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Speaker 1: Welcome in everybody to Betting Pros. It's time to place

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Speaker 1: your bets. This B Joey B joe Zapia and this

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Speaker 1: is BP NFL Monday Night Football, justin Herbert question and

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Speaker 1: the Chargers will take on the Philadelphia Eagles, who are

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Speaker 1: reeling from a couple of losses. Who will win? How

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Speaker 1: we'll all shake out? Well, we'll let you know here

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Speaker 1: right on the show, because we have a crystal ball clearly.

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Speaker 1: Actually now we don't. We're just gonna do our best

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Speaker 1: here to try to look ahead to what makes sense

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Speaker 1: in a game that's got a lot of questions and

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Speaker 1: maybe not too many answers. Scott Bogman and I are

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Speaker 1: here for you and we want you to subscribe to

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Speaker 1: the channel. Drop your comments below, hang out with us

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Speaker 1: here on the channel, and remember we've got to giveaway

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Speaker 1: Head over right now to Bettingpros dot com slash contest,

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Speaker 1: more actions you complete, the more entries you receive, and

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Speaker 1: we'll announcing the winner right here on the channel of

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Speaker 1: and of course don't forget to ring that bell to

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Speaker 1: lickos Dang on the YouTube channel so you never missed

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Speaker 1: a piece of content on his channel of BP and

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Speaker 1: we could let you know if you're the big winner

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Speaker 1: of the AJ Brown autographed helmet. All right, before we

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Speaker 1: get to the props, which obviously I'm dying to get to, box,

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Speaker 1: let's talk about the game here, which I'm not dying

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Speaker 1: to get to because the Los Angeles Chargers are plus

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Speaker 1: two and a half right now, the Eagles minus two

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Speaker 1: and a half. That's the best line you're gonna find

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Speaker 1: on Betting Pros Consensus forty one for the over forty

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Speaker 1: one and a half for the under plus one thirty

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Speaker 1: on the money line for the Chargers. I'm gonna keep

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Speaker 1: this simple. I look, I don't feel great about the

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Speaker 1: Eagles right now. I think the best thing the Eagles

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Speaker 1: can do is get on a plane and go three

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Speaker 1: thousand miles away, and that's what they're doing, and I

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Speaker 1: think they come out with a victory here. I'll take

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Speaker 1: the Eagles with the two and a half and just

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Speaker 1: keep this one simple. I don't like the variables about

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Speaker 1: Herbert's health. I don't like the variable too. And Muran

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Speaker 1: Hampton coming back, what does that mean? What does it

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Speaker 1: not mean? I don't know. That's famous Peey Herman stuff

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Speaker 1: right there.

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Speaker 3: No one knows. I don't know.

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Speaker 1: So I'm just gonna go ahead and a right goes. Seriously,

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Speaker 1: I just I can't get I can't get to the

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Speaker 1: Chargers side of this game, no matter how hard I try,

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Speaker 1: or to tell you the truth, even the other come in,

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Speaker 1: because I just don't know. It's Herbert gonna have those

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Speaker 1: magical games where you know, these guys get hurt and

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Speaker 1: they through it. It's incredible.

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Speaker 3: Or is it the other way around? I mean, that's

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Speaker 3: obviously The massive question this game is what is going

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Speaker 3: on with Justin Herbert. But from everything that we've heard

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Speaker 3: the Chargers say, it looks like he's gonna be good

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Speaker 3: to go. Yeah, surgery immediately, It's apparently not a big deal, right,

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Speaker 3: But my thing is going from the East Coast to

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Speaker 3: the West coast and a primetime game is typically bad

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Speaker 3: for those East Coast teams. We just saw the Steelers

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Speaker 3: go to LA and get smashed in prime time on

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Speaker 3: Sunday Night Football twenty five to ten. Also had a

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Speaker 3: quarterback that's less than one hundred percent in Aaron Rodgers.

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Speaker 3: So you know, I just think that traveling that distance

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Speaker 3: across the country playing in a late game is not

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Speaker 3: great for the Eagles, and the Eagles have been playing

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Speaker 3: their worst football this year right now. So also, no

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Speaker 3: Jalen Carter in this game for them, which is a

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Speaker 3: massive piece of their defense, which is obviously why they

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Speaker 3: gave up so many rushing yards and that Black Friday

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Speaker 3: game against the Bears. So as long as Herbert's up,

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Speaker 3: I'm gonna take the Chargers plus the two and a

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Speaker 3: half since they're at home and the Eagles have to

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Speaker 3: go all the way across the country. And they're not

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Speaker 3: playing good football right now, so Herbert's in. I will

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Speaker 3: go ahead and take the Chargers, all right.

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Speaker 1: You know, out of conference games are always wacky too.

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Speaker 1: The whole thing is just wacky Monday night. Look, just

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Speaker 1: All right, let's get to the pixier of the props.

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Speaker 1: Justin Herbert thirty one and a half passing attempts bogs.

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Speaker 1: Which way you want to go on this one? With

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Speaker 1: the unknown looming for Justin Herbert in terms of how

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Speaker 1: healthy is he really? You say he's good to go.

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Speaker 1: I say, there's pins inside of his hand.

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Speaker 3: I say, they say he's good to go. So it

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Speaker 3: looks like he's going to start. And also we have

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Speaker 3: props for him, which we don't have props from Marion

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Speaker 3: Hampton yet Kimani bite dal because we're just not sure there.

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Speaker 3: Those are the props I want it take in this

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Speaker 3: game more than anything, by the way, because the Eagles

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Speaker 3: have given up one hundred and sixty yards game over

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Speaker 3: their last three games on the ground. But we don't

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Speaker 3: know Hampton's status yet, so let's go with the under here.

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Speaker 3: Number one. I love this run game against the Eagles,

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Speaker 3: specifically without Jalen Carter. We saw them get chewed up

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Speaker 3: by it last week against the Bears. I mean, Mona

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Speaker 3: guy ran him over, Swift ran him over. They look great,

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Speaker 3: So the run dee is bad. I think that should

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Speaker 3: be your strategy when you have a gampee quarterback coming in.

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Speaker 3: But also Joe Herbert didn't hit this in four of

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Speaker 3: the last five games beforehand surgery, so it's not like

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Speaker 3: this is something that he typically does. Hampton should be

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Speaker 3: back again. I think they're gonna run down the throats.

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Speaker 3: And I just saw Aaron Rodgers play with a wrist injury.

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Speaker 3: They adjusted the entire offense to try to suit him,

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Speaker 3: and it was miserable. Right, he couldn't hand off, he

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Speaker 3: couldn't do this. He had to do pitches to the

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Speaker 3: right because he couldn't hand off with his left hand.

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Speaker 3: It was awful. So if we get anything close to that,

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Speaker 3: he's gonna be way under this number. So I just

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Speaker 3: think this is too many pass attempts right now. Yeah.

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Speaker 1: See, that's my big concern too. And I spoke about

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Speaker 1: this on the FP channel with Debro in the live

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Speaker 1: stream the other day. I was like, well, you know,

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Speaker 1: sometimes handing them all off is tricky too, with the

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Speaker 1: broken hand and some kind of issue like that.

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Speaker 3: It was all man the gross pitches to Jalen Warren

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Speaker 3: last week and it did not work. It was awful.

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Speaker 1: No, no, And look, it makes it really tricky too,

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Speaker 1: for you know, he's going to be in shotgun. I

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Speaker 1: imagine a fair amount he would fourth pistol. Maybe the

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Speaker 1: Steelers did a lot of questions.

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Speaker 3: They ran a ton of pistol because Aaron Rodgers couldn't

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Speaker 3: hand off with his left hand, so lots of pitches

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Speaker 3: out a pistol.

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Speaker 1: We'll see what happens there. So what does this mean

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Speaker 1: for Keenan Allen and his props?

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Speaker 3: For Yeah, let's hit some more unders. I'm not usually

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Speaker 3: the undertaker, but let me do an Andrew Rickson impression here.

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Speaker 3: Let's go under thirty four and a half receiving yards

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Speaker 3: for him under two of the last three weeks. He's

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Speaker 3: down to third for snaps for the Chargers wide receivers.

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Speaker 3: He was down to sixty percent last week. And obviously

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Speaker 3: we're projecting low pass attempts for just and Herbert here.

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Speaker 3: So I'm going to go with this under and one

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Speaker 3: more under joke. Can you believe it? Three unders out

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Speaker 3: of the five selections I have here?

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Speaker 1: Well, So if it's under for Allen, who's the other

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Speaker 1: guy going for an under?

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Speaker 3: With Aronde Gadsden, he is tight end eighteen over the

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Speaker 3: last five weeks in fantasy. He hasn't seen the same

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Speaker 3: since his knee injury against Pittsburgh a couple weeks ago,

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Speaker 3: and Philly is allowing the second fewest yards to tight

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Speaker 3: ends this season. Zach Bond and company, you know, if

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Speaker 3: you're in the slot, you're getting Cooper. So I just

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Speaker 3: I don't think Ronde Gatson's going to have a very

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Speaker 3: good game in this one. The Eagles cover the tight

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Speaker 3: ends very well. We project less passing attempts for Justin

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Speaker 3: Herbert in this game, so I think the run game

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Speaker 3: wins this With the Chargers, I want to take overs,

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Speaker 3: but we don't have numbers yet, so.

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Speaker 1: All right, maybe something that's going over. One of the

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Speaker 1: few things that seems to be working right now for

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Speaker 1: the Eagles is AJ Brown. I've got some Aj Brown

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Speaker 1: investment later in the show we'll talk about. But how

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Speaker 1: do you want to invest on him on Monday Night?

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Speaker 3: Yeah? I mean I want to take a lot of

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Speaker 3: you know, passing props for the Eagles here because you know,

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Speaker 3: number one, I think they'll be losing late, so I

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Speaker 3: think they're gonna be playing comeback and Jalen Hurt's gonna

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Speaker 3: have to pass more than he usually does. But over

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Speaker 3: the last three weeks, thirty five targets, thirty three targets,

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Speaker 3: twenty five receptions, three hundred and ninety one yards and

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Speaker 3: three touchdowns for aj Brown In the last three weeks

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Speaker 3: he has been surging and that's against Detroit, Dallas and Chicago.

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Speaker 3: So the run game has been wholly ineffective for the

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Speaker 3: Eagles right now. Saquon doesn't look the same. The line

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Speaker 3: doesn't look the same either. The blocking scheme has been working.

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Speaker 3: It just looks ugly right now. They look tired, honestly

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Speaker 3: is what it looks like. So they got a few

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Speaker 3: extra days of rest after Black Fridays, so maybe they'll

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Speaker 3: be better. But I think you keep AJ Brown involved here.

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Speaker 3: And you know, the secondary has been good for the

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Speaker 3: Charges this year, but they typically don't shadow a corner,

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Speaker 3: so I think AJ Brown will get open and when

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Speaker 3: he wants to get open and when they want to

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Speaker 3: throw in the ball, it works. So I think it'll

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Speaker 3: work here again.

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Speaker 1: All right, another Eagles wide receiver, but not DeVonta Smith.

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Speaker 1: You've got John Dotson on your docket too. Sometimes we

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Speaker 1: like to look for those small numbers. We have a

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Speaker 1: small one here for John Dotson, So is it over

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Speaker 1: for that seven and a half?

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Speaker 3: Yeah, I did see. He has the tow injury, so

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Speaker 3: he's questionable to play in this game. But he played

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Speaker 3: over fifty percent of the snaps last week, and this

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Speaker 3: number is so incredibly low. And thirty nine and thirty

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Speaker 3: four pass attempts for the Eagles the last two weeks.

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Speaker 3: Only five games with over thirty attempts for Jalen Hurts

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Speaker 3: this year. He's over fifty percent of snaps this week

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Speaker 3: and the previous week, so he's just on the field

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Speaker 3: a lot. I think the Eagles are going to have

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Speaker 3: to throw the ball a little bit more. I think

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Speaker 3: they know it because this run game has been so

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Speaker 3: completely ineffective. So I think that seven and a half

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Speaker 3: is just such a low number. That should be one

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Speaker 3: catch for Dotson here, so let's you kind of touch

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Speaker 3: down week, So let's just two catches. He sales over

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Speaker 3: this way over this. I just love this low number,

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Speaker 3: all right.

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Speaker 1: Remember everybody, if you're looking at bet the props, use

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Speaker 1: the prop bet cheat sheet, head over to Betting Pros,

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Speaker 1: download the app, or just go to bettingpros dot com

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Speaker 1: slash props to find the very best in passing, rushing, receiving.

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Speaker 1: All of the stack categories are there. You get sorted

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Speaker 1: by game. You can sort of buy prop and the

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Speaker 1: best part is you get the best lines right there

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Speaker 1: in front of you, So sink your sports books for

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00:11:24,200 --> 00:11:26,160
Speaker 1: free when you download the app. That way, you can

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Speaker 1: utilize the tools like the prop bet cheat sheet and

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Speaker 1: the same game parlay builder too, which spoiler alert because

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Speaker 1: I don't like this game. I'm gonna have a little

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Speaker 1: fun with this one. Okay, we'll see if it's right

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Speaker 1: or wrong. I don't know. But the SGP tool is

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Speaker 1: also there at bettingpros dot com slash parlay to help

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Speaker 1: you get the logical high value combinations and they'll show

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Speaker 1: you the grades of the parlays you're putting together. Two

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Speaker 1: they give you the best chance of correlating for OW

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Speaker 1: and that's what it's all about. I'm taking two touchdown

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Speaker 1: props and I'm putting them together. That's what I'm doing.

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Speaker 1: Two touchdown calls. One Jalen hurts why because the tush

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Speaker 1: push and eventually point they're gonna be close down there

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Speaker 1: and they're gonna go and do that. And the other

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Speaker 1: one is my touchdown call this week, which is AJ

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Speaker 1: Brown and plus one seventy five. So I'm gonna put

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Speaker 1: the Jalen Hurts give me touchdown with the A J.

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Speaker 1: Brown plus one seventy five, and I get plus five

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Speaker 1: hundred plus five twenty four on that bad boy. That's it.

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Speaker 1: Taking those two touchdowns. It could be fourteen to nothing.

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Speaker 1: I walk away. That's all I care about. I don't

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Speaker 1: even care that much. I don't even care about extra points.

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Speaker 1: It could be twelve nothing and I'm just gonna walk

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Speaker 1: away from this game and go to sleep. That's what

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Speaker 1: I'm gonna do.

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Speaker 3: I'll be putting up if dick or misses two extra points.

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Speaker 3: That's my guy.

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Speaker 1: But look, man, I'm just I'm just going through here

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Speaker 1: and just giving the Eagles to win this game. And

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Speaker 1: I just I'm not gonna overthink this one. I think

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Speaker 1: the Chargers are running that steam too many. The other

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Speaker 1: thing we're not talking about enough to with his injury

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Speaker 1: is still the offensive line injury. You know, we're still

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Speaker 1: missing starters on the offensive line, so it's not like

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Speaker 1: he's got the best protection in front of them already.

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Speaker 1: And now with the hand injury, I just think the

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Speaker 1: Eagles find ways to win this football game, but bogs

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Speaker 1: aj Brown's my touchdown call, which one's yours, I'm.

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Speaker 3: Gonna go to kmmin. I think that if Hampton is back,

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Speaker 3: I don't know that we get a full Bucky Irving

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Speaker 3: assortment of touches from him. I think it's probably closer

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Speaker 3: to fifty to fifty specifically because Ydell has been so

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Speaker 3: effective in this role for the Chargers, and I honestly think,

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Speaker 3: you know, if we start getting numbers for these guys,

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Speaker 3: I'm gonna like overs on both. I'm definitely gonna like

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Speaker 3: the over on Videll if it's like under forty yards

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Speaker 3: for his rushing totals, So just keep that in mind

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Speaker 3: as well. But the number is great here plus two

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Speaker 3: seventy five, you're almost tripling up if Deal gets in

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Speaker 3: the end zone. So he's been good. The run defense

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Speaker 3: have been bad for Philly too, and then mister Jalen Carter,

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Speaker 3: so I like this one.

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Speaker 1: When they don't have Jalen Carter, and when they do

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Speaker 1: it's so different.

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Speaker 3: It's just obviously just he's one of the best defensive

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Speaker 3: tackles in the league.

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Speaker 1: It's not you know, and they don't have an answer

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Speaker 1: for when he's not around it's just it's not good

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Speaker 1: either scheme wise or personnel wise. I haven't been able

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Speaker 1: to plug that hole. And Ydell's done a good job

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Speaker 1: this year, and he's he's worked himself somewhere. He's every charge.

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Speaker 1: We thought he was going to be rookie year. Yeah,

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Speaker 1: we know we did. We just never got the opportunity

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Speaker 1: there in La. But here we go. We gotta finally

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Speaker 1: got the opportunity and making the most of it. So

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Speaker 1: here you go, all right, everybody, make sure you subscribe

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Speaker 1: to the channel and make sure you ring that belt

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Speaker 1: that it goes DN go win that aj Brown helmet too.

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Speaker 1: When it scores a touchdown, it's gonna go up in value,

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Speaker 1: I'm pretty sure. So that'll do it for us. But

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Speaker 1: the story of the game goes on for Scott Bogging.

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Speaker 3: I'm Joey p.

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Speaker 1: We'll see you next time.

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Speaker 2: Kids.

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Speaker 3: Thanks for listening to the Betting Pros podcast. If you

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