1 00:00:00,760 --> 00:00:04,240 Speaker 1: You're listening to Taking Stock with pim Box and Kathleen 2 00:00:04,360 --> 00:00:07,720 Speaker 1: as a long Blueberg Radio. We are at the fourth 3 00:00:07,760 --> 00:00:11,120 Speaker 1: annual Canadian Fixed Income Conference. It is sponsored by National 4 00:00:11,160 --> 00:00:15,800 Speaker 1: Bank of Canada Financial Markets. National Bank of Canada Financial 5 00:00:15,840 --> 00:00:18,279 Speaker 1: Markets is the soul bank whose primary focus is the 6 00:00:18,320 --> 00:00:22,280 Speaker 1: Canadian marketplace. And here to tell us more about banking 7 00:00:22,440 --> 00:00:26,080 Speaker 1: in Canada is Peter Rutledge. He is Managing Director Financial 8 00:00:26,160 --> 00:00:29,920 Speaker 1: Services Research at National Bank Financial Peter Runtlings, thank you 9 00:00:30,040 --> 00:00:31,960 Speaker 1: very much for being with us. Thanks for for having 10 00:00:32,000 --> 00:00:38,000 Speaker 1: me explain to our listeners some of the major differences 11 00:00:38,040 --> 00:00:42,880 Speaker 1: about the composition and structure of the Canadian banking system 12 00:00:43,080 --> 00:00:45,400 Speaker 1: versus let's say, what we may be familiar with here 13 00:00:45,440 --> 00:00:48,240 Speaker 1: in the United States. Well, I mean, the most important 14 00:00:48,240 --> 00:00:50,280 Speaker 1: thing to understand about the difference in the system is 15 00:00:50,320 --> 00:00:53,519 Speaker 1: how they developed over time. Canada, going back to the 16 00:00:53,520 --> 00:00:55,920 Speaker 1: start of the country, has always had a branch banking system, 17 00:00:56,000 --> 00:00:58,480 Speaker 1: so a few large banks located in the center of 18 00:00:58,480 --> 00:01:01,240 Speaker 1: the country who have branches all across the country. We've 19 00:01:01,280 --> 00:01:04,920 Speaker 1: had the equivalent of interstate banking since the country was formed, 20 00:01:04,920 --> 00:01:08,240 Speaker 1: whereas in the United States you have a state based, 21 00:01:08,400 --> 00:01:13,120 Speaker 1: unit based banking system that only recently became UH nationwide. 22 00:01:13,200 --> 00:01:16,279 Speaker 1: And so as a result, we've long had very large, 23 00:01:16,319 --> 00:01:22,440 Speaker 1: systemically important financial institutions control our banking system and as 24 00:01:22,880 --> 00:01:27,920 Speaker 1: and those institutions have been quite profitable, and that profitability 25 00:01:28,000 --> 00:01:30,640 Speaker 1: has acted to stabilize the system. And they and we've 26 00:01:30,680 --> 00:01:35,800 Speaker 1: had generally UH much fewer banking crises and bank failure. 27 00:01:35,880 --> 00:01:39,800 Speaker 1: So since about UH nineteen sixty seven, when our deposit 28 00:01:39,880 --> 00:01:43,080 Speaker 1: insure came into force, there's only been about thirty five 29 00:01:43,160 --> 00:01:45,920 Speaker 1: to forty bank failures. It's amazing. And in fact, during 30 00:01:45,920 --> 00:01:50,480 Speaker 1: the financial crisis, many people pointed to Canada to say, 31 00:01:50,520 --> 00:01:52,720 Speaker 1: you don't need lots of banks to have a stable 32 00:01:52,840 --> 00:01:56,920 Speaker 1: banking system. How are the are the rules different? Are 33 00:01:56,960 --> 00:02:00,880 Speaker 1: the Canadian banks regulated differently? Have you eminated the problem 34 00:02:00,880 --> 00:02:03,040 Speaker 1: of too big to fail? Or is the government just 35 00:02:03,120 --> 00:02:05,600 Speaker 1: always ready to step in and so you're you you 36 00:02:05,720 --> 00:02:07,320 Speaker 1: keep them on a tighter leash? How do you make 37 00:02:07,320 --> 00:02:09,680 Speaker 1: it work in Canada? Right? Well, I think there's general 38 00:02:09,720 --> 00:02:14,240 Speaker 1: acceptance that we have six systemically important institutions. They've long 39 00:02:14,280 --> 00:02:18,320 Speaker 1: been systemically important, and they have long been too important 40 00:02:18,320 --> 00:02:22,960 Speaker 1: to fail. UH. Since up until the financial crisis, the 41 00:02:23,000 --> 00:02:26,320 Speaker 1: authorities sort of accepted a public backstop, So the sovereign 42 00:02:26,440 --> 00:02:30,239 Speaker 1: in effect was always there as a last resort backstop 43 00:02:30,280 --> 00:02:35,360 Speaker 1: to the banking system. Since the crisis came and went, UH, 44 00:02:35,480 --> 00:02:39,240 Speaker 1: the Canadian regulatory system has adopted or is in the 45 00:02:39,240 --> 00:02:45,000 Speaker 1: process of adopting UH global banking regulatory rules around too 46 00:02:45,040 --> 00:02:47,720 Speaker 1: Important to Fail. And now they're trying to bring in 47 00:02:48,520 --> 00:02:51,880 Speaker 1: a private sector backstop to the banking system to replace 48 00:02:51,919 --> 00:02:54,800 Speaker 1: the public sector. What is the trade off if you 49 00:02:54,880 --> 00:02:59,840 Speaker 1: have a government that is implicitly and almost explicitly being 50 00:02:59,840 --> 00:03:03,600 Speaker 1: the backstop, what are the banks trading off in order 51 00:03:03,639 --> 00:03:09,600 Speaker 1: to live under that umbrella? Um? Establishing a private system 52 00:03:09,639 --> 00:03:13,120 Speaker 1: brings in private actors who UH will be acting in 53 00:03:13,160 --> 00:03:15,480 Speaker 1: their own coninecial self interest and they may be they 54 00:03:15,520 --> 00:03:19,480 Speaker 1: may behave unpredictably and so that it introduces an element 55 00:03:20,160 --> 00:03:24,000 Speaker 1: of risk into the system now and that didn't exist 56 00:03:24,480 --> 00:03:29,040 Speaker 1: when the public sector was the backstop. So that's you know, 57 00:03:29,080 --> 00:03:31,960 Speaker 1: what the public sector will have to adapt and they're 58 00:03:31,960 --> 00:03:35,920 Speaker 1: they're adapting the regulatory system for that reality. The benefit 59 00:03:35,960 --> 00:03:39,520 Speaker 1: of it though, is, you know, if the public sector 60 00:03:39,680 --> 00:03:43,600 Speaker 1: is the backstop, typically the public isn't really aware of that, 61 00:03:43,680 --> 00:03:46,360 Speaker 1: and so when you have the public sector enter in 62 00:03:46,360 --> 00:03:50,720 Speaker 1: to protect the payment system that becomes UH. You know 63 00:03:50,800 --> 00:03:55,520 Speaker 1: that that that UH annoys people, annoys the general public 64 00:03:55,760 --> 00:03:57,960 Speaker 1: for understandable reasons because they don't understand they have that 65 00:03:58,000 --> 00:04:01,120 Speaker 1: contingent risk. What this STEM does is it says to 66 00:04:01,160 --> 00:04:04,720 Speaker 1: private sector investors in advance x ANTI before there's a 67 00:04:04,760 --> 00:04:07,920 Speaker 1: banking system crisis, you know you're taking that risk, and 68 00:04:08,000 --> 00:04:10,440 Speaker 1: you can ask to be compensated by the banking systems 69 00:04:10,440 --> 00:04:14,040 Speaker 1: for taking that backstop risk. And that is a better, 70 00:04:14,600 --> 00:04:17,159 Speaker 1: a better way to do it. Couple things I hope 71 00:04:17,160 --> 00:04:18,919 Speaker 1: we can touch on in the couple of minutes we 72 00:04:18,960 --> 00:04:21,960 Speaker 1: have left. The first one would be capital, contingent capital. 73 00:04:22,080 --> 00:04:25,039 Speaker 1: How Canadas deal that? In a in a nutshell, what 74 00:04:25,200 --> 00:04:27,320 Speaker 1: is different about Canada right now? That is so important 75 00:04:27,360 --> 00:04:30,880 Speaker 1: for investors to understand. US banks have a holding company 76 00:04:31,080 --> 00:04:34,600 Speaker 1: company model, and there they're issuing contingent capital through their 77 00:04:34,640 --> 00:04:37,920 Speaker 1: holding company structures and and moving it into the operating company. 78 00:04:38,120 --> 00:04:41,360 Speaker 1: Canadian banking system is structured on an operating company model only, 79 00:04:41,720 --> 00:04:45,080 Speaker 1: so we're having to design contingent capital within the operating company. 80 00:04:45,400 --> 00:04:48,919 Speaker 1: And it just means the conversion mechanism, the recapitalization mechanism 81 00:04:49,000 --> 00:04:53,000 Speaker 1: is different. Housing and we've been speaking to people throughout 82 00:04:53,080 --> 00:04:56,960 Speaker 1: the conference about the housing market in Canada, and there 83 00:04:56,960 --> 00:05:00,200 Speaker 1: are some surprising differences between let's say, take out a 84 00:05:00,240 --> 00:05:02,240 Speaker 1: mortgage in Canada and taking out a mortgage in the 85 00:05:02,279 --> 00:05:05,320 Speaker 1: United States ext pin UH. Some of the differences are 86 00:05:05,960 --> 00:05:10,720 Speaker 1: the longest amortization term is now twenty five years. You 87 00:05:10,760 --> 00:05:12,920 Speaker 1: can get thirty year mortgages, but basically the standard for 88 00:05:13,000 --> 00:05:17,719 Speaker 1: higher risk mortgages it's twenty five years. UH. Second, there's 89 00:05:17,760 --> 00:05:20,839 Speaker 1: no tax deductibility for mortgage interest payments. People are incentive 90 00:05:20,839 --> 00:05:23,160 Speaker 1: financially always to pay down their mortgage and that does 91 00:05:23,279 --> 00:05:28,599 Speaker 1: make a difference. Finally, the Canadian sovereign through UH a 92 00:05:28,720 --> 00:05:33,240 Speaker 1: mortgage insurance subsidiary UH, basically absorbs or takes on the 93 00:05:33,279 --> 00:05:35,440 Speaker 1: credit risk in the mortgage system. So if we had 94 00:05:35,440 --> 00:05:37,440 Speaker 1: a big housing price correction and there are a lot 95 00:05:37,440 --> 00:05:40,360 Speaker 1: of losses around mortgages, it would flow through to the 96 00:05:40,400 --> 00:05:43,000 Speaker 1: mortgage insure that is a sovereign ntity, and so there 97 00:05:43,040 --> 00:05:47,719 Speaker 1: would not be any uh you know, risk around capital 98 00:05:47,760 --> 00:05:49,800 Speaker 1: in the banking system tied to only a house of 99 00:05:49,839 --> 00:05:52,920 Speaker 1: price correction. Well, so thank you for walking us through 100 00:05:53,040 --> 00:05:56,520 Speaker 1: the Canadian banking industry. Some of the key regulations, how 101 00:05:56,520 --> 00:05:58,880 Speaker 1: they're changing how they're working. Peter Rtgage, thank you so 102 00:05:58,960 --> 00:06:01,560 Speaker 1: very much for joining us. He's Managing director for Financial 103 00:06:01,600 --> 00:06:05,479 Speaker 1: Services Research at National Bank of Financial We're live at 104 00:06:05,520 --> 00:06:10,040 Speaker 1: the National Bank of Canada Financial Markets Canadian Fixed Income Conference. 105 00:06:10,040 --> 00:06:12,479 Speaker 1: I'm Kathleen Hayes along with Pen Fox. This is Limberg