WEBVTT - Biden 2020:  It's a Big Freakin' Day!  Lanhee Chen talks to Armstrong & Getty

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<v Speaker 1>He was there on August of seen we saw a

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<v Speaker 1>klansman and white supremacist and neo Nazis come out in

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<v Speaker 1>the opening through crazed faces, illuminated by tortures, veins, bog

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<v Speaker 1>and burying the fangs of racism, chanting the same anti

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<v Speaker 1>Semitic bile herd across Europe in the third. So Joe's

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<v Speaker 1>takeaway was that racists have fangs. Who knew racism had fangs?

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<v Speaker 1>I mean, now we don't have to like accuse anybody

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<v Speaker 1>of racism. You just haven't undergoing dental exam. That's from

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<v Speaker 1>Joe Biden's video that dropped today as he officially announces

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<v Speaker 1>he's running for president UM and an interesting idea that

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<v Speaker 1>he's at the very least he's saying the that Donald

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<v Speaker 1>Trump is not morally fit to be president. You could

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<v Speaker 1>assume that he's saying the president is a racist or

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<v Speaker 1>at least willing to pander to racist. And that's that's

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<v Speaker 1>a heck of a thing for an opening shot. Why

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<v Speaker 1>don't we start there with lanh Chen, the host of

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<v Speaker 1>the podcast Crossing Lines with lan Chen, David and Diane Stephy,

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<v Speaker 1>research fellow with Hoover Institution and director of Domestic Policy

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<v Speaker 1>Studies at the Public Policy Program at Stanford University. Lan

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<v Speaker 1>He how are you, sir, I'm doing well. It's a

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<v Speaker 1>big freaking day, guys, it is, indeed and well said.

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<v Speaker 1>So I've heard a hundred times from Democratic strategists and

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<v Speaker 1>thinkers that we can't make this about Trump. We've got

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<v Speaker 1>to make it about kitchen table issues and swaying the

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<v Speaker 1>middle class and the rest of it. This is obviously

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<v Speaker 1>not running with that. Heard. What do you think of it? Well,

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<v Speaker 1>you know, that's exactly right, And that's going to be

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<v Speaker 1>the challenge for Joe Biden. He wants to position himself

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<v Speaker 1>as a reasonable alternative to the rest of the progressive

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<v Speaker 1>lot that's running for president of Democratic Party, and he

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<v Speaker 1>starts off with an anti Trump message as opposed to

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<v Speaker 1>one focus squarely on on Middle America and on the

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<v Speaker 1>challenges that they may face in the economy and other

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<v Speaker 1>issues that you know, arguably would be a sweet spot

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<v Speaker 1>for him. And I think this is going to be

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<v Speaker 1>the issue with Joe Biden. Can he run a general

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<v Speaker 1>election campaign during a primary election cycle? And my guess

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<v Speaker 1>is no, No one's been able to do it before.

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<v Speaker 1>And I think he's going to fall into many of

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<v Speaker 1>the same traps that his predecessors have fallen into and pass.

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<v Speaker 1>You know, I just one caveat to my own thoughts though,

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<v Speaker 1>pull after poll does say Democrats want more than anything

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<v Speaker 1>someone who can beat Trump period. Yeah. Well, and I

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<v Speaker 1>think that's right. Is trying to say, I guess, well,

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<v Speaker 1>I I don't know that you demonstrate you can beat

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<v Speaker 1>Trump by focusing on Trump. I guess that's the point.

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<v Speaker 1>And and and it'll be interesting to see because at

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<v Speaker 1>some level the Democrats, you know, they do have this

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<v Speaker 1>fixation with Trump, and they do have this fixation with

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<v Speaker 1>elements of Trump's history and Trump's record as president which

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<v Speaker 1>are not policy based but more character based. And I

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<v Speaker 1>just don't know if when we get to you know,

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<v Speaker 1>August and September next year, if those are going to

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<v Speaker 1>be the issues that voters care about. I'm not convinced

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<v Speaker 1>they are. Butters also have a relatively short memory when

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<v Speaker 1>it comes to these things. So, you know, Biden's strategy

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<v Speaker 1>today could be very different from biden strategy a year

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<v Speaker 1>from now, it plays out, I was going to go

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<v Speaker 1>that direction. So you've been involved in a couple of campaigns.

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<v Speaker 1>How big a deal is the announcement day anyway, in

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<v Speaker 1>the overall scheme of things. I remember Bernie in his announcement,

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<v Speaker 1>which was mocked on The Daily Show because it looked

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<v Speaker 1>like it was something he threw together in between meetings,

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<v Speaker 1>and he did great, as as good as you know

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<v Speaker 1>campaign in modern history. So how big a deal is it? Well,

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<v Speaker 1>it's you know, there's an old thing in campaign politics

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<v Speaker 1>that you're the best day of your campaign is the

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<v Speaker 1>first day of your campaign, because you know, from there

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<v Speaker 1>the tendency is for particularly the media and for others

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<v Speaker 1>to begin picking it at you. Now, this, of course

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<v Speaker 1>is the experience from the Republican side. Democrats tend to

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<v Speaker 1>have a very different experience in a very different relationship

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<v Speaker 1>with the media. But I think it's fair to say

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<v Speaker 1>that whatever happens at the beginning of the campaign probably

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<v Speaker 1>does not a fundamentally doom the rest of the campaign,

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<v Speaker 1>with one potential exception, I will say, in this year's campaign,

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<v Speaker 1>and that's Elizabeth Warren. I think her start was so

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<v Speaker 1>bad and and and and her initial foray into the

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<v Speaker 1>contest by you know, doing that DNA test. I mean

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<v Speaker 1>that that I think did fundamentally doom her. But more

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<v Speaker 1>likely than not. What you do early on is not

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<v Speaker 1>necessarily going to have a huge bearing on your likelihood

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<v Speaker 1>of winning the nomination later on. Fundamentally doomed as the

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<v Speaker 1>title of the first volume of my autobiography on he

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<v Speaker 1>I don't know if you've gotten a chance that I've

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<v Speaker 1>sent you several copies. Very good, Thank you. Yeah. Lan

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<v Speaker 1>heat on the line, host of the podcast Crossing Lines,

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<v Speaker 1>Lan Hea Chen, we're talking about Joe Biden getting in.

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<v Speaker 1>Is it significant? Well, two things, uh. He he went

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<v Speaker 1>with a slick video as opposed to a big rally

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<v Speaker 1>Kamala Harris style. And let's talk a little fundraising. He's

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<v Speaker 1>not a zillions of twenty contribution guys. He's a bundler,

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<v Speaker 1>traditional money guy, isn't he He is? So there's gonna

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<v Speaker 1>be two things. One, his money is still going to

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<v Speaker 1>be very important. And I would argue it's I don't know.

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<v Speaker 1>In my mind, I think it has less to do

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<v Speaker 1>with where the money comes from than the fact that

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<v Speaker 1>he's got money. Yet he's gonna get hit by some

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<v Speaker 1>of his opponents if he's not raising a ton of

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<v Speaker 1>low dollar money. But at the end of the day,

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<v Speaker 1>money is money. It doesn't really matter where it comes from.

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<v Speaker 1>So I think he's going to have to focus on

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<v Speaker 1>really animating Democratic donors. In my senses, by the way,

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<v Speaker 1>he can do that that in my conversations with Democratic donors,

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<v Speaker 1>they've been waiting for Biden to get in. He's the

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<v Speaker 1>guy that they want to get behind. So I think

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<v Speaker 1>he'll be fine there. It'll be interesting to see how

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<v Speaker 1>he does on the stump. And that's to your point

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<v Speaker 1>about video versus having a big rally. You know he

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<v Speaker 1>can do both in fact, so he can have his

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<v Speaker 1>campaign announcement today and then go out and do big events.

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<v Speaker 1>I think he's doing one in Pennsylvania this weekend, maybe

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<v Speaker 1>recognizing the importance of that. So we'll have to see

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<v Speaker 1>how he does when he gets out there. But but

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<v Speaker 1>my thing about Biden has always been, you know, can

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<v Speaker 1>this guy from the nineteen eighties and nine nineties run

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<v Speaker 1>a twenty one century campaign? And I think that's going

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<v Speaker 1>to be the big challenge Joe Biden is going to face,

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<v Speaker 1>along with probably being a little bit out of step

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<v Speaker 1>from where the progressive bass on some issues. Debates a

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<v Speaker 1>little over a month away, so we're gonna be full

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<v Speaker 1>on running here pretty soon. How quickly will the field

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<v Speaker 1>start to narrow because there's not enough money to go

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<v Speaker 1>around for everybody want there to be be a certain number

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<v Speaker 1>of campaigns and just say I gotta quit. I got

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<v Speaker 1>no money. Yeah, I mean Republican primary of any indication

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<v Speaker 1>to us. We'll start to see people fold by the

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<v Speaker 1>time we get to the middle to end of the

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<v Speaker 1>summer because the money is not going to be there.

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<v Speaker 1>They're not getting any traction. I mean, look, I think

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<v Speaker 1>there's a few of these candidates who probably thought that

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<v Speaker 1>they would be more closely in the mix, but aren't.

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<v Speaker 1>Uh you know, I'm thinking of someone like Kirston Jillibrand,

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<v Speaker 1>the senator from New York. She probably thought, I'm sorry,

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<v Speaker 1>I'm sorry, send I just gave another hundred dollars to

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<v Speaker 1>uh to uh what's my boy's name, Scott Walker? Now,

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<v Speaker 1>just splint it out of my mind. It's funny. I

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<v Speaker 1>had that joke already to go, and I forgot the

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<v Speaker 1>guy's name mid joke. Swallowell swallow Well it's uh it's

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<v Speaker 1>a swallowell or small ball, I don't know, um but

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<v Speaker 1>but but anyway, it's it's the point is, you know,

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<v Speaker 1>we'll we'll have to see kind of how this all

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<v Speaker 1>all carries out. But yeah, I would anticipate the field

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<v Speaker 1>thinging out by the summer, and then by the time

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<v Speaker 1>we get to UM Super Tuesday, which is March up

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<v Speaker 1>next year, I bet we're down to two or three

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<v Speaker 1>by then. Well, how much money do you need to

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<v Speaker 1>just continue? If your only goal is to raise your

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<v Speaker 1>name recognition, not all the people to get into a

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<v Speaker 1>I'm sure you know that almost not all these people

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<v Speaker 1>on the stage were given these speeches ever planned to

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<v Speaker 1>be president. They want to get a show on MSS

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<v Speaker 1>and be your file. Yeah, our book deal or whatever. Yeah.

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<v Speaker 1>Would you like to name any of names who is

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<v Speaker 1>clearly a a a resume candidate, a climber candidate. Well,

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<v Speaker 1>I think Swallwell is the perfect example of that. I

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<v Speaker 1>mean he's on MSNBC every day now, every day. Back

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<v Speaker 1>to the whole idea, I mean, maybe maybe you you

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<v Speaker 1>find yourself a little bit of a constituency so that

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<v Speaker 1>when you leave the Congress you have a nice little

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<v Speaker 1>TV deal waiting. Maybe you do a little book deal.

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<v Speaker 1>You know, my my six weeks on the campaign trail. Uh,

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<v Speaker 1>you know whatever it might sound, Yeah, i mean I'm

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<v Speaker 1>sure it'll sell, you know, five copies. But but the

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<v Speaker 1>point is you're you're you guys are absolutely right. I mean,

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<v Speaker 1>this is what these contests have become is an exercise

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<v Speaker 1>in profile raising. And if you think back to think

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<v Speaker 1>about how many Republican names we know now because they

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<v Speaker 1>got in and they didn't stay in for all that long,

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<v Speaker 1>but we but we know the names because they decided

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<v Speaker 1>to get in. And in some cases, you a guy

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<v Speaker 1>like Ben Carson for example, you know he became a

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<v Speaker 1>cabinet secretary out of it. So that's the thing. These

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<v Speaker 1>guys were in the contest. Maybe they want a book deal,

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<v Speaker 1>maybe they're looking for money, but maybe they're looking for

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<v Speaker 1>a potential influence in a future Democratic administration. So a

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<v Speaker 1>big picture of you from line he Chan of Joe

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<v Speaker 1>Biden's candidacy, if you were a Biden fan, I mean

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<v Speaker 1>really thought he'd be a great president. You hope he wins.

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<v Speaker 1>How nervous and or confidence? Are confident? Are you about

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<v Speaker 1>his long term prospects? Well, I think it's it's a

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<v Speaker 1>little early to tell, because you know, we haven't seen

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<v Speaker 1>how he performs once he gets out once once he

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<v Speaker 1>gets out there, I mean I think the it's it's

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<v Speaker 1>like the car. You know, you know all the specs,

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<v Speaker 1>you know what it looks like. You think it's going

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<v Speaker 1>to perform decently well, but then it gets out there

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<v Speaker 1>and it's just not. In the second you turn the key,

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<v Speaker 1>it sniff somebody's hair. Yeah, I mean exactly exactly. So

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<v Speaker 1>so we'll have to see. But well let's tell you

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<v Speaker 1>should say that because he's he's run for president more

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<v Speaker 1>than anybody in the race. But you just think, different times,

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<v Speaker 1>different age, and so it's it's a completely new go round,

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<v Speaker 1>different age, different time, very different Democratic Party by the

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<v Speaker 1>way that he went. He ran in the last time

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<v Speaker 1>he ran for president in two thousand and eight, very

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<v Speaker 1>different Democratic Party. I mean ran for president, not not

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<v Speaker 1>not as part of a ticket, or ran as not

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<v Speaker 1>as part of a ticket. It was it was it

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<v Speaker 1>was a different Democratic Party in a different Joe Biden.

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<v Speaker 1>And you know, eleven years makes a lot of difference

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<v Speaker 1>on on on the on the time clock, just in

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<v Speaker 1>terms of his ability to connect. And we'll see whether

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<v Speaker 1>he's got the endurance to make it. I mean, you

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<v Speaker 1>already kind of see Trump framing this up. I guess

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<v Speaker 1>see the sleepy Joe tweets morning. Uh, he's trying to

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<v Speaker 1>frame this up already in terms of the the old

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<v Speaker 1>Knox against Joe Biden that that you know, uh, he's

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<v Speaker 1>the intelligence thing and the plagiarism thing. I mean, all

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<v Speaker 1>that stuff is gonna come back. We'll see how he

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<v Speaker 1>performs in the spotlight, sleepy. Is he narcoleptic or does

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<v Speaker 1>he just mean low energy or I don't think I've

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<v Speaker 1>heard that one. Yeah, you know, I think maybe it's

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<v Speaker 1>just I think it might be an effort to try

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<v Speaker 1>and poke him on his age, which is a little

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<v Speaker 1>like ron given that that the president's no spring chicken

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<v Speaker 1>either year old makes fun of seven year old for

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<v Speaker 1>their age. But you know, the thing is Trump doesn't

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<v Speaker 1>He doesn't behave like a sepy something. Definitely not. He's

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<v Speaker 1>got a lot of energy, uh into And so I

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<v Speaker 1>think I think it'll be an interesting contract. I think

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<v Speaker 1>that's what he's trying to set up. Lan Hea Chen,

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<v Speaker 1>host of the podcast Crossing Lines with lan Hea Chen,

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<v Speaker 1>his intelligence is not in Dowdies, uh, domestic policies, study

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<v Speaker 1>guy at Stanford University, etcetera. Lan he great to talk

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<v Speaker 1>to you, thank you, great to do with you, guys.

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<v Speaker 1>I appreciate it. Bernie was asked, taking off my glasses.

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<v Speaker 1>There it is, Director of Domestic Policy Studies. That's it.

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<v Speaker 1>Bernie was asked the other day are you tooled during

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<v Speaker 1>for Besnie said, follow me around on the campaign trial

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<v Speaker 1>for a while. That's true for all of them. If

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<v Speaker 1>you if you can physically do a campaign, well, then

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<v Speaker 1>you're physically okay. Now, whether your mind's all right or not,

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<v Speaker 1>I don't know. But being president is much less tiring

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<v Speaker 1>than running for president, no doubt, according to all of them.

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<v Speaker 1>Very few of us right now listening could keep up

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<v Speaker 1>the schedule of these people keep up or would keep

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<v Speaker 1>it up. Um, so that's something. Sleepy sleep and Joe

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<v Speaker 1>Budden half way when he's a sleep you can't tell

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<v Speaker 1>how stupid he is. Wait till he wakes up.