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Speaker 1: The Big Bets on Campus Podcast podcast podcast. All right,

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Speaker 1: here we.

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Speaker 2: Go spreading the court ten seconds of eatings.

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Speaker 1: Can just go show me up to the basket under

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Speaker 1: the basket, it's the truth for the wind gone a miracle.

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Speaker 1: I chuck the water. Hit that one from the parking lot.

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Speaker 1: What's up the general nation? Welcome to the Big Bets

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Speaker 1: on Campus Podcast presented by Bett MGM. This is your

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Speaker 1: college basketball Monday Night betting preview. I'm stucky and joining

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Speaker 1: me as always are my co hosts BJ Cunningham and

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Speaker 1: Mike Calvary's gentlemen, both of you just talking about how

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Speaker 1: a little sleep you get, and it's only gonna get

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Speaker 1: worse as we approach March. Bj, I'll goo to what's

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Speaker 1: going on, brother?

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Speaker 3: Not much?

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Speaker 1: You know.

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Speaker 3: My little sleep is on my own doing because I'm

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Speaker 3: staying up until two in the morning watching Ruin Roos

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Speaker 3: rubelev in the Australian Open in a five set tie break,

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Speaker 3: so it seems to be my own doing. But yeah, no,

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Speaker 3: we're not going to get much sleep until we get

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Speaker 3: through March here. But guess what, it's gonna be a

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Speaker 3: lot of fun as we go along this ride.

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Speaker 1: Mike, how's it going b going good.

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Speaker 2: I also did it to myself on Friday night, that

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Speaker 2: New Mexico Boise game. Instant classic, two teams that I

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Speaker 2: would love to see in the Big Dance. Hopefully the

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Speaker 2: committee gets that right, you know, come March. But it

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Speaker 2: was an eleven pm tip off on the East Coast,

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Speaker 2: so game the Ghosts overtime. I was excited, but also

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Speaker 2: just kind of dreading the Saturday morning wake up, but

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Speaker 2: it was certainly worth it. Some great coaching at the

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Speaker 2: end of the game, Boise State executing the rarely seen

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Speaker 2: half court pass time out set up the inbound from

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Speaker 2: the sideline, got a perfect look for jen Hart and

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Speaker 2: he ends up nailing the three cent of ot which

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Speaker 2: ended up cashing my over. So it smiles all around

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Speaker 2: in my household. Just another great Mountain West game.

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Speaker 1: Never in doubt the over. And yeah, that was an amazing,

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Speaker 1: amazing play for first execution to get the time out,

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Speaker 1: the inbound pass up, but that inside out action to

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Speaker 1: get the wide open three, it was awesome. So yeah,

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Speaker 1: I was glad to see that go to overtime. It

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Speaker 1: was a great game, all right. But last week we

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Speaker 1: did was our first episode of the season, A little

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Speaker 1: different than what it'll be going forward. I think I

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Speaker 1: mentioned this on both podcasts last week, but normally today

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Speaker 1: and going forward on Mondays, we'll record in the morning.

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Speaker 1: It'll be about the Monday Night Slate key takeaways from

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Speaker 1: the weekend, and then we'll cover just like we did

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Speaker 1: with a Big ten last week, we'll do a conference

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Speaker 1: a week just buying, selling, general thoughts. We'll do the

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Speaker 1: Big twelve tonight, which is I think a good place

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Speaker 1: to talk about after this weekend, and we have Kansas Balor,

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Speaker 1: which we'll talk about tonight. But let's get into first

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Speaker 1: before we get to random the week One key takeaway

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Speaker 1: from the weekend, I'll go to I'll go to LSU's bad.

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Speaker 1: I just want to get that out there. I bet

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Speaker 1: LSU against Tennessee. They're just they're losing and losing. They're

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Speaker 1: the opposite of Alabama, like Alabama just he's winning and

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Speaker 1: winning by margin. LSU is not even close. They are broken.

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Speaker 1: But my biggest takeaway is a team I've done a

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Speaker 1: complete Yeah, I mean I didn't think they were bad,

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Speaker 1: but a complete one eighty on his Marquette, I think

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Speaker 1: Marquette might be really really good and Shaka Smart deserves

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Speaker 1: a ton of credit. I was just tweeting about most

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Speaker 1: underrated coaches and best overall, best offensive best. He might

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Speaker 1: be the most underrated, and I know people give a

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Speaker 1: lot of love as an underdog. He's always good as

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Speaker 1: a underdog was usually a sign of like, you know,

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Speaker 1: you're a great coach in my opinion from a betting standpoint,

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Speaker 1: But I think Marquette might be legit final four Legit

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Speaker 1: Shaka Smart deserves a ton of credit. So really impressed

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Speaker 1: with what I've seen from Marquette. I was not as

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Speaker 1: high on them as the market faded them a few

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Speaker 1: times and it did not go well, so I bumped

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Speaker 1: them up a ton from what I've seen recently. Mike,

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Speaker 1: any thoughts there and any takeaway from the weekend.

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Speaker 2: I know we're gonna touch on the Big twelve more

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Speaker 2: as we go through the episode, but sometimes it can

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Speaker 2: be overblown. The narrative of this is the best conference

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Speaker 2: top to bottom, anything can happen. They are just absolutely

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Speaker 2: living up to it, you know, at the very top,

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Speaker 2: with TCU not only winning at fog for the first time,

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Speaker 2: but winning going away, so that just demonstrates that it's

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Speaker 2: really wide open at the top. And you know a

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Speaker 2: team can seize that mantle, but then at the bottom,

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Speaker 2: like Oklahoma State winning against Iowa State. You know, these

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Speaker 2: teams in the bottom four. We mentioned in the last

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Speaker 2: podcast that like, if everything goes right, they could sneak

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Speaker 2: into the tournament and they could be a real headache

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Speaker 2: as a ten or eleven seed from a power conference.

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Speaker 2: So I think that just validates it for me. It

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Speaker 2: was a Saturday filled with more uncertainty, but not necessarily

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Speaker 2: teams stubbing their toe more so some teams elevating themselves,

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Speaker 2: either Oklahoma State from the bottom or TCU, to be

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Speaker 2: a legitimate threat to win the regular season title. So

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Speaker 2: I've just been impressed with what I've seen through the

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Speaker 2: Big twelve.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, we'll talk about the Big Twelve in a bit,

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Speaker 1: but yeah, we were talking Friday about TCU and we're like, well,

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Speaker 1: I would wait on them, but maybe that was maybe

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Speaker 1: the right move. But BJ, any thoughts from you.

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Speaker 3: Yeah, My big tag of the weekend is just something

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Speaker 3: and it's something that you you know, do every single week, stuck.

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Speaker 3: It's just how important situational spots are in college basketball.

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Speaker 3: You look around, Ohio State just beat Iowa so badly

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Speaker 3: coming off five game win streak, Iowa coming in on

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Speaker 3: a four game win streak, Arizona beating UTLA, even Temple

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Speaker 3: beating you Houston on Sunday. You know, we talked about

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Speaker 3: we just don't have a team in college basketball you

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Speaker 3: can really trust right now. I mean, it's kind of

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Speaker 3: becoming Alabama as being the one team that I think

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Speaker 3: that I can actually trust. But it came to me

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Speaker 3: because I was watching the end of the and I'll

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Speaker 3: get that'll be my rant here in a second, But

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Speaker 3: I was watching the end of the Virginia Tech Clemson

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Speaker 3: game and I was just, I don't know, for whatever reason,

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Speaker 3: I was just staring at the score bug and I

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Speaker 3: was thinking, I was like, maybe somebody is new to betting,

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Speaker 3: like they're coming in, you know, maybe in one of

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Speaker 3: the states that just came online, like Ohio or Maryland,

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Speaker 3: they're just starting out betting college basketball and listening to this.

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Speaker 3: And you look at that score bug and you see

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Speaker 3: Clemson's the eighteenth rank team in the country. There's seven

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Speaker 3: to one in the AEC taking on Virginia Tech, who's

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Speaker 3: one in six in the ACC. Why are they one

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Speaker 3: point favorites. That makes absolutely no sense. And obviously we

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Speaker 3: look from the advanced metrics and everything like that, we

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Speaker 3: know these are two pretty even teams. In Virginia Tech

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Speaker 3: was obviously in a good situational spot stucky, and of

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Speaker 3: course they melted down at the end. But it's one

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Speaker 3: of those things that again, these situation spots of teams

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Speaker 3: that are coming in on these losing streaks tend to

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Speaker 3: play more desperate, tend to play better than these teams

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Speaker 3: that are riding they're high coming in. So it was

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Speaker 3: just something I was thinking about as I was watching.

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Speaker 3: I was like, you know, I know, if I was

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Speaker 3: very new to betting, I would be like, this makes

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Speaker 3: no sense to me. I'm going to take Clemson. But

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Speaker 3: as we know, as you know we talk about this

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Speaker 3: podcast or different metrics like whether it be ken palm

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Speaker 3: shot quality, synergy, that these situational spots and teams that

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Speaker 3: tend to be on losing streaks sometimes they're just going

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Speaker 3: through bad shooting regret, bad shooting regression. Sometimes that positive

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Speaker 3: regression is going to come back after those losing streaks.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, And it's it also that game perfectly illustrates the

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Speaker 1: point that I mean, ninety nine percent of the people

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Speaker 1: listening to this podcast, and that our betters out there

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Speaker 1: don't bet more than you know, five hundred dollars a game, max.

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Speaker 1: So you can better early, and you should have a

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Speaker 1: lot of outs and getting the best of the number

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Speaker 1: is so important in college basketball, and that was perfectly

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Speaker 1: illustrated with that game. I think it closed a pick.

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Speaker 1: It was plus two plus one and a half, and

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Speaker 1: so those things are add up over time. So you know,

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Speaker 1: if you're in a legal state, take advantage of all

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Speaker 1: the offers that are out there, and then you have

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Speaker 1: multiple options to try and get the best number, and

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Speaker 1: you can better early. It's not you know, there's these

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Speaker 1: things allnes are coming out the night before, hop on them.

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Speaker 1: If you like a side like that's that's gonna be.

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Speaker 1: And the in the end, the difference between a half

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Speaker 1: a point or a point might not seem like a lot,

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Speaker 1: but by the end of the season, those add up,

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Speaker 1: and those make the difference between a winning and losing better.

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Speaker 1: It's the easiest thing you can do. Like did you

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Speaker 1: want to jump.

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Speaker 2: In, Yeah, I'd certainly agree for anyone who's sweat out

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Speaker 2: a college basketball game in their entire life. You know,

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Speaker 2: how confident are you for a night year old to

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Speaker 2: make the front end of a one and one. So

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Speaker 2: one point is a lot. I'll certainly take it whenever

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Speaker 2: I can get that value. In terms of like other

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Speaker 2: things have fired me up over the weekends, we talked

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Speaker 2: about Purdue. It's like a running joke on social media.

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Speaker 2: They're gonna get bounced in the second round by like Creighton,

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Speaker 2: where somebody can shoot from three. But I was just frustrated,

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Speaker 2: even though I didn't have a play on it. I

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Speaker 2: was like, Okay, this is a game that they should

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Speaker 2: lose to Maryland. They shoot twenty for fifty two from

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Speaker 2: the field, two for thirteen from three, and then Maryland

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Speaker 2: goes ahead and score six points in the final seven

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Speaker 2: minutes of the game. Now, I know that Purdue is

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Speaker 2: like borderline top twenty in defensive efficiency, but they give

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Speaker 2: up thirteen offensive rebounds. Maryland only turns over nine times.

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Speaker 2: It's just it's not fair to Purdue. Like if Purdue was,

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Speaker 2: you know, lined up to be a three seat or

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Speaker 2: something like that, I would probably be in their camp

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Speaker 2: and rooting for them as a team that plays a

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Speaker 2: different style of basketball, you know, channeling through their big

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Speaker 2: but as a one seed It's just so frustrating to

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Speaker 2: me because they can win games like that, and now

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Speaker 2: that's what two in the last three games they had

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Speaker 2: the game winner from Edie the other the other day.

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Speaker 2: So just a very frustrating game to watch, even with

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Speaker 2: my money on the sideline. I was like, this will

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Speaker 2: be the one that they drop it to the Turps

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Speaker 2: and they can't get it done. So I don't know

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Speaker 2: the Big Ten in general. I think we're just waiting

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Speaker 2: for a team to rise up and overtake the boiler Makers,

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Speaker 2: but I just probably don't even see it happening until March.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, I'm impressed what I've seen from Indiana lately and

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Speaker 1: some of the adjustments said Woodson has made and Tjg's

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Speaker 1: playing out of his mind and they're going to get

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Speaker 1: healthier eventually. So they went from like before the year

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Speaker 1: they were Final four darling to then everyone wrote them

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Speaker 1: off to maybe they're the team that emerges perdue a

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Speaker 1: couple things on Purdue. Yeah, I faded them again yesterday.

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Speaker 1: I also faded them game before, which didn't work out.

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Speaker 1: They're still on my fade list. Had two things on

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Speaker 1: them now. Edie is impossible to officiate on both ends

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Speaker 1: of the floor, like you could call a foul on

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Speaker 1: him or whoever is trying to guard him every play.

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Speaker 1: I don't know how you officiate his games. A lot

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Speaker 1: of variants there. But Purdue. Keep in mind Purdue, like

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Speaker 1: they're probably gonna be a one seed, So Edie will

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Speaker 1: have fifty five points against some sixteen seed and just

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Speaker 1: don't get thirty times. But if they play an eight

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Speaker 1: or nine that can press them, that's I think they'll

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Speaker 1: get in a lot of trouble there. You saw their

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Speaker 1: young guards run into some trouble against marilynd and Maryland

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Speaker 1: decided to press yesterday. And then if the Purdue doesn't

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Speaker 1: turn it over, they run such good offense, and then

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Speaker 1: you have such a mismatch with Edie that if you don't,

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Speaker 1: if you don't even if you don't force a turnover,

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Speaker 1: if you just make them get into their offense very late,

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Speaker 1: you have a lot better chance of guarding Edie inside

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Speaker 1: and door, you know, making them rush a shot. So

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Speaker 1: keep that in mind. I would love to see, like,

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Speaker 1: give me Memphis as like the you know, the nine

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Speaker 1: seed that and take them against Purdue and their athleticism.

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Speaker 1: That's that's a matchup. So That's something to keep in

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Speaker 1: mind with Purdue because I saw the cracks there when

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Speaker 1: Maryland started the press. But let's get into the rant

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Speaker 1: of the week. I'll I'm gonna go I'm going to

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Speaker 1: kind of go off the off the radar here. I'm

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Speaker 1: gonna go a Twitter rap. I don't know if you

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Speaker 1: guys see this, these fixed game bots? Do you see

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Speaker 1: these things? Fixed games? Please? Do you know what I'm

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Speaker 1: talking about? I haven't. Please explain it. Yeah, okay, So

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Speaker 1: if you go to any of my tweets almost any so,

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Speaker 1: if I tweet out something, there's a ninety nine chance

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Speaker 1: within two minutes there is going to be an account

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Speaker 1: that my dad has pulled up a tweet up in

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Speaker 1: here is one Oscar SUSA, Good morning, the bettest place

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Speaker 1: for today. The information is very strong. Were gone to

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Speaker 1: have a massive win direct message me all interested, don't

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Speaker 1: lose this one. So they claim and all their accounts

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Speaker 1: they're all bots. So so you're sure it's a bot

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Speaker 1: because that sounded very authentic to me. I probably, And

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Speaker 1: they reply within second. If I tweet out something within seconds,

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Speaker 1: it is like making my Twitter experience miserable because I

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Speaker 1: love interacting with people. I tweet on I'm like, oh,

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Speaker 1: I got three replies to sweet artist and then they're

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Speaker 1: all fixed games. It's so annoying. So that's my ramp

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Speaker 1: because it's making me so much. But I'm two things

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Speaker 1: I want to say. Then, you have like people that

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Speaker 1: are are selling picks that are saying they're professional betters.

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Speaker 1: You have people selling picks that say they have fixed games. Listen,

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Speaker 1: if someone has a fixed game, they know fixed games.

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Speaker 1: The last thing they're doing is publicizing it and selling

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Speaker 1: it to you for fifty dollars. And these people that

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Speaker 1: are saying they're professional sports betters that have a site,

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Speaker 1: you know, where they're charging four ninety nine a day

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Speaker 1: or something if they were professional. There's some exceptions, but

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Speaker 1: for the most part, if someone's saying the professional sports

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Speaker 1: better and trying to sell you picks for five dollars

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Speaker 1: a day, the most likely non professional sports better. So

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Speaker 1: just just be careful with states coming online. Twitter is

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Speaker 1: just getting more and more toxic. The fixed game are

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Speaker 1: so annoying, So if you ever see them, please I

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Speaker 1: know that everyone has more common sense of this, but

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Speaker 1: just the case you know, no one has fixed game

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Speaker 1: information that is selling it on Twitter. I promise you.

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Speaker 1: So that's that's my rant. I blocked them all. They

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Speaker 1: just keep coming. It's like an army of bots and

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Speaker 1: they just create more and more every single day and

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Speaker 1: they just reply to me and I'm like, oh, I'm

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Speaker 1: getting all this engagement. I must have a great tweet.

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Speaker 1: Note it's just fixed game bots. So whoever is doing that,

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Speaker 1: I hate you, and.

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Speaker 3: Uh they're they're not in this countract and guarantee you please.

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Speaker 1: Twitter take care of this problem. It is driving me insane.

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Speaker 1: So that's my rant of the week. Mike. Actually, BJ,

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Speaker 1: I know that you you had something cute up for that.

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Speaker 3: Yeah, I mean, just Virginia Tech melting down was not fun.

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Speaker 3: I needed them to close out a nice round robin.

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Speaker 3: Speaking of not making free throws, yeah yeah, they just

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Speaker 3: couldn't make two free throws and then of course, you know,

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Speaker 3: Hunter Tyson hits the three to win it, so but

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Speaker 3: you know, they turned the ball over again in the

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Speaker 3: final minute as well, just you know, typical college basketball meltdown.

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Speaker 3: So that was basically I had a decent Saturday for

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Speaker 3: like the first time this year, so I can't really

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Speaker 3: complain that that much, but that could have closed out

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Speaker 3: a really really nice day, so that would.

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Speaker 1: Be yeah, one call the foul. So I had some

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Speaker 1: plus one and a half. It's sorry if anyone would pick,

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Speaker 1: or I had some money likee too, so I wanted.

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Speaker 1: They had run a great, really great set to get

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Speaker 1: a three that was airballed. But luckily for those of

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Speaker 1: us with plus one and a half and plus two,

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Speaker 1: they didn't call a foul and the potential put back

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Speaker 1: which with er point one seconds left, So thank you

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Speaker 1: for that. But Mike Rand of the week, Yeah.

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Speaker 2: Just really that that Purdue. That was my mini rants

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Speaker 2: about how they're just going to continue to get away

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Speaker 2: with us because they can win. There's, you know, the

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Speaker 2: expression of win your clunkers. They certainly have won a

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Speaker 2: bunch of games without playing their best basketball, and I'm

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Speaker 2: just frustrated because at this point there's really no way

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Speaker 2: for us to get to March and have four number

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Speaker 2: one seeds. Everyone feels really confident at this point, and

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Speaker 2: like I'd be satisfied with two, and then Houston yesterday

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Speaker 2: just goes ahead and craps the bet against Temple, So

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Speaker 2: I don't know what to believe anymore. I would love

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Speaker 2: to be able to have some kind of Bedrock team

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Speaker 2: at the top of the APD to be able to say, like, Okay,

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Speaker 2: I know the brand of basketball they're going to play,

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Speaker 2: I know their top three scoring options. I feel great

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Speaker 2: about all of that. And we're just not there at

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Speaker 2: this point. And it's almost the end of January, so

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Speaker 2: hopefully this comes to fruition soon. But at this point,

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Speaker 2: you know, I think it's probably more advantageous for us

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Speaker 2: to discuss the teams like Indiana who you're just pointing

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Speaker 2: out where it's like, let's you know, hitch our wagons,

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Speaker 2: the teams that are a getting hot and b getting

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Speaker 2: healthy at the right time and just you know, kind

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Speaker 2: of work our way through the season that way.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, I'm glad you brought that up the Houston loss

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Speaker 1: because it kind of got lost in the shuffle of

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Speaker 1: the NFL and Houston losing at home to Temple. Like

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Speaker 1: the trust we talked about, We talked about the trust trade.

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Speaker 1: Who can you trust?

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Speaker 2: We said, they're not going to play anybody of the way,

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Speaker 2: come on.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, in my trust tree. They got to fall out

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Speaker 1: they I mean, who is in the trust tree now?

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Speaker 1: Is it again? Alabama?

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Speaker 2: Who?

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Speaker 1: Who went to Alabama on the road beats Missouri by

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Speaker 1: twenty one. Like, I get that Missouri is not the

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Speaker 1: same team without Kobe Brown. But it's a road conference again.

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Speaker 1: Its back to back road conference games. After beating also

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Speaker 1: You by forty or whatever they want by, they go

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Speaker 1: on the road two conference games, win by double digits

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Speaker 1: in each. So yeah, it's Kenzaga, by the way, loses

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Speaker 1: at home in conference, Like, how often has that happen? Yeah,

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Speaker 1: my trust Trees I saw it.

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Speaker 3: It was the first time they've lost at home since

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Speaker 3: twenty eighteen.

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Speaker 1: Wow five. Yeah, my trust Tree is like them. And

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Speaker 1: can we say Marquette, I mean, Marquette doesn't really have clunkers,

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Speaker 1: Like if you look at what they've done this year.

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Speaker 1: I don't know. Maybe I'm getting ahead of myself now,

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Speaker 1: Mark Keppo, Yeah, it might just be Alabama. And it

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Speaker 1: just shows you how wide open the tournament is going

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Speaker 1: to be. As a reminder before we go any further,

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00:16:58,480 --> 00:17:01,400
Speaker 1: college basketball season isn't full swing. So get in on

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00:18:07,000 --> 00:18:09,320
Speaker 1: or called one eight eight seven seven seven nine six

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00:18:09,400 --> 00:18:11,520
Speaker 1: nine six in Mississippi. In Ontario, if you have questions

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00:18:11,600 --> 00:18:13,520
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00:18:13,520 --> 00:18:16,040
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00:18:20,640 --> 00:18:23,480
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Speaker 1: in Avata in New York. All right, let's get let's

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Speaker 1: talk some big twelve. We saw the just absolutely stunningly

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Speaker 1: dominant win by TCU, which was the headline of the weekend.

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Speaker 1: Baylor pulls out a very close win in Oklahoma, who

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Speaker 1: can't seem to buy a close win. And then you

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Speaker 1: know you have Iowa State somehow, i was somehow they

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Speaker 1: lost to Oklahoma State. They were up big and Oklahoma

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Speaker 1: State came back to win just close games and that

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Speaker 1: are coming down to the wire and there's just like

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Speaker 1: we said before, there's no easy gimmes. Texas Tech was

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Speaker 1: up what eight with ten to go and completely melted down.

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Speaker 1: They look like the only team that will miss the

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Speaker 1: NCAA tournament, although West Virginia needs to start racking up

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Speaker 1: a couple more wins. But it's who am I looking

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Speaker 1: to buy and sell in the Big twelve. Look, I'm

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Speaker 1: looking to sell Kansas State, and I try to do

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Speaker 1: it against Texas Tech and that a late run. I'm

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Speaker 1: a huge Jerome Tang fan, but I think that they're

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Speaker 1: running a little too well right now. They're also want

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Speaker 1: five to zero and overtime, so I think that they're

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Speaker 1: four Oh excuse me, they be Kansas and overtime, Baylor

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Speaker 1: and overtime, West Virginia and overtime, and Nevada and overtime.

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Speaker 1: So I think that this is probably the peak of

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Speaker 1: the market value on Kansas State. You get to remember

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Speaker 1: in that Kansas overtime game as well. Look, I was

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Speaker 1: on Kansas State. Kansas missed so many free throws in

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Speaker 1: almost every single wide open three in that game. So

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Speaker 1: I think that there's some regression coming for Kansas State.

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Speaker 1: And oh, I'll bring up a and I'm curious to

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Speaker 1: get your your guys thoughts in the Big twelve, and

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Speaker 1: I'll jump in and warrant it. But TCU is a

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Speaker 1: very interesting team in that. And look, I know that

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Speaker 1: they blew out Kansas basically from start to finish, But

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Speaker 1: if they're a team I like to, I'm gonna be

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Speaker 1: looking to live bet, either you know, buying or selling,

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Speaker 1: because if you are missing shots against them, they are

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Speaker 1: so elite in transition that they can put a run

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Speaker 1: on you quick. But if you're making shots and then

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Speaker 1: obviously you're scoring, and then you're making them score in

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Speaker 1: the half court, and they're a team that really struggles

429
00:20:34,520 --> 00:20:36,439
Speaker 1: to shoot the ball, and they'll they'll take you know,

430
00:20:36,480 --> 00:20:39,200
Speaker 1: their their best offensive and a half court is offensive rebounding.

431
00:20:39,400 --> 00:20:41,600
Speaker 1: But if you're making your shots and then you're not

432
00:20:41,640 --> 00:20:44,240
Speaker 1: letting them get in transition, then they're gonna go cold,

433
00:20:44,720 --> 00:20:46,960
Speaker 1: and there's gonna be a lot of runs back and forth.

434
00:20:47,040 --> 00:20:51,639
Speaker 1: So game dependent, matchup dependent, even within the game, i'mna

435
00:20:51,640 --> 00:20:54,640
Speaker 1: be looking to sell TCU after some of these runs,

436
00:20:54,680 --> 00:20:57,400
Speaker 1: because I mean, they're like an NBA team in transition,

437
00:20:57,440 --> 00:21:00,760
Speaker 1: and if you're cold and there's long rebound, i mean

438
00:21:00,760 --> 00:21:03,360
Speaker 1: they're just the ball isn't hitting the ground and transition

439
00:21:03,400 --> 00:21:05,560
Speaker 1: and their scoring, so those are a couple of my

440
00:21:05,600 --> 00:21:09,119
Speaker 1: thoughts and just an absolutely loaded conference. Mike, I'll go

441
00:21:09,160 --> 00:21:09,359
Speaker 1: to you.

442
00:21:10,160 --> 00:21:12,680
Speaker 2: Yeah, I think it's probably going to require one more

443
00:21:12,760 --> 00:21:17,160
Speaker 2: loss to get their odds in my favor and essentially

444
00:21:17,160 --> 00:21:19,240
Speaker 2: into a place where I'd like to play the Jayhawks

445
00:21:19,240 --> 00:21:21,359
Speaker 2: long term. But what I know for a fact is

446
00:21:21,359 --> 00:21:24,800
Speaker 2: that Jalen Wilson is having a career season. He's he's

447
00:21:24,800 --> 00:21:27,240
Speaker 2: taken that step up to conference player of the Year level.

448
00:21:27,440 --> 00:21:30,000
Speaker 2: He's averaging nearly twenty one to nine on the season,

449
00:21:30,440 --> 00:21:33,040
Speaker 2: and back to back monster games where he scored thirty plus.

450
00:21:33,080 --> 00:21:35,199
Speaker 2: Like it's not his fault. Like the team in my

451
00:21:35,280 --> 00:21:37,840
Speaker 2: eyes when you look at the just the bottom line

452
00:21:37,840 --> 00:21:41,560
Speaker 2: on ESPN, oh, Kansas fell apart. Yes, TCU played a

453
00:21:41,560 --> 00:21:44,520
Speaker 2: great game, but in terms of their foundation, it's still there.

454
00:21:45,000 --> 00:21:47,280
Speaker 2: The question to me is can Grady Dick pull his

455
00:21:47,320 --> 00:21:50,040
Speaker 2: way out of this, you know, shooting slump, because he's

456
00:21:50,080 --> 00:21:52,480
Speaker 2: been shooting so poorly in you know, three of his

457
00:21:52,560 --> 00:21:55,679
Speaker 2: last four games that it's killing them. They need something

458
00:21:55,680 --> 00:21:57,639
Speaker 2: to be able to balance out on the perimeter. So

459
00:21:57,760 --> 00:21:59,560
Speaker 2: that's one of the reasons why I probably lean to

460
00:21:59,640 --> 00:22:02,760
Speaker 2: them tonight against Baylor, But long term, I just think

461
00:22:02,760 --> 00:22:04,600
Speaker 2: they're gonna be able to get that right because they

462
00:22:04,720 --> 00:22:07,159
Speaker 2: have this Conference player of the Year to build around.

463
00:22:07,200 --> 00:22:10,240
Speaker 2: So I think in terms of the recency bias and

464
00:22:10,280 --> 00:22:12,720
Speaker 2: people overreacting a little bit because how often do is

465
00:22:12,800 --> 00:22:16,200
Speaker 2: Kansas lose by that much at home? I still think

466
00:22:16,200 --> 00:22:18,720
Speaker 2: this is a good opportunity to maybe buy back on Kansas.

467
00:22:19,200 --> 00:22:21,080
Speaker 2: I still have faith in them, and then we'll get

468
00:22:21,080 --> 00:22:22,879
Speaker 2: into it with Baylor. I have some deeper thoughts on

469
00:22:22,880 --> 00:22:23,760
Speaker 2: the Bearers at this point.

470
00:22:23,840 --> 00:22:26,639
Speaker 1: PJ any overarching thoughts on the Big Twelve.

471
00:22:26,800 --> 00:22:29,280
Speaker 3: Yeah, I mean, if you're looking at the future odds

472
00:22:29,359 --> 00:22:32,159
Speaker 3: right now you spoke about TCU, they're setting at ten

473
00:22:32,200 --> 00:22:34,560
Speaker 3: to one to win the Big Twelve, and their upcoming

474
00:22:34,600 --> 00:22:38,920
Speaker 3: schedule is actually pretty easy. So they've already played Baylor, Kansas,

475
00:22:38,960 --> 00:22:40,600
Speaker 3: and Texas all on the road, so they're gonna be

476
00:22:40,640 --> 00:22:42,400
Speaker 3: the reverse. They're gonna get them at home, and their

477
00:22:42,400 --> 00:22:45,639
Speaker 3: toughest road game is gonna be in Hilton. But upcoming

478
00:22:45,680 --> 00:22:50,480
Speaker 3: they have Oklahoma West, Virginia, Oklahoma State, and then Kansas

479
00:22:50,520 --> 00:22:54,159
Speaker 3: State on the road, so it's actually pretty favorable for

480
00:22:54,200 --> 00:22:56,919
Speaker 3: them to potentially get a few games back here. If

481
00:22:56,920 --> 00:22:58,879
Speaker 3: they can win three in a row here against Oklahoma

482
00:22:58,920 --> 00:23:02,080
Speaker 3: West Virginia, Oklahoma State setting up a huge showdown against

483
00:23:02,200 --> 00:23:05,240
Speaker 3: Kansas State. So again in a Big twelve conference where

484
00:23:05,440 --> 00:23:08,719
Speaker 3: we say is just absolutely loaded, and it really wouldn't

485
00:23:08,760 --> 00:23:10,919
Speaker 3: surprise us if any if a team, whether it be

486
00:23:10,920 --> 00:23:14,080
Speaker 3: Iowa State, Texas, Kansas State, Kansas or whoever, goes on

487
00:23:14,119 --> 00:23:16,840
Speaker 3: and eventually wins this conference. And if you look at

488
00:23:16,840 --> 00:23:18,560
Speaker 3: the standings, I mean, tc is two games back, so

489
00:23:18,600 --> 00:23:21,520
Speaker 3: it's not like it's a big, big time ass for

490
00:23:21,560 --> 00:23:24,760
Speaker 3: them to overtake Kansas at ten to one is a

491
00:23:24,760 --> 00:23:27,400
Speaker 3: decent price for them getting a lot of favorable home

492
00:23:27,440 --> 00:23:30,480
Speaker 3: matchups going forward. So if I'm buying a team, it's

493
00:23:30,520 --> 00:23:33,280
Speaker 3: probably TCU right now. And I agree with If I'm

494
00:23:33,280 --> 00:23:34,639
Speaker 3: selling a team, it's going to be Kansas State, a

495
00:23:34,800 --> 00:23:37,080
Speaker 3: team that just I don't think Texas techt scored for

496
00:23:37,119 --> 00:23:39,480
Speaker 3: like five or six minute stretch there in the second

497
00:23:39,520 --> 00:23:42,560
Speaker 3: half and just completely melted away. So yeah, if I'm

498
00:23:42,600 --> 00:23:43,960
Speaker 3: buying a team, I think it is going to be

499
00:23:44,000 --> 00:23:46,680
Speaker 3: TCU because of the again, like you mentioned, stuck, they

500
00:23:47,400 --> 00:23:50,840
Speaker 3: since they live so much in transition, the variance is

501
00:23:50,960 --> 00:23:53,200
Speaker 3: very very high for them, so they could completely crater

502
00:23:53,920 --> 00:23:57,520
Speaker 3: and potentially you know, fall out or they could overtake

503
00:23:57,560 --> 00:24:00,399
Speaker 3: these teams and potentially see those type performances. We against

504
00:24:00,400 --> 00:24:03,040
Speaker 3: Kansas on Saturday, So I'm buying TC you probably a

505
00:24:03,160 --> 00:24:04,480
Speaker 3: ten ten to one to win the Big twelve.

506
00:24:05,000 --> 00:24:08,800
Speaker 1: Love it. Also, you have the Shahada Wells coming out

507
00:24:08,840 --> 00:24:11,760
Speaker 1: party against Kansas, and if they add him to the

508
00:24:11,800 --> 00:24:13,880
Speaker 1: mix and he can play like that, I mean, they'd

509
00:24:13,880 --> 00:24:17,800
Speaker 1: become even more dangerous if he's gonna contribute. And I

510
00:24:17,800 --> 00:24:20,080
Speaker 1: mean back in twenty twenty one for Uta, he was

511
00:24:20,080 --> 00:24:22,440
Speaker 1: like a forty percent three point shooter, and that's really

512
00:24:22,480 --> 00:24:25,199
Speaker 1: what they're missing. If he can he can provide some

513
00:24:25,240 --> 00:24:28,160
Speaker 1: shooting and play like he did in Lawrence, I mean, lookout.

514
00:24:28,240 --> 00:24:32,160
Speaker 1: So you tend to one. I love that, and it's

515
00:24:32,160 --> 00:24:35,040
Speaker 1: probably gonna be a sweat to the end. YEP. Let's

516
00:24:35,040 --> 00:24:39,080
Speaker 1: I guess we'll transition right into Kansas Baylor tonight and

517
00:24:39,080 --> 00:24:42,880
Speaker 1: we pull up the current odds. I think that's opened

518
00:24:43,040 --> 00:24:47,520
Speaker 1: as Baylor minus three at home. It's down to Baylor

519
00:24:47,560 --> 00:24:50,120
Speaker 1: minus two total one forty nine. This game's at nine

520
00:24:50,240 --> 00:24:55,040
Speaker 1: pm Eastern on ESPN. Should be a good one. I

521
00:24:55,080 --> 00:24:59,480
Speaker 1: took the three with Kansas personally, Bill self to me

522
00:24:59,880 --> 00:25:03,560
Speaker 1: is the best overall coach in college basketball, as far

523
00:25:03,600 --> 00:25:07,120
Speaker 1: as like in game adjustments, I mean free points out

524
00:25:07,119 --> 00:25:10,879
Speaker 1: of a timeout. Him as an underdog historically, he's been great.

525
00:25:11,320 --> 00:25:13,960
Speaker 1: He's even eleven three and one against the spread as

526
00:25:14,040 --> 00:25:18,400
Speaker 1: a underdog against top five opponents, seventeen eight and one

527
00:25:18,560 --> 00:25:22,399
Speaker 1: against the top ten, you know, twenty four seventeen and

528
00:25:22,440 --> 00:25:24,680
Speaker 1: one against the spread as an underdog against the top

529
00:25:24,800 --> 00:25:27,920
Speaker 1: twenty five. I also think Baylor still has some flaws,

530
00:25:29,480 --> 00:25:33,080
Speaker 1: especially on defense. It's just not the same defense that

531
00:25:33,119 --> 00:25:35,680
Speaker 1: we've seen. You can get to the rim on them.

532
00:25:35,800 --> 00:25:39,359
Speaker 1: There's just some communication issues still, They're still trying to

533
00:25:39,400 --> 00:25:43,400
Speaker 1: figure out who they are. Look, their guards are incredible

534
00:25:43,480 --> 00:25:46,560
Speaker 1: and can catch fire at any point in time. I

535
00:25:46,600 --> 00:25:48,919
Speaker 1: just think that this game should basically be closer to

536
00:25:49,040 --> 00:25:51,800
Speaker 1: a coin flip. So I happily took the points in

537
00:25:51,840 --> 00:25:54,119
Speaker 1: what I think is gonna again, it's gonna come down

538
00:25:54,160 --> 00:25:56,640
Speaker 1: to the why. You'll get a desperate Kansas effort here.

539
00:25:56,680 --> 00:25:59,720
Speaker 1: And look, I know Baylor pulled it out against Oklahoma,

540
00:25:59,760 --> 00:26:01,960
Speaker 1: but then they made I think they made four four

541
00:26:02,040 --> 00:26:04,119
Speaker 1: for four from three in the final two minutes, including

542
00:26:04,119 --> 00:26:06,800
Speaker 1: three from a twenty two percent three point shooter. Kind

543
00:26:06,800 --> 00:26:09,760
Speaker 1: of got lucky. In that game. I think this is Kansas.

544
00:26:10,720 --> 00:26:13,359
Speaker 1: I've been looking to sell Bail. It's just not the

545
00:26:13,400 --> 00:26:15,359
Speaker 1: same team. I know the talent in the back court

546
00:26:15,560 --> 00:26:17,600
Speaker 1: and they can get there, but I think that there's

547
00:26:17,600 --> 00:26:20,160
Speaker 1: still some issues on that defense that Kansas can exploit.

548
00:26:20,880 --> 00:26:22,359
Speaker 1: Like I know you one of the you had some

549
00:26:22,400 --> 00:26:23,879
Speaker 1: more thoughts on bailor what are you thinking about in

550
00:26:23,880 --> 00:26:25,800
Speaker 1: this game? Yeah, the eye test.

551
00:26:25,880 --> 00:26:28,080
Speaker 2: I felt the same way about Baylor going into Big

552
00:26:28,119 --> 00:26:31,320
Speaker 2: Twelve play and what's changed. They played three good teams

553
00:26:31,320 --> 00:26:34,560
Speaker 2: in the Big Twelve. They're oh and three against Iowa State, TCU,

554
00:26:34,600 --> 00:26:36,800
Speaker 2: and k State, and two of those losses were at home,

555
00:26:37,200 --> 00:26:39,160
Speaker 2: and then they get four wins against the bottom four

556
00:26:39,200 --> 00:26:42,960
Speaker 2: teams Oklahoma State, Tech, West Virginia, OHU, So not that

557
00:26:43,040 --> 00:26:45,119
Speaker 2: much has changed for me. I think this is what

558
00:26:45,200 --> 00:26:47,399
Speaker 2: I was just discussing. I think this is recently biased

559
00:26:47,400 --> 00:26:50,480
Speaker 2: on ky Yugan smacked around at home. So anything in

560
00:26:50,560 --> 00:26:52,960
Speaker 2: plus territory getting a point point and a half two

561
00:26:53,000 --> 00:26:55,040
Speaker 2: go ahead and grab that. That's what I'm on. I

562
00:26:55,200 --> 00:26:57,480
Speaker 2: missed the three points at the open, which I think

563
00:26:57,600 --> 00:27:00,760
Speaker 2: was advantageous for you, But I still like Kansas plus

564
00:27:00,800 --> 00:27:01,800
Speaker 2: plus money up probably just.

565
00:27:01,760 --> 00:27:03,919
Speaker 3: Playing on the money line, Jo, Yeah, I'm with you,

566
00:27:03,920 --> 00:27:05,280
Speaker 3: guys all like Kansas, you know, you can get a

567
00:27:05,320 --> 00:27:07,359
Speaker 3: plus two and a half out there right now. I

568
00:27:07,400 --> 00:27:10,320
Speaker 3: think it's something you already said, Mike, is that Kansas

569
00:27:10,520 --> 00:27:13,480
Speaker 3: is a tad reliant on Grady Dick to be good

570
00:27:13,480 --> 00:27:17,879
Speaker 3: from three point range. He's three for sixteen from his

571
00:27:17,920 --> 00:27:20,280
Speaker 3: last two games when he's shooting about forty four percent.

572
00:27:20,200 --> 00:27:22,439
Speaker 2: Which is what happens with freshman to a certain day rate.

573
00:27:22,600 --> 00:27:24,800
Speaker 2: You're going to have these these lolls in these valleys.

574
00:27:24,800 --> 00:27:27,040
Speaker 2: But I just don't see a player of his caliber

575
00:27:27,240 --> 00:27:31,120
Speaker 2: and shooting prowess to stay cold. So hopefully, I mean

576
00:27:31,119 --> 00:27:33,080
Speaker 2: if he shoots, you know, if he goes two for

577
00:27:33,200 --> 00:27:35,720
Speaker 2: five or you know, three for seven from three, I

578
00:27:35,720 --> 00:27:37,840
Speaker 2: think they win this game. I think he's that critical

579
00:27:37,920 --> 00:27:38,240
Speaker 2: to their.

580
00:27:38,160 --> 00:27:40,239
Speaker 3: Game plan, right, I mean, even if you look through

581
00:27:40,320 --> 00:27:43,360
Speaker 3: Kansas's basically him and Jalen Wilson, and then basically they're

582
00:27:43,359 --> 00:27:45,280
Speaker 3: only two guys taking a ton of three pointers or

583
00:27:45,280 --> 00:27:46,920
Speaker 3: at least have over one hundred and three point attempts

584
00:27:46,920 --> 00:27:49,639
Speaker 3: on the season. And the big thing with Kansas defensively

585
00:27:49,680 --> 00:27:52,360
Speaker 3: is they are an elite team at defending the three

586
00:27:52,359 --> 00:27:54,199
Speaker 3: point line, and so when you face a team like

587
00:27:54,240 --> 00:27:56,680
Speaker 3: TCU who plays a lot in transition, doesn't take a

588
00:27:56,720 --> 00:27:59,480
Speaker 3: lot of three point shots, that's we maybe could have

589
00:27:59,520 --> 00:28:01,879
Speaker 3: a recipe for disaster like their top thirty five and

590
00:28:02,280 --> 00:28:04,720
Speaker 3: you know, points for possessional out and both catch and

591
00:28:04,720 --> 00:28:07,440
Speaker 3: shoot and off the dribble three pointers. Baylor's very, very

592
00:28:07,440 --> 00:28:09,679
Speaker 3: reliant on taking a lot of three pointers. They're about

593
00:28:09,760 --> 00:28:11,840
Speaker 3: forty five percent of their field will attempts are coming

594
00:28:11,840 --> 00:28:13,800
Speaker 3: from behind the arc. And if you look through their

595
00:28:13,800 --> 00:28:16,639
Speaker 3: shot quality numbers, like they're not getting they're about average

596
00:28:16,640 --> 00:28:19,160
Speaker 3: in terms of shot selection and getting open three pointers.

597
00:28:19,200 --> 00:28:22,119
Speaker 3: So really it's gonna come down to is if can

598
00:28:22,280 --> 00:28:24,920
Speaker 3: Kansas keep Baylor off off the offensive blast because Baylor

599
00:28:24,960 --> 00:28:27,199
Speaker 3: is a top ten team in offensive rebounding percentage. So

600
00:28:27,359 --> 00:28:28,919
Speaker 3: but I do think this is a good match up

601
00:28:28,960 --> 00:28:30,920
Speaker 3: here for Kansas, good spot for them, and like you

602
00:28:30,920 --> 00:28:33,639
Speaker 3: guys already said, some recency bias here for Baylor. So

603
00:28:34,240 --> 00:28:36,080
Speaker 3: I'm with you guys, like Kansas plus two and a half.

604
00:28:36,640 --> 00:28:40,360
Speaker 1: Yeah, I think full consensus here. It's take the points.

605
00:28:40,560 --> 00:28:44,240
Speaker 1: I think it'll be like this, This has a final

606
00:28:44,320 --> 00:28:47,560
Speaker 1: possession written all over it. Last team with the ball

607
00:28:48,440 --> 00:28:51,200
Speaker 1: might win it. And yeah, I don't. I think that

608
00:28:51,560 --> 00:28:55,160
Speaker 1: I don't know of I'm not an NBA draft expert,

609
00:28:55,400 --> 00:28:59,000
Speaker 1: but I think I saw somewhere that like Jalen Wilson

610
00:28:59,160 --> 00:29:03,320
Speaker 1: was rejected in late first round, Like, how is that

611
00:29:03,360 --> 00:29:07,160
Speaker 1: pos this guy? He can play as a pure shooter

612
00:29:07,240 --> 00:29:09,560
Speaker 1: at times, and he's one of the best players in

613
00:29:09,600 --> 00:29:10,880
Speaker 1: the country getting to the rim.

614
00:29:13,400 --> 00:29:16,440
Speaker 2: Gets Yeah, he's a jor NBA they're just like, well,

615
00:29:16,520 --> 00:29:20,840
Speaker 2: I mean in NBA circles, he's like geriatric by drafts.

616
00:29:20,520 --> 00:29:23,960
Speaker 3: Of God forbid, he's twenty years old instead of eighteen.

617
00:29:24,200 --> 00:29:28,400
Speaker 1: Gotcha. Yeah, he's He's an incredible watch. He can literally

618
00:29:28,400 --> 00:29:31,000
Speaker 1: do it all and put a team on his back,

619
00:29:31,800 --> 00:29:34,800
Speaker 1: and he plays with incredible energy and like, I just

620
00:29:34,840 --> 00:29:36,800
Speaker 1: love the way that he plays and so impressed with

621
00:29:37,400 --> 00:29:42,040
Speaker 1: Wilson this year. But let's move on to Monday night

622
00:29:42,320 --> 00:29:45,840
Speaker 1: and for those of you who listen to the podcast

623
00:29:45,920 --> 00:29:50,040
Speaker 1: last year, we're bringing it back. We got some swaction, swacktion.

624
00:29:52,320 --> 00:29:56,360
Speaker 1: Can we get serious serious? So we have maction in

625
00:29:56,480 --> 00:30:00,640
Speaker 1: college football, but we have swaction. And this morning when

626
00:30:00,640 --> 00:30:05,160
Speaker 1: we were preparing for the podcast, Uh, it brought just

627
00:30:05,320 --> 00:30:07,840
Speaker 1: joy to my heart when Mike brought up swashing and

628
00:30:07,920 --> 00:30:11,600
Speaker 1: DJ jumped in said he has some swashin So we

629
00:30:11,760 --> 00:30:15,560
Speaker 1: have what six? I think there's six SWAT games tonight.

630
00:30:16,160 --> 00:30:20,400
Speaker 1: I don't know where any of them are on. Uh,

631
00:30:20,560 --> 00:30:25,560
Speaker 1: don't worry. My prayer view game is on on that.

632
00:30:26,680 --> 00:30:29,920
Speaker 1: But you're like itching here, I gotta I gotta stop

633
00:30:29,920 --> 00:30:31,600
Speaker 1: talking to Let you just jump in. What's what's the

634
00:30:31,640 --> 00:30:32,680
Speaker 1: swash play tonight?

635
00:30:33,040 --> 00:30:35,600
Speaker 2: So you're going to fire up your computer. You're going

636
00:30:35,680 --> 00:30:38,280
Speaker 2: to go to the World Wide Web and YouTube Live

637
00:30:38,640 --> 00:30:41,640
Speaker 2: is going to be hosting a little game between Southern

638
00:30:41,680 --> 00:30:46,200
Speaker 2: and Mississippi Valley State going to take you live from Idabina, Mississippi.

639
00:30:46,240 --> 00:30:50,480
Speaker 2: Northwest Mississippi is a hidden gem there off the off

640
00:30:50,480 --> 00:30:51,240
Speaker 2: the Delta.

641
00:30:51,360 --> 00:30:54,000
Speaker 1: The Delta Devils, The Delta Devils.

642
00:30:53,600 --> 00:30:56,160
Speaker 2: The home of the fighting Jerry Rice's and Deacon Jones. Great.

643
00:30:56,400 --> 00:31:01,520
Speaker 2: You know HBCU football program, awful college basketball program. I'm

644
00:31:01,560 --> 00:31:03,600
Speaker 2: not breaking any news here. They've amitted the Big Dance

645
00:31:03,760 --> 00:31:06,000
Speaker 2: since two thousand and eight, where they scored twenty nine

646
00:31:06,000 --> 00:31:09,520
Speaker 2: points against UCLA. They go ahead and fire their coach

647
00:31:09,520 --> 00:31:12,480
Speaker 2: in the offseason. Bring in George Ivory, who is an alumnus.

648
00:31:12,480 --> 00:31:15,280
Speaker 2: In the eighties, he also coached Arkansas Pine Bluff for

649
00:31:15,320 --> 00:31:18,400
Speaker 2: thirteen years, his win percentage thirty four percent. I don't

650
00:31:18,440 --> 00:31:20,360
Speaker 2: know how you coach anywhere for thirteen years with a

651
00:31:20,400 --> 00:31:23,560
Speaker 2: win percentage that low. Mississippi Valley State carrying on the

652
00:31:23,640 --> 00:31:26,400
Speaker 2: awful tradition second worst team shooting inside the arc in

653
00:31:26,440 --> 00:31:29,240
Speaker 2: the country. But here's the game inside the game for me,

654
00:31:29,360 --> 00:31:33,080
Speaker 2: all these extra possessions for Southern the Delta Devil's three

655
00:31:33,160 --> 00:31:35,920
Speaker 2: hundred and forty fifth in defensive rebounding percentage, three hundred

656
00:31:35,960 --> 00:31:39,120
Speaker 2: and fifty first in turnovers. So what that means is

657
00:31:39,200 --> 00:31:41,560
Speaker 2: all these extra opportunities for Southern to cover a game

658
00:31:41,600 --> 00:31:43,880
Speaker 2: that's under, at least in my opinion, that key number

659
00:31:43,880 --> 00:31:46,840
Speaker 2: of ten. I couldn't believe that I saw Southern minus

660
00:31:46,920 --> 00:31:49,200
Speaker 2: nine a half because they're the top team in the swack.

661
00:31:50,040 --> 00:31:53,080
Speaker 2: What's interesting, I think the reason why it's holding right

662
00:31:53,080 --> 00:31:55,760
Speaker 2: around this ten point threshold is that despite losing by

663
00:31:55,800 --> 00:31:58,680
Speaker 2: an average in eighteen points per game, Missippi Valley States

664
00:31:58,720 --> 00:32:01,240
Speaker 2: fourteen and seven against it's the closing number. This year,

665
00:32:02,120 --> 00:32:04,520
Speaker 2: they've been real good against the spread. But I think

666
00:32:04,520 --> 00:32:06,880
Speaker 2: this is the time to hop off of the Delta

667
00:32:06,920 --> 00:32:09,200
Speaker 2: Devils bandwagon. I going to go ahead with Southern, who's

668
00:32:09,200 --> 00:32:11,800
Speaker 2: also been good against the spread. Twelve and five ats

669
00:32:12,080 --> 00:32:14,560
Speaker 2: one of the few HBCUs in the whole country that

670
00:32:14,600 --> 00:32:17,200
Speaker 2: can shoot from three. They're fifty seventh in three point

671
00:32:17,240 --> 00:32:20,200
Speaker 2: percentage on the year. And the other element of it

672
00:32:20,240 --> 00:32:22,840
Speaker 2: is not only is Missisippi Valley State really sloppy with

673
00:32:22,880 --> 00:32:26,160
Speaker 2: the basketball, Southern takes it away, forcing eighteen turnovers a

674
00:32:26,160 --> 00:32:29,480
Speaker 2: game that's fourth nationally. All five starters average over steal

675
00:32:29,520 --> 00:32:33,320
Speaker 2: per game. So I love Southern in this one, and

676
00:32:33,440 --> 00:32:35,960
Speaker 2: I'll see it the YouTube live comments section will be

677
00:32:36,000 --> 00:32:38,560
Speaker 2: me and forty five of my best friends just yucking

678
00:32:38,640 --> 00:32:40,520
Speaker 2: it up during this game and hopefully it's not a

679
00:32:40,560 --> 00:32:41,520
Speaker 2: sweat down the stretch.

680
00:32:41,880 --> 00:32:45,200
Speaker 1: Well, I'm going to be joining this comment section so

681
00:32:45,240 --> 00:32:47,640
Speaker 1: you can find me in there too. And yeah, that's

682
00:32:47,720 --> 00:32:49,560
Speaker 1: I think that's the key is that Southern does turn

683
00:32:49,600 --> 00:32:52,560
Speaker 1: you ever. I think they're thirteenth and turnover percentage on defense.

684
00:32:52,560 --> 00:32:55,160
Speaker 1: The only teams that turn it over more on a

685
00:32:55,200 --> 00:32:59,000
Speaker 1: percentage basis than the Mississippi Valley State Delta Devils are

686
00:32:59,000 --> 00:33:03,440
Speaker 1: New Orleans, I up UI, Delaware State in Florida, A

687
00:33:03,520 --> 00:33:06,880
Speaker 1: and M just the dregs of college basketball. And how

688
00:33:07,000 --> 00:33:09,160
Speaker 1: how did I still want to know? Texas Southern. Speaking

689
00:33:09,200 --> 00:33:11,280
Speaker 1: of I beat Arizona State early in the season, I

690
00:33:11,280 --> 00:33:13,640
Speaker 1: was like, oh, Texas Southern, and then they've been I

691
00:33:13,680 --> 00:33:14,600
Speaker 1: think they've won two straight.

692
00:33:14,600 --> 00:33:16,760
Speaker 2: But yeah, the PAC twelve did not have a great

693
00:33:16,800 --> 00:33:20,720
Speaker 2: non con schedule against the swack because also beat Cal Berkeley.

694
00:33:20,920 --> 00:33:24,600
Speaker 2: So yeah, cover your eyes on that one. West Coast

695
00:33:24,600 --> 00:33:25,560
Speaker 2: basketball fans.

696
00:33:25,880 --> 00:33:29,040
Speaker 1: Yeah, who PAC twelve? Is that? Is that a Could

697
00:33:29,040 --> 00:33:30,320
Speaker 1: that be just a two bid league?

698
00:33:31,560 --> 00:33:33,360
Speaker 2: Is it a mid major league? At this point, I

699
00:33:33,600 --> 00:33:35,920
Speaker 2: agree with you, this is rough for the Pack twelve.

700
00:33:36,120 --> 00:33:38,520
Speaker 1: All right, BJA, I know you. I don't have any

701
00:33:38,520 --> 00:33:40,120
Speaker 1: swashing on the table, but I know you have, so

702
00:33:40,160 --> 00:33:41,200
Speaker 1: you have a swash in total.

703
00:33:41,680 --> 00:33:46,840
Speaker 3: Yeah, speaking of Texas Southern, they're playing Alabama States Night

704
00:33:46,920 --> 00:33:50,239
Speaker 3: and beautiful Montgomery, Alabama, and I like the over one

705
00:33:50,320 --> 00:33:52,960
Speaker 3: hundred and thirty nine and a half points, mainly because

706
00:33:53,000 --> 00:33:56,200
Speaker 3: I was looking through Alabama State's shot quality numbers. I

707
00:33:56,240 --> 00:33:58,920
Speaker 3: don't think I've ever seen this. They should be finishing

708
00:33:58,960 --> 00:34:01,960
Speaker 3: at the rim thirteen teen percent higher than they have

709
00:34:02,040 --> 00:34:05,040
Speaker 3: been on the season because they are literally dead last

710
00:34:05,080 --> 00:34:07,760
Speaker 3: in the country in two point field goal percentage. They're

711
00:34:07,760 --> 00:34:11,000
Speaker 3: shooting thirty seven point nine percent from inside the arc.

712
00:34:11,760 --> 00:34:13,960
Speaker 3: I don't think they continue to can continue to shoot

713
00:34:13,960 --> 00:34:15,799
Speaker 3: that bad. They also get to the free throw line

714
00:34:15,800 --> 00:34:17,399
Speaker 3: at a decent rate when when they get there, they're

715
00:34:17,400 --> 00:34:20,880
Speaker 3: shooting eighty two percent in conference play, so maybe they

716
00:34:20,920 --> 00:34:23,960
Speaker 3: can get some points there. And defensively they are dreadful.

717
00:34:24,000 --> 00:34:26,560
Speaker 3: I mean, they're three hundred and fifty third in points

718
00:34:26,560 --> 00:34:28,839
Speaker 3: for possession allowed in half courts. They're third to last

719
00:34:28,880 --> 00:34:30,960
Speaker 3: in the country in points for possession a lout at

720
00:34:31,000 --> 00:34:33,040
Speaker 3: the rim, and that's basically where all where Texas Southern

721
00:34:33,360 --> 00:34:35,520
Speaker 3: gets all of their shot attempts from. Texasun loves to

722
00:34:35,520 --> 00:34:37,879
Speaker 3: do a lot of isolation sets. SELLBAM states three hundred

723
00:34:37,880 --> 00:34:40,120
Speaker 3: and forty seven in the country at defending those Texas

724
00:34:40,160 --> 00:34:42,880
Speaker 3: Southern is you know, in conference play they're eighth and

725
00:34:42,960 --> 00:34:45,120
Speaker 3: points for possion allowts, they haven't really been that good.

726
00:34:45,160 --> 00:34:48,440
Speaker 3: They're very poor at defending at the rim. These are

727
00:34:48,480 --> 00:34:50,360
Speaker 3: also two of the top three teams in the SWACK

728
00:34:50,440 --> 00:34:53,520
Speaker 3: in terms of being the lowest average possession length. So

729
00:34:54,120 --> 00:34:55,480
Speaker 3: I think we'll see an up and down game. It's

730
00:34:55,480 --> 00:34:57,839
Speaker 3: just gonna come down to whether these teams can make

731
00:34:57,880 --> 00:35:00,279
Speaker 3: these shots or not. So I'm going to I can

732
00:35:00,320 --> 00:35:02,920
Speaker 3: over one hundred and thirty nine and a half and

733
00:35:03,040 --> 00:35:06,160
Speaker 3: I expect these teams to shoot very very well from

734
00:35:06,200 --> 00:35:07,080
Speaker 3: the field hopefully.

735
00:35:07,640 --> 00:35:12,000
Speaker 1: Okay, there you have a swactionin over and laying it

736
00:35:12,000 --> 00:35:15,160
Speaker 1: with Southern. You can catch us in the comments section

737
00:35:15,560 --> 00:35:18,839
Speaker 1: on YouTube live. What time's that game? Eight thirty eight

738
00:35:18,880 --> 00:35:20,960
Speaker 1: thirty pm Eastern late one for.

739
00:35:21,000 --> 00:35:23,440
Speaker 2: Me too, I believe it's either nine or eight thirty.

740
00:35:23,840 --> 00:35:25,759
Speaker 2: Let's see here. Yeah, eight thirty, I mean that's that's

741
00:35:25,760 --> 00:35:26,240
Speaker 2: the hot.

742
00:35:26,080 --> 00:35:26,720
Speaker 1: Time in swack.

743
00:35:26,800 --> 00:35:28,839
Speaker 2: That's when you got to get multiple screens going.

744
00:35:29,200 --> 00:35:31,279
Speaker 1: Yeah. So if you're if there's a commercial break in

745
00:35:31,360 --> 00:35:35,520
Speaker 1: Kansas Balor or halftime and you want to check in

746
00:35:35,560 --> 00:35:37,799
Speaker 1: on what we're doing, I expect to see all of

747
00:35:37,840 --> 00:35:41,960
Speaker 1: you in the YouTube live comments section. All right, before

748
00:35:41,960 --> 00:35:45,160
Speaker 1: we get out of here, one final order of business,

749
00:35:45,160 --> 00:35:50,239
Speaker 1: and that's our best bets for Monday night. I'm gonna

750
00:35:50,239 --> 00:35:54,719
Speaker 1: take Virginia Tech. I think the line is starting to

751
00:35:54,800 --> 00:35:57,360
Speaker 1: creep out. I don't mind taking the money line here,

752
00:35:58,600 --> 00:36:00,839
Speaker 1: but if you can get two or better, I would

753
00:36:00,920 --> 00:36:04,439
Speaker 1: lay it. Obviously, this is desperation time for Virginia Tech.

754
00:36:05,160 --> 00:36:07,440
Speaker 1: I just think they're so much better than the record indicates.

755
00:36:07,480 --> 00:36:10,560
Speaker 1: They have one hundred Coutour back now, and I mean, look,

756
00:36:10,600 --> 00:36:14,440
Speaker 1: they lost by one at Clemson on a last second three.

757
00:36:14,640 --> 00:36:18,279
Speaker 1: They lost in overtime to BC. They were playing without

758
00:36:18,320 --> 00:36:20,640
Speaker 1: Katour for a while. They lost by two at Wake,

759
00:36:20,760 --> 00:36:23,080
Speaker 1: they lost by three at home to Clemson, they lost

760
00:36:23,120 --> 00:36:26,560
Speaker 1: by four at home to NC State. They have been there.

761
00:36:26,600 --> 00:36:29,080
Speaker 1: And this is a team that it's an experienced team

762
00:36:29,200 --> 00:36:32,840
Speaker 1: that basically was in the same exact spot last season,

763
00:36:33,320 --> 00:36:35,560
Speaker 1: very slow start in the ACC and this is right

764
00:36:35,600 --> 00:36:38,640
Speaker 1: about when they've caught fire. I think the same thing

765
00:36:38,719 --> 00:36:41,440
Speaker 1: is going to happen this year. Should be a raucous environment.

766
00:36:41,840 --> 00:36:45,640
Speaker 1: I think Duke still so much talent, still hasn't figured

767
00:36:45,680 --> 00:36:48,920
Speaker 1: it out yet. And you know, they're living on the

768
00:36:48,920 --> 00:36:51,759
Speaker 1: offensive glass, which is basically their best offense on one

769
00:36:51,760 --> 00:36:53,759
Speaker 1: of the best offensive rebunding teams in the country. But

770
00:36:53,920 --> 00:36:57,240
Speaker 1: Virginia Tech can actually match them on the defensive boards.

771
00:36:57,280 --> 00:37:01,279
Speaker 1: They're very good defensive rebounding team. And I think the

772
00:37:01,320 --> 00:37:04,319
Speaker 1: action that they run against this young Duke team on

773
00:37:04,360 --> 00:37:06,239
Speaker 1: the other end of the floor, they will have some

774
00:37:06,239 --> 00:37:08,640
Speaker 1: success therese shots are going to start falling for vot Tech.

775
00:37:08,760 --> 00:37:11,120
Speaker 1: I think this is just a spot here, the spot

776
00:37:11,160 --> 00:37:13,920
Speaker 1: of spots for a desperate team. And it's crazy to

777
00:37:13,960 --> 00:37:18,239
Speaker 1: say this could be a must win for Virginia Tech

778
00:37:18,560 --> 00:37:20,520
Speaker 1: for they're at large hopes, because if you look at

779
00:37:20,520 --> 00:37:23,400
Speaker 1: the bottom of the ACC, there's no there's not a

780
00:37:23,400 --> 00:37:26,280
Speaker 1: lot of chances for our quality wins. You're playing Louisville.

781
00:37:26,320 --> 00:37:29,160
Speaker 1: What's Louisville now like a Quad four game. So this

782
00:37:29,239 --> 00:37:32,040
Speaker 1: is a huge game for Virginia Tech season. I think

783
00:37:32,040 --> 00:37:33,440
Speaker 1: it's a spot for them. So I'm gonna go with

784
00:37:33,520 --> 00:37:35,319
Speaker 1: the Hokies like I'm going to go.

785
00:37:35,320 --> 00:37:37,680
Speaker 2: With an over in the Horizon League. I like over

786
00:37:37,760 --> 00:37:40,600
Speaker 2: one fifty two between Oakland and Detroit and the Motor

787
00:37:40,640 --> 00:37:44,560
Speaker 2: City rivalry. You're gonna want to check on Jared Liddell's availability.

788
00:37:44,600 --> 00:37:47,600
Speaker 2: He has a lingering back issue for Detroit Mercy. If

789
00:37:47,600 --> 00:37:50,200
Speaker 2: he's a go, this is an absolute hammer play for me.

790
00:37:50,760 --> 00:37:53,440
Speaker 2: These two teams combines in terms of the totals this year,

791
00:37:53,480 --> 00:37:56,439
Speaker 2: they're twenty three and fifteen to the over in conference play.

792
00:37:56,480 --> 00:37:58,759
Speaker 2: To trade is averaging over eighty points per game. At home,

793
00:37:58,800 --> 00:38:00,880
Speaker 2: they're averaging over eighty points game, and you get an

794
00:38:00,920 --> 00:38:02,840
Speaker 2: opportunity to watch one of the greatest scorers in the

795
00:38:02,880 --> 00:38:06,000
Speaker 2: history of college basketball, Antwoine Davis now is only looking

796
00:38:06,080 --> 00:38:08,919
Speaker 2: up at Pistol Pete in terms of career points. He's

797
00:38:08,960 --> 00:38:12,000
Speaker 2: an absolute bucket waiting to happen. He's averaging thirty three

798
00:38:12,080 --> 00:38:15,000
Speaker 2: point five points per game across his last six, shooting

799
00:38:15,040 --> 00:38:17,400
Speaker 2: forty four percent from three during that hot streak, and

800
00:38:17,440 --> 00:38:20,840
Speaker 2: Oakland gives up open looks NonStop from three point range.

801
00:38:20,880 --> 00:38:22,719
Speaker 2: They're one of the worst teams defending the three in

802
00:38:22,719 --> 00:38:24,799
Speaker 2: the entire country. And a little bonus on the other side,

803
00:38:24,880 --> 00:38:26,440
Speaker 2: Jalen Moore is a great point guard, not as good

804
00:38:26,480 --> 00:38:28,600
Speaker 2: shooting from distance, but he can fill it up as well.

805
00:38:28,600 --> 00:38:30,439
Speaker 2: I think he went for twenty five in his last game,

806
00:38:30,560 --> 00:38:32,440
Speaker 2: so I like over one fifty two here. I think

807
00:38:32,440 --> 00:38:34,160
Speaker 2: this game could end up being played in the eighties.

808
00:38:34,880 --> 00:38:37,239
Speaker 2: Riiz League basketball pretty fun and this is probably one

809
00:38:37,239 --> 00:38:39,840
Speaker 2: of the best matchups if you haven't watched this season,

810
00:38:39,880 --> 00:38:41,120
Speaker 2: if you want to get in on it just from

811
00:38:41,120 --> 00:38:42,800
Speaker 2: an entertainment perspective.

812
00:38:42,600 --> 00:38:46,839
Speaker 1: Yeah, Antswan Davis now the NCAA career leader in three

813
00:38:47,040 --> 00:38:51,879
Speaker 1: pointers made and attempted, and you know it's number four

814
00:38:52,480 --> 00:38:56,200
Speaker 1: is Darius McGee, also currently playing for Liberty, who is

815
00:38:56,320 --> 00:38:59,160
Speaker 1: also a bucket and can go for I think he's

816
00:38:59,200 --> 00:39:03,160
Speaker 1: gone for forty plus three or four times in his career.

817
00:39:04,400 --> 00:39:06,800
Speaker 1: So yeah, Liberty. I hope Liberty gets in the tournament.

818
00:39:06,800 --> 00:39:10,400
Speaker 1: They're always a fun watch and McGee is a flamethrow

819
00:39:10,600 --> 00:39:14,480
Speaker 1: just like Davis who cook up for forty five on

820
00:39:14,600 --> 00:39:16,399
Speaker 1: any given night. BJ, what you got?

821
00:39:16,640 --> 00:39:18,759
Speaker 3: Yeah, outside of any of the swash and pick, I

822
00:39:18,800 --> 00:39:20,160
Speaker 3: don't really like much else. I'm gonna go back to

823
00:39:20,239 --> 00:39:21,959
Speaker 3: Kansas plus two and a half. One thing we already

824
00:39:21,960 --> 00:39:24,040
Speaker 3: didn't meant that we didn't mention during that time is

825
00:39:24,600 --> 00:39:27,799
Speaker 3: you know, when Baylor played TCU, a high transition team,

826
00:39:27,840 --> 00:39:30,359
Speaker 3: which Kansas can be because they're thirty fifth in terms

827
00:39:30,400 --> 00:39:33,080
Speaker 3: of transition frequency. I mean TCU put up eighty eight

828
00:39:33,120 --> 00:39:35,520
Speaker 3: points and one point two points for possession. So this

829
00:39:35,640 --> 00:39:38,000
Speaker 3: is just an all time great spot here for Kansas

830
00:39:38,000 --> 00:39:40,040
Speaker 3: getting them at a good number here at plus two

831
00:39:40,040 --> 00:39:40,439
Speaker 3: and a half.

832
00:39:40,719 --> 00:39:44,520
Speaker 1: All right, good stuff there, as always, make sure you

833
00:39:44,680 --> 00:39:48,080
Speaker 1: also check out the award winning Action Network app and

834
00:39:48,200 --> 00:39:52,200
Speaker 1: Actionnework dot com. We have tons of great content for

835
00:39:52,480 --> 00:39:56,520
Speaker 1: today's slate and beyond for college basketball, and thanks for listening.

836
00:39:56,760 --> 00:39:59,640
Speaker 1: Make sure you subscribe on subscribe, subscribe to a friend,

837
00:39:59,640 --> 00:40:03,040
Speaker 1: telling it, leave a review five star review. You can

838
00:40:03,440 --> 00:40:06,560
Speaker 1: say whatever you want, you can mention Swaction if you're

839
00:40:06,560 --> 00:40:08,200
Speaker 1: going to be in the comment section with those. Really

840
00:40:08,200 --> 00:40:11,320
Speaker 1: help us out and we will do giveaway as periodically.

841
00:40:11,320 --> 00:40:13,520
Speaker 1: We'll do one here later this week if we get

842
00:40:13,520 --> 00:40:16,520
Speaker 1: a couple five star reviews, so appreciate that if you

843
00:40:16,520 --> 00:40:19,520
Speaker 1: can take the time and help us out, But that'll

844
00:40:19,560 --> 00:40:21,759
Speaker 1: do it for us. The guys from the Three Man

845
00:40:21,840 --> 00:40:24,239
Speaker 1: Weave will be back in midweek and we will be

846
00:40:24,280 --> 00:40:29,959
Speaker 1: back later this week to preview Saturday's college basketball slate.

847
00:40:30,760 --> 00:40:34,040
Speaker 1: The hoops are getting good, good luck out there, and

848
00:40:34,120 --> 00:40:35,919
Speaker 1: we will see some chips.

849
00:40:47,200 --> 00:40:51,719
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850
00:40:51,719 --> 00:40:54,520
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851
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