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Speaker 1: The Action Network Podcast.

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Speaker 2: I can just.

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Speaker 3: About that action all right. Here we go throwing out.

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Speaker 3: We're sitting up a cash touchdown. We'll see most gamble

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Speaker 3: is ships. When they go to gamble, they go to win.

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Speaker 3: That's incredible. Big bank, small banks. I like to make money.

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Speaker 3: All right, this is the ultimate combine if you want

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Speaker 3: to fall.

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Speaker 2: And we are under way.

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Speaker 3: What's up? Everybody? Welcome to the Action Network Podcast presented

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Speaker 3: by Draft Kings. I'm your host, Chris Raybond. This is

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Speaker 3: our NFL Week fourteen betting preview. We're gonna talk side totals, props, moneyline, underdogs, touchdowns,

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Speaker 3: and as always, we'll go with our Sunday six pack

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Speaker 3: of against the spread bets. We'll up with my co host,

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Speaker 3: the Prime Minister of Degenerate Nation, Stucky Stuck. What's up.

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Speaker 3: I hope you're feeling better. Hope you had a good Thanksgiving.

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Speaker 3: What's going on? Man?

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Speaker 2: Yeah? Sick all weekend?

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Speaker 3: Uh?

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Speaker 2: I had a tiny, tiny winning week in the NFL.

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Speaker 2: It would have been really good, because I talked about

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Speaker 2: this in the podcast last week. I liked the Packers

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Speaker 2: and the Cowboys, but I was so sick. I felt

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Speaker 2: I crashed, didn't get either bed in, so that was unfortunate.

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Speaker 2: And then my Ravens lost. Sunday kind of got lucky

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Speaker 2: with the Saints getting a back door there against the

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Speaker 2: Dolphins too uh. And then I for the six pack

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Speaker 2: will both had our totals, both went one and two.

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Speaker 2: Money line dog came in touchdown didn't get there. I mean,

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Speaker 2: I really shouldn't have. I played some hard quarterbacks, which

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Speaker 2: was my mistake. And then Brosmer Our Brosmer, Oh my god,

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Speaker 2: Age like no, he pulled a Levis which flipped that

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Speaker 2: whole game. It was three nothing like end up.

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Speaker 3: Yeah, hey, Darner was doing like they were doing to

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Speaker 3: Darning what I wanted them to do to Darner. They

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Speaker 3: they weren't getting nothing.

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Speaker 2: And yeah, but I had my number one pick last

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Speaker 2: week was the Commanders, and there you go. They lost

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Speaker 2: the coin toss and deferred and the Broncos scored a touchdown,

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Speaker 2: and I was like, you gotta be kidding me. After

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Speaker 2: they after everything that happened to the end of regulation,

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Speaker 2: and that was one of the craziest NFL games I've

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Speaker 2: seen in a while. The PI the touchdown then got

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Speaker 2: called back the touchdown again. They then had they had

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Speaker 2: to go to fourth down at the goal line. That

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Speaker 2: was an awesome NFL game, and luckily they got in

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Speaker 2: and then went for two in the Broncos escape again.

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Speaker 2: But yeah, this weekend super fun NFL week. I'm really

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Speaker 2: looking forward to it because this is kind of like

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Speaker 2: judgment day for a lot of these teams. Starting Thursday night,

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Speaker 2: Cowboys lines home like maybe an elimination game from the playoffs,

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Speaker 2: Steelers Ravens for first place, Colts Jags for first place.

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Speaker 2: You know, can the Bengals make a run. They probably

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Speaker 2: gonna need that to win this game, Bears, Packers for

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Speaker 2: first place, Texans Chiefs. Maybe an elimination game on Sunday night,

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Speaker 2: Eagles Chargers, important game for both Eagles reeling Chargers. Really

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Speaker 2: hard schedule coming up. We'll see on Herbert's status. So

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Speaker 2: some awesome matchups in the NFL for Week fourteen.

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Speaker 3: So I thought you were talking about I thought you

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Speaker 3: were talking about Commander's Viking. That that's that's kind of

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Speaker 3: the game I'm looking forward to see.

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Speaker 2: Well, the games I have none of those.

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Speaker 3: I mean, yeah you didn't. You didn't mentioned Browns Titans

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Speaker 3: like the I don't even know what to call that

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Speaker 3: at this point. But Uh, yeah, let's let's get it. Oh,

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Speaker 3: Thursday night, man, Thursday night, As you mentioned Cowboys Lions,

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Speaker 3: Cowboys going to Detroit Lions. You and I I think

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Speaker 3: we both played the Lions not to make the playoffs,

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Speaker 3: if I'm not mistaken.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, that was under ten and a half too.

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Speaker 3: Yeah, And you know, I think I mentioned a few

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Speaker 3: weeks ago like we like the Packers and Bears and

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Speaker 3: uh and we did. We wanted to fade the Lions

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Speaker 3: in the Minnesota and that is looking good. How do

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Speaker 3: you feel about the Lions hosting the Cowboys here? Cowboys

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Speaker 3: coming off that big win against cac big win against

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Speaker 3: Philly where they came back. So it's just another kind

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Speaker 3: of game that looks on paper like, Okay, the Cowboys

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Speaker 3: have no chance. Is this when it kind of flips?

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Speaker 3: Or are you more confident in Dallas now? You know,

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Speaker 3: defense has been improving.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, I mean I think as of right now you

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Speaker 2: could argue that Dallas might be Well, they're definitely playing

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Speaker 2: better football. Yeah, that this isn't the same team. The

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Speaker 2: offensive line is not the same. It hasn't been the

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Speaker 2: same all year. The interior of the offensive line. That's

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Speaker 2: when golf is not effective. Now, you throw in all

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Speaker 2: of these injuries and it's it looks dire. I mean,

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Speaker 2: is a Monro gonna play? That's huge because he says

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Speaker 2: the game time decision. He's the He's the type of

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Speaker 2: guy that will play. Though, Like if it's close, like

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Speaker 2: I could see, so I would think that he's probably

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Speaker 2: on more than likely to not play. But we'll see.

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Speaker 2: And if he does, he's probably not gonna be hundred

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Speaker 2: percent because Raymond is out. You also, they lost the Porta.

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Speaker 2: I think that's hurting their offense. Brock right, their backup

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Speaker 2: is hurt. The offensive line is all dealing with injuries.

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Speaker 2: It's a mess. The secondary is still dealing with injuries.

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Speaker 2: This team is the mess right now. But and then

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Speaker 2: the Cowboys, Yeah, I mean you look at their pressure rate,

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Speaker 2: their run defense, all these things, Like they got healthier

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Speaker 2: at safety, at linebacker, they added Quinn Williams, they added

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Speaker 2: Logan Wilson. They're getting pressure, They're able to stop the run.

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Speaker 2: The secondary is still going to have some holes, but overall,

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Speaker 2: this defense is now a competent unit. They were a

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Speaker 2: bottom three to five group in the NFL. They're not

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Speaker 2: no longer that. And they're trending up and then Dak

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Speaker 2: obviously he's playing at an MVP level. You're gonna have

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Speaker 2: these corners try a man up on Pickens and Lamb

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Speaker 2: and Ferguson good luck. Having said that, you know, price matters.

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Speaker 2: So this look ahead line and look at it's not

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Speaker 2: the most efficient market as far as limits are concerned.

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Speaker 2: It was like six six and a half. So now

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Speaker 2: we're down to three, which I think is the correct adjustment,

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Speaker 2: but I don't. I mean, if I had a better

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Speaker 2: i'd probably take the field goal. But I think this

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Speaker 2: line is probably about right or close to it, depending

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Speaker 2: on how the injuries break for the lines. If they

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Speaker 2: all break wrong, then I think the Cowboys are probably

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Speaker 2: a play at three. But what I also what I

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Speaker 2: think is that we are you are basically buying high

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Speaker 2: on the Cowboys. Now maybe they're the market still isn't

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Speaker 2: caught up to them and you're selling low in the lines,

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Speaker 2: But again maybe the market hasn't caught up to their floor.

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Speaker 2: What this game might come down to, and what a

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Speaker 2: lot of lines games come down to, is degenerate Dan

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Speaker 2: Campbell going for four downs and they're all of seven

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Speaker 2: over the past three weeks. The Lions, even you know,

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Speaker 2: if they have to throw to Tom Kennedy, they're still

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Speaker 2: gonna put up some points. And there's probably gonna be

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Speaker 2: three or four fourth downs that have huge win probabilities

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Speaker 2: swing in this game. And are the Lions due to

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Speaker 2: get a few? Maybe, but at three, I don't know.

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Speaker 2: I think it's probably the right number, So not rushing

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Speaker 2: to beat it, I do. We'll be rooting for the

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Speaker 2: Cowboys for my Lions win total under It's funny with

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Speaker 2: the Packers Bears, which we'll talk about. I have I

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Speaker 2: bought in on all the Bears regular season upside, so

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Speaker 2: I have them over win total to make the playoffs,

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Speaker 2: to win the division, which and to make the playoffs

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Speaker 2: and over win total look good. And then I brought

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Speaker 2: the Packers bigger upside at the super Bowl. So I'm

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Speaker 2: hoping that the Packers don't win the division and the

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Speaker 2: Bears win the Super Bowl and I get it flipped.

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Speaker 2: But yeah, definitely was happy that I sold on the

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Speaker 2: Vikings and the Vikings and the Lions. But yeah, looking

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Speaker 2: forward to watching it. Cowboys are playing really well and

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Speaker 2: if they win this game and the Eagles go down

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Speaker 2: against the Chargers on Monday, the division could get interesting,

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Speaker 2: So huge, huge game for both teams in the NFC

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Speaker 2: playoff race. But I don't know as of right now.

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Speaker 2: I'm not like running to bet three with the Cowboys,

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Speaker 2: but I'm definitely not betting the Lions.

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Speaker 3: I would, I would consider the under. I don't like,

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Speaker 3: don't like betting Thursday nights, but this is a great game.

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Speaker 3: But looking at that total at fifty four and a half,

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Speaker 3: what is if the cow if the market is underrating

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Speaker 3: the Cowboys, what are they underrating their defense? If the

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Speaker 3: market is overrated the Lions, what are they overrating their offense?

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Speaker 3: So this total, you know, when you get about fifty four,

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Speaker 3: like fifty one is one thing, and then fifty four

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Speaker 3: that's I mean, now you essentially need them to like

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Speaker 3: tie at twenty seven, you know in regulation, which I

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Speaker 3: mean could happen, but it it is you're asking for

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Speaker 3: a while. And like you said, Dan Campbell has kind

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Speaker 3: of tried to take this thing, you know, take this

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Speaker 3: by the years. Gotta give gotta give him credit, but

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Speaker 3: his aggressiveness is not paying off. So I wonder, uh,

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Speaker 3: you know, it's not a short week, it's you know,

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Speaker 3: they play Thursday. But I do wonder if you know

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Speaker 3: National TV primetime again. Uh but big big game. Maybe

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Speaker 3: he feels like he's costed his team. Maybe he's a

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Speaker 3: little more you know, conservative. And then the Cowboys they're

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Speaker 3: still gonna kick field goals that you know from from deep.

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Speaker 3: So I mean this you could get. I think you

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Speaker 3: could get way under this if this kind of breaks right, Uh,

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Speaker 3: because because you could also get like long drives. You know,

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Speaker 3: they might have to kind of baby GoF up and

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Speaker 3: down the field. Now, you're not gonna have much of

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Speaker 3: an offense for the for the Lions if especially if

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Speaker 3: a Monra is out, so you might have to use

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Speaker 3: Jmo as like a real receiver and not just like

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Speaker 3: a deep deep threat. So uh yeah, I'd probably look

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Speaker 3: at the under. Uh. But I agree, I think you

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Speaker 3: gotta go up. Cowboys are nothing on the spread right now.

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Speaker 3: The Lions just aren't aren't playing what is done to

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Speaker 3: really hang your hat on him, say they're gonna bounce

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Speaker 3: back other than they covered a lot in the past,

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Speaker 3: which is you know that that tends to progress.

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Speaker 2: Now they're not covering all the thoughts that they usually do.

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Speaker 3: Nope. Yeah, yeah, So I mean it's it's hard to

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Speaker 3: take the Lions. There's no real reason to take the Lions.

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Speaker 3: I mean, they'll you know, and their their offensive line

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Speaker 3: has been on the injury report, like those tackles. So

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Speaker 3: it's like even that physicality that you kind of come

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Speaker 3: to expect from the Lions, like how you know where

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Speaker 3: is that? You know, we don't know for sure, because

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Speaker 3: I've noticed that their whole line has been banged up.

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Speaker 3: You know, they tried to bring what was it rag

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Speaker 3: now back and then it's like, now, actually he.

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Speaker 2: Just Hamster was fully torn, but.

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Speaker 3: They already they had announced it. Like that tells me

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Speaker 3: that something's up, like that they're not feeling good about

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Speaker 3: the team internally. I think, you know, even for Campbell

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Speaker 3: to take over the playgon. So yeah, I think something

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Speaker 3: could be a miss. It's kind of it feels like

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Speaker 3: Philly a little bit. It's like whether they win or

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Speaker 3: it was, you kind of you could see it. The

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Speaker 3: eye test doesn't lie. You could see something's off with

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Speaker 3: it with them. So yeah, I'd look at I look

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Speaker 3: at the under and i'd look at I'd look at

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Speaker 3: Dallas if I'm bet there, But yeah, three kind of

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Speaker 3: dictates that you know, three and a half would be

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Speaker 3: obviously preferable. It's not gonna get there all right. Week

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Speaker 3: fourteen six pack, you're up forty three thirty one for

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Speaker 3: new listeners. We do two points for each of our

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Speaker 3: first two picks, point for our third, point for our total,

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Speaker 3: which will do in the next segment, and then a

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Speaker 3: point if.

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Speaker 4: Sweep Thursday for action, Let's crack open the Sunday six pack.

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Speaker 3: It's like I'm up first for this week. So for

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Speaker 3: the first pick, first overall of the week fourteen Sunday

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Speaker 3: six pack, I'm going with the New York Jets plus

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Speaker 3: three shop around. But New York Jets plus three hosting

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Speaker 3: the Miami Dolphins. And the Dolphins are team that I've

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Speaker 3: just been saying this over the past month or so.

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Speaker 3: They're not good. They're just playing a very easy schedule

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Speaker 3: and so they keep kind of skating by with these wins.

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Speaker 3: They beat the Saints, Saints gotten the back Girl last week,

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Speaker 3: beat the Commanders by three. I mean, this has been

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Speaker 3: a team they have that won win against Buffalo in again,

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Speaker 3: Buffalo did lay an egg and couldn't get out of

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Speaker 3: its own way, and I think that's kind of propping

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Speaker 3: them up in the market. But this Jets team with

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Speaker 3: Tyrod Taylor has been better. They all are also more

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Speaker 3: balanced now, which is I think is big because you

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Speaker 3: don't want to be in a situation where your passing

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Speaker 3: game is terrible and teams just know you're gonna run.

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Speaker 3: So now, passing game a little bit better with Tyrod

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Speaker 3: done Mitchell, finally we put a game together. That's big

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Speaker 3: for them because they've been missing Garrett Wilson. And then

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Speaker 3: you have you still have Mechi who is playing, you know,

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Speaker 3: score two touchdowns two weeks before that. You still have Taylor.

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Speaker 3: So there's enough weapons here for the for the Jets

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Speaker 3: in a game like this. The Dolphins defense still not good.

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Speaker 3: Uh And on the other side of the ball, I

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Speaker 3: think the Jets have been playing un like they've been

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Speaker 3: underrated on defense in the sense that they've been playing

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Speaker 3: they've been holding up well without Sauce Gardner there, it's

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Speaker 3: just their turnoverlook and uh two a tongue of ila like,

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Speaker 3: it's just it's just a low volume pass game. There's

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Speaker 3: I mean Waller's back, but there's still not a ton

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Speaker 3: there in that pass game. There's still not a ton

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Speaker 3: of the offensive line. There's still nothing on the back

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Speaker 3: end on their defense. So these are just two bad

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Speaker 3: teams division game. Uh, warm weather team going to Jersey.

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Speaker 3: So give me the New York Jets plus three in

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Speaker 3: this spot. I just think they're a little bit undervalued

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Speaker 3: in the market. I don't think the Dolphins are at

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Speaker 3: a point where they should be state like two three

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Speaker 3: plus point favorites on the road in the in the

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Speaker 3: division when they're in my opinion, I have the Dolphins

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Speaker 3: barely rated any better than the Jets at this point.

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Speaker 3: So yeah, give me the Jets. Yeah.

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Speaker 2: I mean the Dolphins run defenses playing really well late,

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Speaker 2: but their their past defense is still really bad. So

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Speaker 2: that's why you want Tyrod Taylor and the Tyro Taylor

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Speaker 2: at the covering machine. I think he's covered. I mean

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Speaker 2: he's one of the best against the spread for sim

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Speaker 2: as well. Think he's covered like seven straight over the

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Speaker 2: past four or five years. These two teams played earlier

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Speaker 2: this year. The Jets lost in Miami. They out gained

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Speaker 2: Miami four or four to three hundred. They just had

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Speaker 2: three turnovers and didn't get a fourth down. Eventually, they're

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Speaker 2: going to get a pick to it. Old Weather probably

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Speaker 2: this is a good candidate for that to happen to

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Speaker 2: the wild card here, which might end up getting you

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Speaker 2: the cover. Which has gotten the Jets multiple covers this

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Speaker 2: year is their special teams. Their special teams right now

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Speaker 2: are historically good. If you just compare to other special

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Speaker 2: teams units over the past thirty years, I would imagine

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Speaker 2: their number one deboi and special teams in like maybe

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Speaker 2: one of the best ever as of right now. I

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Speaker 2: mean you think about it. The Bucks, they blocked that

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Speaker 2: field goal, returned it against the Browns. They had two

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Speaker 2: return touchdowns. Nick Folk can't miss. He's probably the All

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Speaker 2: Pro kicker. He had a game winning field goal from

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Speaker 2: like fifty four out in weather against the Falcons. He's

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Speaker 2: been money. Everything has been really good on special teams.

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Speaker 2: So in a game with a low total with two

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Speaker 2: bad teams, that could make all the difference in the world.

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Speaker 3: Yeahs number one. They're number one with a plus eleven

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Speaker 3: point three percent. So Miami is who's very good on

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Speaker 3: special teams itself. They're plus four point three percent. They're

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Speaker 3: number four, and the Jets are still more than twice

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Speaker 3: as good as them. It's nuts.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, Jets have been dominating on special teams. That interception's coming,

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Speaker 2: which yeah, that interception and some special teams play. Yeah.

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Speaker 2: I don't blame me for taking the three, but haven't

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Speaker 2: gotten involved yet myself. But for my first pick in

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Speaker 2: the second overall the week fourteen Sunday six pack, I'm

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Speaker 2: going with the Atlanta Falcons plus seven and a half

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Speaker 2: at home against the Seattle Seahawks. There's a seven and

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Speaker 2: a half minus one twenty out there as we're recording this.

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Speaker 2: I'm fine with that. I'm also fine with a seven. Now.

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Speaker 2: Drake London's status is major here aid in practice today

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Speaker 2: they said he doesn't even have to practice. If he's

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Speaker 2: good to go on Sunday, we'll play. If he doesn't play,

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Speaker 2: I imagine this might get back to seven and a half.

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Speaker 2: If he does, he might go down to six and

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Speaker 2: a half. So play that as you will. You might

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Speaker 2: want to take some seven seven and a half and

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Speaker 2: then add or don't add based on his status because

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Speaker 2: obviously he's one of the best receivers in the NFL.

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Speaker 2: Falcons don't have a great receiving cores. Well, why do

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Speaker 2: I like this as my favorite bet of the weekend? Well,

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Speaker 2: number one. I make it under a touchdown, so number

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Speaker 2: number matters the most the Falcons also, I'm buying low

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Speaker 2: here on it Land. I mean, they're one in four

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Speaker 2: over their past five games with a plus one point differential,

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Speaker 2: and they've only played one game at home over their

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Speaker 2: last five at they over their past five games, and

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Speaker 2: they're one and four. They've only trailed in one of

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Speaker 2: the games with one second to go, and that was

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Speaker 2: by one in New England. And again they could have

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Speaker 2: easily won if not for a missed extra point. They

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Speaker 2: could have beat the Colts on a neutral field. They

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Speaker 2: should have beat the Jets last week. They beat them fiscally,

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Speaker 2: just special teams cost them. They blew a big lead

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Speaker 2: versus the Panthers, and they blew up the Saints like

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Speaker 2: this is a team that's five of their losses this

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Speaker 2: year by three or less or in overtime. They've been close,

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Speaker 2: They've had a couple of blowouts. That's always a risk.

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Speaker 2: But I will say Kirk Cousins is playing better the

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Speaker 2: past two weeks. He looked horrendous when we first saw him,

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Speaker 2: and maybe that was just his age and there's rust,

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Speaker 2: but he's playing better and he gives the Falcons a

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Speaker 2: higher floor than Pemis. I mean, if you just go

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Speaker 2: by p F grade. I mean Penix is like thirty seventh.

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Speaker 2: I believe out of forty two quarterbacks, Cousins is twentieth.

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Speaker 2: But Penix will have these games that are just horrid,

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Speaker 2: beyond horrid, and I think that you're not You don't

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Speaker 2: have as much of a risk with that with Cousins,

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Speaker 2: which I like. But here's some of the things that

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Speaker 2: I do like. You're gonna see a lot of heavy

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Speaker 2: personnel from the Seahawks. Falcons on the surface, not great

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Speaker 2: against heavy personnel. But the difference with Divine Diablo in

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Speaker 2: the lineup versus without is you know, it's three yards

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Speaker 2: per play because obviously you go from Divine Diabo is

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Speaker 2: one of the most underrated linebackers in the league to

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Speaker 2: one of the worst in bertrand that is just a massive,

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Speaker 2: massive difference. So they're a little better against heavy personnel.

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Speaker 2: They still struggle against the run. But this Seahawks' offense

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Speaker 2: is not great at running the ball. I mean they're

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Speaker 2: twenty fifth and success rate twenty third in rushing and

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Speaker 2: Sam Darnold quietly has been pretty poor over the past month.

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Speaker 2: Four big time throws, nine turnover worth, he plays, three touchdowns,

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Speaker 2: five interceptions. He is still very sensitive to pressure. Falcons

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Speaker 2: can get pressure. They're fifth in the league in pressure

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Speaker 2: eight third in sacks and donald since week ten twenty

361
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Speaker 2: fifth in EPA plus completion percentage over expectation twenty six

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Speaker 2: and adjusted EPA per play. Over the first nine weeks

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Speaker 2: he was number one in both. So what has happened?

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Speaker 2: And by the way, over that stretch the last four weeks,

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Speaker 2: he's played the Cardinals without all their corners, the Titans,

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Speaker 2: the Vikings, and the Rams, some decent defense has been

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Speaker 2: not a murderer's row. I mean, only one of those

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Speaker 2: teams is going to the playoffs. So what has happened?

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Speaker 2: I think defenses have adjusted. Seahawks were doing some very

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Speaker 2: unique things. You saw last week, Vikings a lot more

371
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Speaker 2: or cloud coverages. They were putting someone over the top

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Speaker 2: of JSN and basically saying like, JSN, you're not gonna

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Speaker 2: beat us. And I really do think that they missed

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Speaker 2: Tory Orton. Shaheed was supposed to be the guy. He's

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Speaker 2: been invisible, He's doing nothing out there, and so yeah, yeah,

376
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Speaker 2: so you have Kupp who's just I mean, he's obviously

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Speaker 2: past his prime. And then JSN Falcons very similar defensive

378
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Speaker 2: profile to the Vikings. They're gonna blitz a lot, they

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Speaker 2: can get pressure, They're going to play a lot of

380
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Speaker 2: different zones. I imagine they're going to help over on

381
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Speaker 2: JSN and say you'll throw it to Cup, throw it

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Speaker 2: to Shaheed and if they beat us, fine. So this

383
00:20:46,240 --> 00:20:48,399
Speaker 2: offense is just not the same. There's injuries on the

384
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Speaker 2: interior the offensive line that I think the Falcons can

385
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Speaker 2: take advantage of, and the Atlanta genuinely does a good

386
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Speaker 2: job of taking away explosive passing plays. And if you look,

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Speaker 2: I think this is also the top of the market.

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Speaker 2: Buying low a little bit on the Falcons potential for

389
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Speaker 2: London to be back. I'm also selling high on the Seahawks.

390
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Speaker 2: I think this is the peak of the market on

391
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Speaker 2: Seattle coming off of a shutout win. And for what

392
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Speaker 2: it's worth, road teams off of a home shutout seventeen

393
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Speaker 2: thirty five and one against the spread thirty two point

394
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Speaker 2: seven percent since two thousand and three, and the Seahawks

395
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Speaker 2: are nine and three against the spread. They've been covering machines,

396
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Speaker 2: another reason why they might be at the top of

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Speaker 2: the market. They're also only one in three against teams

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Speaker 2: currently in the playoffs. They're eight to no against teams

399
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Speaker 2: that are not, so they've beat up on a pretty

400
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Speaker 2: favorable schedule. I do love the defense, but they haven't

401
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Speaker 2: really faced many elite backs like Bijon and an elite

402
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Speaker 2: you know, a Falcons offensive line that still is really good.

403
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Speaker 2: So yeah, I think that they can handle that Seattle pressure.

404
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Speaker 2: I just think this is too many points. It's a

405
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Speaker 2: decent spot because it's going to be getting rid of

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Speaker 2: the ball quick. Hopefully London is in there. But I

407
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Speaker 2: think that they can give Donald some of the same

408
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Speaker 2: issues that the Minnesota defense did. And before Brosmer threw

409
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Speaker 2: that pass on fourth and goal, I mean they were

410
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Speaker 2: going in to make go up seven to three at

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Speaker 2: the end of the first half. Pick six turns into

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Speaker 2: ten to nothing, game slips away. You know, remember the

413
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Speaker 2: Cardinals game. They get two strip touchdowns and then that

414
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Speaker 2: game just goes away. That's mass some of the offensive

415
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Speaker 2: issues that have occurred over the past month. I think

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Speaker 2: the Falcons can exploit those. So give me Atlanta plus

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Speaker 2: seven and a half at home.

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Speaker 3: Yeah. See, I was They're definitely like and this is

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Speaker 3: you know, Donald kind of collapsed down the stretch last year.

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Speaker 3: So I'm kind of watching Seattle close to just for

421
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Speaker 3: that because I have noticed Darnoald playing not as well

422
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Speaker 3: and some of it, you know, against the Rams, I

423
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Speaker 3: don't really knock them because they've just had his number.

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Speaker 3: So that's the team that I'm like, all right, and

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Speaker 3: then the Vikings like, okay, they they're familiar. So if

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Speaker 3: this Falcons defense can kind of do something.

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Speaker 2: Look at the Falcons of the Falcons, Rams and Vikings

428
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Speaker 2: all teams that can get pressure at the lead level.

429
00:23:15,080 --> 00:23:16,760
Speaker 3: And they all have all they're all friends, like they're

430
00:23:16,760 --> 00:23:19,720
Speaker 3: all all their coaches are essentially like friends of each other.

431
00:23:19,840 --> 00:23:22,280
Speaker 3: So it's like, yeah, it's I'm watching them post because

432
00:23:22,280 --> 00:23:24,840
Speaker 3: this the Seattle team is, you know, the been a

433
00:23:24,920 --> 00:23:28,480
Speaker 3: juggernaut on paper, but you know, last month of the

434
00:23:28,520 --> 00:23:32,479
Speaker 3: seasons going into January, playoffs should be some good spots

435
00:23:32,480 --> 00:23:34,199
Speaker 3: to fade them if they keep this up, so they

436
00:23:34,200 --> 00:23:36,040
Speaker 3: could and they could win this game without covering too,

437
00:23:36,040 --> 00:23:39,399
Speaker 3: which could mask some things. So yeah, looking at that, yeah, I.

438
00:23:39,400 --> 00:23:42,919
Speaker 2: Mean the only playoff team, the only team that's that

439
00:23:42,960 --> 00:23:46,680
Speaker 2: they beat is the Jacks. The other playoff teams they played,

440
00:23:46,720 --> 00:23:50,160
Speaker 2: the Niners. They lost seventeen thirteen at home the Bucks.

441
00:23:50,680 --> 00:23:52,200
Speaker 2: I mean, the Bucks offense has been in the tank

442
00:23:52,280 --> 00:23:54,879
Speaker 2: for two months. Baker Mayfield look like a god in

443
00:23:54,920 --> 00:23:59,040
Speaker 2: that game, and then the Rams. Look the defense is elite.

444
00:24:00,119 --> 00:24:02,920
Speaker 2: Don't get me wrong. They can get pressure without flitzing.

445
00:24:03,240 --> 00:24:05,760
Speaker 2: But I think that they just overall, this team is

446
00:24:05,800 --> 00:24:07,720
Speaker 2: probably at the peak of the market and maybe a

447
00:24:07,800 --> 00:24:11,919
Speaker 2: little bit overrated. And and Darnold, He's gonna take some

448
00:24:11,960 --> 00:24:14,040
Speaker 2: sacks here. It's going to kill some drives. I think

449
00:24:14,080 --> 00:24:15,920
Speaker 2: the Falcons can keep it close. Where are you going next?

450
00:24:16,760 --> 00:24:18,919
Speaker 3: All right? For my second pick, because he started overall

451
00:24:19,000 --> 00:24:22,000
Speaker 3: the week number fourteen sunny six pack, I'm going with

452
00:24:22,000 --> 00:24:26,040
Speaker 3: the Pittsburgh Steelers plus six at the Baltimore Ravens. And

453
00:24:26,680 --> 00:24:29,159
Speaker 3: this is just a play on the fact that I

454
00:24:29,160 --> 00:24:31,160
Speaker 3: don't think the Ravens are as good as they used

455
00:24:31,200 --> 00:24:32,600
Speaker 3: to be. I don't think the Ravens are as good

456
00:24:32,600 --> 00:24:34,760
Speaker 3: as I thought they were going to be. I've had

457
00:24:34,760 --> 00:24:39,280
Speaker 3: to downgrade them significantly. The Steelers are, you know, their mediocre,

458
00:24:39,359 --> 00:24:42,000
Speaker 3: as they always have been. But in this type of environment,

459
00:24:42,040 --> 00:24:44,000
Speaker 3: you know, everyone's calling for Tomin's job, and I think

460
00:24:44,080 --> 00:24:47,800
Speaker 3: Roethlisberger just said something I expect Pittsford to show up

461
00:24:47,840 --> 00:24:50,800
Speaker 3: and it's a division game and you're you're talking about

462
00:24:50,800 --> 00:24:53,080
Speaker 3: a six a six point spread now for a Ravens

463
00:24:53,119 --> 00:24:55,520
Speaker 3: team that really you know, I know they had you know,

464
00:24:55,720 --> 00:24:58,000
Speaker 3: like we had the issue with the with the fumble

465
00:24:58,000 --> 00:24:59,639
Speaker 3: at the you know at the goal I and whatnot.

466
00:24:59,640 --> 00:25:03,160
Speaker 3: But even so, I mean, you should be you shouldn't

467
00:25:03,160 --> 00:25:06,520
Speaker 3: be just uh scoring to twenty one against Cincinnati if

468
00:25:06,560 --> 00:25:09,120
Speaker 3: you're Baltimore. I mean that I think you know there's

469
00:25:09,160 --> 00:25:13,880
Speaker 3: significant issues here. They're still still red zone issues. Pittsburgh.

470
00:25:13,880 --> 00:25:16,520
Speaker 3: It kind of you know, they're gonna they're gonna go

471
00:25:16,560 --> 00:25:19,119
Speaker 3: with their heavy tight end sets and against Pittsburgh. So

472
00:25:20,440 --> 00:25:22,920
Speaker 3: that's not great for Pittsburgh in one sense because that's

473
00:25:23,000 --> 00:25:24,800
Speaker 3: kind of what they've been attacked with. But on the

474
00:25:24,800 --> 00:25:26,880
Speaker 3: other sense, you're talking about a game of a total

475
00:25:26,880 --> 00:25:31,439
Speaker 3: of forty three outdoors, cold weather kind of environment, so

476
00:25:32,160 --> 00:25:34,000
Speaker 3: you want the total to be low and when you

477
00:25:34,000 --> 00:25:36,600
Speaker 3: see a lot of heavy personnel, which both both teams play,

478
00:25:36,640 --> 00:25:38,640
Speaker 3: that's gonna keep the score down. So I'm getting six

479
00:25:38,680 --> 00:25:41,919
Speaker 3: points in a division game with a total that's probably

480
00:25:41,920 --> 00:25:47,280
Speaker 3: gonna close under forty three. And this, uh, this Steelers

481
00:25:47,320 --> 00:25:50,480
Speaker 3: team you know, it's been it's been ugly most of

482
00:25:50,520 --> 00:25:53,720
Speaker 3: the year. It has. But in a game like this,

483
00:25:53,840 --> 00:25:57,040
Speaker 3: you know, go up and down the field, short passing

484
00:25:57,200 --> 00:26:00,680
Speaker 3: against the Ravens, who lamar is exposive, it's just not there.

485
00:26:00,720 --> 00:26:03,280
Speaker 3: They don't really have much on the outside. You know,

486
00:26:03,600 --> 00:26:05,560
Speaker 3: if Flowers isn't having a big game, I mean, it's

487
00:26:05,640 --> 00:26:09,639
Speaker 3: there's just nothing there. So and then you know, for

488
00:26:09,640 --> 00:26:12,200
Speaker 3: for Baltimore doesn't get the greatest of pressure. So you know,

489
00:26:12,240 --> 00:26:14,600
Speaker 3: Pittsburgh's been kind of using that sixth offensive lineman and

490
00:26:14,600 --> 00:26:17,520
Speaker 3: then uh, you know, Jones got hurt and then they

491
00:26:17,520 --> 00:26:19,119
Speaker 3: had you know, they went to Buffalo and did nothing.

492
00:26:19,160 --> 00:26:22,159
Speaker 3: But I think they're just gonna kind of protect lay

493
00:26:22,320 --> 00:26:25,320
Speaker 3: heavy and uh it's just gonna be a low scoring game.

494
00:26:25,960 --> 00:26:28,800
Speaker 3: And I don't I don't trust Baltimore at this point

495
00:26:28,800 --> 00:26:32,600
Speaker 3: to get margin or or holds it. I mean we've

496
00:26:32,640 --> 00:26:34,600
Speaker 3: seen that too from Baltimore, where they you know, they

497
00:26:34,680 --> 00:26:36,879
Speaker 3: just kind of give away leaves. This year it's kind

498
00:26:36,880 --> 00:26:39,159
Speaker 3: of been a little different, but uh yeah, this is

499
00:26:39,200 --> 00:26:41,800
Speaker 3: just the fate of Baltimore. Tomwin, of course, you know,

500
00:26:42,400 --> 00:26:45,399
Speaker 3: in these kind of spots always always been one of

501
00:26:45,400 --> 00:26:47,720
Speaker 3: the best, you know, there's trends for days. Let's see.

502
00:26:47,760 --> 00:26:49,000
Speaker 3: Let's I'll give you a couple.

503
00:26:49,720 --> 00:26:52,760
Speaker 2: You're pulling off the trends. I'll just share my quick thoughts. Okay, yeah,

504
00:26:52,880 --> 00:26:55,920
Speaker 2: I mean yeah they did historically. I have every fiber

505
00:26:55,920 --> 00:26:57,280
Speaker 2: in my bodies as this game is going to be

506
00:26:57,320 --> 00:27:00,240
Speaker 2: close somehow. Twenty six of the thirty two regular season

507
00:27:00,280 --> 00:27:02,320
Speaker 2: meetings between Harbor and Tomlin have been decided by one

508
00:27:02,320 --> 00:27:06,399
Speaker 2: score when either of these coaches against each other are

509
00:27:06,440 --> 00:27:08,400
Speaker 2: a dog of three or more. I said this every year.

510
00:27:08,560 --> 00:27:11,720
Speaker 2: They're nineteen three and three against the spread, eighty six

511
00:27:11,760 --> 00:27:14,800
Speaker 2: point four percent unders. I don't mind the under ears

512
00:27:15,240 --> 00:27:20,600
Speaker 2: twenty thirteen and one. The Steelers offense I think is done.

513
00:27:21,160 --> 00:27:24,399
Speaker 2: I mean Rogers is a minus thirteen point six completion

514
00:27:24,440 --> 00:27:27,280
Speaker 2: percentage over expectations since Week ten, dead last among thirty

515
00:27:27,320 --> 00:27:31,320
Speaker 2: eight quarterbacks, I mean behind like Gabriel and Sanders. Even

516
00:27:31,359 --> 00:27:34,080
Speaker 2: with a small a dot. They haven't completed a pass

517
00:27:34,119 --> 00:27:37,080
Speaker 2: longer than twenty yards in a month. The receivers aren't

518
00:27:37,080 --> 00:27:40,560
Speaker 2: getting any separation Rogers. Now they have to go and

519
00:27:40,600 --> 00:27:44,000
Speaker 2: shot and chock on the entire game. He has no

520
00:27:44,119 --> 00:27:48,720
Speaker 2: ball control. It's a disaster. I don't know how their

521
00:27:48,720 --> 00:27:52,480
Speaker 2: offense gets fixed. Now the Raiven's offense is also broken.

522
00:27:53,560 --> 00:27:57,360
Speaker 2: I mean, Lamars, he's still not fully healthy. He's talked

523
00:27:57,400 --> 00:27:59,760
Speaker 2: about it himself. He's still with his toe, his knees

524
00:28:00,040 --> 00:28:02,720
Speaker 2: answer all of that. He still hasn't been fully healthy.

525
00:28:02,720 --> 00:28:04,520
Speaker 2: I mean since week ten, if we look at that

526
00:28:04,520 --> 00:28:08,200
Speaker 2: same spence as he came back, I mean, when he's

527
00:28:08,240 --> 00:28:12,639
Speaker 2: not pressured, his catchable ball rate is only seventy seven percent.

528
00:28:12,680 --> 00:28:16,560
Speaker 2: That's thirtieth among thirty one quarterbacks playing like.

529
00:28:16,520 --> 00:28:18,840
Speaker 3: The Lamar that like people who are like just never

530
00:28:18,880 --> 00:28:21,119
Speaker 3: saw the marplay thought yeah, he say he's just.

531
00:28:21,160 --> 00:28:23,440
Speaker 2: A running back. I mean, this guy before this year

532
00:28:23,560 --> 00:28:26,320
Speaker 2: was number one all time in passer rating. He had

533
00:28:26,359 --> 00:28:29,480
Speaker 2: never I mean, through through the first nine weeks, his

534
00:28:29,520 --> 00:28:32,600
Speaker 2: catchable or our ball rate was eighty nine percent. Since

535
00:28:32,640 --> 00:28:36,080
Speaker 2: week ten, it's down a seventy seven percent. Also, when

536
00:28:36,080 --> 00:28:41,520
Speaker 2: he's not under pressure, his on target rate sixty five percent.

537
00:28:41,560 --> 00:28:46,480
Speaker 2: That's twenty ninth. Only cam Ward and Jamis have been

538
00:28:46,520 --> 00:28:51,080
Speaker 2: worse among qualified quarterbacks. He's never finished and then first,

539
00:28:51,080 --> 00:28:53,200
Speaker 2: through the first nine weeks it was seventy seven percent.

540
00:28:53,680 --> 00:28:57,959
Speaker 2: He's down a sixty five percent on target unpressured. So

541
00:28:58,760 --> 00:29:01,800
Speaker 2: the offensive line also is in a good but there

542
00:29:01,880 --> 00:29:03,600
Speaker 2: is gonna be the one thing that would concern me

543
00:29:04,160 --> 00:29:08,520
Speaker 2: about betting the Steelers here is there is a chance

544
00:29:08,560 --> 00:29:11,200
Speaker 2: that Lamar there's gonna be a week when he is

545
00:29:11,480 --> 00:29:14,800
Speaker 2: finally does get healthy. Maybe it does, maybe it doesn't come,

546
00:29:14,840 --> 00:29:16,680
Speaker 2: but there's a chance that, like and then once he

547
00:29:16,720 --> 00:29:19,760
Speaker 2: gets that mobility back, you know, he gets that burst,

548
00:29:19,760 --> 00:29:21,480
Speaker 2: that will help in the run game, and then it'll

549
00:29:21,480 --> 00:29:24,440
Speaker 2: also help how many times is Lamar I think it's

550
00:29:24,760 --> 00:29:29,120
Speaker 2: it's hurting his mechanics too, but create just running them around,

551
00:29:29,160 --> 00:29:31,680
Speaker 2: Like his pressure to sack ratio is skyrocket because he

552
00:29:31,680 --> 00:29:33,880
Speaker 2: doesn't have that same mobility, especially in the red zone.

553
00:29:34,000 --> 00:29:35,640
Speaker 3: I mean, I want that against the Steelers though, I

554
00:29:35,720 --> 00:29:37,800
Speaker 3: want the Steelers have been like.

555
00:29:39,200 --> 00:29:43,200
Speaker 2: I'm just saying the offense will look but the Steelers

556
00:29:43,240 --> 00:29:45,200
Speaker 2: when even when he's peaking, have always done.

557
00:29:45,040 --> 00:29:47,400
Speaker 3: A good job running the ball, So like I want, Yeah,

558
00:29:47,400 --> 00:29:50,080
Speaker 3: if he's if he's trying to extend himself in this game,

559
00:29:50,280 --> 00:29:52,520
Speaker 3: like or you know, trying to feel it out, like

560
00:29:52,560 --> 00:29:54,600
Speaker 3: I'll take that all day, because yeah, this is the

561
00:29:54,640 --> 00:29:57,720
Speaker 3: type of game. It is two broken offenses division game

562
00:29:58,120 --> 00:30:01,440
Speaker 3: total that's you know, creeping below for probably end up

563
00:30:01,440 --> 00:30:04,280
Speaker 3: closing like forty one and you're getting a six point number.

564
00:30:04,280 --> 00:30:05,680
Speaker 3: That's that's so, I just don't trust the Ravens to

565
00:30:05,680 --> 00:30:07,880
Speaker 3: win by margin. I'm not saying that there are still

566
00:30:07,880 --> 00:30:10,480
Speaker 3: the better team somehow. This division has just gotten gotten

567
00:30:10,480 --> 00:30:13,200
Speaker 3: into ship from from you know what we expected coming

568
00:30:13,240 --> 00:30:13,640
Speaker 3: into the year.

569
00:30:13,680 --> 00:30:16,000
Speaker 2: But you know, I'm still talking for more and more upside.

570
00:30:16,000 --> 00:30:19,080
Speaker 2: But uh like for the for the rest of the season.

571
00:30:19,520 --> 00:30:21,720
Speaker 2: The the other thing I would worry about, and Pierre

572
00:30:21,800 --> 00:30:23,680
Speaker 2: is probably going to be out. He's been playing well

573
00:30:23,800 --> 00:30:28,680
Speaker 2: for the Steelers. Queen might miss. I think he's overrated.

574
00:30:28,680 --> 00:30:32,160
Speaker 2: But the Steelers, like can the Ravens. The Ravens run

575
00:30:32,200 --> 00:30:35,200
Speaker 2: defense has been decent. They've been pretty good, and since

576
00:30:35,200 --> 00:30:39,400
Speaker 2: Week ten they're basically top five run dy and they've

577
00:30:39,400 --> 00:30:41,200
Speaker 2: been pretty good all most of the year except when

578
00:30:41,200 --> 00:30:44,760
Speaker 2: they were just completely ravaged by injuries. The Steelers run

579
00:30:44,800 --> 00:30:47,760
Speaker 2: dye is piss poor. So is this a game where

580
00:30:47,760 --> 00:30:51,520
Speaker 2: they could just run Henry all over them? I mean,

581
00:30:51,960 --> 00:30:57,600
Speaker 2: last week I had the Steelers, the Bills ran twenty

582
00:30:57,680 --> 00:31:00,000
Speaker 2: nine of the same the same running play twenty nine

583
00:31:00,080 --> 00:31:04,040
Speaker 2: times and it worked every time. Where were the adjustments?

584
00:31:04,040 --> 00:31:06,400
Speaker 2: Where what are the players doing Ye, why don't know

585
00:31:06,440 --> 00:31:12,680
Speaker 2: this defense? But yeah, I mean it's Ravens Steelers'll it'll

586
00:31:12,720 --> 00:31:14,160
Speaker 2: be twenty to seventeen somehow.

587
00:31:14,760 --> 00:31:17,280
Speaker 3: Yeah, it's not that I trust the Steelers. It's more

588
00:31:17,280 --> 00:31:19,480
Speaker 3: than I trust the Ravens to not run away with

589
00:31:19,520 --> 00:31:22,240
Speaker 3: this game. Like so, yeah, they might get up, but

590
00:31:23,120 --> 00:31:26,240
Speaker 3: I've seen this too many times. Go U. But yes, trends,

591
00:31:26,440 --> 00:31:28,160
Speaker 3: I mean you mentioned a bunch of them. But yeah,

592
00:31:28,200 --> 00:31:31,120
Speaker 3: the dog, the dog in the Pittsburgh Baltimore tom And

593
00:31:31,200 --> 00:31:33,560
Speaker 3: Versus Harbor Bowl overall, just the dog, regardless of the

594
00:31:33,560 --> 00:31:37,600
Speaker 3: spread twenty four and seven against the spread seventy seven percent.

595
00:31:37,640 --> 00:31:39,920
Speaker 3: If you just bet the dog every single time in

596
00:31:40,000 --> 00:31:43,480
Speaker 3: this matchup, you would have a forty five percent ROI.

597
00:31:43,560 --> 00:31:45,800
Speaker 3: So I'll just leave it at that. We'll get to

598
00:31:45,840 --> 00:31:49,760
Speaker 3: the second half of the six pack. But before we continue,

599
00:31:49,800 --> 00:31:51,720
Speaker 3: just a reminder you could tail some of the best

600
00:31:51,800 --> 00:31:54,680
Speaker 3: we discussed in today's show by finding the quick slip

601
00:31:54,800 --> 00:31:57,320
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602
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603
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604
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605
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624
00:33:13,640 --> 00:33:17,400
Speaker 3: crown is yours. I stuck. So we just had the

625
00:33:17,440 --> 00:33:20,440
Speaker 3: Falcons and the Jet Falcons Steelers. So we're like fully

626
00:33:20,480 --> 00:33:23,960
Speaker 3: in the the ugly part of the season, the ugly

627
00:33:24,000 --> 00:33:25,960
Speaker 3: part of six pack. Where are you going like your

628
00:33:25,960 --> 00:33:26,480
Speaker 3: second pick?

629
00:33:26,680 --> 00:33:29,360
Speaker 2: Oh no, I mean Ravens Steelers at least is a

630
00:33:29,440 --> 00:33:33,920
Speaker 2: high leverage rowery. We haven't gotten ugly yet. But for

631
00:33:34,000 --> 00:33:38,880
Speaker 2: my second pick and the fourth overall of the week

632
00:33:38,880 --> 00:33:42,440
Speaker 2: fourteen Sunday six pack, I am going with the Las

633
00:33:42,560 --> 00:33:46,640
Speaker 2: Vegas Raiders plus seven and a half against the Denver Broncos.

634
00:33:47,720 --> 00:33:51,000
Speaker 2: I'll make this short and sweet. It's this is disgusting,

635
00:33:52,280 --> 00:33:54,800
Speaker 2: I get it, but this is just a numbers play.

636
00:33:55,760 --> 00:33:59,000
Speaker 2: I make this closer to six. I'm getting over a touchdown,

637
00:34:00,080 --> 00:34:02,560
Speaker 2: going to take the Raiders fate of bow Knicks. I

638
00:34:02,560 --> 00:34:04,760
Speaker 2: mean this is bow Knicks. Yes, he's had some good

639
00:34:04,760 --> 00:34:07,680
Speaker 2: moments against some historically bad defenses and then in the

640
00:34:07,680 --> 00:34:11,040
Speaker 2: fourth quarter he's still two inaccurate over the first three

641
00:34:11,120 --> 00:34:13,719
Speaker 2: quarters of games. His success rate is basically the same

642
00:34:13,760 --> 00:34:18,399
Speaker 2: as Gino Smith's for the full season the Broncos. This

643
00:34:18,440 --> 00:34:21,080
Speaker 2: is an A plus luck ranking game. By the way,

644
00:34:22,920 --> 00:34:25,439
Speaker 2: the Broncos, they are games away from home this year,

645
00:34:25,600 --> 00:34:28,120
Speaker 2: lost by one of the Colts lost by three to

646
00:34:28,160 --> 00:34:31,640
Speaker 2: the Chargers, beat the Eagles at They're crazy comeback by four,

647
00:34:32,040 --> 00:34:34,399
Speaker 2: beat the Jets by two on a neutral field when

648
00:34:34,400 --> 00:34:37,359
Speaker 2: they had negative ten passing yards and they had justin

649
00:34:37,400 --> 00:34:40,160
Speaker 2: field starting, beat the Texans with Davis Mills on a

650
00:34:40,160 --> 00:34:42,840
Speaker 2: crazy comeback by three, and then beat Washington on a

651
00:34:42,880 --> 00:34:45,239
Speaker 2: failed two point conversion by one in overtime. They have

652
00:34:45,320 --> 00:34:48,920
Speaker 2: yet to win away from home and six tries by

653
00:34:48,960 --> 00:34:50,640
Speaker 2: more than four points. They're four and two with a

654
00:34:50,680 --> 00:34:53,719
Speaker 2: plus six point differential four wins by four or less

655
00:34:53,719 --> 00:35:00,640
Speaker 2: than two losses. We talked about the Ravens pressury, is there?

656
00:35:01,320 --> 00:35:02,960
Speaker 2: Do we have to start talking about the Broncos pressure

657
00:35:03,000 --> 00:35:06,440
Speaker 2: rate since Week nine, twenty seventh in the NFL in

658
00:35:06,560 --> 00:35:07,120
Speaker 2: pressure rate?

659
00:35:08,520 --> 00:35:10,920
Speaker 3: Are they trying to just are they trying to my

660
00:35:11,000 --> 00:35:12,560
Speaker 3: thought with that? You know, because I did notice that

661
00:35:12,680 --> 00:35:14,359
Speaker 3: is you know, that was around the times their ten

662
00:35:14,440 --> 00:35:15,799
Speaker 3: went down, right, you know with they.

663
00:35:15,800 --> 00:35:19,279
Speaker 2: But last week had a fifteen percent pressure rate. Yeah,

664
00:35:19,440 --> 00:35:23,360
Speaker 2: they couldn't get pressure on Josh Connery, which is very bizarre.

665
00:35:23,480 --> 00:35:23,840
Speaker 3: I don't know.

666
00:35:23,840 --> 00:35:26,040
Speaker 2: The other thing is here is the Raiders offensive line

667
00:35:26,120 --> 00:35:29,840
Speaker 2: is abysmal. They made some changes. They started the rookie.

668
00:35:29,920 --> 00:35:34,000
Speaker 2: Last week at guard they moved Capita Center. It's still

669
00:35:34,040 --> 00:35:36,640
Speaker 2: horrendous and Gino Smith's probably gonna take a bunch of

670
00:35:36,640 --> 00:35:38,920
Speaker 2: sacks here. But the Broncos were on the field for

671
00:35:39,000 --> 00:35:43,440
Speaker 2: one hundred snaps last week. They were Gas the other

672
00:35:43,440 --> 00:35:45,560
Speaker 2: of that game. You know, they traveled to Washington, now

673
00:35:45,680 --> 00:35:50,040
Speaker 2: traveled to Vegas, and you know, there was some decent

674
00:35:50,120 --> 00:35:53,520
Speaker 2: things that the Raiders did differently under Greg Olsen, the

675
00:35:53,520 --> 00:35:55,440
Speaker 2: new play caller. They went under center a little bit more.

676
00:35:55,480 --> 00:35:59,319
Speaker 2: It was still awful, but maybe we see a little

677
00:35:59,320 --> 00:36:02,080
Speaker 2: bit more of improve it this week. The first meeting

678
00:36:02,120 --> 00:36:04,520
Speaker 2: was ten to seven with the Raiders coming off an

679
00:36:04,520 --> 00:36:07,080
Speaker 2: overtime game where they were on the field for ninety

680
00:36:07,120 --> 00:36:10,000
Speaker 2: steps on a short week. Yeah, it's about the deal

681
00:36:10,200 --> 00:36:12,840
Speaker 2: for a touchdown at home. It's about their d about

682
00:36:12,840 --> 00:36:15,520
Speaker 2: this game. Yeah, home divisional dog. By the way, home

683
00:36:15,560 --> 00:36:17,440
Speaker 2: divisional dog is more than a touchdown fifty six and

684
00:36:17,440 --> 00:36:20,560
Speaker 2: a half percent historically when the totals below forty two,

685
00:36:20,719 --> 00:36:22,879
Speaker 2: twenty one and nine against the spreads in twenty and three,

686
00:36:22,920 --> 00:36:27,160
Speaker 2: seventy percent, covering by about a touchdown per game. So yeah,

687
00:36:27,239 --> 00:36:29,319
Speaker 2: name Mavrocos might be a little fat and happy here,

688
00:36:29,920 --> 00:36:32,000
Speaker 2: tough schedule coming up after the Raiders game.

689
00:36:32,120 --> 00:36:35,919
Speaker 3: Boon Knicks agains zone, bo Nicks agains zone against that's

690
00:36:35,960 --> 00:36:39,440
Speaker 3: it what'll make them work. And that's just too many points.

691
00:36:39,600 --> 00:36:45,200
Speaker 2: So yeah, it's it's disgusting, I get it, but I'm

692
00:36:45,200 --> 00:36:46,080
Speaker 2: taking the Raiders.

693
00:36:46,320 --> 00:36:48,160
Speaker 3: Yeah no, this was This is gonna be my third

694
00:36:48,200 --> 00:36:50,560
Speaker 3: if you didn't take it, So you this is that.

695
00:36:50,960 --> 00:36:51,680
Speaker 3: I think this is good pick.

696
00:36:51,760 --> 00:36:54,239
Speaker 2: It's just for me. It's just block rankings. By the way,

697
00:36:54,280 --> 00:36:56,400
Speaker 2: it's eight. It's the best A plus which are like

698
00:36:56,440 --> 00:36:57,840
Speaker 2: sixty two percent historically.

699
00:36:58,280 --> 00:37:00,000
Speaker 3: Yeah, let's not let's not talk about the Giants day

700
00:37:00,280 --> 00:37:03,000
Speaker 3: lest on Monday night. But yeah, it's uh, it's it's

701
00:37:03,000 --> 00:37:06,319
Speaker 3: Phonixigan zone and I circle all those matchups because now we're,

702
00:37:06,840 --> 00:37:10,480
Speaker 3: what fourteen thirteen weeks into the season, Raiders playing zone

703
00:37:10,640 --> 00:37:13,759
Speaker 3: at one of the highest rates in the league probably ever.

704
00:37:13,800 --> 00:37:16,400
Speaker 3: I mean it's consistently, you know, eighty percent plus. The

705
00:37:16,520 --> 00:37:18,799
Speaker 3: zone team. They just like to sit back and make

706
00:37:18,840 --> 00:37:20,920
Speaker 3: you drive the field. That's that's what the Bronx are

707
00:37:20,920 --> 00:37:23,560
Speaker 3: gonna struggle at. And on the other side, you know,

708
00:37:23,840 --> 00:37:25,920
Speaker 3: it's it's gonna be a old scoring game because the

709
00:37:25,960 --> 00:37:29,279
Speaker 3: Broncos defenses is good, but that's going to kind of

710
00:37:29,560 --> 00:37:33,760
Speaker 3: constrict the game, and you're getting seven and a half points.

711
00:37:33,880 --> 00:37:36,200
Speaker 2: Yeah, I think the only thing they could get ugly. Look,

712
00:37:36,280 --> 00:37:39,200
Speaker 2: I get it. It could end up being like the Browns.

713
00:37:39,239 --> 00:37:41,120
Speaker 2: I mean, the Browns blew out the Raiders, and the

714
00:37:41,200 --> 00:37:43,320
Speaker 2: Raiders are just like playing a lot more young Like

715
00:37:43,320 --> 00:37:46,719
Speaker 2: they played ten rookies last week. Good they should, I know,

716
00:37:46,880 --> 00:37:48,719
Speaker 2: but I'm saying like it just adds more variants. Like

717
00:37:48,719 --> 00:37:53,200
Speaker 2: they played Porter on the outside a corner. What's his name,

718
00:37:53,239 --> 00:37:55,080
Speaker 2: Chin's doing a good job on the slot, but they

719
00:37:55,080 --> 00:37:58,400
Speaker 2: played a rookie guard. They played greedy Vans, so.

720
00:37:58,400 --> 00:37:58,919
Speaker 3: Oh my god.

721
00:37:59,000 --> 00:38:04,680
Speaker 2: Yeah, well you're you're seeing a lot more young faces.

722
00:38:04,680 --> 00:38:08,400
Speaker 2: They got to see what they have. So hopefully Balers

723
00:38:08,440 --> 00:38:10,640
Speaker 2: has a big game, get genties and throws in the back.

724
00:38:10,800 --> 00:38:12,440
Speaker 2: But it's just a fad of bonecks is a big favor.

725
00:38:12,640 --> 00:38:13,800
Speaker 2: So keep with the Raiders.

726
00:38:13,880 --> 00:38:17,360
Speaker 3: I agree. I agree for my third pick and the

727
00:38:17,400 --> 00:38:21,560
Speaker 3: fifth overall of the week fourteen to six pack, going

728
00:38:21,600 --> 00:38:24,399
Speaker 3: with the Jaguars plus one and a half at home

729
00:38:24,440 --> 00:38:28,640
Speaker 3: against the Colts, and this Jaguar team, you know, it's

730
00:38:28,719 --> 00:38:34,560
Speaker 3: it's been away from home essentially for like month and

731
00:38:34,600 --> 00:38:38,360
Speaker 3: a half outside of one game pretty much. And this

732
00:38:38,440 --> 00:38:43,080
Speaker 3: team just has a drastically different home road splits. And

733
00:38:43,840 --> 00:38:46,400
Speaker 3: now you have the Colts coming in here, and what

734
00:38:46,440 --> 00:38:49,520
Speaker 3: do we know about the Coats. They never seem to

735
00:38:49,600 --> 00:38:53,719
Speaker 3: win in Jacksonville. Jacksonville catches people off guard this time

736
00:38:53,760 --> 00:38:56,480
Speaker 3: of the year because it's it's a whole different kind

737
00:38:56,480 --> 00:38:59,960
Speaker 3: of climate environment. You know, you're mostly playing either in

738
00:39:00,040 --> 00:39:02,400
Speaker 3: homes or cold weather, and then you go out to Jacksonville.

739
00:39:02,440 --> 00:39:04,560
Speaker 3: It's just a whole different game. But if you look

740
00:39:04,600 --> 00:39:11,120
Speaker 3: at historically the Jaguars versus the Colts in Jacksonville seven

741
00:39:11,120 --> 00:39:14,080
Speaker 3: and one against the spread going back to twenty fifteen,

742
00:39:14,520 --> 00:39:18,840
Speaker 3: eighty eight percent seventy two percent ROI Jaguars, you know,

743
00:39:19,000 --> 00:39:21,120
Speaker 3: do have Bryan Thomas backer. Now it looks like Parker

744
00:39:21,200 --> 00:39:23,759
Speaker 3: Washington's turd, but they also are strange back, which you

745
00:39:23,880 --> 00:39:26,120
Speaker 3: pointed that out before too. I think he's big over

746
00:39:26,160 --> 00:39:27,840
Speaker 3: the middle of the field and just you know, giving

747
00:39:27,880 --> 00:39:31,879
Speaker 3: Trevor Lawrence still more options in that for them. Yeah,

748
00:39:31,960 --> 00:39:33,880
Speaker 3: I didn't expect that either. I thought he was gonna

749
00:39:34,000 --> 00:39:37,440
Speaker 3: you know, just like a inconsequential, but it's he's been

750
00:39:37,480 --> 00:39:39,160
Speaker 3: really good for Trevor Lawrence. It seems like, you know,

751
00:39:39,280 --> 00:39:39,920
Speaker 3: we am coling.

752
00:39:39,760 --> 00:39:41,920
Speaker 2: At that never drops balls like all the other Jackson.

753
00:39:42,160 --> 00:39:44,160
Speaker 3: Yeah, yeah, So we have to trust with William Cohen,

754
00:39:44,160 --> 00:39:45,919
Speaker 3: and I think that's what we came into the season doing.

755
00:39:46,760 --> 00:39:49,239
Speaker 3: And he, you know, seems to like all right. Trevor

756
00:39:49,320 --> 00:39:53,000
Speaker 3: Lawrence not playing well at all first pretty much most

757
00:39:53,000 --> 00:39:55,560
Speaker 3: of the season. But you know, the changes they've made

758
00:39:55,560 --> 00:39:58,759
Speaker 3: with Myers getting strange back now, I like, you know,

759
00:39:58,880 --> 00:40:02,120
Speaker 3: Touton's been involved in the run game. They're not overdoing

760
00:40:02,120 --> 00:40:03,920
Speaker 3: it with him because they're not going away from Etn

761
00:40:03,920 --> 00:40:06,080
Speaker 3: who's been good as well. So I think the offense, Uh,

762
00:40:06,320 --> 00:40:08,120
Speaker 3: the Jags offense is going to be fine here against

763
00:40:08,120 --> 00:40:09,960
Speaker 3: the coach. You know, they just lost Sauce Gardner again,

764
00:40:11,080 --> 00:40:14,760
Speaker 3: pressure isn't great, and the Jaguars do have some positive

765
00:40:14,760 --> 00:40:17,120
Speaker 3: aggression coming just I mean, Lawrence leads the league and

766
00:40:17,280 --> 00:40:21,719
Speaker 3: drop passes by his receivers. That's trending up.

767
00:40:22,200 --> 00:40:22,319
Speaker 2: Uh.

768
00:40:22,520 --> 00:40:24,200
Speaker 3: And then on the other side of Jaguars have played

769
00:40:24,239 --> 00:40:27,880
Speaker 3: solid defense much of the year. Daniel Jones, you're starting

770
00:40:27,880 --> 00:40:30,480
Speaker 3: to see, uh, you know that kind of come back

771
00:40:30,520 --> 00:40:32,960
Speaker 3: down to earth a little bit. Even Taylor, You're starting

772
00:40:33,000 --> 00:40:35,480
Speaker 3: to see come back down to earth, and I trust

773
00:40:35,480 --> 00:40:39,200
Speaker 3: this Jaguars defense to get it done here against Jones

774
00:40:39,239 --> 00:40:41,440
Speaker 3: and Taylor. They've been good against you know, they've been

775
00:40:41,520 --> 00:40:44,680
Speaker 3: good against bad quarterbacks. I'm not gonna call it Jones

776
00:40:44,719 --> 00:40:47,520
Speaker 3: a bad one, but it's definitely like Sam Darnold. I

777
00:40:47,560 --> 00:40:49,920
Speaker 3: think there's gonna be more opportunities to fade this these

778
00:40:50,000 --> 00:40:52,120
Speaker 3: kind of teams down the stretch. So give me the

779
00:40:52,239 --> 00:40:55,799
Speaker 3: Jags here back at home, uh for a rare home

780
00:40:55,840 --> 00:40:58,279
Speaker 3: game for them at sitting at sitting here at eight

781
00:40:58,320 --> 00:41:00,000
Speaker 3: and four, same record as the Coast. By the way,

782
00:41:00,239 --> 00:41:03,520
Speaker 3: our Jags Division win ticket is still live, So I

783
00:41:03,840 --> 00:41:05,560
Speaker 3: think this game should be more like a picker, even

784
00:41:05,640 --> 00:41:08,640
Speaker 3: Jags favored. I think, you know, the Jags, you still

785
00:41:08,680 --> 00:41:11,480
Speaker 3: have some questions about their strength to schedule, but those

786
00:41:11,480 --> 00:41:13,719
Speaker 3: are mostly those are also kind of mixed in with

787
00:41:13,840 --> 00:41:15,560
Speaker 3: them just being on the road. So back, I mean

788
00:41:15,600 --> 00:41:18,759
Speaker 3: back at home. You know they've had they've had they've

789
00:41:18,800 --> 00:41:20,920
Speaker 3: had quality wins. So yeah, Gibby Jacksonville.

790
00:41:21,719 --> 00:41:26,400
Speaker 2: Also worth noting what Taekwon, Lewis, Kenny Moore, Josh Downson

791
00:41:26,440 --> 00:41:30,560
Speaker 2: in practice today. Uh, the Colts really miss the Horas

792
00:41:30,600 --> 00:41:34,640
Speaker 2: Buckner they're run dy when Buckner and Stuart are on

793
00:41:34,719 --> 00:41:37,520
Speaker 2: the field together versus when one of them is off,

794
00:41:38,080 --> 00:41:46,520
Speaker 2: allows one yard fewer per Carrie. So and that's the

795
00:41:46,640 --> 00:41:49,200
Speaker 2: Jags cap. Can the Jags run the ball and then

796
00:41:49,200 --> 00:41:52,839
Speaker 2: everything stems from that in this matchup, I think they can.

797
00:41:53,440 --> 00:41:55,920
Speaker 2: Jones isn't fully healthy. He doesn't have that same lateral

798
00:41:55,960 --> 00:42:00,160
Speaker 2: movement because of his leg. It would be nice if, if,

799
00:42:00,000 --> 00:42:03,319
Speaker 2: if Walker and Armstead play and they could get married

800
00:42:03,360 --> 00:42:05,640
Speaker 2: back at safety. But I don't know what's going on

801
00:42:05,719 --> 00:42:09,480
Speaker 2: with Walker. He didn't practice again the day. I don't

802
00:42:09,480 --> 00:42:11,319
Speaker 2: know why I didn't go on ir or if he's

803
00:42:11,360 --> 00:42:13,160
Speaker 2: going to play. But it would be nice if the

804
00:42:13,200 --> 00:42:15,680
Speaker 2: Jags had their full defensive line. But I think they'll

805
00:42:15,680 --> 00:42:17,000
Speaker 2: be able to run the ball here and they are

806
00:42:17,000 --> 00:42:20,759
Speaker 2: a much different team at home. We'll be rooting for

807
00:42:20,800 --> 00:42:24,600
Speaker 2: the Jags. Doove all all right? For my third pick

808
00:42:24,680 --> 00:42:29,359
Speaker 2: and the sixth overall of the week fourteen Sunday six back,

809
00:42:29,719 --> 00:42:33,279
Speaker 2: I'm going it gets ugly or somehow. I'm going with

810
00:42:33,400 --> 00:42:37,239
Speaker 2: the Minnesota Vikings minus one and a half against the

811
00:42:37,400 --> 00:42:42,520
Speaker 2: Washington Commanders. Look, this is the ultimate five low spot

812
00:42:42,520 --> 00:42:45,680
Speaker 2: team off of a shutout where it's worth teams after

813
00:42:45,760 --> 00:42:48,040
Speaker 2: scoring three or less over the past ten years ninety

814
00:42:48,080 --> 00:42:50,200
Speaker 2: sixty three and five against the spread fifty nine percent.

815
00:42:50,480 --> 00:42:50,920
Speaker 3: Why is that?

816
00:42:50,960 --> 00:42:52,960
Speaker 2: Who wants to bet the team that just scored three

817
00:42:53,080 --> 00:42:56,279
Speaker 2: or less? Historically all time, if they're getting shut out,

818
00:42:56,320 --> 00:42:58,680
Speaker 2: teams are fifty seven percent against the spread as a

819
00:42:58,719 --> 00:43:01,560
Speaker 2: dog or a favorite of less a touchdown after getting

820
00:43:01,560 --> 00:43:04,560
Speaker 2: shut out since two thousand and three, fifty six thirty

821
00:43:04,600 --> 00:43:07,520
Speaker 2: six and three against the spread sixty one percent. This

822
00:43:07,600 --> 00:43:09,799
Speaker 2: is also just a buye on the Vikings after one

823
00:43:09,840 --> 00:43:13,400
Speaker 2: of the most a brutal stretch. They were three and

824
00:43:13,440 --> 00:43:17,320
Speaker 2: two before the bye. Then here's who they faced. Eagles

825
00:43:17,440 --> 00:43:20,400
Speaker 2: at Chargers. They should have beat the Eagles at Chargers

826
00:43:20,440 --> 00:43:24,000
Speaker 2: at the Lions they won that game. Ravens, Bears at

827
00:43:24,080 --> 00:43:27,279
Speaker 2: Packers at Seahawks, I mean, or all those teams could

828
00:43:27,280 --> 00:43:31,440
Speaker 2: be in the playoffs. Washington's first road game in forty

829
00:43:31,480 --> 00:43:35,600
Speaker 2: one days after a heartbreaking OT loss, when they were

830
00:43:35,640 --> 00:43:39,680
Speaker 2: on the field for the entire game. Washington will get

831
00:43:39,680 --> 00:43:42,640
Speaker 2: no pressure on McCarthy. Can he hit a wide open throw?

832
00:43:43,120 --> 00:43:46,759
Speaker 2: I don't know, maybe not, Hopefully he can. I do

833
00:43:46,840 --> 00:43:50,000
Speaker 2: think that their defense will be the best. The Vikings

834
00:43:50,000 --> 00:43:51,880
Speaker 2: defense will be the best unit on the field. This

835
00:43:52,000 --> 00:43:54,719
Speaker 2: is still look dan Quinn has fit has made the

836
00:43:55,200 --> 00:44:01,440
Speaker 2: defense serviceable, right. It's playing more zone there, They're more functional.

837
00:44:02,000 --> 00:44:04,840
Speaker 2: It's not a complete disaster, but it's still not a

838
00:44:04,840 --> 00:44:07,239
Speaker 2: great defense. It's void of talent and they can't get

839
00:44:07,239 --> 00:44:09,320
Speaker 2: any pressure. He saw bow Nicks just go down to

840
00:44:09,320 --> 00:44:11,279
Speaker 2: the field in eighty yards and pick four plays like

841
00:44:11,320 --> 00:44:14,640
Speaker 2: it was nothing. And I think Daniels might play here

842
00:44:15,640 --> 00:44:18,440
Speaker 2: and I'm fine with that after this long break, and

843
00:44:19,239 --> 00:44:21,239
Speaker 2: there might be a lot of rust he holds onto

844
00:44:21,280 --> 00:44:24,440
Speaker 2: the ball longer. He struggled much more against the Blitz

845
00:44:24,480 --> 00:44:25,880
Speaker 2: than Mariota this year, and by the way, they had

846
00:44:25,880 --> 00:44:28,959
Speaker 2: the same number of snaps. Mariota's numbers are much better

847
00:44:29,360 --> 00:44:31,600
Speaker 2: than Daniels this year. Not saying that Marriot is a

848
00:44:31,600 --> 00:44:34,839
Speaker 2: better quarterback, but Daniels is just having a sophomore slump

849
00:44:34,880 --> 00:44:37,200
Speaker 2: type year. He's never gotten the timing right with his receivers,

850
00:44:37,200 --> 00:44:39,080
Speaker 2: all the injuries, so I think it could be a

851
00:44:39,120 --> 00:44:42,080
Speaker 2: mess if he comes back against this defense. A hard

852
00:44:42,080 --> 00:44:47,640
Speaker 2: place to play. So yeah, betting JJ McCarthy is a favor.

853
00:44:47,760 --> 00:44:52,640
Speaker 2: What could possibly go wrong a lot, But I think

854
00:44:52,640 --> 00:44:54,799
Speaker 2: this is the bottom of the market on the Vikings,

855
00:44:55,440 --> 00:44:57,160
Speaker 2: and I think it's a good spot to back them.

856
00:44:58,239 --> 00:44:59,960
Speaker 2: Give me Minnesota minus one and a half.

857
00:45:01,360 --> 00:45:05,320
Speaker 3: Yeah, it's it's tough to get there. I mean, I

858
00:45:05,360 --> 00:45:09,440
Speaker 3: you've been last week. I know, I know. I'm not

859
00:45:09,560 --> 00:45:11,360
Speaker 3: I'm not saying I'm against it. I'm saying it's just

860
00:45:11,400 --> 00:45:13,560
Speaker 3: tough to get there. It's it's Minnesota.

861
00:45:13,600 --> 00:45:17,840
Speaker 2: It's kind of feeling no one wants to back bike, That's.

862
00:45:17,640 --> 00:45:20,520
Speaker 3: What I'm telling you. Yeah, yeah, they were.

863
00:45:20,560 --> 00:45:23,799
Speaker 2: It was gonna be seven to three in Seattle with

864
00:45:23,840 --> 00:45:25,759
Speaker 2: a minute to go in the first half. This is

865
00:45:25,800 --> 00:45:27,920
Speaker 2: a team that's still still won at Detroit. Should have

866
00:45:27,920 --> 00:45:33,600
Speaker 2: beat the Eagles at home. McCarthy, I know his mechanical issues.

867
00:45:33,600 --> 00:45:36,600
Speaker 2: He might dismiss every throw. I get it. But I'm

868
00:45:36,600 --> 00:45:37,320
Speaker 2: taking the Vikings.

869
00:45:38,880 --> 00:45:41,239
Speaker 3: Oh man, it's yeah, this is ugly. This is the

870
00:45:41,280 --> 00:45:43,200
Speaker 3: ugly six fact that we needed. And see we got.

871
00:45:43,800 --> 00:45:49,040
Speaker 2: Uh. I got Guss, Gino and McCarthy.

872
00:45:50,520 --> 00:45:54,279
Speaker 3: Yeah, that's actually worse than I thought somehow, like, yeah,

873
00:45:54,280 --> 00:45:58,360
Speaker 3: I mean I got Tyride, Rogers and Lawrence, which somehow

874
00:45:58,400 --> 00:46:01,920
Speaker 3: sounds like so much better than yours, which mean I'm

875
00:46:01,920 --> 00:46:04,800
Speaker 3: gonna go three. But uh yeah, that was our six.

876
00:46:04,719 --> 00:46:09,239
Speaker 2: Pack, apologize everybody?

877
00:46:09,320 --> 00:46:11,960
Speaker 3: Have you howadays? Guys, if you want to tell these

878
00:46:11,960 --> 00:46:15,160
Speaker 3: bets again, look for the quick slip link any podcast

879
00:46:15,239 --> 00:46:17,120
Speaker 3: and video descriptions. Make sure to sign up for Action

880
00:46:17,239 --> 00:46:20,440
Speaker 3: Pro for instant notifications with all of our expert bets

881
00:46:20,440 --> 00:46:21,240
Speaker 3: are tracked.

882
00:46:21,440 --> 00:46:23,319
Speaker 2: You know it's badin Lawrence is the star of the

883
00:46:23,360 --> 00:46:23,879
Speaker 2: six pack.

884
00:46:24,440 --> 00:46:28,200
Speaker 3: Oh my god? Yeah, all right, now it's time for

885
00:46:28,840 --> 00:46:32,520
Speaker 3: our favorite totals. Stuck where you're going? All right? Uh?

886
00:46:33,400 --> 00:46:35,840
Speaker 2: Been hot with these? Hopefully keep it going. What that

887
00:46:36,000 --> 00:46:37,560
Speaker 2: last week? Oh Panthers rams?

888
00:46:37,640 --> 00:46:39,799
Speaker 3: That was yeah, that was over in like the first quarter.

889
00:46:39,960 --> 00:46:43,919
Speaker 2: Greasy over. Let's let's go back to the bread and butter.

890
00:46:44,000 --> 00:46:48,840
Speaker 2: Let's go under. We're gonna go Chiefs Texans under forty

891
00:46:48,880 --> 00:46:50,880
Speaker 2: two forty one and a half. It doesn't matter for

892
00:46:50,920 --> 00:46:53,560
Speaker 2: the contest, but there's forty two's out there, forty one

893
00:46:53,560 --> 00:46:55,759
Speaker 2: and a half at DraftKings right now. That that's fine too.

894
00:46:56,040 --> 00:46:57,600
Speaker 2: By the way, the past three seasons, you know, the

895
00:46:57,680 --> 00:47:00,600
Speaker 2: best under team in the NFL is Ore and the

896
00:47:00,680 --> 00:47:05,680
Speaker 2: Bundo would know Texans thirty one and fifteen sixty seven

897
00:47:05,719 --> 00:47:07,759
Speaker 2: point four percent to the under. You know the next

898
00:47:07,800 --> 00:47:11,040
Speaker 2: best team is the Chiefs thirty and sixteen sixty five

899
00:47:11,080 --> 00:47:13,200
Speaker 2: point two percent to the under and at home, the

900
00:47:13,280 --> 00:47:16,680
Speaker 2: Chiefs are under machines seventeen and six what they do

901
00:47:16,760 --> 00:47:21,640
Speaker 2: at home and they go on these long marches, these

902
00:47:21,760 --> 00:47:25,200
Speaker 2: eight nine minute drives that just eat up clock, and

903
00:47:25,200 --> 00:47:27,239
Speaker 2: that's what they're gonna have to do here. I think

904
00:47:27,280 --> 00:47:28,839
Speaker 2: it's gonna be a struggle for their offense. They're gonna

905
00:47:28,840 --> 00:47:31,799
Speaker 2: have to They're gonna have to just attack the linebackers this.

906
00:47:32,840 --> 00:47:37,160
Speaker 2: The Texans has some issues at safety right now with

907
00:47:37,239 --> 00:47:39,560
Speaker 2: an injury, so they're gonna have to just like throw

908
00:47:39,719 --> 00:47:41,560
Speaker 2: dink and dunk to the tight ends, throw to the

909
00:47:41,600 --> 00:47:45,080
Speaker 2: back screens, because how are they gonna block the Texans

910
00:47:45,440 --> 00:47:49,480
Speaker 2: Simmons on ir you have other injuries along the offensive line.

911
00:47:49,600 --> 00:47:53,080
Speaker 2: This Texans pasty is historically good. I don't know how

912
00:47:53,080 --> 00:47:54,920
Speaker 2: that the Chiefs are gonna have time to hit any

913
00:47:54,920 --> 00:47:58,799
Speaker 2: explosive plays. So it's gonna be slow marches. There's gonna

914
00:47:58,840 --> 00:48:03,040
Speaker 2: be some negative plays on the other side. Stroud still

915
00:48:03,040 --> 00:48:07,680
Speaker 2: struggles under pressure, still struggles against the blitz Chiefs desperation spot.

916
00:48:07,719 --> 00:48:11,240
Speaker 2: You're going to get Spagnola's best here. The Texans offense

917
00:48:11,280 --> 00:48:14,080
Speaker 2: has been better, but Woodie marks has banged up. He

918
00:48:14,239 --> 00:48:16,560
Speaker 2: unlocks a lot with this offense out of the backfield,

919
00:48:16,719 --> 00:48:18,680
Speaker 2: gives him a little more juice in the running game.

920
00:48:19,760 --> 00:48:23,640
Speaker 2: And this Texans offense just if you look at the

921
00:48:23,640 --> 00:48:27,719
Speaker 2: whole body work, they can't finish drives. So is there's

922
00:48:27,760 --> 00:48:30,799
Speaker 2: just gonna be lots of clock chewing. And I think

923
00:48:30,800 --> 00:48:32,920
Speaker 2: it's going to be a defensive dominated game in a

924
00:48:33,080 --> 00:48:35,960
Speaker 2: very high pressure game where you might get these teams

925
00:48:35,960 --> 00:48:38,919
Speaker 2: not wanting to make a mistake early knowing that their

926
00:48:38,960 --> 00:48:41,640
Speaker 2: defenses can keep them minute because this is close to

927
00:48:41,680 --> 00:48:46,040
Speaker 2: an elimination game. So yeah, I'll go with the Chiefs

928
00:48:46,040 --> 00:48:48,840
Speaker 2: Texans under on Sunday Night football.

929
00:48:49,360 --> 00:48:52,520
Speaker 3: Yeah, I've thought about we'll probably join you on this one.

930
00:48:52,800 --> 00:48:56,719
Speaker 3: Chiefs at home just undercover machines, I should say, a

931
00:48:56,760 --> 00:49:00,160
Speaker 3: narrowhead and with those two taps, I mean, I mean,

932
00:49:00,200 --> 00:49:04,080
Speaker 3: how about like the only thing is if tailors out,

933
00:49:04,320 --> 00:49:06,239
Speaker 3: do we get less false starts? Do we get less

934
00:49:06,280 --> 00:49:10,120
Speaker 3: like because this guy's gotten penalized like freaking a thousand

935
00:49:10,200 --> 00:49:11,680
Speaker 3: times this year? But no, I agree. I think that

936
00:49:11,840 --> 00:49:13,879
Speaker 3: I think the Chiefs they have to play in their

937
00:49:13,880 --> 00:49:16,480
Speaker 3: defensive strengths here, and maybe they don't try to just

938
00:49:17,120 --> 00:49:19,880
Speaker 3: go downfield, like you know, just force it downfield like

939
00:49:19,880 --> 00:49:22,080
Speaker 3: they've been doing a lot of the year because of

940
00:49:22,120 --> 00:49:24,920
Speaker 3: the offensive line issues in the Texas Corners, So I

941
00:49:24,960 --> 00:49:27,279
Speaker 3: think they probably want to play a well scoring game here.

942
00:49:27,880 --> 00:49:30,279
Speaker 3: So for my total, I was thinking about going with

943
00:49:30,320 --> 00:49:35,240
Speaker 3: the Raiders Broncos. That's dropping it's under forty. Dropping a forty,

944
00:49:35,600 --> 00:49:39,120
Speaker 3: which you know bo knicks against zone is what I

945
00:49:39,160 --> 00:49:41,880
Speaker 3: want here. But you also have the Raiders with a

946
00:49:41,960 --> 00:49:44,320
Speaker 3: changing offensive coordinator, bronc is not getting as much pressure

947
00:49:44,360 --> 00:49:47,960
Speaker 3: sore some wonky things that happened indoors. If that's starting

948
00:49:47,960 --> 00:49:49,920
Speaker 3: to get squeezed down to forty. So I'm gonna go

949
00:49:49,960 --> 00:49:52,960
Speaker 3: with the Ravens Steelers under that's still forty three and

950
00:49:53,000 --> 00:49:57,800
Speaker 3: a half. And these teams, we talked about it earlier.

951
00:49:57,840 --> 00:50:00,880
Speaker 3: Both of their offenses are broken. The Steelers are going

952
00:50:00,960 --> 00:50:03,080
Speaker 3: to have to dink it dunk. The Ravens don't have

953
00:50:03,080 --> 00:50:06,360
Speaker 3: to save explosiveness. If they have success both of these teams,

954
00:50:06,440 --> 00:50:09,359
Speaker 3: it's probably gonna come from heavier personnel and tight ends

955
00:50:09,400 --> 00:50:12,239
Speaker 3: and runs and things that keep the clock moving. So

956
00:50:12,920 --> 00:50:16,839
Speaker 3: as simple as that divisional unders that opened just because

957
00:50:16,880 --> 00:50:19,680
Speaker 3: this game, you know, look ahead was like forty some

958
00:50:19,880 --> 00:50:22,960
Speaker 3: forty six and a half. I think forty seven games

959
00:50:22,960 --> 00:50:26,160
Speaker 3: that dropped in the second half of the season, seven

960
00:50:26,200 --> 00:50:29,480
Speaker 3: and three sixty two against the spread, Tom win on

961
00:50:29,520 --> 00:50:32,160
Speaker 3: the road sixty to thirty four to one to the

962
00:50:32,280 --> 00:50:36,920
Speaker 3: under sixty four percent. So yeah, Raven Steelers under forty

963
00:50:36,920 --> 00:50:39,440
Speaker 3: three and a half, just like the number getting over

964
00:50:39,440 --> 00:50:42,600
Speaker 3: the key number of forty three, better than Bronco's Raiders,

965
00:50:42,640 --> 00:50:44,920
Speaker 3: which would be under a key number of forty one.

966
00:50:45,280 --> 00:50:48,680
Speaker 3: So Raven Steelers Texas Chiefs unders Now, it's time for

967
00:50:48,719 --> 00:50:50,480
Speaker 3: our money line underdog.

968
00:50:50,239 --> 00:50:58,480
Speaker 1: Parlay, turning good weekends into great weekends. It's time for

969
00:50:58,600 --> 00:51:00,200
Speaker 1: the money line par a.

970
00:51:00,800 --> 00:51:02,719
Speaker 3: Right stuck, you've been hot on these Where are we

971
00:51:02,719 --> 00:51:03,319
Speaker 3: going this week?

972
00:51:03,680 --> 00:51:06,040
Speaker 2: Let's go, well the six pack you thought that was other.

973
00:51:06,160 --> 00:51:10,000
Speaker 2: Let's go to the Titans money line in Cleveland, I mean

974
00:51:10,040 --> 00:51:13,160
Speaker 2: the totals thirty four. How's this game is gonna be

975
00:51:13,200 --> 00:51:15,160
Speaker 2: It's gonna this game is gonna be decided on something dumb,

976
00:51:15,880 --> 00:51:18,560
Speaker 2: like a muff punt Like now, the Browns lost the

977
00:51:18,600 --> 00:51:22,320
Speaker 2: game last week. I've failed fourth down where they dropped

978
00:51:22,320 --> 00:51:25,480
Speaker 2: the snap. The Titans run d is actually decent. That's

979
00:51:25,520 --> 00:51:28,880
Speaker 2: what the Browns want to do. Now that Jeffrey Simmons

980
00:51:28,920 --> 00:51:33,919
Speaker 2: is back. The Browns have offensive line injuries. I mean, look,

981
00:51:33,960 --> 00:51:38,239
Speaker 2: the Titans offensive lines gonna get destroyed here. But I

982
00:51:38,239 --> 00:51:40,600
Speaker 2: mean I do think I have the better quarterback right now.

983
00:51:41,680 --> 00:51:45,280
Speaker 2: And the total is thirty four between two bad teams.

984
00:51:45,480 --> 00:51:47,799
Speaker 2: It's probably something Dumb is gonna decide this give me

985
00:51:47,840 --> 00:51:48,360
Speaker 2: the Titans.

986
00:51:48,680 --> 00:51:50,960
Speaker 3: You're also getting shor standards as a more than a

987
00:51:50,960 --> 00:51:55,600
Speaker 3: field goal favor here, like, so I don't mind. I mean,

988
00:51:55,719 --> 00:51:57,640
Speaker 3: the other side is you're betting the Titans to win

989
00:51:57,680 --> 00:52:00,200
Speaker 3: a game, which has happened what three times in the

990
00:52:00,239 --> 00:52:03,799
Speaker 3: past two plus years, But yeah it Shadoey Sanders has

991
00:52:03,800 --> 00:52:06,800
Speaker 3: a more than a field goal favorite, which could sound

992
00:52:07,080 --> 00:52:11,000
Speaker 3: utterly ridiculous in retrospect. So I don't mind that at all.

993
00:52:11,600 --> 00:52:16,719
Speaker 3: I am rolling with the Cincinnati Bengals, and this is

994
00:52:16,760 --> 00:52:18,560
Speaker 3: just the spot where I think the Bills have I

995
00:52:18,600 --> 00:52:21,000
Speaker 3: don't think the Bills problems are fully fixed. They're gonna

996
00:52:21,000 --> 00:52:24,719
Speaker 3: score on Cincinnati. Cincinnatis defense is terrible, but how do

997
00:52:24,760 --> 00:52:27,799
Speaker 3: you beat the Bills. Gotta score on them back, and

998
00:52:28,160 --> 00:52:30,399
Speaker 3: Cincinnati is one of those teams that I think can

999
00:52:30,480 --> 00:52:32,440
Speaker 3: do that. Now they should get te Higgins back. In

1000
00:52:32,480 --> 00:52:36,440
Speaker 3: the spot. He's been out, and you have Chase and

1001
00:52:36,480 --> 00:52:39,560
Speaker 3: you have Joe Burrow. So that's all I really need.

1002
00:52:39,640 --> 00:52:41,719
Speaker 3: Give me the Bengals, all right. So you got the

1003
00:52:41,760 --> 00:52:43,840
Speaker 3: Bengals at plus two to twenty five, So give me

1004
00:52:43,880 --> 00:52:48,239
Speaker 3: Cincinnati there and then Titans plus one seventy six. Pay

1005
00:52:48,600 --> 00:52:51,480
Speaker 3: parlay those together and you get about eight to one

1006
00:52:51,560 --> 00:52:56,200
Speaker 3: odds on Bengals and Titans. That was our money line

1007
00:52:56,280 --> 00:52:59,480
Speaker 3: underdog parlay for Week fourteen. Now it's time for any

1008
00:52:59,480 --> 00:53:04,200
Speaker 3: time Touchdown Parlay, presented by DraftKings. I expec were late

1009
00:53:04,320 --> 00:53:06,640
Speaker 3: a week late on that Veley touchdown. I think it's

1010
00:53:06,640 --> 00:53:07,680
Speaker 3: happened to us a couple of times.

1011
00:53:08,239 --> 00:53:11,719
Speaker 2: It's always the week after. By the way, I will

1012
00:53:11,760 --> 00:53:15,239
Speaker 2: say Bengals. Is their defense improving? I don't know, but

1013
00:53:15,280 --> 00:53:18,120
Speaker 2: they were fifty one point four percent success rate on

1014
00:53:18,200 --> 00:53:20,359
Speaker 2: the first nine weeks, historically bad last in the league.

1015
00:53:20,960 --> 00:53:24,120
Speaker 2: Forty four percent since Week ten, which is like twentieth.

1016
00:53:24,440 --> 00:53:26,640
Speaker 2: They're improving a bit. Their rookie linebackers are playing a

1017
00:53:26,640 --> 00:53:30,000
Speaker 2: little bit better. Jalen Davis in the slot looks good.

1018
00:53:30,040 --> 00:53:32,239
Speaker 2: He's been on the team forever. Oh sides all of

1019
00:53:32,239 --> 00:53:34,840
Speaker 2: a sudden, playing out of his mind, but like Lamar

1020
00:53:34,960 --> 00:53:38,000
Speaker 2: was also really bad, Drake May had an off game,

1021
00:53:38,040 --> 00:53:39,319
Speaker 2: so I don't know how much to take from it. It

1022
00:53:39,320 --> 00:53:41,720
Speaker 2: doesn't look like Henderson is going to be back the Bills.

1023
00:53:41,719 --> 00:53:43,319
Speaker 2: Are they going to get their tackles back? Are they

1024
00:53:43,320 --> 00:53:47,080
Speaker 2: going to get Kincaid back? Who I think matters? I

1025
00:53:47,120 --> 00:53:49,239
Speaker 2: don't think as bad as the bengalsd is. I don't

1026
00:53:49,239 --> 00:53:50,640
Speaker 2: think that the Bills can just run the same run

1027
00:53:50,640 --> 00:53:53,480
Speaker 2: play thirty times like they did against the Steelers, and

1028
00:53:53,520 --> 00:53:55,960
Speaker 2: the Bengals have found a run game. Burrow also, for

1029
00:53:56,000 --> 00:53:58,640
Speaker 2: what it's worth, has been historically good as an underdog.

1030
00:53:59,000 --> 00:54:02,279
Speaker 2: Three or more points eighteen even three against the spread.

1031
00:54:02,520 --> 00:54:06,439
Speaker 2: That is a huge game the Bengals. If they want

1032
00:54:06,480 --> 00:54:08,000
Speaker 2: a shot to make a run of the division, they

1033
00:54:08,000 --> 00:54:10,600
Speaker 2: need this game. Then they're gonna get the Ravens and

1034
00:54:10,840 --> 00:54:14,360
Speaker 2: will get a chance. But if they lose this, it's

1035
00:54:14,400 --> 00:54:19,239
Speaker 2: probably too much to overcome. So big game Bills. If

1036
00:54:19,280 --> 00:54:23,000
Speaker 2: they win this pretty for the playoffs, they get the

1037
00:54:23,000 --> 00:54:25,920
Speaker 2: Patriots next and they could start to surge, but they

1038
00:54:25,920 --> 00:54:29,719
Speaker 2: still have issues on defense. Their tackles could be out.

1039
00:54:30,360 --> 00:54:34,239
Speaker 2: We'll see. The weapons still aren't great, but Allen at

1040
00:54:34,239 --> 00:54:38,399
Speaker 2: Home doesn't lose often, but Burrow could be the one

1041
00:54:38,440 --> 00:54:40,440
Speaker 2: to do it. He did in the playoffs before. But

1042
00:54:40,520 --> 00:54:46,840
Speaker 2: for my anytime touchdown, I'm gonna go with so Bears.

1043
00:54:46,880 --> 00:54:50,080
Speaker 2: Packers a couple injury. This line has moved out to

1044
00:54:50,239 --> 00:54:53,000
Speaker 2: seven as we were recorded at some spots. I think

1045
00:54:53,040 --> 00:54:55,120
Speaker 2: like a dooneesay and a Nung guide in practice. Today

1046
00:54:55,200 --> 00:54:58,319
Speaker 2: the Bears still have injuries at linebacker. Mean, look, the

1047
00:54:58,320 --> 00:55:00,920
Speaker 2: Bears run game is cooking, so just to fade them

1048
00:55:00,960 --> 00:55:04,520
Speaker 2: like there's a seven point dog with their run game

1049
00:55:05,440 --> 00:55:09,640
Speaker 2: just absolutely cooking teams right now. The Packers now lost Wyatt,

1050
00:55:10,560 --> 00:55:13,319
Speaker 2: if but if they can get a Kway Walker looks

1051
00:55:13,320 --> 00:55:15,240
Speaker 2: like he's gonna play, they get so many more negative

1052
00:55:15,840 --> 00:55:19,319
Speaker 2: plays against the run, and Walker's in there. And if

1053
00:55:19,360 --> 00:55:22,319
Speaker 2: they can get Caleb and known passing downs, I think

1054
00:55:22,320 --> 00:55:25,080
Speaker 2: they're gonna get some sacks and get some stops. And

1055
00:55:25,080 --> 00:55:27,640
Speaker 2: then this, this Packer's offense right now is starting to

1056
00:55:27,640 --> 00:55:32,440
Speaker 2: figure things out post Craft. You got Watson back, you

1057
00:55:32,560 --> 00:55:36,359
Speaker 2: might get read back here. And this Bears defense still

1058
00:55:36,400 --> 00:55:38,200
Speaker 2: is a very good and plus seventeen turnover March and

1059
00:55:38,239 --> 00:55:41,640
Speaker 2: that's not gonna last forever. But I'm gonna go with

1060
00:55:41,960 --> 00:55:44,920
Speaker 2: Josh Wiley tight end, what do you play? Sixty percent

1061
00:55:44,960 --> 00:55:46,040
Speaker 2: of the snaps last week?

1062
00:55:46,320 --> 00:55:50,960
Speaker 3: Yeah, route right, and been rising every week too, and

1063
00:55:50,960 --> 00:55:52,960
Speaker 3: then two in the thirties and then he jumped to

1064
00:55:53,040 --> 00:55:54,200
Speaker 3: sixty three last week.

1065
00:55:54,760 --> 00:55:56,239
Speaker 2: Yeah, so we'll take a little bit of a long shot.

1066
00:55:56,239 --> 00:56:00,279
Speaker 2: There's something like twelve to ones out there, and yeahs

1067
00:56:00,320 --> 00:56:02,680
Speaker 2: have injuries and linebacker they can't get any pressure.

1068
00:56:02,960 --> 00:56:04,920
Speaker 3: And Bobby's not out there to block, Like, if he's

1069
00:56:04,960 --> 00:56:07,239
Speaker 3: out there, it's to run routes because he's not like

1070
00:56:07,360 --> 00:56:09,160
Speaker 3: that's why he's got cut from the Titans of all teams,

1071
00:56:09,160 --> 00:56:12,080
Speaker 3: because he just unwilling or just not a good blocker.

1072
00:56:12,160 --> 00:56:14,640
Speaker 3: You know, you've seen the guys like that. But you're

1073
00:56:14,640 --> 00:56:18,040
Speaker 3: in the right situation, which, yeah, I agree, I like

1074
00:56:18,120 --> 00:56:18,440
Speaker 3: this one.

1075
00:56:19,000 --> 00:56:20,719
Speaker 2: There's a lot of arrans like he could just not

1076
00:56:20,840 --> 00:56:21,359
Speaker 2: he could go.

1077
00:56:21,680 --> 00:56:25,480
Speaker 3: Yeah, it could go back down to nothing, but right, yeah,

1078
00:56:25,520 --> 00:56:27,040
Speaker 3: and we've been seeing now. But the thing with him

1079
00:56:27,120 --> 00:56:28,600
Speaker 3: is we've been seeing them kind of searching for the

1080
00:56:28,640 --> 00:56:31,520
Speaker 3: tight ends. You know, I've tried to catch Fitzpatrick in

1081
00:56:31,560 --> 00:56:33,759
Speaker 3: a bottle and then they they've got been going back

1082
00:56:33,800 --> 00:56:35,640
Speaker 3: and forth with mus Grave and but why was the

1083
00:56:35,640 --> 00:56:38,040
Speaker 3: guy that's been He's been steadily rising and he actually

1084
00:56:38,120 --> 00:56:40,359
Speaker 3: did catch a red zone TV I think a couple

1085
00:56:40,400 --> 00:56:43,560
Speaker 3: weeks ago, so he could just be earning more playings.

1086
00:56:43,600 --> 00:56:45,520
Speaker 3: I will see how it goes, but not like that one,

1087
00:56:45,600 --> 00:56:48,799
Speaker 3: especially at you know, long odds. I'm gonna go with

1088
00:56:49,680 --> 00:56:51,799
Speaker 3: h got a little shorter odds, but a guy who

1089
00:56:51,960 --> 00:56:55,640
Speaker 3: should have at least one touchdown over the stretch that

1090
00:56:55,640 --> 00:56:58,520
Speaker 3: he's been playing but just kind of been getting a

1091
00:56:58,520 --> 00:57:00,800
Speaker 3: lot of yards and nose scores, and that's Mychael Wilson,

1092
00:57:01,160 --> 00:57:03,920
Speaker 3: So go with him at plus two hundred. The Rams

1093
00:57:03,960 --> 00:57:08,200
Speaker 3: have given up four touchdowns to wide receivers since week ten.

1094
00:57:08,480 --> 00:57:11,759
Speaker 3: Jwan Jennings got in Tz Johnson and then you saw

1095
00:57:11,840 --> 00:57:16,040
Speaker 3: Cocher and McMillan last week. And the Rams probably gonna

1096
00:57:16,040 --> 00:57:18,800
Speaker 3: be playing from ahead, and so you're gonna have more

1097
00:57:18,840 --> 00:57:22,000
Speaker 3: wide receivers on the field. And this guy Wilson has

1098
00:57:22,000 --> 00:57:25,160
Speaker 3: just been unreal with Jacobe Brissett, and it looks like

1099
00:57:25,240 --> 00:57:28,240
Speaker 3: Harrison's probably gonna be out again. He came back, had

1100
00:57:28,280 --> 00:57:31,720
Speaker 3: the appendix surgery, came back after a couple of weeks

1101
00:57:32,080 --> 00:57:36,400
Speaker 3: and then only lasted about three quarters or so, went

1102
00:57:36,440 --> 00:57:39,040
Speaker 3: down with a heel injury and it sounds like they're

1103
00:57:39,080 --> 00:57:41,680
Speaker 3: just gonna hold him out. It's not official or anything,

1104
00:57:41,680 --> 00:57:43,800
Speaker 3: but as we record this, he's sounding on the wrong

1105
00:57:43,840 --> 00:57:47,120
Speaker 3: side of questionable. So that should help Wilson because he'll

1106
00:57:47,160 --> 00:57:49,680
Speaker 3: just get more targets. They looked like they were trying

1107
00:57:50,400 --> 00:57:53,360
Speaker 3: a concerted effort to get Harrison involved more early in

1108
00:57:53,400 --> 00:57:56,960
Speaker 3: that game last week against Tampa Bay. But from what

1109
00:57:57,000 --> 00:57:58,440
Speaker 3: I'm hearing, he's gonna be out. So we'll get le

1110
00:57:58,640 --> 00:58:02,760
Speaker 3: give you some Michael Wilson here at two to one odds,

1111
00:58:02,800 --> 00:58:04,520
Speaker 3: he should have. You should have at least one, if

1112
00:58:04,560 --> 00:58:07,280
Speaker 3: not two, or three touchdowns over this last five six

1113
00:58:07,320 --> 00:58:12,160
Speaker 3: game stretch. So you parlay Wiley and Wilson together and

1114
00:58:12,200 --> 00:58:14,440
Speaker 3: you get thirty eight to one odds. So this is

1115
00:58:14,440 --> 00:58:16,840
Speaker 3: a juicy one and hopefully we could get it. We

1116
00:58:16,880 --> 00:58:19,560
Speaker 3: can get it home. That was our anytime Touchdown parlay,

1117
00:58:19,800 --> 00:58:24,280
Speaker 3: presented by DraftKings. All right, any games we did not

1118
00:58:24,600 --> 00:58:26,760
Speaker 3: hit on Bucks Saints.

1119
00:58:26,840 --> 00:58:29,280
Speaker 2: I mean, I'm right on market Bucks offense. Quily is

1120
00:58:29,320 --> 00:58:32,160
Speaker 2: in the dump. I mean, they're twenty fourth epavor play

1121
00:58:32,200 --> 00:58:35,440
Speaker 2: since Week nine. Baker is not playing really well, but

1122
00:58:35,480 --> 00:58:37,960
Speaker 2: they've had a ton of injuries. So like then earlier

1123
00:58:37,960 --> 00:58:39,440
Speaker 2: in the year. It wasn't even that great. I mean,

1124
00:58:39,440 --> 00:58:42,680
Speaker 2: it was like a lot of explosive plays, But do

1125
00:58:42,760 --> 00:58:45,840
Speaker 2: they like where is that inflection point where it starts

1126
00:58:45,880 --> 00:58:48,200
Speaker 2: to trend up the Saints argument will run the ball

1127
00:58:48,200 --> 00:58:50,240
Speaker 2: a lick here like, so it's going to be just

1128
00:58:50,800 --> 00:58:52,280
Speaker 2: shock dropping back and.

1129
00:58:53,720 --> 00:58:54,080
Speaker 3: I don't know.

1130
00:58:54,120 --> 00:58:56,120
Speaker 2: I mean, I'm right on market that I have zero

1131
00:58:56,200 --> 00:59:00,440
Speaker 2: interest in betting that game Rams Cardinals. There's a lot

1132
00:59:00,440 --> 00:59:03,720
Speaker 2: of injuries to watch for the Cardinals. Rams historically team

1133
00:59:03,840 --> 00:59:07,880
Speaker 2: I mean McVeigh has owned the Cardinals. Historically, teams off

1134
00:59:07,880 --> 00:59:09,800
Speaker 2: of a loss of seven plus point favorites have been

1135
00:59:09,800 --> 00:59:12,680
Speaker 2: really good to back against the spread. But Cardinals are pasky.

1136
00:59:12,720 --> 00:59:16,120
Speaker 2: They could easily get in the back door here. So

1137
00:59:16,200 --> 00:59:18,600
Speaker 2: I think that line is about right, and I think

1138
00:59:19,200 --> 00:59:20,760
Speaker 2: we covered the rest.

1139
00:59:21,480 --> 00:59:23,560
Speaker 3: Yeah, yeah, and we just got like that money and

1140
00:59:23,600 --> 00:59:26,600
Speaker 3: night came. I'm actually looking forward to that one because

1141
00:59:27,400 --> 00:59:30,120
Speaker 3: I think there's gonna be a lot of opportunities to

1142
00:59:30,120 --> 00:59:32,560
Speaker 3: fade the passing games. And now one don't trust the

1143
00:59:32,600 --> 00:59:35,520
Speaker 3: Eagles and and Hurt to get zone. And for the Cardinals,

1144
00:59:35,720 --> 00:59:37,000
Speaker 3: I mean for the Chargers, we're either going to get

1145
00:59:37,000 --> 00:59:38,960
Speaker 3: a bang up Herbert, who's probably too banged up to play,

1146
00:59:39,000 --> 00:59:41,800
Speaker 3: but he's gonna play anyway against an elite Fangio defense.

1147
00:59:42,160 --> 00:59:45,800
Speaker 3: Or we'll get Trey Lance, who's just like, you know,

1148
00:59:47,480 --> 00:59:49,040
Speaker 3: the same quarterback as the guy on the other side

1149
00:59:49,120 --> 00:59:49,560
Speaker 3: right now.

1150
00:59:49,520 --> 00:59:51,000
Speaker 2: On the Chargers still have no line.

1151
00:59:51,240 --> 00:59:52,680
Speaker 3: Yeah, and the Chargers still have no on line. So

1152
00:59:52,680 --> 00:59:56,440
Speaker 3: that's gonna be a fun game one of us. Johnson. Yeah,

1153
00:59:56,480 --> 00:59:58,560
Speaker 3: so I'm probably gonna have the ride up for that,

1154
00:59:58,640 --> 01:00:01,440
Speaker 3: I think, since you'll probably the Texas sheets since you

1155
01:00:01,440 --> 01:00:04,280
Speaker 3: already have the bet. But yeah, I'm looking forward to

1156
01:00:04,280 --> 01:00:05,680
Speaker 3: that game on Monday night. I will say that that

1157
01:00:05,880 --> 01:00:08,480
Speaker 3: should be a fun one. But that's gonna do it.

1158
01:00:08,520 --> 01:00:12,400
Speaker 3: For our week fourteen Sunday six Pack and Action Network

1159
01:00:12,400 --> 01:00:15,280
Speaker 3: podcast presented by DraftKings again, be sure to check the

1160
01:00:15,320 --> 01:00:18,120
Speaker 3: quick slipwinks in the video and pod description. You can

1161
01:00:18,200 --> 01:00:21,960
Speaker 3: find Stuck on BBOC and the Favorites podcast me on

1162
01:00:22,000 --> 01:00:26,440
Speaker 3: Fantasy Flats with Sean Kerner. Be sure to also follow

1163
01:00:26,800 --> 01:00:30,520
Speaker 3: Playbook on Twitter. Stuck is on Twitter at Stuck, you

1164
01:00:30,520 --> 01:00:33,160
Speaker 3: to him at Chris Raybon Rat. Those same handles in

1165
01:00:33,200 --> 01:00:37,200
Speaker 3: the free award winning Action Network at Until next week,

1166
01:00:37,240 --> 01:00:49,480
Speaker 3: Let's get this Money Go.

1167
01:00:54,320 --> 01:00:58,880
Speaker 1: Action Network reminds you, please gamble responsibly. If you or

1168
01:00:58,880 --> 01:01:01,680
Speaker 1: someone you care about as a gambling problem, help is

1169
01:01:01,680 --> 01:01:04,800
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