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Speaker 1: The Action Network Podcast Podcast.

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Speaker 2: If you are even remotely a savage, you'll run these

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Speaker 2: people over for a second. Hello and welcome the Action

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Speaker 2: Network Podcast presented by Bet MGM. I'm Sean Zerula, joined

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Speaker 2: today by Billy Ward to help you preview Saturday's UFC

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Speaker 2: event at the UFC Apex. But first we've got a

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Speaker 2: very special guest with us this week, joining us number

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Speaker 2: fifteen lately in the world, six and zero in the UFC,

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Speaker 2: Patty the Batty Pimblet.

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Speaker 3: Thank you for joining the show.

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Speaker 4: Thank you for having me fellas. What's going on?

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Speaker 2: Well, Patty, let's let's talk about your favorite football club first.

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Speaker 2: You know, Liverpool season underway. Urregen Clop no longer the manager.

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Speaker 2: What are your thoughts on your team outside of your sport,

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Speaker 2: outside of your day job. I am I'm aware that

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Speaker 2: Liverpool takes up a big part of your life. Your

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Speaker 2: fandom takes up you know, a big part of your consumption.

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Speaker 2: What are your thoughts on Liverpool this year? What are

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Speaker 2: your thoughts of a new manager and how do you

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Speaker 2: feel about the direction of the club this season?

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Speaker 4: Well, Llillia Iman just come across gres and interviews and

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Speaker 4: stuff like that. I like the style on any stake

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Speaker 4: to the point. So I'm liking it so far and

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Speaker 4: didn't perform first half that well means the twitch both

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Speaker 4: Seve and half we come out in blue in my way,

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Speaker 4: So I'm looking forwards this season. I think game I

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Speaker 4: think we're gonna shot a lot of people, think Tom.

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Speaker 4: He's kind of shows a lot of people, all right.

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Speaker 3: How many games are you able to get to a year?

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Speaker 3: Is it? Is it?

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Speaker 2: I mean, I know tickets are difficult to come by,

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Speaker 2: but you know the stadium expanded capacity is bigger now,

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Speaker 2: is it. Obviously with your your schedule being in camp,

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Speaker 2: you know, being in the gym, it's difficult to get

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Speaker 2: out and do other things. But are you able to

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Speaker 2: attend still a few matches per season?

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Speaker 4: Yeah, of course You're still trying to get some most

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Speaker 4: home games, be honest, because the locals sign. It's the

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Speaker 4: most own games. I'm going on Sunday away games that

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Speaker 4: I have to get to it at all, but still

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Speaker 4: end up getting to a few of them. This season

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Speaker 4: are back from the Champions League, so hopefully get to

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Speaker 4: a few Motor But he's said I went to park

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Speaker 4: last season in the Open League, so hopefully we've got

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Speaker 4: a few seasons away days this season and the Champions Leape.

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Speaker 2: It's different than we have in America because it's all

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Speaker 2: of your fandom is focused on one team. You know,

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Speaker 2: I have my baseball team, my football team, my basketball team.

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Speaker 4: Yeah.

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Speaker 2: I think most people don't realize all that fandom just

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Speaker 2: gets combined into one passionate fan base plays is.

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Speaker 4: The same Blazers from Philly. Lad it's always gone the Sixers,

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Speaker 4: the Flyers. What else they've got so on the Eagles,

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Speaker 4: you know what I mean, He's got all sorts of

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Speaker 4: different teams that he needs to support for. In Liverpool

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Speaker 4: that's just Liverpool Football Club or whatever all the other

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Speaker 4: and then other than that, it's like fighting sports and

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Speaker 4: individual sports, not really team sports.

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Speaker 3: We're ever going to see you fight at anfield.

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Speaker 2: I know that that would be a career aspiration for you.

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Speaker 2: A UC card hosted at anfield, for you to headline

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Speaker 2: that card, potentially to be defending a UFC belt at

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Speaker 2: that card. So in your mind, you know you're walking

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Speaker 2: out at anfield, this does happen, which Liverpool legends are

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Speaker 2: walking out with you?

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Speaker 4: The Susan obviously.

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Speaker 3: Yeah, I figured it would be Carriger.

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Speaker 4: Yeah, with them by then, love, by then some of

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Speaker 4: our players you're playing now will be beside of that,

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Speaker 4: So like Virgina just the month.

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Speaker 2: So okay, so six and ow in the UFC number

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Speaker 2: fifteen in the lightweight rankings. The two fighters directly ahead

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Speaker 2: of you number fourteen, number fifteen, Jalen Dierner Pavel des Aos,

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Speaker 2: both currently unbooked. We can get to some of the

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Speaker 2: other fighters above them. The UFC's reached out about a

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Speaker 2: potential fight. But looking at Dosanos, looking at Turner, either

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Speaker 2: of those guys interest you, And has the UFC reached

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Speaker 2: out about your potential next fight?

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Speaker 4: No, the de cent the next fight. But I's got

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Speaker 4: a fight book. He's fighting Jeff fighting Jeff Neil at wellsoy,

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Speaker 4: that's what to me. I think I'm gonna get moved

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Speaker 4: to rank and anyway, because I just said he won't

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Speaker 4: fight the lightweights again and he's gonna fight wellway from

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Speaker 4: now on, So probably going to get moved as a

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Speaker 4: full team and then but no, I want to fight

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Speaker 4: and that wakan A lot of you wants to fight me.

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Speaker 4: I want to fight him. I think it'd be a

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Speaker 4: full fight for everyone involved.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, Micano fighting Ben Wile Saint Denis in September, Dan

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Speaker 2: Hooker Matatos Gamrock is coming off of a pretty exciting

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Speaker 2: fight on the last card. As I mentioned, other guys

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Speaker 2: in the division and the Hope Elfasief knee injury. Bnio

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Speaker 2: Berry is dealing with miniscus hair from last month. It's

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Speaker 2: a bit of an odd case, you know, Michael Chandler

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Speaker 2: waiting for the conomor Gregor fight. It's a bit of

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Speaker 2: an on case in your division because it's not like

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Speaker 2: everybody's book. There's a few fights that are booked and

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Speaker 2: a lot of fighters are sitting on the sidelines. I

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Speaker 2: think there's a chance you could get jumped up into

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Speaker 2: the top five and potentially given, you know, a title

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Speaker 2: eliminated shot. But do you think you're you're two three,

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Speaker 2: two fights away, two wins away from a title shot,

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Speaker 2: or do you think there's a potentially your one fight

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Speaker 2: away from potentially fighting for a title.

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Speaker 4: I'll let everyone else about that lot. I'll just keep fighting.

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Speaker 4: I'm winning as I got off with Donald, hoping next

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Speaker 4: fight I'll take to know what I mean, jump right up

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Speaker 4: in round five and then probably will be a tite

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Speaker 4: eliminated next, So I'm game for anything. As I say,

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Speaker 4: any any name gets sent to me that i'll I'm

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Speaker 4: not shying away from fighting anyone now.

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Speaker 5: I would personally love to see the grappling between you

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Speaker 5: and Morkano in that fight. That would that would be awesome.

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Speaker 5: On a lighter note, what's the funniest bit of trash

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Speaker 5: talk you've heard from an opponent or even a fan

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Speaker 5: in a UFC fight or Cage Warriors anywhere else. I

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Speaker 5: guess I all.

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Speaker 4: Ad some bad ones. They had some very bad ones.

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Speaker 4: I wish I had other people here would have been

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Speaker 4: with me in shows. So they did think of someone,

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Speaker 4: they had some terrible ones, But off the I can't

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Speaker 4: even think of one.

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Speaker 2: Anything you've said to an opponent to get in their

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Speaker 2: head during a fight that he thought was like particularly clever.

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Speaker 4: No, I'll be honest. Normally I don't. I don't speak

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Speaker 4: him fights. I suppose back to Bobby, like I said

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Speaker 4: a few things back to Bobby, woulda kind of remember

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Speaker 4: what I said, But yeah, I don't. I don't normally

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Speaker 4: talk them fights. Maybe even months off with someone and

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Speaker 4: they've done me eding, but that's all I did. I

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Speaker 4: probably I wouldn't want to to all them shits on

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Speaker 4: the feet left and then get and slapped them play.

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Speaker 4: It's a it's not a good loaf, is it.

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Speaker 3: Yeah.

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Speaker 2: I think that fighting with Bobby had played out a

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Speaker 2: little bit longer, we might have gotten some good trash

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Speaker 2: talk between you two eventually, but you ended it a

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Speaker 2: little bit too quickly. And I think as you were

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Speaker 2: choking about he didn't really have the opportunity to say

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Speaker 2: anything to you.

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Speaker 4: So even off the opportunity is he's a top club

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Speaker 4: about to say.

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Speaker 3: It's very true, put him to sleep.

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Speaker 2: I want to talk about your walkout and your mentality,

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Speaker 2: and you know you have a ton of energy during

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Speaker 2: your walkout.

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Speaker 3: I put it up there with any walk out in

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Speaker 3: MMA right now.

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Speaker 2: Poton obviously phenomenal voke when he's fighting in Australia coming

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Speaker 2: out to land on on your tremendous but your walk

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Speaker 2: out tons of energy. But then you have to flip

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Speaker 2: the switch and you get in the cage and you

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Speaker 2: go back to in your mind, going to the things

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Speaker 2: you worked on in training camp, going to your game plan.

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Speaker 2: How do you go from all of that energy in

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Speaker 2: the walkout to then flipping the switch, calming yourself down

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Speaker 2: and going back to I need to stand here and

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Speaker 2: kick Bobby Green at range and wait for the fight

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Speaker 2: to play out, not immediately go and try.

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Speaker 3: To take him down.

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Speaker 2: How do you how do you flip that mental switch

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Speaker 2: in your mind from your walk out to the actual fight.

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Speaker 4: I don't know. People always ask me that, but I'll

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Speaker 4: be honestly, I have no clue. That's I just that's

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Speaker 4: why I always say I'm just built to do this.

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Speaker 4: I was made to do this, because obviously I've all

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Speaker 4: sort of that was going through your leather as you

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Speaker 4: walk and I was even I mean, before you're walking out,

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Speaker 4: when that music, it's like, I couldn't have another care

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Speaker 4: in the world that not on, not one can get

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Speaker 4: in the head. And then obviously and the music goes

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Speaker 4: off and he's standing there facing your opponents. It's just

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Speaker 4: telling myself, it's only me and him in this world.

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Speaker 4: There's no one else on this planet now that matter,

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Speaker 4: just me and him and the ref Oh, I mean,

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Speaker 4: that's it. No one else matters. So I've just got

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Speaker 4: to hate him more than you can hate me, and

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Speaker 4: I'll win.

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Speaker 3: Do you feel an adrenaline rush though when you're walking

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Speaker 3: out or are you calm and your music is playing.

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Speaker 4: I don't even know because I don't. I don't feel

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Speaker 4: like I have a crazy at ambling rush because when

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Speaker 4: I get in the cage, I feel sound, I feel fresh,

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Speaker 4: feel like I don't feel like I've done like a

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Speaker 4: big warehouse. And in the last fight, I've watched the

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Speaker 4: back and I am about two minutes for one of me. Coaches.

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Speaker 4: Ellis shouts halfway, I can remember taking of yourself a

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Speaker 4: half away. Yeah, I feel shut hear me, and everyone

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Speaker 4: was talking about me gas and I feel shar hear me,

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Speaker 4: and I remember like going at him a little bit more.

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Speaker 4: Then that's when I threw the like k from the

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Speaker 4: end of that time to grab all of me.

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Speaker 5: We're one of the few fights as custom walkout shorts

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Speaker 5: or custom fight shorts in the UFC. Was that something

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Speaker 5: you pushed for? Was that something they proposed to you?

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Speaker 5: How did that come up? Because that's a big yeah.

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Speaker 4: I pushed for that on I mean I put a

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Speaker 4: little post up on Instagram. I mean I had to

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Speaker 4: message Venom and stuff like that. I message someone else

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Speaker 4: because obviously I've all read all the UFC fights. But

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Speaker 4: then I've always wanted to wear orange anyway, but you

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Speaker 4: have to pick wet red, black and white, and where

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Speaker 4: Bobby was the rank fighter, Bobby pis red, So I

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Speaker 4: had to pick between black and white, and I was like, no,

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Speaker 4: I won't be Autumn johnes. The's with red Ica made

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Speaker 4: Autumn staff. They're not on life it's all. And then

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Speaker 4: obviously if you end up pushing forward and we end

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Speaker 4: up getting it, so yeah, I'll be with them for

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Speaker 4: even I will we lest you make another customized PA

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Speaker 4: Autumn John's, I'll be with the same path whatever.

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Speaker 5: Do you physically have the same pair? Do they give

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Speaker 5: you new ones every time or something like that.

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Speaker 4: No, No, they give you new ones every time, but

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Speaker 4: you had a new pat of fight, so it's ever

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Speaker 4: each time.

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Speaker 2: So Patty, we talked about the engagement side of fighting, right,

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Speaker 2: getting yourself locked in. What about leading up to the fights,

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Speaker 2: your camp, the days where it's a little bit more

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Speaker 2: difficult to get yourself going. You know, high pressure jobs

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Speaker 2: like yours, even mind to a degree, you're putting yourself

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Speaker 2: out there and there's a lot of criticism. There's a

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Speaker 2: lot of pressure and stress that goes with it. You've

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Speaker 2: been using your platform to raise awareness for men's mental health,

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Speaker 2: which I want to thank you for because in a

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Speaker 2: testosterone dominated space like MMA, I think it's really important

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Speaker 2: that fighters speak openly and destigmatize conversations around mental health.

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Speaker 2: I've had days where I can't get out of bed,

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Speaker 2: just to be straight up, I'm sure you have as well.

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Speaker 2: Based on what you've said, I know you've had friends

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Speaker 2: you've lost to suicide.

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Speaker 3: Which is horrible.

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Speaker 2: I'm very sorry for that, and that's why you're in

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Speaker 2: the position to raise awareness about men's mental health. So

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Speaker 2: I want to ask you, when you're struggling, on days

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Speaker 2: that you, in particular are struggling, have you found any

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Speaker 2: methods in particular to break yourself out of that fog

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Speaker 2: or to get yourself back to your best.

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Speaker 4: Well, now I have an added I had an added motivation.

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Speaker 4: I've got kids. I mean, I've got two little girls

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Speaker 4: that I need to get out of bed for them,

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Speaker 4: going to say for them, win fights for on my

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Speaker 4: wife known to me, and I've got them not I

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Speaker 4: need to do a football even before then. It's not

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Speaker 4: with me that it's not the motivations that get in

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Speaker 4: the gym, it's just getting me, you know what I mean?

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Speaker 4: Because I know ones have done me sessioned, I'll feel better.

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Speaker 4: And that's what I That's what I signed do when

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Speaker 4: I'm down on the dumb snow on to me and

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Speaker 4: just make sure that I'm going to the gym because

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Speaker 4: of it. Don't go to the gym and just sit

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Speaker 4: in my house all day. I'll just get even more

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Speaker 4: depressed and start overthinking ivying even more.

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Speaker 5: So.

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Speaker 4: I always say when you're feeling like that, to connect

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Speaker 4: with other people people, that those people that care about you,

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Speaker 4: ship around and get something to eat with them, or

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Speaker 4: watch them and just shit and speak to them, and

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Speaker 4: you'll feel ten times better after that. But that that

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Speaker 4: for me is the gym, you know what I mean,

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Speaker 4: because well most of my makes it in the gym.

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Speaker 4: Obviously I've got makes that go up with that don't

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Speaker 4: from the gym, But most of my makes it in

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Speaker 4: the gym who we see all day every day life.

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Speaker 4: Going there for me is after because I get to

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Speaker 4: shit around and talk to all like mind the people.

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Speaker 2: Are there any changes in how you'd like to see

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Speaker 2: how other MMA fighters address mental health, how it's addressed

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Speaker 2: in gyms, you know, how it's just addressed in the

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Speaker 2: community overall, Like what what direction do you want to

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Speaker 2: push this conversation in.

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Speaker 4: I just hope everyone starts talking that. But I've I've

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Speaker 4: experienced it myself, you know what I mean. I've told

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Speaker 4: people to start open, and then people happened the other

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Speaker 4: week when I was fighting Bobby. I mean, I said

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Speaker 4: about me membleels a couple of weeks out from the fight,

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Speaker 4: like five or six weeks out from the fighting, coaches

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Speaker 4: looking pull me out, and then I just had people

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Speaker 4: attack me say, you know, he's only doing this to

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Speaker 4: get some funds. He's only doing this or this and that.

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Speaker 4: I know what it's like. People online give me ship,

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Speaker 4: especially in positions I waited, where you put yourself out

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Speaker 4: there and people just want to attakia just to make

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Speaker 4: themselves feel better. I just let everyone know that. Yeah,

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Speaker 4: no mass of it. How many people are sacka. How

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Speaker 4: many people say safety is about you. I can do

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Speaker 4: whatever the fuck he wants if you put your mand

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Speaker 4: to it. You know what I mean. I'm just a

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Speaker 4: brag ass from Liverpool. I'm saving over the fucking world.

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Speaker 3: Not just some guy.

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Speaker 2: You're a pretty good athlete, but I get the sentiment. Yeah,

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Speaker 2: I enjoyed Volkanovski after one of his title fights, saying,

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Speaker 2: you know, I'm just the guy like uh from Australia.

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Speaker 2: I just work harder than everybody else. I'm like, yeah,

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Speaker 2: but you also used to be two hundred fifty pounds.

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Speaker 2: You can now get down to one forty five, which

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Speaker 2: is a little bit special. I don't think the average

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Speaker 2: human could do that. So Patty, you know, and again

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Speaker 2: thank you for you know, being an advocate for men's

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Speaker 2: mental health.

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Speaker 3: I think it's.

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Speaker 2: Extremely important and I hope you do continue to drive

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Speaker 2: those conversations. There are obviously a ton of fights every week, right,

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Speaker 2: we're here to break these down. I don't know how

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Speaker 2: much of a fight fan you are as opposed to

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Speaker 2: like a you know, a soccer fan. Obviously it's your job,

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Speaker 2: but not every athlete who fights in their sport is

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Speaker 2: particularly a fan of that sport. There's plenty of baseball

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Speaker 2: players who play baseball because they're good at it, but

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Speaker 2: they hate baseball. Makes a lot of sense, right, No,

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Speaker 2: are you watching the fights on a week to week basis?

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Speaker 2: And if so, we're just in particular because it's a

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Speaker 2: big fight coming up the sphere. Morab Debosh, Philly, Sean O'Malley,

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Speaker 2: any thoughts on that Band and White title matchup, which

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Speaker 2: I think the UFC fan base has been anticipating for

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Speaker 2: about a year and a half or two years at

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Speaker 2: this point.

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Speaker 4: David's isn't it Who's going to plant the game? Pup?

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Speaker 4: I see him Dana not fairly happy with football on

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Speaker 4: the other coat, Yeah see him few with over that

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Speaker 4: which maybe laugh but yeah, as I say, it's all

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Speaker 4: about it's all about his show and can use his

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Speaker 4: length and not against the wrestler, because we all know

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Speaker 4: what that game plan is, to come in shooting, take

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Speaker 4: him down, Mollo on the ground and just suffocate them.

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Speaker 4: But Sean needs to keep it rains. He users to shoes,

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Speaker 4: his punches and just as I say, it's through everything,

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Speaker 4: implement the game plan.

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Speaker 5: You can watching. You've got a teammate making his UFC

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Speaker 5: debut tomorrow, Nathan Fletcher. What can you tell us we

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Speaker 5: should look out for with him? What should we expect

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Speaker 5: when he gets in there.

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Speaker 4: Nathan's got very very very slick grappling and he's only

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Speaker 4: lost once professional and then he lost on the other

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Speaker 4: with a fighter, but he had a fractured leg in

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Speaker 4: that or a broken legs something like that. So I

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Speaker 4: think that's why the UFC have given one of the chances.

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Speaker 4: And he's fighting someone who never lost on the show.

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Speaker 4: But Nathan's got a lovely renated choke, He's got a

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Speaker 4: lovely he's a brilliant grappler, he's got lovely hot pressure,

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Speaker 4: and he's a battat as I say, just like me.

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Speaker 4: So I think he's going to get a real naked

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Speaker 4: choking final.

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Speaker 3: Is that your favorite technique in general? The RNA?

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Speaker 4: Is there something? Yeah? Flying siel, flying triangle.

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Speaker 2: All right, I'm gonna look out for one of those

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Speaker 2: in the future from you in a fight.

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Speaker 4: And although they got some in the past level the

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Speaker 4: competition's got the best enough, so it might be.

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Speaker 2: Honest, Yeah, and putting yourself on your back, you know,

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Speaker 2: if you don't complete it isn't necessary for the best move.

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Speaker 2: I guess round winning purposes. I want to get your

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Speaker 2: reaction to to Israeltisania's fight against Vegas du Plessi from

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Speaker 2: last week. Did you did you think is he looked

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Speaker 2: a little bit slower declined relative to his previous form

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Speaker 2: And what do you think in general fighters should do

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Speaker 2: you know former champions legends of the sport?

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Speaker 3: Where does he go from here, like, what who does

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Speaker 3: he fight to get back to the top. Is there

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Speaker 3: even incentive, you know for him to do it at

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Speaker 3: this point?

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Speaker 4: Don't always could do what Max Aliva? Don't film because

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Speaker 4: everyone said thought about Max Aliva? Time everyone this, Marx's these,

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Speaker 4: everyone else who's being put in pause. He's lost to

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Speaker 4: his fault. So I'd say fight another fewtre Consent doesn't.

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Speaker 4: He could end up getting another title shot because not

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Speaker 4: Bell could change outs out of Sicklin beat to plus

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Speaker 4: see the song. Just just shoot him for the title

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Speaker 4: shot because he won the bells off him when he's

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Speaker 4: an absolute chewing for the title.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, he probably only needs one win to get back

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Speaker 2: into it, especially exactly.

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Speaker 4: He probably only only needs one win against Arthur Comms.

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Speaker 4: That's all with or, you know what I mean, someone

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Speaker 4: like that.

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Speaker 3: What about Connor McGregor. Are you gonna see him again?

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Speaker 2: I know, Michael Chandler, you know, sitting in the top

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Speaker 2: five of this division inactive. Maybe that's a guy you

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Speaker 2: call out if he doesn't end up getting the Connor

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Speaker 2: McGregor fight eventually, but waiting, I.

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Speaker 4: Really like Chandler fight Chanda. I'd glow to beat someone

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Speaker 4: else so I like Chieldla So Dan Hookert's that. Yeah,

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Speaker 4: I was thinking of the week perfectly to the title

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Speaker 4: it being well, you can't know, and then Charles olivate

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Speaker 4: this one, he's like one two, you know what I mean.

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Speaker 4: That's what O'Malley don. O'Malley went from like rank elevens

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Speaker 4: around one or something.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, he he went from eleven and he fought Yon

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Speaker 2: and then got the title shot off of that. Oh yeah,

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Speaker 2: that's that's kind of why I was thinking, you know,

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Speaker 2: I'll Dan Hooker making a uh making a number one

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Speaker 2: title contender fighters.

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Speaker 4: I was about to say, you have the one everyone

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Speaker 4: else with both of both in the Ronkins and full

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Speaker 4: for the title anyway, so to its number one, send

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Speaker 4: the fight if he really wants it.

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Speaker 5: So it seems a lot of times like the UFC

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Speaker 5: makes title fights. They've got the date on the calendar

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Speaker 5: right and they've got to fill it. Now that you're

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Speaker 5: up in the rankings, does that affect you? Are you

400
00:17:26,800 --> 00:17:28,520
Speaker 5: trying to stay ready in case you get that call

401
00:17:28,600 --> 00:17:31,280
Speaker 5: when something happens. That seems to be an important part

402
00:17:31,280 --> 00:17:33,320
Speaker 5: of the UFC process now is being ready on time?

403
00:17:33,680 --> 00:17:36,320
Speaker 4: What do you think I'm enjoying me so well. I'm

404
00:17:36,359 --> 00:17:38,359
Speaker 4: a ninety ky like.

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00:17:38,480 --> 00:17:41,159
Speaker 5: No, we had to do some math in American over here,

406
00:17:41,200 --> 00:17:43,280
Speaker 5: try to figure out what that meant how far? But

407
00:17:43,880 --> 00:17:45,040
Speaker 5: I got there. No, you're good.

408
00:17:46,040 --> 00:17:48,560
Speaker 4: It's about what is it about? One six or so?

409
00:17:49,480 --> 00:17:51,520
Speaker 2: That's pretty standard for you, though between camps it's not.

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00:17:51,720 --> 00:17:54,920
Speaker 2: You know, it's used to making if if a super

411
00:17:55,000 --> 00:17:57,280
Speaker 2: lightweight was ever created, it's super you know one sixty

412
00:17:57,320 --> 00:17:59,400
Speaker 2: five division was ever created. And I know you used

413
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Speaker 2: to fight at one forty five. You've moved up over

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Speaker 2: the years.

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Speaker 4: Right, noet, you love to be honest over and the next.

416
00:18:05,600 --> 00:18:07,800
Speaker 4: I keep fighting. So I'm like Teddy Fuld Teddy Fove.

417
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Speaker 4: But we're gonna have to move with all the ways.

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Speaker 4: People don't actually be allized how bigger like ways am

419
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Speaker 4: until they stand next to me. You know what I mean.

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Speaker 4: I'm not as big as like, not as tall as Jalen's,

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Speaker 4: but I'm wide on him. You know what I man.

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00:18:22,840 --> 00:18:26,040
Speaker 2: Against Bobby was by how big he looked. Against Bobby

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Speaker 2: when you were standing at the cage, you looked he.

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Speaker 4: Looked like the father Ways. Next to me, you look

425
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Speaker 4: like Fatherways. Even when we're don't the stay down on

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Speaker 4: the on the tasty, I think he looked at me

427
00:18:35,480 --> 00:18:37,879
Speaker 4: it was like this much bigger and then on the

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Speaker 4: gonna be able to stay down. We have no seats,

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Speaker 4: so it's not like we had saying he's on and

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Speaker 4: I was still much bigger than him. I think he

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Speaker 4: got in his head a little bit, to be honest.

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Speaker 2: And I've seen a lot of you guys try to

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Speaker 2: grapple Bobby Green and the only person who's kept him

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Speaker 2: down like you did was this on the contrac So

435
00:18:52,320 --> 00:18:54,280
Speaker 2: I think that speaks to your squeeze and it speaks

436
00:18:54,320 --> 00:18:56,439
Speaker 2: to your top pressure pretty significantly.

437
00:18:56,520 --> 00:18:56,639
Speaker 4: Man.

438
00:18:57,080 --> 00:18:59,320
Speaker 3: You you were very impressive in that performance.

439
00:18:59,800 --> 00:19:01,560
Speaker 5: Look back a little bit. Is there anyone else from

440
00:19:01,600 --> 00:19:03,560
Speaker 5: your camp? We should be looking for anyone else? A

441
00:19:03,600 --> 00:19:05,920
Speaker 5: fight or two away from the UFC put us on

442
00:19:06,080 --> 00:19:08,200
Speaker 5: game now, so when we're getting out these betting picks later,

443
00:19:08,240 --> 00:19:10,040
Speaker 5: we can at least have the inside scoop on these guys.

444
00:19:10,720 --> 00:19:14,639
Speaker 4: There's multiple people, multiple and I've mentioned in me, mentioned

445
00:19:14,680 --> 00:19:16,240
Speaker 4: them in lift. I think I mentioned them after the

446
00:19:16,320 --> 00:19:19,000
Speaker 4: last fight. Addin' like the post fight media spilm thing

447
00:19:19,040 --> 00:19:21,359
Speaker 4: where you sit there with the mic luth Riley. I

448
00:19:21,440 --> 00:19:24,399
Speaker 4: think he's on everyone's really Dad. Anyway, he was meant

449
00:19:24,440 --> 00:19:26,240
Speaker 4: to fight on the contender sadies, but he had a

450
00:19:26,280 --> 00:19:29,680
Speaker 4: big cup full with his visa, so it's probably gonna

451
00:19:29,760 --> 00:19:31,600
Speaker 4: end up having another fighting cage. But he isn't then

452
00:19:31,720 --> 00:19:34,600
Speaker 4: doing someone else with the UFC because he has the

453
00:19:34,680 --> 00:19:37,640
Speaker 4: most entertaining fights ever. He's one of my sparing partners.

454
00:19:37,760 --> 00:19:40,960
Speaker 4: He's absolutely quality, so it's inevitable that you end up

455
00:19:41,000 --> 00:19:44,399
Speaker 4: in the UFC Adam Cullen with the lightweight and one

456
00:19:44,400 --> 00:19:44,840
Speaker 4: of Mice.

457
00:19:44,720 --> 00:19:45,520
Speaker 3: Bar the partners.

458
00:19:46,200 --> 00:19:48,600
Speaker 4: I think he's either eight and two or nine and

459
00:19:48,680 --> 00:19:50,719
Speaker 4: two now. One of us losses is for the decision

460
00:19:50,760 --> 00:19:53,560
Speaker 4: that I thought he won, and all his wins have finishes,

461
00:19:54,000 --> 00:19:57,000
Speaker 4: all but one of them in the first round. Sam,

462
00:19:57,200 --> 00:20:00,080
Speaker 4: I think it's probably no shem Rock. He's fighting on

463
00:20:00,119 --> 00:20:03,400
Speaker 4: a show called After Gone, another lightweight. I think he's

464
00:20:04,520 --> 00:20:07,520
Speaker 4: ten to one on one most of his winsor finishes

465
00:20:07,520 --> 00:20:11,280
Speaker 4: as well. Liam Getting's cage Udios bands and weight champion.

466
00:20:12,240 --> 00:20:14,720
Speaker 4: I think he's like some of his losses of that

467
00:20:14,840 --> 00:20:16,920
Speaker 4: flyweight where he was putting too much weight. I think

468
00:20:16,960 --> 00:20:19,920
Speaker 4: he's like twelve and four or something like that. But yeah,

469
00:20:19,960 --> 00:20:22,520
Speaker 4: he's got the bands on my title. He's probably gonna

470
00:20:22,600 --> 00:20:25,320
Speaker 4: end up in the UFC in the next few fights,

471
00:20:25,400 --> 00:20:28,440
Speaker 4: probably know the title defense. We've got a brilliant flyweights

472
00:20:28,480 --> 00:20:31,760
Speaker 4: in the gym Connor Wilson, but he still probably needs

473
00:20:31,800 --> 00:20:33,240
Speaker 4: to win a few more fights and maybe get the

474
00:20:33,280 --> 00:20:35,440
Speaker 4: cage Audios flyweight bell before they get to the UFC.

475
00:20:36,280 --> 00:20:38,000
Speaker 4: Off the top of me head, I think that's most

476
00:20:38,040 --> 00:20:40,639
Speaker 4: of the lads who have had a good few fights

477
00:20:40,680 --> 00:20:42,959
Speaker 4: on what I mean, and closer to the UFC than

478
00:20:43,080 --> 00:20:43,920
Speaker 4: some of the other lads.

479
00:20:44,560 --> 00:20:47,399
Speaker 5: Have you guys seen a big uptick in people one

480
00:20:47,520 --> 00:20:49,560
Speaker 5: joining your gym or just wanting to be MMA fighters

481
00:20:49,600 --> 00:20:52,040
Speaker 5: in general from Liverpool after you and Marley got on

482
00:20:52,119 --> 00:20:53,160
Speaker 5: the scene and kind of made it big.

483
00:20:53,680 --> 00:20:56,280
Speaker 4: Yeah, definitely maybe have a few lads coming down now.

484
00:20:56,840 --> 00:20:58,879
Speaker 4: We've had people coming down the years, to be honest,

485
00:20:58,920 --> 00:21:02,159
Speaker 4: but obviously we've made a bit more of an impact

486
00:21:02,240 --> 00:21:04,480
Speaker 4: and based on the same more and more people have

487
00:21:04,520 --> 00:21:07,639
Speaker 4: started coming down realize how good that saying is. We

488
00:21:07,720 --> 00:21:10,080
Speaker 4: have loads a lot to have come down from different gyms,

489
00:21:10,119 --> 00:21:11,439
Speaker 4: and even if they just come and to our mole

490
00:21:11,480 --> 00:21:14,080
Speaker 4: on and sessions and still go back there gyms. We

491
00:21:14,240 --> 00:21:16,560
Speaker 4: have so many people saying on the mast we'll probably

492
00:21:16,560 --> 00:21:18,760
Speaker 4: don't have to get a bigger gym in the next

493
00:21:19,440 --> 00:21:20,080
Speaker 4: year or two.

494
00:21:21,080 --> 00:21:22,520
Speaker 2: Patty, I want to take you back to your USA

495
00:21:22,560 --> 00:21:24,720
Speaker 2: tob real quick because I have a question about the

496
00:21:24,840 --> 00:21:26,879
Speaker 2: size of the cage, because your last five fights have

497
00:21:26,960 --> 00:21:29,159
Speaker 2: been in normal size octagons, but your debut is in

498
00:21:29,240 --> 00:21:32,320
Speaker 2: the APEX and the APEX cage is about thirty three

499
00:21:32,359 --> 00:21:34,200
Speaker 2: percent smaller than the normal cage.

500
00:21:34,600 --> 00:21:37,200
Speaker 3: Do you remember just feeling like a little bit tighter

501
00:21:37,240 --> 00:21:37,480
Speaker 3: in there?

502
00:21:37,760 --> 00:21:40,119
Speaker 2: Did feel things, you know, feel like a little bit

503
00:21:40,119 --> 00:21:42,560
Speaker 2: claustrophobic when you stepped into that octagon compared to the

504
00:21:42,600 --> 00:21:43,320
Speaker 2: other ones you fought in.

505
00:21:44,119 --> 00:21:45,879
Speaker 4: To be honest, I don't think so focused that as

506
00:21:45,960 --> 00:21:48,000
Speaker 4: you say. That was my daugu and I think all

507
00:21:48,080 --> 00:21:51,840
Speaker 4: other cages outside of the UFC are that Apex size anyway.

508
00:21:52,400 --> 00:21:54,840
Speaker 4: To be honest, I think that they're not only that

509
00:21:55,000 --> 00:21:57,080
Speaker 4: size anyway. I think only once to Swice in the

510
00:21:57,119 --> 00:22:00,240
Speaker 4: past of fours and like the big actual full size age.

511
00:22:00,680 --> 00:22:02,919
Speaker 4: So it was glad. It's no difference to me. As

512
00:22:02,960 --> 00:22:05,320
Speaker 4: I said before a fight to fight, the amount of

513
00:22:05,359 --> 00:22:07,480
Speaker 4: people were kept asking me leading on to that fighter,

514
00:22:07,600 --> 00:22:10,520
Speaker 4: they would you fighting it? Like four in the morning,

515
00:22:10,560 --> 00:22:13,119
Speaker 4: They're gonna start signing at a different time. So no,

516
00:22:13,840 --> 00:22:15,800
Speaker 4: do you think I'm getting up with two faties to

517
00:22:15,880 --> 00:22:17,639
Speaker 4: go and sign in the gym at four am? You

518
00:22:17,880 --> 00:22:22,359
Speaker 4: fucking mad? Have you been smoking crash for that? I

519
00:22:22,560 --> 00:22:25,280
Speaker 4: just singing that the normal time, I said to everyone, Lad,

520
00:22:25,320 --> 00:22:27,720
Speaker 4: when they when Mike fucking song comes on in that

521
00:22:27,840 --> 00:22:30,240
Speaker 4: fucking arena and everyone's scheam of my name, do you

522
00:22:30,400 --> 00:22:34,080
Speaker 4: think that I'm gonna feel tired at all? No, I'm

523
00:22:34,200 --> 00:22:36,840
Speaker 4: not gonna feel tired. So why would they change to

524
00:22:37,080 --> 00:22:41,040
Speaker 4: sign THELF? And it waveded what I mean, other people

525
00:22:41,119 --> 00:22:43,360
Speaker 4: did change the silent time. They didn't wait for them.

526
00:22:44,200 --> 00:22:45,560
Speaker 2: Even the wik of the fight. You didn't change your

527
00:22:45,560 --> 00:22:47,200
Speaker 2: body clock at all. You kept it consisting all the

528
00:22:47,240 --> 00:22:47,840
Speaker 2: way up to the fight.

529
00:22:48,359 --> 00:22:50,280
Speaker 4: Yeah, with something that we'd stay up a little bit

530
00:22:50,320 --> 00:22:52,840
Speaker 4: later some night, like on the Wednesday, we went to

531
00:22:52,960 --> 00:22:55,720
Speaker 4: the twelve o'clock sureen on the Deadpool there's Wolverine, you

532
00:22:55,760 --> 00:22:56,879
Speaker 4: know what I mean, And then end up going to

533
00:22:56,920 --> 00:22:58,760
Speaker 4: sleep that night at like half three in the morning

534
00:22:58,840 --> 00:23:01,879
Speaker 4: on a Wednesday. And then they started me course a

535
00:23:01,920 --> 00:23:03,760
Speaker 4: little bit, so then we went to sleep a little

536
00:23:03,760 --> 00:23:05,880
Speaker 4: bit of our three at two three in the morning

537
00:23:05,960 --> 00:23:08,199
Speaker 4: there just because of the cut and then the Friday

538
00:23:08,240 --> 00:23:10,080
Speaker 4: and then go asleep till about half two to three

539
00:23:10,119 --> 00:23:12,000
Speaker 4: in the morning. Still I was meant to be fighting

540
00:23:12,040 --> 00:23:13,840
Speaker 4: at four. I would end up fighting at R four

541
00:23:14,400 --> 00:23:16,000
Speaker 4: And I hope people say, no, I'm going to stay

542
00:23:16,040 --> 00:23:18,879
Speaker 4: up all night. I'm no, definitely no.

543
00:23:19,600 --> 00:23:21,640
Speaker 2: What time did you finally shut down? Now after the fight,

544
00:23:21,720 --> 00:23:22,960
Speaker 2: when did you finally go to sleep?

545
00:23:23,280 --> 00:23:25,359
Speaker 4: I didn't get I didn't leave the venue till about

546
00:23:25,400 --> 00:23:28,520
Speaker 4: seven days seven, got back to the hotel about seven days.

547
00:23:28,560 --> 00:23:31,320
Speaker 4: He's something mad like that at the core to eight

548
00:23:31,840 --> 00:23:35,760
Speaker 4: because obviously after after a fight going to all your interviews,

549
00:23:35,760 --> 00:23:38,920
Speaker 4: I was doing all interviews and then got up back

550
00:23:39,000 --> 00:23:41,280
Speaker 4: into me changing room and it was like, oh, you're

551
00:23:41,280 --> 00:23:43,359
Speaker 4: gonna have to wait for the fight to finish. And

552
00:23:43,520 --> 00:23:45,080
Speaker 4: it was only on there was half way through the

553
00:23:45,160 --> 00:23:48,960
Speaker 4: second old table, the bal and Leon. We were just

554
00:23:49,000 --> 00:23:51,440
Speaker 4: sat there and that's when the fella come in and

555
00:23:52,040 --> 00:23:54,080
Speaker 4: like I said, oh, Dana said, he's given you to

556
00:23:54,240 --> 00:23:56,840
Speaker 4: under grand because we had a way for Diana's full

557
00:23:56,920 --> 00:23:59,960
Speaker 4: press conference. Then then I went to my press conference

558
00:24:00,080 --> 00:24:02,560
Speaker 4: and then we went buff the old self. So then

559
00:24:02,600 --> 00:24:05,159
Speaker 4: never go Buffield seals about twenty sees and then it

560
00:24:05,280 --> 00:24:08,359
Speaker 4: was a little about seven twenty tweason, and then I

561
00:24:08,520 --> 00:24:10,480
Speaker 4: was gonna stay in the hotels at eleven, but you

562
00:24:10,560 --> 00:24:12,800
Speaker 4: have to check helds at eleven. So me and me

563
00:24:12,880 --> 00:24:14,560
Speaker 4: and Blaize just went all, we'll get it, but if

564
00:24:14,600 --> 00:24:16,600
Speaker 4: you feel get home. One of the mates coming pift

565
00:24:16,680 --> 00:24:18,840
Speaker 4: us up. I was out of Oz for the boats

566
00:24:19,160 --> 00:24:21,520
Speaker 4: twenty puss and then I came in and so I

567
00:24:21,600 --> 00:24:23,359
Speaker 4: was a getting me at the almost a lot about

568
00:24:23,400 --> 00:24:27,399
Speaker 4: twenty minutes phenolog just rolling wrong, didn't get asleep, and

569
00:24:27,480 --> 00:24:31,680
Speaker 4: then I never ended up sleeping until Sunday night, late eleven.

570
00:24:31,800 --> 00:24:34,600
Speaker 4: Pay you know what I mean. That's zenly and swifted

571
00:24:34,640 --> 00:24:35,520
Speaker 4: me through the whole day.

572
00:24:36,359 --> 00:24:38,479
Speaker 2: Oh man, Yeah, see you stayed up all the way

573
00:24:38,480 --> 00:24:39,720
Speaker 2: through it and then it's not got is that? Is

574
00:24:39,760 --> 00:24:41,879
Speaker 2: that what people last question here? Is that just what

575
00:24:41,960 --> 00:24:44,240
Speaker 2: people don't realize. That's that's kind of what I've gathered.

576
00:24:44,680 --> 00:24:47,600
Speaker 2: People don't realize how much time you guys spend waiting

577
00:24:47,680 --> 00:24:50,840
Speaker 2: around for things, just like waiting for the next thing

578
00:24:51,520 --> 00:24:53,440
Speaker 2: in the locker room, waiting for interviews, waiting for the

579
00:24:53,520 --> 00:24:57,040
Speaker 2: next interview, waiting for your fight, waiting for waynes Day.

580
00:24:57,080 --> 00:24:59,000
Speaker 3: Are you just spending a lot of your time, just

581
00:24:59,119 --> 00:25:00,359
Speaker 3: waiting for things to happened.

582
00:25:00,920 --> 00:25:05,080
Speaker 4: Yeah, yeah, sitting there White and Whiting. It was funny

583
00:25:05,080 --> 00:25:09,840
Speaker 4: because obviously the Manchester God there was a decision, then

584
00:25:09,880 --> 00:25:12,200
Speaker 4: there was a knockout, then there was two submissions and

585
00:25:12,320 --> 00:25:13,879
Speaker 4: we were still in the hotel at this point to

586
00:25:14,040 --> 00:25:16,399
Speaker 4: its hands and Blaze and automanc system was like a

587
00:25:16,480 --> 00:25:19,080
Speaker 4: lot of these bonuses. I hope there's loads of decisions

588
00:25:19,280 --> 00:25:23,520
Speaker 4: and lot. There was seven decisions in a row, was

589
00:25:23,520 --> 00:25:25,720
Speaker 4: a lot of like heights. I'm like, what was it

590
00:25:25,880 --> 00:25:29,119
Speaker 4: at the start of the main card gieg and Donald

591
00:25:29,200 --> 00:25:33,119
Speaker 4: Dollon and CLD and RoboCop itceans then was like one

592
00:25:33,160 --> 00:25:34,680
Speaker 4: of that ones, one of these is getting facted with

593
00:25:34,760 --> 00:25:36,560
Speaker 4: the CLD fight, You're like, one of these is getting

594
00:25:36,600 --> 00:25:39,400
Speaker 4: finished out big fellas, And I was like, I said,

595
00:25:39,400 --> 00:25:41,560
Speaker 4: the seven decisions in a row, we left the wait

596
00:25:41,680 --> 00:25:42,800
Speaker 4: watch and then.

597
00:25:42,760 --> 00:25:45,560
Speaker 3: We did Yeah the worst so we're better.

598
00:25:45,680 --> 00:25:47,240
Speaker 2: Is the worst bet you can make, or the most

599
00:25:47,400 --> 00:25:50,399
Speaker 2: uncomfortable bet you can make, is betting on fights to

600
00:25:50,440 --> 00:25:52,880
Speaker 2: go to a decision, sitting there rooting for nothing to happen,

601
00:25:53,000 --> 00:25:56,240
Speaker 2: especially your fighters going for finishes. That's literally what you're

602
00:25:56,240 --> 00:25:58,560
Speaker 2: doing is a fighter looking for your performance bonus. You're

603
00:25:58,600 --> 00:26:01,399
Speaker 2: watching these fights going, please nobody finish because I want

604
00:26:01,400 --> 00:26:04,040
Speaker 2: fifty g's tonight when I finish my fight in your case,

605
00:26:04,080 --> 00:26:05,399
Speaker 2: about two hundred grand in England.

606
00:26:05,600 --> 00:26:08,080
Speaker 4: Yeah, that plays a little part life going a man

607
00:26:08,280 --> 00:26:11,040
Speaker 4: does if you've already got a nice finish on that cord,

608
00:26:11,160 --> 00:26:14,160
Speaker 4: like Nathan's going to be fighting only and he's probably

609
00:26:14,200 --> 00:26:16,639
Speaker 4: going to be fast fighting nice if he gets a

610
00:26:16,760 --> 00:26:19,280
Speaker 4: nice take down and it'll be an active choke or

611
00:26:19,400 --> 00:26:21,760
Speaker 4: a nice on a columlet or something like that. And

612
00:26:21,960 --> 00:26:24,639
Speaker 4: I'm m I'm praying that every fights off that it

613
00:26:24,720 --> 00:26:25,560
Speaker 4: goes the decision.

614
00:26:26,040 --> 00:26:28,400
Speaker 2: Yeah, fair enough, Patty, thank you so much for joining

615
00:26:28,520 --> 00:26:30,080
Speaker 2: us today. This is an absolute pleasure.

616
00:26:30,160 --> 00:26:32,000
Speaker 3: Thank you for time. Thank you for giving us some

617
00:26:32,119 --> 00:26:32,640
Speaker 3: extra time.

618
00:26:33,280 --> 00:26:36,240
Speaker 2: You've been in absolute pleasure to talk with and again,

619
00:26:36,359 --> 00:26:38,760
Speaker 2: I hope we have you back one day with the

620
00:26:38,880 --> 00:26:42,919
Speaker 2: UFC belt on the mantle behind you, talking about your

621
00:26:42,960 --> 00:26:46,240
Speaker 2: title fight and recapping your glory is in the UFC.

622
00:26:46,840 --> 00:26:48,639
Speaker 2: Patty to BATTYE best of the buck in the future.

623
00:26:48,880 --> 00:26:50,119
Speaker 4: Thank you very much for helping me.

624
00:26:50,400 --> 00:26:52,680
Speaker 1: The Action Network podcast Everybody is brought to you by

625
00:26:53,119 --> 00:26:55,639
Speaker 1: bet MGM used the bonus code action when signing up

626
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Speaker 1: to get up to fifteen hundred dollars back and bonus

627
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628
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Speaker 1: users in Arizona, Colorado, Illinois, Indiana, Iowa, Kentucky, Louisiana, Maryland, Massachusetts, Michigan,

629
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630
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631
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632
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Speaker 5: Huge.

633
00:27:17,200 --> 00:27:19,880
Speaker 2: Thank you to Patty Pimblet for joining us today. Billy

634
00:27:19,880 --> 00:27:21,760
Speaker 2: and I are now going to get into this weekend's

635
00:27:21,960 --> 00:27:24,440
Speaker 2: UFC card. As I mentioned, going down if the UFC

636
00:27:24,560 --> 00:27:28,600
Speaker 2: APEX on Saturday Night main event in the Middlewake Division, Kyo,

637
00:27:28,640 --> 00:27:32,120
Speaker 2: Ohio minus two to fifty against Jared kennoneer Sie plus

638
00:27:32,200 --> 00:27:34,359
Speaker 2: two thirty, the over under four and a half rounds

639
00:27:34,640 --> 00:27:37,200
Speaker 2: a battle pickham price at minus one ten that goes

640
00:27:37,200 --> 00:27:39,840
Speaker 2: to decision prop juiced to plus one twenty.

641
00:27:40,640 --> 00:27:42,800
Speaker 3: I'm probably gonna go with the overs that goest the

642
00:27:42,880 --> 00:27:43,359
Speaker 3: decision here.

643
00:27:43,480 --> 00:27:45,880
Speaker 2: In fact, I kind of like either fighter either Kyle

644
00:27:45,920 --> 00:27:48,640
Speaker 2: at plus two ten by decision or Jared at plus

645
00:27:48,640 --> 00:27:52,000
Speaker 2: six hundred by decision. This seems like it should be

646
00:27:52,080 --> 00:27:55,480
Speaker 2: a fairly binary fight on paper, Kyle the grappler, Jared

647
00:27:55,520 --> 00:27:58,480
Speaker 2: the striker. But as we've talked about with other main events,

648
00:27:58,560 --> 00:28:00,080
Speaker 2: most of these fighters who make a demand of v

649
00:28:00,240 --> 00:28:03,199
Speaker 2: are well rounded enough in their lesser discipline to survive.

650
00:28:03,960 --> 00:28:07,600
Speaker 2: I think the likeliest finish here is probably Kyle Vias submission,

651
00:28:07,720 --> 00:28:10,359
Speaker 2: and I think that leads into Billy's bet to a degree,

652
00:28:10,760 --> 00:28:14,280
Speaker 2: which I also agree with. But Kyle hasn't shot a

653
00:28:14,359 --> 00:28:16,080
Speaker 2: takedown in his past two fights because he has an

654
00:28:16,080 --> 00:28:18,560
Speaker 2: ad spot guys who has had the striking advantage against.

655
00:28:18,800 --> 00:28:22,040
Speaker 2: I think here he has a clear grappling edge. Jared,

656
00:28:22,080 --> 00:28:24,800
Speaker 2: also forty years old, removed from a knee surgery, knocked

657
00:28:24,800 --> 00:28:26,359
Speaker 2: out kind of in his last fight. It was a

658
00:28:26,400 --> 00:28:29,200
Speaker 2: bad stoppage, but also he was hurt, you know, more

659
00:28:29,280 --> 00:28:32,080
Speaker 2: than he's been hurt in any UFC fight recently. It's

660
00:28:32,600 --> 00:28:36,320
Speaker 2: clearly a declining durability. Clearly athleticism starting to go a

661
00:28:36,359 --> 00:28:40,840
Speaker 2: little bit, especially off that knee surgery at age forty volume.

662
00:28:41,280 --> 00:28:43,160
Speaker 2: I think Jared is a champce to be competitive here.

663
00:28:43,240 --> 00:28:45,520
Speaker 2: You know, he landed a middleweight record two hundred and

664
00:28:45,600 --> 00:28:48,120
Speaker 2: forty fifty strikes in his last fight two fights ago

665
00:28:48,160 --> 00:28:51,040
Speaker 2: against Marvin Vatoria. But Marvin's also a punching back and

666
00:28:51,320 --> 00:28:54,840
Speaker 2: Kyle has much better movement. Kyle is going to neutralize better,

667
00:28:55,320 --> 00:29:00,160
Speaker 2: get this fight to grappling positions on the ground. As

668
00:29:00,200 --> 00:29:02,280
Speaker 2: I said, I think the likeliest way it finishes is

669
00:29:02,960 --> 00:29:05,560
Speaker 2: Kyle via submission. I know Jared's power. I don't think

670
00:29:05,640 --> 00:29:09,560
Speaker 2: his power is as significant as people may think, considering

671
00:29:09,600 --> 00:29:12,200
Speaker 2: he used to fight at heavyweight, but Jared I went

672
00:29:12,240 --> 00:29:14,440
Speaker 2: back and watched his fight against Glover to Shara, that

673
00:29:14,560 --> 00:29:17,320
Speaker 2: was the last fight he had against a serious grappler.

674
00:29:17,760 --> 00:29:18,920
Speaker 3: Glover put him in a guillotine.

675
00:29:18,920 --> 00:29:20,840
Speaker 2: Prince had guillotine in the first round, also had him

676
00:29:20,840 --> 00:29:22,360
Speaker 2: in an arm triangle in the first round.

677
00:29:22,840 --> 00:29:23,760
Speaker 3: Jared defended both.

678
00:29:24,440 --> 00:29:28,160
Speaker 2: Glover got the ground in the second again, and Jared

679
00:29:28,240 --> 00:29:30,680
Speaker 2: was able to get up and land some shots we've seen. Jared, though,

680
00:29:30,720 --> 00:29:34,240
Speaker 2: taken down by Derek Brunson, held down until Derek tired out,

681
00:29:34,280 --> 00:29:35,880
Speaker 2: and then Derek got him again in the second round.

682
00:29:36,360 --> 00:29:40,160
Speaker 2: Seen Jared knocked down in that fight. I think Kyle

683
00:29:40,560 --> 00:29:42,200
Speaker 2: kind of has them covered here. I think he may

684
00:29:42,280 --> 00:29:45,959
Speaker 2: even be like a fifty to fifty striking fight if

685
00:29:45,960 --> 00:29:48,000
Speaker 2: he decides to strike it out. He has really good footwork,

686
00:29:48,040 --> 00:29:50,480
Speaker 2: really good movement, really good kicks to the legs and

687
00:29:50,600 --> 00:29:52,600
Speaker 2: to the body, and I think he will keep his

688
00:29:52,760 --> 00:29:54,920
Speaker 2: range enough that Jared is not going to be able

689
00:29:54,920 --> 00:29:57,560
Speaker 2: to land two hundred and fifty significant strikes. I think

690
00:29:57,600 --> 00:29:59,440
Speaker 2: the striking count will be close, and I think Kyle

691
00:29:59,520 --> 00:30:02,240
Speaker 2: has all the rappling upside, So the line to me

692
00:30:02,400 --> 00:30:05,000
Speaker 2: is about right. I think either fighter to win by

693
00:30:05,080 --> 00:30:07,440
Speaker 2: decision or the fight to go to decision at plus

694
00:30:07,520 --> 00:30:10,720
Speaker 2: one twenty would be the place for me, though, Billy,

695
00:30:10,840 --> 00:30:13,320
Speaker 2: you have Kyo minus five and a half on the

696
00:30:13,360 --> 00:30:16,400
Speaker 2: point spread. Rarely see you lay the points. Weird to

697
00:30:16,440 --> 00:30:18,640
Speaker 2: say lay the points in MMA, but rarely see you

698
00:30:18,800 --> 00:30:19,840
Speaker 2: lay the point spread with.

699
00:30:19,880 --> 00:30:20,680
Speaker 3: An MMA fighter.

700
00:30:20,760 --> 00:30:22,720
Speaker 2: Typically you're looking for a fighter to win around and

701
00:30:22,800 --> 00:30:24,920
Speaker 2: taking the plus three and a half. So minus five

702
00:30:24,960 --> 00:30:26,680
Speaker 2: and a half to me indicates that you think Kyo

703
00:30:27,000 --> 00:30:29,520
Speaker 2: by submission or Kyle finishing the fight is also much

704
00:30:29,640 --> 00:30:30,719
Speaker 2: likelier than Jared finishing.

705
00:30:31,960 --> 00:30:34,520
Speaker 5: Yeah. Absolutely, And then so there's a couple of points

706
00:30:34,560 --> 00:30:36,760
Speaker 5: to it. One, you mentioned that it's probably close to

707
00:30:36,800 --> 00:30:39,080
Speaker 5: a fifty to fifty striking fight at this point. I

708
00:30:39,160 --> 00:30:41,560
Speaker 5: think that's fair or if anything, a little bit under

709
00:30:41,600 --> 00:30:44,480
Speaker 5: selling it on Kyo who it's hard to say because

710
00:30:44,480 --> 00:30:46,680
Speaker 5: he just thought Paul Craig and everyone looks like, you know,

711
00:30:46,760 --> 00:30:49,360
Speaker 5: a Muay Thai world champion against Paul Craig. But his

712
00:30:49,440 --> 00:30:51,640
Speaker 5: striking has improved. When we first got to the UFC,

713
00:30:51,800 --> 00:30:53,200
Speaker 5: we kind of thought of him as a pretty one

714
00:30:53,240 --> 00:30:56,280
Speaker 5: dimensional Brazilian grappler. Right, we've seen that a million times.

715
00:30:56,880 --> 00:30:59,040
Speaker 5: Each fight has looked a little bit better. He's been

716
00:30:59,120 --> 00:31:01,280
Speaker 5: in there with some guys who mostly strikers and very

717
00:31:01,360 --> 00:31:04,080
Speaker 5: least held his own Jared cannoneers forty with the torn

718
00:31:04,160 --> 00:31:06,760
Speaker 5: acl that you pointed out, so Cannon air known as

719
00:31:06,800 --> 00:31:09,320
Speaker 5: a striker, but certainly on the decline Kyle on the

720
00:31:09,640 --> 00:31:11,959
Speaker 5: way up. You know I've said it. We would talk

721
00:31:11,960 --> 00:31:14,640
Speaker 5: about these points spreads that you know, we like the

722
00:31:14,680 --> 00:31:16,400
Speaker 5: plus three and a half because a fighter only has

723
00:31:16,480 --> 00:31:18,760
Speaker 5: to win one round, where it's a lot harder to

724
00:31:18,840 --> 00:31:20,920
Speaker 5: cover the plus five and a half because winning one

725
00:31:21,000 --> 00:31:23,280
Speaker 5: round isn't enough. You're still down three points on each

726
00:31:23,320 --> 00:31:26,040
Speaker 5: judge's scorecard. You can even get away with one judge

727
00:31:26,440 --> 00:31:28,080
Speaker 5: three to two if you've got four to one on

728
00:31:28,160 --> 00:31:30,719
Speaker 5: the other ones. And I finally thought about well, if

729
00:31:30,720 --> 00:31:32,160
Speaker 5: I don't like the plus five and a half, ever,

730
00:31:32,280 --> 00:31:33,960
Speaker 5: that must mean I think the minus five and a

731
00:31:34,000 --> 00:31:36,040
Speaker 5: half is a solid way to play that, and it's

732
00:31:36,080 --> 00:31:38,360
Speaker 5: minus one twenty five, which is half of his money line.

733
00:31:38,880 --> 00:31:40,960
Speaker 5: I think Kyle looks like the better fighter in pretty

734
00:31:41,000 --> 00:31:44,320
Speaker 5: much all phases here. Cannoneer is just durable enough, and

735
00:31:44,400 --> 00:31:47,160
Speaker 5: the stoppage and the last one was just questionable enough

736
00:31:47,600 --> 00:31:49,479
Speaker 5: that I didn't want about on him. Inside the distance

737
00:31:50,040 --> 00:31:52,080
Speaker 5: that's only plus one fifty. It's really not that big

738
00:31:52,160 --> 00:31:55,160
Speaker 5: of a gap all things considered, it's about fifteen percent implied.

739
00:31:55,920 --> 00:31:57,920
Speaker 5: So because of that, I like the minus five and

740
00:31:57,960 --> 00:32:01,520
Speaker 5: a half. You obviously get that if he gets a

741
00:32:01,520 --> 00:32:03,480
Speaker 5: stoppage that's rolled in there, but a four to one

742
00:32:04,120 --> 00:32:06,640
Speaker 5: or you know, sweep on the scorecards covers that as well.

743
00:32:07,120 --> 00:32:08,680
Speaker 5: Just gives you a little bit more wiggle room on

744
00:32:08,880 --> 00:32:11,120
Speaker 5: losing a round, where if you're laying minus three and

745
00:32:11,120 --> 00:32:13,239
Speaker 5: a half in a three round fight, the fighter has

746
00:32:13,280 --> 00:32:15,280
Speaker 5: to be perfect this one. You know, Cannon here has

747
00:32:15,280 --> 00:32:18,440
Speaker 5: a big moment in there. We can still win the bet. Yeah.

748
00:32:18,440 --> 00:32:20,280
Speaker 2: I think Jared's going to be a value trapped this weekend.

749
00:32:20,280 --> 00:32:22,480
Speaker 2: I think he might make the fight competitive for stretches,

750
00:32:22,520 --> 00:32:25,160
Speaker 2: but I think ultimately Hyo ends up taking it. I

751
00:32:25,200 --> 00:32:26,520
Speaker 2: don't know if I want to lay that five and

752
00:32:26,520 --> 00:32:29,560
Speaker 2: a half personally, but I do think Kile is the side,

753
00:32:29,600 --> 00:32:31,680
Speaker 2: and I think it's Kyle or Pass. I'm just having

754
00:32:31,760 --> 00:32:35,280
Speaker 2: a difficult time between his ITD line and his decision prop.

755
00:32:35,320 --> 00:32:36,840
Speaker 2: But to me, he does seem like more of a

756
00:32:37,080 --> 00:32:40,719
Speaker 2: conservative fighter. Prioritize the control, don't let Jared get up,

757
00:32:41,760 --> 00:32:42,960
Speaker 2: you know, keep him on the ground. I think he

758
00:32:43,080 --> 00:32:45,360
Speaker 2: is the best control of anybody that Cannoniers fought. I

759
00:32:45,360 --> 00:32:49,000
Speaker 2: think he's the best cardio and control of anybody that cares.

760
00:32:50,240 --> 00:32:51,960
Speaker 5: You've said it in the past about other fighters, But

761
00:32:52,120 --> 00:32:54,960
Speaker 5: rounds that Cannoneer wins I think will be fairly competitive

762
00:32:55,000 --> 00:32:58,240
Speaker 5: because they're striking matches in rounds that Kyle wins will

763
00:32:58,280 --> 00:33:00,760
Speaker 5: be very obvious. So if we get one or two

764
00:33:00,840 --> 00:33:03,240
Speaker 5: judges swaye on those competitive rounds that could have gone

765
00:33:03,240 --> 00:33:05,280
Speaker 5: to cannon near that helps on the five and a

766
00:33:05,320 --> 00:33:07,160
Speaker 5: half points about a lot, There's just so many ways

767
00:33:07,240 --> 00:33:08,880
Speaker 5: for that one to hit. You've got way more out

768
00:33:09,480 --> 00:33:11,200
Speaker 5: versus you know, minus three and a half in a

769
00:33:11,240 --> 00:33:13,520
Speaker 5: three round fight where you pretty much have to be perfect.

770
00:33:15,000 --> 00:33:17,200
Speaker 2: Yeah, Kennan here. You know, going back through his fights,

771
00:33:17,200 --> 00:33:18,360
Speaker 2: he tends to get up a lot. He's a big,

772
00:33:18,400 --> 00:33:21,600
Speaker 2: strong guy, but they're explosive get ups. They're not technical

773
00:33:21,640 --> 00:33:24,360
Speaker 2: get ups. He's not working his way progressing through positions

774
00:33:24,400 --> 00:33:26,320
Speaker 2: and then working his way up along the fence getting

775
00:33:26,320 --> 00:33:27,800
Speaker 2: back to his feet. He's just bigger and stronger, and

776
00:33:27,880 --> 00:33:29,680
Speaker 2: he pops up. I don't think that's going to work

777
00:33:29,680 --> 00:33:32,720
Speaker 2: against Kyle Bayo. So to me, Kyo's control is going

778
00:33:32,800 --> 00:33:35,160
Speaker 2: to be the determining factor in the fight. Move on

779
00:33:35,240 --> 00:33:37,600
Speaker 2: our fight of the night, Tabitha Ricci got minus one

780
00:33:37,640 --> 00:33:42,400
Speaker 2: twenty five currently against Angela Hill even money Angie coming

781
00:33:42,440 --> 00:33:45,360
Speaker 2: off of her first submission win in her career, and

782
00:33:45,440 --> 00:33:48,160
Speaker 2: I think that partially is making people think she has

783
00:33:48,240 --> 00:33:51,360
Speaker 2: improved or grappling and has a more competitive fight up

784
00:33:51,360 --> 00:33:54,600
Speaker 2: coming here with Ricci maybe on the ground, I don't

785
00:33:54,600 --> 00:33:56,520
Speaker 2: think so. I think Tabitha Ricci is the better grappler.

786
00:33:56,720 --> 00:34:01,040
Speaker 2: She's also ten years younger, a huge age advantage, lettuceism advantage.

787
00:34:01,600 --> 00:34:05,520
Speaker 2: You look at Ricci's last fight against Tisha Torres. Torres

788
00:34:05,600 --> 00:34:09,720
Speaker 2: is such a better athlete than Angelo Hill. She's much quicker, faster,

789
00:34:10,280 --> 00:34:12,560
Speaker 2: I don't think Hill is going to have anywhere near

790
00:34:13,120 --> 00:34:15,600
Speaker 2: the same speed or movement or evasiveness to get away

791
00:34:15,640 --> 00:34:18,399
Speaker 2: from Ricci if Ricci wants to grapple, and I think

792
00:34:18,480 --> 00:34:20,319
Speaker 2: Ricchie has all the grappling upside in his fight at

793
00:34:20,400 --> 00:34:23,440
Speaker 2: a pick up a price, Billy, do you see it

794
00:34:23,600 --> 00:34:26,040
Speaker 2: relatively the same way? And are you at all the

795
00:34:26,160 --> 00:34:28,800
Speaker 2: over here is very juiced up? Or you'd all interested

796
00:34:28,840 --> 00:34:32,560
Speaker 2: in betting Ricchi by submission? I think I think that's

797
00:34:32,600 --> 00:34:34,719
Speaker 2: the likeliest finished in this fight. So any props for

798
00:34:34,800 --> 00:34:36,520
Speaker 2: you or just reach you on the money line.

799
00:34:37,840 --> 00:34:40,120
Speaker 5: Yeah, I can see the angle for Ricchi by submission.

800
00:34:40,160 --> 00:34:43,040
Speaker 5: But Angel Hill is very durable, right, She's not someone

801
00:34:43,080 --> 00:34:45,600
Speaker 5: who's easy to put away really in any methods. I

802
00:34:45,680 --> 00:34:47,840
Speaker 5: looked at the fight to go to a splitter majority

803
00:34:47,920 --> 00:34:52,000
Speaker 5: decision because that is very likely here horrible I shouldn't

804
00:34:52,040 --> 00:34:54,359
Speaker 5: say horrible lines, very sharp lines. I would say put

805
00:34:54,400 --> 00:34:56,279
Speaker 5: out by the books. It's like plus two hundred plus

806
00:34:56,320 --> 00:34:59,080
Speaker 5: two fifty. You can't bet on the split decision prop

807
00:34:59,160 --> 00:35:01,360
Speaker 5: and that. So with that said, that leaves me at

808
00:35:01,440 --> 00:35:04,120
Speaker 5: just Ricci. The biggest thing is the age. If we

809
00:35:04,280 --> 00:35:06,839
Speaker 5: just look at their resumes, Ricci is five and two

810
00:35:06,880 --> 00:35:09,279
Speaker 5: in the UFC. One of her losses was up at

811
00:35:09,320 --> 00:35:12,120
Speaker 5: one twenty five against Manon Firo in her debut, and

812
00:35:12,160 --> 00:35:14,280
Speaker 5: the other one was against Lupie goutten As, who Ricci

813
00:35:14,320 --> 00:35:17,360
Speaker 5: couldn't take down. Every time Tabitha Ricci has gotten a

814
00:35:17,440 --> 00:35:19,719
Speaker 5: take down, she has won the fight. We can argue

815
00:35:19,719 --> 00:35:23,000
Speaker 5: about the split decision against Tisha Pettington Ertititia Torres in

816
00:35:23,120 --> 00:35:25,480
Speaker 5: the last one. It was close, could have gone either way.

817
00:35:26,440 --> 00:35:28,520
Speaker 5: So you're telling me that she just needs to get

818
00:35:28,560 --> 00:35:31,920
Speaker 5: one takedown against you know, a thirty nine year old striker. Yes,

819
00:35:32,040 --> 00:35:35,240
Speaker 5: Angela Hill's takedown defense has improved in her grappling offense.

820
00:35:35,360 --> 00:35:38,080
Speaker 5: To be fair, Tabitha Ricci has been doing this since

821
00:35:38,080 --> 00:35:40,319
Speaker 5: she was six years old. Judo black belt, jiu jitsu

822
00:35:40,400 --> 00:35:42,839
Speaker 5: black belt. We're in the apex. That makes the clinch

823
00:35:42,880 --> 00:35:45,680
Speaker 5: game a little bit easier for the judo fighter, you know.

824
00:35:45,960 --> 00:35:48,080
Speaker 5: Kind of everything's point in that direction. Wish I would

825
00:35:48,080 --> 00:35:49,920
Speaker 5: have jumped on it sooner, because she actually opened as

826
00:35:49,920 --> 00:35:53,040
Speaker 5: a slight underdog, but minus won twenty or so. Whatever

827
00:35:53,080 --> 00:35:54,880
Speaker 5: the best you can get, I'm still more than okay with.

828
00:35:55,440 --> 00:35:57,200
Speaker 2: I'm glad you mentioned the apex. I think that's a

829
00:35:57,239 --> 00:36:00,759
Speaker 2: big advantage for Ricci having the fence a little bit tighter,

830
00:36:00,800 --> 00:36:03,240
Speaker 2: being able to clinch up against the fences that for takedowns.

831
00:36:03,280 --> 00:36:04,480
Speaker 3: She is one in one of the Apex.

832
00:36:04,520 --> 00:36:06,920
Speaker 2: But that first fight, as you mentioned, they view up

833
00:36:07,000 --> 00:36:10,000
Speaker 2: a weight division against Manon Fiorro, who knocked her out

834
00:36:10,000 --> 00:36:12,360
Speaker 2: because Manon Fiorro is one of the best fighters in

835
00:36:12,360 --> 00:36:14,920
Speaker 2: the world in her division, and Tabitha Ricci going up

836
00:36:14,920 --> 00:36:18,000
Speaker 2: a division to face a much more powerful striker in hindsight,

837
00:36:18,120 --> 00:36:21,080
Speaker 2: looks like a horrific matchup for her. I can't even

838
00:36:21,160 --> 00:36:23,440
Speaker 2: believe that fight was booked, honestly, in hindsight as her

839
00:36:23,520 --> 00:36:25,960
Speaker 2: debut that that seems borderline.

840
00:36:25,440 --> 00:36:29,239
Speaker 3: Criminal to be feeding a debutante to Minona Fioro. Let's

841
00:36:29,280 --> 00:36:29,680
Speaker 3: move on to.

842
00:36:33,800 --> 00:36:35,800
Speaker 5: We didn't know at the time, but yeah, in retrospect

843
00:36:35,840 --> 00:36:36,440
Speaker 5: it looks terrible.

844
00:36:36,800 --> 00:36:41,359
Speaker 2: In retrospects, that's a horrible booking, especially considering the hype

845
00:36:41,360 --> 00:36:43,520
Speaker 2: they've given Ricci since and like the way they've progressed

846
00:36:43,560 --> 00:36:46,400
Speaker 2: her career and matched her up. She's very evidently somebody

847
00:36:46,440 --> 00:36:48,320
Speaker 2: that they want to give shine to. So yeah, putting

848
00:36:48,560 --> 00:36:50,880
Speaker 2: two prospects they like against each other and having one

849
00:36:50,920 --> 00:36:53,200
Speaker 2: of them die was not ideal even though it was

850
00:36:53,320 --> 00:36:57,319
Speaker 2: up a division favorite underdogs of the night. We've got

851
00:36:57,440 --> 00:37:01,880
Speaker 2: kind of a consensus underdog and then also a consensus underdog.

852
00:37:01,560 --> 00:37:03,000
Speaker 3: Slash prop slash live bet.

853
00:37:03,440 --> 00:37:06,399
Speaker 2: So let's start off with the straight up underdog, James

854
00:37:06,600 --> 00:37:09,720
Speaker 2: on Top plus one eighty five going against Slava Claus.

855
00:37:09,760 --> 00:37:12,839
Speaker 2: Weat to slip Borschev. I love Slava Clause. He's been

856
00:37:12,880 --> 00:37:14,959
Speaker 2: one of my favorite fighters since he entered the UFC.

857
00:37:15,120 --> 00:37:17,560
Speaker 2: I just love his style. I found it difficult to

858
00:37:17,560 --> 00:37:19,160
Speaker 2: beit against him because I think I'm a little bit

859
00:37:19,239 --> 00:37:24,880
Speaker 2: biased towards him. But he's offensively tremendous striker, beautiful footwork, timing,

860
00:37:25,320 --> 00:37:27,839
Speaker 2: his hands are great. He's the striking coach for Team

861
00:37:27,880 --> 00:37:31,200
Speaker 2: Alpha Male, so he's spent most of his training time

862
00:37:31,360 --> 00:37:34,760
Speaker 2: just getting wrestled by guys and teaching them how to strike.

863
00:37:34,840 --> 00:37:38,480
Speaker 2: But like defending takedowns NonStop. Unfortunately, he can't defend takedowns

864
00:37:38,520 --> 00:37:38,919
Speaker 2: in the UFC.

865
00:37:39,040 --> 00:37:39,560
Speaker 3: It didn't work.

866
00:37:40,040 --> 00:37:42,399
Speaker 2: Though he's a master of sport in boxing, spent tons

867
00:37:42,440 --> 00:37:44,759
Speaker 2: of time trying to defend takedowns, just can't do it.

868
00:37:45,560 --> 00:37:47,160
Speaker 2: On Top, though, is not going to try to wrestle hm,

869
00:37:47,160 --> 00:37:49,680
Speaker 2: so you're getting a striker versus striker fight here, which

870
00:37:49,760 --> 00:37:50,840
Speaker 2: you think would favor Slava.

871
00:37:51,440 --> 00:37:52,840
Speaker 3: But he's also like minus two to.

872
00:37:52,840 --> 00:37:55,400
Speaker 2: Fifty on the money line. I mean, I expected this

873
00:37:55,520 --> 00:37:59,520
Speaker 2: to be minus one fifty even maybe minus one ten,

874
00:38:00,360 --> 00:38:03,520
Speaker 2: and we would be getting recency bias against Slava losing

875
00:38:03,560 --> 00:38:05,960
Speaker 2: the wrestlers. And you're like, Okay, now we finally get

876
00:38:06,000 --> 00:38:07,960
Speaker 2: a good price on him as a striker. No, he's

877
00:38:08,080 --> 00:38:10,879
Speaker 2: overly priced as a striker. I think people have over

878
00:38:11,000 --> 00:38:13,160
Speaker 2: analyzed the fact that he's gotten bad matchups and now

879
00:38:13,200 --> 00:38:15,759
Speaker 2: he's coming back to his striking fight. He's been knocked

880
00:38:15,800 --> 00:38:17,520
Speaker 2: down in his past two fights, got knocked down by

881
00:38:17,600 --> 00:38:20,640
Speaker 2: Chase Hooper, and Billy is probably going to talk about

882
00:38:21,000 --> 00:38:23,800
Speaker 2: knockdown regression, but I think his shin is starting to go.

883
00:38:23,840 --> 00:38:26,440
Speaker 2: I think it's pretty evident that y on Top is

884
00:38:26,520 --> 00:38:29,879
Speaker 2: the much more durable fighter, probably the more powerful fighter.

885
00:38:29,960 --> 00:38:32,239
Speaker 2: I think pretty clearly the more powerful fighter, but also

886
00:38:32,320 --> 00:38:36,120
Speaker 2: one inch taller, a four inch reach advantage, better hardware.

887
00:38:36,600 --> 00:38:38,560
Speaker 2: You're giving me plus one eighty five. I like you

888
00:38:38,680 --> 00:38:40,080
Speaker 2: on Top on the money line. I think he could

889
00:38:40,080 --> 00:38:42,680
Speaker 2: get a knockdown win a decision that way, and I

890
00:38:42,719 --> 00:38:45,040
Speaker 2: think I'll probably bet his knockout prop in some fashion

891
00:38:45,160 --> 00:38:49,200
Speaker 2: as well, considering the durability advantage and a likely brawl

892
00:38:49,360 --> 00:38:52,600
Speaker 2: in the apex in the smaller cage striker versus striker, Billy.

893
00:38:52,640 --> 00:38:53,960
Speaker 3: You're with me on you on Top, and I know

894
00:38:54,040 --> 00:38:55,359
Speaker 3: you've got another underdog as well.

895
00:38:56,680 --> 00:38:58,359
Speaker 5: Yeah, one hundred percent with you on you on Top.

896
00:38:58,440 --> 00:38:59,960
Speaker 5: I got him at plus two ten. Gave that one

897
00:39:00,080 --> 00:39:03,239
Speaker 5: out my luck ratings. You mentioned the recency bias about

898
00:39:03,239 --> 00:39:05,520
Speaker 5: Slava Clause, but I think this line is because of

899
00:39:05,680 --> 00:39:08,240
Speaker 5: the recency bias on Yon Top. We were all excited

900
00:39:08,280 --> 00:39:10,399
Speaker 5: about him on the Contender series. He came in, didn't

901
00:39:10,400 --> 00:39:12,520
Speaker 5: get the finish, but scored two knockdowns in that fight.

902
00:39:13,160 --> 00:39:15,000
Speaker 5: Then he gets submitted in the first round as a

903
00:39:15,040 --> 00:39:17,440
Speaker 5: massive favorite against Chris Padilla, some guy no one's ever

904
00:39:17,520 --> 00:39:20,400
Speaker 5: heard of. The reason I'm giving him somewhat of a

905
00:39:20,520 --> 00:39:23,040
Speaker 5: pass on that he had three different opponents book for

906
00:39:23,120 --> 00:39:25,799
Speaker 5: that fight. I'm guessing they told him at different points

907
00:39:25,880 --> 00:39:27,759
Speaker 5: that fight was off. You might have stopped training or

908
00:39:27,800 --> 00:39:30,239
Speaker 5: relaxed or just got out of that mindset. Oh no, wait,

909
00:39:30,280 --> 00:39:32,239
Speaker 5: we got a new guy. But this guy's a totally

910
00:39:32,280 --> 00:39:34,400
Speaker 5: different style. Now, this guy is a totally different style

911
00:39:35,080 --> 00:39:36,600
Speaker 5: that's a lot to throw at him, and then he's

912
00:39:36,640 --> 00:39:38,600
Speaker 5: fighting someone who had nothing to lose, kind of coming in.

913
00:39:39,120 --> 00:39:40,759
Speaker 5: If you're a padilla, you know you get another shot

914
00:39:40,840 --> 00:39:42,840
Speaker 5: anyway when you do the UFC a favor, So like,

915
00:39:43,440 --> 00:39:45,719
Speaker 5: screw it, let's go for it. I'm willing to give

916
00:39:45,800 --> 00:39:47,440
Speaker 5: him a pass on that. And then it goes back

917
00:39:47,480 --> 00:39:50,720
Speaker 5: to everything you said about the striking. The hardware plenty younger.

918
00:39:50,840 --> 00:39:53,239
Speaker 5: I want to say six or seven years, maybe even

919
00:39:53,280 --> 00:39:56,360
Speaker 5: more than that if we check real quick, Yeah, a

920
00:39:56,360 --> 00:39:59,000
Speaker 5: little over seven years younger. Speed and quickness should be

921
00:39:59,040 --> 00:40:01,359
Speaker 5: their height reach and you're getting them at a big

922
00:40:01,360 --> 00:40:04,000
Speaker 5: plus money, so not as good of a technical striker

923
00:40:04,040 --> 00:40:05,920
Speaker 5: as Slava Clause, but I think we can overcome that.

924
00:40:06,680 --> 00:40:09,200
Speaker 5: And then the under other underdog, you're betting them straight up.

925
00:40:09,239 --> 00:40:11,319
Speaker 5: So I'll let you lead the way on GM three

926
00:40:11,320 --> 00:40:13,200
Speaker 5: because I've got some different different angles there.

927
00:40:13,640 --> 00:40:14,880
Speaker 3: Yeah, we'll save yours for the end.

928
00:40:15,480 --> 00:40:16,880
Speaker 2: But yeah, dude, do you want to mention like the

929
00:40:17,200 --> 00:40:20,759
Speaker 2: Apex likelier to be a brawl two strikers taking the

930
00:40:20,880 --> 00:40:23,839
Speaker 2: younger guy, better hardware. All of that seems to line up.

931
00:40:23,880 --> 00:40:26,640
Speaker 2: I literally expected this line to be minus one ten

932
00:40:26,880 --> 00:40:29,120
Speaker 2: and expected to be betting Slava at minus one ten,

933
00:40:29,480 --> 00:40:31,960
Speaker 2: projecting him to be like minus one forty. You know,

934
00:40:32,040 --> 00:40:33,759
Speaker 2: but getting plus one eighty five on you on top,

935
00:40:33,800 --> 00:40:36,560
Speaker 2: I think is certainly decided. It's purely a pricing play

936
00:40:36,640 --> 00:40:39,560
Speaker 2: for me. Before we go any further, quick announcement about

937
00:40:39,600 --> 00:40:42,080
Speaker 2: Action Pro subscriptions. If you don't have Action Pro yet,

938
00:40:42,160 --> 00:40:45,120
Speaker 2: now is the perfect time. Subscribers can get Action Expert

939
00:40:45,160 --> 00:40:47,640
Speaker 2: picks in real time. So all of the pick alerts

940
00:40:47,680 --> 00:40:49,880
Speaker 2: you want for me for all things MLB or UFC,

941
00:40:50,360 --> 00:40:52,919
Speaker 2: Pashan Kerner, stuck you for football, and our whole team

942
00:40:52,960 --> 00:40:56,160
Speaker 2: of experts. All of these picks arrive even faster for

943
00:40:56,280 --> 00:40:58,919
Speaker 2: Pro subscribers. And right now listeners can use the code

944
00:40:59,080 --> 00:41:01,719
Speaker 2: Pod twenty to get one year off of Action Pro.

945
00:41:02,120 --> 00:41:03,239
Speaker 3: So this year be the team.

946
00:41:03,320 --> 00:41:05,719
Speaker 2: Don't chase the steam with Action Pro. Just go to

947
00:41:05,800 --> 00:41:09,520
Speaker 2: actionetwork dot com slash pricing or follow the link in

948
00:41:09,600 --> 00:41:12,680
Speaker 2: the episode description the other Underdog I like and this

949
00:41:12,760 --> 00:41:15,880
Speaker 2: will take us into our prop section. Gerald Mihershard the

950
00:41:15,960 --> 00:41:20,960
Speaker 2: third UFC's all time leader in middleweight submissions. He also

951
00:41:21,080 --> 00:41:23,360
Speaker 2: is the highest finish rate in UFC history. Nobody has

952
00:41:23,360 --> 00:41:26,080
Speaker 2: ever finished all eleven of their UFC victories. GM three

953
00:41:26,120 --> 00:41:28,319
Speaker 2: has done that, so I think you probably just take

954
00:41:28,360 --> 00:41:32,200
Speaker 2: GM three he's finished props or his his ITD lines

955
00:41:32,520 --> 00:41:34,520
Speaker 2: or his submission prop at five to one instead of

956
00:41:34,560 --> 00:41:36,440
Speaker 2: his money line. But I think there's probably value on

957
00:41:36,480 --> 00:41:39,560
Speaker 2: his money line. It's just he finishes all of his opponents,

958
00:41:39,600 --> 00:41:40,960
Speaker 2: but he does tend to do it a lot in

959
00:41:41,040 --> 00:41:43,320
Speaker 2: round three coming back, and that is the type of

960
00:41:43,360 --> 00:41:46,279
Speaker 2: matchup he is here against Edmond Shabazian because Shabazian is

961
00:41:46,320 --> 00:41:48,799
Speaker 2: a front runner. He's typically finishing opponents in round one.

962
00:41:49,160 --> 00:41:51,960
Speaker 2: Even his last fight against aj Dobson, he was losing

963
00:41:52,040 --> 00:41:55,279
Speaker 2: minutes in that fight until he ko Dobson. Dobson had

964
00:41:55,520 --> 00:41:57,520
Speaker 2: I think Dobson might have been the underdog pre fight,

965
00:41:57,600 --> 00:42:00,400
Speaker 2: but the live line was ticking towards Dobson. I was

966
00:42:00,480 --> 00:42:02,800
Speaker 2: going to bet Dobson live after round one because I

967
00:42:02,880 --> 00:42:06,880
Speaker 2: always bet every fighter, every opponent against Shabazian. Both Shabazian

968
00:42:06,920 --> 00:42:09,480
Speaker 2: brothers actually live after round one. Neither of them have

969
00:42:09,560 --> 00:42:10,400
Speaker 2: good cardio.

970
00:42:11,000 --> 00:42:13,839
Speaker 3: And Shabazian tends to quit. You know, he's a much

971
00:42:13,880 --> 00:42:15,600
Speaker 3: better hammer than he has a nail, and the moment

972
00:42:15,800 --> 00:42:17,600
Speaker 3: he starts facing adversity, he quits.

973
00:42:17,960 --> 00:42:21,680
Speaker 2: He has bad cardio. His submission defense like goes away.

974
00:42:21,840 --> 00:42:23,919
Speaker 2: Once he starts getting hit with hammer fists on the ground,

975
00:42:23,960 --> 00:42:27,319
Speaker 2: he turns into a white belt. So I think GM

976
00:42:27,400 --> 00:42:29,440
Speaker 2: three absolutely live here to get a submission at any

977
00:42:29,520 --> 00:42:32,399
Speaker 2: time five to one, because Evan could shoot takedowns, get

978
00:42:32,440 --> 00:42:34,719
Speaker 2: stuck into a team whatever in the first round. But

979
00:42:34,800 --> 00:42:36,680
Speaker 2: I think Edmond's likely winning the first round. He's the

980
00:42:36,760 --> 00:42:39,759
Speaker 2: better athlete, he's younger, he's bigger, He hits hard, and

981
00:42:40,120 --> 00:42:42,120
Speaker 2: if he finishes GM three in the same way that

982
00:42:42,160 --> 00:42:44,160
Speaker 2: Hamzad finished GM three, I won't be shocked.

983
00:42:44,239 --> 00:42:44,360
Speaker 4: You know.

984
00:42:44,440 --> 00:42:45,359
Speaker 3: He hits really hard.

985
00:42:45,880 --> 00:42:48,880
Speaker 2: And even though GM three has survived a lot of fights,

986
00:42:48,960 --> 00:42:53,800
Speaker 2: a lot of damage, it's easier. It seems easier, seems easier.

987
00:42:53,920 --> 00:42:55,480
Speaker 2: I want somebody to do a study on this, but

988
00:42:55,560 --> 00:42:58,279
Speaker 2: it seems easier to clip somebody in like the first

989
00:42:58,320 --> 00:43:00,359
Speaker 2: two and a half minutes of the fight, and once

990
00:43:00,400 --> 00:43:02,280
Speaker 2: they start getting hit and like use to the power

991
00:43:02,360 --> 00:43:05,439
Speaker 2: and they get into the fight, like they settle down

992
00:43:05,520 --> 00:43:08,840
Speaker 2: and the chin seem to like solidify, but almost like

993
00:43:08,880 --> 00:43:11,279
Speaker 2: that first strike is like there could be like a

994
00:43:11,360 --> 00:43:14,520
Speaker 2: shock factor, and Edmund hits really hard. So if Edmund

995
00:43:14,560 --> 00:43:16,640
Speaker 2: just ices him on the first exchange, I won't be shocked,

996
00:43:17,040 --> 00:43:18,880
Speaker 2: and I think that's why the live angle is probably

997
00:43:18,960 --> 00:43:21,439
Speaker 2: best because Edmund's round is likely round one, but GM

998
00:43:21,520 --> 00:43:24,640
Speaker 2: three takes over here pretty consistently in rounds two. In

999
00:43:24,719 --> 00:43:26,960
Speaker 2: rounds three, his round two odds twelve to one, is

1000
00:43:27,040 --> 00:43:29,080
Speaker 2: round three odds eighteen to one. I like both of

1001
00:43:29,120 --> 00:43:31,440
Speaker 2: those a lot. Also, as they said, like the submission

1002
00:43:31,480 --> 00:43:34,839
Speaker 2: prop and his live line after round one. But if

1003
00:43:34,840 --> 00:43:36,680
Speaker 2: you want to fire a little bit plus two fifty

1004
00:43:36,719 --> 00:43:39,680
Speaker 2: money line pre fight, I'm not going to argue against it. Billy,

1005
00:43:39,880 --> 00:43:42,920
Speaker 2: you're taking Neil Magni on the point spread plus three

1006
00:43:42,960 --> 00:43:45,960
Speaker 2: and a half at a big, juicy number against Michael Morales.

1007
00:43:46,040 --> 00:43:47,200
Speaker 2: I kind of like this fight to go to a

1008
00:43:47,239 --> 00:43:49,440
Speaker 2: decision at minus one forty two, So I'm with you.

1009
00:43:50,120 --> 00:43:53,200
Speaker 2: I think the line is crazy. Michael Morales, to me, though,

1010
00:43:53,320 --> 00:43:56,320
Speaker 2: is not a potent finisher. I don't even know what

1011
00:43:56,400 --> 00:43:59,080
Speaker 2: he's particularly good at. He's very athletic. I think he's

1012
00:43:59,120 --> 00:44:02,040
Speaker 2: a mega prospect, but also I haven't seen the skill

1013
00:44:02,120 --> 00:44:04,600
Speaker 2: set come together, and I don't aside from like just

1014
00:44:04,760 --> 00:44:07,840
Speaker 2: landing one big power punch, I don't know where he finishes.

1015
00:44:07,880 --> 00:44:08,880
Speaker 3: Neil Magne consistently.

1016
00:44:10,040 --> 00:44:12,719
Speaker 5: Yeah, Neil Magni. Really, when he gets finished, it's by

1017
00:44:12,920 --> 00:44:16,040
Speaker 5: elite grapplers and pretty much no one else. I'm not

1018
00:44:16,080 --> 00:44:18,600
Speaker 5: digging through all ninety six of his UFC fights to

1019
00:44:18,960 --> 00:44:21,040
Speaker 5: confirm or deny that, but at least in recent memory,

1020
00:44:21,520 --> 00:44:22,800
Speaker 5: and it's one of them. How many times do we

1021
00:44:22,880 --> 00:44:24,520
Speaker 5: have to learn this lesson with Neil Magni?

1022
00:44:24,680 --> 00:44:24,759
Speaker 4: Right?

1023
00:44:24,840 --> 00:44:26,480
Speaker 5: Like I made this exact same bat when he fought

1024
00:44:26,520 --> 00:44:29,320
Speaker 5: proper Mike Malott in Canada. Magne ended up winning that

1025
00:44:29,360 --> 00:44:31,680
Speaker 5: one outright, I still thought the plus three and a

1026
00:44:31,680 --> 00:44:34,080
Speaker 5: half was the right side. He's not just going to

1027
00:44:34,160 --> 00:44:37,799
Speaker 5: lie down to these prospects, right, He's he's not going

1028
00:44:37,840 --> 00:44:40,120
Speaker 5: to win about himself. I think it's probably fairly safe

1029
00:44:40,160 --> 00:44:42,520
Speaker 5: to say at this point Neil Magni's career, but he's

1030
00:44:42,560 --> 00:44:45,400
Speaker 5: a tough out for anyone Michael Morale's last two fights

1031
00:44:45,480 --> 00:44:48,400
Speaker 5: Max Griffin and Jake Matthews. He lost one round in

1032
00:44:48,600 --> 00:44:51,560
Speaker 5: both of those two fights. I think Magni would be

1033
00:44:51,560 --> 00:44:53,520
Speaker 5: a pretty heavy favorite against either of those guys at

1034
00:44:53,560 --> 00:44:56,480
Speaker 5: this point. Magni, with his height and length, is going

1035
00:44:56,560 --> 00:44:59,120
Speaker 5: to be a difficult matchup for Morales. Morales has a

1036
00:44:59,120 --> 00:45:02,040
Speaker 5: seventy nine injured, which is probably longer than everyone else

1037
00:45:02,080 --> 00:45:03,960
Speaker 5: he's ever fought. Now he's in there with a guy

1038
00:45:04,000 --> 00:45:05,960
Speaker 5: who can match that, if not exceeded a little bit.

1039
00:45:06,440 --> 00:45:09,759
Speaker 5: That's going to be tricky. And yeah, I forget who

1040
00:45:09,800 --> 00:45:12,200
Speaker 5: it was. Last week there was another prospect, Oh, the

1041
00:45:12,280 --> 00:45:15,520
Speaker 5: Dan Hooker fight against Camera. Similar situation is that one.

1042
00:45:16,520 --> 00:45:18,680
Speaker 5: It's hard for these guys to cover and win all

1043
00:45:18,760 --> 00:45:20,680
Speaker 5: three rounds, just like we talked about with the five

1044
00:45:20,800 --> 00:45:23,520
Speaker 5: round versus three round thing. You just need one takedown

1045
00:45:23,600 --> 00:45:25,920
Speaker 5: or one big moment for Magni to cover this three

1046
00:45:25,960 --> 00:45:27,360
Speaker 5: and a half. And then I'm going to put like

1047
00:45:27,520 --> 00:45:29,920
Speaker 5: point one point two units on his money line. That

1048
00:45:30,080 --> 00:45:32,360
Speaker 5: is mainly like a mental health protection on my end,

1049
00:45:32,440 --> 00:45:34,879
Speaker 5: because I should have bet Hooker's money line. I should

1050
00:45:34,920 --> 00:45:36,879
Speaker 5: have bet Magne's money line the last time I took

1051
00:45:36,960 --> 00:45:39,640
Speaker 5: this bet. So anytime I'm taking these big underdogs on

1052
00:45:39,719 --> 00:45:41,160
Speaker 5: plus three and a half, I'm put in point one

1053
00:45:41,200 --> 00:45:43,920
Speaker 5: point two units on the money line. You feel really

1054
00:45:43,960 --> 00:45:45,799
Speaker 5: smart when they went outright, but then you think about

1055
00:45:45,800 --> 00:45:47,200
Speaker 5: it for a second, go oh, I should have made

1056
00:45:47,480 --> 00:45:50,040
Speaker 5: so much more money. So yeah, that's how I'm playing

1057
00:45:50,080 --> 00:45:52,520
Speaker 5: this one. I would not at all be surprised if

1058
00:45:52,600 --> 00:45:55,640
Speaker 5: Magni wins the split decision or a close decision, but

1059
00:45:55,880 --> 00:45:57,600
Speaker 5: feel a lot better. Plus three and a half is

1060
00:45:57,640 --> 00:45:59,320
Speaker 5: two to one odds, so you can't really beat that.

1061
00:46:00,080 --> 00:46:03,400
Speaker 3: What a performance by Dan Hooker that got me up

1062
00:46:03,440 --> 00:46:04,080
Speaker 3: and off the couch.

1063
00:46:04,320 --> 00:46:06,200
Speaker 2: It's rare that I'm watching a fight by myself and

1064
00:46:06,239 --> 00:46:10,080
Speaker 2: I'm like, holy shit, this performance without a finish occurring

1065
00:46:10,239 --> 00:46:12,080
Speaker 2: with that with just like a guy showing great and

1066
00:46:12,120 --> 00:46:14,920
Speaker 2: determination and just like getting the crap. What a performance

1067
00:46:14,920 --> 00:46:16,880
Speaker 2: by Dan Hooker. I would really like to see him

1068
00:46:16,880 --> 00:46:20,240
Speaker 2: against Patty. I know we discussed him briefly against you know, Patty,

1069
00:46:20,320 --> 00:46:22,480
Speaker 2: maybe stepping up taking that number five spot Er, Like

1070
00:46:22,520 --> 00:46:25,120
Speaker 2: if they want to accelerate Patty to title contention, I

1071
00:46:25,160 --> 00:46:27,400
Speaker 2: think that'd be a really interesting fight. I know Hooker

1072
00:46:27,520 --> 00:46:30,040
Speaker 2: is the shriking advantage, but Patty hits really hard. I

1073
00:46:30,080 --> 00:46:32,040
Speaker 2: don't trust Hooker's chin at this point in his career,

1074
00:46:33,120 --> 00:46:36,840
Speaker 2: and I think Patty is the better grappler than Gamra

1075
00:46:36,920 --> 00:46:38,520
Speaker 2: and I think Gamrock is the better wrestler. But if

1076
00:46:38,520 --> 00:46:40,719
Speaker 2: Patty gets the fight to the ground, I think he

1077
00:46:40,840 --> 00:46:43,560
Speaker 2: is a chance of finishing the fight against Hooker, unlike Gamroth.

1078
00:46:43,719 --> 00:46:46,400
Speaker 2: So that's kind of an interesting fight to me, you know,

1079
00:46:46,520 --> 00:46:48,400
Speaker 2: the more I've thought about it, I'd really like to

1080
00:46:48,440 --> 00:46:50,560
Speaker 2: see that match of any any interesting seeing Hooker versus

1081
00:46:50,560 --> 00:46:52,040
Speaker 2: Patty from your perspective, Billy.

1082
00:46:52,320 --> 00:46:54,880
Speaker 5: I'd be a good one. You mentioned Chandler versus Patty

1083
00:46:55,000 --> 00:46:56,759
Speaker 5: got me really excited, but he shot that one down

1084
00:46:56,800 --> 00:46:59,480
Speaker 5: real fast. So you know, as the grappling nerd that

1085
00:46:59,520 --> 00:47:01,399
Speaker 5: I am kind over as Patty makes us on of sense,

1086
00:47:01,400 --> 00:47:03,880
Speaker 5: I want to see those two guys rolling around. You know,

1087
00:47:03,960 --> 00:47:06,600
Speaker 5: Striker verse Grappler's always a little bit scary when you're

1088
00:47:06,640 --> 00:47:07,480
Speaker 5: rooting for the grappler.

1089
00:47:07,600 --> 00:47:10,360
Speaker 2: So yeah, Patty versus Chanda would be elite. It seemed

1090
00:47:10,400 --> 00:47:13,239
Speaker 2: like they have a friendly relationship and Patty has some

1091
00:47:13,320 --> 00:47:14,960
Speaker 2: respect for him, and I don't think that one's going

1092
00:47:15,000 --> 00:47:19,520
Speaker 2: to end up happening. Let's talk some best bets for

1093
00:47:19,680 --> 00:47:22,960
Speaker 2: this card, maybe finishing out with a live bet or

1094
00:47:22,960 --> 00:47:26,320
Speaker 2: a big prop for you as well. I'm gonna be

1095
00:47:26,320 --> 00:47:30,279
Speaker 2: about two because honestly, I think Ricci's my best bet.

1096
00:47:31,320 --> 00:47:33,799
Speaker 2: I made Ricci's line like minus one sixty. I better

1097
00:47:33,880 --> 00:47:35,759
Speaker 2: at minus one fifteen last night. It is not in

1098
00:47:35,800 --> 00:47:38,120
Speaker 2: the app yet. I will track her at best available odds,

1099
00:47:38,120 --> 00:47:40,480
Speaker 2: which I believe her minus one twenty two. I think

1100
00:47:40,560 --> 00:47:42,640
Speaker 2: Ricchie should be minus one fifty. I think Ricci wins

1101
00:47:42,680 --> 00:47:44,480
Speaker 2: that fight sixty percent of the time. I think she's

1102
00:47:44,560 --> 00:47:47,920
Speaker 2: the best value on the card, full stop. Two other

1103
00:47:47,960 --> 00:47:52,080
Speaker 2: bets I like Franklin or Francis fire Marshall minus one forty.

1104
00:47:52,360 --> 00:47:55,960
Speaker 2: This was a short notice booking. Marshall got massacred in

1105
00:47:56,040 --> 00:47:59,040
Speaker 2: his last fight against Isaac Dulgarian in round one. That's

1106
00:47:59,080 --> 00:48:03,560
Speaker 2: what Dulgarian does the pretty much every fighter he faced Marshall.

1107
00:48:03,600 --> 00:48:05,680
Speaker 2: I bet Marshall in that fight. I'm pretty sure obviously

1108
00:48:05,840 --> 00:48:08,600
Speaker 2: terrible bet in hindsight, but I do think he's a

1109
00:48:08,719 --> 00:48:12,040
Speaker 2: very good prospect, and I just think that performance aged

1110
00:48:12,120 --> 00:48:14,800
Speaker 2: horribly and is giving a little bit of value to

1111
00:48:14,880 --> 00:48:18,680
Speaker 2: his money line. There's clearly two tiers of fighters who

1112
00:48:18,800 --> 00:48:21,880
Speaker 2: come from Sarah Lango or law MMA. On Long Island,

1113
00:48:22,160 --> 00:48:24,759
Speaker 2: you have your Mirovs, you have your al Jamaine Sterlings,

1114
00:48:25,440 --> 00:48:28,879
Speaker 2: but then you have your Grigoro sharl Lampos's and your

1115
00:48:29,800 --> 00:48:33,920
Speaker 2: Nazem Sadikov's. And I do think Sadikov is in a

1116
00:48:34,040 --> 00:48:36,400
Speaker 2: lower tier, and I think Marshall is the better prospect

1117
00:48:36,480 --> 00:48:38,680
Speaker 2: of the two. I think Marshall probably wins this fight

1118
00:48:39,120 --> 00:48:40,879
Speaker 2: two out of three times, so getting him at about

1119
00:48:40,920 --> 00:48:43,960
Speaker 2: minus one forty minus one fifty seems like a decent

1120
00:48:44,000 --> 00:48:46,839
Speaker 2: bet for me. And then the other fight, I think

1121
00:48:46,880 --> 00:48:51,680
Speaker 2: there's value on Cavalcanti against Nunez in the woman's bandon

1122
00:48:51,719 --> 00:48:56,200
Speaker 2: weight division. Nunaz is a very popular underdog selection this week.

1123
00:48:56,719 --> 00:48:59,279
Speaker 2: That's why I'm on Cavalcanti. This is not a tape thing.

1124
00:48:59,440 --> 00:49:03,440
Speaker 2: Just Nunas is being bet very heavily, and she's so

1125
00:49:03,600 --> 00:49:07,160
Speaker 2: much smaller. She's six inches shorter, she's at a three

1126
00:49:07,239 --> 00:49:10,800
Speaker 2: inch reach discrepancy, and by the way, Cavalcanti landed sixty

1127
00:49:10,840 --> 00:49:13,879
Speaker 2: three leg kicks in her UFC debut at her last fight.

1128
00:49:13,960 --> 00:49:16,600
Speaker 2: She's gonna kick the shit at a Nunez here from range.

1129
00:49:16,840 --> 00:49:20,480
Speaker 2: Nunaz powerful, but she just kind of spams overhands and

1130
00:49:20,560 --> 00:49:22,759
Speaker 2: she doesn't go for takedowns offensively, so I think she

1131
00:49:22,880 --> 00:49:25,319
Speaker 2: just gets picked apart for fifteen minutes, I think cabal

1132
00:49:25,360 --> 00:49:28,560
Speaker 2: Conti tri triples are up on volume. If she doesn't

1133
00:49:28,600 --> 00:49:31,160
Speaker 2: get KOed, I think she wins a decision pretty comfortably

1134
00:49:31,280 --> 00:49:34,000
Speaker 2: minus one o five for cabal Conti by decision minus

1135
00:49:34,040 --> 00:49:37,680
Speaker 2: one minus won thirty five for round three er decision

1136
00:49:37,760 --> 00:49:41,319
Speaker 2: I would consider because Nonez is cutting from one forty

1137
00:49:41,360 --> 00:49:42,840
Speaker 2: five to one thirty five, so I don't know what

1138
00:49:42,920 --> 00:49:45,320
Speaker 2: the gas tank looks like. Might want some coverage in

1139
00:49:45,400 --> 00:49:48,720
Speaker 2: round three, Billy, any thoughts for you on caval Conte Nunez,

1140
00:49:48,719 --> 00:49:52,560
Speaker 2: Any thoughts for you on Marshall and Sadikov And if not,

1141
00:49:53,040 --> 00:49:53,600
Speaker 2: we're an addition.

1142
00:49:53,800 --> 00:49:55,279
Speaker 3: Give me your final bet before he got it out

1143
00:49:55,280 --> 00:49:55,440
Speaker 3: of here.

1144
00:49:56,480 --> 00:49:59,640
Speaker 5: Yeah, love Cavalcanti. The one thing I think Josie Nuna

1145
00:49:59,680 --> 00:50:01,560
Speaker 5: has been forced to go down to one thirty five

1146
00:50:01,680 --> 00:50:03,359
Speaker 5: is actually probably a good thing for her at five

1147
00:50:03,440 --> 00:50:05,840
Speaker 5: foot two, like having her fight father with she like

1148
00:50:05,920 --> 00:50:08,960
Speaker 5: physically couldn't reach some of her opponents, which you know

1149
00:50:09,000 --> 00:50:11,200
Speaker 5: obviously makes it hard to knock him out. I still

1150
00:50:11,280 --> 00:50:14,000
Speaker 5: like kaval Kati. I probably not betting this myself, but

1151
00:50:14,080 --> 00:50:17,200
Speaker 5: your angle would be how I would Marshall versus Bazuka

1152
00:50:17,239 --> 00:50:18,520
Speaker 5: by the way, not Sadi cough.

1153
00:50:18,440 --> 00:50:23,239
Speaker 2: Ah, yes, my bad, Yesuka, Sadikoff and Bazuka in the

1154
00:50:23,280 --> 00:50:25,719
Speaker 2: same the same tier of Sarah Lango fighter for me,

1155
00:50:25,760 --> 00:50:27,439
Speaker 2: And yes, that's that's why I mean. I basically picked

1156
00:50:27,480 --> 00:50:29,279
Speaker 2: them up in my head at this point, But yeah,

1157
00:50:29,360 --> 00:50:32,000
Speaker 2: I don't trust either guy, and I think they're both

1158
00:50:32,120 --> 00:50:33,320
Speaker 2: lower level for their division.

1159
00:50:34,320 --> 00:50:36,160
Speaker 5: I will continue as long as you know the price

1160
00:50:36,280 --> 00:50:39,160
Speaker 5: is reasonable to get bet against Dennis Bozuka because you

1161
00:50:39,280 --> 00:50:42,640
Speaker 5: once said his best skill is trying really hard, which

1162
00:50:42,719 --> 00:50:44,640
Speaker 5: is great, Like I'd like you to try hard. But

1163
00:50:44,719 --> 00:50:47,160
Speaker 5: if that's your best thing, we're in for a long night.

1164
00:50:47,840 --> 00:50:47,880
Speaker 2: No.

1165
00:50:48,080 --> 00:50:51,280
Speaker 5: Yeah, My my actual best bat is probably the richiar

1166
00:50:51,480 --> 00:50:54,279
Speaker 5: on top I put in here Meershart in round three

1167
00:50:54,360 --> 00:50:56,960
Speaker 5: plus eighteen hundred four of his eleven UFC wins have

1168
00:50:57,040 --> 00:51:00,400
Speaker 5: been third round submissions. He he's the Homer s in

1169
00:51:00,400 --> 00:51:02,960
Speaker 5: the episode where he was a boxer. That's his game plan.

1170
00:51:03,000 --> 00:51:04,600
Speaker 5: He's just gonna let you punch him until he gets

1171
00:51:04,600 --> 00:51:08,120
Speaker 5: tired and then probably submit you. Usually it's round three.

1172
00:51:08,320 --> 00:51:12,359
Speaker 5: You know, we talked about Shabazi and struggling his fights

1173
00:51:12,440 --> 00:51:14,920
Speaker 5: go deep. I think the better way to play it

1174
00:51:15,200 --> 00:51:17,680
Speaker 5: is live. I'm not faulting anyone who's not watching this

1175
00:51:18,080 --> 00:51:23,200
Speaker 5: relatively lackluster UFC event live to do that. So GM

1176
00:51:23,239 --> 00:51:25,000
Speaker 5: three is a live bet, depending what the price is,

1177
00:51:25,120 --> 00:51:27,279
Speaker 5: might actually be my favorite bet. Schabazi and is one

1178
00:51:27,320 --> 00:51:30,359
Speaker 5: in three win fights make it to the third rounder later.

1179
00:51:31,080 --> 00:51:33,520
Speaker 5: That one win was a split decision that he might

1180
00:51:33,640 --> 00:51:36,319
Speaker 5: not have even earned. So it's one of those things.

1181
00:51:36,400 --> 00:51:38,920
Speaker 5: If we get that far, we could see GM three

1182
00:51:39,080 --> 00:51:41,200
Speaker 5: similar to his round three pre fight line. We could

1183
00:51:41,200 --> 00:51:42,960
Speaker 5: see it at plus one thousand or longer if he

1184
00:51:42,960 --> 00:51:46,600
Speaker 5: gets hit hard in the first round and he's just

1185
00:51:46,680 --> 00:51:48,600
Speaker 5: gonna be so much better down the stretch than Schabasi,

1186
00:51:48,680 --> 00:51:51,480
Speaker 5: and so the live angle would be something of a

1187
00:51:51,520 --> 00:51:54,120
Speaker 5: best bet depending on the price we get. Round three

1188
00:51:54,200 --> 00:51:56,160
Speaker 5: is a nice little sprinkle. Totally with you on your

1189
00:51:56,200 --> 00:51:58,720
Speaker 5: analysis there. If he's gonna win it, he's gonna survive

1190
00:51:58,800 --> 00:52:02,120
Speaker 5: a bunch of damage and get some ugly slow submission

1191
00:52:02,160 --> 00:52:04,120
Speaker 5: in the third round against the totally gast upon it.

1192
00:52:05,160 --> 00:52:06,880
Speaker 2: I have a weird feeling he's gonna win a decision,

1193
00:52:06,920 --> 00:52:08,400
Speaker 2: which is why I like the live angle a lot,

1194
00:52:08,440 --> 00:52:09,799
Speaker 2: why I like the money line a little bit too.

1195
00:52:09,880 --> 00:52:11,840
Speaker 2: I know, I said all eleven of his fights have

1196
00:52:11,880 --> 00:52:13,799
Speaker 2: been inside the distance in the UFC, no fighter has

1197
00:52:13,840 --> 00:52:16,480
Speaker 2: ever done that, ten of eleven by submission. That submission

1198
00:52:16,480 --> 00:52:18,839
Speaker 2: prop at five to one very tempting. I just get

1199
00:52:18,880 --> 00:52:21,920
Speaker 2: a weird feeling he's going to back control Shabazi and

1200
00:52:22,000 --> 00:52:23,759
Speaker 2: in the third round ended up taking the second and

1201
00:52:23,800 --> 00:52:25,960
Speaker 2: third rounds of winning decisions. So make sure you have

1202
00:52:26,080 --> 00:52:28,480
Speaker 2: some money line, whether it's pre fight or live. But

1203
00:52:28,600 --> 00:52:30,960
Speaker 2: I definitely think the live angle on mirror Shart is

1204
00:52:31,400 --> 00:52:34,319
Speaker 2: elite the right spot. Just have some coverage with round

1205
00:52:34,320 --> 00:52:35,759
Speaker 2: two and round three props as well, so you can

1206
00:52:35,760 --> 00:52:38,719
Speaker 2: scream at the TV when he doesn't finish Shabazian in

1207
00:52:38,760 --> 00:52:40,480
Speaker 2: the third round. But he will try to, believe me,

1208
00:52:40,960 --> 00:52:43,800
Speaker 2: GM three will try to. There's probably not been a

1209
00:52:43,880 --> 00:52:46,000
Speaker 2: better round three finisher in the sport over the past

1210
00:52:46,480 --> 00:52:49,319
Speaker 2: decade or so than Gerald Mihershart. As I said, most

1211
00:52:49,520 --> 00:52:54,240
Speaker 2: submission wins the middleweight history, highest submission rate in UFC

1212
00:52:54,400 --> 00:52:57,080
Speaker 2: history aside from Hoist Grazy, you know, ten of eleven fights,

1213
00:52:57,160 --> 00:52:59,959
Speaker 2: Hoyst Grazy finished ninety percent of his fights by submit.

1214
00:53:00,200 --> 00:53:02,560
Speaker 2: I think he had one decision in GM three has

1215
00:53:02,600 --> 00:53:05,040
Speaker 2: the one knockout on top of nine or ten submissions.

1216
00:53:05,080 --> 00:53:08,560
Speaker 2: So yeah, very impressive. A very underrated fighter. Continuing to

1217
00:53:08,560 --> 00:53:10,920
Speaker 2: get older though, and I think the athleticism differential here

1218
00:53:10,960 --> 00:53:13,280
Speaker 2: in the first round is going to be pretty drastic,

1219
00:53:13,600 --> 00:53:16,320
Speaker 2: and if he gets ice like hamzat Icema wouldn't be surprised.

1220
00:53:16,680 --> 00:53:17,600
Speaker 3: But that'll do it for us.

1221
00:53:17,880 --> 00:53:20,200
Speaker 2: For the UFC betting preview on the Action Network podcast

1222
00:53:20,280 --> 00:53:23,239
Speaker 2: presented by BETMGM. You can find it more at UFC

1223
00:53:23,360 --> 00:53:25,560
Speaker 2: content for myself, from Billy Ward and from the rest

1224
00:53:25,600 --> 00:53:28,520
Speaker 2: of our Action Network staff, on the Action Network website

1225
00:53:28,560 --> 00:53:31,240
Speaker 2: and also in the Action Network app. Make sure download

1226
00:53:31,280 --> 00:53:33,759
Speaker 2: the free, award winning Action Network app. Best of luck

1227
00:53:33,800 --> 00:53:35,800
Speaker 2: with all of your bets this weekend. Thank you for

1228
00:53:35,920 --> 00:53:39,000
Speaker 2: listening to the Action Network podcast. For Billy Ward, for

1229
00:53:39,200 --> 00:53:42,359
Speaker 2: Patty Pimblett, I'm Sean Zullo. Best of luck, We'll see

1230
00:53:42,360 --> 00:53:45,280
Speaker 2: you next time and as a reminder, no podcast going forward,

1231
00:53:45,440 --> 00:53:46,280
Speaker 2: but we will see.

1232
00:53:46,120 --> 00:53:58,520
Speaker 4: You on the etcave. Action Network reminds you please gamble responsibly.

1233
00:53:58,960 --> 00:54:01,760
Speaker 1: If you or someone you care about has a gambling problem,

1234
00:54:02,080 --> 00:54:04,680
Speaker 1: help is available twenty four to seven at one eight

1235
00:54:04,800 --> 00:54:05,520
Speaker 1: hundred Gambler