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Speaker 1: What's up, guys?

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Speaker 2: How are you welcome into the Daily Juice podcast for Saturday,

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Speaker 2: the morning of UFC two sixty four. My name is

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Speaker 2: Matt Perrault here in Las Vegas, and I cannot wait

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Speaker 2: to get into Timobilreina coming up tonight. I have got

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Speaker 2: a bunch and I mean a bunch of plays to

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Speaker 2: tell you about. I've been going light. I've been saving

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Speaker 2: up the bank roll for tonight to get heavily involved

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Speaker 2: here with UFC two sixty four. Boomer bust time for

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Speaker 2: me when it comes to where we are here with

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Speaker 2: UFC two sixty four. This podcast every day being brought

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Speaker 2: to you by bet MGM. But they got that very

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Speaker 2: special offer right now where you can win one hundred

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Speaker 2: dollars in free wagers. You bet twenty bucks on Connor

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Speaker 2: McGregor and if he lands a single punch you bet

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Speaker 2: twenty bucks. You'll win one hundred bucks in free bets

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Speaker 2: from bet MGM with the promo code Juice one one

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Speaker 2: hundred during the main event coming up tonight. It is

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Speaker 2: available in New Jersey, Colorado, Indiana, West Virginia, Tennessee, Pennsylvania, Michigan, Virginia, Iowa,

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Speaker 2: a new account with bet MGM. All right, So I'm

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Speaker 2: not gonna spend any other time talking just about the

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Speaker 2: picks today because I've got so many to give you

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Speaker 2: that I just need to start right away. I can't

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Speaker 2: normally I kind of commit and talk about Lake yesterday

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Speaker 2: and in recap. Don't have the time for it. Got

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Speaker 2: to get right to the picks here today for us

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Speaker 2: for UFC two sixty four. If you don't like betting

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Speaker 2: miss martial Arts, I'm sorry this podcast today is not

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Speaker 2: going to be your cup of tea. We are in

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Speaker 2: all in on this fight card coming up here tonight.

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Speaker 2: I've spent the last two days going to events. I

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Speaker 2: was at the press conference, I was at the Wayans.

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Speaker 2: I sat next to chat O Jo Sinko yesterday, which

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Speaker 2: is really pretty cool. He showed me a DM from

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Speaker 2: Connor McGregor that wished him good luck for his boxing fight.

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Speaker 2: It was fun talking boxing and boxing training with him

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Speaker 2: and how he used to train in the off season

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Speaker 2: and what he has done. That was super cool. And

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Speaker 2: this is kind of the fun of these events. Here

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Speaker 2: in Vegas, the big celebrities come out, the big name people,

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Speaker 2: and it was just cool to talk to him today.

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Speaker 2: Yesterday met a couple of really cool local media people.

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Speaker 2: We hung out talking about different things like the A's

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Speaker 2: moving to Vegas, which we all think is going to happen,

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Speaker 2: which is crazy. But it's been really fun. So I

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Speaker 2: can't wait to get into this. I can't wait to

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Speaker 2: watch all these fights. It's the first time we're gonna

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Speaker 2: have eighteen thousand people full house for a UFC card.

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Speaker 2: We've seen full houses for the Golden Knights in the postseason,

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Speaker 2: we have not seen it for the UFC, and now

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Speaker 2: we're back with timobil Arena. Huge card. It's Connor McGregor,

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Speaker 2: is Dustin Poirier. I mean, these guys just going crazy,

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Speaker 2: Connor yelling and screaming, doing his typical antics.

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Speaker 1: Just incredible. Okay, so let's get into it. Okay.

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Speaker 2: I have four bets for you, and I have four

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Speaker 2: personal plays to give you.

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Speaker 1: Okay, so four bets.

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Speaker 2: Officially, and then i'll tell you when I'm betting some

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Speaker 2: other flyers. I am taking as well, bets that I

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Speaker 2: think are interesting that me may want to take a

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Speaker 2: look at. But let's start with the big boys and

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Speaker 2: the heavyweights, and let's start with Greg Hardy up against

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Speaker 2: tie To Avesa. And this fight is going to be

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Speaker 2: really interesting. So Greg Hardy is coming off of a

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Speaker 2: lost tibura in his last fight, did not look all that.

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Speaker 1: Great doing it. And you know, if you look.

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Speaker 2: At Greg Hardy, he gets stopped by Ko in the

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Speaker 2: second round of that fight, four point thirty one into

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Speaker 2: the second round. Greg Hardy in the fight before that,

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Speaker 2: beat Maurice Green. He won his previous fight by decision.

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Speaker 2: He lost to look Off by decision, and then he

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Speaker 2: had the disqualification back in October of twenty nineteen that

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Speaker 2: we all saw during the Dinna White. I think that

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Speaker 2: was a Dinner White. Now a can remember when.

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Speaker 1: That fight was. He was dqed, but he got dqed there.

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Speaker 2: So if you were to lose this fight, he will

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Speaker 2: have lost three of his previous six fights and he'll

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Speaker 2: have one no decision contest in there. So this is

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Speaker 2: a big fight for Greg Hardy. The problem for Greg

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Speaker 2: Hardy he.

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Speaker 1: Doesn't have a gas tank. His average fight.

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Speaker 2: Length is seven minutes and fifteen seconds, but we have

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Speaker 2: seen him repeatedly gas out. He just doesn't have the

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Speaker 2: energy to go three rounds in the UFC. Most heavyweights don't.

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Speaker 2: And this is a guy who's not easily making two

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Speaker 2: sixty five. Okay, he's having a tough time as a

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Speaker 2: heavyweight to make it under He weight cuts supposedly for

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Speaker 2: the heavyweight division, which is not really something you do

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Speaker 2: from a heavyweight perspective. Bam bam, as he goes by,

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Speaker 2: Touavesa has been pretty good.

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Speaker 1: He's twelve and three in the UFC.

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Speaker 2: He got a knockout in his previous fight against Harry Huntsucker,

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Speaker 2: and it happened quickly, forty nine seconds into the fight.

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Speaker 2: That guy wasn't much of a match. He won his

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Speaker 2: previous fight, also by knockout in the first round. He

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Speaker 2: lost his previous three fights before that submission, a decision

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Speaker 2: and then knockout. He got knocked out by Junior DeSanto's

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Speaker 2: A lot of guys have been knocked out by Junior

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Speaker 2: de Santos, so it's not that big of a thing

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Speaker 2: to kind of hang on him saying, Okay, that's a

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Speaker 2: bad loss.

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Speaker 1: But here's the thing. Ty has knockout ability.

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Speaker 2: He's got, you know, a little bit of a shorter,

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Speaker 2: stockier frame, and he's a dude. He's known for doing

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Speaker 2: shoeies after he knocks people out. That's the shoe shot,

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Speaker 2: drinking a beer out of someone's shoe, which is gross.

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Speaker 2: But look, I don't think this fight's going to the carts,

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Speaker 2: all right. I'm not sure who wins, but Greg Hardy

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Speaker 2: cannot go past you know, a round and a half.

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Speaker 1: If he does, he's in deep trouble.

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Speaker 2: If it does go past around and a half, I

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Speaker 2: think you could see a third round, either submission or.

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Speaker 1: Knockout for two Evesa. So Hardy goes for the early stoppage.

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Speaker 2: He's gonna go all out violence right away, try to

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Speaker 2: clean out Bam Bam on the other side. If Tavesa

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Speaker 2: can handle the pressure and handle the onslaught that Greg

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Speaker 2: Hardy's going to bring. And Hardy's being getting booed and

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Speaker 2: he's eating it up. He loves being this negative guy.

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Speaker 2: He loves calling out Derek Lewis and this is just

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Speaker 2: kind of who he is right now. He loves being

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Speaker 2: the heel of the UFC. To Avesa, it'll happen fast.

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Speaker 2: This fight not going the distance is minus one ninety five.

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Speaker 2: I'm gonna lay a full unit on this. I do

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Speaker 2: not believe this fight's going to the cards. One of

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Speaker 2: these two dudes will stop. We're getting a stoppage here,

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Speaker 2: either by knockout submission. The fight is not going the

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Speaker 2: full fifteen minutes. Not to go the distance minus one

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Speaker 2: ninety five. Most books will say the fight to go

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Speaker 2: to distance, yes or no. This will be a no

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Speaker 2: bet on it will not go the distance at minus

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Speaker 2: one ninety five.

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Speaker 1: It is juiced up. That's where we're betting a full

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Speaker 1: unit on this.

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Speaker 2: But I can't figure out who wins except one of

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Speaker 2: these guys in the heavyweight division. I can't see this

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Speaker 2: fight going to the cards unanimous decision. Nah, don't see it.

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Speaker 2: Hardy or to Evesa. One of the dudes to stop

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Speaker 2: the other. We're going no first bet, full unit. No

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Speaker 2: going the distance for Greg Hardy and tie to Evesa

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Speaker 2: in one of the main events, one of the main.

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Speaker 1: Card fights here. Okay, so that's play number one. Play

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Speaker 1: number two.

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Speaker 2: Let's talk about the co main events and this fight

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Speaker 2: is on a beat awesome. I cannot wait for this fight.

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Speaker 2: Gilbert Burns and Steven Thompson. So wonder Boy has not

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Speaker 2: fought Comoro Usman, yet Gilbert Burns has and that was

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Speaker 2: the last time we saw Gilbert Burns getting beat down

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Speaker 2: by the champion. Usman owned him. Burns did not look

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Speaker 2: like the same fighter who had beaten Tyron Woodley and

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Speaker 2: Damian Maya, and we were like, man, this guy's only

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Speaker 2: come up. Look out for Gilbert Burns. He's going to

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Speaker 2: be the next big guy here in this division. He's

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Speaker 2: gonna potentially, you know, contend, and Uzman just took him apart.

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Speaker 2: Now is that a knock on Gilbert Burns or is

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Speaker 2: that a knock or is it just how good Comoro

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Speaker 2: Usman is. I think it's a little bit of both. Okay,

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Speaker 2: Steven Thompson has not fought Camaro Usman. If he is

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Speaker 2: impressive here today, Steven Thompson could very well earn his

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Speaker 2: and punch his ticket to get himself into a title

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Speaker 2: fight for the first time fighting. He's had tyble fights

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Speaker 2: before he fought Woodley and he hasn't you know, a

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Speaker 2: long time ago. But Stephen Thompson is a dude that

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Speaker 2: I think when you look at his record in what

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Speaker 2: he has done, fought the title twice one time, you know,

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Speaker 2: people said that it was kind of tough he was.

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Speaker 2: It was a majority decision the first time majority decision.

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Speaker 2: The second time was a draw. I guess the first

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Speaker 2: fight was a draw.

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Speaker 1: That's right. First fight was a draw, second fight was

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Speaker 1: a loss.

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Speaker 2: Many people thought he lost the first fight or lost

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Speaker 2: both fights to Tyron Woodley, but that was back in

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Speaker 2: twenty sixteen and twenty seventeen. It's been a long time,

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Speaker 2: so this is a guy who's had to rebuild himself.

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Speaker 2: He lost to Darren Tail, he lost to Anthony Pettis,

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Speaker 2: but then he beat down Vicinti Luke and then he

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Speaker 2: beat down Jeff Neil, both by decision, by decision, going

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Speaker 2: three rounds and five rounds. This is a three round

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Speaker 2: fight here between Gilbert Burns and wonder Boy Thompson. Wonder

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Speaker 2: Boy six foot. He is way taller than Gilbert Burns.

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Speaker 2: Gilib Burns is not five to ten. Watching them stand

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Speaker 2: next to each other, He's got at least three inches

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Speaker 2: on him. Reach seventy five inches is seventy one inches.

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Speaker 2: Not buying that either. I think there's a much longer

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Speaker 2: reach advantage for Wonder Boy. This is a classic mismatch

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Speaker 2: of styles. You have juj two events against Karate you

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Speaker 2: have a grappler against a striker. You've got somebody who

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Speaker 2: wants to fight at distance versus somebody who wants to

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Speaker 2: get in and bang. It's really hard to take WonderBoy

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Speaker 2: Thompson down. His average his takedown defense is seventy eight percent.

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Speaker 1: That is really hard to do.

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Speaker 2: And look, the takedown accuracy for Gilbert Burns is not great,

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Speaker 2: thirty five percent. He averages two takedowns every fifteen minutes.

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Speaker 2: His takedown defense is very good. But there's no way

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Speaker 2: wonder Boy is going to go for a submission. He

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Speaker 2: wants no part of it. He's gonna stand at range

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Speaker 2: and he averages four point two strikes per minute. That

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Speaker 2: that's a full strike more per minute than what Gilbert

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Speaker 2: Burns does.

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Speaker 1: Gilbert Burns is also.

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Speaker 2: Hit able, three strikes absorbed per round, sorry per minute

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Speaker 2: he gets hit. Wonder Boy has knockout power in his legs.

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Speaker 2: But I don't think Gilbert Burns is gonna get knocked out.

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Speaker 2: Here the more likely situation. And this is the one

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Speaker 2: bet of the night that's gonna worry me a lot

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Speaker 2: because I could lay minus one fifty juice and just

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Speaker 2: take Stephen Thompson to win. But if Steven Thompson, if

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Speaker 2: wonder Boy Thompson's gonna win this fight, it's gonna go

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Speaker 2: the distance, It's gonna go to a decision. So I

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Speaker 2: just can't see this fight. I can't look at this

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Speaker 2: fight and say it's gonna go all. It's gonna go

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Speaker 2: and end before the three rounds because if it does,

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Speaker 2: that mostly means that Gilbert Burns is gonna win. So

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Speaker 2: if Gilbert Burns is gonna win, then you know, betting

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Speaker 2: Thompson minus one fifty doesn't make a lot of sense.

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Speaker 2: So if Thompson wins, we're going by decision. And I

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Speaker 2: think Wonder Boy's gonna stay at distance. I think he's

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Speaker 2: hungry for a chance at the title again. I think

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Speaker 2: he feels like he's got a lot left in the tank,

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Speaker 2: and I think he feels like, you know what, I

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Speaker 2: have one more shot here. He's sixteen to four and one.

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Speaker 2: He's such an awkward dude to go up against. Sure,

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Speaker 2: Gilbert Burns is gonna rush him and try to take

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Speaker 2: him down. And if Gilbert Burns gets him on his back,

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Speaker 2: Thompson could be in big trouble. Okay, But as I said,

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Speaker 2: seventy eight percent takedown defense. It's really hard to get

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Speaker 2: Stephen Thompson on the ground. I'm gonna bank that Gilbert

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Speaker 2: Burns can't do it. Boy in particular early in the

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Speaker 2: fight can keep himself up and use that great takedown

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Speaker 2: defense to avoid going to the ground, and then it's

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Speaker 2: just basically picking him apart and scoring points. And WonderBoy

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Speaker 2: just with the kicks and the and the punches just

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Speaker 2: outstrikes Gilbert Burns to a win by decision. It's plus

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Speaker 2: one sixty five. This is the one bed of night

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Speaker 2: that I'm gonna be cringing on because of the plus

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Speaker 2: money and I'm gonna wager one unit on it.

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Speaker 1: We're going one unit.

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Speaker 2: Thompson by decision at plus one sixty five for Wonder

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Speaker 2: Boy to beat Gilbert Burns in the Cole Main event

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Speaker 2: into Minds one fifty five mins, one fifteen just for

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Speaker 2: Steven Thompson to win. Just take him to get the

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Speaker 2: w I'm gonna take them kind of by a prop here,

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Speaker 2: take them by decision to win this fight over Gilbert Burns.

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Speaker 2: I'm gonna kind of be watching with my eyes over

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Speaker 2: my handle, my eyes staring through my eyes, going, oh

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Speaker 2: my gosh, here we go.

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Speaker 1: It could be really pretty tough. So that's where I'm

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Speaker 1: gonna go.

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Speaker 2: Here Thompson by decision at plus one sixty five for

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Speaker 2: a full unit. Okay, before I give you Connor and

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Speaker 2: Dustin Poier my pick, which is pretty much why you're

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Speaker 2: watching this or listening to this on YouTube, or or

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Speaker 2: watching on YouTube or listening to this podcast or wherever

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Speaker 2: you get your podcast, you're probably going, Okay, Matt, get

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Speaker 2: to Connor and Dustin Pourier.

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Speaker 1: Hold on a second, Okay, I want to give.

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Speaker 2: You four plays that I'm taking that you can do

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Speaker 2: whatever you want with.

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Speaker 1: These are just quarter unit bets.

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Speaker 2: They're flyer wagers that I've got going on for this

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Speaker 2: fight card. But it's bets I like, and you can

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Speaker 2: talk about it and get involved. I just don't want

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Speaker 2: to have eight fights going. It's ridiculous to give eight

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Speaker 2: fights away. But these are other plays I am making

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Speaker 2: before I give you Connor and Dustin Poier. I think people,

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Speaker 2: in some way they are sleeping on one of the

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Speaker 2: fights that might be one of the best fights of

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Speaker 2: the night. And I think there's a lot of people

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Speaker 2: who are in and around the UFC are talking about

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Speaker 2: Nico Price and Michael Pereira and what this welterweight matchup

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Speaker 2: is going to look like.

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Speaker 1: This is on the prelimbs. All right, you.

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Speaker 2: Got Price who's fourteen and four, Pereira is twenty five

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Speaker 2: and eleven. I mean we're talking violence. Okay, this is

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Speaker 2: going to be a violent, violent fight. But I think

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Speaker 2: this fight goes to the distance. I think you can

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Speaker 2: get I like this fight by decision. Shop around, see

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Speaker 2: what you can get on that. But Price in Pereira

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Speaker 2: to go all three rounds, and both these guys are

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Speaker 2: pretty durable. Although Price has ended, his average fight time

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Speaker 2: is seven oh two, so he has had fights go

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Speaker 2: a lot quicker than Michael Pereira. It's been eleven and

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Speaker 2: fifty five for him. But this has fight the night

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Speaker 2: potential written all over. It's this is I think goes

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Speaker 2: to the decision. You can bet an over on this

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Speaker 2: as well. Over two and a half rounds, you want

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Speaker 2: to bet on that as well. But Price in Pereira

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Speaker 2: we're going to a decision. We're going the distance. Basically,

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Speaker 2: this fight to go the distance for Price in Pereira.

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Speaker 2: Sugar Sean O'Malley is fighting a dude that has crazy

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Speaker 2: green hair who I guess is trying to out Sugar.

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Speaker 2: Sugar Sean is going to ruin this dude. I'm going

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Speaker 2: first round knockout at plus one point fifteen. Sean's winning

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Speaker 2: this fight. It's ridiculous. The juice is so stupid. It's

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Speaker 2: you can't bet this fight. It's just ridiculous, you know,

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Speaker 2: eight hundred seven hundred minus seven.

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Speaker 1: It's just dumb.

300
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Speaker 2: Okay, people are betting on Chris Martina, Mattina Matino, right,

301
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Speaker 2: Chris Matino. They're betting on this kid just because and

302
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Speaker 2: this is his debut in the UFC. It's a short

303
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Speaker 2: notice fight. O'Malley, when'sbo to fight this dude? And when

304
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Speaker 2: people get hit by O'Malley, they go down. Sugar Shan

305
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Speaker 2: O'Malley by knockout in the first round at plus one fifteen.

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Speaker 2: It's the shortest of all the props. By the way,

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Speaker 2: if the second round knockout plus two eighty five give

308
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Speaker 2: you an idea of what the books are thinking is

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Speaker 2: going to happen here. So I'm going Sugar to knock

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Speaker 2: out and we're gonna go. Well, I guess it's kind of.

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Speaker 1: Well.

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Speaker 2: I'll get to Dustin Poorier here because there's a couple

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Speaker 2: of eight kind of factors in the Porier thing, kind

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Speaker 2: of factory kind of factors in with the next two

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Speaker 2: that I'm going to be on. Okay, let's get to

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Speaker 2: the main event, Dustin Poorier taking on Connan McGregor. It

317
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Speaker 2: has been interesting to see Connor all week and how

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Speaker 2: he's been talking, and Connor looks like a guy who

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Speaker 2: was trying to convince himself of something. And Dustin Pourier

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Speaker 2: was very nervous during that press conference and all the

321
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Speaker 2: fans were yelling at him, but then Connor's verbal javelins

322
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Speaker 2: weren't really there. And then Connor was all wacko today

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Speaker 2: or yesterday at the wig ends and just trying to

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Speaker 2: get at you know, Poorier and doing all these like,

325
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Speaker 2: you know, all these things at the crowd all but

326
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Speaker 2: it felt it felt fake. For the first time for me,

327
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Speaker 2: it felt like Connor McGregor was forcing things. And I

328
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Speaker 2: love Connor McGregor, okay, and I hope Connor McGregor wins

329
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Speaker 2: this fight.

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Speaker 1: I want him win this fight.

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Speaker 2: If I'm wrong here and I lose, I'm not going

332
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Speaker 2: to be angry on this. But I got a couple

333
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Speaker 2: of things going on here with this fight. Dustin Poier

334
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Speaker 2: is an unbelievable athlete. Connor McGregor in this division at

335
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Speaker 2: the lightweight belt has just not fought well. I mean

336
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Speaker 2: he just hasn't. He's won three and he's one in

337
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Speaker 2: three in his last four fights at one fifty five

338
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Speaker 2: his own I mean, he beat Cowboy Seroni, but I

339
00:16:02,960 --> 00:16:04,720
Speaker 2: mean the last time you have a win, you gonna

340
00:16:04,720 --> 00:16:07,920
Speaker 2: go back to the Alvarez fight like years and years

341
00:16:07,960 --> 00:16:10,760
Speaker 2: ago for Connor McGregor in terms of the last time

342
00:16:11,080 --> 00:16:14,400
Speaker 2: in twenty sixteen, that's where that question came from, saying,

343
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Speaker 2: Connor McGregor, you've won one fight in the octagon since

344
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Speaker 2: Barack Obama was in office. That's where that question came from.

345
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Speaker 2: And that's true. That's the win over Cowboy because he

346
00:16:22,600 --> 00:16:26,160
Speaker 2: lost both times to Habib and he would if he

347
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Speaker 2: loses this fight coming up here, he will have lost

348
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Speaker 2: both fights up against Dustin Poier at one fifty five,

349
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Speaker 2: and sure the.

350
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Speaker 1: Nate Diz fight will always be there.

351
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Speaker 2: Connor can go make a big pay day later on

352
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Speaker 2: if he loses to Dustin Poorier. This is not for

353
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Speaker 2: a belt, okay, but this is a main event fight

354
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Speaker 2: and you look at Connor average fight time eight sixteen.

355
00:16:46,960 --> 00:16:51,760
Speaker 2: Dustin Poier average fight time is ten sixteen. And there's

356
00:16:51,800 --> 00:16:53,400
Speaker 2: just a lot of things going on here. Sorry, if

357
00:16:53,400 --> 00:16:56,400
Speaker 2: you heard my phone ringing there, you know a five nine.

358
00:16:56,480 --> 00:16:59,600
Speaker 2: Both gouts are five to nine. But man, there's just

359
00:16:59,640 --> 00:17:02,520
Speaker 2: something with Dustin Poirier, with how active he has been.

360
00:17:02,760 --> 00:17:05,600
Speaker 2: And sure he lost to a BB two, but the

361
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Speaker 2: win over Holiday, the win over Hooker and then beating Connor,

362
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Speaker 2: there's a confidence in Pourier at this weight class. There

363
00:17:14,119 --> 00:17:18,320
Speaker 2: is a striking accuracy. This is going to be get

364
00:17:18,359 --> 00:17:19,720
Speaker 2: me through the first round.

365
00:17:20,080 --> 00:17:20,399
Speaker 1: Okay.

366
00:17:20,520 --> 00:17:22,800
Speaker 2: If Connor wins this fight, it's gonna be in the

367
00:17:22,800 --> 00:17:25,160
Speaker 2: first round. If we go to the second round or beyond,

368
00:17:25,800 --> 00:17:28,760
Speaker 2: Dustin Pourier is going to win this fight. So I

369
00:17:28,760 --> 00:17:31,080
Speaker 2: have a couple different ways of betting this, Okay. I

370
00:17:31,080 --> 00:17:33,360
Speaker 2: have a half a unit on Dustin Pourier to win

371
00:17:33,400 --> 00:17:38,040
Speaker 2: this fight at minus one thirty, okay. The second way

372
00:17:38,359 --> 00:17:43,600
Speaker 2: that you can bet this is Pourier to win inside

373
00:17:43,840 --> 00:17:47,680
Speaker 2: the distance, which is at plus one point fifty. That's

374
00:17:47,760 --> 00:17:50,080
Speaker 2: another half a unit, okay. So it's a full unit

375
00:17:50,119 --> 00:17:53,160
Speaker 2: on Pourtia to win. But just in case this fight

376
00:17:53,240 --> 00:17:55,439
Speaker 2: goes to the cart which would be shocking. But the

377
00:17:55,480 --> 00:17:57,480
Speaker 2: only reason why I'm hedging it a little bit and

378
00:17:57,520 --> 00:17:59,439
Speaker 2: not going with a full unit on Pourtia to win

379
00:17:59,440 --> 00:18:02,760
Speaker 2: inside the discs stance is because of Connor's rematch with

380
00:18:02,880 --> 00:18:06,320
Speaker 2: Nate Diaz in what he did. So I think there's

381
00:18:06,359 --> 00:18:09,480
Speaker 2: a chance that Connor in the first round, everyone thought

382
00:18:09,480 --> 00:18:11,760
Speaker 2: he was going to come out and go crazy against

383
00:18:11,840 --> 00:18:13,880
Speaker 2: Floyd Mayweather and he was just going to start pounding

384
00:18:13,920 --> 00:18:15,640
Speaker 2: and pounding and pounding, and he.

385
00:18:15,600 --> 00:18:16,200
Speaker 1: Didn't do that.

386
00:18:16,359 --> 00:18:19,720
Speaker 2: He was pretty cautious. Mayweather was pretty cautious. The first

387
00:18:19,960 --> 00:18:23,200
Speaker 2: round was kind of boring, right, There's a thought that

388
00:18:23,280 --> 00:18:26,680
Speaker 2: maybe because of Nate Diaz in that fight going five rounds,

389
00:18:26,920 --> 00:18:29,080
Speaker 2: that Connor will have the same type of attitude saying,

390
00:18:29,080 --> 00:18:30,879
Speaker 2: look it, I'm not going to try to go as

391
00:18:31,040 --> 00:18:32,560
Speaker 2: full born in the first round.

392
00:18:33,000 --> 00:18:34,800
Speaker 1: I'm going to see what Poorier does. I'm going to

393
00:18:34,840 --> 00:18:36,040
Speaker 1: try to check the leg kigs.

394
00:18:36,119 --> 00:18:37,960
Speaker 2: I'm going to try to figure out how to keep

395
00:18:38,000 --> 00:18:41,359
Speaker 2: myself from getting into a bad situation. And maybe this

396
00:18:41,480 --> 00:18:44,240
Speaker 2: fight goes beyond the first round, or maybe the fight

397
00:18:44,359 --> 00:18:46,720
Speaker 2: is slower than we think and it's just a slugfest

398
00:18:46,800 --> 00:18:48,840
Speaker 2: between these two dudes, just pounding on each other because

399
00:18:48,840 --> 00:18:50,960
Speaker 2: we know about Connor's gas tank, we know how it

400
00:18:51,040 --> 00:18:54,000
Speaker 2: kind of, you know, tends to slow down after the

401
00:18:54,000 --> 00:18:58,000
Speaker 2: first round. So I have Pooria to win inside the

402
00:18:58,040 --> 00:19:00,680
Speaker 2: distance at plus one point fifty and poor to win

403
00:19:00,840 --> 00:19:03,919
Speaker 2: at minus one thirty half a unit on both bets.

404
00:19:04,320 --> 00:19:05,920
Speaker 1: Both those bets are official.

405
00:19:06,560 --> 00:19:09,520
Speaker 2: However, I think betting the over two and a half

406
00:19:09,640 --> 00:19:10,840
Speaker 2: rounds I also will.

407
00:19:10,720 --> 00:19:11,160
Speaker 1: Be on that.

408
00:19:11,240 --> 00:19:13,360
Speaker 2: I think there's a real shot this fight goes into

409
00:19:13,400 --> 00:19:16,679
Speaker 2: the third round and goes the full three rounds and

410
00:19:16,760 --> 00:19:20,760
Speaker 2: could end in round three rounds four potentially there. And

411
00:19:20,880 --> 00:19:23,960
Speaker 2: that's where the biggest flyer bet of the entire night

412
00:19:24,040 --> 00:19:28,879
Speaker 2: comes in, Dustin Poorier to submit Connor McGregor at plus

413
00:19:28,960 --> 00:19:33,520
Speaker 2: eight hundred. Now here's the game plan that never actually happened.

414
00:19:33,880 --> 00:19:36,560
Speaker 2: Dustin Poorier was going to try to submit Connor in

415
00:19:36,600 --> 00:19:39,280
Speaker 2: the second matchup. He wanted to take Connor down and

416
00:19:39,320 --> 00:19:42,160
Speaker 2: he wanted to submit him like a beab like Nate Diez.

417
00:19:42,480 --> 00:19:44,320
Speaker 2: He couldn't do it, didn't need to because the leg

418
00:19:44,440 --> 00:19:46,119
Speaker 2: kicks just got him so out of whack he was

419
00:19:46,119 --> 00:19:49,760
Speaker 2: able to knock him out. Now, I think Connor, there's

420
00:19:50,000 --> 00:19:52,639
Speaker 2: a real shot here that Connor because of that common

421
00:19:52,880 --> 00:19:55,600
Speaker 2: The first one to shoot is a dusty B word.

422
00:19:56,520 --> 00:19:58,560
Speaker 2: I think Connor knows that there's a good shot this

423
00:19:58,600 --> 00:20:01,240
Speaker 2: thing's gonna go down. And Connor's got takedown defense. I'm

424
00:20:01,240 --> 00:20:03,320
Speaker 2: not saying he doesn't. Okay, it's sixty seven percent take

425
00:20:03,359 --> 00:20:06,400
Speaker 2: down defense for Connor. I mean he doesn't do takedowns.

426
00:20:06,440 --> 00:20:08,520
Speaker 2: Maybe Connor will try take down Pourier, who knows, Maybe

427
00:20:08,520 --> 00:20:10,000
Speaker 2: he'll switch flip the switch and he'll try to take

428
00:20:10,040 --> 00:20:13,960
Speaker 2: him down. But that I'm curious about standing and banging.

429
00:20:14,440 --> 00:20:16,720
Speaker 2: If we go past the first round, when Connor tends

430
00:20:16,760 --> 00:20:20,240
Speaker 2: to slow down, I could see Dustin Poier dropping Connor,

431
00:20:20,560 --> 00:20:23,520
Speaker 2: getting on top of him, grappling him and submitting him

432
00:20:23,520 --> 00:20:25,679
Speaker 2: that way. Now, maybe not knocking him out, but he

433
00:20:25,720 --> 00:20:29,920
Speaker 2: gets the finish via TapouT. That's not an official play,

434
00:20:30,160 --> 00:20:32,639
Speaker 2: but if that happens, it most likely would happen in

435
00:20:32,680 --> 00:20:35,200
Speaker 2: the third, fourth, and fifth rounds. In the later part

436
00:20:35,200 --> 00:20:37,480
Speaker 2: of the rounds of this fight. That's when the submission

437
00:20:37,480 --> 00:20:40,159
Speaker 2: will happen. So those are just two other flyers that

438
00:20:40,240 --> 00:20:43,920
Speaker 2: I will be on for personal plays, but not official plays.

439
00:20:43,920 --> 00:20:45,840
Speaker 2: All Right, So I know it's a lot of information.

440
00:20:46,040 --> 00:20:48,920
Speaker 2: Let's recap everything as to what we're going with. Okay,

441
00:20:49,480 --> 00:20:53,520
Speaker 2: we're going with tie versus Greg Hardy, the Fight not

442
00:20:53,600 --> 00:20:56,159
Speaker 2: to Go the Distance at minus one ninety five for

443
00:20:56,240 --> 00:20:59,679
Speaker 2: a full unit, wonder Boy Thompson to win by decision

444
00:21:00,080 --> 00:21:05,800
Speaker 2: over over a Gilbert Burns. That could be game, and

445
00:21:05,840 --> 00:21:07,879
Speaker 2: I know that that pick might be a little bit controversial,

446
00:21:07,880 --> 00:21:10,679
Speaker 2: but Thompson by decision at plus one sixty five for

447
00:21:10,840 --> 00:21:15,200
Speaker 2: one unit, Pourier to win minus one thirty money line,

448
00:21:15,320 --> 00:21:18,320
Speaker 2: just win half a unit, and then Poortia to win

449
00:21:18,760 --> 00:21:22,840
Speaker 2: inside the distance at plus one point fifty half a unit.

450
00:21:23,320 --> 00:21:27,399
Speaker 2: Three units in play. Officially here four bets for UFC

451
00:21:27,480 --> 00:21:30,359
Speaker 2: two sixty four. The other the price Perira, Fight to

452
00:21:30,400 --> 00:21:32,600
Speaker 2: go to the Go to the Cards, go to the Distance,

453
00:21:33,320 --> 00:21:36,359
Speaker 2: Sugar Show, The Sugar Shane O'Malley Show, knockout in the

454
00:21:36,400 --> 00:21:42,119
Speaker 2: first round, submit excuse me? Submission for for Dustin Poier

455
00:21:42,160 --> 00:21:44,600
Speaker 2: at plus eight hundred and the Fight to Go over

456
00:21:44,640 --> 00:21:47,920
Speaker 2: two and a half rounds as well for Connor and

457
00:21:48,200 --> 00:21:49,040
Speaker 2: Dustin Poier.

458
00:21:49,600 --> 00:21:49,840
Speaker 1: Lot.

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00:21:50,240 --> 00:21:52,240
Speaker 2: It's a lot of stuff, it's a lot of action,

460
00:21:52,560 --> 00:21:54,040
Speaker 2: more money than I've had him play in a really

461
00:21:54,080 --> 00:21:56,720
Speaker 2: long time. But let's get after it. UFC two sixty four,

462
00:21:56,760 --> 00:21:58,960
Speaker 2: I cannot wait for this fight card, so excited to

463
00:21:58,960 --> 00:22:01,840
Speaker 2: see what this fight's all these fights look like. Really,

464
00:22:01,880 --> 00:22:03,840
Speaker 2: it's a banger of a card top to bottom. It's

465
00:22:03,840 --> 00:22:05,160
Speaker 2: an incredible, incredible card.

466
00:22:05,600 --> 00:22:07,760
Speaker 1: Enjoy it. I will be at the event.

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00:22:07,880 --> 00:22:10,520
Speaker 2: You can get at me on the discord channel Bettingpros

468
00:22:10,560 --> 00:22:13,000
Speaker 2: dot com slash chat. I will be in there during

469
00:22:13,040 --> 00:22:14,680
Speaker 2: the fight. I will be talking to you guys about

470
00:22:14,680 --> 00:22:15,280
Speaker 2: what's going on.

471
00:22:15,400 --> 00:22:17,680
Speaker 1: I will be. I won't be I won't be ringside.

472
00:22:17,720 --> 00:22:20,239
Speaker 2: I'll be up in the media area up above at

473
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Speaker 2: UFC for Timobile Arena, but still a great shot, great

474
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Speaker 2: place to be. And I'll tell you all the energy

475
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Speaker 2: and excitement and everything happening for UFC two sixty four

476
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Speaker 2: on the Bettingpros dot Com discord channel Bettingpros dot com

477
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Speaker 2: slast chat.

478
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Speaker 1: To get in below me as well.

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Speaker 2: You here And I said it again, I said below me,

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Speaker 2: underneath me here on YouTube the clicks you have a

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Speaker 2: link that takes you into the discord channel if you

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Speaker 2: are not a member of that as of yet. And remember,

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Speaker 2: I'm at Parolt morning. It's the Deal Juice podcast right

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Speaker 2: here on bettingpros dot com, brought you by Bedam Jim