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Speaker 1: This episode is brought to you by Love Hurts. Keith

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Speaker 1: week Kwan has had quite a career, from childhood roles

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Speaker 1: in Indiana Jones and the Temple of Doom and The

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Speaker 1: Goonies to a recent Academy Award win for Everything Everywhere,

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Speaker 1: All at Once. But now Keith finally stars as a

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Speaker 1: leading man in the film Love Hurts. Love Hurts is

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Speaker 1: the perfect date night movie with its mix of over

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Speaker 1: the top action comedy and a ton of heart. Love

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Speaker 1: Hurts Only at theaters February seventh.

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Speaker 2: Welcome in episode ninety four, What's Right with Nick Wright,

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Speaker 2: our Week ten NFL gambling show, and a lot of

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Speaker 2: things going on right now. One is this is going

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Speaker 2: to be at this show today is going to be

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Speaker 2: a test of Demanse's ability to lock in and focus,

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Speaker 2: because he is livid right now Cuz after I gave

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Speaker 2: him a hard time a few weeks ago about not

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Speaker 2: having his AirPods, he double checked to make sure he

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Speaker 2: had them on the ride to the studio, and now

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Speaker 2: fears he left them in the ride to the studio.

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Speaker 2: And there is nothing in the world that frustrates my

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Speaker 2: son more than that type of mistake. He is right

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Speaker 2: now on a if he walked out of this studio

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Speaker 2: and got hit by a car, he would not be

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Speaker 2: as frustrated as he is this very moment. And then

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Speaker 2: you add to it the layer of and then we'll

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Speaker 2: talk about the good things going on. You add to

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Speaker 2: the layer of Demonse learned a new gambling lesson last week,

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Speaker 2: which it didn't end up even costing him his bets

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Speaker 2: because after hitting a five team parlay two weeks ago,

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Speaker 2: last week flew a little too close to the sun.

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Speaker 2: Tried some six and seven teamers didn't work, But the

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Speaker 2: first leg to lose of any of those was the Oh,

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Speaker 2: let me just throw row the Bill's money line on there.

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Speaker 2: If this thing's gonna pay ten dollars to win three ten,

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Speaker 2: why not make it ten to win three forty free money.

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Speaker 2: It's not like the Bills can lose the old huge

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Speaker 2: favorite add them on the money line. We ca call

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Speaker 2: that the cousin sALS special. It's what my cousin Sala

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Speaker 2: is known for. So we dealt with that gambling loss.

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Speaker 2: He's now figuring out it does this uber driver have

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Speaker 2: my AirPods or is it somewhere in this here. So

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Speaker 2: there's a lot going on so you know the yin

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Speaker 2: and the yang, if you will, A little rough ninety

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Speaker 2: six hours for the wonderful demons. I, on the other hand,

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Speaker 2: am flying higher than a kite. Last week show the

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Speaker 2: record three one and one after we were in the

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Speaker 2: depths back to back winning weeks, we are now six

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Speaker 2: three and one the last two weeks. Really should be

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Speaker 2: seven to in one the last two weeks, but I

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Speaker 2: got talked out of a good Bengals pick and instead

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Speaker 2: got a bad Vikings pick, or the other way around.

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Speaker 2: Whatever it was two weeks ago. Last week, the Colts

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Speaker 2: plus five and a half against the Patriots. You know

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Speaker 2: what I'm gonna say, I wasn't on the wrong side

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Speaker 2: of that. Let me now. They got annihilated and then

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Speaker 2: they fired their coach and the iied Jeff Saturday, and

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Speaker 2: the whole thing's an embarrassment. My argument there was, I

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Speaker 2: don't see how the Patriots can crack seventeen points. The

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Speaker 2: Patriots kicked four field goals and scored two touchdowns. Here's

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Speaker 2: how they scored their touchdowns, a pick six and a

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Speaker 2: blocked punt that was returned to the two yard line.

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Speaker 2: Their offense did nothing. Atlanta plus three against the Chargers.

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Speaker 2: That's a push that it was stolen from me, the

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Speaker 2: fact that the Chargers pushed that when Atlanta had the

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Speaker 2: ball running up field after a Charger fumbled and then

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Speaker 2: the guy just fundled. Yeah, the ball out of his

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Speaker 2: own hands. Seattle plus two, never a doubt. Baltimore minus

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Speaker 2: two and a half, Never a doubt. And for the

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Speaker 2: second straight week, our lock of the week on national

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Speaker 2: television comes down to the wire and we cover by

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Speaker 2: a half point. Oh my goodness, Green Bay plus ten

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Speaker 2: and a half, followed by Tampa minus two and a half.

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Speaker 2: So we're feeling great. We go four and one this week,

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Speaker 2: and we are above five hundred for the season, but

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Speaker 2: we would be at five hundred by and let you

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Speaker 2: guys make me switch my pick a week ago. But it

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Speaker 2: doesn't matter. We are feeling great. We love this slate,

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Speaker 2: love the slate, and as promised, we're hitting our stride

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Speaker 2: for the stretch run of the year. The goal is

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Speaker 2: on the season to be at fifty eight percent. That

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Speaker 2: would be highly profitable, and then the goal is in

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Speaker 2: the playoffs to be great, So to be at fifty

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Speaker 2: eight percent. Let me do some very quick math here

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Speaker 2: before we get to today's picks. So we're doing five

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Speaker 2: a week. Five times eighteen is ninety, so zero point

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Speaker 2: five eight times ninety we would need fifty two wins.

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Speaker 2: We would need to go fifty two and thirty eight

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Speaker 2: on the season. We are right now twenty one, twenty

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Speaker 2: three and one on the season, so we've got to go.

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Speaker 2: It's gonna be hard. We gotta go essentially thirty. Oh boy,

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Speaker 2: that's good, we gotta go. Let's just try to go

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Speaker 2: thirty and fifteen, thirty and fifteen the rest of the way.

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Speaker 2: Six has sixty seven percent. We can do it four

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Speaker 2: and one weeks, three and two weeks, maybe mix in

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Speaker 2: a five and oh week. I feel this week right

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Speaker 2: here doesn't feel like a five and oh week, but

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Speaker 2: it sure as hell feels like a four and one week.

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Speaker 2: Let's show this. Let's show our first pick. Tennessee minus

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Speaker 2: two and a half at home against Denver. Now, there

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Speaker 2: is some questions about Ryan Tannahill's health. We are recording

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Speaker 2: this on Thursday. We don't yet have the Thursday injury report. However,

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Speaker 2: here is what is going into my pick here. Ryan

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Speaker 2: Tannehill briefly kind of warmed up against the Chiefs game

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Speaker 2: against the Chiefs in that game. That's a good sign.

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Speaker 2: He was not a did not participate in practice. He

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Speaker 2: was a limited participant in practice on Wednesday. So it's

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Speaker 2: trending in the right direction. So if Tannehill, I believe

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Speaker 2: is likely to play, even if it's limited, what on

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Speaker 2: earth would make anyone think the Titans should not be

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Speaker 2: at least four point favorites against Denver. Denver's been awful.

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Speaker 2: I know they're coming off a win in London and

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Speaker 2: then they got the buye. I get that. Tennessee. On

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Speaker 2: the other hand, Derrick Henry has been unstoppable. The biggest

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Speaker 2: mistake they made in that Chiefs game was not giving

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Speaker 2: him the ball. More Malik Willis will either have at

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Speaker 2: least some experience if he is starting, and they'll have

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Speaker 2: more experience figuring out what he can and can't do,

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Speaker 2: or more likely Ryan Tannehills there more importantly, you know

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Speaker 2: exactly what Denver is going to try to do offensively,

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Speaker 2: which is nothing, and then take some deep shots with Russ.

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Speaker 2: That Titans defense, what did it show against the Chiefs?

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Speaker 2: Gave up a ton of yards, but was really good

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Speaker 2: against the Chiefs. And if not for Patrick Mahomes and

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Speaker 2: the Chiefs got no huge plays and not for Patrick

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Speaker 2: Mahomes with his legs, the Chiefs lose that game. Well,

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Speaker 2: Russell Wilson won't run. Biggest plays of the game third

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Speaker 2: and seventeen. Mahomes scrambled third and nine at near the

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Speaker 2: in the red zone. Mahomes scrambled for a touchdown, two

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Speaker 2: point conversion. Mahomes scrambled for that. Russ is not doing that.

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Speaker 2: The Titans are a good team. They're at home. Denver's

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Speaker 2: a bad team. They're on the road. Were laying less

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Speaker 2: than a field goal. We love Tennessee minus two and

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Speaker 2: a half.

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Speaker 3: I think you and other people might be a little

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Speaker 3: bit too high on them because of how they held

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Speaker 3: up against the Chiefs.

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Speaker 2: But it's not just the Chiefs. It's that the previous

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Speaker 2: week against the Texans with no quarterback, with Malik Willis

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Speaker 2: making his first career start, they were up seventeen to three.

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Speaker 2: I know you're like, oh, that's the Texans. The Broncos

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Speaker 2: are not markedly better than the Texans the previous to

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Speaker 2: They're just not previous to that. They beat Indy by

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Speaker 2: two scores, they beat Washington, they beat Indy again, they

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Speaker 2: beat Vegas, now, they're not winning these games by big margins.

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Speaker 2: I don't think they're a dominant team. And at three

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Speaker 2: and a half, I might have pause. Tennessee minus two

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Speaker 2: and a half. Tennessee wins by a field goal. We

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Speaker 2: love it. Next, right, Chicago minus two and a half

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Speaker 2: against Detroit. Okay, so let's talk about the line for

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Speaker 2: a moment, because right now we feel like they're a

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Speaker 2: touch over valued. Here's why we feel like they're a

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Speaker 2: touch overvalued. And is this the game? I hope we

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Speaker 2: have the graphics for it that I was supposed to

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Speaker 2: go to Chicago. There is Chicago minus two and a

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Speaker 2: half against Detroit. Detroit going into that Packer game, was

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Speaker 2: on pace to be the worst defense in the history

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Speaker 2: of the NFL. Points wise, give up more points than

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Speaker 2: any team ever in the history of the NFL. In

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Speaker 2: that Packer game, it's like, oh, the defense turned a corner,

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Speaker 2: did it? Aaron Rodgers at the one yard line through

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Speaker 2: the ball into a defensive lineman's helmet. Aaron Rodgers was

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Speaker 2: then again at the one yard line through an interception

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Speaker 2: on a pass to a left tackle. Aaron Rodgers was

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Speaker 2: then again inside the twenty five through an interception at

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Speaker 2: the goal line once again. They then at the end

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Speaker 2: of the game drove into the red zone and Rodgers

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Speaker 2: missed the pass. So while the Packers were not able

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Speaker 2: to do anything offensively from a points per ppecse, they

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Speaker 2: were able to move the football. And then you have Chicago.

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Speaker 2: Justin Fields now that he is being allowed to run,

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Speaker 2: is one of the most dynamic, threatening players in the

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Speaker 2: entire league. Now he has weaknesses and the Bears defense

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Speaker 2: they trade away Roquan Smith, they trade away, oh, the

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Speaker 2: Robert Quinn. So there are some issues with them defensively.

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Speaker 2: I don't know that Detroit can take advantage of those

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Speaker 2: issues right now that offense has come back down to

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Speaker 2: earth Detroit. They You have two teams that feel very

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Speaker 2: differently about their losses last week. Chicago feels great about

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Speaker 2: its loss. Chicago feels like the refs screwed him at

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Speaker 2: the end. They hung thirty some points on Miami. They

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Speaker 2: finally have an identity on offense. And Detroit didn't lose

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Speaker 2: last week. I misspoke. Chicago feels about their loss motivated Detroit.

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Speaker 2: I wonder with that win against Green Bay, I don't want.

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Speaker 3: To say anything better than they are.

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Speaker 2: Well, it may be a little satisfied. What I know

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Speaker 2: is this a at less than a field goal in

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Speaker 2: Soldier in Soldier Field, when Detroit's offense has been a

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Speaker 2: team that is only dominant when it's at home. I

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Speaker 2: really like Chicago. I like justin fields here Chicago minus

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Speaker 2: two and a half? All right, one more favorite. Then

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Speaker 2: we've got a couple underdog picks. So this to me

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Speaker 2: is a must bet. I understand the Raiders are an embarrassment.

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Speaker 2: I understand they have a worse time holding leads than

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Speaker 2: any team I can remember, and laying six points feels

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Speaker 2: like a lot. However, they are playing a team in

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Speaker 2: the Indianapolis Colts, that fired their play caller and then

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Speaker 2: had the worst offensive performance of any team in football

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Speaker 2: all year last week aginst the Patriots. They then fired

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Speaker 2: Frank Reich and hired a guy who's never been a

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Speaker 2: co at any level but high school out of the

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Speaker 2: ESPN studios in Jeff Saturday. If you are so, I expect,

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Speaker 2: and they promoted to play callers some thirty year old, right,

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Speaker 2: So I expect a number of things from the Colts.

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Speaker 2: One is for the offense. With Sam Ellinger, a sixth round,

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Speaker 2: second year player at quarterback, with nobody left on the

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Speaker 2: offensive staff coming off an impossibly bad performance, I expect

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Speaker 2: the offense to be disjointed, disorganized. That's from the offensive side,

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Speaker 2: from the team as a whole. I expect there to

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Speaker 2: be veterans in that locker room that feel insulted and

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Speaker 2: betrayed by the fact that this team has benched Matt Ryan. Now,

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Speaker 2: he wasn't playing well, but he gives you a better

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Speaker 2: chance to win. Sam Ellinger fired the coach and then

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Speaker 2: brought in this guy. And I think there are going

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Speaker 2: to be guys that have checked out on this season.

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Speaker 2: The Raiders, on the other hand, Josh McDaniels does not

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Speaker 2: want to be one and done. And the Raiders also,

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Speaker 2: three times this year in losses, have been up seventeen points,

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Speaker 2: set up, been up three scores in games they have

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Speaker 2: ultimately lost. Now that's pathetic by them, but it also

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Speaker 2: means they can move the football their wins they have

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Speaker 2: so the Raiders this year. We're up seventeen on Arizona

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Speaker 2: and lost beat Denver by two scores. We're up seventeen

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Speaker 2: on Kansas City and lost beat Houston by three scorers.

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Speaker 2: We're up seventeen on Jacksonville, the prince that was promised.

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Speaker 2: You guys wouldn't let me bet him. I'm very upset

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Speaker 2: with you guys about that, and lost.

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Speaker 3: I mean what I mean, then you end up still

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Speaker 3: betting on them.

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Speaker 2: That was a couple of weeks ago. Two weeks ago,

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Speaker 2: and so the Raiders are gonna move the football the Colts.

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Speaker 2: The question to me is very simple, go ahead.

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Speaker 3: Are we sure that Jeff Saturday isn't a worst coach

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Speaker 3: than Josh McDaniels.

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Speaker 2: Are we sure that he is a worst coach? Yes,

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Speaker 2: I'm sure just out of life Josh McDaniel's not good.

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Speaker 2: But out of principle, this is an opportunity. There are

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Speaker 2: certain opportunities come along. There are no sure things in gambling.

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Speaker 2: I understand that, But I don't know that the Cults

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Speaker 2: are going to be underdogs of less than a touchdown

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Speaker 2: again the rest of the year. If they play Houston again,

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Speaker 2: maybe sure. But the being able to bet against whatever

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Speaker 2: the hell they're doing in Indie and not having to

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Speaker 2: lay a full touchdown is an opportunity we must take.

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Speaker 2: And the real question is do you think the Raiders

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Speaker 2: are getting to seventeen? If the answer is yes, then

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Speaker 2: they cover because the Cultu are not breaking ten. The

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Speaker 2: Cultu are not breaking ten. The Raiders, I believe, are

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Speaker 2: going to blow them out. So I will lay the

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Speaker 2: full six points in Vegas with the Raiders.

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Speaker 3: What's up, Chef Saturday, We're in here. He'd be real

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Speaker 3: fire right now.

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Speaker 2: Oh yeah, listen, he gives a good press conference. The

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Speaker 2: guy's a media professional. I can't well. We talked more

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Speaker 2: on Thursday's pod about that higher so I don't want

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Speaker 2: to spend time on it here. But Vegas minus six,

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Speaker 2: all right, now, a couple of dogs. The Chargers getting

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Speaker 2: a full seven in San Francisco against the Niners. Now,

258
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Speaker 2: the injury report discrepancies here is concerning. The Chargers are

259
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Speaker 2: super banged up. The Niners are getting healthy, however, and

260
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Speaker 2: the Chargers not being able to defend the run for

261
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Speaker 2: a couple of years. The Niners are just gonna want

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Speaker 2: to run the football. I understand all of them. With

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Speaker 2: that said, the Chargers are sneaky alive for the AFC West. Still,

264
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Speaker 2: they have five wins, the Chiefs have six. The Chargers

265
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Speaker 2: escaped with the victory last week. They're not going to

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Speaker 2: roll over, and the Chargers know that in the AFC.

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Speaker 2: They're not gonna win the AFC West. So for the AFC,

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Speaker 2: what final the wild card spots? You're going to have

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Speaker 2: the Dolphins, the Jets, the Bengals, and the Chargers. Those

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Speaker 2: four teams fighting with only one spot available. Those four

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Speaker 2: teams fighting, I'm sorry, with only three spots available. One

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Speaker 2: of those teams is what I'm trying to say, is

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Speaker 2: not going to make It is a critically important game.

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Speaker 2: I do not think they win out right, but I

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Speaker 2: do think that this is a game they could win

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Speaker 2: out right. They have the better quarterback by far, and

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Speaker 2: I expect it to be close and worst case scenario

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Speaker 2: of the Niners being up big, the Chargers have the

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Speaker 2: firepower and the offense even with the injuries where they

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Speaker 2: can backdoor cover. Seven is too many points. This is

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Speaker 2: not a game we're gonna tease. This is not this

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Speaker 2: is a stay away on the teaser stuff. But the

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Speaker 2: Charge getting a full seven in San Francisco, it's too

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Speaker 2: many points. It should be San Francisco minus six, san

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Speaker 2: Francisco minus five and a half, the full sevens two

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Speaker 2: attractives pass up. We're jumping on it. Speaking of too

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Speaker 2: many points, final game of the weekend that we're picking

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Speaker 2: Washington plus eleven against Philly. Washington is frisky with Taylor Heinek.

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Speaker 2: Philly has not been They've not trailed in the second

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Speaker 2: half this year. It's pretty amazing. This is a divisional game,

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Speaker 2: it's national television. These types of games are not blowouts.

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Speaker 2: And Washington again, the full eleven is like the ten

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Speaker 2: and a half with green Bay, where even a game

294
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Speaker 2: like green Bay Buffalo that is a blowout, you're still

295
00:17:53,200 --> 00:17:57,320
Speaker 2: almost always just one touchdown drive away from covering. I

296
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Speaker 2: don't think Washington can win, but I also think Washington

297
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Speaker 2: is looking at it like we are absolutely alive for

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Speaker 2: the playoffs. I don't view them as alive for the playoffs,

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Speaker 2: but from a record.

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Speaker 3: Perspective, undefeated team, well, they got nothing to lose.

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Speaker 2: I mean everyone is going to get Philly is gonna

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Speaker 2: get everyone's best shot. It's a divisional game. It's too

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Speaker 2: many points. It's the only significant favorite of the weekend.

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Speaker 2: That's the other part of this that to me is

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00:18:27,560 --> 00:18:31,400
Speaker 2: just wild, is that there are now that and we'll

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Speaker 2: talk more about it later. Now that there's questions about

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Speaker 2: Josh Allen's availability, Buffalo is not a big favorite. The

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00:18:38,000 --> 00:18:40,880
Speaker 2: Chiefs are a near double digit favorite, and the only

309
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Speaker 2: other big favorite is Philly. It's too many points for

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Speaker 2: a divisional matchup for a team that's not a terrible team.

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Speaker 2: Washington plus eleven. So our five picks this week where

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Speaker 2: he got two favorites of less than a field goal

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Speaker 2: at home Tennessee minus two and a half in Chicago,

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Speaker 2: minus two and a half against two awful teams Denver

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Speaker 2: in Detroit. We have one favorite of nearly a touchdown

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Speaker 2: but less than a touchdown against a team that clearly

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Speaker 2: wants to tank and is in total upheaval and Indy.

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Speaker 2: And then we're grabbing the points with the Chargers plus

319
00:19:13,240 --> 00:19:16,760
Speaker 2: a full seven against I'm getting seven points and I

320
00:19:16,800 --> 00:19:20,160
Speaker 2: have the better quarterback. I like that. And then Washington,

321
00:19:20,240 --> 00:19:22,280
Speaker 2: it's just too many points. Way it should be a

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00:19:22,359 --> 00:19:24,960
Speaker 2: nine and a half point line. It's an eleven point line.

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Speaker 2: Washington plus eleven. By the way, someone sent me the

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Speaker 2: clip the last time I did this about a nationally

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00:19:32,200 --> 00:19:34,719
Speaker 2: televised game where a team was just getting too many points,

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00:19:35,240 --> 00:19:39,360
Speaker 2: the Bills Packers game. Someone sent me the clip. I

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00:19:39,480 --> 00:19:44,280
Speaker 2: nailed it to the number. Like I said, there's absolutely

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Speaker 2: a scenario where this thing ends twenty seven seventeen with

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Speaker 2: Green Bay back door covering, and it ended twenty seven

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Speaker 2: to seventeen. Now, those bets you haven't yet experienced, and

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Speaker 2: you're not gonna believe the odds on them because they're

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Speaker 2: almost impossible to win.

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00:20:01,960 --> 00:20:05,159
Speaker 3: Oh, the guessing final score, the exact score.

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00:20:05,200 --> 00:20:08,120
Speaker 2: Bets that pay like one hundred to one is two

335
00:20:08,200 --> 00:20:10,760
Speaker 2: hundred to one. Those seam right up your alley. So

336
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Speaker 2: there's our five picks for the week. We got another

337
00:20:13,320 --> 00:20:15,600
Speaker 2: dozen games to go through. We'll put them in our

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Speaker 2: four categories, Stay away, be careful, and perfectly priced. That's next,

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00:20:19,320 --> 00:20:19,800
Speaker 2: What's right.

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00:20:26,760 --> 00:20:29,520
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Speaker 2: All right, welcome back in What's right, Nick? Right, we

349
00:20:57,520 --> 00:20:59,800
Speaker 2: just gave you our five picks this week. Tennessee minus

350
00:20:59,800 --> 00:21:02,320
Speaker 2: too af, Chicago minus two and a half, Vegas minus six,

351
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Speaker 2: Chargers plus seven, and Washington plus eleven. There's you guys

352
00:21:06,600 --> 00:21:09,440
Speaker 2: will have already seen Thursday Night Football. I was kind

353
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Speaker 2: of upset last week because Thursday Night Football last week

354
00:21:12,600 --> 00:21:15,280
Speaker 2: I nailed. But we don't do those picks anymore because

355
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Speaker 2: people have already seen the game. But Thursday Night last week,

356
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Speaker 2: I said on the show, I just thought it was

357
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Speaker 2: too many points with the Eagles against the Texans, and

358
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Speaker 2: I think it was ended up going off at thirteen

359
00:21:26,400 --> 00:21:29,440
Speaker 2: and a half. The Texans lost by twelve. This week,

360
00:21:29,600 --> 00:21:31,840
Speaker 2: the game that will have already been played is Atlanta

361
00:21:32,200 --> 00:21:34,800
Speaker 2: laying two and a half at the Panthers. I would

362
00:21:34,840 --> 00:21:37,600
Speaker 2: like Atlanta here, but we're not. We're not doing anything

363
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Speaker 2: on that game, but just to get on the record,

364
00:21:39,920 --> 00:21:44,480
Speaker 2: I would like Atlanta here. All right, stay aways three

365
00:21:44,520 --> 00:21:49,560
Speaker 2: games Seattle and Tampa, Minnesota and Buffalo and Arizona and

366
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Speaker 2: the Rams, and I'll explain why those are our three

367
00:21:52,200 --> 00:21:56,760
Speaker 2: stay away games in order. Right now, Seattle is getting

368
00:21:57,040 --> 00:22:00,639
Speaker 2: two and a half points against Tampa in Germany. You

369
00:22:00,640 --> 00:22:03,680
Speaker 2: you want me to pick Seattle, correct Demanse? Yeah?

370
00:22:03,720 --> 00:22:04,960
Speaker 3: As always you like.

371
00:22:04,960 --> 00:22:09,439
Speaker 2: Seattle here, Yeah, I understand that. Why am I staying

372
00:22:09,480 --> 00:22:13,080
Speaker 2: away from this game because of the flight? Because of

373
00:22:13,119 --> 00:22:18,359
Speaker 2: the flight? I know you're laughing. Okay. This is a

374
00:22:18,440 --> 00:22:21,359
Speaker 2: good reminder for all our friends out there that bet

375
00:22:21,400 --> 00:22:26,159
Speaker 2: these games. You don't have to bet every game. Why

376
00:22:26,200 --> 00:22:31,520
Speaker 2: would you want to bet the first game ever played

377
00:22:31,560 --> 00:22:36,440
Speaker 2: in Germany? We don't know what the impact. We literally

378
00:22:36,800 --> 00:22:41,159
Speaker 2: have no proof of concept, no history to lean on, nothing.

379
00:22:41,000 --> 00:22:43,880
Speaker 3: So we're trusting Taylor Heineke in primetime, but not Seattle

380
00:22:43,880 --> 00:22:45,399
Speaker 3: Seahawks because of their long flight.

381
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Speaker 2: What I am saying is that there is so much unknowns.

382
00:22:53,119 --> 00:22:56,760
Speaker 2: We have never seen an NFL team have to play

383
00:22:56,760 --> 00:23:00,920
Speaker 2: a game having traveled this far. It's the furthest any

384
00:23:01,000 --> 00:23:04,480
Speaker 2: team has traveled in the history of professional football to

385
00:23:04,520 --> 00:23:08,919
Speaker 2: play a football game, Seattle to Germany. Why would I

386
00:23:08,960 --> 00:23:11,679
Speaker 2: bet it? Now? You might say, well, in that case,

387
00:23:12,000 --> 00:23:14,399
Speaker 2: why aren't you just betting Tampa? Because I don't know.

388
00:23:14,440 --> 00:23:17,640
Speaker 2: Maybe it won't affect him at all. That is why

389
00:23:17,680 --> 00:23:21,199
Speaker 2: we have the stay away category. Total unknown about the

390
00:23:21,240 --> 00:23:24,360
Speaker 2: impact of the flight. We are staying away from it.

391
00:23:24,359 --> 00:23:29,160
Speaker 2: It also feels like they are daring you to pick Seattle.

392
00:23:29,720 --> 00:23:33,000
Speaker 2: That's almost why I put in the be careful category

393
00:23:33,400 --> 00:23:37,560
Speaker 2: that Seattle is getting points against the Tampa team that's

394
00:23:37,600 --> 00:23:39,680
Speaker 2: looked like a mess all year. All right, next one,

395
00:23:40,000 --> 00:23:45,800
Speaker 2: Minnesota Buffalo. This game started Buffalo eight and a half, alright,

396
00:23:46,800 --> 00:23:50,240
Speaker 2: that in the look aheadline. It Then after the Bills

397
00:23:50,280 --> 00:23:52,119
Speaker 2: lost to the Jets, went to seven and a half.

398
00:23:52,560 --> 00:23:55,119
Speaker 2: Then Josh Allen's injury news came out. It dropped a

399
00:23:55,160 --> 00:23:57,240
Speaker 2: four and a half. Now it's three and a half.

400
00:23:58,200 --> 00:24:06,159
Speaker 2: This if comes Sunday Josh Allen is ruled out, I

401
00:24:06,240 --> 00:24:10,560
Speaker 2: would obviously immediately bet Minnesota. I think it might move

402
00:24:10,560 --> 00:24:12,560
Speaker 2: all the way to a pick them in that circumstance.

403
00:24:12,760 --> 00:24:15,399
Speaker 2: But the Bills can't run the football, their defense is

404
00:24:15,400 --> 00:24:19,000
Speaker 2: banged up. But because there is a real question about

405
00:24:19,000 --> 00:24:23,600
Speaker 2: the health of the Bill's most important offensive player by

406
00:24:23,640 --> 00:24:28,080
Speaker 2: a mile, you can't. I can't handicap this. If Josh

407
00:24:28,080 --> 00:24:32,720
Speaker 2: Allen plays Buffalo minus three and the line will move again.

408
00:24:33,040 --> 00:24:36,520
Speaker 2: But right now, if you knew what Josh Allen's playing

409
00:24:36,560 --> 00:24:39,119
Speaker 2: status is, you could get three points of value in

410
00:24:39,160 --> 00:24:42,040
Speaker 2: either direction. If Josh Allen's playing, it should be bills

411
00:24:42,040 --> 00:24:44,159
Speaker 2: minus seven. If he's not playing, it should be a

412
00:24:44,160 --> 00:24:47,280
Speaker 2: pick him. We don't know, so we're staying away and

413
00:24:47,320 --> 00:24:48,719
Speaker 2: the exact the go ahead.

414
00:24:48,760 --> 00:24:50,400
Speaker 3: So am I crazy for thinking the seven to one

415
00:24:50,440 --> 00:24:52,960
Speaker 3: Vikings aren't a bad pick even if Josh Allen does play.

416
00:24:53,280 --> 00:24:55,639
Speaker 2: Well, they are a bad pick at plus three and

417
00:24:55,680 --> 00:24:58,560
Speaker 2: a half if Allan plays, because you could have gotten

418
00:24:58,600 --> 00:25:02,639
Speaker 2: it seven and a half on Monday morning, So you

419
00:25:02,720 --> 00:25:05,399
Speaker 2: just you can't give up four points a line value.

420
00:25:05,600 --> 00:25:09,800
Speaker 2: The if you like the Vikings even if Allen plays,

421
00:25:10,240 --> 00:25:11,920
Speaker 2: then you wait until Sunday.

422
00:25:12,000 --> 00:25:13,720
Speaker 3: I lost the Jets with Josh.

423
00:25:13,880 --> 00:25:17,840
Speaker 2: Yeah, I understand, But my point is this, if you

424
00:25:17,920 --> 00:25:20,800
Speaker 2: think the Vikings can cover even if Allen plays, then

425
00:25:20,920 --> 00:25:24,199
Speaker 2: wait till it's announced that he's playing and get the

426
00:25:24,280 --> 00:25:26,880
Speaker 2: extra points. Yeah, you know, or even if you want

427
00:25:26,920 --> 00:25:29,000
Speaker 2: to beat him on the money line, get the extra value.

428
00:25:29,080 --> 00:25:32,200
Speaker 2: Like it's just too early and that by the will

429
00:25:32,240 --> 00:25:35,840
Speaker 2: be very quick. On Arizona, the Rams neither quarterback practice yesterday.

430
00:25:36,440 --> 00:25:40,560
Speaker 2: The stafford's in concussion protocol out of nowhere, so he's

431
00:25:40,600 --> 00:25:43,240
Speaker 2: probably not gonna play. They had to walk through yesterday.

432
00:25:43,240 --> 00:25:46,200
Speaker 2: In Arizona, Kyler was a non participant in the walk

433
00:25:46,280 --> 00:25:48,480
Speaker 2: through where they said he wouldn't have been a participant

434
00:25:48,520 --> 00:25:50,560
Speaker 2: in practice. Now, didn't a new call of duty come out?

435
00:25:50,640 --> 00:25:50,720
Speaker 1: Yes?

436
00:25:50,800 --> 00:25:53,200
Speaker 3: Date, Yeah, there was an update.

437
00:25:53,400 --> 00:25:56,520
Speaker 2: This is we don't know who's playing quarterback for either team.

438
00:25:56,760 --> 00:25:59,000
Speaker 2: We're staying away. It's very simple. I'm not going to

439
00:25:59,040 --> 00:26:01,440
Speaker 2: spend time handicapping that we don't know I was playing quarterback,

440
00:26:01,480 --> 00:26:06,760
Speaker 2: all right, Be careful Jags at the Chiefs, Houston, at

441
00:26:06,800 --> 00:26:12,040
Speaker 2: the Giants in Cleveland, at Miami. So we're being careful

442
00:26:12,920 --> 00:26:15,240
Speaker 2: on Jags at Chiefs. What you look skeptical on?

443
00:26:15,480 --> 00:26:17,800
Speaker 3: I mean, it's the Jags and the Chiefs. How do

444
00:26:17,840 --> 00:26:19,920
Speaker 3: you not bet a single side there? It's the prince

445
00:26:19,960 --> 00:26:21,800
Speaker 3: that was promising your boy, Patrick Mahomes.

446
00:26:21,800 --> 00:26:26,520
Speaker 2: Okay, so one of my flaws with gambling is I

447
00:26:26,600 --> 00:26:29,639
Speaker 2: won't bet against the Chiefs. I'll either bet on them

448
00:26:29,680 --> 00:26:34,840
Speaker 2: or stay away. Okay, obviously, you know the prince that

449
00:26:34,920 --> 00:26:37,679
Speaker 2: was promised ketchup. That'd be a double negative. That almost

450
00:26:37,720 --> 00:26:40,879
Speaker 2: ten points would be fun. You guys have banned me

451
00:26:40,920 --> 00:26:44,200
Speaker 2: from betting the Jaguars. However, here's why I'm saying, be careful.

452
00:26:45,280 --> 00:26:49,919
Speaker 2: Everybody thinks the Jags think the Chiefs are coming off

453
00:26:49,960 --> 00:26:52,600
Speaker 2: a game where Mahomes was great, but the offense wasn't explosive.

454
00:26:53,680 --> 00:26:57,280
Speaker 2: The whole world's gonna lay the nine and a half.

455
00:26:57,840 --> 00:27:02,040
Speaker 2: The Chiefs have not been a great team on spreads

456
00:27:02,080 --> 00:27:05,880
Speaker 2: more than a touchdown. They're great at covering medium spreads,

457
00:27:06,280 --> 00:27:09,680
Speaker 2: big spreads, they have not been great at that. They

458
00:27:09,760 --> 00:27:13,359
Speaker 2: their blowouts have come against teams they had, you know,

459
00:27:13,480 --> 00:27:18,640
Speaker 2: Arizona minus five, Tampa minus three. When they are expected

460
00:27:18,680 --> 00:27:21,840
Speaker 2: in Tennessee, they're by fourteen. Damnar lost the game. Yeah,

461
00:27:21,880 --> 00:27:24,840
Speaker 2: So to me, it is a state. It is a

462
00:27:24,880 --> 00:27:27,320
Speaker 2: be careful because they're daring you to bet the Chiefs

463
00:27:27,320 --> 00:27:29,119
Speaker 2: because you don't have to lay the full ten And

464
00:27:29,200 --> 00:27:35,639
Speaker 2: the next two are vintage be carefuls. Houston getting only

465
00:27:35,800 --> 00:27:40,080
Speaker 2: four and a half, the Giants having to lay even six,

466
00:27:40,840 --> 00:27:44,560
Speaker 2: the Giants coming off a buye having to lay not

467
00:27:44,640 --> 00:27:47,400
Speaker 2: even six, a six and two team against a team

468
00:27:47,520 --> 00:27:49,960
Speaker 2: many people believe is the worst team in football. I

469
00:27:50,000 --> 00:27:53,840
Speaker 2: am telling you right now, everyone is gonna be on Houston.

470
00:27:53,840 --> 00:27:55,919
Speaker 3: Well, the Giants gonna start getting some respect. Man, This

471
00:27:56,119 --> 00:27:57,640
Speaker 3: is like one of the worst teams in the league

472
00:27:57,720 --> 00:28:02,000
Speaker 3: right now. And the yeah yeah, yeah yeah.

473
00:28:02,400 --> 00:28:06,320
Speaker 2: So here's the thing, You're fine. Uh. I think the

474
00:28:06,359 --> 00:28:09,959
Speaker 2: Giants are a good team with a bad quarterback, But

475
00:28:10,040 --> 00:28:14,880
Speaker 2: this I would feel better about betting the Giants. Sounds dumb,

476
00:28:14,920 --> 00:28:17,440
Speaker 2: but this is why we created Be Careful. I would

477
00:28:17,440 --> 00:28:22,000
Speaker 2: feel better about betting the Giants minus six than minus

478
00:28:22,000 --> 00:28:24,520
Speaker 2: four and a half. Minus four and a half seems

479
00:28:24,560 --> 00:28:29,960
Speaker 2: like such a trap. It feels like Vegas is begging

480
00:28:30,000 --> 00:28:33,520
Speaker 2: you to bet the Giants. The exact same thing with

481
00:28:33,600 --> 00:28:39,160
Speaker 2: this next game, Cleveland at Miami. So Miami's undefeated with Tua,

482
00:28:39,640 --> 00:28:45,080
Speaker 2: the offense scores thirty points at will. Cleveland's offense, aside

483
00:28:45,120 --> 00:28:49,920
Speaker 2: from Nick Chubb, can do nothing. It's in Miami and

484
00:28:49,960 --> 00:28:53,080
Speaker 2: it's only three and a half. Do you is there

485
00:28:53,120 --> 00:28:57,840
Speaker 2: gonna be any what percent of the gambling public is

486
00:28:57,840 --> 00:29:00,600
Speaker 2: gonna be on the Giants and gonna be on Miami

487
00:29:00,880 --> 00:29:05,600
Speaker 2: seventy five percent? Eighty percent? Anyone feel great about betting

488
00:29:05,680 --> 00:29:10,239
Speaker 2: Jacoby Brissett versus that offense and you're only getting three

489
00:29:10,280 --> 00:29:12,600
Speaker 2: and a half points. The answer is no. So all

490
00:29:12,680 --> 00:29:17,000
Speaker 2: three of those games, particularly the Giants in Miami, Vegas

491
00:29:17,080 --> 00:29:22,240
Speaker 2: is daring you or begging you to bet the favor.

492
00:29:23,120 --> 00:29:26,960
Speaker 2: That's why we created Be carefuls and again, we would

493
00:29:27,000 --> 00:29:30,280
Speaker 2: have a better record this year if the be careful category.

494
00:29:30,600 --> 00:29:33,880
Speaker 2: We simply had the courage to take the other side,

495
00:29:34,000 --> 00:29:36,840
Speaker 2: to take Cleveland plus three and a half, to take

496
00:29:37,200 --> 00:29:39,240
Speaker 2: Houston plus four and a half. We don't have that

497
00:29:39,320 --> 00:29:42,280
Speaker 2: much courage. But I know a trap line when I

498
00:29:42,320 --> 00:29:45,520
Speaker 2: see one. Everyone felt like it should have been Giants

499
00:29:45,520 --> 00:29:48,240
Speaker 2: minus six, and that it should be Miami minus seven.

500
00:29:48,520 --> 00:29:50,560
Speaker 2: The fact that it's Giants minus four and a half

501
00:29:50,760 --> 00:29:54,240
Speaker 2: Miami minus three and a half, to me, it's not value.

502
00:29:54,360 --> 00:29:57,120
Speaker 2: It's a trap. We're staying away. And then the last

503
00:29:57,200 --> 00:30:00,400
Speaker 2: two perfectly priced. One I don't care about it, and

504
00:30:00,440 --> 00:30:03,000
Speaker 2: the others actually pretty interesting, but I think they priced

505
00:30:03,000 --> 00:30:05,280
Speaker 2: it just right. New Orleans at Pittsburgh's the one I

506
00:30:05,320 --> 00:30:07,440
Speaker 2: don't care about at all, Pittsburgh getting a point and

507
00:30:07,480 --> 00:30:10,120
Speaker 2: a half. We'll see if what TJ. Watt's status is.

508
00:30:10,280 --> 00:30:13,400
Speaker 2: New Orleans stinks both these offensive stink is gonna be

509
00:30:13,400 --> 00:30:15,560
Speaker 2: a terrible No one's gonna watch this game. I don't

510
00:30:15,600 --> 00:30:16,800
Speaker 2: want to spend any more time on it. I don't

511
00:30:16,800 --> 00:30:18,640
Speaker 2: even know it's perfectly priced. I just know I didn't

512
00:30:18,640 --> 00:30:20,520
Speaker 2: want to spend the time handicapping it. I'm out on

513
00:30:20,560 --> 00:30:22,840
Speaker 2: that game. No interest in watching it or gambling on.

514
00:30:23,560 --> 00:30:24,959
Speaker 2: Is there anything you want to say?

515
00:30:24,960 --> 00:30:27,240
Speaker 3: Mike Tomlin has covered eighty three percent of his games

516
00:30:27,480 --> 00:30:31,040
Speaker 3: as a home underdog. Andy Dalton is the road dog favorite.

517
00:30:31,080 --> 00:30:34,200
Speaker 2: Pittsburgh is off the by. You're missing on this one,

518
00:30:35,040 --> 00:30:37,040
Speaker 2: all right? This is the second time you've given me

519
00:30:37,120 --> 00:30:41,280
Speaker 2: Mike Tomlin news that I didn't know about. Yeah, that

520
00:30:41,480 --> 00:30:44,560
Speaker 2: is fascinating. He's covered eighty three percent of his name

521
00:30:44,800 --> 00:30:48,840
Speaker 2: great coach dog, eighty three percent of big number. I

522
00:30:48,960 --> 00:30:49,479
Speaker 2: might you know what?

523
00:30:49,520 --> 00:30:50,920
Speaker 3: I think that also happens to be the best in

524
00:30:51,000 --> 00:30:52,680
Speaker 3: NFL history.

525
00:30:52,840 --> 00:30:55,960
Speaker 2: Wow, I might be missing on this one. I maybe

526
00:30:55,960 --> 00:30:58,960
Speaker 2: should include Pittsburgh. You know what I told you. I

527
00:30:59,000 --> 00:31:01,160
Speaker 2: didn't want to handicap it. I didn't investigate it. I

528
00:31:01,240 --> 00:31:03,040
Speaker 2: just threw them perfectly priced because I wanted to move

529
00:31:03,040 --> 00:31:04,960
Speaker 2: on from it, and I wanted to talk Dallas green Bay.

530
00:31:05,000 --> 00:31:08,880
Speaker 2: But that's a fun fact. So Dallas at green Bay.

531
00:31:08,920 --> 00:31:11,280
Speaker 2: The reason I think this is perfectly priced is you

532
00:31:11,440 --> 00:31:16,400
Speaker 2: can't make Green Bay a full touchdown underdog at home

533
00:31:16,640 --> 00:31:19,960
Speaker 2: when they are desperate. With that said, I don't see

534
00:31:19,960 --> 00:31:21,440
Speaker 2: how Green Bay is going to be able to move

535
00:31:21,440 --> 00:31:24,680
Speaker 2: the football against that Dallas defense. So I feel like

536
00:31:24,760 --> 00:31:27,360
Speaker 2: four would be too little. I feel like seven would

537
00:31:27,400 --> 00:31:30,040
Speaker 2: be too much. Five or six is just right. I

538
00:31:30,040 --> 00:31:34,760
Speaker 2: think they vegas. I expect this to be a twenty

539
00:31:34,880 --> 00:31:40,200
Speaker 2: one seventeen, twenty one fourteen type of game that Dallas

540
00:31:40,280 --> 00:31:43,960
Speaker 2: wins twenty four to seventeen, twenty four to twenty right

541
00:31:44,040 --> 00:31:46,800
Speaker 2: in there in that you know, four, five, six, seven

542
00:31:46,840 --> 00:31:48,760
Speaker 2: point range. So I think five is the right number.

543
00:31:48,840 --> 00:31:52,160
Speaker 3: So you see Rodgers losing six in a row evening.

544
00:31:51,840 --> 00:31:54,719
Speaker 2: Absolutely, I think the Packers stink, and I think Rogers

545
00:31:54,800 --> 00:31:57,440
Speaker 2: might be cooked. We talked about that on Thursday show.

546
00:31:57,680 --> 00:32:00,000
Speaker 2: So there it is. So we've got our three category

547
00:32:00,360 --> 00:32:03,920
Speaker 2: stay away from Seattle, Tampa, Minnesota, Buffalo and Arizona and

548
00:32:03,960 --> 00:32:06,880
Speaker 2: the Rams be careful laying the nine and a half

549
00:32:06,960 --> 00:32:08,680
Speaker 2: with the Chiefs, the four and a half with the Giants,

550
00:32:08,720 --> 00:32:12,200
Speaker 2: with the three and a half with Miami, and perfectly priced.

551
00:32:12,520 --> 00:32:16,160
Speaker 2: Maybe I missed on Pittsburgh. It sounds like Demanse and

552
00:32:16,200 --> 00:32:19,640
Speaker 2: our producers had some good Pittsburgh numbers and Dallas Green Bay.

553
00:32:19,920 --> 00:32:22,120
Speaker 2: Everyone's gonna watch it. You don't need to gamble on it.

554
00:32:22,160 --> 00:32:25,080
Speaker 2: All right. We are red hot on these locks. I

555
00:32:25,120 --> 00:32:28,080
Speaker 2: can't remember the last time we didn't get a lock right,

556
00:32:28,360 --> 00:32:31,880
Speaker 2: We'll give you our lock. We'll see Demanse unfortunately not

557
00:32:32,000 --> 00:32:34,080
Speaker 2: red hot on his picks. We'll see if he has picks.

558
00:32:34,400 --> 00:32:39,280
Speaker 2: We'll update you on the half a million dollar Survivor

559
00:32:39,320 --> 00:32:42,760
Speaker 2: pool I'm in because we have a call it interesting update.

560
00:32:42,960 --> 00:32:45,640
Speaker 2: We'll do all that. All that's as we wrap up

561
00:32:46,080 --> 00:32:48,400
Speaker 2: episode ninety four of the Week ten Gambling Show on

562
00:32:48,440 --> 00:32:57,280
Speaker 2: What's Right? All right? Final segment, quick segment here recapping

563
00:32:57,320 --> 00:32:58,840
Speaker 2: our picks and giving you a lock of the week

564
00:32:58,880 --> 00:33:02,840
Speaker 2: and update on Survivor. So our picks this week Tennessee

565
00:33:02,880 --> 00:33:06,160
Speaker 2: minus two and a half, Chicago minus two and a half,

566
00:33:06,360 --> 00:33:10,479
Speaker 2: Vegas minus six, Chargers plus seven, Washington plus eleven. Now,

567
00:33:10,520 --> 00:33:12,680
Speaker 2: I know what the right move is gonna be. I

568
00:33:12,800 --> 00:33:14,360
Speaker 2: know what our lock of the week is gonna be.

569
00:33:14,440 --> 00:33:17,960
Speaker 2: But of those demands, do you have one that jumps

570
00:33:17,960 --> 00:33:20,400
Speaker 2: out to you? Is there one that you think should

571
00:33:20,400 --> 00:33:23,920
Speaker 2: be the right move of our five picks this week?

572
00:33:24,760 --> 00:33:26,680
Speaker 2: You steered me right a couple of weeks ago. So

573
00:33:26,760 --> 00:33:29,240
Speaker 2: I'll listen to you. I know what I'm going with. Actually,

574
00:33:29,320 --> 00:33:31,160
Speaker 2: I won't be listening to you. I just want to

575
00:33:31,200 --> 00:33:34,320
Speaker 2: see if one of them jumps out to you. Is

576
00:33:34,360 --> 00:33:38,720
Speaker 2: there one I need an answer? Chicago. That's what I

577
00:33:38,840 --> 00:33:42,480
Speaker 2: was going with. Oh, Demonse's really sad about his AirPods

578
00:33:42,560 --> 00:33:46,920
Speaker 2: right now. He's very disappointed. He's gonna rally Chicago minus

579
00:33:46,920 --> 00:33:49,440
Speaker 2: two and a half against Detroit. That was gonna be

580
00:33:49,480 --> 00:33:52,400
Speaker 2: the right move. That is the right move. You know what,

581
00:33:52,520 --> 00:33:55,800
Speaker 2: I can't believe we're locking up Chicago. But the other

582
00:33:55,880 --> 00:34:00,320
Speaker 2: thing that Justin Field's emergence has done, it is a

583
00:34:00,320 --> 00:34:04,800
Speaker 2: little mayhem with my planned out Survivor picks. Because my

584
00:34:04,840 --> 00:34:07,720
Speaker 2: plan was to fade Chicago as much as possible. You

585
00:34:07,920 --> 00:34:11,440
Speaker 2: have to switch that in Survivor to fading Indy as

586
00:34:11,480 --> 00:34:16,960
Speaker 2: much as possible. Amazingly, However, I don't have the Raiders

587
00:34:17,000 --> 00:34:20,759
Speaker 2: available this week because the Raiders, even though they only

588
00:34:20,760 --> 00:34:23,279
Speaker 2: have two wins and I'm still alive in Survivor, I

589
00:34:23,320 --> 00:34:29,520
Speaker 2: already used them. So Indy, they do play Philadelphia next week.

590
00:34:30,200 --> 00:34:33,919
Speaker 2: That feels like pretty good Survivor pick if you still

591
00:34:33,920 --> 00:34:36,840
Speaker 2: have Philly available. They played Dallas in a few weeks,

592
00:34:37,000 --> 00:34:40,440
Speaker 2: and Indy's gonna be an absolute mess. Speaking of Survivor,

593
00:34:42,440 --> 00:34:45,880
Speaker 2: it's now down to one hundred and twelve people. It

594
00:34:45,920 --> 00:34:52,360
Speaker 2: would have been down to eighty exactly if the Chiefs

595
00:34:52,360 --> 00:34:56,279
Speaker 2: had lost, I did not have the Chiefs. If you

596
00:34:56,320 --> 00:34:59,560
Speaker 2: want to know how narrow deep my Chiefs loyalty goes,

597
00:35:00,160 --> 00:35:03,720
Speaker 2: it's half a million dollars to win this Survivor pool,

598
00:35:04,520 --> 00:35:07,920
Speaker 2: I would have knocked out thirty percent of the field

599
00:35:08,400 --> 00:35:11,280
Speaker 2: down to eighty people. Now you're talking with a real chance,

600
00:35:12,400 --> 00:35:14,040
Speaker 2: and I was still pulling for the Chiefs with all

601
00:35:14,080 --> 00:35:16,359
Speaker 2: my heart. I'll win Survivor without it. I don't need

602
00:35:16,400 --> 00:35:19,759
Speaker 2: those thirty two knockout. This week's an interesting survivor week

603
00:35:19,760 --> 00:35:23,120
Speaker 2: in the pool I'm in, though only twelve people have

604
00:35:23,239 --> 00:35:27,280
Speaker 2: Philadelphia available, so one hundred people and only like forty

605
00:35:27,280 --> 00:35:30,160
Speaker 2: of the Chiefs available, so half the pool is going

606
00:35:30,239 --> 00:35:36,000
Speaker 2: to have to go with non Chiefs, non Eagles. I

607
00:35:36,040 --> 00:35:40,040
Speaker 2: think a lot of people were planning on or are

608
00:35:40,120 --> 00:35:42,920
Speaker 2: planning on, going with the giants. I think it's an

609
00:35:42,960 --> 00:35:45,800
Speaker 2: interesting survivor week. And in a few weeks in my pool,

610
00:35:46,000 --> 00:35:48,719
Speaker 2: you have back to back double pick weeks. So I

611
00:35:48,760 --> 00:35:52,480
Speaker 2: think I'm not saying who I'm going with because people

612
00:35:52,560 --> 00:35:57,399
Speaker 2: watch and they're trying to win my money. But I'm

613
00:35:57,400 --> 00:36:00,040
Speaker 2: feeling good. I think by I think next week and

614
00:36:00,160 --> 00:36:02,680
Speaker 2: we talk, there's going to potentially be less than seventy

615
00:36:02,719 --> 00:36:07,279
Speaker 2: people left in this Survivor pool. Exotics this week don't

616
00:36:07,320 --> 00:36:10,480
Speaker 2: have one. My apologies, I went through it. There's no

617
00:36:10,560 --> 00:36:14,359
Speaker 2: great teaser. There is one teaser leg that I love,

618
00:36:14,760 --> 00:36:17,160
Speaker 2: but I can't find anyone to pair it with. The

619
00:36:17,200 --> 00:36:20,400
Speaker 2: teaser leg that I love is Tease, a seven point

620
00:36:20,400 --> 00:36:24,120
Speaker 2: teaser on the Chiefs, teasing the Chiefs down to minus

621
00:36:24,120 --> 00:36:26,520
Speaker 2: two and a half just to win by at least

622
00:36:26,520 --> 00:36:29,000
Speaker 2: a field goal. But what are we pairing it with?

623
00:36:29,480 --> 00:36:32,360
Speaker 2: I kind of would like to pair it with Houston,

624
00:36:32,640 --> 00:36:34,880
Speaker 2: but there's no value there going from five and a

625
00:36:34,880 --> 00:36:38,640
Speaker 2: half Philly twelve and a half the a Philly if

626
00:36:38,640 --> 00:36:41,839
Speaker 2: it were ten or less, yes, but if you're gonna

627
00:36:41,840 --> 00:36:43,960
Speaker 2: do a seven point teaser on a favorite, you want

628
00:36:43,960 --> 00:36:46,359
Speaker 2: to be able to get it through at least through

629
00:36:46,400 --> 00:36:49,320
Speaker 2: the four and really through the three. And Philly is

630
00:36:49,320 --> 00:36:51,880
Speaker 2: an eleven point favorite, so just get you to So

631
00:36:52,239 --> 00:36:57,319
Speaker 2: there's no great The most the teaser legs that would

632
00:36:57,320 --> 00:36:59,800
Speaker 2: make the most sense would be teasing Denver from to

633
00:37:00,040 --> 00:37:02,759
Speaker 2: and a half up to eight and a half or

634
00:37:02,840 --> 00:37:06,680
Speaker 2: nine and a half green Bay Green Bay. I again,

635
00:37:07,360 --> 00:37:10,640
Speaker 2: five point teams. You don't really you're not gonna get

636
00:37:10,640 --> 00:37:13,640
Speaker 2: as much value there, and I do think this scenario

637
00:37:13,640 --> 00:37:17,160
Speaker 2: where green Bay gets gets blown out. So no teaser

638
00:37:17,200 --> 00:37:20,839
Speaker 2: for us this week. To give you my apologies, I'd

639
00:37:20,840 --> 00:37:24,439
Speaker 2: love you if I could demanday. Last week went two

640
00:37:24,480 --> 00:37:27,680
Speaker 2: and three. Unfortunately he's gonna rally back this week. I

641
00:37:27,719 --> 00:37:29,840
Speaker 2: don't even know. Do you have picks you want to

642
00:37:29,840 --> 00:37:31,760
Speaker 2: give out or staying away from it? Just the offer?

643
00:37:31,840 --> 00:37:33,440
Speaker 3: Yeah, I'm saving myself the embarrassment.

644
00:37:33,480 --> 00:37:35,600
Speaker 2: Okay, listen, it happens. Two and three is not terrible.

645
00:37:35,640 --> 00:37:37,560
Speaker 2: I had four straight weeks to two and three. I

646
00:37:37,800 --> 00:37:39,400
Speaker 2: get paid a lot of money for this. It's no

647
00:37:39,520 --> 00:37:43,520
Speaker 2: problem either The seventeen teaser or parlay was a little ambitious.

648
00:37:43,760 --> 00:37:46,080
Speaker 2: I gotta be honest with it was a touch ambitious.

649
00:37:46,120 --> 00:37:48,520
Speaker 2: All right? What's the offer? All right?

650
00:37:48,640 --> 00:37:52,520
Speaker 3: The offer this week is called daz on gembat okay

651
00:37:52,600 --> 00:37:54,000
Speaker 3: means the offer in German.

652
00:37:54,239 --> 00:37:58,880
Speaker 2: Oh oh, how about that? Look at that picture? Yeah German?

653
00:37:58,920 --> 00:38:01,120
Speaker 2: Pretzel a German? I love it? All right, go ahead

654
00:38:01,280 --> 00:38:01,960
Speaker 2: my profile pic.

655
00:38:02,040 --> 00:38:05,160
Speaker 3: Sure we are parlaying Seattle plus two and a half

656
00:38:05,160 --> 00:38:05,720
Speaker 3: in Germany.

657
00:38:06,360 --> 00:38:09,560
Speaker 2: Franz Wagner. Wagner is how you pronounce it, Wagner?

658
00:38:10,280 --> 00:38:13,200
Speaker 3: Yes, to win the most improved player in Germany to

659
00:38:13,239 --> 00:38:15,960
Speaker 3: win the World Cup. The odds come out to plus

660
00:38:16,040 --> 00:38:18,200
Speaker 3: two hundred and five thousand, four hundred and thirty five.

661
00:38:19,600 --> 00:38:23,320
Speaker 2: And then they're saying off winder shine, which I assume

662
00:38:23,360 --> 00:38:29,080
Speaker 2: means good luck. I'm not certain off winter shine. I'm

663
00:38:29,080 --> 00:38:31,920
Speaker 2: not taking that off. No, I'm not betting on Franz

664
00:38:31,960 --> 00:38:34,520
Speaker 2: Wagner win most improved player. I'm not betting on Germany

665
00:38:34,520 --> 00:38:36,759
Speaker 2: to win the World Cup. And I'm not tying up

666
00:38:36,880 --> 00:38:42,120
Speaker 2: money until May when they will announce most of the player.

667
00:38:42,520 --> 00:38:46,640
Speaker 2: I'm not giving giving a betting service, my money interest

668
00:38:46,719 --> 00:38:50,239
Speaker 2: free for them to hold. So see it. One leg

669
00:38:50,280 --> 00:38:52,920
Speaker 2: of it is going to be done this weekend. It wins,

670
00:38:53,080 --> 00:38:54,680
Speaker 2: we don't know if we've won the bet. I do

671
00:38:54,760 --> 00:38:59,400
Speaker 2: appreciate the thrill. You know what, are the most improved player?

672
00:38:59,520 --> 00:39:00,920
Speaker 2: You know what I'm I'm not spending time on this.

673
00:39:01,000 --> 00:39:02,920
Speaker 2: Germany's on my pick to win the World Cup. I

674
00:39:02,920 --> 00:39:05,960
Speaker 2: don't like rooting for Germany. I every year in the

675
00:39:05,960 --> 00:39:08,120
Speaker 2: World Cup I root for Brazil because I don't think

676
00:39:08,320 --> 00:39:10,080
Speaker 2: they are the favorites. I don't think they're gonna win

677
00:39:10,120 --> 00:39:13,040
Speaker 2: this year. They just play such a fun style of football.

678
00:39:12,840 --> 00:39:15,400
Speaker 2: We'll talk more World Cup on the actual gambling on

679
00:39:15,440 --> 00:39:20,360
Speaker 2: the actual show. Next week. That's Today's Gambling Show, episode

680
00:39:20,480 --> 00:39:23,359
Speaker 2: ninety four. Good luck this weekend. Hope you win your

681
00:39:23,360 --> 00:39:28,880
Speaker 2: butt bets. Talk to you on Monday. What's right that's not?

682
00:39:29,080 --> 00:39:39,920
Speaker 3: Germany