WEBVTT - 2018 U.S. Open Picks with Paulie 0:00:00.240 --> 0:00:02.920 Welcome back to the fried Egg podcast and this year's 0:00:03.040 --> 0:00:06.360 US Open Week coverage. A great week of golf is 0:00:06.400 --> 0:00:08.760 in store from Shinnecock Hills, and I'd like to thank 0:00:08.800 --> 0:00:12.360 our presenting sponsor for this year's coverage. Greater Than Sports Drink. 0:00:12.960 --> 0:00:15.640 Greater Than is a natural and healthy alternative to the 0:00:15.680 --> 0:00:19.320 traditional sports drink. It contains no added sugars and two 0:00:19.320 --> 0:00:22.880 times electrolytes compared to major brands. It comes in three 0:00:22.960 --> 0:00:25.840 great tasting flavors and gives you a hydration advantage on 0:00:25.880 --> 0:00:29.760 the course. It's essentially the backstopping of sports drinks. 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I miss a Green, 0:00:58.400 --> 0:01:01.040 for example, I'm already upset when I find my ball 0:01:01.080 --> 0:01:03.480 in the bunker, I'm really upset, and when I find my. 0:01:03.480 --> 0:01:06.560 Ball in a brid Egg Friday Egg, the dreaded Frida Egg, 0:01:06.640 --> 0:01:08.920 Frida Egg, Frida Egg, Brian Egg, Frida Egg. 0:01:08.760 --> 0:01:10.920 Bride Egg. Lie. I'm about ready to run off the 0:01:10.920 --> 0:01:11.720 golf course. 0:01:37.840 --> 0:01:40.480 Ladies and gentlemen, Welcome back to another edition of the 0:01:40.480 --> 0:01:44.080 Frida Egg Podcast with US Open week. Here, I am 0:01:44.200 --> 0:01:49.640 joined by our resident Fantasy Golf betting and TIS expert, 0:01:49.760 --> 0:01:51.360 Polly Polly. Welcome on. 0:01:52.000 --> 0:01:52.920 Hey, what's up Andy? 0:01:53.440 --> 0:01:55.960 Not much, just getting primed for a big week. What 0:01:56.040 --> 0:01:57.400 about you? 0:01:57.440 --> 0:01:59.840 No, this is definitely one of my more favorite weeks 0:01:59.840 --> 0:02:01.800 of the year, so I'm definitely looking. 0:02:01.600 --> 0:02:02.120 Forward to it. 0:02:02.520 --> 0:02:04.640 Yeah, it should be a should be an interesting week. 0:02:04.720 --> 0:02:07.720 I'm I think it's it'll be a fun US Open. 0:02:07.960 --> 0:02:11.400 Obviously a lot of attention on the course, lots of 0:02:11.480 --> 0:02:15.639 attention on Tiger and DJ. What have you been seeing 0:02:15.720 --> 0:02:18.120 the last couple of weeks leading up to this? What 0:02:18.200 --> 0:02:19.120 are you looking out for? 0:02:20.880 --> 0:02:22.600 It's just nice to see the fact that we have 0:02:22.760 --> 0:02:25.840 so many players in golf right now that are not 0:02:25.840 --> 0:02:28.960 necessarily firing all cylinders but playing well coming into the major, 0:02:29.000 --> 0:02:31.320 to where we have fifteen or twenty guys that I 0:02:31.360 --> 0:02:34.360 think have a legitimate chance at winning this week. 0:02:35.360 --> 0:02:38.919 Yeah, I agree in the sense of I think once 0:02:39.160 --> 0:02:42.400 you hit about twenty in the world rankings, that's when 0:02:42.639 --> 0:02:45.440 the you know, the chance of winning. I think we're 0:02:45.480 --> 0:02:48.480 going to see a premier player win this week. I 0:02:48.520 --> 0:02:51.600 don't think we're going to see a surprise winner in 0:02:51.639 --> 0:02:55.160 the sense of a you know you're going to It's 0:02:55.200 --> 0:02:57.760 going to be a pedigreed guy, one of the most 0:02:57.800 --> 0:03:00.520 talented players on tour will win this week because my. 0:03:00.520 --> 0:03:03.720 Guess Yeah, I would echo that sentiment as. 0:03:03.600 --> 0:03:06.480 Well, having checked out the golf course. I think it 0:03:07.200 --> 0:03:11.560 just is it's such a good overall test of players games. 0:03:11.600 --> 0:03:13.600 I think you've got to do everything well. I think 0:03:13.720 --> 0:03:17.360 that's the case with most US Open venues, but more 0:03:17.400 --> 0:03:22.280 so at Shinnakok, where you've got elements that can possibly 0:03:22.320 --> 0:03:25.160 come into play with the wind and being such an 0:03:25.240 --> 0:03:28.640 exposed site, I think you'll see a little bit of 0:03:28.680 --> 0:03:31.800 the Augusta National effect where approach play is going to 0:03:31.800 --> 0:03:35.480 be really important because we there's a you know, good 0:03:35.560 --> 0:03:37.600 movement in the fairways, so you're going to see a 0:03:37.600 --> 0:03:40.280 lot of you know, uneven lies, and you couple that 0:03:40.320 --> 0:03:44.800 with wind uphill, downhill and side hill lies in repelling 0:03:44.800 --> 0:03:46.880 greens and all of a sudden, that approach play is 0:03:46.920 --> 0:03:50.080 going to be really important and the elite players in 0:03:50.120 --> 0:03:54.720 that category are going to separate themselves. And then I 0:03:54.720 --> 0:03:57.240 think also, you know, with the with the changes, I 0:03:57.240 --> 0:03:59.400 think from two thousand and four, one of the biggest 0:03:59.400 --> 0:04:03.040 things is going to be the green surround so the ball. 0:04:03.560 --> 0:04:06.560 You know, they have short grass everywhere out there, and 0:04:06.800 --> 0:04:11.120 the ball will tumble away. You know, the margin for 0:04:11.320 --> 0:04:13.960 error will be small, so you know, you could see 0:04:14.000 --> 0:04:16.200 a shot that just trickles off the green and ends 0:04:16.240 --> 0:04:19.719 up rolling thirty forty yards away on some in some 0:04:19.800 --> 0:04:24.920 cases a little bit wider fairways. So driving, I think 0:04:24.960 --> 0:04:27.320 it gives everybody a chance. It's not going to take 0:04:27.480 --> 0:04:29.520 the driver out of play. So if one of those 0:04:29.560 --> 0:04:32.440 big hitters gets hot with the driver, they could have 0:04:32.480 --> 0:04:34.719 a really big advantage in the sense of, you know, 0:04:34.760 --> 0:04:38.320 they can hit driver everywhere and really shorten the golf course. 0:04:38.360 --> 0:04:42.080 But at the same token, the shorter hitters can you know, 0:04:42.200 --> 0:04:45.839 compete because they have the ability to play to angles 0:04:45.920 --> 0:04:49.240 and use their accuracy because you know, it's not that traditional, 0:04:49.880 --> 0:04:54.240 really narrow US Open setup where everybody misses fairways. 0:04:56.400 --> 0:04:58.720 Yeah, I would agree with most of those sentiments. As well. 0:04:58.760 --> 0:05:00.160 I mean what I'm looking at for this week is 0:05:00.200 --> 0:05:05.120 definitely approach game, strokes stained around the green, a little 0:05:05.120 --> 0:05:07.320 bit of driving distance, and strokes gained off the tea 0:05:07.360 --> 0:05:09.320 as well. Again as you mentioned, if one of the guys, 0:05:09.320 --> 0:05:11.360 one of the bombers gets hot, and then also looking 0:05:11.360 --> 0:05:14.200 at bogie avoidance for you know, some of the shorter 0:05:14.279 --> 0:05:16.280 hitters that are kind of able to plod their way 0:05:16.320 --> 0:05:18.200 around and have more queens good guard. 0:05:18.960 --> 0:05:21.920 Yeah. I think unlike last year, par is a good 0:05:21.920 --> 0:05:25.600 score at Shinnecock. I with the way the weather shaping up, 0:05:25.760 --> 0:05:28.800 assuming that the wind stays down like they're forecasting, I 0:05:28.800 --> 0:05:31.640 think the winner is going to be between you know, 0:05:31.760 --> 0:05:35.640 four and seven under par So. I think you know, 0:05:35.800 --> 0:05:39.200 rounds of seventy two don't really hurt you. Assuming you 0:05:39.240 --> 0:05:42.560 get one one good one in you or two good 0:05:42.560 --> 0:05:44.560 ones in you, you can you can be in the 0:05:44.640 --> 0:05:47.560 hunt if you shoot around par Yeah. 0:05:47.560 --> 0:05:49.280 And I think one thing for people to realize is 0:05:49.320 --> 0:05:52.000 that maybe to check the weather forecast on Wednesday just 0:05:52.040 --> 0:05:54.760 to see if there's any advantage for the early late 0:05:54.800 --> 0:05:57.080 wave or the late early wave for Thursday and Friday, 0:05:57.080 --> 0:06:00.440 because if there is wind forecast, did anything about fifteen 0:06:00.480 --> 0:06:01.120 miles an hour. 0:06:01.440 --> 0:06:03.159 That drastic would change that golf course. 0:06:03.360 --> 0:06:05.200 Oh yeah, I mean then all of a sudden you 0:06:05.680 --> 0:06:09.280 want to look at at players that you know, obviously, 0:06:09.320 --> 0:06:12.160 with the waves being different, morning would be an advantage 0:06:12.160 --> 0:06:15.039 in most cases. But sometimes you know it's windy in 0:06:15.040 --> 0:06:17.440 the morning and call them in the afternoon. But then 0:06:17.480 --> 0:06:19.640 all of a sudden, you know, you look at those 0:06:19.680 --> 0:06:21.960 guys that play a little bit better in the wind 0:06:22.040 --> 0:06:25.679 that have had success. It's it's not a links golf 0:06:25.720 --> 0:06:28.800 course in the sense of you see at the British Open. 0:06:28.880 --> 0:06:32.000 It's more aerial than that. But you know you need 0:06:32.040 --> 0:06:35.400 to control your ballflight really well because it can get 0:06:35.480 --> 0:06:38.880 really windy out there. Let's start with kind of one 0:06:38.920 --> 0:06:41.680 and done and and the favorites, and you know we 0:06:41.960 --> 0:06:47.200 mentioned we're looking at top twenty real pedigreed players. Who 0:06:47.240 --> 0:06:50.000 are you looking at from a one and done perspective? 0:06:51.520 --> 0:06:54.080 So from a one and done perspective, I'm thinking a 0:06:54.120 --> 0:06:56.320 lot of people are going to be taking Dustin Johnson 0:06:56.360 --> 0:06:59.200 this week if they still have him available, after seeing him, 0:06:59.279 --> 0:07:02.320 you know, rate the field Memphis, and knowing that his 0:07:02.400 --> 0:07:05.839 game usually suits us Open styles very well, so that 0:07:05.839 --> 0:07:07.800 that's gonna make me want to not use him this 0:07:07.839 --> 0:07:10.200 week because I typically don't want to play somebody that 0:07:10.200 --> 0:07:12.160 maybe twenty or thirty percent own in the league. 0:07:12.800 --> 0:07:15.160 Yeah, it's and this is even more of the case 0:07:15.240 --> 0:07:18.240 for people that are looking to make up ground later 0:07:18.320 --> 0:07:20.640 in the season, people that are down in the in 0:07:20.680 --> 0:07:23.440 the bottom. You can't can't, can't roll with a favorite 0:07:23.440 --> 0:07:26.000 this week, right, Yeah. 0:07:26.080 --> 0:07:28.720 There's plenty of other options that could win. I mean, 0:07:29.000 --> 0:07:31.560 one of the guys that I'm probably most heavily in, 0:07:31.920 --> 0:07:34.440 you know, favor, would be Justin Thomas. I think he's 0:07:34.440 --> 0:07:37.040 a good other option instead of Dustin Johnson to where 0:07:37.520 --> 0:07:40.760 Thomas pretty much has the exact same game as DJ, 0:07:41.360 --> 0:07:44.320 except you he's maybe only be five or ten percent 0:07:44.360 --> 0:07:47.280 home this week in your league. So I'd much likely 0:07:47.680 --> 0:07:49.360 probably pick Thomas instead of DJ. 0:07:50.120 --> 0:07:53.600 Yeah, I think you could even go further down. I saw, 0:07:53.920 --> 0:07:58.120 you know, we saw a resurgent Hideki Matsiyama last or 0:07:58.120 --> 0:08:01.400 two weeks ago at Memorial and look to have his 0:08:01.440 --> 0:08:04.280 game back. And he's, you know, last year in the 0:08:04.360 --> 0:08:08.040 US Open, he's t second, he plays well at Augusta, 0:08:08.360 --> 0:08:11.280 one of the best players approach into the Green, and 0:08:11.360 --> 0:08:14.680 he's top ten and strokes gained around the Green this year. 0:08:16.000 --> 0:08:18.360 Yeah, he's actually just you know, mentioned one of my 0:08:18.400 --> 0:08:20.679 favorite players of the week. So he's actually the only 0:08:20.720 --> 0:08:22.400 guy in the field that has finished in the top 0:08:22.440 --> 0:08:25.960 twenty in the last six majors. And if we kind 0:08:25.960 --> 0:08:28.280 of look at some of his stats over over the 0:08:28.320 --> 0:08:30.080 long term, I mean, like about over the last fifty 0:08:30.160 --> 0:08:34.000 rounds in the field, he's nineteenth, approach, twelfth, around the Green, 0:08:34.120 --> 0:08:37.160 twenty fourth, and driving business in twenty and Bogey Awards. 0:08:37.720 --> 0:08:40.360 So you know, some people, you know, may shy away 0:08:40.360 --> 0:08:42.640 from him because his name hasn't been around the tour 0:08:42.760 --> 0:08:44.400 that much this year because he was injured for a 0:08:44.440 --> 0:08:47.080 little bit. So you may you may get him at 0:08:47.080 --> 0:08:49.040 a very low ownership in your league this week. 0:08:49.600 --> 0:08:53.080 You know, Matciama has been injured and last year's champion 0:08:53.600 --> 0:08:56.559 Kopka has been injured, and he's shown some pretty strong 0:08:56.640 --> 0:08:58.920 forms since he's come back from that injury the last 0:08:58.960 --> 0:09:02.240 couple of weeks. He you got any chance of a 0:09:02.720 --> 0:09:05.400 Curtis Strange like repeat champion this year. 0:09:05.880 --> 0:09:08.400 Yeah, I mean, Brooks just seems to you know, tailored 0:09:08.440 --> 0:09:10.920 his game towards the majors. He's top fifteen in his 0:09:11.000 --> 0:09:13.600 last five majors that he's played, he's trending in the 0:09:13.640 --> 0:09:15.840 right direction, and his last three events, you know, he 0:09:15.920 --> 0:09:18.440 finished thirtieth last week in Memphis, but before that he 0:09:18.520 --> 0:09:22.680 was second and eleventh, And to me, his game just 0:09:22.800 --> 0:09:26.400 suits us open. He's basically Dustin Johnson White. 0:09:27.080 --> 0:09:32.080 Yeah, yeah, I think he fits this golf course really well. 0:09:32.600 --> 0:09:36.000 And he's a perfect example of a guy that if 0:09:36.000 --> 0:09:40.400 his driver gets hot, you look out well. 0:09:40.640 --> 0:09:43.080 He also has a very underrated short game as well. 0:09:43.240 --> 0:09:46.240 He's very good around the greens in a really good putter. 0:09:46.120 --> 0:09:48.640 Great putter. I mean, he's one of the best putters, 0:09:48.679 --> 0:09:51.880 and everybody always talks about the distance like I just 0:09:51.920 --> 0:10:00.000 alluded to, you know, lazy writer here. So I think 0:10:00.000 --> 0:10:02.839 think another guy that will be very, very highly owned 0:10:02.920 --> 0:10:06.640 is Justin Rose. I think the golf course will fit 0:10:06.720 --> 0:10:09.480 his game well and aren't many players in the world 0:10:09.559 --> 0:10:12.040 in better form than him. 0:10:12.280 --> 0:10:14.360 Yeah, I would agree with that. He's gonna be very 0:10:14.360 --> 0:10:16.160 popular option in all formats this week. 0:10:17.400 --> 0:10:24.200 So getting into DraftKings, it's the Millionaire Maker this week, 0:10:24.720 --> 0:10:27.880 so you're gonna have a lot of people in DraftKings 0:10:27.880 --> 0:10:33.079 and lots of people picking the big names. You know, obviously, 0:10:33.120 --> 0:10:35.600 with so many people in there. As you alluded to 0:10:35.880 --> 0:10:40.240 in the Masters podcast, we did you got to get 0:10:40.440 --> 0:10:43.040 go a little bit against the grain in order to 0:10:43.840 --> 0:10:47.160 win big in this week's in a big contests. So 0:10:48.040 --> 0:10:51.560 with that, looking at the top tier players ten thousand 0:10:51.720 --> 0:10:54.880 or more, you know you got Ricky Followers at the 0:10:54.880 --> 0:10:57.920 bottom at ten thousand, two hundred, and then you roll 0:10:58.040 --> 0:11:01.440 up to Dustin Johnson at eleven to seven. You got 0:11:01.520 --> 0:11:06.839 Rory JT. Speith day in between there, who of this 0:11:07.040 --> 0:11:08.640 top tier do you really like? 0:11:10.480 --> 0:11:13.480 Just on a pure ownership perspective, I'm probably gonna go 0:11:13.520 --> 0:11:16.680 with Jordan Spief there because I think so many people 0:11:16.679 --> 0:11:19.840 have seen him struggle with the putter this year, and 0:11:19.880 --> 0:11:22.360 I think you're gonna have so many people hop on 0:11:22.600 --> 0:11:25.880 DJ or Justin Thomas or even Ricky Fowler becoming a 0:11:25.920 --> 0:11:28.640 popular name, or even slay below bit at Justin Rose 0:11:28.640 --> 0:11:31.440 at ninete hundred, that it's gonna be tough to have 0:11:31.480 --> 0:11:34.200 more than two of these guys on your team, and 0:11:34.280 --> 0:11:34.800 I think. 0:11:34.720 --> 0:11:35.880 Speak it's overlooked. 0:11:36.080 --> 0:11:38.480 And one thing to mention is that he actually gain 0:11:38.559 --> 0:11:40.960 strokes putting a memorial even though he missed the cut there, 0:11:41.480 --> 0:11:43.200 So maybe it's a little bit of a turn around 0:11:43.240 --> 0:11:43.679 with the putter. 0:11:44.480 --> 0:11:47.959 He I mean, he's been absolutely exceptional from tee to 0:11:48.040 --> 0:11:50.600 green this year, and I mean he's been unbelievable with 0:11:50.640 --> 0:11:53.800 the driver, which has usually been one of his cruxes, 0:11:53.960 --> 0:11:55.839 you know, one of the things that gets him in 0:11:55.880 --> 0:11:59.760 a little bit of trouble, and it's been really odd 0:11:59.800 --> 0:12:03.240 to see him with putting. But putting is so fickle 0:12:03.440 --> 0:12:06.479 in the sense that he can you could be struggling 0:12:06.520 --> 0:12:08.640 for weeks and weeks and then one week later it 0:12:08.760 --> 0:12:12.280 just turns around. And the ball striking has much more longevity. 0:12:12.400 --> 0:12:15.200 So you know, given that he's hit the ball so 0:12:15.360 --> 0:12:17.880 well and in his track record as a putter, he's 0:12:17.880 --> 0:12:20.040 bound to break out of the putting slump. 0:12:20.480 --> 0:12:22.880 And he's also a really good fit here in terms 0:12:22.920 --> 0:12:25.880 of all the shaves surrounds able to show off his 0:12:25.960 --> 0:12:28.280 short game, and also the uneven lies in the ferry 0:12:28.280 --> 0:12:30.880 are very ugustled like you mentioned, or even like cap 0:12:30.960 --> 0:12:33.360 Lure where he's played well as Also. 0:12:33.880 --> 0:12:37.920 Yeah, I agree, it's a what do you think about Rory? 0:12:39.720 --> 0:12:42.320 Rory, I'm just afraid that he's gonna have one of 0:12:42.360 --> 0:12:44.040 his four rounds be a blow up run where he 0:12:44.040 --> 0:12:46.000 shoot seventy six or seventy seven this week. 0:12:46.480 --> 0:12:48.120 Yeah, it just seems to be what it has been 0:12:48.160 --> 0:12:50.959 the problem with him in majors recently is just he 0:12:51.160 --> 0:12:53.240 just can't seem to put four rounds together. 0:12:53.320 --> 0:12:55.720 And yeah, and we also look at Rory, is that 0:12:55.880 --> 0:12:57.880 most of the events that he's one have actually been 0:12:57.960 --> 0:12:59.800 when you know, a lot of birdies have been made 0:12:59.840 --> 0:13:02.400 in the scoring has been lower. If the scoring, you know, 0:13:02.480 --> 0:13:05.559 gets closer to part in this event, I definitely don't 0:13:05.559 --> 0:13:07.400 think Rory's an option this week. 0:13:08.320 --> 0:13:08.560 Yeah. 0:13:08.640 --> 0:13:12.560 Yeah, It's been a resurgent ear for Jason Day in 0:13:12.600 --> 0:13:15.280 the sense I mean he's been spectacular around the greens. 0:13:15.720 --> 0:13:19.760 Does he drive it well enough from an accuracy standpoint 0:13:19.800 --> 0:13:22.880 for you at at a US Open, Yeah. 0:13:22.679 --> 0:13:24.600 I think he would drive it well enough. The issue 0:13:24.720 --> 0:13:27.080 I have with Jason Days actually with his approach game. 0:13:28.240 --> 0:13:31.840 His iron's going to be pretty poor. I mean, even 0:13:31.880 --> 0:13:34.480 when he won at the Wells Fargo, he was right 0:13:34.559 --> 0:13:37.040 at field average on approach. When he was put the players, 0:13:37.040 --> 0:13:40.080 he was field average on approach. When he wanted the Farmers, 0:13:40.120 --> 0:13:42.320 he was below average the field and approach. And like, 0:13:42.400 --> 0:13:43.920 I don't think you're able to get away with that 0:13:43.960 --> 0:13:47.040 at Shinnecock because if you miss it your irons, you're 0:13:47.080 --> 0:13:49.560 going to be You're gonna have very difficult up and downs. 0:13:49.600 --> 0:13:51.640 Even though he may have the best short game in 0:13:51.679 --> 0:13:53.680 this field, Yeah. 0:13:53.600 --> 0:13:57.560 I could see that. I mean, I think he's he's 0:13:57.800 --> 0:13:59.800 close to a good fit if he has like you 0:13:59.840 --> 0:14:01.680 said that, if he if he's good te de Green, 0:14:01.800 --> 0:14:05.319 I mean, there's he might not be stoppable, but that's 0:14:05.400 --> 0:14:09.000 always the big question. We get down in here and 0:14:09.000 --> 0:14:12.000 and you know, for the second major in a row, 0:14:12.080 --> 0:14:15.240 I just feel like nobody's talking about John Rahm, and 0:14:15.400 --> 0:14:18.680 he's the fourth ranked player in the world. You know, 0:14:20.040 --> 0:14:22.120 got all the skill, I mean, fifth ranked player in 0:14:22.120 --> 0:14:24.480 the world. He's got all the skills you could possibly 0:14:24.520 --> 0:14:28.360 want from, you know a golf standpoint. Is it a 0:14:28.600 --> 0:14:31.880 patience thing? Is it just something that he just goes overlooked. 0:14:33.080 --> 0:14:35.120 I think I think it's a combination of patients and 0:14:35.160 --> 0:14:36.680 the fact that I think the weak part of his 0:14:36.720 --> 0:14:39.680 game is his iron game. He's actually lost strokes on 0:14:39.760 --> 0:14:43.560 approaching five of his last six events. And if that's 0:14:43.640 --> 0:14:46.360 gonna be one of the you know, defining characteristics we're 0:14:46.400 --> 0:14:48.920 looking for a champion this week, it's pretty hard to 0:14:48.960 --> 0:14:49.880 be looking towards. 0:14:49.680 --> 0:14:53.600 John rom mm hm. It's uh, you know, then we 0:14:53.680 --> 0:14:57.320 get down and we got Tiger Phil. Obviously they're going 0:14:57.400 --> 0:15:01.480 to dominate the storylines. You know, Phil's at eighty five hundred, 0:15:01.680 --> 0:15:04.880 He's in this group kind of when you get Tigers 0:15:04.920 --> 0:15:07.080 at ninety two and you get down to like, you know, 0:15:07.200 --> 0:15:08.960 kind of this is this is where you could get 0:15:09.320 --> 0:15:11.200 you know, a couple of these players. Do you like 0:15:11.280 --> 0:15:14.560 that strategy of going after a bunch of guys in 0:15:14.600 --> 0:15:17.080 the eight thousand range and bypassing the bigger guys. 0:15:17.960 --> 0:15:20.240 Yeah, I would definitely go with a lot of the 0:15:20.240 --> 0:15:22.960 guys from you know, that seventy nine to nine thousand range, 0:15:23.000 --> 0:15:25.120 from you know Adam Scott up to Brooks Koepka. You 0:15:25.160 --> 0:15:27.960 have about fifteen guys in that range and pretty much 0:15:28.000 --> 0:15:30.240 anybody in that range. I would not be surprised if 0:15:30.240 --> 0:15:31.640 they were in contention comes Unday. 0:15:32.480 --> 0:15:35.360 Yeah, Brendan Grace could be a good one in there. 0:15:35.440 --> 0:15:38.280 He's been playing really well and especially if the wind 0:15:38.360 --> 0:15:38.760 kicks up. 0:15:38.840 --> 0:15:40.080 Huh yeah. 0:15:40.080 --> 0:15:42.800 And he's also played well on some other links like 0:15:42.840 --> 0:15:45.320 golf courses such as Chambers Bay or if you look 0:15:45.360 --> 0:15:48.440 at the aerial links like Royal Birkdale to where you know, 0:15:48.480 --> 0:15:51.040 he had the course record last year, and he also 0:15:51.040 --> 0:15:53.880 has three top sixes in his last eight majors, and 0:15:53.920 --> 0:15:56.040 he hasn't missed the cut since the Fetics got playoffs 0:15:56.080 --> 0:15:57.680 last year on the PGA Tour. 0:15:58.000 --> 0:16:01.720 Yeah, what about you know, one of the biggest I saw, 0:16:01.840 --> 0:16:05.040 he's like in the top three of official World Golf 0:16:05.120 --> 0:16:08.080 Rankings points earned this year, Bubba Watson. 0:16:10.360 --> 0:16:13.480 I'm probably gonna not be playing Bubba Watson anywhere this 0:16:13.520 --> 0:16:16.640 week just because of the patients and frustration level of 0:16:16.680 --> 0:16:18.920 the US Open to where if he you know, he 0:16:18.960 --> 0:16:21.280 hits an iron shot twenty feet away from a hole, 0:16:21.560 --> 0:16:23.560 hits a slope and runs down, you know, he kind 0:16:23.560 --> 0:16:26.280 of gets in that pouty mood. I don't think that's 0:16:26.320 --> 0:16:28.600 the mood you're gonna need as a champion. You need 0:16:28.640 --> 0:16:31.240 to have the unflappable mood, kind of like how Brooks 0:16:31.240 --> 0:16:32.200 Cup they had last year. 0:16:33.280 --> 0:16:39.960 Yeah, Bubba, obviously it has a huge advantage with the distance, 0:16:40.000 --> 0:16:43.400 and I love his creativity, but I mean, the US 0:16:43.480 --> 0:16:45.520 Opens never been kind of his cup of tea. 0:16:47.560 --> 0:16:51.680 No, it definitely has, and he's very he's very subpar 0:16:52.080 --> 0:16:54.080 when it comes to around the greens. I think he's 0:16:54.080 --> 0:16:56.280 lost lost strokes around the green, I want to say, 0:16:56.320 --> 0:16:58.560 in eight of his last eleven events. So if you're 0:16:58.560 --> 0:17:00.440 gonna be missing greens, I don't know. He has a 0:17:00.480 --> 0:17:04.000 short game to recover from those mistakes. 0:17:04.280 --> 0:17:09.040 So as we drop down below eight thousand, below, you know, 0:17:09.119 --> 0:17:12.880 Adam Scott at seventy nine, he got Oustasen. Who's I mean, 0:17:13.160 --> 0:17:16.760 that's that's always a good pick for majors. Seemingly you 0:17:16.840 --> 0:17:20.080 get down and you've got this interesting kind of hodgepodge 0:17:20.119 --> 0:17:25.920 of veterans and younger players down into the seven thousand range. 0:17:26.760 --> 0:17:29.080 What are the names that kind of stick out here? 0:17:30.280 --> 0:17:32.440 Yeah, So another one of my favorite plays of the 0:17:32.480 --> 0:17:35.159 week is Adam Scott at seventy nine hundred. So he 0:17:35.240 --> 0:17:37.760 actually split with his caddy the past week and this 0:17:37.840 --> 0:17:42.200 week he has a local caddy, Lenny Bimello from Shinnikok Hills, 0:17:42.600 --> 0:17:44.480 So I think that's going to give him an advantage 0:17:44.520 --> 0:17:47.160 on the greens this week, which is where he's been 0:17:47.320 --> 0:17:49.280 you were here. He's been struggling the last you know, 0:17:49.600 --> 0:17:52.639 the last couple of months. And he also he also 0:17:52.720 --> 0:17:55.119 kind of fits the course very well. Eighteenth and driving 0:17:55.160 --> 0:17:59.359 distance twelfth in approach and fifteen off the tee. If 0:17:59.400 --> 0:18:02.240 we're looking over last fifty rounds, and he's gained a 0:18:02.280 --> 0:18:05.639 massive sixteen shots on approach and twelve shots off the 0:18:05.680 --> 0:18:07.080 team in his last four events. 0:18:07.920 --> 0:18:11.480 So I kind of like Australian players in general this week. 0:18:11.960 --> 0:18:14.439 The course is going to play really firm and fast. 0:18:14.520 --> 0:18:17.480 And someone who I know, you know, having talked to 0:18:17.720 --> 0:18:21.159 Caddy and him, that loves firm and fast setups as 0:18:21.200 --> 0:18:26.000 Mark Leishman, obviously a great approach player, has has finished 0:18:26.040 --> 0:18:31.120 i think top five in every major championship. You like Leishman. 0:18:31.960 --> 0:18:35.240 Yeah, Leifman will definitely be among my players that I 0:18:35.320 --> 0:18:38.359 consider this week. He's a very very good win player 0:18:38.400 --> 0:18:40.840 and if you look at you know, his best result 0:18:40.880 --> 0:18:44.919 recently was at Trinity Forrest, which was, you know, a 0:18:44.960 --> 0:18:46.919 link style golf course that's not necessarily to be the 0:18:46.920 --> 0:18:49.560 same as this, but it's gonna play firm and fast. 0:18:50.520 --> 0:18:54.480 Yeah, I know that he just he They they love 0:18:54.800 --> 0:18:57.639 Furman fast setups, and I kind of like And we 0:18:57.680 --> 0:19:01.679 saw last time the US Open was played at Shinnecock, 0:19:02.160 --> 0:19:05.240 South Africans did well with Goosen winning El's was in 0:19:05.280 --> 0:19:09.280 the hunt. I think, you know, in terms of Internet 0:19:09.280 --> 0:19:13.280 it might skew a little internationally. Do you feel that 0:19:13.320 --> 0:19:14.000 way a little bit? 0:19:14.800 --> 0:19:18.000 Yeah, I'm feeling the exact same thing. And I'm also 0:19:18.040 --> 0:19:20.320 looking for some guys that, you know, another example would 0:19:20.320 --> 0:19:23.120 be a guy like Shane Lowry, another international player who 0:19:23.119 --> 0:19:25.479 can just kind of grind it out there if the scores, 0:19:25.560 --> 0:19:27.040 if it gets windy and the score is going to 0:19:27.080 --> 0:19:28.000 be a little bit closer to par. 0:19:28.400 --> 0:19:30.159 Yeah, he had he was. I mean, he was in 0:19:30.240 --> 0:19:32.800 the thick of it at Oakmont until the end, and 0:19:33.240 --> 0:19:35.919 you know that was you know, obviously DJ finished what 0:19:35.960 --> 0:19:40.120 did he finished five under or that one? And but yeah, 0:19:40.400 --> 0:19:43.280 I mean tough golf course, and he tends to play 0:19:43.359 --> 0:19:48.520 really well at difficult golf courses. So then we we 0:19:48.640 --> 0:19:52.000 get in here. I like, Can'tley, despite him being just 0:19:52.200 --> 0:19:56.520 an absolute horrible golfer to watch from the slow play perspective, 0:20:00.080 --> 0:20:03.199 get down in here and what I mean. Cam Smith's 0:20:03.240 --> 0:20:05.840 been kind of in bad form, but he's another guy 0:20:05.880 --> 0:20:07.960 that kind of pops out to me with his performance 0:20:07.960 --> 0:20:11.320 at Chambers Bay, T third and T fifth this year 0:20:11.400 --> 0:20:12.120 at the Masters. 0:20:12.960 --> 0:20:15.680 Yeah, I if I didn't see his form over the 0:20:15.760 --> 0:20:18.000 last month, I'd be in on Cam Smith. But he's 0:20:18.040 --> 0:20:21.320 lost fourteen shots on approach in his last four events. 0:20:21.600 --> 0:20:23.879 So it's made me think that he's really starting with 0:20:23.880 --> 0:20:26.320 his iron game, which is it is gonna be causing 0:20:26.400 --> 0:20:28.359 some big numbers this week in Hinnacock. 0:20:27.960 --> 0:20:28.640 I would expect. 0:20:28.800 --> 0:20:35.080 Yeah, that's not good. We get down in here. Bennett 0:20:35.160 --> 0:20:40.400 on was obviously came out a playoff loss last two 0:20:40.400 --> 0:20:43.520 weeks ago at the Memorial. Is he a guy. Yeah, 0:20:43.720 --> 0:20:46.000