1
00:00:00,960 --> 00:00:04,840
Speaker 1: Welcome to Sharper Square, presented by hard Rock bet.

2
00:00:04,880 --> 00:00:07,200
Speaker 2: We are part of the Volume podcast network.

3
00:00:07,600 --> 00:00:10,639
Speaker 1: This is the show that makes the squares sharper and

4
00:00:10,760 --> 00:00:13,280
Speaker 1: makes the wise guys pay attention. I am Chadmlman, I

5
00:00:13,320 --> 00:00:15,600
Speaker 1: am joined as always buying, my co host, my companion

6
00:00:15,640 --> 00:00:21,160
Speaker 1: Mike Caadre, my BFF, professional Better, Simon Hunter, Ella.

7
00:00:21,560 --> 00:00:23,599
Speaker 2: Simn Chat.

8
00:00:23,680 --> 00:00:24,200
Speaker 3: Are we doing?

9
00:00:25,120 --> 00:00:28,720
Speaker 2: Felt extra excited to introduce you today.

10
00:00:30,440 --> 00:00:31,560
Speaker 3: Fired up Week eleven?

11
00:00:31,880 --> 00:00:35,400
Speaker 2: Week eleven. That doesn't fire me up. That just makes

12
00:00:35,400 --> 00:00:35,880
Speaker 2: me sad.

13
00:00:36,520 --> 00:00:38,239
Speaker 1: It makes me sad that we're at week eleven, that

14
00:00:38,280 --> 00:00:41,360
Speaker 1: we're in double digit weeks, that we're staring down the

15
00:00:41,400 --> 00:00:42,720
Speaker 1: barrel of the end of the season.

16
00:00:43,360 --> 00:00:46,400
Speaker 2: That just bums me out because I love football. This

17
00:00:46,479 --> 00:00:48,159
Speaker 2: is our week eleven episode.

18
00:00:48,280 --> 00:00:50,400
Speaker 1: We're going to narrow down the options to get to

19
00:00:50,479 --> 00:00:55,800
Speaker 1: our final five. We're inching our way closer. Remember subscribe

20
00:00:55,800 --> 00:01:03,000
Speaker 1: to Sharper Square on YouTube, Apple Pods, Spotify. But first,

21
00:01:03,240 --> 00:01:07,759
Speaker 1: every single week, Simon, the Wise guys listen to the show,

22
00:01:08,560 --> 00:01:12,800
Speaker 1: and every single week they've got opinions about what we are.

23
00:01:12,720 --> 00:01:14,880
Speaker 2: Saying, where we are leaning.

24
00:01:15,400 --> 00:01:20,360
Speaker 1: They like to tell us what they think about everything

25
00:01:21,040 --> 00:01:21,679
Speaker 1: we discuss.

26
00:01:22,000 --> 00:01:25,440
Speaker 2: So let's get right to it. It's time for sharp call.

27
00:01:27,520 --> 00:01:33,280
Speaker 4: I have to answer this boat, all right, rain range

28
00:01:33,480 --> 00:01:34,480
Speaker 4: telephone range.

29
00:01:34,720 --> 00:01:37,200
Speaker 2: Somebody said, maybe what you do?

30
00:01:37,360 --> 00:01:40,200
Speaker 3: Man, It's been a crazy week chat.

31
00:01:40,240 --> 00:01:42,880
Speaker 5: Honestly, a lot of calls about the different matchups and

32
00:01:43,400 --> 00:01:45,520
Speaker 5: obviously the conversation we had, and the biggest one I

33
00:01:45,600 --> 00:01:49,040
Speaker 5: got was our love for the Seattle. We're way off.

34
00:01:49,400 --> 00:01:51,280
Speaker 5: Got I get on the RAM. So that's deffin again.

35
00:01:51,280 --> 00:01:52,480
Speaker 5: We're gonna have to talk about.

36
00:01:52,320 --> 00:01:53,680
Speaker 2: By the way, I'm so glad.

37
00:01:54,600 --> 00:01:58,000
Speaker 1: I'm so glad because I was having a change of

38
00:01:58,040 --> 00:02:00,600
Speaker 1: heart yesterday and I like it when everything lines up

39
00:02:00,600 --> 00:02:01,120
Speaker 1: for us.

40
00:02:01,680 --> 00:02:04,680
Speaker 5: Yeah, So definitely, definitely a game we're gonna to talk

41
00:02:04,720 --> 00:02:08,680
Speaker 5: about Rams. Another game we might be missing on, or

42
00:02:08,760 --> 00:02:11,800
Speaker 5: just I personally might be missing on Panthers. Tons of

43
00:02:11,800 --> 00:02:14,480
Speaker 5: pros love the Panthers there, so maybe I can just

44
00:02:14,560 --> 00:02:16,160
Speaker 5: avoid that game another game.

45
00:02:16,160 --> 00:02:18,200
Speaker 3: Maybe I'll just avoid I really like the Bucks.

46
00:02:18,240 --> 00:02:20,560
Speaker 5: Tons of pros I've talked tough, really liked the Bills,

47
00:02:20,919 --> 00:02:22,600
Speaker 5: and they have some good arguments about why they like

48
00:02:22,680 --> 00:02:26,200
Speaker 5: that spot. But maybe we'll we'll go against them together chat.

49
00:02:26,240 --> 00:02:28,400
Speaker 5: I don't know, we'll see with that game. But a

50
00:02:28,400 --> 00:02:30,680
Speaker 5: lot of back and forth about just the pros loving

51
00:02:30,960 --> 00:02:32,960
Speaker 5: the bills there, and that's what's holding that number because

52
00:02:33,040 --> 00:02:36,280
Speaker 5: I thought this number before, By this show today, it's

53
00:02:36,320 --> 00:02:38,880
Speaker 5: still five and a half. So love to talk about

54
00:02:38,919 --> 00:02:42,079
Speaker 5: that one. Games that I think we got a lot

55
00:02:42,080 --> 00:02:44,400
Speaker 5: of love and agreeance on our Cleveland game.

56
00:02:44,639 --> 00:02:48,440
Speaker 3: I mean that game. We could have just walked into

57
00:02:48,480 --> 00:02:50,160
Speaker 3: it as well. I know that full well.

58
00:02:50,200 --> 00:02:53,400
Speaker 5: We didn't know Lamar had a bad knee, so we

59
00:02:53,720 --> 00:02:54,600
Speaker 5: took a number.

60
00:02:54,360 --> 00:02:58,320
Speaker 3: Took a spot. Hopefully you know Lamar is all right?

61
00:02:58,520 --> 00:03:00,560
Speaker 5: What am I then missing this game for me chat though?

62
00:03:00,639 --> 00:03:01,799
Speaker 5: And we have an eight and a half because this

63
00:03:01,840 --> 00:03:04,720
Speaker 5: would definitely drop four and a half five or maybe

64
00:03:04,720 --> 00:03:07,720
Speaker 5: even three and a half. Fee is out tons of

65
00:03:07,760 --> 00:03:10,919
Speaker 5: love for that one Denver as well. It's a professional love.

66
00:03:11,560 --> 00:03:14,680
Speaker 5: Uh not a shaka there. Another game, actually, I was

67
00:03:14,680 --> 00:03:16,040
Speaker 5: pretty shocked. I thought it was going to be a

68
00:03:16,080 --> 00:03:19,000
Speaker 5: tons and tons of Eagles love. That Lin's Eagles game

69
00:03:19,040 --> 00:03:21,400
Speaker 5: is pretty split. I know some pros on both sides.

70
00:03:21,440 --> 00:03:23,840
Speaker 5: So that number has touched three at a couple of places

71
00:03:23,880 --> 00:03:26,280
Speaker 5: and then immediately got hit back to two and a half.

72
00:03:26,320 --> 00:03:29,320
Speaker 5: So a game I thought it would be all pros

73
00:03:29,440 --> 00:03:33,160
Speaker 5: and all public really split, right, public would be all

74
00:03:33,160 --> 00:03:35,360
Speaker 5: over the lines. Pros would be on Eagles. It's not

75
00:03:35,400 --> 00:03:38,080
Speaker 5: really looking like that that way. So interesting game and

76
00:03:38,400 --> 00:03:40,280
Speaker 5: another game I'm kind of left on my low some chat.

77
00:03:40,320 --> 00:03:42,720
Speaker 5: I thought the pros would be all over this Raiders game.

78
00:03:43,240 --> 00:03:45,440
Speaker 5: It just might be me and three other guys. I

79
00:03:45,440 --> 00:03:49,600
Speaker 5: don't think they trust this Raiders team too much love

80
00:03:49,600 --> 00:03:51,280
Speaker 5: for that one. Maybe it's just the Monday game. But

81
00:03:51,880 --> 00:03:54,520
Speaker 5: not too many opinions either way on that one, honestly, so,

82
00:03:55,040 --> 00:03:56,600
Speaker 5: I've had a couple ask about that. Why do I

83
00:03:56,600 --> 00:03:57,920
Speaker 5: love it so much? It really is just about the

84
00:03:58,000 --> 00:04:00,800
Speaker 5: number and that Dallas team. But I get why people

85
00:04:00,800 --> 00:04:02,360
Speaker 5: are so weary in this matchup.

86
00:04:03,320 --> 00:04:05,400
Speaker 2: All right, let's get into it.

87
00:04:06,640 --> 00:04:11,160
Speaker 1: Let's first talk about Cincinnati at Pittsburgh, which no one

88
00:04:11,200 --> 00:04:15,280
Speaker 1: has mentioned. The line's been generally holding at five and

89
00:04:15,320 --> 00:04:18,880
Speaker 1: a half bumped down five at hard Rock bet, but

90
00:04:18,920 --> 00:04:22,520
Speaker 1: I'm seeing other places where the juice is indicating it's

91
00:04:22,560 --> 00:04:26,240
Speaker 1: going to go up to six. I'm honestly surprised and

92
00:04:26,279 --> 00:04:30,560
Speaker 1: a little bit disappointed that it hasn't been more aggressively

93
00:04:30,640 --> 00:04:34,839
Speaker 1: moving to five like we're seeing at hard Rock. Obviously,

94
00:04:34,880 --> 00:04:38,120
Speaker 1: I bet into it at five and a half. To me,

95
00:04:38,240 --> 00:04:42,919
Speaker 1: it entirely comes down to the offensive weapons for the Bengals.

96
00:04:42,920 --> 00:04:44,920
Speaker 1: And I know everyone's going to say everything they want

97
00:04:44,960 --> 00:04:46,760
Speaker 1: to about the Steelers.

98
00:04:47,160 --> 00:04:50,320
Speaker 2: Could be a bounce back spot. Aaron Rodgers played terrible.

99
00:04:50,440 --> 00:04:52,760
Speaker 1: Maybe the line's deflated a little bit because of how

100
00:04:52,800 --> 00:04:56,680
Speaker 1: bad the Steelers did against the Chargers. Maybe Aaron Rodgers

101
00:04:56,839 --> 00:05:01,240
Speaker 1: and Pat Fryarmouth and Jalen Warren can get right against

102
00:05:01,320 --> 00:05:04,159
Speaker 1: a terrible, terrible, terrible Bengals defense. We know how bad

103
00:05:04,160 --> 00:05:07,320
Speaker 1: the Bengals defense is. We've also seen how good the

104
00:05:07,360 --> 00:05:12,400
Speaker 1: Bengals offense can be, especially against a suspect defense, and

105
00:05:12,480 --> 00:05:17,440
Speaker 1: right now the Steelers secondary is sus.

106
00:05:17,279 --> 00:05:19,160
Speaker 2: Like it's just terrible.

107
00:05:20,520 --> 00:05:26,159
Speaker 1: How are they going to defend against an exceptional group

108
00:05:26,640 --> 00:05:31,480
Speaker 1: of receivers and Joe Flacco, who he's ageless.

109
00:05:33,600 --> 00:05:35,279
Speaker 3: Yeah, and we were both a little weird this one,

110
00:05:35,480 --> 00:05:37,680
Speaker 3: and we just understand the line.

111
00:05:37,720 --> 00:05:39,280
Speaker 5: That's another game. We just thought it would make more

112
00:05:39,320 --> 00:05:40,960
Speaker 5: sense at three three and a half. Like we said,

113
00:05:40,960 --> 00:05:43,760
Speaker 5: it was just two weeks ago. This Bengals team upset

114
00:05:43,839 --> 00:05:47,200
Speaker 5: and beat the Steelers team. And Steelers are banged up

115
00:05:47,440 --> 00:05:49,760
Speaker 5: like they're not healthy. They have a bunch of injuries

116
00:05:49,760 --> 00:05:51,280
Speaker 5: in a bunch of key positions as well.

117
00:05:51,839 --> 00:05:53,760
Speaker 3: Bengals like you just had coming off of bye week.

118
00:05:54,080 --> 00:05:58,080
Speaker 5: I mean, I thought it was funny Joe Burrow who's

119
00:05:58,120 --> 00:06:01,919
Speaker 5: rushing back, which is really impressive for him, but that's

120
00:06:01,960 --> 00:06:04,240
Speaker 5: not going to fix any of their issues. Like this

121
00:06:04,320 --> 00:06:07,680
Speaker 5: Bengals team, they literally have been scoring more points, averaging

122
00:06:07,760 --> 00:06:10,320
Speaker 5: more points with Flacco at the helm than than Joe.

123
00:06:10,800 --> 00:06:13,360
Speaker 5: It doesn't matter. He's just he's not to fix this

124
00:06:13,360 --> 00:06:13,960
Speaker 5: this defense.

125
00:06:14,000 --> 00:06:14,719
Speaker 3: It's just a trocia.

126
00:06:14,839 --> 00:06:18,000
Speaker 5: So I agree with you. The number makes sense. You know,

127
00:06:18,320 --> 00:06:20,800
Speaker 5: we'll grab it and hope for a back door. Maybe

128
00:06:21,200 --> 00:06:23,600
Speaker 5: Joe will have the lead and the back door will

129
00:06:23,600 --> 00:06:25,800
Speaker 5: come from Rogers and we still have a key number

130
00:06:25,839 --> 00:06:27,280
Speaker 5: above three and that won't matter for us.

131
00:06:27,279 --> 00:06:30,080
Speaker 3: But I thought it was interesting looking at Zach Taylor

132
00:06:30,080 --> 00:06:30,640
Speaker 3: the head coach.

133
00:06:31,360 --> 00:06:33,360
Speaker 5: What can we take away from him and these type

134
00:06:33,400 --> 00:06:35,719
Speaker 5: of situations after a bye week? Is he a good coach?

135
00:06:35,760 --> 00:06:38,400
Speaker 5: Does you get guys prepared? He is one and four

136
00:06:38,440 --> 00:06:39,320
Speaker 5: against the spread bag.

137
00:06:40,080 --> 00:06:42,640
Speaker 2: I don't expect anything. Taylor.

138
00:06:43,240 --> 00:06:44,960
Speaker 3: I mean, Zach Taylor man just.

139
00:06:46,480 --> 00:06:50,039
Speaker 5: Who some people it's crazy, So he's I mean, I

140
00:06:50,040 --> 00:06:52,160
Speaker 5: can't blame him. The offense has been good with Flacco

141
00:06:52,279 --> 00:06:55,160
Speaker 5: a lot of stuff, but apparently it's just been all

142
00:06:55,279 --> 00:06:57,920
Speaker 5: matchup base. So the last time they played, Joe Flacca

143
00:06:58,000 --> 00:06:59,600
Speaker 5: made fun of the Spitfik team. He said he'd even

144
00:06:59,640 --> 00:07:01,400
Speaker 5: know the bank those offense. They were just running the

145
00:07:01,400 --> 00:07:05,120
Speaker 5: same zone scheme over and over again. So I'm looking

146
00:07:05,120 --> 00:07:06,560
Speaker 5: for reasons to avoid it because I just don't this

147
00:07:06,640 --> 00:07:09,320
Speaker 5: number feels sofficient to me. I'm gonna join you. I'm

148
00:07:09,320 --> 00:07:11,280
Speaker 5: gonna bet the I'm gonna bet the Bengals. But I

149
00:07:11,320 --> 00:07:13,000
Speaker 5: have not made this one of my bigger best this week.

150
00:07:13,000 --> 00:07:15,320
Speaker 3: I just I don't know. Something just seems awful.

151
00:07:15,360 --> 00:07:17,480
Speaker 5: I just can't believe we're getting two extra free points

152
00:07:17,480 --> 00:07:20,600
Speaker 5: here on this Bengals teams. He said, Steelers defense is

153
00:07:20,720 --> 00:07:23,280
Speaker 5: just as bad, just as bad as the Spangles defense.

154
00:07:23,320 --> 00:07:24,680
Speaker 3: So really weird line.

155
00:07:24,960 --> 00:07:28,040
Speaker 1: Yeah, it's a very strange line. Also, not that it

156
00:07:28,080 --> 00:07:31,360
Speaker 1: matters one where the other. Trey Hendrickson doubtful to play

157
00:07:31,480 --> 00:07:34,000
Speaker 1: this week with that injured hip, even after the bye week.

158
00:07:34,400 --> 00:07:36,640
Speaker 1: When you say that about Zach Taylor, I'm just like,

159
00:07:37,160 --> 00:07:39,680
Speaker 1: I don't care like he's.

160
00:07:39,480 --> 00:07:42,800
Speaker 3: So he just knows altrocious he is. He comes out

161
00:07:42,800 --> 00:07:47,080
Speaker 3: of a bye week, He's won and four against divisional opponents.

162
00:07:47,240 --> 00:07:49,280
Speaker 1: Yeah, but he's also atrocious win they don't have a

163
00:07:49,320 --> 00:07:52,120
Speaker 1: buy Like, I'm not betting on Zach Taylor in this.

164
00:07:52,120 --> 00:07:53,480
Speaker 3: Game, even more so.

165
00:07:57,600 --> 00:08:01,360
Speaker 5: Straight up as a dog in the spot as an

166
00:08:01,440 --> 00:08:04,280
Speaker 5: underdog losing it by combined score of eighty five to

167
00:08:04,320 --> 00:08:04,920
Speaker 5: twenty three.

168
00:08:05,360 --> 00:08:07,800
Speaker 2: Yeah, but here's the thing. Honestly, I'm just.

169
00:08:07,720 --> 00:08:09,320
Speaker 3: Trying to make it so we're protecting you. I don't

170
00:08:09,320 --> 00:08:10,720
Speaker 3: know for to make it one of our five, but

171
00:08:10,920 --> 00:08:11,360
Speaker 3: I don't.

172
00:08:11,160 --> 00:08:12,240
Speaker 2: Know that we're going to make it one of our

173
00:08:12,240 --> 00:08:12,720
Speaker 2: five either.

174
00:08:12,760 --> 00:08:16,480
Speaker 1: But Zach Taylor just never entered the equation for me

175
00:08:16,520 --> 00:08:18,680
Speaker 1: in this is similar to what that Mike Tomlin didn't

176
00:08:18,760 --> 00:08:21,920
Speaker 1: enter the equation even though you know, historically we'd want

177
00:08:21,920 --> 00:08:25,360
Speaker 1: to fade Mike Tomlin as a relatively big favorite at

178
00:08:25,400 --> 00:08:28,440
Speaker 1: home in the division that that has tended to be

179
00:08:28,480 --> 00:08:31,240
Speaker 1: where he hasn't coached as well, right and where the

180
00:08:31,240 --> 00:08:32,599
Speaker 1: team has had a little bit of a letdown and

181
00:08:32,640 --> 00:08:35,400
Speaker 1: they played down to the level of their opponent.

182
00:08:36,200 --> 00:08:39,680
Speaker 3: This is entirely It was actually good here for Tomlin.

183
00:08:40,000 --> 00:08:42,600
Speaker 5: Like historically, him playing a divisional opponent after a bad

184
00:08:42,640 --> 00:08:44,520
Speaker 5: loss on the road coming home as a favorite, he

185
00:08:44,520 --> 00:08:45,440
Speaker 5: actually does pretty well.

186
00:08:45,440 --> 00:08:47,480
Speaker 3: But I agree with you. I just do not like Ben.

187
00:08:47,520 --> 00:08:48,679
Speaker 3: Tomlin is a big favorite.

188
00:08:48,880 --> 00:08:50,840
Speaker 4: Guys that played for me. They can tell you. One

189
00:08:50,880 --> 00:08:52,920
Speaker 4: of my sayings I got a lot of sayings is

190
00:08:53,320 --> 00:08:55,840
Speaker 4: don't seek comfort. I realized if you're going to have

191
00:08:55,840 --> 00:08:59,800
Speaker 4: special outcomes, that you got to be comfortable. Being uncomfortable

192
00:09:00,120 --> 00:09:02,760
Speaker 4: appreciating my resume is seeking comfort.

193
00:09:03,160 --> 00:09:04,760
Speaker 2: Joe Flacco was playing so well.

194
00:09:05,160 --> 00:09:07,720
Speaker 1: Joe Burrow's coming back early because he's worried about his job.

195
00:09:08,320 --> 00:09:10,400
Speaker 2: That's what's going on here. And I think we both know.

196
00:09:10,520 --> 00:09:13,040
Speaker 5: That's another Flacco stat He's nine to four in his

197
00:09:13,120 --> 00:09:16,360
Speaker 5: career against his president underdog against Tomlin. So he always

198
00:09:16,360 --> 00:09:19,320
Speaker 5: performs well against Tom and Donlin even said it so much.

199
00:09:19,360 --> 00:09:20,080
Speaker 3: There was the boogeyman.

200
00:09:20,120 --> 00:09:21,640
Speaker 5: He could not believe he had to face this guy

201
00:09:21,679 --> 00:09:23,720
Speaker 5: again and getting him traded in his own division.

202
00:09:23,880 --> 00:09:25,880
Speaker 1: Yeah, that includes when they played against each other in

203
00:09:25,920 --> 00:09:27,719
Speaker 1: pee wee football, because they're basically the.

204
00:09:27,679 --> 00:09:28,800
Speaker 2: Same age.

205
00:09:29,880 --> 00:09:34,559
Speaker 1: Houston at Tennessee Simon, we said we were waiting until

206
00:09:34,600 --> 00:09:37,440
Speaker 1: this number got below seven. It took him minute, but

207
00:09:37,480 --> 00:09:41,920
Speaker 1: at lanted below seven yesterday Wednesday afternoon, middle of the afternoon,

208
00:09:42,880 --> 00:09:45,400
Speaker 1: and it's pretty much six and a half painted across

209
00:09:45,440 --> 00:09:50,280
Speaker 1: the board minus one ten. No official word on CJ,

210
00:09:50,400 --> 00:09:54,000
Speaker 1: but he did not practice. The Texans do not expect

211
00:09:54,040 --> 00:09:58,040
Speaker 1: him to play this weekend, so this number was moving

212
00:09:58,600 --> 00:10:00,080
Speaker 1: based on Davis Mills.

213
00:10:00,800 --> 00:10:05,040
Speaker 2: Jeffrey Simmons is hopeful he will be back.

214
00:10:05,880 --> 00:10:08,839
Speaker 1: I did bet the Texans at minus six and a

215
00:10:08,880 --> 00:10:11,559
Speaker 1: half because I think they might only have to score

216
00:10:11,640 --> 00:10:15,200
Speaker 1: one touchdown to cover this number. The defense is so

217
00:10:15,400 --> 00:10:22,000
Speaker 1: good that offense is so bad. There's there's virtually no

218
00:10:22,280 --> 00:10:25,959
Speaker 1: evidence that this offense can get the ball in the

219
00:10:26,040 --> 00:10:32,520
Speaker 1: end zone often enough against this defense to to cover

220
00:10:33,280 --> 00:10:34,160
Speaker 1: less than a touchdown.

221
00:10:34,160 --> 00:10:37,280
Speaker 3: To me, yeah, I'm on it as well.

222
00:10:37,520 --> 00:10:39,960
Speaker 5: It's the only polems I have for this one is

223
00:10:40,000 --> 00:10:42,480
Speaker 5: it's tons of tons of pros are on this Titans team,

224
00:10:42,520 --> 00:10:43,400
Speaker 5: and of course that's.

225
00:10:43,320 --> 00:10:45,160
Speaker 2: Why it moved. No one's no one in the public

226
00:10:45,240 --> 00:10:45,600
Speaker 2: is betting.

227
00:10:50,360 --> 00:10:52,599
Speaker 5: It came out eating practice on Wednesday or Tuesday, I

228
00:10:52,600 --> 00:10:53,679
Speaker 5: believe because it was concussion.

229
00:10:53,720 --> 00:10:55,720
Speaker 3: I think that's when it moved to six and a half.

230
00:10:56,400 --> 00:10:58,480
Speaker 1: It started moving Tuesday night to six and a half

231
00:10:58,520 --> 00:11:00,480
Speaker 1: because that's when I bet it, and by today it

232
00:11:00,480 --> 00:11:01,800
Speaker 1: was six and a half across the board.

233
00:11:02,440 --> 00:11:05,240
Speaker 5: So, like you know, the fact that it's it's it's

234
00:11:05,320 --> 00:11:08,840
Speaker 5: more likely now that teaches out adds to that, you know,

235
00:11:09,600 --> 00:11:11,160
Speaker 5: you're looking at the early money here and it is

236
00:11:11,160 --> 00:11:13,880
Speaker 5: on Tennessee, so it looks like the public is joining them,

237
00:11:13,920 --> 00:11:16,880
Speaker 5: which makes sense. It's Davis Mills on the road as

238
00:11:16,920 --> 00:11:18,640
Speaker 5: a six and a half point favorite.

239
00:11:18,280 --> 00:11:20,000
Speaker 3: So I get where they're coming from.

240
00:11:20,200 --> 00:11:22,120
Speaker 5: I think we both agree we're taking this position for

241
00:11:22,600 --> 00:11:24,280
Speaker 5: the fact that we trust this defense but.

242
00:11:25,760 --> 00:11:27,240
Speaker 3: Interesting and interesting number movement.

243
00:11:27,400 --> 00:11:28,760
Speaker 5: I don't want to tell people to bet it or

244
00:11:28,760 --> 00:11:31,200
Speaker 5: hammer now because it could drop. If it is official

245
00:11:31,280 --> 00:11:34,040
Speaker 5: CJ is out, maybe this does get the four four

246
00:11:34,040 --> 00:11:35,280
Speaker 5: and a half, like this number.

247
00:11:35,000 --> 00:11:35,800
Speaker 3: Does keep dropping.

248
00:11:36,040 --> 00:11:36,880
Speaker 2: There's no way.

249
00:11:38,120 --> 00:11:40,280
Speaker 5: I know I thought that too, but I just I

250
00:11:40,320 --> 00:11:43,080
Speaker 5: was shocked and moved off to seven once the CJ

251
00:11:43,200 --> 00:11:45,240
Speaker 5: concussion no practice because I was like, I was not

252
00:11:45,280 --> 00:11:47,559
Speaker 5: expecting him to play this week anyway.

253
00:11:48,440 --> 00:11:49,839
Speaker 1: So yeah, but if it was going to move, it

254
00:11:49,880 --> 00:11:52,320
Speaker 1: would have already been. It would have been a much

255
00:11:52,360 --> 00:11:56,760
Speaker 1: more aggressive move in the past twenty four hours from this.

256
00:11:56,800 --> 00:11:58,400
Speaker 3: Is a fair books.

257
00:11:59,559 --> 00:12:02,120
Speaker 5: Because it's gone under the key number now, where like

258
00:12:02,120 --> 00:12:05,560
Speaker 5: they're taking tons and tons of bets and I'm sure

259
00:12:05,559 --> 00:12:08,480
Speaker 5: moneyland parlays and teasers now in this Texans team, but

260
00:12:08,520 --> 00:12:10,560
Speaker 5: they're fine with that position because they're in the back

261
00:12:10,600 --> 00:12:11,880
Speaker 5: of round. I think they're saying, well, we think it's

262
00:12:11,880 --> 00:12:13,599
Speaker 5: probably gonna be Davis Mills. That's why I thought it

263
00:12:13,600 --> 00:12:15,719
Speaker 5: was big. They moved off the seven. So yeah, I'm

264
00:12:15,800 --> 00:12:17,280
Speaker 5: just I'll be patient with this one. We'll see where

265
00:12:17,280 --> 00:12:19,120
Speaker 5: it goes. But like you said, we're both in six

266
00:12:19,120 --> 00:12:23,160
Speaker 5: and a half. It's just the more I think about it,

267
00:12:23,160 --> 00:12:25,800
Speaker 5: it's like the me and Check be forced to watch

268
00:12:25,800 --> 00:12:27,000
Speaker 5: this game and bet on this game. I don't know

269
00:12:27,000 --> 00:12:28,959
Speaker 5: if we're gonna have to make this one of those

270
00:12:29,000 --> 00:12:31,240
Speaker 5: games because I just how much I love the number

271
00:12:31,240 --> 00:12:32,120
Speaker 5: with Davis Mills.

272
00:12:32,280 --> 00:12:34,480
Speaker 1: Well, we're of course going to be watching it. It'll

273
00:12:34,520 --> 00:12:35,439
Speaker 1: be in the multiview.

274
00:12:35,480 --> 00:12:37,360
Speaker 3: There's no there's no chance.

275
00:12:37,400 --> 00:12:41,040
Speaker 5: I'm not like, there's so many good games I.

276
00:12:41,000 --> 00:12:44,240
Speaker 1: Know, But the problem is we have money. I'm not

277
00:12:44,240 --> 00:12:46,080
Speaker 1: saying it's going to be in the contest. I'm just

278
00:12:46,120 --> 00:12:48,559
Speaker 1: saying we have money on it. At this point. I

279
00:12:48,600 --> 00:12:52,559
Speaker 1: know that in the early windows, I got five screens

280
00:12:52,600 --> 00:12:56,400
Speaker 1: I can watch on. I'll watch the five games that

281
00:12:57,160 --> 00:12:58,880
Speaker 1: are in the contest and that we have bets on,

282
00:12:59,120 --> 00:13:00,680
Speaker 1: and I'm gonna have it on this game.

283
00:13:01,160 --> 00:13:02,559
Speaker 3: Let's say if I was at home, I'd probably put

284
00:13:02,600 --> 00:13:04,120
Speaker 3: on the iPad. I won't even put on the TV.

285
00:13:04,559 --> 00:13:06,360
Speaker 2: I think this game will probably be on my laptop.

286
00:13:06,679 --> 00:13:07,640
Speaker 3: Yeah, that sounds right.

287
00:13:07,840 --> 00:13:09,200
Speaker 2: We'll see, we'll see.

288
00:13:09,320 --> 00:13:11,760
Speaker 1: I mean, I know I can know for a fact

289
00:13:11,800 --> 00:13:14,400
Speaker 1: Baltimore Cleveland's going to be on there. I know that

290
00:13:14,480 --> 00:13:18,640
Speaker 1: Cincinnati Pittsburgh's going to be on there. So we'll see. Simon,

291
00:13:19,280 --> 00:13:20,960
Speaker 1: I want to talk about the Green Bay Packers as

292
00:13:21,000 --> 00:13:25,240
Speaker 1: seven point favorites at the New York Giants, because on

293
00:13:25,280 --> 00:13:30,240
Speaker 1: Tuesday we talked about the Packers and you added slightly

294
00:13:30,360 --> 00:13:34,120
Speaker 1: into the Packers. I was wondering why, like we would

295
00:13:34,160 --> 00:13:35,600
Speaker 1: even try to make a decision. We didn't know who

296
00:13:35,679 --> 00:13:41,240
Speaker 1: was going to be quarterback. Now we know, famous Jameis

297
00:13:41,679 --> 00:13:46,960
Speaker 1: Winston is starting for the Giants on Sunday. Russell Wilson

298
00:13:47,400 --> 00:13:50,960
Speaker 1: has been demoted to third string, and Russell Wilson is

299
00:13:51,000 --> 00:13:53,640
Speaker 1: now doing videos on Cameo. He's made three hundred million

300
00:13:53,679 --> 00:13:57,800
Speaker 1: dollars in his career. He's doing videos on cameo. Yesterday,

301
00:13:58,920 --> 00:14:03,080
Speaker 1: at his presconf friends as the number one quarterback as

302
00:14:03,120 --> 00:14:09,679
Speaker 1: QB one, Jameis Winston gave a virtuoso performance, including a

303
00:14:09,880 --> 00:14:15,960
Speaker 1: Broadway musical interlude. Matt Mitchell roll it.

304
00:14:16,760 --> 00:14:18,920
Speaker 3: I'm want fans to know that I'm gonna do my best.

305
00:14:18,960 --> 00:14:20,320
Speaker 3: You know, obviously I'm gonna have.

306
00:14:20,320 --> 00:14:25,120
Speaker 6: Fun, but I'm gonna execute, have a surgical execution, and

307
00:14:25,520 --> 00:14:27,720
Speaker 6: just and just play ball, man, Like this is something

308
00:14:27,760 --> 00:14:29,840
Speaker 6: I've been doing since I've been four years old. Now

309
00:14:29,840 --> 00:14:31,920
Speaker 6: I just get to do it in the greatest city

310
00:14:31,960 --> 00:14:33,800
Speaker 6: in the world. I'm gonna be saying with my son,

311
00:14:34,160 --> 00:14:37,280
Speaker 6: what's the greatest city in the world. Yeah, that's a

312
00:14:37,320 --> 00:14:40,000
Speaker 6: Hamilton reference to now I don't know, and a ten

313
00:14:40,120 --> 00:14:41,000
Speaker 6: year reunion.

314
00:14:41,080 --> 00:14:46,880
Speaker 1: Yeah, I mean, come on him acknowledging Hamilton's ten ten

315
00:14:46,960 --> 00:14:47,760
Speaker 1: year anniversary.

316
00:14:48,600 --> 00:14:50,360
Speaker 2: He's a legend. He's a legend.

317
00:14:50,640 --> 00:14:55,920
Speaker 1: It's like, Jamis is everything you love about betting. You

318
00:14:56,000 --> 00:14:58,440
Speaker 1: and I talk about this all the time. You love

319
00:14:58,520 --> 00:15:01,760
Speaker 1: the roller coaster of betting. I love knowing that I've

320
00:15:01,760 --> 00:15:05,320
Speaker 1: got the win in the first quarter and then relaxing

321
00:15:05,360 --> 00:15:07,000
Speaker 1: the rest of the day. I want to be right.

322
00:15:07,120 --> 00:15:10,480
Speaker 1: I don't want the emotion. You want the emotion. Jamis

323
00:15:10,560 --> 00:15:12,720
Speaker 1: is your type of QB.

324
00:15:12,920 --> 00:15:13,360
Speaker 3: Dude.

325
00:15:13,440 --> 00:15:16,720
Speaker 1: It's like, all the betting, how do you not put

326
00:15:16,720 --> 00:15:20,240
Speaker 1: in a small taste on Jamis. He is the full

327
00:15:20,280 --> 00:15:23,680
Speaker 1: experience on Sunday, the oh no throws, the oh yes throws,

328
00:15:23,720 --> 00:15:31,400
Speaker 1: the holy shit throws, signing Jamis a little taste.

329
00:15:31,480 --> 00:15:31,800
Speaker 2: Come on.

330
00:15:33,040 --> 00:15:35,480
Speaker 5: Yeah, The biggest sin in life is that James is

331
00:15:35,520 --> 00:15:37,840
Speaker 5: not like a top five quarterback in this week. It

332
00:15:38,040 --> 00:15:40,840
Speaker 5: just for he has so much personality we just don't

333
00:15:40,840 --> 00:15:43,480
Speaker 5: get from quarterbacks, right. Most quarterbacks are just robots, which

334
00:15:43,560 --> 00:15:46,080
Speaker 5: they should be right, they're protecting their brand. They don't

335
00:15:46,080 --> 00:15:48,320
Speaker 5: want to say anything that gets put on the board

336
00:15:48,360 --> 00:15:49,440
Speaker 5: and used against.

337
00:15:49,160 --> 00:15:49,840
Speaker 3: Blah blah blah.

338
00:15:49,920 --> 00:15:54,960
Speaker 5: But Jamis is just so free and just not negative

339
00:15:55,040 --> 00:15:58,680
Speaker 5: and just good vibes, like he never says the wrong things,

340
00:15:58,720 --> 00:16:01,960
Speaker 5: even when he's talking crazy. It's it's great, like he

341
00:16:02,160 --> 00:16:03,600
Speaker 5: just you never know where he's gonna go with it.

342
00:16:03,720 --> 00:16:07,240
Speaker 5: So yeah, I I just thought this was a green

343
00:16:07,280 --> 00:16:10,800
Speaker 5: Bay spot. We've talked this year, this green Bay team.

344
00:16:11,760 --> 00:16:13,960
Speaker 5: They're on a historical run right there. I think the

345
00:16:14,080 --> 00:16:17,240
Speaker 5: first team in like twenty years to be zero to

346
00:16:17,280 --> 00:16:20,240
Speaker 5: five as a seven point favorite against the spread. They

347
00:16:20,360 --> 00:16:22,400
Speaker 5: get to cover the season as a seven point favorite.

348
00:16:22,440 --> 00:16:28,080
Speaker 5: So the public's on the Giants. The broser they joning them.

349
00:16:28,320 --> 00:16:30,680
Speaker 5: This is gonna be a huge, huge bet all the teasers,

350
00:16:30,680 --> 00:16:32,480
Speaker 5: all the money line, partly as this Packers team, because

351
00:16:32,480 --> 00:16:34,280
Speaker 5: everyone's like me, They just I can't see the Packers

352
00:16:34,280 --> 00:16:36,400
Speaker 5: the three games in a row. So maybe I'll just

353
00:16:36,440 --> 00:16:38,840
Speaker 5: avoid it now, because like you said, Jamis could either

354
00:16:38,840 --> 00:16:40,920
Speaker 5: lose this game by thirty or win this game.

355
00:16:40,800 --> 00:16:43,360
Speaker 3: Outright if he had such a wild Gay's passing the ball.

356
00:16:43,440 --> 00:16:45,000
Speaker 2: Yeah, yeah, such a wild car.

357
00:16:45,320 --> 00:16:47,200
Speaker 5: I just I don't know if he has a weapons

358
00:16:47,240 --> 00:16:49,320
Speaker 5: chat Like in other places where he's done stuff, he's

359
00:16:49,360 --> 00:16:51,440
Speaker 5: actually had guys on the outside that can make plays.

360
00:16:51,880 --> 00:16:54,720
Speaker 5: He does not have that in this scenario. And he's

361
00:16:54,760 --> 00:16:58,600
Speaker 5: going against a really good defensive front. So I'm still

362
00:16:58,640 --> 00:16:59,800
Speaker 5: I'm still on the Packers.

363
00:16:59,840 --> 00:17:00,360
Speaker 3: But I get it.

364
00:17:00,400 --> 00:17:01,640
Speaker 5: I get you're coming from. You want to go on

365
00:17:01,640 --> 00:17:03,880
Speaker 5: the Giants and it's fun. I just I can't. I

366
00:17:03,920 --> 00:17:04,560
Speaker 5: can't do it.

367
00:17:05,000 --> 00:17:07,840
Speaker 1: I just want to bet as bet put us on Jamis,

368
00:17:07,840 --> 00:17:11,880
Speaker 1: Like he's won us so much money over the years, though,

369
00:17:11,960 --> 00:17:13,159
Speaker 1: and then and then.

370
00:17:13,040 --> 00:17:15,760
Speaker 2: He's lost us so much many over the years.

371
00:17:15,840 --> 00:17:17,600
Speaker 1: Last year we had a pretty good run of like

372
00:17:18,000 --> 00:17:20,600
Speaker 1: betting on Jamis at the right time and betting against

373
00:17:20,680 --> 00:17:23,879
Speaker 1: Jamis at the right time, And this just feels like

374
00:17:23,920 --> 00:17:26,080
Speaker 1: a bet on Jamis and I can't.

375
00:17:26,720 --> 00:17:28,000
Speaker 2: I'm kind of bummed that he stayed in the.

376
00:17:28,080 --> 00:17:31,600
Speaker 1: NFL, because I think he'd be so good as a broadcaster, analyst,

377
00:17:31,680 --> 00:17:37,760
Speaker 1: full time social media influencer, whatever it is. Oh goodness, Simon,

378
00:17:38,880 --> 00:17:40,520
Speaker 1: I'm just this is going to be on the TV

379
00:17:40,800 --> 00:17:43,680
Speaker 1: just to watch Jamis implode or blow up the Packers

380
00:17:43,680 --> 00:17:48,480
Speaker 1: either way. All right, let's talk about Tampa Bay at Buffalo.

381
00:17:49,080 --> 00:17:53,480
Speaker 1: I mentioned this the other day. I think we've underestimated

382
00:17:54,160 --> 00:17:59,120
Speaker 1: how much Bucky Irving means to the Buccaneers because we've

383
00:17:59,119 --> 00:18:00,840
Speaker 1: continued to want to bet on the Buccaneers and have

384
00:18:00,880 --> 00:18:04,239
Speaker 1: bet the Buccaneers, including last week against the Patriots. So

385
00:18:04,280 --> 00:18:07,080
Speaker 1: I looked it up because it's like it just we

386
00:18:07,200 --> 00:18:08,760
Speaker 1: believed so much in Baker ball.

387
00:18:09,160 --> 00:18:10,600
Speaker 2: Have we leaned too much into that.

388
00:18:12,640 --> 00:18:15,280
Speaker 1: The Buccaneers were running the ball thirty eight percent of

389
00:18:15,280 --> 00:18:18,000
Speaker 1: the time with Bucket Irving. Now they're doing just twenty

390
00:18:18,000 --> 00:18:20,479
Speaker 1: five percent of the time, and that impacts everything, Right,

391
00:18:20,520 --> 00:18:26,040
Speaker 1: they have fewer explosive ten plus yard runs, but also

392
00:18:26,760 --> 00:18:32,040
Speaker 1: it just changes the play action dynamic for Baker. It's

393
00:18:32,160 --> 00:18:35,320
Speaker 1: much less effective, and I think that's having an impact

394
00:18:35,760 --> 00:18:37,600
Speaker 1: on the entire game. It's like when you hurt your

395
00:18:37,600 --> 00:18:41,680
Speaker 1: toe and it hits the whole kinetic chain. I think

396
00:18:41,720 --> 00:18:45,840
Speaker 1: that that is really a big issue for them. We

397
00:18:45,840 --> 00:18:48,120
Speaker 1: were wondering why the wise guys might be all over

398
00:18:48,160 --> 00:18:50,560
Speaker 1: the Bucks. I don't know all the reasons, but I

399
00:18:50,600 --> 00:18:53,280
Speaker 1: look at this and it makes a little more sense

400
00:18:53,320 --> 00:18:54,400
Speaker 1: to me right now.

401
00:18:56,000 --> 00:19:01,679
Speaker 5: Honestly, it sounds really simple. But this Bucks team, to me,

402
00:19:01,800 --> 00:19:05,600
Speaker 5: the big difference has been Baker doesn't hasn't scrambled in

403
00:19:05,640 --> 00:19:08,960
Speaker 5: about three weeks now, and if you look back, he

404
00:19:09,040 --> 00:19:11,280
Speaker 5: took a really bad shot in that win against the

405
00:19:11,280 --> 00:19:15,040
Speaker 5: forty nine ers, he hasn't. He didn't have one rushing

406
00:19:15,040 --> 00:19:18,280
Speaker 5: attemp against Detroit, that single rushing attempt against the Saints,

407
00:19:18,280 --> 00:19:20,520
Speaker 5: and same against New Orleans and.

408
00:19:20,520 --> 00:19:22,639
Speaker 3: Remember all those insane wames earlier in the year.

409
00:19:23,680 --> 00:19:27,080
Speaker 5: Yeah, so maybe that's what we're missing here, is he

410
00:19:27,119 --> 00:19:29,320
Speaker 5: sustained an injury. He doesn't want to be taking hits

411
00:19:29,320 --> 00:19:32,800
Speaker 5: like that, scrambling outside the pocket, and it's been a

412
00:19:32,800 --> 00:19:35,080
Speaker 5: difference to their offense. You need that Baker magic for

413
00:19:35,119 --> 00:19:38,760
Speaker 5: it to work for this team. So you know there

414
00:19:38,760 --> 00:19:42,520
Speaker 5: are some stats too. We talked about this would be

415
00:19:42,560 --> 00:19:45,200
Speaker 5: a spot Raffer Josh Allen. They just got embarrassed on

416
00:19:45,240 --> 00:19:48,000
Speaker 5: the road as a huge favorite, and it feels like

417
00:19:48,000 --> 00:19:51,840
Speaker 5: it's a unique spot, right, It's not often Josh Allen

418
00:19:51,880 --> 00:19:54,520
Speaker 5: goes on the road as a favorite and loses well

419
00:19:54,560 --> 00:19:57,320
Speaker 5: by double digits. And when I looked at it, it's

420
00:19:57,560 --> 00:20:01,080
Speaker 5: it's pretty alarming. He's after loss like that. He's six

421
00:20:01,160 --> 00:20:04,600
Speaker 5: and three against the spread, which isn't that drastic, but

422
00:20:04,640 --> 00:20:07,880
Speaker 5: he's covering by eleven points per game in those matchups,

423
00:20:07,880 --> 00:20:10,280
Speaker 5: so he tends to bounce back. Josh Allen these matchups,

424
00:20:10,680 --> 00:20:13,439
Speaker 5: and you know, if they have a game where they

425
00:20:13,440 --> 00:20:16,480
Speaker 5: score sixteen points or less in Josh Allen's career, the

426
00:20:16,520 --> 00:20:18,879
Speaker 5: following game, he's thirteen and six against the spread. So

427
00:20:18,920 --> 00:20:20,359
Speaker 5: we've just seen time and time again he tends to

428
00:20:20,400 --> 00:20:24,200
Speaker 5: bounce back. I had tons of people send me trend

429
00:20:24,280 --> 00:20:27,160
Speaker 5: numbers about Baker because they were agreeing with us about

430
00:20:27,160 --> 00:20:29,040
Speaker 5: our love for Baker. That's why it's like, can we

431
00:20:29,080 --> 00:20:30,720
Speaker 5: still get there? But I'm just alarmed that he has

432
00:20:30,800 --> 00:20:32,879
Speaker 5: not run. That was something that really jumped out to me.

433
00:20:32,920 --> 00:20:35,760
Speaker 5: It's like, is there just something we don't know because

434
00:20:35,760 --> 00:20:39,080
Speaker 5: he's not looked the same since that forty nine ers game,

435
00:20:39,119 --> 00:20:41,439
Speaker 5: and I thought, you know what, that's just football, right,

436
00:20:41,480 --> 00:20:43,840
Speaker 5: you have lows, ups and downs. He's just not I

437
00:20:43,880 --> 00:20:46,240
Speaker 5: thought he'd maybe get right after that bye a week,

438
00:20:46,320 --> 00:20:48,800
Speaker 5: but you saw against New England he didn't really run

439
00:20:49,000 --> 00:20:53,000
Speaker 5: the ball, he didn't use his legs like he usually does. So, yeah,

440
00:20:53,040 --> 00:20:56,440
Speaker 5: they're just those type of things jumped out to me. Obviously.

441
00:20:56,680 --> 00:20:59,000
Speaker 5: If you want to hear some Baker stats as a dog,

442
00:20:59,240 --> 00:21:01,520
Speaker 5: he's fifteen to four or against a spread in his career.

443
00:21:01,920 --> 00:21:05,600
Speaker 5: We know Baker's just he covers as a dog. So

444
00:21:06,800 --> 00:21:08,160
Speaker 5: I don't know what you want to do in this one.

445
00:21:09,640 --> 00:21:12,359
Speaker 5: It's it's a unique spot, right, it's Baker awful loss

446
00:21:12,359 --> 00:21:14,680
Speaker 5: now is a dog on the road again. Another stat

447
00:21:14,680 --> 00:21:17,080
Speaker 5: at him is a dog in the SAX spot seventeen

448
00:21:17,160 --> 00:21:19,720
Speaker 5: and seven against the spread when he's off the loss

449
00:21:20,520 --> 00:21:23,960
Speaker 5: even better last five seasons he's twelve and three.

450
00:21:24,160 --> 00:21:25,000
Speaker 3: This is exactly pow.

451
00:21:25,080 --> 00:21:27,480
Speaker 2: Yeah, I want to bet Baker here. I know I do.

452
00:21:27,840 --> 00:21:31,040
Speaker 2: At five and a half. The numbers in my notes

453
00:21:31,240 --> 00:21:32,240
Speaker 2: are we worried about Baker.

454
00:21:32,280 --> 00:21:34,919
Speaker 5: That's what I'm trying to get us here.

455
00:21:34,720 --> 00:21:38,320
Speaker 1: You're making a good point. I did the research yesterday.

456
00:21:38,400 --> 00:21:42,520
Speaker 1: I think they're a different team, even though without Bucky Irving,

457
00:21:43,200 --> 00:21:45,760
Speaker 1: we're seeing that in the trends. It could be a

458
00:21:45,800 --> 00:21:48,920
Speaker 1: combination of the lack of play action and Baker not

459
00:21:49,000 --> 00:21:51,800
Speaker 1: running the ball because he could be injured. All of

460
00:21:51,840 --> 00:21:55,040
Speaker 1: that seems to be missing from this Buccaneers team right now.

461
00:21:55,920 --> 00:21:58,919
Speaker 1: To me, it's it's not so much a bet on

462
00:21:59,119 --> 00:22:01,359
Speaker 1: the Bills. It's going to be a bet on the

463
00:22:01,400 --> 00:22:04,840
Speaker 1: box and how comfortable can we get on this team.

464
00:22:05,200 --> 00:22:06,439
Speaker 2: It just feels to me like.

465
00:22:06,920 --> 00:22:08,920
Speaker 3: So I can't convince you to back Josh Allen. Here

466
00:22:10,600 --> 00:22:11,880
Speaker 3: you the Josh Allen stats.

467
00:22:12,119 --> 00:22:13,680
Speaker 5: I mean, it just seems like I know, I don't

468
00:22:13,680 --> 00:22:15,200
Speaker 5: trust I just don't trust his Bills team either.

469
00:22:15,240 --> 00:22:17,320
Speaker 3: That's my issue. It's tough.

470
00:22:17,680 --> 00:22:20,560
Speaker 2: This defense is just it's not very good.

471
00:22:20,560 --> 00:22:23,359
Speaker 5: I know, but if Baker's not Baker, can you really

472
00:22:23,400 --> 00:22:26,280
Speaker 5: take advantage of an attack him. So it's a hard

473
00:22:26,280 --> 00:22:27,639
Speaker 5: game for me where it's like I wanted to be

474
00:22:27,680 --> 00:22:28,800
Speaker 5: on the Bucks. I thought I was going to be

475
00:22:28,840 --> 00:22:30,920
Speaker 5: on the book Sunday though I was me on Tuesday,

476
00:22:31,520 --> 00:22:33,800
Speaker 5: and I just I have looked into it and I

477
00:22:33,840 --> 00:22:36,280
Speaker 5: agree it's there's something missing with this book.

478
00:22:36,320 --> 00:22:39,000
Speaker 3: See, I really do think it's that Russian ability of Baker.

479
00:22:39,560 --> 00:22:41,760
Speaker 1: It's one of those weird games. Yeah, it's one of

480
00:22:41,760 --> 00:22:45,840
Speaker 1: those weird games where we this would be a smash

481
00:22:45,920 --> 00:22:48,760
Speaker 1: smart spot for us on a team that we almost

482
00:22:48,960 --> 00:22:51,520
Speaker 1: always love to bet on a quarterback. We always love

483
00:22:51,600 --> 00:22:53,760
Speaker 1: to bet. I don't know that we know enough yet.

484
00:22:54,000 --> 00:22:55,520
Speaker 1: I think we need to keep looking into it. I

485
00:22:55,560 --> 00:22:58,679
Speaker 1: haven't bet this game at all. I've tried to be patient.

486
00:22:58,760 --> 00:23:00,760
Speaker 5: I'm not trying to work people, honestly is what I do.

487
00:23:00,800 --> 00:23:03,560
Speaker 5: And I'm like, I can't get anything. I can't get

488
00:23:03,600 --> 00:23:05,439
Speaker 5: anything about if he's had an injury, if he's been

489
00:23:05,480 --> 00:23:07,520
Speaker 5: resting an injury, because they haven't put anything on the injury

490
00:23:07,560 --> 00:23:09,040
Speaker 5: port either, so nothing's come out.

491
00:23:09,080 --> 00:23:10,840
Speaker 3: So I don't know.

492
00:23:10,880 --> 00:23:12,480
Speaker 5: But I just when someone brought that up, I looked

493
00:23:12,480 --> 00:23:14,560
Speaker 5: at it, go, oh my god, I've not even noticed that.

494
00:23:14,680 --> 00:23:16,320
Speaker 5: I have not noticed because you get sacked so much.

495
00:23:16,520 --> 00:23:18,320
Speaker 5: In my mind, I thought he's been running and scrambling,

496
00:23:18,680 --> 00:23:20,199
Speaker 5: but he has and he hasn't gained a yard in

497
00:23:20,280 --> 00:23:20,800
Speaker 5: three games.

498
00:23:21,080 --> 00:23:22,800
Speaker 2: That's that's so weird.

499
00:23:22,920 --> 00:23:24,520
Speaker 1: And you know now that you think about it, Like,

500
00:23:24,720 --> 00:23:27,359
Speaker 1: especially against the Patriots, there were a couple of times

501
00:23:27,359 --> 00:23:31,080
Speaker 1: where the pocket just cratered that would have been a

502
00:23:32,440 --> 00:23:35,199
Speaker 1: Baker escapes and he didn't. It just he sort of

503
00:23:35,320 --> 00:23:36,959
Speaker 1: just collapsed in the pocket.

504
00:23:38,560 --> 00:23:39,280
Speaker 2: That's interesting.

505
00:23:40,280 --> 00:23:41,920
Speaker 1: We got to keep talking about this one. I don't

506
00:23:41,920 --> 00:23:43,320
Speaker 1: think we can commit to it one way or the

507
00:23:43,320 --> 00:23:44,920
Speaker 1: other yet. I want to bring up.

508
00:23:44,880 --> 00:23:45,960
Speaker 2: The Chargers and the Jags.

509
00:23:46,359 --> 00:23:48,800
Speaker 1: We talked about the Jags the other day at plus

510
00:23:48,840 --> 00:23:51,600
Speaker 1: three at hard Rockets moved down to two and a half,

511
00:23:51,680 --> 00:23:55,639
Speaker 1: so we're seeing professionals come in on the Jags. I

512
00:23:55,680 --> 00:23:58,160
Speaker 1: really left it in only because isn't this our week

513
00:23:58,200 --> 00:23:59,040
Speaker 1: to fade the Chargers?

514
00:23:59,240 --> 00:23:59,480
Speaker 2: Right?

515
00:23:59,640 --> 00:24:01,760
Speaker 1: We'd want to say, oh my god, the Chargers looked

516
00:24:01,760 --> 00:24:04,760
Speaker 1: great last week, let's bet them, But then we know

517
00:24:04,840 --> 00:24:08,480
Speaker 1: we really should fade them. We talked about liking the Jags.

518
00:24:08,920 --> 00:24:11,199
Speaker 1: I just wanted to know from your opinion, are you

519
00:24:11,240 --> 00:24:16,360
Speaker 1: feeling strongly about the Jags. I am not feeling strongly

520
00:24:16,400 --> 00:24:19,720
Speaker 1: about the Jags, but I could understand if you did,

521
00:24:19,840 --> 00:24:21,280
Speaker 1: and I would be persuadable.

522
00:24:21,440 --> 00:24:24,960
Speaker 2: You know why, Simon, you know why I'm agreeable.

523
00:24:26,520 --> 00:24:28,880
Speaker 5: I think we both agree it's just about the number, right,

524
00:24:29,320 --> 00:24:31,560
Speaker 5: Like at the three, I think we both kind of

525
00:24:31,600 --> 00:24:36,520
Speaker 5: like taking the Jags of the dog here. But I

526
00:24:36,680 --> 00:24:39,720
Speaker 5: just maybe maybe it's just the Trevor Lawrence thing. I

527
00:24:39,760 --> 00:24:41,880
Speaker 5: just I hate having money on them and I don't

528
00:24:41,880 --> 00:24:42,360
Speaker 5: trust them.

529
00:24:42,359 --> 00:24:44,159
Speaker 3: So at the three I like it for two and

530
00:24:44,200 --> 00:24:44,440
Speaker 3: a half.

531
00:24:44,520 --> 00:24:46,720
Speaker 5: I'm just there's no way I'm going to make people

532
00:24:46,720 --> 00:24:50,719
Speaker 5: invest money into this game. And the Herbert side, I

533
00:24:50,760 --> 00:24:52,359
Speaker 5: know a couple of pros I taking a position on

534
00:24:52,400 --> 00:24:53,879
Speaker 5: them in this game because they like the match with

535
00:24:53,880 --> 00:25:00,199
Speaker 5: them in the sense that this Jaguars defense just I

536
00:25:00,200 --> 00:25:03,360
Speaker 5: mean went through an absolute ringer the week before. Historically

537
00:25:03,400 --> 00:25:05,959
Speaker 5: these defenses fail the next week. Right, If you have

538
00:25:06,000 --> 00:25:08,200
Speaker 5: a defense that gives a twenty points or more, it's

539
00:25:08,240 --> 00:25:10,879
Speaker 5: never good to follow in the weekend. Even more so,

540
00:25:11,960 --> 00:25:15,080
Speaker 5: you know a team like that, how do they react

541
00:25:15,080 --> 00:25:17,119
Speaker 5: to it? A first year head coach, how does you

542
00:25:17,119 --> 00:25:18,359
Speaker 5: react to giving up twenty nine.

543
00:25:18,200 --> 00:25:20,480
Speaker 3: Points in the fourth quarter of Davis Mills the week before? Chad.

544
00:25:21,040 --> 00:25:22,880
Speaker 5: So, we have a lot of stuff we've been into

545
00:25:22,920 --> 00:25:25,920
Speaker 5: here situationally that I don't love. And when you dive

546
00:25:25,960 --> 00:25:28,920
Speaker 5: into all the trends and anything like that, it's historically

547
00:25:28,920 --> 00:25:30,439
Speaker 5: a terrible spot for Trevor Lawrence.

548
00:25:30,800 --> 00:25:34,720
Speaker 2: And what isn't what isn't a terrible spot right.

549
00:25:34,480 --> 00:25:36,120
Speaker 5: Because he just his whole career has been that way,

550
00:25:36,200 --> 00:25:38,480
Speaker 5: So yeah, I'm just very uneasy about it.

551
00:25:38,480 --> 00:25:40,000
Speaker 3: But I both I think we both agree.

552
00:25:40,080 --> 00:25:43,639
Speaker 5: It's like this is usually where we go against the Chargers,

553
00:25:43,640 --> 00:25:45,960
Speaker 5: but the Joe Alt things kind of making a fuzzy

554
00:25:46,040 --> 00:25:48,120
Speaker 5: form where it's like it's making me love the Jaguars.

555
00:25:48,119 --> 00:25:50,159
Speaker 5: I'm trying to talk myself out of it. There's other

556
00:25:50,200 --> 00:25:52,239
Speaker 5: games I should have my money and don't go too

557
00:25:52,280 --> 00:25:52,639
Speaker 5: heavy on it.

558
00:25:52,720 --> 00:25:52,920
Speaker 3: Two.

559
00:25:53,200 --> 00:25:54,840
Speaker 5: Like we said, hard Rock right now is mine two

560
00:25:54,840 --> 00:25:56,280
Speaker 5: and a half. To me, that's a Chargers line. If

561
00:25:56,280 --> 00:25:58,080
Speaker 5: you want to take a position and I won't fault you,

562
00:25:58,160 --> 00:26:00,400
Speaker 5: But I'm going to be on the Jags play three.

563
00:26:00,440 --> 00:26:02,200
Speaker 3: That just feels like a smarter side.

564
00:26:02,320 --> 00:26:05,000
Speaker 5: But I just don't know how Herbert's going to be

565
00:26:05,000 --> 00:26:08,800
Speaker 5: against a front and in a matchup that offensively. I think,

566
00:26:08,840 --> 00:26:11,560
Speaker 5: you know, if Trevor Lawrence can move the ball downfield,

567
00:26:12,280 --> 00:26:14,959
Speaker 5: they should be great matchup. But he might be down

568
00:26:15,000 --> 00:26:18,480
Speaker 5: his number number two receiver again, Chad, it's a big deal.

569
00:26:18,400 --> 00:26:21,600
Speaker 1: Right Brian Thomas Junior might not be playing. Travis Hunter

570
00:26:21,680 --> 00:26:23,359
Speaker 1: is out for the season now with a knee injury.

571
00:26:23,359 --> 00:26:26,439
Speaker 1: Who could have seen a slightly built two way player

572
00:26:26,920 --> 00:26:28,560
Speaker 1: not being able to make it through the season. That

573
00:26:28,680 --> 00:26:34,720
Speaker 1: seems crazy to me. Yeah, he's a TONI he's a tony.

574
00:26:36,800 --> 00:26:39,560
Speaker 1: There is a lot of social media sleuthing going on,

575
00:26:39,720 --> 00:26:43,960
Speaker 1: a lot of memes on Twitter of Liam Khne just

576
00:26:44,000 --> 00:26:52,639
Speaker 1: looking as disgusted as we are by Trevor Lawrence. The Internet,

577
00:26:52,840 --> 00:26:56,639
Speaker 1: for all its failings, sometimes is right. And you gotta

578
00:26:56,680 --> 00:27:00,720
Speaker 1: wonder if all the rumblings about Liam Kohne just not

579
00:27:00,840 --> 00:27:05,760
Speaker 1: being able to move on with Trevor Lawrence starts to

580
00:27:05,760 --> 00:27:09,879
Speaker 1: become a reality, is there a little bit of truth

581
00:27:10,560 --> 00:27:13,080
Speaker 1: in the memes? That's what I'm asking.

582
00:27:15,600 --> 00:27:17,600
Speaker 5: Again, It's just year one, so I just can't I

583
00:27:17,640 --> 00:27:21,000
Speaker 5: can't overact too much to it. Yeah, if Trevor Lawrence

584
00:27:21,040 --> 00:27:23,560
Speaker 5: doesn't grow and improve this offseason in this offense, and

585
00:27:23,560 --> 00:27:26,920
Speaker 5: next year he's still doing these mistakes, I could see

586
00:27:26,960 --> 00:27:31,040
Speaker 5: ownership taking Liam's side over Trevor lawrence side. Like they've

587
00:27:31,040 --> 00:27:34,800
Speaker 5: given Trevor enough time in years you've seen his offense.

588
00:27:34,840 --> 00:27:36,480
Speaker 5: It works in my opinion, like the run block and

589
00:27:36,480 --> 00:27:39,359
Speaker 5: all of it. I think the offensive scheme works. I

590
00:27:39,440 --> 00:27:41,399
Speaker 5: just don't know if the quarterback is the right piece.

591
00:27:42,160 --> 00:27:44,359
Speaker 2: I wonder if he'd rather have Mac Jones right.

592
00:27:44,200 --> 00:27:49,160
Speaker 3: Now, donate that got him on the cheat right.

593
00:27:49,359 --> 00:27:52,639
Speaker 1: He had him, they had him, and he left. Maybe

594
00:27:52,640 --> 00:27:57,080
Speaker 1: he'd be the better option for this offense. Hey, listen,

595
00:27:57,640 --> 00:28:00,480
Speaker 1: I'm talking about Mac Jones. He's a quarterback in the

596
00:28:00,600 --> 00:28:03,960
Speaker 1: NFC West. The two top teams in the NFC West

597
00:28:04,160 --> 00:28:07,760
Speaker 1: are the Seattle Seahawks and the Los Angeles Rams. Simon,

598
00:28:09,359 --> 00:28:12,040
Speaker 1: We're gonna have a deep conversation about this one because

599
00:28:12,520 --> 00:28:15,920
Speaker 1: the Los Angeles Rams are going to be our brass

600
00:28:16,280 --> 00:28:21,760
Speaker 1: balls Better the Week presented by hard Rock Bett.

601
00:28:21,800 --> 00:28:25,520
Speaker 5: You know what it takes brass balls there.

602
00:28:27,200 --> 00:28:31,280
Speaker 1: I know we had a long conversation on Tuesday about Seattle,

603
00:28:31,960 --> 00:28:34,280
Speaker 1: and I think we both have sort of come to

604
00:28:34,320 --> 00:28:36,400
Speaker 1: the conclusion that we like the Rams here.

605
00:28:36,720 --> 00:28:39,000
Speaker 2: For me, it was about some of the research I did.

606
00:28:39,200 --> 00:28:43,960
Speaker 1: On the matchups and the schemes despite seattle defensive prowess,

607
00:28:43,960 --> 00:28:46,800
Speaker 1: and how the Rams can take advantage of that. You

608
00:28:46,880 --> 00:28:48,680
Speaker 1: got a lot of blowback from the wise guys, and

609
00:28:48,720 --> 00:28:51,960
Speaker 1: this one might be I'm not going to say bullying.

610
00:28:51,600 --> 00:28:54,880
Speaker 2: You, but effectively debating.

611
00:28:54,400 --> 00:28:58,520
Speaker 1: You, positioning you, changing your mind, moving you off your opinion.

612
00:28:59,360 --> 00:29:01,800
Speaker 1: Tell me what you heard, why it change for you.

613
00:29:02,400 --> 00:29:05,320
Speaker 1: I will share with you some of what I've researched

614
00:29:05,400 --> 00:29:07,080
Speaker 1: and why it changed for me, But we both came

615
00:29:07,120 --> 00:29:08,760
Speaker 1: to that independently.

616
00:29:09,920 --> 00:29:12,120
Speaker 5: Yeah, I just honestly my model like Seattle and I

617
00:29:12,480 --> 00:29:14,200
Speaker 5: like Seat. Just the way they've been playing, I thought

618
00:29:14,200 --> 00:29:16,360
Speaker 5: this would be a great matchup for them, But like

619
00:29:16,400 --> 00:29:18,400
Speaker 5: you said, the more you dive into it, there's some weaknesses.

620
00:29:18,680 --> 00:29:21,680
Speaker 5: Let's see how defense that we know the Rams will exploit,

621
00:29:21,920 --> 00:29:25,560
Speaker 5: and it's a unique game in a matchup, and it's

622
00:29:25,760 --> 00:29:28,520
Speaker 5: it's I'm happy we have some strong opinions on it

623
00:29:28,640 --> 00:29:30,520
Speaker 5: because it is probably the best game of the week

624
00:29:30,600 --> 00:29:33,440
Speaker 5: And early in the week I was like, am I

625
00:29:33,440 --> 00:29:34,840
Speaker 5: really going to bet heavy on one side or the

626
00:29:34,880 --> 00:29:37,120
Speaker 5: other end this game? Because it's such two really good teams.

627
00:29:37,120 --> 00:29:40,920
Speaker 5: I mean, I think Evan had this amazing stat. It's

628
00:29:41,000 --> 00:29:44,760
Speaker 5: the first time in NFL history we've had two teams

629
00:29:45,320 --> 00:29:47,960
Speaker 5: matchup week ten or later that are both seventy seven

630
00:29:48,000 --> 00:29:52,440
Speaker 5: percent against the spread and straight up matched up this late.

631
00:29:53,000 --> 00:29:55,280
Speaker 5: So it's really unique where it's like two teams. Betters

632
00:29:55,280 --> 00:29:58,440
Speaker 5: have loved profit it off heavily this season. Got to

633
00:29:58,440 --> 00:30:01,520
Speaker 5: pick a spot. Now, I thought most books would be split.

634
00:30:01,600 --> 00:30:04,760
Speaker 5: It's honestly really heavy the money towards this Ram side,

635
00:30:04,840 --> 00:30:07,560
Speaker 5: and we've seen some three and a half spop up,

636
00:30:07,800 --> 00:30:10,000
Speaker 5: So if you do like the Rams, I would grab

637
00:30:10,040 --> 00:30:11,360
Speaker 5: it now. I do think it could get the three

638
00:30:11,400 --> 00:30:13,000
Speaker 5: and a half by game time, just because so much

639
00:30:13,000 --> 00:30:17,160
Speaker 5: professional money is coming to the Rams here. And it's

640
00:30:17,320 --> 00:30:22,080
Speaker 5: really about McVeigh. Right in his career against Seattle, he's

641
00:30:22,120 --> 00:30:24,640
Speaker 5: just done so well and it's we always saw these

642
00:30:24,680 --> 00:30:28,520
Speaker 5: divisional teams these matchups. Certain teams just know how to

643
00:30:28,560 --> 00:30:31,600
Speaker 5: play against certain defenses. And it doesn't matter that they

644
00:30:31,640 --> 00:30:34,920
Speaker 5: had a regime change for Seattle, he still owned them

645
00:30:34,960 --> 00:30:35,760
Speaker 5: since that change.

646
00:30:35,800 --> 00:30:36,800
Speaker 3: So just a.

647
00:30:36,840 --> 00:30:40,720
Speaker 5: McVeigh in his career twelve and five against the spread

648
00:30:41,040 --> 00:30:45,000
Speaker 5: against Seattle and since twenty nineteen he's eleven and two

649
00:30:45,040 --> 00:30:48,960
Speaker 5: against the spread. So just interesting. McVeigh has just dominated

650
00:30:48,960 --> 00:30:53,880
Speaker 5: this franchise for so long now. And with Stafford, I

651
00:30:53,960 --> 00:30:55,600
Speaker 5: was like, okay, is there a bump with the Stafford

652
00:30:55,600 --> 00:30:57,920
Speaker 5: because this is by far the best quarterback he's had.

653
00:30:57,960 --> 00:31:00,160
Speaker 5: In that run, He's five and oh straight up one

654
00:31:00,160 --> 00:31:02,760
Speaker 5: and one against the spread against Seattle, covering by them

655
00:31:02,800 --> 00:31:03,840
Speaker 5: with seven points per game.

656
00:31:03,960 --> 00:31:09,080
Speaker 3: So Staffords just dominated this matchup. And you know, I

657
00:31:09,760 --> 00:31:10,280
Speaker 3: agree with you.

658
00:31:10,360 --> 00:31:14,280
Speaker 5: I probably overrated this Seattle defense a little too much

659
00:31:14,280 --> 00:31:17,640
Speaker 5: because they really have not faced a juggernaut path of quarterbacks.

660
00:31:17,640 --> 00:31:19,680
Speaker 5: They've had an easy kind of go here. So I

661
00:31:19,680 --> 00:31:20,920
Speaker 5: think this will be a true test for them. And

662
00:31:20,960 --> 00:31:23,240
Speaker 5: we're getting a great number with the Rams team that's

663
00:31:23,280 --> 00:31:27,200
Speaker 5: just playing insanely well. One last amazing stat I saw

664
00:31:27,280 --> 00:31:27,920
Speaker 5: Evan post.

665
00:31:28,960 --> 00:31:29,240
Speaker 3: Again.

666
00:31:29,280 --> 00:31:32,080
Speaker 5: I love stupid stats like this because it's just when

667
00:31:32,120 --> 00:31:35,240
Speaker 5: you really look into it, it's actually pretty smart. Since

668
00:31:35,480 --> 00:31:38,880
Speaker 5: twenty twenty four, when the Rams have seven games and

669
00:31:38,880 --> 00:31:41,479
Speaker 5: they commit three penalties or less in those seven games,

670
00:31:41,880 --> 00:31:43,720
Speaker 5: the following game they were seven to zero against the

671
00:31:43,720 --> 00:31:46,520
Speaker 5: spread in that matchup, it's zero penalties last week.

672
00:31:46,840 --> 00:31:48,920
Speaker 2: Why is that smart though? What is that telling you?

673
00:31:49,040 --> 00:31:50,200
Speaker 2: What's the correlation there?

674
00:31:50,640 --> 00:31:53,560
Speaker 5: That they're just playing sound football, which is like you see,

675
00:31:53,560 --> 00:31:55,920
Speaker 5: all these other teams are super sloppy right now, Like

676
00:31:56,000 --> 00:31:59,200
Speaker 5: that we joke that Raiders game the Raiders had nine penalties.

677
00:31:59,240 --> 00:32:01,360
Speaker 5: You don't really win like that, especially when you only

678
00:32:01,400 --> 00:32:04,240
Speaker 5: score seven points. The flip side, the Rams are putting

679
00:32:04,280 --> 00:32:07,240
Speaker 5: up thirty five points and against a divisional opponent, Evan

680
00:32:07,360 --> 00:32:09,240
Speaker 5: zero penalties on the road.

681
00:32:09,440 --> 00:32:10,520
Speaker 3: That's just really impressive to me.

682
00:32:10,560 --> 00:32:13,560
Speaker 5: It just shows when McVeigh, you know, he gets these

683
00:32:13,560 --> 00:32:15,160
Speaker 5: guys playing at a high level and they're in sync

684
00:32:15,240 --> 00:32:17,760
Speaker 5: like this, they just keep it rolling. So I just

685
00:32:17,840 --> 00:32:19,560
Speaker 5: love that stack because just shows this team is just

686
00:32:19,680 --> 00:32:21,880
Speaker 5: polly In tuned right now with everything.

687
00:32:21,880 --> 00:32:23,520
Speaker 3: And you know, like we've been saying the.

688
00:32:23,560 --> 00:32:27,520
Speaker 5: Rams fluky fluky loss against that Eagles team, and you know,

689
00:32:28,080 --> 00:32:30,040
Speaker 5: they could easily be the number one seed right now NFC.

690
00:32:30,120 --> 00:32:31,440
Speaker 3: They've been playing like the best for sure.

691
00:32:32,240 --> 00:32:36,880
Speaker 1: So a couple other things to keep in mind. You

692
00:32:36,960 --> 00:32:40,400
Speaker 1: just mentioned the money coming in on on the Rams.

693
00:32:41,160 --> 00:32:44,520
Speaker 1: The public is all over Seattle like this is a

694
00:32:44,600 --> 00:32:48,360
Speaker 1: pros Joker game. It is a they are the public

695
00:32:48,440 --> 00:32:50,640
Speaker 1: dog here. That's number one.

696
00:32:50,720 --> 00:32:51,160
Speaker 2: Number two.

697
00:32:51,240 --> 00:32:56,080
Speaker 1: You mentioned some softness in the Seahawks defense where they

698
00:32:56,120 --> 00:32:58,520
Speaker 1: are worst, and they're not bad at much, but where

699
00:32:58,560 --> 00:33:02,080
Speaker 1: they are worst is defending against tight ends. And all

700
00:33:02,120 --> 00:33:05,040
Speaker 1: of a sudden, the Los Angeles Rams have become the

701
00:33:05,160 --> 00:33:09,440
Speaker 1: highest tight end usage team in the NFL. They're going

702
00:33:09,920 --> 00:33:14,040
Speaker 1: four deep sometimes on tight ends. So we've been seeing

703
00:33:14,080 --> 00:33:16,480
Speaker 1: that and it's super exciting to watch, but it's also

704
00:33:16,560 --> 00:33:19,840
Speaker 1: devastating if you've bet against the Rams. I don't want

705
00:33:19,840 --> 00:33:21,400
Speaker 1: to be on the other side of the Rams and

706
00:33:21,680 --> 00:33:25,480
Speaker 1: thirteen personnel and Matthew Stafford against a team that has

707
00:33:25,480 --> 00:33:28,560
Speaker 1: not been playing very well against tight ends and in

708
00:33:28,600 --> 00:33:31,640
Speaker 1: a game where something small like that is what the

709
00:33:31,640 --> 00:33:33,760
Speaker 1: difference is going to be, right, It's going to be,

710
00:33:34,600 --> 00:33:38,480
Speaker 1: you know, tied game weight. And the Rams have the

711
00:33:38,520 --> 00:33:42,040
Speaker 1: ball with ninety seconds left from their own twenty yard line,

712
00:33:42,080 --> 00:33:47,360
Speaker 1: and Matthew Stafford finds Parkinson down the scene for thirty five.

713
00:33:47,240 --> 00:33:48,720
Speaker 2: Yards and gets them into field goal range.

714
00:33:48,800 --> 00:33:52,320
Speaker 1: Like that could easily happen, and that could be that

715
00:33:52,360 --> 00:33:55,360
Speaker 1: weakness could be the difference in the game. And I

716
00:33:55,360 --> 00:33:56,960
Speaker 1: don't mind fading the public in this spot.

717
00:33:57,760 --> 00:33:58,040
Speaker 3: Agree.

718
00:33:58,080 --> 00:34:01,440
Speaker 5: And DeVante Adams not practice this week, but he got

719
00:34:01,480 --> 00:34:03,400
Speaker 5: interview and he basically said, like I'm gonna be out

720
00:34:03,400 --> 00:34:04,920
Speaker 5: there and be playing. I'm not going to miss this game,

721
00:34:05,000 --> 00:34:07,200
Speaker 5: So don't be worried. If Divided it doesn't practice all week.

722
00:34:07,240 --> 00:34:09,600
Speaker 5: I think you'll I'll still play, even I believe you

723
00:34:09,680 --> 00:34:11,520
Speaker 5: is a bad hip, but I believe you'll still play.

724
00:34:11,760 --> 00:34:15,239
Speaker 1: Los Angeles Rams Brass Balls Better than Week presented by

725
00:34:15,239 --> 00:34:21,399
Speaker 1: hard Rock Bet. Speaking of receivers who are injured and

726
00:34:21,560 --> 00:34:27,960
Speaker 1: their status being questionable or debated, The Samfisco forty nine

727
00:34:28,080 --> 00:34:32,360
Speaker 1: ers are at Arizona Arizona is a three point dog.

728
00:34:32,800 --> 00:34:35,880
Speaker 1: We liked Arizona on Tuesday. It was at two and

729
00:34:35,920 --> 00:34:38,279
Speaker 1: a half. We wanted it to get to three. It

730
00:34:38,360 --> 00:34:40,880
Speaker 1: did get to three. I don't know about you. I

731
00:34:41,000 --> 00:34:46,040
Speaker 1: bett did three. Marvin Harrison Junior is out with an appendectomy.

732
00:34:47,360 --> 00:34:49,360
Speaker 2: I don't think that matters to me. This is to me.

733
00:34:49,480 --> 00:34:53,160
Speaker 1: This is about Jacoby Brissett and Trey McBride, and we're

734
00:34:53,200 --> 00:34:56,080
Speaker 1: just talking about tight ends and a Niners defense that

735
00:34:56,560 --> 00:35:01,760
Speaker 1: cannot rush the passer right now has at the center

736
00:35:01,800 --> 00:35:06,160
Speaker 1: of its defense a new signal caller replacing Fred Wonner

737
00:35:06,160 --> 00:35:09,479
Speaker 1: who's played well. But it's still different when you're playing

738
00:35:09,480 --> 00:35:11,799
Speaker 1: against an all Pro tight end caliber tight end like

739
00:35:11,840 --> 00:35:12,600
Speaker 1: Trey McBride.

740
00:35:13,760 --> 00:35:14,360
Speaker 3: Yeah, I'm with you.

741
00:35:14,400 --> 00:35:16,680
Speaker 5: Other car knows it's another game though, just like a

742
00:35:16,760 --> 00:35:18,040
Speaker 5: Jags or I'm just betting this number.

743
00:35:18,080 --> 00:35:20,680
Speaker 3: I don't really feel that great about so you might

744
00:35:20,719 --> 00:35:23,200
Speaker 3: have more opinions on this one than me. I simply

745
00:35:23,239 --> 00:35:25,360
Speaker 3: just took this number number. Obviously.

746
00:35:25,680 --> 00:35:28,880
Speaker 5: Harris News sucks like that as much you want to

747
00:35:28,880 --> 00:35:31,919
Speaker 5: downplay it, he is their number one. He's a big,

748
00:35:31,960 --> 00:35:34,839
Speaker 5: big target who with Brissette seem like he's been playing

749
00:35:34,840 --> 00:35:37,960
Speaker 5: pretty well, so not ideal, but like you said, we're

750
00:35:38,000 --> 00:35:40,239
Speaker 5: just playing the number year in the matchup, and I

751
00:35:40,400 --> 00:35:42,960
Speaker 5: just I can't have this fur NiTi team catching more

752
00:35:42,960 --> 00:35:46,160
Speaker 5: than three points against anybody, let alone a divisional foe

753
00:35:46,200 --> 00:35:50,160
Speaker 5: that can move the ball offensively. Like you said, train wrecks.

754
00:35:50,160 --> 00:35:53,920
Speaker 5: Start to that game against Seattle. They fought, played well

755
00:35:54,040 --> 00:35:56,080
Speaker 5: throughout the game, and moved the ball pretty well. So

756
00:35:57,160 --> 00:36:00,120
Speaker 5: it's it's it's a good number, but man, is it's

757
00:36:00,120 --> 00:36:00,759
Speaker 5: a gross game.

758
00:36:01,520 --> 00:36:06,480
Speaker 1: Do you want to hear my ependectomy story?

759
00:36:06,560 --> 00:36:07,080
Speaker 3: Not really.

760
00:36:07,760 --> 00:36:09,000
Speaker 2: The story is about how.

761
00:36:10,600 --> 00:36:13,240
Speaker 1: I was trying to close the NFL preview at ESPN,

762
00:36:13,280 --> 00:36:17,919
Speaker 1: the magazine and I wasn't feeling well and for two

763
00:36:18,040 --> 00:36:23,319
Speaker 1: days I stayed in the office, barely leaving because my

764
00:36:23,440 --> 00:36:25,600
Speaker 1: boss at the time it was the first NFL preview

765
00:36:25,640 --> 00:36:29,640
Speaker 1: we were ever closing, and my boss was like, she

766
00:36:29,760 --> 00:36:32,440
Speaker 1: was like, you don't look good, but we really need you.

767
00:36:32,440 --> 00:36:34,279
Speaker 1: You're running this issue, we need you to be here

768
00:36:34,280 --> 00:36:38,480
Speaker 1: to close it. I under my desk. I had to

769
00:36:38,480 --> 00:36:42,319
Speaker 1: be removed and taken by ambulance to the hospital for

770
00:36:42,360 --> 00:36:48,400
Speaker 1: an emergency appandectomy, which I stayed in the hospital for

771
00:36:48,440 --> 00:36:49,160
Speaker 1: ten days after.

772
00:36:51,040 --> 00:36:51,799
Speaker 2: Did you not know this?

773
00:36:52,040 --> 00:36:52,239
Speaker 3: Yeah?

774
00:36:52,320 --> 00:36:54,840
Speaker 1: Because I was closing the NFL preview for ESPN the

775
00:36:54,840 --> 00:36:56,239
Speaker 1: magazine in nineteen ninety eight.

776
00:36:56,600 --> 00:36:58,760
Speaker 2: But here's the kicker. Here's the kicker.

777
00:37:00,200 --> 00:37:04,120
Speaker 1: After the surgery, we had like our reviews and my

778
00:37:04,200 --> 00:37:06,759
Speaker 1: boss at the time, who I ended up quitting esp

779
00:37:06,800 --> 00:37:09,319
Speaker 1: IN the magazine because I just could not stand her.

780
00:37:10,000 --> 00:37:12,799
Speaker 1: She was one of the worst people I've ever worked,

781
00:37:12,840 --> 00:37:17,840
Speaker 1: who was still to this day horrible boss. Stole every idea,

782
00:37:18,560 --> 00:37:22,919
Speaker 1: what would not like, give me any help with assignments,

783
00:37:23,360 --> 00:37:26,080
Speaker 1: did not try to grow me in any particular way.

784
00:37:26,920 --> 00:37:32,000
Speaker 1: In my review that year, she gave me the equivalent

785
00:37:32,080 --> 00:37:39,399
Speaker 1: of a check minus in Disney grading rules for attendance,

786
00:37:39,640 --> 00:37:44,160
Speaker 1: essentially at work. And I'm like, what do you mean.

787
00:37:45,040 --> 00:37:47,319
Speaker 1: She goes, well, you know you were gone for two

788
00:37:47,400 --> 00:37:52,400
Speaker 1: weeks in June. I'm like, that was my honeymoon. I

789
00:37:52,440 --> 00:37:54,680
Speaker 1: just started four weeks earlier and everyone knew I was

790
00:37:54,680 --> 00:37:57,160
Speaker 1: getting married. She's like, and then there was that time

791
00:37:57,280 --> 00:38:00,279
Speaker 1: like in September where you were gone for like two

792
00:38:00,320 --> 00:38:03,799
Speaker 1: and a half weeks. I'm like, when I had when

793
00:38:03,800 --> 00:38:05,880
Speaker 1: an ambulance came and took me out because I had

794
00:38:05,920 --> 00:38:13,040
Speaker 1: an emergency appendectomy. The point of the story, Simon, I

795
00:38:13,080 --> 00:38:13,839
Speaker 1: played through it.

796
00:38:15,400 --> 00:38:19,680
Speaker 3: Did you. It seems like the appendix one. I closed it,

797
00:38:19,680 --> 00:38:20,880
Speaker 3: put you down for ten days.

798
00:38:21,080 --> 00:38:23,800
Speaker 2: I closed the issue. The point was, I closed the issue.

799
00:38:24,880 --> 00:38:25,120
Speaker 3: We had.

800
00:38:26,360 --> 00:38:28,080
Speaker 5: I had a buddy with it, basically the same thing,

801
00:38:28,120 --> 00:38:30,279
Speaker 5: but unlike you, he was. It was college and he's

802
00:38:30,320 --> 00:38:32,840
Speaker 5: boozing drinking. He goes, I think something's wrong. Is the

803
00:38:32,960 --> 00:38:35,560
Speaker 5: same thing where it's like right down, like above the crotch,

804
00:38:36,080 --> 00:38:37,320
Speaker 5: like below the stomach kind.

805
00:38:37,160 --> 00:38:38,560
Speaker 2: Of yeah, yeah, yeah, yeah.

806
00:38:38,320 --> 00:38:40,760
Speaker 5: So basically the same thing as you where you probably

807
00:38:40,760 --> 00:38:43,240
Speaker 5: have like a sharp pain in that area. Yeah, And

808
00:38:43,320 --> 00:38:45,960
Speaker 5: he can't He basically couldn't stand up right a part.

809
00:38:46,000 --> 00:38:46,799
Speaker 3: He says, he can't stand up.

810
00:38:46,840 --> 00:38:48,719
Speaker 5: He said, so much pain, And I go, dude, you

811
00:38:48,760 --> 00:38:50,600
Speaker 5: should go to a hospital if you're in that much pain.

812
00:38:51,000 --> 00:38:53,360
Speaker 5: He goes, but I feel fine sitting here. It's just

813
00:38:53,360 --> 00:38:56,080
Speaker 5: when I stand up, I can't stand up. And I

814
00:38:56,160 --> 00:38:58,480
Speaker 5: basically buddy put him on his shoulder and carried him

815
00:38:58,480 --> 00:39:00,799
Speaker 5: down the street to a look doctor took.

816
00:39:01,680 --> 00:39:04,040
Speaker 2: It doesn't sound like he was so committed to his job.

817
00:39:04,080 --> 00:39:06,480
Speaker 1: He stayed at the office for two days in agony

818
00:39:06,520 --> 00:39:08,280
Speaker 1: to close the NFL preview issue.

819
00:39:08,480 --> 00:39:10,560
Speaker 2: We haven't even really talked about the time.

820
00:39:10,360 --> 00:39:14,520
Speaker 1: That I wrote a cover story for ESPN the magazine,

821
00:39:14,800 --> 00:39:17,800
Speaker 1: Uh after I had broken my back in a cab accident.

822
00:39:18,680 --> 00:39:20,359
Speaker 2: Next time, we'll get to that one.

823
00:39:20,440 --> 00:39:26,520
Speaker 1: Yes, Baltimore at Cleveland, this one was change choice when

824
00:39:26,520 --> 00:39:28,319
Speaker 1: it was eight and a half. The number of hard

825
00:39:28,360 --> 00:39:30,200
Speaker 1: rock is now down to seven and a half. You

826
00:39:30,280 --> 00:39:33,719
Speaker 1: mentioned there's some lingering news or issue news about a

827
00:39:33,840 --> 00:39:36,719
Speaker 1: knee issue with Lamar Jackson, But we were all over

828
00:39:36,760 --> 00:39:41,719
Speaker 1: this before. I'm glad here that the wise guys are

829
00:39:41,760 --> 00:39:43,799
Speaker 1: into it too. Give me some feedback on what they

830
00:39:43,800 --> 00:39:46,080
Speaker 1: were telling you. I have some thoughts on a very

831
00:39:46,080 --> 00:39:48,439
Speaker 1: specific point that you and I discussed about this game

832
00:39:49,080 --> 00:39:50,719
Speaker 1: the other day. But tell me what the wise guys

833
00:39:50,719 --> 00:39:53,400
Speaker 1: were telling you and how you're feeling about this forty

834
00:39:53,840 --> 00:39:55,000
Speaker 1: for forty eight hours later.

835
00:39:55,680 --> 00:39:57,080
Speaker 5: Well, like I said, it feels like not that we

836
00:39:57,120 --> 00:39:58,600
Speaker 5: locked into it, but it should. The spot we both

837
00:39:58,680 --> 00:40:00,919
Speaker 5: loved were they. I feel like most of them knew

838
00:40:01,000 --> 00:40:02,799
Speaker 5: something was up with Lamar, that he was a little

839
00:40:02,800 --> 00:40:04,760
Speaker 5: banged up from that game, and they were taking position

840
00:40:04,800 --> 00:40:06,760
Speaker 5: on it because ifyew of it. If you're already getting

841
00:40:06,760 --> 00:40:09,480
Speaker 5: a bank of Lamore and he does play, you're handicapping

842
00:40:09,520 --> 00:40:11,120
Speaker 5: him because he's not gonna have the same Russian ability

843
00:40:11,120 --> 00:40:13,160
Speaker 5: against one of the best defensive lines in all football.

844
00:40:13,239 --> 00:40:15,799
Speaker 5: So the early line move as a shocked. I am

845
00:40:15,840 --> 00:40:17,600
Speaker 5: shocked though it has stuck at seven and a half.

846
00:40:17,719 --> 00:40:20,680
Speaker 5: I thought this would be just like that Houston Tennessee

847
00:40:20,680 --> 00:40:22,520
Speaker 5: linehere the book would head a little bit right, move

848
00:40:22,560 --> 00:40:24,960
Speaker 5: it down to seven, maybe six and a half, just

849
00:40:25,040 --> 00:40:27,600
Speaker 5: in case Lamar is out in this game. So they

850
00:40:27,680 --> 00:40:30,520
Speaker 5: must must be pretty positive confident that Lamar does play,

851
00:40:30,520 --> 00:40:33,240
Speaker 5: which I don't know how you can trust the Ravens

852
00:40:33,320 --> 00:40:36,040
Speaker 5: right now, Like I just anything hardball says to me.

853
00:40:36,120 --> 00:40:37,400
Speaker 3: It's just I don't.

854
00:40:37,160 --> 00:40:39,919
Speaker 5: Believe any of it now, Like I'll believe it come

855
00:40:39,960 --> 00:40:43,480
Speaker 5: Friday practice if he's with the first team, and you

856
00:40:43,520 --> 00:40:47,719
Speaker 5: know that's reported by reporters, not the team itself. So yeah,

857
00:40:47,760 --> 00:40:51,640
Speaker 5: it's I'm so glad we got the early line on Cleveland,

858
00:40:51,680 --> 00:40:54,080
Speaker 5: but it's it's a tough game to try to handicap

859
00:40:54,120 --> 00:40:56,120
Speaker 5: now because we really don't know if it's obviously if

860
00:40:56,160 --> 00:40:59,400
Speaker 5: it's not Lamar, I mean, we're elated. I would tell

861
00:40:59,400 --> 00:41:01,120
Speaker 5: people to bet now if you really think that. But

862
00:41:01,239 --> 00:41:04,200
Speaker 5: I do think Wamar plays. I just he's such a competitor.

863
00:41:04,239 --> 00:41:06,680
Speaker 5: He's missed so much time. I just unless he's really

864
00:41:06,719 --> 00:41:09,520
Speaker 5: really banged up and he can't move, I can't see

865
00:41:09,560 --> 00:41:10,279
Speaker 5: him missing this one.

866
00:41:10,320 --> 00:41:12,600
Speaker 3: But for us, I wanted to play like I banged

867
00:41:12,680 --> 00:41:13,160
Speaker 3: up Lamar.

868
00:41:14,360 --> 00:41:17,239
Speaker 5: I mean it's it's a great, great matchup for Miles

869
00:41:17,320 --> 00:41:20,439
Speaker 5: Garrett and the boys and just dive into this game more.

870
00:41:21,080 --> 00:41:23,239
Speaker 5: We talked a little bit about it. It's I'm not

871
00:41:23,280 --> 00:41:25,319
Speaker 5: putting so much faith in Dylan Gabriel. I still think

872
00:41:25,360 --> 00:41:28,080
Speaker 5: he's got issues, but I do think this cleand team

873
00:41:28,080 --> 00:41:30,399
Speaker 5: better run the ball against his Ravens team. I don't

874
00:41:30,400 --> 00:41:32,879
Speaker 5: think has fixed all of their issues. So yeah, still

875
00:41:32,880 --> 00:41:36,480
Speaker 5: love the numbers, still love the matchup. It's just what

876
00:41:36,600 --> 00:41:39,239
Speaker 5: will this number end up being. Hopefully people grabbed the eight

877
00:41:39,200 --> 00:41:40,719
Speaker 5: and a half when he gave it out.

878
00:41:41,400 --> 00:41:43,120
Speaker 2: How do you feel about betting it at seven and

879
00:41:43,160 --> 00:41:43,520
Speaker 2: a half?

880
00:41:44,120 --> 00:41:46,160
Speaker 3: I still bet it, just because it's just the unknown

881
00:41:46,160 --> 00:41:46,560
Speaker 3: of Lamar.

882
00:41:46,600 --> 00:41:48,239
Speaker 5: I'm just I don't want people to go too crazy.

883
00:41:48,239 --> 00:41:50,879
Speaker 5: Because he does come back, this will definitely get back

884
00:41:50,920 --> 00:41:52,799
Speaker 5: to eight. I think eight and a half. Unless the

885
00:41:52,840 --> 00:41:56,919
Speaker 5: professionals really keep this down, I can't see it happens.

886
00:41:56,920 --> 00:41:58,840
Speaker 5: It's just gonna be so much public money on this

887
00:41:58,960 --> 00:42:01,839
Speaker 5: Ravens team. They're just one of the most belove teams

888
00:42:01,880 --> 00:42:03,760
Speaker 5: of football right now, especially by the betting and public.

889
00:42:03,760 --> 00:42:06,080
Speaker 5: They've just exactly what everyone predicted it to happen with

890
00:42:06,120 --> 00:42:08,840
Speaker 5: them has happened Lamar even before he came back in

891
00:42:08,880 --> 00:42:10,960
Speaker 5: with the backup, they've won it covered. It feels like

892
00:42:10,960 --> 00:42:13,440
Speaker 5: three games in a row here and they've totally flipped

893
00:42:13,440 --> 00:42:15,480
Speaker 5: that division with a losing record, They're the big odds

894
00:42:15,480 --> 00:42:19,239
Speaker 5: on favorite win that division. So it's just I don't

895
00:42:19,239 --> 00:42:21,240
Speaker 5: want people put us too much here into this number,

896
00:42:21,360 --> 00:42:23,920
Speaker 5: just in case he does come back. But how can

897
00:42:23,920 --> 00:42:25,400
Speaker 5: you that throw a little on if you didn't mistay

898
00:42:25,400 --> 00:42:26,600
Speaker 5: and a half. They're a little here on the seven

899
00:42:26,640 --> 00:42:28,520
Speaker 5: and a half on this Browns team, just in case

900
00:42:28,719 --> 00:42:30,359
Speaker 5: it has known little more and this does move by

901
00:42:30,360 --> 00:42:31,560
Speaker 5: another three or four points.

902
00:42:32,120 --> 00:42:34,160
Speaker 1: We talked the other day about how much better the

903
00:42:34,160 --> 00:42:36,719
Speaker 1: Browns are at home than on the road, so I

904
00:42:36,760 --> 00:42:41,239
Speaker 1: did do a little research on it. The Browns at

905
00:42:41,239 --> 00:42:43,439
Speaker 1: home since the beginning of last season, when we really

906
00:42:43,480 --> 00:42:47,359
Speaker 1: started to notice this trend, give up twenty points per

907
00:42:47,400 --> 00:42:50,200
Speaker 1: game at home twenty nine points per game on the roads,

908
00:42:50,200 --> 00:42:52,839
Speaker 1: with thirty percent less at home. They also give up

909
00:42:52,880 --> 00:42:57,279
Speaker 1: thirty percent fewer rushing yards at home than on the road,

910
00:42:57,400 --> 00:42:59,560
Speaker 1: ninety five versus one hundred and thirty nine. They also

911
00:42:59,600 --> 00:43:02,799
Speaker 1: give up like ten percent for your passing yards. But

912
00:43:02,960 --> 00:43:05,080
Speaker 1: being at home does make a difference, you know, we

913
00:43:05,120 --> 00:43:06,880
Speaker 1: talked about all the time. It could be the grass.

914
00:43:06,880 --> 00:43:09,600
Speaker 1: It's obviously there's nuances, a plant of the will. The

915
00:43:09,600 --> 00:43:14,000
Speaker 1: weather certainly makes a difference. I also think, like the noise,

916
00:43:14,239 --> 00:43:17,359
Speaker 1: those fans are still rabid, and I think the dove

917
00:43:17,360 --> 00:43:20,320
Speaker 1: pound matters. I just do like that it makes a

918
00:43:20,320 --> 00:43:22,120
Speaker 1: difference for that team, and I think the fans know

919
00:43:22,200 --> 00:43:26,160
Speaker 1: it so the I like the Browns. They were shots choice.

920
00:43:26,160 --> 00:43:28,880
Speaker 1: Presented by hard Rock Bets. Speaking of what's to a

921
00:43:28,960 --> 00:43:32,960
Speaker 1: quick message from our friends at hard Rock Bet, today's

922
00:43:32,960 --> 00:43:35,120
Speaker 1: show is brought to you by our new presenting sponsor,

923
00:43:35,239 --> 00:43:38,279
Speaker 1: hard Rock Bet. It's that time of year when every

924
00:43:38,320 --> 00:43:40,319
Speaker 1: day feels like a big game day.

925
00:43:40,320 --> 00:43:43,719
Speaker 2: You've got Pro football, college football, NBA, college hoops.

926
00:43:43,400 --> 00:43:45,600
Speaker 1: Hockey, it's all happening, and on hard Rock Bet, there's

927
00:43:45,640 --> 00:43:48,279
Speaker 1: always something to bet on. If you haven't tried your

928
00:43:48,280 --> 00:43:51,359
Speaker 1: first bet on hard Rock Bet yet, there's still time

929
00:43:51,360 --> 00:43:52,840
Speaker 1: for you to get one hundred and fifty dollars in

930
00:43:52,880 --> 00:43:55,480
Speaker 1: bonus bets. If you win, just place a five dollar

931
00:43:55,560 --> 00:43:58,000
Speaker 1: bet and if it hits you get not only your winnings,

932
00:43:58,000 --> 00:44:00,760
Speaker 1: but one hundred and fifty dollars in extra bonus bets.

933
00:44:01,000 --> 00:44:03,080
Speaker 1: And if you're not sure what to place your first

934
00:44:03,080 --> 00:44:06,920
Speaker 1: bet on, check out the hard rock Beat Stats Hub.

935
00:44:07,160 --> 00:44:10,360
Speaker 1: It's loaded with trends, streaks, and stats to help guide

936
00:44:10,360 --> 00:44:13,440
Speaker 1: your picks. Numbers don't lie, and neither does the data

937
00:44:13,560 --> 00:44:16,640
Speaker 1: in there. Here's one that stood out to me. Green

938
00:44:16,680 --> 00:44:19,520
Speaker 1: Bay's Josh Jacobs has scored a touchdown in thirteen straight

939
00:44:19,600 --> 00:44:22,560
Speaker 1: games against NFC opponents. Check out the stats hub now

940
00:44:22,600 --> 00:44:25,120
Speaker 1: get the edge and bet with confidence. The hard rock

941
00:44:25,239 --> 00:44:29,600
Speaker 1: Bet sports book app is the only legal sports book

942
00:44:29,960 --> 00:44:34,160
Speaker 1: for whenever you're in Florida, and it's also live in Arizona, Ohio,

943
00:44:34,280 --> 00:44:38,439
Speaker 1: New Jersey, Indiana, Tennessee, Virginia, Illinois, and Colorado, coming soon

944
00:44:38,560 --> 00:44:42,839
Speaker 1: to more states two plus. Hard rock Bet offers new

945
00:44:42,880 --> 00:44:45,760
Speaker 1: promos every single day, so whenever you're listening, just open

946
00:44:45,760 --> 00:44:47,799
Speaker 1: the app and check out what you've got. Any day

947
00:44:47,800 --> 00:44:51,120
Speaker 1: of the week. Download the hard rock Bet app and

948
00:44:51,120 --> 00:44:54,959
Speaker 1: make your first deposit payable in bonus bets.

949
00:44:54,680 --> 00:44:57,680
Speaker 2: Not a cash off. Or offered by the Seminole tribe

950
00:44:57,680 --> 00:44:58,240
Speaker 2: of Florida.

951
00:44:58,280 --> 00:45:01,680
Speaker 1: In Florida, offered by some the hard rock digital else

952
00:45:01,880 --> 00:45:04,200
Speaker 1: in all other states. Must be twenty one and over

953
00:45:04,280 --> 00:45:09,080
Speaker 1: and physically present in Arizona, Colorado, Florida, Illinois, Indiana, New Jersey, Ohio, Tennessee,

954
00:45:09,160 --> 00:45:12,399
Speaker 1: or Virginia to play. Terms and conditions apply. Concerned about

955
00:45:12,440 --> 00:45:17,080
Speaker 1: gambling in Florida called one eight three three playwise in Indiana,

956
00:45:17,280 --> 00:45:19,280
Speaker 1: if you or someone you know as a gambling problem

957
00:45:19,280 --> 00:45:20,960
Speaker 1: and wants help, call one eight hundred and nine with

958
00:45:21,000 --> 00:45:25,080
Speaker 1: it gambling problem called one eight hundred gambler on Arizona, Colorado, Illinous,

959
00:45:25,120 --> 00:45:30,520
Speaker 1: New Jersey, Ohio, Tennessee, or Virginia. All right, Kansas City

960
00:45:30,560 --> 00:45:32,120
Speaker 1: at Denver. Denver is now three and a half a

961
00:45:32,200 --> 00:45:34,120
Speaker 1: hard rock There's still a bunch of fours out there

962
00:45:34,640 --> 00:45:40,319
Speaker 1: as well. This was almost almost your Simon says.

963
00:45:41,000 --> 00:45:43,760
Speaker 2: We heard about it on sharp Calls. JK.

964
00:45:43,920 --> 00:45:46,719
Speaker 1: Dobbins. Probably not planned because of a foot injury. He

965
00:45:46,760 --> 00:45:49,359
Speaker 1: may end up going on injured Reserve. They've been very

966
00:45:49,440 --> 00:45:54,600
Speaker 1: mom about it. Are you still there?

967
00:45:54,640 --> 00:45:55,600
Speaker 3: Still on it?

968
00:45:55,920 --> 00:45:58,560
Speaker 5: I'm definitely leaking a little confidence here because I thought

969
00:45:58,600 --> 00:46:01,600
Speaker 5: this would be all pros on this Broncos team. But

970
00:46:01,640 --> 00:46:03,680
Speaker 5: I just don't think guys trust bow Knicks.

971
00:46:04,280 --> 00:46:05,560
Speaker 2: But it's either.

972
00:46:06,440 --> 00:46:09,239
Speaker 5: Yeah, I mean that's fair. He's just he's regressed in

973
00:46:09,239 --> 00:46:12,680
Speaker 5: a lot of ways. But I'm glad I saw a

974
00:46:12,719 --> 00:46:15,280
Speaker 5: good Champayton stat that gives me a little confidence at least.

975
00:46:15,480 --> 00:46:16,640
Speaker 3: Uh, this is a good.

976
00:46:16,840 --> 00:46:20,720
Speaker 5: Champ Payton game where basically, if his teams only convert

977
00:46:20,840 --> 00:46:24,720
Speaker 5: one red zone trip in two consecutive games in his career,

978
00:46:25,719 --> 00:46:28,120
Speaker 5: they are fourteen and two straight up in that third

979
00:46:28,160 --> 00:46:31,040
Speaker 5: game five and one against the spread in his career.

980
00:46:31,600 --> 00:46:34,840
Speaker 3: So take what you want from that. It's it really looks.

981
00:46:34,680 --> 00:46:36,319
Speaker 5: Like it's the type of thing where he just gets

982
00:46:36,320 --> 00:46:39,960
Speaker 5: his offenses to bounce back and situationally after you know

983
00:46:40,160 --> 00:46:41,960
Speaker 5: it's been a rough go. Like I'll be the first

984
00:46:42,000 --> 00:46:44,440
Speaker 5: of him at this that Denver's game was atrocious. They

985
00:46:44,440 --> 00:46:47,080
Speaker 5: should have won that game by twenty points or more,

986
00:46:47,560 --> 00:46:49,920
Speaker 5: and just Bonicks gave him nothing and they didn't trust him,

987
00:46:49,960 --> 00:46:52,319
Speaker 5: Like they just were not letting them throw at certain

988
00:46:52,320 --> 00:46:53,960
Speaker 5: points because they just did not trust to putting the

989
00:46:53,960 --> 00:46:54,759
Speaker 5: ball downfield.

990
00:46:54,840 --> 00:46:58,360
Speaker 3: So you know, this is just an interesting spot.

991
00:46:58,440 --> 00:47:00,960
Speaker 5: So just like the fact in the last decade, you know,

992
00:47:01,120 --> 00:47:03,160
Speaker 5: Champagne seven to zero in the spot with the Broncos

993
00:47:03,239 --> 00:47:05,080
Speaker 5: used two and zero straight up and against the spread

994
00:47:05,080 --> 00:47:07,480
Speaker 5: in this exact spot where he's basically had a really

995
00:47:07,520 --> 00:47:09,680
Speaker 5: struggling offense and they bounced back in these games.

996
00:47:09,680 --> 00:47:11,360
Speaker 3: So I don't know about you.

997
00:47:11,440 --> 00:47:13,840
Speaker 5: It's just the Mahomes factor, because Mahomes, just I looked at,

998
00:47:13,960 --> 00:47:17,640
Speaker 5: historically dominates the Broncos in these games. He's been just

999
00:47:18,239 --> 00:47:21,719
Speaker 5: great divisionally on the road. But I just I can't

1000
00:47:21,760 --> 00:47:23,520
Speaker 5: get to the fact how bad the Broncos have been

1001
00:47:23,560 --> 00:47:25,960
Speaker 5: his whole career he's been on the chief So it's like,

1002
00:47:26,120 --> 00:47:29,240
Speaker 5: I know, Bonnicks is no different those quarterbacks. I'm maybe

1003
00:47:29,280 --> 00:47:32,600
Speaker 5: I'm overrating him still too much, But it just feels

1004
00:47:32,640 --> 00:47:34,560
Speaker 5: like a lot of points for this this Chiefs team

1005
00:47:34,600 --> 00:47:38,320
Speaker 5: going against a really good defense where I.

1006
00:47:37,600 --> 00:47:39,520
Speaker 3: Have some questions still about this Chiefs defense.

1007
00:47:39,520 --> 00:47:41,719
Speaker 5: There's still some ways I think they have holes that

1008
00:47:41,800 --> 00:47:44,840
Speaker 5: teams have exploited, and the biggest one to be passing

1009
00:47:44,920 --> 00:47:48,080
Speaker 5: downfield against them. So I know, I just that's why

1010
00:47:48,080 --> 00:47:49,440
Speaker 5: I didn't make it sense. I just don't want to make

1011
00:47:49,440 --> 00:47:52,080
Speaker 5: people invest once again in this Broncos team. I have

1012
00:47:52,160 --> 00:47:54,239
Speaker 5: some other gross dogs I like better than this one,

1013
00:47:54,280 --> 00:47:56,720
Speaker 5: but I'm on it. I've taken a pretty large position

1014
00:47:56,760 --> 00:47:59,239
Speaker 5: on it at this point, but maybe I'll temperate as

1015
00:47:59,239 --> 00:48:00,839
Speaker 5: we head into the weekend. I won't be put too

1016
00:48:00,880 --> 00:48:03,719
Speaker 5: much in because just thought of Bonix as making me sick.

1017
00:48:04,080 --> 00:48:08,360
Speaker 1: Yeah, I feel like every time Bonnicks starts, he's so

1018
00:48:08,600 --> 00:48:11,280
Speaker 1: amped up he could throw the ball through a wall.

1019
00:48:11,320 --> 00:48:14,800
Speaker 1: And they missed so many opportunities in those first fifteen

1020
00:48:14,840 --> 00:48:17,560
Speaker 1: scripted where Sean Payton and a lot of coaches are

1021
00:48:17,600 --> 00:48:21,239
Speaker 1: at their best and it's usually calming for most quarterbacks,

1022
00:48:21,239 --> 00:48:25,759
Speaker 1: and BONNICKX look like he's ready to jump out of

1023
00:48:25,760 --> 00:48:33,120
Speaker 1: the stadium. And I also worry this defense without Pat

1024
00:48:33,160 --> 00:48:37,360
Speaker 1: Certain against the Chiefs, that's a different kind of test

1025
00:48:37,520 --> 00:48:40,920
Speaker 1: that they haven't really had since Certain was out, and

1026
00:48:41,000 --> 00:48:45,920
Speaker 1: so it's a much more difficult proposition for them. We

1027
00:48:46,000 --> 00:48:48,759
Speaker 1: don't love betting the Homes as a favorite of more

1028
00:48:48,800 --> 00:48:50,080
Speaker 1: than three. I get it.

1029
00:48:51,000 --> 00:48:53,200
Speaker 2: I like Peyton in this spot. I get it.

1030
00:48:53,840 --> 00:48:55,359
Speaker 5: You should say that it is Chiefs off of Bye,

1031
00:48:55,360 --> 00:48:56,640
Speaker 5: which we have in the past.

1032
00:48:56,920 --> 00:49:00,359
Speaker 3: We just automatically bet it, right, But true, I.

1033
00:49:00,280 --> 00:49:03,080
Speaker 1: Know I'm not gonna lie to you. I'm not bought

1034
00:49:03,120 --> 00:49:04,879
Speaker 1: in on Denver at all here. I have not been

1035
00:49:05,600 --> 00:49:07,680
Speaker 1: even the other day when you know it's at four

1036
00:49:07,760 --> 00:49:08,799
Speaker 1: and you're hammering it and.

1037
00:49:09,080 --> 00:49:11,280
Speaker 3: Can give you some defensive stats that might help a little.

1038
00:49:11,600 --> 00:49:12,439
Speaker 2: Okay, that's here.

1039
00:49:14,880 --> 00:49:16,360
Speaker 5: It's just like it's like I'm trying to find a

1040
00:49:16,480 --> 00:49:19,400
Speaker 5: reason there because I just it's just this number.

1041
00:49:19,480 --> 00:49:24,360
Speaker 3: I just can't get over it. But defensive reason defense.

1042
00:49:24,400 --> 00:49:27,040
Speaker 5: So they have forty plus sacks and this season they're

1043
00:49:27,040 --> 00:49:29,919
Speaker 5: holding opponents on third down to less than three percent

1044
00:49:30,040 --> 00:49:32,960
Speaker 5: conversion rate. They're the only defense to do that since

1045
00:49:33,040 --> 00:49:35,280
Speaker 5: nineteen ninety other than the two thousand Bucks.

1046
00:49:35,719 --> 00:49:40,040
Speaker 3: Remember that team, right, So it's like covered that Super

1047
00:49:40,040 --> 00:49:42,960
Speaker 3: Bowl nice, Yeah, it was a sick one. I just

1048
00:49:43,080 --> 00:49:43,640
Speaker 3: I look at this.

1049
00:49:43,800 --> 00:49:46,960
Speaker 5: I'm just maybe I'm betting the defense here, like that

1050
00:49:47,080 --> 00:49:49,399
Speaker 5: Houston game, and I got to stop thinking about bow knicks.

1051
00:49:49,480 --> 00:49:51,360
Speaker 5: But we're gonna need him to make plays. That's the

1052
00:49:51,400 --> 00:49:52,960
Speaker 5: hardest part here. It's like you're gonna need them to

1053
00:49:53,000 --> 00:49:56,200
Speaker 5: show up. It's just brutal, brutal reals. So yeah, I

1054
00:49:56,200 --> 00:49:57,600
Speaker 5: don't know if ial fortunate to be one of our

1055
00:49:57,640 --> 00:49:59,359
Speaker 5: fives this week. If I'm really gonna be like Chad,

1056
00:49:59,400 --> 00:50:01,200
Speaker 5: you gotta make guy take this one.

1057
00:50:02,200 --> 00:50:03,040
Speaker 3: If it was four and a half.

1058
00:50:03,080 --> 00:50:05,080
Speaker 5: I probably could have got you there, But like you said,

1059
00:50:05,120 --> 00:50:06,719
Speaker 5: the fours have comeback down. The three and a half

1060
00:50:06,760 --> 00:50:08,400
Speaker 5: feels like it's going to be out. So I do

1061
00:50:08,560 --> 00:50:10,520
Speaker 5: like the Broncos, but there's other dogs I like better.

1062
00:50:10,560 --> 00:50:16,799
Speaker 1: This week Detroit at Philadelphia. You turned me around on this.

1063
00:50:17,760 --> 00:50:18,479
Speaker 2: The other day.

1064
00:50:19,080 --> 00:50:21,360
Speaker 1: I bet the Eagles at two and a half. That

1065
00:50:21,480 --> 00:50:23,239
Speaker 1: is where the number is right now. It's not the

1066
00:50:23,239 --> 00:50:25,600
Speaker 1: best of the number, but it's still below three. I

1067
00:50:25,640 --> 00:50:26,399
Speaker 1: still liked it.

1068
00:50:26,960 --> 00:50:29,440
Speaker 2: I reran my model, because you know, I got a model.

1069
00:50:29,440 --> 00:50:31,200
Speaker 1: I worked on it during the off season with my

1070
00:50:31,360 --> 00:50:37,440
Speaker 1: intern from Harvard's stats department, not even kidding. And I think,

1071
00:50:37,520 --> 00:50:41,080
Speaker 1: if you can give me a good team that came

1072
00:50:41,120 --> 00:50:44,719
Speaker 1: off of a tight win against a good team that

1073
00:50:44,880 --> 00:50:47,640
Speaker 1: just had a big win, I'm still going to get

1074
00:50:47,719 --> 00:50:49,160
Speaker 1: value on the good team off.

1075
00:50:49,080 --> 00:50:51,799
Speaker 2: Of the tight win. So I started to come around

1076
00:50:51,840 --> 00:50:52,600
Speaker 2: on the Eagles.

1077
00:50:53,520 --> 00:50:56,560
Speaker 1: You're saying from the wise guys that it seemed like

1078
00:50:56,640 --> 00:50:59,799
Speaker 1: it was split, but you kinda had me buy into

1079
00:50:59,840 --> 00:51:01,960
Speaker 1: the Eagles the other day when I think I was

1080
00:51:02,000 --> 00:51:03,480
Speaker 1: starting to lean towards the Lions.

1081
00:51:04,640 --> 00:51:04,920
Speaker 3: Yeah.

1082
00:51:05,320 --> 00:51:07,560
Speaker 5: I the hesitation, I feel like is a lot of

1083
00:51:07,600 --> 00:51:09,600
Speaker 5: the why Gus you are taking positions on the Lions because

1084
00:51:09,640 --> 00:51:13,360
Speaker 5: of all those crazy numbers and trends about golf in

1085
00:51:13,440 --> 00:51:15,440
Speaker 5: prime time at night and how good himmc.

1086
00:51:15,440 --> 00:51:17,040
Speaker 3: Cambell have been covered. They're like covering machines.

1087
00:51:17,040 --> 00:51:19,239
Speaker 5: I think they're like sure, something like twenty five minute

1088
00:51:19,280 --> 00:51:22,240
Speaker 5: against the spread. It's just something insane in these night games.

1089
00:51:22,239 --> 00:51:24,200
Speaker 5: And then you factor in a stat we gave it

1090
00:51:24,239 --> 00:51:25,960
Speaker 5: ear in the year, right when they blow teams out,

1091
00:51:26,560 --> 00:51:28,760
Speaker 5: they cover at an insane rate. They're like a seventy

1092
00:51:28,760 --> 00:51:31,120
Speaker 5: percent cover rate after they win by seven points or

1093
00:51:31,120 --> 00:51:33,719
Speaker 5: more the following game. So we know all this, we

1094
00:51:33,800 --> 00:51:35,879
Speaker 5: know what we're walking through. This is a really good team,

1095
00:51:35,920 --> 00:51:38,319
Speaker 5: the Lions. Like we said, it's about the number, so

1096
00:51:39,160 --> 00:51:41,799
Speaker 5: still like it. I mean we talked on Tuesday. Was

1097
00:51:41,880 --> 00:51:43,799
Speaker 5: there was a couple one and a halfs out there. Yeah,

1098
00:51:43,840 --> 00:51:45,400
Speaker 5: it's like as soon as the show was posted, they

1099
00:51:45,400 --> 00:51:47,320
Speaker 5: were gone. Right, that got immediately up to two and

1100
00:51:47,360 --> 00:51:48,759
Speaker 5: a half of basically every book, and.

1101
00:51:49,280 --> 00:51:52,319
Speaker 3: We moved hard Rock was hard Rock was the last one.

1102
00:51:52,360 --> 00:51:54,160
Speaker 5: Though hard Rock held at the two for a while,

1103
00:51:54,520 --> 00:51:57,440
Speaker 5: and they did eventually move to a three and then

1104
00:51:57,440 --> 00:51:59,560
Speaker 5: immediately went down to So there is a ton of

1105
00:51:59,560 --> 00:52:02,040
Speaker 5: resistance to the three I feel like for professionals here

1106
00:52:02,280 --> 00:52:06,000
Speaker 5: with the Lions, which I do get in matchup wise.

1107
00:52:06,040 --> 00:52:08,200
Speaker 5: Like I said, I don't know if the books are

1108
00:52:08,239 --> 00:52:10,520
Speaker 5: accounting for how good this defensive line now is for

1109
00:52:10,560 --> 00:52:13,000
Speaker 5: this Eagles team with the upgrade to the position, because

1110
00:52:13,480 --> 00:52:15,520
Speaker 5: for about four weeks there we had just two or

1111
00:52:15,520 --> 00:52:18,959
Speaker 5: three guys. We had no rotation. So you saw last

1112
00:52:18,960 --> 00:52:21,360
Speaker 5: week having guys submit and out. It's just fresh lugs.

1113
00:52:21,400 --> 00:52:23,799
Speaker 5: Is such a huge deal with these defensive fronts. How

1114
00:52:23,800 --> 00:52:28,080
Speaker 5: hard these guys run and work. And the biggest thing

1115
00:52:28,080 --> 00:52:31,680
Speaker 5: I guess would be, well, Eagles are on a short week, right,

1116
00:52:31,719 --> 00:52:35,839
Speaker 5: they traveled, you know, from Green Bay to this game home,

1117
00:52:35,880 --> 00:52:38,640
Speaker 5: I guess. But to me it's the same with the Lions.

1118
00:52:38,680 --> 00:52:42,120
Speaker 5: They were on the road against Washington and historically, actually

1119
00:52:42,280 --> 00:52:44,680
Speaker 5: golf isn't great on back to back road games that

1120
00:52:44,719 --> 00:52:47,360
Speaker 5: are both outdoors, which again I know it's stupid stats,

1121
00:52:47,360 --> 00:52:50,719
Speaker 5: but all the stats for him are really dominant indoors,

1122
00:52:50,800 --> 00:52:53,400
Speaker 5: Like it's insane. So we got to grasp with Charles.

1123
00:52:53,400 --> 00:52:55,680
Speaker 5: We came people, it's he is a different and not

1124
00:52:55,760 --> 00:52:59,840
Speaker 5: as good outdoors and matchup wise, I just keep getting

1125
00:52:59,840 --> 00:53:03,000
Speaker 5: back to this Eagle's offense, as much as they have struggled,

1126
00:53:03,680 --> 00:53:05,520
Speaker 5: this a trick team has so many injuries like this

1127
00:53:05,560 --> 00:53:07,759
Speaker 5: is the exact type of defense you'd want to face, Yes,

1128
00:53:07,840 --> 00:53:10,120
Speaker 5: for an Eagles team that needs to get right. So

1129
00:53:11,000 --> 00:53:14,719
Speaker 5: I expect after a week filled with drama. I don't

1130
00:53:14,719 --> 00:53:16,760
Speaker 5: know if you saw all the aj Brown stuff once again,

1131
00:53:16,800 --> 00:53:20,640
Speaker 5: but oh yeah, basically was for the first time, honest,

1132
00:53:20,760 --> 00:53:23,560
Speaker 5: which felt good to hear what actually is going on

1133
00:53:23,640 --> 00:53:26,600
Speaker 5: rather than like these news reporters dictating how he's feeling

1134
00:53:26,680 --> 00:53:29,440
Speaker 5: through his Instagram, which is just shows a level of

1135
00:53:29,719 --> 00:53:30,920
Speaker 5: sports media reporting right now.

1136
00:53:30,960 --> 00:53:31,879
Speaker 3: If that's what we're going off.

1137
00:53:31,920 --> 00:53:34,360
Speaker 2: Don't to impugne the media.

1138
00:53:34,680 --> 00:53:38,480
Speaker 1: This isn't This isn't about how bad the media is.

1139
00:53:38,600 --> 00:53:42,480
Speaker 1: Although if you watch you know social media, boy, they

1140
00:53:42,480 --> 00:53:45,520
Speaker 1: ask a lot of stupid questions and open locker rooms

1141
00:53:45,520 --> 00:53:46,360
Speaker 1: and press conferences.

1142
00:53:46,719 --> 00:53:47,799
Speaker 3: Yeah there you go chat.

1143
00:53:48,000 --> 00:53:52,120
Speaker 5: So I just he basically said it's him and Jaile

1144
00:53:52,239 --> 00:53:55,239
Speaker 5: have no issues. Jalen's playing well, He's doing what's being

1145
00:53:55,320 --> 00:53:58,000
Speaker 5: asked of him. He's got no problems with the OC.

1146
00:53:58,280 --> 00:54:00,919
Speaker 5: He's doing what's being asked of him. So that leaves

1147
00:54:00,960 --> 00:54:03,080
Speaker 5: one person he's got issues with, and that's a big

1148
00:54:03,120 --> 00:54:04,080
Speaker 5: deal with's Sirianni.

1149
00:54:04,200 --> 00:54:06,400
Speaker 3: So we'll see what happens.

1150
00:54:06,560 --> 00:54:09,360
Speaker 5: Basically that it came out that him Syrianny had a

1151
00:54:09,360 --> 00:54:11,680
Speaker 5: call and that fourth down play and hurts and AJ

1152
00:54:11,840 --> 00:54:14,920
Speaker 5: went rogue and just said it's it's going to you

1153
00:54:14,960 --> 00:54:15,480
Speaker 5: no matter what.

1154
00:54:15,840 --> 00:54:19,040
Speaker 3: Go deep. So there's a ton of drama.

1155
00:54:19,200 --> 00:54:21,040
Speaker 1: I mean, a couple of weeks ago against the Box,

1156
00:54:21,120 --> 00:54:22,120
Speaker 1: was it is that we talking about?

1157
00:54:22,320 --> 00:54:23,000
Speaker 3: No last week?

1158
00:54:23,200 --> 00:54:25,480
Speaker 2: Last week? I don't remember the play.

1159
00:54:25,719 --> 00:54:28,160
Speaker 5: It was fourth It was fourth down for our lives.

1160
00:54:28,640 --> 00:54:30,600
Speaker 5: The Eagles should have either pumped or kicked a field

1161
00:54:30,680 --> 00:54:32,920
Speaker 5: goal against green Bay and they went for it. You

1162
00:54:32,920 --> 00:54:34,320
Speaker 5: don't remember this fourth on like it was like a

1163
00:54:34,400 --> 00:54:36,040
Speaker 5: fourth and eleven or something crazy.

1164
00:54:36,239 --> 00:54:37,560
Speaker 2: Maybe I went to bed at this point.

1165
00:54:38,480 --> 00:54:39,840
Speaker 5: Well, he took a deep shot to AJ and it

1166
00:54:39,880 --> 00:54:41,960
Speaker 5: was incomplete and they left basically thirty seconds left for

1167
00:54:42,000 --> 00:54:43,799
Speaker 5: green Bay that maybe tie with a field goal at

1168
00:54:43,880 --> 00:54:44,359
Speaker 5: end the game.

1169
00:54:44,800 --> 00:54:46,279
Speaker 3: So it was just people were like, what the hell,

1170
00:54:46,320 --> 00:54:47,000
Speaker 3: why wou's.

1171
00:54:46,760 --> 00:54:48,560
Speaker 5: Henny call that play? And he basically was just like,

1172
00:54:49,560 --> 00:54:51,520
Speaker 5: I didn't call that. They they checked out it. So

1173
00:54:52,440 --> 00:54:53,839
Speaker 5: there is a ton of drama, and I get why

1174
00:54:53,840 --> 00:54:55,719
Speaker 5: people are freaking out about this Eagles team, but just

1175
00:54:55,760 --> 00:54:57,520
Speaker 5: look at the matchup on the field. I just love

1176
00:54:57,560 --> 00:55:00,640
Speaker 5: this matchup for this Eagles team, and the public's flyin

1177
00:55:00,719 --> 00:55:03,399
Speaker 5: into a little bit. Like you said, the lines they're

1178
00:55:03,440 --> 00:55:05,080
Speaker 5: getting all the money, all the tickets right now, they

1179
00:55:05,080 --> 00:55:08,000
Speaker 5: are heavily a public dog, and then the line is

1180
00:55:08,080 --> 00:55:08,839
Speaker 5: moving against him.

1181
00:55:08,880 --> 00:55:10,880
Speaker 3: Like I said, it's hit three to a couple of books.

1182
00:55:10,920 --> 00:55:14,359
Speaker 5: So if it touches three comes Sunday, I will feel

1183
00:55:14,440 --> 00:55:16,839
Speaker 5: much better about our Eagles position because I mean some

1184
00:55:16,880 --> 00:55:18,840
Speaker 5: real pro money is coming again on the two and

1185
00:55:18,880 --> 00:55:21,040
Speaker 5: a half, which most people listening, that's what they're taking

1186
00:55:21,080 --> 00:55:22,440
Speaker 5: on because right now all the pro money came in

1187
00:55:22,480 --> 00:55:25,680
Speaker 5: on the one and a half. So love the Eagles here,

1188
00:55:25,719 --> 00:55:28,080
Speaker 5: but obviously, like Chad said, we wish we give out

1189
00:55:28,080 --> 00:55:28,840
Speaker 5: the best of the number.

1190
00:55:29,200 --> 00:55:30,920
Speaker 1: You know what, one team I don't worry about when

1191
00:55:30,920 --> 00:55:33,880
Speaker 1: there's a lot of drama, The Eagles.

1192
00:55:34,200 --> 00:55:37,640
Speaker 2: Philly Justice, Welcome to Philly, bitch.

1193
00:55:38,080 --> 00:55:40,880
Speaker 1: There's always drama like there has been drama. I think

1194
00:55:41,000 --> 00:55:46,000
Speaker 1: Nick Sirianni attracts the drama. I think people wanna like him,

1195
00:55:46,040 --> 00:55:48,600
Speaker 1: not like him. I don't think he cares. I think

1196
00:55:48,600 --> 00:55:50,520
Speaker 1: he says whatever is on his mind. I think he

1197
00:55:50,719 --> 00:55:54,080
Speaker 1: likes to be partly trolling and enjoys it. And I

1198
00:55:54,120 --> 00:55:57,799
Speaker 1: think the Eagles have the kind of personality that the

1199
00:55:57,800 --> 00:56:00,360
Speaker 1: Bears had in the eighties and the Cowboys had in

1200
00:56:00,400 --> 00:56:05,400
Speaker 1: the nineties. Like they're just these teams where there's big personalities,

1201
00:56:05,560 --> 00:56:08,480
Speaker 1: a huge amount of talent, and there's always going to

1202
00:56:08,520 --> 00:56:09,920
Speaker 1: be some kind of.

1203
00:56:11,520 --> 00:56:13,640
Speaker 2: Turmoil in that locker room.

1204
00:56:14,080 --> 00:56:16,400
Speaker 1: And I don't think it matters, Like I just don't

1205
00:56:16,480 --> 00:56:20,840
Speaker 1: like that's It's all noise to me, And it's what's.

1206
00:56:20,640 --> 00:56:23,400
Speaker 3: That, Sirianni? He is John Madden.

1207
00:56:23,760 --> 00:56:26,600
Speaker 5: So they put up the stat the only other quarterback

1208
00:56:26,600 --> 00:56:28,920
Speaker 5: that more wins through the first five seasons in NFL

1209
00:56:29,000 --> 00:56:33,440
Speaker 5: history percentage wise John Madden, And I thought about that comparison.

1210
00:56:34,360 --> 00:56:36,680
Speaker 5: It feels so right that man joined a team of

1211
00:56:37,280 --> 00:56:41,040
Speaker 5: crazy drama raaders team just the head cases, and no

1212
00:56:41,080 --> 00:56:43,799
Speaker 5: one took him serious for about five years, even though

1213
00:56:43,800 --> 00:56:47,080
Speaker 5: he was leading the league and win percentage. So I'm

1214
00:56:47,080 --> 00:56:48,400
Speaker 5: one of those people I hated Tierianni.

1215
00:56:48,440 --> 00:56:50,160
Speaker 3: I just hate the way he handled the media that way.

1216
00:56:50,160 --> 00:56:52,239
Speaker 5: He talks to the fans all of that, but all

1217
00:56:52,320 --> 00:56:54,239
Speaker 5: he does is win and you gotta respect it. And

1218
00:56:54,640 --> 00:56:57,160
Speaker 5: like you said, he seems like he thrives when there's

1219
00:56:57,200 --> 00:56:59,640
Speaker 5: tons of in house dramas. So you're right, maybe I'm

1220
00:56:59,680 --> 00:57:02,360
Speaker 5: over to too much. Strike Just there's so much affilure

1221
00:57:02,440 --> 00:57:04,200
Speaker 5: right now. I can't get over how bad it is.

1222
00:57:04,280 --> 00:57:06,800
Speaker 1: Yeah, I mean, you're in the middle of the white noise.

1223
00:57:06,840 --> 00:57:09,239
Speaker 1: You can't get away from it. Whereas like I'm just

1224
00:57:09,239 --> 00:57:11,520
Speaker 1: seeing it as funny and it's the same story every

1225
00:57:11,560 --> 00:57:13,719
Speaker 1: single week and every single year with this team, and

1226
00:57:14,320 --> 00:57:16,840
Speaker 1: this team. Honestly, I know they're not being nearly as effective,

1227
00:57:16,880 --> 00:57:20,400
Speaker 1: but there's something about their lack of effectiveness that to me,

1228
00:57:21,680 --> 00:57:25,080
Speaker 1: I'm only watching Jalen Hurts, and Jalen Hurts when he's

1229
00:57:25,080 --> 00:57:28,320
Speaker 1: on the field doesn't seem bothered by the lack of

1230
00:57:28,360 --> 00:57:32,640
Speaker 1: effectiveness he has in the past. This year, it seems

1231
00:57:32,640 --> 00:57:34,800
Speaker 1: like the lack of effectiveness is almost by a choice

1232
00:57:34,840 --> 00:57:37,280
Speaker 1: where he's just making the right calls and doing the

1233
00:57:37,360 --> 00:57:39,240
Speaker 1: right things and doing what needs to be one and

1234
00:57:39,280 --> 00:57:43,720
Speaker 1: not trying to do things to make sort of dramatic

1235
00:57:43,800 --> 00:57:47,600
Speaker 1: plays for lack of a better term. And so I'm

1236
00:57:47,640 --> 00:57:51,720
Speaker 1: only watching him and he's just he's unbothered.

1237
00:57:53,760 --> 00:57:54,160
Speaker 3: It's fair.

1238
00:57:54,280 --> 00:57:57,760
Speaker 5: But like last year, I had a sneaky I guess

1239
00:57:57,760 --> 00:57:59,680
Speaker 5: I was thinking because I gave him out heading the year.

1240
00:57:59,720 --> 00:58:01,440
Speaker 3: Bout was just all in on that ego steament.

1241
00:58:01,240 --> 00:58:04,000
Speaker 5: Wins Super Bowl, where this year I just have so

1242
00:58:04,280 --> 00:58:06,560
Speaker 5: many questions where last year I did not. Like I

1243
00:58:06,560 --> 00:58:10,320
Speaker 5: had one big question. It was about that defense, and

1244
00:58:10,360 --> 00:58:12,680
Speaker 5: after the bye week they got it right the Eagles

1245
00:58:12,720 --> 00:58:15,760
Speaker 5: after their bye week, the defense looked amazing, but the

1246
00:58:15,800 --> 00:58:18,200
Speaker 5: offense left left a lot to the imagination. So yeah,

1247
00:58:18,240 --> 00:58:20,600
Speaker 5: this is like I said, this is a perfect spot

1248
00:58:20,680 --> 00:58:23,240
Speaker 5: for this egos offense to get right against a banged

1249
00:58:23,320 --> 00:58:24,200
Speaker 5: up lines defense.

1250
00:58:25,160 --> 00:58:28,000
Speaker 1: Let's talk about that crazy Las Vegas Raiders plus three

1251
00:58:28,040 --> 00:58:30,040
Speaker 1: and a half Simon Sas against the Dallas Cowboys on

1252
00:58:30,080 --> 00:58:35,720
Speaker 1: Monday Night. Uh, you gotta want this, you gotta you

1253
00:58:36,040 --> 00:58:37,360
Speaker 1: really gotta want it.

1254
00:58:38,320 --> 00:58:42,040
Speaker 2: Explain yourself, Simon Hunter on the Las Vegas Raiders.

1255
00:58:43,160 --> 00:58:46,720
Speaker 5: I still love it the pushback I got for people,

1256
00:58:47,320 --> 00:58:48,960
Speaker 5: the pros that have talked about this when it is

1257
00:58:48,960 --> 00:58:51,280
Speaker 5: that Cowboys did get people back to their defense that

1258
00:58:51,360 --> 00:58:55,080
Speaker 5: are coming off into reserved and you know, could that

1259
00:58:55,160 --> 00:58:57,760
Speaker 5: be a big upgrade for them, Sure, But my argument

1260
00:58:57,760 --> 00:59:00,000
Speaker 5: with them is it's like trying to fix a whole

1261
00:59:00,040 --> 00:59:01,880
Speaker 5: on the sinking ship with a truly a band aid,

1262
00:59:02,040 --> 00:59:05,280
Speaker 5: Like there they have so many issues. Their top corner

1263
00:59:05,320 --> 00:59:08,760
Speaker 5: Bland has no legs anymore. He has no speed, like

1264
00:59:08,840 --> 00:59:11,880
Speaker 5: something made him so special from just having a couple injuries,

1265
00:59:11,880 --> 00:59:14,960
Speaker 5: he's lost it. So I just love this match with

1266
00:59:15,040 --> 00:59:17,080
Speaker 5: this Raiders offense wise, I just think this is the

1267
00:59:17,080 --> 00:59:20,680
Speaker 5: perfect team they match up for them. And defensively, you know,

1268
00:59:20,960 --> 00:59:23,040
Speaker 5: you've seen the Cowboys have struggle this year. It's whin

1269
00:59:23,080 --> 00:59:25,720
Speaker 5: there's facing against a good pass rush. So to me,

1270
00:59:26,440 --> 00:59:29,560
Speaker 5: Max Crosby, you know, I don't want to get too

1271
00:59:29,600 --> 00:59:32,880
Speaker 5: much credence to podcast people, but because you know, every

1272
00:59:32,920 --> 00:59:34,120
Speaker 5: week I'm frea might go on his.

1273
00:59:34,000 --> 00:59:34,840
Speaker 3: Pockets and stafe stuff.

1274
00:59:34,880 --> 00:59:37,720
Speaker 5: But I saw this week he's basically playing all these

1275
00:59:37,720 --> 00:59:40,440
Speaker 5: clips from people in the media trashing them, saying how

1276
00:59:40,440 --> 00:59:43,000
Speaker 5: bad he's been and how that loss was on him,

1277
00:59:43,000 --> 00:59:45,440
Speaker 5: like he did nothing in that Denver game and they

1278
00:59:45,440 --> 00:59:48,200
Speaker 5: can't stop the run, everything like that, And I just

1279
00:59:48,280 --> 00:59:49,880
Speaker 5: love that type of thing for him, where he's just.

1280
00:59:49,880 --> 00:59:51,520
Speaker 3: Going to be a mental case in this game. So

1281
00:59:52,920 --> 00:59:54,600
Speaker 3: it's it's shocking.

1282
00:59:54,400 --> 00:59:56,840
Speaker 5: To me that there's no pros on this Raiders team yet.

1283
00:59:56,840 --> 00:59:58,960
Speaker 5: But like I said, maybe Sunday Morning shot, I'll have

1284
00:59:58,960 --> 01:00:01,200
Speaker 5: more guys join me. But it's just because it's the

1285
01:00:01,240 --> 01:00:03,040
Speaker 5: Monday game. I feel like it's either been for the

1286
01:00:03,040 --> 01:00:05,439
Speaker 5: pro side at least they're taking the Cowboys, or nothing

1287
01:00:05,440 --> 01:00:06,200
Speaker 5: at all at this point.

1288
01:00:07,360 --> 01:00:10,200
Speaker 2: All Right, we got a lot to discuss.

1289
01:00:10,280 --> 01:00:12,640
Speaker 5: We've got a couple of games you missed that I like, Oh,

1290
01:00:12,800 --> 01:00:16,400
Speaker 5: tell me what I miss Where are we at with

1291
01:00:16,480 --> 01:00:17,920
Speaker 5: this Panthers team?

1292
01:00:18,240 --> 01:00:19,840
Speaker 3: I told you I got a lot of calls about it.

1293
01:00:19,920 --> 01:00:20,720
Speaker 2: You know what's funny?

1294
01:00:22,640 --> 01:00:23,640
Speaker 3: Are we missing it here?

1295
01:00:24,400 --> 01:00:25,600
Speaker 2: I wonder if we are too.

1296
01:00:25,960 --> 01:00:28,400
Speaker 1: I was actually just scrolling through because I was looking

1297
01:00:28,400 --> 01:00:33,320
Speaker 1: ahead to our underdog parlay, and the Panthers jumped out

1298
01:00:33,480 --> 01:00:35,480
Speaker 1: as a team that we would want to put.

1299
01:00:35,280 --> 01:00:37,160
Speaker 2: In as the underdog parlay.

1300
01:00:37,800 --> 01:00:41,560
Speaker 1: And obviously I've got trepidation because of what's happening with

1301
01:00:41,600 --> 01:00:42,800
Speaker 1: Bryce Young in the past couple weeks.

1302
01:00:42,840 --> 01:00:44,920
Speaker 2: He just hasn't looked good. But I do.

1303
01:00:44,840 --> 01:00:50,640
Speaker 1: Think I think there's much more systemic issues with the

1304
01:00:50,640 --> 01:00:53,479
Speaker 1: Falcons than with the Panthers to.

1305
01:00:53,400 --> 01:00:55,720
Speaker 5: Be catching three and a half. That's I feel like

1306
01:00:55,760 --> 01:00:58,560
Speaker 5: we both aree on that. Yeah, points for a the

1307
01:00:58,600 --> 01:00:59,960
Speaker 5: Falcons team that has so many issues.

1308
01:01:00,240 --> 01:01:03,000
Speaker 1: Speaking of social media, there was a clip the other

1309
01:01:03,080 --> 01:01:07,760
Speaker 1: day I think I saw yesterday on the X platform,

1310
01:01:08,520 --> 01:01:11,680
Speaker 1: where Michael Pennix was asked about you know who he

1311
01:01:11,840 --> 01:01:14,960
Speaker 1: leans on for support when things aren't going well and

1312
01:01:15,040 --> 01:01:18,160
Speaker 1: who gives him advice. He talked about his fiance and

1313
01:01:18,160 --> 01:01:20,920
Speaker 1: his high school coach, the people he didn't mention in

1314
01:01:20,960 --> 01:01:23,600
Speaker 1: his ears sort of that are helping coach him up

1315
01:01:24,200 --> 01:01:27,240
Speaker 1: Raheem Morris and Zach Robinson, his offensive coordinator and his

1316
01:01:27,320 --> 01:01:29,840
Speaker 1: head coach. And I do think we're seeing some of

1317
01:01:29,880 --> 01:01:33,400
Speaker 1: this on the field where his performance has not been

1318
01:01:33,920 --> 01:01:36,160
Speaker 1: where it should be. But how much of that is

1319
01:01:36,160 --> 01:01:38,240
Speaker 1: on the coaching and how much of that is on

1320
01:01:38,320 --> 01:01:42,320
Speaker 1: the play calling. So I do think that there's probably,

1321
01:01:43,240 --> 01:01:45,920
Speaker 1: for lack of a better term, better vibes in Carolina.

1322
01:01:46,960 --> 01:01:49,840
Speaker 1: I just don't know. I guess at the hook, Yeah,

1323
01:01:49,880 --> 01:01:51,880
Speaker 1: we're taking Carolina. That's really what it is.

1324
01:01:52,880 --> 01:01:55,120
Speaker 5: Yeah, And we didn't even talk about, which was a

1325
01:01:55,120 --> 01:01:58,720
Speaker 5: mistake on my part. Atlanta is coming off an overtime

1326
01:01:58,800 --> 01:02:01,920
Speaker 5: game and an international. This has never happened in the

1327
01:02:01,960 --> 01:02:04,400
Speaker 5: history of football. Usually it's happened five times, will all

1328
01:02:04,400 --> 01:02:06,439
Speaker 5: those teams had bye weeks. It's the first time ever

1329
01:02:06,720 --> 01:02:09,800
Speaker 5: a team is playing an overtime game internationally come home

1330
01:02:09,840 --> 01:02:13,320
Speaker 5: to play a game so there's there's that part of it,

1331
01:02:13,360 --> 01:02:16,560
Speaker 5: and you know the Penix part, you know, like you

1332
01:02:16,760 --> 01:02:19,600
Speaker 5: like we said, it's just inconsistent and that's a lot

1333
01:02:19,640 --> 01:02:21,520
Speaker 5: of points for end me catching in a divisional matchup

1334
01:02:21,520 --> 01:02:24,520
Speaker 5: where the Panthers have surprisingly owned the Falcons these last

1335
01:02:24,560 --> 01:02:27,280
Speaker 5: few times they've played. So yeah, I just want to

1336
01:02:27,280 --> 01:02:29,000
Speaker 5: make sure I bought this one up. Just don't appel

1337
01:02:29,000 --> 01:02:30,320
Speaker 5: to be shocked if we do end up taking this

1338
01:02:30,360 --> 01:02:32,800
Speaker 5: one on Sunday. It's a game I'm been into. I

1339
01:02:32,880 --> 01:02:35,520
Speaker 5: like the Panthers here, and it's definitely was a miss

1340
01:02:35,520 --> 01:02:37,080
Speaker 5: on my part. I should trust of my model, which

1341
01:02:37,080 --> 01:02:38,560
Speaker 5: I had at two and a half. I just I

1342
01:02:38,560 --> 01:02:40,600
Speaker 5: couldn't get what the books you're doing. You're hanging this number.

1343
01:02:40,600 --> 01:02:42,920
Speaker 5: But I do think this comes down to three as

1344
01:02:43,200 --> 01:02:45,320
Speaker 5: more professionals coming and bet the Spanther side.

1345
01:02:45,360 --> 01:02:48,200
Speaker 1: So all right, I'm into that. I'm into that because,

1346
01:02:48,200 --> 01:02:50,400
Speaker 1: to be honest, I think we were struggling to find

1347
01:02:50,440 --> 01:02:53,720
Speaker 1: five that we love, not even like agreed on, just

1348
01:02:53,760 --> 01:02:56,040
Speaker 1: like five games that we were really in love with.

1349
01:02:56,160 --> 01:02:58,560
Speaker 2: So I could see that and.

1350
01:02:58,480 --> 01:03:00,400
Speaker 5: Then before you got just going to throw a two games,

1351
01:03:00,440 --> 01:03:04,040
Speaker 5: just I'm line moving while we're doing the show live

1352
01:03:04,760 --> 01:03:06,800
Speaker 5: Tampa has moved to plus six at a couple of

1353
01:03:06,840 --> 01:03:12,560
Speaker 5: books Jesus, So yeah, that's that's happening as we speak,

1354
01:03:12,600 --> 01:03:15,840
Speaker 5: and the Bears are shifting to two and a half.

1355
01:03:16,360 --> 01:03:19,040
Speaker 3: So yeah, we talked about a little bit.

1356
01:03:19,080 --> 01:03:21,400
Speaker 5: We both I feel like we're trying not to We

1357
01:03:21,640 --> 01:03:23,680
Speaker 5: both are liking on the Bears at plus three.

1358
01:03:24,720 --> 01:03:26,880
Speaker 3: That's just and this was three and a half.

1359
01:03:27,240 --> 01:03:29,000
Speaker 2: This was at three and a half by the way,

1360
01:03:29,240 --> 01:03:32,800
Speaker 2: last night, So it to me it's about.

1361
01:03:33,320 --> 01:03:34,640
Speaker 5: We don't know because we're doing the show right now,

1362
01:03:34,680 --> 01:03:36,919
Speaker 5: but it's two and a half everywhere now.

1363
01:03:37,520 --> 01:03:39,440
Speaker 2: I do not like the Bears at two and a half.

1364
01:03:39,920 --> 01:03:41,800
Speaker 3: No, no, no, no, I like King.

1365
01:03:42,080 --> 01:03:43,560
Speaker 5: I'm bringing up for people if they want to grab

1366
01:03:43,560 --> 01:03:45,280
Speaker 5: the Bears. I grabbed the three if you can before

1367
01:03:45,320 --> 01:03:45,920
Speaker 5: it moves.

1368
01:03:46,520 --> 01:03:47,560
Speaker 2: That game was at three and a half.

1369
01:03:47,560 --> 01:03:49,600
Speaker 1: All right, Well, that the Vikings at two and a

1370
01:03:49,640 --> 01:03:53,760
Speaker 1: half might be an interesting play on Sunday, Okay, I

1371
01:03:53,880 --> 01:03:58,680
Speaker 1: keep thinking about the Bears keep coming back against really

1372
01:03:58,720 --> 01:04:00,360
Speaker 1: bad teams, but like.

1373
01:04:00,400 --> 01:04:02,600
Speaker 3: Well, Caleb against the NFC North, right.

1374
01:04:02,680 --> 01:04:07,880
Speaker 2: Can I invest in JJ McCarthy. You know, that's just tricky.

1375
01:04:07,920 --> 01:04:13,040
Speaker 3: It's a really tricky one in his career, right, end

1376
01:04:13,040 --> 01:04:13,400
Speaker 3: of the year.

1377
01:04:13,760 --> 01:04:15,920
Speaker 1: All right, So let's let's take a pause here for

1378
01:04:15,960 --> 01:04:19,360
Speaker 1: a second, because I want to recap. Cincinnati plus five

1379
01:04:19,360 --> 01:04:20,840
Speaker 1: and a half is a game we're both going to

1380
01:04:20,920 --> 01:04:23,720
Speaker 1: be on. Houston minus six and a half. The Bucks

1381
01:04:23,720 --> 01:04:26,080
Speaker 1: are now a plus six. That's scary. I'm glad we

1382
01:04:26,120 --> 01:04:28,600
Speaker 1: really haven't bet that. We know we like the Rams

1383
01:04:28,600 --> 01:04:32,320
Speaker 1: plus three. We know we like I mean minus three.

1384
01:04:32,320 --> 01:04:35,280
Speaker 1: We know we like Cleveland, uh plus seven and a half,

1385
01:04:35,280 --> 01:04:38,880
Speaker 1: plus eight plus eight and a half. We think we

1386
01:04:39,000 --> 01:04:43,280
Speaker 1: like Philly, uh minus two and a half. I don't

1387
01:04:43,280 --> 01:04:45,439
Speaker 1: love the Raiders, but I do like the Panthers a lot.

1388
01:04:47,200 --> 01:04:48,840
Speaker 3: Get it. The Raiders are tough. It's tough.

1389
01:04:48,920 --> 01:04:49,600
Speaker 2: Raiders are tough.

1390
01:04:50,920 --> 01:04:53,120
Speaker 5: You gotta keep fan This Dallas team is a big favorites.

1391
01:04:53,160 --> 01:04:54,720
Speaker 5: It's been profitable this year, fading.

1392
01:04:55,000 --> 01:04:58,400
Speaker 1: So we got some decisions to make on Sunday. Give

1393
01:04:58,400 --> 01:05:00,480
Speaker 1: me your biggest bets right now. It's it sounds like

1394
01:05:00,560 --> 01:05:02,040
Speaker 1: Panthers might actually be in there.

1395
01:05:02,640 --> 01:05:06,600
Speaker 3: Pull up close pants and be a man. They're getting there.

1396
01:05:06,640 --> 01:05:09,040
Speaker 5: Like, honestly, I really took a heavy position on Cleveland,

1397
01:05:09,040 --> 01:05:13,840
Speaker 5: like we talked about. I really thought not that that

1398
01:05:13,920 --> 01:05:16,120
Speaker 5: number was gonna come steaming down because of what we

1399
01:05:16,120 --> 01:05:18,720
Speaker 5: were talking about, but got very lucky that I bet

1400
01:05:18,760 --> 01:05:20,800
Speaker 5: it before the all the Lamar news. Still like at

1401
01:05:20,800 --> 01:05:22,560
Speaker 5: the seven plus seven and a half as long as

1402
01:05:22,680 --> 01:05:26,600
Speaker 5: above the seven, rams keep hitting it like I got

1403
01:05:26,600 --> 01:05:28,240
Speaker 5: tons on two and a half of a ton of

1404
01:05:28,360 --> 01:05:31,080
Speaker 5: minus three. If it gets a minus three and a half,

1405
01:05:31,080 --> 01:05:33,840
Speaker 5: I'm not gonna be that invested into it. It's all

1406
01:05:33,880 --> 01:05:35,920
Speaker 5: about the number here, So if it stays on the three,

1407
01:05:36,120 --> 01:05:38,160
Speaker 5: I really think I'd be one of my bigger bets

1408
01:05:38,360 --> 01:05:42,640
Speaker 5: comes Sunday, and I'm probably gonna get there. Probably gonna

1409
01:05:42,680 --> 01:05:45,680
Speaker 5: get there on this Eagles team. I just right now,

1410
01:05:45,720 --> 01:05:48,360
Speaker 5: I haven't taken too big of a position, but it's

1411
01:05:48,400 --> 01:05:50,000
Speaker 5: just so I thought the one and a half would

1412
01:05:50,000 --> 01:05:51,560
Speaker 5: pop again, so I'm gonna try to be patient on

1413
01:05:51,560 --> 01:05:51,840
Speaker 5: that one.

1414
01:05:51,840 --> 01:05:53,760
Speaker 3: But it seems like it keeps getting to the three.

1415
01:05:53,880 --> 01:05:55,800
Speaker 5: It's not going the way I wanted to, so I

1416
01:05:55,880 --> 01:05:57,320
Speaker 5: might just have to suck it up and just take

1417
01:05:57,320 --> 01:05:58,760
Speaker 5: the two and a half on this Eagles team.

1418
01:05:59,080 --> 01:06:03,919
Speaker 2: All right? With three? Team parlay for underdogs.

1419
01:06:07,200 --> 01:06:08,760
Speaker 3: My dog blocks.

1420
01:06:08,600 --> 01:06:11,439
Speaker 6: Your dog, Your dog blocks mo dog.

1421
01:06:12,360 --> 01:06:17,080
Speaker 1: I would do Carolina, mm hmm, gotta do Cincy Cincinnati.

1422
01:06:17,240 --> 01:06:17,479
Speaker 2: Yep.

1423
01:06:17,520 --> 01:06:21,440
Speaker 3: That was on my list plus two. Were you Cardinals?

1424
01:06:22,800 --> 01:06:25,800
Speaker 2: Well, we didn't talk about the Cardinals. No, we did briefly.

1425
01:06:27,000 --> 01:06:29,480
Speaker 5: I know I'm not crazy about it, but like it's

1426
01:06:29,520 --> 01:06:30,480
Speaker 5: either them or the Jacks.

1427
01:06:30,600 --> 01:06:32,000
Speaker 3: Is a good home dogs.

1428
01:06:32,400 --> 01:06:34,439
Speaker 2: Let's do the Cardinals, all right?

1429
01:06:35,160 --> 01:06:44,880
Speaker 1: So three team Parlay, Carolina, Arizona and Cincinnati favorite Parlay.

1430
01:06:46,440 --> 01:06:57,840
Speaker 7: Gotta go Rams, Rams, Ravens, Ravens, Houston, Houston, Green Bay,

1431
01:06:59,080 --> 01:06:59,680
Speaker 7: Green Bay.

1432
01:07:00,960 --> 01:07:03,120
Speaker 3: I mean it's tough, but it's it brings the juice down.

1433
01:07:03,160 --> 01:07:04,080
Speaker 3: First little bit, Philly.

1434
01:07:05,240 --> 01:07:06,320
Speaker 2: I was looking at Philly.

1435
01:07:06,480 --> 01:07:10,760
Speaker 1: It feels like we could probably avoid that anxiety a

1436
01:07:10,840 --> 01:07:11,440
Speaker 1: little bit.

1437
01:07:11,600 --> 01:07:12,000
Speaker 2: Can't we?

1438
01:07:12,920 --> 01:07:16,040
Speaker 3: What Eagles? Yeah, speak for yourself?

1439
01:07:16,440 --> 01:07:19,240
Speaker 2: Allright, fine, let's do Philly. Let's do silly all right?

1440
01:07:20,080 --> 01:07:24,880
Speaker 2: Sharp versus Square? You won last week?

1441
01:07:25,000 --> 01:07:28,840
Speaker 3: You had just dominating you chat. You gotta get together, brother.

1442
01:07:28,720 --> 01:07:30,640
Speaker 2: You had Dolphins plus nine and a half.

1443
01:07:31,640 --> 01:07:33,360
Speaker 5: I gotta go with my guys. I guess give me

1444
01:07:33,400 --> 01:07:34,760
Speaker 5: Panthers plus three and a half.

1445
01:07:35,000 --> 01:07:41,640
Speaker 1: All right, then I will take gimme Houston. This has

1446
01:07:41,640 --> 01:07:44,800
Speaker 1: been Sharper Square, part of the Volume podcast Network. Will

1447
01:07:44,800 --> 01:07:49,240
Speaker 1: be back for more Sharper Square on YouTube on Sunday morning.

1448
01:07:49,280 --> 01:07:51,400
Speaker 1: As an eavesdrop on an intimate conversation between me and

1449
01:07:51,440 --> 01:07:56,240
Speaker 1: Simon and which we will make utterly painful human decisions

1450
01:07:56,240 --> 01:07:59,400
Speaker 1: in a total panic that we will regret the rest.

1451
01:07:59,200 --> 01:07:59,640
Speaker 2: Of the day.

1452
01:08:00,120 --> 01:08:02,840
Speaker 1: We'll be back on Sharper Square YouTube Sunday night, seven

1453
01:08:02,960 --> 01:08:05,880
Speaker 1: thirty ish to recap all of that misery. Watch We'll

1454
01:08:05,880 --> 01:08:08,880
Speaker 1: listen on YouTube at Sharper Square. Like the video, subscribe

1455
01:08:08,880 --> 01:08:11,800
Speaker 1: to the channel. Also Donalds from Spotify, Apple Pods, wherever

1456
01:08:11,800 --> 01:08:14,040
Speaker 1: you get your pods, rate review subscribes say whatever you want.

1457
01:08:14,680 --> 01:08:18,080
Speaker 2: Feedback is a gift. Until next time, Love you.

1458
01:08:19,560 --> 01:08:22,680
Speaker 3: Hey, let's recap for