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Speaker 1: What's up, guys? How are you? Welcome into a Thursday

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Speaker 1: morning episode of the Daily Juice podcast with me Matt Perrault,

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Speaker 1: my social media handle at sports Talk Matt. That is

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Speaker 1: the same handle for me in the Discord channel. Welcome

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Speaker 1: to like one hundred and fifty of you who joined

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Speaker 1: overnight last night to the Discord channel. Thank you for

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Speaker 1: doing that. I appreciate it. That's awesome bettingpros dot com

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Speaker 1: slash chat to join the Discord channel, to come on

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Speaker 1: in to be a part of the community here for

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Speaker 1: the Daily Juice and more. Very cool stuff. With that,

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Speaker 1: Thank you for all you guys who jumped on in.

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Speaker 1: Hopefully you're going to have a good time and enjoy it.

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Speaker 1: We have had a pretty good week three and one,

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Speaker 1: three and one, three and one. That's a nine and

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Speaker 1: three mark, up nearly six units for the week. That's

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Speaker 1: not bad. Let's see if we can keep it going today.

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Speaker 1: Four bets again, This is working right, Four bets three sports.

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Speaker 1: That's what we've done Monday, Tuesday and Wednesday. Here on

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Speaker 1: a Thursday, we're right back into it. Four bets in

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Speaker 1: three sports. This podcast being brought to you by Omaha

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Speaker 1: we'll go hockey, football, basketball. Let's start with hockey, now,

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Speaker 1: can I tell you right now at the top, I

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Speaker 1: have some personal plays. I'll have a lot going. It's

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Speaker 1: a big night in hockey. I'll have a bunch of

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Speaker 1: bets going in hockey. But here are the two bets

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Speaker 1: I like the best that I'm gonna make official. Let's

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Speaker 1: start with the Rangers and the Minnesota WILDA is four

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Speaker 1: and one to the over on the road, but the

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Speaker 1: Rangers are three and zero to the under at home.

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Speaker 1: It is Egor versus Guphison. Now, if your circus, if

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Speaker 1: he's not playing, you're gonna want to get out of this. Okay,

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Speaker 1: he needs to be playing. It needs to be Egor. Okay,

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Speaker 1: as long as it's him. He's six and two with

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Speaker 1: a two point three six goals against average. Chaserkin has

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Speaker 1: been at home, I mean three and one on the

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Speaker 1: year for the Rangers. At home. The Wild have been bad,

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Speaker 1: losing record two three and two. I believe it is

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Speaker 1: on the road for the Minneso Wild at home, your

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Speaker 1: circin has been lights out two thirty five goals against average.

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Speaker 1: He's two and one on the year. He in his

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Speaker 1: last game at home for the Rangers against Carolina, a

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Speaker 1: two to one win against Nashville, a four to one loss,

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Speaker 1: but then a two to one win over Arizona. Those

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Speaker 1: are the three games he's played at home. He's won

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Speaker 1: four consecutive starts, however, two to one, three two four, three,

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Speaker 1: three and one. That's three and one to the under

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Speaker 1: over his last four starts. I lean towards the under

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Speaker 1: in this game, even with the Wild. But I'm concerned

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Speaker 1: at just the Wild giving up a ton of goals

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Speaker 1: here and the Rangers winning the game. You know, five

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Speaker 1: to two or five? Do you know it's six, so

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Speaker 1: five to one and you get a push out of it.

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Speaker 1: I'm a little concerned of that because Guphison is two

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Speaker 1: three and one. So there two three and one on

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Speaker 1: the road, not two three and two. Two, three and

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Speaker 1: one on the road, on the road, what happened to

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Speaker 1: this guy? Six point five to one goals against average

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Speaker 1: for Philippe Gussson. I don't get it, man. This guy

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Speaker 1: was awesome last year, awesome last year on the road

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Speaker 1: this season. Now he just lost or just won at

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Speaker 1: home against these Rangers five to four. He gave up

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Speaker 1: three goals lost in his shootout, but Flyers six goals,

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Speaker 1: Toronto seven goals. I mean, his two road starts have

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Speaker 1: been horrific so far this year. And the numbers only

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Speaker 1: minus one twenty eight Rangers money line minus one twenty eight,

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Speaker 1: minus one thirty. Take it lay it. This is that

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Speaker 1: numbers wrong. Rangers should be a much bigger favorite here

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Speaker 1: than they are given where Minnesota is given. Who's in

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Speaker 1: net again, it needs to be Egor for the Rangers,

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Speaker 1: so he's expected, not confirmed. If by some reason he

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Speaker 1: is not in net, we need to reassess this bet.

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Speaker 1: But because I bet overnight, I mean quick, it hasn't

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Speaker 1: been horrible though, Quick three and oh three zero to

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Speaker 1: one with a one point seven to seven goals against everge,

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Speaker 1: so actually I may even stay with it, even with it,

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Speaker 1: but Rangers lost the first one, five to four. They

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Speaker 1: flip around. Now they're in New York, different venue, different spot,

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Speaker 1: different outcome. Rangers money line minus one twenty eight. Second bet.

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Speaker 1: The Vegas hangover trend is alive. We bet this last

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Speaker 1: time a team that plays against the Vegas goal of

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Speaker 1: the Knights the next time they play, when they go

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Speaker 1: home after playing on the road, they are an over

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Speaker 1: machine thirty four to eight and one. The over three

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Speaker 1: to oh this year eighty one percent over the last

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Speaker 1: three seasons. The total of the Penguins and the Kings

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Speaker 1: is six and a half at minus one thirty. The

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Speaker 1: Kings are five and oh this year to the over

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Speaker 1: at home. Penguins are two and two on the road.

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Speaker 1: It's Copley against Jari. Kopley's goals against average for the

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Speaker 1: Kings four point nine to eight. No bueno, Jari better

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Speaker 1: two point five to one. But this is a back

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Speaker 1: to back for the Kings. Kind of a theme here

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Speaker 1: with back to backs more than in a second, but

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Speaker 1: back to backs could be sloppy play, tired legs. Scoring

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Speaker 1: opportunities here for Pittsburgh, scoring opportunities for the Kings, who

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Speaker 1: played really well last night beat in Vegas four to one. One.

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Speaker 1: We're going over six and a half for one point

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Speaker 1: three units. Here Kings and the Pittsburgh Penguins over six

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Speaker 1: and a half at minus one thirty. If you want

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Speaker 1: another bet for hockey, and maybe you're doing well in

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Speaker 1: the day and you want to I want to follow

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Speaker 1: a trend. The Colorado Avalanche are three and ozero on

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Speaker 1: the puck line this year they play Seattle. Now. Seattle

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Speaker 1: is five and two to the under on the road.

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Speaker 1: Colorado is two and one to the under at home.

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Speaker 1: So you can play the under six and a half

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Speaker 1: if you want, or you can take the plus one

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Speaker 1: ten and take Colorado on the puck line. But I

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Speaker 1: don't like making puck line bets official just because I've

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Speaker 1: been burned so many times with a three to two

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Speaker 1: final and you know, the Avalanche win, but they don't

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Speaker 1: get the puck line or you're sweating on an open net,

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Speaker 1: Like I don't want to make that official. But if

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Speaker 1: you want something extra, there's your extra play for the show.

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Speaker 1: If you want puckline, Avalanche over the Seattle Kraken for

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Speaker 1: one unit a plus one ten, but officially it's Rangers

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Speaker 1: money line at minus won twenty eight and the over

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Speaker 1: six and a half goals for the Penguins and the

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Speaker 1: Kings at minus one thirty. Now here is your controversial

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Speaker 1: bet of the day. Thursday Night football. The Bears are

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Speaker 1: taking on the Panthers. Who's playing quarterback for Chicago? I

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Speaker 1: don't know. I don't care. It could be badget, it

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Speaker 1: could be fields, doesn't matter to me. I did a

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Speaker 1: deep dive on numbers here, and when you start looking

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Speaker 1: at the Thursday Night football numbers, everyone is missing a

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Speaker 1: pretty big fact. Sunday Night and Monday Night are ten

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Speaker 1: and one to the under over their last eleven games,

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Speaker 1: but Thursday Night doesn't follow that trend. Thursday Night actually

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Speaker 1: is a coin flip. It's actually four and four by

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Speaker 1: my count. You've got games like the Vikings against the

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Speaker 1: Eagles thirty four to twenty eight, games like the Lions

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Speaker 1: against the Packers thirty four to twenty. The Bears, these

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Speaker 1: same Bears forty to twenty against the Commanders Jacksonville against

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Speaker 1: the Saints thirty one twenty four. I mean even the

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Speaker 1: Bucks and the Bills was twenty four to eighteen. This

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Speaker 1: idea that these teams who play on Thursday Night they

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Speaker 1: don't score actually is not true. The tired legs leads

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Speaker 1: to more scoring. Well, why would that be, Because when

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Speaker 1: players have the puck on their stick, the ball on

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Speaker 1: their hands, you forget that you're tired. You're tired playing defense.

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Speaker 1: That's when you get tired on back to backs. Now,

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Speaker 1: you can be a bit more sluggish on the attack

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Speaker 1: at times, but you, amazingly enough, you find energy when

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Speaker 1: you have the ball in your hands. The Bears score

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Speaker 1: eleven point eight points per game in the first half.

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Speaker 1: They've scored twenty their last three games. However, the second

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Speaker 1: half number is eleven points scored for the Bears. The

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Speaker 1: Packers at the Pack Panthers have scored eleven point points

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Speaker 1: per game this season in the first half, but sixteen

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Speaker 1: point three over last three games, nine and a half

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Speaker 1: points in the second half. If you take the average

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Speaker 1: point total for both these two teams, you get thirty

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Speaker 1: eight and a half. But if you take their averages

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Speaker 1: per half, now sometimes they score a lot more and

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Speaker 1: a half. That's what skews the average. But I thought

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Speaker 1: about betting the first half under nineteen and a half points.

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Speaker 1: I thought about that and then I just went, you

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Speaker 1: know what, I'm not going to play around with the

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Speaker 1: first half number because that could be three touchdowns and

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Speaker 1: we lose, right fourteen to seven, we lose, So I'm like, eh,

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Speaker 1: don't know if i want to go down that road.

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Speaker 1: I'm gonna go contrarian here. I'll bet under on Monday

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Speaker 1: night and Sunday night, but Thursday night is not the

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Speaker 1: time to bet under. I'm going to bet over again.

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Speaker 1: Seventeen and a half twenty point nine. Those are the

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Speaker 1: averages per game for both these two teams. That's basically

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Speaker 1: thirty eight and a half or on the average, right

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Speaker 1: give or take a decimal point or a fraction or two.

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Speaker 1: If we get an average game, we get thirty eight

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Speaker 1: and a half, we get one more turnover, we get

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Speaker 1: one sloppy play, we get one pickoff. Bad teams against

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Speaker 1: bad teams tend to lead towards the over because of mistakes.

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Speaker 1: These are two very bad football teams. Three wins combined

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Speaker 1: over thirty eight and a half for one point one units.

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Speaker 1: Gonna go against the world. Everyone's gonna be on the under. Okay,

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Speaker 1: you're gonna hear everyone say primetime under, primetime under. And

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Speaker 1: maybe I'm walking off of you know, taking a long

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Speaker 1: walk on a short peer and I'm way off, but

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Speaker 1: something tells me. The contrarian better in me says zig.

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Speaker 1: Everyone's zagging. Zig over thirty eight and a half. If

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Speaker 1: I lose, I lose one point one units. Panthers Bears

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Speaker 1: over thirty eight and a half for one point one units.

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Speaker 1: I'm not saying it's gonna be fun. By the way,

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Speaker 1: might fall thirty nine if we get it. You may

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Speaker 1: not be getting it by a lot, but thirty eight

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Speaker 1: and a half you might get, thirty eight, you might

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Speaker 1: get three, seven and a half, depending on what the

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Speaker 1: numbers do over in the morning to overnight. I bet

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Speaker 1: thirty eight and a half tonight one point one units

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Speaker 1: to the over. And speaking of the over man, this

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Speaker 1: might be the highest total I've ever bet. This game's

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Speaker 1: nuts Bucks are at the Pacers. Jana's got chucked out

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Speaker 1: of the game last night. Jana's Detroit over two twenty

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Speaker 1: seven and a half by ten and a half points.

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Speaker 1: Four of the last five game for the Bucks have

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Speaker 1: gone over, but the totals have been two twenty five

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Speaker 1: and a half, twenty three and a half, two twenty

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Speaker 1: three and a half, two thirty three and two twenty

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Speaker 1: seven and a half. Only one game this year for

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Speaker 1: the Indiana Pacers has gone under and that was against

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Speaker 1: Chicago at home, where it went under by thirteen points.

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Speaker 1: Every other game has cleared the total by at least

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Speaker 1: seven points. And we're talking about big totals forty one

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Speaker 1: and a half against Charlotte thirty eight, two thirty eight

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Speaker 1: against San Antonio two forty two and a half last night,

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Speaker 1: nine point five points clearance on a total of two

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Speaker 1: forty two and a half. So once tonight it's two

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Speaker 1: forty three and a half. The books are just trying

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Speaker 1: to find a number in which somebody will bet under.

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Speaker 1: Indiana seven and one to the over on the year,

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Speaker 1: Milwaukee's five and two to the over on the year.

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Speaker 1: Tired legs could be a factor here, but I think

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Speaker 1: that means no one plays defense tired legs. I think

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Speaker 1: we have a run up and down. People get tired,

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Speaker 1: But again, when you have the ball in your hands,

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Speaker 1: you don't get tired. You find that energy when you

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Speaker 1: have the ball in your hands. I think both teams

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Speaker 1: are going to score. No one's playing any defense. This

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Speaker 1: is an Indiana team that's already given up one hundred

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Speaker 1: and fifty five points once to the Boston Celtics, which

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Speaker 1: is an incredible number. I mean, look at some of

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Speaker 1: these numbers. They've given up one twenty to Washington, one

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Speaker 1: fifty five to Boston, one twenty five to Charlotte, one eighteen.

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Speaker 1: Last night to Utah they scored one thirty four. Though

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Speaker 1: the reserves for the Pacers, they run, they shoot, they score,

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Speaker 1: they're at home Milwaukee's you have to run to keep

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Speaker 1: up with them. Over two forty three and a half

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Speaker 1: for one point one units. Jannis needs to play, Okay,

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Speaker 1: if Jannis gets scratched for whatever reason, we're betting under. Okay,

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Speaker 1: just go ahead and get out of it as fast

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Speaker 1: as you can. Trying to get middled, make a middle

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Speaker 1: for yourself, but you can get out of it. Get

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Speaker 1: out of it if Jiannis doesn't play. But I don't

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Speaker 1: see why Janis wouldn't play. He got ejected. He should

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Speaker 1: be mad and angry and want to go and play

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Speaker 1: hard and you know, put up a big number and

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Speaker 1: do some impressive things. Being angry because of his second technical,

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Speaker 1: which is a really weak technical that he got. They

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Speaker 1: caused him to be ejected. So big night for Giannis.

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Speaker 1: Let's see what he's capable of doing. Let's see what

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Speaker 1: numbers he puts up. But over two forty three and

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Speaker 1: a half. It's a really big number. But the only

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Speaker 1: number you really can play. I don't think you can

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Speaker 1: play anything else, just because of the way the game's

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Speaker 1: going to go, which is dictated by Indiana. Somehow, they'll

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Speaker 1: by the way, the Lakers lost to the Rockets yesterday somehow,

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Speaker 1: everyone was talking about, you know, Lebron's crying, he's gonna

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Speaker 1: go and have a monster game. They're going to kill

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Speaker 1: the Houston Rockets. And then they went off and they

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Speaker 1: got lit up, give up one hundred and twenty eight points,

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Speaker 1: one twenty eight to ninety four. Everyone liked Lebron over

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Speaker 1: on his points. Lakers, by the way, are zero to

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Speaker 1: five on the road. Keep in mind, for that Lebron

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Speaker 1: scored eighteen points. Didn't go over his point total. How

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Speaker 1: about that? Interestingly enough, Lebron didn't do it. So four

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Speaker 1: bets three sports we are going Rangers money line minus

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Speaker 1: one twenty eight for one point two to eight units,

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Speaker 1: Kings over six and a half, minus one thirty up

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Speaker 1: against the Pittsburgh Penguins over thirty eight and a half

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Speaker 1: on Thursday Night Football, and over two forty three and

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Speaker 1: a half for the Bucks and the Pacers in the NBA.

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Speaker 1: All right, have it a good week. Let's keep it rolling.

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Speaker 1: I'll talk to you guys in the discourse channel dot

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Speaker 1: com slash chat to join No college basketball by the way,

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Speaker 1: because the college basketball slate is disgusting. Huge games Friday, though,

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Speaker 1: Big big games on Friday. And is Matt Parotz following

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Speaker 1: me across all socials at Sports Talk Matt. Each and

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Speaker 1: every morning the Deli Duice Podcast I was being brought

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Speaker 1: to you by olmah stakes dot com