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Speaker 1: The Big Bets on Campus Podcast podcast podcast.

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Speaker 2: All right, here we go.

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Speaker 1: Fifteen cuny twenty five, thirty thirty five, forty twenty five

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Speaker 1: fifty and.

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Speaker 2: The kick as block Look college football.

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Speaker 3: Laura stund Oh my goodness, please stumbled the ball, the

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Speaker 3: lateral turn, the counter on the inside, don't you the

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Speaker 3: lad take them off the field to night.

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Speaker 1: It's not the side on the dog in the fight,

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Speaker 1: it's the.

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Speaker 3: Side of the fight in the room.

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Speaker 1: Welcome to the Big Bets on Campus Podcast. For our

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Speaker 1: G five deep dive, we are kicking off bowl season

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Speaker 1: with a breakdown of every single G five bowl game

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Speaker 1: across the board. I won't be doing lifting myself here.

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Speaker 1: I have Mike Ianello of the Action Network in to

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Speaker 1: help me copilot our way through all of these games,

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Speaker 1: some of which we're very excited about, some of which

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Speaker 1: also technically count as bowl games. But as our producer

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Speaker 1: likes to say, if you don't bet on the bowl game,

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Speaker 1: does it really exist? So we're going to go ahead

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Speaker 1: and touch them all in this one. We're going to

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Speaker 1: give you little facts, big facts, trends, absolute hammer plays

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Speaker 1: that we're both in on. But it's important to note

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Speaker 1: that we're going to touch every single game because we

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Speaker 1: understand that a lot of you are in bowl pools,

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Speaker 1: confidence pools against the spread, so you want to have

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Speaker 1: a little insight before you go and fill all those out.

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Speaker 1: And speaking of filling out every single game, Stucky and

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Speaker 1: Colin will be doing the Lord's work. They have a

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Speaker 1: four part bowl series that drops in the middle of

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Speaker 1: this week, at least part one does, so it'll be

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Speaker 1: stocking stuffers into Boxing Day, little New Year's Eve gift.

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Speaker 1: There'll be lots of action breaking down every single one

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Speaker 1: of those games all the way through the College Football

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Speaker 1: Playoff as well as January twod with that slate of

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Speaker 1: major bowl games as well. So, first of all, Ian

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Speaker 1: l O it was a tremendous end of the season

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Speaker 1: for us. We hit a lot of our conference cham

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Speaker 1: and Shap picks as well as our futures picks going

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Speaker 1: all the way back to August. How are you feeling

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Speaker 1: about another season in the books?

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Speaker 2: I feel great. It's like playing golf, where you know

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Speaker 2: you start the year hot. We started the year five

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Speaker 2: and zero. You know you burdy the first hole, then

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Speaker 2: you you know you kind of chunk chunk one on four,

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Speaker 2: hit one in the water on seven, start to get

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Speaker 2: real pissy, get a hot dog at the turn, start

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Speaker 2: tugging into beers, get real annoy hate golf, and then

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Speaker 2: you birdy eighteen. You're like, this is awesome, Let's do

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Speaker 2: that again. That's kind of how I feel. You know,

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Speaker 2: we we pretty much swept the board with our G

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Speaker 2: five conference champions, so great, great week for us, And yeah,

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Speaker 2: I'm excited to get into bowl games. Like you said,

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Speaker 2: there's no such thing as a bad bull, I think,

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Speaker 2: especially after the last two years with all the you know,

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Speaker 2: last minute cancelations and stuff. I'm thankful we hopefully have

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Speaker 2: a full slate of bulls this year because there was

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Speaker 2: nothing worse than sitting down on the couch getting all

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Speaker 2: excited to watch a bowl game and then find out

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Speaker 2: it was getting canceled like an hour before.

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Speaker 1: Hey, I just popped out of the Glorian Marty McFly

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Speaker 1: Doc Brown style, and I was just stuck in April

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Speaker 1: in a rain delay for Reds afternoon game. And I

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Speaker 1: just want to let everyone know college football is amazing.

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Speaker 1: Enjoy every last drop of this season. Just because New

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Speaker 1: Mexico State's playing Bowling Green. Don't you dare for one second, say, hey,

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Speaker 1: I don't want to watch that game. That's ridiculous because

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Speaker 1: baseball is it's rough, and it's pretty much the only

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Speaker 1: thing on the menu for a big slate of the

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Speaker 1: gambling season. So let's hop right in. We're going to

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Speaker 1: start on December sixteenth, Miami of Ohio versus UAB. They're

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Speaker 1: laying eleven, the total is forty four and a half

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Speaker 1: in the hometown lenders Bahamas Bowl. And I'll just hit

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Speaker 1: some high level points here. UAB has the nation's leading rusher,

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Speaker 1: Dwayne McBride, show heads onto a plane, drops down in

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Speaker 1: the Bahamas all seventeen hundred and thirteen rushing yards of

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Speaker 1: his this season, nineteen touchdown touchdowns. On the other side,

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Speaker 1: the RedHawks, they won three of their last four. They're

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Speaker 1: playing musical chairs. They landed on Avion Smith, who is

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Speaker 1: a dual threat, and what's interesting with him at the controls.

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Speaker 1: Their running game has more pop and UAB has a

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Speaker 1: really bad run defense one hundred and third and success

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Speaker 1: rate eightieth and explosive plays allowed on the ground. So

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Speaker 1: my thoughts on this one is that I played a

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Speaker 1: bunch of UAB games this year. Eleven seems a little

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Speaker 1: bit Rich. It's a lean for me. It's not an

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Speaker 1: official pick, but I'll go ahead and take the RedHawks

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Speaker 1: plus the points there. If it was a confidence pool situation,

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Speaker 1: I'd probably say the Blazers, you know, sub ten on

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Speaker 1: the confidence ladder there. What are you thinking here, Ianella?

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Speaker 2: Again, this would you kind of have to caveat everything

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Speaker 2: in bold season with This is Brett Gabbert. He's still

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Speaker 2: out right because he hopped in the portal, but then

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Speaker 2: he announced he's returning, but he's still hurt.

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Speaker 1: Correct or he's still hurt at least from the beat

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Speaker 1: Raiders that I saw. There's a chance that they could

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Speaker 1: play Avion Smith, Like I said, they went three and

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Speaker 1: one down the stretch, and he's not someone who's a

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Speaker 1: huge setback obviously in terms of his arm strength and accuracy. Yes,

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Speaker 1: but if they just tailor the offense to him in

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Speaker 1: the pre Bowl practices, I think they'll have, you know,

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Speaker 1: puncher's chance in this. So I'm banking on Smith being

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Speaker 1: QB one in this game.

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Speaker 2: So I'm with you where if I'm in a confidence

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Speaker 2: fool where you just have to pick him straight up,

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Speaker 2: I like UEB pretty confidently, but I don't necessarily want

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Speaker 2: eleven with them, just because they are going to run

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Speaker 2: the ball. The one thing I would look at in

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Speaker 2: this game obviously you wob announced Trent Dilfer as their

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Speaker 2: head coach next year. If interim not a fan of.

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Speaker 1: That, Yeah, not a fan, but sure continue.

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Speaker 2: If interim Bryant Vincent is coaching this game, which I

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Speaker 2: assume he will, a lot of the UAV players wrote

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Speaker 2: letters to the administration lobbying for Vincent to get the

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Speaker 2: full time job. I think if he's coaching here, they

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Speaker 2: will want to make a statement for him. They're going

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Speaker 2: to carry him off like Rudy, So look for that

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Speaker 2: if he's playing that. You know, if I'm picking the spread,

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Speaker 2: I actually would lay the points Blazers because I think

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Speaker 2: they'll play hard for him. But I'm with you, I

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Speaker 2: probably won't actually bet it, but if I'm playing a

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Speaker 2: conference pool, I would be. I would be fairly confident

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Speaker 2: you would be to win this game.

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Speaker 1: Also on the sixteenth, Utsa, a top twenty five conference

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Speaker 1: champion against against Troy, a top twenty five conference champion.

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Speaker 1: The Trojans laying just a point. Fifty four and a

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Speaker 1: half is the total set in the Dulude treating Cure Bowl.

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Speaker 1: Like I said, a pair of G five champions, this

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Speaker 1: is hard. This is Immediately I was like, oh no,

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Speaker 1: this is going to be a split vote from us.

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Speaker 1: Probably he is not.

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Speaker 2: This is officially dubbed the Group of five d dive

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Speaker 2: Sophie's Choice Bowl.

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Speaker 1: Well, let's let's get into Sophie's choice in this one.

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Speaker 1: Why it is so difficult. So Frank Harris, superstar stud

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Speaker 1: also coming back next year. He should be our G

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Speaker 1: five here of the year. I think you can agree

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Speaker 1: there the fact that he's coming back to usher them

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Speaker 1: into the AAC Way to go. Frank, you're the man

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Speaker 1: led the G five in QBR almost forty five hundred

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Speaker 1: total yards forty total touchdowns. But then you got the

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Speaker 1: Troy defense on the other side of things. They stopped

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Speaker 1: the Big Blaze twelve and explosive. This allowed ninth in

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Speaker 1: points per opportunity allowed, gets even better in points per

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Speaker 1: game allowed all the way up to seventh nationally, and

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Speaker 1: the last three games. You made sure to remind me

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Speaker 1: every single week after I picked against their offense. Their

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Speaker 1: offense is a wagon. They scored one hundred and twenty

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Speaker 1: seven points in the last three weeks. They haven't lost

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Speaker 1: since the hell Mary walk off at app State, which

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Speaker 1: took at least two and a half years off my life,

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Speaker 1: having called Detroit money line in that one. So they're

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Speaker 1: cooking Utsa's offenses as potent as ever. This game is

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Speaker 1: so difficult for me to pick. My only lean here

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Speaker 1: is over fifty four and a half. But other than that,

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Speaker 1: it's very low on the tote poll for me in

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Speaker 1: terms of confidence because I could see multiple games scripts

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Speaker 1: going in different directions here between the road Runners and

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Speaker 1: the Trojans.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, this is Sophie's choice. This is you know, I'm

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Speaker 2: gonna wear a split jersey with you know, Carlton Marshall

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Speaker 2: and Frank Harris. This is the let's hope both teams

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Speaker 2: have fun here. If you had to pick it, we

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Speaker 2: want to do our listeners, you know, a service with

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Speaker 2: pools and stuff like that. And you know, you and

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Speaker 2: Matt Mitchell, you both you both have multiple kids. Everyone

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Speaker 2: has a favorite. Deep down, you won't admit it. I'm

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Speaker 2: sure Matt Mitchell is the kid that wasn't throwing up

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Speaker 2: on him today. But if I had to play it,

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Speaker 2: I think Utsa's offense is a little bit better than

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Speaker 2: Troy's defense, and you mentioned it, Jeff Trailer turning down

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Speaker 2: our five job offer to remain at UTSA, Frank Harris

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Speaker 2: coming back for his seventh season thanks to a new

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Speaker 2: public nil fund. I think that gives this team juice.

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Speaker 2: I think this team is fired up. They have their coach,

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Speaker 2: they have their quarterback, and Utstate has been burned through

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Speaker 2: the air on defense, but they've been really good against

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Speaker 2: the run and that's kind of what Troy wants to

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Speaker 2: do on offense. The road Runners have won two straight

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Speaker 2: conference championships, but they're owing three in bowl games. This

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Speaker 2: program has never won a bowl game. So I just

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Speaker 2: think that UTSA has, you know, a little bit more

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Speaker 2: juice with the excitement going into next year and wanting

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Speaker 2: their first ever bowl game. So considering this as a

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Speaker 2: pick them and you basically have to pick who wins,

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Speaker 2: I'm gonna take the Roadrunners. I don't know if I'll

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Speaker 2: actually bet it, just because I want to just root

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Speaker 2: for both teams that fun, But if I had to,

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Speaker 2: I would I think I would take YOUTSA.

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Speaker 1: From one bowl game we can't wait to watch, and

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Speaker 1: there's winners all around no matter what happens to a

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Speaker 1: bowl game that no one wants to watch. On the seventeenth,

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Speaker 1: it's the No Coach Bowl, Cincinnati versus Louisville. Straight pick

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Speaker 1: them nice Vegas. I appreciate a little win from Vegas

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Speaker 1: on this one. They're like, who knows? Both teams obviously

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Speaker 1: have quit in this situation. The Totals send it forty

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Speaker 1: two and a half in the with Sabi Fenway Bowl,

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Speaker 1: which I would make the argument is the weirdest pairing

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Speaker 1: a bowl naming venue in the game right now, normally

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Speaker 1: Cuttingham no Tyn Evans, no Tyler Hudson. Let's go under.

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Speaker 1: Let's not overthink this forty two and a half with

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Speaker 1: two teams. I mean, Since's defense still has a lot

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Speaker 1: of key pieces. I know they have a few people

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Speaker 1: in the portal, but they still alive in pace Junior,

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Speaker 1: He's gonna recavoc in this game. So I'll go over

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Speaker 1: pardon me under forty two and a half and hopefully

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Speaker 1: I get some of that classic you know, December Massachusetts

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Speaker 1: weather and it's ugly and cold and nobody wants to play.

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Speaker 1: Just suck the will out of these kids, So I'm

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Speaker 1: gonna go under here. Any thoughts on Cincy and Louisville.

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Speaker 2: The one thing that would scare me off and under

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Speaker 2: is Kerrie Coombs is serving as the interim coach for Louisville,

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Speaker 2: and he was horrific as the defensive coordinator fro House State,

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Speaker 2: so Warre knows what this defense don't look like. I'm

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Speaker 2: not betting any of this game, mostly out of protest

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Speaker 2: because I was supposed to go to the Throwing Bowl

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Speaker 2: last year, and I drove from Allentown, Pennsylvania, all the

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Speaker 2: way to Boston on my birthday to watch this game,

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Speaker 2: and it was supposed to be an exciting shootout SMU

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Speaker 2: versus Virginia with when their offense was still good, the

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Speaker 2: total was like eighty five and a half and he

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Speaker 2: got canceled like two hours before. I was sitting at

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Speaker 2: a Chinese food restaurant in Boston when I got canceled.

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Speaker 2: It was the worst birthday I ever had. So I'm

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Speaker 2: protesting the pen label.

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Speaker 1: I like that everything's personal here on the G five deeps.

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Speaker 1: If you know what you know, what else is personal.

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Speaker 1: I feel good for the Rice Owls because a lot

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Speaker 1: of people will look at the slate here and say, wait,

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Speaker 1: Rice went five and seven, but their academic success rate

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Speaker 1: pushed them over the top way to fill in all

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Speaker 1: of those bubbles on the scantron's owls because you did

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Speaker 1: just enough of that to get into a bowl game.

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Speaker 1: Rice playing Southern Miss the Golden Eagles a six and

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Speaker 1: a half point favorite total set at forty six and

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Speaker 1: a half in the Lending Tree Bowl, and that's as

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Speaker 1: far as I can go for enthusiasm for Rice. The

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Speaker 1: Action Network power rankings on this team one hundred and

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Speaker 1: thirteenth in the country. That may be a little bit

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Speaker 1: high because their defense is horrific one hundred and twenty

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Speaker 1: seventh and exposed in this allowed. They can't stop the run,

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Speaker 1: they can't stop the pass, and Luke McCaffrey, I don't

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Speaker 1: feel like he's played in a month, and no one

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Speaker 1: will even say if he's going to play in this game.

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Speaker 1: He's their best offensive player. On the other side of things,

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Speaker 1: Southern Miss is really good on defense fourteenth and successory.

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Speaker 1: On that side of the ball. They play the field

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Speaker 1: position game better than just about any G five team

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Speaker 1: in the whole country. They finished seventh nationally in average

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Speaker 1: field position. They won six games this year, but lost

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Speaker 1: three others by a combined twelve points, so I think

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Speaker 1: they are a much better team in this spot. I mean,

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Speaker 1: they almost upset too late this season as well. Trey

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Speaker 1: Low has been good enough when you play against the

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Speaker 1: defense this bad. I'm not gonna give this guy his

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Speaker 1: roses and say that he's, you know, all of a sudden,

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Speaker 1: some kind of G five hero in the making. But

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Speaker 1: I think those score are like twenty four points in

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Speaker 1: this game and it'll be enough. So I'm going to

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Speaker 1: lay the points to the Golden Egles my first official

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Speaker 1: bet here a bowlseason, and I'm pretty bullish on them.

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Speaker 1: Might play them north of thirty in a confidence pool

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Speaker 1: as well. What are your thoughts on the al and

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Speaker 1: Golden Eagles.

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Speaker 2: Yep, this is my first official bet as well. I

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Speaker 2: agree with you. Southern Miss cover the spread in nine

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Speaker 2: of its last ten games, and both these teams are

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Speaker 2: going in different directions healthwise. You know, Southern Miss has

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Speaker 2: gotten healthier. You know they were out without Trey Low

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Speaker 2: for a bit. He's back were Rice. You know you

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Speaker 2: mentioned that power rating. Who's at quarterback in that power rating?

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Speaker 2: Because like Wyley Green has been hurt all year, TJ

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Speaker 2: McMahon's got hurt. They've been using two freshmen both have

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Speaker 2: been horrible. I think aj Padget probably playing he started

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Speaker 2: the last game. He's clearly just fifty percent of his passes.

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Speaker 2: And the strip this Rice or Southern Miss defense should

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Speaker 2: just eat this Rice offensive line alive. And then the

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Speaker 2: two things Rice has been like really bad at is

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Speaker 2: giving up explosiveness and that's kind of also the Miss

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Speaker 2: does on offense. They're not really they don't really move

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Speaker 2: the ball consistently, but they just play defense and then

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Speaker 2: they hit big plays Brownlee and Frank Gore. I think

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Speaker 2: they're gonna be able to do that. That's like the perfect

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Speaker 2: recipe of how you beat Rice. That's kind of what

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Speaker 2: they do ball game. So yeah, I'm pretty confident. And

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Speaker 2: so I missed here at minus six and a half

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Speaker 2: when I've already played that.

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Speaker 1: From sitting in a Chinese restaurant to Fried Rice there

290
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Speaker 1: in that bowl game. I like to see g Ies

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Speaker 1: keep the mojo going here. On December seventeenth, Wazu playing Fresno,

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Speaker 1: Fresno lay in three total set at fifty four and

293
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Speaker 1: a half and the Jimmy Kimmel LA Bowl presented by Stifel.

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Speaker 1: I don't know what stifle is, don't care if you

295
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Speaker 1: told me in August that this was the matchup, I'd

296
00:13:25,160 --> 00:13:28,200
Speaker 1: been like, what a great quarterback matchup cam Ward. Everybody

297
00:13:28,240 --> 00:13:30,760
Speaker 1: was all excited, the incarnate word transfer coming in with

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Speaker 1: his coach. Well, Wazu never got it really going on offense,

299
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Speaker 1: although they look pretty strong down the stretch. They finished

300
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Speaker 1: three and two in their last five straight up, nearly

301
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Speaker 1: upset Utah at home, scored thirty three in the Apple Cup.

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Speaker 1: But this is a Fresno team. I don't know if

303
00:13:43,559 --> 00:13:45,720
Speaker 1: there's a G five team playing any better at this point.

304
00:13:45,760 --> 00:13:48,280
Speaker 1: They turned on the after burners once Hayner got healthy.

305
00:13:48,400 --> 00:13:51,200
Speaker 1: They won the Mountain West Conference. One last ride for

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Speaker 1: your boy here and then the only kind of lean

307
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Speaker 1: I have in this spot is potentially under fifty four

308
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Speaker 1: and a half. And here's why. Wazoo's twenty ninth and Havoc.

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Speaker 1: They only gave up twenty three points per game all season.

310
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Speaker 1: Fresno moved up to twenty first and Havoc. But really,

311
00:14:05,600 --> 00:14:07,719
Speaker 1: to me, it came down to the return of their

312
00:14:07,720 --> 00:14:10,800
Speaker 1: defensive quarterback Evan Williams. Once he was back in the fold.

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Speaker 1: Down the stretch, I think it was like six or

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Speaker 1: seven games they only allowed sixteen point eight points per game,

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Speaker 1: and Diane Henley is out for Wazoo. That was one

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Speaker 1: of the big opt out or injury issues to keep

317
00:14:20,480 --> 00:14:22,920
Speaker 1: an eye on, So I would lean Fresno, but I

318
00:14:23,120 --> 00:14:24,960
Speaker 1: think it's a pretty strong play on under here. I

319
00:14:24,960 --> 00:14:26,800
Speaker 1: think these offenses are going to struggle a little bit

320
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Speaker 1: with some solid defenses, and hopefully for G five sake,

321
00:14:29,960 --> 00:14:32,360
Speaker 1: Fresno can continue their winning ways. What are your thoughts

322
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Speaker 1: on Hainer's last ride with Bulldogs.

323
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Speaker 2: I'm obviously right with Hayter, I mean, for no other reason,

324
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Speaker 2: even if it's just for a nostalgia stake, But I

325
00:14:40,360 --> 00:14:42,520
Speaker 2: actually do like Fresno in this matchup. Did you mention

326
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Speaker 2: that you know Cam Moore got a ton of hype

327
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Speaker 2: this offseason and I don't remember ever hearing about him

328
00:14:47,000 --> 00:14:50,760
Speaker 2: once the season started, Like twenty three touchdowns, eight interceptions.

329
00:14:50,960 --> 00:14:52,360
Speaker 2: I looked this it up like we wasn't he supposed

330
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Speaker 2: to be like some sweet dual threat like h'its sixty

331
00:14:54,840 --> 00:14:57,600
Speaker 2: two rushing yards the whole season, Like, how's that even possible?

332
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Speaker 2: Unless he was sacked seven hundred times? But you mentioned

333
00:15:01,520 --> 00:15:03,600
Speaker 2: the opt outs. Washington State is also going to be

334
00:15:03,680 --> 00:15:07,280
Speaker 2: without three of their four leading receivers, Stribbling and Ali

335
00:15:07,280 --> 00:15:10,240
Speaker 2: are both in the portal. Bell is hurt and all

336
00:15:10,240 --> 00:15:12,320
Speaker 2: the Cougars do is throw the ball, so if they

337
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Speaker 2: have known a throw to, that's probably a problem. Fresno

338
00:15:15,040 --> 00:15:18,120
Speaker 2: State's defense was really good at defending the pass well.

339
00:15:18,200 --> 00:15:21,320
Speaker 2: Washington State also lost their defensive coordinator who left for

340
00:15:21,360 --> 00:15:24,520
Speaker 2: the same position at Arizona State, which to me is

341
00:15:24,600 --> 00:15:26,400
Speaker 2: kind of a weird move considering they might have like

342
00:15:26,480 --> 00:15:28,800
Speaker 2: sanctions coming down, so I don't know why he would

343
00:15:28,800 --> 00:15:33,720
Speaker 2: take that lateral move. We're assuming j Caner's playing this game,

344
00:15:33,840 --> 00:15:36,880
Speaker 2: and Ander is definitely a kid where you absolutely never

345
00:15:36,920 --> 00:15:39,000
Speaker 2: have to worry about his motivation. That dude is all

346
00:15:39,080 --> 00:15:41,160
Speaker 2: heart and balls, so he's definitely someone I want to

347
00:15:41,200 --> 00:15:43,840
Speaker 2: back in kind of one of these spots. Fresno State

348
00:15:43,840 --> 00:15:46,160
Speaker 2: went two and zero in bowl games under Jeff Tedford,

349
00:15:46,680 --> 00:15:48,920
Speaker 2: and like you said, they were just riding and high.

350
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Speaker 2: Right now, they have a ton of confidence. And last

351
00:15:51,600 --> 00:15:54,840
Speaker 2: year's gimmy kimble bowle was Mountain West champion Utah State,

352
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Speaker 2: who I didn't even think that was that good, crushing

353
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Speaker 2: Pac twelve Oregon State, so I think we cannot see

354
00:16:00,800 --> 00:16:02,840
Speaker 2: the same thing here. I don't think this Washington State

355
00:16:02,840 --> 00:16:06,080
Speaker 2: team is really that good. And the bulldoghers have a

356
00:16:06,120 --> 00:16:08,240
Speaker 2: ton of momentum. And I'll be honest, I just I

357
00:16:08,240 --> 00:16:09,760
Speaker 2: love Jake Fanner and I'm going to back him again.

358
00:16:10,520 --> 00:16:12,120
Speaker 1: I'm also going to be on the lookout for some

359
00:16:12,200 --> 00:16:15,040
Speaker 1: kind of crossover advertisement with the Super Mario movie coming

360
00:16:15,080 --> 00:16:18,320
Speaker 1: out at Nico Romihio one more time. Get him a

361
00:16:18,360 --> 00:16:19,240
Speaker 1: highlight for Fresno.

362
00:16:19,560 --> 00:16:21,040
Speaker 2: We're going to get We're going to get Germo in

363
00:16:21,040 --> 00:16:22,120
Speaker 2: the booth. It's gonna be great.

364
00:16:22,400 --> 00:16:24,560
Speaker 1: Not just a great name, great punt returner. He's had

365
00:16:24,600 --> 00:16:27,440
Speaker 1: some absolute electric returns this year. All right. The seventeenth

366
00:16:27,440 --> 00:16:28,880
Speaker 1: is jam packed to the game. So he got another one.

367
00:16:29,000 --> 00:16:32,240
Speaker 1: SMU laying a point a half against BYU sixty eight

368
00:16:32,320 --> 00:16:34,960
Speaker 1: and a half as the total in the New Mexico Bowl.

369
00:16:35,280 --> 00:16:37,520
Speaker 1: Heading down to the Land of Enchantment. You know it's

370
00:16:37,520 --> 00:16:40,120
Speaker 1: not too en channing. Jaren Hall may not play in

371
00:16:40,200 --> 00:16:42,120
Speaker 1: this game. There was a quote in one of the

372
00:16:42,120 --> 00:16:43,880
Speaker 1: Salt Lake City newspapers that it would be a minor

373
00:16:43,920 --> 00:16:46,240
Speaker 1: miracle if he suited up just because of you know

374
00:16:46,680 --> 00:16:48,440
Speaker 1: the fact that he's going to be off to the NFL.

375
00:16:48,920 --> 00:16:52,200
Speaker 1: Jacob conover the Koog's backup. They're only one who took

376
00:16:52,240 --> 00:16:54,640
Speaker 1: snaps and can you know, attempted to pass a whole season.

377
00:16:54,880 --> 00:16:58,000
Speaker 1: He just transferred Arizona State. Rashie Rice out with the

378
00:16:58,040 --> 00:17:01,120
Speaker 1: tow Entry. So my enthusiasm for this game is waning

379
00:17:01,360 --> 00:17:04,640
Speaker 1: well before kickoff. Yes, the total is sitting at sixty eight,

380
00:17:04,960 --> 00:17:08,159
Speaker 1: and I know that we still have Puka Nakua and

381
00:17:08,200 --> 00:17:10,600
Speaker 1: a few other players get excited about. But without any

382
00:17:10,640 --> 00:17:13,080
Speaker 1: quarterback play on the BYU side of things, I don't know.

383
00:17:13,119 --> 00:17:15,680
Speaker 1: BYU is always a team throughout this season that I

384
00:17:15,720 --> 00:17:18,320
Speaker 1: struggled to handicap. They looked really strong out of the gate,

385
00:17:18,600 --> 00:17:21,119
Speaker 1: then they absolutely fell apart for four or five games.

386
00:17:21,280 --> 00:17:23,560
Speaker 1: Then they finished the season pretty strong. The offense got going.

387
00:17:23,760 --> 00:17:26,760
Speaker 1: They covered that last game against Stanford. But this game

388
00:17:26,840 --> 00:17:29,080
Speaker 1: is a peer pass for me because SMU is a

389
00:17:29,119 --> 00:17:31,640
Speaker 1: defense that can give up a ton of points if

390
00:17:31,680 --> 00:17:34,320
Speaker 1: BYU gets any competent quarterback play. But it's a mystery

391
00:17:34,320 --> 00:17:36,400
Speaker 1: box right now. Whoever suits up for them is never

392
00:17:36,440 --> 00:17:38,600
Speaker 1: thrown a college pass, so it's a pass for me.

393
00:17:38,680 --> 00:17:41,680
Speaker 1: It's probably like a sub five on the confidence level.

394
00:17:41,760 --> 00:17:44,480
Speaker 1: Just go with the Mustangs. But it's unfortunate because I

395
00:17:44,520 --> 00:17:46,639
Speaker 1: think if Jaron Hall was playing in this game, this

396
00:17:46,640 --> 00:17:49,359
Speaker 1: would be a fun quarterback matchup. But unfortunately the Mexico

397
00:17:49,440 --> 00:17:52,000
Speaker 1: Bowl left hanging in the wind on this one. What

398
00:17:52,040 --> 00:17:52,600
Speaker 1: are your thoughts?

399
00:17:52,800 --> 00:17:55,040
Speaker 2: Yeah, dude, this sucks. I was so excited about this game.

400
00:17:55,280 --> 00:17:59,119
Speaker 2: I've I've rewritten it three different times. I started my

401
00:17:59,200 --> 00:18:02,520
Speaker 2: research on like Friday, and I loved over sixty eight

402
00:18:02,520 --> 00:18:04,440
Speaker 2: and a half and I was all about it. I'm like,

403
00:18:04,440 --> 00:18:08,240
Speaker 2: who's getting to stop? These defenses are horrific? And then

404
00:18:08,520 --> 00:18:11,480
Speaker 2: with Rahel Rice opting out, like you said, he's their

405
00:18:11,480 --> 00:18:14,040
Speaker 2: whole offense. He had ninety six catches this season, the

406
00:18:14,080 --> 00:18:17,159
Speaker 2: next blusest guy at thirty one. He had eight hundred

407
00:18:17,160 --> 00:18:20,760
Speaker 2: and seventeen more receiving yards than SMU's second leading receiver,

408
00:18:21,480 --> 00:18:25,760
Speaker 2: so he once he opted out, I rewrote it with BYU.

409
00:18:25,920 --> 00:18:29,240
Speaker 2: They can BYU plus two and a half. Now you

410
00:18:29,240 --> 00:18:32,600
Speaker 2: know the line is shooting up, which clearly indicates Jaren

411
00:18:32,640 --> 00:18:34,800
Speaker 2: Hall is not playing. You know, we have we have

412
00:18:34,840 --> 00:18:37,760
Speaker 2: some sources in on the ground that indicate their here

413
00:18:37,760 --> 00:18:39,840
Speaker 2: and he won't play. It went from one and a

414
00:18:39,840 --> 00:18:42,440
Speaker 2: half to five and a half in a day, which

415
00:18:42,520 --> 00:18:45,280
Speaker 2: is not a good sign. So now I'm just a

416
00:18:45,320 --> 00:18:49,240
Speaker 2: total stay away. You know, BU five and a half,

417
00:18:49,720 --> 00:18:51,960
Speaker 2: it's a lot, and you know Christopher Brooks is playing.

418
00:18:51,960 --> 00:18:53,840
Speaker 2: They might just run the ball down SMU's throw. But

419
00:18:54,560 --> 00:18:56,479
Speaker 2: like you said, who's gonna stop in this game, it's

420
00:18:56,520 --> 00:18:58,560
Speaker 2: probably just who has the ball last. It's gonna be gross.

421
00:18:59,080 --> 00:19:01,560
Speaker 2: So yeah, really enough for me? It would bound predisappointed

422
00:19:01,560 --> 00:19:03,600
Speaker 2: because this is probably one of my most exciting ones

423
00:19:03,640 --> 00:19:05,080
Speaker 2: going into it, and now I'm like, I don't even

424
00:19:05,119 --> 00:19:05,800
Speaker 2: know that I'll watch it.

425
00:19:06,920 --> 00:19:08,760
Speaker 1: The last G five game on the seventeenth is the

426
00:19:08,840 --> 00:19:12,040
Speaker 1: Frisco Bowl North Texas and Boise State. Boise laying ten

427
00:19:12,200 --> 00:19:14,960
Speaker 1: total set of fifty six and a half. North Texas

428
00:19:14,960 --> 00:19:17,880
Speaker 1: makes the Commerce USA title game. If I had get

429
00:19:17,920 --> 00:19:20,720
Speaker 1: out of here Seth Latrell, clearly they had it out

430
00:19:20,760 --> 00:19:23,240
Speaker 1: for him, no matter what happened there. Austin on Nee

431
00:19:23,240 --> 00:19:25,359
Speaker 1: declaring for the NFL Draft a bit of a surprise

432
00:19:25,440 --> 00:19:28,000
Speaker 1: to us. Hey, if he hasn't signed an agent and

433
00:19:28,080 --> 00:19:30,760
Speaker 1: Boise whips him and you know, holds him under ten points,

434
00:19:30,760 --> 00:19:33,120
Speaker 1: maybe he's like just kidding, coming back for one more year,

435
00:19:33,320 --> 00:19:35,600
Speaker 1: Let's do it again, bring it back for a last

436
00:19:35,640 --> 00:19:41,040
Speaker 1: dance in Denton. Yeah, to me. This is my number

437
00:19:41,080 --> 00:19:44,359
Speaker 1: one confidence play in the entire pool, Boise money line

438
00:19:44,440 --> 00:19:46,119
Speaker 1: and then Boise minus twent I'm gonna sweat it out.

439
00:19:46,119 --> 00:19:48,480
Speaker 1: I'm still going to lay the points. But listen, they

440
00:19:48,520 --> 00:19:50,479
Speaker 1: went seven to two down the stretch. They have an

441
00:19:50,480 --> 00:19:54,600
Speaker 1: elite defense six and success rate thirteenth in Havoc, North Texas.

442
00:19:54,640 --> 00:19:57,400
Speaker 1: I understand that they had their moments. Anie played better

443
00:19:57,400 --> 00:20:00,240
Speaker 1: and better, clearly peaking in his college career. They played

444
00:20:00,280 --> 00:20:02,400
Speaker 1: musical chairs due to injuries and playing the hot hand

445
00:20:02,440 --> 00:20:04,639
Speaker 1: at running back. But this Poise defense is going to

446
00:20:04,680 --> 00:20:07,080
Speaker 1: mess them up. I don't think there's any way to

447
00:20:07,119 --> 00:20:09,480
Speaker 1: see this game other than that, So I'm not going

448
00:20:09,480 --> 00:20:11,600
Speaker 1: to overthink it. I'm gonna go Broncos laying the ten here.

449
00:20:11,760 --> 00:20:12,439
Speaker 1: What are your thoughts?

450
00:20:12,840 --> 00:20:15,160
Speaker 2: Well, you, I think moneyline wise is probably one of

451
00:20:14,960 --> 00:20:19,760
Speaker 2: the most confident plays. I hare to rumor that seth

452
00:20:19,880 --> 00:20:22,239
Speaker 2: Travel was told before the season he had to win

453
00:20:22,280 --> 00:20:24,320
Speaker 2: eight games or he was fired, and they won the

454
00:20:24,320 --> 00:20:27,320
Speaker 2: seven games and that's why he fired, which is like

455
00:20:28,080 --> 00:20:31,000
Speaker 2: kind of ridiculous. You're being honest, biggest bumber, like you

456
00:20:31,000 --> 00:20:33,040
Speaker 2: said Austin on Need declaring for the NFL Draft, which

457
00:20:33,040 --> 00:20:34,719
Speaker 2: means the twenty nine year old that we will not

458
00:20:34,760 --> 00:20:36,960
Speaker 2: get to see the thirty year old Austin On he

459
00:20:37,000 --> 00:20:40,359
Speaker 2: play college football next year, which sucks. I'm with you.

460
00:20:40,440 --> 00:20:43,159
Speaker 2: I think this this boise stage, they actually outgained Fresno

461
00:20:43,200 --> 00:20:45,200
Speaker 2: State in that game. They really didn't play that bad.

462
00:20:45,800 --> 00:20:48,000
Speaker 2: There's seven still seven to two with Green, you know,

463
00:20:48,280 --> 00:20:50,160
Speaker 2: best one of the best defenses, and in the whole

464
00:20:50,200 --> 00:20:52,000
Speaker 2: group of five, North Texas is at their best, and

465
00:20:52,000 --> 00:20:53,119
Speaker 2: the running the ball, they're not gonna be able to

466
00:20:53,160 --> 00:20:55,879
Speaker 2: do that in this game. We know Taylor Green, you

467
00:20:55,920 --> 00:20:58,840
Speaker 2: know they're young, we know he's coming back. So you know,

468
00:20:58,880 --> 00:21:02,040
Speaker 2: I like those underclassmen quarterbacks that just have every every

469
00:21:02,040 --> 00:21:04,760
Speaker 2: incentive to ball out and be in, you know, going

470
00:21:04,760 --> 00:21:06,639
Speaker 2: in next year with some confidence. So I think I

471
00:21:06,720 --> 00:21:08,880
Speaker 2: think boys crushed them. I bet it already and yeah

472
00:21:08,960 --> 00:21:09,159
Speaker 2: with you.

473
00:21:10,240 --> 00:21:14,840
Speaker 1: December nineteenth, Marshall layd ten against the University of Connecticut

474
00:21:14,920 --> 00:21:17,560
Speaker 1: Huskies forty and a half. So as the total and

475
00:21:17,600 --> 00:21:20,080
Speaker 1: the Myrtle Beach ball listen, Yukon went five and two

476
00:21:20,080 --> 00:21:22,479
Speaker 1: down the stretch to get ball eligible. They upset Fresno.

477
00:21:22,560 --> 00:21:24,840
Speaker 1: I know Haino didn't play, but still counts the upset

478
00:21:24,840 --> 00:21:28,560
Speaker 1: Boston College. They beat Liberty as a big underdog. Marshall

479
00:21:28,680 --> 00:21:31,200
Speaker 1: also white hot. They you know, they win their last

480
00:21:31,200 --> 00:21:32,919
Speaker 1: four games in the sun Belt. They get rashiin a

481
00:21:33,000 --> 00:21:35,639
Speaker 1: lee back. Maybe they've found their quarterback of the future

482
00:21:35,640 --> 00:21:38,040
Speaker 1: and can fanccher. He's a dual threat who got better

483
00:21:38,080 --> 00:21:40,439
Speaker 1: as the season went on. You know, as a freshman, Listen,

484
00:21:40,600 --> 00:21:43,760
Speaker 1: I really wanted to play Yukon. I wanted.

485
00:21:43,800 --> 00:21:45,200
Speaker 2: I wanted to dare.

486
00:21:45,560 --> 00:21:47,800
Speaker 1: I wanted to do it. But pairing Fancer with this

487
00:21:47,880 --> 00:21:50,080
Speaker 1: Marshall defense, which is top ten in points per game,

488
00:21:50,200 --> 00:21:53,000
Speaker 1: yards per play allowed, yards per carry allowed, and opposing

489
00:21:53,080 --> 00:21:57,439
Speaker 1: completion percentage, yikes, this defense is going to feed Yukon

490
00:21:57,560 --> 00:21:59,800
Speaker 1: into the wood chipper. I can't do it. I'm gonna

491
00:21:59,800 --> 00:22:02,240
Speaker 1: go Marshall, you know, in the thirties on the confidence.

492
00:22:03,480 --> 00:22:05,560
Speaker 1: I don't feel great about laying ten. I wish it

493
00:22:05,600 --> 00:22:08,119
Speaker 1: was nine and a half. Hopefully that just means a

494
00:22:08,119 --> 00:22:10,520
Speaker 1: push instead of a straight up loss. But I'm going

495
00:22:10,600 --> 00:22:13,280
Speaker 1: to go with the thundering Herd here they played in obviously,

496
00:22:13,359 --> 00:22:15,280
Speaker 1: you know, a more difficult schedule. A lot of those

497
00:22:15,320 --> 00:22:18,760
Speaker 1: Yukon wins were against tin Cans down the stretch, whereas

498
00:22:18,920 --> 00:22:22,760
Speaker 1: Marshall Alice was playing some belt competition the whole season. Yeah,

499
00:22:22,800 --> 00:22:24,679
Speaker 1: that's just my thought on this game. Great story for

500
00:22:24,720 --> 00:22:27,159
Speaker 1: you come now. I'm very happy for Jim Mora the

501
00:22:27,200 --> 00:22:28,840
Speaker 1: fact that he was able to turn the program around

502
00:22:28,880 --> 00:22:30,920
Speaker 1: that quickly. I hope he stays just to keep you know,

503
00:22:31,000 --> 00:22:33,640
Speaker 1: Northeast football a little bit more relevant. I think everybody

504
00:22:33,720 --> 00:22:36,119
Speaker 1: was like in on it was a borderline joke, but

505
00:22:36,160 --> 00:22:38,840
Speaker 1: it's more like a field of story. So I'm happy

506
00:22:39,200 --> 00:22:41,399
Speaker 1: that they got to storm the field at the Rents,

507
00:22:41,520 --> 00:22:43,879
Speaker 1: that they didn't get left in the cold, you know

508
00:22:43,920 --> 00:22:47,560
Speaker 1: on the the bowl game, you know, musical chair situation

509
00:22:47,640 --> 00:22:49,480
Speaker 1: where there's a little bit of buzz because they don't

510
00:22:49,480 --> 00:22:51,520
Speaker 1: have the conference tie in that maybe they get left out.

511
00:22:51,640 --> 00:22:54,159
Speaker 1: That didn't happen. So happy for them. They're not winning

512
00:22:54,160 --> 00:22:56,080
Speaker 1: this game. Talk me out of it.

513
00:22:58,480 --> 00:23:02,000
Speaker 2: You are so disrespectful. Obviously, I'm taking U com plus

514
00:23:02,040 --> 00:23:03,919
Speaker 2: ten and a half. And yeah, not just because I'm

515
00:23:03,920 --> 00:23:06,120
Speaker 2: from Connecticut and it's the greatest state in the country

516
00:23:06,200 --> 00:23:08,280
Speaker 2: and we're an absolute wagon football and we're an absolute

517
00:23:08,280 --> 00:23:11,960
Speaker 2: wagon at basketball, and we're just the conference champions. But

518
00:23:12,160 --> 00:23:14,919
Speaker 2: the Huskies went nine to three against the spread this season.

519
00:23:14,960 --> 00:23:18,120
Speaker 2: They won three of their last four games. Beat Boston College,

520
00:23:18,640 --> 00:23:22,160
Speaker 2: whooped Liberty with an sec head coach. We basically beat

521
00:23:22,160 --> 00:23:26,320
Speaker 2: Auburn and more than a touchdown underdog in both they

522
00:23:26,400 --> 00:23:29,520
Speaker 2: outgained Army and we were both on them. They should

523
00:23:29,520 --> 00:23:31,040
Speaker 2: have won that game. They just blowed in the red

524
00:23:31,119 --> 00:23:32,639
Speaker 2: zone like three times in a row, and it was

525
00:23:32,800 --> 00:23:33,800
Speaker 2: extremely frustrating.

526
00:23:33,880 --> 00:23:35,720
Speaker 1: That wasn't their fault. It was my fault for picking

527
00:23:35,760 --> 00:23:37,960
Speaker 1: them as my Monday Elion underdogs.

528
00:23:37,800 --> 00:23:39,879
Speaker 2: I just put the Calibre's curse on them and then

529
00:23:39,920 --> 00:23:43,600
Speaker 2: they were doomed. We know what these teams want to do.

530
00:23:43,840 --> 00:23:45,959
Speaker 2: Marshall wants to run the ball with Rashina e Lee

531
00:23:46,200 --> 00:23:49,280
Speaker 2: and Kaylen Lebourne, and Yukon wants to run the ball

532
00:23:49,440 --> 00:23:53,399
Speaker 2: with Victor Rosa and Devonte Houston, and both teams I

533
00:23:53,400 --> 00:23:54,680
Speaker 2: think are going to be able to do that well.

534
00:23:55,320 --> 00:23:57,640
Speaker 2: This game total is just forty and a half. It's

535
00:23:57,640 --> 00:24:01,320
Speaker 2: going to be a low scoring run the ball game.

536
00:24:02,400 --> 00:24:05,760
Speaker 2: Yukon hasn't made a Bowl since twenty fifteen, and as

537
00:24:05,760 --> 00:24:08,760
Speaker 2: someone from Connecticut, a trip to Myrtle Beach in December

538
00:24:08,960 --> 00:24:11,240
Speaker 2: is the absolute dream. So these guys are gonna be

539
00:24:11,280 --> 00:24:14,159
Speaker 2: fired up. It's gonna beautiful down there. It's ten and

540
00:24:14,200 --> 00:24:16,200
Speaker 2: a half. I don't think you guys gonna win, but

541
00:24:16,200 --> 00:24:17,919
Speaker 2: I think they're gonna keep it close. And guess what

542
00:24:17,960 --> 00:24:21,200
Speaker 2: they could win. So I'm gonna take the Huskies half.

543
00:24:21,320 --> 00:24:23,840
Speaker 2: I'll say, let's best. I would say this pick is

544
00:24:24,880 --> 00:24:30,160
Speaker 2: seventy percent on paper they should cover and thirty percent.

545
00:24:30,680 --> 00:24:33,560
Speaker 2: I'm from Connecticut. I think that's a pretty fair balance.

546
00:24:34,560 --> 00:24:36,320
Speaker 1: Prop bet number one. I'll go ahead and throw this

547
00:24:36,359 --> 00:24:38,399
Speaker 1: out here right now? What odds you give me? Marshall

548
00:24:38,440 --> 00:24:41,159
Speaker 1: holds them under one hundred yards rushing in this game.

549
00:24:42,200 --> 00:24:43,600
Speaker 2: There's no chance.

550
00:24:44,040 --> 00:24:46,320
Speaker 1: All right, throw some odds my way. I'm happy to

551
00:24:46,359 --> 00:24:49,080
Speaker 1: take them. I'm gonna lap them up. What you got,

552
00:24:49,280 --> 00:24:51,480
Speaker 1: you know, plus two fifty three to one?

553
00:24:52,040 --> 00:24:53,159
Speaker 2: Yeah, I'll you three to one.

554
00:24:53,200 --> 00:24:54,919
Speaker 1: Three to one. All right, that's that's my that's my

555
00:24:54,920 --> 00:24:57,080
Speaker 1: first prop. That play. You get to offer up the

556
00:24:57,080 --> 00:24:59,639
Speaker 1: next one, all right. December twentieth, the Eastern Michigan San

557
00:24:59,680 --> 00:25:01,440
Speaker 1: Jose State. The Spartans are at three and a half

558
00:25:01,480 --> 00:25:03,919
Speaker 1: point favorite, total set at fifty four and a half

559
00:25:04,160 --> 00:25:08,119
Speaker 1: in the famous Idaho Potato Bowl. Listen, these two teams

560
00:25:08,119 --> 00:25:10,680
Speaker 1: headed kind of an opposite directions headed into this game,

561
00:25:10,720 --> 00:25:12,200
Speaker 1: not a great end of the year for San Jose,

562
00:25:12,359 --> 00:25:15,399
Speaker 1: found themselves in a dogfight with Colorado State, lost to

563
00:25:15,440 --> 00:25:18,600
Speaker 1: San Diego State, lost to Utah State, and slept walked

564
00:25:18,640 --> 00:25:21,440
Speaker 1: through a win over Hawaii. Not impressed with them in

565
00:25:21,480 --> 00:25:24,879
Speaker 1: the month of November. Eastern meanwhile one four or five

566
00:25:25,000 --> 00:25:28,560
Speaker 1: and almost upset Toledo at home. Taylor palell Is balling

567
00:25:28,640 --> 00:25:31,560
Speaker 1: out Samson Evans is a touchdown machine. I you know,

568
00:25:32,080 --> 00:25:34,679
Speaker 1: just for my own sanity, I had to check refreshing

569
00:25:34,680 --> 00:25:37,240
Speaker 1: the page, making sure they didn't go to the transfer portal,

570
00:25:37,400 --> 00:25:39,840
Speaker 1: making sure they didn't mop out. These guys are both playing.

571
00:25:40,080 --> 00:25:42,280
Speaker 1: I think the wrong team is favor here. At least

572
00:25:42,320 --> 00:25:44,040
Speaker 1: it should be a pick them, So I'm happy to

573
00:25:44,080 --> 00:25:46,480
Speaker 1: take the three and a half. I think Eastern Michigan

574
00:25:46,640 --> 00:25:49,680
Speaker 1: is a quality upset. Call for a confidence bool. Throw

575
00:25:49,720 --> 00:25:51,480
Speaker 1: it in the mid teens something like that to try

576
00:25:51,520 --> 00:25:54,240
Speaker 1: to get a swing game for yourself. I was big

577
00:25:54,240 --> 00:25:55,879
Speaker 1: on the Eagles all the way back to August. It

578
00:25:55,880 --> 00:25:57,399
Speaker 1: took a while for them to put it together, but

579
00:25:57,400 --> 00:25:59,440
Speaker 1: they did down the stretch. So this is one of

580
00:25:59,440 --> 00:26:01,399
Speaker 1: my favorite under ducks here in bolseason. What are your

581
00:26:01,400 --> 00:26:03,880
Speaker 1: thoughts on Eastern against San Jose State.

582
00:26:04,520 --> 00:26:05,760
Speaker 2: I was just gonna say that you got to pick

583
00:26:05,760 --> 00:26:08,080
Speaker 2: a couple spots to pick upsets, and I do think

584
00:26:08,160 --> 00:26:10,720
Speaker 2: G five games tend to be good places to do that,

585
00:26:11,320 --> 00:26:14,439
Speaker 2: and this is one. You know, it sucks to say it,

586
00:26:14,600 --> 00:26:17,680
Speaker 2: but let's be honest. You know, ever since the death

587
00:26:17,720 --> 00:26:20,399
Speaker 2: of their teammate Camden mcwright, this team just hasn't been

588
00:26:20,440 --> 00:26:22,359
Speaker 2: the same they have they have failed. They haven't covered

589
00:26:22,359 --> 00:26:25,080
Speaker 2: a game since he passed away. That abously had to

590
00:26:25,119 --> 00:26:27,720
Speaker 2: get canceled. And you know, they were able to get

591
00:26:27,720 --> 00:26:29,920
Speaker 2: wins during that stretch, but they were against the three

592
00:26:30,000 --> 00:26:32,400
Speaker 2: worst teams in the Mountain West and possibly the country,

593
00:26:32,760 --> 00:26:34,560
Speaker 2: and all those games were way close than they should

594
00:26:34,560 --> 00:26:36,480
Speaker 2: have been, and then they lost their other two games

595
00:26:36,520 --> 00:26:39,760
Speaker 2: against remotely competent opponents. I think they just want this

596
00:26:39,800 --> 00:26:41,480
Speaker 2: season to get over with. They've been playing with heavy

597
00:26:41,480 --> 00:26:43,880
Speaker 2: hearts all year, and it's understandable they want to get

598
00:26:43,880 --> 00:26:45,920
Speaker 2: the season over with. Then you mentioned the Eastern Michigan.

599
00:26:46,200 --> 00:26:49,600
Speaker 2: It's been really strong. Their offense is humming, and you know,

600
00:26:49,640 --> 00:26:52,600
Speaker 2: their defense isn't great, but they're much better against the

601
00:26:52,640 --> 00:26:55,080
Speaker 2: pass than the run, and all San Jose State does

602
00:26:55,080 --> 00:26:57,800
Speaker 2: is passed the ball. So, like you said three and

603
00:26:57,840 --> 00:27:01,040
Speaker 2: a half, close game protected. The Eagles had been great

604
00:27:01,040 --> 00:27:03,159
Speaker 2: and one possession games all season. It's kind of what

605
00:27:03,200 --> 00:27:05,760
Speaker 2: they do, so I definitely like them three and a

606
00:27:05,800 --> 00:27:08,280
Speaker 2: hook and I agree this is a good spot to

607
00:27:08,320 --> 00:27:10,520
Speaker 2: just take a flyer on a contrarion, you know, hope

608
00:27:10,520 --> 00:27:13,520
Speaker 2: it's contrarian upset. Pick in your in your pools.

609
00:27:14,840 --> 00:27:18,960
Speaker 1: December twentieth, Liberty versus Toledo, the Rockets slaying five fifty

610
00:27:19,000 --> 00:27:21,639
Speaker 1: three and a half in the roofclaim dot com Boca

611
00:27:21,680 --> 00:27:25,360
Speaker 1: Ratan Bowl And to borrow a lyric from Taylor Swift's

612
00:27:25,480 --> 00:27:28,680
Speaker 1: Jerry Folwell looking up from hell laughing about this game,

613
00:27:28,760 --> 00:27:32,400
Speaker 1: because Liberty is absolutely a mess right now as sinking

614
00:27:32,480 --> 00:27:36,080
Speaker 1: ship Hugh Freeze jumps off of it. I've said to

615
00:27:36,080 --> 00:27:38,760
Speaker 1: these young people repeatedly, and I say it again, you

616
00:27:39,040 --> 00:27:41,399
Speaker 1: are the hope of the area. When you leave the

617
00:27:41,440 --> 00:27:44,600
Speaker 1: graduation platform of Liberty, I want you to leave it running,

618
00:27:45,160 --> 00:27:49,639
Speaker 1: leave it running with a vision burning in your soul. Listen.

619
00:27:49,680 --> 00:27:51,919
Speaker 1: They lost three straight to end the year. The Flames

620
00:27:51,960 --> 00:27:55,280
Speaker 1: did be lost to Yukon Belosta Attec. The lost to

621
00:27:55,280 --> 00:27:57,119
Speaker 1: New Mexico State, who, by the way, is.

622
00:27:57,160 --> 00:27:59,560
Speaker 2: Gold wagon not not a wagon.

623
00:27:59,640 --> 00:28:03,560
Speaker 1: They need a plug in win against Valpo to get

624
00:28:03,560 --> 00:28:06,440
Speaker 1: in to bowl season. But this is not a part

625
00:28:06,480 --> 00:28:09,280
Speaker 1: of the podcast as a sparage. The Aggies guns up

626
00:28:09,320 --> 00:28:11,440
Speaker 1: for them. This is a part. This is a part

627
00:28:11,440 --> 00:28:13,840
Speaker 1: of the podcast to dump on the Flames. This team

628
00:28:13,840 --> 00:28:15,680
Speaker 1: shouldn't even be in a bowl game, that's how bad

629
00:28:15,720 --> 00:28:17,680
Speaker 1: they played in the last six weeks of the season.

630
00:28:17,720 --> 00:28:20,720
Speaker 1: Whereas Toledo they're the mac Champs. They get a healthy

631
00:28:20,760 --> 00:28:23,240
Speaker 1: Dakwan Finn who was questionable going into that title game

632
00:28:23,240 --> 00:28:25,760
Speaker 1: against Ohio. He runs for eighty six yards in that game.

633
00:28:26,160 --> 00:28:27,800
Speaker 1: But I think the reason why this is not a

634
00:28:27,840 --> 00:28:31,640
Speaker 1: runaway point spread Vegas likes to keep tabs on trends.

635
00:28:31,720 --> 00:28:34,240
Speaker 1: Some are ridiculous, some are You know, how teams play

636
00:28:34,280 --> 00:28:37,399
Speaker 1: on weak nights, on artificial turf with certain kinds of lights,

637
00:28:37,440 --> 00:28:39,720
Speaker 1: all that kind of crap. Mac Champs are one to

638
00:28:39,840 --> 00:28:41,600
Speaker 1: nine straight up in their last ten bowl games, So

639
00:28:41,640 --> 00:28:44,080
Speaker 1: I think there's a little bit of hesitancy in this

640
00:28:44,160 --> 00:28:47,160
Speaker 1: spot to automatically install Toledo is like a ten point favorite.

641
00:28:47,240 --> 00:28:49,920
Speaker 1: But I don't care. Liberty has mailed it in. They're

642
00:28:50,000 --> 00:28:53,240
Speaker 1: rudderless and I think the Rockets, you know, not only

643
00:28:53,240 --> 00:28:55,520
Speaker 1: got over the hump finally won that MAC title. They're

644
00:28:55,560 --> 00:28:57,320
Speaker 1: fired up to play in a bowl game like this,

645
00:28:57,640 --> 00:29:00,400
Speaker 1: as you as you said, if someone from Connecticut excited

646
00:29:00,400 --> 00:29:01,880
Speaker 1: to go to South Carolina, how do you think the

647
00:29:01,920 --> 00:29:04,920
Speaker 1: kids from Toledo feel about going to Bocoveratan. So I'm

648
00:29:04,920 --> 00:29:09,240
Speaker 1: on the rockets here, probably high twenties confidence points for

649
00:29:09,360 --> 00:29:11,600
Speaker 1: the pool play here, but I also like them laying

650
00:29:11,600 --> 00:29:12,760
Speaker 1: the five. What are your thoughts?

651
00:29:13,800 --> 00:29:17,520
Speaker 2: Yeah, I don't. You might be convince me. I'm not convinced.

652
00:29:17,520 --> 00:29:20,120
Speaker 2: I'm gonna bet the spread, but I'm gonna do I debine.

653
00:29:20,160 --> 00:29:22,600
Speaker 2: I definitely like Tledo in pools. I think this is

654
00:29:22,640 --> 00:29:23,800
Speaker 2: just you know, if I had to butt it, I

655
00:29:23,800 --> 00:29:26,680
Speaker 2: would bet Toledo just they're a much more likable team.

656
00:29:26,680 --> 00:29:28,960
Speaker 2: They're the MAC champs. You know, Liberty's a cult and

657
00:29:28,960 --> 00:29:32,400
Speaker 2: from an on field perspective, who who knows who's playing

658
00:29:32,440 --> 00:29:34,320
Speaker 2: quarterback for them? They've had so many musical chair as.

659
00:29:34,360 --> 00:29:37,240
Speaker 2: The coach is gone, you know, I think Toledo's a

660
00:29:37,280 --> 00:29:40,080
Speaker 2: lot more. You kind of know what they're gonna be here.

661
00:29:41,040 --> 00:29:43,400
Speaker 2: This liber team's just weird. You know, they beat Arkansas,

662
00:29:43,440 --> 00:29:44,920
Speaker 2: they beat the YU, and then they lose to the

663
00:29:44,960 --> 00:29:47,880
Speaker 2: yukon New Mexico State, So who knows what you're gonna

664
00:29:47,880 --> 00:29:50,840
Speaker 2: get from them. I just assumed Toledo will be more motivated,

665
00:29:50,920 --> 00:29:52,840
Speaker 2: So if I had to play it, i'd pick them,

666
00:29:53,520 --> 00:29:55,080
Speaker 2: But I'm not sure if I'll actually I have I

667
00:29:55,120 --> 00:29:56,840
Speaker 2: have a side YEA about the spread, I probably was

668
00:29:57,040 --> 00:29:59,200
Speaker 2: it's a Tuesday and what else? Yeah, but the Mexico

669
00:29:59,240 --> 00:29:59,680
Speaker 2: on a Tuesday.

670
00:29:59,720 --> 00:30:04,040
Speaker 1: Come on December twenty First, the r n L Carriers

671
00:30:04,080 --> 00:30:07,280
Speaker 1: New Orleans Bowl, Western Kentucky taken on South Alabama, laying

672
00:30:07,360 --> 00:30:09,520
Speaker 1: seven and a half total, sitting at fifty three and

673
00:30:09,560 --> 00:30:11,720
Speaker 1: a half. This has always been a great G five

674
00:30:11,760 --> 00:30:14,840
Speaker 1: showcase bowl game. Obviously, you know, since the New Orleans

675
00:30:14,880 --> 00:30:18,360
Speaker 1: Bull came into existence, there's just been a massive expansion.

676
00:30:18,400 --> 00:30:20,440
Speaker 1: So a lot of these bowl games end up being

677
00:30:20,480 --> 00:30:22,200
Speaker 1: G five showcases. But I have a lot of warm

678
00:30:22,200 --> 00:30:25,280
Speaker 1: fuzzies for this one. Western Kentucky not a lot of

679
00:30:25,320 --> 00:30:28,520
Speaker 1: warm fuzzies. Austin Reid in the portal, they're starting tight

680
00:30:28,600 --> 00:30:32,360
Speaker 1: end in the portal. Two offensive linemen gone. South Alabama

681
00:30:32,440 --> 00:30:34,760
Speaker 1: rolling into town, a team that we watched very closely

682
00:30:34,800 --> 00:30:36,760
Speaker 1: because we like Troy so much to win the West

683
00:30:36,960 --> 00:30:39,400
Speaker 1: and the only threat to win the Sun Belt West.

684
00:30:39,600 --> 00:30:42,680
Speaker 1: Other than Troy was South Alabama. They finished fourteenth and

685
00:30:42,720 --> 00:30:45,320
Speaker 1: success rate against the pass so this was already going

686
00:30:45,360 --> 00:30:47,800
Speaker 1: to be a tough road to hoe for Austin Reid

687
00:30:47,840 --> 00:30:49,960
Speaker 1: before he ended up opting out. They can rush the

688
00:30:50,000 --> 00:30:52,080
Speaker 1: passer a little bit and La Damian Webb is going

689
00:30:52,120 --> 00:30:54,320
Speaker 1: to run all over these guys. So I think it's

690
00:30:54,360 --> 00:30:57,360
Speaker 1: finally time. I've tiptoed around a lot of hilltopper games

691
00:30:57,360 --> 00:30:59,880
Speaker 1: this year feeling bad that I wasn't, you know, wave

692
00:31:00,120 --> 00:31:02,800
Speaker 1: the pennant and joining them on the hilltop. But I

693
00:31:02,920 --> 00:31:05,920
Speaker 1: like South Alabama here in a confidence pool seven and

694
00:31:06,000 --> 00:31:08,360
Speaker 1: a half. It may be a little bit rich, so

695
00:31:08,640 --> 00:31:10,400
Speaker 1: it's more of a lean for me on the Jags,

696
00:31:10,400 --> 00:31:11,560
Speaker 1: but I think they get it done to win this

697
00:31:11,600 --> 00:31:12,040
Speaker 1: Bowl game.

698
00:31:12,800 --> 00:31:14,680
Speaker 2: Some with you, this is not what I want to

699
00:31:14,760 --> 00:31:18,480
Speaker 2: lay lay points, but I'm pretty confident in it from

700
00:31:18,560 --> 00:31:20,880
Speaker 2: a pool's perspective. A lot of these Bowl games too,

701
00:31:21,000 --> 00:31:23,720
Speaker 2: you know, maybe maybe just parlay South Alabama ins Leedle

702
00:31:23,760 --> 00:31:27,720
Speaker 2: money lines or something Tuesday Wednesday Action. Yeah, you mentioned

703
00:31:27,720 --> 00:31:29,760
Speaker 2: it with with Austin Reid and the portal, it's it's

704
00:31:29,760 --> 00:31:32,160
Speaker 2: hard to know what to get from Western Kentucky. The

705
00:31:32,200 --> 00:31:34,200
Speaker 2: one thing I will say is, you know, Western Kentucky

706
00:31:34,200 --> 00:31:37,560
Speaker 2: continues to get these transfer qbs that just ball out.

707
00:31:38,320 --> 00:31:40,920
Speaker 2: They've been bringing them up from the lower levels. I'd

708
00:31:40,960 --> 00:31:44,400
Speaker 2: love to see a talented Power five guy drop down

709
00:31:44,440 --> 00:31:47,880
Speaker 2: and playing this offense, Like can you imagine Brennan Armstrong

710
00:31:48,120 --> 00:31:50,280
Speaker 2: or like a key Don Slovas in this offense, Like

711
00:31:50,680 --> 00:31:54,440
Speaker 2: Brendan Armstrong would soling it in this offense, like you

712
00:31:54,480 --> 00:31:56,160
Speaker 2: know one of those kind of guy, you know, Luke Altmeyer,

713
00:31:56,200 --> 00:31:57,720
Speaker 2: one of those kind of P five guys that are

714
00:31:58,360 --> 00:32:02,160
Speaker 2: looking for a new home want drop down. Armstrong was

715
00:32:02,160 --> 00:32:03,360
Speaker 2: one that kind of popped out to me. It would

716
00:32:03,400 --> 00:32:04,160
Speaker 2: be a ton of fun.

717
00:32:04,760 --> 00:32:08,360
Speaker 1: But yet, yeah, I'm gonna go Brett McMurphy sources on

718
00:32:08,400 --> 00:32:11,479
Speaker 1: this one. The crystal ball for Brendan Armstrong, I think

719
00:32:11,560 --> 00:32:14,800
Speaker 1: is Syracuse just reuniting with his offensive coordinator who he

720
00:32:14,800 --> 00:32:16,680
Speaker 1: put up those huge numbers. But I totally agree with

721
00:32:16,720 --> 00:32:19,400
Speaker 1: you and Keith on Slovas, like, at this point, do

722
00:32:19,440 --> 00:32:21,440
Speaker 1: you really get to transfer to another P five program.

723
00:32:21,440 --> 00:32:23,959
Speaker 1: I'm sure that's where his aspirations are, but why not

724
00:32:24,080 --> 00:32:27,040
Speaker 1: go a route? I mean, it made Bailey Zappy a

725
00:32:27,080 --> 00:32:30,080
Speaker 1: household name and cash an NFL paycheck. So there's no

726
00:32:30,160 --> 00:32:32,360
Speaker 1: reason to think that you can't bawl out and you know,

727
00:32:32,400 --> 00:32:34,680
Speaker 1: get some national exposure and throw up some huge stats.

728
00:32:34,880 --> 00:32:37,040
Speaker 2: I mean, it was wasn't read what's second the country

729
00:32:37,040 --> 00:32:39,600
Speaker 2: and passing It's like and ZAPPI obviously broke the record,

730
00:32:40,600 --> 00:32:42,960
Speaker 2: but yeah, I have nothing here South Alabama and pool

731
00:32:43,040 --> 00:32:45,080
Speaker 2: is pretty kind of similar to you, ABM. It'd be

732
00:32:45,080 --> 00:32:46,800
Speaker 2: pretty high on my list, but I just don't want

733
00:32:46,800 --> 00:32:47,680
Speaker 2: to lay the points. Really.

734
00:32:48,240 --> 00:32:51,320
Speaker 1: December twenty seconds Baylor laying six and a half against

735
00:32:51,320 --> 00:32:53,200
Speaker 1: Air Force total set at forty nine and a half

736
00:32:53,200 --> 00:32:56,959
Speaker 1: in the Lockkeed Martin Armed Forces Bowl. Far be it

737
00:32:57,000 --> 00:33:01,120
Speaker 1: for me to pick against an Armed Force team in

738
00:33:01,200 --> 00:33:04,840
Speaker 1: the Armed Forces Bowl, brought to you by a weapons manufacturer.

739
00:33:04,840 --> 00:33:08,920
Speaker 1: Come on, listen. Baylor was in the Sugar Bowl last year.

740
00:33:09,080 --> 00:33:11,080
Speaker 1: They dropped down to six and six. They're in a

741
00:33:11,080 --> 00:33:13,479
Speaker 1: three game losing streak down the season. They give up

742
00:33:13,520 --> 00:33:15,760
Speaker 1: sixty seven points in their final two games and gave

743
00:33:15,800 --> 00:33:17,640
Speaker 1: up two hundred and eight yards on the ground in

744
00:33:17,680 --> 00:33:20,880
Speaker 1: their final game. That got their defensive coordinator Ron Roberts fired.

745
00:33:21,320 --> 00:33:23,760
Speaker 1: Air Force on the other side was a letdown. I

746
00:33:23,760 --> 00:33:25,400
Speaker 1: thought that they were going to be in the fight

747
00:33:25,440 --> 00:33:27,520
Speaker 1: in the Mountain West Conference. They were basically out of

748
00:33:27,520 --> 00:33:30,000
Speaker 1: it by mid October, but they won five of six

749
00:33:30,040 --> 00:33:31,960
Speaker 1: to finish off the year and only lost to Boise

750
00:33:32,040 --> 00:33:34,479
Speaker 1: by five. Air Force has also won four of their

751
00:33:34,560 --> 00:33:37,120
Speaker 1: last five Bowl games under Calhoun. And when a coach

752
00:33:37,160 --> 00:33:38,920
Speaker 1: has been at the same place for a long time,

753
00:33:39,120 --> 00:33:41,480
Speaker 1: I do like to look at those straight up Bowl

754
00:33:41,520 --> 00:33:44,320
Speaker 1: records because does the coach get his team motivated? Do

755
00:33:44,440 --> 00:33:47,040
Speaker 1: they come to play Air Force? Absolutely? I think they're

756
00:33:47,040 --> 00:33:48,840
Speaker 1: a live dog here. It's one of my upset picks

757
00:33:48,920 --> 00:33:50,720
Speaker 1: for confidence bool. I put it around, you know, ten

758
00:33:50,800 --> 00:33:53,200
Speaker 1: twelve points once again, have it be a swing game

759
00:33:53,240 --> 00:33:55,080
Speaker 1: to go in your favor. I also liked them plus

760
00:33:55,160 --> 00:33:57,560
Speaker 1: six and a half and potentially under forty nine and

761
00:33:57,600 --> 00:33:59,160
Speaker 1: a half. But that's just a lean. So lots of

762
00:33:59,200 --> 00:34:01,640
Speaker 1: different thoughts for me year on, you know, the Falcons

763
00:34:01,720 --> 00:34:04,560
Speaker 1: versus Bears. But I think that Baylor's getting too much

764
00:34:04,600 --> 00:34:06,760
Speaker 1: respect just because they're out of the Big twelve. Their team,

765
00:34:06,800 --> 00:34:08,400
Speaker 1: those leaking oil down stretch.

766
00:34:09,200 --> 00:34:12,200
Speaker 2: You don't really hate that. I wrote down the kind

767
00:34:12,200 --> 00:34:14,360
Speaker 2: of you tipped on it. I kind of lean the

768
00:34:14,440 --> 00:34:17,359
Speaker 2: under here. You know, air Force obviously triple offer team

769
00:34:17,440 --> 00:34:19,680
Speaker 2: went under and five with their final six. Oftense kind

770
00:34:19,680 --> 00:34:22,200
Speaker 2: of stalled out a little bit down the stretch. Like

771
00:34:22,239 --> 00:34:24,520
Speaker 2: you said, Baylor had that horrible performance, but they still

772
00:34:24,520 --> 00:34:26,840
Speaker 2: went under and two of their last three. You know,

773
00:34:26,880 --> 00:34:28,840
Speaker 2: air Force has the highest rushing rate in the country,

774
00:34:28,880 --> 00:34:32,200
Speaker 2: pretty good run defense. Baylor's also very run heavy, and

775
00:34:32,239 --> 00:34:33,960
Speaker 2: they are better at defending the run. In the past,

776
00:34:33,960 --> 00:34:36,200
Speaker 2: they kind of got leaky down the stretch. But you know,

777
00:34:36,200 --> 00:34:38,239
Speaker 2: now Dave Ranna gets three weeks to prepare for the

778
00:34:38,280 --> 00:34:41,600
Speaker 2: triple option, and both these teams are top thirty in

779
00:34:41,600 --> 00:34:45,040
Speaker 2: the country at defending explosiveness and preventing big plays on

780
00:34:45,080 --> 00:34:47,759
Speaker 2: the ground. So I do think these defenses can keep

781
00:34:47,800 --> 00:34:50,680
Speaker 2: each other in check. So if I was gonna bet it,

782
00:34:50,719 --> 00:34:53,560
Speaker 2: i'd probably lean under forty nine and a half. I

783
00:34:53,600 --> 00:34:55,400
Speaker 2: don't really have a play on the side, So I

784
00:34:55,440 --> 00:34:57,840
Speaker 2: don't hate your idea of just take a swing on

785
00:34:58,360 --> 00:35:01,120
Speaker 2: a swing game with a big spread. You know, people

786
00:35:01,200 --> 00:35:03,120
Speaker 2: usually try to tailor the upsets to those like two

787
00:35:03,120 --> 00:35:04,640
Speaker 2: and a half three and a half games. Most people

788
00:35:04,640 --> 00:35:08,279
Speaker 2: aren't taking touchdown dogs and confidence pools, So I don't

789
00:35:08,280 --> 00:35:08,600
Speaker 2: hate it.

790
00:35:09,480 --> 00:35:14,080
Speaker 1: December twenty third in the Radiance Technologies Independence Bowl, Louisiana

791
00:35:14,080 --> 00:35:16,560
Speaker 1: playing Houston, the Koobs laying six and a half the

792
00:35:16,600 --> 00:35:19,640
Speaker 1: total set at sixty and a half last month of

793
00:35:19,640 --> 00:35:21,520
Speaker 1: the season. Let's go through the hit list. Houston gives

794
00:35:21,600 --> 00:35:25,440
Speaker 1: up seventy seven to SMU, thirty six to Temple and

795
00:35:25,480 --> 00:35:28,200
Speaker 1: a win, thirty seven to Tulsa and a loss, and

796
00:35:28,239 --> 00:35:31,000
Speaker 1: then somehow beats the hell out of East Carolina on

797
00:35:31,040 --> 00:35:35,400
Speaker 1: the road. So high variants alert in this one. Louisiana

798
00:35:35,440 --> 00:35:37,960
Speaker 1: after September beat one good team the whole year. They

799
00:35:38,000 --> 00:35:40,360
Speaker 1: beat Marshall by ten. At Marshall, they won the turnover

800
00:35:40,440 --> 00:35:44,240
Speaker 1: battle to Zip in that one. Here's my thoughts another

801
00:35:44,360 --> 00:35:48,319
Speaker 1: prop bet situation. I Houston is just a weird team

802
00:35:48,360 --> 00:35:50,719
Speaker 1: to me, I'm going to for confidence pool points. I'll

803
00:35:50,760 --> 00:35:52,680
Speaker 1: put them at like five or six. They should win

804
00:35:52,719 --> 00:35:54,920
Speaker 1: this game, but I have a feeling if they win it,

805
00:35:54,920 --> 00:35:57,120
Speaker 1: they're gonna win by like seventeen or twenty four. They're

806
00:35:57,120 --> 00:35:59,239
Speaker 1: gonna win going away, or they're just gonna straight up

807
00:35:59,280 --> 00:36:01,440
Speaker 1: lose the game because they don't care. They like I

808
00:36:01,480 --> 00:36:05,279
Speaker 1: have no faith in their leadership from a coaching staff perspective, like,

809
00:36:05,320 --> 00:36:07,759
Speaker 1: if anything goes wrong, he might just be like, all right,

810
00:36:07,800 --> 00:36:09,759
Speaker 1: I guess just enter the portal. Kids, just get out

811
00:36:09,800 --> 00:36:12,319
Speaker 1: of my face. Like he's such a weird guy that

812
00:36:12,400 --> 00:36:14,080
Speaker 1: when things are going well, he'll keep the foot on

813
00:36:14,120 --> 00:36:16,759
Speaker 1: the accelerator. Clayton Tune and Tank Dell will probably have

814
00:36:16,800 --> 00:36:19,400
Speaker 1: a big game. Matthew Golden gets some huge stats. But

815
00:36:19,440 --> 00:36:22,080
Speaker 1: if it goes the other way, Louisiana clearly cares more

816
00:36:22,320 --> 00:36:24,319
Speaker 1: in a game like this where about halfway through the

817
00:36:24,320 --> 00:36:26,960
Speaker 1: season is like, is this even a bowl team? They

818
00:36:26,960 --> 00:36:29,000
Speaker 1: put it together in the sun Belt West. Obviously it's

819
00:36:29,040 --> 00:36:32,520
Speaker 1: a letdown from the Napier era. They're still able to

820
00:36:32,520 --> 00:36:36,000
Speaker 1: build some momentum, get some more practices in. So that's

821
00:36:36,040 --> 00:36:37,759
Speaker 1: how I'm playing it. I'm gonna go alternate line. I'll

822
00:36:37,760 --> 00:36:40,279
Speaker 1: play it all the way up to sixteen and a half,

823
00:36:40,320 --> 00:36:42,640
Speaker 1: So a seventeen point when gets it done, you'll probably

824
00:36:42,640 --> 00:36:45,200
Speaker 1: get like plus two forty five, plus two six or

825
00:36:45,560 --> 00:36:47,960
Speaker 1: plus two sixty five. In a spot like that, I

826
00:36:48,040 --> 00:36:50,399
Speaker 1: just think it's one of those binary either run away

827
00:36:50,520 --> 00:36:52,879
Speaker 1: or outright losses. What do you think in the game

828
00:36:52,920 --> 00:36:56,400
Speaker 1: that motivation probably plays such a huge component.

829
00:36:55,920 --> 00:36:58,840
Speaker 2: In Yeah, so I actually bet Louisiana plus six and

830
00:36:58,880 --> 00:37:01,560
Speaker 2: a half I talked about it the last week of

831
00:37:01,600 --> 00:37:05,440
Speaker 2: the season. I think Louisiana team has They've just gotten

832
00:37:05,440 --> 00:37:07,160
Speaker 2: better as the season's going on. If you look at

833
00:37:07,160 --> 00:37:10,560
Speaker 2: their their yards for play metrics on both offense and defense,

834
00:37:10,680 --> 00:37:13,120
Speaker 2: they both sides of the ball got better as the

835
00:37:13,120 --> 00:37:13,799
Speaker 2: season went on.

836
00:37:14,360 --> 00:37:14,560
Speaker 1: You know.

837
00:37:14,560 --> 00:37:17,600
Speaker 2: They they blew out Texas State to become both eligible,

838
00:37:17,640 --> 00:37:19,120
Speaker 2: which I was on at the end of the year.

839
00:37:19,680 --> 00:37:23,920
Speaker 2: Houston failed to cover four their final five games. They

840
00:37:23,960 --> 00:37:25,880
Speaker 2: have to be disappointed with this season. You know, they

841
00:37:25,880 --> 00:37:28,240
Speaker 2: were the favorite to win the conference at some books

842
00:37:28,280 --> 00:37:31,840
Speaker 2: and they didn't even reach the game. And I mentioned that,

843
00:37:32,040 --> 00:37:34,319
Speaker 2: you know two weeks ago. The Raging Cajuns have now

844
00:37:34,400 --> 00:37:36,920
Speaker 2: reached the Bowl in five straight years. Can in the

845
00:37:37,000 --> 00:37:40,920
Speaker 2: last twelve years, they're seven and two in bowl games,

846
00:37:41,160 --> 00:37:45,440
Speaker 2: and clearly these games mattered to this program. And Dana

847
00:37:45,440 --> 00:37:48,279
Speaker 2: Holgerson has flat out and admitted that bowl games don't

848
00:37:48,320 --> 00:37:51,040
Speaker 2: matter to him at all. His teams are two and

849
00:37:51,160 --> 00:37:54,080
Speaker 2: six straight up and non New Year six games, and

850
00:37:54,120 --> 00:37:57,239
Speaker 2: they're two and seven against the spread overall in bowl games.

851
00:37:57,280 --> 00:38:00,879
Speaker 2: Like Hogo does not care about these games. Clayton Tune

852
00:38:00,880 --> 00:38:04,080
Speaker 2: and Tank Dell are both going to the NFL they're

853
00:38:04,120 --> 00:38:07,680
Speaker 2: expected to play here, but we could see some business

854
00:38:07,680 --> 00:38:10,120
Speaker 2: decisions here in this game, and you mentioned it things

855
00:38:10,160 --> 00:38:12,200
Speaker 2: is out of hand. I don't hate the alternate spread route.

856
00:38:13,200 --> 00:38:17,080
Speaker 2: If Louisiana is winning at the half. You think Holgerson

857
00:38:17,120 --> 00:38:19,239
Speaker 2: wants to give Lucas Coli some reps here because I do,

858
00:38:19,360 --> 00:38:22,319
Speaker 2: because why would he keep Clayton Tune in. He's risks

859
00:38:22,360 --> 00:38:24,600
Speaker 2: him getting hurt before the NFL and he's got a

860
00:38:24,640 --> 00:38:28,840
Speaker 2: freshman quarterback coming in next year. So you know, like

861
00:38:28,840 --> 00:38:30,960
Speaker 2: I said, Holgerson has done this before where he doesn't

862
00:38:31,000 --> 00:38:33,000
Speaker 2: care about Bowl games. He just sees them as practice,

863
00:38:33,320 --> 00:38:37,080
Speaker 2: called them practices before. So I think I take I

864
00:38:37,440 --> 00:38:40,040
Speaker 2: like Louisiana plus six and a half. And this is

865
00:38:40,080 --> 00:38:42,000
Speaker 2: another one where you know, I don't hate if you

866
00:38:42,040 --> 00:38:44,279
Speaker 2: want to, you know, go a contrarion in a in

867
00:38:44,320 --> 00:38:46,560
Speaker 2: a pool and take take the raging cagence to get

868
00:38:46,600 --> 00:38:50,560
Speaker 2: this win here. You know, I'm not as confident in

869
00:38:50,560 --> 00:38:52,560
Speaker 2: that side of it, but I definitely like getting the

870
00:38:52,600 --> 00:38:54,640
Speaker 2: points with Louisianny. I think they care a lot more,

871
00:38:55,239 --> 00:38:55,600
Speaker 2: all right.

872
00:38:55,640 --> 00:38:59,120
Speaker 1: December twenty fourth, Christmas Eve wouldn't be Christmas Eve without

873
00:38:59,120 --> 00:39:02,280
Speaker 1: the easy post to why middle Tennessee against San Diego State.

874
00:39:02,520 --> 00:39:05,120
Speaker 1: The has Texa lane seven total sitting at forty nine

875
00:39:05,120 --> 00:39:08,200
Speaker 1: and a half Blue Raiders. What a weird team. They

876
00:39:08,200 --> 00:39:12,040
Speaker 1: get smashed in the first ever FBS game for James Madison.

877
00:39:12,560 --> 00:39:15,239
Speaker 1: Upset Miami in a game where they hit like every

878
00:39:15,280 --> 00:39:17,960
Speaker 1: single long pass a season's worth of long passes in

879
00:39:18,000 --> 00:39:20,279
Speaker 1: one game. They then lose four to the next five.

880
00:39:20,640 --> 00:39:23,360
Speaker 1: Then they close in a three game winning streak Asterix

881
00:39:23,719 --> 00:39:27,880
Speaker 1: against Charlotte, FAU and FIU. So this might be the

882
00:39:27,880 --> 00:39:30,239
Speaker 1: worst ball team here. And I understand that it's only

883
00:39:30,280 --> 00:39:33,120
Speaker 1: a seven point spread because the sex offense is what

884
00:39:33,280 --> 00:39:35,680
Speaker 1: they've been for the last few years. But a great

885
00:39:35,719 --> 00:39:38,000
Speaker 1: finish to the year for SDSU. They went five and

886
00:39:38,040 --> 00:39:40,040
Speaker 1: two straight up down the stretch. They only lost by

887
00:39:40,040 --> 00:39:42,720
Speaker 1: four to Fresno. They hold air Force to thirteen points

888
00:39:42,760 --> 00:39:45,920
Speaker 1: in a loss, and Jalen Maiden was actually pretty decent

889
00:39:46,000 --> 00:39:47,920
Speaker 1: through for two or more touchdowns and four of his

890
00:39:48,000 --> 00:39:51,520
Speaker 1: last five starts. So I don't know. I understand that

891
00:39:52,239 --> 00:39:54,680
Speaker 1: some weird things happen in the Y Bowl. History has

892
00:39:54,719 --> 00:39:58,320
Speaker 1: proven that. I know that a team that probably shouldn't

893
00:39:58,320 --> 00:39:59,720
Speaker 1: be in a bowl game at all could get themselves

894
00:39:59,760 --> 00:40:01,920
Speaker 1: fire it up for a nice long trip, you know,

895
00:40:02,000 --> 00:40:04,279
Speaker 1: get to play on national television in a standalone game.

896
00:40:04,640 --> 00:40:07,239
Speaker 1: Gonna put all that aside. The Aztec defense I think

897
00:40:07,360 --> 00:40:10,000
Speaker 1: is going to really box them in in this game,

898
00:40:10,160 --> 00:40:12,239
Speaker 1: and if their offense can come up with let's say

899
00:40:12,360 --> 00:40:15,680
Speaker 1: twenty four points, I think they win. Don't necessarily care

900
00:40:15,840 --> 00:40:17,880
Speaker 1: to lay the seven points. This is more of confidence

901
00:40:17,920 --> 00:40:21,560
Speaker 1: play for the pool. Maybe in the high twenties, forty

902
00:40:21,640 --> 00:40:23,680
Speaker 1: nine and a half. I feel like it's just about right,

903
00:40:24,760 --> 00:40:26,160
Speaker 1: so it's kind of a pass for me. This is

904
00:40:26,160 --> 00:40:28,320
Speaker 1: the first game that I don't necessarily have a play

905
00:40:28,600 --> 00:40:30,160
Speaker 1: on the spread or the total, but I do like

906
00:40:30,200 --> 00:40:31,000
Speaker 1: the Astecs to get it.

907
00:40:31,000 --> 00:40:33,880
Speaker 2: Done, be honest, going through all of them, this was

908
00:40:33,920 --> 00:40:37,360
Speaker 2: the game I absolutely cared about the least I have. Again,

909
00:40:37,760 --> 00:40:41,200
Speaker 2: all the games matter, but the game's at eight pm

910
00:40:41,320 --> 00:40:43,520
Speaker 2: on Christmas Eve. This is to throw the game on

911
00:40:43,560 --> 00:40:46,799
Speaker 2: your laptop and watch, you know, Clark Griswold and Uncle

912
00:40:46,880 --> 00:40:49,960
Speaker 2: Eddie with the family. I'm on watching this game should

913
00:40:49,960 --> 00:40:52,400
Speaker 2: not be on any TVs. This is gonna be gross.

914
00:40:52,560 --> 00:40:55,200
Speaker 2: I hate both these teams. They both stink. I don't care.

915
00:40:55,200 --> 00:40:57,880
Speaker 2: I seanny to stay look better. I still think they stink.

916
00:40:58,800 --> 00:41:01,080
Speaker 2: I agree with disagree with you. This is the Ami

917
00:41:01,120 --> 00:41:03,839
Speaker 2: circle for just throw Dara, Middle Tennessee. So I think

918
00:41:03,880 --> 00:41:05,800
Speaker 2: both these teams stink. I think either could win Middle

919
00:41:05,800 --> 00:41:08,359
Speaker 2: Tennessee's high variances as well. They kind of get you know,

920
00:41:08,480 --> 00:41:11,360
Speaker 2: Chase Coneham can kind of do his yolo ball and

921
00:41:11,400 --> 00:41:12,400
Speaker 2: who knows what happens?

922
00:41:12,640 --> 00:41:14,640
Speaker 1: All right, how about this? Then you gave me three

923
00:41:14,680 --> 00:41:17,879
Speaker 1: to one on Marshall holding Yukon under a hundred rushing yards.

924
00:41:17,880 --> 00:41:19,279
Speaker 1: I'll give you three to one on the money line

925
00:41:19,280 --> 00:41:20,680
Speaker 1: for Middle Tennessee. How about that?

926
00:41:21,000 --> 00:41:21,920
Speaker 2: Yeah, I'll take it.

927
00:41:22,280 --> 00:41:26,000
Speaker 1: December twenty sixth, The Quicklaying Bowl, New Mexico State. Welcome

928
00:41:26,000 --> 00:41:28,480
Speaker 1: to the party, guys, playing Bowling Green Lane two and

929
00:41:28,520 --> 00:41:31,319
Speaker 1: a half total set at forty eight. The Aggies won

930
00:41:31,520 --> 00:41:34,640
Speaker 1: five of their last six to get here. Jerry Kill

931
00:41:34,840 --> 00:41:39,600
Speaker 1: gets them that win over Valpo in the season finalehoa. Meanwhile,

932
00:41:40,040 --> 00:41:43,200
Speaker 1: Bowling Green's defense gave up forty thirty five thirty eight

933
00:41:43,239 --> 00:41:46,440
Speaker 1: in his final three games. I think that screams over, baby.

934
00:41:46,560 --> 00:41:49,120
Speaker 1: Let's have fun in the Quicklaying Bowl at Ford Field.

935
00:41:49,320 --> 00:41:52,360
Speaker 1: Get a little that positive Detroit Lions offensive mojo. I

936
00:41:52,360 --> 00:41:54,400
Speaker 1: can't believe that's a statement that actually makes sense in

937
00:41:54,400 --> 00:41:58,760
Speaker 1: the year of our Lord twenty twenty Diego Pavia. Somehow,

938
00:41:58,760 --> 00:42:01,919
Speaker 1: according to the New Mexico State official Twitter, they said

939
00:42:01,920 --> 00:42:04,080
Speaker 1: that he received one Heisman vote. I don't know if

940
00:42:04,080 --> 00:42:06,400
Speaker 1: they're just straight up lying on their Twitter feed or what,

941
00:42:06,600 --> 00:42:08,279
Speaker 1: or if there was like some guy who was in

942
00:42:08,280 --> 00:42:10,480
Speaker 1: New Mexico State alumnus who game a third place vote.

943
00:42:10,520 --> 00:42:13,120
Speaker 1: But they don't release everything. They just release the top ten,

944
00:42:13,400 --> 00:42:16,120
Speaker 1: so maybe they're making it up. Maybe not so either way,

945
00:42:16,280 --> 00:42:18,520
Speaker 1: I think this is a fun story. I'm just gonna

946
00:42:18,520 --> 00:42:20,560
Speaker 1: go with the over forty eight and totally avoid this game.

947
00:42:20,640 --> 00:42:23,240
Speaker 1: Like the Plague, this is a sub three point confidence

948
00:42:23,280 --> 00:42:25,640
Speaker 1: play because anything could happen. Both these teams are not

949
00:42:25,719 --> 00:42:27,920
Speaker 1: very good. It seems to me that you think that

950
00:42:28,239 --> 00:42:30,120
Speaker 1: the Falcons are a little bit better than the Yggies though.

951
00:42:30,120 --> 00:42:30,520
Speaker 1: AM all right.

952
00:42:31,239 --> 00:42:34,560
Speaker 2: Yeah, we've been doing this show for two years. Have

953
00:42:34,640 --> 00:42:36,560
Speaker 2: you ever heard me say a nice thing about Bowling Green?

954
00:42:37,440 --> 00:42:38,719
Speaker 1: No? I can't say that you have.

955
00:42:38,800 --> 00:42:40,759
Speaker 2: I only have ever met them. I'm be honest. I

956
00:42:40,800 --> 00:42:41,439
Speaker 2: bet Bowling Green.

957
00:42:42,360 --> 00:42:42,480
Speaker 1: So.

958
00:42:43,840 --> 00:42:46,440
Speaker 2: I think Baby is in the transfer portal. It's just

959
00:42:46,440 --> 00:42:48,080
Speaker 2: one of those weird He's in the portal but playing

960
00:42:48,120 --> 00:42:49,080
Speaker 2: Grace and McCall style.

961
00:42:49,760 --> 00:42:52,799
Speaker 1: I believe so, because at least according to Twitter and

962
00:42:52,800 --> 00:42:54,560
Speaker 1: everything I was searching, I know that he's in the portal,

963
00:42:54,560 --> 00:42:56,759
Speaker 1: but I think he's playing in the game. So we'll

964
00:42:56,800 --> 00:42:59,960
Speaker 1: see they're back up. By the way, uh, who play?

965
00:43:00,320 --> 00:43:02,200
Speaker 2: He's played a lot, but he's played a lot, but

966
00:43:02,280 --> 00:43:04,359
Speaker 2: he thinks he's got a great arm.

967
00:43:04,640 --> 00:43:07,840
Speaker 1: Stinks not not necessarily good. But listen, if Will Levis

968
00:43:07,880 --> 00:43:10,040
Speaker 1: could be a top ten NFL draft pick, then listen.

969
00:43:10,400 --> 00:43:11,879
Speaker 1: If you got a strong arm, you can do anything

970
00:43:11,920 --> 00:43:12,400
Speaker 1: you want to do.

971
00:43:12,640 --> 00:43:15,200
Speaker 2: All right. If we had to get in our weekly

972
00:43:15,239 --> 00:43:18,759
Speaker 2: Will Levis slander quota, it's our last chance. Yes, yeah,

973
00:43:18,800 --> 00:43:23,640
Speaker 2: Gavin Frankas completing fifty past is four touchdowns, seven picks,

974
00:43:23,680 --> 00:43:25,479
Speaker 2: so and this may I mean.

975
00:43:25,400 --> 00:43:27,040
Speaker 1: I mean, in this game, that might make him the

976
00:43:27,080 --> 00:43:27,720
Speaker 1: best quarterback.

977
00:43:29,480 --> 00:43:35,200
Speaker 2: This makes me want to absolutely puke to say Matt

978
00:43:35,239 --> 00:43:40,520
Speaker 2: McDonald has been competent this year. The second in the

979
00:43:40,560 --> 00:43:42,000
Speaker 2: mac two touchdowns.

980
00:43:42,160 --> 00:43:43,640
Speaker 1: You can just you can just speak to the end

981
00:43:43,640 --> 00:43:45,480
Speaker 1: where you say you're taking the falcons. It's fine. I'm

982
00:43:45,520 --> 00:43:46,480
Speaker 1: not going to force you to go.

983
00:43:46,480 --> 00:43:50,799
Speaker 2: Through this horrific. They got a bull game because it's

984
00:43:50,800 --> 00:43:53,280
Speaker 2: some cheap waiver because San Jose State had their game canceled,

985
00:43:53,320 --> 00:43:55,560
Speaker 2: Santas State would have crushed them. They wouldn't have been here.

986
00:43:55,880 --> 00:43:58,799
Speaker 2: Jerry kills zero to five all time in bowl games.

987
00:43:58,840 --> 00:44:02,479
Speaker 2: This team stinks. I'm taking balling grade all.

988
00:44:02,440 --> 00:44:05,080
Speaker 4: Right before we continue. As a reminder, the Big Bets

989
00:44:05,080 --> 00:44:08,600
Speaker 4: on Campus podcast is probably presented by bet MGM. So

990
00:44:08,800 --> 00:44:11,000
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991
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996
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1003
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00:45:19,440 --> 00:45:21,239
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1016
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1017
00:45:26,920 --> 00:45:29,880
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1018
00:45:29,960 --> 00:45:32,759
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1019
00:45:32,800 --> 00:45:34,839
Speaker 4: available in Nevada and New York.

1020
00:45:35,520 --> 00:45:38,600
Speaker 1: December twenty seventh, we got another bowl game here, Georgia

1021
00:45:38,719 --> 00:45:41,240
Speaker 1: Southern Land three and a half against Buffalo, the total

1022
00:45:41,280 --> 00:45:43,839
Speaker 1: set at sixty seven and a half in the Chamellea Bowl.

1023
00:45:44,040 --> 00:45:46,319
Speaker 1: It should be the Kyle Van Trees revenge Bowl game

1024
00:45:46,520 --> 00:45:49,399
Speaker 1: yes today as he transfers down to Georgia Southern, who

1025
00:45:49,440 --> 00:45:51,960
Speaker 1: remade their entire offense in one year. Talk about a

1026
00:45:51,960 --> 00:45:55,400
Speaker 1: team why zero confidence could go from a run heavy,

1027
00:45:55,480 --> 00:45:58,719
Speaker 1: option oriented team to a pass heavy team. They threw

1028
00:45:58,760 --> 00:46:00,880
Speaker 1: the ball the fifth most in the entire country. They

1029
00:46:00,880 --> 00:46:03,440
Speaker 1: finished twenty seventh and success rate they scored thirty one

1030
00:46:03,480 --> 00:46:06,080
Speaker 1: point four points per game and had the third lowest

1031
00:46:06,120 --> 00:46:08,960
Speaker 1: sack rate allowed in the entire country. So they protected him.

1032
00:46:09,000 --> 00:46:12,640
Speaker 1: They let Kyle Vantries cook and it actually worked. Defensively,

1033
00:46:13,800 --> 00:46:15,360
Speaker 1: they're super bad. They can't stop the run at all.

1034
00:46:15,360 --> 00:46:17,080
Speaker 1: The one hundred and twenty six in yards per carry

1035
00:46:17,120 --> 00:46:19,920
Speaker 1: allowed actually one hundred and twenty ninth in that category.

1036
00:46:20,200 --> 00:46:22,520
Speaker 1: They're banged up at the running back spot. I should

1037
00:46:22,560 --> 00:46:25,880
Speaker 1: say Buffalo is Ron Cook Junior and al J. Henderson

1038
00:46:25,920 --> 00:46:30,480
Speaker 1: are both questionable. If either play, Buffalo is probably the

1039
00:46:30,560 --> 00:46:33,680
Speaker 1: right play here. Plus the points. But if they're both out,

1040
00:46:33,880 --> 00:46:36,759
Speaker 1: can they take advantage of the Eagle's biggest weakness, which

1041
00:46:36,760 --> 00:46:38,799
Speaker 1: is obviously stopping the run. I'm not sure that it can,

1042
00:46:38,960 --> 00:46:40,600
Speaker 1: so I'm going to keep my money on the sideline,

1043
00:46:40,680 --> 00:46:44,320
Speaker 1: wait right up until kickoff. Find out. Also, if they're going,

1044
00:46:44,480 --> 00:46:46,279
Speaker 1: maybe a fun over as well. Sixty seven and a

1045
00:46:46,320 --> 00:46:49,400
Speaker 1: half doesn't scare me away. Georgia Southern's playing some insane

1046
00:46:49,440 --> 00:46:51,719
Speaker 1: shootouts this year, so I'll go ahead with the over

1047
00:46:51,760 --> 00:46:53,799
Speaker 1: there and I lean Buffalo pus three and a half

1048
00:46:53,840 --> 00:46:56,399
Speaker 1: depending on running back health. I really would like Ron

1049
00:46:56,440 --> 00:46:58,520
Speaker 1: Cook junior back. I know that they had kind of

1050
00:46:58,560 --> 00:47:01,520
Speaker 1: like a running back by committee situation going, but he's

1051
00:47:01,520 --> 00:47:03,040
Speaker 1: clearly the best one of the bunch.

1052
00:47:03,800 --> 00:47:05,520
Speaker 2: Yeah, this is a total stay away for me. You know,

1053
00:47:05,560 --> 00:47:08,120
Speaker 2: would you say Georgia Southern's offensive.

1054
00:47:07,719 --> 00:47:10,200
Speaker 1: Success rate was they twenty seventh?

1055
00:47:10,560 --> 00:47:12,440
Speaker 2: Yeah? See, but they were like fifth like half to

1056
00:47:12,480 --> 00:47:13,960
Speaker 2: the year when we were talking about Really that's the

1057
00:47:13,960 --> 00:47:16,040
Speaker 2: thing they I think teams kind of figured them out

1058
00:47:16,040 --> 00:47:18,080
Speaker 2: because they were so different. They kind of caught teams

1059
00:47:18,120 --> 00:47:21,080
Speaker 2: off guard, but teams tron onto it. Both these teams

1060
00:47:21,160 --> 00:47:23,680
Speaker 2: just really fell off down the stretch. Buffalo failed to

1061
00:47:23,680 --> 00:47:25,799
Speaker 2: cover their final four games. They needed a miracle win

1062
00:47:26,239 --> 00:47:29,520
Speaker 2: to freaking beat Akron and crush our Acron my Acron

1063
00:47:29,560 --> 00:47:32,799
Speaker 2: win total over and to reach a ball Georgia Southern

1064
00:47:32,880 --> 00:47:34,880
Speaker 2: lost three of the last four games and the offense

1065
00:47:34,960 --> 00:47:36,719
Speaker 2: kind of stalled out private. I mean, they did flow

1066
00:47:36,800 --> 00:47:39,240
Speaker 2: up against that state, but yeah, this is just nothing

1067
00:47:39,239 --> 00:47:42,359
Speaker 2: for me. I don't trust either offense. Both defense stinks. Yeah,

1068
00:47:42,400 --> 00:47:43,200
Speaker 2: I'm just stay away.

1069
00:47:44,160 --> 00:47:47,280
Speaker 1: December twenty seventh as well, Memphis laying seven against Utah

1070
00:47:47,280 --> 00:47:49,399
Speaker 1: State total sixty two and a half in the SERB

1071
00:47:49,480 --> 00:47:53,000
Speaker 1: Pro First Respondible. This is a game that I should

1072
00:47:53,080 --> 00:47:57,640
Speaker 1: care more about, but I think psychologically, at separate points

1073
00:47:57,640 --> 00:47:59,960
Speaker 1: in the season, I kind of marked both of these teams.

1074
00:48:00,160 --> 00:48:02,160
Speaker 1: Is just not good. They both finished six and six

1075
00:48:02,800 --> 00:48:05,200
Speaker 1: despite a two to three finished. Memphis is playing a

1076
00:48:05,239 --> 00:48:07,080
Speaker 1: little bit better. They lost it to Lane by ten,

1077
00:48:07,520 --> 00:48:10,800
Speaker 1: UCF X seven, SMU by three as their three losses

1078
00:48:10,840 --> 00:48:13,880
Speaker 1: in their last five games, so they're clearly competitive against

1079
00:48:13,880 --> 00:48:16,600
Speaker 1: the best in the AAC. Utah State got it together.

1080
00:48:16,640 --> 00:48:18,480
Speaker 1: They went five and two down the stretch, beating both

1081
00:48:18,520 --> 00:48:20,680
Speaker 1: teams air Force in San Jose State in the process.

1082
00:48:21,040 --> 00:48:24,080
Speaker 1: Cooper Lagas has got to cut down on the picks.

1083
00:48:23,640 --> 00:48:26,080
Speaker 1: That's the part of this game where I'm like, anytime

1084
00:48:26,120 --> 00:48:27,959
Speaker 1: I get close to talking to myself into Utah State.

1085
00:48:28,160 --> 00:48:30,640
Speaker 1: He threw four picks in his final two games. He's

1086
00:48:30,719 --> 00:48:33,240
Speaker 1: just not as good as Logan Bonner was last year. Obviously,

1087
00:48:33,280 --> 00:48:35,560
Speaker 1: a huge drop off and a huge dropoff in the

1088
00:48:35,640 --> 00:48:38,719
Speaker 1: win column as well. Memphis can run. They got lots

1089
00:48:38,760 --> 00:48:42,200
Speaker 1: of ballcarriers, including Hennigan. They had four ballcarriers who had

1090
00:48:42,239 --> 00:48:46,279
Speaker 1: four rushing touchdowns or more. Jevon Ducker kind of the

1091
00:48:46,360 --> 00:48:48,279
Speaker 1: main threat down the stretch. He should probably have a

1092
00:48:48,280 --> 00:48:50,920
Speaker 1: good game, but this one's a stay away from me,

1093
00:48:51,000 --> 00:48:53,640
Speaker 1: both on the total and the spread if you want

1094
00:48:53,640 --> 00:48:55,960
Speaker 1: to get nuts. I mean, Utah State was playing just

1095
00:48:56,040 --> 00:48:58,279
Speaker 1: about as well as any team in the Moundwest in

1096
00:48:58,320 --> 00:49:01,600
Speaker 1: the last six weeks. Maybe they're you know, worth a

1097
00:49:01,680 --> 00:49:04,120
Speaker 1: dart in terms of moneyline play, but other than that,

1098
00:49:04,360 --> 00:49:05,400
Speaker 1: not a game that interests me.

1099
00:49:06,719 --> 00:49:09,839
Speaker 2: I actually like like laying the points of Memphis. I

1100
00:49:09,880 --> 00:49:12,200
Speaker 2: just think this Utah State offense is horrific. I think,

1101
00:49:12,520 --> 00:49:14,719
Speaker 2: you know, both teams kind of you know, like you said,

1102
00:49:14,920 --> 00:49:17,640
Speaker 2: they both beat up on the bottom of the conferences,

1103
00:49:17,680 --> 00:49:21,279
Speaker 2: but then we're competitive in losses against the top of

1104
00:49:21,320 --> 00:49:24,759
Speaker 2: the conference, but the bottom of the AAC is so

1105
00:49:24,920 --> 00:49:27,080
Speaker 2: much better than the bottom of the Mountain West. So

1106
00:49:27,120 --> 00:49:28,959
Speaker 2: I think you to State kind of got to beat

1107
00:49:29,040 --> 00:49:33,240
Speaker 2: up on really bad teams. Yeah, I think goober lagas

1108
00:49:33,680 --> 00:49:36,560
Speaker 2: kind of horrible. He can't throw. The ball, is mobile,

1109
00:49:36,600 --> 00:49:39,680
Speaker 2: but he can't throw. And the Ages have a pretty

1110
00:49:39,680 --> 00:49:42,439
Speaker 2: good pass defense, but they've been torched on the ground.

1111
00:49:42,480 --> 00:49:45,160
Speaker 2: And you mentioned the Memphis running game. Memphis is pretty

1112
00:49:45,200 --> 00:49:47,719
Speaker 2: balanced on offense, to be honestly, they're you know, they're

1113
00:49:47,719 --> 00:49:50,920
Speaker 2: pretty good at passing and running and on defense, the

1114
00:49:50,960 --> 00:49:54,799
Speaker 2: Tigers weakness has been their pass defense. And Utah State

1115
00:49:54,840 --> 00:49:57,239
Speaker 2: you can't throw the ball, so I think they'd be

1116
00:49:57,239 --> 00:50:00,200
Speaker 2: pretty good against the run. And they're eighteenth that any

1117
00:50:00,239 --> 00:50:04,040
Speaker 2: explosives on the ground. Memphiss so I think Hennigan is

1118
00:50:04,080 --> 00:50:07,120
Speaker 2: going to be able to take big shots against a defense,

1119
00:50:07,200 --> 00:50:10,840
Speaker 2: and I think that the Memphis defense can limit UTSA

1120
00:50:11,000 --> 00:50:13,640
Speaker 2: on the ground forced to go in and turnovers and

1121
00:50:13,680 --> 00:50:15,520
Speaker 2: pull away. Here, you know, Colin Wilson made this game

1122
00:50:15,680 --> 00:50:19,719
Speaker 2: Memphis minus thirteen with his power eatings. I think it's

1123
00:50:19,719 --> 00:50:22,120
Speaker 2: a bet they're just a better team in a better conference.

1124
00:50:22,160 --> 00:50:23,799
Speaker 2: So I'll take Memphis minus seven year.

1125
00:50:24,719 --> 00:50:27,759
Speaker 1: Also on the twenty seventh, in the ticket Smarter Birmingham

1126
00:50:27,800 --> 00:50:31,040
Speaker 1: Bowl coas To Carolina against East Carolina. This line has

1127
00:50:31,120 --> 00:50:33,720
Speaker 1: danced all over the place. I think it's currently sitting

1128
00:50:33,800 --> 00:50:36,440
Speaker 1: at ECU minus nine total set at fifty nine and

1129
00:50:36,480 --> 00:50:40,400
Speaker 1: a half. So my notes here were bye bye Grayson McCall,

1130
00:50:40,480 --> 00:50:44,759
Speaker 1: Bye bye Jamie Chadwell de Yeah, just kidding. Apparently you

1131
00:50:44,800 --> 00:50:47,040
Speaker 1: can enter the portal but then not leave even though

1132
00:50:47,040 --> 00:50:51,760
Speaker 1: your coach left. So Grayson McCall is truly pissing teal

1133
00:50:51,920 --> 00:50:55,239
Speaker 1: one last time in this game. I don't know. I

1134
00:50:55,320 --> 00:50:58,360
Speaker 1: obviously without him playing, it was a hammer play on ECU.

1135
00:50:58,840 --> 00:51:01,759
Speaker 1: I still think again, like this matters more to a

1136
00:51:01,840 --> 00:51:04,879
Speaker 1: program that's always kind of flirting with taking that next

1137
00:51:04,920 --> 00:51:07,600
Speaker 1: step in Bowl games matter for ECU where it's strange

1138
00:51:07,600 --> 00:51:09,640
Speaker 1: to say, but Coastal Carolina has become old hat like

1139
00:51:09,840 --> 00:51:12,040
Speaker 1: they're not ranked in the top twenty five. They don't

1140
00:51:12,040 --> 00:51:13,959
Speaker 1: have a chance to knock off a top twenty five

1141
00:51:14,080 --> 00:51:17,040
Speaker 1: ranked team. So now they're playing in Birmingham, they're playing

1142
00:51:17,040 --> 00:51:19,760
Speaker 1: against an ECU fan base that'll probably travel very well.

1143
00:51:20,400 --> 00:51:24,520
Speaker 1: And yes McColl is a you know, he's a big

1144
00:51:24,560 --> 00:51:27,680
Speaker 1: ticket item in terms of fan interest, but I don't

1145
00:51:27,719 --> 00:51:29,319
Speaker 1: know if their fans are really going to show out

1146
00:51:29,320 --> 00:51:31,880
Speaker 1: for a game like this. I'm gonna stick with the Pirates.

1147
00:51:32,600 --> 00:51:35,720
Speaker 1: I love Keaton Mitchell Whole Nailers. If he's the good one,

1148
00:51:35,920 --> 00:51:38,200
Speaker 1: we're gonna win going away. If it's bad Whole Nailers

1149
00:51:38,200 --> 00:51:39,759
Speaker 1: who for the most part this year, you know, we

1150
00:51:39,880 --> 00:51:42,160
Speaker 1: made a lot of jokes, but he's kept those multi

1151
00:51:42,200 --> 00:51:44,600
Speaker 1: pick games to a minimum. So I think if they

1152
00:51:44,640 --> 00:51:47,319
Speaker 1: can stay within you know, zero minus one in the

1153
00:51:47,320 --> 00:51:49,640
Speaker 1: turnover battle, they'll get it done here. This is a

1154
00:51:49,640 --> 00:51:52,239
Speaker 1: pretty high play from a confidence perspective for me coast

1155
00:51:52,280 --> 00:51:55,759
Speaker 1: to thirty, whether it's nine and a half, I think

1156
00:51:55,800 --> 00:51:58,400
Speaker 1: it'll probably go lower as money comes in once people

1157
00:51:58,440 --> 00:52:01,239
Speaker 1: realize that McCall is a go. But this defense just

1158
00:52:01,280 --> 00:52:03,319
Speaker 1: fell off a cliff this year. I mean they have

1159
00:52:03,840 --> 00:52:06,280
Speaker 1: they had so many issues. They were replacing ten starters.

1160
00:52:06,360 --> 00:52:08,840
Speaker 1: Clearly they didn't have the dudes to do that. So

1161
00:52:08,880 --> 00:52:10,439
Speaker 1: I think the Pirates get the best of them here.

1162
00:52:10,640 --> 00:52:13,440
Speaker 1: And one final nugget. East Used Bowl game got canceled

1163
00:52:13,480 --> 00:52:16,279
Speaker 1: last year, so they absolutely are chomping at the bit

1164
00:52:16,520 --> 00:52:18,440
Speaker 1: to get back and to get a little Bowl game.

1165
00:52:18,600 --> 00:52:21,680
Speaker 1: Love and publicity and get something for the highlight reel.

1166
00:52:21,840 --> 00:52:23,080
Speaker 1: So I'm on the pirates.

1167
00:52:23,360 --> 00:52:25,920
Speaker 2: Yeah, me too. I took ECU at nine and a

1168
00:52:26,000 --> 00:52:30,080
Speaker 2: half earlier in the week thinking McCall wouldn't play. I

1169
00:52:30,160 --> 00:52:33,400
Speaker 2: thought I had great CLV when it popped up to

1170
00:52:33,480 --> 00:52:36,000
Speaker 2: thirteen and a half for like twenty minutes, and then

1171
00:52:36,160 --> 00:52:38,560
Speaker 2: people realized McCall said he's playing and read the rest

1172
00:52:38,560 --> 00:52:40,200
Speaker 2: of the statement and dropped right back down to nine

1173
00:52:40,239 --> 00:52:43,200
Speaker 2: and a half. But, like you said, I'm not buying

1174
00:52:43,200 --> 00:52:46,120
Speaker 2: out of it. I'm pretty comfortable with that position because

1175
00:52:46,200 --> 00:52:47,960
Speaker 2: at the end of the day, McCall's not playing defense,

1176
00:52:48,440 --> 00:52:52,240
Speaker 2: and Gall played against Troy, and you know it didn't

1177
00:52:52,280 --> 00:52:54,799
Speaker 2: matter much. This defense gave up five hundred and two

1178
00:52:54,880 --> 00:52:58,160
Speaker 2: yards and forty seven points in James Madison forty five

1179
00:52:58,360 --> 00:53:01,520
Speaker 2: points and seven point eight yards play to Troy. They're

1180
00:53:01,560 --> 00:53:04,080
Speaker 2: one hundred and eighteenth in the country at defending the past.

1181
00:53:05,040 --> 00:53:08,080
Speaker 2: Our boy, Holton Aylors is like right in that sweet

1182
00:53:08,080 --> 00:53:12,200
Speaker 2: spot of really good college football player but not good

1183
00:53:12,320 --> 00:53:14,000
Speaker 2: enough to go pro and opt out of a bowl,

1184
00:53:14,040 --> 00:53:16,200
Speaker 2: which is just where you want to be betting guys

1185
00:53:16,200 --> 00:53:19,920
Speaker 2: this time of year. And you know, we're in a

1186
00:53:20,120 --> 00:53:22,520
Speaker 2: college football fantasy like bow league. You and me are

1187
00:53:22,520 --> 00:53:24,799
Speaker 2: doing it, and I texted you how badly I want

1188
00:53:24,840 --> 00:53:26,919
Speaker 2: to Keith Mitchell. He's going to cook in this game.

1189
00:53:27,160 --> 00:53:29,880
Speaker 2: I think Ayler's does as well. And the one thing

1190
00:53:29,920 --> 00:53:32,279
Speaker 2: ECUs defense has been really good at is stopping the run.

1191
00:53:32,320 --> 00:53:34,520
Speaker 2: Their top thirty and run defense, they should be able

1192
00:53:34,600 --> 00:53:38,200
Speaker 2: to limit this coastal rushing attack. And their whole offense

1193
00:53:38,360 --> 00:53:40,799
Speaker 2: just starts with the running game. We saw it against Troy.

1194
00:53:40,960 --> 00:53:43,279
Speaker 2: You know, McCall threw the ball really well in that game,

1195
00:53:43,320 --> 00:53:46,319
Speaker 2: but Troy shut down the running attack and McCall thrown

1196
00:53:46,360 --> 00:53:48,319
Speaker 2: It didn't matter. If they can't run the ball, they

1197
00:53:48,320 --> 00:53:52,160
Speaker 2: can't win. And like, like I said, I'm pretty confident

1198
00:53:52,400 --> 00:53:54,239
Speaker 2: with them winning this game, and I took the nine

1199
00:53:54,239 --> 00:53:57,040
Speaker 2: and a half. McCall's not playing defense.

1200
00:53:58,120 --> 00:54:00,960
Speaker 1: As we get deeper here in bolseason five games on

1201
00:54:01,000 --> 00:54:03,960
Speaker 1: the twenty eighth UCF against Duke Blue Devils are a

1202
00:54:04,000 --> 00:54:05,880
Speaker 1: one point favorite total set at sixty two and a

1203
00:54:05,920 --> 00:54:08,960
Speaker 1: half in the Military Bowl presented by Periton, not to

1204
00:54:08,960 --> 00:54:11,560
Speaker 1: be confused with Peloton. It's a four hour drive for

1205
00:54:11,600 --> 00:54:14,400
Speaker 1: those Duke fans. I think they're gonna make it, because honestly,

1206
00:54:14,640 --> 00:54:17,160
Speaker 1: this is just their seventh bowl game since twenty twelve.

1207
00:54:17,560 --> 00:54:20,000
Speaker 1: They've had some good attendance numbers. Actually went back and

1208
00:54:20,000 --> 00:54:21,600
Speaker 1: looked in terms of the bowl games that they have

1209
00:54:21,719 --> 00:54:25,040
Speaker 1: played in. So I think they'll get a fan boost from,

1210
00:54:25,200 --> 00:54:27,400
Speaker 1: you know, a first year coach. He was selling hope.

1211
00:54:27,480 --> 00:54:30,279
Speaker 1: He delivered on it. Riley Leonard is to me one

1212
00:54:30,320 --> 00:54:33,919
Speaker 1: of the surprise quarterbacks. He's really been awesome this year.

1213
00:54:34,360 --> 00:54:35,960
Speaker 1: The fact that he would very early on our Bowl

1214
00:54:36,040 --> 00:54:38,840
Speaker 1: fantasy draft wasn't a huge surprise to me. UCF on

1215
00:54:38,880 --> 00:54:41,040
Speaker 1: the other side, though, this is situational play that I

1216
00:54:41,120 --> 00:54:43,800
Speaker 1: love to make, and after championship week ends, I like

1217
00:54:43,840 --> 00:54:46,000
Speaker 1: to circle who are the teams that lost in their

1218
00:54:46,040 --> 00:54:49,239
Speaker 1: conference championship game because it's an extra week of those

1219
00:54:49,320 --> 00:54:51,480
Speaker 1: you know, body blows that they had to take the

1220
00:54:51,560 --> 00:54:55,600
Speaker 1: emotional drop off, which for some teams is significant. USC

1221
00:54:55,800 --> 00:54:57,720
Speaker 1: could have played their way into the College double playoff,

1222
00:54:58,000 --> 00:55:00,399
Speaker 1: UCF could have played their way in to the con

1223
00:55:00,480 --> 00:55:02,799
Speaker 1: Bowl to face that USC team could have been the

1224
00:55:02,840 --> 00:55:05,799
Speaker 1: G five Darling. Instead, they fall all the way down

1225
00:55:05,840 --> 00:55:08,799
Speaker 1: to the Military Bowl playing Duke. How fired up are

1226
00:55:08,840 --> 00:55:10,200
Speaker 1: they really going to be in this game? They still

1227
00:55:10,239 --> 00:55:12,960
Speaker 1: can't pass the ball, so they have issues there and

1228
00:55:13,040 --> 00:55:14,400
Speaker 1: when what do they want to do? They want to

1229
00:55:14,440 --> 00:55:16,640
Speaker 1: run the Gusmells on offense, They're running into a Duke

1230
00:55:16,680 --> 00:55:19,680
Speaker 1: defense that's top twenty in every major metric. I think

1231
00:55:19,680 --> 00:55:22,920
Speaker 1: this is an awful matchup for UCF, both situationally and

1232
00:55:22,960 --> 00:55:25,160
Speaker 1: the ex's and no's on the field. Duke only lay

1233
00:55:25,160 --> 00:55:27,239
Speaker 1: in one. Let's hammer the Blue Devils. Give me the

1234
00:55:27,239 --> 00:55:29,560
Speaker 1: Steve spur Yer photo like, I'm going to put that

1235
00:55:29,640 --> 00:55:31,719
Speaker 1: up with my pick on the twenty eighth. Get some

1236
00:55:31,760 --> 00:55:35,360
Speaker 1: good mojo going. It's it's a hammer play for me.

1237
00:55:35,440 --> 00:55:38,479
Speaker 1: This is my favorite G five Bowl game of the year.

1238
00:55:39,000 --> 00:55:41,479
Speaker 1: Duke Blue Devils lay in one. I'm in the high

1239
00:55:41,480 --> 00:55:43,160
Speaker 1: thirties on the confidence points as well.

1240
00:55:43,360 --> 00:55:45,400
Speaker 2: I'm with you for a one point spread. This is

1241
00:55:45,480 --> 00:55:48,440
Speaker 2: very high in my confidence, boll I agree. You know,

1242
00:55:49,080 --> 00:55:51,320
Speaker 2: Riley Leonard Austin do finish year winning four out of

1243
00:55:51,360 --> 00:55:53,200
Speaker 2: their five or a UCF kind of limpd in of

1244
00:55:53,239 --> 00:55:55,479
Speaker 2: that game. Anyway. They lost two to their last three

1245
00:55:55,560 --> 00:55:59,800
Speaker 2: to a Navy team who stinks and you know you

1246
00:56:00,400 --> 00:56:02,600
Speaker 2: saw like you said, they can't throw the ball and

1247
00:56:02,800 --> 00:56:05,600
Speaker 2: Mikey Keane is in the transfer portal. Kind of a

1248
00:56:05,640 --> 00:56:08,640
Speaker 2: dick move did it before the conference championship game, and

1249
00:56:08,680 --> 00:56:11,719
Speaker 2: they needed him because probably got hurt. It's like, dude,

1250
00:56:11,760 --> 00:56:14,799
Speaker 2: you couldn't have waited a week. They're leading receiver, Ryan

1251
00:56:14,880 --> 00:56:17,880
Speaker 2: O'Keefe is in the portal. They're like third leading tackler.

1252
00:56:17,960 --> 00:56:20,920
Speaker 2: Linebacker Jeremiah Jean Baptiste is in the in the portal,

1253
00:56:21,000 --> 00:56:22,320
Speaker 2: is one of their best run defenders.

1254
00:56:22,400 --> 00:56:24,480
Speaker 1: I mean, this is me just putting an extra bat. Now.

1255
00:56:24,520 --> 00:56:26,000
Speaker 1: I might double too.

1256
00:56:26,160 --> 00:56:29,240
Speaker 2: I'm like double down two. Just Dukes are really good.

1257
00:56:29,400 --> 00:56:32,240
Speaker 2: And he said they're six in the country at defending

1258
00:56:32,280 --> 00:56:36,000
Speaker 2: explosiveness on the ground, which is all you see f does.

1259
00:56:36,480 --> 00:56:38,600
Speaker 2: They've holed opponents to less than one hundred and twenty

1260
00:56:38,680 --> 00:56:41,759
Speaker 2: yards on the ground in five straight games. Rust Milesland's

1261
00:56:41,760 --> 00:56:43,799
Speaker 2: all one of those coaches three and five bowl games,

1262
00:56:43,840 --> 00:56:45,840
Speaker 2: has never seen the care. They're coming off a loss.

1263
00:56:45,840 --> 00:56:49,000
Speaker 2: They don't care. This is Duke's first bowl game since

1264
00:56:49,040 --> 00:56:51,880
Speaker 2: twenty eighteen. I'm with you. I might double down on

1265
00:56:51,880 --> 00:56:53,920
Speaker 2: the Blue DEVILSA I might go add another unit.

1266
00:56:54,760 --> 00:56:56,759
Speaker 1: From one bowl game that I'm just fired up to

1267
00:56:56,760 --> 00:56:59,279
Speaker 1: bet on, fired up to watch to Ohio laying one

1268
00:56:59,280 --> 00:57:02,040
Speaker 1: against Wayoma with a total set at forty three I'm

1269
00:57:02,080 --> 00:57:04,080
Speaker 1: not sure we're going to see that much fireworks offensively

1270
00:57:04,160 --> 00:57:07,800
Speaker 1: Ohio without the maple missile tears his ACL he's done.

1271
00:57:08,040 --> 00:57:11,600
Speaker 1: The offense just flat out not very good. Wyoming super

1272
00:57:11,640 --> 00:57:14,080
Speaker 1: low on talent due to the portal, Titus swan out.

1273
00:57:14,360 --> 00:57:16,920
Speaker 1: He's one of those missing in action Cowboys can ce

1274
00:57:17,080 --> 00:57:20,720
Speaker 1: j Harris with nearly a month's worth of Bowl practices,

1275
00:57:21,080 --> 00:57:23,680
Speaker 1: get an offense that's built for his skill set, which

1276
00:57:23,720 --> 00:57:26,960
Speaker 1: is running, doing the speed option on the perimeter, you know,

1277
00:57:27,080 --> 00:57:29,920
Speaker 1: trying to get as much RPO and things to put

1278
00:57:30,320 --> 00:57:33,720
Speaker 1: defenders into conflict. Can they get that done? Maybe so.

1279
00:57:34,040 --> 00:57:37,080
Speaker 1: I lean Bobcats in that regard. Andrew Peasley on the

1280
00:57:37,080 --> 00:57:39,280
Speaker 1: other side, he threw five picks and with sacks six

1281
00:57:39,320 --> 00:57:42,000
Speaker 1: times in his last three games. Just bad, bad, bad.

1282
00:57:42,000 --> 00:57:44,680
Speaker 1: They may go with a quarterback switch here. I don't

1283
00:57:44,680 --> 00:57:46,720
Speaker 1: know if the Polks have anything that they can pull

1284
00:57:46,760 --> 00:57:48,600
Speaker 1: out of their bag. I understand as a team we

1285
00:57:48,600 --> 00:57:51,040
Speaker 1: were low on in the preseason they end up exceeding

1286
00:57:51,040 --> 00:57:53,360
Speaker 1: those expectations, but they don't have the kind of depth

1287
00:57:53,360 --> 00:57:54,880
Speaker 1: to handle. I think the six or seven guys are

1288
00:57:54,880 --> 00:57:57,840
Speaker 1: in the portal. That's bad news, even against an Ohio team.

1289
00:57:58,080 --> 00:58:00,680
Speaker 1: That's wounded as well. I'll go Bob Cats here as

1290
00:58:00,720 --> 00:58:03,360
Speaker 1: an official play, laying the point, and probably in the

1291
00:58:03,400 --> 00:58:05,000
Speaker 1: teams for the confidence pool.

1292
00:58:05,520 --> 00:58:07,840
Speaker 2: There's nothing here with you tied to Swim being out,

1293
00:58:07,840 --> 00:58:10,360
Speaker 2: Curtis for Ark being out. It's such a like weird game.

1294
00:58:11,040 --> 00:58:14,000
Speaker 2: I'd probably go high in pools. I don't know, probably,

1295
00:58:14,360 --> 00:58:14,720
Speaker 2: I guess.

1296
00:58:15,000 --> 00:58:17,440
Speaker 1: All right, let's end with a bang here. Luckily we

1297
00:58:17,480 --> 00:58:19,880
Speaker 1: don't have to wind ourself up for the good Year

1298
00:58:19,960 --> 00:58:23,280
Speaker 1: Cotton Bowl Classic two lane. My thirty five to one

1299
00:58:23,320 --> 00:58:26,000
Speaker 1: pick to win the AAC. Proud Papa over here playing

1300
00:58:26,040 --> 00:58:28,720
Speaker 1: against usc usc Is laying a point and a half.

1301
00:58:29,080 --> 00:58:32,200
Speaker 1: Sixty one and a half doesn't seem high enough. And

1302
00:58:32,320 --> 00:58:35,120
Speaker 1: why do I say that? Well, Willie Fritz decides to stay,

1303
00:58:35,160 --> 00:58:37,200
Speaker 1: which really could have put a stink on this game

1304
00:58:37,200 --> 00:58:39,160
Speaker 1: if he ended up leaving for that Georgia Tech job

1305
00:58:39,320 --> 00:58:41,800
Speaker 1: and leaving them in the lurch with an interim coach. Instead,

1306
00:58:42,080 --> 00:58:44,320
Speaker 1: he gets to go full wolf O wall Street, I'm

1307
00:58:44,360 --> 00:58:46,840
Speaker 1: not leaving and just have the whole team just going

1308
00:58:46,920 --> 00:58:50,400
Speaker 1: nuts surrounding him. Taj spears against a run defense that

1309
00:58:50,480 --> 00:58:53,840
Speaker 1: is quite simply breathtakingly bad. I don't think I've seen

1310
00:58:53,920 --> 00:58:55,760
Speaker 1: I don't need to look at a single metric. I've

1311
00:58:55,800 --> 00:58:58,320
Speaker 1: never seen with these eyes a defense that's less interested

1312
00:58:58,360 --> 00:59:00,400
Speaker 1: in tackling people once they get to this second a

1313
00:59:00,480 --> 00:59:04,040
Speaker 1: third level than the USC defense. So Tajay spears, mister

1314
00:59:04,080 --> 00:59:04,600
Speaker 1: Holme run.

1315
00:59:04,800 --> 00:59:07,400
Speaker 2: I was at the PAC twelve championship game in Vegas.

1316
00:59:07,800 --> 00:59:10,600
Speaker 2: It was I had the overthought was loving it, but

1317
00:59:10,640 --> 00:59:14,640
Speaker 2: it was mind boggling how bad that team was at tackling.

1318
00:59:14,960 --> 00:59:18,480
Speaker 2: It's the worst tackling performance I've ever seen. And I'm

1319
00:59:18,480 --> 00:59:21,720
Speaker 2: a Green Bay Packers fan, so I've been seeing that

1320
00:59:21,720 --> 00:59:25,400
Speaker 2: for ten years, and it was unbelievable how much they

1321
00:59:25,480 --> 00:59:28,720
Speaker 2: just refuse to tackle anybody. And I was trying to

1322
00:59:28,800 --> 00:59:31,320
Speaker 2: run the clock out. They were running like fullback dives

1323
00:59:31,560 --> 00:59:34,080
Speaker 2: and taking it thirty yards to the house. It was absurd.

1324
00:59:35,600 --> 00:59:37,240
Speaker 1: And then the other angle in this game is clear

1325
00:59:37,520 --> 00:59:40,760
Speaker 1: Cal Williams's best Superman, you know, impersonation down the stretch

1326
00:59:40,800 --> 00:59:43,240
Speaker 1: wins the Heisman Because of it, will any of us

1327
00:59:43,240 --> 00:59:46,040
Speaker 1: supporting cast show up or care? And how badly is

1328
00:59:46,080 --> 00:59:48,920
Speaker 1: his hamstring injured? Because yes he's not going to opt out,

1329
00:59:49,120 --> 00:59:50,880
Speaker 1: Yes he can't go to the NFL Draft, so he's

1330
00:59:50,920 --> 00:59:54,520
Speaker 1: back next year. But this could be a business decision situation,

1331
00:59:54,640 --> 00:59:57,000
Speaker 1: particularly with the way that the offense is going with

1332
00:59:57,000 --> 00:59:59,440
Speaker 1: their injuries at running back. It was clear in that

1333
00:59:59,480 --> 01:00:01,800
Speaker 1: game he runs for one hundred and fifty yards and

1334
01:00:01,800 --> 01:00:04,240
Speaker 1: throws for three to fifty. Yeah, maybe they beat Utah

1335
01:00:04,240 --> 01:00:06,600
Speaker 1: in that game. That's what they need. I think there's

1336
01:00:06,920 --> 01:00:10,080
Speaker 1: a quick factor potential in this game for Williams, and

1337
01:00:10,160 --> 01:00:12,360
Speaker 1: if he quits, the USC team is going to fold

1338
01:00:12,480 --> 01:00:14,760
Speaker 1: at like one hundred percent. So I'm on two lane

1339
01:00:14,840 --> 01:00:17,640
Speaker 1: money line. I think it's like plus one fifteen at

1340
01:00:17,640 --> 01:00:20,840
Speaker 1: this point. There's a chance before the game that Williams

1341
01:00:20,880 --> 01:00:23,520
Speaker 1: just decides to sit out. In general, he doesn't even

1342
01:00:23,600 --> 01:00:25,480
Speaker 1: suit up. So I'm going to go ahead and play

1343
01:00:25,520 --> 01:00:27,640
Speaker 1: that now because I think in a situation like that

1344
01:00:27,960 --> 01:00:30,760
Speaker 1: probably moves it across the threshold, and twu lane's the

1345
01:00:30,760 --> 01:00:32,520
Speaker 1: favorite by a point or two if they get a

1346
01:00:32,560 --> 01:00:36,040
Speaker 1: backup quarterback from USC. Any other thoughts on the Green Wave,

1347
01:00:36,120 --> 01:00:38,200
Speaker 1: I know we're both fired up to see our G

1348
01:00:38,400 --> 01:00:40,120
Speaker 1: five Darling make it all the way to the Conon

1349
01:00:40,160 --> 01:00:42,320
Speaker 1: Bowl and another exciting year for the AAC.

1350
01:00:44,560 --> 01:00:47,480
Speaker 2: That's my only concern with betting this now is you

1351
01:00:47,520 --> 01:00:50,440
Speaker 2: don't know if Caleb Williams is playing because to me,

1352
01:00:50,840 --> 01:00:53,400
Speaker 2: I'm with you, or you know, if you if you

1353
01:00:53,440 --> 01:00:56,840
Speaker 2: think he's playing, then you probably take the over now

1354
01:00:57,000 --> 01:01:00,240
Speaker 2: because it probably goes up. But if he's not, I

1355
01:01:00,240 --> 01:01:02,440
Speaker 2: don't really want the over. And then on the flip side,

1356
01:01:02,480 --> 01:01:06,920
Speaker 2: I'm with you where I like Tulane regardless of Caleb's playing.

1357
01:01:07,520 --> 01:01:09,760
Speaker 2: So I'm probably gonna wait and hope he does play,

1358
01:01:09,800 --> 01:01:12,240
Speaker 2: because you probably get back to plus three with the

1359
01:01:12,320 --> 01:01:14,960
Speaker 2: green wave if Williams is good to go, because right

1360
01:01:15,000 --> 01:01:17,880
Speaker 2: now they're plus one and a half. You know, to me,

1361
01:01:18,120 --> 01:01:20,080
Speaker 2: the money line's down at like plus one hundred to

1362
01:01:20,080 --> 01:01:22,160
Speaker 2: me plus one hundred minus one fifteen, it is not

1363
01:01:22,200 --> 01:01:24,280
Speaker 2: that big of a difference. But if I can get

1364
01:01:24,280 --> 01:01:27,560
Speaker 2: that three, if Caleb's good to go, I probably would

1365
01:01:27,600 --> 01:01:29,120
Speaker 2: wait for that because this is kind of similar to

1366
01:01:29,120 --> 01:01:32,760
Speaker 2: a call situation. Is this USC defense is hot garbage?

1367
01:01:32,960 --> 01:01:35,479
Speaker 2: Michael Pratt and Taje. Spears are going to torch them.

1368
01:01:36,440 --> 01:01:38,320
Speaker 2: You mentioned too that, like you know, Travis Die' is

1369
01:01:38,320 --> 01:01:41,360
Speaker 2: already out. I doubt Jordan Adison plays in this game.

1370
01:01:41,480 --> 01:01:43,080
Speaker 2: Is Mario Williams is going to play in this game?

1371
01:01:43,960 --> 01:01:46,040
Speaker 2: So there's just kind of a lot of uncertainty. Now,

1372
01:01:46,080 --> 01:01:48,400
Speaker 2: I think the line's gonna keep moving depending on who's

1373
01:01:48,400 --> 01:01:50,920
Speaker 2: in and who's out. So I don't know. It's kind

1374
01:01:50,920 --> 01:01:52,680
Speaker 2: of one of those ones you depend on what you want.

1375
01:01:52,680 --> 01:01:56,760
Speaker 2: You have to guess. My feeling for now it could change.

1376
01:01:56,920 --> 01:02:00,200
Speaker 2: Is I like Tulane. I'm hoping Caleb is officially in.

1377
01:02:00,760 --> 01:02:02,640
Speaker 2: I get a little more number on two Aane and

1378
01:02:02,680 --> 01:02:05,040
Speaker 2: then I'll take it there. But I haven't played anything yet.

1379
01:02:05,120 --> 01:02:06,600
Speaker 2: That's kind of what I'm hoping for.

1380
01:02:07,320 --> 01:02:10,000
Speaker 1: And I get to NGFI Bowl season by fading another

1381
01:02:10,080 --> 01:02:13,000
Speaker 1: conference champion loser, which is always on my bingo card.

1382
01:02:13,120 --> 01:02:15,000
Speaker 1: So this anopensive one.

1383
01:02:15,280 --> 01:02:19,400
Speaker 2: This is also going in bullpools where the casuals usc

1384
01:02:19,600 --> 01:02:22,720
Speaker 2: brand name Heisman Trophy winner. This is a good spot today,

1385
01:02:22,760 --> 01:02:25,320
Speaker 2: two aye, and as an upset pick in in bowl

1386
01:02:25,360 --> 01:02:27,880
Speaker 2: pools with Spotlight. You know I work with casual people

1387
01:02:27,880 --> 01:02:29,400
Speaker 2: who don't actually watch college football.

1388
01:02:30,240 --> 01:02:32,760
Speaker 1: Well that's it, Ianello. We made it through every G

1389
01:02:32,920 --> 01:02:35,360
Speaker 1: five bowl game. We did it. We had leans plays,

1390
01:02:35,480 --> 01:02:38,960
Speaker 1: prop bets, everything out there in the ether. So I'm

1391
01:02:39,160 --> 01:02:41,040
Speaker 1: I'm just happy to say that we carried the torch

1392
01:02:41,040 --> 01:02:43,560
Speaker 1: throughout the season. And I love your golf analogy. At

1393
01:02:43,560 --> 01:02:47,080
Speaker 1: the beginning. I agree we birdied eighteen. I may have

1394
01:02:47,160 --> 01:02:49,240
Speaker 1: skipped from sixteen right to the clubhouse and had a

1395
01:02:49,280 --> 01:02:51,160
Speaker 1: few drinks before we even got there. But I'm there

1396
01:02:51,200 --> 01:02:54,080
Speaker 1: to welcome you and to congratulate you. Sign your scorecard

1397
01:02:54,120 --> 01:02:56,480
Speaker 1: if you like. Let's finish strong here. I think a

1398
01:02:56,480 --> 01:02:59,160
Speaker 1: lot of our picks are great, but the Duke one

1399
01:02:59,320 --> 01:03:02,520
Speaker 1: in particular, I want that to be our legacy for

1400
01:03:02,560 --> 01:03:05,880
Speaker 1: this Bowl season. Because ucfs a team I probably watched

1401
01:03:06,560 --> 01:03:09,040
Speaker 1: the entirety of like ten of their twelve games this year,

1402
01:03:09,160 --> 01:03:11,960
Speaker 1: so I have like a strong grasp on this U

1403
01:03:12,200 --> 01:03:14,560
Speaker 1: on the UCF team. So I think there's an absolute

1404
01:03:14,680 --> 01:03:17,360
Speaker 1: chance that that Duke just boat racism. Any final thoughts

1405
01:03:17,360 --> 01:03:18,240
Speaker 1: before we get out of here.

1406
01:03:19,680 --> 01:03:22,720
Speaker 2: Yeah, obviously with with with ball season, it goes without saying.

1407
01:03:22,920 --> 01:03:26,160
Speaker 2: You know, Colin Stuckey will have previews kind of throughout

1408
01:03:26,200 --> 01:03:30,280
Speaker 2: both season, but things change so much. If you guys

1409
01:03:30,280 --> 01:03:32,400
Speaker 2: ever have questions if a game we didn't get into

1410
01:03:32,560 --> 01:03:34,720
Speaker 2: enough or things change, don't hesitate to reach out to

1411
01:03:34,760 --> 01:03:37,280
Speaker 2: us on Twitter, follow us in the Action Network app

1412
01:03:37,320 --> 01:03:39,400
Speaker 2: as well as with Colin And you know, perfect example

1413
01:03:39,480 --> 01:03:42,960
Speaker 2: is I I bet BYU two days ago and I

1414
01:03:43,160 --> 01:03:45,040
Speaker 2: just bet out you know bet SMU to get out

1415
01:03:45,080 --> 01:03:48,160
Speaker 2: of it today with the kind of Jaron Hall probably

1416
01:03:48,240 --> 01:03:50,920
Speaker 2: not playing news. So if you guys ever have questions,

1417
01:03:50,920 --> 01:03:53,560
Speaker 2: reach out to us on Twitter with as things change

1418
01:03:53,560 --> 01:03:57,480
Speaker 2: and move and both. Season is kind of a crapshoot

1419
01:03:57,520 --> 01:04:01,720
Speaker 2: sometimes when it comes to that stuffy Hopefully we keep

1420
01:04:01,760 --> 01:04:03,600
Speaker 2: doing all nextually. I'm interesting. You know a lot of

1421
01:04:03,640 --> 01:04:05,640
Speaker 2: these teams. Hey, this is the last time we have

1422
01:04:05,720 --> 01:04:07,760
Speaker 2: to talk to you about UCF. So that's our perfect way.

1423
01:04:07,960 --> 01:04:10,320
Speaker 2: We're kicking UCF out of the G five with our hammer.

1424
01:04:10,320 --> 01:04:13,960
Speaker 2: Play a dupe, get out of here. Yeah here, that's

1425
01:04:14,000 --> 01:04:14,760
Speaker 2: kind of how rund it.

1426
01:04:15,480 --> 01:04:18,960
Speaker 1: Special banks to our producer extraordinary at Matt Mitchell. Hopefully

1427
01:04:19,080 --> 01:04:21,200
Speaker 1: all of his two lane gear arrives in the mail

1428
01:04:21,320 --> 01:04:24,360
Speaker 1: so you can loot on angry Wave there in the

1429
01:04:24,360 --> 01:04:26,760
Speaker 1: con Bowl for Mike. I know on Mike Calabery's this

1430
01:04:26,800 --> 01:04:28,440
Speaker 1: has been the Group of five deep dive under the

1431
01:04:28,440 --> 01:04:31,560
Speaker 1: Big Bets on campus banner. A reminder to listen in

1432
01:04:31,600 --> 01:04:35,560
Speaker 1: for Colin and Stuckey's multi part four part ball preview

1433
01:04:35,920 --> 01:04:38,160
Speaker 1: throughout Bowl season. They're going to be hitting you with

1434
01:04:38,200 --> 01:04:40,400
Speaker 1: the latest and greatest and all that information and moving

1435
01:04:40,440 --> 01:04:45,120
Speaker 1: parts that go into building the perfect Bowl series card,

1436
01:04:45,400 --> 01:04:48,080
Speaker 1: so go ahead and listen in and I'd like to

1437
01:04:48,120 --> 01:04:51,240
Speaker 1: echo what Ielo said as well, and a special banks

1438
01:04:51,240 --> 01:04:53,400
Speaker 1: to our fans. We would love it if you guys

1439
01:04:53,440 --> 01:04:55,440
Speaker 1: would interact with us over on social media, happy to

1440
01:04:55,440 --> 01:04:58,919
Speaker 1: answer all of your questions, ratings, and everything else over

1441
01:04:59,040 --> 01:05:01,760
Speaker 1: on the podcast speeds are also incredibly helpful as well

1442
01:05:01,800 --> 01:05:04,440
Speaker 1: as YouTube. So thank you so much for a successful season.

1443
01:05:04,760 --> 01:05:07,360
Speaker 1: Enjoyed the bulls and thanks so much for listening