WEBVTT - The 10 Most Undervalued Hitters in 2025 (Ep. 922)

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<v Speaker 1>Welcome in everybody to Fantasy Pros MLB. This is the

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<v Speaker 1>Fantasy Baseball podcast. It does be Joey p Joe Pisapia

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<v Speaker 1>with me as always, my best friend the Welsh and

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<v Speaker 1>you hanging out here on our channel. Don't forget to

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<v Speaker 1>of the content we've got going on all draft season,

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<v Speaker 1>all in season. Leading off is going to be back

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<v Speaker 1>in just a couple of weeks if you can believe it.

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<v Speaker 1>Pictures and catchers are arriving to spring training. We are

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<v Speaker 1>getting started here, and it's time to look at some

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<v Speaker 1>guys that are undervalued on the hitting side. Now, just

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<v Speaker 1>as a precursor to this show, this doesn't mean they're sleeper.

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<v Speaker 1>These are guys that you've had on your teams. You

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<v Speaker 1>already know they are going outside the top one hundred

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<v Speaker 1>currently as of recording this though, and as guys that

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<v Speaker 1>we think might be just a little bit undervalued based

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<v Speaker 1>upon the consensus ADP, which by the way, you can

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<v Speaker 1>find over at Fantasypros dot com right now, so go

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<v Speaker 1>do that. Also, while you're at it, make sure you're

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<v Speaker 1>you get your apps. Right now, we're going to fancypros

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<v Speaker 1>dot com slash MLB Draft Wizard. All right, let's talk

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<v Speaker 1>about some underrated hitters right now, Welsh, and the first

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<v Speaker 1>one is a guy that a lot of us had

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<v Speaker 1>expectations for last year, and I feel like this happens

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<v Speaker 1>a lot right We get our expectations up, we get

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<v Speaker 1>very excited about a player, and then injuries or issues

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<v Speaker 1>or underperformance kind of all of a sudden stymy that excitement. Well,

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<v Speaker 1>Tristan Cossas of the Boston Red Sox, there's still a

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<v Speaker 1>lot to get excited about. This Boston Red Sox team

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<v Speaker 1>is on the verge of a rebirth year with some

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<v Speaker 1>of these prospects they've got coming through the organization last

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<v Speaker 1>year and this year, we expect more and it seems

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<v Speaker 1>like things are finally on the upswing in Boston. When

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<v Speaker 1>you watch Casas, he is a big guy, power hitting, slugging,

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<v Speaker 1>old school kind of first base and there's a lot

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<v Speaker 1>to like here when it comes to Cassas. Currently, he's

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<v Speaker 1>going around player one POH one in the consensus ADP

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<v Speaker 1>thirteen homers last year in just sixty three games. Again,

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<v Speaker 1>that's the problem, just sixty three games. So I think

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<v Speaker 1>we expect some bumps here and there from Tristan Cossas

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<v Speaker 1>in twenty twenty five. But the power and also the

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<v Speaker 1>top heaviness of the position at first base to me

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<v Speaker 1>makes him a really intriguing player in twenty twenty five.

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<v Speaker 2>Yeah, and he is, I will say he is sandwiched

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<v Speaker 2>in kind of an area where there's a couple of

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<v Speaker 2>really good play. But the problem with that is having

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<v Speaker 2>a few of those players usually pushes somebody out. And

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<v Speaker 2>it's kind of been Tristan Kassas, who in many years

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<v Speaker 2>past has been somebody that everyone want to jumps in on.

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<v Speaker 2>But you know, as you mentioned, in a short period

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<v Speaker 2>of time last year, it was still fine, Like he

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<v Speaker 2>missed a bunch of time with injury and then his return,

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<v Speaker 2>it was okay for most people. But when you look

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<v Speaker 2>on the underlying you still see, you know, some elite

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<v Speaker 2>pieces that are being put together. Thirteen percent barrel rate

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<v Speaker 2>last year with a forty five percent hard hit rate.

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<v Speaker 2>Those two, especially the barrel rate, really elite stuff. With

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<v Speaker 2>a big, fast bat you're talking about, he's just this

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<v Speaker 2>like big dude. Well, he registered well above and the

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<v Speaker 2>top like fifteen to twenty percent tile of the league

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<v Speaker 2>in bat speed. And this is for like a six

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<v Speaker 2>foot five, almost two hundred and fifty pounds two first babe. Yeah,

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<v Speaker 2>huge first baseman. It was almost around seventy five seventy

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<v Speaker 2>five miles per hour on the fast track swing, which

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<v Speaker 2>is well above He just barrels of ball generates, you know,

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<v Speaker 2>such incredible force to it that he's a thirty home

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<v Speaker 2>run threat really at all times. Problem was the the

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<v Speaker 2>bat of ball like quality kind of dissipated last year

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<v Speaker 2>thirty one percent strikeout rate, which was an over six

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<v Speaker 2>percent increase from the year before, and is expected batting

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<v Speaker 2>average from his two forty actual it's expected was under

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<v Speaker 2>two twenty. So like, those are the worries, and that's

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<v Speaker 2>what's suppressing some of the value. But you know, you

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<v Speaker 2>come back to it and you see a healthy Cansis,

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<v Speaker 2>You see a healthy lineup by the way of Devers

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<v Speaker 2>and Jared Durant has taken that next step, and you

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<v Speaker 2>see RBI opportunities through the roof. Projections are in a

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<v Speaker 2>really interesting spot too. I'll just pull up all the

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<v Speaker 2>big dogs are out.

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<v Speaker 1>I see the atc ones right now. Twenty seven homer,

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<v Speaker 1>seventy four runs, seventy nine RBI for him. I think

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<v Speaker 1>that's as a pretty strong baseline, especially when you consider

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<v Speaker 1>he'ything third in this lineup projected. That's to me, what's

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<v Speaker 1>so appealing to is that lineup projectability in the third spot,

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<v Speaker 1>there's a lot of runs, a lot of rbi, all

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<v Speaker 1>those countexats that you're looking for in fantasy.

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<v Speaker 2>Well, what is the batting average on ATC, Because I've

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<v Speaker 2>got the bat up from Derek Cardy, so those are

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<v Speaker 2>too good to bounce.

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<v Speaker 1>Out of the ATC batting averagesement two forty two, which

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<v Speaker 1>is all right. If he could somehow get up to

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<v Speaker 1>two fifty two fifty five or something like that, I

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<v Speaker 1>would dance a jig. I'd be very excited about it.

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<v Speaker 2>Well see, and that's a great point. So on eighty

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<v Speaker 2>on the bat looking at Cossas, it's excuse me. Also

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<v Speaker 2>two forty two, twenty seven homers, eighty four rbi in

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<v Speaker 2>around one hundred and forty three games. So the suppression

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<v Speaker 2>is some of that batterball quality. It's like the strikeouts

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<v Speaker 2>were there, the XBA wasn't there. But Barrel hard hit great,

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<v Speaker 2>big fast bat speed and hopefully health is the thing

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<v Speaker 2>that's going to push him into like a much much

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<v Speaker 2>better direction. And he's one of those guys. Even from

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<v Speaker 2>last year he hit better against lefties as a lefty,

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<v Speaker 2>struggled against righty's. I think there's a lot of things

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<v Speaker 2>that are working in his favor. He also did, they

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<v Speaker 2>are small sample sizes, but in a first half registration

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<v Speaker 2>of the end of the year he was better. You know,

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<v Speaker 2>he was hitting two forty two. So if he's a

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<v Speaker 2>two forty hitter, thirty homers are in tow. But if

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<v Speaker 2>he bounces back up, and this is what makes him

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<v Speaker 2>truly underrated, if he's closer to let's say the year before,

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<v Speaker 2>is a two to sixty hitter, legitimately might be a

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<v Speaker 2>thirty plus homer. So back to the first thing I

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<v Speaker 2>said was he is sandwiched in this range where you

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<v Speaker 2>do have the Cody Bellingers of the world. You've got

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<v Speaker 2>Christian Walker, who I really like. But when he pushes

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<v Speaker 2>outside the top one hundred, I do think he is

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<v Speaker 2>one of those guys that, whether it's first or even corner,

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<v Speaker 2>if you want to build a little bit of a

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<v Speaker 2>stockpile on that big power corner infield, he is a value.

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<v Speaker 2>I think he's a good choice to put on the

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<v Speaker 2>undervalued conversation because there's a lot of other people that

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<v Speaker 2>we're talking ourselves into and it really isn't cost us

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<v Speaker 2>at first base right now, Well.

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<v Speaker 1>The next guy I want to talk about it. I

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<v Speaker 1>have him higher in my overall ranks than I do

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<v Speaker 1>Causus and another player too that we had high expectations for.

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<v Speaker 1>He was a darling of mine. Last year, injuries really

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<v Speaker 1>just kind of derailed him. He did get up there

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<v Speaker 1>for forty three games with the race, but unfortunately fell

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<v Speaker 1>little short. It's Junior Caminaro coming in at one five

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<v Speaker 1>overall in the current consensus ADP and Fantasy pros. This

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<v Speaker 1>guy is only twenty one years old this year, So

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<v Speaker 1>let us pump the brakes and let us just step

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<v Speaker 1>back for a moment and take a breath. Because when

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<v Speaker 1>you go back and you look at the minor league

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<v Speaker 1>track record of Junior Camonaro three oh seven, three seventy four,

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<v Speaker 1>five forty eight slash with a nine to twenty one

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<v Speaker 1>ops in two hundred and eighty two minor league games

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<v Speaker 1>as a child as a child, basically, okay, he is

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<v Speaker 1>turning twenty one, and I think this is the value.

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<v Speaker 1>This is the buy back in and another position here

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<v Speaker 1>in the corners where you're looking for more help. You're

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<v Speaker 1>looking for a guy who's got huge upside and I

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<v Speaker 1>think is just a better pure hitter than Cosses. Cosses

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<v Speaker 1>might have a little bit more power this year, ready

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<v Speaker 1>to go. I understand that. I get that, But if

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<v Speaker 1>we're talking about total package overall of hit tool, it's

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<v Speaker 1>Junior Camonaro. And I'm also super excited to see what

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<v Speaker 1>he looks like getting out of that Race ballpark because

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<v Speaker 1>now that they're gonna be playing in that Tampa situation

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<v Speaker 1>and there, I imagine some of that humanity is going

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<v Speaker 1>to make that ball fly a little bit more. Sure,

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<v Speaker 1>there's gonna be some weird rain delays and some issues

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<v Speaker 1>and some other stuff they're not used to dealing with.

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<v Speaker 1>I can't imagine what that's going to be like in

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<v Speaker 1>Tampa and Florida where it goes well like every couple hours.

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<v Speaker 1>It's going to rain at some point in time. But

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<v Speaker 1>I think it's gonna be fascinating to see because historically speaking,

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<v Speaker 1>that has not been the greatest ballpark for hitters. The

0:08:19.280 --> 0:08:22.800
<v Speaker 1>batter's eye has been a problem. So hopefully this opportunity,

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<v Speaker 1>now that they are outside of that venue could even

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<v Speaker 1>push Kamana up further than our expectations.

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<v Speaker 2>So I think on the surface, this is like fantastic name.

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<v Speaker 2>I think the only thing that pops up is there

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<v Speaker 2>might be an argument to like, is he really going

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<v Speaker 2>to be undervalued because there is a camp of people

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<v Speaker 2>that have been involved in drafts and whatnot, you know,

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<v Speaker 2>for over the last month or two that would that

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<v Speaker 2>would probably argue the phonetics of it, like, well, are

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<v Speaker 2>you sure you know I'm not undervalued because people are

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<v Speaker 2>seeing him go in some instances inside the top fifty

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<v Speaker 2>and some NFBC drafts. Yet the ADP across the board,

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<v Speaker 2>still in an early state, really hasn't caught up with

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<v Speaker 2>Junior Camonaro. Because I mean, as we're pointing out, the

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<v Speaker 2>consensus ADP on Fantasy Pros taking multiple sites is outside

0:09:05.760 --> 0:09:08.320
<v Speaker 2>the top one hundred, So by that virtue it is

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<v Speaker 2>I do think this is one of the dicey ones. Again,

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<v Speaker 2>we're not calling him a sleep or anything like that.

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<v Speaker 1>Or it's undervalued for the player. He is ninety four

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<v Speaker 1>right now on Fantasy Pros by the way, an NFBC

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<v Speaker 1>on the consensus there.

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<v Speaker 2>Okay, yeah, so he's even moved up a little bit more.

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<v Speaker 2>So I just give that caveat to people. But in

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<v Speaker 2>like a total sense, Junior Camenaro is a prime example

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<v Speaker 2>of this. It's just we know that young rookies are

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<v Speaker 2>going to boost up. He also is just coming off

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<v Speaker 2>of playing in the Dominican Winner League where they won

0:09:36.360 --> 0:09:39.640
<v Speaker 2>a championship. He's getting interviewed. He got interviewed yesterday about

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<v Speaker 2>how like what was it? I think it was a

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<v Speaker 2>foul territory. He was interviewing Camonaro and his agent saying like,

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<v Speaker 2>do you think you alone just created this opportunity where

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<v Speaker 2>Poolholst wants to now be a manager because he was

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<v Speaker 2>managing the team in Camonaro this monster homer. He was

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<v Speaker 2>phenomenal there. So he's got a lot of buzz that's

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<v Speaker 2>going on, and it's warrant. He hit two seventy six

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<v Speaker 2>in the miners last year. He's had his stint in

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<v Speaker 2>the majors, which you know, it didn't blow any doors off,

0:10:06.440 --> 0:10:08.920
<v Speaker 2>but he almost hit right around two fifty. He had

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<v Speaker 2>an expected batting average in that general area. And then

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<v Speaker 2>when I talk a lot about that, like just you

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<v Speaker 2>know the underlying metrics eleven percent almost twelve percent barrel,

0:10:17.360 --> 0:10:19.480
<v Speaker 2>forty five percent hard hit rate. Those two things are

0:10:19.480 --> 0:10:23.520
<v Speaker 2>phenomenal while also striking out a pretty low amount. He's

0:10:23.520 --> 0:10:24.880
<v Speaker 2>going to get the ball in the air a little

0:10:24.880 --> 0:10:28.840
<v Speaker 2>bit more Cam and arrow is. If he was like

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<v Speaker 2>prospect eligible, he would be your al favorite rookie of

0:10:32.120 --> 0:10:33.520
<v Speaker 2>the year. I think right now, I don't even think

0:10:33.520 --> 0:10:37.600
<v Speaker 2>that's a good question. Projections are a little torn on him.

0:10:37.640 --> 0:10:40.400
<v Speaker 2>I believe I don't have ATC up. I believe ATC

0:10:40.640 --> 0:10:46.000
<v Speaker 2>is very aggressive on some of the offensive projection sides.

0:10:47.080 --> 0:10:49.400
<v Speaker 2>The bat is a little bit suppressed. They've got him

0:10:49.400 --> 0:10:52.320
<v Speaker 2>at two sixty four, twenty two homers, five stolen bases,

0:10:52.360 --> 0:10:54.559
<v Speaker 2>around one hundred and thirty games. I want to say

0:10:54.600 --> 0:10:56.800
<v Speaker 2>there is a projection system or two that's got him

0:10:56.800 --> 0:11:00.959
<v Speaker 2>closer into the thirties. But he has just a really.

0:11:00.720 --> 0:11:02.480
<v Speaker 1>Really murr is at twenty nine. I think that's the

0:11:02.520 --> 0:11:05.079
<v Speaker 1>one you're thinking, Okay, what is ATC Adam on Fangrafts.

0:11:05.800 --> 0:11:08.760
<v Speaker 1>ATC has but twenty two. So ATC is actually a

0:11:08.800 --> 0:11:10.440
<v Speaker 1>little bit more on the conservative side for him.

0:11:10.600 --> 0:11:11.680
<v Speaker 2>Yeah, they're light of the bat.

0:11:12.080 --> 0:11:15.240
<v Speaker 1>Again, I think sometimes with those younger players, the ATC

0:11:15.320 --> 0:11:16.240
<v Speaker 1>tends to be a little bit.

0:11:16.200 --> 0:11:18.360
<v Speaker 2>More like Yeah, And the last thing I just say

0:11:18.440 --> 0:11:21.000
<v Speaker 2>is like throughout the minors he has been a guy

0:11:21.080 --> 0:11:23.839
<v Speaker 2>that does not have big strikeout problems, makes a lot

0:11:23.840 --> 0:11:26.000
<v Speaker 2>of contact. This is another one of those. Just like

0:11:26.120 --> 0:11:31.559
<v Speaker 2>big fast bats. He registered one of the fastest overall

0:11:31.600 --> 0:11:34.520
<v Speaker 2>bat speeds in baseball. It didn't register last year, So

0:11:34.720 --> 0:11:37.160
<v Speaker 2>like you go and take that with that pure raw power,

0:11:37.360 --> 0:11:40.040
<v Speaker 2>thirty home run potential at a corner endfield spot when

0:11:40.040 --> 0:11:43.280
<v Speaker 2>it's going around one hundred, and also sky's the limit

0:11:43.320 --> 0:11:46.319
<v Speaker 2>with a young player, Yeah, he is undervalued. I do

0:11:46.400 --> 0:11:50.400
<v Speaker 2>think looking into the future March type of things, if

0:11:50.440 --> 0:11:52.600
<v Speaker 2>people are watching this after he might not be so

0:11:52.720 --> 0:11:54.720
<v Speaker 2>much anymore. But we're telling you right now he is

0:11:54.840 --> 0:11:55.800
<v Speaker 2>and it's going to jump.

0:11:56.640 --> 0:11:58.880
<v Speaker 1>Yeah, I do believe that. But look, this is if

0:11:58.880 --> 0:12:02.040
<v Speaker 1>you're doing best balls early. Things like that take advantage,

0:12:02.120 --> 0:12:04.000
<v Speaker 1>right because still people want to see what it looks like.

0:12:04.040 --> 0:12:06.000
<v Speaker 1>And I think there's a little also question mark about okay,

0:12:06.000 --> 0:12:08.360
<v Speaker 1>how does the ballpark play? You know, we know what

0:12:08.400 --> 0:12:09.880
<v Speaker 1>it looks like in spring, but we don't know what

0:12:09.880 --> 0:12:12.160
<v Speaker 1>it looks like in June, July, August. We don't, so

0:12:12.240 --> 0:12:13.760
<v Speaker 1>it could be fascinating, just like we don't know with

0:12:13.800 --> 0:12:16.640
<v Speaker 1>Oakland too. Necessarily we have but major league players into

0:12:16.679 --> 0:12:19.840
<v Speaker 1>that kind of environment what it exactly looks like in Sacramento.

0:12:20.080 --> 0:12:22.160
<v Speaker 1>Let's get to another guy who is a perennial twenty

0:12:22.160 --> 0:12:25.160
<v Speaker 1>twenty guy, four straight years of twenty twenty, yet he's

0:12:25.200 --> 0:12:28.120
<v Speaker 1>going outside the top one hundred. And I understand the

0:12:28.160 --> 0:12:30.760
<v Speaker 1>concerns because you know that study that came out about

0:12:30.760 --> 0:12:32.880
<v Speaker 1>the Mariners ballpark. He started diving in and saying, Oh,

0:12:32.920 --> 0:12:36.559
<v Speaker 1>maybe the Mariner's ballpark between the humidity issues, slash, the

0:12:37.320 --> 0:12:40.559
<v Speaker 1>weather concerns there at times the batter's eye there, people

0:12:40.559 --> 0:12:43.160
<v Speaker 1>are saying, oh, maybe this Mariner's ballpark is just really

0:12:43.240 --> 0:12:45.640
<v Speaker 1>tough to hit it, and that's why Julio struggling, or

0:12:46.160 --> 0:12:48.040
<v Speaker 1>it really just didn't have a line a lot of protection,

0:12:48.280 --> 0:12:50.199
<v Speaker 1>and they haven't had a lot of great hitting period

0:12:50.240 --> 0:12:52.360
<v Speaker 1>in the last couple of years, and that could also

0:12:52.480 --> 0:12:54.960
<v Speaker 1>be why some of these numbers are extremely down. It

0:12:54.960 --> 0:12:58.079
<v Speaker 1>does feel a little chicken and egg. But Randy Rose Arena, regardless,

0:12:58.120 --> 0:13:00.839
<v Speaker 1>is still a twenty twenty guy. And I think when

0:13:00.840 --> 0:13:02.520
<v Speaker 1>you you know, you look at this yvon Page, he's

0:13:02.559 --> 0:13:06.120
<v Speaker 1>still above average in exit velocity above average, and hard

0:13:06.200 --> 0:13:08.959
<v Speaker 1>hit rate above average and walk right by a country mile.

0:13:09.440 --> 0:13:11.120
<v Speaker 1>I know it was a down year for him. I

0:13:11.200 --> 0:13:15.160
<v Speaker 1>get that the Babbitt was to two seventy five. That's

0:13:15.200 --> 0:13:16.880
<v Speaker 1>the lowest he's ever had. He's never had a Babbitt

0:13:16.920 --> 0:13:19.400
<v Speaker 1>in his career, by the way, under three hundred. So

0:13:19.760 --> 0:13:22.080
<v Speaker 1>I'm looking for a bounce back from a Rosa Raina regardless,

0:13:22.080 --> 0:13:23.600
<v Speaker 1>And I think it's a perfect time to buy on

0:13:23.640 --> 0:13:25.320
<v Speaker 1>a guy where you know what the baseline is well.

0:13:25.520 --> 0:13:27.719
<v Speaker 1>But at the same time, if you could just kind

0:13:27.720 --> 0:13:30.359
<v Speaker 1>of get that batting average back to at least respectability,

0:13:30.679 --> 0:13:34.240
<v Speaker 1>Arose Arena is absolutely gonna crush this return on investment.

0:13:34.400 --> 0:13:37.360
<v Speaker 2>Yeah, I think he borderlines like I think he has

0:13:37.440 --> 0:13:42.840
<v Speaker 2>the potential to be a massively underlying undervalued player. Is

0:13:42.880 --> 0:13:46.000
<v Speaker 2>he quite in the like screaming undervalued? I'm not one

0:13:46.040 --> 0:13:49.559
<v Speaker 2>hundred percent sure yet. But to your point, he's had

0:13:49.559 --> 0:13:52.040
<v Speaker 2>three straight twenty twenty seasons. He did it last year

0:13:52.160 --> 0:13:55.319
<v Speaker 2>with just a really really bad average, and every think

0:13:55.320 --> 0:13:58.000
<v Speaker 2>he's got worse. Essentially, when you go to Seattle, Seattle's

0:13:58.120 --> 0:14:01.040
<v Speaker 2>worst ballpark factor in all of Bay Ball, and when

0:14:01.080 --> 0:14:04.320
<v Speaker 2>you talk about the jump from like you know, four

0:14:04.360 --> 0:14:08.480
<v Speaker 2>to five or one two to one has the same

0:14:08.600 --> 0:14:13.120
<v Speaker 2>difference of thirty to twenty nine right now, which is crazy. See,

0:14:13.160 --> 0:14:16.080
<v Speaker 2>and so you know the number one ballpark to the

0:14:16.160 --> 0:14:18.920
<v Speaker 2>worst Seattle is bar none. The worst kind of across

0:14:18.960 --> 0:14:22.480
<v Speaker 2>the board. So that's not good necessarily long term for

0:14:22.680 --> 0:14:27.840
<v Speaker 2>a rose Raina's offensive upside. But you see still in

0:14:27.880 --> 0:14:30.440
<v Speaker 2>his game that one massive thing kind of carried him

0:14:30.440 --> 0:14:33.160
<v Speaker 2>down and pushed him down and struggled with his expected

0:14:33.200 --> 0:14:36.840
<v Speaker 2>batting average was fastballs. He hit like one seventy two

0:14:36.880 --> 0:14:40.800
<v Speaker 2>against forcing fastballs last year. That's a little bit of anomaly.

0:14:40.840 --> 0:14:42.960
<v Speaker 2>Something I've done a lot of looking on is when

0:14:43.000 --> 0:14:48.760
<v Speaker 2>you see extreme struggles or uh just domination against forcing fastballs,

0:14:48.760 --> 0:14:50.560
<v Speaker 2>that usually doesn't carry over. A guy that hits like

0:14:50.720 --> 0:14:54.240
<v Speaker 2>three point fifty against forceeams all year, that's going to regress,

0:14:54.400 --> 0:14:57.920
<v Speaker 2>but also guys that hit like one seventy one sixty

0:14:58.720 --> 0:15:01.080
<v Speaker 2>that's also going to positive. He regrets the year before

0:15:01.320 --> 0:15:03.520
<v Speaker 2>he had hit two fifty four against forcing fastballs. He

0:15:03.600 --> 0:15:07.200
<v Speaker 2>hit one seventy two this past year. So you're locked in.

0:15:07.320 --> 0:15:09.280
<v Speaker 2>You got a little bit of a better lineup. Maybe

0:15:09.320 --> 0:15:12.200
<v Speaker 2>your home run power isn't going to quite be there.

0:15:12.240 --> 0:15:14.360
<v Speaker 2>I'm hoping he sells out for a little bit more average,

0:15:14.360 --> 0:15:17.640
<v Speaker 2>because he did have a depreciation in his barrel and

0:15:17.680 --> 0:15:19.920
<v Speaker 2>his hard hit, but he walked a little bit more.

0:15:19.960 --> 0:15:21.800
<v Speaker 2>He's gonna be at the top of the lineup, and

0:15:21.840 --> 0:15:24.560
<v Speaker 2>he's a twenty twenty guy. So Randy A rose Arena

0:15:24.720 --> 0:15:28.400
<v Speaker 2>I'm in. I do think he floats in the undervalued

0:15:28.800 --> 0:15:30.960
<v Speaker 2>but it's kind of a little bit yet to be

0:15:31.000 --> 0:15:34.080
<v Speaker 2>seen of what this batted profile we saw last year

0:15:34.120 --> 0:15:36.920
<v Speaker 2>in Seattle's gonna look like we just need some major changes.

0:15:37.160 --> 0:15:39.280
<v Speaker 2>But maybe that's gonna pop with you know, playing with

0:15:39.320 --> 0:15:41.280
<v Speaker 2>guys like Victor Robliss at the top and playing with

0:15:41.480 --> 0:15:45.520
<v Speaker 2>Julio Rodriguez. So for twenty twenty, like lock twenty twenty

0:15:45.560 --> 0:15:47.800
<v Speaker 2>guys that you get outside the top one hundred, he

0:15:48.000 --> 0:15:51.440
<v Speaker 2>is that. So by virtue of getting twenty twenty, Yeah,

0:15:51.480 --> 0:15:53.400
<v Speaker 2>Randy rose Rein is undervalue.

0:15:53.640 --> 0:15:56.360
<v Speaker 1>One hundred percent degree. And look, even if he repeats

0:15:56.400 --> 0:15:58.480
<v Speaker 1>what he did last year and that's what it looks like,

0:15:59.240 --> 0:16:01.240
<v Speaker 1>it's still pretty good for what you're getting outside the

0:16:01.280 --> 0:16:03.680
<v Speaker 1>top one hundred. So I'll take that, and I'm hoping

0:16:04.360 --> 0:16:06.200
<v Speaker 1>and looking to a bounce back. I'm hoping that's the

0:16:06.240 --> 0:16:08.360
<v Speaker 1>anomaly because the things it's not like he is an

0:16:08.360 --> 0:16:10.600
<v Speaker 1>old player by any stretch of the means or something

0:16:10.640 --> 0:16:13.080
<v Speaker 1>like that. Right, he's twenty nine, he's in his prime. Actually,

0:16:13.360 --> 0:16:16.080
<v Speaker 1>these should be his best seasons coming up. Next guy

0:16:16.160 --> 0:16:18.880
<v Speaker 1>on our list coming in at one, twenty six Washington

0:16:18.960 --> 0:16:22.680
<v Speaker 1>National second baseman Luis Garcia, who is starting to become

0:16:22.840 --> 0:16:24.600
<v Speaker 1>I don't know this year's Jaron Duran for me, like

0:16:24.680 --> 0:16:25.880
<v Speaker 1>last year, so that player or.

0:16:25.960 --> 0:16:28.200
<v Speaker 2>Talked about player he is, I think he is.

0:16:28.920 --> 0:16:31.320
<v Speaker 1>Well, I mean, what's not to like here? I mean,

0:16:31.360 --> 0:16:33.840
<v Speaker 1>we're talking about a guy who is, you know, entering

0:16:33.880 --> 0:16:37.560
<v Speaker 1>his twenty age twenty five season, right, he always had

0:16:37.600 --> 0:16:39.440
<v Speaker 1>good contact goes in the minor league's two eighty five

0:16:39.480 --> 0:16:41.400
<v Speaker 1>batting average there. Now i'd like to see the OBEP

0:16:41.520 --> 0:16:43.400
<v Speaker 1>be a little higher. But he's got good speed, right,

0:16:43.640 --> 0:16:46.560
<v Speaker 1>So twenty two bases last year, eighteen homers. I'm just

0:16:47.000 --> 0:16:49.360
<v Speaker 1>I just can't wrap my mind around a situation where,

0:16:49.440 --> 0:16:51.640
<v Speaker 1>you know, when people were drafting jose A l twov

0:16:51.760 --> 0:16:53.160
<v Speaker 1>to try to hope for let's I mean we had

0:16:53.160 --> 0:16:56.080
<v Speaker 1>twenty twenty and two eighty Well, okay, that sounds great,

0:16:56.080 --> 0:16:58.040
<v Speaker 1>but that also sounds like basically the season Garcia gave

0:16:58.040 --> 0:17:00.560
<v Speaker 1>me last year, one hundred picks later, Lily, one hundred

0:17:00.560 --> 0:17:03.520
<v Speaker 1>picks later. And I don't get it. So and you're

0:17:03.520 --> 0:17:05.560
<v Speaker 1>talking about a younger player, you're talking about a young

0:17:05.600 --> 0:17:08.560
<v Speaker 1>team that really is starting, I think, to emerge this year.

0:17:08.720 --> 0:17:11.120
<v Speaker 1>And of course young teams will have peaks and valleys.

0:17:11.600 --> 0:17:14.600
<v Speaker 1>But while right now this player is at one twenty six,

0:17:15.040 --> 0:17:17.680
<v Speaker 1>second base is rough. It's rough out there at the

0:17:17.720 --> 0:17:20.600
<v Speaker 1>second base streets. I think, so, yeah, that's the guy

0:17:20.640 --> 0:17:22.280
<v Speaker 1>that I keep coming back to and keep landing on

0:17:22.359 --> 0:17:24.520
<v Speaker 1>because I would like to see him move up in

0:17:24.520 --> 0:17:26.040
<v Speaker 1>the lineup, potentry a little bit. I know there's some

0:17:26.119 --> 0:17:28.159
<v Speaker 1>questions of where he might hit this year, but what

0:17:28.240 --> 0:17:29.960
<v Speaker 1>you saw last year, to me, I don't think was

0:17:29.960 --> 0:17:31.919
<v Speaker 1>a fluke. When you look at the minor league track record,

0:17:32.200 --> 0:17:35.080
<v Speaker 1>a guy who makes good contact, got batting average, GOP speed,

0:17:35.119 --> 0:17:38.679
<v Speaker 1>He's got all that that you're looking for. And I think,

0:17:39.000 --> 0:17:40.960
<v Speaker 1>you know, once again you're talking about twenty twenty players

0:17:41.000 --> 0:17:42.640
<v Speaker 1>like a rose arena. Well, here's a twenty twenty guy

0:17:42.640 --> 0:17:45.200
<v Speaker 1>in the infield. That's a nice thing to have post

0:17:45.280 --> 0:17:45.840
<v Speaker 1>one hundred.

0:17:46.280 --> 0:17:48.159
<v Speaker 2>Yeah, and this is another one of those guys. You

0:17:48.200 --> 0:17:50.240
<v Speaker 2>know this This video is also going to serve as

0:17:50.280 --> 0:17:52.800
<v Speaker 2>like a time capsule of players that are going to

0:17:52.920 --> 0:17:54.800
<v Speaker 2>rise in value. We're going to talk about that throughout

0:17:54.840 --> 0:17:56.399
<v Speaker 2>the year of like, who are players that have been

0:17:56.440 --> 0:17:59.280
<v Speaker 2>on the rise and experts are drafting. Everybody loves Luis

0:17:59.280 --> 0:18:02.160
<v Speaker 2>Garcia because of the twenty twenty potential. And the wildest

0:18:02.200 --> 0:18:04.360
<v Speaker 2>thing too, is, you know, I saw him years ago

0:18:04.359 --> 0:18:06.480
<v Speaker 2>in Arizona Fall League, and this was at the height

0:18:06.600 --> 0:18:09.119
<v Speaker 2>of him being this very slap hit ory guy. He

0:18:09.160 --> 0:18:11.640
<v Speaker 2>had a swing that just came across his body, had

0:18:11.680 --> 0:18:14.920
<v Speaker 2>no launch angle whatsoever. Yet I remember I was in

0:18:14.920 --> 0:18:18.320
<v Speaker 2>some sessions of BP and he was crushing stuff in

0:18:18.320 --> 0:18:20.879
<v Speaker 2>the Surprise Stadium over on the pull side, or actually

0:18:20.920 --> 0:18:24.119
<v Speaker 2>was in Peoria. It's very impressive what the power was.

0:18:24.480 --> 0:18:26.720
<v Speaker 2>And then he did make the change. It's one of

0:18:26.760 --> 0:18:29.920
<v Speaker 2>those things we look at those high contacty type of guy,

0:18:29.960 --> 0:18:32.840
<v Speaker 2>the Louis Rises, maybe the Jacob Wilson's and we go man,

0:18:32.880 --> 0:18:35.439
<v Speaker 2>if they just had this concerted effort to get the

0:18:35.440 --> 0:18:37.879
<v Speaker 2>ball in the air, that maybe they could do something.

0:18:37.960 --> 0:18:40.679
<v Speaker 2>He did that. He changed his profile. He upped his

0:18:40.720 --> 0:18:45.040
<v Speaker 2>barrelry to eight percent, his launch angle almost doubled from

0:18:45.119 --> 0:18:47.880
<v Speaker 2>last year. His hard hit was over forty percent by

0:18:47.920 --> 0:18:51.119
<v Speaker 2>the way, strikes out sixteen percent of the time. And

0:18:51.400 --> 0:18:53.679
<v Speaker 2>he just decided, I'm now going to be a runner.

0:18:53.720 --> 0:18:56.159
<v Speaker 2>So it's quality contact kind of across the board. He

0:18:56.160 --> 0:18:58.720
<v Speaker 2>doesn't have a pitch type. He struggles against. He's learning

0:18:58.720 --> 0:19:01.960
<v Speaker 2>to get the ball in the air. I have like

0:19:02.000 --> 0:19:04.600
<v Speaker 2>a preconceived this is who Luis Garcia was when I

0:19:04.600 --> 0:19:06.600
<v Speaker 2>watched her in the miners, and again it was that

0:19:06.680 --> 0:19:09.000
<v Speaker 2>guy that you know, I just let the ball travel.

0:19:09.720 --> 0:19:12.119
<v Speaker 2>I'm going to hit across my body opposite field and

0:19:12.119 --> 0:19:14.840
<v Speaker 2>that would suppress power. But he turned so that's kind

0:19:14.880 --> 0:19:16.720
<v Speaker 2>of in my brain. But he's turned it around into

0:19:16.720 --> 0:19:19.080
<v Speaker 2>being No, I'm more of an impact hitter. Eighty six

0:19:19.119 --> 0:19:22.880
<v Speaker 2>percent zone contact rate with that barrel and that hard hit.

0:19:23.000 --> 0:19:27.000
<v Speaker 2>If he progresses a little bit, he legit could be

0:19:27.040 --> 0:19:29.560
<v Speaker 2>a twenty twenty five guy. I do not believe he will.

0:19:29.840 --> 0:19:32.399
<v Speaker 2>But when you're floating around twenty twenty and you have

0:19:32.400 --> 0:19:34.879
<v Speaker 2>a good batting average, that is the big key for me.

0:19:35.200 --> 0:19:37.280
<v Speaker 2>Give me these guys this year that are gonna have

0:19:37.359 --> 0:19:40.080
<v Speaker 2>solid batting averages. He hit two eighty two with a

0:19:40.119 --> 0:19:43.479
<v Speaker 2>two seventy eight expected batting average, and those numbers you

0:19:43.480 --> 0:19:46.159
<v Speaker 2>don't we touch talk about Randy Rose Rain in twenty twenty. Well,

0:19:46.200 --> 0:19:48.560
<v Speaker 2>guess what, he doesn't come with a good batting average.

0:19:48.640 --> 0:19:52.480
<v Speaker 2>Luis Garcia in some instances like this has an ADP

0:19:52.640 --> 0:19:56.159
<v Speaker 2>that's lower than him. Luis Garcia goes twenty twenty with

0:19:56.320 --> 0:19:59.200
<v Speaker 2>a great batting average, and that is extra valuable this year,

0:19:59.280 --> 0:19:59.800
<v Speaker 2>more than ever.

0:20:00.520 --> 0:20:02.520
<v Speaker 1>Yeah, and look, you look at the savon page, a

0:20:02.560 --> 0:20:04.479
<v Speaker 1>lot of red. You know, we'd like see him walk

0:20:04.520 --> 0:20:06.159
<v Speaker 1>a little bit more, sure, but that's just never been

0:20:06.160 --> 0:20:08.119
<v Speaker 1>the guy he is. He's just more of a swing

0:20:08.160 --> 0:20:10.880
<v Speaker 1>and make contact kind of guy. And again, the guys

0:20:10.880 --> 0:20:12.840
<v Speaker 1>who put the ball in play have a chance to

0:20:12.840 --> 0:20:13.960
<v Speaker 1>be on bass. And when you have a chance to

0:20:13.960 --> 0:20:15.560
<v Speaker 1>be on bass, you have a chance to score runs.

0:20:15.600 --> 0:20:18.200
<v Speaker 1>You see, That's how baseball works, kids, And I feel

0:20:18.200 --> 0:20:19.960
<v Speaker 1>like people forget that. You know, you go back to

0:20:20.000 --> 0:20:21.679
<v Speaker 1>the age of the Tony Gwinns of the world, and

0:20:21.680 --> 0:20:24.240
<v Speaker 1>those guys who just didn't strike out, put the ball

0:20:24.280 --> 0:20:26.960
<v Speaker 1>in play, good things happen. You know, That's how you

0:20:26.960 --> 0:20:29.400
<v Speaker 1>win batting titles. I'm not saying Garcia's a bating title.

0:20:29.400 --> 0:20:31.600
<v Speaker 1>I'm just saying like it's a lost art for him,

0:20:31.880 --> 0:20:34.880
<v Speaker 1>and I'm here for it. Also, everybody who knows who's

0:20:34.880 --> 0:20:36.520
<v Speaker 1>watching the show's last couple of years knows that I

0:20:36.560 --> 0:20:39.399
<v Speaker 1>am not a guy that likes to chase catcher. But

0:20:39.960 --> 0:20:42.280
<v Speaker 1>I also think that there's some value here with certain

0:20:42.320 --> 0:20:44.439
<v Speaker 1>catchers at certain moments. And Logan will Hopy to me

0:20:44.520 --> 0:20:48.280
<v Speaker 1>is another guy at one five currently that I don't

0:20:48.280 --> 0:20:52.359
<v Speaker 1>think we've seen the best version of yet. And the

0:20:52.560 --> 0:20:56.280
<v Speaker 1>Angels are kind of a weird, funky team where there's

0:20:56.320 --> 0:20:58.199
<v Speaker 1>a lot more than I like now on the Angels

0:20:58.200 --> 0:21:00.199
<v Speaker 1>than I have in a very long time. And I

0:21:00.200 --> 0:21:02.040
<v Speaker 1>know that sounds of bizarre because we've had Trout, we've

0:21:02.040 --> 0:21:05.080
<v Speaker 1>battle Tani, but the Trout situation every year, with the

0:21:05.119 --> 0:21:07.480
<v Speaker 1>price you had to pay and the injuries, was always difficult.

0:21:07.800 --> 0:21:09.119
<v Speaker 1>You look at the rest of this lineup, you know

0:21:09.119 --> 0:21:11.280
<v Speaker 1>they brought in so layer Chanall is an interesting playow

0:21:11.359 --> 0:21:14.639
<v Speaker 1>Netto's an interesting player, Rangifo certainly has some talent to

0:21:14.840 --> 0:21:16.919
<v Speaker 1>health is going to be crucial for this roster, but

0:21:16.960 --> 0:21:19.000
<v Speaker 1>there's value here on it too, and Logan O Hoppy

0:21:19.640 --> 0:21:21.960
<v Speaker 1>if you look at some of those projections right now,

0:21:22.320 --> 0:21:25.880
<v Speaker 1>he is absolutely a twenty home run catcher. I think

0:21:25.920 --> 0:21:28.400
<v Speaker 1>there's a world you know, you look at the three

0:21:28.520 --> 0:21:31.320
<v Speaker 1>eighteen Babbitt last year, Okay, you look at the ISO

0:21:31.440 --> 0:21:33.520
<v Speaker 1>was a little low last year, but I feel like

0:21:34.200 --> 0:21:36.679
<v Speaker 1>the stop start of you know, sometimes with the injuries

0:21:36.680 --> 0:21:38.000
<v Speaker 1>that he's had, it was good. He had one hundred

0:21:38.000 --> 0:21:40.439
<v Speaker 1>and thirty six games last year, had five hundred played appearances.

0:21:40.880 --> 0:21:42.720
<v Speaker 1>I think that's what he needed to get under his belt,

0:21:43.160 --> 0:21:45.120
<v Speaker 1>and now I feel like he's in a position Wels

0:21:45.119 --> 0:21:47.480
<v Speaker 1>where he's finally ready to take another step forward. I

0:21:47.480 --> 0:21:50.440
<v Speaker 1>think that twenty twenty two oz runs could easily become

0:21:50.440 --> 0:21:52.439
<v Speaker 1>twenty eight or twenty nine this year. That's what I

0:21:52.440 --> 0:21:54.840
<v Speaker 1>think is possible for him, especially if a guy like

0:21:54.840 --> 0:21:56.760
<v Speaker 1>Trout says healthy in the lineup and there's a lot

0:21:56.760 --> 0:21:59.439
<v Speaker 1>more going on offensively there. What do you think of OHAPI?

0:21:59.480 --> 0:22:01.720
<v Speaker 1>Because I know we kind of it's funny that I

0:22:02.040 --> 0:22:03.800
<v Speaker 1>was like, yeah, let's put this catcher on the list

0:22:04.160 --> 0:22:06.240
<v Speaker 1>me of all people, and then of course there's you

0:22:06.320 --> 0:22:09.120
<v Speaker 1>shooting it down. So what's the downside of ohapi here?

0:22:09.160 --> 0:22:11.119
<v Speaker 1>And is it just a matter of when you are

0:22:11.119 --> 0:22:12.320
<v Speaker 1>comfortable taking catchers?

0:22:13.000 --> 0:22:16.399
<v Speaker 2>So oh Happy? The biggest negative is he's a catcher,

0:22:16.560 --> 0:22:18.320
<v Speaker 2>so that would be like the biggest thing for me

0:22:18.480 --> 0:22:21.560
<v Speaker 2>is just he has that catcher position. I'm always looking

0:22:21.640 --> 0:22:25.320
<v Speaker 2>for the latest catcher possible or getting a massive value

0:22:25.440 --> 0:22:28.879
<v Speaker 2>on a specific target. So will Smith falling oh happy?

0:22:28.920 --> 0:22:32.360
<v Speaker 2>If he fell really far. Wilson catreros would be one

0:22:32.400 --> 0:22:34.520
<v Speaker 2>this year. But if we look at like the actual

0:22:34.560 --> 0:22:37.600
<v Speaker 2>profile of a guy like Ohapy, first off, he checks

0:22:37.640 --> 0:22:40.080
<v Speaker 2>a lot of the boxes that we're looking for. Under

0:22:40.080 --> 0:22:43.560
<v Speaker 2>five hundred bats, he hit over twenty homers, great barrel rate,

0:22:44.040 --> 0:22:46.920
<v Speaker 2>great hard hit like that's all there. Gets the launch angle,

0:22:46.920 --> 0:22:49.359
<v Speaker 2>sweet spot over forty two percent, gets the ball in

0:22:49.400 --> 0:22:51.399
<v Speaker 2>the frickin air, like you love that stuff. Well, you

0:22:51.440 --> 0:22:54.959
<v Speaker 2>don't like is bad strikeout rate. And he had a

0:22:55.119 --> 0:22:58.240
<v Speaker 2>decrease in his own contact percentage. And then they bring

0:22:58.280 --> 0:23:01.080
<v Speaker 2>in Travis Darnelt. That's the other thing why, Like, if

0:23:01.080 --> 0:23:03.000
<v Speaker 2>this is your guide, let's play him every single day

0:23:03.000 --> 0:23:05.200
<v Speaker 2>as much as possible. Don't know what that is going

0:23:05.240 --> 0:23:06.959
<v Speaker 2>to be yet. Maybe it's going to be more DH

0:23:07.040 --> 0:23:10.560
<v Speaker 2>than anything else. But I would say inside the top

0:23:10.600 --> 0:23:13.439
<v Speaker 2>one fifty, it's still really not my area for a catcher.

0:23:14.000 --> 0:23:16.199
<v Speaker 2>I do think he's got the potential to up on

0:23:16.280 --> 0:23:18.480
<v Speaker 2>that power department, probably not be the top guy. That's

0:23:18.520 --> 0:23:21.520
<v Speaker 2>Kyle Raley or Shee Langaliers. So I guess I pushed

0:23:21.560 --> 0:23:26.359
<v Speaker 2>back overall that finding undervalued catchers doesn't exactly exist, especially

0:23:26.359 --> 0:23:29.280
<v Speaker 2>if it's one fifty. But Ohapi could push back a

0:23:29.320 --> 0:23:32.840
<v Speaker 2>little bit more, and if he has a positive regression

0:23:33.200 --> 0:23:35.200
<v Speaker 2>in the strikeouts, that comes down and he gets back

0:23:35.240 --> 0:23:37.000
<v Speaker 2>to getting in the zone a little bit more. He

0:23:37.040 --> 0:23:38.679
<v Speaker 2>has the potential to be a twenty five plus home

0:23:38.760 --> 0:23:41.879
<v Speaker 2>run hitter for sure. So I don't see him in

0:23:41.920 --> 0:23:44.119
<v Speaker 2>the valued range, but I think it was important to

0:23:44.119 --> 0:23:46.920
<v Speaker 2>talk about it because you love him, You love this

0:23:46.960 --> 0:23:49.160
<v Speaker 2>as a catcher, you love you some logan o'hapi.

0:23:51.119 --> 0:23:53.920
<v Speaker 1>I do like him, I do, I do, and I

0:23:53.960 --> 0:23:56.359
<v Speaker 1>think there's value with the Angels this year. Again, something

0:23:56.400 --> 0:23:57.720
<v Speaker 1>I did not think that I was gonna have my

0:23:57.720 --> 0:24:00.800
<v Speaker 1>Bengo car for twenty twenty five. I was looking ahead, actually,

0:24:00.880 --> 0:24:02.920
<v Speaker 1>or should I say, looking backwards at last year's show

0:24:02.960 --> 0:24:05.679
<v Speaker 1>before we look ahead to more guys and some of

0:24:05.680 --> 0:24:09.959
<v Speaker 1>the names on last year's undervalue player list Willia domas Uh.

0:24:10.440 --> 0:24:13.520
<v Speaker 1>We had Bailey ober On there, Ti Oscar ornandez Joe Ryan.

0:24:13.560 --> 0:24:15.440
<v Speaker 1>That's a pretty good list there. We had some pretty

0:24:15.440 --> 0:24:17.560
<v Speaker 1>good guys, had a couple.

0:24:16.280 --> 0:24:18.960
<v Speaker 2>Of I get us in there, but I'll take those this.

0:24:19.040 --> 0:24:21.920
<v Speaker 1>Is duds in there. I mean, I don't think Nick

0:24:21.920 --> 0:24:24.480
<v Speaker 1>Pavetta was a dud. I wouldn't say he's a. Xander

0:24:24.560 --> 0:24:27.280
<v Speaker 1>Bogart's was a dud. But I think I think the

0:24:27.280 --> 0:24:30.320
<v Speaker 1>the you know, the thought process I get there. The

0:24:30.359 --> 0:24:33.960
<v Speaker 1>process was good, the productivity was not good. Uh, Candelario,

0:24:34.040 --> 0:24:35.920
<v Speaker 1>I was one of your guys. I feel like Candelario

0:24:36.000 --> 0:24:37.120
<v Speaker 1>was a Welsh guy last year.

0:24:37.200 --> 0:24:38.080
<v Speaker 2>Come on.

0:24:39.920 --> 0:24:42.359
<v Speaker 1>Oh and and also on this list. It's definitely one

0:24:42.359 --> 0:24:45.960
<v Speaker 1>of my guys. Showta Imanaga definitely on that list. So

0:24:46.080 --> 0:24:50.040
<v Speaker 1>actually pretty good. I would say nine.

0:24:50.240 --> 0:24:53.040
<v Speaker 2>By the way, you like Jamer Candelario, You dumb idiot.

0:24:53.560 --> 0:24:55.280
<v Speaker 1>You know what else is great? Playing your league's on

0:24:55.359 --> 0:24:58.080
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0:24:58.119 --> 0:25:00.159
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0:25:00.160 --> 0:25:03.920
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0:25:03.920 --> 0:25:06.160
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0:25:06.160 --> 0:25:09.320
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0:25:09.480 --> 0:25:12.720
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0:25:12.800 --> 0:25:15.840
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0:25:15.840 --> 0:25:18.800
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0:25:18.840 --> 0:25:21.640
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0:25:21.640 --> 0:25:23.919
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0:25:24.000 --> 0:25:27.159
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0:25:27.160 --> 0:25:29.439
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0:25:29.480 --> 0:25:31.200
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0:25:31.240 --> 0:25:34.960
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0:25:35.040 --> 0:25:37.920
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0:25:38.000 --> 0:25:41.200
<v Speaker 1>up today at fantracks dot com slash Fantasy Pros. That's

0:25:41.200 --> 0:25:45.120
<v Speaker 1>fantracks dot com slash Fantasy Pros. All right, next guy

0:25:45.160 --> 0:25:47.680
<v Speaker 1>on the list. This is a Welsh guy. I'm saying

0:25:47.720 --> 0:25:50.040
<v Speaker 1>it right now. I don't like it. He's not on

0:25:50.040 --> 0:25:52.439
<v Speaker 1>my og list. I woke up this morning and all

0:25:52.440 --> 0:25:55.120
<v Speaker 1>of a sudden, Paul Goldschmidt is in my cereal. Get

0:25:55.119 --> 0:25:59.280
<v Speaker 1>out of my cereal, Paul Golgman one fifty five. Look Welsh.

0:25:59.440 --> 0:26:02.840
<v Speaker 1>I think mindset that you're taking. Let's see, if I'm correct,

0:26:03.080 --> 0:26:06.879
<v Speaker 1>is the Yankee Ballpark cures all ills? And maybe it

0:26:06.920 --> 0:26:09.040
<v Speaker 1>does for some guys, But this is a guy in

0:26:09.080 --> 0:26:12.200
<v Speaker 1>declined for three straight years. He is thirty seven years old.

0:26:12.640 --> 0:26:14.600
<v Speaker 1>I know there's still some red on that Savon page

0:26:14.600 --> 0:26:16.320
<v Speaker 1>in terms of hard hit rate and batrel rate, and

0:26:16.680 --> 0:26:19.919
<v Speaker 1>that gets you excited that I get that, and certainly

0:26:19.960 --> 0:26:21.879
<v Speaker 1>the Yankees are gonna be a much better offense than

0:26:21.920 --> 0:26:24.600
<v Speaker 1>Saint Louis was last year. But I just keep seeing

0:26:24.600 --> 0:26:28.000
<v Speaker 1>a player in decline who was once great and into

0:26:28.000 --> 0:26:30.760
<v Speaker 1>your late thirties. I just don't know if a complete

0:26:30.920 --> 0:26:34.560
<v Speaker 1>rebound rebirth is in the cards for him. I get it,

0:26:34.560 --> 0:26:37.439
<v Speaker 1>it's cheaper, it's undervalued, so I guess I'll give you

0:26:37.560 --> 0:26:40.640
<v Speaker 1>undervalued on it. But man, I have a tough time

0:26:40.640 --> 0:26:42.840
<v Speaker 1>getting excited to draft him. I feel like Alec Bohm

0:26:42.920 --> 0:26:44.320
<v Speaker 1>is around the same place, and I think I would

0:26:44.400 --> 0:26:46.919
<v Speaker 1>rather just take him or another guy. We're gonna talk

0:26:46.920 --> 0:26:48.200
<v Speaker 1>about this lists coming up pretty soon.

0:26:48.520 --> 0:26:50.840
<v Speaker 2>Yeah, that guy maybe, but not Bom, Absolutely not Bum.

0:26:51.000 --> 0:26:51.160
<v Speaker 1>Yeah.

0:26:51.200 --> 0:26:54.359
<v Speaker 2>This is like clearly about it's a phenomenal ballpark to go.

0:26:55.240 --> 0:26:58.480
<v Speaker 2>The ballpark factor is waited a bit, obviously by Judge,

0:26:58.520 --> 0:27:00.680
<v Speaker 2>but it's like number three, I think in all of

0:27:00.720 --> 0:27:03.480
<v Speaker 2>baseball and right handed home run factor. Again, Judge kind

0:27:03.480 --> 0:27:06.040
<v Speaker 2>of waits out a little bit, But from an overall perspective,

0:27:06.080 --> 0:27:08.920
<v Speaker 2>you love the offense, you love the ballpark. Goldie, even

0:27:08.960 --> 0:27:11.800
<v Speaker 2>in his age, like he has declined, he's not that

0:27:11.880 --> 0:27:15.120
<v Speaker 2>same player anymore. We didn't see, you know, some big

0:27:15.240 --> 0:27:18.240
<v Speaker 2>uptick and stolen bases. His averages kind of depressed a

0:27:18.280 --> 0:27:21.399
<v Speaker 2>little bit, but like you said, it's still ten percent.

0:27:21.440 --> 0:27:24.520
<v Speaker 2>Barrel hard hit was around fifty percent, which we love

0:27:24.560 --> 0:27:26.600
<v Speaker 2>to see last year. He's still hitting the ball on

0:27:26.640 --> 0:27:29.960
<v Speaker 2>average ninety one point two average exivelocity, so he's still

0:27:29.960 --> 0:27:33.480
<v Speaker 2>putting quality contact in there. He's just again depressing a

0:27:33.480 --> 0:27:35.560
<v Speaker 2>little bit, like he can round two forty two to

0:27:35.560 --> 0:27:38.640
<v Speaker 2>fifty against fastball and breaking pitches. So I'll take that

0:27:38.760 --> 0:27:42.080
<v Speaker 2>in that ballpark with the potential run support, I just

0:27:42.119 --> 0:27:44.679
<v Speaker 2>think it works really well. And what you said before,

0:27:45.080 --> 0:27:48.040
<v Speaker 2>it's undervalued. That's all that this is. He's going outside

0:27:48.040 --> 0:27:51.040
<v Speaker 2>of the top one fifty for a first baseman with

0:27:51.160 --> 0:27:53.719
<v Speaker 2>that pedigree, with that profile. Because this didn't work out

0:27:53.760 --> 0:27:56.400
<v Speaker 2>for Anthony Rizzo one hundred percent agree with that. It's

0:27:56.440 --> 0:27:58.520
<v Speaker 2>not even just work out for anybody. But I think

0:27:58.600 --> 0:28:00.280
<v Speaker 2>this puts him in a really good spot where he

0:28:00.359 --> 0:28:03.399
<v Speaker 2>is super cheap, and this is one of those guys

0:28:03.440 --> 0:28:04.760
<v Speaker 2>that he doesn't even have to be your first base

0:28:04.760 --> 0:28:06.600
<v Speaker 2>and he can be a corner infielder. I think there's

0:28:06.640 --> 0:28:11.400
<v Speaker 2>a legitimate, like ninety RBI opportunity with twenty five ish homers,

0:28:11.440 --> 0:28:14.239
<v Speaker 2>and if he's twenty five to ten and he's like

0:28:14.359 --> 0:28:17.000
<v Speaker 2>even eighty eighty, that would be I just don't think

0:28:17.040 --> 0:28:18.040
<v Speaker 2>we're getting one fifty.

0:28:18.200 --> 0:28:20.400
<v Speaker 1>I don't like it. Let me just put that out there.

0:28:20.760 --> 0:28:23.600
<v Speaker 1>But I don't. I like him more than Goldman. Look

0:28:23.760 --> 0:28:25.159
<v Speaker 1>I like Bolm. We can say what you want. He's

0:28:25.160 --> 0:28:27.120
<v Speaker 1>a guy's gonna hit two eighty every year and driving

0:28:27.240 --> 0:28:28.800
<v Speaker 1>ninety plus runs. And he's got at two years in

0:28:28.800 --> 0:28:31.040
<v Speaker 1>a row, ninety seven runs driven in two years in

0:28:31.080 --> 0:28:34.359
<v Speaker 1>a row. Goldschmit's not sniffing that number last couple of years.

0:28:34.440 --> 0:28:37.159
<v Speaker 1>So I mean, I know you gotta have guys get

0:28:37.240 --> 0:28:38.920
<v Speaker 1>on base. I get that in front of you. Hopefully

0:28:38.920 --> 0:28:40.800
<v Speaker 1>the Yankees can fix that for him, but I'm just

0:28:40.880 --> 0:28:43.440
<v Speaker 1>not sold. I am sold, however, on the next guy

0:28:43.480 --> 0:28:46.800
<v Speaker 1>at one sixty four Jerks and Profar who last year

0:28:46.880 --> 0:28:49.680
<v Speaker 1>really kind of changed his profile in a lot of ways.

0:28:49.720 --> 0:28:51.520
<v Speaker 1>And I love the landing spot with the Atlanta Braves.

0:28:51.560 --> 0:28:53.320
<v Speaker 1>I mean, this is why the Braves are the Braves,

0:28:53.360 --> 0:28:55.040
<v Speaker 1>and I hate it as a Mets fan, but like

0:28:55.160 --> 0:28:57.720
<v Speaker 1>I saw that signing and I literally just threw my

0:28:57.800 --> 0:29:00.640
<v Speaker 1>hands up and went, well, that's quick essential Land of Braves.

0:29:00.680 --> 0:29:02.440
<v Speaker 1>You let the market kind of come to you, you

0:29:02.520 --> 0:29:05.480
<v Speaker 1>find a terrific value and in you crush life. And

0:29:05.760 --> 0:29:09.800
<v Speaker 1>Profar last year playing for San Diego, had a great season.

0:29:10.560 --> 0:29:14.200
<v Speaker 1>Scored ninety four runs, hit twenty four homers, eighty five RBI,

0:29:14.360 --> 0:29:16.600
<v Speaker 1>stole ten bases for good measure. At two seventy nine,

0:29:17.040 --> 0:29:19.040
<v Speaker 1>it was all there. It was a career year, the

0:29:19.120 --> 0:29:22.719
<v Speaker 1>best we've seen from him. And it's funny he's been

0:29:22.760 --> 0:29:24.920
<v Speaker 1>around for ever Welsh, but he's only thirty one years old,

0:29:25.200 --> 0:29:27.040
<v Speaker 1>so I don't think he is past the prime. I

0:29:27.080 --> 0:29:29.200
<v Speaker 1>think he's still kind of in it. Do I expect

0:29:29.240 --> 0:29:32.120
<v Speaker 1>a complete repeat? I gotta be honest with you, I do.

0:29:32.920 --> 0:29:34.920
<v Speaker 1>And I think that this is a tremendous value for

0:29:34.960 --> 0:29:37.520
<v Speaker 1>a guy that not only can give you some power

0:29:37.560 --> 0:29:39.600
<v Speaker 1>and average, but also is going to give you some

0:29:39.720 --> 0:29:41.520
<v Speaker 1>run score depending on where they hit him in the lineup.

0:29:41.520 --> 0:29:42.960
<v Speaker 1>And I think there's gonna be some opportunity for him

0:29:42.960 --> 0:29:44.880
<v Speaker 1>to move up in that lineup too, if he stays hot,

0:29:45.240 --> 0:29:47.680
<v Speaker 1>a little, stolen bases, to a little of everything. And

0:29:48.640 --> 0:29:50.440
<v Speaker 1>I don't know. I think at this point I'm just

0:29:50.600 --> 0:29:53.640
<v Speaker 1>in on Jurreks and Profar, especially at this value. How

0:29:53.720 --> 0:29:55.360
<v Speaker 1>where are you at with him? Yeah?

0:29:55.400 --> 0:29:57.440
<v Speaker 2>One hundred percent agree. I mean, you were talking about

0:29:57.480 --> 0:29:59.760
<v Speaker 2>the Bati profile, which I'm always like, I always go to,

0:30:00.320 --> 0:30:03.600
<v Speaker 2>but they were like career highs across the board. Barrel

0:30:03.880 --> 0:30:06.480
<v Speaker 2>hard hit was career highs, close to career high in

0:30:06.560 --> 0:30:10.720
<v Speaker 2>K percentage, and a walk percentage career high. Expected batting

0:30:10.760 --> 0:30:13.240
<v Speaker 2>average he hit. His expected batting average was better than

0:30:13.280 --> 0:30:16.680
<v Speaker 2>his actual batting average, which is really incredible for him.

0:30:17.080 --> 0:30:20.080
<v Speaker 2>Great eighty seven percent zone contact rate. This profile just

0:30:20.160 --> 0:30:22.640
<v Speaker 2>feels so good. And then guess what hitting both rightis

0:30:22.640 --> 0:30:24.960
<v Speaker 2>and lefties well, and you're getting out of one of

0:30:25.000 --> 0:30:29.000
<v Speaker 2>the worst ballpark factors in general, and you're going to Atlanta, where,

0:30:29.120 --> 0:30:31.880
<v Speaker 2>by the way, he hit like two ninety seven at

0:30:31.960 --> 0:30:34.840
<v Speaker 2>home past year in San Diego with fifteen of his homers.

0:30:34.880 --> 0:30:36.480
<v Speaker 2>So now you're going to go into a better environment

0:30:36.600 --> 0:30:39.280
<v Speaker 2>in Atlanta, tons of run support, a team that loves

0:30:39.360 --> 0:30:44.560
<v Speaker 2>to run as well. I love love this move for profile.

0:30:44.640 --> 0:30:46.640
<v Speaker 2>I think he is the I'll tell you this when

0:30:46.760 --> 0:30:49.120
<v Speaker 2>you put this list together, and then I made some

0:30:49.240 --> 0:30:52.520
<v Speaker 2>adjustments to some of them. This was the one, Well,

0:30:52.520 --> 0:30:55.320
<v Speaker 2>there's one other guy, this guy, and then a shortstop

0:30:55.320 --> 0:30:56.800
<v Speaker 2>we're going to talk about in a little bit. They

0:30:56.920 --> 0:31:00.200
<v Speaker 2>were exactly what I thought about when we were thinking

0:31:00.200 --> 0:31:03.960
<v Speaker 2>about undervalued hitters, and they were the quintessential players. I

0:31:04.000 --> 0:31:06.080
<v Speaker 2>think Profar is that he might, like you said, hit

0:31:06.080 --> 0:31:08.760
<v Speaker 2>a little bit lower in the lineup, but I legitimately

0:31:08.840 --> 0:31:12.680
<v Speaker 2>think we are in the twenty ten baseline area for

0:31:12.800 --> 0:31:15.040
<v Speaker 2>his stats, and maybe the average ticks up a little bit.

0:31:15.320 --> 0:31:17.400
<v Speaker 2>I really really do love this signing, and I love

0:31:17.440 --> 0:31:17.760
<v Speaker 2>this pick.

0:31:17.840 --> 0:31:20.440
<v Speaker 1>Here three eighty OBP last year and if you look

0:31:20.480 --> 0:31:22.920
<v Speaker 1>at the fifth percentage, you know, the walk percentage, Okay,

0:31:22.960 --> 0:31:25.480
<v Speaker 1>all that stuff, it is bright red. I mean we're

0:31:25.480 --> 0:31:28.680
<v Speaker 1>talking to the ninetieth percentile there everywhere. If he maintains

0:31:28.760 --> 0:31:30.760
<v Speaker 1>that level, Welsh, he is not gonna be hitting in

0:31:30.800 --> 0:31:32.680
<v Speaker 1>the bottom of that lineup all year. I'm telling you

0:31:32.760 --> 0:31:35.320
<v Speaker 1>right now, people up towards the top, especially especially to

0:31:35.400 --> 0:31:37.800
<v Speaker 1>start the year, because Akunya is not going to be

0:31:37.880 --> 0:31:39.520
<v Speaker 1>at the top of that lineup, probably in the opening,

0:31:39.760 --> 0:31:41.680
<v Speaker 1>and if Profar is up there and they have success

0:31:41.720 --> 0:31:43.120
<v Speaker 1>with that, they might step back and go, you know,

0:31:43.240 --> 0:31:45.160
<v Speaker 1>let's leave Profar somewhere into the top. We could drop

0:31:45.200 --> 0:31:47.040
<v Speaker 1>a Michael Harris down, we could drop somebody else down.

0:31:47.320 --> 0:31:49.200
<v Speaker 1>Don't be shocked if that happens. The May.

0:31:49.520 --> 0:31:51.560
<v Speaker 2>That point is actually key because of what I was

0:31:51.640 --> 0:31:54.320
<v Speaker 2>gonna say was the Braves are not afraid to make

0:31:54.360 --> 0:31:57.000
<v Speaker 2>those moves. They've moved Albe's up and down the lineup,

0:31:57.040 --> 0:31:59.240
<v Speaker 2>They've moved Harris up and down the lineup. I mean,

0:31:59.360 --> 0:32:01.960
<v Speaker 2>profile has been to be like a number two hitter.

0:32:02.040 --> 0:32:04.000
<v Speaker 2>Don't be shocked if he was a number two hitter.

0:32:04.280 --> 0:32:06.000
<v Speaker 2>And I mean, you know, Michael Harris would be great

0:32:06.000 --> 0:32:08.320
<v Speaker 2>for that spot as well or Alby's, but I just

0:32:08.360 --> 0:32:11.080
<v Speaker 2>wouldn't be shocked if Profar they wanted to throw him

0:32:11.120 --> 0:32:13.000
<v Speaker 2>into that spot. So I really like this pick.

0:32:13.440 --> 0:32:15.120
<v Speaker 1>Okay, a couple more guys love to talk about one

0:32:15.160 --> 0:32:18.200
<v Speaker 1>seventy five Mason Win of the Saint Louis Cardinals at shortstop.

0:32:18.840 --> 0:32:20.440
<v Speaker 1>This is the guy that Welsh and I both like

0:32:20.600 --> 0:32:22.720
<v Speaker 1>quite a bit. Last year. You started to get a

0:32:22.720 --> 0:32:24.520
<v Speaker 1>taste how good he was, just twenty two years old,

0:32:24.600 --> 0:32:27.560
<v Speaker 1>fifteen homers, eleven steals at two sixty eight. They played

0:32:27.560 --> 0:32:30.120
<v Speaker 1>one hundred and fifty games, So it was a really

0:32:30.240 --> 0:32:32.560
<v Speaker 1>strong full season for him, his first full season in

0:32:32.680 --> 0:32:36.080
<v Speaker 1>the big League's player again, who's got so much ahead

0:32:36.080 --> 0:32:39.080
<v Speaker 1>of him? So this one puzzles me of why he

0:32:39.200 --> 0:32:41.880
<v Speaker 1>is so low here because of the profile. I don't

0:32:41.880 --> 0:32:43.920
<v Speaker 1>know if people are just expecting the Cardinals to be bad,

0:32:43.960 --> 0:32:46.360
<v Speaker 1>which okay, that's fair, But there's also a world where

0:32:46.440 --> 0:32:49.560
<v Speaker 1>Aeronatto bounces back and Jordan Walker, who is still much

0:32:49.600 --> 0:32:52.360
<v Speaker 1>younger than people realize, maybe starts to turn things around,

0:32:52.400 --> 0:32:54.040
<v Speaker 1>and all of a sudden, maybe the Cardinals offense isn't

0:32:54.120 --> 0:32:56.400
<v Speaker 1>quite as bad as people might project it to be.

0:32:56.480 --> 0:32:57.479
<v Speaker 1>What do you think about Mason Win?

0:32:57.720 --> 0:32:59.760
<v Speaker 2>Yeah, I think the reason that he's still down is

0:32:59.840 --> 0:33:02.520
<v Speaker 2>like in that entire season last year, it was still

0:33:02.600 --> 0:33:04.880
<v Speaker 2>fifteen eleven, you know, so, like as much as like

0:33:04.960 --> 0:33:06.840
<v Speaker 2>some of the profile is fun, he didn't put up

0:33:06.880 --> 0:33:08.920
<v Speaker 2>this big counting stats season. He's been working all off

0:33:09.000 --> 0:33:11.880
<v Speaker 2>season building more body masks. I mean, you know you

0:33:11.920 --> 0:33:13.840
<v Speaker 2>always want to hear like were they a drive line?

0:33:13.880 --> 0:33:15.160
<v Speaker 2>You know, that's your where did they go to?

0:33:15.240 --> 0:33:15.560
<v Speaker 1>Jared?

0:33:15.600 --> 0:33:17.560
<v Speaker 2>It's did they go to drive line? That's what you're

0:33:17.600 --> 0:33:19.680
<v Speaker 2>looking for, And he's one of those guys. He's been

0:33:19.720 --> 0:33:22.400
<v Speaker 2>working on that just physical build body mass, which you

0:33:22.480 --> 0:33:25.680
<v Speaker 2>know would generate more power, and that's what we're absolutely

0:33:25.800 --> 0:33:28.280
<v Speaker 2>want to see out of him. The profile is still

0:33:28.280 --> 0:33:30.920
<v Speaker 2>a little bit like really low barrel rate that's usually

0:33:30.960 --> 0:33:33.640
<v Speaker 2>two more contact based hitters, not a great hard hit rate.

0:33:33.680 --> 0:33:36.480
<v Speaker 2>He actually went down year over year. But the reason

0:33:36.600 --> 0:33:38.480
<v Speaker 2>to get excited is he gets the ball in the air.

0:33:38.600 --> 0:33:40.800
<v Speaker 2>And we have seen a ton of hitters be able

0:33:40.880 --> 0:33:45.400
<v Speaker 2>to just maximize c. J. Abrams, Hassan Kim. They've been

0:33:45.440 --> 0:33:47.840
<v Speaker 2>players that you know they don't have like great barrel

0:33:47.880 --> 0:33:49.520
<v Speaker 2>and hard hit, but if you get the ball, you know,

0:33:49.600 --> 0:33:50.840
<v Speaker 2>you square up the ball and you get it in

0:33:50.920 --> 0:33:52.920
<v Speaker 2>the air. Mookie Betts has done that for a decent

0:33:52.920 --> 0:33:54.479
<v Speaker 2>amount of time. Then all of a sudden, you can

0:33:54.600 --> 0:33:58.200
<v Speaker 2>just start, you know, getting fifteen twenty homers. Win can

0:33:58.320 --> 0:34:00.880
<v Speaker 2>also steal and that that's the thing I think could

0:34:00.880 --> 0:34:02.640
<v Speaker 2>take a big jump up as well. As this team

0:34:02.720 --> 0:34:05.920
<v Speaker 2>is completely retransforming who they are, I will say as well,

0:34:06.360 --> 0:34:10.319
<v Speaker 2>he is actual like hitting profile eighty to eighty six

0:34:10.560 --> 0:34:12.960
<v Speaker 2>rise in his own contact percentage, So now getting into

0:34:13.000 --> 0:34:16.520
<v Speaker 2>elite zone contact, he's generating more that body mass, which

0:34:16.600 --> 0:34:19.080
<v Speaker 2>I am hopeful is going to put some more power up.

0:34:19.120 --> 0:34:21.200
<v Speaker 2>I think most people see him as like a fifteen

0:34:21.239 --> 0:34:24.320
<v Speaker 2>to fifteen guy. I think there's twenty twenty upside, especially

0:34:24.320 --> 0:34:26.239
<v Speaker 2>if he gets a hit higher on the lineup is

0:34:26.280 --> 0:34:28.920
<v Speaker 2>there just getting rid of all their pieces. Mason Win

0:34:29.600 --> 0:34:32.000
<v Speaker 2>and Jerkson Profar with the two guys that jumped out

0:34:32.040 --> 0:34:35.759
<v Speaker 2>to me as like prime candidates. One seventy five consensus

0:34:35.840 --> 0:34:38.680
<v Speaker 2>ADP right now is crazy. He is like my number

0:34:38.840 --> 0:34:42.640
<v Speaker 2>one middle infield target across the board. Pair him with

0:34:42.760 --> 0:34:46.399
<v Speaker 2>a Corey Seeger or a volatile like if you call

0:34:46.520 --> 0:34:49.640
<v Speaker 2>Ellie volatile, apparently whoever you want, you're getting a little

0:34:49.680 --> 0:34:51.960
<v Speaker 2>bit of everything. And I think there is upside for

0:34:52.080 --> 0:34:53.960
<v Speaker 2>Mason Win. And I do think he could be one

0:34:54.000 --> 0:34:56.720
<v Speaker 2>of those guys that his profile as a hitter jumps

0:34:56.800 --> 0:34:57.239
<v Speaker 2>up this year.

0:34:58.120 --> 0:34:59.560
<v Speaker 1>Next guy might be a little bit of a leaf

0:34:59.560 --> 0:35:02.200
<v Speaker 1>of leap faith. At one eighty four, Estak paradis now

0:35:02.280 --> 0:35:06.000
<v Speaker 1>with Houston and I'm here for it. He is one

0:35:06.080 --> 0:35:08.919
<v Speaker 1>year removed from a thirty one home run season where

0:35:08.920 --> 0:35:11.120
<v Speaker 1>he had two fifty Last year just to thirty eight.

0:35:11.680 --> 0:35:14.560
<v Speaker 1>The home runs dropped to nineteen, the lowest total in

0:35:14.640 --> 0:35:17.279
<v Speaker 1>the two previous years, for sure. And I know, you know,

0:35:17.400 --> 0:35:20.319
<v Speaker 1>you dig deeper, and some of the deeper numbers aren't good.

0:35:20.480 --> 0:35:22.160
<v Speaker 1>I keep coming back to the same thing, which is

0:35:22.640 --> 0:35:27.000
<v Speaker 1>certain organizations. I always perk up right when Atlanta goes

0:35:27.040 --> 0:35:30.520
<v Speaker 1>after somebody. When the Tampa Bay Rays sign a pitcher

0:35:30.680 --> 0:35:33.120
<v Speaker 1>that's kind of, you know, cast aside from somewhere else.

0:35:33.480 --> 0:35:35.759
<v Speaker 1>They see something. And Houston's one of these teams too,

0:35:35.960 --> 0:35:37.960
<v Speaker 1>so they have a really good eye for what they

0:35:38.320 --> 0:35:41.160
<v Speaker 1>look for, and I think their scouting departments very good

0:35:41.200 --> 0:35:43.760
<v Speaker 1>identifying players are going to play well in this environment,

0:35:43.840 --> 0:35:46.520
<v Speaker 1>and Parades does. Now. We're still waiting to hear on

0:35:46.600 --> 0:35:48.320
<v Speaker 1>Bregman as of recording this and seeing how all that

0:35:48.520 --> 0:35:51.919
<v Speaker 1>shakes out. But in the meantime, right now, Paradis looks

0:35:51.920 --> 0:35:53.920
<v Speaker 1>like a guy that if you take those numbers and

0:35:54.040 --> 0:35:56.560
<v Speaker 1>you copy and paste them to Houston last year, that

0:35:56.680 --> 0:35:59.279
<v Speaker 1>home run total is not nearly as over underwhelming. So

0:35:59.760 --> 0:36:01.480
<v Speaker 1>I look at this guy is a value at the

0:36:01.520 --> 0:36:03.160
<v Speaker 1>corner spot. Again, not a guy I want to start

0:36:03.160 --> 0:36:05.319
<v Speaker 1>as a third baseman, but as a corner guy. I'm

0:36:05.520 --> 0:36:08.320
<v Speaker 1>very intrigued by him in this situation with Houston. What

0:36:08.400 --> 0:36:09.880
<v Speaker 1>do you think of Paritis in twenty twenty five?

0:36:10.000 --> 0:36:12.840
<v Speaker 2>Well, check this out. Baseball Savant has a category you

0:36:12.960 --> 0:36:14.879
<v Speaker 2>can check where you can see if this player played

0:36:14.880 --> 0:36:17.160
<v Speaker 2>all their home games in a home ballpark, what their

0:36:17.160 --> 0:36:19.640
<v Speaker 2>home what would the actual homer in total be that's

0:36:19.719 --> 0:36:21.960
<v Speaker 2>misleading a little bit, but it tells you about the ballpark.

0:36:22.160 --> 0:36:25.440
<v Speaker 2>He hit nineteen homers last year. If he were in Houston,

0:36:26.120 --> 0:36:30.040
<v Speaker 2>Houston represented the number one most homers he would have

0:36:30.160 --> 0:36:32.880
<v Speaker 2>hit in a single place, twenty six for Houston. No

0:36:32.960 --> 0:36:35.680
<v Speaker 2>other ballpark would have been more beneficial for East sac Praidies.

0:36:35.760 --> 0:36:38.319
<v Speaker 2>So I think the reason you throw him in here.

0:36:38.360 --> 0:36:40.400
<v Speaker 2>There's a lot of things that are not great about profile.

0:36:40.440 --> 0:36:42.200
<v Speaker 2>But remember what I just said about Mason winn It's like, oh,

0:36:42.239 --> 0:36:44.279
<v Speaker 2>it doesn't hit the ball hard. He doesn't really barrel

0:36:44.400 --> 0:36:46.920
<v Speaker 2>up the ball. Sometimes it's more of a contact approach.

0:36:47.200 --> 0:36:50.640
<v Speaker 2>How can you maximize it? Pull fly balls, that's Pradies does.

0:36:50.680 --> 0:36:53.319
<v Speaker 2>He has one of the highest launch angles twenty two

0:36:53.560 --> 0:36:57.840
<v Speaker 2>degree launch angle. And the way we get to extrapolate

0:36:57.920 --> 0:37:00.400
<v Speaker 2>this is just look at what he did in Ten Bay,

0:37:00.440 --> 0:37:02.320
<v Speaker 2>where he was able to pull those fly balls and

0:37:02.360 --> 0:37:04.600
<v Speaker 2>had a little bit of gimme. In twenty twenty three,

0:37:04.680 --> 0:37:06.920
<v Speaker 2>he hit two fifty with thirty one homers with a

0:37:07.000 --> 0:37:09.880
<v Speaker 2>not great profile. He went to the Cubs. He's stunk.

0:37:10.280 --> 0:37:12.799
<v Speaker 2>Now he's going to the best place that's built for him.

0:37:13.200 --> 0:37:15.840
<v Speaker 2>We have a baseline for what that would do, and

0:37:15.960 --> 0:37:19.320
<v Speaker 2>that baseline is thirty homers in the two fifty range.

0:37:19.480 --> 0:37:22.800
<v Speaker 2>You hope that continues. He's got tons of support around him. Listen,

0:37:23.040 --> 0:37:26.600
<v Speaker 2>this is about undervalued guys. If we get ninety percent

0:37:27.080 --> 0:37:30.160
<v Speaker 2>of what he was in Tampa Bay, mind you, this

0:37:30.360 --> 0:37:34.360
<v Speaker 2>is a better ballpark for him, with incredibly better offensive

0:37:34.360 --> 0:37:38.120
<v Speaker 2>pieces around him exactly, then there's no doubt that him

0:37:38.200 --> 0:37:40.640
<v Speaker 2>going around one point eighty four right now and is

0:37:41.040 --> 0:37:45.360
<v Speaker 2>overall ADP. He is not the most most undervalued, but

0:37:45.480 --> 0:37:48.479
<v Speaker 2>he is close to it if that ballpark really does push.

0:37:49.080 --> 0:37:50.640
<v Speaker 1>Before we get to the last on our list, all

0:37:50.680 --> 0:37:52.560
<v Speaker 1>these guys you should be putting on your cheat sheets

0:37:52.640 --> 0:37:55.719
<v Speaker 1>and make your own cheat cheet Creator is available for

0:37:55.760 --> 0:37:58.759
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0:37:59.080 --> 0:38:02.200
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0:38:02.239 --> 0:38:05.440
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0:38:05.480 --> 0:38:08.480
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0:38:08.560 --> 0:38:11.640
<v Speaker 1>process during the draft, and automatically update your cheat sheet

0:38:11.760 --> 0:38:14.520
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0:38:14.560 --> 0:38:17.200
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0:38:17.560 --> 0:38:21.279
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0:38:21.320 --> 0:38:23.560
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0:38:23.840 --> 0:38:26.879
<v Speaker 1>Fantasy Baseball draft season is here, and of course don't

0:38:26.880 --> 0:38:30.600
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0:38:31.160 --> 0:38:32.560
<v Speaker 1>Last guy in the list is a guy I actually

0:38:32.640 --> 0:38:36.040
<v Speaker 1>drafted yesterday, Jeremy Pania of the Houston Astros. It's funny

0:38:36.040 --> 0:38:38.360
<v Speaker 1>because the NFBC number for him is like one to

0:38:38.440 --> 0:38:42.040
<v Speaker 1>sixty five. I looked at it before one ninety and

0:38:42.160 --> 0:38:44.360
<v Speaker 1>some other spots. They're depending on what you believe and

0:38:44.800 --> 0:38:47.520
<v Speaker 1>our expert consensus rankings. Right now him at two seventy eight,

0:38:47.520 --> 0:38:48.280
<v Speaker 1>which is absurd.

0:38:48.480 --> 0:38:52.120
<v Speaker 2>It's because there's one site that doesn't have him registered

0:38:52.239 --> 0:38:54.200
<v Speaker 2>or we're not picking up. So yeah, I put this

0:38:54.360 --> 0:38:56.920
<v Speaker 2>note in here. The ADP is two seventy eight. It's

0:38:57.040 --> 0:38:58.800
<v Speaker 2>incorrect if you just take let's.

0:38:58.680 --> 0:39:01.160
<v Speaker 1>Go on two hundred. Let's let's with the difference. Let's

0:39:01.160 --> 0:39:02.880
<v Speaker 1>call it two you know, you know what, Let's call

0:39:02.920 --> 0:39:04.840
<v Speaker 1>it one ninety. I'll even go there. Let's call it

0:39:04.920 --> 0:39:09.160
<v Speaker 1>one ninety. Still absurd, still ridiculous, Still a value coming

0:39:09.200 --> 0:39:11.880
<v Speaker 1>off a season last year where uh, this is the

0:39:11.880 --> 0:39:14.200
<v Speaker 1>player that honestly you were in before anybody else a

0:39:14.200 --> 0:39:15.560
<v Speaker 1>couple years ago so I want to give you credit

0:39:15.640 --> 0:39:16.960
<v Speaker 1>for that, and I hate giving you credit, but I

0:39:17.080 --> 0:39:19.440
<v Speaker 1>have to because you were like the og Jeremy pinya

0:39:19.480 --> 0:39:22.239
<v Speaker 1>guy twenty two one runs in twenty twenty two. Then

0:39:22.440 --> 0:39:24.319
<v Speaker 1>the home runs ticked down a little bit to ten,

0:39:24.600 --> 0:39:26.719
<v Speaker 1>came back up to fifteen last year. He also had

0:39:26.719 --> 0:39:29.879
<v Speaker 1>a twenty steals, establish a good basemine of two sixty six.

0:39:29.960 --> 0:39:32.600
<v Speaker 1>He's just solid. He's going to probably score eighty runs again.

0:39:32.640 --> 0:39:34.560
<v Speaker 1>And I'm looking at him and saying, well that late.

0:39:34.600 --> 0:39:37.280
<v Speaker 1>If I'm looking for a middle infield guy, he fits

0:39:37.320 --> 0:39:38.960
<v Speaker 1>the bill of exactly the kind of player I want,

0:39:39.080 --> 0:39:41.920
<v Speaker 1>strong benchmark, room for more, and I know he's not

0:39:41.960 --> 0:39:43.920
<v Speaker 1>going to hurt me necessarily either. Well.

0:39:43.960 --> 0:39:48.120
<v Speaker 2>Listen, Also, they lost Kyle Tucker and I theoretical Alex Bregman,

0:39:48.239 --> 0:39:49.920
<v Speaker 2>so that changed. I mean, obviously they brought in you know,

0:39:50.000 --> 0:39:52.520
<v Speaker 2>Parades and Christian Walker and whatever, but like it opens

0:39:52.600 --> 0:39:54.799
<v Speaker 2>up potential in the lineup. If you remember, they were

0:39:54.880 --> 0:39:57.560
<v Speaker 2>toying around a lot with Jeremy Pania hitting in the

0:39:57.640 --> 0:39:59.680
<v Speaker 2>leadoff spot. They wanted to see him as a leadoff

0:39:59.719 --> 0:40:02.440
<v Speaker 2>hitter because you were starting to see and last year,

0:40:03.080 --> 0:40:06.319
<v Speaker 2>by the way, I wanted to look here at he Yeah,

0:40:06.400 --> 0:40:08.600
<v Speaker 2>he really. They took him out of that. His primary

0:40:08.640 --> 0:40:11.480
<v Speaker 2>spots were at five and six, but he was hitting

0:40:11.520 --> 0:40:14.279
<v Speaker 2>out of the one and two spot that could come

0:40:14.400 --> 0:40:16.520
<v Speaker 2>back up. And the reason behind that and why they

0:40:16.600 --> 0:40:18.560
<v Speaker 2>had put them there before is he does make a

0:40:18.600 --> 0:40:20.560
<v Speaker 2>lot of contact. This is another one of those guys

0:40:20.719 --> 0:40:23.960
<v Speaker 2>eighty seven percent zone contact, so if the balls on

0:40:24.000 --> 0:40:27.120
<v Speaker 2>the zone, he's making quality contact. While his strikeouts have

0:40:27.239 --> 0:40:31.360
<v Speaker 2>gone down seventeen percent strikeout rate last year, while some

0:40:31.640 --> 0:40:34.480
<v Speaker 2>of the hitting profile was starting to increase just a

0:40:34.560 --> 0:40:36.680
<v Speaker 2>tiny bit. But really I think the key is like

0:40:36.760 --> 0:40:40.000
<v Speaker 2>he is becoming a better hitter. He is still stealing bases,

0:40:40.000 --> 0:40:41.600
<v Speaker 2>which is something I wasn't sure if he was going

0:40:41.680 --> 0:40:43.879
<v Speaker 2>to do. He has increased his stolen bases for three

0:40:43.960 --> 0:40:48.000
<v Speaker 2>straight years fifteen twenty two sixty six batting average this

0:40:48.200 --> 0:40:50.600
<v Speaker 2>past season. Now he could be put in a few

0:40:50.680 --> 0:40:54.520
<v Speaker 2>more prime spots he expected batting averages two sixty. What

0:40:54.600 --> 0:40:57.400
<v Speaker 2>I'm getting at is if you can get fifteen twenty

0:40:57.440 --> 0:41:00.840
<v Speaker 2>five or twenty twenty and he has a high batting average,

0:41:01.120 --> 0:41:05.120
<v Speaker 2>that could be worth exponentially more than a one ninety

0:41:05.200 --> 0:41:08.280
<v Speaker 2>eightyp A two hundred adyp A one to sixty EIGHTYP

0:41:09.239 --> 0:41:11.960
<v Speaker 2>a position that can fall off a little bit outside

0:41:12.000 --> 0:41:14.040
<v Speaker 2>the top fifteen. Jeremy Paine is one of my prime

0:41:14.160 --> 0:41:17.480
<v Speaker 2>targets for middle infield, or if I really really screwed up,

0:41:17.760 --> 0:41:19.520
<v Speaker 2>I think the baseline of what he does makes a

0:41:19.600 --> 0:41:22.320
<v Speaker 2>ton of sense, and he is. He is very undervalued

0:41:22.440 --> 0:41:26.040
<v Speaker 2>because of no huge, big breakout. But I really do

0:41:26.280 --> 0:41:29.359
<v Speaker 2>like Jeremy Payne, and you know Luis Garcia talk about

0:41:29.400 --> 0:41:33.040
<v Speaker 2>Louis Garcia and everyone's excited. Luis gars the marker between

0:41:33.120 --> 0:41:36.319
<v Speaker 2>Louis Garcia and Jeremy Peneas statistically it's not that far off.

0:41:36.440 --> 0:41:40.200
<v Speaker 1>It's not eighty eighty p is adp is. And he's

0:41:40.200 --> 0:41:41.879
<v Speaker 1>a little older too, so maybe you will see a jump.

0:41:41.920 --> 0:41:44.160
<v Speaker 1>He's twenty seven years old right turning twenty eight, Like

0:41:44.480 --> 0:41:46.160
<v Speaker 1>you're in that spot where if he is going to

0:41:46.200 --> 0:41:48.879
<v Speaker 1>make a jump and become something else or build off

0:41:48.920 --> 0:41:51.080
<v Speaker 1>of what he's been. This would be the window of

0:41:51.160 --> 0:41:52.719
<v Speaker 1>time typically where you're going to see that a couple

0:41:52.719 --> 0:41:54.239
<v Speaker 1>of years into the league. So we'll see if Jeremy

0:41:54.280 --> 0:41:56.919
<v Speaker 1>Payne is ready for a jump again. The undervalued guys

0:41:56.960 --> 0:41:59.680
<v Speaker 1>in our list Tristan Calasas Junior, Caminaro, Randy Rose, Arena,

0:41:59.760 --> 0:42:04.920
<v Speaker 1>Louis Garcia, Junior, Logan O Hoppy, Paul Goldschmidt, Jerks and Profile,

0:42:05.000 --> 0:42:08.120
<v Speaker 1>Mason winn Esak Parius and Jeremy Pina. Who is your

0:42:08.239 --> 0:42:12.040
<v Speaker 1>most underrated player coming into twenty twenty five? I want

0:42:12.080 --> 0:42:14.600
<v Speaker 1>to know? Drop the comments bowl on the YouTube channel,

0:42:14.680 --> 0:42:16.759
<v Speaker 1>subscribe to the YouTube channel, ring the bell to let

0:42:16.800 --> 0:42:19.680
<v Speaker 1>goes dang on the YouTube channel and enjoy all the

0:42:19.719 --> 0:42:23.399
<v Speaker 1>amazing fantasy baseball content here at Fantasy Pros MLB. That'll

0:42:23.440 --> 0:42:24.880
<v Speaker 1>do it for us, but the story of the game

0:42:24.960 --> 0:42:27.160
<v Speaker 1>goes on for the Welsh. I'm Joey p. We'll see

0:42:27.160 --> 0:42:29.800
<v Speaker 1>you next time. Kids. Thanks for listening to the Fantasy

0:42:29.840 --> 0:42:33.000
<v Speaker 1>Pros Fantasy Baseball podcast. If you love the show, the

0:42:33.120 --> 0:42:35.640
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