, of course,

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<v Speaker 1>there's another way. We could try and see if they're

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<v Speaker 1>technological civilizations out there, which is listen to see if

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<v Speaker 1>they're broadcasting anything. Yeah, yeah, tune into those text messages. Yeah.

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<v Speaker 1>In this case, we're talking largely about SET the Search

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<v Speaker 1>for Extraterrestrial Intelligence, which scans the sky for any radio

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<v Speaker 1>transmissions and then goes through all the data that comes back,

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<v Speaker 1>tries to find anything that's meaningful that looks like it's

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<v Speaker 1>a purposeful broadcast as opposed to random noise. Uh. And

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<v Speaker 1>that's you know, a good approach to We figure that

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<v Speaker 1>that's more likely to to result in us discovering life

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<v Speaker 1>than just say, direct observation or having some aliens stumble

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<v Speaker 1>upon us. Those two are not terribly likely. Of course,

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<v Speaker 1>as you probably know, CT has not really turned up

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<v Speaker 1>anything so far, unless you want to count some possibly

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<v Speaker 1>anomalous weird signals like the Wow signal. If some most

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<v Speaker 1>of the stuff that people think are are probably uh,

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<v Speaker 1>you know, pulsar related or other naturally related phenomena. And

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<v Speaker 1>space is huge. I don't know if you've read Hitchicker's

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<v Speaker 1>Guy to Galaxy like like like really big exactly, you

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<v Speaker 1>thought it was a long way down to the chemists,

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<v Speaker 1>But that's peanuts compared to space. Uh yeah, space is enormous.

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<v Speaker 1>So focusing on any section of space is like it's

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<v Speaker 1>like you're in a massive arena. You have been blindfolded

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<v Speaker 1>and spun around a huge number of times, and your

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<v Speaker 1>goal is to throw a dart at a tiny target

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<v Speaker 1>that's someplace around you and maybe you'll hit it. Like

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<v Speaker 1>that's and even that is being pretty optimistic compared to

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<v Speaker 1>just pointing telescopes out space to try and listen for stuff.

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<v Speaker 1>But we might be able to narrow down that search

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<v Speaker 1>a bit if we're able to make some predictions about

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<v Speaker 1>where life would most likely arise. And of course this

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<v Speaker 1>brings us to what we were alluding to at the

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<v Speaker 1>beginning of the episode, which is the pan spermia hypothesis. Yeah. Now,

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<v Speaker 1>one thing I want to clear up at the beginning here,

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<v Speaker 1>because I think I've encountered a lot of confusion about this,

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<v Speaker 1>at least when I read people leaven comments about it

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<v Speaker 1>online and stuff. A lot of people think that pan

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<v Speaker 1>spermia is a hypothesis about the origins of life, which

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<v Speaker 1>is not. Now, it's about distribution of life. Yeah, so

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<v Speaker 1>the origins of life is a is a big question

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<v Speaker 1>in science and you know, in physics and chemistry and

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<v Speaker 1>organic chemistry, we we don't know exactly how life comes

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<v Speaker 1>about from the molecules that exist in the universe, and

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<v Speaker 1>that that's a big question that a lot of really

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<v Speaker 1>smart people are working on and it's a big interest

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<v Speaker 1>of mine. But pan spermia is the idea of not

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<v Speaker 1>how life comes about, but how life got here. Yeah, exactly,

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<v Speaker 1>it's it's more about, uh, not just how life got here,

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<v Speaker 1>but how could life potentially get to other places in

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<v Speaker 1>the galaxy. Exactly right, So, so pan spermia is a

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<v Speaker 1>Greek word. It means seeds everywhere, and uh, the hypothesis

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<v Speaker 1>posits that seeds of life are scattered throughout the universe

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<v Speaker 1>and can be propagated through space. And this is not

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<v Speaker 1>that knew of an idea it might sound, you know, yeah,

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<v Speaker 1>this was not like Golden Age of science fiction kind

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<v Speaker 1>of idea right around for a minute. Yeah, it's been around. Actually,

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<v Speaker 1>if you want to go way back, the actual origins

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<v Speaker 1>of the word pant spermia date back to the ancient times.

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<v Speaker 1>But to really get into a point where it became

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<v Speaker 1>part of the conversation in scientific circles, you need to

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<v Speaker 1>look at the mid eighteenth century. Bnoir de Mallier wrote

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<v Speaker 1>in seventeen forty three that he thought that Earth was

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<v Speaker 1>seated by life essentially kind of germs falling from space

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<v Speaker 1>into the oceans, rather than through a biogenesis. And that

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<v Speaker 1>kind of leads us to the question what is a biogenesis? Right, Well,

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<v Speaker 1>that idea includes a biogenesis somewhere. I mean, life still

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<v Speaker 1>has to begin somewhere, begin replicating and then spread. Well,

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<v Speaker 1>a biogenesis could be part of that. For for the

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<v Speaker 1>scientifically minded, it certainly is part of that. He thought, yeah, okay,

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<v Speaker 1>so also, yeah, I guess it's worth acknowledging. Some people

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<v Speaker 1>would also attribute this to some kind of supernatural cause

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<v Speaker 1>it's not really the type of stuff that we're to

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<v Speaker 1>talk about. We're looking at the scientific side. Uh. And

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<v Speaker 1>a biogenesis is a theory that was really popular. I mean,

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<v Speaker 1>like Aristotle talked about how completely obvious it was, that

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<v Speaker 1>it was true for a very long time. And it's

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<v Speaker 1>the idea that life can be generated from non living things.

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<v Speaker 1>For example, the idea that wasn't disproven until like the

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<v Speaker 1>mid sixteen hundreds. I think that maggots come from dead stuff, right,

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<v Speaker 1>like something dies and then maggots spontaneously, right, right, Not

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<v Speaker 1>that eggs get laid in dead stuff and then the

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<v Speaker 1>maggots grow from them, but that they just spontaneously show up.

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<v Speaker 1>Some of these ideas are so funny. One of them

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<v Speaker 1>was I remember reading about this guy named Jean Baptiste

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<v Speaker 1>van Helmont, who was the seventeenth century physician, who said

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<v Speaker 1>that if you got a sweaty shirt and you put

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<v Speaker 1>it in a box of grain and then covered it

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<v Speaker 1>up and left it, I think he said, leave it

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<v Speaker 1>for a few weeks or something, and then come back,

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<v Speaker 1>it will have sprouted mice. Yeah, yeah, yeah, mice come

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<v Speaker 1>from hey, bees come from flowers. Oh it's so good.

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<v Speaker 1>Like how else could you explain mice in a box

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<v Speaker 1>of grain that you left there for several weeks? And

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<v Speaker 1>while while these these ideas are obviously comical to us,

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<v Speaker 1>the concept of a biogenesis itself is not necessarily that ridiculous,

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<v Speaker 1>in that it's really looking more at could life have

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<v Speaker 1>arisen from some combination of organic but non living materials

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<v Speaker 1>under certain conditions? Sure sure that that chemistry is responsible

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<v Speaker 1>for life. The big differences that spontaneous generation had to

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<v Speaker 1>do with complex organisms spontaneously arising out of non living material,

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<v Speaker 1>whereas typically if you talk to uh, you know, a

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<v Speaker 1>molecular biochemist who's working on the problem of a biogenesis. Today,

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<v Speaker 1>they're trying to figure out how how DNA was assemboled

0:13:19.360 --> 0:13:22.720
<v Speaker 1>out of you know, chemical soups and conditions in you know,

0:13:22.800 --> 0:13:25.080
<v Speaker 1>the Earth, like three point eight billion years ago. And

0:13:25.120 --> 0:13:27.400
<v Speaker 1>I have a thing to say about that way at

0:13:27.400 --> 0:13:30.080
<v Speaker 1>the end of the episode, but for now, let's get

0:13:30.080 --> 0:13:34.720
<v Speaker 1>back to the the pant spermia hypothesis. So we've got

0:13:34.800 --> 0:13:40.720
<v Speaker 1>this idea that there are some sort of of seeds

0:13:40.760 --> 0:13:43.800
<v Speaker 1>of life out there in the galaxy. How they came

0:13:43.840 --> 0:13:47.280
<v Speaker 1>about is not addressed in this hypothesis, as Joe had

0:13:47.320 --> 0:13:50.319
<v Speaker 1>mentioned earlier, but they might be carried by an asteroid

0:13:50.400 --> 0:13:52.880
<v Speaker 1>or a comet or a meteorite, or even exist as

0:13:53.200 --> 0:13:56.320
<v Speaker 1>part of interstellar dust pushed around by the solar wind

0:13:56.640 --> 0:14:02.439
<v Speaker 1>microbe delivery. Now, clearly these would be what we would

0:14:02.440 --> 0:14:05.720
<v Speaker 1>call extreme O files, right because they'd have to survive

0:14:05.840 --> 0:14:08.640
<v Speaker 1>the ride. And we've talked on this show so many

0:14:08.720 --> 0:14:11.559
<v Speaker 1>times about how the ride through space is not a

0:14:11.679 --> 0:14:16.800
<v Speaker 1>nice ride. You got the vacuum going, you've got radiation going,

0:14:17.000 --> 0:14:20.840
<v Speaker 1>you've got extreme temperatures going. You've got lots of different

0:14:20.840 --> 0:14:24.640
<v Speaker 1>types of pressure changes going as these these items move

0:14:24.680 --> 0:14:28.160
<v Speaker 1>into the atmosphere of a planet. Yeah. So obviously organisms

0:14:28.200 --> 0:14:31.200
<v Speaker 1>like us are not going to be surviving this ride.

0:14:31.200 --> 0:14:34.240
<v Speaker 1>But there are organisms we know of on planet Earth

0:14:34.280 --> 0:14:39.680
<v Speaker 1>that survived bizarrely harsh conditions. Yeah. Yeah, there's various bacteria

0:14:39.760 --> 0:14:43.400
<v Speaker 1>I think that can survive inside volcanoes. There's those water bears.

0:14:43.440 --> 0:14:45.960
<v Speaker 1>Those are great. Yeah. Yeah, the water bears. I love them,

0:14:46.000 --> 0:14:48.360
<v Speaker 1>Tarte grades. They're so cute. I just want to pinch

0:14:48.400 --> 0:14:52.120
<v Speaker 1>their little microscopic cheeks. I can't wait till the horror

0:14:52.120 --> 0:14:54.840
<v Speaker 1>movie where they get blown up to human size and

0:14:54.880 --> 0:14:57.920
<v Speaker 1>then they just vacuum our liquids out. Pretty sure that

0:14:58.320 --> 0:15:03.840
<v Speaker 1>watch that today? So yeah, there are examples of extremophiles

0:15:03.880 --> 0:15:06.320
<v Speaker 1>here on Earth that can live in conditions that we

0:15:06.360 --> 0:15:10.720
<v Speaker 1>would find completely inhospitable. Although to flip that, they would

0:15:10.760 --> 0:15:13.560
<v Speaker 1>find the conditions we live in to be completely inhospitable.

0:15:13.600 --> 0:15:17.640
<v Speaker 1>So um, there there's some pretty interesting examples of that.

0:15:18.200 --> 0:15:21.520
<v Speaker 1>And pant Spermia suggests that these organisms would arrive at

0:15:21.520 --> 0:15:25.280
<v Speaker 1>a planet uh. In other words, there'd be a collision,

0:15:25.720 --> 0:15:29.640
<v Speaker 1>you'd have an asteroid or a comet or a meteorite

0:15:30.040 --> 0:15:33.840
<v Speaker 1>collide with a planet, and anything surviving on that could

0:15:33.840 --> 0:15:37.880
<v Speaker 1>potentially spread to that planet. And there are three major

0:15:38.160 --> 0:15:43.680
<v Speaker 1>variations of this hypothesis, right, because this obviously it asks

0:15:43.760 --> 0:15:46.600
<v Speaker 1>some questions of us. We say, okay, so life is

0:15:46.680 --> 0:15:50.120
<v Speaker 1>maybe frozen in a comet somewhere headed towards Earth for

0:15:50.240 --> 0:15:53.720
<v Speaker 1>millions of years, it finally smashes into Earth starts spreading here.

0:15:54.080 --> 0:15:58.680
<v Speaker 1>How to get on the comet? Yeah, And pant spermia

0:15:58.720 --> 0:16:01.400
<v Speaker 1>doesn't answer those questions necess serreily, although there are some

0:16:01.400 --> 0:16:06.840
<v Speaker 1>some variations of the hypothesis that that's at least suggested.

0:16:07.240 --> 0:16:10.560
<v Speaker 1>You don't get to the point zero origin, but you

0:16:10.600 --> 0:16:14.080
<v Speaker 1>can get to all right, Well, in this way, something

0:16:14.120 --> 0:16:16.520
<v Speaker 1>could be ejected from a planet and therefore make its

0:16:16.520 --> 0:16:18.560
<v Speaker 1>way to some other place. Yeah, yeah, that I'm just

0:16:18.640 --> 0:16:21.800
<v Speaker 1>asking one step back, so like did it come from

0:16:21.880 --> 0:16:25.240
<v Speaker 1>another star in the galaxy, or did it come from

0:16:25.280 --> 0:16:28.560
<v Speaker 1>another planet in the Solar System? Or did it come

0:16:28.600 --> 0:16:32.720
<v Speaker 1>from somebody with some ideas? Right, So with that first version,

0:16:32.720 --> 0:16:36.920
<v Speaker 1>you've got a litho pan spermia, that's interstellar panspermia that

0:16:37.040 --> 0:16:40.360
<v Speaker 1>suggests that a planet that supports life somewhere is in

0:16:40.480 --> 0:16:43.120
<v Speaker 1>like a star system. There's some sort of major collision

0:16:43.160 --> 0:16:48.720
<v Speaker 1>that happens, and bits o planet break off and get

0:16:48.720 --> 0:16:51.720
<v Speaker 1>ejected into space, and those bits o planet happened to

0:16:51.760 --> 0:16:55.320
<v Speaker 1>have life forms on them. Obviously it would have to

0:16:55.320 --> 0:16:58.480
<v Speaker 1>be in some kind of bacterial format or something similar

0:16:58.520 --> 0:17:02.520
<v Speaker 1>to that. It could not, you know, ed like Ed

0:17:02.560 --> 0:17:05.399
<v Speaker 1>would not make the trip, probably not, not unless he

0:17:05.640 --> 0:17:09.160
<v Speaker 1>brought a really good space suit. Yeah. Yeah, we're we're

0:17:09.200 --> 0:17:12.280
<v Speaker 1>imagining here kind of a uh at the end of

0:17:12.280 --> 0:17:16.320
<v Speaker 1>the never ending story situation, the little grain No no no, no,

0:17:16.440 --> 0:17:18.560
<v Speaker 1>I'm imagining when it doesn't have a scene where like

0:17:18.560 --> 0:17:21.399
<v Speaker 1>the planets all smashed up into pieces and their bits

0:17:21.440 --> 0:17:24.520
<v Speaker 1>flying apart. Yeah, and then well eventually there's only one

0:17:24.560 --> 0:17:26.680
<v Speaker 1>little grain of sand left and you have to make

0:17:26.680 --> 0:17:32.120
<v Speaker 1>wishes to make it grow. Yeah, and then you get

0:17:32.119 --> 0:17:38.720
<v Speaker 1>a luck dragon. So uh, you get these massive, massive

0:17:38.800 --> 0:17:41.960
<v Speaker 1>collisions where stuff gets ejected into space. That stuff ends

0:17:42.000 --> 0:17:44.880
<v Speaker 1>up finding its way to other solar systems. So this

0:17:44.960 --> 0:17:47.320
<v Speaker 1>is a huge amount of distance these things would have

0:17:47.359 --> 0:17:51.280
<v Speaker 1>to travel, right, you have to be some hardy organisms. Yeah,

0:17:51.400 --> 0:17:55.000
<v Speaker 1>you'd have to be probably in essentially suspended animation the

0:17:55.080 --> 0:17:59.280
<v Speaker 1>equivalent to that for millions of years to make a

0:17:59.400 --> 0:18:02.119
<v Speaker 1>trip for one solar system to another. But it is

0:18:02.240 --> 0:18:04.760
<v Speaker 1>one of the three versions of pant spermia we tend

0:18:04.800 --> 0:18:08.439
<v Speaker 1>to talk about. Then there's ballistic pan spermia. This is

0:18:08.520 --> 0:18:12.239
<v Speaker 1>interplanetary pant spermia. This would happen within the within the

0:18:12.280 --> 0:18:14.960
<v Speaker 1>confines of a single solar system. Right. So, if you've

0:18:15.000 --> 0:18:18.760
<v Speaker 1>ever heard the hypothesis that originally life on Earth came

0:18:19.000 --> 0:18:21.920
<v Speaker 1>from Mars, that would be an example of this, right.

0:18:21.960 --> 0:18:25.640
<v Speaker 1>So imagine that you have Mars and there's some sort

0:18:25.680 --> 0:18:29.720
<v Speaker 1>of massive bombardment of Mars, which which it results with

0:18:30.320 --> 0:18:33.520
<v Speaker 1>tons of stuff being ejected from Mars and heading towards Earth,

0:18:33.760 --> 0:18:37.879
<v Speaker 1>eventually colliding with Earth. That would be this version. So, uh,

0:18:38.280 --> 0:18:42.680
<v Speaker 1>those are your your two basic Uh, stuff just happens naturally.

0:18:42.720 --> 0:18:46.360
<v Speaker 1>But then you've got the third kind, right, directed pants spermia,

0:18:46.480 --> 0:18:51.120
<v Speaker 1>and that is in fact the Prometheus model. Yes, yeah,

0:18:51.119 --> 0:18:55.399
<v Speaker 1>pretty much. It definitely includes that the person spreading the

0:18:55.440 --> 0:18:59.040
<v Speaker 1>life must be naked and huge and muscily, that's part

0:18:59.040 --> 0:19:04.119
<v Speaker 1>of the hypothesis science clearly in the small print, because

0:19:04.119 --> 0:19:07.400
<v Speaker 1>I did not see that when I was looking this over. Yah.

0:19:07.480 --> 0:19:11.600
<v Speaker 1>Directed pant spermia is essentially the idea that some intelligent

0:19:11.760 --> 0:19:17.520
<v Speaker 1>life form is purposefully spreading life by by shooting out

0:19:18.359 --> 0:19:22.239
<v Speaker 1>whatever bodies, you know, like like rocks or whatever they

0:19:22.280 --> 0:19:25.520
<v Speaker 1>may be. Could even be rockets filled with bacteria, uh

0:19:25.680 --> 0:19:29.800
<v Speaker 1>to go to distant places and uh and potentially to

0:19:29.920 --> 0:19:34.320
<v Speaker 1>propagate life that way. Now I'm wondering if this includes

0:19:34.480 --> 0:19:37.200
<v Speaker 1>life that's spread by accident, because I mean that that

0:19:37.240 --> 0:19:40.040
<v Speaker 1>would have to sort of be another option if it

0:19:40.119 --> 0:19:43.440
<v Speaker 1>weren't part of directed pants bermia, you know what I mean.

0:19:43.640 --> 0:19:46.119
<v Speaker 1>It's sort of like if if one of our probes

0:19:46.280 --> 0:19:49.000
<v Speaker 1>a long time the future ran into another planet and

0:19:49.080 --> 0:19:52.640
<v Speaker 1>it has bacteria in it, and that winds up spawning

0:19:52.640 --> 0:19:55.200
<v Speaker 1>an entire civilization. That's exactly what I mean. Yeah, it's

0:19:55.240 --> 0:19:57.600
<v Speaker 1>I mean, it reminds me a little bit. This isn't

0:19:57.840 --> 0:19:59.880
<v Speaker 1>the same thing, really, but it reminds me a little

0:19:59.880 --> 0:20:02.960
<v Speaker 1>bit of when we were first getting some reports that

0:20:03.640 --> 0:20:06.800
<v Speaker 1>that one of the rovers had detected the presence of

0:20:06.880 --> 0:20:09.040
<v Speaker 1>methane on Mars, and people got excited, and then the

0:20:09.040 --> 0:20:11.679
<v Speaker 1>scientists were saying, listen, we have to make sure that

0:20:11.760 --> 0:20:16.000
<v Speaker 1>this wasn't a contamination, that it wasn't brought and of

0:20:16.040 --> 0:20:19.160
<v Speaker 1>course it was, yes, And that's that's one of those

0:20:19.160 --> 0:20:22.280
<v Speaker 1>things where you know, we already have instances of the

0:20:22.320 --> 0:20:26.399
<v Speaker 1>stuff we've sent to other bodies carrying things with it

0:20:26.440 --> 0:20:29.919
<v Speaker 1>that were not necessarily intentional. I want to go on

0:20:29.960 --> 0:20:32.879
<v Speaker 1>a little digression real quick and say, if you read

0:20:33.040 --> 0:20:36.199
<v Speaker 1>any headline anywhere on the Internet saying that we have

0:20:36.280 --> 0:20:40.760
<v Speaker 1>found life on Mars and you haven't already noticed people

0:20:41.000 --> 0:20:45.800
<v Speaker 1>freaking out about this, it's probably not true. They're probably

0:20:45.840 --> 0:20:48.600
<v Speaker 1>just trying to con you into a click. I clicked

0:20:48.600 --> 0:20:51.160
<v Speaker 1>on something to see an N's website the other day

0:20:51.160 --> 0:20:54.280
<v Speaker 1>that was like life on Mars, and I was like,

0:20:54.359 --> 0:20:57.000
<v Speaker 1>how come I haven't heard about this? And you know

0:20:57.040 --> 0:21:00.399
<v Speaker 1>what it was? It was rocks. It was some rocks

0:21:00.480 --> 0:21:03.280
<v Speaker 1>that looked like lizards and squirrels, and one of them

0:21:03.320 --> 0:21:06.680
<v Speaker 1>just looked like a pyramid. And I'm like, there's there's

0:21:06.760 --> 0:21:10.360
<v Speaker 1>no living pyramid that just looks like a thing that

0:21:10.400 --> 0:21:16.040
<v Speaker 1>you recognize. There's pyramid Head. There is. He is. He's

0:21:16.040 --> 0:21:17.760
<v Speaker 1>a living thing, but if you run into him, you

0:21:17.800 --> 0:21:20.240
<v Speaker 1>are not likely to be living for much. Actually he

0:21:20.320 --> 0:21:24.359
<v Speaker 1>might be undead. Technically, Yeah, have they found undead thing?

0:21:25.160 --> 0:21:28.760
<v Speaker 1>What a wonderful end to the curiosity rovers pyramid Head

0:21:28.840 --> 0:21:31.679
<v Speaker 1>just puts that one big blade through it, hear the

0:21:31.720 --> 0:21:34.480
<v Speaker 1>scraping sound, and that's the last transmission. You don't know

0:21:34.520 --> 0:21:39.000
<v Speaker 1>who pyramid Head is. I suggest you Google search it anyway. Sorry,

0:21:39.040 --> 0:21:42.000
<v Speaker 1>Back back to the matter at hand, right, So, so

0:21:42.080 --> 0:21:46.320
<v Speaker 1>specifically looking at Earth, is it possible that life here

0:21:46.400 --> 0:21:50.120
<v Speaker 1>on the planet did not arise through a biogenesis here

0:21:50.160 --> 0:21:54.800
<v Speaker 1>on Earth, but instead was the result of a seed

0:21:55.000 --> 0:21:59.399
<v Speaker 1>of life landing on Earth. Well, one argument for this hypothesis,

0:22:00.000 --> 0:22:02.919
<v Speaker 1>one of the things that people argue to support it,

0:22:02.960 --> 0:22:05.520
<v Speaker 1>is that life on Earth appears to have developed sometime

0:22:05.560 --> 0:22:09.280
<v Speaker 1>around three point eight three billion years ago. That's interesting.

0:22:09.359 --> 0:22:13.200
<v Speaker 1>I've never heard it dated with that much precision before.

0:22:13.200 --> 0:22:16.040
<v Speaker 1>I've always heard like around three point five or four

0:22:16.080 --> 0:22:19.439
<v Speaker 1>billion years. Yeah, I'm I'm guessing that this itself is

0:22:19.520 --> 0:22:22.439
<v Speaker 1>an estimation. Well, obviously it's an estimation. It's like no

0:22:22.480 --> 0:22:26.800
<v Speaker 1>one was around there to start doing tick marks. Well, no,

0:22:26.880 --> 0:22:28.800
<v Speaker 1>I mean, I guess I'm just curious where that number

0:22:28.800 --> 0:22:31.040
<v Speaker 1>comes from, because I've never heard one that precise. Yeah,

0:22:31.080 --> 0:22:33.280
<v Speaker 1>it was in the source I was reading. It was

0:22:33.480 --> 0:22:36.159
<v Speaker 1>they were specifically calling it out that specific, But I

0:22:36.240 --> 0:22:39.959
<v Speaker 1>honestly find that a little um convenient too. But at

0:22:40.000 --> 0:22:43.880
<v Speaker 1>any rate, around that same time, period around between three

0:22:43.880 --> 0:22:47.480
<v Speaker 1>point eight and four billion years ago, Earth went through

0:22:47.520 --> 0:22:51.520
<v Speaker 1>a period of bombardment where meteorites were hitting the planet

0:22:51.600 --> 0:22:56.600
<v Speaker 1>fairly regularly, and so this timing seems to somewhat support

0:22:56.640 --> 0:22:59.919
<v Speaker 1>that argument, the idea that perhaps some of these media

0:23:00.160 --> 0:23:03.200
<v Speaker 1>rights contained elements of life on them, whether they were

0:23:03.200 --> 0:23:06.639
<v Speaker 1>the bacteria or the missing secret sauce, that was going

0:23:06.680 --> 0:23:09.119
<v Speaker 1>to allow life to happen here on Earth, and that

0:23:09.359 --> 0:23:13.080
<v Speaker 1>as a result, that's why we have life here on Earth. However,

0:23:13.480 --> 0:23:17.159
<v Speaker 1>there's nothing conclusive, like there's no smoking gun here. It

0:23:17.200 --> 0:23:20.160
<v Speaker 1>could just as easily be that it's an a biogenesis

0:23:20.600 --> 0:23:23.399
<v Speaker 1>approach here on Earth and that this was something that

0:23:23.560 --> 0:23:26.440
<v Speaker 1>also happened around that same time. Well, I mean, another way,

0:23:26.520 --> 0:23:29.879
<v Speaker 1>you could look at the coincidence of the origins of

0:23:29.960 --> 0:23:33.119
<v Speaker 1>life and the bombardment period, as you could say that

0:23:33.160 --> 0:23:37.720
<v Speaker 1>the bombardment created conditions or in introduced materials that made

0:23:37.800 --> 0:23:41.200
<v Speaker 1>the a biogenesis process happen. Right, So in other words,

0:23:41.240 --> 0:23:44.360
<v Speaker 1>it wasn't that there were life forms on the meteorites themselves,

0:23:44.359 --> 0:23:47.560
<v Speaker 1>It's just that that was one more ingredient into life.

0:23:47.640 --> 0:23:50.760
<v Speaker 1>Like I feel like I've read, don't don't wholly to

0:23:50.920 --> 0:23:53.040
<v Speaker 1>this because I could be mistaken, but I think I've

0:23:53.080 --> 0:23:56.359
<v Speaker 1>read that some people hypothesized that this is where a

0:23:56.400 --> 0:24:00.439
<v Speaker 1>lot of Earth's water came from, Like during this bombardment period,

0:24:00.440 --> 0:24:03.200
<v Speaker 1>there were a lot of icy objects that slammed into

0:24:03.240 --> 0:24:05.520
<v Speaker 1>the Earth and brought water to the surface. I've heard

0:24:05.560 --> 0:24:09.479
<v Speaker 1>the same thing. And another argument in support of the

0:24:09.560 --> 0:24:14.119
<v Speaker 1>Earth's life comes from Space Seeds, which I believe is

0:24:14.160 --> 0:24:19.080
<v Speaker 1>a fantastic Star Trek episode that introduces Khan. Space Seed

0:24:19.160 --> 0:24:22.439
<v Speaker 1>is the Con episode. Uh. Chekhov, by the way, not

0:24:22.560 --> 0:24:24.879
<v Speaker 1>in that episode, So I don't know how Cohn recognizes

0:24:24.960 --> 0:24:27.760
<v Speaker 1>him in Wrath of Con But that's beside the point anyway.

0:24:27.960 --> 0:24:30.280
<v Speaker 1>Is it really beside the point? It's really the point.

0:24:30.359 --> 0:24:32.399
<v Speaker 1>I wanted to make this whole episode about that, but

0:24:32.480 --> 0:24:35.520
<v Speaker 1>I was trying to kind of hide it by Chekhov

0:24:35.640 --> 0:24:38.919
<v Speaker 1>does a lot of like Facebook snooping around Kirk in

0:24:38.960 --> 0:24:41.800
<v Speaker 1>his friend But how would Khan know about Chekhov? Is

0:24:41.920 --> 0:24:43.720
<v Speaker 1>that because he says I never could have faced Mr

0:24:44.520 --> 0:24:48.359
<v Speaker 1>from faceoff? Okay, yeah, that's probably right. I'll tell you

0:24:48.359 --> 0:24:51.000
<v Speaker 1>you've got an unfriend con that's rule number one. So

0:24:51.359 --> 0:24:56.120
<v Speaker 1>another Instagram feeds private Another argument in support of that

0:24:56.200 --> 0:25:01.720
<v Speaker 1>hypothesis that Earth in fact was seeded by outer space bacteria.

0:25:02.000 --> 0:25:06.440
<v Speaker 1>Is that that bacteria can be dormant for a really

0:25:06.600 --> 0:25:09.800
<v Speaker 1>really long time and then yeah, and they can they

0:25:09.800 --> 0:25:12.280
<v Speaker 1>can then be viable. Right, It's not just that they

0:25:12.320 --> 0:25:15.160
<v Speaker 1>stick around. They stick around and then they could come back. So,

0:25:15.280 --> 0:25:18.320
<v Speaker 1>for example, there have been cases where we have retrieved

0:25:18.359 --> 0:25:22.120
<v Speaker 1>bacteria from sources that had been trapped for as many

0:25:22.160 --> 0:25:24.520
<v Speaker 1>as two hundred and fifty million years and the bacteria

0:25:24.560 --> 0:25:28.080
<v Speaker 1>were still viable. So stuff like finding bacteria in the

0:25:28.119 --> 0:25:32.159
<v Speaker 1>gut of bees that had been embedded in amber for

0:25:32.480 --> 0:25:38.639
<v Speaker 1>millions of years and the bacteria, once extracted, regained viability.

0:25:38.680 --> 0:25:42.800
<v Speaker 1>So there are examples of critic Yeah, it's amazing that

0:25:42.880 --> 0:25:46.720
<v Speaker 1>this can even happen. That's creepy. It is a little creepy.

0:25:46.760 --> 0:25:52.040
<v Speaker 1>Yeah there, yeah, I guess for science. But cool, like

0:25:52.080 --> 0:25:57.200
<v Speaker 1>these bacteria don't remember dinosaurs because there weren't dinosaurs yet

0:25:57.280 --> 0:26:01.440
<v Speaker 1>they slept right through dinosaurs. Yeah. Well, the the interesting

0:26:01.480 --> 0:26:04.120
<v Speaker 1>thing to me is that this does mean that there

0:26:04.240 --> 0:26:09.440
<v Speaker 1>is at least some some feasibility for the pant spermia hypothesis,

0:26:09.520 --> 0:26:14.920
<v Speaker 1>because we've seen instances where bacteria can survive very long periods.

0:26:15.400 --> 0:26:19.199
<v Speaker 1>Uh and then come back from being dormant, whether or

0:26:19.280 --> 0:26:23.000
<v Speaker 1>not significantly longer than two fifty million years, I don't know.

0:26:23.119 --> 0:26:29.800
<v Speaker 1>And even even an interplanetary um pant spermia hypothesis suggests

0:26:29.840 --> 0:26:32.960
<v Speaker 1>that it could be millions of years from the point

0:26:33.000 --> 0:26:35.520
<v Speaker 1>when something is ejected into space to the point where

0:26:35.520 --> 0:26:39.439
<v Speaker 1>it collides with another planet. That's that's just interplanetary. When

0:26:39.440 --> 0:26:43.120
<v Speaker 1>you take in solar systems into account, star systems into account,

0:26:43.160 --> 0:26:47.720
<v Speaker 1>that's an enormous, enormous amount of time. Yeah, So I

0:26:48.080 --> 0:26:51.679
<v Speaker 1>think paint spermia is a really interesting hypothesis. It's one

0:26:51.720 --> 0:26:54.480
<v Speaker 1>of those that for a long time at least, I

0:26:54.480 --> 0:26:57.800
<v Speaker 1>think it's probably just going to remain an interesting hypothesis

0:26:57.840 --> 0:27:01.480
<v Speaker 1>because we don't have strong enough ways of confirming or

0:27:01.520 --> 0:27:03.679
<v Speaker 1>disconfirming it. You can only just sort of look for

0:27:03.760 --> 0:27:07.840
<v Speaker 1>evidence that's consistent or inconsistent with it. Sure, but that

0:27:07.960 --> 0:27:11.520
<v Speaker 1>doesn't mean that people are not running mathematics on it, right.

0:27:11.560 --> 0:27:15.280
<v Speaker 1>In fact, we've got some astrophysicists out of Harvard who

0:27:15.400 --> 0:27:19.840
<v Speaker 1>wanted to try and start building a predictive model based

0:27:19.920 --> 0:27:25.040
<v Speaker 1>upon the pant spermia hypothesis. So they're not testing the hypothesis, right,

0:27:25.080 --> 0:27:27.840
<v Speaker 1>That's not what their their research is all about their

0:27:27.880 --> 0:27:32.080
<v Speaker 1>Their research starts from the premise that assuming this hypothesis

0:27:32.240 --> 0:27:36.840
<v Speaker 1>is true, then we should be able to start predicting

0:27:36.960 --> 0:27:40.800
<v Speaker 1>where life would uh kind of where the point of

0:27:40.840 --> 0:27:45.119
<v Speaker 1>origin would be from any given explosion of life that

0:27:45.200 --> 0:27:48.120
<v Speaker 1>moves outward, um, and then we would have a better

0:27:48.160 --> 0:27:51.440
<v Speaker 1>idea of where to look if we're searching for evidence

0:27:51.520 --> 0:27:56.560
<v Speaker 1>of that life. Uh So, basically they are creating a

0:27:56.600 --> 0:27:59.320
<v Speaker 1>model that think of it like a Google Maps type

0:27:59.359 --> 0:28:02.560
<v Speaker 1>thing of Milky Way galaxy, except instead of showing you

0:28:02.560 --> 0:28:05.920
<v Speaker 1>where the traffic is, it's showing you circles of where

0:28:06.080 --> 0:28:11.240
<v Speaker 1>life would likely be found. Due to uh, some evidence

0:28:11.280 --> 0:28:15.360
<v Speaker 1>that there was this pant spermia permutation to the spreading

0:28:15.440 --> 0:28:22.080
<v Speaker 1>of life. So based on this, they suggest, well, life

0:28:22.080 --> 0:28:26.080
<v Speaker 1>would probably spread out in kind of just a full

0:28:27.119 --> 0:28:34.159
<v Speaker 1>expanding globe around whatever body was was impacted. Yeah, so

0:28:34.240 --> 0:28:36.360
<v Speaker 1>you you just say, all right, well, the planet that

0:28:36.440 --> 0:28:40.800
<v Speaker 1>originated the life, wherever that life maybe uh go an

0:28:40.840 --> 0:28:44.880
<v Speaker 1>equal distant out in every direction, and that's where the

0:28:45.160 --> 0:28:49.160
<v Speaker 1>seeds of life would be spread. And so um it

0:28:49.240 --> 0:28:51.560
<v Speaker 1>was that that to me is already an interesting idea.

0:28:51.840 --> 0:28:54.640
<v Speaker 1>So they're suggesting that's not something that would be purely

0:28:54.680 --> 0:28:58.120
<v Speaker 1>directional where there'd be an impact, and straight on the

0:28:58.160 --> 0:29:01.520
<v Speaker 1>other side be where the life goes out. And that's it. Um,

0:29:01.560 --> 0:29:03.840
<v Speaker 1>they're saying, no, think of it like almost like an explosion.

0:29:03.840 --> 0:29:08.400
<v Speaker 1>In fact, they they likened it to the way an

0:29:08.440 --> 0:29:11.280
<v Speaker 1>epidemic spreads and talked about how the galaxy could be

0:29:11.320 --> 0:29:21.880
<v Speaker 1>infected with life a cancer. Um. So, if we work

0:29:21.920 --> 0:29:24.400
<v Speaker 1>from this hypothesis and we assume that the Earth is

0:29:24.720 --> 0:29:28.120
<v Speaker 1>let's say, on the edge of one of these bubbles. Um,

0:29:29.080 --> 0:29:32.280
<v Speaker 1>we don't necessarily think that, because we have no evidence

0:29:32.360 --> 0:29:33.920
<v Speaker 1>yet to to think one way or the other. But

0:29:34.000 --> 0:29:38.120
<v Speaker 1>let's assume that we are, then we'll play along. Yeah,

0:29:38.280 --> 0:29:40.320
<v Speaker 1>then what what would need to happen next is we

0:29:40.360 --> 0:29:43.680
<v Speaker 1>would actually still need to look somewhere and find some

0:29:43.760 --> 0:29:47.880
<v Speaker 1>evidence of if not life, not not direct evidence of life,

0:29:47.920 --> 0:29:51.239
<v Speaker 1>at least some some bio markers that could indicate the

0:29:51.240 --> 0:29:54.720
<v Speaker 1>presence of life. And according to this model, the best

0:29:54.760 --> 0:29:56.960
<v Speaker 1>thing to do at that point would be to really

0:29:57.000 --> 0:30:00.480
<v Speaker 1>focus your attention in that general direction and kind ignore

0:30:00.600 --> 0:30:02.520
<v Speaker 1>everything on the other side, because if Earth is on

0:30:02.560 --> 0:30:05.600
<v Speaker 1>the edge of one of these bubbles, everything behind us

0:30:05.880 --> 0:30:09.080
<v Speaker 1>would be lifeless. Everything ahead of us in from that

0:30:09.160 --> 0:30:15.520
<v Speaker 1>perspective would be potentially yeah, full of life. Um. Now,

0:30:15.560 --> 0:30:17.280
<v Speaker 1>that of course assumes that we're on the edge of

0:30:17.280 --> 0:30:19.480
<v Speaker 1>a bubble and not in the middle. If we're in

0:30:19.480 --> 0:30:22.840
<v Speaker 1>the middle, then technically everywhere we look should still have

0:30:23.120 --> 0:30:27.400
<v Speaker 1>lots of potential for life. But it is an interesting idea.

0:30:27.520 --> 0:30:30.800
<v Speaker 1>It does obviously have some drawbacks. For example, we still

0:30:30.840 --> 0:30:33.760
<v Speaker 1>have to find evidence of some form of life somewhere

0:30:33.800 --> 0:30:35.440
<v Speaker 1>in order for us to even have an idea of

0:30:35.440 --> 0:30:38.040
<v Speaker 1>where to look. But from that point we could start

0:30:38.080 --> 0:30:41.000
<v Speaker 1>to model where the life would most likely be found,

0:30:41.360 --> 0:30:44.320
<v Speaker 1>and then we could concentrate our efforts in those directions,

0:30:44.600 --> 0:30:49.200
<v Speaker 1>thinking that perhaps it's possible that we could discover um

0:30:49.360 --> 0:30:52.440
<v Speaker 1>intelligent life that way, because we we have a you know,

0:30:52.520 --> 0:30:55.720
<v Speaker 1>a specific direction to focus on. The other thing to

0:30:56.080 --> 0:30:58.480
<v Speaker 1>keep in mind is that, over the course of millions

0:30:58.520 --> 0:31:02.320
<v Speaker 1>of years, star systems move in relation to one another,

0:31:03.080 --> 0:31:07.120
<v Speaker 1>and if this event happened many many, many hundreds of

0:31:07.160 --> 0:31:12.920
<v Speaker 1>millions of years ago, then it makes it more difficult

0:31:12.960 --> 0:31:15.920
<v Speaker 1>to figure out where that central spot would be because

0:31:16.000 --> 0:31:19.720
<v Speaker 1>the the star systems have continued to move apart or

0:31:20.080 --> 0:31:22.440
<v Speaker 1>you know, in relation to one another over that time. Yeah,

0:31:22.440 --> 0:31:24.800
<v Speaker 1>I mean, you can think about it the way that

0:31:24.320 --> 0:31:28.480
<v Speaker 1>uh that the Earth is not always a constant distance

0:31:28.560 --> 0:31:31.360
<v Speaker 1>from Venus or Mars. Likewise, the solar system is not

0:31:31.440 --> 0:31:35.240
<v Speaker 1>always a constant distance from other solar systems. Yeah, everything

0:31:35.240 --> 0:31:38.800
<v Speaker 1>in space is moving around. Yeah. I imagine it as

0:31:39.160 --> 0:31:41.719
<v Speaker 1>Let's say that you've got a bowl of water, and

0:31:41.760 --> 0:31:44.280
<v Speaker 1>you have like a little drop of food coloring that

0:31:44.320 --> 0:31:46.160
<v Speaker 1>can float on the surface of that water, and you

0:31:46.280 --> 0:31:48.440
<v Speaker 1>drop it, and at first it's a nice little circle

0:31:48.480 --> 0:31:51.000
<v Speaker 1>that starts to spread, but eventually it starts to break

0:31:51.080 --> 0:31:53.680
<v Speaker 1>up and move around in relation, so that things that

0:31:53.800 --> 0:31:55.400
<v Speaker 1>used to be right next to each other now might

0:31:55.400 --> 0:31:58.080
<v Speaker 1>be across the bowl of water from one another. So

0:31:58.080 --> 0:32:00.800
<v Speaker 1>so we need to create a model for the way

0:32:00.840 --> 0:32:04.320
<v Speaker 1>that the universe and in our little localized region of it,

0:32:04.360 --> 0:32:07.440
<v Speaker 1>has been spreading, like a very detailed model. In order

0:32:07.480 --> 0:32:08.960
<v Speaker 1>to really get to the bottom of this and to

0:32:09.080 --> 0:32:11.160
<v Speaker 1>understand that, we would need to at least have an

0:32:11.280 --> 0:32:14.960
<v Speaker 1>estimation of how long ago the life spread out in

0:32:15.000 --> 0:32:17.760
<v Speaker 1>the first place. Now here on Earth, we're talking possibly,

0:32:17.960 --> 0:32:20.760
<v Speaker 1>you know, around around four billion years ago or so.

0:32:21.320 --> 0:32:23.320
<v Speaker 1>That's a lot of time. How long did it take

0:32:23.440 --> 0:32:26.840
<v Speaker 1>to get here? Yeah, exactly, So it gets it gets

0:32:26.880 --> 0:32:31.600
<v Speaker 1>hard for X exactly. Yeah. So in other words, this

0:32:31.680 --> 0:32:34.840
<v Speaker 1>is a really interesting thought experiment, and I'm sure that

0:32:34.880 --> 0:32:38.240
<v Speaker 1>it will end up being useful and in the long run.

0:32:38.360 --> 0:32:40.120
<v Speaker 1>It's just one of those where I still think that

0:32:40.160 --> 0:32:44.200
<v Speaker 1>there are some variables that we can't fill in yet.

0:32:44.440 --> 0:32:48.200
<v Speaker 1>Even even if we were to discover a planet distant

0:32:48.240 --> 0:32:52.760
<v Speaker 1>planet that appears to have these markers for biological activity,

0:32:53.240 --> 0:32:55.960
<v Speaker 1>it would be very difficult for us to estimate when

0:32:56.080 --> 0:33:00.280
<v Speaker 1>that would have happened in the galactic time scale. It

0:33:00.320 --> 0:33:05.080
<v Speaker 1>would be really nice if our giant, bald alien neighbors

0:33:05.160 --> 0:33:07.600
<v Speaker 1>would just send us a message and be like, hey,

0:33:07.960 --> 0:33:10.000
<v Speaker 1>uh we did we did this about this long ago

0:33:10.520 --> 0:33:12.840
<v Speaker 1>in Earth years, in which case we're like, well, the

0:33:12.880 --> 0:33:15.040
<v Speaker 1>whole reason we were looking into it was to talk

0:33:15.080 --> 0:33:17.440
<v Speaker 1>to you, So I guess now we can just stop anyway.

0:33:18.880 --> 0:33:20.680
<v Speaker 1>Plus you can just tell us where you put it.

0:33:22.720 --> 0:33:25.840
<v Speaker 1>We have a lot of questions out. First of all,

0:33:26.080 --> 0:33:29.320
<v Speaker 1>have you shot that store? Like? There's a lot of

0:33:29.360 --> 0:33:32.240
<v Speaker 1>clothing stores that we can hook you up with here

0:33:32.280 --> 0:33:33.960
<v Speaker 1>on Earth, you know, if you if you feel like it,

0:33:34.560 --> 0:33:38.560
<v Speaker 1>you know, no, no shame, no shaming. I'm just imagining

0:33:38.600 --> 0:33:42.080
<v Speaker 1>a really interesting moment in the future of humanity. When

0:33:42.200 --> 0:33:47.080
<v Speaker 1>let's say we do encounter microbial life somewhere out there,

0:33:47.120 --> 0:33:49.000
<v Speaker 1>you know, whether it's on Mars or it's on a

0:33:49.080 --> 0:33:53.240
<v Speaker 1>comet or something like that, and we bring it back

0:33:53.400 --> 0:33:57.120
<v Speaker 1>and we say, okay, it's time to let's assume it's

0:33:57.200 --> 0:34:02.200
<v Speaker 1>DNA based the moment when we test that, to see

0:34:02.960 --> 0:34:06.360
<v Speaker 1>do we share jeans with this thing? Because it seems

0:34:06.400 --> 0:34:08.960
<v Speaker 1>like that would be the test. I mean, I'm not

0:34:09.040 --> 0:34:12.080
<v Speaker 1>an astrobiologist. I don't really know, but my guests would

0:34:12.080 --> 0:34:15.000
<v Speaker 1>be the test for pan spermia. The real test would

0:34:15.000 --> 0:34:18.680
<v Speaker 1>be you find an alien life form and then you

0:34:18.920 --> 0:34:22.719
<v Speaker 1>test it the same way we look for ancestral similarity

0:34:22.800 --> 0:34:25.840
<v Speaker 1>in in life forms on Earth. You say, okay, do

0:34:25.880 --> 0:34:28.640
<v Speaker 1>you match these points of loci on a on a

0:34:28.920 --> 0:34:32.160
<v Speaker 1>you know, gene panel, And if you do, wow, I

0:34:32.160 --> 0:34:36.719
<v Speaker 1>mean that's interesting. I'd imagine you could also probably be

0:34:36.800 --> 0:34:40.600
<v Speaker 1>able to look at its genome and our genome and determine,

0:34:40.920 --> 0:34:44.399
<v Speaker 1>based on assumptions about the mutation rate, about how long

0:34:44.440 --> 0:34:50.000
<v Speaker 1>ago we split apart, right, I suppose, I mean it's roughly.

0:34:50.000 --> 0:34:54.000
<v Speaker 1>Those kind of estimates are pretty shaky on a on

0:34:54.080 --> 0:34:57.920
<v Speaker 1>a global time scale, but but but absolutely, yeah, we

0:34:57.960 --> 0:35:00.560
<v Speaker 1>could at least look to see if if there are

0:35:00.680 --> 0:35:04.400
<v Speaker 1>enough common elements to make an educated guess at it.

0:35:04.400 --> 0:35:07.719
<v Speaker 1>It's we're talking so much in the hypothetical here. It's

0:35:08.600 --> 0:35:14.000
<v Speaker 1>here that's very interesting. So, yeah, the super interesting idea

0:35:14.080 --> 0:35:17.719
<v Speaker 1>for this this work. But again, it really depends on

0:35:17.760 --> 0:35:22.600
<v Speaker 1>this pan spermia hypothesis being being being the way that

0:35:22.719 --> 0:35:27.719
<v Speaker 1>life travels or distributes throughout the galaxy and the universe. Yeah,

0:35:27.800 --> 0:35:30.680
<v Speaker 1>and I wanted to go back to the concept of

0:35:30.719 --> 0:35:33.759
<v Speaker 1>a biogenesis for a minute and talk about one of

0:35:33.800 --> 0:35:38.880
<v Speaker 1>the alternate theories about how bodies impacting Earth could have

0:35:39.080 --> 0:35:44.040
<v Speaker 1>led to life on Earth coming about so um without

0:35:44.040 --> 0:35:46.080
<v Speaker 1>just bringing it here, without just bringing it without like

0:35:46.120 --> 0:35:49.040
<v Speaker 1>bringing a water bug. And you know our common ancestor,

0:35:49.160 --> 0:35:52.080
<v Speaker 1>the water bugpagating all life on Earth. All right, let's

0:35:52.080 --> 0:35:54.840
<v Speaker 1>hear it, water water bear. What am I even talking about? Well,

0:35:54.840 --> 0:35:57.920
<v Speaker 1>I'll stick with water bug actually at this point. So so,

0:35:58.080 --> 0:36:02.799
<v Speaker 1>research from multiple team has found building blocks of life

0:36:02.880 --> 0:36:06.920
<v Speaker 1>as we know it amino acids in comets, and in

0:36:06.960 --> 0:36:10.120
<v Speaker 1>one experiment at the University of Hawaii and Manoah, chemists

0:36:10.200 --> 0:36:13.880
<v Speaker 1>simulated a comet like environment like like ten degrees Calvin

0:36:14.040 --> 0:36:17.480
<v Speaker 1>above zero uh and this ball of ice that included

0:36:17.520 --> 0:36:20.360
<v Speaker 1>carbon dioxide and ammonia and methane and ethane and propane

0:36:20.400 --> 0:36:24.000
<v Speaker 1>and stuff like that. And when they zapped this ball

0:36:24.280 --> 0:36:28.160
<v Speaker 1>with with simulated cosmic rays the high energy electrons, the

0:36:28.480 --> 0:36:33.200
<v Speaker 1>chemicals reacted and formed dipeptides, which are paired amino acids,

0:36:33.239 --> 0:36:37.320
<v Speaker 1>which are definitely essential to life. So it's possible that

0:36:37.320 --> 0:36:42.239
<v Speaker 1>that this this UH concoction, that this this series of

0:36:42.400 --> 0:36:46.880
<v Speaker 1>events that are you know, amazing that they all happened

0:36:46.880 --> 0:36:49.920
<v Speaker 1>within enough time for this to be a to to work,

0:36:50.400 --> 0:36:53.200
<v Speaker 1>could be the building blocks for life. The only thing

0:36:53.200 --> 0:36:55.600
<v Speaker 1>we have to do now is wait billions of years

0:36:55.600 --> 0:36:58.680
<v Speaker 1>to find out if it works. Oh well, And and

0:36:58.719 --> 0:37:01.200
<v Speaker 1>you know, the next question after at was do these

0:37:01.239 --> 0:37:05.640
<v Speaker 1>dipeptides actually exist in other places? Because if they only

0:37:05.680 --> 0:37:08.880
<v Speaker 1>exist on Earth, then that would be a good indication

0:37:08.920 --> 0:37:12.520
<v Speaker 1>that this experiment from Hawaii was totally off base. But

0:37:12.760 --> 0:37:16.239
<v Speaker 1>research out of UC Berkeley and NASA have sampled UH

0:37:16.360 --> 0:37:20.480
<v Speaker 1>stuff from Mars and from comets and both found amino acids.

0:37:20.480 --> 0:37:23.399
<v Speaker 1>They found dipeptides on Mars, which indicates that this kind

0:37:23.400 --> 0:37:27.280
<v Speaker 1>of material is indeed floating around the Solar System. And

0:37:27.320 --> 0:37:31.120
<v Speaker 1>then uh I guess The next question is whether or

0:37:31.160 --> 0:37:36.360
<v Speaker 1>not an impact with Earth would would help or hamper

0:37:36.560 --> 0:37:39.520
<v Speaker 1>the situation, because that much energy is is a really

0:37:39.560 --> 0:37:43.879
<v Speaker 1>big it's a big bota boom, you know. Um so, so,

0:37:44.280 --> 0:37:47.759
<v Speaker 1>a team out of the Japan Agency for Marine Earth

0:37:47.800 --> 0:37:52.080
<v Speaker 1>Science and Technology and also out of a Nagoya University

0:37:52.360 --> 0:37:55.080
<v Speaker 1>ran an experiment that simulated the shock of a comet

0:37:55.480 --> 0:37:59.640
<v Speaker 1>containing amino acids impacting the Earth, and they they got

0:37:59.640 --> 0:38:02.560
<v Speaker 1>tripe peptides out of it, which is an even longer

0:38:02.600 --> 0:38:06.640
<v Speaker 1>amino acid chain and is therefore even more impressive interesting.

0:38:07.040 --> 0:38:12.080
<v Speaker 1>So you know, who knows tripeptides are certainly not water

0:38:12.160 --> 0:38:15.440
<v Speaker 1>bugs or water bears neither one. Yeah. This this kind

0:38:15.440 --> 0:38:18.520
<v Speaker 1>of goes back to some of that that idea of

0:38:18.920 --> 0:38:22.799
<v Speaker 1>if you have organic but non living material, could that

0:38:22.920 --> 0:38:27.560
<v Speaker 1>give rise to actual living or organisms and uh and

0:38:27.680 --> 0:38:31.600
<v Speaker 1>this these sort of experiments are really important to add

0:38:31.640 --> 0:38:35.200
<v Speaker 1>to our understanding about whether or not that's possible. And

0:38:35.440 --> 0:38:37.680
<v Speaker 1>uh yeah, I mean I love the fact that we

0:38:37.760 --> 0:38:42.080
<v Speaker 1>have multiple lines of inquiry out there looking at different

0:38:42.400 --> 0:38:46.880
<v Speaker 1>different possibilities. And it may very well be that the

0:38:46.880 --> 0:38:50.480
<v Speaker 1>the real answer is something that we haven't even thought

0:38:50.520 --> 0:38:52.799
<v Speaker 1>of yet. Oh sure, it could absolutely be be a

0:38:52.840 --> 0:38:57.520
<v Speaker 1>combination of any of these systems. And uh, the looking

0:38:57.560 --> 0:39:01.640
<v Speaker 1>into to the dual chemical and energy jack system that

0:39:01.800 --> 0:39:06.200
<v Speaker 1>could have brought life here about is so fascinating to me. Yeah, no,

0:39:06.320 --> 0:39:09.480
<v Speaker 1>it really is interesting. So uh, you know, we've also

0:39:09.520 --> 0:39:12.279
<v Speaker 1>often said this on the show as well. Sometimes it

0:39:12.360 --> 0:39:17.279
<v Speaker 1>may seem like a particular uh experiment, or a particular

0:39:17.320 --> 0:39:21.880
<v Speaker 1>discipline or whatever might seem like a long shot, but

0:39:22.280 --> 0:39:24.960
<v Speaker 1>the important thing to remembers that we're learning important stuff

0:39:25.000 --> 0:39:28.400
<v Speaker 1>about ourselves in the process, not just whether or not

0:39:28.440 --> 0:39:31.399
<v Speaker 1>alien life is out there, but how how life had

0:39:32.040 --> 0:39:36.080
<v Speaker 1>originated and then evolved over time here on Earth. These

0:39:36.080 --> 0:39:39.720
<v Speaker 1>sort of questions are really awesome. I mean, it's great

0:39:39.760 --> 0:39:42.000
<v Speaker 1>to learn more about it, and you never know what

0:39:42.160 --> 0:39:44.960
<v Speaker 1>else you will be able to learn down the line.

0:39:45.000 --> 0:39:47.840
<v Speaker 1>It can be stuff that ends up changing the course

0:39:48.040 --> 0:39:52.080
<v Speaker 1>of humanity in the future. So really interesting. I'm glad

0:39:52.120 --> 0:39:55.279
<v Speaker 1>we've got a chance to tackle this. I'm going back

0:39:55.280 --> 0:39:56.879
<v Speaker 1>and forth about whether or not I need to see

0:39:56.920 --> 0:40:01.200
<v Speaker 1>Prometheus now. I don't know. I've commend watching it. It's

0:40:01.200 --> 0:40:05.920
<v Speaker 1>not good necessarily. Well, there's a sequel coming out. I

0:40:06.239 --> 0:40:08.439
<v Speaker 1>guess I feel the same way. I mean, if if

0:40:08.480 --> 0:40:13.040
<v Speaker 1>you love if you love Alien. It's worth seeing, but

0:40:13.120 --> 0:40:15.560
<v Speaker 1>it's it's don't expect it to be good. Well, you know,

0:40:15.600 --> 0:40:19.520
<v Speaker 1>Prometheus two is Ridley Scott's next feature. That's the next one.

0:40:19.719 --> 0:40:22.880
<v Speaker 1>You know that the Martian is done. I'm fine with

0:40:22.920 --> 0:40:24.520
<v Speaker 1>that as long as he doesn't go back to doing

0:40:24.560 --> 0:40:28.080
<v Speaker 1>sword and sandal movies. Yeah, I hear that. It's all

0:40:28.120 --> 0:40:33.560
<v Speaker 1>sorts and sandal aliens. It's just it's just one alien

0:40:33.600 --> 0:40:38.719
<v Speaker 1>writing on the back of a Xeno morph. But that's

0:40:38.719 --> 0:40:41.360
<v Speaker 1>that sounds great. Actually, that sounds like that. I like

0:40:41.440 --> 0:40:43.840
<v Speaker 1>that a lot better than than Gladiator. Yeah, that'd be

0:40:43.880 --> 0:40:46.600
<v Speaker 1>another movie that we'd have to, um, we'd have to

0:40:46.600 --> 0:40:50.120
<v Speaker 1>to dissect here on the show. So, guys, if you

0:40:50.160 --> 0:40:52.960
<v Speaker 1>have any suggestions for future topics we can tackle here

0:40:53.040 --> 0:40:55.680
<v Speaker 1>on Forward Thinking. Maybe there is a science fiction movie

0:40:55.719 --> 0:40:58.480
<v Speaker 1>that you want us to look at and discuss the

0:40:58.680 --> 0:41:02.960
<v Speaker 1>scientific merits or lack thereof. Let us know the email

0:41:02.960 --> 0:41:06.480
<v Speaker 1>addresses f W Thinking at how Stuff Works dot com,

0:41:06.640 --> 0:41:09.040
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0:41:09.040 --> 0:41:12.120
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0:41:12.239 --> 0:41:16.200
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0:41:16.239 --> 0:41:18.360
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0:41:18.400 --> 0:41:27.040
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0:41:27.120 --> 0:41:41.040
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0:41:41.160 --> 0:41:43.960
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