WEBVTT - Using Tech to Improve Access to Covid-19 Clinical Trials

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<v Speaker 1>This is Bloomberg Business Week. I'm Carol Masser. Every day

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<v Speaker 1>watch us too on YouTube by searching Bloomberg Global News.

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<v Speaker 1>We know infection rates are accelerating in the Southwest and

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<v Speaker 1>the Rocky Mountain West. After sweeping through states in the Midwest,

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<v Speaker 1>we talked about a growing number of hospitals canceling or

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<v Speaker 1>delaying some planned medical procedures to preserve staff and beds.

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<v Speaker 1>The death toll in US nursing homes and long term

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<v Speaker 1>care facilities topping one hundred thousand, and meantime, you've got

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<v Speaker 1>US airline traffic rising as some Americans traveled for Thanksgiving

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<v Speaker 1>despite tons and tons of warnings from American health officials.

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<v Speaker 1>Cases right now passing fifty nine eight million deaths topping

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<v Speaker 1>one point four million. So let's talk about the virus

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<v Speaker 1>our daily check today with Dr Michelle Longmire, CEO at Metable.

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<v Speaker 1>It's a platform connecting patient sites and clinical trial teams,

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<v Speaker 1>and she joins us on the phone in Palo Alto.

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<v Speaker 1>Dr Longmyer, so nice to have you here with us.

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<v Speaker 1>First of all, um, tell us a little bit about

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<v Speaker 1>what you're seeing on the ground there at there on

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<v Speaker 1>the West coast. Sure, well, thank you so much for

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<v Speaker 1>having me today. You know, I think everyone is talking

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<v Speaker 1>about the risk mitigation strategies that are really needed for

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<v Speaker 1>the holiday. Um. Of course, everyone loves Thanksgiving. It's really

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<v Speaker 1>a quintessential family holiday in the United States, and unfortunately

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<v Speaker 1>this year, you know, the best thing to do is

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<v Speaker 1>to really you know, take the safety measures into consideration.

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<v Speaker 1>And unfortunately this means really not spending time um with

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<v Speaker 1>family in person, you know, if they haven't been within

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<v Speaker 1>the same quarantine group. So I think that's really friend

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<v Speaker 1>of mine for people in California, and we're just thinking

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<v Speaker 1>about how we can look forward, you know, to a

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<v Speaker 1>vaccine into an area and era where we can be

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<v Speaker 1>back with our family and friends. But certainly people are

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<v Speaker 1>thinking about polity, but with safety and mind yeah, No, absolutely,

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<v Speaker 1>And I know that your specialty is um autoimmune skin diseases,

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<v Speaker 1>but I do want to um before we get into

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<v Speaker 1>the kind of work you guys are doing at your

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<v Speaker 1>firm um and your company that specifically, when you see

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<v Speaker 1>the rising numbers of people who are traveling airline traffic,

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<v Speaker 1>does that say to you that in a couple of

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<v Speaker 1>weeks we probably are going to look back at Thanksgiving

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<v Speaker 1>as another super spreader event. I mean, you know, the

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<v Speaker 1>data is the data, and it's we know that the

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<v Speaker 1>social distancing, and we know that the masks and we

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<v Speaker 1>know that, you know, the isolation measures are critical, and

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<v Speaker 1>you know this is a very contagious illness, and you

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<v Speaker 1>know the probabilities are what they are, and if you

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<v Speaker 1>defy those by crowded airplanes and you know public like

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<v Speaker 1>you know, public gatherings, we do see that the disease spreads.

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<v Speaker 1>So you know, it would be it would be very

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<v Speaker 1>you know, it would be unlikely that we won't see

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<v Speaker 1>that following the holiday because you know, people, if they

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<v Speaker 1>are not heeding the warnings, we're going to see you know,

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<v Speaker 1>much greater numbers and the spread is going to be there.

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<v Speaker 1>So certainly I think that's why everyone's preparing for that

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<v Speaker 1>because we're observing that there. You know, people are still traveling,

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<v Speaker 1>and the airplanes are certainly an area where we know

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<v Speaker 1>that there is you know, contagent risk. Right, it's the

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<v Speaker 1>antithesis of everything that everybody says. Right, it's closed, it's

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<v Speaker 1>lots of people. It's not an ideal situation. So talk

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<v Speaker 1>to us, Talk to us a little bit about the

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<v Speaker 1>work you guys are doing it medable, Um, you guys

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<v Speaker 1>are a platform. You bring together patient sites and clinical

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<v Speaker 1>trial teams. I have members of my family that are

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<v Speaker 1>in the medical community, so I understand this, this whole idea,

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<v Speaker 1>especially when they are UM. You know, therapies out there,

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<v Speaker 1>you know, finding people who might be good for a trial,

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<v Speaker 1>which just helps and kind of get learning to know

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<v Speaker 1>more about a treatment. But tell me about what you

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<v Speaker 1>guys are doing, specifically when it comes to COVID nineteen. Sure,

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<v Speaker 1>so you know, clinical trials are a critical component of

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<v Speaker 1>developing new medications, and I think it was an area

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<v Speaker 1>of people didn't really think about prior to COVID, but

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<v Speaker 1>then once COVID hit. You know, the roles of clinical

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<v Speaker 1>trials for vaccine and therapy development became something that the

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<v Speaker 1>broader public was aware of, and you know, you look

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<v Speaker 1>at the news coming out of Fiser and Maderna. Let's

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<v Speaker 1>take Fiser for example. You know, we've had over forty

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<v Speaker 1>thou volunteers into the Fiser vaccine study, and these are

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<v Speaker 1>people who you know, want to be a part of

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<v Speaker 1>the research efforts, who also are eager to get the vaccination,

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<v Speaker 1>and they've played a foundational role in us, you know,

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<v Speaker 1>getting through this pandemic. You know, I think our role

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<v Speaker 1>medical in this is to tackle some of the biggest

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<v Speaker 1>challenges facing clinical trials, and one of the biggest challenges

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<v Speaker 1>is access. You know, the pandemic his results in enclosures

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<v Speaker 1>of many of you know, the general kind of day

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<v Speaker 1>to day health care facilities, right, we don't want people

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<v Speaker 1>going in there because we don't want to spread the disease.

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<v Speaker 1>And clinical trials in a traditional sense are no different

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<v Speaker 1>than as you go to your doctor. What metaval pioneering

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<v Speaker 1>is really a way to access the clinical trial and

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<v Speaker 1>the convenience of your own home, and this has become

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<v Speaker 1>extremely important in the setting of the pandemic and has

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<v Speaker 1>become extremely important in these large vaccine trials. You know,

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<v Speaker 1>where we need the participation. People are eager to be

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<v Speaker 1>a part of research, and we need to bring that

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<v Speaker 1>into the comfort of their own home, you know, through

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<v Speaker 1>the various aspects of the clinical trial. So we've seen

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<v Speaker 1>a big shift from clinic based healthcare delivery and clinical

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<v Speaker 1>trial delivery to much more of a remote, digital and

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<v Speaker 1>connected ecosystem. And our company has really been at the

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<v Speaker 1>forefront of that transition and transformation where high tech world

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<v Speaker 1>dr Longmeyer. But still, of course technology doesn't always it

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<v Speaker 1>fails us occasionally, I asked um alright, put out the

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<v Speaker 1>question of there you are in Palo Alto, smack in

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<v Speaker 1>the middle of Silicon Valley. Healthcare we know has been

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<v Speaker 1>slow to change, slow to disrupt, but the virus has

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<v Speaker 1>definitely made people um do more telement us in we'd

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<v Speaker 1>start to see some changes in the health care system.

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<v Speaker 1>What role can and should Silicon Valley be playing, even

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<v Speaker 1>more so when it comes to kind of bringing healthcare

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<v Speaker 1>to the twenty one century. Sure, I think that the

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<v Speaker 1>pandemic is an unprecedented opportunity for Silicon Valley and technology

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<v Speaker 1>to show the value around major changes. So, you know,

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<v Speaker 1>what we've seen is say telemedicine, you know, utilization up

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<v Speaker 1>by five acts of what it was before. This is

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<v Speaker 1>you know, really important that is a tech industry, we're

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<v Speaker 1>able to move quickly to use the window of opportunity

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<v Speaker 1>to bring in these changes and really for us as

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<v Speaker 1>a clinical trial company to serve patients in new ways,

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<v Speaker 1>and they're looking to connect to the health care system

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<v Speaker 1>with new technologies now and bringing it back to your company.

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<v Speaker 1>Just got about forty seconds left here. I mean, the

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<v Speaker 1>more patients that get involved in clinical trials, we ultimately

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<v Speaker 1>on the other side figure out what treatments can best

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<v Speaker 1>serve us as a as a population. I'm I mean

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<v Speaker 1>Chlinical trials are the route to us, you know, achieving

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<v Speaker 1>cures to seven thousand or more uncured diseases today, and

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<v Speaker 1>they are a fundamental part of us developing new medication.

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<v Speaker 1>So it's to the benefit of everyone. I'd encourage everyone,

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<v Speaker 1>you know to consider clinical trials. It's super important for

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<v Speaker 1>us as you know, we move forward with better health

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<v Speaker 1>as a society and certainly as we've seen with COVID

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<v Speaker 1>night teams. All right, listen, great to check in with you,

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<v Speaker 1>and I'm glad we were able to reconnect you well.

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<v Speaker 1>Have a great Thanksgiving Dr Michelle Longmeyer. She is CEO

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<v Speaker 1>at Meda bal And she is joining us on the

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<v Speaker 1>phone from Palo Alto, California. This is Bloomberg Business Week

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<v Speaker 1>with Carol Messer from Bloomberg Radio. You're listening to Bloomberg

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<v Speaker 1>Business Week. I'm Carol Masser. We continue to learn every

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<v Speaker 1>day about the power of social media companies such as

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<v Speaker 1>Google and others, and this story reported for Bloomberg Business

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<v Speaker 1>Week really plays into that big time. It's how Google's

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<v Speaker 1>deep pockets really makes some of its rivals less eager

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<v Speaker 1>for an antitrust crackdown. You're probably saying, well it. So

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<v Speaker 1>let's get into this um with our own Bloomberg Business

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<v Speaker 1>Week editor Joe Joe Webber. He's joining us on the

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<v Speaker 1>access line in Brooklyn. This story written by Mark Bergen,

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<v Speaker 1>who is technology reporter at Bloomberg News. But Joel, let

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<v Speaker 1>me kick it off with you first. I mean, this

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<v Speaker 1>is a story that I feel like, you know, we

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<v Speaker 1>continue to see some of these big social media players,

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<v Speaker 1>big you know, tech players, they just continue to dominate,

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<v Speaker 1>and some of it is because of some of these

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<v Speaker 1>relationships they have with even some of their smaller competitors. Yeah,

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<v Speaker 1>that's that's what makes this story, UM, I think part

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<v Speaker 1>of an interesting antitrust conversation, UM and in an element

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<v Speaker 1>that UM we hadn't I hadn't heard before. And and

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<v Speaker 1>part of that is, you know, Google has really, you know,

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<v Speaker 1>just an amazing modernization ability, and as part of that,

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<v Speaker 1>they are not shy about throwing their cash around, and

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<v Speaker 1>a lot of that cash goes to to to We'll

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<v Speaker 1>call them rivals, even though that you might not totally

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<v Speaker 1>always think of them as rivals. But but in this case,

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<v Speaker 1>UM and the one that I'd love to have, Mark

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<v Speaker 1>talked more about Mozilla, which has a rival product in

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<v Speaker 1>his Firefox browser, UM actually makes a lot of money

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<v Speaker 1>from Google, even though Google has a rival product and Chrome.

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<v Speaker 1>So so Mark talked to us about how how how

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<v Speaker 1>Mozilla in Firefox sort of see this relationship with Google

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<v Speaker 1>in light of the anti Druss conversation that we're in

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<v Speaker 1>the middle of. Yeah. Sure, I think there's like two

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<v Speaker 1>different version, right. There is a front facing, sort of

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<v Speaker 1>official version, which is we have Mozilla and there in

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<v Speaker 1>the story saying you know, it's interesting that they actually

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<v Speaker 1>switched to Yahoo in two in fourteen because Yahoo is

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<v Speaker 1>willing to give them a lump sum from our from

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<v Speaker 1>understanding even like a hundred million more year or a

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<v Speaker 1>year than Google, which was great from from Mozilla standpoint

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<v Speaker 1>to have you know, that much more money. But then

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<v Speaker 1>a lot of their Firefox users just started switching over

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<v Speaker 1>to Google. And so by they're telling officially, you know

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<v Speaker 1>a lot of people just prefer Google Search show over alternatives.

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<v Speaker 1>You talk to sort of privately with a lot of

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<v Speaker 1>people that they work there, and they're like die hard

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<v Speaker 1>privacy advocates, right, and they're kind of some of them

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<v Speaker 1>are disturbed or upset about some of Google's privacy practices,

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<v Speaker 1>and so it's they like, you know, as much as

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<v Speaker 1>they want to push on on Google for Chrome, and

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<v Speaker 1>they have done to the marketing and you know they

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<v Speaker 1>can out with a great billboard a few years ago

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<v Speaker 1>that's a big browser is watching you. They're they're well

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<v Speaker 1>aware that they're sort of like poking the bear, uh

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<v Speaker 1>and and they're they're actually kind of targeting who is

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<v Speaker 1>their biggest bank roller. So it's just very awkward, I

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<v Speaker 1>think kind of a unique position for the company to

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<v Speaker 1>be in, um that many other Google partners are also in, right,

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<v Speaker 1>and and so that kind of brings us to the

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<v Speaker 1>anti trust context. Um, So how do how would like

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<v Speaker 1>a regulator um look at at an arrangement like this

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<v Speaker 1>and try and make sense of it. I think, I mean,

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<v Speaker 1>you know, Mozilla's come out and publicly and they think

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<v Speaker 1>mostly we expected to privately to say. The d o

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<v Speaker 1>J is coming after these search deals that Google has

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<v Speaker 1>UM where they pay up front for for distribution of

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<v Speaker 1>the search engine. Um. That seems to be something where

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<v Speaker 1>you're going to see a lot of companies that would

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<v Speaker 1>maybe normally come out in the port of that now

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<v Speaker 1>arguing please don't make those illegal bigger because they're really

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<v Speaker 1>important for our bottom line. Um. So I don't know

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<v Speaker 1>how the d o J is going to land on that.

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<v Speaker 1>You know, you certainly like the Apple Google relationships and

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<v Speaker 1>really fastened anyone, Well get into that one. That's the

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<v Speaker 1>one that blew my mind in your story because it's

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<v Speaker 1>I mean, they really benefit from each other. It's it's

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<v Speaker 1>a great mutual benefit of Google. All these talks about

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<v Speaker 1>how it has a horizontal business, right, uh, and so

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<v Speaker 1>so much of their advertising, right, they're sharing revenue with publishers,

0:11:47.040 --> 0:11:50.840
<v Speaker 1>they're sharing with websites and YouTube. Right. It's it's all

0:11:50.920 --> 0:11:53.800
<v Speaker 1>the same sort of model with the Android right every

0:11:53.840 --> 0:11:56.959
<v Speaker 1>single you know, Samsung gets a lump of change every

0:11:57.040 --> 0:12:00.719
<v Speaker 1>year from the Google searches on Samsung, and Apple gets

0:12:00.760 --> 0:12:03.319
<v Speaker 1>the same deal, although it is a much more secretive deal.

0:12:03.400 --> 0:12:06.199
<v Speaker 1>There are very few people at both companies know you

0:12:06.280 --> 0:12:09.440
<v Speaker 1>know the details of that. Um. You know, we reported

0:12:09.480 --> 0:12:12.880
<v Speaker 1>Apple had had talked to Microsoft and being a few

0:12:12.920 --> 0:12:15.600
<v Speaker 1>years ago. I think that really scared Google because they

0:12:15.640 --> 0:12:21.199
<v Speaker 1>get so much revenue from from iPhones. Mark. Can we

0:12:21.280 --> 0:12:24.360
<v Speaker 1>talk about like Mozilla specifically and like how how much

0:12:24.640 --> 0:12:28.640
<v Speaker 1>do they get in in cash, cold hard cash from

0:12:29.240 --> 0:12:33.080
<v Speaker 1>from Google and how significant is that to their bottom line? Yeah,

0:12:33.200 --> 0:12:36.439
<v Speaker 1>so we don't. Mozilla is a it's a nonprofit. It's

0:12:36.440 --> 0:12:38.040
<v Speaker 1>private company owned by a non profits that they put

0:12:38.040 --> 0:12:40.760
<v Speaker 1>out numbers of last numbers from I think with teen

0:12:40.880 --> 0:12:44.000
<v Speaker 1>where they don't give the exact figure saying a line

0:12:44.000 --> 0:12:46.120
<v Speaker 1>one it says from Google, but they have royalties and

0:12:46.720 --> 0:12:49.520
<v Speaker 1>royalties were close to the um They said about ninety

0:12:49.559 --> 0:12:52.560
<v Speaker 1>percent of royalties I believe in over four hundred million

0:12:52.600 --> 0:12:55.199
<v Speaker 1>a year and the revenue and the bulk of that

0:12:55.360 --> 0:12:58.240
<v Speaker 1>comes from these search deals. And so we're from our

0:12:58.520 --> 0:13:02.320
<v Speaker 1>based on our source. Thing that's like about probably minimum

0:13:02.520 --> 0:13:04.959
<v Speaker 1>of that of their entire revenue comes. So this is

0:13:05.520 --> 0:13:07.760
<v Speaker 1>close to half a half a billion dollars a week here.

0:13:08.800 --> 0:13:12.520
<v Speaker 1>That's amazing. UM. So you know, you you also mentioned that,

0:13:12.880 --> 0:13:15.720
<v Speaker 1>you know, and you mentioned this earlier, the privacy element,

0:13:15.960 --> 0:13:17.440
<v Speaker 1>and one of the things that you sort of had

0:13:17.520 --> 0:13:21.439
<v Speaker 1>explored or was explored in the story, um, is that

0:13:21.600 --> 0:13:25.120
<v Speaker 1>there was actually a kind of a niscent ability to

0:13:25.320 --> 0:13:27.600
<v Speaker 1>sort of jump into the search game. Oh you're gonna

0:13:27.600 --> 0:13:30.000
<v Speaker 1>cut me off for Joe Biden, aren't you. I love

0:13:30.040 --> 0:13:33.959
<v Speaker 1>you dearly, Happy Thanksgiving. This is Bloomberg Business Week with

0:13:34.120 --> 0:13:37.400
<v Speaker 1>Carol Messer from Bloomberg Radio. So I do want to

0:13:37.440 --> 0:13:40.720
<v Speaker 1>get to our Bloomberg Green segment because changing times, based

0:13:40.760 --> 0:13:43.520
<v Speaker 1>on the changing political wins. That story in our Bloomberg

0:13:43.559 --> 0:13:46.920
<v Speaker 1>Green segment today really about how today's smart money is

0:13:46.960 --> 0:13:49.599
<v Speaker 1>staying away from Arctic oil drilling. Let's get into it

0:13:49.840 --> 0:13:53.679
<v Speaker 1>with Bloomberg News Environmental regulations reporter Jennifer de Lowe. She

0:13:53.920 --> 0:13:56.960
<v Speaker 1>is with us on the phone from the nation's capital. Hey, Jen,

0:13:57.160 --> 0:13:59.400
<v Speaker 1>nice to have you here with us. So we're talking

0:13:59.440 --> 0:14:02.040
<v Speaker 1>about drilling rights and selling those drilling rights. That's something

0:14:02.080 --> 0:14:07.839
<v Speaker 1>that Trump Trump administration has been pretty aggressive about doing absolutely.

0:14:08.320 --> 0:14:11.160
<v Speaker 1>You know, they were part of a push several years

0:14:11.200 --> 0:14:16.120
<v Speaker 1>ago to get Congress to basically mandate that they stand

0:14:16.240 --> 0:14:18.839
<v Speaker 1>up a drilling program in the Arctic as part of

0:14:18.880 --> 0:14:21.800
<v Speaker 1>the tax bill in two thousand seventeen. And now they're

0:14:21.840 --> 0:14:26.480
<v Speaker 1>taking really concrete steps to try to get drilling rights sold.

0:14:26.960 --> 0:14:29.720
<v Speaker 1>Really in the final days and maybe even hours of

0:14:29.960 --> 0:14:33.120
<v Speaker 1>the Trump presidency, we could see at least Sail January

0:14:33.240 --> 0:14:37.560
<v Speaker 1>nineteen uh trying to basically get these drilling rights out

0:14:37.760 --> 0:14:39.920
<v Speaker 1>the door, and folks are lining up for them. Correct,

0:14:42.120 --> 0:14:47.400
<v Speaker 1>little little sarcasm, Well, tell listen, let's listen. I feel

0:14:47.400 --> 0:14:49.840
<v Speaker 1>like this speaks to so many conversations we have on Bloomberg.

0:14:49.920 --> 0:14:51.600
<v Speaker 1>That right, you can put it out there. But the

0:14:51.680 --> 0:14:54.280
<v Speaker 1>winds have changed, especially when it comes to things like

0:14:54.400 --> 0:14:56.800
<v Speaker 1>this and the impact on the climate and kind of

0:14:56.800 --> 0:15:00.680
<v Speaker 1>where the energy markets are going. That's exactly right. I mean,

0:15:00.760 --> 0:15:02.680
<v Speaker 1>we see the same thing in the market, you know,

0:15:02.800 --> 0:15:05.800
<v Speaker 1>with a whole and Naphi gas in the electricity market,

0:15:06.040 --> 0:15:09.440
<v Speaker 1>and here, you know, it's just remarkable. Had this sale

0:15:09.480 --> 0:15:13.240
<v Speaker 1>happened even a year ago, you'd have probably seen much

0:15:13.360 --> 0:15:17.040
<v Speaker 1>more interest, much more activity, including some bigger names, and

0:15:17.200 --> 0:15:20.360
<v Speaker 1>and the reality is that oil companies are facing, you know,

0:15:20.440 --> 0:15:22.960
<v Speaker 1>not just the reality of a Biden administration that has

0:15:23.000 --> 0:15:26.480
<v Speaker 1>promised to block are they're drilling, So these leases are

0:15:26.520 --> 0:15:28.880
<v Speaker 1>really going to be worthless for four years at least,

0:15:29.280 --> 0:15:32.080
<v Speaker 1>but they're also seeing you know, financing dry up for

0:15:32.160 --> 0:15:35.920
<v Speaker 1>these projects, and the pr you know, hit that they

0:15:35.960 --> 0:15:38.640
<v Speaker 1>would take from from drilling in the Arctic, which is

0:15:38.680 --> 0:15:42.160
<v Speaker 1>wildly unpopular, is a significant factor to a year ago,

0:15:42.320 --> 0:15:44.880
<v Speaker 1>some of these considerations were not at play, Jed, you

0:15:44.920 --> 0:15:47.360
<v Speaker 1>know what I think really that was I thought interesting

0:15:47.640 --> 0:15:50.640
<v Speaker 1>that anybody who bids on these drilling rights, as you

0:15:50.760 --> 0:15:53.720
<v Speaker 1>say in your reporting, we'll meet outside financing. And again,

0:15:53.760 --> 0:15:55.200
<v Speaker 1>as you said the pr image, there are a lot

0:15:55.240 --> 0:15:57.960
<v Speaker 1>of banks who are like thanks, but no thanks. Because

0:15:58.000 --> 0:16:01.200
<v Speaker 1>increasingly we're seeing among the big investor, there's institutional investors.

0:16:01.280 --> 0:16:04.400
<v Speaker 1>They are looking at the investments, the loans that a

0:16:04.480 --> 0:16:08.000
<v Speaker 1>bank makes, right, the business that it transacts, uh, in

0:16:08.200 --> 0:16:11.240
<v Speaker 1>terms of how it fits into increasingly e s G criteria.

0:16:12.360 --> 0:16:14.920
<v Speaker 1>Well that's exactly right. A movie seen five major US

0:16:14.960 --> 0:16:17.600
<v Speaker 1>banks adopt policy saying that they are not going to

0:16:17.720 --> 0:16:21.000
<v Speaker 1>finance oil and gas projects in the Arctic refuge. And

0:16:21.240 --> 0:16:23.720
<v Speaker 1>they're saying, you know that they're adopting these policies not

0:16:24.600 --> 0:16:27.720
<v Speaker 1>because they're you know, just being pressured by environmentalists, which

0:16:27.800 --> 0:16:30.080
<v Speaker 1>is something you hear from the Trump administrations, but in

0:16:30.200 --> 0:16:33.480
<v Speaker 1>fact there are real financial risks involved. They've already taken

0:16:33.800 --> 0:16:37.560
<v Speaker 1>hits with their oil investments, and of course they're concerned

0:16:37.560 --> 0:16:40.040
<v Speaker 1>about risks to the climate, to their investments and their

0:16:40.080 --> 0:16:43.760
<v Speaker 1>reputation if they keep underwriting these projects. So what happens though,

0:16:43.840 --> 0:16:48.520
<v Speaker 1>if somebody does buy a lease before the Biden administration

0:16:48.600 --> 0:16:51.960
<v Speaker 1>steps in, Um, it's real right and it can lead

0:16:52.000 --> 0:16:56.360
<v Speaker 1>to drilling. In fact, it can so these leases if

0:16:56.400 --> 0:16:59.720
<v Speaker 1>they are formally not just sold, but actually formally issued

0:16:59.760 --> 0:17:02.800
<v Speaker 1>before or Biden is inaugurated, their ten year contracts, and

0:17:02.880 --> 0:17:05.280
<v Speaker 1>it's really hard to to get out of a contract

0:17:05.600 --> 0:17:07.840
<v Speaker 1>and would be really hard for the Biden administrations to

0:17:08.000 --> 0:17:11.439
<v Speaker 1>walk away from them. Uh. The reality is every single

0:17:11.520 --> 0:17:14.159
<v Speaker 1>permit these companies would need to actually do something with

0:17:14.280 --> 0:17:16.600
<v Speaker 1>those leases is not going to come in the next

0:17:16.680 --> 0:17:19.000
<v Speaker 1>four years. I mean we're talking about drilling permits, but

0:17:19.119 --> 0:17:24.040
<v Speaker 1>also environmental various environmental approvals and wildlife approvals. So all

0:17:24.119 --> 0:17:27.359
<v Speaker 1>of those are an obstacle to actually standing up activity

0:17:27.760 --> 0:17:29.760
<v Speaker 1>in the next four years. One thing that's going to

0:17:29.840 --> 0:17:32.879
<v Speaker 1>be interesting to see is really who shows up. We

0:17:32.960 --> 0:17:35.720
<v Speaker 1>won't have big names, but we could see some small

0:17:35.840 --> 0:17:39.159
<v Speaker 1>sub speculators and little known companies that have ties with

0:17:39.440 --> 0:17:42.640
<v Speaker 1>the last interests that want to see the theory of develops. Yeah,

0:17:42.760 --> 0:17:45.320
<v Speaker 1>it's a fascinating story and a deep dive into what's

0:17:45.359 --> 0:17:47.639
<v Speaker 1>going on. Uh, you know, as everything else is going

0:17:47.680 --> 0:17:49.200
<v Speaker 1>on around us, we've got to keep a watch on

0:17:49.240 --> 0:17:52.120
<v Speaker 1>these kinds of things. Jen Thank you so much. Jennifer Deloe.

0:17:52.280 --> 0:17:55.520
<v Speaker 1>She is environmental regulations reporter for us here at Bloomberg

0:17:55.600 --> 0:17:58.360
<v Speaker 1>News in our Bloomberg Green segment today. Check her out

0:17:58.440 --> 0:18:00.960
<v Speaker 1>on Twitter and you can check her out on the

0:18:01.000 --> 0:18:04.720
<v Speaker 1>Bloomberg terminal and also at Bloomberg dot com. This is

0:18:04.760 --> 0:18:09.040
<v Speaker 1>Bloomberg Business Week with Carol Messer from Bloomberg Radio. Oh,

0:18:09.359 --> 0:18:12.920
<v Speaker 1>just scanning my Bloomberg terminal and yeah, this is the

0:18:12.960 --> 0:18:14.600
<v Speaker 1>most right story in the past eight hours on the

0:18:14.640 --> 0:18:17.760
<v Speaker 1>Bloomberg and kind of feeling a little bit chilly across

0:18:17.800 --> 0:18:21.360
<v Speaker 1>Wall Street. This story is about Bank of America's leaders,

0:18:21.800 --> 0:18:23.960
<v Speaker 1>how they are planning year and bonuses that break with

0:18:24.040 --> 0:18:27.760
<v Speaker 1>Wall Streets traders hopes for hefty raises. It's kind of

0:18:27.880 --> 0:18:30.879
<v Speaker 1>odd considering they've had a bit of a record setting run.

0:18:30.960 --> 0:18:34.040
<v Speaker 1>So let's explain what's going on. Michelle Davis, finance reporter

0:18:34.080 --> 0:18:35.960
<v Speaker 1>at Bloomberg New she's with us once again on the

0:18:36.040 --> 0:18:38.800
<v Speaker 1>phone from Vermont. Michelle, good to have you here with us.

0:18:39.320 --> 0:18:41.479
<v Speaker 1>You know, you put bonus in a headline and it's

0:18:41.520 --> 0:18:46.520
<v Speaker 1>going to trend high on the Bloomberg. What's going on here? Yeah, So,

0:18:47.000 --> 0:18:50.359
<v Speaker 1>you know, as you mentioned, Bank America's senior executives have

0:18:50.560 --> 0:18:54.600
<v Speaker 1>been floating plans right now about you know, what bonuses

0:18:54.640 --> 0:18:56.240
<v Speaker 1>are going to look like. It's that time of year

0:18:56.320 --> 0:18:59.920
<v Speaker 1>and a lot of people in the industry, you know,

0:19:00.119 --> 0:19:03.960
<v Speaker 1>traders have been expecting to get big payoffs because trading

0:19:04.000 --> 0:19:06.240
<v Speaker 1>revenue has surged this year. You know, it's been one

0:19:06.280 --> 0:19:08.840
<v Speaker 1>of the best years in in a decade or since

0:19:08.840 --> 0:19:11.640
<v Speaker 1>the financial crisis. Some people feel like they've worked harder

0:19:11.680 --> 0:19:15.560
<v Speaker 1>than they ever have before. And uh, the color we're

0:19:15.600 --> 0:19:19.240
<v Speaker 1>getting is that exacts they're actually thinking about keeping the

0:19:19.280 --> 0:19:22.440
<v Speaker 1>bonus pool slots for traders, even though you know, trading

0:19:22.480 --> 0:19:26.040
<v Speaker 1>revenue jumped in the first nine months of the year.

0:19:26.200 --> 0:19:28.639
<v Speaker 1>And a lot of this has to do with the

0:19:28.760 --> 0:19:31.639
<v Speaker 1>fact that, you know, Bank of America while it has

0:19:31.720 --> 0:19:34.720
<v Speaker 1>Wall Street Operations also has a big consumer bank that

0:19:35.280 --> 0:19:38.840
<v Speaker 1>uh hasn't been performing as well over the past few months. Uh.

0:19:39.080 --> 0:19:41.480
<v Speaker 1>This you know, matches what what other banks have also

0:19:41.520 --> 0:19:43.359
<v Speaker 1>been dealing with. And so you know, banks have had

0:19:43.440 --> 0:19:45.600
<v Speaker 1>to put up a ton of money, billions of dollars

0:19:45.720 --> 0:19:49.080
<v Speaker 1>to cover potential loan losses on the consumer side of

0:19:49.119 --> 0:19:52.680
<v Speaker 1>their businesses, and so in preparation for that, they're having

0:19:52.760 --> 0:19:55.680
<v Speaker 1>to temper expectations about bonuses on the on the Wall

0:19:55.720 --> 0:19:58.360
<v Speaker 1>Street side to try to you know, sturdy the ship,

0:19:58.440 --> 0:20:01.760
<v Speaker 1>study the ship before poss well on certain right. And

0:20:01.840 --> 0:20:05.399
<v Speaker 1>some would say, listen, they that's executives the C suite

0:20:05.440 --> 0:20:08.120
<v Speaker 1>being responsible and looking at the whole business and saying, Okay,

0:20:08.160 --> 0:20:09.800
<v Speaker 1>what do we need to do to make sure one

0:20:09.880 --> 0:20:11.760
<v Speaker 1>year from now we're in pretty good shape, right because

0:20:11.760 --> 0:20:14.360
<v Speaker 1>we still don't have a lot of visibility about next year. Um.

0:20:14.760 --> 0:20:17.640
<v Speaker 1>And so some of them would say, or some would argue,

0:20:17.760 --> 0:20:22.960
<v Speaker 1>right that it's top grasping responsible exactly exactly. And you know,

0:20:23.080 --> 0:20:27.520
<v Speaker 1>it's a pretty big deal because as we've been talking about,

0:20:27.560 --> 0:20:30.680
<v Speaker 1>you know, this year, the five biggest US investment thanks

0:20:31.400 --> 0:20:33.639
<v Speaker 1>you know, they're on taste to generate almost a hundred

0:20:33.640 --> 0:20:36.480
<v Speaker 1>billion dollars in trading revenue for the first time in

0:20:36.640 --> 0:20:40.400
<v Speaker 1>more than time years. And if Bank of America comes

0:20:40.400 --> 0:20:42.760
<v Speaker 1>out and says, you know, bonuses are probably gonna be flat.

0:20:43.200 --> 0:20:46.800
<v Speaker 1>All the other banks they pay close attention to, you know,

0:20:46.880 --> 0:20:49.960
<v Speaker 1>not only surveys about compensation, but also what what competitors

0:20:50.000 --> 0:20:51.520
<v Speaker 1>are doing, because no one wants to be the one

0:20:51.560 --> 0:20:53.400
<v Speaker 1>paying the least, but they also don't want to want

0:20:53.440 --> 0:20:55.880
<v Speaker 1>to be, you know, the entity that's handing out big

0:20:55.920 --> 0:20:58.960
<v Speaker 1>wads of cash when they could get away with paying less.

0:20:59.160 --> 0:21:01.800
<v Speaker 1>And so Bank of America coming out, you know, this

0:21:02.040 --> 0:21:06.760
<v Speaker 1>story could give others cover to pay less than what

0:21:06.960 --> 0:21:10.520
<v Speaker 1>they would have paid. UH and all of us kind

0:21:10.560 --> 0:21:13.960
<v Speaker 1>of I guess based on what we know from surveys.

0:21:14.080 --> 0:21:17.919
<v Speaker 1>You know, there's a compensation of UH consultant Johnson Johnson

0:21:18.160 --> 0:21:23.240
<v Speaker 1>Johnson Associates, sorry, Johnson Associated consultants earlier this month, they

0:21:23.359 --> 0:21:26.320
<v Speaker 1>projected that equity traders, you know, could see bonuses jump

0:21:26.359 --> 0:21:30.160
<v Speaker 1>by bond traders could see them increased by or more.

0:21:31.160 --> 0:21:33.359
<v Speaker 1>If one of the big, biggest wallster banks is going

0:21:33.400 --> 0:21:35.480
<v Speaker 1>to keep it fought, then you know, maybe the survey

0:21:35.600 --> 0:21:38.680
<v Speaker 1>wasn't totally right, but we still don't know. There's still

0:21:39.040 --> 0:21:41.359
<v Speaker 1>a month left in the quarter. In the fourth quarters,

0:21:41.440 --> 0:21:44.760
<v Speaker 1>things could change, um. But yeah, well, and I think

0:21:44.800 --> 0:21:46.520
<v Speaker 1>it's a it's a key point about Bank of America,

0:21:46.560 --> 0:21:48.119
<v Speaker 1>right because they've got a big consumer side. And I

0:21:48.160 --> 0:21:50.119
<v Speaker 1>have to say anecdotally, I know people who have been

0:21:50.160 --> 0:21:52.040
<v Speaker 1>reaching out to some of the big banks for either

0:21:52.640 --> 0:21:56.200
<v Speaker 1>home equity loans or so on, and what they're hearing

0:21:56.280 --> 0:21:59.359
<v Speaker 1>is that they're not doing any kind of new loans,

0:21:59.440 --> 0:22:01.879
<v Speaker 1>so there being a lot more conservative going forward. And

0:22:01.960 --> 0:22:04.400
<v Speaker 1>you do wonder what that means about what they're seeing internally,

0:22:04.760 --> 0:22:06.480
<v Speaker 1>maybe on the consumer side of the business. I'm not

0:22:06.520 --> 0:22:09.120
<v Speaker 1>saying be of a specifically, but just in general, that's

0:22:09.160 --> 0:22:12.520
<v Speaker 1>what I've been hearing. So I don't know, Like, um,

0:22:13.359 --> 0:22:17.760
<v Speaker 1>I'm thinking about an individual, can they lobby for a

0:22:17.920 --> 0:22:20.320
<v Speaker 1>larger payout? Like how does this work? And just got

0:22:20.359 --> 0:22:23.760
<v Speaker 1>about forty seconds here. Yeah, So what we understand is

0:22:23.840 --> 0:22:26.400
<v Speaker 1>that not all of this is set in stone just yet.

0:22:26.480 --> 0:22:30.320
<v Speaker 1>If there are high performers who you know, did really well,

0:22:30.560 --> 0:22:33.600
<v Speaker 1>there's still time for executive to lobby for larger payouts

0:22:33.640 --> 0:22:36.560
<v Speaker 1>to them. But I think that the other big things

0:22:36.600 --> 0:22:38.640
<v Speaker 1>to keep in mind here for Banks America is there's

0:22:38.640 --> 0:22:41.520
<v Speaker 1>a lot of optics here. You know, the economy is struggling.

0:22:41.560 --> 0:22:45.320
<v Speaker 1>Businesses they're shuttering, people are losing their job. Brian wynahand

0:22:45.359 --> 0:22:48.040
<v Speaker 1>the CEO, you know, he recognizes that it probably doesn't

0:22:48.080 --> 0:22:50.720
<v Speaker 1>look great to be handing out huge checks to you know,

0:22:50.920 --> 0:22:53.000
<v Speaker 1>traders at a time like this, and so that's definitely

0:22:53.040 --> 0:22:55.480
<v Speaker 1>something that's going to be coloring any decision. Yeah, and

0:22:55.520 --> 0:22:57.879
<v Speaker 1>safe to say that's left over from the financial crisis, right.

0:22:57.960 --> 0:23:00.600
<v Speaker 1>We saw a lot of sensitivity, um, in terms of

0:23:01.200 --> 0:23:03.360
<v Speaker 1>what the big banks were doing, what Wall Street was doing,

0:23:03.440 --> 0:23:06.200
<v Speaker 1>certainly at the time of the financial crisis, and having

0:23:06.240 --> 0:23:08.320
<v Speaker 1>to kind of either force it reining in because the

0:23:08.400 --> 0:23:12.080
<v Speaker 1>regulators are just trying to not be tone deaf amid

0:23:12.160 --> 0:23:15.479
<v Speaker 1>a really really tough time. Um, listen, thanks so much, Michelle,

0:23:15.520 --> 0:23:18.159
<v Speaker 1>Thank you. Have a great Thanksgiving. Michelle Davis, she's finance

0:23:18.200 --> 0:23:21.600
<v Speaker 1>reporter at Bloomberg News joining us on the phone in Vermont,

0:23:22.080 --> 0:23:32.399
<v Speaker 1>Bloommac Journal. Yeah but you let me drive, No, no, no, honey, please,

0:23:32.520 --> 0:23:39.679
<v Speaker 1>I'll do the riding drivel. I want to drive, Just drive, baby,

0:23:42.480 --> 0:23:52.440
<v Speaker 1>the questions trying. This is the drive to the globe.

0:23:53.200 --> 0:23:57.560
<v Speaker 1>Give me thanks. We'll drying up on Bloomberg Radio. This Indeed,

0:23:57.680 --> 0:24:00.440
<v Speaker 1>we're just about litten under twelve minutes away from the

0:24:00.480 --> 0:24:02.880
<v Speaker 1>closing bell, wrapping up at least the first three days

0:24:02.960 --> 0:24:05.520
<v Speaker 1>of trading in this holiday short and trading week. Of course,

0:24:05.560 --> 0:24:07.760
<v Speaker 1>we come back on Friday for a shortened day as well.

0:24:08.359 --> 0:24:10.520
<v Speaker 1>In the meantime, let's check out the trade back with

0:24:10.640 --> 0:24:13.440
<v Speaker 1>us as Shaun Cruise, manager of Trader Strategy at t

0:24:13.600 --> 0:24:15.680
<v Speaker 1>D a merror trade, he joined us on the phone

0:24:15.760 --> 0:24:18.720
<v Speaker 1>in Florida, Seawan, nice to have you here, um. Just

0:24:18.800 --> 0:24:20.439
<v Speaker 1>looking at some of the notes you shared with us.

0:24:21.040 --> 0:24:23.720
<v Speaker 1>You say, the elevator ride takes a pause this morning,

0:24:23.760 --> 0:24:26.080
<v Speaker 1>but it's still been an impressive week. It really has been,

0:24:26.160 --> 0:24:29.400
<v Speaker 1>hasn't it? It has? And I actually what I thought

0:24:29.560 --> 0:24:31.840
<v Speaker 1>was interesting. I went and looked at some of the

0:24:32.080 --> 0:24:34.639
<v Speaker 1>volumes we were seen, and there is actually some pretty

0:24:35.040 --> 0:24:38.240
<v Speaker 1>decent volumes we were seeing behind these moves, and I

0:24:38.359 --> 0:24:41.560
<v Speaker 1>think that shows that there actually maybe is a little

0:24:41.560 --> 0:24:44.080
<v Speaker 1>bit more staying power to some of the gains that

0:24:44.200 --> 0:24:46.720
<v Speaker 1>we have seen. Because I think that's what everyone's really

0:24:46.720 --> 0:24:49.600
<v Speaker 1>asking themselves, is this is this move higher? Is this

0:24:49.720 --> 0:24:52.280
<v Speaker 1>something that you know we should we should expect to

0:24:52.560 --> 0:24:55.080
<v Speaker 1>be able to maintain or maybe should I be dialing

0:24:55.200 --> 0:24:58.800
<v Speaker 1>back exposure just in case things do turn around rather quickly.

0:24:59.200 --> 0:25:00.879
<v Speaker 1>And you know, they say markets can kind of go

0:25:01.040 --> 0:25:03.920
<v Speaker 1>up up an elevator, but they go down off of cliff.

0:25:03.960 --> 0:25:06.359
<v Speaker 1>I think that's what everyone's asking themselves. But looking at

0:25:06.400 --> 0:25:09.000
<v Speaker 1>the volumes, I think this move seems sustainable at least

0:25:09.000 --> 0:25:12.679
<v Speaker 1>for the time being. Why I think the big thing

0:25:12.960 --> 0:25:15.880
<v Speaker 1>is really markets are looking ahead, and I really think

0:25:16.440 --> 0:25:19.480
<v Speaker 1>the news that Janet Yellen is being considered as considered

0:25:19.480 --> 0:25:22.280
<v Speaker 1>a front runner for the nomination for Chartery secretary really

0:25:22.320 --> 0:25:26.040
<v Speaker 1>gives anything a lot of optimism to markets because the

0:25:26.119 --> 0:25:28.280
<v Speaker 1>assumption also alongside that is that you're not going to

0:25:28.320 --> 0:25:31.080
<v Speaker 1>see Pow go anywhere, and now you're gonna have Janet Yellen,

0:25:31.119 --> 0:25:33.320
<v Speaker 1>who who I think certainly in the past has has

0:25:33.400 --> 0:25:37.920
<v Speaker 1>been a vocal proponent of strong fiscal stimulus from Congress.

0:25:38.000 --> 0:25:41.000
<v Speaker 1>So we will have POW who we got from the minute.

0:25:41.040 --> 0:25:44.760
<v Speaker 1>Today we know that it is going to remain accommodati,

0:25:44.760 --> 0:25:46.680
<v Speaker 1>as they say, to the future, and they're they're willing

0:25:46.720 --> 0:25:48.480
<v Speaker 1>to actually step up and do more in the asset

0:25:48.560 --> 0:25:51.479
<v Speaker 1>purchase side um and and that's something they've all been

0:25:51.560 --> 0:25:53.560
<v Speaker 1>calling for and now it looks like you're also going

0:25:53.640 --> 0:25:57.200
<v Speaker 1>to have a big proponent of accommodative policy on the

0:25:57.359 --> 0:26:02.119
<v Speaker 1>fiscal side as well well. And when you look at things, listen,

0:26:02.920 --> 0:26:04.560
<v Speaker 1>when you invest in the market, there are people who

0:26:04.600 --> 0:26:06.520
<v Speaker 1>play it short term. There people play it long term.

0:26:06.600 --> 0:26:09.320
<v Speaker 1>And I do think about when we get on the

0:26:09.400 --> 0:26:12.720
<v Speaker 1>other side of COVID, do we hopefully have the policies

0:26:12.760 --> 0:26:16.560
<v Speaker 1>in place to create a much more sustainable, enduring economy,

0:26:17.200 --> 0:26:19.960
<v Speaker 1>not one that is just beneficial to Wall Street, but

0:26:20.119 --> 0:26:24.040
<v Speaker 1>to the broader economy, which ultimately means a more prosperous

0:26:24.080 --> 0:26:28.080
<v Speaker 1>economy for everyone. I think so. And I think that

0:26:28.480 --> 0:26:31.000
<v Speaker 1>the thing that I find really interesting to be with

0:26:31.240 --> 0:26:33.440
<v Speaker 1>the phenomics in Janian is as you've heard Pow talk

0:26:33.480 --> 0:26:37.320
<v Speaker 1>about wanting to really focus on more inclusiveness, especially in

0:26:37.480 --> 0:26:40.680
<v Speaker 1>terms of jobs games UM in Janual and certainly echo

0:26:40.800 --> 0:26:43.560
<v Speaker 1>that sentiment. And I think people need to remind her

0:26:43.880 --> 0:26:46.080
<v Speaker 1>her background, her her bread and butter, so always speak,

0:26:46.240 --> 0:26:49.920
<v Speaker 1>is really um as a labor economist. So she is

0:26:50.600 --> 0:26:53.879
<v Speaker 1>very very strong when it comes to labor economics. And

0:26:53.960 --> 0:26:56.840
<v Speaker 1>as we come out of this recovery, UM, what sort

0:26:56.880 --> 0:26:59.800
<v Speaker 1>of of jobs growth for getting? You know, does that

0:27:00.000 --> 0:27:03.679
<v Speaker 1>translate into into well paid jobs with with strong wages,

0:27:04.040 --> 0:27:06.359
<v Speaker 1>and is it going to be more inclusive across the board?

0:27:06.720 --> 0:27:10.480
<v Speaker 1>I think having a labor economists in the as a

0:27:10.640 --> 0:27:13.280
<v Speaker 1>Secretary of Treasury, and then you also have a pal

0:27:13.400 --> 0:27:16.680
<v Speaker 1>who's also indicated he wants to to make sure that's

0:27:16.680 --> 0:27:19.120
<v Speaker 1>the focus of the FED moving forward sort of gives

0:27:19.160 --> 0:27:21.480
<v Speaker 1>you a little bit more facet that may actually be

0:27:22.160 --> 0:27:24.840
<v Speaker 1>um the experience of this recovery when we do get

0:27:24.880 --> 0:27:26.600
<v Speaker 1>to the other side of this. You know, Sean, We're

0:27:26.600 --> 0:27:29.320
<v Speaker 1>just did a story Charlie Pellett and I that basically

0:27:29.400 --> 0:27:32.439
<v Speaker 1>talked about when you know, a lot of the global

0:27:32.520 --> 0:27:36.960
<v Speaker 1>fund managers, they you know, see an end of the pandemic,

0:27:37.160 --> 0:27:40.159
<v Speaker 1>but they differ in terms of strategy on how to

0:27:40.280 --> 0:27:43.560
<v Speaker 1>play it. And there's a lot of discussions about market rotation,

0:27:43.680 --> 0:27:45.679
<v Speaker 1>right And depending on the day, we see market rotation,

0:27:45.760 --> 0:27:47.640
<v Speaker 1>whether it's into some of the value names, whether it's

0:27:47.680 --> 0:27:50.879
<v Speaker 1>continuation finally with small caps um and then all of

0:27:50.920 --> 0:27:52.920
<v Speaker 1>a sudden, tech comes roaring back and it's like, wait

0:27:53.040 --> 0:27:56.280
<v Speaker 1>a minute, Okay, so much for market rotation. UM, So

0:27:56.880 --> 0:27:59.080
<v Speaker 1>I don't know, do you have a strategy you know

0:27:59.359 --> 0:28:01.800
<v Speaker 1>that you are kind of thinking about when it comes

0:28:01.880 --> 0:28:04.560
<v Speaker 1>to the COVID recovery and what it will be or

0:28:04.680 --> 0:28:06.919
<v Speaker 1>is it something for a few months now and then

0:28:07.160 --> 0:28:11.840
<v Speaker 1>something else. Well, I think one the first thing everyone

0:28:11.920 --> 0:28:14.120
<v Speaker 1>was asking Solf was is are we going to see

0:28:14.359 --> 0:28:17.760
<v Speaker 1>a true um rotation in the sense of you are

0:28:17.840 --> 0:28:20.800
<v Speaker 1>going to see money flowing out of some of those

0:28:20.880 --> 0:28:23.040
<v Speaker 1>high flying text doctors that have done so well this year,

0:28:23.480 --> 0:28:26.879
<v Speaker 1>come out of observer that pile and go into some

0:28:27.040 --> 0:28:29.480
<v Speaker 1>of the more cyclical or small casts, and we're a

0:28:29.520 --> 0:28:32.960
<v Speaker 1>lot more of the just value oriented place right now. UM.

0:28:33.080 --> 0:28:34.880
<v Speaker 1>And I think what we've learned over the past couple

0:28:34.880 --> 0:28:37.399
<v Speaker 1>of weeks, there was an initial reaction when fights are

0:28:37.400 --> 0:28:39.800
<v Speaker 1>announced their their vaccine where you sort of saw that

0:28:39.960 --> 0:28:42.520
<v Speaker 1>play out on the screens. You saw, um the NAZAC

0:28:42.560 --> 0:28:44.800
<v Speaker 1>actually get hit. But a lot of the cyclical sectors

0:28:44.880 --> 0:28:48.240
<v Speaker 1>and the industries that really have a strong wait into

0:28:48.320 --> 0:28:51.520
<v Speaker 1>some of those more cyclical type names actually did really well.

0:28:52.320 --> 0:28:54.880
<v Speaker 1>I think markets sort of reassessed that, and in the

0:28:55.280 --> 0:28:57.880
<v Speaker 1>sense I'm getting now is look, we're going to hold

0:28:57.920 --> 0:29:00.200
<v Speaker 1>on to some of these techniques. We think they really

0:29:00.280 --> 0:29:02.480
<v Speaker 1>have made some pretty strong progress and use your growth

0:29:02.520 --> 0:29:05.880
<v Speaker 1>getting people on their platform. This year UM, but we're

0:29:05.920 --> 0:29:10.400
<v Speaker 1>also seeing some some attractive valuations in the cyclical sector,

0:29:10.520 --> 0:29:13.440
<v Speaker 1>so it really looks like equities are more generally favored.

0:29:13.760 --> 0:29:16.200
<v Speaker 1>Interstingself worth the money, where's the money going to come from?

0:29:16.240 --> 0:29:18.400
<v Speaker 1>If if you just really look at any any gauge

0:29:18.480 --> 0:29:21.120
<v Speaker 1>of sort of sideline cash, and that could be in

0:29:21.320 --> 0:29:24.320
<v Speaker 1>looking at money markets, look at UM, savings rates, and

0:29:24.400 --> 0:29:28.200
<v Speaker 1>in depository institutions. All of those are incredibly high right now.

0:29:28.280 --> 0:29:30.239
<v Speaker 1>So I think that's where you're going to see UM

0:29:30.480 --> 0:29:32.640
<v Speaker 1>the money flow from. It's going to come out of

0:29:32.920 --> 0:29:36.040
<v Speaker 1>being really truly on the sidelines and m and markets

0:29:36.080 --> 0:29:38.440
<v Speaker 1>and savings accounts. But I also think some of what

0:29:38.560 --> 0:29:41.320
<v Speaker 1>you've seen, just the strong demand flowing into treasury that's

0:29:41.320 --> 0:29:43.640
<v Speaker 1>pushed yields so low, I think you're actually going to

0:29:43.720 --> 0:29:46.440
<v Speaker 1>see that also reverse a little bit. And when you

0:29:46.560 --> 0:29:49.680
<v Speaker 1>start to think of what that means for interest rates

0:29:49.720 --> 0:29:52.840
<v Speaker 1>and yields, it can favor certain areas like banks UM,

0:29:53.040 --> 0:29:56.160
<v Speaker 1>but also there are some interest rates sensitive areas of

0:29:56.240 --> 0:29:59.720
<v Speaker 1>the economy and the market thinking housing automotives that maybe

0:30:00.080 --> 0:30:01.440
<v Speaker 1>are going to be on the other side of that

0:30:01.520 --> 0:30:04.760
<v Speaker 1>coin generally costed more. I think at fair exequities what's

0:30:04.760 --> 0:30:06.240
<v Speaker 1>the story we need to keep a watch on. What's

0:30:06.240 --> 0:30:07.600
<v Speaker 1>the thing that could be, you know, kind of turn

0:30:07.720 --> 0:30:10.360
<v Speaker 1>us upside down again. Here is it rising virus numbers,

0:30:10.440 --> 0:30:12.840
<v Speaker 1>everything taking just a little bit longer than we anticipate.

0:30:12.960 --> 0:30:15.320
<v Speaker 1>What is it? In your view? I think it's everything

0:30:15.480 --> 0:30:17.760
<v Speaker 1>taken a little bit longer than we anticipate. So I'm

0:30:17.760 --> 0:30:20.280
<v Speaker 1>really focused on what sort of a story of the

0:30:20.480 --> 0:30:24.040
<v Speaker 1>fiscal cliff households are going to experience if we aren't

0:30:24.080 --> 0:30:27.520
<v Speaker 1>able to extend some benefits, um, if banks aren't able

0:30:27.600 --> 0:30:31.000
<v Speaker 1>to maybe um renegotiate some of some of these loans

0:30:31.320 --> 0:30:33.960
<v Speaker 1>or some of the deaths that are owed out there,

0:30:34.320 --> 0:30:37.400
<v Speaker 1>you could see a pretty pronounced fiscal cliff coming here

0:30:37.480 --> 0:30:39.080
<v Speaker 1>towards the end of the year. And I think that's

0:30:39.120 --> 0:30:42.000
<v Speaker 1>really going to be something that shapes the recovery. Is

0:30:42.080 --> 0:30:44.440
<v Speaker 1>what sort of a platform are we lifting off from

0:30:44.520 --> 0:30:47.600
<v Speaker 1>and if we don't get I think some some sort

0:30:47.640 --> 0:30:50.880
<v Speaker 1>of extension, if not another round of stimulus, we may

0:30:50.920 --> 0:30:52.840
<v Speaker 1>be coming from a little bit more of a weak

0:30:53.040 --> 0:30:54.920
<v Speaker 1>point that we would like that we would like to

0:30:55.000 --> 0:30:57.880
<v Speaker 1>be when we do try and fire up the economy again,

0:30:58.240 --> 0:31:02.520
<v Speaker 1>and that could that could also really determine the recovery

0:31:02.600 --> 0:31:04.640
<v Speaker 1>we get. So that's really what I'm watching the disco

0:31:04.720 --> 0:31:06.040
<v Speaker 1>cliffs at the end of the year, and we know

0:31:06.240 --> 0:31:08.120
<v Speaker 1>rolling that rock back up the hill is not easy

0:31:08.360 --> 0:31:11.400
<v Speaker 1>and that's for sure. Um. Sean, thank you so much.

0:31:11.480 --> 0:31:14.640
<v Speaker 1>Have a good and safe holiday, Happy Thanksgiving. Sean Cruz.

0:31:15.120 --> 0:31:17.520
<v Speaker 1>He is manager of Traders Strategy at t d A

0:31:17.600 --> 0:31:20.280
<v Speaker 1>Marriage Trade, joining us on the phone from Chicago on

0:31:20.560 --> 0:31:23.680
<v Speaker 1>this Wednesday. Thanks so much for listening to Bloomberg Business Week.

0:31:23.760 --> 0:31:27.360
<v Speaker 1>Download the podcast on iTunes, SoundCloud, or at Bloomberg dot com,

0:31:27.560 --> 0:31:29.560
<v Speaker 1>and be sure to check out our daily radio show

0:31:29.600 --> 0:31:32.280
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0:31:32.320 --> 0:31:35.640
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