1 00:00:09,160 --> 00:00:12,200 Speaker 1: What is going on everybody? John Middlecoff three and Out 2 00:00:12,240 --> 00:00:18,160 Speaker 1: podcast off a crazy weekend of quarantining back again. We're 3 00:00:18,200 --> 00:00:23,000 Speaker 1: about ten days away from the National Football League hosting 4 00:00:23,040 --> 00:00:26,120 Speaker 1: their draft, so thank god we got something to look 5 00:00:26,120 --> 00:00:30,920 Speaker 1: forward to in this quarantine life. And uh, I'm gonna 6 00:00:30,960 --> 00:00:32,600 Speaker 1: dive in today off the top of the show, the 7 00:00:32,640 --> 00:00:35,920 Speaker 1: thing that I enjoy most about the draft and something 8 00:00:36,000 --> 00:00:39,080 Speaker 1: that it just really excites me heading into a draft, 9 00:00:39,120 --> 00:00:42,320 Speaker 1: and then even on draft night, I also listed the 10 00:00:42,360 --> 00:00:46,360 Speaker 1: top five general manager jobs going into just this year, 11 00:00:46,520 --> 00:00:50,080 Speaker 1: so this draft, but leading into this fall that I'm 12 00:00:50,120 --> 00:00:52,960 Speaker 1: most intrigued to see and that if I could put 13 00:00:53,000 --> 00:00:56,160 Speaker 1: myself in these jobs. I listened them one through five, 14 00:00:56,520 --> 00:00:58,200 Speaker 1: the ones that I want because I think they're in 15 00:00:58,240 --> 00:01:00,880 Speaker 1: the best position to just have a huge impact. And 16 00:01:00,920 --> 00:01:04,360 Speaker 1: then I just chose a bunch of other topics, things 17 00:01:04,400 --> 00:01:06,920 Speaker 1: that have happened over the last when's the last time 18 00:01:06,920 --> 00:01:09,240 Speaker 1: I talk to you? Friday? So Saturday, Sunday, and then 19 00:01:09,240 --> 00:01:11,240 Speaker 1: even today on Monday, but I want to And then 20 00:01:11,240 --> 00:01:14,240 Speaker 1: of course Middlecoff mail Bag at John Middlecoff is my 21 00:01:14,360 --> 00:01:18,560 Speaker 1: Instagram handle. Direct messages wide open. You can slide in 22 00:01:19,440 --> 00:01:23,319 Speaker 1: and uh, I'll read your question here on the podcast. 23 00:01:24,040 --> 00:01:26,560 Speaker 1: And uh also if you can, I know a lot 24 00:01:26,600 --> 00:01:28,960 Speaker 1: of you have I greatly appreciate it. Go to the 25 00:01:28,959 --> 00:01:31,640 Speaker 1: three and Out podcast. It has I know a lot 26 00:01:31,640 --> 00:01:35,319 Speaker 1: of you listen on Collins Feed. Also have my own feed. 27 00:01:35,600 --> 00:01:37,280 Speaker 1: If you go to my own feed, it has the 28 00:01:37,319 --> 00:01:39,880 Speaker 1: little picture of the microphone. If you like the show, 29 00:01:40,040 --> 00:01:41,920 Speaker 1: just leave a review. And for those of you that 30 00:01:42,000 --> 00:01:45,200 Speaker 1: have greatly appreciate it. But let's start what I like 31 00:01:45,319 --> 00:01:48,760 Speaker 1: most about the NFL draft. Like any person in their 32 00:01:48,840 --> 00:01:51,960 Speaker 1: late twenties early thirties, you get a little spare cash 33 00:01:52,040 --> 00:01:53,559 Speaker 1: and it doesn't even need to be much a couple 34 00:01:53,600 --> 00:01:55,520 Speaker 1: thousand bucks. You're like, what am I gonna do with 35 00:01:55,520 --> 00:01:58,920 Speaker 1: this money? My rents paid, my foods paid. You're like, 36 00:01:59,080 --> 00:02:01,240 Speaker 1: you know, I like business. I went to business school. 37 00:02:01,320 --> 00:02:03,880 Speaker 1: Let's start kind of sniffing around. You get some friends 38 00:02:03,920 --> 00:02:06,800 Speaker 1: that maybe work in the financial world, the e b 39 00:02:07,040 --> 00:02:09,160 Speaker 1: s with over beers, Like god, this sounds kind of cool, 40 00:02:09,520 --> 00:02:11,880 Speaker 1: especially for those of us that like gambling on sports. 41 00:02:12,960 --> 00:02:15,640 Speaker 1: You're like, well, I'm putting hundreds of dollars on you know, 42 00:02:16,160 --> 00:02:21,000 Speaker 1: random playoff series and golfers on major tournaments, and you know, 43 00:02:21,480 --> 00:02:24,160 Speaker 1: Penn State to cover on a Saturday night, I might 44 00:02:24,200 --> 00:02:27,080 Speaker 1: as well, instead of putting some of that money, diversify 45 00:02:27,120 --> 00:02:29,920 Speaker 1: and bet on a company. And, as Tony Robbins says, 46 00:02:30,240 --> 00:02:33,119 Speaker 1: if you just bet on companies that you use every day, 47 00:02:33,200 --> 00:02:35,440 Speaker 1: you're already proven that you believe in it. Hell, I 48 00:02:35,480 --> 00:02:37,560 Speaker 1: got an Apple computer, I gotta I'm looking at an 49 00:02:37,560 --> 00:02:39,440 Speaker 1: iPad and I got a phone. So what did I 50 00:02:39,480 --> 00:02:41,760 Speaker 1: do A couple of years ago? I invested in Apple, 51 00:02:41,919 --> 00:02:45,040 Speaker 1: made some money. Pretty novel concept, not that difficult. I 52 00:02:45,120 --> 00:02:48,359 Speaker 1: like the stocks and I actually think the draft is 53 00:02:48,400 --> 00:02:52,400 Speaker 1: a lot like a stock market, because I think we 54 00:02:52,520 --> 00:02:56,640 Speaker 1: think when we say these players out loud, like Jerry Judy, 55 00:02:56,800 --> 00:02:59,079 Speaker 1: he's just a lot to become a star, we all 56 00:02:59,200 --> 00:03:01,480 Speaker 1: think he's gonna be a good player. I don't know. 57 00:03:02,080 --> 00:03:03,960 Speaker 1: I've seen a lot of players that we thought were 58 00:03:03,960 --> 00:03:06,040 Speaker 1: gonna be really good players and they haven't become that. 59 00:03:06,440 --> 00:03:08,960 Speaker 1: Maybe he gets hurt, maybe he goes the wrong situation. 60 00:03:09,320 --> 00:03:12,120 Speaker 1: Who knows. We think every first round pick is gonna 61 00:03:12,120 --> 00:03:15,160 Speaker 1: be sweet. The reality is maybe half our and then 62 00:03:15,160 --> 00:03:18,840 Speaker 1: the reality is a much smaller percentage are actually impact players. 63 00:03:19,600 --> 00:03:24,160 Speaker 1: There's a decent chance on draft night Brandon Aiyuk or 64 00:03:24,880 --> 00:03:28,400 Speaker 1: Justin Jefferson is the best wide receiver out of the group, 65 00:03:28,440 --> 00:03:30,920 Speaker 1: and they might be the sixth or seventh wide receiver 66 00:03:31,080 --> 00:03:34,960 Speaker 1: off the board. So the key on draft night is 67 00:03:35,000 --> 00:03:39,960 Speaker 1: whoever you acquire. It's about paying the right price. Because 68 00:03:40,080 --> 00:03:43,720 Speaker 1: right now, I'm a big Netflix guy and have been 69 00:03:43,720 --> 00:03:46,760 Speaker 1: for a long time, and I bought in originally at 70 00:03:46,880 --> 00:03:49,800 Speaker 1: three hundred dollars. I took the money out a while 71 00:03:49,800 --> 00:03:52,240 Speaker 1: ago when it was at like threeft. It's nowt like 72 00:03:52,280 --> 00:03:56,240 Speaker 1: almost four hundred dollars. I believe in Netflix. They've crushed 73 00:03:56,280 --> 00:03:58,480 Speaker 1: it in the pandemic. We're all watching a lot of Netflix. 74 00:03:59,080 --> 00:04:01,560 Speaker 1: They are way a head of every streaming service. Even 75 00:04:01,600 --> 00:04:05,280 Speaker 1: with added competition in Amazon Prime, Disney created one. They're 76 00:04:05,280 --> 00:04:07,840 Speaker 1: still in great shape that they have a they're the 77 00:04:07,920 --> 00:04:10,480 Speaker 1: lead dog in the industry. They're they're gonna crush for 78 00:04:10,480 --> 00:04:12,880 Speaker 1: a long time. There's a chance that stocks eight hundred 79 00:04:12,880 --> 00:04:16,159 Speaker 1: dollars in ten years. Who knows. You could convince me. 80 00:04:17,320 --> 00:04:19,880 Speaker 1: Here's the thing, though, if you don't have a lot 81 00:04:19,920 --> 00:04:23,080 Speaker 1: of cash buying a four stock like you're only gonna 82 00:04:23,120 --> 00:04:25,200 Speaker 1: get Hell, if you've got four thousand dollars, you're only 83 00:04:25,200 --> 00:04:28,080 Speaker 1: getting ten shares. I'd much rather find a company that 84 00:04:28,160 --> 00:04:32,479 Speaker 1: was worth forty and by four hundred shares make that 85 00:04:32,560 --> 00:04:36,599 Speaker 1: mass right. My point is the profit is in the buy, 86 00:04:37,080 --> 00:04:41,280 Speaker 1: not the cell. The key on draft night is not 87 00:04:41,480 --> 00:04:45,840 Speaker 1: overpaying for stuff, because all a draft slot is is 88 00:04:46,040 --> 00:04:50,680 Speaker 1: whatever player you're taking, there is that guy's value that slot. 89 00:04:51,200 --> 00:04:54,880 Speaker 1: Now it takes two to tango. You can't always trade back. Listen, 90 00:04:54,920 --> 00:04:57,400 Speaker 1: I hated the Raiders number four overall pick last year, 91 00:04:57,640 --> 00:05:00,680 Speaker 1: taking Cleveland Farall at four. You cannot do that now. 92 00:05:00,720 --> 00:05:03,040 Speaker 1: Mike Mayock has gone on record. I think Mike max 93 00:05:03,080 --> 00:05:06,960 Speaker 1: already like a top ten GM in the league. He said, well, listen, 94 00:05:07,000 --> 00:05:09,680 Speaker 1: we wanted to trade back. We just couldn't. We couldn't 95 00:05:09,680 --> 00:05:12,640 Speaker 1: find a partner. I'd say, you know, that's fair, but 96 00:05:12,720 --> 00:05:15,440 Speaker 1: I can't take a player at four. Let's just say 97 00:05:15,480 --> 00:05:17,640 Speaker 1: four is worth a hundred dollars. Let's just say I'm 98 00:05:17,680 --> 00:05:21,839 Speaker 1: just making an even number. You bought a fifty player, 99 00:05:22,600 --> 00:05:25,040 Speaker 1: so he's never gonna have any trade value. He's already 100 00:05:25,040 --> 00:05:27,320 Speaker 1: we saw a year and he's terrible. So even if 101 00:05:27,320 --> 00:05:30,280 Speaker 1: he gets solid, he's never gonna be that great. You 102 00:05:30,279 --> 00:05:32,040 Speaker 1: would have been better off taking a guy with the 103 00:05:32,120 --> 00:05:34,920 Speaker 1: higher ceiling, because again, he might not be good either, 104 00:05:35,040 --> 00:05:37,240 Speaker 1: but at least if he does hit, maybe you keep 105 00:05:37,320 --> 00:05:39,480 Speaker 1: maybe a trade. At least you got options in years 106 00:05:39,520 --> 00:05:41,720 Speaker 1: to come. You gotta take Devin White, you gotta take 107 00:05:41,720 --> 00:05:45,359 Speaker 1: at all. You just gotta take a different player. Daniel Jones, 108 00:05:45,440 --> 00:05:49,440 Speaker 1: who was taken six overall, again hated the pick. Not 109 00:05:49,560 --> 00:05:52,839 Speaker 1: because I don't believe in taking your franchise quarterback high, 110 00:05:52,920 --> 00:05:55,560 Speaker 1: but I believe a team that had two picks, they 111 00:05:55,560 --> 00:05:58,799 Speaker 1: could have got the other player or that player at seventeen. 112 00:05:59,680 --> 00:06:02,320 Speaker 1: Because Daniel Jones, I feel very confident to this day, 113 00:06:02,320 --> 00:06:04,960 Speaker 1: though Dave Gettleman disagrees they would have got him at seventeen. 114 00:06:05,440 --> 00:06:07,440 Speaker 1: The one team that he had to worry about team 115 00:06:07,440 --> 00:06:09,760 Speaker 1: in his division, the Washington Redskins, because the head coach, 116 00:06:09,960 --> 00:06:12,680 Speaker 1: Jay Gruden, who's now fired in the offensive coordinator for 117 00:06:12,720 --> 00:06:15,840 Speaker 1: the Jacksonville Jaguars, wanted him. But the reality is, and 118 00:06:15,960 --> 00:06:19,520 Speaker 1: something that was public, we all knew Daniel Snyder wanted 119 00:06:19,600 --> 00:06:24,040 Speaker 1: Dwayne Haskins, who's the quarterback of the Washington Redskins. Dwayne Haskins. 120 00:06:24,200 --> 00:06:28,159 Speaker 1: Why because owners usually win the argument, so understanding value, 121 00:06:28,440 --> 00:06:32,279 Speaker 1: you could have got Daniel Jones at seventeen. Now, again, 122 00:06:32,400 --> 00:06:36,680 Speaker 1: the the deal was made, it's over. Daniel Jones is 123 00:06:36,680 --> 00:06:39,160 Speaker 1: on the Giants, and instead at seventeen they have a 124 00:06:39,200 --> 00:06:42,920 Speaker 1: nose tackle who Dexter Lawrence is a good player. I 125 00:06:42,960 --> 00:06:44,600 Speaker 1: don't like taking a nose tackle in the first round, 126 00:06:44,600 --> 00:06:47,080 Speaker 1: but that's an argument for a different day. I think 127 00:06:47,080 --> 00:06:50,200 Speaker 1: when you look back, sometimes your favorite player in a draft, 128 00:06:50,560 --> 00:06:52,880 Speaker 1: as a general manager, as a head coach, whoever is 129 00:06:52,920 --> 00:06:55,160 Speaker 1: in charge of your draft, might not be the guy 130 00:06:55,240 --> 00:06:59,159 Speaker 1: you take in the first round. John Schneider's favorite player 131 00:06:59,160 --> 00:07:02,320 Speaker 1: in the two thousand twelve of draft was clearly Russell Wilson. 132 00:07:02,800 --> 00:07:05,279 Speaker 1: It was the player that he loved the most. He 133 00:07:05,279 --> 00:07:08,159 Speaker 1: took him in the third round because he knew value 134 00:07:08,760 --> 00:07:12,160 Speaker 1: you you could he could easily justify. I believe this 135 00:07:12,160 --> 00:07:14,040 Speaker 1: guy is gonna be our franchise quarterback. I'm gonna take 136 00:07:14,080 --> 00:07:15,800 Speaker 1: him at I think they had the fifteenth pick that year. 137 00:07:15,840 --> 00:07:16,880 Speaker 1: I think it might have been the year they took 138 00:07:16,920 --> 00:07:20,680 Speaker 1: Bruce Irvant. Take Russell Wilson the first round. I love 139 00:07:20,720 --> 00:07:23,800 Speaker 1: this guy, favorite, one of my favorite players I've ever scouted. 140 00:07:23,960 --> 00:07:26,160 Speaker 1: I think he's gonna be a stud. Take him in fifteen. 141 00:07:26,240 --> 00:07:28,440 Speaker 1: He would have been viewed as crazy at the time. 142 00:07:28,840 --> 00:07:31,200 Speaker 1: Several years later, he would look like a genius. But 143 00:07:31,240 --> 00:07:33,800 Speaker 1: it wasn't about that. It was about understanding that you 144 00:07:33,840 --> 00:07:36,920 Speaker 1: could get Russell Wilson in the third round. Now there's 145 00:07:36,920 --> 00:07:39,960 Speaker 1: a risk. Guess what. There's a risk with everything. That's 146 00:07:39,960 --> 00:07:43,280 Speaker 1: why the key is from really the senior ball till now. 147 00:07:43,440 --> 00:07:46,640 Speaker 1: You're just acquiring information where a guy is gonna go. 148 00:07:47,080 --> 00:07:50,920 Speaker 1: That is the entire key with the draft. Understanding the 149 00:07:50,960 --> 00:07:54,360 Speaker 1: player that you want, what his value is in the draft. 150 00:07:55,000 --> 00:07:57,920 Speaker 1: Just because you love certain players, and if you love 151 00:07:57,920 --> 00:08:00,240 Speaker 1: certain players, whatever team you are, you believe that guy 152 00:08:00,280 --> 00:08:02,480 Speaker 1: is gonna be a good player. But there is a 153 00:08:02,520 --> 00:08:05,640 Speaker 1: separate argument about understanding where you need to go to 154 00:08:05,720 --> 00:08:08,760 Speaker 1: pick that player. John Snyder is good at this. Now 155 00:08:08,800 --> 00:08:11,360 Speaker 1: I'm not saying he always gets the draft picks right, 156 00:08:11,360 --> 00:08:14,600 Speaker 1: because he misses, just like any general manager. But since 157 00:08:14,600 --> 00:08:17,160 Speaker 1: two thousand twelve, he's traded his first round pick every 158 00:08:17,160 --> 00:08:21,440 Speaker 1: single year up down, mainly backwards and for players, and 159 00:08:21,480 --> 00:08:24,640 Speaker 1: in seventeen and nineteen he made multiple traits. But the 160 00:08:24,680 --> 00:08:28,000 Speaker 1: reality is he's always trying to get the value correct. Belichick, 161 00:08:28,360 --> 00:08:30,720 Speaker 1: Howie Roseman, the Niners do a pretty good job of this, 162 00:08:30,760 --> 00:08:33,199 Speaker 1: and again they've missed. They took once upon a time. 163 00:08:33,240 --> 00:08:35,960 Speaker 1: Solomon Thomas, who they miss because he's not good enough. 164 00:08:36,360 --> 00:08:40,000 Speaker 1: He doesn't have a position. Again, tries hard. You know, 165 00:08:40,400 --> 00:08:43,440 Speaker 1: backup player, but you don't pay backup player. You don't 166 00:08:43,480 --> 00:08:45,400 Speaker 1: draft a guy number three overall to be a backup, 167 00:08:46,640 --> 00:08:49,240 Speaker 1: just like you don't draft Trubisky. That's again, more than 168 00:08:49,280 --> 00:08:54,840 Speaker 1: when they took Trubisky, they miss evaluated the value on 169 00:08:54,880 --> 00:08:58,320 Speaker 1: that player. Now they would have had do he wasn't 170 00:08:58,320 --> 00:09:00,880 Speaker 1: gonna last till like ten. He might. You know, some 171 00:09:00,920 --> 00:09:03,959 Speaker 1: of those teams that took Deshaun Watson my homes, it's 172 00:09:03,960 --> 00:09:05,920 Speaker 1: pretty clear the Chiefs would have taken my homes. But 173 00:09:05,960 --> 00:09:08,160 Speaker 1: who knows. Maybe Bill O'Brien, like to Shawn, you know 174 00:09:08,200 --> 00:09:10,880 Speaker 1: Trimisky more than Deshaun Watson. I doubt it, but it's 175 00:09:10,880 --> 00:09:13,400 Speaker 1: Bill O'Brien. You never know. But if I would have 176 00:09:13,440 --> 00:09:15,600 Speaker 1: told you instead of trading up from three to two 177 00:09:15,640 --> 00:09:17,880 Speaker 1: to get Tramisky and given up a second or third 178 00:09:17,960 --> 00:09:21,560 Speaker 1: round pick, imagine if Ryan Pace had traded back three 179 00:09:21,640 --> 00:09:24,680 Speaker 1: or four spots and acquired a second and third round 180 00:09:24,679 --> 00:09:27,200 Speaker 1: pick and acquired Mr Bisky. I don't think we look 181 00:09:27,240 --> 00:09:29,440 Speaker 1: at it the same, and he more than likely could 182 00:09:29,440 --> 00:09:32,600 Speaker 1: have done that. That to me is the key is 183 00:09:32,840 --> 00:09:35,520 Speaker 1: that anyone in business will tell you always never be 184 00:09:35,559 --> 00:09:38,400 Speaker 1: afraid to walk away, don't get caught up on a price. 185 00:09:38,559 --> 00:09:41,400 Speaker 1: They'll always be more options. And that's what's gonna be 186 00:09:41,480 --> 00:09:44,720 Speaker 1: complicated about this zoom situation trying to make trades. But 187 00:09:45,320 --> 00:09:48,319 Speaker 1: I do think the best general managers we'll just I mean, 188 00:09:48,320 --> 00:09:50,559 Speaker 1: there's tax, there's emails, there's a million ways to get 189 00:09:50,559 --> 00:09:54,040 Speaker 1: ahold of people will figure it out, because you never 190 00:09:54,120 --> 00:09:57,240 Speaker 1: want to pay one point four million dollars for a 191 00:09:57,280 --> 00:10:02,839 Speaker 1: million dollar house unless you have unlimited money. Like if 192 00:10:03,000 --> 00:10:06,760 Speaker 1: the Miami Dolphins traded, Let's just do a hypothetical four 193 00:10:06,800 --> 00:10:11,840 Speaker 1: picks for Joe Burrow four number one, pick, five, pick, eighteen, 194 00:10:12,280 --> 00:10:16,959 Speaker 1: pick and the next year's one. You go, that's a lot. 195 00:10:17,559 --> 00:10:21,640 Speaker 1: They're paying one point three million, hell one point five 196 00:10:21,679 --> 00:10:24,240 Speaker 1: million dollars for a one million dollar home. But in 197 00:10:24,320 --> 00:10:26,840 Speaker 1: a couple of years, if Joe Burrow is good, that 198 00:10:26,960 --> 00:10:29,719 Speaker 1: million dollar home would immediately become a two million dollar home, 199 00:10:30,000 --> 00:10:32,440 Speaker 1: and you go, it was well worth the overpay. But 200 00:10:32,520 --> 00:10:36,240 Speaker 1: there is enormous risk. They also have more money just 201 00:10:36,280 --> 00:10:39,280 Speaker 1: because they have multiple first round picks. So anyone moving 202 00:10:39,360 --> 00:10:42,760 Speaker 1: up with multiple first round picks, they have more capital 203 00:10:42,840 --> 00:10:45,040 Speaker 1: to deal with when you when you move up and 204 00:10:45,080 --> 00:10:48,040 Speaker 1: you have a single pick, like your pick fourteen, and 205 00:10:48,080 --> 00:10:50,320 Speaker 1: you're moving up to the single digits seven or eight, 206 00:10:50,559 --> 00:10:52,840 Speaker 1: it's gonna cost you a lot more because you've gotta 207 00:10:53,040 --> 00:10:55,440 Speaker 1: deal with future picks. Who knows how good you're gonna be. 208 00:10:55,520 --> 00:10:57,480 Speaker 1: That future pick could be a lot higher. Hell, it 209 00:10:57,520 --> 00:10:59,320 Speaker 1: could be a lot lower. There's just a lot of unknown. 210 00:10:59,400 --> 00:11:02,520 Speaker 1: That's the entire key to the draft. It's just knowing value, 211 00:11:02,880 --> 00:11:05,840 Speaker 1: understanding the right value of what to trade for a player. 212 00:11:06,360 --> 00:11:10,800 Speaker 1: And then, to me, the least important is the player 213 00:11:10,840 --> 00:11:13,360 Speaker 1: because so much of the player is out of your control. 214 00:11:13,840 --> 00:11:16,280 Speaker 1: You know how hard he's gonna work, what he's gonna 215 00:11:16,280 --> 00:11:18,240 Speaker 1: fit like in your system. I'm not saying you haven't 216 00:11:18,280 --> 00:11:20,520 Speaker 1: done that work and you feel confident at the time. 217 00:11:21,120 --> 00:11:23,200 Speaker 1: But has there ever been a draft pick in the 218 00:11:23,200 --> 00:11:25,480 Speaker 1: first round where a general manager goes, you know what, 219 00:11:26,000 --> 00:11:30,240 Speaker 1: that pick sucked. I didn't want that guy. Know. Every 220 00:11:30,280 --> 00:11:32,880 Speaker 1: time you see a draft room, in the history of 221 00:11:33,000 --> 00:11:36,000 Speaker 1: draft rooms, when a player is picked in the first round, 222 00:11:36,240 --> 00:11:38,640 Speaker 1: high five hugs and kisses. Maybe there are a couple 223 00:11:38,720 --> 00:11:42,959 Speaker 1: examples where a team gets you know, in a tough situation, 224 00:11:43,040 --> 00:11:48,320 Speaker 1: but I would say plus percent of the time it's 225 00:11:48,720 --> 00:11:52,120 Speaker 1: jubilation because you really want the player. You assume the 226 00:11:52,120 --> 00:11:55,000 Speaker 1: player is going to be good, but the reality is 227 00:11:55,040 --> 00:11:57,680 Speaker 1: half the time he's just not for for whatever reason. 228 00:11:57,960 --> 00:12:01,200 Speaker 1: For whatever variable is the reason he failed. So the 229 00:12:01,320 --> 00:12:04,559 Speaker 1: key is to spend the right amount of draft capital 230 00:12:04,720 --> 00:12:07,679 Speaker 1: on that player. If you can ever get him for cheaper. 231 00:12:07,960 --> 00:12:09,920 Speaker 1: You have to be able to move down if those 232 00:12:09,960 --> 00:12:12,520 Speaker 1: options are there. You also have to be willing to 233 00:12:12,520 --> 00:12:16,319 Speaker 1: not get caught up on one individual player have options, 234 00:12:16,559 --> 00:12:19,080 Speaker 1: so you can spend the right amount of draft capital. 235 00:12:19,480 --> 00:12:22,600 Speaker 1: That's where the teams get in the best situations where 236 00:12:22,600 --> 00:12:25,760 Speaker 1: they're not over extending themselves. They're also you can also 237 00:12:25,920 --> 00:12:28,679 Speaker 1: overthink it and when your information is wrong, trade back 238 00:12:28,679 --> 00:12:32,120 Speaker 1: and then the players gone. So it's this really separates 239 00:12:32,120 --> 00:12:34,959 Speaker 1: the smart guys from even the kind of smart guys 240 00:12:35,000 --> 00:12:37,360 Speaker 1: that just don't have the information. That's why when I 241 00:12:37,400 --> 00:12:40,560 Speaker 1: was at the at the combine, every general manager, every 242 00:12:40,559 --> 00:12:42,880 Speaker 1: coach was telling me the key this week and the 243 00:12:42,960 --> 00:12:46,719 Speaker 1: key moving forward is information, information and information. What's the 244 00:12:46,760 --> 00:12:50,720 Speaker 1: key in real estate, location, location, location, The number one 245 00:12:50,800 --> 00:12:55,319 Speaker 1: key in draft is information, information, information, and then siphoning 246 00:12:55,360 --> 00:12:58,560 Speaker 1: through that information what's correct. And clearly the best general 247 00:12:58,559 --> 00:13:02,000 Speaker 1: managers have the best contax. They got information coming from 248 00:13:02,000 --> 00:13:05,080 Speaker 1: their scouts, they got information comes from opposing general managers. 249 00:13:05,120 --> 00:13:08,200 Speaker 1: They use the Peter Kings, the Peter Schrager's, the Adam Schefters, 250 00:13:08,200 --> 00:13:10,480 Speaker 1: the rap sheets to then acquire information. And then they 251 00:13:10,559 --> 00:13:13,400 Speaker 1: use all the information they're getting and then try to 252 00:13:13,400 --> 00:13:15,840 Speaker 1: figure out what's correct and what's not, and then you 253 00:13:15,920 --> 00:13:19,280 Speaker 1: kind of formulate your plan because again, this is just 254 00:13:19,360 --> 00:13:21,800 Speaker 1: an economic exercise. It just happens to be with draft 255 00:13:21,840 --> 00:13:26,440 Speaker 1: picks and people. Okay, let's dive in to the top 256 00:13:26,600 --> 00:13:31,480 Speaker 1: five general manager jobs I would want, and it doesn't 257 00:13:31,520 --> 00:13:33,640 Speaker 1: even necessary. The team doesn't have to be good. I 258 00:13:33,720 --> 00:13:36,720 Speaker 1: factored in how many draft picks you have. I factored 259 00:13:36,720 --> 00:13:41,040 Speaker 1: in where your team is, expectations, and just kind of 260 00:13:41,080 --> 00:13:44,000 Speaker 1: what I would want. I'll start at one and go 261 00:13:44,080 --> 00:13:47,959 Speaker 1: to five. I think the number one team. If you're 262 00:13:47,960 --> 00:13:51,360 Speaker 1: a general manager, the number one thing you'd want are 263 00:13:51,480 --> 00:13:55,600 Speaker 1: draft picks, because draft picks allow you to shape a 264 00:13:55,640 --> 00:13:59,000 Speaker 1: team how you want to shape a team. It's exactly 265 00:13:59,040 --> 00:14:02,240 Speaker 1: what the Miami Dolphins did. They traded basically anyone that 266 00:14:02,280 --> 00:14:05,839 Speaker 1: could play, and you know they probably want a few 267 00:14:05,880 --> 00:14:07,840 Speaker 1: too many games down the stretch and put them at 268 00:14:07,920 --> 00:14:12,160 Speaker 1: number five, but you can't dispute they currently have, according 269 00:14:12,200 --> 00:14:17,320 Speaker 1: to my math, three first rounders, two second rounders, and 270 00:14:17,440 --> 00:14:21,240 Speaker 1: a third. They have three picks in the top seventy, 271 00:14:21,720 --> 00:14:23,760 Speaker 1: with three of them being first rounders and two pretty 272 00:14:23,760 --> 00:14:27,600 Speaker 1: good second rounders. And then next year they have multiple ones, 273 00:14:27,720 --> 00:14:31,520 Speaker 1: oh and multiple twos. The amount of high level picks 274 00:14:31,520 --> 00:14:35,880 Speaker 1: they have is staggering. So if they hit on six 275 00:14:35,920 --> 00:14:38,440 Speaker 1: picks this year that are really high next year two 276 00:14:38,440 --> 00:14:42,200 Speaker 1: first rounders to second rounders, let's just go ten picks. 277 00:14:42,960 --> 00:14:47,160 Speaker 1: If they hit on six of those ten, so, especially 278 00:14:47,200 --> 00:14:49,240 Speaker 1: given that a lot of them are really good picks, 279 00:14:49,360 --> 00:14:51,880 Speaker 1: you can get impact players. They could be really good. 280 00:14:53,640 --> 00:14:56,040 Speaker 1: They also have the m O if they want to 281 00:14:56,080 --> 00:14:58,920 Speaker 1: get crazy to move up. I just think it's a 282 00:14:59,040 --> 00:15:03,800 Speaker 1: unique job. The franchise has little history of winning. Since Marino, 283 00:15:04,320 --> 00:15:06,920 Speaker 1: they have been the most average franchise in the league. 284 00:15:07,320 --> 00:15:10,360 Speaker 1: I mean, there have been some more below average franchise chess, 285 00:15:10,560 --> 00:15:12,400 Speaker 1: but I'm pretty sure the last twenty years I remember 286 00:15:12,400 --> 00:15:15,160 Speaker 1: seeing a stat like last year they were perfectly at 287 00:15:15,160 --> 00:15:17,280 Speaker 1: five hundred. Now they might have won a couple of 288 00:15:17,320 --> 00:15:19,720 Speaker 1: games might slightly be above it, slightly below it, but 289 00:15:19,840 --> 00:15:21,800 Speaker 1: for a long period of time they were exactly at 290 00:15:21,800 --> 00:15:26,880 Speaker 1: five post Marino. It's pretty nuts. I didn't love selling 291 00:15:26,880 --> 00:15:30,680 Speaker 1: off really good players because you drafted Minka, you drafted 292 00:15:30,720 --> 00:15:33,400 Speaker 1: Laramie Tunsil in the first round. The key when you 293 00:15:33,440 --> 00:15:35,920 Speaker 1: trade those guys, they have to find a franchise quarterback. 294 00:15:36,200 --> 00:15:38,440 Speaker 1: If not this year, next year, but they have to. 295 00:15:38,880 --> 00:15:41,600 Speaker 1: You can't go through this tank. This isn't in the NBA. 296 00:15:41,760 --> 00:15:44,640 Speaker 1: What's the key to tanking finding a transcendent player. The 297 00:15:44,720 --> 00:15:47,600 Speaker 1: key to tanking in football is to find a quarterback. 298 00:15:47,880 --> 00:15:49,600 Speaker 1: So either this year next year, they have to get 299 00:15:49,600 --> 00:15:54,520 Speaker 1: a franchise quarterback. But they are stocked with premium picks. 300 00:15:55,000 --> 00:15:58,840 Speaker 1: And I think any general manager in any sport would 301 00:15:58,880 --> 00:16:02,200 Speaker 1: die for this type am o in a draft. So 302 00:16:02,240 --> 00:16:04,320 Speaker 1: I would say the number one general manager job that 303 00:16:04,360 --> 00:16:07,360 Speaker 1: I would want, like probably any football fan would want, 304 00:16:07,360 --> 00:16:08,600 Speaker 1: just given how many picks they have, would be The 305 00:16:08,640 --> 00:16:12,040 Speaker 1: Miami Dolphins went a little off the beaten path at two, 306 00:16:13,320 --> 00:16:15,520 Speaker 1: but I'm factoring in the ability to win a Super 307 00:16:15,520 --> 00:16:18,600 Speaker 1: Bowl this far. This fall, he had, you know, one 308 00:16:18,640 --> 00:16:20,520 Speaker 1: of the biggest free agency moves in the history of 309 00:16:20,560 --> 00:16:22,720 Speaker 1: free agency. Now it may turn out not to be, 310 00:16:22,800 --> 00:16:25,280 Speaker 1: but Tom Brady signed with Tampa Bay Buccaneers. They were 311 00:16:25,320 --> 00:16:27,120 Speaker 1: seven and nine last year with a quarterback, and through 312 00:16:27,160 --> 00:16:30,520 Speaker 1: thirty picks, they have basically everyone on offense coming back. 313 00:16:31,240 --> 00:16:33,840 Speaker 1: Their defense really came on at the end they resigned Sue. 314 00:16:33,840 --> 00:16:37,680 Speaker 1: They should be pretty solid. They have three picks in 315 00:16:37,720 --> 00:16:39,880 Speaker 1: the top seventy six. They have a first round or 316 00:16:39,920 --> 00:16:43,880 Speaker 1: fourteenth overall, second round overall, and the third rounder of 317 00:16:43,920 --> 00:16:47,360 Speaker 1: seventy six. Then they have multiple fourth round picks. So 318 00:16:47,400 --> 00:16:50,320 Speaker 1: if up those five picks, they hit on three really 319 00:16:50,360 --> 00:16:54,040 Speaker 1: good players adding Tom Brady. They have Bruce Arians, a 320 00:16:54,080 --> 00:16:57,400 Speaker 1: playoff coach. They have Todd Bowls, a playoff defensive coordinator. 321 00:16:58,200 --> 00:17:00,320 Speaker 1: I don't think it's out of the realm impossibility that 322 00:17:00,360 --> 00:17:03,800 Speaker 1: you can call Tampa Bay a Super Bowl contender with 323 00:17:03,880 --> 00:17:07,080 Speaker 1: a really good draft. Now they gotta get impact players, 324 00:17:07,680 --> 00:17:10,920 Speaker 1: whether it's a legit running back, some legit offensive linemen, 325 00:17:11,359 --> 00:17:14,960 Speaker 1: maybe a legitimate defensive back. But they are in a 326 00:17:15,000 --> 00:17:17,879 Speaker 1: position if they do a good job in this draft, 327 00:17:18,440 --> 00:17:21,040 Speaker 1: to be poised to not just compete to win their 328 00:17:21,040 --> 00:17:24,840 Speaker 1: division with the Saints, but to compete to win the NFC. 329 00:17:25,440 --> 00:17:28,040 Speaker 1: If Tom Brady is good, and clearly I believe in 330 00:17:28,040 --> 00:17:30,919 Speaker 1: their coach I believe in their coaching staff, and I 331 00:17:30,960 --> 00:17:34,240 Speaker 1: believe in their talent. So if you add a good 332 00:17:34,280 --> 00:17:38,679 Speaker 1: draft to their existing talent and their upgraded quarterback, I 333 00:17:38,680 --> 00:17:40,840 Speaker 1: think Tampa, all of a sudden, you've got Jason Lte 334 00:17:40,880 --> 00:17:44,760 Speaker 1: could be Executive of the Year. My third would be 335 00:17:44,800 --> 00:17:48,440 Speaker 1: Mak and the Raiders. They went seven and nine last year. Now, 336 00:17:48,440 --> 00:17:50,639 Speaker 1: they had some high highs. They played really good for 337 00:17:50,640 --> 00:17:52,639 Speaker 1: a stretch and we're six and four. They had some 338 00:17:52,760 --> 00:17:55,080 Speaker 1: low lows. They got their ask kicked by the Jets. 339 00:17:55,600 --> 00:17:58,000 Speaker 1: They lost their last home game ever in Oakland to 340 00:17:58,000 --> 00:18:02,480 Speaker 1: the Jacksonville Jaguars. But they had a really really productive 341 00:18:02,560 --> 00:18:04,919 Speaker 1: draft and they went seven and nine, and right up 342 00:18:04,960 --> 00:18:06,520 Speaker 1: until the last three or four weeks they were in 343 00:18:06,600 --> 00:18:10,440 Speaker 1: the playoff discussion. Well, now they got two first round 344 00:18:10,440 --> 00:18:15,560 Speaker 1: picks twelve nineteen. They also have three third round picks, 345 00:18:16,200 --> 00:18:18,359 Speaker 1: so you could package maybe two of those threes and 346 00:18:18,400 --> 00:18:20,600 Speaker 1: get into the second round. You could always use one 347 00:18:20,600 --> 00:18:22,879 Speaker 1: of those first round picks and trade back. Here's the 348 00:18:22,960 --> 00:18:27,919 Speaker 1: key with the Raiders. They have a lot of solid players, 349 00:18:27,960 --> 00:18:30,240 Speaker 1: Like they just have guys that you can win with 350 00:18:30,800 --> 00:18:34,920 Speaker 1: their problem is they don't have enough blue chip players 351 00:18:34,920 --> 00:18:38,240 Speaker 1: like That's why they acquired Antonio Brown, That's why they 352 00:18:38,320 --> 00:18:40,720 Speaker 1: need They tried to get Byron Jones. Now we could 353 00:18:40,760 --> 00:18:43,160 Speaker 1: argue a Byron Jones a blue chip player, but they 354 00:18:43,240 --> 00:18:46,399 Speaker 1: need impact starters because the only way to make the 355 00:18:46,400 --> 00:18:49,840 Speaker 1: playoffs is two fold. First and foremost, you need difference 356 00:18:49,840 --> 00:18:52,639 Speaker 1: making players and then you need depth. Well, the Raiders 357 00:18:52,680 --> 00:18:54,159 Speaker 1: have depth. They had a bunch of draft picks the 358 00:18:54,200 --> 00:18:56,080 Speaker 1: last couple of years. They signed a lot of players 359 00:18:56,119 --> 00:18:57,960 Speaker 1: in free agency the last couple of years. Depths not 360 00:18:58,000 --> 00:19:00,960 Speaker 1: their problem. They don't have enough players when they're playing 361 00:19:01,000 --> 00:19:03,159 Speaker 1: the Chiefs. They don't have guys that can make plays 362 00:19:03,200 --> 00:19:05,840 Speaker 1: like the Honey Badger and Tyreek Kill. They don't have 363 00:19:05,840 --> 00:19:08,000 Speaker 1: players when they're playing the Chargers. If the Charges get 364 00:19:08,040 --> 00:19:11,680 Speaker 1: good quarterback play to hang with Keenan Allen, Mike Williams, 365 00:19:11,840 --> 00:19:16,320 Speaker 1: bosup Ingram and uh Derwin James, they need to find 366 00:19:16,400 --> 00:19:18,480 Speaker 1: a way. If they can use these two first round 367 00:19:18,480 --> 00:19:21,919 Speaker 1: picks to get difference making guys, get a star corner 368 00:19:21,920 --> 00:19:25,479 Speaker 1: and star wide receiver to go with Jacobs, to go 369 00:19:25,600 --> 00:19:28,280 Speaker 1: with uh with Darren Waller, all of a sudden, you 370 00:19:28,359 --> 00:19:30,840 Speaker 1: might have something and maybe you can get in that 371 00:19:30,920 --> 00:19:34,240 Speaker 1: wild card mix. You got to come out of this draft. 372 00:19:34,920 --> 00:19:37,840 Speaker 1: Maybe maybe trade those three threes to get up near 373 00:19:37,880 --> 00:19:40,159 Speaker 1: the top of the second round and get another sweet 374 00:19:40,160 --> 00:19:44,040 Speaker 1: player and try to get three impact guys. The raiders 375 00:19:44,080 --> 00:19:47,080 Speaker 1: biggest issue right now is star players. They don't have 376 00:19:47,200 --> 00:19:49,800 Speaker 1: enough of them. You can't make the playoffs without them. 377 00:19:49,840 --> 00:19:52,719 Speaker 1: You can you can win six to eight games just 378 00:19:52,920 --> 00:19:57,119 Speaker 1: being consistent running the football. Their defense is awful, but 379 00:19:57,520 --> 00:19:59,879 Speaker 1: in theory and playing a little bit better defense. But 380 00:20:00,160 --> 00:20:02,480 Speaker 1: this draft, given that, I think this draft on paper 381 00:20:02,520 --> 00:20:04,560 Speaker 1: looks excellent with a lot of impact players, and they 382 00:20:04,600 --> 00:20:07,000 Speaker 1: got two high first round picks. They got a chance 383 00:20:07,040 --> 00:20:08,959 Speaker 1: to make a big impact. Okay, you might think I'm 384 00:20:08,960 --> 00:20:11,800 Speaker 1: a little crazy here, but just listen to me. But 385 00:20:11,800 --> 00:20:14,359 Speaker 1: I'm gonna go with the New York Giants. A couple 386 00:20:14,359 --> 00:20:16,200 Speaker 1: of years ago, they took sa Kuon Barkley, which was 387 00:20:16,240 --> 00:20:17,960 Speaker 1: too early for a running back, but there is no 388 00:20:18,000 --> 00:20:21,280 Speaker 1: disputing he's a star. Last year, again, a lot of 389 00:20:21,359 --> 00:20:24,359 Speaker 1: unknown on Daniel Jones. But if Daniel Jones, it just 390 00:20:24,440 --> 00:20:27,119 Speaker 1: becomes a top fifteen quarterback. That means you have your 391 00:20:27,119 --> 00:20:30,520 Speaker 1: franchise quarterback and franchise used loosely right, He's not gonna 392 00:20:30,520 --> 00:20:33,439 Speaker 1: be Mahomes Russell Wilson. But if he's just solid, you 393 00:20:33,480 --> 00:20:35,480 Speaker 1: got your quarterback for the next decade, to go with 394 00:20:35,520 --> 00:20:38,960 Speaker 1: sta Kwon Barkley, and to go with potentially whoever you 395 00:20:39,080 --> 00:20:44,560 Speaker 1: nail at pick four. If you have the stones and 396 00:20:44,720 --> 00:20:48,240 Speaker 1: the balls to do this, it could change your franchise forever. 397 00:20:48,760 --> 00:20:52,200 Speaker 1: Isaiah Simmons, if he's your guy at four, and let's 398 00:20:52,200 --> 00:20:54,399 Speaker 1: say you hit on that guy, all of a sudden, 399 00:20:54,440 --> 00:20:58,080 Speaker 1: you have a generational player on defense, a generational player 400 00:20:58,119 --> 00:21:01,080 Speaker 1: on offense, and your starting quarterback in a three year period. 401 00:21:01,560 --> 00:21:05,080 Speaker 1: Pretty good situation. You hired the right coach again, I'm 402 00:21:05,119 --> 00:21:08,760 Speaker 1: I'm going on some assumptions. Met Joe Judge. Pretty impressive guy. 403 00:21:09,000 --> 00:21:10,959 Speaker 1: I don't know anything about him. He might be a failure. 404 00:21:11,080 --> 00:21:14,359 Speaker 1: We we don't know, welcome to football. But what if 405 00:21:14,359 --> 00:21:16,919 Speaker 1: he's good. So all of a sudden, Gettleman's hired a 406 00:21:16,960 --> 00:21:20,880 Speaker 1: good coach, he's drafted se Kwon a good quarterback, and 407 00:21:20,960 --> 00:21:24,560 Speaker 1: he's acquired a suitet player at number four. Now, this 408 00:21:24,640 --> 00:21:28,320 Speaker 1: alfico could go very wrong. Daniel Jones stinks the number 409 00:21:28,320 --> 00:21:31,000 Speaker 1: four pick. If you get Isaiah Simmons, he doesn't work 410 00:21:31,040 --> 00:21:33,000 Speaker 1: inside your defense and it doesn't look right. All of 411 00:21:33,040 --> 00:21:35,000 Speaker 1: a sudden, you're drafting the top five again. You're fired, 412 00:21:35,280 --> 00:21:37,920 Speaker 1: very risky. But if you get this right, and if 413 00:21:37,960 --> 00:21:42,160 Speaker 1: you were right previously with Daniel Jones, Dave Gettleman, there's 414 00:21:42,200 --> 00:21:44,600 Speaker 1: a chance I'm just throwing this out there, there is 415 00:21:44,640 --> 00:21:49,359 Speaker 1: a chance within the next you know, by the end 416 00:21:49,400 --> 00:21:52,399 Speaker 1: of the season. Dave Gettleman by no means looks like 417 00:21:52,440 --> 00:21:54,879 Speaker 1: the village idiot that he does now because he's the 418 00:21:54,920 --> 00:21:57,720 Speaker 1: easiest person for the media to crush, he's the easiest 419 00:21:57,760 --> 00:22:00,880 Speaker 1: person for the analytical community to crush. I think there's 420 00:22:00,880 --> 00:22:02,800 Speaker 1: a decent chance that when all the dust settles, people go, 421 00:22:02,800 --> 00:22:04,959 Speaker 1: you know what, Dave Gentelman turned out, he actually did 422 00:22:05,000 --> 00:22:08,119 Speaker 1: a decent job. Gotta nail this, and he needs Daniel 423 00:22:08,160 --> 00:22:11,360 Speaker 1: Jones to be good. The last team. This is factoring 424 00:22:11,359 --> 00:22:14,320 Speaker 1: a little what they have on their team right now, 425 00:22:14,720 --> 00:22:16,440 Speaker 1: and they have one of the best quarterbacks we've ever 426 00:22:16,440 --> 00:22:21,200 Speaker 1: seen in Patrick Mahomes, who's years old. In the last 427 00:22:21,200 --> 00:22:23,960 Speaker 1: two years they went to they went won the Super 428 00:22:24,000 --> 00:22:25,959 Speaker 1: Bowl and the previous year they lost because of an 429 00:22:25,960 --> 00:22:30,639 Speaker 1: offside in the NFC Championship game. The Kansasy Chiefs have 430 00:22:30,680 --> 00:22:34,680 Speaker 1: a pick in every round. If you just hit on 431 00:22:34,840 --> 00:22:38,480 Speaker 1: three of the seven players to become solid starters on 432 00:22:38,560 --> 00:22:42,240 Speaker 1: your team, cheap labor. Given that you're playing Patrick Mahomes 433 00:22:42,320 --> 00:22:44,840 Speaker 1: about to probably the next year a lot of money. 434 00:22:45,000 --> 00:22:48,160 Speaker 1: You already got a pretty high priced team, and Hill, Kelsey, 435 00:22:48,440 --> 00:22:51,840 Speaker 1: Honey Badger, Frank Clark, Chris Jones gonna need to get paid. 436 00:22:52,119 --> 00:22:55,800 Speaker 1: You need cheap labor. Well, it'd be pretty exciting to go. 437 00:22:55,920 --> 00:22:58,320 Speaker 1: You know what, I got Patrick Mahomes for the next decade, 438 00:22:58,400 --> 00:23:01,080 Speaker 1: kicking everyone's ass. Now out what's on me as a 439 00:23:01,119 --> 00:23:05,000 Speaker 1: GM to nail draft picks and just get solid starters. 440 00:23:05,119 --> 00:23:07,840 Speaker 1: Because if I get solid, functional starters that are on 441 00:23:07,880 --> 00:23:10,720 Speaker 1: my team for three or four years making seven d 442 00:23:10,920 --> 00:23:13,560 Speaker 1: eight hundred thousand dollars, I'm gonna be tough to beat 443 00:23:14,080 --> 00:23:16,479 Speaker 1: and I might rattle off three or four Super Bowls. 444 00:23:16,920 --> 00:23:19,320 Speaker 1: That is the key. These next couple of drafts for 445 00:23:19,320 --> 00:23:22,960 Speaker 1: the Chiefs are huge because if each nails these drafts, 446 00:23:23,000 --> 00:23:25,879 Speaker 1: and I when I say nail, get three starters. If 447 00:23:25,920 --> 00:23:28,640 Speaker 1: you come out of this draft with three starters, you're 448 00:23:28,680 --> 00:23:31,520 Speaker 1: golden because then next year you can get rid of 449 00:23:31,520 --> 00:23:33,680 Speaker 1: some players that make a lot of money. You can 450 00:23:33,680 --> 00:23:36,800 Speaker 1: siphon in your younger players. You gotta balance out the 451 00:23:36,880 --> 00:23:41,080 Speaker 1: high end expense with cheap labor and Mahomes, Frank Clark, 452 00:23:41,160 --> 00:23:43,560 Speaker 1: Tyreek Kill. These guys aren't going anywhere, and they shouldn't 453 00:23:43,560 --> 00:23:47,400 Speaker 1: because obviously Mahomes is a great player. But you're gonna need, 454 00:23:48,280 --> 00:23:50,440 Speaker 1: you know, a decent amount of people on a decent 455 00:23:50,440 --> 00:23:53,119 Speaker 1: amount of players, decent amount of your of your roster 456 00:23:53,840 --> 00:23:57,320 Speaker 1: on minimum type contracts. That your second, your third, your 457 00:23:57,359 --> 00:23:59,880 Speaker 1: fourth round picks. And for the first time in a while, 458 00:24:00,080 --> 00:24:02,320 Speaker 1: Kansas City has a lot of picks because they haven't 459 00:24:02,320 --> 00:24:04,720 Speaker 1: made any traits. So they're just sitting there and you 460 00:24:04,760 --> 00:24:08,119 Speaker 1: get this right, like you could become, i mean, a 461 00:24:08,320 --> 00:24:12,280 Speaker 1: powerhouse dynasty. Help. I think it's fair to say they're 462 00:24:12,280 --> 00:24:14,119 Speaker 1: the Super Bowl favorites right now. How could they not 463 00:24:14,160 --> 00:24:17,119 Speaker 1: be the best player in the game, Patrick Mahomes. You 464 00:24:17,160 --> 00:24:20,200 Speaker 1: put talent around him offensively and defensively, because we saw 465 00:24:20,320 --> 00:24:22,560 Speaker 1: last year. If their defense plays well, they're gonna win 466 00:24:22,600 --> 00:24:24,840 Speaker 1: a lot of games. And that's just that's just a 467 00:24:24,880 --> 00:24:27,760 Speaker 1: reality for Kansas City and looking forward to and again 468 00:24:27,800 --> 00:24:30,240 Speaker 1: that's the thing about a draft like the Chiefs, it 469 00:24:30,240 --> 00:24:32,359 Speaker 1: won't be that sexy on draft night because they're drafting 470 00:24:32,359 --> 00:24:34,000 Speaker 1: at the end of it. At the end of every 471 00:24:34,119 --> 00:24:36,760 Speaker 1: round where it would be sexy is like week seven, 472 00:24:37,359 --> 00:24:40,399 Speaker 1: You're like, Wow, they got two starters from that draft 473 00:24:40,440 --> 00:24:42,760 Speaker 1: and three other guys that play. Then then they're in 474 00:24:42,760 --> 00:24:46,320 Speaker 1: pretty good shape. Okay, let's dive into some topics just 475 00:24:46,400 --> 00:24:49,280 Speaker 1: around football things that have happened over the weekend. Number 476 00:24:49,280 --> 00:24:52,679 Speaker 1: one topic on Monday was Christian McCaffrey get topics story. 477 00:24:53,320 --> 00:24:56,119 Speaker 1: Christian McCaffrey signed a contract and as the latest, I 478 00:24:56,160 --> 00:24:59,960 Speaker 1: haven't seen how much guaranteed he got. I guess sick 479 00:25:00,080 --> 00:25:02,520 Speaker 1: teen million dollars a year. I've seen a lot of 480 00:25:02,560 --> 00:25:05,840 Speaker 1: people analytically freak out. I don't love paying running backs. 481 00:25:06,520 --> 00:25:08,680 Speaker 1: Derrick Henry carried the Titans to the a f C 482 00:25:08,840 --> 00:25:12,560 Speaker 1: Championship game. Wouldn't pay him, make him go a year 483 00:25:12,560 --> 00:25:15,320 Speaker 1: to year, make him go on the franchise tech Zeke Elliott. 484 00:25:15,359 --> 00:25:19,040 Speaker 1: I didn't love paying him that much money. Christian McCaffrey's 485 00:25:19,080 --> 00:25:21,760 Speaker 1: kind of a different animal. He was the first player 486 00:25:21,840 --> 00:25:26,800 Speaker 1: last year since Roger Craig and Marshall Falk to join 487 00:25:26,880 --> 00:25:29,879 Speaker 1: the thousand thousand club. He's had over a hundred catches 488 00:25:29,960 --> 00:25:32,320 Speaker 1: two years in a row. I was way too low 489 00:25:32,320 --> 00:25:33,800 Speaker 1: on him coming out. I thought he was gonna be 490 00:25:33,840 --> 00:25:37,360 Speaker 1: like a glorified Julian Edelman. Turns out he's like Jarvis 491 00:25:37,400 --> 00:25:41,720 Speaker 1: Landry meets say Kwan Barkley. He's one of the top 492 00:25:41,960 --> 00:25:45,040 Speaker 1: ten non quarterbacks in the league. He's twenty three years old. 493 00:25:46,640 --> 00:25:50,040 Speaker 1: He'll be twenty four when the season starts. But he's young, 494 00:25:50,280 --> 00:25:53,960 Speaker 1: he's productive, he's high character. You can turn things around 495 00:25:54,080 --> 00:25:57,800 Speaker 1: quick if you're the Panthers. The problem also with McCaffrey 496 00:25:57,840 --> 00:26:01,359 Speaker 1: because of his position, you couldn't flip him like a 497 00:26:01,440 --> 00:26:04,080 Speaker 1: Laramie Tunsil or like a Jalen Ramsey, and at his 498 00:26:04,119 --> 00:26:07,720 Speaker 1: position he's their level or Khalil Mack. Because if you're 499 00:26:07,760 --> 00:26:09,640 Speaker 1: the Panthers and you really want to reset, you'd want 500 00:26:09,640 --> 00:26:11,320 Speaker 1: to trade him for a couple of first round picks. 501 00:26:11,440 --> 00:26:14,080 Speaker 1: The problem is no teams trading You would a couple 502 00:26:14,119 --> 00:26:16,840 Speaker 1: first round picks for him, and then I see, oh, 503 00:26:16,840 --> 00:26:19,160 Speaker 1: sixteen million dollars way too much for a running back 504 00:26:19,400 --> 00:26:23,080 Speaker 1: when you factor in how much he impacts the game 505 00:26:23,240 --> 00:26:27,040 Speaker 1: receiving and running the ball, and it's sixteen million. He's 506 00:26:27,040 --> 00:26:29,639 Speaker 1: only eight percent of the cap this year. Well, if 507 00:26:29,640 --> 00:26:32,280 Speaker 1: it goes up another twenty million next year, You're already 508 00:26:32,280 --> 00:26:34,840 Speaker 1: at six percent of the cap. He doesn't cost that 509 00:26:34,960 --> 00:26:38,879 Speaker 1: much money. People act like sixteen seventeen, eighteen million for 510 00:26:38,920 --> 00:26:42,400 Speaker 1: these elite I can't believe you spent this on that guy. 511 00:26:43,040 --> 00:26:45,359 Speaker 1: Serious the cap we don't have a ten million dollar 512 00:26:45,400 --> 00:26:49,760 Speaker 1: cap anymore. Times have changed. Money's all relative. So I 513 00:26:50,160 --> 00:26:54,600 Speaker 1: like the signing Drew Brees signed with the NBC, which 514 00:26:54,640 --> 00:26:57,040 Speaker 1: to me is a little weird. If you're Drew Brees, 515 00:26:57,960 --> 00:27:01,600 Speaker 1: time is on your side. Anytime you retire and want 516 00:27:01,640 --> 00:27:05,800 Speaker 1: to join the media workforce, you're gonna have multiple, you know, 517 00:27:06,720 --> 00:27:10,280 Speaker 1: networks lined up for your services. I don't get why 518 00:27:10,320 --> 00:27:12,879 Speaker 1: you sign a future contract if you're him, don't you 519 00:27:12,920 --> 00:27:14,920 Speaker 1: want to live in the moment, try to baby win 520 00:27:14,960 --> 00:27:17,080 Speaker 1: the Super Bowl? What if you want to come back 521 00:27:17,080 --> 00:27:19,720 Speaker 1: for a couple of years. I just that to me 522 00:27:19,800 --> 00:27:24,440 Speaker 1: is a little bizarre. What what is the rush? Where 523 00:27:24,440 --> 00:27:27,199 Speaker 1: are these networks going? Who are they were? Who are 524 00:27:27,200 --> 00:27:29,119 Speaker 1: they getting better than him? Now? I don't even think 525 00:27:29,160 --> 00:27:31,639 Speaker 1: Drew Brees gonna be that good, like I think Manning 526 00:27:31,640 --> 00:27:33,600 Speaker 1: would be good. I think Philip Rivers would be pretty good. 527 00:27:33,840 --> 00:27:35,680 Speaker 1: I think there's chance Drew Brees wouldn't be that good. 528 00:27:36,600 --> 00:27:39,320 Speaker 1: And I think he's a fantastic human being, probably like 529 00:27:39,400 --> 00:27:41,560 Speaker 1: one of the highest character guys in the NFL history. 530 00:27:42,400 --> 00:27:44,640 Speaker 1: But the one thing you see with Romo is he's 531 00:27:44,720 --> 00:27:46,960 Speaker 1: kind of a guy's guy. He just kind of lets 532 00:27:47,000 --> 00:27:49,280 Speaker 1: it flow. He's fun. Then you get some guys that 533 00:27:49,320 --> 00:27:51,199 Speaker 1: are kind of critical, like a Troy Aigman. Like what 534 00:27:51,280 --> 00:27:54,040 Speaker 1: would be Drew Brees is lane. He's not gonna be critical. 535 00:27:54,080 --> 00:27:57,159 Speaker 1: It's not really his style. Is he super fun of me? 536 00:27:57,160 --> 00:28:00,840 Speaker 1: He's a nice guy, but is he super fun guy? Again? 537 00:28:00,920 --> 00:28:04,400 Speaker 1: I have the utmost respect for Drew Brees. I am 538 00:28:04,480 --> 00:28:08,399 Speaker 1: a huge Drew Brees guy. I just I don't know. 539 00:28:08,800 --> 00:28:11,720 Speaker 1: I want my TV personalities to be a little crazy 540 00:28:11,960 --> 00:28:15,600 Speaker 1: John Madden, John Gruden, Tony Romo. You could argue Troy 541 00:28:15,600 --> 00:28:17,600 Speaker 1: Aikman is like the high end super button up, but 542 00:28:17,640 --> 00:28:21,040 Speaker 1: he he lets it rip. I don't Drew Brees a 543 00:28:21,040 --> 00:28:23,520 Speaker 1: little corporate for me. I I don't know. I I 544 00:28:23,520 --> 00:28:25,199 Speaker 1: don't know if he's gonna be great at TV, but 545 00:28:25,280 --> 00:28:29,520 Speaker 1: I still don't understand why he's signed early. The XFL 546 00:28:29,560 --> 00:28:33,480 Speaker 1: went bankrupt, you know, they owe a lot of people money. 547 00:28:33,920 --> 00:28:37,560 Speaker 1: Their revenue stopped coming in and the way business works. 548 00:28:37,600 --> 00:28:39,360 Speaker 1: I don't think people understand this. I saw with the 549 00:28:39,400 --> 00:28:41,520 Speaker 1: media like Finch Young stiffed a lot of people. No, 550 00:28:41,640 --> 00:28:44,640 Speaker 1: he did not. Anytime you get involved with a startup, 551 00:28:44,640 --> 00:28:46,520 Speaker 1: and I have several times over the last three or 552 00:28:46,560 --> 00:28:49,880 Speaker 1: four years, you're risking a lot. There is no guaranteed 553 00:28:49,920 --> 00:28:52,880 Speaker 1: the money's gonna keep flowing. There is no guarantee you're 554 00:28:52,880 --> 00:28:55,160 Speaker 1: gonna get the money your promise. Part of the reason 555 00:28:55,200 --> 00:28:57,960 Speaker 1: you get involved with the startup because it sounds really 556 00:28:57,960 --> 00:29:01,440 Speaker 1: good non paper, and even something like the XFL that 557 00:29:01,560 --> 00:29:05,080 Speaker 1: sounded good on paper, it had tangible things going for it, 558 00:29:05,080 --> 00:29:08,479 Speaker 1: It had legitimate partners, it had money backing. Things are 559 00:29:08,480 --> 00:29:11,160 Speaker 1: out of your control. Corona hits boom, no more revenue 560 00:29:11,240 --> 00:29:14,200 Speaker 1: League screwed. Vince Young is not taking money out of 561 00:29:14,200 --> 00:29:18,560 Speaker 1: his personal accounts to keep this thing afloat, especially when 562 00:29:18,560 --> 00:29:23,080 Speaker 1: there's no certainty when this thing's gonna end is who knows, 563 00:29:23,920 --> 00:29:26,040 Speaker 1: like he did the right thing. You just go bankrupt, 564 00:29:26,120 --> 00:29:30,120 Speaker 1: and everyone that from Bob Stoops to the executives of 565 00:29:30,160 --> 00:29:33,040 Speaker 1: the players like that's part of the deal. You sign 566 00:29:33,120 --> 00:29:35,920 Speaker 1: up with something risky. Sometimes it goes under. For every 567 00:29:35,960 --> 00:29:39,320 Speaker 1: Apple and Amazon that hit. There's a million companies you 568 00:29:39,400 --> 00:29:41,800 Speaker 1: never heard of. And I actually don't think Vince Young 569 00:29:41,840 --> 00:29:44,160 Speaker 1: did anything wrong or Vince mcbanhn did anything wrong here. 570 00:29:44,680 --> 00:29:47,680 Speaker 1: They were set up to succeed. They were having success 571 00:29:48,320 --> 00:29:51,160 Speaker 1: and the Corona hit and now they're bankrupt. Like it's 572 00:29:51,280 --> 00:29:53,520 Speaker 1: it's pretty complicated when I see a lot of people 573 00:29:53,880 --> 00:29:57,080 Speaker 1: this was inevitable. No, it wasn't. They would never have 574 00:29:57,120 --> 00:30:00,600 Speaker 1: gone bankrupt without Corona. Would it have been some success, 575 00:30:00,720 --> 00:30:03,040 Speaker 1: I don't know, but for sure as hell was not 576 00:30:03,080 --> 00:30:07,080 Speaker 1: going under, they were getting more more viewers than NBA games. 577 00:30:07,280 --> 00:30:09,840 Speaker 1: They were fine. Was it some rage? It wasn't the 578 00:30:09,920 --> 00:30:13,440 Speaker 1: next NFL, but it was serving a specific purpose and 579 00:30:13,480 --> 00:30:17,320 Speaker 1: it was working and it gave the television networks inventory. 580 00:30:17,520 --> 00:30:20,960 Speaker 1: But Corona hits, it comes to a screeching halt. There 581 00:30:21,120 --> 00:30:24,520 Speaker 1: is no money, and unlike the NFL, they don't have 582 00:30:24,680 --> 00:30:28,400 Speaker 1: bank accounts as a league to just go through a 583 00:30:28,520 --> 00:30:32,000 Speaker 1: rainy day. There was no rainy day fund. That's part 584 00:30:32,000 --> 00:30:34,080 Speaker 1: of a startup, like part of having success as a 585 00:30:34,160 --> 00:30:37,280 Speaker 1: startup is getting off to a strong start so then 586 00:30:37,320 --> 00:30:40,560 Speaker 1: you can kind of snowball it into more success. And 587 00:30:40,600 --> 00:30:42,600 Speaker 1: they were off to a strong start in Boom Corona. 588 00:30:42,640 --> 00:30:47,560 Speaker 1: They're they're done. Vince McMahon, This is not personally liable 589 00:30:47,640 --> 00:30:50,520 Speaker 1: for this stuff. There's a reason the XFL was a 590 00:30:50,560 --> 00:30:54,560 Speaker 1: corporation LLC or whatever it was. People don't spend their 591 00:30:54,720 --> 00:31:00,120 Speaker 1: personal income to keep you know, startups that there's no 592 00:31:00,200 --> 00:31:03,719 Speaker 1: certainty for it to keep to stay afloat. This just 593 00:31:03,800 --> 00:31:07,000 Speaker 1: wasn't gonna happen. So I Vince Young, did I keep 594 00:31:07,000 --> 00:31:09,600 Speaker 1: calling him Vince Young? Vince McMahon did the right thing. 595 00:31:10,000 --> 00:31:13,640 Speaker 1: Interesting little nugget here that Alden Smith and Mike McCarthy 596 00:31:13,840 --> 00:31:18,240 Speaker 1: started a relationship at Jay Glazier's Jim It's where Alden 597 00:31:18,320 --> 00:31:21,520 Speaker 1: first met Mike McCarthy, and it shows you, like, would 598 00:31:21,560 --> 00:31:24,760 Speaker 1: the Cowboys have signed this guy? Just off hearsay from 599 00:31:24,880 --> 00:31:27,000 Speaker 1: Jay Glazer that he's turned his life around, that he 600 00:31:27,040 --> 00:31:30,280 Speaker 1: looks good. Sometimes in life it's just where you are 601 00:31:30,560 --> 00:31:34,400 Speaker 1: who you run into. And clearly Mike McCarthy, I don't 602 00:31:34,400 --> 00:31:37,719 Speaker 1: want to say put his reputation on the line, but look, Jerry, 603 00:31:37,760 --> 00:31:40,560 Speaker 1: you know, and Jerry's an easy sell on this, like, hey, Jerry, 604 00:31:40,560 --> 00:31:43,080 Speaker 1: I think we should do this. And Alden you see 605 00:31:43,160 --> 00:31:45,120 Speaker 1: him at the gym, you see how healthy is Sometimes 606 00:31:45,160 --> 00:31:46,840 Speaker 1: Also if you're sweating around a guy. You see, if 607 00:31:46,840 --> 00:31:48,600 Speaker 1: he smells like booze or not. It's the number one 608 00:31:48,880 --> 00:31:52,080 Speaker 1: place to kind of alcoholic smell. So if he's not, 609 00:31:52,120 --> 00:31:54,520 Speaker 1: if he smells clean, you're like this guy. You know, 610 00:31:54,760 --> 00:31:56,400 Speaker 1: he seems like he's sober. You can see it in 611 00:31:56,400 --> 00:31:59,640 Speaker 1: the guy's face. McCarthy was able to have a personal 612 00:31:59,680 --> 00:32:02,440 Speaker 1: inter action with this guy that probably helped, you know, 613 00:32:02,920 --> 00:32:06,000 Speaker 1: it clearly did. I mean, I think uh Alden's agent 614 00:32:06,040 --> 00:32:08,400 Speaker 1: even said a big reason this happens because McCarthy felt 615 00:32:08,400 --> 00:32:11,280 Speaker 1: comfortable they developed a personal relationship at this gym. I 616 00:32:11,320 --> 00:32:15,040 Speaker 1: didn't know this. Mike McCarthy's daughter is an inspiring actress. 617 00:32:15,080 --> 00:32:18,520 Speaker 1: I wouldn't have guessed that pretty cool nugget from Peter King. 618 00:32:18,640 --> 00:32:21,320 Speaker 1: Roger Goodell will announce all the first round picks from 619 00:32:21,320 --> 00:32:24,440 Speaker 1: his basement. At first, I thought, you know, this is 620 00:32:24,480 --> 00:32:26,480 Speaker 1: kind of stupid. They're doing it on zoom, and then 621 00:32:26,480 --> 00:32:29,400 Speaker 1: he realized, like watching some of the Masters over the weekend, 622 00:32:29,440 --> 00:32:32,440 Speaker 1: they had Phil Mickelson and Tiger Woods do the recap 623 00:32:32,440 --> 00:32:36,080 Speaker 1: of their master's victory. You know it's not ideal, but 624 00:32:36,400 --> 00:32:38,280 Speaker 1: you know, these are the cards were dealt, and we're 625 00:32:38,280 --> 00:32:40,520 Speaker 1: just dealing with them and it's still entertaining. I think 626 00:32:40,520 --> 00:32:42,880 Speaker 1: it'll be fine. I think it'll make for some funny moments, 627 00:32:43,840 --> 00:32:46,080 Speaker 1: and I think for years to come, we'll look back 628 00:32:46,120 --> 00:32:49,160 Speaker 1: on this and talk about the Corona Draft, and I'm 629 00:32:49,200 --> 00:32:51,120 Speaker 1: sure we will have some viral moments that we will 630 00:32:51,160 --> 00:32:56,000 Speaker 1: never forget. Okay, let's dive into the middle Cough mail 631 00:32:56,040 --> 00:33:00,200 Speaker 1: bag at John middlecoff is my Instagram. Slide up right 632 00:33:00,200 --> 00:33:03,840 Speaker 1: into those direct messages and you'll get your questions right here. 633 00:33:05,800 --> 00:33:07,960 Speaker 1: Very little has been discussed about the running backs in 634 00:33:08,000 --> 00:33:11,440 Speaker 1: the twenty draft, given the strength of wide receivers, corners, quarterbacks, 635 00:33:11,440 --> 00:33:14,440 Speaker 1: and offensive line, and a diminishing view of running back 636 00:33:14,520 --> 00:33:17,600 Speaker 1: value in recent years. Where do you see some of 637 00:33:17,600 --> 00:33:21,560 Speaker 1: the top running backs going Swift, Dobbs, and Taylor were 638 00:33:21,600 --> 00:33:25,480 Speaker 1: all exceptional in college, but seemed rarely mentioned as first 639 00:33:25,560 --> 00:33:29,520 Speaker 1: round options. I would expect one of them to go 640 00:33:29,560 --> 00:33:33,400 Speaker 1: in the first round, probably Dobbs, could see Taylor, but 641 00:33:33,520 --> 00:33:36,320 Speaker 1: either Dobbs or Taylor to go somewhere in the twenties. 642 00:33:37,200 --> 00:33:40,200 Speaker 1: I think the other two guys we'll get drafted high 643 00:33:40,240 --> 00:33:43,120 Speaker 1: in the second round, like Chub in years past, Derrick 644 00:33:43,160 --> 00:33:46,480 Speaker 1: Henry and years passed. I think that early second round 645 00:33:46,520 --> 00:33:50,240 Speaker 1: spot has just been a sweet spot for running backs. 646 00:33:50,240 --> 00:33:53,240 Speaker 1: Teams feel comfortable drafting a guy there. You don't feel 647 00:33:53,280 --> 00:33:56,760 Speaker 1: like you're using a first round pick. Now, you could argue, like, 648 00:33:56,840 --> 00:33:58,840 Speaker 1: imagine if you had Derrick Henry as a first round pick, 649 00:33:58,840 --> 00:34:00,360 Speaker 1: you have the fifth year option, you have a little 650 00:34:00,360 --> 00:34:05,800 Speaker 1: wiggle room. But I just think that those two guys 651 00:34:05,840 --> 00:34:07,640 Speaker 1: can play. I mean, Jonathan Taylor is a ball or 652 00:34:08,280 --> 00:34:11,600 Speaker 1: j K. Dobbins can play really good. Swift is solid. 653 00:34:12,000 --> 00:34:15,520 Speaker 1: I like Zack Moss, though he's not gonna go that high. Um, 654 00:34:15,520 --> 00:34:19,600 Speaker 1: it's just it's just tough to me. He is just 655 00:34:19,640 --> 00:34:21,640 Speaker 1: catching the ball. If you can catch the ball, you 656 00:34:21,680 --> 00:34:25,000 Speaker 1: can play running back in two thousand twenty, And obviously 657 00:34:25,040 --> 00:34:27,439 Speaker 1: you can play if you can't catch the ball. I mean, 658 00:34:27,480 --> 00:34:29,600 Speaker 1: you have high level value if you can run it 659 00:34:29,680 --> 00:34:31,880 Speaker 1: and catch it. I'm talking about a guy that can 660 00:34:31,920 --> 00:34:35,200 Speaker 1: add seventy eight catches, because if you're not a seventy 661 00:34:35,200 --> 00:34:39,719 Speaker 1: eight catch guy, I struggle drafting really high. Now. Zeke 662 00:34:39,840 --> 00:34:42,319 Speaker 1: is somewhat of an outlier, but I think that's gonna 663 00:34:42,320 --> 00:34:47,839 Speaker 1: be the question on Jonathan Taylor. Jake can catch, I'd 664 00:34:47,880 --> 00:34:50,360 Speaker 1: have to I don't. I don't know enough about Swift. 665 00:34:51,040 --> 00:34:52,160 Speaker 1: I feel like, off the top of my head, he 666 00:34:52,200 --> 00:34:54,640 Speaker 1: can catch. But don't quote me on that. I think 667 00:34:54,680 --> 00:34:57,160 Speaker 1: you got close on Tom doing stern. I see the 668 00:34:57,200 --> 00:35:01,359 Speaker 1: Patson Belichick as the micromanaging boss, constantly telling Tom just 669 00:35:01,400 --> 00:35:03,839 Speaker 1: throw the ball. No media, we don't want to hear 670 00:35:03,880 --> 00:35:06,400 Speaker 1: your take on drafting and recruiting. Just throw the ball. 671 00:35:06,640 --> 00:35:09,760 Speaker 1: But Tom's Tom knows he can do all those things. 672 00:35:10,120 --> 00:35:12,520 Speaker 1: We've all left bad bosses, and when we find an 673 00:35:12,600 --> 00:35:16,000 Speaker 1: organization that just says, yeah, go do it, we trust you, 674 00:35:16,160 --> 00:35:19,200 Speaker 1: it's liberating. I would agree the Bucks trust him and 675 00:35:19,320 --> 00:35:22,120 Speaker 1: new and that's new. Tom is gonna run with it 676 00:35:22,200 --> 00:35:25,800 Speaker 1: and I'm here for it. Hashtag Sacramento Proud. The difference 677 00:35:26,320 --> 00:35:29,759 Speaker 1: is Tom did not leave a bad boss. Tom left 678 00:35:29,840 --> 00:35:32,400 Speaker 1: arguably the most successful boss in the history of the league. 679 00:35:33,320 --> 00:35:36,280 Speaker 1: Now where I think we could meet in the middle 680 00:35:36,520 --> 00:35:39,680 Speaker 1: is even if you work for a super super successful guy, 681 00:35:40,160 --> 00:35:42,520 Speaker 1: it's one thing to have a five eight tenure run. 682 00:35:42,760 --> 00:35:45,319 Speaker 1: Twenty years a long time. I think of twenty years 683 00:35:45,320 --> 00:35:47,680 Speaker 1: of marriage a long time. If you have a kid 684 00:35:47,800 --> 00:35:51,000 Speaker 1: year one of marriage right by the time twenty years 685 00:35:51,040 --> 00:35:54,040 Speaker 1: is over, that kid's second third year in college. So 686 00:35:54,080 --> 00:35:56,880 Speaker 1: that's that is a very very long period of time. 687 00:35:57,000 --> 00:35:59,200 Speaker 1: We all grow tired of each other, no matter how 688 00:35:59,320 --> 00:36:01,799 Speaker 1: much money we're have, no matter how much success we're having, 689 00:36:02,000 --> 00:36:04,680 Speaker 1: no matter how much you liked and respect the other person. 690 00:36:05,239 --> 00:36:09,160 Speaker 1: It's a natural reaction. So I do agree it's new 691 00:36:09,160 --> 00:36:14,279 Speaker 1: and fresh, this notion. The Bucks trust him, obviously they do, 692 00:36:14,320 --> 00:36:16,680 Speaker 1: but they don't have a choice to Tom's in control. 693 00:36:17,160 --> 00:36:19,839 Speaker 1: Tom has the leverage. The Bucks do what he wants 694 00:36:19,880 --> 00:36:21,960 Speaker 1: them to do, and he'll do what he wants to do. Now. 695 00:36:22,000 --> 00:36:25,200 Speaker 1: He's a great guy, great teammate. Tom wants to do something, 696 00:36:25,200 --> 00:36:27,719 Speaker 1: He's gonna do it. He didn't do that with Belichick 697 00:36:28,200 --> 00:36:30,600 Speaker 1: and a lead Do I mean the success speaks for itself. 698 00:36:31,040 --> 00:36:33,759 Speaker 1: Do you think the O T position has been thoroughly overvalued? 699 00:36:34,000 --> 00:36:37,080 Speaker 1: I'm asking your regards to my beloved New York Giants. 700 00:36:37,640 --> 00:36:39,560 Speaker 1: Do you think they would stand pat at four and 701 00:36:39,600 --> 00:36:42,520 Speaker 1: select an offensive tackle rather than draft Simmons or trade down. 702 00:36:43,120 --> 00:36:45,760 Speaker 1: I think having a competent, potential pro bowler is fine. 703 00:36:46,120 --> 00:36:49,120 Speaker 1: You don't need Ogden out there, even though a player 704 00:36:49,200 --> 00:36:53,960 Speaker 1: like him would be nice. Stay safe out there. I 705 00:36:53,960 --> 00:36:56,800 Speaker 1: don't think it's necessarily overvalued because it's the guy blocking 706 00:36:56,840 --> 00:36:59,800 Speaker 1: the highest paid guy on defense, and those are pass rushers. 707 00:36:59,800 --> 00:37:02,839 Speaker 1: So whoever the highest paid guys on defense, You're gonna 708 00:37:02,880 --> 00:37:05,280 Speaker 1: want your player on offense to be really good whoever 709 00:37:05,440 --> 00:37:07,279 Speaker 1: they have to go up against. Right, That's why you 710 00:37:07,320 --> 00:37:09,440 Speaker 1: want good receivers to go up against top corners, why 711 00:37:09,480 --> 00:37:11,279 Speaker 1: you want good offensive lineman to go up against copp 712 00:37:11,320 --> 00:37:14,759 Speaker 1: defensive lineman. And they protect your quarterback. So I don't 713 00:37:14,760 --> 00:37:19,520 Speaker 1: think they're overvalued. Now you're You're right, like, you can 714 00:37:19,520 --> 00:37:22,160 Speaker 1: get by with a very solid starter. You do not 715 00:37:22,360 --> 00:37:28,640 Speaker 1: need to Anthony Moonio's Tony Boselli, Orlando Pace you just 716 00:37:28,719 --> 00:37:31,359 Speaker 1: need or Tyron Smith. You can Hell, you can win 717 00:37:31,360 --> 00:37:33,600 Speaker 1: a Joe Staley has been to multiple Super Bowls and 718 00:37:33,640 --> 00:37:36,800 Speaker 1: he's a solid starter. You know, Jason Peters is a 719 00:37:36,880 --> 00:37:39,400 Speaker 1: high end guy, but hell, the Chiefs have had a 720 00:37:39,440 --> 00:37:42,880 Speaker 1: lot of success with with Eric Fisher, who's a solid starter. 721 00:37:43,719 --> 00:37:46,440 Speaker 1: So yeah, I think sometimes the hype it's not like quarterback. 722 00:37:46,960 --> 00:37:49,080 Speaker 1: You need a Pro Bowl quarterback to win big. In 723 00:37:49,120 --> 00:37:52,000 Speaker 1: the NFL, you do not need a Pro Bowl tackle 724 00:37:52,040 --> 00:37:54,839 Speaker 1: to win big. You need a good tackle and good tackles, 725 00:37:55,440 --> 00:37:57,200 Speaker 1: but you don't need a lead tackle. So I would 726 00:37:57,280 --> 00:38:02,120 Speaker 1: tend to you're onto something, Let's do it every morning 727 00:38:02,120 --> 00:38:04,080 Speaker 1: on the way to work. Appreciate it. Question for the pod, 728 00:38:04,160 --> 00:38:07,359 Speaker 1: where does Jalen Hurts go? Listen? I'm not a huge 729 00:38:07,400 --> 00:38:10,440 Speaker 1: Jalen Hurts guy as a quarterback. I think he's more 730 00:38:10,440 --> 00:38:12,440 Speaker 1: of a hybrid player. I don't think he throws it 731 00:38:12,480 --> 00:38:14,600 Speaker 1: well enough in the NFL. I do think a lot 732 00:38:14,600 --> 00:38:16,359 Speaker 1: of NFL teams are gonna disagree with me. I think 733 00:38:16,360 --> 00:38:18,680 Speaker 1: he ends up going in the second round. I would 734 00:38:18,680 --> 00:38:21,840 Speaker 1: take in the third probably and move him kind of 735 00:38:21,840 --> 00:38:24,640 Speaker 1: playing like a Taysom Hill role. I see more Taysom Hill. 736 00:38:25,080 --> 00:38:27,719 Speaker 1: I think teams are gonna see I don't want to 737 00:38:27,719 --> 00:38:29,879 Speaker 1: say they're gonna see Lamar Jackson, but they're gonna see 738 00:38:29,880 --> 00:38:33,680 Speaker 1: some Lamar Jackson in his game. I do not. I 739 00:38:34,000 --> 00:38:38,120 Speaker 1: just I think Lamar just throws it better, clearly does now. 740 00:38:38,239 --> 00:38:42,200 Speaker 1: But I'm not the biggest Jalen Hurts at quarterback A 741 00:38:43,239 --> 00:38:45,960 Speaker 1: in your in your opinion, what are the most important 742 00:38:45,960 --> 00:38:50,359 Speaker 1: traits that a corner must have in order to be great? Well, 743 00:38:50,360 --> 00:38:52,440 Speaker 1: it depends what scheme you're in. If you're in a 744 00:38:52,520 --> 00:38:56,320 Speaker 1: zone scheme, tackling is big. Instincts in space are big. 745 00:38:56,920 --> 00:39:00,600 Speaker 1: Spatial awareness is big if you're in a man end scheme. 746 00:39:01,160 --> 00:39:04,759 Speaker 1: Top in speed is huge. Ball skills are massive. Ball 747 00:39:04,800 --> 00:39:08,800 Speaker 1: skills are huge no matter what. Instincts like you can't teach, 748 00:39:08,880 --> 00:39:10,719 Speaker 1: and instincts are when the balls in the air, do 749 00:39:10,760 --> 00:39:13,280 Speaker 1: you play the ball? Do you never look at the ball. 750 00:39:13,719 --> 00:39:18,719 Speaker 1: That's a huge separating factor. You know, tackling can be overrated, 751 00:39:18,719 --> 00:39:22,000 Speaker 1: but I don't want to whoos. I don't need Richard Sherman, 752 00:39:22,040 --> 00:39:25,759 Speaker 1: who's like an elite tackler, or trying to think of 753 00:39:25,800 --> 00:39:28,359 Speaker 1: a good tackling corner. He's the guy that always jumps out. 754 00:39:29,040 --> 00:39:34,480 Speaker 1: But I need my guy to be able to wrap up. Uh. 755 00:39:34,560 --> 00:39:38,120 Speaker 1: You gotta have good feet. You gotta just be competitive. 756 00:39:38,160 --> 00:39:41,399 Speaker 1: You gotta have a short memory. You gotta be confident. Uh. 757 00:39:42,480 --> 00:39:46,040 Speaker 1: I think I think most corners, most great corners, are 758 00:39:46,080 --> 00:39:50,960 Speaker 1: confident or tough or mentally tough, have elite ball skills, 759 00:39:51,840 --> 00:39:57,080 Speaker 1: have elite instincts. From your time as a scout, who 760 00:39:57,120 --> 00:39:59,960 Speaker 1: is your biggest home run and biggest bust? A? J. Jenkins? 761 00:40:00,080 --> 00:40:02,560 Speaker 1: In terms of prospects, you advocated for the Eagles to draft, 762 00:40:02,880 --> 00:40:06,480 Speaker 1: regardless of whether the Eagles ultimately drafted those players. Well, 763 00:40:06,480 --> 00:40:08,719 Speaker 1: my first two years I worked in the pro department, 764 00:40:09,360 --> 00:40:11,799 Speaker 1: and you're not playing as big of a role, you know. 765 00:40:12,080 --> 00:40:15,960 Speaker 1: I was, you know, evaluating like practice squad guys and 766 00:40:16,000 --> 00:40:19,040 Speaker 1: just starting players like they don't, they don't care what 767 00:40:19,120 --> 00:40:21,560 Speaker 1: your opinion is on like Hellodi Nada. I'm just thinking 768 00:40:21,560 --> 00:40:25,480 Speaker 1: of some top player Logan Mankins, the Namdi Asomwa who 769 00:40:25,480 --> 00:40:27,239 Speaker 1: we ended up signing, Like you don't. You don't, really, 770 00:40:27,400 --> 00:40:30,239 Speaker 1: You're not in those conversations. Now, I'm going to take 771 00:40:30,280 --> 00:40:33,840 Speaker 1: credit for this. Andrew Sendejo was a guy I really loved. 772 00:40:33,880 --> 00:40:37,640 Speaker 1: It was the UFL at the time, some like minor league. 773 00:40:38,239 --> 00:40:40,279 Speaker 1: I liked him. Took him to Lewis Riddick. I said, 774 00:40:40,320 --> 00:40:42,759 Speaker 1: we need to work out this guy. You know, certain 775 00:40:42,800 --> 00:40:44,440 Speaker 1: things are out of your control when you're one of 776 00:40:44,480 --> 00:40:46,319 Speaker 1: the lower guys in the totem pole. I was all 777 00:40:46,320 --> 00:40:50,040 Speaker 1: over him. He was sweet guy. Another guy that I 778 00:40:50,120 --> 00:40:54,279 Speaker 1: like coming out my last year on the road. It 779 00:40:54,360 --> 00:40:56,439 Speaker 1: was a big ziggy Ansa guy. I don't we didn't 780 00:40:56,440 --> 00:40:58,200 Speaker 1: have many people in the building. There were big ziggy 781 00:40:58,200 --> 00:41:00,319 Speaker 1: Ansa guys and if it wasn't for injury, he was 782 00:41:00,360 --> 00:41:05,120 Speaker 1: sweet guys. I missed on. I didn't miss on that. 783 00:41:05,280 --> 00:41:07,640 Speaker 1: Barkley didn't like him trying to think of pro guys. 784 00:41:08,480 --> 00:41:11,120 Speaker 1: I didn't do college long enough to have a long list. 785 00:41:11,200 --> 00:41:14,919 Speaker 1: I really was only involved in college full go one year. 786 00:41:15,480 --> 00:41:17,160 Speaker 1: I was involved in my first year a lot with 787 00:41:17,160 --> 00:41:21,040 Speaker 1: like practice squad guys and free agency and really doing 788 00:41:21,080 --> 00:41:24,440 Speaker 1: more like you know, I mean when you're when you're 789 00:41:24,440 --> 00:41:28,880 Speaker 1: a twenty five year old pro scout, they just your opinion. 790 00:41:30,160 --> 00:41:32,720 Speaker 1: It's you're more telling your opinion to the other scouts 791 00:41:32,719 --> 00:41:36,480 Speaker 1: in the room then to the bosses. In fairness, like, 792 00:41:36,600 --> 00:41:38,479 Speaker 1: I don't know if my opinion not that I was wrong. 793 00:41:38,520 --> 00:41:39,920 Speaker 1: I mean I was, you know, I just tend to 794 00:41:39,920 --> 00:41:41,440 Speaker 1: be pretty good. I was on the right guys. But 795 00:41:41,840 --> 00:41:46,120 Speaker 1: the reality is, um I didn't play. You know, they 796 00:41:46,120 --> 00:41:48,799 Speaker 1: weren't like, who should we sign now again? We I 797 00:41:48,840 --> 00:41:50,560 Speaker 1: was in agreement. I liked a lot of the guys 798 00:41:50,600 --> 00:41:53,479 Speaker 1: we were signing, but it was more practice squad guys, 799 00:41:53,560 --> 00:41:56,279 Speaker 1: ranking practice squad guys, ranking back in guys when guys 800 00:41:56,320 --> 00:41:59,800 Speaker 1: get hurt, setting up workouts, and then in the draft 801 00:42:00,080 --> 00:42:02,239 Speaker 1: what I did. By the time I was doing college ship, 802 00:42:02,320 --> 00:42:04,279 Speaker 1: Kelly got there and he definitely didn't care what I 803 00:42:04,280 --> 00:42:07,400 Speaker 1: had to say. Here's a quick question about wide receivers 804 00:42:07,440 --> 00:42:10,240 Speaker 1: in the draft process for you, how consistent is touchdown 805 00:42:10,239 --> 00:42:13,120 Speaker 1: production from a college the pros? If a guy catches 806 00:42:13,160 --> 00:42:15,640 Speaker 1: double digit touchdowns in college, is that a good or 807 00:42:15,680 --> 00:42:18,960 Speaker 1: reliable measure for future pro production? The guy haven't mind 808 00:42:19,000 --> 00:42:21,719 Speaker 1: is Tyler Johnson, who got twenty five touchdowns at Minnesota 809 00:42:21,760 --> 00:42:26,480 Speaker 1: the last two years. I think the number one key 810 00:42:26,480 --> 00:42:29,759 Speaker 1: when looking at college production is context. So if you've 811 00:42:29,800 --> 00:42:32,080 Speaker 1: got twenty five touchdowns, what I would do as a 812 00:42:32,120 --> 00:42:36,120 Speaker 1: GM or scouting director or whoever, I would siphon those 813 00:42:36,120 --> 00:42:39,520 Speaker 1: twenty five touchdowns out and I would watch them all individually. 814 00:42:40,120 --> 00:42:42,319 Speaker 1: Are ten of those twenty five blown coverage in your 815 00:42:42,320 --> 00:42:46,080 Speaker 1: wide open? Are a large majority of them in type coverage? 816 00:42:46,600 --> 00:42:48,440 Speaker 1: You know, there are guys every year that have double 817 00:42:48,440 --> 00:42:51,600 Speaker 1: digit sacks, and they get six of their ten sacks 818 00:42:51,600 --> 00:42:56,320 Speaker 1: in games against lower level opponents, and three of the 819 00:42:56,480 --> 00:42:59,279 Speaker 1: ten sacks are when the offensive tackle doesn't even touch him. 820 00:42:59,640 --> 00:43:02,600 Speaker 1: So I think there's a balancing act when it comes 821 00:43:02,600 --> 00:43:05,680 Speaker 1: to college production. I think sometimes if you're playing in 822 00:43:05,680 --> 00:43:07,480 Speaker 1: the SEC and you're catching it on a bunch of 823 00:43:07,560 --> 00:43:13,880 Speaker 1: NFL defensive backs, it's gonna translate. If you're playing you know, 824 00:43:14,080 --> 00:43:16,880 Speaker 1: you see Davis and cal poly and you get twenty 825 00:43:17,080 --> 00:43:20,080 Speaker 1: sacks a year. It's not as important. Doesn't mean it 826 00:43:20,120 --> 00:43:22,920 Speaker 1: won't translate, But I think you need to dive in 827 00:43:22,960 --> 00:43:25,680 Speaker 1: the individual place. Once I see do you have the 828 00:43:25,760 --> 00:43:29,319 Speaker 1: skills are not to translate, then the individual production has 829 00:43:29,360 --> 00:43:31,120 Speaker 1: to be put in context. Who are you doing this 830 00:43:31,280 --> 00:43:33,520 Speaker 1: against any of these guys? You're doing up against the 831 00:43:33,600 --> 00:43:36,319 Speaker 1: future pros? The guys that are future pros? How good 832 00:43:36,320 --> 00:43:39,600 Speaker 1: are they? Uh? How much is scheme? How much is 833 00:43:39,640 --> 00:43:41,960 Speaker 1: the individual player? I think that's why the draft is 834 00:43:42,000 --> 00:43:46,960 Speaker 1: pretty complicated. New fan of the show from Northwest Indiana, 835 00:43:47,120 --> 00:43:49,760 Speaker 1: Keep up the good work. Me and my friends always 836 00:43:49,840 --> 00:43:51,880 Speaker 1: argue about if you had to pick a quarterback to 837 00:43:51,920 --> 00:43:54,560 Speaker 1: play the Super Bowl tomorrow, who would you choose? And why? 838 00:43:54,680 --> 00:43:57,399 Speaker 1: Would love to hear your choice? This is an all 839 00:43:57,520 --> 00:44:03,320 Speaker 1: time selection too, uh. I mean you'd probably have to 840 00:44:03,320 --> 00:44:06,560 Speaker 1: go Montana or Brady just because they have a combined ten. 841 00:44:08,320 --> 00:44:11,400 Speaker 1: You know, if just the fun, like just a watching 842 00:44:11,400 --> 00:44:13,200 Speaker 1: a guy have fun, I think you would go like 843 00:44:13,280 --> 00:44:16,080 Speaker 1: Peak Farv or Peak you know what we're seeing in 844 00:44:16,120 --> 00:44:20,040 Speaker 1: mahomes that's there is a fun factor. So if you 845 00:44:20,160 --> 00:44:25,160 Speaker 1: just give me Peak Brett Farve or what last year Mahomes. 846 00:44:26,520 --> 00:44:28,279 Speaker 1: I would feel just as good taking one of those 847 00:44:28,280 --> 00:44:32,640 Speaker 1: two guys as I would Farve or Brady, even Russell Wilson. 848 00:44:32,680 --> 00:44:35,239 Speaker 1: Like you gave me Russell Wilson in a Super Bowl game. 849 00:44:35,440 --> 00:44:38,200 Speaker 1: I'd like my chances that there's an element to me 850 00:44:38,280 --> 00:44:40,520 Speaker 1: of how entertaining is the player, how much I enjoy 851 00:44:40,600 --> 00:44:43,960 Speaker 1: watching the player, how talented is the player at the 852 00:44:43,960 --> 00:44:45,880 Speaker 1: given time I pick him. Now, if you get Brett 853 00:44:45,920 --> 00:44:48,560 Speaker 1: Farve in the wrong year, you've got no chance. Brady 854 00:44:48,560 --> 00:44:50,440 Speaker 1: has shown the majority of his career. If he's in 855 00:44:50,480 --> 00:44:52,439 Speaker 1: the Super Bowl, he's got a very very good chance 856 00:44:52,440 --> 00:44:55,120 Speaker 1: to win it. Same with same with Montana. So I 857 00:44:55,120 --> 00:44:58,440 Speaker 1: think the safe pick would be Brady or Montana. My 858 00:44:58,600 --> 00:45:01,399 Speaker 1: bold picks would be Mahome. Ms are four just out 859 00:45:01,440 --> 00:45:03,320 Speaker 1: of the love of the game and then entertainment factor. 860 00:45:03,360 --> 00:45:08,520 Speaker 1: Appreciate everyone listening, stay quarantining, enjoy life, and uh let's 861 00:45:08,560 --> 00:45:11,240 Speaker 1: just keep on trucking. And the draft isn't too far away, 862 00:45:11,280 --> 00:45:13,680 Speaker 1: so we still got football in our life. Have a 863 00:45:13,680 --> 00:45:34,600 Speaker 1: good week. Talk to y'all soon. M