1 00:00:02,920 --> 00:00:10,600 Speaker 1: Bloomberg Audio Studios, podcasts, radio news. You're listening to the 2 00:00:10,640 --> 00:00:14,560 Speaker 1: Bloomberg Balance of Power podcast. Catch Just Live weekdays at 3 00:00:14,560 --> 00:00:17,759 Speaker 1: noon Eastern on Appocarplay and then Roudoo with the Bloomberg 4 00:00:17,800 --> 00:00:21,280 Speaker 1: Business app. Listen on demand wherever you get your podcasts, 5 00:00:21,400 --> 00:00:25,000 Speaker 1: or watch us live on YouTube. 6 00:00:26,280 --> 00:00:29,880 Speaker 2: Danny Berger is across the river in New Jersey once 7 00:00:30,000 --> 00:00:33,440 Speaker 2: again today, in fact, at the Elizabeth Marina with forty 8 00:00:33,479 --> 00:00:35,840 Speaker 2: five thousand DOC workers now on strike. 9 00:00:35,880 --> 00:00:36,040 Speaker 1: Now. 10 00:00:36,120 --> 00:00:38,519 Speaker 2: Danny brought us up to date on the stakes yesterday, 11 00:00:38,840 --> 00:00:41,320 Speaker 2: and she's back with us at the port here to 12 00:00:41,400 --> 00:00:44,600 Speaker 2: bring us up to date on what has transpired since midnight. Danny, 13 00:00:44,600 --> 00:00:47,000 Speaker 2: we learned a lot from your reporting yesterday, and we're 14 00:00:47,000 --> 00:00:50,920 Speaker 2: hearing estimates in the four billion dollars a day range 15 00:00:50,960 --> 00:00:53,600 Speaker 2: here for the cost of this strike. What are you learning. 16 00:00:53,640 --> 00:00:56,400 Speaker 3: Well, Joe, it does seem like we are inchering ever 17 00:00:56,560 --> 00:00:59,080 Speaker 3: closer to a deal. To be clear, we are not 18 00:00:59,280 --> 00:01:03,800 Speaker 3: there yet. Conversations happened into the eleventh hour of this strike, 19 00:01:04,120 --> 00:01:06,080 Speaker 3: so just to give you an idea of where we 20 00:01:06,080 --> 00:01:10,000 Speaker 3: were at this time yesterday, it was the International Longshoreman's 21 00:01:10,000 --> 00:01:14,679 Speaker 3: Association the union, demanding a seventy seven percent pay increase 22 00:01:14,959 --> 00:01:17,839 Speaker 3: over the next six years. We have got an offer 23 00:01:17,920 --> 00:01:21,960 Speaker 3: from USMX, that is the United States Marine Association. They 24 00:01:22,000 --> 00:01:24,800 Speaker 3: say that they are willing to pay fifty percent over 25 00:01:24,840 --> 00:01:26,000 Speaker 3: the next six years. 26 00:01:26,240 --> 00:01:27,039 Speaker 4: It seems like the. 27 00:01:27,000 --> 00:01:29,280 Speaker 3: Other side has come down to the union now says 28 00:01:29,319 --> 00:01:31,840 Speaker 3: that they are willing to accept sixty one and a 29 00:01:31,880 --> 00:01:36,000 Speaker 3: half percent. So getting closer. We are still not there yet, Joe. 30 00:01:36,200 --> 00:01:36,959 Speaker 3: And one of the other. 31 00:01:36,840 --> 00:01:38,880 Speaker 4: Sticking points continues to be automation. 32 00:01:39,520 --> 00:01:41,640 Speaker 3: We heard from the employer saying that they would keep 33 00:01:41,720 --> 00:01:44,720 Speaker 3: the current language in the contract about automation, which does 34 00:01:44,800 --> 00:01:46,560 Speaker 3: prevent it from going forward. 35 00:01:46,720 --> 00:01:48,400 Speaker 4: Is that enough? That is still a question. 36 00:01:48,760 --> 00:01:51,920 Speaker 2: Okay, Now, I'm glad you mentioned that because automation is 37 00:01:51,960 --> 00:01:54,200 Speaker 2: a little bit more difficult to quantify. What would that 38 00:01:54,240 --> 00:01:56,720 Speaker 2: look like in a deal, in a form that would 39 00:01:56,760 --> 00:01:58,360 Speaker 2: make the dock workers happy. 40 00:01:58,480 --> 00:01:59,640 Speaker 4: Well, the dock workers one. 41 00:01:59,800 --> 00:02:03,160 Speaker 3: It bands in all forms of any of it being added, 42 00:02:03,200 --> 00:02:05,840 Speaker 3: whether it be autonomous or semi. 43 00:02:05,520 --> 00:02:06,800 Speaker 4: Autonomous, Joe. 44 00:02:06,840 --> 00:02:10,240 Speaker 3: This issue really goes back to the summertime there was 45 00:02:10,360 --> 00:02:12,520 Speaker 3: in Alabama. It appeared to be that some of the 46 00:02:12,560 --> 00:02:16,160 Speaker 3: docs were using automated technology for unloading, which at the 47 00:02:16,160 --> 00:02:18,919 Speaker 3: time the worker said violated the contract. That's part of 48 00:02:18,960 --> 00:02:22,840 Speaker 3: the reason why today's talks, why yesterday's talks have gotten 49 00:02:22,880 --> 00:02:27,160 Speaker 3: so contentious. They basically say any move forward on automation, they. 50 00:02:27,040 --> 00:02:27,600 Speaker 4: Do not want. 51 00:02:27,639 --> 00:02:31,120 Speaker 3: They do not want the court the posts here on 52 00:02:31,200 --> 00:02:33,560 Speaker 3: the east, on the Gulf coast to look like it 53 00:02:33,600 --> 00:02:36,320 Speaker 3: does in Asia or Amsterdam. They again just want it 54 00:02:36,400 --> 00:02:39,880 Speaker 3: installed at its current level. Many say that that's not possible, 55 00:02:40,320 --> 00:02:42,480 Speaker 3: but maybe you need upskilling, you need different things to 56 00:02:42,480 --> 00:02:44,959 Speaker 3: help folks keep their job even if that automation does 57 00:02:45,040 --> 00:02:45,560 Speaker 3: take place. 58 00:02:45,800 --> 00:02:46,240 Speaker 4: Unterestood. 59 00:02:46,320 --> 00:02:49,919 Speaker 2: We spoke last evening Danny with the Secretary of Transportation 60 00:02:50,000 --> 00:02:54,200 Speaker 2: Pete Buddhajeedge specifically asked him about contingency plans. Knowing how 61 00:02:54,280 --> 00:02:57,280 Speaker 2: much we're talking about here in terms of an economic impact, 62 00:02:57,320 --> 00:03:00,120 Speaker 2: the number of ships that passed through these ports and 63 00:03:00,120 --> 00:03:03,320 Speaker 2: the containers that they are carrying. Here's what he said 64 00:03:03,360 --> 00:03:06,960 Speaker 2: about contingency plans, knowing that this strike is now in effect. 65 00:03:07,120 --> 00:03:10,960 Speaker 5: I had another convening that my colleagues at DOT brought 66 00:03:10,960 --> 00:03:14,440 Speaker 5: together with about sixty different players across logistics and supply 67 00:03:14,560 --> 00:03:17,640 Speaker 5: chains to make sure that we're mapping everything in anything 68 00:03:17,680 --> 00:03:20,680 Speaker 5: that needs to happen in terms of adjustments or flexibilities 69 00:03:21,160 --> 00:03:25,160 Speaker 5: across road, rail and different ports across the United States. 70 00:03:25,160 --> 00:03:28,440 Speaker 5: But certainly the best thing that could happen is for 71 00:03:28,720 --> 00:03:31,119 Speaker 5: the parties to quickly come to terms. 72 00:03:31,240 --> 00:03:34,320 Speaker 2: And it sounds like Danny, they might do that based 73 00:03:34,320 --> 00:03:37,840 Speaker 2: on what you're telling us here. The conversations are still underway. 74 00:03:37,880 --> 00:03:40,600 Speaker 2: But as long as this strike is in place, what 75 00:03:40,720 --> 00:03:44,680 Speaker 2: do we know about our ability to reroute shipments to 76 00:03:44,720 --> 00:03:47,120 Speaker 2: try to make up for the loss of activity on 77 00:03:47,160 --> 00:03:47,800 Speaker 2: the East Coast? 78 00:03:48,000 --> 00:03:49,840 Speaker 3: Well, Joe, the best plans and the ones that were 79 00:03:49,880 --> 00:03:53,360 Speaker 3: already put in place were ones that basically front ran 80 00:03:53,400 --> 00:03:55,480 Speaker 3: this and we did indeed see that there were record 81 00:03:55,480 --> 00:03:59,000 Speaker 3: shipments coming into these United States before the strike because 82 00:03:59,000 --> 00:04:01,720 Speaker 3: we knew about this day. We knew that October first 83 00:04:01,760 --> 00:04:04,160 Speaker 3: would come and the contract would run out. So that 84 00:04:04,280 --> 00:04:07,160 Speaker 3: is one method that a lot of really urgent type 85 00:04:07,160 --> 00:04:09,320 Speaker 3: materials that needed to come into the US did. They 86 00:04:09,320 --> 00:04:11,800 Speaker 3: extended the hours of all the ports. When it comes 87 00:04:11,880 --> 00:04:15,280 Speaker 3: to rerouting, Joe, the options are not good. The West 88 00:04:15,280 --> 00:04:17,960 Speaker 3: Coast can only handle some sixteen percent of what comes 89 00:04:18,120 --> 00:04:20,720 Speaker 3: through the East Coast. In Canada, they can't handle much. 90 00:04:20,760 --> 00:04:24,279 Speaker 3: Same goes for Mexico. There's the possibility of air traffic 91 00:04:24,360 --> 00:04:27,479 Speaker 3: air freights, but their capacity isn't great either. It's much 92 00:04:27,560 --> 00:04:29,559 Speaker 3: less than the coast, and so many people are ordering 93 00:04:29,640 --> 00:04:32,320 Speaker 3: via e commerce that those are mostly booked up. 94 00:04:32,560 --> 00:04:33,279 Speaker 4: So for now, the. 95 00:04:33,279 --> 00:04:35,680 Speaker 3: Administration needs to hope that the plans that they already 96 00:04:35,680 --> 00:04:38,280 Speaker 3: put in place are enough and that they resolve quickly. 97 00:04:38,360 --> 00:04:40,120 Speaker 4: Like you heard there from Secretary pe. 98 00:04:40,160 --> 00:04:43,120 Speaker 2: Booda j Edge, Bloomberg's Danny Berger an absolute authority on 99 00:04:43,200 --> 00:04:45,440 Speaker 2: this story and with us from the Marina in Elizabeth, 100 00:04:45,440 --> 00:04:47,880 Speaker 2: New Jersey. Danny, thank you so much for a second 101 00:04:47,960 --> 00:04:50,320 Speaker 2: day of coverage here. Of course, this all began at 102 00:04:50,400 --> 00:04:54,240 Speaker 2: twelveh one am. It was a midnight deadline and we 103 00:04:54,400 --> 00:04:56,640 Speaker 2: have passed it. I want to add the voice of 104 00:04:56,760 --> 00:04:59,400 Speaker 2: Seth Harris, of course, someone we talked to a lot 105 00:04:59,400 --> 00:05:02,039 Speaker 2: about all the shoes, including labor, and this is a 106 00:05:02,080 --> 00:05:05,320 Speaker 2: precarious moment for the administration, and of course on the 107 00:05:05,360 --> 00:05:08,440 Speaker 2: campaign trail, a new item, another reason to be talking 108 00:05:08,440 --> 00:05:12,119 Speaker 2: about organized labor in this cycle. Seth is senior fellow 109 00:05:12,160 --> 00:05:14,920 Speaker 2: at the Burn Center for Social Change at Northeastern University 110 00:05:15,200 --> 00:05:19,279 Speaker 2: and was one of Joe Biden's top labor Advisor's. Former 111 00:05:19,480 --> 00:05:22,200 Speaker 2: US Deputy Secretary of Labor, Seth it's great to have 112 00:05:22,279 --> 00:05:24,840 Speaker 2: you back. The big picture here is this about pay 113 00:05:24,839 --> 00:05:26,920 Speaker 2: and benefits or is it about automation. 114 00:05:27,520 --> 00:05:32,279 Speaker 6: It's about both, Joe, the union feels very strongly and 115 00:05:32,360 --> 00:05:35,800 Speaker 6: its members are quite angry about the fact that the 116 00:05:35,839 --> 00:05:40,040 Speaker 6: companies earned a mount everest of profits during the pandemic. 117 00:05:40,120 --> 00:05:43,880 Speaker 6: They are still highly profitable, and the workers want their 118 00:05:43,920 --> 00:05:46,839 Speaker 6: fair share. The workers worked through the pandemic, they put 119 00:05:46,839 --> 00:05:50,039 Speaker 6: themselves at grave risk. They want a fair share of 120 00:05:50,080 --> 00:05:52,200 Speaker 6: those profits, and the only way to do that is 121 00:05:52,240 --> 00:05:56,039 Speaker 6: with higher wages and with better benefits. Automation is about 122 00:05:56,120 --> 00:05:58,680 Speaker 6: job protection. They want to make sure that they're not 123 00:05:58,760 --> 00:06:01,200 Speaker 6: going to lose their jobs. Union is not going to 124 00:06:01,279 --> 00:06:06,160 Speaker 6: lose members over time, so they have fairly strong automation 125 00:06:06,400 --> 00:06:10,200 Speaker 6: language in their existing contract. But automation is always changing. 126 00:06:10,240 --> 00:06:12,640 Speaker 6: Technology is always changing, so they want to strengthen that 127 00:06:12,760 --> 00:06:14,760 Speaker 6: language to make sure that we're not going to see 128 00:06:14,880 --> 00:06:16,960 Speaker 6: meaningful displacement of longshore workers. 129 00:06:17,440 --> 00:06:19,960 Speaker 2: We know that Joe Biden has chosen not to invoke 130 00:06:20,080 --> 00:06:23,520 Speaker 2: the Taft Hartley Act SETH. He could have demanded an 131 00:06:23,520 --> 00:06:26,400 Speaker 2: eighty day cooling off period under that law. We know 132 00:06:26,520 --> 00:06:29,120 Speaker 2: that the President has been open to these ideas with 133 00:06:29,160 --> 00:06:31,080 Speaker 2: what we saw, of course in the rail strike two 134 00:06:31,120 --> 00:06:33,240 Speaker 2: years ago. Are you surprised he did not do this 135 00:06:33,480 --> 00:06:36,120 Speaker 2: and what does that tell us about the administration's posture here? 136 00:06:36,560 --> 00:06:39,600 Speaker 6: No, I'm not surprised at all. You know, in seeking 137 00:06:39,640 --> 00:06:42,960 Speaker 6: an injunction in court to shut down a strike takes 138 00:06:43,120 --> 00:06:46,960 Speaker 6: power out of workers' hands, and Joe Biden's entire presidency 139 00:06:47,240 --> 00:06:50,880 Speaker 6: has been about putting more power into workers' hands. So 140 00:06:51,240 --> 00:06:54,440 Speaker 6: I'm not surprised at all. The National Freight rail strike 141 00:06:54,480 --> 00:06:57,120 Speaker 6: and also to some extent, the West Coast negotiations, The 142 00:06:57,120 --> 00:07:00,799 Speaker 6: West Coast dock worker negotiations occurred in a different period 143 00:07:00,839 --> 00:07:04,720 Speaker 6: in our history when supply chains were extremely vulnerable and 144 00:07:04,760 --> 00:07:08,320 Speaker 6: there was a grave risk of lasting damage to the economy. Well, 145 00:07:08,520 --> 00:07:12,440 Speaker 6: supply chains have healed, they're doing just fine. This is 146 00:07:12,520 --> 00:07:16,160 Speaker 6: certainly going to have The strike will have an economic 147 00:07:16,240 --> 00:07:18,760 Speaker 6: effect if it goes on for a good long time. 148 00:07:19,080 --> 00:07:21,720 Speaker 6: But I don't think supply chain infrastructure is going to 149 00:07:21,720 --> 00:07:24,240 Speaker 6: be damaged by the strike, and the presidencies it that 150 00:07:24,320 --> 00:07:25,040 Speaker 6: way as well. 151 00:07:25,120 --> 00:07:27,320 Speaker 2: Well, that's really important, Seth. Maybe you can tell our 152 00:07:27,400 --> 00:07:30,000 Speaker 2: viewers and listeners a little bit more on the why, 153 00:07:30,080 --> 00:07:31,960 Speaker 2: because there are a lot of bad and recent memories 154 00:07:32,000 --> 00:07:34,920 Speaker 2: about these supply chain hiccups. Going through COVID, we finally 155 00:07:35,480 --> 00:07:38,160 Speaker 2: unsnarled so many of these lines that people are worried 156 00:07:38,200 --> 00:07:40,680 Speaker 2: that we're going to go back into another inflationary period. 157 00:07:41,160 --> 00:07:43,080 Speaker 2: The Christmas gifts aren't going to show up on time, 158 00:07:43,160 --> 00:07:45,280 Speaker 2: and we see this whole movie all over again. How 159 00:07:45,360 --> 00:07:46,239 Speaker 2: is it different now. 160 00:07:46,560 --> 00:07:51,520 Speaker 6: Well, remember what happened during the pandemic. Americans stopped buying 161 00:07:51,640 --> 00:07:55,559 Speaker 6: or slowed dramatically the buying of services. Right, we weren't 162 00:07:55,600 --> 00:07:57,880 Speaker 6: going out for meals, we weren't going out to the movies, 163 00:07:57,880 --> 00:08:00,880 Speaker 6: we weren't going out to bowl. Instead, what we did 164 00:08:01,000 --> 00:08:03,880 Speaker 6: is we spent a tremendous amount of money on goods, 165 00:08:04,320 --> 00:08:07,480 Speaker 6: and so a large amount of goods we're coming into 166 00:08:07,480 --> 00:08:10,640 Speaker 6: the United States. At the same time, workforces around the 167 00:08:10,640 --> 00:08:13,440 Speaker 6: world were being affected by COVID. There were people who 168 00:08:13,440 --> 00:08:15,480 Speaker 6: were sick and dying. There are people who are not 169 00:08:15,600 --> 00:08:17,960 Speaker 6: able to go into work. There are people who had 170 00:08:18,000 --> 00:08:21,480 Speaker 6: caregiving responsibilities and weren't able to work, and so the 171 00:08:21,560 --> 00:08:26,320 Speaker 6: system just was not working well. The private sector folks 172 00:08:26,360 --> 00:08:29,400 Speaker 6: who run our supply chains just were totally and completely 173 00:08:29,440 --> 00:08:33,240 Speaker 6: unprepared and didn't have contingencies. They had stripped their systems 174 00:08:33,320 --> 00:08:37,760 Speaker 6: down in order to maximize profit. We're not there anymore. 175 00:08:38,040 --> 00:08:40,600 Speaker 6: We don't have people who are out because of COVID. 176 00:08:40,640 --> 00:08:43,679 Speaker 6: We don't have people who have child care responsibilities or 177 00:08:43,720 --> 00:08:46,880 Speaker 6: elder care responsibilities unable to go to work. We have 178 00:08:47,000 --> 00:08:49,520 Speaker 6: people whose work is being slowed down or stopped because 179 00:08:49,520 --> 00:08:51,720 Speaker 6: of a strike, and when the strike ends, they'll be 180 00:08:51,760 --> 00:08:55,120 Speaker 6: able to get back to work. Now that is the 181 00:08:55,280 --> 00:08:57,839 Speaker 6: strike ending is not going to immediately solve every problem. 182 00:08:57,920 --> 00:08:59,880 Speaker 6: We're going to end up with a big backlog of 183 00:09:00,040 --> 00:09:02,480 Speaker 6: cargo that has to come into the United States, and 184 00:09:02,679 --> 00:09:05,560 Speaker 6: for every week of strike, it'll take three or four 185 00:09:05,600 --> 00:09:07,880 Speaker 6: weeks to get the cargo moving again. 186 00:09:08,040 --> 00:09:11,040 Speaker 2: Okay, you might not be surprised to hear that. Speaker 187 00:09:11,080 --> 00:09:15,360 Speaker 2: Mike Johnson sees this differently than the Biden administration. He's 188 00:09:15,360 --> 00:09:17,960 Speaker 2: out with a statement that says just one day of 189 00:09:18,040 --> 00:09:22,000 Speaker 2: paused operations will have devastating consequences on the economy, and 190 00:09:22,080 --> 00:09:25,720 Speaker 2: hardworking American families will feel the impact of higher prices, 191 00:09:25,760 --> 00:09:30,880 Speaker 2: empty shelves, lost economic output. He's criticizing the administration here 192 00:09:30,960 --> 00:09:34,160 Speaker 2: seth for making life harder for everyone, he says, and 193 00:09:34,200 --> 00:09:38,319 Speaker 2: the failure to encourage a resolution between the Longshoreman's Association 194 00:09:38,480 --> 00:09:42,760 Speaker 2: Union and the US Maritime Alliance will exacerbate economic pain. 195 00:09:42,840 --> 00:09:44,840 Speaker 2: This is what we're going to hear in the debate 196 00:09:44,880 --> 00:09:46,160 Speaker 2: tonight from JD. 197 00:09:46,320 --> 00:09:46,600 Speaker 1: Vance. 198 00:09:46,679 --> 00:09:49,920 Speaker 6: Right, Well, that's an interesting problem that the Republicans have. 199 00:09:50,040 --> 00:09:51,880 Speaker 6: Let me just say, Mike Johnson is about as anti 200 00:09:52,000 --> 00:09:54,160 Speaker 6: union as you can be, so that's an easy position 201 00:09:54,200 --> 00:09:57,640 Speaker 6: for him to take. But the Trump Advance ticket has 202 00:09:57,679 --> 00:10:00,520 Speaker 6: a little bit of a challenge here because President Trump 203 00:10:01,120 --> 00:10:06,080 Speaker 6: tries to build on the constructive ambiguity in his career 204 00:10:06,160 --> 00:10:09,800 Speaker 6: about his relationship with workers and his relationship with unions. 205 00:10:09,800 --> 00:10:13,520 Speaker 6: He doesn't want to be perceived as a rabidly anti 206 00:10:13,640 --> 00:10:17,120 Speaker 6: union guy, even given the record of his administration was 207 00:10:17,240 --> 00:10:19,880 Speaker 6: which was quite anti union. And when he goes on 208 00:10:19,960 --> 00:10:22,960 Speaker 6: with Elon Musk on Twitter spaces, he sometimes lets his 209 00:10:23,080 --> 00:10:26,800 Speaker 6: real inner Trump out. But JD. Vance is in a 210 00:10:26,840 --> 00:10:29,800 Speaker 6: difficult position because he is trying to portray himself and 211 00:10:29,880 --> 00:10:33,480 Speaker 6: also his presidential candidate as friends of the working person, 212 00:10:33,960 --> 00:10:37,720 Speaker 6: friends of unions, people who want workers to have power. 213 00:10:38,080 --> 00:10:40,520 Speaker 6: So if you're going to shut down a strike and 214 00:10:40,640 --> 00:10:43,920 Speaker 6: take power out of workers' hands, you have a lot 215 00:10:43,920 --> 00:10:47,760 Speaker 6: of explaining to do. So. I think JD. Vans absolutely 216 00:10:47,800 --> 00:10:50,120 Speaker 6: is going to attack President Biden and Vice President Harris 217 00:10:50,120 --> 00:10:54,040 Speaker 6: by extension because there is a strike. I'm sure Governor 218 00:10:54,080 --> 00:10:57,400 Speaker 6: Waltz will defend them, but taking a position on what 219 00:10:57,559 --> 00:10:59,960 Speaker 6: they would do, I think that's going to be pretty powerleous. 220 00:11:00,200 --> 00:11:02,760 Speaker 2: Well, when you consider this action, and I don't know 221 00:11:02,800 --> 00:11:04,320 Speaker 2: how long you think this is going to go on 222 00:11:04,400 --> 00:11:07,959 Speaker 2: for seth you add boeing, there are questions about whether 223 00:11:08,080 --> 00:11:11,920 Speaker 2: we're going to have a hot labor winter here just 224 00:11:12,000 --> 00:11:15,480 Speaker 2: as people are getting ready to vote and get to 225 00:11:15,520 --> 00:11:18,200 Speaker 2: the polls. What does it say about the administration, which 226 00:11:18,200 --> 00:11:20,400 Speaker 2: of course has framed itself as the most union friendly 227 00:11:20,440 --> 00:11:23,320 Speaker 2: in American history, to find ourselves with two more labor 228 00:11:23,360 --> 00:11:25,440 Speaker 2: actions walking up against this election. 229 00:11:26,880 --> 00:11:31,640 Speaker 6: Well, strikes are not failures. Strikes are not assigned either 230 00:11:31,720 --> 00:11:34,400 Speaker 6: that the White House has failed or the collective bargaining 231 00:11:34,400 --> 00:11:37,040 Speaker 6: has failed. They are a part of the collective bargaining process, 232 00:11:37,040 --> 00:11:41,200 Speaker 6: and President Biden has been absolutely clear about this. The 233 00:11:41,240 --> 00:11:45,160 Speaker 6: whole idea in collective bargaining is that private parties, management, 234 00:11:45,160 --> 00:11:47,120 Speaker 6: and the labor sit down at the table and work 235 00:11:47,160 --> 00:11:50,520 Speaker 6: out their problems, and government doesn't have a role except 236 00:11:50,600 --> 00:11:53,280 Speaker 6: to mediate and to try to keep the parties at 237 00:11:53,320 --> 00:11:56,240 Speaker 6: the table. That's what's good about it. It's not a 238 00:11:56,280 --> 00:12:00,400 Speaker 6: government solution. So the fact that the Boeing work were 239 00:12:00,480 --> 00:12:02,560 Speaker 6: unhappy with the amount of money that was offered to 240 00:12:02,600 --> 00:12:06,040 Speaker 6: them by management, and justifiably so. And that the longshore 241 00:12:06,080 --> 00:12:09,040 Speaker 6: workers are worried about their jobs and want to get 242 00:12:09,400 --> 00:12:12,360 Speaker 6: more a bigger share of the profits that their employers 243 00:12:12,400 --> 00:12:15,240 Speaker 6: are getting. That's all part and parcel of a collective 244 00:12:15,240 --> 00:12:18,920 Speaker 6: bargaining process. It's like democracy. It's not always pretty, but 245 00:12:19,200 --> 00:12:21,040 Speaker 6: it doesn't mean that you want to shut it down 246 00:12:21,080 --> 00:12:22,360 Speaker 6: and force people to work. 247 00:12:22,600 --> 00:12:24,920 Speaker 2: Got it, Seth. I'm glad you could join us today. 248 00:12:24,960 --> 00:12:26,800 Speaker 2: Do you have a sense by the way, I've got 249 00:12:26,840 --> 00:12:28,600 Speaker 2: thirty seconds left. I don't want to cut you off, 250 00:12:28,600 --> 00:12:30,720 Speaker 2: but are we talking days or weeks? 251 00:12:30,400 --> 00:12:34,040 Speaker 6: I think the move by USMX to raise their wage 252 00:12:34,040 --> 00:12:37,120 Speaker 6: offer is a very good sign. The ILA responded by 253 00:12:37,120 --> 00:12:39,160 Speaker 6: lowering their wage offer. I think that we could be 254 00:12:39,160 --> 00:12:40,920 Speaker 6: looking at a deal in the next week, week and 255 00:12:40,920 --> 00:12:41,240 Speaker 6: a half. 256 00:12:41,440 --> 00:12:43,559 Speaker 2: Really appreciate that, and that's coming from an expert. 257 00:12:43,640 --> 00:12:44,120 Speaker 1: Seth Harris. 258 00:12:44,200 --> 00:12:46,360 Speaker 2: Great to see you, as always, Senior Fellow the Burn 259 00:12:46,440 --> 00:12:49,000 Speaker 2: Center for Social Change at Northeastern University. 260 00:12:50,440 --> 00:12:53,840 Speaker 1: You're listening to the Bloomberg Balance of Power podcast KeNH 261 00:12:53,960 --> 00:12:56,960 Speaker 1: just live weekdays at noon Eastern on Applecarplay and then 262 00:12:57,040 --> 00:12:59,640 Speaker 1: roun Oo with the Bloomberg Business App. You can also 263 00:12:59,679 --> 00:13:03,160 Speaker 1: listen live on Amazon Alexa from our flagship New York station, 264 00:13:03,600 --> 00:13:09,160 Speaker 1: Just Say Alexa Play Bloomberg eleven thirty. 265 00:13:09,160 --> 00:13:11,320 Speaker 7: We want to go to the spin room floor here 266 00:13:11,679 --> 00:13:14,120 Speaker 7: in New York now where Bloomberg's Tyler Kendall is there 267 00:13:14,160 --> 00:13:16,560 Speaker 7: as preparations are underway for the big event, which kicks 268 00:13:16,559 --> 00:13:18,520 Speaker 7: off just about seven and a half hours from now 269 00:13:18,800 --> 00:13:21,240 Speaker 7: this evening. Tyler, the Middle East probably going to be 270 00:13:21,280 --> 00:13:24,440 Speaker 7: more forefront on the agenda of questions and topics the 271 00:13:24,440 --> 00:13:26,640 Speaker 7: candidates will have to address than it would have been 272 00:13:26,679 --> 00:13:28,480 Speaker 7: prior to today exactly. 273 00:13:28,520 --> 00:13:31,040 Speaker 8: And you know, we've already seen former President Trump put 274 00:13:31,080 --> 00:13:34,080 Speaker 8: out a statement kind of pushing forward this idea that 275 00:13:34,240 --> 00:13:36,480 Speaker 8: if he was president, maybe this one and have happened. 276 00:13:36,480 --> 00:13:38,720 Speaker 8: So it will be interesting to see how the two 277 00:13:38,800 --> 00:13:41,320 Speaker 8: candidates kind of thread that needle tonight, right we expect 278 00:13:41,360 --> 00:13:44,440 Speaker 8: will we expect Senator Jade Vance to kind of toe 279 00:13:44,440 --> 00:13:47,520 Speaker 8: that line support Trump on that. And then of course 280 00:13:47,520 --> 00:13:49,600 Speaker 8: we have we know that Vice President Kamala Harris is 281 00:13:49,600 --> 00:13:51,960 Speaker 8: now in the situation room watching this closely and what 282 00:13:52,160 --> 00:13:55,440 Speaker 8: Governor Tim Walls can tell us from the Democratics the 283 00:13:55,600 --> 00:13:58,600 Speaker 8: Democratic bass point of view when it comes to handling 284 00:13:58,720 --> 00:14:01,080 Speaker 8: this issue. There's no doubt that foreign policy now is 285 00:14:01,120 --> 00:14:03,000 Speaker 8: going to take center stage here tonight. 286 00:14:03,200 --> 00:14:03,720 Speaker 6: That's for sure. 287 00:14:03,720 --> 00:14:06,480 Speaker 2: You're in the spin room there of course, Tyler. We're 288 00:14:06,480 --> 00:14:10,160 Speaker 2: going to be hearing from surrogates from both candidates this evening. 289 00:14:10,679 --> 00:14:13,640 Speaker 8: Yep, definitely, the spin room is already starting to fill 290 00:14:13,720 --> 00:14:17,360 Speaker 8: up with journalists. We haven't really seen any surrogates quite yet. 291 00:14:17,840 --> 00:14:20,160 Speaker 8: Because this is you know, the first and likely the 292 00:14:20,200 --> 00:14:24,680 Speaker 8: only debate between these vice presidential candidates. It's also likely 293 00:14:24,720 --> 00:14:27,360 Speaker 8: the last debate of this presidential cycle, which is just 294 00:14:27,480 --> 00:14:30,120 Speaker 8: raising these stakes even higher because, as you both know, 295 00:14:30,200 --> 00:14:34,240 Speaker 8: we are exactly five weeks away from election day, so 296 00:14:34,320 --> 00:14:37,160 Speaker 8: we are expecting the surrogates to come out as both 297 00:14:37,160 --> 00:14:39,800 Speaker 8: of the campaigns kind of have this last push to 298 00:14:39,880 --> 00:14:42,720 Speaker 8: appeal to voters. And we are talking about foreign policy, 299 00:14:42,760 --> 00:14:46,840 Speaker 8: we are also expecting domestic policy to take center stage tonight. 300 00:14:46,920 --> 00:14:48,800 Speaker 8: As you both know, both of these running mates were 301 00:14:48,840 --> 00:14:51,960 Speaker 8: chosen in part due to their Midwest routs and how 302 00:14:51,960 --> 00:14:53,480 Speaker 8: they can kind of appeal to some of the more 303 00:14:53,520 --> 00:14:57,120 Speaker 8: industrial Midwestern voters in some key battleground states that our 304 00:14:57,160 --> 00:15:00,280 Speaker 8: Bloomberg News Moorning console poll has been following. But for 305 00:15:00,360 --> 00:15:02,520 Speaker 8: a sense of the messaging that we might expect, we 306 00:15:02,560 --> 00:15:05,240 Speaker 8: actually pulled this fite from Senator jd Vance at the 307 00:15:05,240 --> 00:15:07,880 Speaker 8: Republican National Convention earlier this summer. 308 00:15:08,640 --> 00:15:11,160 Speaker 9: It's about all of us, and it's about who we're 309 00:15:11,160 --> 00:15:15,320 Speaker 9: fighting for. It's about the auto worker in Michigan wondering 310 00:15:15,360 --> 00:15:20,920 Speaker 9: why out of touch politicians are destroying their jobs. It's 311 00:15:20,960 --> 00:15:24,320 Speaker 9: about the factory worker in Wisconsin who makes things with 312 00:15:24,360 --> 00:15:27,400 Speaker 9: their hands and is proud of American craftsmanship. 313 00:15:27,920 --> 00:15:30,400 Speaker 8: Now you heard him mention Michigan and Wisconsin. There, those 314 00:15:30,400 --> 00:15:32,760 Speaker 8: are two of the seven key battleground states that we 315 00:15:32,800 --> 00:15:35,040 Speaker 8: watch in our Bloomberg News Morning console pull. I'd point 316 00:15:35,040 --> 00:15:37,600 Speaker 8: you to the most recent iteration out last week, which 317 00:15:37,600 --> 00:15:40,600 Speaker 8: shows Vice President Kamala Harris leading former President Trump among 318 00:15:40,600 --> 00:15:43,200 Speaker 8: the likely voters in those seven key battleground states by 319 00:15:43,240 --> 00:15:46,480 Speaker 8: about three percentage points, so a very very close race here. 320 00:15:46,520 --> 00:15:48,960 Speaker 8: Now we played Jadi Vance. I'll say for Waltz's part, 321 00:15:49,000 --> 00:15:52,560 Speaker 8: he's often built as somebody with this quote Midwest sensibility. 322 00:15:52,560 --> 00:15:55,240 Speaker 8: That's a line that the Harris campaign often uses. So 323 00:15:55,280 --> 00:15:57,520 Speaker 8: we'll be watching closely tonight to see how both of 324 00:15:57,520 --> 00:16:01,520 Speaker 8: these candidates appeal to these voters in some key battleground states, 325 00:16:01,520 --> 00:16:05,600 Speaker 8: including perhaps pushing some more protectionist or populist viewpoints. 326 00:16:06,280 --> 00:16:09,360 Speaker 2: All right, Tyler Kendall, reporting for Bloomberg from this spin 327 00:16:09,480 --> 00:16:12,800 Speaker 2: room at the site of tonight's vice presidential debate. Tyler, 328 00:16:12,840 --> 00:16:14,760 Speaker 2: thank you so much. We'll keep tabs with Tyler as 329 00:16:14,760 --> 00:16:17,400 Speaker 2: we make our way closer to special coverage that starts 330 00:16:17,440 --> 00:16:20,600 Speaker 2: at eight pm Eastern time. The debate begins at nine, 331 00:16:20,680 --> 00:16:23,080 Speaker 2: and we'll have the full simulcast for you here on 332 00:16:23,120 --> 00:16:26,440 Speaker 2: Bloomberg TV and Radio. Not too far from where Kaylee 333 00:16:26,440 --> 00:16:28,720 Speaker 2: and I are right now, the CBS broadcast Center on 334 00:16:28,800 --> 00:16:31,280 Speaker 2: West fifty seventh Street will become the center of the 335 00:16:31,280 --> 00:16:34,400 Speaker 2: political universe. A short time from now, Kaylee, it's time 336 00:16:34,440 --> 00:16:36,720 Speaker 2: to assemble our panel. We haven't gotten to Rick and 337 00:16:36,800 --> 00:16:40,280 Speaker 2: Jeanie on such a busy day until right now, of course. 338 00:16:40,320 --> 00:16:45,600 Speaker 2: Bloomberg Politics contributors Genie Shanzano, political science professor at Iona University, 339 00:16:45,640 --> 00:16:49,120 Speaker 2: and Rick Davis, partner at Stone Court Capital. Genie, this 340 00:16:49,240 --> 00:16:51,440 Speaker 2: is a test of course for the Biden administration, and 341 00:16:51,520 --> 00:16:54,480 Speaker 2: Kamala Harris is part of it. She is in the 342 00:16:54,520 --> 00:16:57,640 Speaker 2: situation room right now with Joe Biden, and I wonder 343 00:16:57,680 --> 00:17:00,240 Speaker 2: the way you're kind of looking at this as a 344 00:17:00,280 --> 00:17:05,160 Speaker 2: political opportunity or liability for a member of this administration. 345 00:17:05,280 --> 00:17:08,680 Speaker 2: It's also a chance for her to appear presidential today, 346 00:17:08,720 --> 00:17:09,920 Speaker 2: right it is? 347 00:17:10,000 --> 00:17:12,360 Speaker 10: And you just took the words right out of my mouth, Joe. 348 00:17:12,440 --> 00:17:15,159 Speaker 10: I was gonna say, test. It's a test for Kamala Harris. 349 00:17:15,160 --> 00:17:17,400 Speaker 10: It's also a test for jd Vance and a test 350 00:17:17,400 --> 00:17:19,960 Speaker 10: for Tim Waltz. Of all the things I'm sure that 351 00:17:20,080 --> 00:17:22,960 Speaker 10: Tyler was just talking about that they've prepared for tonight, 352 00:17:23,320 --> 00:17:26,160 Speaker 10: I am not sure that they spend as much time, 353 00:17:26,240 --> 00:17:30,120 Speaker 10: say on foreign policy, as they would have on the economy, immigration, 354 00:17:30,200 --> 00:17:32,480 Speaker 10: in some of those other issues. So this is going 355 00:17:32,520 --> 00:17:34,240 Speaker 10: to be a test for them. And I would just 356 00:17:34,280 --> 00:17:37,159 Speaker 10: say we already know where Donald Trump is on this. 357 00:17:37,240 --> 00:17:40,840 Speaker 10: He has issued a statement on truth Socials saying that 358 00:17:40,880 --> 00:17:45,040 Speaker 10: the Harris Biden campaign and administration are leading us to 359 00:17:45,119 --> 00:17:47,800 Speaker 10: World War three and have left us less safe. And 360 00:17:47,880 --> 00:17:50,399 Speaker 10: of course you've got the President saying what we expect 361 00:17:50,440 --> 00:17:53,040 Speaker 10: to hear from Tim Waltz and Kamala Harris when she 362 00:17:53,119 --> 00:17:56,359 Speaker 10: does talk that Israel has every right to defend itself 363 00:17:56,480 --> 00:17:59,240 Speaker 10: vigorously and the US will do everything it can to 364 00:17:59,320 --> 00:18:02,159 Speaker 10: protect Israel. So those are sort of I think what 365 00:18:02,240 --> 00:18:04,880 Speaker 10: we might hear tonight, What I hope we would hear 366 00:18:04,960 --> 00:18:07,840 Speaker 10: is a little bit more policy specifics on the Middle East, 367 00:18:07,880 --> 00:18:10,040 Speaker 10: but we'll have to see if we get there tonight. 368 00:18:10,240 --> 00:18:10,440 Speaker 4: Yeah. 369 00:18:10,480 --> 00:18:13,080 Speaker 7: And of course, as we consider the policy specifics and 370 00:18:13,200 --> 00:18:15,840 Speaker 7: what Americans are looking to hear from these candidates, there 371 00:18:15,920 --> 00:18:18,280 Speaker 7: is a question rick to what extent they want insight 372 00:18:18,440 --> 00:18:21,480 Speaker 7: on foreign policy or they're thinking about kitchen table issues 373 00:18:21,560 --> 00:18:25,840 Speaker 7: like the economy or the border. For example, Does news 374 00:18:25,960 --> 00:18:28,720 Speaker 7: like this, the attention it's getting in the media, the 375 00:18:28,720 --> 00:18:32,760 Speaker 7: grabbing of the headlines, actually impact voter sentiment make them 376 00:18:32,760 --> 00:18:34,960 Speaker 7: more likely to want to hear what the commander in 377 00:18:35,040 --> 00:18:37,440 Speaker 7: chief or potential second in command I guess you could 378 00:18:37,440 --> 00:18:40,320 Speaker 7: say to the commander in chief would want to say 379 00:18:40,400 --> 00:18:41,280 Speaker 7: on these issues. 380 00:18:41,640 --> 00:18:41,880 Speaker 6: Yeah. 381 00:18:41,960 --> 00:18:45,480 Speaker 11: News travels very quickly through these cycles. And even though 382 00:18:45,560 --> 00:18:48,800 Speaker 11: yesterday we spent virtually the entire day talking about the 383 00:18:48,840 --> 00:18:52,679 Speaker 11: impact that the hurricane Leen was going to have on 384 00:18:52,800 --> 00:18:57,000 Speaker 11: states like North Carolina and Georgia. Today, the entire media 385 00:18:57,200 --> 00:19:00,760 Speaker 11: coverage seems to be laser focused on on the attacks 386 00:19:00,800 --> 00:19:06,560 Speaker 11: from Iran onto Israel. And so, yeah, voters, they're like us, right, 387 00:19:06,600 --> 00:19:09,720 Speaker 11: they're consumers, and so they're looking at this saying I 388 00:19:09,760 --> 00:19:12,160 Speaker 11: want to know more about what's going on here. What's 389 00:19:12,200 --> 00:19:15,120 Speaker 11: interesting about this is Kanla Harris comes in in most 390 00:19:15,200 --> 00:19:18,280 Speaker 11: recent polls doing very well as commander in chief. In fact, 391 00:19:18,640 --> 00:19:22,520 Speaker 11: a few I've seen recently public polls they have indicated 392 00:19:22,560 --> 00:19:26,000 Speaker 11: that she has a slight advantage over Donald Trump, a 393 00:19:26,160 --> 00:19:30,040 Speaker 11: former commander in chief. And so this is a very 394 00:19:30,119 --> 00:19:33,040 Speaker 11: high high wire act for the current administration. They got 395 00:19:33,080 --> 00:19:36,880 Speaker 11: to get this right. And I think the ground that 396 00:19:36,960 --> 00:19:39,880 Speaker 11: they are on now, which is safe is we're defending 397 00:19:39,960 --> 00:19:43,440 Speaker 11: Israel at all costs, and I think that that could 398 00:19:43,440 --> 00:19:46,000 Speaker 11: be an advantage for her, And it just depends tonight 399 00:19:46,440 --> 00:19:49,520 Speaker 11: on how her vice presidential nominee Tim Walls handles it. 400 00:19:49,720 --> 00:19:52,560 Speaker 2: A couple of important headlines from the IDF, first, a 401 00:19:52,640 --> 00:19:57,320 Speaker 2: spokesman saying there are no known injuries from the Iran 402 00:19:57,400 --> 00:20:00,919 Speaker 2: missile launches, which is pretty remarkable considering we're talking about 403 00:20:01,200 --> 00:20:05,359 Speaker 2: more than a hundred of them. Also from the Israeli military. 404 00:20:05,640 --> 00:20:10,200 Speaker 2: This attack was serious and we'll have consequences. Genie, implying 405 00:20:10,240 --> 00:20:13,000 Speaker 2: that this test will not just be done. 406 00:20:12,800 --> 00:20:15,600 Speaker 10: Today, That's right. I mean, I think what we are 407 00:20:15,640 --> 00:20:19,240 Speaker 10: all bracing for is a retaliation by Israel. We know, 408 00:20:19,280 --> 00:20:22,240 Speaker 10: of course, this was an italiation retaliation rather by Iran. 409 00:20:22,600 --> 00:20:25,600 Speaker 10: We expect Israel to hit back. We remember after April 410 00:20:25,960 --> 00:20:28,760 Speaker 10: they were more contained in the way they responded, and 411 00:20:29,240 --> 00:20:31,119 Speaker 10: we have to wait and see what they're going to do. 412 00:20:31,200 --> 00:20:33,159 Speaker 10: But this is going to be a big concern for 413 00:20:33,240 --> 00:20:36,280 Speaker 10: Joe Biden and Kamala Harris sitting there in the situation room, 414 00:20:36,320 --> 00:20:40,119 Speaker 10: I'm sure in direct contact with the IDF and the 415 00:20:40,200 --> 00:20:43,080 Speaker 10: leaders of Israel to try to see if they could 416 00:20:43,119 --> 00:20:46,800 Speaker 10: do anything to de escalate this situation at this point, 417 00:20:47,040 --> 00:20:49,320 Speaker 10: that's been their watchword as it pertains to the Middle 418 00:20:49,359 --> 00:20:52,200 Speaker 10: East of late, but very hard to see how they 419 00:20:52,240 --> 00:20:55,440 Speaker 10: achieved that, and so that leads them in a very 420 00:20:55,440 --> 00:20:58,480 Speaker 10: difficult situation visa VI their Middle Eastern policy. 421 00:20:58,640 --> 00:21:01,760 Speaker 7: All right, Genie, Shanzano and Davis, our signature political panel 422 00:21:01,760 --> 00:21:04,560 Speaker 7: Bloomberg Politics contributors, thank you for joining us this hour, 423 00:21:04,600 --> 00:21:06,240 Speaker 7: and of course we'll have much more with Rick and 424 00:21:06,320 --> 00:21:08,640 Speaker 7: Jennie in the later edition of Balance of Power at 425 00:21:08,640 --> 00:21:12,000 Speaker 7: five PM, and in our special coverage of the VP Debate, 426 00:21:12,280 --> 00:21:15,200 Speaker 7: which will be simulcast on Bloomberg That special coverage beginning 427 00:21:15,240 --> 00:21:18,280 Speaker 7: at eight pm Eastern Time here on Bloomberg TV and radio. 428 00:21:20,080 --> 00:21:23,280 Speaker 2: Thanks for listening to the Balance of Power podcast. 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