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Speaker 3: Hello everybody, and welcome back in to another episode of
Speaker 3: the cycle. I am your host today, Mike Maher and
Speaker 3: I am joined by not Ryan Warmley, but Kelly Kirby
Speaker 3: and Kelly how are you doing today?
Speaker 4: I'm doing pretty well. I think the last time that
Speaker 4: we did this was when I podcasted from Heaven, so
Speaker 4: I upgraded. I upgraded for today, so I'm excited to
Speaker 4: be back.
Speaker 3: Yeah, you have the Betting Pros backdrop. You have very
Speaker 3: for people watching on YouTube. She has very fun red
Speaker 3: glasses that match her Cubs jacket, much more stylish than
Speaker 3: the guy wearing a black shirt with a navy blue hat.
Speaker 3: But I've been told that navy blue and black you
Speaker 3: can do that. Now. It's not like it's no longer
Speaker 3: like a fashion, no note, You're allowed to do it.
Speaker 3: So I take full advantage and do it all the time. Absolutely,
Speaker 3: all right, So you're all you all have the pleasure
Speaker 3: of having me hosts today, and everyone knows how wonderful
Speaker 3: and energetic a host I am. And so let's get
Speaker 3: right into it, and let's do so this first segment.
Speaker 3: You know, for people who are new to it or
Speaker 3: people coming back, the cycle used to be like one
Speaker 3: long video, but now it's split into threes. And so
Speaker 3: you're going to kind of like have him released over
Speaker 3: the weekend on both audio and video, so you can
Speaker 3: get him in kind of like smaller, more digestible segments
Speaker 3: for the n season version, which we think works well.
Speaker 3: This first segment we're going to do rounding the bases
Speaker 3: and up first. I have a couple of players I
Speaker 3: wanted to talk about that I put in there in
Speaker 3: the first note. I put in there that you seem
Speaker 3: like you might have some thoughts on is Sandy alcontre
Speaker 3: cooked because I know I recently wrote him up as
Speaker 3: a buy low and since then things have not gone well.
Speaker 3: They've actually gone even worse, and it's concerning. I would say,
Speaker 3: but what's your concern level, And I would send the
Speaker 3: question to you, is Sandy Lgandra cooked or or is
Speaker 3: he still a by low?
Speaker 4: Yeah? When you put that in there and I told you,
Speaker 4: I'm like, well, that should be a short conversation because
Speaker 4: I fear that he is. I don't like any of
Speaker 4: the numbers that he's been putting up lately. And that
Speaker 4: is coming from someone I was really really high on
Speaker 4: him in draft season. So it is that is an
Speaker 4: l that I am pretty much taking on my first
Speaker 4: if I am concerned about everything control speed, it's he's
Speaker 4: just getting hit so hard that it just doesn't look
Speaker 4: like he's he's back, and I wonder if he can
Speaker 4: make it further back. So yeah, right now, I mean
Speaker 4: you can buy him low, but you need to buy
Speaker 4: like we're talking like low, like Jake McCarthy low. So
Speaker 4: be very very careful.
Speaker 3: Yeah. I would bet in some shaller leagues he's he's
Speaker 3: dropped too, because I know a couple of weeks ago,
Speaker 3: in the YouTube comments and on Discord, people were already
Speaker 3: asking if they could drop him, and I was like, no, no,
Speaker 3: he's going to turn things around, but he's a bilo,
Speaker 3: don't dare drop him. And then he did. He did
Speaker 3: throw a quality start against the Reds in there, not
Speaker 3: like his most efficient start, but it was fine, and
Speaker 3: then he just got chased out of the building by
Speaker 3: the Dodgers. Two and two thirds innings, seven are in runs,
Speaker 3: five walks, two strikeouts, seven hits allowed. It was it
Speaker 3: was as ugly as it gets. And like I said,
Speaker 3: I'm someone who wrote him up as like a Bilow.
Speaker 3: I was like, the stuff still looks okay here. I
Speaker 3: just think he needs to find his control. I'm still
Speaker 3: kind of in that in that boat where, like you know,
Speaker 3: it's hard to say in LEAs where I need pitching.
Speaker 3: I don't know what I'm willing to give up to
Speaker 3: get him. It's kind of more of like if you
Speaker 3: drop him, I'll pick him up, but I'm not going
Speaker 3: to trade anything meaningful for him right now, unless it's
Speaker 3: like unless we're flipping you know, like a like a
Speaker 3: bi low hitter, Like I don't know, maybe would you
Speaker 3: do like a Christian Walker or is that even that
Speaker 3: too much to give up for him?
Speaker 5: Right now?
Speaker 4: That's way too much to give up for him, I think.
Speaker 4: I mean, I'm looking at his stack cast, like his
Speaker 4: you know, his era is currently eight point three one.
Speaker 4: His expected era is just it's lower, but at six
Speaker 4: point four one, his you know, he's still got a
Speaker 4: great ground ball percentage, but his hard hit percentage is
Speaker 4: like forty six point four and you're just not going
Speaker 4: to be able to survive with that. And his walk
Speaker 4: rate is like fourteen something, which is six points higher
Speaker 4: than his normal career average. And you know, if you're
Speaker 4: giving up a war and letting everybody hit the ball
Speaker 4: freaking hard off, you like, where's where's that going to go?
Speaker 4: So no, no, not Christian Walker. Joey p would would
Speaker 4: be yelling at you at this point, like bro me,
Speaker 4: you think I think he would brow you in pretty hard.
Speaker 3: Yeah, so that's fair. I'm just I'm trying to be
Speaker 3: more optimistic. His velocity is also down, but like not
Speaker 3: down a ton, it's down like a mile per hour.
Speaker 3: Maybe it's a little bit less than mile per hour.
Speaker 3: I just kind of feel like he's gonna get back,
Speaker 3: Like I also am holding out hope that I mean,
Speaker 3: this is this could not be going worse for the
Speaker 3: Marlins as a team. That is like definitely going to
Speaker 3: trade him this year because of the of like the
Speaker 3: range of outcomes here. There's one, maybe he's still hurt
Speaker 3: or you know, dealing with something either like you know,
Speaker 3: still not all the way back from his injury, or
Speaker 3: dealing with some other injury. There's two. It's just that
Speaker 3: he's just not the same picture anymore, because even like
Speaker 3: he was really he was good in twenty twenty three,
Speaker 3: but like not like he was, you know, and a
Speaker 3: lot of us chalk that up to, like, you know,
Speaker 3: that was kind of like leading up to the Tommy
Speaker 3: John surgery. A lot of times you're dealing with something
Speaker 3: before that diagnosis because you're like, you know, whether it's
Speaker 3: your velocity or control, like something is just doesn't feel
Speaker 3: right and that can affect the numbers. So I know,
Speaker 3: I was kind of like buying into that. I was like, no,
Speaker 3: those numbers are inflated just because of the injury, and
Speaker 3: now he's going to be back, so there's the possibility
Speaker 3: he's just not going to ever be at that pre
Speaker 3: twenty twenty three level anymore, which is definitely a real possibility.
Speaker 3: And then there's the possibility that he turns things around,
Speaker 3: and they really need that to happen as a team
Speaker 3: now that it really matters for the Marlins, They're always
Speaker 3: going to do what they're gonna do and not spend money,
Speaker 3: but they need him to be good so they can
Speaker 3: they can trade him, which is what I'm really banking
Speaker 3: on in fantasy, because right now, even if you acquire him,
Speaker 3: you're not going to get any wins within pitching for
Speaker 3: the Marlins. So you know, I would love for him
Speaker 3: to go do somewhere like my Red Sox if he
Speaker 3: can turn things around. I assume the Dodgers will probably
Speaker 3: acquire him for nothing and just like add him as
Speaker 3: like their SP nine just in case.
Speaker 4: Sure. When Justin Steele went down, I immediately texted my
Speaker 4: dad and brother and was like, go get al Contra.
Speaker 4: And you know, of course now now I'm taking the
Speaker 4: l from them too, So yeah, it is. It's ugly,
Speaker 4: but I could see him the SP nine in LA.
Speaker 4: I think that's perfect.
Speaker 3: If we'll talk about this in another segment, But I
Speaker 3: feel like if I'm a major league team right now,
Speaker 3: I might call the Marlins and see what the price
Speaker 3: is because I don't want to wait for it to
Speaker 3: go up, and like, you know, I might rather like
Speaker 3: see if as an mL you know, like it's the
Speaker 3: one thing in fantasy to buy a low but as
Speaker 3: an MLB team, i'd give a call. They'll probably hang
Speaker 3: up on you and be like, no, we can't trade
Speaker 3: this bag of rocks right now for for what you're
Speaker 3: offering the other player. I want to talk about someone
Speaker 3: that I've talked about a lot, a lot in the
Speaker 3: off season, and I took a lot of heat for
Speaker 3: the amount of shares I have of him because everyone
Speaker 3: knows that what happens every single year. And that's Mike
Speaker 3: Trout who left the game, uh yesterday, this we're recording
Speaker 3: on Thursday. He left the game Wednesday with knee soreness,
Speaker 3: the same surgically repaired knee from from last year. Not great.
Speaker 3: They said, it's precautionary. But don't love that, you know,
Speaker 3: don't love Don't love him leaving a game. Nope, And
Speaker 3: I you know, I tweeted it out like we almost
Speaker 3: made it to May. We almost. We had a full
Speaker 3: April out of him. We almost made it to May,
Speaker 3: and like the batting average wasn't good, but we already
Speaker 3: had a bunch of home runs. I put in the
Speaker 3: sheet everybody panic. I know, you know, my fantasy baseball
Speaker 3: strategy this year was essentially Mike trot or bust because
Speaker 3: I took him at what I considered to be a
Speaker 3: value in so many leagues that you know, if he
Speaker 3: went down, it wasn't gonna be pretty for me. I
Speaker 3: don't even know what to ask you there. I feel
Speaker 3: like I know what your what your thoughts on thoughts are,
Speaker 3: what's your level of concern here for for you know,
Speaker 3: the other said it's just precautionary, but it's that same knee.
Speaker 4: Yeah, I mean, I feel like nothing with Trout is
Speaker 4: every precautionary. I think it always turns into like caution
Speaker 4: and then panic and then he's gone till July. It's
Speaker 4: I think it wasn't this almost a year to the day,
Speaker 4: because I had him last year, and I swear he
Speaker 4: got into it on like April twenty ninth. Yeah, because
Speaker 4: I made I made kind of the same thing where
Speaker 4: I was like, well, almost got to May. I drafted
Speaker 4: him nowhere because it was just I was risk averse
Speaker 4: this year, mostly for having to deal with it last year.
Speaker 4: So no, I thought of you instantly, I was just like, oh,
Speaker 4: that is every league for him. And then I realized
Speaker 4: we got to do this podcast, and I'm like, I'm like, oh, perfect, exactly,
Speaker 4: like this is just this is you know, this is
Speaker 4: him this, and I feel terrible for him. He's a
Speaker 4: great player, but from a fantasy perspective, it's just, you know,
Speaker 4: availability is important, and here we go.
Speaker 3: So exactly, good luck. Yeah, he played twenty nine games
Speaker 3: last year and none of them were in May, so
Speaker 3: it must have been like right around the same day. Yeah,
Speaker 3: seems like a really you know, he's a great player,
Speaker 3: seems like a really nice kid Eagles fan. I love that.
Speaker 3: I love that about him. But yeah, I mean I
Speaker 3: knew the risk I was taking when I drafted him,
Speaker 3: but I felt like he was going late enough that
Speaker 3: I was like, even if I get like a half
Speaker 3: a season out of him, it's still worth it. But
Speaker 3: only getting April out of him would not be ideal.
Speaker 3: And kind of like you said, they're saying it's just precautionary,
Speaker 3: but like it feels like in the past he would
Speaker 3: like miss a game and they're like, oh, it's just
Speaker 3: precautionary and then like done for the year, like we
Speaker 3: just don't see him again. It's like, oh, actually that
Speaker 3: Soornie needs to be amputated and so you know, we
Speaker 3: don't ever see him again. Yeah, it doesn't feel good
Speaker 3: to be someone who has Mike Drout and just about
Speaker 3: every league. Did you also see I put it in
Speaker 3: the sheet. I don't know if you clicked on it.
Speaker 3: Did you also see, like if any team, any MLB
Speaker 3: team was going to do this, it would be the Angels.
Speaker 3: Did you see what happened with their pitchers yesterday?
Speaker 4: I did not.
Speaker 3: I didn't even know this was a rule. You know,
Speaker 3: I've been watching baseball a long time. I didn't even
Speaker 3: know this was like a rule. And credit to the umpires.
Speaker 3: I don't know if they had to like call someone
Speaker 3: or if they just like knew this, but credit to
Speaker 3: them for knowing. Because the Angels had two pictures go
Speaker 3: out to the mound at the same time. They had
Speaker 3: Ryan Johnson from the dugout and Jake Eater I guess
Speaker 3: this is his name from the bullpen, and so it
Speaker 3: was like Spider Man me, like two pitchers standing on
Speaker 3: the mound, and then I guess by Rule Johnson, who
Speaker 3: came from the dugout, had to face at least one batter.
Speaker 3: But I was just like, you know, we're already gonna
Speaker 3: talk about Mike Trout. What is more Angels and dysfunction
Speaker 3: than sending two pictures to the mound? Something that never
Speaker 3: even happened to me in Little League.
Speaker 4: I think about the Angels sometimes just in terms of,
Speaker 4: you know, yeah, the Rockies are terrible, the White Sox
Speaker 4: are historically terrible, the Marlins are terrible. But you look
Speaker 4: at the Angels and it's just always that question of
Speaker 4: like the talent is occasionally there and has been there
Speaker 4: kind of consistently, and just nothing and weird stuff like
Speaker 4: this happens to them and you're just you're just kind
Speaker 4: of it amazes me, Yeah, I guess. And for them
Speaker 4: to be, you know, down the road from the Dodgers,
Speaker 4: I'm kind of like, you know, you could just copy that,
Speaker 4: but obviously they're not going to do that. So yeah,
Speaker 4: it's very angel That is a very Angels thing because
Speaker 4: it's just weird, not dumb, just weird.
Speaker 3: Yeah, And they're just this organization where it just like
Speaker 3: never goes well and they're not even one of those
Speaker 3: organizations that's extremely cheap. They're not like the Marlins, like
Speaker 3: they spend money. They just spend it poorly. They spend right.
Speaker 4: Yeah, I mean the rendn't contract alone, like you know,
Speaker 4: you just you just kind of look at it going there.
Speaker 4: They went after talent. They just never bothered to ask
Speaker 4: if he liked baseball.
Speaker 3: Yeah, that seems like an important part of the interview
Speaker 3: because it seems like the answer is now, and he
Speaker 3: basically said now. But like the Angels, if you are
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Speaker 3: And I know I use it a lot, just like
Speaker 3: I use the Draft Wizard and Draft Season. One thing,
Speaker 3: since I'm in like eight or nine leagues this year,
Speaker 3: one thing I really enjoy about it is if there's
Speaker 3: like a new player that's going to be available on waivers,
Speaker 3: whether it's like a prospect or someone I want to add.
Speaker 3: You know, I have like a couple daily leagues where
Speaker 3: I can just go and see he's available real quick.
Speaker 3: But I can just go and like put his name,
Speaker 3: type his name into Fantas Bros. And pull up all
Speaker 3: my leagues and see like, okay, he's a free agent
Speaker 3: in this league. I have him in this league already.
Speaker 3: Another team has him in this league. And so that's
Speaker 3: a really cool feature that I feel like, we's your
Speaker 3: promote more because I find it very cool.
Speaker 4: M Yeah, for sure. I have a couple of leagues
Speaker 4: that are on platforms that can't sink yet, and one
Speaker 4: of them, I'm just like, can we just please move
Speaker 4: this to Yahoo so I can just go in every
Speaker 4: day and be like line upset. Thank you. It just
Speaker 4: makes everything so much easier if you play in more
Speaker 4: than one league. So platform is that Oh fan tracks?
Speaker 3: Oh you can't sing for it.
Speaker 4: We can't do lineup position with fan tracks yet.
Speaker 3: Oh but you can still Yeah you can still see the.
Speaker 4: You can still see it. It's just I mean, I'm
Speaker 4: I'm uber lazy. I wanted to just do it for me,
Speaker 4: And there's a button in there that you can literally
Speaker 4: just hit right, So I mean the lineup system's perfect.
Speaker 4: Do it?
Speaker 3: I got youa Yeah, I thought you could sink it
Speaker 3: all no, you can sing, because I have all my
Speaker 3: Dynasty leagues are on fan tracks, mostly because sleeper reduces
Speaker 3: to add baseball. All right, second base Here, we run
Speaker 3: the first round a second I put in picture returns here,
Speaker 3: and so a few of these pictures have already returned
Speaker 3: and a few are returning soon. And so I'm going
Speaker 3: to kind of get your thoughts on them. I don't
Speaker 3: know we need to rank them rest of season, but
Speaker 3: we can kind of gauge your interest on them rest
Speaker 3: of season. So I'll just run through the list and
Speaker 3: then i'll talk it to you. So Tony Gonsolin top
Speaker 3: of the list because he returned last night for the
Speaker 3: Dodgers and looked really good. Six shut out innings, six hits,
Speaker 3: nine strikeouts, exactly what you wanted from Tony Gonslin. Lucas
Speaker 3: Giolito returned last night as well. He looked really really
Speaker 3: good for five and two thirds innings and then really
Speaker 3: not great for one third of an inning. It looked
Speaker 3: like he was also on his way to six shot
Speaker 3: out innings, and then he kind of got squeezed at
Speaker 3: one point and then he walked. I forget who he walked.
Speaker 3: I'm forgetting now, But he basically walked one batter, I
Speaker 3: guess it was maybe George Springer, and then on an
Speaker 3: O two count he was trying to put Dalton Varshaw away,
Speaker 3: and you could he was. He had like pinpoint control
Speaker 3: all night. He was just like dotting his fastball and
Speaker 3: his The broadcast actually kind of jinxed him because I
Speaker 3: was watching the game and they were like, you know,
Speaker 3: he hasn't even like missed with any of these change ups.
Speaker 3: He's really like getting it down on his own. And
Speaker 3: then it was like boom. He tried throwing an O
Speaker 3: two change up like you didn't want to throw it
Speaker 3: in the zone, and we're right down the middle that
Speaker 3: one for a two run home run. The next batter,
Speaker 3: Alejandro Kirk, who I believe you had in the leading
Speaker 3: off home run con test, also homeward, and so he
Speaker 3: went from six shot out innings to six innings three
Speaker 3: earned runs in a flash. And then also to add
Speaker 3: insult injury, the Red Sox had a six nothing lead
Speaker 3: that the bullpen then lost, and the Red Sox not
Speaker 3: only did Geolito not get the win, but the Red
Speaker 3: Sox also ended up losing the game in extras. But
Speaker 3: still despite all that stuff. A really exciting debut for Geoledo.
Speaker 3: I thought, I'm not really sure what to expect from
Speaker 3: him coming out, but he looked pretty good. Tobias Myers
Speaker 3: has now been back for two starts. He's someone that
Speaker 3: I added in a bunch of leagues, not a high ceiling,
Speaker 3: but someone who I feel just was solid last year,
Speaker 3: like much more solid than I anticipated. Not very solid
Speaker 3: in his two starts back six between over the course
Speaker 3: of his two starts six total innings, four and runs,
Speaker 3: seven walks, five strikeouts. So I'll stop there. Those are
Speaker 3: the three that have already returned, and then I'll stop there.
Speaker 3: Thoughts on any of those three, either like their debuts
Speaker 3: or rest of season value.
Speaker 4: I mean, I like Gonsolin, uh not for the strikeouts.
Speaker 4: I think that if he can just kind of keep
Speaker 4: doing that the whip in the one point zero to
Speaker 4: one point one five range, I will take that because
Speaker 4: the win equity with the Dodgers is so high. But
Speaker 4: but the warning obviously is like he's not going to
Speaker 4: strike out nine guys every game. He's probably won't come
Speaker 4: close for the rest of the season unless he figured
Speaker 4: something out that we don't know about. But I laughed.
Speaker 4: I laughed the Patriots Day when the Red Sox play,
Speaker 4: you know, at four o'clock in the morning, because I
Speaker 4: feel like, like three years in a row, Gilito started
Speaker 4: that game and like for the White Sox or for
Speaker 4: the Red Sox, and they were he was so bad,
Speaker 4: And when he pitches in the morning, I just laughed
Speaker 4: because I was expecting him. But yeah, I mean he's
Speaker 4: he's a dangerous pitcher, I feel like for fantasy because
Speaker 4: he's he's going to have games where he blows up,
Speaker 4: but he's one where that strikeout rate should stay, you know,
Speaker 4: a strikeout Perennian somewhere in there, which is good. And
Speaker 4: then with Myers, I have him in a couple of
Speaker 4: leagues as well. You just sort of have to eat
Speaker 4: the whip he's going to give you because he's also
Speaker 4: going to strike out. When he gets against teams that
Speaker 4: strike out at a high rate, he will get them,
Speaker 4: but he's also going to walk them. So it's a
Speaker 4: I'm in order. I'm mostly like I want Gonsolin. I
Speaker 4: think you have him in the right order Gonsolin Julietle
Speaker 4: Myers in terms of interest, Yeah.
Speaker 3: That's where I would have him too. I added Gonsolin
Speaker 3: in a couple of leagues, mostly because in those leagues
Speaker 3: I flipped pitching depth for hitting, which I desperately needed.
Speaker 3: And I was like, I'll just figure out pitching going forward. Well,
Speaker 3: you know, the ship's going down. We're either got to
Speaker 3: start throwing some stuff overboard and change things up over
Speaker 3: going down. And so I was just like, you know,
Speaker 3: I'm just going to stream pitchers like Giulido and Gonsolin
Speaker 3: and see how long I can steer the ship in
Speaker 3: the right direction. I yeah, I'm interested in all of
Speaker 3: them rest of season. Like I'm not that excited about
Speaker 3: Myers right now based on the debut, but I'm hoping
Speaker 3: it's just kind of like getting the cop shaking the
Speaker 3: cobwebs off. So now for three pictures whose returns are imminent.
Speaker 3: Ranger Suarez, who listeners of the show will recognize as
Speaker 3: the best picture in baseball, is set to return on Sunday. Finally,
Speaker 3: for Phillies fans, you can only hope that means the
Speaker 3: end of Taiwan Walker, but with that contract they gave him,
Speaker 3: you never know. Brandon Woodruff is someone that I'm very
Speaker 3: I actually drafted him in a couple of leagues just
Speaker 3: ash him because I'm very excited about him. I didn't
Speaker 3: love what I read about him though, like his most
Speaker 3: recent rehab outing when they said all they want like
Speaker 3: one more rehab outing. His velocity is down, like pretty significantly,
Speaker 3: around like ninety two miles an hour. And that's especially
Speaker 3: concerning because he's a fastball pitcher, like he's I put
Speaker 3: a note in here like like he's a sixty percent off.
Speaker 3: His pitchures are either fastballs or sinkers, and so if
Speaker 3: his velocity is down, that's a problem. And so I'm
Speaker 3: trying not to panic too much because it could just
Speaker 3: be you know, this is his spring training. You know,
Speaker 3: we see pictures all the time show up a spring
Speaker 3: training velocity isn't necessarily there. They're hoping it comes back.
Speaker 3: That being said, I wish it was higher than it was.
Speaker 3: And then Lance mccallor's is apparently going to return. We
Speaker 3: talked about him a week or two ago because of
Speaker 3: I think Worm's two start pitcher was Hunter Brown, and
Speaker 3: I was like, I think Lance McCullers might return this week.
Speaker 3: You might not get two starts out of him, but
Speaker 3: he did not, But it sounds like he's going to
Speaker 3: return now feels like we haven't seen him in a
Speaker 3: really long time. And I can't say that I have
Speaker 3: a ton of interest there. But what are your thoughts
Speaker 3: on these three in terms of like interest value rest
Speaker 3: of season or even in the short term.
Speaker 4: Yeah, I mean I'm interested in Suarez, not because he's
Speaker 4: the best picture in baseball on the cycle, but just again,
Speaker 4: his numbers can be serviceable, right Like at this point
Speaker 4: with injuries, He's one that I'm not necessarily for to
Speaker 4: pick up. I'm not excited to pick up, but I
Speaker 4: would have no problem getting him Woodraff. I'm in the
Speaker 4: same boat as you. I drafted him a few different places,
Speaker 4: like with my last pick, just kind of let's see
Speaker 4: what we've got. And yeah, I mean, you know, I'm
Speaker 4: kind of hoping he's like the anti Sandy el Contra.
Speaker 4: You know where El Contra looks so good in spring
Speaker 4: training and then just everything went off. But you know,
Speaker 4: what he's been dealing with is just it's a scary
Speaker 4: injury and so the ability to come back from it.
Speaker 4: I have him, but I probably won't start him right
Speaker 4: away because I want to see what this is going
Speaker 4: to look like, and then I have no interest in
Speaker 4: my colors. I pretty much have never had interested in
Speaker 4: the colors. When his name was on here, I was
Speaker 4: just like, what is it happening in? What year is it?
Speaker 4: But now I get to text my friend Nick, and
Speaker 4: because he loves my colors, so it'll be it'll be
Speaker 4: fun to talk to him today. So that's my interest
Speaker 4: in him is getting to text my friend Nick. That's it.
Speaker 3: At least you have a reason. I don't have any
Speaker 3: reasons to be interested other than you know, like maybe
Speaker 3: like a really deep dynasty league or so somewhere where
Speaker 3: you know, rosters are big and I can just kind
Speaker 3: of stash him and see what happens. But yeah, I don't.
Speaker 3: I don't have a ton of a ton of interest there,
Speaker 3: even though, which is like sad to say, because he
Speaker 3: used to be a really good picture. It's just like
Speaker 3: impossible to know what to expect. And it's definitely not
Speaker 3: like there are some of these pictures, you know, whether
Speaker 3: it's like a young upcoming prospect or a veteran coming back.
Speaker 3: Sometimes I want to be early, and you know, let
Speaker 3: me let me get in there early, grab him a
Speaker 3: week early, stash him and then put him out there
Speaker 3: for his first couple of starts and like, see what happens.
Speaker 3: You know, if it doesn't go well, you know, I'll
Speaker 3: take the lump. He's someone I don't want to be early.
Speaker 3: Like I'm willing to be late on him. I'm willing
Speaker 3: to you know, if he comes out really good, it
Speaker 3: looks really good, maybe I'll put in a bit and
Speaker 3: see see how it goes. But like, I won't be
Speaker 3: upset if I don't if I don't get him, and
Speaker 3: I'm not willing to take that initial risk of you know,
Speaker 3: his first first appearances back now, third Base, I wanted
Speaker 3: to do We've done this on the on the show
Speaker 3: in the past, but it felt like now that we're
Speaker 3: a month in and we've seen, you know, some decent performances.
Speaker 3: You know, we have a decent amount of data to
Speaker 3: look out for these players. I wanted to do real
Speaker 3: or not real, and I don't think it has to
Speaker 3: be necessarily black and white, you know, like this player
Speaker 3: is good, this player is bad, but just in terms
Speaker 3: of what they're doing right now, all these players are
Speaker 3: off to really good starts. And I want to get
Speaker 3: your thoughts on if you think let's say instead, let's
Speaker 3: say it's like a scale of real or not real,
Speaker 3: like is it more real or more not real as
Speaker 3: opposed to black and white. So the first player I
Speaker 3: wanted to put on there is someone that I just
Speaker 3: I feel like I should have added him in more
Speaker 3: leagues early on, because I just thought it was like,
Speaker 3: all right, he's gonna do this for a week and
Speaker 3: then we won't see him again. He's been doing it
Speaker 3: for a month. Jorgete Planco looks really really good and
Speaker 3: probably needs to be rostered everywhere, especially if he has
Speaker 3: I don't know if he has third based eligibility everywhere
Speaker 3: or if that's just a Yahoo thing, but if he
Speaker 3: has third base eligibility, he definitely needs to be rostered.
Speaker 3: It might just be like second in other places, but
Speaker 3: really really good. He's betting eighty four with nine home
Speaker 3: runs and a stolen base, and it kind of looks legit.
Speaker 3: It kind of looks like he's just kind of back
Speaker 3: and maybe he's like healthy. What are your thoughts on
Speaker 3: Hori plancoor real or not real?
Speaker 4: I would say he's as close to fully real at
Speaker 4: this point as he's going to get, if that makes sense,
Speaker 4: Like you know, he's he's hanging out at an eleven
Speaker 4: point three strikeout rate. I can he keep that up?
Speaker 4: I have no idea. His career strikeout rate is like
Speaker 4: nineteen and he was so bad last year, and I
Speaker 4: think like with the injuries and how the Mariners just
Speaker 4: had no offense, like so I'm definitely intrigued. I wouldn't
Speaker 4: have any problem training for him, And for sure, if
Speaker 4: he has third base eligibility, I would I would hold
Speaker 4: on to him no problem, because.
Speaker 3: Yeah, yeah, I wonder.
Speaker 4: I think it's more real than that everywhere or.
Speaker 3: Yaho thing or Yaho gives everybody eligibility everywhere. I was
Speaker 3: interested to get your thoughts on this player because we
Speaker 3: talked about him a few maybe two weeks ago. He's
Speaker 3: someone I considered for Cell High candidate at the time,
Speaker 3: and I ended up talking myself out of him being
Speaker 3: a sell High candidate just because I couldn't find a
Speaker 3: reason that what he was doing wasn't legit. I think
Speaker 3: those numbers have come down to earth a little bit now.
Speaker 3: But what about Jung Hu Lee? Real or not real?
Speaker 4: I think he's real. But I had the same feeling
Speaker 4: as you where I was like, let's I'm not sure
Speaker 4: about the power being real. So when he was really
Speaker 4: on that run, I thought, you know, is he gonna
Speaker 4: Is he gonna slug five twenty six for the rest
Speaker 4: of the season. I don't think so. But I also
Speaker 4: his betting average alone kind of makes him real to me.
Speaker 4: So yeah, I would call him real, I think at
Speaker 4: this point. But I had the same I remember having
Speaker 4: exactly the same thoughts as you on selling high for him.
Speaker 3: Yeah, I will say that when I looked at his
Speaker 3: stackcast page a couple of weeks ago, I mean, it's
Speaker 3: still very red. It was like all red, and now
Speaker 3: some of that has kind of like scaled back down,
Speaker 3: so he seemed to be slowing down a little bit.
Speaker 3: But I would lean like, maybe right on the middle,
Speaker 3: you know, the mean meatia in whichever middle word do
Speaker 3: you want to use of real or not really, he's
Speaker 3: right there in the middle. Now, this other name is
Speaker 3: someone I definitely wanted to get your take on, especially
Speaker 3: as a Cubs fan, because I talked about him a
Speaker 3: little bit last week. I kind of stuck my nose
Speaker 3: up him a little bit, and so I'm want to
Speaker 3: see if you want to push back on Pete Crow
Speaker 3: Armstrong or not real or not real?
Speaker 4: I think Pete Krow. Armstrong is also sitting kind of
Speaker 4: in that median spot where, like looking at his stat
Speaker 4: cast page, everything is just right in the center. So
Speaker 4: I feel like he has some value. He's got the
Speaker 4: speed obviously, but it's not like if you can get
Speaker 4: something good for him, if someone is willing to buy high,
Speaker 4: I would be okay moving him at this point as
Speaker 4: a Cubs fan, he's super fun. Obviously, I want him
Speaker 4: to keep doing what he's doing, but statistically speaking, I
Speaker 4: feel like there's going to be a drop and if
Speaker 4: you want to get out now is probably a good time.
Speaker 4: But if you do want to hold on for the
Speaker 4: stolen bases, I mean, I don't think he's gonna hurt you.
Speaker 4: He's just not going to be doing this for the
Speaker 4: rest of the year.
Speaker 3: Yeah, I thought of some about some of what he
Speaker 3: was doing was a little fluky. What about Tyler Soderstrom.
Speaker 4: I love Soderstrom, so I'm going to say that he's real.
Speaker 4: Everyone keeps talking about trying to, you know, sell him high,
Speaker 4: and I just don't know why you would. He's still
Speaker 4: playing in a minor league park, he's still his ex
Speaker 4: slog is still at five sixty eight, so I'm I'm
Speaker 4: fine holding onto him. I also don't think first space
Speaker 4: is all that deep power wise anymore, so I don't
Speaker 4: know where else you're going to get him, So I
Speaker 4: have no problem. I would say that he is ninety
Speaker 4: percent real.
Speaker 3: Yeah, I just traded for him in one of our leagues.
Speaker 3: I want to say I flipped Freddy Perta for him.
Speaker 3: I can't remember exactly. I think that's I think that
Speaker 3: was the deal Freddy Prout for Tyler Soderstrom. Also, he's
Speaker 3: been playing a lot of left field. Actually watched him
Speaker 3: make a pretty nice play in left field last night.
Speaker 3: So outfield eligibility would also be be helpful, especially in
Speaker 3: I'm in a couple leagues where I kind of like
Speaker 3: I have a bunch of first basemens, so I've like
Speaker 3: I loaded up my first base uder and field and
Speaker 3: utility spot, and I could really use another outfielder. So
Speaker 3: I'm excited about that. What about Nick Pavetta.
Speaker 4: Yeah, I mean I don't I don't really believe in
Speaker 4: in Pavetta. I've never really believed in him, so yeah, Like,
Speaker 4: I mean, what he's doing is really great, and you know,
Speaker 4: San Diego is a nice park to pitch in. But
Speaker 4: like I think that, I think the wheels could come
Speaker 4: off on him. So I would put him below the
Speaker 4: median in terms of real and if I had him,
Speaker 4: I would definitely be looking to see if I could
Speaker 4: flip him for something.
Speaker 3: Yeah, I just feel like, if you can tell how
Speaker 3: you should. I've seen this movie before and it always
Speaker 3: ends up in him in four Zra with a lot
Speaker 3: of strikeouts, and that's just it's just what that movie is.
Speaker 3: It's a good movie, but you know that's what it is.
Speaker 3: Hunter Brown, really or not real?
Speaker 4: Yeah, I think he's doing pretty much exactly what I
Speaker 4: thought he was going to do this year. And his
Speaker 4: era is a little low, it's going to bounce back
Speaker 4: up a little bit, but it's still under his expected
Speaker 4: as under three. His strikeout rate is right in line
Speaker 4: with kind of where he normally, and he's cut down
Speaker 4: the walks, which he did after May last year, like
Speaker 4: and we talked about that. I mean, how many times
Speaker 4: did we talk about that on podcasts, Like after May
Speaker 4: thirty first last year he was phenomenal, And so I
Speaker 4: think he's just picked back up. So yeah, I would
Speaker 4: he's one hundred percent reel in my world.
Speaker 3: Yeah, I think so. Too. I think the second half
Speaker 3: last year was the beginning of the breakout, and I
Speaker 3: think we're seeing the breakout now. And then Nick Lidolo.
Speaker 4: I like Lidolo.
Speaker 3: I you like him or do you like like him?
Speaker 1: No?
Speaker 4: I just like him.
Speaker 1: Yeah.
Speaker 4: I mean he's not one I'm going to seek out,
Speaker 4: but he if you have him, I'd hold on to him.
Speaker 4: Does that make sense? Like he's kind of in that
Speaker 4: middle range. I think he's good, but he's not something
Speaker 4: that I'm unless I can get him for nothing, I'm
Speaker 4: not going to search him out.
Speaker 3: Yeah. I feel like I've I've had him for a
Speaker 3: long time in dynasty leagues, and I've kind of always
Speaker 3: wanted him to be better than what he is, and
Speaker 3: so I'm happy that we're finally seeing a little bit
Speaker 3: of it. But it also seems a little fluky, and
Speaker 3: I think some of the expected numbers kind of kind
Speaker 3: of show that as well.
Speaker 4: I mean, he has a three he has a three
Speaker 4: five percent walk rate. That's not gonna that's not going
Speaker 4: to stay there.
Speaker 3: So yeah, zero point eighty six whip batting average against
Speaker 3: one ninety four, bad bit two fourteen. You know, there's
Speaker 3: some regression coming, negative regression I know, I know the
Speaker 3: chat likes when I when I defined positive and negative
Speaker 3: regression for sure. All right, well, let's close it out
Speaker 3: with home plate. And I was originally going to do
Speaker 3: some news notes and injuries, which which is a lot
Speaker 3: of times what we do here, but I feel like
Speaker 3: we've already touched on some of those in other ways.
Speaker 3: So I found this story on MLB dot com that
Speaker 3: I thought was interesting that I sent to you right
Speaker 3: before the show calls seven burning questions, where they're kind
Speaker 3: of looking at as you would expect seven questions for
Speaker 3: the rest of the season in baseball. But I thought
Speaker 3: we're interesting. There may or may not be some fantasy
Speaker 3: irrelevance here, but I thought it was interesting enough to
Speaker 3: take a quick look at it, and so I'll just
Speaker 3: kind of go through them. We can go pretty quickly,
Speaker 3: because you know, it's not the most fantasy relevant thing here,
Speaker 3: and I don't want to get people grumbling, but I
Speaker 3: thought it was interesting. Aaron Judge obviously, you know, if
Speaker 3: he wasn't already like one of the best hitters in baseball,
Speaker 3: the best hitter in baseball is just off to another
Speaker 3: ridiculous start. In addition to power their first burning question
Speaker 3: was how long can Judge stay around batting four hundred?
Speaker 3: Can it be for the Do you think he has
Speaker 3: a realistic shot at batting four hundred this year?
Speaker 4: I do if other teams figure out they should just
Speaker 4: walk him, Like where what are we? I mean, I
Speaker 4: don't know why the Orioles ever pitched him, so I
Speaker 4: think he could hang out. I would see if he's
Speaker 4: going to lose it. My guess would be in mid August.
Speaker 4: I think I think he'll stay up there for a while.
Speaker 3: So yeah, especially if you know, we find out that
Speaker 3: Major League Baseball is using special Aaron Judge balls again,
Speaker 3: which you know would only help him even more. It's
Speaker 3: a shame that Worm is not on that episode because
Speaker 3: their next burning question is can the Orioles turning around?
Speaker 3: They're already at the bottom of the AL East, and
Speaker 3: it's going to be a competitive division. It's gonna be
Speaker 3: a hard one to dig out of. I mean, I
Speaker 3: have my own thoughts. What are your thoughts on the Orioles.
Speaker 4: I felt in the off season they didn't make any
Speaker 4: moves pitching wise, and that's coming back to haunt them.
Speaker 4: And Gunner got off is off to a still start
Speaker 4: because of injury. So I mean they might be able
Speaker 4: to turn it around, but I don't know how they
Speaker 4: compete back in that division.
Speaker 3: Yeah, Worm took a lot of heat for including Gunner
Speaker 3: Henderson as a buy low because people didn't think you
Speaker 3: could actually buy low on him. I think you can
Speaker 3: buy low lower than what his value really is. You
Speaker 3: just just still don't have to give up a lot
Speaker 3: to get him. But he did this to me last
Speaker 3: year too. I have him in our keeper league, and
Speaker 3: he started a little last year too, So I'm moping
Speaker 3: for fantasy that he can just for baseball in general,
Speaker 3: he can turn it around. But yeah, I had the
Speaker 3: same thoughts. The Reels lost Corbyn Burns. They didn't really
Speaker 3: do a whole lot to add pitching. The pitching that
Speaker 3: they do have is banged up, and they just they're
Speaker 3: running the ghost of Charlie Morton out there, which isn't
Speaker 3: which isn't working for them. And then they have top
Speaker 3: prospects that they refused to play, so that does not
Speaker 3: be there. What about the NL West? Their third burning
Speaker 3: question was can the NL West keep this up?
Speaker 4: I mean, if it was still that unbalanced schedule and
Speaker 4: they all got to play the Rockies.
Speaker 3: I was gonna say it should be the l The
Speaker 3: question should be the could the NLS minus the Rockies
Speaker 3: keep this up? Although maybe it's could the NL West
Speaker 3: be this good? And are the Rockies the worst team
Speaker 3: I've ever seen? Because we all thought it was going
Speaker 3: to be the White Sox, it might be the Rockies.
Speaker 4: Right, Yeah, I mean, I think one of the four
Speaker 4: is going to fade. I'm not sure which one, but otherwise, yeah,
Speaker 4: I mean, I can I can see lots of wildcard
Speaker 4: teams coming out of that division because they just are
Speaker 4: all stacked.
Speaker 3: So, yeah, they're I thought the Dodgers were going to
Speaker 3: run away with that division. It's a lot closer than
Speaker 3: I thought it was going to be. I feel like
Speaker 3: the Padres, Giants, and Diamondbacks are all kind of over overperforming,
Speaker 3: like to an extent. But I think they're all good.
Speaker 3: So we'll see. And like you said, playing the Rockies,
Speaker 3: you know, that's a you know, good medicine to have
Speaker 3: whenever you're you know, whatever, you get cold. Their fourth
Speaker 3: one is will Ronald Acunya turbocharge the Braves resurgence because
Speaker 3: it's getting late early in Atlanta.
Speaker 4: Yeah, I'm going to say no, like, just I.
Speaker 3: Know that's all I have fantasy purposes. I hope you will.
Speaker 3: Because I also stashed him. I was also hoping he
Speaker 3: would kind of like be back by now, or at
Speaker 3: least maybe not back by now, but like you know,
Speaker 3: we'd be talking rehab assignment. But like it seems like
Speaker 3: they're really slow playing this with him, which I wish
Speaker 3: I knew that before I drafted him and stashed him,
Speaker 3: because I was like, all right, he's already kind of
Speaker 3: around his spring training. Let's give him like most of April.
Speaker 3: He'll be on the rehab assignment by the end of April.
Speaker 3: I'll get him mid May. And like now it's like, oh,
Speaker 3: he's started running in the outfield, but we don't have
Speaker 3: a timetable, and I'm like, well, that's not great. Like
Speaker 3: Brave need him now more importantly.
Speaker 4: I need him now definitely more importantly.
Speaker 3: Yeah, how about a different West Division? Also the other
Speaker 3: thing not to go back for the Braves, but the
Speaker 3: Braves are playing the Dodgers again, and it's like I
Speaker 3: feel like, these poor Braves, I got them to such
Speaker 3: a slow start, and it's like I feel like every
Speaker 3: time I turn around, they're paying the Dodgers, who emerges
Speaker 3: in the crowded Al West.
Speaker 4: I mean, I can tell you I want it to
Speaker 4: be on the athletic like a lot, but I yeah,
Speaker 4: I guess I would go with Houston just because if
Speaker 4: Gilbert is out for a long period of time then
Speaker 4: I think that really hurts Seattle's chances of being able
Speaker 4: to stay with them. And I'm just not a big
Speaker 4: Rangers believer, but they they might give they would give
Speaker 4: them a run, So I would go Astros Rangers in
Speaker 4: that order.
Speaker 3: Yeah, that's that's kind of where I'm at too. That
Speaker 3: does feel like the most wide open division because the
Speaker 3: Angels are twelve and seventeen. But even there, you know,
Speaker 3: that's probably better than what we were expecting for them,
Speaker 3: and it just the athletics, especially if like Kurts can
Speaker 3: get going. That offense can be really good, especially in
Speaker 3: that a net ballpark is a real X factor of
Speaker 3: just like offense, offense, offense, and they can just out
Speaker 3: hit everyone at home. I don't think they're going to
Speaker 3: have lasting power though. I think it's probably gonna end
Speaker 3: up being like the Astros just seem to win this
Speaker 3: division always, so I assume it'll just be the Astros again,
Speaker 3: and if the Rangers lose to grom at some point,
Speaker 3: which you know we'll see, that would hurt them too
Speaker 3: for sure. On our next video, I also have a
Speaker 3: I'm going to talk about Rangers pitcher, So if you
Speaker 3: want to check out our next video, and we talk
Speaker 3: about Waivers and bileus so high, we'll could talk some
Speaker 3: more Rangers. So two more here and then we get
Speaker 3: out of here. Will the trade market open early again?
Speaker 3: Because there was some early trades last year? I believe
Speaker 3: Luis Ariaz is the name they mentioned. He was traded
Speaker 3: like right around now, maybe been traded on Star Wars Day,
Speaker 3: I don't remember. So do you think the trade market
Speaker 3: opens up early again? You know this time the most
Speaker 3: likely candidate unfortunately be Sandy al Contra, and it doesn't
Speaker 3: sound like he's getting moved early based on how he started.
Speaker 4: Right, Yeah, I mean, I think it depends on how
Speaker 4: much the Dodgers panic given their pitching situation, Like if
Speaker 4: they get to SP fifteen sixteen, like will they start
Speaker 4: to really kind of move things around. Cubs are in
Speaker 4: sort of the same boat where I mean, their offense
Speaker 4: is fantastic, their pitching is like what should we do here,
Speaker 4: So I think it'll get going a little bit earlier,
Speaker 4: but I mean I wouldn't look I doubt as early
Speaker 4: as last year.
Speaker 3: Also confirmed it was Star Wars Day, May fourth traded.
Speaker 3: May the fourth be with you?
Speaker 4: Yeah, I think i'd look more June.
Speaker 3: How about will we see Otani pitch? This might be
Speaker 3: the most interesting one for fantasy?
Speaker 4: This is by far the most interesting one for fantasy.
Speaker 4: I mean, judges doing what Judge is doing? I I
Speaker 4: just don't know. I don't know if they I it's
Speaker 4: the same question, right, like how deep into their rotation
Speaker 4: our injury is going to go before they are like, okay, fine,
Speaker 4: we'll ramp him back up, because I mean that's going
Speaker 4: to take a little bit of time. It's going to take,
Speaker 4: and it's just going to take some energy and focus
Speaker 4: away from his hitting, which has been so like this
Speaker 4: year it's been interesting. But like he's such a good player.
Speaker 4: So I would say, no, I think they hold him
Speaker 4: and then give him the full year next year. That's
Speaker 4: my guess.
Speaker 3: Yeah, It's it's interesting because he like he started like
Speaker 3: ramping up and then they shut him down, and like
Speaker 3: now he's throwing bullpens again and I'm like, what's going
Speaker 3: on here? Like is he can a picture or not?
Speaker 3: I wonder if they're gonna kind of kind of like
Speaker 3: save him until like getting ready for the playoffs, like
Speaker 3: you know, like ramp him up and at the end
Speaker 3: of the season and then having the playoffs, because there
Speaker 3: were rumors that you could pitch in the playoffs last year,
Speaker 3: which I thought was was ludicrous. Then again, Code Senga
Speaker 3: pitched in the playoffs last year, and that was a
Speaker 3: great idea.
Speaker 4: It really went well, Yes for sure, Yeah.
Speaker 3: You really want to make your season debut in the
Speaker 3: playoffs for here, all right, we'll wrap it up there.
Speaker 3: We have a couple more segments to get to. If
Speaker 3: you enjoyed this, or even if you didn't check out,
Speaker 3: make sure you check out the next two videos of
Speaker 3: the cycle. The next one, as I mentioned, we're gonna
Speaker 3: be talking waiver wire ads, bilos Sell High and then
Speaker 3: some deep league targets as well. And then for the
Speaker 3: final video or audio if you prefer these on audio,
Speaker 3: we're gonna talk pitching pitching streamers to start, pitchers and
Speaker 3: pitchers to target for your weeks. And so for Kelly Kirby,
Speaker 3: I am Mike Mayer and thank you for stopping by.
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