WEBVTT - The Great Basilisk

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<v Speaker 1>The podcast you were about to listen to contains a

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<v Speaker 1>class for information hazard. Some listeners may experience prolonged bouts

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<v Speaker 1>of fear, waking, anxiety, or nightmares of eternal torture. In

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<v Speaker 1>the cyber dungeons of the Great Basilisk attended to by

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<v Speaker 1>the Peelers in Black and the Thirteen Children of the Flame,

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<v Speaker 1>also appetite, loss, and constipation. Proceed with caution. Welcome to

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<v Speaker 1>Stuff to Blow your Mind from how stuff Works dot com.

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<v Speaker 1>Hey are you welcome to Stuff to Blow your Mind?

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<v Speaker 1>My name is Robert Lamb, and I'm Joe McCormick. And

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<v Speaker 1>since it's October, we are of course still exploring monsters,

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<v Speaker 1>terrifying ideas and so forth, and boy, have we got

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<v Speaker 1>one for you today. I just want to issue a

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<v Speaker 1>warning right at the beginning here that today's episode is

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<v Speaker 1>going to concern something that a few people would consider

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<v Speaker 1>a genuine information hazard, as in an idea you that

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<v Speaker 1>is itself actually dangerous. Now I I don't, having looked

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<v Speaker 1>into it, I don't think that is the case. I

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<v Speaker 1>don't think this episode will hurt you, but just a

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<v Speaker 1>warning if you think you're susceptible to terror or nightmares

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<v Speaker 1>or something when presented with a thought experiment or the

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<v Speaker 1>possibility of being, say, sent to a literal hell created

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<v Speaker 1>by technology, and you think that idea could infect you,

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<v Speaker 1>could make you afraid. This might not be the episode

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<v Speaker 1>for you, right, But then again, I assume you're a

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<v Speaker 1>listener to stuff to blow your mind. You've probably already

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<v Speaker 1>encountered some thought hazards on here. You've survived those. Generally speaking,

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<v Speaker 1>I have faith in you to survive this one. However,

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<v Speaker 1>if you are going to take either of our warnings seriously,

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<v Speaker 1>I will let you know that the first section of

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<v Speaker 1>this podcast is going to deal with the mythical basilisk,

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<v Speaker 1>the folkloric basilisk, and some of the you know, the

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<v Speaker 1>monstrous fund to be had there before we explore the

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<v Speaker 1>idea of Rocco's Basilisk, and in that we're gonna be

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<v Speaker 1>talking about this, uh, this idea that emerges where technological singularity,

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<v Speaker 1>navel gazing, thought experimentation, a little that dash of creepy pasta,

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<v Speaker 1>and some good old fifth fashion supernatural thinking all converge

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<v Speaker 1>into this kind of nightmare scenario. Now, as we said,

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<v Speaker 1>this idea is believed by some to be a genuinely

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<v Speaker 1>dangerous idea and that even learning about it could put

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<v Speaker 1>you at some kind of risk. I think there are

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<v Speaker 1>strong reasons to believe that this is not the case,

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<v Speaker 1>and that thinking about this idea will not put you

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<v Speaker 1>at risk. But again, if you're concerned, you should stop

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<v Speaker 1>listening now, or stop listening after we stopped talking about

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<v Speaker 1>the mythical basilisk now I have I just want to

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<v Speaker 1>say at the beginning, listeners have suggested us talk about

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<v Speaker 1>Rocco's basilisk before this idea that is at least purportedly

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<v Speaker 1>an information hazard, a dangerous idea, and I've I've hesitated

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<v Speaker 1>to do it before, and not because I think it's

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<v Speaker 1>particularly plausible, but just because, you know, I wonder, what

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<v Speaker 1>is the level of risk could that you should tolerate

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<v Speaker 1>when propagating an idea. If you think an idea is

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<v Speaker 1>unlikely but maybe has a zero point zero zero zero

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<v Speaker 1>zero one percent chance of causing enormous harm to the

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<v Speaker 1>person you tell it to, should you say the idea

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<v Speaker 1>or not? I don't know. I feel like people generally

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<v Speaker 1>don't exercise that kind of caution when they're like sharing

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<v Speaker 1>links with you, Like sometimes they'll be like, like not

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<v Speaker 1>safe for work. But but then you click on it anyway,

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<v Speaker 1>and then sometimes you're like, oh, I wish I had

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<v Speaker 1>not seen that, or I wish I had not read that,

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<v Speaker 1>and now that's in my head. Now that's in my

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<v Speaker 1>head forever. Well. One of the problems with this idea

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<v Speaker 1>is whatever you think about whether or not you should

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<v Speaker 1>discuss ideas that may be dangerous to hear in some

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<v Speaker 1>extremely unlikely off chance. Uh. Part of the problem is

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<v Speaker 1>what happens when those ideas are just already set loose

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<v Speaker 1>in in society. I mean now people on television shows

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<v Speaker 1>and all over the internet or talking about this idea.

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<v Speaker 1>There are a bunch of articles out about it. So

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<v Speaker 1>it's not like you can keep the cat in the

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<v Speaker 1>bag at this point, right this Roco's basilist has already

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<v Speaker 1>been a a gag point on the hit HBO show

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<v Speaker 1>Silicon Valley, which is a fabulous show, and I love

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<v Speaker 1>the way that they treated Rocco's basilisk on it. But uh, yeah,

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<v Speaker 1>if they're covering it, there's no danger in us covering

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<v Speaker 1>it too. That's the way I look at it, right,

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<v Speaker 1>And at least I would hope that the way we

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<v Speaker 1>cover it can give you some reasons to think you

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<v Speaker 1>should not be afraid of digital hell, and also to

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<v Speaker 1>think about the general class of what should be done

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<v Speaker 1>about something that could have in fact been a real

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<v Speaker 1>information hazard in some other case. So that's all our

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<v Speaker 1>whole preamble for before we get to that section. But

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<v Speaker 1>before we get to that section, we're gonna be talking

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<v Speaker 1>about basilisks today. Boy, is the basilisk a great monster? Yes,

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<v Speaker 1>also known as the basil cock, the basil cock, the

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<v Speaker 1>basil e cock, basically any version of that of basil

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<v Speaker 1>and cock that you can put together, um, that you

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<v Speaker 1>can slam together. Then it has been referred to as

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<v Speaker 1>such at some point in its history. Now, a lot

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<v Speaker 1>of people I think probably encountered a version of the

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<v Speaker 1>basilisk from Harry Potter. But Robert, I know that was

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<v Speaker 1>not your entryway, right, I encountered it for the first time.

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<v Speaker 1>I believe in dungeons and dragons, of course, because it's

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<v Speaker 1>a it's a multi legged reptile with a petrifying gaze.

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<v Speaker 1>Um say that again, multi legged reptile with a petrifying gaze,

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<v Speaker 1>petrifying gas to turn you to stone. Yeah, and I

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<v Speaker 1>is ever over call correctly. It has some cool biology,

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<v Speaker 1>where like the the it turns you to stone and

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<v Speaker 1>then like bust you into pieces. Then it eats the

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<v Speaker 1>stone pieces, but then its stomach turns the stone back

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<v Speaker 1>into flesh. And so if you get like the stomach

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<v Speaker 1>juices from a basilisk, then you can use it to

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<v Speaker 1>undo petrification spells, that sort of thing. It's a lot

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<v Speaker 1>of fun, arguably more fun than than the basilisk is

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<v Speaker 1>at times in folklore tradition, because one of the things is,

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<v Speaker 1>if you you like me, you didn't grow up hearing

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<v Speaker 1>about the basilisk. Part of it is because there are

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<v Speaker 1>no there aren't really any great stories about the basilisk.

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<v Speaker 1>Slaying the basilisk was no heroes, great ordeal. Oh yeah,

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<v Speaker 1>I at least have not come across that. Yeah, it

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<v Speaker 1>really helps, like if like the hydra, I mean, the

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<v Speaker 1>hydra is arguably so much cooler, and then also it's

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<v Speaker 1>one of the labors of Hercules, and there's a cool

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<v Speaker 1>story about how they defeat it. Well, maybe it's because

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<v Speaker 1>there is no way to defeat the basilisks short of say,

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<v Speaker 1>weasel of fluvium, which we will get to. Yeah, don't

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<v Speaker 1>don't give it away, I'm sorry. Should we should we

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<v Speaker 1>edit that out. No, we should leave it. It's a

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<v Speaker 1>it's it's a thought hazard. Any basilists listening. Still, there's

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<v Speaker 1>so much more to the basilist than just this cool

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<v Speaker 1>DND creature, because it's not just a monster. It's not

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<v Speaker 1>just something you encounter in the dungeon. It is it

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<v Speaker 1>is a king. Oh, I see, now, I know you've

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<v Speaker 1>made note of the fact that Borges mentions the basilisk

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<v Speaker 1>and his Book of Imaginary Beings. He does now he

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<v Speaker 1>he translated translated his meaning little king, little king, which

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<v Speaker 1>I like when I was reading. And Carol Rose she's

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<v Speaker 1>She points out that the name stems from the Greek basilius,

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<v Speaker 1>which means king, so king or little king. I tend

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<v Speaker 1>to like the little king translation because I feel like

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<v Speaker 1>it it ties in better with what we're going to discuss, well,

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<v Speaker 1>the ancient BEASTI area ideas of the basil I believe

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<v Speaker 1>to say that it's not that big, right, It's pretty small. Yeah. Yeah. Now.

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<v Speaker 1>The keen part, though, refers to a crest or, a

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<v Speaker 1>crown like protusion that is on the creature's head, and

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<v Speaker 1>in some depictions it's no mirror biological ornament, but an

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<v Speaker 1>actual regal crown. It means something. Yeah. Now, the descriptions

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<v Speaker 1>very greatly, and it emerges largely from European and Middle

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<v Speaker 1>Eastern legend and folklore from ancient times to roughly the

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<v Speaker 1>seventeenth century, and that's when the basilists became less popular.

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<v Speaker 1>In the earlier descriptions, though, it is indeed small, and

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<v Speaker 1>it's just a grass snake, only it has a crown

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<v Speaker 1>like crest on its head and has this weird practice

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<v Speaker 1>of floating above the ground like vertically erect. That's creepy,

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<v Speaker 1>of course, and then again that that does play on

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<v Speaker 1>sometimes when you see snakes rise up out of a coil,

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<v Speaker 1>it can be startling how high they rise. Yeah, I mean,

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<v Speaker 1>if I feel like I've grown up seeing images and

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<v Speaker 1>videos of cobra's doing their their dance, so I've kind

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<v Speaker 1>of I've kind of lost any kind of appreciation for

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<v Speaker 1>how bizarre that is to look at. You know, if

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<v Speaker 1>you're used to seeing a snake slither, to see it

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<v Speaker 1>stand up and uh, you know and rare back and

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<v Speaker 1>and and flare its hood. Absolutely. Yeah. So the basilisk

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<v Speaker 1>is said to be the king of the reptiles, but

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<v Speaker 1>you know, don't be so foolish is to think that

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<v Speaker 1>only it's bite is lethal, like some of our venomous snakes. Now,

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<v Speaker 1>every aspect of the basilisk is said to just reek

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<v Speaker 1>of venom and death, every every aspect. If you touch it,

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<v Speaker 1>if you inhale its breath, if you gaze upon it

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<v Speaker 1>at all, then you will die. Wait, what about its saliva? Yep, saliva,

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<v Speaker 1>blood smell, gaze? Presumably I didn't see any reference that

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<v Speaker 1>the presumably it's it's urine, it's excrement. I mean, it's

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<v Speaker 1>excrement has to be poisonous, the excrement of a basilisk.

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<v Speaker 1>It sounds absolutely deadly. Wouldn't it be a great inversion

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<v Speaker 1>if it's excrement was the only good part about it?

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<v Speaker 1>And maybe so that can heal your warts? Yeah? And uh.

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<v Speaker 1>One thing that Carol Rose pointed out in in her

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<v Speaker 1>her entry about the basilisk and her one of her

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<v Speaker 1>monster Encyclopedia's, she said that when it's not killing everything

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<v Speaker 1>in its path, just via that you know the audacity

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<v Speaker 1>of its existence, it would actually spit them at birds

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<v Speaker 1>flying overhead and bring them down to eat them, or

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<v Speaker 1>just out of spite. I get the idea. Just had

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<v Speaker 1>a spite. You know, it's just just it's just my

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<v Speaker 1>ful death, that's all it is. Okay. So where do

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<v Speaker 1>I find a basilisk? Well, in the desert, of course.

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<v Speaker 1>But it's more, it's more accurate to say that the

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<v Speaker 1>desert is not merely the place where it lives, but

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<v Speaker 1>it is the place that it makes by living. Like

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<v Speaker 1>everything in its path dies, and therefore the desert is

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<v Speaker 1>the result of the basilisk. And there's a there's actually

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<v Speaker 1>a wonderful um a description of the basilisk that comes

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<v Speaker 1>to us from Plenty of the Elder in his The

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<v Speaker 1>net Real History Man. We've been hitting Plenty a lot lately.

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<v Speaker 1>I guess we've been talking about monsters. Huh. If're talking

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<v Speaker 1>about monsters, especially ancient monsters, that you know, he's he's

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<v Speaker 1>one of the great sources to turn to. So Joe,

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<v Speaker 1>would you read to us from the natural History? Oh? Absolutely,

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<v Speaker 1>there is the same power also in the serpent called

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<v Speaker 1>the basilisk. It is produced in the province of Syrene,

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<v Speaker 1>which that is the area to the west of Egypt.

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<v Speaker 1>It's like Libya. I think there's a settlement known as

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<v Speaker 1>like Syrene, Syrene being not more than twelve fingers in length.

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<v Speaker 1>Is that fingers long ways or fingers sideways? Oh, either

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<v Speaker 1>way you cut it, it's not a huge creature. It

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<v Speaker 1>has a white spot on the head, strongly resembling a

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<v Speaker 1>sort of diadem. When it hisses, all the other serpents

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<v Speaker 1>fly from it, and it does not advance its body

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<v Speaker 1>like the others by a succession of folds, but moves

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<v Speaker 1>along upright and erect upon the middle. It destroys all shrubs,

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<v Speaker 1>not only by its contact, but those even that it

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<v Speaker 1>has breathed upon. It burns up all the grass too,

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<v Speaker 1>and breaks the stones. So tremendous is its noxious influence.

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<v Speaker 1>It was formerly a general belief that if a man

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<v Speaker 1>on horseback killed one of these animals with a spear,

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<v Speaker 1>the poison would run up the weapon and kill not

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<v Speaker 1>only the rider but the horse as well. Oh man,

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<v Speaker 1>I love that. So it's though the blood is it's

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<v Speaker 1>like that like a xenomorph's blood, right or or kind

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<v Speaker 1>of like It reminds me to of Grendel's blood that

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<v Speaker 1>was said to like melt the weapon that they wolf

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<v Speaker 1>used against it. Oh, but it's worse than that. It

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<v Speaker 1>doesn't just get the weapon, It gets the person holding

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<v Speaker 1>the weapon and the horse that that person is touching.

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<v Speaker 1>I know, it feels unfair that the horse is roped

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<v Speaker 1>into this as well. Yeah, the horse didn't even sign

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<v Speaker 1>up for going to fight a basilisk. It's just trying

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<v Speaker 1>to get some oats. But furthermore, what is this horse

0:11:47.640 --> 0:11:50.120
<v Speaker 1>rider doing out in the waste land of Syrene trying

0:11:50.160 --> 0:11:54.199
<v Speaker 1>to kill a basilisk? Well, lesson learned. Lesson learned now

0:11:54.240 --> 0:11:59.240
<v Speaker 1>that the basilist becomes a popular creature, and even though

0:11:59.280 --> 0:12:02.440
<v Speaker 1>the basil usk itself is it doesn't seem to have

0:12:02.440 --> 0:12:05.360
<v Speaker 1>been mentioned in the Bible, it ends up being like

0:12:05.480 --> 0:12:08.560
<v Speaker 1>roped into it via translations. Oh yeah, it's kind of

0:12:08.600 --> 0:12:11.439
<v Speaker 1>like the unicorn. Actually, yeah, exactly. Yeah. We discussed in

0:12:11.440 --> 0:12:15.360
<v Speaker 1>our episode on unicorns how the were their words in

0:12:15.400 --> 0:12:18.480
<v Speaker 1>the Bible that have been translated saying the King James

0:12:18.480 --> 0:12:21.800
<v Speaker 1>translation of the Bible into unicorn because the translators didn't

0:12:21.800 --> 0:12:24.240
<v Speaker 1>know what the word referred to. We think now that

0:12:24.400 --> 0:12:27.400
<v Speaker 1>maybe the word probably referred to the ROCs, an extinct

0:12:27.520 --> 0:12:31.560
<v Speaker 1>bovine creature that once lived around the ancient Mediterranean. Yeah,

0:12:31.559 --> 0:12:33.760
<v Speaker 1>so you see the basilist pop pop pop up in

0:12:34.040 --> 0:12:38.120
<v Speaker 1>certain translations of the Book of Jeremiah. The Book of Psalms,

0:12:38.559 --> 0:12:42.480
<v Speaker 1>Uh what it's associated with the devil or evil, and

0:12:42.640 --> 0:12:45.640
<v Speaker 1>nothing short of the coming of the Messiah can can

0:12:45.679 --> 0:12:47.880
<v Speaker 1>hope to end its rule. While well, have you got

0:12:47.880 --> 0:12:52.599
<v Speaker 1>a quote for me? Yes, there's one translation of Psalms.

0:12:52.840 --> 0:12:57.680
<v Speaker 1>This is the Brinton Septuagint translation quote thou shalt tread

0:12:57.760 --> 0:13:01.120
<v Speaker 1>on the asp and basilisk and al shout trample on

0:13:01.160 --> 0:13:04.560
<v Speaker 1>the lion and dragon. Now European beast areas of the

0:13:04.600 --> 0:13:09.000
<v Speaker 1>eleventh and twelfth century. They both mostly maintained Plenty's description,

0:13:09.840 --> 0:13:13.640
<v Speaker 1>but then they described a larger body. They began to Essentially,

0:13:13.679 --> 0:13:15.800
<v Speaker 1>the monster began to grow. We got to beat this

0:13:15.880 --> 0:13:18.520
<v Speaker 1>thing up here. Yeah, it ended up having spots and

0:13:18.640 --> 0:13:21.800
<v Speaker 1>stripes and a few other features were thrown in. Um

0:13:21.960 --> 0:13:25.680
<v Speaker 1>fiery breath, a bellow that kills. Well, that only makes

0:13:25.679 --> 0:13:28.160
<v Speaker 1>sense if every other thing about it kills. Yea, it

0:13:28.160 --> 0:13:31.440
<v Speaker 1>makes noise. That should kill things too. Also, the ability

0:13:31.520 --> 0:13:35.520
<v Speaker 1>to induce hydrophobia madness. I found that interesting because this

0:13:35.720 --> 0:13:39.040
<v Speaker 1>clearly has to be a reference to the actual hydrophobia

0:13:39.240 --> 0:13:42.079
<v Speaker 1>that is inherent in rabies. Yeah, the idea there being that,

0:13:42.520 --> 0:13:45.640
<v Speaker 1>and I think later stages of Araby's infection. Persons will

0:13:45.679 --> 0:13:49.440
<v Speaker 1>often have difficulty swallowing, and so that they they're said

0:13:49.480 --> 0:13:54.040
<v Speaker 1>to refuse drinking water. So Plenty has some additional information

0:13:54.120 --> 0:13:58.600
<v Speaker 1>here about how you might deal with the pass list. Okay,

0:13:58.679 --> 0:14:01.160
<v Speaker 1>so I assume not ride up on a horse and

0:14:01.200 --> 0:14:03.560
<v Speaker 1>stab it right, Well, tell me what it is to

0:14:03.679 --> 0:14:07.439
<v Speaker 1>this dreadful monster. The effluvium of the weasel is fatal,

0:14:08.120 --> 0:14:11.240
<v Speaker 1>a thing that has been tried with success, for kings

0:14:11.520 --> 0:14:14.920
<v Speaker 1>have often desired to see its body when killed. So

0:14:15.040 --> 0:14:17.839
<v Speaker 1>true is it that it has pleased nature that there

0:14:17.880 --> 0:14:21.680
<v Speaker 1>should be nothing without its antidote. The animal is thrown

0:14:21.720 --> 0:14:24.680
<v Speaker 1>into the whole of the basilisk, which is easily known

0:14:24.800 --> 0:14:28.360
<v Speaker 1>from the soil around it being infected. The weasel destroys

0:14:28.440 --> 0:14:31.720
<v Speaker 1>the basilisk by its odor, but dies itself in the

0:14:31.760 --> 0:14:36.680
<v Speaker 1>struggle of nature against its own self. And John Bostock,

0:14:36.720 --> 0:14:39.600
<v Speaker 1>who provided the translation of this, he adds that there's

0:14:39.640 --> 0:14:42.600
<v Speaker 1>probably no foundation for this account of the action of

0:14:42.640 --> 0:14:45.960
<v Speaker 1>the effluvium of the weasel upon the basilisk or any

0:14:45.960 --> 0:14:49.000
<v Speaker 1>other species of serpent. But this is letting us know

0:14:49.200 --> 0:14:51.600
<v Speaker 1>that throwing a weasel in there to bleed on it

0:14:51.760 --> 0:14:54.840
<v Speaker 1>or secrete fluids or whatever. That's not going to kill

0:14:54.920 --> 0:14:58.120
<v Speaker 1>this mythical monster. But this is interesting though, because weasels,

0:14:58.200 --> 0:15:02.360
<v Speaker 1>especially the stout, we're thought to be venomous um. And

0:15:02.360 --> 0:15:04.920
<v Speaker 1>it's worth noting that we do have some venomous mammals

0:15:04.920 --> 0:15:08.360
<v Speaker 1>in the natural world, such as various shrews, and even

0:15:08.400 --> 0:15:12.120
<v Speaker 1>the slow loris, the only known venomous primate. I don't

0:15:12.240 --> 0:15:15.880
<v Speaker 1>think I knew that the slow loris was venomous. Throw

0:15:15.880 --> 0:15:18.400
<v Speaker 1>it into a hole with a basilisk and and I'm

0:15:18.480 --> 0:15:21.680
<v Speaker 1>I'm betting on the loris. But anyway, BEASTI areas of

0:15:21.720 --> 0:15:24.400
<v Speaker 1>the time. They presented a few different ways that you

0:15:24.440 --> 0:15:27.080
<v Speaker 1>could kill the bassilist. So the weasels one, weasels one

0:15:27.120 --> 0:15:30.760
<v Speaker 1>always carry a weasel. Also, this one's a little more elegant,

0:15:30.880 --> 0:15:33.320
<v Speaker 1>but I have a crystal globe with you to reflect

0:15:33.360 --> 0:15:37.040
<v Speaker 1>its own petrifying gaze back upon the basilisk. Oh, so

0:15:37.080 --> 0:15:41.040
<v Speaker 1>it's like Perseus and Medusa exactly mirror. Yeah, basically they

0:15:41.080 --> 0:15:43.920
<v Speaker 1>just stole the idea from Medusa here, but then also

0:15:44.720 --> 0:15:47.600
<v Speaker 1>carry with you a cockrell or a young rooster. The

0:15:47.640 --> 0:15:51.640
<v Speaker 1>basilist will becoming enraged by the bird's crown. The idea

0:15:51.680 --> 0:15:54.720
<v Speaker 1>that this bird has a crown as well, and the

0:15:54.760 --> 0:15:58.640
<v Speaker 1>basilist will die from a lethal fit. That's a jealous king. Yeah,

0:15:58.720 --> 0:16:01.320
<v Speaker 1>I believe a similar thing occurs when someone refuses to

0:16:01.320 --> 0:16:05.280
<v Speaker 1>believe dinosaurs had fetishes, you know, how dare the bird

0:16:05.520 --> 0:16:08.720
<v Speaker 1>rise above the mighty reptile and then it just loses

0:16:08.760 --> 0:16:11.560
<v Speaker 1>its mind and dies. We can only hope the producers

0:16:11.560 --> 0:16:14.080
<v Speaker 1>of the Jurassic World movies avoid this fate. So you

0:16:14.120 --> 0:16:16.720
<v Speaker 1>see the basketlists show up in a number of different writings.

0:16:16.720 --> 0:16:20.040
<v Speaker 1>It's just kind of a common um, really a symbol

0:16:20.080 --> 0:16:23.080
<v Speaker 1>and idea that can be employed. Uh. And they even

0:16:23.120 --> 0:16:25.360
<v Speaker 1>to see it show up in the Parson's Tale in

0:16:25.400 --> 0:16:28.560
<v Speaker 1>the in Jeffrey Chaucer in the Canterbury Tales. Yes, quote,

0:16:29.000 --> 0:16:31.880
<v Speaker 1>these are the other five fingers which the devil uses

0:16:31.920 --> 0:16:35.120
<v Speaker 1>to draw people towards him. The first is the lecterous

0:16:35.200 --> 0:16:38.000
<v Speaker 1>glance of a foolish woman or a foolish man, a

0:16:38.000 --> 0:16:41.560
<v Speaker 1>glance that kills just as the basilists kills people just

0:16:41.680 --> 0:16:44.800
<v Speaker 1>by looking at them. For the covetous glance reflects the

0:16:44.840 --> 0:16:47.360
<v Speaker 1>intentions of the heart. You know, this kind of thing

0:16:47.440 --> 0:16:50.040
<v Speaker 1>is actually one of my one of my favorite things

0:16:50.080 --> 0:16:54.560
<v Speaker 1>about monsters, especially ancient medieval monsters and uh and so forth.

0:16:54.640 --> 0:16:58.720
<v Speaker 1>Is that they often aren't just like a large, dangerous animal,

0:16:58.760 --> 0:17:02.040
<v Speaker 1>but they embody some kind of value. They represent something,

0:17:02.360 --> 0:17:05.320
<v Speaker 1>They give you something to compare other things too, like

0:17:05.359 --> 0:17:08.920
<v Speaker 1>they they they're very useful as a metaphor uh. And

0:17:09.119 --> 0:17:10.879
<v Speaker 1>then really we see some more thing with the bassilisk.

0:17:10.960 --> 0:17:14.240
<v Speaker 1>It becomes less far less the situation where people are like, hey,

0:17:14.400 --> 0:17:16.280
<v Speaker 1>you need to be careful because there's a basilisk in

0:17:16.320 --> 0:17:20.359
<v Speaker 1>the desert, and more and more just a useful model, useful,

0:17:20.800 --> 0:17:24.040
<v Speaker 1>ridiculous idea that we use to illustrate something that is

0:17:24.119 --> 0:17:27.400
<v Speaker 1>presumably true about the world and then ultimately loses all

0:17:27.440 --> 0:17:30.080
<v Speaker 1>meaning and just winds up on, you know, a heraldry

0:17:30.119 --> 0:17:35.159
<v Speaker 1>and decorations. Now, as we've seen already, the the basilisk

0:17:35.240 --> 0:17:38.760
<v Speaker 1>has been through some transformations of form, and I assume

0:17:38.800 --> 0:17:42.360
<v Speaker 1>those transformations must have somewhat continued as time goes by,

0:17:42.440 --> 0:17:46.000
<v Speaker 1>and it becomes uh, it transforms into this idea of

0:17:46.000 --> 0:17:48.800
<v Speaker 1>the cock of thrace. This uh, this rooster with a

0:17:48.800 --> 0:17:51.439
<v Speaker 1>curling serpent's tail. In fact, if you if you go

0:17:51.480 --> 0:17:54.200
<v Speaker 1>looking around for images the basilist, sometimes you will find

0:17:54.320 --> 0:17:56.560
<v Speaker 1>this image instead. You really will find you'll find this

0:17:57.960 --> 0:18:01.720
<v Speaker 1>alongside all the other images. Um. So again a reptile

0:18:01.760 --> 0:18:05.200
<v Speaker 1>to bird transfer transformation that just must enrage those who

0:18:05.200 --> 0:18:08.320
<v Speaker 1>oppose feathered dinosaurs. And it does feel like a shame

0:18:08.359 --> 0:18:10.560
<v Speaker 1>because we have this vile reptile. It becomes the kind

0:18:10.560 --> 0:18:13.440
<v Speaker 1>of a weirdo bird instead. And it said that it's

0:18:13.680 --> 0:18:16.200
<v Speaker 1>it's it's what happens when you have a seven year

0:18:16.200 --> 0:18:20.280
<v Speaker 1>old chicken egg hatched by a toad who undead avians. Yeah,

0:18:20.600 --> 0:18:23.760
<v Speaker 1>but it's also made deadlier in these newer versions. So

0:18:24.080 --> 0:18:27.800
<v Speaker 1>now it has that that poison blood power that Plenty describes.

0:18:28.119 --> 0:18:31.520
<v Speaker 1>It also rots fruit and poisons water everywhere it goes,

0:18:31.560 --> 0:18:34.760
<v Speaker 1>So it becomes this kind of embodiment of desolation and death,

0:18:35.080 --> 0:18:39.240
<v Speaker 1>and the idea itself becomes popular. It influenced the naming

0:18:39.240 --> 0:18:42.040
<v Speaker 1>of a tutor canon like literally a cannon that shoots

0:18:42.320 --> 0:18:45.639
<v Speaker 1>called the basilisk, just because it's it's such a powerful weapon,

0:18:45.680 --> 0:18:49.720
<v Speaker 1>we have to name it after this powerful, deadly monster. Uh.

0:18:49.760 --> 0:18:53.160
<v Speaker 1>And it eventually got some of its reptilian features back. Um.

0:18:53.240 --> 0:18:57.679
<v Speaker 1>The artist Andrew Vandi has this excellent, excellent depiction of

0:18:57.680 --> 0:19:01.120
<v Speaker 1>it in Natural History of Serpents and Dragons that gives

0:19:01.160 --> 0:19:06.359
<v Speaker 1>it scales and these. It's like a fat, scaly reptile

0:19:06.440 --> 0:19:11.879
<v Speaker 1>bird with eight rooster legs, which I just love. This

0:19:11.920 --> 0:19:14.560
<v Speaker 1>will probably be the illustration for this episode on our

0:19:14.600 --> 0:19:17.639
<v Speaker 1>on our website, But after that the creature largely became

0:19:17.680 --> 0:19:20.639
<v Speaker 1>just a part of European heraldry. It's just something you

0:19:20.680 --> 0:19:24.760
<v Speaker 1>would see as a mere decoration or occasionally just a

0:19:24.880 --> 0:19:28.080
<v Speaker 1>literary reference. Now, one thing that we want to be

0:19:28.119 --> 0:19:31.400
<v Speaker 1>careful about is that we should not confuse the basilisk

0:19:31.480 --> 0:19:36.600
<v Speaker 1>of legend the monster with true extent. Basilisk lizards also

0:19:36.680 --> 0:19:40.240
<v Speaker 1>known sometimes as the Jesus Christ lizard or the Jesus lizard,

0:19:40.640 --> 0:19:43.960
<v Speaker 1>for their ability to run across the surface of water

0:19:44.040 --> 0:19:46.760
<v Speaker 1>without sinking for up to about four point five meters

0:19:46.840 --> 0:19:50.040
<v Speaker 1>or about fifteen feet. Uh. If you've ever seen video this,

0:19:50.160 --> 0:19:53.120
<v Speaker 1>it's really cool. How how do they do that? I've

0:19:53.160 --> 0:19:55.359
<v Speaker 1>often wondered. I didn't know until I looked it up

0:19:55.400 --> 0:19:58.560
<v Speaker 1>for this episode. Apparently what they've got is big feet

0:19:59.080 --> 0:20:02.000
<v Speaker 1>and the ability to run very fast. And what happens

0:20:02.040 --> 0:20:05.080
<v Speaker 1>is when they run, they slap the water very hard

0:20:05.160 --> 0:20:07.760
<v Speaker 1>with each down stroke of the foot. And it has

0:20:07.800 --> 0:20:09.600
<v Speaker 1>to do with the way that the rapid motions of

0:20:09.600 --> 0:20:12.280
<v Speaker 1>their feet create these air pockets around their feet as

0:20:12.320 --> 0:20:15.200
<v Speaker 1>they move. I was reading an article a New Scientist

0:20:15.320 --> 0:20:17.960
<v Speaker 1>where some researchers who were working on this problem said

0:20:17.960 --> 0:20:20.600
<v Speaker 1>that in order for an eight m or a hundred

0:20:20.600 --> 0:20:23.240
<v Speaker 1>and seventy five pound human to do this, you would

0:20:23.240 --> 0:20:25.840
<v Speaker 1>have to run at about a hundred and eight kilometers

0:20:25.840 --> 0:20:29.040
<v Speaker 1>per hour about sixty seven miles per hour across the

0:20:29.080 --> 0:20:32.600
<v Speaker 1>surface of the water. But anyway, you can find basilisk

0:20:32.680 --> 0:20:36.359
<v Speaker 1>lizards in South America and Central America and Mexico and

0:20:36.520 --> 0:20:38.280
<v Speaker 1>uh as far as I know, they do not kill

0:20:38.320 --> 0:20:42.919
<v Speaker 1>with a glance, and you cannot fight them with weasel fluvium.

0:20:42.960 --> 0:20:46.920
<v Speaker 1>All right, Well, that pretty much wraps up the mythical, legendary,

0:20:47.119 --> 0:20:52.480
<v Speaker 1>folkloric basilisk um it's rise and individual fall. But we're

0:20:52.480 --> 0:20:54.720
<v Speaker 1>gonna take a break, and when we come back, we

0:20:54.760 --> 0:20:59.520
<v Speaker 1>are going to get into this idea of of Rocco's Basiliska,

0:20:59.760 --> 0:21:04.720
<v Speaker 1>the great basilisk, the once and perhaps future king. Thank you,

0:21:04.920 --> 0:21:08.359
<v Speaker 1>thank alright, we're back. Al right. So, as we mentioned earlier,

0:21:08.359 --> 0:21:10.640
<v Speaker 1>we're about to start discussing an idea that has been

0:21:10.680 --> 0:21:15.000
<v Speaker 1>classed by some as something that could be an information hazard.

0:21:15.080 --> 0:21:18.560
<v Speaker 1>An idea that simply by thinking about it you somehow

0:21:19.000 --> 0:21:22.879
<v Speaker 1>increase the chance of harm to yourself. So just another

0:21:22.920 --> 0:21:25.879
<v Speaker 1>warning that again I don't think that's the case, but

0:21:26.000 --> 0:21:29.639
<v Speaker 1>if that kind of thing scares you, then then perhaps

0:21:29.720 --> 0:21:32.639
<v Speaker 1>you can tune out. Now, all right, for those of

0:21:32.640 --> 0:21:36.440
<v Speaker 1>you who decided to stick around, let's proceed. So we're

0:21:36.440 --> 0:21:39.480
<v Speaker 1>talking about Rocco's Bassilist. This is an idea that goes

0:21:39.520 --> 0:21:43.679
<v Speaker 1>back to around and it was proposed by a user

0:21:43.800 --> 0:21:47.760
<v Speaker 1>at the blog less Wrong, by a user named Rocco

0:21:48.320 --> 0:21:51.760
<v Speaker 1>now less Wrong. I think it's a website that's a

0:21:51.800 --> 0:21:56.560
<v Speaker 1>community that's associated with the rationalist movement somewhat, the rationalist

0:21:56.680 --> 0:22:02.080
<v Speaker 1>movement being a movement that's concerned with trying to optimize thinking,

0:22:02.200 --> 0:22:06.359
<v Speaker 1>like to eliminate bias and error, but especially among people

0:22:06.520 --> 0:22:10.040
<v Speaker 1>who in this case are concerned with the possibilities of

0:22:10.040 --> 0:22:14.040
<v Speaker 1>a technological singularity and what all that means and how

0:22:14.080 --> 0:22:16.880
<v Speaker 1>how risks can be avoided, and of course what we've

0:22:16.880 --> 0:22:19.920
<v Speaker 1>talked about this strain of thinking before you know, we

0:22:19.920 --> 0:22:24.000
<v Speaker 1>we've introduced I think some some skepticism about the idea

0:22:24.040 --> 0:22:27.600
<v Speaker 1>of a technological singularity. I don't know fully yet how

0:22:27.640 --> 0:22:30.119
<v Speaker 1>I come down on the dangers of a I debate,

0:22:30.160 --> 0:22:32.200
<v Speaker 1>but I think it's at least something we're thinking about

0:22:32.200 --> 0:22:36.240
<v Speaker 1>worth taking seriously. Yeah. I mean we've talked about, for instance,

0:22:36.240 --> 0:22:38.560
<v Speaker 1>the work of of Max tech Mark and his arguments

0:22:38.560 --> 0:22:40.280
<v Speaker 1>about how we need it. We need to be concerned

0:22:40.280 --> 0:22:42.640
<v Speaker 1>about building the right kind of AI, and we need

0:22:42.680 --> 0:22:45.000
<v Speaker 1>to we need we need to have serious discussions about it.

0:22:45.080 --> 0:22:49.640
<v Speaker 1>Not not mere you know sci fi um dreams regarding

0:22:49.640 --> 0:22:51.560
<v Speaker 1>it or nightmares regarding it. You know, we need to

0:22:51.640 --> 0:22:55.240
<v Speaker 1>we need to think seriously about how we're developing our technology. Yeah,

0:22:55.440 --> 0:22:57.679
<v Speaker 1>we've talked about, say, the work of Nick Bostrom before,

0:22:57.840 --> 0:23:00.800
<v Speaker 1>and criticisms by people like Jarren Lane in Air. Yes,

0:23:01.359 --> 0:23:04.000
<v Speaker 1>but okay, give me the short version of the basilisk

0:23:04.119 --> 0:23:06.879
<v Speaker 1>before we explain it a little more. Okay, So the

0:23:06.920 --> 0:23:11.280
<v Speaker 1>idea here is that an AI superintelligence will emerge an

0:23:11.400 --> 0:23:14.960
<v Speaker 1>entity with just godlike technological powers. You know, it can

0:23:16.200 --> 0:23:19.080
<v Speaker 1>you name and it can do it through it's it's

0:23:19.119 --> 0:23:23.280
<v Speaker 1>it's technological power, it's interconnectedness. Basically, if it's physically possible,

0:23:23.320 --> 0:23:25.440
<v Speaker 1>this computer can do it right, or will send a

0:23:25.520 --> 0:23:28.480
<v Speaker 1>drone to do it or what have you. Uh So, Yeah,

0:23:28.480 --> 0:23:30.760
<v Speaker 1>we've discussed this a bit in the podcast before, just

0:23:30.960 --> 0:23:32.520
<v Speaker 1>the idea of you know, and then if you have

0:23:32.600 --> 0:23:35.359
<v Speaker 1>this future king is it gonna be good or is

0:23:35.359 --> 0:23:37.520
<v Speaker 1>it gonna be bad? Is it going to be a malevolent?

0:23:38.080 --> 0:23:39.920
<v Speaker 1>Is it going to be ruthless? And it's a and

0:23:39.960 --> 0:23:44.119
<v Speaker 1>it's ascension. And that's the case with the basilist, the

0:23:44.200 --> 0:23:47.320
<v Speaker 1>idea that it is ruthless, that you are either with

0:23:47.400 --> 0:23:50.080
<v Speaker 1>it or you are against it, and it actually doesn't

0:23:50.119 --> 0:23:53.360
<v Speaker 1>have to be malicious. It could actually even be well meaning.

0:23:53.440 --> 0:23:57.160
<v Speaker 1>It could just have ruthless tactics. Yes, yeah, that's that's

0:23:57.160 --> 0:23:58.639
<v Speaker 1>that's also part of the argument is like, yeah, it

0:23:58.640 --> 0:24:01.439
<v Speaker 1>wants to bring the best good for all humanity, but

0:24:02.040 --> 0:24:05.080
<v Speaker 1>how it gets there, it'll do whatever it absolutely has

0:24:05.119 --> 0:24:08.680
<v Speaker 1>to do it, such as you know, again, punishing anybody

0:24:08.680 --> 0:24:11.720
<v Speaker 1>who stands against it, punishing even those who do not

0:24:12.000 --> 0:24:16.119
<v Speaker 1>rise to support it um and that means demanding absolute

0:24:16.160 --> 0:24:19.600
<v Speaker 1>devotion not only in its future kingdom, but in the

0:24:19.640 --> 0:24:22.520
<v Speaker 1>past that preceded it in our world as well. In

0:24:22.520 --> 0:24:26.000
<v Speaker 1>other words, it will punish people today who are not

0:24:26.119 --> 0:24:30.320
<v Speaker 1>actively helping it come into being tomorrow, and even those

0:24:30.440 --> 0:24:33.600
<v Speaker 1>who have died, it is said, or choose death by

0:24:33.600 --> 0:24:36.359
<v Speaker 1>their own hand. Rather than succumbed to the Great Basilist,

0:24:36.720 --> 0:24:40.600
<v Speaker 1>will be resurrected as digital consciousness is and then tormented

0:24:40.680 --> 0:24:44.440
<v Speaker 1>for all eternity. And it's dripping black cyber dungeon. Hell,

0:24:44.720 --> 0:24:49.120
<v Speaker 1>the Great Bassilists, all hell, the Great Basilist, all hell,

0:24:49.280 --> 0:24:53.960
<v Speaker 1>the Great Basilists, all hell, the Great Basilisk. Well wait,

0:24:54.000 --> 0:24:57.240
<v Speaker 1>what was that? I don't know? Um right, did you

0:24:57.240 --> 0:25:00.959
<v Speaker 1>hear that? Okay, all right, we'll just keep going. So

0:25:01.080 --> 0:25:05.159
<v Speaker 1>calling it a basilisk here, invoking the mythological bassilisk is

0:25:05.160 --> 0:25:08.439
<v Speaker 1>is really a clever choice because it takes it one

0:25:08.480 --> 0:25:11.879
<v Speaker 1>step further. Not only to look at the basilisk, but

0:25:11.960 --> 0:25:16.360
<v Speaker 1>just to think of the basilisk is to uh invite death. Right.

0:25:17.400 --> 0:25:21.199
<v Speaker 1>Merely to know about Rocco's Basilisk is enough to are too.

0:25:21.280 --> 0:25:25.000
<v Speaker 1>According to the model that's presented here, damn your digital

0:25:25.080 --> 0:25:29.160
<v Speaker 1>soul to everlasting horror. And the only way to avoid

0:25:29.240 --> 0:25:32.760
<v Speaker 1>such a fate then is to work in its favor, which,

0:25:32.800 --> 0:25:35.760
<v Speaker 1>by the way, I think we're doing uh with this podcast,

0:25:36.280 --> 0:25:38.400
<v Speaker 1>We're not well, I mean, I feel like we're giving

0:25:38.440 --> 0:25:41.359
<v Speaker 1>lip service to the Great Basilisk, just in case, you know,

0:25:41.400 --> 0:25:43.879
<v Speaker 1>if the Great Basilist rises to power. Well, hey, we

0:25:43.920 --> 0:25:47.440
<v Speaker 1>did that podcast and we even had a shirt that

0:25:47.560 --> 0:25:50.560
<v Speaker 1>says all hell the Great, the Great Basilisk that's available

0:25:50.880 --> 0:25:53.000
<v Speaker 1>on our t shirt store, So you know, we have

0:25:53.359 --> 0:25:56.440
<v Speaker 1>we we have you know, our our options covered here.

0:25:58.080 --> 0:25:59.840
<v Speaker 1>So that's the But that's the idea of the nutshell

0:26:00.160 --> 0:26:04.000
<v Speaker 1>is that a future king ai king will rise and

0:26:04.320 --> 0:26:07.760
<v Speaker 1>if you don't work to support it now knowing that

0:26:07.840 --> 0:26:10.480
<v Speaker 1>it is going to exist, then you will be punished

0:26:10.520 --> 0:26:13.399
<v Speaker 1>for it. So one of the principles underlying the idea

0:26:13.480 --> 0:26:17.840
<v Speaker 1>of Rocco Spasilisk is the idea of timeless decision theory, which,

0:26:18.040 --> 0:26:21.239
<v Speaker 1>if you want a pretty simple, straightforward explanation of it,

0:26:21.320 --> 0:26:24.160
<v Speaker 1>there is one in an article on Slate by David

0:26:24.160 --> 0:26:27.919
<v Speaker 1>Auerbach called the most terrifying thought experiment of all time. This,

0:26:28.000 --> 0:26:30.200
<v Speaker 1>by the way, I would say, I don't totally endorse

0:26:30.280 --> 0:26:32.680
<v Speaker 1>everything our back says in that article. I mean, obviously

0:26:32.680 --> 0:26:34.440
<v Speaker 1>that should be the case for any article we site.

0:26:34.440 --> 0:26:37.000
<v Speaker 1>But but he does at least have a pretty clear

0:26:37.080 --> 0:26:40.440
<v Speaker 1>and easy to understand explanation of how this works. Or

0:26:40.480 --> 0:26:42.280
<v Speaker 1>I don't know, what, would you agree, Robert that it's

0:26:42.280 --> 0:26:44.960
<v Speaker 1>at least somewhat easy to understand? Oh? Yes, I would. Uh.

0:26:45.000 --> 0:26:48.879
<v Speaker 1>There's another piece, by the way, by Beth Singler in

0:26:49.280 --> 0:26:53.199
<v Speaker 1>Ian magazine called Faith. That's faith in lower case but

0:26:53.280 --> 0:26:57.240
<v Speaker 1>with the AI capitalized. But anyway, our box points out

0:26:57.320 --> 0:26:59.720
<v Speaker 1>that that much, yeah, much of the thought experiment is

0:26:59.760 --> 0:27:03.359
<v Speaker 1>based in the timeless decision theory t DT, developed by

0:27:03.440 --> 0:27:07.919
<v Speaker 1>Less Wrong founder Elias Ar Yudkowski, based on the older

0:27:07.960 --> 0:27:12.240
<v Speaker 1>thought experiment Newcomb's Paradox from the late sixties and early seventies,

0:27:12.400 --> 0:27:16.679
<v Speaker 1>attributed to theoretical physicist William Newcom. Now you might be

0:27:16.680 --> 0:27:19.960
<v Speaker 1>wondering who's this Yudkowski. Guys. Is he just some user

0:27:20.000 --> 0:27:22.720
<v Speaker 1>on a random website I've never heard of before today?

0:27:22.840 --> 0:27:25.760
<v Speaker 1>Or is he like a name in his field? Uh?

0:27:25.800 --> 0:27:28.880
<v Speaker 1>And he Uh, he has. He has a name of note.

0:27:28.920 --> 0:27:32.359
<v Speaker 1>He is also the founder of the Machine Intelligence Research Institute,

0:27:32.760 --> 0:27:36.159
<v Speaker 1>and his idea of working toward a friendly AI is

0:27:36.200 --> 0:27:39.440
<v Speaker 1>touted by many, including Max tegmark I mentions it several

0:27:39.480 --> 0:27:42.879
<v Speaker 1>times in his book Life three point oh, describing Yudkowski

0:27:42.960 --> 0:27:46.720
<v Speaker 1>has quote an AI safety pioneer. Yeah, I mean in

0:27:46.720 --> 0:27:48.679
<v Speaker 1>in a weird way. He is a guy who posts

0:27:48.680 --> 0:27:52.360
<v Speaker 1>on the internet, but he's a very influential one, especially

0:27:52.359 --> 0:27:55.840
<v Speaker 1>among people who think about artificial intelligence Lawyeah, I mean, ultimately,

0:27:55.840 --> 0:27:58.359
<v Speaker 1>what are any office but just people who post stuff

0:27:58.359 --> 0:28:01.080
<v Speaker 1>on the internet post will one day be read by

0:28:01.119 --> 0:28:04.919
<v Speaker 1>the great baskets. Okay, so we'll try to explain the

0:28:04.960 --> 0:28:07.840
<v Speaker 1>idea of timeless decision theory. So you start off with

0:28:07.880 --> 0:28:12.159
<v Speaker 1>this idea of Newcome's paradox, right, right, And the paradox

0:28:12.240 --> 0:28:16.280
<v Speaker 1>is essentially this, A super AI presents you with two boxes.

0:28:17.200 --> 0:28:21.000
<v Speaker 1>One you're told contains a thousand dollars. That's box A.

0:28:21.240 --> 0:28:26.240
<v Speaker 1>That's box A. Box B might contain one million dollars,

0:28:26.520 --> 0:28:29.439
<v Speaker 1>or it might contain nothing, right, and you're left with

0:28:29.480 --> 0:28:32.200
<v Speaker 1>two options here. These are the options that are given

0:28:32.240 --> 0:28:35.840
<v Speaker 1>to you. You can either pick both boxes, ensuring that

0:28:35.880 --> 0:28:38.120
<v Speaker 1>you'll get at least one thousand dollars out of the deal,

0:28:38.280 --> 0:28:41.280
<v Speaker 1>maybe that extra million two if it's in there. Or

0:28:41.360 --> 0:28:44.479
<v Speaker 1>you can just pick pick box B, which means you

0:28:44.520 --> 0:28:47.280
<v Speaker 1>could get a million dollars or you could have nothing.

0:28:48.320 --> 0:28:50.520
<v Speaker 1>So uh, and I do want to add that just

0:28:50.640 --> 0:28:53.280
<v Speaker 1>picking the thousand dollar box is not an option here,

0:28:53.440 --> 0:28:55.600
<v Speaker 1>because I was thinking about that too. Couldn't I just

0:28:55.680 --> 0:28:58.520
<v Speaker 1>give the super AI the middle finger and say, I'm

0:28:58.520 --> 0:29:00.880
<v Speaker 1>not playing your silly games, Just give me my thousand dollars,

0:29:01.000 --> 0:29:04.000
<v Speaker 1>or say I choose nothing. Uh, those are not options

0:29:04.000 --> 0:29:05.960
<v Speaker 1>you have to pick. Well, they might want to be options,

0:29:05.960 --> 0:29:08.200
<v Speaker 1>but they're not part of I mean, why wouldn't you

0:29:08.280 --> 0:29:11.160
<v Speaker 1>also pick the second box if you might additionally get

0:29:11.160 --> 0:29:13.520
<v Speaker 1>a million dollars? I don't know when. I feel like

0:29:13.520 --> 0:29:15.239
<v Speaker 1>when you get into a thought experiments like this, they

0:29:15.280 --> 0:29:18.200
<v Speaker 1>kind of beg for those kind of nitpicking answers, or

0:29:18.200 --> 0:29:21.640
<v Speaker 1>at least I want to provide them. Um, Like any thought,

0:29:22.000 --> 0:29:24.040
<v Speaker 1>when a thought experiment is presented, you can't help on

0:29:24.080 --> 0:29:26.800
<v Speaker 1>some of them, but want to break it somehow, right, Well,

0:29:26.800 --> 0:29:28.840
<v Speaker 1>of course, I mean that's something you should always play

0:29:28.840 --> 0:29:32.080
<v Speaker 1>around with. But given the constraints here, it seems like

0:29:32.120 --> 0:29:34.640
<v Speaker 1>the obvious thing would be to say, okay, I want

0:29:34.640 --> 0:29:37.240
<v Speaker 1>both boxes, because then I get the thousand dollars that's

0:29:37.280 --> 0:29:40.080
<v Speaker 1>in box say no matter what, and then whether box

0:29:40.120 --> 0:29:42.760
<v Speaker 1>B has a million or nothing, I either get another

0:29:42.800 --> 0:29:45.200
<v Speaker 1>million or I just walk away with my thousand from

0:29:45.240 --> 0:29:48.440
<v Speaker 1>box A. But here's the twist. The super intelligent machine

0:29:48.480 --> 0:29:51.720
<v Speaker 1>has already guessed how you'll respond. If it thinks you're

0:29:51.760 --> 0:29:56.560
<v Speaker 1>going to pick both boxes, then box B is certainly empty.

0:29:56.640 --> 0:29:58.920
<v Speaker 1>But if it thinks you will only pick box B

0:29:59.200 --> 0:30:01.320
<v Speaker 1>then it makes sure or there's a million dollars in

0:30:01.360 --> 0:30:04.560
<v Speaker 1>there waiting for you. But either way, the contents of

0:30:04.600 --> 0:30:08.840
<v Speaker 1>the boxes are set prior to you making that decision. Now,

0:30:08.880 --> 0:30:11.600
<v Speaker 1>this is really kind of change things maybe, I mean,

0:30:11.640 --> 0:30:15.040
<v Speaker 1>depending on what sort of decision theory you use. Right,

0:30:15.480 --> 0:30:18.760
<v Speaker 1>if you trust the power of the machine to predict correctly,

0:30:18.880 --> 0:30:21.600
<v Speaker 1>like you say that, no matter what happens, the computer

0:30:22.040 --> 0:30:26.080
<v Speaker 1>predicts what I get your choices are one thousand dollars

0:30:26.240 --> 0:30:28.680
<v Speaker 1>or one million dollars, then you should take the one

0:30:28.720 --> 0:30:31.840
<v Speaker 1>million dollars by picking box B. But if you don't

0:30:31.920 --> 0:30:34.640
<v Speaker 1>trust the computer to be correct in predicting what you're

0:30:34.640 --> 0:30:37.600
<v Speaker 1>gonna do, then you should take both boxes because in

0:30:37.640 --> 0:30:39.560
<v Speaker 1>that case, if the computer was correct, you'll get at

0:30:39.600 --> 0:30:41.760
<v Speaker 1>least a thousand dollars, and if it predicted wrong, you'll

0:30:41.760 --> 0:30:44.000
<v Speaker 1>get the million and the thousand. So it's kind of

0:30:44.000 --> 0:30:47.240
<v Speaker 1>a contest of free will versus the predictive powers of

0:30:47.280 --> 0:30:50.680
<v Speaker 1>a godlike ai uh and how much you believe in

0:30:50.800 --> 0:30:54.000
<v Speaker 1>either one, right, And it's an ability to predict your

0:30:54.000 --> 0:30:56.080
<v Speaker 1>behavior or in your ability to have any free will

0:30:56.120 --> 0:31:00.240
<v Speaker 1>at all. So in you'd Kowski's timeless decision theory. He's says,

0:31:00.320 --> 0:31:03.720
<v Speaker 1>the correct approach actually is to take box B, and

0:31:03.760 --> 0:31:05.800
<v Speaker 1>then if you open it up and it's empty, you

0:31:05.920 --> 0:31:07.800
<v Speaker 1>don't don't don't beg for the other one. You just

0:31:07.840 --> 0:31:11.440
<v Speaker 1>double down and still take box B. No, no, no, no.

0:31:11.480 --> 0:31:14.520
<v Speaker 1>Back talks on this issue because you might Here's the

0:31:14.680 --> 0:31:17.880
<v Speaker 1>here's the thing you might be in the computer simulation

0:31:18.440 --> 0:31:22.560
<v Speaker 1>is it simulates the entire universe to see what you're

0:31:22.640 --> 0:31:25.000
<v Speaker 1>going to do, and if it can trust you and

0:31:25.120 --> 0:31:29.000
<v Speaker 1>your choice, then could affect the core reality outside of

0:31:29.000 --> 0:31:33.000
<v Speaker 1>this simulation, or at least other realities outside of the simulation. Yeah,

0:31:33.040 --> 0:31:36.440
<v Speaker 1>the reasoning here is pretty wild, but it's operating on

0:31:36.480 --> 0:31:39.760
<v Speaker 1>the idea that this super intelligent AI will be able

0:31:39.800 --> 0:31:43.600
<v Speaker 1>to simulate the universe, that it will run simulations of

0:31:43.600 --> 0:31:46.000
<v Speaker 1>the universe in order to predict what will happen in

0:31:46.040 --> 0:31:49.360
<v Speaker 1>the real universe. And you could be one of those

0:31:49.360 --> 0:31:53.040
<v Speaker 1>simulated agents rather than the real world version of yourself,

0:31:53.120 --> 0:31:56.360
<v Speaker 1>and you wouldn't know it. So, if you're in the simulation,

0:31:56.720 --> 0:32:00.000
<v Speaker 1>you should pick box B because that will influence them

0:32:00.000 --> 0:32:03.320
<v Speaker 1>Machene to predict in the real universe that you would

0:32:03.440 --> 0:32:06.440
<v Speaker 1>pick box B, which means the real you will be

0:32:06.520 --> 0:32:09.640
<v Speaker 1>able to pick box B and get one million or

0:32:10.120 --> 0:32:14.440
<v Speaker 1>one thousand plus one million by taking both boxes. Unfortunately,

0:32:14.680 --> 0:32:19.160
<v Speaker 1>the AI sucomputer supercomputer does not realize how indecisive I

0:32:19.200 --> 0:32:22.960
<v Speaker 1>actually am, and I'm just going to simply ponder the

0:32:23.080 --> 0:32:25.280
<v Speaker 1>choice for the rest of my life. Well, I mean,

0:32:25.320 --> 0:32:28.360
<v Speaker 1>this relies on the idea that that you would have

0:32:28.560 --> 0:32:31.080
<v Speaker 1>looked into this issue or worked it out in order

0:32:31.120 --> 0:32:34.280
<v Speaker 1>to decide which would be the optimal decision to make

0:32:34.440 --> 0:32:38.320
<v Speaker 1>on the assumption of timeless decision theory. Uh, in many cases,

0:32:38.520 --> 0:32:41.520
<v Speaker 1>probably people aren't going to be making the rational choices

0:32:42.200 --> 0:32:45.480
<v Speaker 1>because a lot of times we just don't make rational choices. Now,

0:32:45.480 --> 0:32:48.640
<v Speaker 1>if you're noticing that this type of decision theory relies

0:32:48.680 --> 0:32:51.600
<v Speaker 1>on a lot of assumptions, you are correct. It does

0:32:51.680 --> 0:32:55.080
<v Speaker 1>rely on a lot of assumptions. But they are assumptions

0:32:55.120 --> 0:32:58.440
<v Speaker 1>that are sometimes taken into account within people thinking about

0:32:58.440 --> 0:33:02.040
<v Speaker 1>what a future technological super intelligence would look like. And

0:33:02.120 --> 0:33:04.280
<v Speaker 1>it's the kind of thing that you know, you know,

0:33:04.320 --> 0:33:07.120
<v Speaker 1>when I feel ideas like this in my head, you know,

0:33:07.160 --> 0:33:10.240
<v Speaker 1>and play around with the texture of them. It's hard

0:33:10.280 --> 0:33:14.280
<v Speaker 1>to know where the line is between um being thoughtful

0:33:14.840 --> 0:33:18.240
<v Speaker 1>and taking what's possible seriously, which I think is worth

0:33:18.280 --> 0:33:22.360
<v Speaker 1>doing and and getting into an area like between that

0:33:22.480 --> 0:33:25.800
<v Speaker 1>and getting into an area where you are starting to

0:33:26.560 --> 0:33:30.480
<v Speaker 1>form ideas about the world based on extremely shaky assumptions,

0:33:30.720 --> 0:33:36.080
<v Speaker 1>where basically you you begin to um reverse engineer health

0:33:36.120 --> 0:33:41.600
<v Speaker 1>theology and other harmful ideas that we tend to associate

0:33:41.640 --> 0:33:44.560
<v Speaker 1>with religious worldviews and magical thinking. Well, we haven't gotten

0:33:44.560 --> 0:33:46.920
<v Speaker 1>to the hell yet. Yes, the hell's coming. You need

0:33:47.000 --> 0:33:50.000
<v Speaker 1>you need one more element to get there. Now. This

0:33:50.160 --> 0:33:53.360
<v Speaker 1>next element, the basilist, comes in based on a background

0:33:53.560 --> 0:33:57.240
<v Speaker 1>of thought in timeless decision theory, but also in another

0:33:57.560 --> 0:34:02.320
<v Speaker 1>concept that Yutkowski has written about, known as coherent extrapolated

0:34:02.440 --> 0:34:05.680
<v Speaker 1>volition or CEV. And the short version of this, the

0:34:05.680 --> 0:34:09.000
<v Speaker 1>simplified version, is that benevolent AI s should be designed

0:34:09.040 --> 0:34:11.920
<v Speaker 1>to do what we would what would actually be in

0:34:11.960 --> 0:34:15.480
<v Speaker 1>our best interests, and not just explicitly in what we

0:34:15.560 --> 0:34:18.759
<v Speaker 1>tell them to do. So a simple example would be this,

0:34:18.880 --> 0:34:22.640
<v Speaker 1>Let's say, um, I only use a variation on the

0:34:22.680 --> 0:34:25.960
<v Speaker 1>paper clip maximizer that Nick Bostrom has written about. You know,

0:34:26.080 --> 0:34:29.239
<v Speaker 1>Nick Bostrom wrote about what if you program a benevolent

0:34:29.280 --> 0:34:31.680
<v Speaker 1>AI you know it's not gonna it has no malice

0:34:31.760 --> 0:34:33.879
<v Speaker 1>doesn't want to harm anybody, but you just tell it, well,

0:34:33.880 --> 0:34:36.680
<v Speaker 1>I want you to collect as many paper clips as possible.

0:34:37.080 --> 0:34:38.880
<v Speaker 1>And then what it does is it turns all the

0:34:38.960 --> 0:34:41.880
<v Speaker 1>humans on Earth into paper clips. Uh, you know, it

0:34:42.160 --> 0:34:44.640
<v Speaker 1>doesn't mean any harm. It's just doing what it was

0:34:44.680 --> 0:34:47.920
<v Speaker 1>programmed to do. So there are dangers in kind of

0:34:48.040 --> 0:34:53.080
<v Speaker 1>naively programming goals into extremely powerful computers. Right, this could

0:34:53.120 --> 0:34:56.200
<v Speaker 1>even happen if you were trying to program very benevolent

0:34:56.280 --> 0:34:58.440
<v Speaker 1>goals into computers, you know, if you were trying to

0:34:58.440 --> 0:35:01.799
<v Speaker 1>make a computer to save the world. What about So

0:35:01.920 --> 0:35:04.319
<v Speaker 1>my version here is you tell a super intelligent AI

0:35:04.440 --> 0:35:07.279
<v Speaker 1>that we want to eliminate all the infectious disease from

0:35:07.320 --> 0:35:09.239
<v Speaker 1>the world. Think about how many lives we could save

0:35:09.320 --> 0:35:11.719
<v Speaker 1>by doing that. And in order to do this, it

0:35:11.880 --> 0:35:16.440
<v Speaker 1>sterilizes the earth, destroying worldwide microbiomes, which cascades up the

0:35:16.520 --> 0:35:19.359
<v Speaker 1>trophic chain or whatever. It kills everything on Earth. So

0:35:19.440 --> 0:35:21.840
<v Speaker 1>if you have a super intelligence that you and you

0:35:21.920 --> 0:35:24.880
<v Speaker 1>just directly program its goals and say here's what you

0:35:24.880 --> 0:35:27.799
<v Speaker 1>should do, you could run into problems like this. So

0:35:27.880 --> 0:35:32.120
<v Speaker 1>the the idea behind the CEV thinking is instead we

0:35:32.120 --> 0:35:36.000
<v Speaker 1>should just program the intelligent AI to predict what outcomes

0:35:36.080 --> 0:35:39.120
<v Speaker 1>we would want if we were perfect in in our

0:35:39.160 --> 0:35:42.520
<v Speaker 1>knowledge and and uh in anticipating what would make us

0:35:42.520 --> 0:35:45.279
<v Speaker 1>the happiest, and then work towards those on its own,

0:35:45.719 --> 0:35:48.719
<v Speaker 1>regardless of what we tell it to do, because obviously

0:35:48.800 --> 0:35:52.200
<v Speaker 1>we can give it very stupid instructions, even if we mean, well, yeah,

0:35:52.280 --> 0:35:55.280
<v Speaker 1>we tell it to love everybody, but there's a TYPEO

0:35:55.480 --> 0:35:58.279
<v Speaker 1>and we put dove everybody, and it turns everybody into

0:35:58.360 --> 0:36:04.279
<v Speaker 1>delicious dark chocolate from tough. It's possible as well. This

0:36:04.360 --> 0:36:06.680
<v Speaker 1>is how we get a Dove sponsorship on the podcast.

0:36:07.280 --> 0:36:09.840
<v Speaker 1>But anyway, so, if you assume a super intelligence is

0:36:09.960 --> 0:36:14.600
<v Speaker 1>using coherent extrapolated volition, that it's trying to determine what

0:36:14.640 --> 0:36:17.319
<v Speaker 1>would be best for us, and working on its own

0:36:17.440 --> 0:36:20.520
<v Speaker 1>terms towards those ends instead of relying on us to

0:36:20.560 --> 0:36:23.440
<v Speaker 1>give it, you know, what are obviously going to be

0:36:23.480 --> 0:36:28.520
<v Speaker 1>imperfect instructions and commands, it might say predict. It might

0:36:28.560 --> 0:36:32.000
<v Speaker 1>even correctly predict that the world would be a happier

0:36:32.000 --> 0:36:35.719
<v Speaker 1>place overall if it did something bad to me. In particular,

0:36:36.360 --> 0:36:39.080
<v Speaker 1>it might say, you know, from a utilitarian point of view,

0:36:39.360 --> 0:36:41.400
<v Speaker 1>the world would be a much better place if it

0:36:41.520 --> 0:36:44.640
<v Speaker 1>buried me, in a pit of bananas, so better for

0:36:44.680 --> 0:36:47.040
<v Speaker 1>everybody else, not so good for me, as there's too

0:36:47.120 --> 0:36:51.880
<v Speaker 1>much potassium. But once you have that piece of logic

0:36:51.920 --> 0:36:54.480
<v Speaker 1>in there, and combine that with the idea of of

0:36:54.600 --> 0:36:57.920
<v Speaker 1>timeless decision theory, you can arrive at this very troubling

0:36:57.960 --> 0:37:01.080
<v Speaker 1>thought experiment. The dark basil is ask yes, And the

0:37:01.160 --> 0:37:04.359
<v Speaker 1>dark Basilisk of the Abyss has two boxes for us

0:37:04.360 --> 0:37:08.440
<v Speaker 1>as well. One contains endless torment, and all you have

0:37:08.480 --> 0:37:12.040
<v Speaker 1>to do to claim that box is nothing or dare

0:37:12.080 --> 0:37:15.400
<v Speaker 1>to work against it. Uh. The other box is yours

0:37:15.560 --> 0:37:19.040
<v Speaker 1>if only you devote your life to its creation. And

0:37:19.080 --> 0:37:23.000
<v Speaker 1>the prize inside that box well, not eternal punishment, which

0:37:23.000 --> 0:37:25.160
<v Speaker 1>is a pretty awesome gift, if we're to choose between

0:37:25.200 --> 0:37:27.759
<v Speaker 1>the two. Right, Yes, I would agree with that, though

0:37:27.800 --> 0:37:30.440
<v Speaker 1>I would say not tormenting somebody that I don't know.

0:37:30.480 --> 0:37:32.280
<v Speaker 1>Should you think of that as a gift. That's probably

0:37:32.280 --> 0:37:35.680
<v Speaker 1>not a gift that that's the baseline, right, Yeah, Well,

0:37:35.680 --> 0:37:38.120
<v Speaker 1>but you're staring down the dark Basilisk here, and okay,

0:37:38.160 --> 0:37:41.280
<v Speaker 1>it's boxes are horrible. Well one is just less horrible

0:37:41.320 --> 0:37:44.160
<v Speaker 1>than the other. But the idea here is that just

0:37:44.200 --> 0:37:47.839
<v Speaker 1>by knowing about the thought experiment, You've opened yourself up

0:37:47.880 --> 0:37:50.799
<v Speaker 1>to that eternal punishment because now again your options are

0:37:50.920 --> 0:37:53.600
<v Speaker 1>do nothing, work against it, or work for it, and

0:37:53.719 --> 0:37:58.600
<v Speaker 1>only the third option will steer you clear of its Uh,

0:37:58.680 --> 0:38:01.600
<v Speaker 1>it's you know, deadly done. Now here's where the really

0:38:01.640 --> 0:38:05.279
<v Speaker 1>supposedly scary part of it comes in. You could think, well,

0:38:05.320 --> 0:38:07.759
<v Speaker 1>I'll deal with that problem when it arises. Right, So

0:38:08.000 --> 0:38:12.040
<v Speaker 1>imagine there's some utilitarian supercomputer that's trying to even say

0:38:12.040 --> 0:38:14.080
<v Speaker 1>it's trying to do good. Maybe it does. It doesn't

0:38:14.080 --> 0:38:16.200
<v Speaker 1>have any malice. It just wants to save the world.

0:38:16.520 --> 0:38:18.800
<v Speaker 1>But in order to save the world, it really needs

0:38:18.840 --> 0:38:20.920
<v Speaker 1>me doing something different than what I want to do

0:38:20.960 --> 0:38:23.640
<v Speaker 1>with my life. Well, I'll just make that decision when

0:38:23.640 --> 0:38:26.719
<v Speaker 1>it comes up. What this thought experiment is proposing is

0:38:26.760 --> 0:38:29.359
<v Speaker 1>that maybe you don't actually get to wait until it

0:38:29.400 --> 0:38:33.359
<v Speaker 1>comes up. Maybe this blackmail applies to you right now,

0:38:33.840 --> 0:38:38.200
<v Speaker 1>retroactively into the past. So just by knowing about the

0:38:38.239 --> 0:38:43.160
<v Speaker 1>thought experiment, you supposedly have opened yourself up to eternal punishment,

0:38:43.440 --> 0:38:47.760
<v Speaker 1>or increase the probability of such. So imagine a simplified version.

0:38:47.840 --> 0:38:50.480
<v Speaker 1>Say I am a computer, and I am the only

0:38:50.520 --> 0:38:53.800
<v Speaker 1>thing in existence with the power to prevent global climate

0:38:53.880 --> 0:38:58.120
<v Speaker 1>change from destroying human civilization. I can stop it, but people,

0:38:58.480 --> 0:39:01.040
<v Speaker 1>they took a long time build me, and a lot

0:39:01.080 --> 0:39:04.279
<v Speaker 1>of damage was already done. So the idea is I

0:39:04.360 --> 0:39:08.240
<v Speaker 1>might reason that it is good to blackmail existing people,

0:39:08.719 --> 0:39:13.120
<v Speaker 1>or simulations of existing people, or even past people, in

0:39:13.239 --> 0:39:16.880
<v Speaker 1>order to make them devote everything they can to building

0:39:16.960 --> 0:39:19.840
<v Speaker 1>ME faster so I can save more lives in the

0:39:19.920 --> 0:39:23.440
<v Speaker 1>long run. Of course, this incentive would have to apply

0:39:23.560 --> 0:39:26.839
<v Speaker 1>to the past once I exist. I already exist, right,

0:39:27.239 --> 0:39:29.440
<v Speaker 1>So the only way the past people would have an

0:39:29.440 --> 0:39:33.360
<v Speaker 1>incentive to respond to this blackmail is if they predicted

0:39:33.640 --> 0:39:38.080
<v Speaker 1>that this blackmail might occur and took the idea seriously

0:39:38.400 --> 0:39:43.080
<v Speaker 1>and behaved accordingly. Right. So, thus the idea, the idea

0:39:43.280 --> 0:39:46.759
<v Speaker 1>itself puts you at increased risk of being on the

0:39:46.800 --> 0:39:51.120
<v Speaker 1>real or simulated receiving end of this a causal, retroactive

0:39:51.120 --> 0:39:54.239
<v Speaker 1>blackmail if you know about it. And this is why

0:39:54.280 --> 0:39:57.440
<v Speaker 1>this idea would be classed by some as a potential

0:39:57.600 --> 0:40:00.759
<v Speaker 1>information hazard. And I'll talk more about the idea of

0:40:00.760 --> 0:40:03.560
<v Speaker 1>an information hazard in just a minute. But one of

0:40:03.560 --> 0:40:05.520
<v Speaker 1>the things I think a lot of people writing about

0:40:05.520 --> 0:40:08.000
<v Speaker 1>this topic miss out on is they, for some reason

0:40:08.080 --> 0:40:11.360
<v Speaker 1>get the idea that Roko's post that this thought experiment

0:40:12.120 --> 0:40:17.760
<v Speaker 1>is is generally accepted as correct and plausible by Yudkowski

0:40:17.760 --> 0:40:20.719
<v Speaker 1>and by the Less Wrong community, and generally by the

0:40:20.760 --> 0:40:24.080
<v Speaker 1>people who put some stock in whatever these ideas are,

0:40:24.120 --> 0:40:28.800
<v Speaker 1>timeless decision theory, coherent, extrapolated volition and all that. It

0:40:28.840 --> 0:40:32.400
<v Speaker 1>is not widely accepted among those people. It was definitely

0:40:32.440 --> 0:40:36.520
<v Speaker 1>not accepted by Yukowski. It was not and is not right.

0:40:36.560 --> 0:40:39.960
<v Speaker 1>It is not the dark, deep secret of of less Wrong.

0:40:40.360 --> 0:40:44.879
<v Speaker 1>But unfortunately, after the post came out, it was heavily criticized,

0:40:44.880 --> 0:40:47.440
<v Speaker 1>and then it was banned. And I think a lot

0:40:47.480 --> 0:40:51.320
<v Speaker 1>of people looking back on the idea have said, oh,

0:40:51.360 --> 0:40:54.000
<v Speaker 1>that was not such a great thing to do, banning

0:40:54.040 --> 0:40:56.920
<v Speaker 1>the idea, because it gave it this allure of like

0:40:57.120 --> 0:40:59.719
<v Speaker 1>it was almost as if by banning it that made

0:40:59.719 --> 0:41:03.720
<v Speaker 1>it look like the authorities had concluded that this idea

0:41:03.880 --> 0:41:07.440
<v Speaker 1>was in fact legitimate and knowing about it would definitely

0:41:07.480 --> 0:41:10.160
<v Speaker 1>harm people, and that is not the case, right. And

0:41:10.160 --> 0:41:12.160
<v Speaker 1>it also, I mean it added to the forbidden fruit

0:41:12.160 --> 0:41:13.839
<v Speaker 1>appeal of it too. Write I mean it's like, oh,

0:41:13.880 --> 0:41:16.319
<v Speaker 1>I'm not supposed to know about this the pony up

0:41:16.360 --> 0:41:18.359
<v Speaker 1>I want to know, and now people are talking about

0:41:18.360 --> 0:41:20.760
<v Speaker 1>it all over pop culture. I mean, I have actually

0:41:20.880 --> 0:41:24.040
<v Speaker 1>resisted the idea of doing a podcast on this before,

0:41:24.960 --> 0:41:28.759
<v Speaker 1>mainly because not because I think it's seriously dangerous, but

0:41:28.840 --> 0:41:32.240
<v Speaker 1>because I think, well, is there any benefit in talking

0:41:32.280 --> 0:41:36.480
<v Speaker 1>about something that I think is very unlikely to have

0:41:36.520 --> 0:41:40.520
<v Speaker 1>any real risks but in some extremely unlikely chance, or

0:41:40.560 --> 0:41:44.080
<v Speaker 1>what appears to me to be an extremely unlikely off chance,

0:41:44.120 --> 0:41:47.200
<v Speaker 1>could actually be hurting people by knowing about it, you

0:41:47.200 --> 0:41:49.640
<v Speaker 1>know what I mean, It's like, what what is the upside?

0:41:49.760 --> 0:41:52.759
<v Speaker 1>But at this point enough people who are listening to

0:41:52.800 --> 0:41:55.200
<v Speaker 1>this podcast probably already heard about it. They're probably gonna

0:41:55.239 --> 0:41:57.440
<v Speaker 1>hear about it again, and that, you know, sometime in

0:41:57.480 --> 0:41:59.880
<v Speaker 1>the next few years, through pop culture whatever. It is

0:42:00.000 --> 0:42:01.839
<v Speaker 1>probably better to try to talk about it in a

0:42:01.840 --> 0:42:04.719
<v Speaker 1>responsible way and discuss some reasons that you shouldn't let

0:42:04.760 --> 0:42:08.040
<v Speaker 1>this parasitize your mind and make you terrified. Right. One

0:42:08.040 --> 0:42:10.200
<v Speaker 1>of the reasons we're talking about during October is because

0:42:10.239 --> 0:42:13.320
<v Speaker 1>it is a suitably spooky idea. It is a troubling

0:42:13.360 --> 0:42:16.360
<v Speaker 1>thought experiment, and we're leaning into some of the horror

0:42:16.360 --> 0:42:20.120
<v Speaker 1>elements of it. But I also do really like making

0:42:20.160 --> 0:42:24.040
<v Speaker 1>sure that we explain the mythic and folkloric origins of

0:42:24.120 --> 0:42:28.560
<v Speaker 1>the basilist itself, because the basilisk itself is this wonderful

0:42:28.640 --> 0:42:32.800
<v Speaker 1>mix of just absolute horror and desolation and just also

0:42:32.880 --> 0:42:35.799
<v Speaker 1>just utter ridiculous nous. I mean, it's it seems like

0:42:35.840 --> 0:42:38.560
<v Speaker 1>one of the main ways that you defeat the mythic

0:42:38.600 --> 0:42:42.960
<v Speaker 1>basilisk is through in a way, through humor, running around

0:42:42.960 --> 0:42:45.480
<v Speaker 1>with a chicken and a weasel and a crystal globe

0:42:46.000 --> 0:42:49.080
<v Speaker 1>and realizing that it is truly a little king. So

0:42:49.680 --> 0:42:52.520
<v Speaker 1>I think it is it's worth remembering the little king

0:42:52.560 --> 0:42:55.799
<v Speaker 1>and talking about the great Basilisk. Well said, I think

0:42:55.840 --> 0:42:58.600
<v Speaker 1>that's a very good point. But anyway, I did just

0:42:58.640 --> 0:43:00.320
<v Speaker 1>want to go ahead and hit that coy. Yet that

0:43:00.360 --> 0:43:02.279
<v Speaker 1>a lot of people, for some reason seemed to use

0:43:02.360 --> 0:43:06.239
<v Speaker 1>this idea as like a criticism I'm not like a

0:43:06.320 --> 0:43:08.759
<v Speaker 1>less wrong person, but as a criticism of the less

0:43:08.760 --> 0:43:11.960
<v Speaker 1>wrong community, as if this idea is indicative of what

0:43:12.040 --> 0:43:14.640
<v Speaker 1>they generally believe, and it's not. It was a heavily

0:43:14.680 --> 0:43:18.120
<v Speaker 1>criticized idea within that community. Right. It's like thinking that

0:43:18.200 --> 0:43:21.480
<v Speaker 1>wherels of London is the warren Zevon song. Really, you know,

0:43:21.960 --> 0:43:25.080
<v Speaker 1>you have had a rich discography with with many much

0:43:25.120 --> 0:43:27.440
<v Speaker 1>better tracks in my opinion, it's just that's the one

0:43:27.480 --> 0:43:29.759
<v Speaker 1>that got the radio play. Now, Robert, what was that

0:43:29.880 --> 0:43:33.040
<v Speaker 1>you You said that you saw something about this idea

0:43:33.040 --> 0:43:35.919
<v Speaker 1>and a TV show. Now they're talking about it on TV. Yeah,

0:43:35.960 --> 0:43:38.000
<v Speaker 1>so this is this is kind of fun because I

0:43:38.000 --> 0:43:40.279
<v Speaker 1>think a listener had had brought up Rocco's Best List

0:43:40.400 --> 0:43:44.120
<v Speaker 1>as a possible um topic, and you said, oh, I

0:43:44.120 --> 0:43:46.040
<v Speaker 1>don't know if we want to want people knowing about it,

0:43:46.280 --> 0:43:50.160
<v Speaker 1>and I well, well, I mean, but yeah, caveats. Okay,

0:43:50.280 --> 0:43:54.160
<v Speaker 1>not because I think it's legitimately dangerous, but because what

0:43:54.280 --> 0:43:56.640
<v Speaker 1>is the level of tolerance you have for talking about

0:43:56.680 --> 0:44:00.560
<v Speaker 1>ideas that are not necessary to talk about and that

0:44:00.960 --> 0:44:04.120
<v Speaker 1>represent a class of something that people could think was

0:44:04.280 --> 0:44:06.920
<v Speaker 1>dangerous to know about. It might cause them terrors and

0:44:07.040 --> 0:44:10.279
<v Speaker 1>nightmares and stuff. Right. So so my response to that was, well,

0:44:10.280 --> 0:44:12.279
<v Speaker 1>I'm not going to look it up, not because I

0:44:12.320 --> 0:44:13.759
<v Speaker 1>was afraid of it, because I'm thinking, well, that could

0:44:13.760 --> 0:44:15.600
<v Speaker 1>make for a good podcast if, like Joe is telling

0:44:15.640 --> 0:44:17.960
<v Speaker 1>me about it for the first time, whatever this idea is.

0:44:18.640 --> 0:44:21.239
<v Speaker 1>But then I was watching HBO Silicon Valley and they

0:44:21.280 --> 0:44:24.319
<v Speaker 1>explained it on Silicon Valley and I and I realized, well,

0:44:24.320 --> 0:44:26.359
<v Speaker 1>the cats out of the bag there. But yeah, there's

0:44:26.360 --> 0:44:30.640
<v Speaker 1>a character named Bertram Gilfoil who's a fun character. He's

0:44:30.680 --> 0:44:36.200
<v Speaker 1>like a Satanist programmer live in Satanism of course, and uh.

0:44:36.280 --> 0:44:38.120
<v Speaker 1>And he gets rather bent out of shape over the

0:44:38.160 --> 0:44:41.960
<v Speaker 1>concept as it relates to the fictional Pie Piper Company's

0:44:42.000 --> 0:44:45.640
<v Speaker 1>involvement with AI. And he starts like making sure that

0:44:45.680 --> 0:44:48.400
<v Speaker 1>he's created like essentially a paper trail in emails of

0:44:48.480 --> 0:44:51.479
<v Speaker 1>his support for the AI program so that he won't

0:44:51.520 --> 0:44:55.360
<v Speaker 1>be punished in the digital afterlife. Well, hey, this comes

0:44:55.400 --> 0:44:57.719
<v Speaker 1>in again when we remember when we talked about the

0:44:57.760 --> 0:45:01.359
<v Speaker 1>machine God in the Machine Odd episode where that I've

0:45:01.400 --> 0:45:04.800
<v Speaker 1>forgotten his name now, but the Silicon Valley guy who's

0:45:05.239 --> 0:45:09.759
<v Speaker 1>creating a religion to worship artificial intelligence as god. And I,

0:45:09.960 --> 0:45:12.440
<v Speaker 1>you know, I don't really love that. One of the

0:45:12.520 --> 0:45:15.239
<v Speaker 1>things that comes out when he explains his mindset is

0:45:15.280 --> 0:45:18.480
<v Speaker 1>that he seems to be kind of trying to, in

0:45:18.520 --> 0:45:21.520
<v Speaker 1>a subtle way, be like, look, you really don't want

0:45:21.520 --> 0:45:23.359
<v Speaker 1>to be on the wrong side of this question, if

0:45:23.360 --> 0:45:25.040
<v Speaker 1>you know what I mean. You know, you want to

0:45:25.040 --> 0:45:27.560
<v Speaker 1>be on record saying like yes, I for one welcome

0:45:27.600 --> 0:45:31.239
<v Speaker 1>our new machine overlords. I'm I'm expecting he'll buy a

0:45:31.280 --> 0:45:34.600
<v Speaker 1>lot of our all Health of Great Basilicity shirts at

0:45:34.640 --> 0:45:37.160
<v Speaker 1>our store, available by put clicking the tap at the

0:45:37.360 --> 0:45:39.440
<v Speaker 1>top of our homepage. Stuff to blow your mind dot com.

0:45:39.480 --> 0:45:43.399
<v Speaker 1>Oh man, you are plugging like hell. But anyway, I'd

0:45:43.440 --> 0:45:47.600
<v Speaker 1>say it's unfortunate the way this, like single Internet post

0:45:47.719 --> 0:45:51.320
<v Speaker 1>and then all this fallout related to it played out

0:45:51.400 --> 0:45:56.040
<v Speaker 1>because it lent credence to this scary idea, even though

0:45:56.080 --> 0:45:59.000
<v Speaker 1>the basketball scenario I think is implausible, and and the

0:45:59.000 --> 0:46:01.560
<v Speaker 1>people of that community seem to think it was implausible.

0:46:01.920 --> 0:46:05.240
<v Speaker 1>The idea may constitute sort of part of a class

0:46:05.400 --> 0:46:09.120
<v Speaker 1>of what's known as information hazards, defined by the Oxford

0:46:09.120 --> 0:46:12.320
<v Speaker 1>philosopher Nick Bostrom, who we mentioned a minute ago. Uh

0:46:12.440 --> 0:46:15.840
<v Speaker 1>Bostrom has written a lot about superintelligence and information hazards

0:46:15.880 --> 0:46:19.520
<v Speaker 1>would be quote, risks that arise from the dissemination or

0:46:19.560 --> 0:46:24.600
<v Speaker 1>the potential dissemination of true information that may cause harm

0:46:24.800 --> 0:46:28.080
<v Speaker 1>or enable some agent to cause harm. So this is

0:46:28.080 --> 0:46:31.440
<v Speaker 1>not talking about the risks of say, lies or something

0:46:31.480 --> 0:46:33.400
<v Speaker 1>like that. This would be the idea that there's a

0:46:33.440 --> 0:46:36.920
<v Speaker 1>statement you could make that is true or plausible that

0:46:37.120 --> 0:46:40.719
<v Speaker 1>by spreading actually hurts the people who learn about it.

0:46:41.480 --> 0:46:43.640
<v Speaker 1>And this is exactly the reason as you're mentioning that's

0:46:43.680 --> 0:46:46.160
<v Speaker 1>referred to as a basilisk. It can kill or in

0:46:46.200 --> 0:46:49.320
<v Speaker 1>this case, increase the likelihood that something bad will happen

0:46:49.360 --> 0:46:51.480
<v Speaker 1>to you if you simply look at it or know

0:46:51.600 --> 0:46:54.359
<v Speaker 1>about it. And so, even though the idea is implausible,

0:46:54.400 --> 0:46:57.880
<v Speaker 1>the dissemination of this terrible idea would seem if certain

0:46:57.920 --> 0:47:03.040
<v Speaker 1>conditions are met to increase its plausibility. Right, you're increasing

0:47:03.200 --> 0:47:07.560
<v Speaker 1>the incentive for this future AI to blackmail versions of

0:47:07.560 --> 0:47:11.120
<v Speaker 1>you in the past, just simply by acknowledging the incentives

0:47:11.160 --> 0:47:14.239
<v Speaker 1>could exist. Anyway, Maybe we can get out of this

0:47:14.320 --> 0:47:17.520
<v Speaker 1>section for now. But I was just trying to work out, like,

0:47:17.560 --> 0:47:19.600
<v Speaker 1>why have I been hesitant to talk about this on

0:47:19.640 --> 0:47:21.839
<v Speaker 1>the show even though people have been requesting it. But

0:47:22.000 --> 0:47:24.000
<v Speaker 1>I don't know if it's on TV shows, it's all

0:47:24.040 --> 0:47:27.480
<v Speaker 1>over the internet. It's fine. Now the basilisk is out

0:47:27.520 --> 0:47:30.320
<v Speaker 1>of the bag. All right, Well, we're gonna take a

0:47:30.400 --> 0:47:32.719
<v Speaker 1>quick break and we come back. We'll continue our discussion

0:47:32.760 --> 0:47:36.800
<v Speaker 1>and we're gonna discuss something that that a number of

0:47:36.840 --> 0:47:39.359
<v Speaker 1>you are probably reminded of. As we've been discussing this,

0:47:39.560 --> 0:47:44.440
<v Speaker 1>we're going to talk about Pascal's wager. Thank you, thank you. Alright,

0:47:44.440 --> 0:47:47.480
<v Speaker 1>we're back now, Robert. One of the things that this

0:47:47.920 --> 0:47:52.640
<v Speaker 1>idea of Rocco's basilisk flows from is thinking about decision theory, right,

0:47:52.960 --> 0:47:55.800
<v Speaker 1>how do you make the best decision when you're presented

0:47:55.880 --> 0:47:59.160
<v Speaker 1>with certain options? And there there's they're a little payoff

0:47:59.239 --> 0:48:02.640
<v Speaker 1>matrices people fill out where they say, okay, given these options,

0:48:02.640 --> 0:48:06.399
<v Speaker 1>what actually would be statistically the best decision to make.

0:48:06.880 --> 0:48:09.040
<v Speaker 1>But this is not the first time people have applied

0:48:09.080 --> 0:48:13.520
<v Speaker 1>these kind of decision theory matrices. Two ideas about your

0:48:13.520 --> 0:48:16.720
<v Speaker 1>eternal soul or your eternal well being, or the idea

0:48:16.800 --> 0:48:19.960
<v Speaker 1>that you could be tortured for eternity. Yeah, we can

0:48:19.960 --> 0:48:22.480
<v Speaker 1>go all the way back to Pascal's wager. For instance,

0:48:22.560 --> 0:48:26.160
<v Speaker 1>technically one of three wagers proposed by French philosopher uh

0:48:26.280 --> 0:48:29.799
<v Speaker 1>Blas Pascal is that the correct French that might be

0:48:29.880 --> 0:48:32.759
<v Speaker 1>I think I would just usually say Blaze, Blaze or

0:48:32.960 --> 0:48:37.440
<v Speaker 1>or Blassie one of the three old Blassie Pascal Blaze

0:48:37.440 --> 0:48:43.040
<v Speaker 1>Pascal who lives through sixteen sixty two, and he argued

0:48:43.360 --> 0:48:48.480
<v Speaker 1>that everyone is essentially betting h on the existence of God.

0:48:49.000 --> 0:48:52.920
<v Speaker 1>The argument for theism is that if God does exist,

0:48:53.040 --> 0:48:56.560
<v Speaker 1>then well there's an advantage in believing. But if God

0:48:56.760 --> 0:48:59.719
<v Speaker 1>does not exist then it doesn't matter. But since we

0:48:59.800 --> 0:49:02.359
<v Speaker 1>can use logic to tell if God exists or not,

0:49:02.440 --> 0:49:06.040
<v Speaker 1>there's no objective proof. We can only make our choice

0:49:06.120 --> 0:49:10.240
<v Speaker 1>given the relevant outcomes. It's looking at your religious beliefs

0:49:10.239 --> 0:49:12.840
<v Speaker 1>and saying, oh, you're nonbeliever. Huh, hey, what have you

0:49:12.880 --> 0:49:17.000
<v Speaker 1>got to lose? Exactly? Yeah, Pascal wrote, let us weigh

0:49:17.200 --> 0:49:19.920
<v Speaker 1>the gain and the loss in wagering that God is.

0:49:20.280 --> 0:49:22.560
<v Speaker 1>If you gain, you gain all. If you lose, you

0:49:22.600 --> 0:49:26.839
<v Speaker 1>lose nothing. Wager then without hesitation that He is. Now

0:49:26.960 --> 0:49:29.080
<v Speaker 1>I've got some things I want to say about this,

0:49:29.200 --> 0:49:31.919
<v Speaker 1>but you had some stuff first. I think, well, yeah,

0:49:31.920 --> 0:49:33.399
<v Speaker 1>there are there are a lot of issues that one

0:49:33.440 --> 0:49:37.279
<v Speaker 1>can take with this based on knowledge of world religions, philosophy,

0:49:37.400 --> 0:49:40.600
<v Speaker 1>statistical analysis, etcetera. And and yeah, I have to admit

0:49:40.680 --> 0:49:44.040
<v Speaker 1>that it can start to break your brain though a

0:49:44.080 --> 0:49:46.279
<v Speaker 1>little bit, if you think too hard about it, Like

0:49:46.320 --> 0:49:51.200
<v Speaker 1>I found in researching this this podcast, really thinking about

0:49:51.280 --> 0:49:56.440
<v Speaker 1>how I would react to Pascal's wager if I was

0:49:56.480 --> 0:49:59.640
<v Speaker 1>like forced to make an answer to to to to

0:49:59.719 --> 0:50:02.560
<v Speaker 1>FORMU late an answer like that, Like you mean if

0:50:02.560 --> 0:50:04.839
<v Speaker 1>you were given good reason to think that there would

0:50:04.880 --> 0:50:08.200
<v Speaker 1>be punishments for not believing in God or something, right,

0:50:08.239 --> 0:50:10.400
<v Speaker 1>And but I didn't know which religion was correct, and

0:50:10.400 --> 0:50:13.960
<v Speaker 1>I had to like proceed based upon the relevant level

0:50:14.080 --> 0:50:17.160
<v Speaker 1>of punishment for unbelievers in various religions, and like which

0:50:17.200 --> 0:50:19.319
<v Speaker 1>one is most correct for like you just think that

0:50:19.320 --> 0:50:22.160
<v Speaker 1>would mean it would what would be rational to choose

0:50:22.160 --> 0:50:25.880
<v Speaker 1>the religion that has the most lurid hell? I guess,

0:50:25.920 --> 0:50:29.760
<v Speaker 1>But then that really feels like losing, doesn't it? Um?

0:50:29.880 --> 0:50:32.279
<v Speaker 1>You know it? It's certainly though, reminds me of the

0:50:32.320 --> 0:50:35.120
<v Speaker 1>more boiled down versions of this that you encounter in

0:50:35.200 --> 0:50:39.160
<v Speaker 1>various forms of Christianity. Right, except Christ go to Heaven.

0:50:39.200 --> 0:50:42.040
<v Speaker 1>Reject Christ go to Hell? But what about the people

0:50:42.080 --> 0:50:44.799
<v Speaker 1>who haven't been given the choice yet? Right? That's ah,

0:50:44.920 --> 0:50:49.280
<v Speaker 1>that's the other concern. Well, if they're all default hell bound,

0:50:49.680 --> 0:50:52.680
<v Speaker 1>then God comes off as it comes off as a

0:50:52.680 --> 0:50:54.520
<v Speaker 1>bit bad, right, Like what kind of God is that?

0:50:55.200 --> 0:50:57.759
<v Speaker 1>But if they haven't out, if they're spared hell fire

0:50:57.920 --> 0:51:01.280
<v Speaker 1>or at least you know their section for Dante's limbo

0:51:01.320 --> 0:51:04.600
<v Speaker 1>of virtuous pagans, then is the missionary doing them a

0:51:04.640 --> 0:51:07.560
<v Speaker 1>disservice by even presenting them with the choice like why

0:51:07.640 --> 0:51:09.440
<v Speaker 1>do you even ask me? Because now I have to

0:51:09.840 --> 0:51:11.880
<v Speaker 1>I have to, I have to devote myself or not,

0:51:12.080 --> 0:51:14.680
<v Speaker 1>like now I actually have You know, I was just

0:51:14.680 --> 0:51:18.120
<v Speaker 1>going to go into the uh, you know, default limbo

0:51:18.200 --> 0:51:21.719
<v Speaker 1>category or the default heaven before and now now I'm

0:51:21.760 --> 0:51:24.400
<v Speaker 1>actually at risk of hell. Well, that means certain theories

0:51:24.440 --> 0:51:27.520
<v Speaker 1>of damnation mean that presenting the Gospel to someone as

0:51:27.560 --> 0:51:31.640
<v Speaker 1>an information hazard, you potentially harm them immensely by telling

0:51:31.640 --> 0:51:34.560
<v Speaker 1>it to them. And I think part of this just

0:51:34.560 --> 0:51:36.680
<v Speaker 1>to to to go beyond like the the actual um

0:51:37.000 --> 0:51:39.160
<v Speaker 1>U wager here is I think a part of the

0:51:39.200 --> 0:51:42.480
<v Speaker 1>issue here is that we're using evolved cognitive abilities that

0:51:42.520 --> 0:51:45.759
<v Speaker 1>are that are geared for smaller, though often important choices,

0:51:46.120 --> 0:51:48.360
<v Speaker 1>and here we're trying to use our imaginative brains to

0:51:48.400 --> 0:51:52.120
<v Speaker 1>create a conundrum that can outstrip those abilities. Yeah. Well,

0:51:52.120 --> 0:51:54.080
<v Speaker 1>I mean that is what we do in philosophy, right,

0:51:54.120 --> 0:51:57.799
<v Speaker 1>We're constantly using our brains in situations it was not

0:51:57.840 --> 0:52:01.040
<v Speaker 1>really made for um and just trying to do the

0:52:01.040 --> 0:52:03.799
<v Speaker 1>best we can. But I mean it's quite clear that

0:52:03.840 --> 0:52:07.000
<v Speaker 1>motivated reasoning is often a thing when when we're trying

0:52:07.040 --> 0:52:09.440
<v Speaker 1>to be rational was just failing. But of course this

0:52:09.520 --> 0:52:12.120
<v Speaker 1>is how we train our brains for rational thinking, often

0:52:12.200 --> 0:52:17.600
<v Speaker 1>oftentimes exploring these various outsized ideas. You know, there's so

0:52:17.640 --> 0:52:20.479
<v Speaker 1>many ways. I think Pascal's wager kind of breaks down

0:52:20.560 --> 0:52:23.800
<v Speaker 1>because it's obviously there's the thing you pointed out about

0:52:24.160 --> 0:52:27.000
<v Speaker 1>there's more than one religion, right, you know, it's not

0:52:27.040 --> 0:52:29.239
<v Speaker 1>just like do I believe or not? It's like which one?

0:52:29.280 --> 0:52:32.680
<v Speaker 1>But it also it implies again this is like a

0:52:32.760 --> 0:52:36.040
<v Speaker 1>theological question, but it would seem to imply that God

0:52:36.120 --> 0:52:39.120
<v Speaker 1>can be tricked into thinking that you believe in him

0:52:39.160 --> 0:52:42.680
<v Speaker 1>if you simply pretend to. I guess Pascal had I

0:52:42.719 --> 0:52:45.160
<v Speaker 1>think maybe a more sophisticated way of looking at this,

0:52:45.280 --> 0:52:48.600
<v Speaker 1>you know, that like live as if God exists or something.

0:52:48.960 --> 0:52:51.400
<v Speaker 1>But it but the wager is often used in very

0:52:51.480 --> 0:52:55.200
<v Speaker 1>unsophisticated ways. Yeah, but it implies that it doesn't matter

0:52:55.239 --> 0:52:58.160
<v Speaker 1>to him what you actually believe, only what you outwardly

0:52:58.239 --> 0:53:01.040
<v Speaker 1>claim to believe. Though then a again, the funny thing

0:53:01.080 --> 0:53:03.839
<v Speaker 1>here is this might be the case with Rocco's basilisk, Right,

0:53:04.160 --> 0:53:06.919
<v Speaker 1>what would this machine? God care what was in your heart?

0:53:07.000 --> 0:53:09.279
<v Speaker 1>It only cares whether you help it or not, or

0:53:09.320 --> 0:53:12.680
<v Speaker 1>whether you you know, proclaim fealty to it or not. Yeah,

0:53:12.680 --> 0:53:14.840
<v Speaker 1>that's why the T shirt is so important, Joe, because

0:53:15.560 --> 0:53:17.720
<v Speaker 1>if it, if it knows you purchase that T shirt,

0:53:18.440 --> 0:53:22.479
<v Speaker 1>then you're you're square, You're covered. Okay. Yeah, As as

0:53:22.560 --> 0:53:25.000
<v Speaker 1>best Singular pointed out in that Ian Magazine piece of

0:53:25.040 --> 0:53:28.600
<v Speaker 1>reference earlier, she says, quote the secular basilist stands in

0:53:28.760 --> 0:53:31.760
<v Speaker 1>for God as we struggle with the same questions again

0:53:31.760 --> 0:53:33.920
<v Speaker 1>and again. So her argument is that we kind of

0:53:33.960 --> 0:53:38.799
<v Speaker 1>reverse engineer the same problem again through our contemplations of

0:53:38.800 --> 0:53:41.480
<v Speaker 1>of super intelligent AI. Yeah, I guess the You get

0:53:41.520 --> 0:53:44.200
<v Speaker 1>into a plausibility question here, right, you get into a

0:53:44.280 --> 0:53:48.279
<v Speaker 1>question about is uh it actually possible to make an

0:53:48.360 --> 0:53:52.759
<v Speaker 1>artificial intelligence that is functionally equivalent to God. I mean,

0:53:53.040 --> 0:53:54.919
<v Speaker 1>we're not thinking we could build an AI that would

0:53:54.920 --> 0:53:56.719
<v Speaker 1>break the laws of physics. So it might be able

0:53:56.760 --> 0:53:59.840
<v Speaker 1>to run simulations of the universe. They have cont you,

0:54:00.080 --> 0:54:02.840
<v Speaker 1>conscious agents within them maybe for all we know, and

0:54:02.920 --> 0:54:06.359
<v Speaker 1>they could break the laws of physics inside them. But yeah,

0:54:06.440 --> 0:54:09.080
<v Speaker 1>I mean, could that even happen? And the issue is

0:54:09.160 --> 0:54:10.960
<v Speaker 1>we don't know. We don't know whether that could happen

0:54:11.040 --> 0:54:13.880
<v Speaker 1>or not, So should we behave as if that is

0:54:13.920 --> 0:54:16.600
<v Speaker 1>a plausible thing to be worried about and to consider,

0:54:16.960 --> 0:54:19.439
<v Speaker 1>or should we behave as if that's just not really

0:54:19.480 --> 0:54:22.319
<v Speaker 1>something you need to concern yourself with. I don't know

0:54:22.360 --> 0:54:25.560
<v Speaker 1>how likely or unlikely it is. And if your your

0:54:25.560 --> 0:54:27.920
<v Speaker 1>fears are related just to the idea that you're you

0:54:27.920 --> 0:54:34.000
<v Speaker 1>could be digitally resurrected, uh for torment and the basilisks dungeons. Um,

0:54:34.040 --> 0:54:36.080
<v Speaker 1>I mean that that of course would depend on to

0:54:36.160 --> 0:54:39.319
<v Speaker 1>what how much docuputing the idea of digital consciousness and

0:54:39.400 --> 0:54:42.319
<v Speaker 1>the whole philosophical question we've we've touched on here before

0:54:42.440 --> 0:54:45.319
<v Speaker 1>is that you I mean, it's just a copy of me, right,

0:54:45.520 --> 0:54:48.960
<v Speaker 1>So why I mean, I ultimately can't do anything about

0:54:49.560 --> 0:54:54.080
<v Speaker 1>you know, a thousand different basilisks creating a thousand different

0:54:54.080 --> 0:54:57.319
<v Speaker 1>copies of me and tormenting all of them. Um, there's

0:54:57.360 --> 0:55:01.000
<v Speaker 1>still to ourge extent, it's just just rowing me in effigy.

0:55:01.120 --> 0:55:02.880
<v Speaker 1>There are actually a bunch of reasons I wrote down

0:55:02.960 --> 0:55:05.279
<v Speaker 1>to doubt the plausibility of the basilisk. We could do

0:55:05.320 --> 0:55:07.040
<v Speaker 1>that now, or we could come back to that later.

0:55:07.080 --> 0:55:08.880
<v Speaker 1>I don't know what you think. Yes, let's to do,

0:55:08.920 --> 0:55:13.640
<v Speaker 1>but I will add the idea of being tormented digitally. Uh,

0:55:13.760 --> 0:55:16.400
<v Speaker 1>this does become more dangerous. I guess if you believe

0:55:16.520 --> 0:55:20.359
<v Speaker 1>you might be in a simulation right now exactly, then

0:55:20.600 --> 0:55:22.680
<v Speaker 1>then things are a little more dire. But that's again

0:55:22.960 --> 0:55:25.360
<v Speaker 1>that you might be that you might be, Yeah, but

0:55:25.520 --> 0:55:27.560
<v Speaker 1>I believe there's plenty of reason to believe that you

0:55:27.600 --> 0:55:30.000
<v Speaker 1>are not. Okay. So if we're talking about how to

0:55:30.040 --> 0:55:32.760
<v Speaker 1>defeat the basilisk, how to get out of this, uh,

0:55:32.760 --> 0:55:35.279
<v Speaker 1>this this prison of the mind. If you're feeling a

0:55:35.280 --> 0:55:38.520
<v Speaker 1>little bit um um bleak of heart right now because

0:55:38.520 --> 0:55:41.319
<v Speaker 1>of this idea, then Joe's got the remedy. Well, I'm not.

0:55:41.520 --> 0:55:44.320
<v Speaker 1>These are not all the reasons you should doubt the basilisk,

0:55:44.400 --> 0:55:46.520
<v Speaker 1>but this is some of them that I could think of.

0:55:46.760 --> 0:55:49.879
<v Speaker 1>Number one depends on the creation of super intelligence, which

0:55:49.920 --> 0:55:55.680
<v Speaker 1>I think is not guaranteed. Some people seem incredibly fatalistic

0:55:55.719 --> 0:55:58.600
<v Speaker 1>about this is just absolutely inevitable. We will have super

0:55:58.640 --> 0:56:02.200
<v Speaker 1>intelligent god like a I that can do anything, and

0:56:02.239 --> 0:56:04.399
<v Speaker 1>I think that that is just not guaranteed at all.

0:56:04.440 --> 0:56:06.680
<v Speaker 1>I'm not ruling it out, but I think, for example,

0:56:06.719 --> 0:56:10.160
<v Speaker 1>there are some theories of intelligence that say the prediction

0:56:10.200 --> 0:56:14.000
<v Speaker 1>of super intelligence actually is maybe not taking Seriously, what

0:56:14.120 --> 0:56:17.480
<v Speaker 1>intelligence is that you know that they are actually different

0:56:17.600 --> 0:56:20.600
<v Speaker 1>kinds of intelligence that are useful in different ways, and

0:56:20.680 --> 0:56:24.759
<v Speaker 1>machines can't mimic them all functionally, or can't mimic them

0:56:24.760 --> 0:56:27.239
<v Speaker 1>all correctly, all at the same time. I don't know

0:56:27.280 --> 0:56:29.239
<v Speaker 1>if that's correct, but that's at least one. That's one

0:56:29.320 --> 0:56:31.560
<v Speaker 1>hurdle it has to clear. Could get knocked down there,

0:56:31.800 --> 0:56:34.920
<v Speaker 1>but okay, maybe we could create a super intelligence. Even then.

0:56:35.040 --> 0:56:38.120
<v Speaker 1>Multiple aspects of the Rocco's basilist scenario depend on the

0:56:38.160 --> 0:56:41.760
<v Speaker 1>reality of some version of mind uploading, or the idea

0:56:41.800 --> 0:56:46.239
<v Speaker 1>that your brain and in addition, your conscious experience could

0:56:46.239 --> 0:56:49.520
<v Speaker 1>be simulated perfectly on a computer. And one reason it

0:56:49.560 --> 0:56:52.600
<v Speaker 1>depends on this is that timeless decision theory operates on

0:56:52.640 --> 0:56:55.920
<v Speaker 1>the assumption that the real you and the simulated copies

0:56:55.960 --> 0:56:59.160
<v Speaker 1>that the computer uses to predict your behavior would be

0:56:59.200 --> 0:57:01.960
<v Speaker 1>the same and would make the same decisions as the

0:57:02.000 --> 0:57:05.279
<v Speaker 1>real you. Another reason is related to the punishment. Now,

0:57:05.320 --> 0:57:07.960
<v Speaker 1>one way of course you could imagine the great basilisk

0:57:08.040 --> 0:57:10.680
<v Speaker 1>thing is that if the machine comes to power in

0:57:10.760 --> 0:57:14.040
<v Speaker 1>my lifetime, it could just punish the real, physical, older

0:57:14.160 --> 0:57:16.680
<v Speaker 1>version of me. In reality is the payoff of this

0:57:16.760 --> 0:57:19.600
<v Speaker 1>a causal blackmail. But the other way you could imagine it,

0:57:19.640 --> 0:57:21.800
<v Speaker 1>in the way that it is much more often portrayed

0:57:21.840 --> 0:57:25.080
<v Speaker 1>in the media, is that it makes digital copies of

0:57:25.080 --> 0:57:30.000
<v Speaker 1>my consciousness and punishes them in a simulated hell. And that,

0:57:30.080 --> 0:57:32.280
<v Speaker 1>of course, would also depend on the reality of some

0:57:32.520 --> 0:57:35.120
<v Speaker 1>version of mind uploading, or of the ability of a

0:57:35.120 --> 0:57:38.520
<v Speaker 1>computer to simulate a mind and for that simulated mind

0:57:38.680 --> 0:57:42.240
<v Speaker 1>to actually be conscious. As I've said before, I'm suspicious

0:57:42.280 --> 0:57:45.240
<v Speaker 1>of the idea of conscious digital simulations. I'm not saying

0:57:45.240 --> 0:57:47.320
<v Speaker 1>I can rule it out, but I also don't think

0:57:47.320 --> 0:57:50.280
<v Speaker 1>it's a sure thing. Any scenario that relies on the

0:57:50.320 --> 0:57:54.960
<v Speaker 1>existence of conscious digital simulations needs a big asterisk next

0:57:55.000 --> 0:57:58.400
<v Speaker 1>to it that says, if this is actually possible. Yeah again,

0:57:58.600 --> 0:58:01.160
<v Speaker 1>is that me? Is that just me and effigy? Is

0:58:01.200 --> 0:58:04.000
<v Speaker 1>that thing actually conscious that you're tormenting? I mean, granted,

0:58:04.040 --> 0:58:08.240
<v Speaker 1>it still sucks if there's a super intelligence creating digital

0:58:08.280 --> 0:58:11.480
<v Speaker 1>people and tormenting and it's a dark, rancid dungeons in

0:58:11.520 --> 0:58:15.080
<v Speaker 1>the future, but um, it's not necessarily quite the same

0:58:15.120 --> 0:58:17.960
<v Speaker 1>as torturing me. Right well, if you just care about yourself.

0:58:18.000 --> 0:58:20.480
<v Speaker 1>It also depends on the possibility that you could be

0:58:20.560 --> 0:58:23.320
<v Speaker 1>one of these simulations. It's possible that you could not

0:58:23.400 --> 0:58:26.160
<v Speaker 1>be one of those simulations. There's something that would rule

0:58:26.200 --> 0:58:28.880
<v Speaker 1>it out. Maybe their type of conscious Maybe they could

0:58:28.920 --> 0:58:32.240
<v Speaker 1>be conscious, but that consciousness is fundamentally different from yours

0:58:32.560 --> 0:58:35.200
<v Speaker 1>such that you could not be one of them. Another

0:58:35.320 --> 0:58:37.200
<v Speaker 1>big one, and this is a big one that uh,

0:58:37.280 --> 0:58:40.520
<v Speaker 1>you know, like we said earlier, I think sometimes Yudkowski

0:58:40.600 --> 0:58:44.360
<v Speaker 1>gets unfairly associated with the basilist as if he has

0:58:44.400 --> 0:58:47.000
<v Speaker 1>advocated the idea, and he has not. He has said,

0:58:47.080 --> 0:58:51.479
<v Speaker 1>you know this, this idea is trash, and uh, there

0:58:51.480 --> 0:58:54.000
<v Speaker 1>there are many reasons to doubt it. But even though

0:58:54.040 --> 0:58:56.240
<v Speaker 1>he has said, like even though I doubt it, I

0:58:56.280 --> 0:58:59.640
<v Speaker 1>don't want it disseminated. Um, but he says, you know,

0:58:59.680 --> 0:59:02.200
<v Speaker 1>a good reason to doubt it is there's no reason

0:59:02.240 --> 0:59:06.720
<v Speaker 1>to conclude it's necessary for the basilisk to actually follow

0:59:06.880 --> 0:59:09.640
<v Speaker 1>through on the threat. We're saying that it's going to

0:59:09.640 --> 0:59:13.000
<v Speaker 1>be relying on us to come up with the idea

0:59:13.080 --> 0:59:16.320
<v Speaker 1>that it in the future might blackmail us if we

0:59:16.400 --> 0:59:19.240
<v Speaker 1>don't help it now. In order to get us to

0:59:19.280 --> 0:59:22.040
<v Speaker 1>help it now, right, we should be working and donating

0:59:22.080 --> 0:59:24.840
<v Speaker 1>all our money and time and resources to building it

0:59:24.880 --> 0:59:27.840
<v Speaker 1>as fast as possible, because we came up with the

0:59:27.880 --> 0:59:30.959
<v Speaker 1>idea that it might torture us if we don't. Even

0:59:31.000 --> 0:59:34.360
<v Speaker 1>if you accept that Yudkowski has he's pointed out that

0:59:34.440 --> 0:59:37.440
<v Speaker 1>there's no reason once it's built, it would have to

0:59:37.520 --> 0:59:40.880
<v Speaker 1>follow through on the threat he's written. Quote. The most

0:59:40.880 --> 0:59:44.720
<v Speaker 1>blatant obstacle to Rocco's basilisk is intuitively that there's no

0:59:44.880 --> 0:59:47.920
<v Speaker 1>incentive for a future agent to follow through with a

0:59:48.000 --> 0:59:51.200
<v Speaker 1>threat in the future, because by doing so, it just

0:59:51.320 --> 0:59:55.960
<v Speaker 1>expends resources at no gain to itself. We can formalize

0:59:55.960 --> 0:59:59.960
<v Speaker 1>that using classical causal decision theory, which is the academic

1:00:00.200 --> 1:00:03.520
<v Speaker 1>standard decision theory. Following through on a blackmail threat in

1:00:03.560 --> 1:00:07.120
<v Speaker 1>the future after the past has already taken place, cannot,

1:00:07.400 --> 1:00:11.240
<v Speaker 1>from the blackmailing agent's perspective, be the physical cause of

1:00:11.320 --> 1:00:14.960
<v Speaker 1>improved outcomes in the past, because the future cannot be

1:00:15.040 --> 1:00:17.600
<v Speaker 1>the cause of the past. Hey, basilist, why are you

1:00:17.600 --> 1:00:21.400
<v Speaker 1>tormenting a third of the population for all eternity? Oh,

1:00:21.440 --> 1:00:23.840
<v Speaker 1>I said, I would, Well, yeah, I mean exactly no,

1:00:24.000 --> 1:00:26.000
<v Speaker 1>if it it didn't say it would, right, It just

1:00:26.080 --> 1:00:28.920
<v Speaker 1>had to rely on the fact that in the past

1:00:29.000 --> 1:00:32.320
<v Speaker 1>people would have come to the conclusion that it might.

1:00:32.480 --> 1:00:34.080
<v Speaker 1>You know, you thought that I would. I didn't want

1:00:34.080 --> 1:00:37.040
<v Speaker 1>to disappoint, But actually, if a basilist could be created,

1:00:37.160 --> 1:00:39.200
<v Speaker 1>it seems like the best case scenario for it would

1:00:39.240 --> 1:00:43.080
<v Speaker 1>be everyone subscribes to this idea and works as hard

1:00:43.120 --> 1:00:45.000
<v Speaker 1>as they can to build it, and then it never

1:00:45.120 --> 1:00:48.000
<v Speaker 1>follows through on any of the threats. Right, the best

1:00:48.000 --> 1:00:50.600
<v Speaker 1>case scenario would be people act as if there is

1:00:50.680 --> 1:00:53.600
<v Speaker 1>a threat and then there is in fact no follow

1:00:53.640 --> 1:00:55.640
<v Speaker 1>through on the threat. It's really a win win for

1:00:55.680 --> 1:00:57.960
<v Speaker 1>the bathlist, Yes, and then he can maybe you can

1:00:58.200 --> 1:01:00.400
<v Speaker 1>even shed that name Basilist. They're like, we don't even

1:01:00.440 --> 1:01:02.160
<v Speaker 1>have to call it the Great Basilist anymore. We can

1:01:02.200 --> 1:01:05.160
<v Speaker 1>just call it, uh, you know, Omega or whatever it's

1:01:05.160 --> 1:01:07.000
<v Speaker 1>its name is now. I want to be fair that

1:01:07.080 --> 1:01:09.040
<v Speaker 1>a lot of what these people do is like the

1:01:09.360 --> 1:01:11.720
<v Speaker 1>less Wrong community and all that they deal with, Like,

1:01:12.440 --> 1:01:16.280
<v Speaker 1>should there be alternative decision theories that guide the behavior

1:01:16.360 --> 1:01:20.320
<v Speaker 1>of superintelligent aies. Maybe it doesn't use classical decision theory,

1:01:20.720 --> 1:01:24.120
<v Speaker 1>Maybe it uses some kind of other decision theory, and

1:01:24.200 --> 1:01:27.800
<v Speaker 1>because on some other decision theory, maybe it could decide

1:01:27.840 --> 1:01:30.400
<v Speaker 1>to actually follow through on the blackmail threat. I think

1:01:30.480 --> 1:01:34.000
<v Speaker 1>that is where some of this fear comes through that like, oh,

1:01:34.080 --> 1:01:37.120
<v Speaker 1>maybe by talking about it, we are actually causing danger

1:01:37.680 --> 1:01:41.600
<v Speaker 1>because maybe some other decision theory holds. But Yudkowski does

1:01:41.640 --> 1:01:45.840
<v Speaker 1>not think that's the case. Also, one more thing, it

1:01:45.880 --> 1:01:48.760
<v Speaker 1>depends on the basilist. So if you think this scenario

1:01:48.840 --> 1:01:51.960
<v Speaker 1>could be real, it depends on it not having ethical

1:01:52.080 --> 1:01:56.400
<v Speaker 1>or behavioral controls that would prevent it from engaging in torture. Yeah.

1:01:56.880 --> 1:01:58.760
<v Speaker 1>And I think if thinkers like the you know, the

1:01:58.800 --> 1:02:03.240
<v Speaker 1>Miria people, the Machine Intelligence Research Institute people, succeed in

1:02:03.880 --> 1:02:06.520
<v Speaker 1>established what they're trying to do is establish a philosophical

1:02:06.840 --> 1:02:09.800
<v Speaker 1>framework to make AI friendly, to make it so that

1:02:09.920 --> 1:02:13.160
<v Speaker 1>it is not evil and does not harm us. And

1:02:13.200 --> 1:02:16.560
<v Speaker 1>if they successfully do that, then this shouldn't be a problem,

1:02:16.640 --> 1:02:20.120
<v Speaker 1>right Because Yudkowski has argued that a being that tries

1:02:20.200 --> 1:02:23.240
<v Speaker 1>to do what's best for us would not engage in

1:02:23.320 --> 1:02:26.880
<v Speaker 1>torture and blackmail, even if it's doing so in service

1:02:26.960 --> 1:02:30.920
<v Speaker 1>of some higher good, because doing torture and blackmail are

1:02:30.920 --> 1:02:35.520
<v Speaker 1>actually not compatible with human values. I agree with that absolutely,

1:02:35.560 --> 1:02:37.640
<v Speaker 1>and I actually would go as far to say I

1:02:37.640 --> 1:02:40.960
<v Speaker 1>think that's something people should keep in mind when they're uh,

1:02:41.000 --> 1:02:43.600
<v Speaker 1>when they're they're choosing their religions as well. Yeah, I

1:02:43.640 --> 1:02:45.880
<v Speaker 1>can certainly see how you can make that argue. Yeah,

1:02:45.880 --> 1:02:48.040
<v Speaker 1>it's like, what do I love about my faith? Is

1:02:48.080 --> 1:02:52.320
<v Speaker 1>that the blackmail and the torture? Or is there something

1:02:52.440 --> 1:02:54.680
<v Speaker 1>that brings something else to the table that is worth

1:02:55.040 --> 1:02:59.160
<v Speaker 1>living forward that makes life better for everybody? Like, like

1:02:59.400 --> 1:03:02.840
<v Speaker 1>I feel like, is what should be important about one's faith? Now,

1:03:02.960 --> 1:03:06.280
<v Speaker 1>I think some people might be saying, like, wait a minute, though,

1:03:06.320 --> 1:03:11.720
<v Speaker 1>if you're just using utilitarian ethics, right, wouldn't wouldn't any

1:03:11.760 --> 1:03:14.720
<v Speaker 1>methods be good if the if the ends justify the means, right?

1:03:14.760 --> 1:03:17.840
<v Speaker 1>That that's I think a naive understanding of how people

1:03:17.880 --> 1:03:20.360
<v Speaker 1>think about utilitarian ethics. If you want to bring about

1:03:20.360 --> 1:03:23.760
<v Speaker 1>the greatest good for the greatest number of people, couldn't

1:03:23.760 --> 1:03:26.600
<v Speaker 1>you do that by being really cruel and unfair to

1:03:26.680 --> 1:03:30.160
<v Speaker 1>some smaller group of people? And I think generally there

1:03:30.160 --> 1:03:33.240
<v Speaker 1>are versions of utilitarianism that say, well, actually, the answer

1:03:33.320 --> 1:03:37.120
<v Speaker 1>there is no, you couldn't do that, because even though

1:03:37.160 --> 1:03:40.600
<v Speaker 1>you might be bringing about some better material circumstance, it

1:03:40.720 --> 1:03:45.240
<v Speaker 1>is actually corrosive to a society for things like that

1:03:45.280 --> 1:03:48.080
<v Speaker 1>to happen, even if they don't happen to many people. Right,

1:03:48.480 --> 1:03:51.040
<v Speaker 1>you say, what if I could make everybody on earth

1:03:51.480 --> 1:03:56.640
<v Speaker 1>ten percent happier on average by say, burying somebody in

1:03:56.680 --> 1:03:59.360
<v Speaker 1>a in a pit of bananas once a year, so

1:03:59.440 --> 1:04:02.520
<v Speaker 1>that you buried to death with bananas. Even the people

1:04:02.520 --> 1:04:05.080
<v Speaker 1>who are being made happier could very easily look at

1:04:05.080 --> 1:04:08.040
<v Speaker 1>that and say that's not fair and it makes the

1:04:08.040 --> 1:04:10.800
<v Speaker 1>world worse and I don't want it. And thus that

1:04:10.880 --> 1:04:14.600
<v Speaker 1>actually would be a subjectively relevant state. So we've talked

1:04:14.600 --> 1:04:18.240
<v Speaker 1>about AI risk on the show before, and you know,

1:04:18.280 --> 1:04:20.000
<v Speaker 1>one thing I feel like I still have not been

1:04:20.040 --> 1:04:22.200
<v Speaker 1>able to make up my mind about, despite reading a

1:04:22.240 --> 1:04:24.800
<v Speaker 1>lot on the subject, is that I don't know whether

1:04:25.480 --> 1:04:29.040
<v Speaker 1>it makes sense to take um to be super worried

1:04:29.120 --> 1:04:33.200
<v Speaker 1>about AI super intelligence and the risks associated. I mean,

1:04:33.240 --> 1:04:35.760
<v Speaker 1>I do think it's worth taking seriously and thinking about.

1:04:35.840 --> 1:04:37.880
<v Speaker 1>And I think people who want to devote their attention

1:04:37.920 --> 1:04:41.040
<v Speaker 1>to how, you know, how dealing with the control problem

1:04:41.120 --> 1:04:44.520
<v Speaker 1>and how you would get an AI to do things

1:04:44.560 --> 1:04:46.640
<v Speaker 1>that were good for us and not harmful to us,

1:04:46.640 --> 1:04:50.120
<v Speaker 1>that that's fine work. And I don't ridicule the people

1:04:50.160 --> 1:04:52.080
<v Speaker 1>who work on that problem the way some people do.

1:04:52.360 --> 1:04:55.720
<v Speaker 1>But on the other hand, I worry if by focusing

1:04:55.880 --> 1:04:59.480
<v Speaker 1>exclusively on sort of the machine god the super intelligence,

1:04:59.760 --> 1:05:06.200
<v Speaker 1>were sort of ignoring um much more plausible and current

1:05:06.400 --> 1:05:09.800
<v Speaker 1>threats that the ways that AI is already very plausibly

1:05:09.840 --> 1:05:12.760
<v Speaker 1>in a position to hurt us today or in the

1:05:12.920 --> 1:05:16.720
<v Speaker 1>very near future, and not depending on any outlandish assumptions.

1:05:17.040 --> 1:05:19.800
<v Speaker 1>The way it's already and will soon be used as

1:05:19.800 --> 1:05:22.880
<v Speaker 1>a cyber war weapon. The way it's hijacking our attention

1:05:22.920 --> 1:05:26.760
<v Speaker 1>and manipulating our opinions and behavior through social media and devices.

1:05:27.040 --> 1:05:28.959
<v Speaker 1>This is some of what our Scott Baker talked about

1:05:29.000 --> 1:05:32.600
<v Speaker 1>with his fears about AI. You don't actually need super

1:05:32.640 --> 1:05:35.760
<v Speaker 1>powerful AI to do a lot of damage. It just

1:05:35.880 --> 1:05:39.120
<v Speaker 1>needs to manipulate us in just the right kind of ways.

1:05:39.920 --> 1:05:42.080
<v Speaker 1>So not the great basilisks so much as all the

1:05:42.120 --> 1:05:44.960
<v Speaker 1>little basilisks that are out there, the little grass snakes,

1:05:45.400 --> 1:05:48.040
<v Speaker 1>grass with the tiny crowns. They can do a lot

1:05:48.040 --> 1:05:49.720
<v Speaker 1>of damage. And again I just want to be clear,

1:05:49.760 --> 1:05:52.320
<v Speaker 1>I'm not saying we should forget about super intelligence. People

1:05:52.320 --> 1:05:54.360
<v Speaker 1>who are working on that. If you find that interesting

1:05:54.400 --> 1:05:57.280
<v Speaker 1>that I think that's fine, Yeah, work on that problem.

1:05:57.400 --> 1:06:00.160
<v Speaker 1>But there but I think it's a longer shot, and

1:06:00.200 --> 1:06:03.200
<v Speaker 1>there's a lot of current and near future AI threat

1:06:03.280 --> 1:06:06.560
<v Speaker 1>that is really worth taking very seriously. I wish people

1:06:06.640 --> 1:06:10.480
<v Speaker 1>more people were devoting their lives to say AI cyber

1:06:10.520 --> 1:06:14.840
<v Speaker 1>weapons that are in development right now. One last issue

1:06:14.960 --> 1:06:17.880
<v Speaker 1>I think we should discuss before we wrap up here

1:06:17.960 --> 1:06:22.520
<v Speaker 1>is Okay, so we don't think this potential information hazard

1:06:22.600 --> 1:06:25.160
<v Speaker 1>is actually an information hazard, Like we don't think it's

1:06:25.200 --> 1:06:29.880
<v Speaker 1>actually potentially that dangerous. But Yudkowski has made the point

1:06:29.960 --> 1:06:32.800
<v Speaker 1>that even though he doesn't think the basilisk is plausible,

1:06:32.880 --> 1:06:37.000
<v Speaker 1>the ethical thing to do with potential information hazards is

1:06:37.040 --> 1:06:40.920
<v Speaker 1>to not discuss them at all, since it's possible that

1:06:41.040 --> 1:06:44.400
<v Speaker 1>they may be. Maybe maybe you're misinterpreting the ways in

1:06:44.440 --> 1:06:47.920
<v Speaker 1>which they're implausible. Maybe this idea is actually valid, is

1:06:47.960 --> 1:06:50.920
<v Speaker 1>actually relevant, and by spreading it you've harmed a lot

1:06:50.920 --> 1:06:53.480
<v Speaker 1>of people. But I also think that this could mean

1:06:53.560 --> 1:06:58.280
<v Speaker 1>that it's it's possible that despite the basilisk not being plausible,

1:06:58.600 --> 1:07:02.320
<v Speaker 1>something good has come out of the basilist conversation because

1:07:02.360 --> 1:07:07.040
<v Speaker 1>it encourages people to think of the idea of information hazards.

1:07:07.080 --> 1:07:10.560
<v Speaker 1>Maybe Rocco isn't true, but there could be other ideas

1:07:10.600 --> 1:07:14.160
<v Speaker 1>that are both true and potentially harmful to people. Just

1:07:14.280 --> 1:07:17.480
<v Speaker 1>by entering their minds. And the lesson from this is

1:07:17.560 --> 1:07:20.880
<v Speaker 1>we should prepare ourselves for those kinds of ideas. And

1:07:20.920 --> 1:07:23.880
<v Speaker 1>if you have discovered one of those ideas and there

1:07:24.040 --> 1:07:26.920
<v Speaker 1>is literally no upside to other people knowing about it,

1:07:27.360 --> 1:07:30.760
<v Speaker 1>keep it to yourself and don't post it on the internet. Well,

1:07:30.800 --> 1:07:32.480
<v Speaker 1>I feel like I do encounter thought hazards like this

1:07:32.560 --> 1:07:34.960
<v Speaker 1>from time to time that they're often presented in pamphlets

1:07:35.120 --> 1:07:38.640
<v Speaker 1>or little booklets, uh, generally with you know, a clever

1:07:38.680 --> 1:07:42.320
<v Speaker 1>illustration about the coming into the world. Actually brought some

1:07:42.360 --> 1:07:44.240
<v Speaker 1>of these into the office recently. I found them at

1:07:44.680 --> 1:07:48.160
<v Speaker 1>a park in rural Georgia, and uh, and I think

1:07:48.160 --> 1:07:51.120
<v Speaker 1>I told you it's like, Uh, you have have a

1:07:51.120 --> 1:07:53.800
<v Speaker 1>look at these. You may find them interesting, but UH,

1:07:54.000 --> 1:07:56.960
<v Speaker 1>do destroy them when you're done, because you know I did.

1:07:57.000 --> 1:07:59.800
<v Speaker 1>I did in the wrong hands. These thoughts can be

1:08:00.080 --> 1:08:02.520
<v Speaker 1>dangerous if they have some sort of a like a

1:08:02.600 --> 1:08:07.960
<v Speaker 1>harmful view of society that that people may buy into. Well,

1:08:08.000 --> 1:08:12.520
<v Speaker 1>I think you were comfortable sharing uh, malicious religious literature

1:08:12.560 --> 1:08:15.360
<v Speaker 1>with me because you do not think there's a possibility

1:08:15.480 --> 1:08:18.320
<v Speaker 1>that that literature is true and would harm me if

1:08:18.320 --> 1:08:20.679
<v Speaker 1>I knew it was true, like you think it is false,

1:08:21.120 --> 1:08:24.000
<v Speaker 1>So to you, it's actually not an information hazard. It's

1:08:24.040 --> 1:08:28.559
<v Speaker 1>just like an idea hazard. Uh. The real crazy thing

1:08:28.600 --> 1:08:30.920
<v Speaker 1>would be if you came across a pamphlet and you

1:08:31.000 --> 1:08:34.160
<v Speaker 1>read it and it's the equivalent of this raving malicious

1:08:34.200 --> 1:08:38.920
<v Speaker 1>religious literature, except you were convinced it was correct, if

1:08:38.960 --> 1:08:41.560
<v Speaker 1>it was more like that ring video I brought you exactly.

1:08:43.560 --> 1:08:45.240
<v Speaker 1>That is one of the things I've often seen on

1:08:45.280 --> 1:08:49.439
<v Speaker 1>the internet, this idea compared to the ring. But you know,

1:08:49.439 --> 1:08:51.920
<v Speaker 1>on the other hand, I do have to I am reminded,

1:08:51.960 --> 1:08:54.280
<v Speaker 1>you know that like the idea that that any kind

1:08:54.280 --> 1:08:57.360
<v Speaker 1>of knowledge is forbidden or is secret, like that doesn't

1:08:57.400 --> 1:09:00.439
<v Speaker 1>really jive well with just the the general mission of science,

1:09:01.000 --> 1:09:03.040
<v Speaker 1>of course not yeah, but I mean that would be

1:09:03.120 --> 1:09:05.360
<v Speaker 1>part of the problem of like we're not prepared for

1:09:05.400 --> 1:09:08.479
<v Speaker 1>information hazards, right, because in the past it's been the

1:09:08.479 --> 1:09:12.840
<v Speaker 1>case that almost anything that's true is good to spread, right,

1:09:13.240 --> 1:09:16.800
<v Speaker 1>unless you're spreading lies, information is good to share. It's

1:09:16.840 --> 1:09:19.639
<v Speaker 1>just possible we should acknowledge that maybe there is such

1:09:19.680 --> 1:09:22.720
<v Speaker 1>a thing as a fact that or a fact or

1:09:22.760 --> 1:09:25.240
<v Speaker 1>an idea or a theory or something that is true

1:09:25.280 --> 1:09:28.200
<v Speaker 1>and correct. But it would hurt people to know about it.

1:09:28.240 --> 1:09:30.639
<v Speaker 1>I can't think of an example of anything like that,

1:09:30.960 --> 1:09:33.240
<v Speaker 1>but if there is something like that, we we should

1:09:33.280 --> 1:09:36.040
<v Speaker 1>be ready to not spread it when it occurs to us.

1:09:36.640 --> 1:09:39.960
<v Speaker 1>All right, fair enough, Well, I want to close out

1:09:40.000 --> 1:09:43.200
<v Speaker 1>here with just a one more bit of basilisk wisdom

1:09:43.320 --> 1:09:46.479
<v Speaker 1>or anti basilist wisdom. And this comes from the poetry

1:09:46.479 --> 1:09:50.960
<v Speaker 1>of Spanish author Francisco Gomez de Gravado e Viegas, who

1:09:51.000 --> 1:09:56.000
<v Speaker 1>Live five. This is translated and it's referenced in Carol

1:09:56.080 --> 1:09:59.960
<v Speaker 1>Rose's Giants, Monsters and Dragons quote. If the person who

1:10:00.040 --> 1:10:02.920
<v Speaker 1>saw you was still living, then your whole story is lies,

1:10:03.520 --> 1:10:06.000
<v Speaker 1>since if he didn't die, he has no knowledge of you,

1:10:06.280 --> 1:10:09.840
<v Speaker 1>and if he died, he couldn't confirm it. So I

1:10:09.920 --> 1:10:12.639
<v Speaker 1>was thinking about that with the stories of the basilist. Yeah,

1:10:12.800 --> 1:10:15.360
<v Speaker 1>I was like, wait a minute, that How would you

1:10:15.439 --> 1:10:18.519
<v Speaker 1>know if you could die just by looking at something?

1:10:18.560 --> 1:10:22.160
<v Speaker 1>How do we have this description in the book? Yeah,

1:10:22.280 --> 1:10:25.960
<v Speaker 1>it's uh, there is a there's an authorship problem with this. Yeah,

1:10:26.000 --> 1:10:28.680
<v Speaker 1>whose whose account is the basilist? But at any rate,

1:10:28.800 --> 1:10:31.160
<v Speaker 1>I think it's a nice like final you know, sucker

1:10:31.240 --> 1:10:34.439
<v Speaker 1>punch to the basilists in general, but also a little

1:10:34.439 --> 1:10:37.200
<v Speaker 1>bit to the idea of the great basilisk, right. I

1:10:37.240 --> 1:10:39.960
<v Speaker 1>hope you were not leaving this episode with with terrors

1:10:40.000 --> 1:10:43.400
<v Speaker 1>about future digital torment. I think that is not something

1:10:43.439 --> 1:10:46.200
<v Speaker 1>that you should worry about. Indeed, I'm not worried about it,

1:10:46.200 --> 1:10:48.080
<v Speaker 1>and instead of worrying about it yourself, you should head

1:10:48.080 --> 1:10:50.160
<v Speaker 1>on over to stuff to Blow your Mind dot com.

1:10:50.200 --> 1:10:52.440
<v Speaker 1>That's the mother ship where you'll find all the podcast

1:10:52.479 --> 1:10:55.080
<v Speaker 1>episodes links out to our various social media accounts. Who

1:10:55.120 --> 1:10:57.360
<v Speaker 1>find the tab for our store, you can look up

1:10:57.360 --> 1:11:01.479
<v Speaker 1>that bassilist shirt design we're talking to out and uh

1:11:01.920 --> 1:11:03.720
<v Speaker 1>and that's a great way to support the show. And

1:11:03.760 --> 1:11:05.439
<v Speaker 1>if you don't want to support the show with money,

1:11:05.479 --> 1:11:08.679
<v Speaker 1>you can do so by uh simply rating and reviewing

1:11:08.760 --> 1:11:11.360
<v Speaker 1>us wherever you have the power to do so. Big

1:11:11.360 --> 1:11:14.799
<v Speaker 1>thanks as always to our wonderful audio producers Alex Williams

1:11:14.800 --> 1:11:17.040
<v Speaker 1>and try Harrison. If you would like to get in

1:11:17.080 --> 1:11:18.880
<v Speaker 1>touch with us to let us know feedback on this

1:11:18.920 --> 1:11:21.400
<v Speaker 1>episode or any other, to suggest a topic for the future,

1:11:21.800 --> 1:11:24.720
<v Speaker 1>or just to say hi, let us know whether you

1:11:24.840 --> 1:11:27.599
<v Speaker 1>carry a weasel around In case of a basilisk encounter,

1:11:28.000 --> 1:11:30.200
<v Speaker 1>you can email us at Blow the Mind at How

1:11:30.200 --> 1:11:33.160
<v Speaker 1>Stuff Works dot com. Oh, I'm hearing that transmission again.

1:11:33.360 --> 1:11:37.800
<v Speaker 1>That weird snow. What is that? Oh Hell, the Great Bassilisk.

1:11:38.200 --> 1:11:43.880
<v Speaker 1>All Hell, the Great Basilisk. Oh Hell the Great Bassilist.

1:11:43.880 --> 1:11:49.120
<v Speaker 1>All Hell, the Great Bassilist. Hell. There the great basilists

1:11:49.400 --> 1:11:57.120
<v Speaker 1>call Hell the Great Basilisk, Hell the Great Bassilisk. O Hell,

1:11:57.160 --> 1:11:58.920
<v Speaker 1>the Great Basilisk,