1 00:00:00,200 --> 00:00:04,960 Speaker 1: This is the morning happy Saint Patrick's day, as the 2 00:00:05,080 --> 00:00:09,719 Speaker 1: legend holds Saint Patrick cast the snakes out of Ireland 3 00:00:09,840 --> 00:00:13,600 Speaker 1: and into the sea. Whether true or not, there are 4 00:00:13,680 --> 00:00:18,920 Speaker 1: no snakes in Ireland today, but many slither about in 5 00:00:19,040 --> 00:00:24,400 Speaker 1: these United States. And if you were to turn on 6 00:00:24,520 --> 00:00:29,360 Speaker 1: the television this morning on NBC News or to look 7 00:00:29,400 --> 00:00:33,480 Speaker 1: at the Drudge Report, then you would have had a 8 00:00:33,680 --> 00:00:37,880 Speaker 1: chill run down your spine when you heard the news 9 00:00:37,960 --> 00:00:42,680 Speaker 1: today that Donald Trump is more popular than he has 10 00:00:42,840 --> 00:00:49,080 Speaker 1: ever been, maintaining his apigy of forty seven percent approval 11 00:00:49,680 --> 00:00:56,720 Speaker 1: as he degrades America's alliances, insults our allies, wages economic 12 00:00:56,960 --> 00:01:02,360 Speaker 1: war on Canada, sells out Ukraine, assaults the government, treats 13 00:01:02,400 --> 00:01:09,120 Speaker 1: government employees like insects, and rambles nonsensical idiocies from morning 14 00:01:09,440 --> 00:01:14,800 Speaker 1: till night. But these numbers that celebrate Trump's strength should 15 00:01:14,880 --> 00:01:18,280 Speaker 1: not make you look away. They should make you look 16 00:01:18,400 --> 00:01:21,800 Speaker 1: more closely. So we're gonna do something this morning. I'm 17 00:01:21,800 --> 00:01:24,039 Speaker 1: going to take you through the poll as if you 18 00:01:24,120 --> 00:01:27,440 Speaker 1: were my client sitting across the table and we had 19 00:01:27,480 --> 00:01:31,040 Speaker 1: to talk this morning at the meeting about the NBC poll. 20 00:01:31,319 --> 00:01:35,040 Speaker 1: Now let's get into it. The number that's being sold 21 00:01:35,040 --> 00:01:37,240 Speaker 1: to the American people as the news. In the poll 22 00:01:37,720 --> 00:01:42,039 Speaker 1: is this one that shows Trump's approval strength, this number 23 00:01:42,200 --> 00:01:45,520 Speaker 1: forty seven, and in fact, that is a high number 24 00:01:45,640 --> 00:01:48,720 Speaker 1: for Trump. Now here's the way you have to read these. 25 00:01:49,000 --> 00:01:52,560 Speaker 1: You have to connect two numbers in the poll. You 26 00:01:52,600 --> 00:01:56,400 Speaker 1: have to connect on the negative side, those that feel 27 00:01:56,640 --> 00:02:00,000 Speaker 1: very negative I would be one of those people about Trump, 28 00:02:00,480 --> 00:02:03,760 Speaker 1: and those that feel somewhat negative about him. And then 29 00:02:03,800 --> 00:02:06,520 Speaker 1: on the other side of that, there are people who 30 00:02:06,640 --> 00:02:10,240 Speaker 1: are okay with Trump, kind of like them, and there 31 00:02:10,280 --> 00:02:13,200 Speaker 1: are people that are really into them. When you add 32 00:02:13,280 --> 00:02:16,280 Speaker 1: those numbers up, and you can do the same for 33 00:02:16,680 --> 00:02:21,960 Speaker 1: Elon Musk and for JD. Vance for the Republican Party, 34 00:02:22,520 --> 00:02:25,960 Speaker 1: you see what they are. You see what those negative 35 00:02:26,080 --> 00:02:30,799 Speaker 1: numbers are added up, and you see what those positive 36 00:02:31,200 --> 00:02:35,000 Speaker 1: numbers are added up. Now, the truth of the matter 37 00:02:35,120 --> 00:02:40,359 Speaker 1: is that most of America's political media has no idea 38 00:02:40,680 --> 00:02:44,120 Speaker 1: how to read a poll, has never read a poll, 39 00:02:44,560 --> 00:02:50,360 Speaker 1: doesn't understand the statistical science behind public opinion research is 40 00:02:50,480 --> 00:02:55,840 Speaker 1: easily manipulated by people who do. And those people who 41 00:02:55,919 --> 00:03:00,000 Speaker 1: cannot read a poll do not comprehend what a poll is. 42 00:03:00,960 --> 00:03:06,560 Speaker 1: Are also very very very limited in their travel around 43 00:03:06,720 --> 00:03:10,720 Speaker 1: the country and exposure to the American people as a 44 00:03:10,840 --> 00:03:16,919 Speaker 1: general proposition. Now, let's look at the Democratic Party's numbers 45 00:03:16,919 --> 00:03:21,640 Speaker 1: in this Let's add up everybody that has a highly 46 00:03:21,720 --> 00:03:26,280 Speaker 1: negative feeling and a negative feeling. Look at how big 47 00:03:26,360 --> 00:03:30,320 Speaker 1: that number is, and look at the number of people 48 00:03:30,320 --> 00:03:34,359 Speaker 1: that have a very positive feeling. And now compare that 49 00:03:34,560 --> 00:03:38,760 Speaker 1: number to Trump, who people don't like, to Musk who 50 00:03:38,880 --> 00:03:42,600 Speaker 1: people don't like, to the Republicans who people don't like. 51 00:03:42,920 --> 00:03:48,280 Speaker 1: But it's the Democrats as an institution that are wrecked 52 00:03:48,360 --> 00:03:52,640 Speaker 1: upon the rock. They are despised as an institution. And 53 00:03:52,920 --> 00:03:55,920 Speaker 1: this does not mean, by the way, the millions of 54 00:03:56,040 --> 00:04:01,320 Speaker 1: Democratic voters. It means the hundreds that run the institution 55 00:04:01,720 --> 00:04:06,040 Speaker 1: from Washington, DC, And it means an awful lot of 56 00:04:06,080 --> 00:04:11,200 Speaker 1: the Democratic governors who are in whisper mode lately, except 57 00:04:11,280 --> 00:04:14,400 Speaker 1: for Gavin Newsom, who you can find on his new 58 00:04:14,480 --> 00:04:18,480 Speaker 1: podcast with every right wing whack job, it seems on 59 00:04:18,520 --> 00:04:23,240 Speaker 1: a new weekly basis. Congratulations, Governor Gav, You're doing terrific 60 00:04:23,440 --> 00:04:26,400 Speaker 1: for me. It wouldn't be the path I would suggest 61 00:04:26,640 --> 00:04:30,279 Speaker 1: if I was getting ready for a presidential campaign, But 62 00:04:30,400 --> 00:04:33,799 Speaker 1: who am I to know? At any level? The Democratic 63 00:04:33,920 --> 00:04:40,000 Speaker 1: Party is simply not in a position to criticize anything 64 00:04:40,080 --> 00:04:44,080 Speaker 1: that Trump does effectively, because the only people that are 65 00:04:44,080 --> 00:04:49,240 Speaker 1: more popular than are putin in Russia. The news this 66 00:04:49,400 --> 00:04:56,320 Speaker 1: weekend was that Democrats all over the country understood very simply, 67 00:04:56,720 --> 00:05:00,279 Speaker 1: it did not need it explained to them that Chuck 68 00:05:00,279 --> 00:05:04,719 Speaker 1: Schumer had given away all leverage against Donald Trump in 69 00:05:04,800 --> 00:05:09,120 Speaker 1: an act of surrender and appeasement. And this was the reaction. 70 00:05:09,520 --> 00:05:14,120 Speaker 1: These numbers, the lowest in the history of the Democratic Party, 71 00:05:14,360 --> 00:05:20,400 Speaker 1: are before Chuck Schumer's Friday appeasement that will live in 72 00:05:20,400 --> 00:05:25,920 Speaker 1: infamy as the weakest day on bended knee in the 73 00:05:26,279 --> 00:05:30,719 Speaker 1: entire history of the United States Senate that an opposition 74 00:05:31,040 --> 00:05:36,640 Speaker 1: minority leader has ever spent abandoning all principle, all leverage 75 00:05:36,880 --> 00:05:40,760 Speaker 1: for the proposition I did it for you to save 76 00:05:40,839 --> 00:05:45,600 Speaker 1: you from Trump later. What Schumer is is a philosopher 77 00:05:45,880 --> 00:05:50,320 Speaker 1: that holds, let me feed the crocodile first, so that 78 00:05:50,440 --> 00:05:56,200 Speaker 1: I may be eaten last. Over to the Democratic House members. Now, 79 00:05:56,640 --> 00:06:02,200 Speaker 1: what this poll really shows is the urgent and absolute 80 00:06:02,360 --> 00:06:07,680 Speaker 1: necessity we're there to be an opposition that strikes back, 81 00:06:07,800 --> 00:06:12,599 Speaker 1: that fights back, and it's simply cannot and will not 82 00:06:13,040 --> 00:06:18,240 Speaker 1: form from Washington, d C. From the geriatric Democrats, from 83 00:06:18,279 --> 00:06:23,359 Speaker 1: their failed leaders, from the corruptocracy that produced in a 84 00:06:23,520 --> 00:06:28,480 Speaker 1: choice a result that elevated Donald Trump. The question is 85 00:06:28,480 --> 00:06:32,680 Speaker 1: is did Donald Trump off the Democratic Party? Can it 86 00:06:32,839 --> 00:06:37,839 Speaker 1: come back? Good news is, since it survives segregation and slavery, 87 00:06:38,160 --> 00:06:42,160 Speaker 1: it probably will, and hopefully that will be soon. But 88 00:06:42,360 --> 00:06:47,200 Speaker 1: until then, it's these numbers that point to the opportunity 89 00:06:47,600 --> 00:06:54,880 Speaker 1: that Democrats have governors and a nascent forming grassroots opposition movement. 90 00:06:55,320 --> 00:07:00,600 Speaker 1: The American people are experiencing Trump's tariffs, They're experiencing his economy. 91 00:07:01,080 --> 00:07:04,720 Speaker 1: Look at these numbers. The American people don't like Trump's 92 00:07:04,760 --> 00:07:08,960 Speaker 1: treatment of Ukraine. They don't like his treatment of Zelensky. 93 00:07:09,200 --> 00:07:13,240 Speaker 1: Look at Zelenski's numbers. The American people understand that this 94 00:07:13,400 --> 00:07:17,040 Speaker 1: man is a hero. They understand that Trump is a scumbag. 95 00:07:17,440 --> 00:07:20,960 Speaker 1: So three things can be true at once. Zolensky's a hero, 96 00:07:21,360 --> 00:07:26,280 Speaker 1: Trump's a scumbag, and the Democratic Party is completely ineffectual, 97 00:07:26,360 --> 00:07:30,960 Speaker 1: which means the scumbag can attack the hero. But in America, 98 00:07:31,040 --> 00:07:36,000 Speaker 1: the ineffectual party can't hit the scumbag. That's politics, and 99 00:07:36,040 --> 00:07:40,120 Speaker 1: when a scumbag like Trump and all of his minions 100 00:07:40,280 --> 00:07:44,880 Speaker 1: are given free reign and they face appeasement as opposed 101 00:07:44,920 --> 00:07:50,440 Speaker 1: to iron opposition. The situation deteriorates. The good news for 102 00:07:50,520 --> 00:07:55,160 Speaker 1: the Democrats is as that Trump number drops, they become 103 00:07:55,240 --> 00:07:59,120 Speaker 1: the latent beneficiary of it, but not in the way 104 00:07:59,240 --> 00:08:04,200 Speaker 1: necessarily that they think. What these numbers show everybody is 105 00:08:04,240 --> 00:08:06,760 Speaker 1: that this is the year to run for office is 106 00:08:06,800 --> 00:08:10,640 Speaker 1: that this Trump era is just beginning, and the issues 107 00:08:10,680 --> 00:08:14,320 Speaker 1: that elected him, with the exception of immigration, where his 108 00:08:14,440 --> 00:08:18,080 Speaker 1: numbers are strong, are in a state of collapse. Donald 109 00:08:18,160 --> 00:08:21,240 Speaker 1: Trump ran saying he would end the Ukraine War on 110 00:08:21,360 --> 00:08:24,600 Speaker 1: day one. Well that didn't happen. What he did was 111 00:08:24,680 --> 00:08:28,920 Speaker 1: this in the oval, officeless, you don't know, God, bless 112 00:08:29,000 --> 00:08:31,960 Speaker 1: You're not blessed, you don't know. Don't tell us what 113 00:08:31,960 --> 00:08:35,880 Speaker 1: we're gonna feel. And now the American people evaluate the 114 00:08:35,920 --> 00:08:40,720 Speaker 1: situation like this unhappily. So what this poll really shows, 115 00:08:41,080 --> 00:08:44,120 Speaker 1: through all the bluster, through all the bs, through all 116 00:08:44,160 --> 00:08:47,720 Speaker 1: the smoking mirrors of the coverage, is that Donald Trump 117 00:08:47,800 --> 00:08:51,040 Speaker 1: is failing and the American people are anxious, and he 118 00:08:51,240 --> 00:08:54,080 Speaker 1: is poised to be attacked, to be hit, to be 119 00:08:54,200 --> 00:08:58,880 Speaker 1: struck politically, his head can very easily be driven underwater. 120 00:08:59,160 --> 00:09:04,360 Speaker 1: But it requires a Democratic leadership to be completely changed out. 121 00:09:04,600 --> 00:09:07,920 Speaker 1: It means that Chuck Schumer has to loosen his iron 122 00:09:08,000 --> 00:09:12,160 Speaker 1: grip on power. But Chuck Schumer's part of the me Me, Me, Me, Me, 123 00:09:12,160 --> 00:09:15,520 Speaker 1: Me Me caucus that will hold on for as long 124 00:09:15,559 --> 00:09:19,480 Speaker 1: as they can, like Diane Feinstein and like Kay Granger 125 00:09:19,520 --> 00:09:23,400 Speaker 1: of Texas who just went missing until she was found 126 00:09:23,400 --> 00:09:26,840 Speaker 1: in the Alzheimer's clinic. Honest to God, true story. Here's 127 00:09:26,840 --> 00:09:30,880 Speaker 1: the headline in this moment. When Donald Trump is meandering 128 00:09:30,960 --> 00:09:35,160 Speaker 1: about the globe looking for trouble where none existed, trying 129 00:09:35,200 --> 00:09:39,960 Speaker 1: his hand at international statesmanship and peacemaking, sending his real 130 00:09:40,080 --> 00:09:43,679 Speaker 1: estate developer buddy all around the world to negotiate with 131 00:09:43,760 --> 00:09:47,280 Speaker 1: Vladimir Putin on Ukraine. This will all end badly. The 132 00:09:47,400 --> 00:09:51,520 Speaker 1: numbers show the American people into it the direction everything 133 00:09:51,640 --> 00:09:55,800 Speaker 1: is going. The only thing missing is somebody to stand 134 00:09:55,920 --> 00:09:59,800 Speaker 1: up and fight back and to say follow me inside 135 00:09:59,840 --> 00:10:04,240 Speaker 1: the Democratic Party. Who will that person be? This poll 136 00:10:04,320 --> 00:10:06,839 Speaker 1: says Trump is strong. It's not how I read it. 137 00:10:06,960 --> 00:10:10,360 Speaker 1: The pole says Trump is vulnerable. He's leading with his chin, 138 00:10:10,840 --> 00:10:14,679 Speaker 1: He's failing on the issues that elected him. People are patient, 139 00:10:14,880 --> 00:10:17,800 Speaker 1: don't give him a chance. But What keeps him up 140 00:10:18,040 --> 00:10:21,520 Speaker 1: isn't anything that Trump's doing. That's what's pulling him down. 141 00:10:21,840 --> 00:10:26,080 Speaker 1: What keeps him up is how pathetic the Democratic Party 142 00:10:26,240 --> 00:10:30,160 Speaker 1: is in Washington, d C. And because they're so bad, 143 00:10:30,720 --> 00:10:37,520 Speaker 1: so smug, so ineffectual, they can't hit Trump even though 144 00:10:37,920 --> 00:10:43,480 Speaker 1: he is a soft, giant target and people know he's failing. 145 00:10:43,960 --> 00:10:48,200 Speaker 1: The loss to Trump remains mind blowing. And don't let 146 00:10:48,320 --> 00:10:52,400 Speaker 1: anybody ever tell you that Trump was unbeatable. He was 147 00:10:52,480 --> 00:10:56,280 Speaker 1: made unbeatable by Joe Biden's lying, by the gas lighting, 148 00:10:56,520 --> 00:10:59,720 Speaker 1: but he was not unbeatable, and right now he's not 149 00:10:59,800 --> 00:11:03,600 Speaker 1: on ole problem is not the American people who see 150 00:11:03,640 --> 00:11:08,080 Speaker 1: what's going on is the impotence of the minority party 151 00:11:08,080 --> 00:11:13,679 Speaker 1: in Washington, the laydown party, the we're winning party, the 152 00:11:14,120 --> 00:11:17,800 Speaker 1: I'll bring my small paddle to a proverbial gunfight party. 153 00:11:17,960 --> 00:11:21,959 Speaker 1: America has a fascist party, it seems, and a pathetic party, 154 00:11:22,160 --> 00:11:24,560 Speaker 1: and it's not working out great for the country. But 155 00:11:24,640 --> 00:11:27,960 Speaker 1: at any rate, that's what the poll says. This is 156 00:11:28,000 --> 00:11:32,840 Speaker 1: the warning. I'm Steve Schmidt. This is the warning. I 157 00:11:32,880 --> 00:11:35,960 Speaker 1: invite you to join this community where I promise to 158 00:11:36,000 --> 00:11:39,880 Speaker 1: be honest, blunt and direct about what is happening in 159 00:11:39,920 --> 00:11:44,480 Speaker 1: this country. America is in crisis. Follow and subscribe to 160 00:11:44,559 --> 00:11:47,960 Speaker 1: this channel and on substack. Thank you.