WEBVTT - 2 Game Breakfast Special | Thur NBA Best Bets 0:00:00.810 --> 0:00:04.370 What these young bloods have to understand, that this game 0:00:05.190 --> 0:00:09.090 has always been and will always be about buckets. 0:00:09.970 --> 0:00:11.170 Just attack the basket. 0:00:11.210 --> 0:00:12.119 Stop it! 0:00:12.490 --> 0:00:19.079 Stop it! You cannot do it like that! Oh! With 0:00:19.739 --> 0:00:23.860 no regard for human life! 0:00:23.900 --> 0:00:24.439 Bang! Bang! 0:00:24.460 --> 0:00:28.560 I cannot believe you've done it again! Are you kidding me? 0:00:28.600 --> 0:00:34.589 Oh! Welcome to bacon and eggs buckets. Your daily NBA 0:00:34.630 --> 0:00:38.470 betting podcast presented by draft Kings. I'm your host, Brandon Kravitz. 0:00:38.930 --> 0:00:42.410 I have come fully equipped with my action network coffee 0:00:42.450 --> 0:00:46.420 mug for this early morning buckets episode. And I'm joined 0:00:46.780 --> 0:00:48.860 by Brian Fonseca from the New York posts. 0:00:49.300 --> 0:00:53.140 This is buckets. Best bet episode, Thursday edition. 0:00:53.180 --> 0:00:56.060 We have two games to detail here and you've got 0:00:56.100 --> 0:00:59.690 the right guys for it. Magic suns. and heat warriors. 0:00:59.770 --> 0:01:01.550 So you've got the magic guy and the heat guy 0:01:01.590 --> 0:01:04.630 here on the pod heat on the second night of 0:01:04.709 --> 0:01:08.170 a back to back. And we did not do an 0:01:08.250 --> 0:01:11.000 episode last night. We were ready to go sort of, 0:01:11.450 --> 0:01:14.310 but the odds were not ready to go, Brian. So 0:01:14.350 --> 0:01:16.690 we decided to push it to the morning. That way 0:01:16.709 --> 0:01:19.090 we could give you the most accurate information and not 0:01:19.110 --> 0:01:21.530 just guess as to what the lines are going to be. 0:01:21.590 --> 0:01:23.089 I think we may have made the right call here. 0:01:23.690 --> 0:01:26.050 Yeah ultimately we felt like it would be a better 0:01:26.090 --> 0:01:28.729 show we didn't get lines until i don't know well 0:01:28.790 --> 0:01:31.490 after midnight and on top of that you had uh 0:01:31.970 --> 0:01:35.590 the heat go into overtime which then moved the lines 0:01:35.720 --> 0:01:38.539 even more if you were paying attention to them so 0:01:39.040 --> 0:01:40.940 he went into overtime with the clippers and they're going 0:01:40.959 --> 0:01:44.340 to be in golden state tonight um presumably already are 0:01:44.440 --> 0:01:48.920 over there but yeah uh it was i don't I've 0:01:48.960 --> 0:01:50.900 never been part of an episode that had to move 0:01:50.940 --> 0:01:52.700 into the morning, but we had to. 0:01:52.840 --> 0:01:54.020 It just wasn't what it was. 0:01:54.040 --> 0:01:56.920 The Heat and the Clipper game was going on at 0:01:56.960 --> 0:01:58.690 damn near 1.30 East Coast time. 0:01:59.270 --> 0:02:02.010 Yeah, it was like the perfect storm of not having 0:02:02.290 --> 0:02:04.750 really anything actionable to talk about. When we have an 0:02:04.810 --> 0:02:06.590 idea of what these lines are going to be, we 0:02:06.610 --> 0:02:08.269 have an idea of what the props are going to be. 0:02:08.310 --> 0:02:09.790 They don't change that much. 0:02:09.850 --> 0:02:13.710 I think the juice associated with the props changes more 0:02:13.750 --> 0:02:17.919 than the actual the physical number itself, but all that 0:02:17.960 --> 0:02:20.700 stuff matters, especially when you're talking about games that are 0:02:20.780 --> 0:02:22.900 in action and we can be dealing with injuries in 0:02:22.940 --> 0:02:27.320 real time. A spread with Giannis involved, if he goes down, 0:02:27.380 --> 0:02:29.630 is going to move by six points. So there's not 0:02:29.690 --> 0:02:33.270 a lot. These are things that we need to consider 0:02:33.310 --> 0:02:36.550 when we lock in on these episodes. So Miami, second 0:02:36.570 --> 0:02:38.790 night of a back-to-back. The Magic are starting a West 0:02:38.850 --> 0:02:43.220 Coast road trip. with the Phoenix suns tonight, Miami trail 0:02:43.260 --> 0:02:45.940 by 20 late in the second quarter last night was 0:02:45.980 --> 0:02:48.739 still down 10 with four and a half minutes left 0:02:48.780 --> 0:02:51.880 in the fourth quarter. They went on a nine Oh 0:02:51.900 --> 0:02:54.980 run wound up pushing this game to overtime. Clay Thompson 0:02:55.000 --> 0:02:59.260 was awesome. Giannis got help from the other guys on 0:02:59.310 --> 0:03:02.030 the team. And it was refreshing to see. It felt 0:03:02.090 --> 0:03:04.889 like that at least the second half version of the heat, 0:03:04.930 --> 0:03:07.370 like that's sort of what we thought we were signing 0:03:07.410 --> 0:03:08.090 up for this season. 0:03:08.760 --> 0:03:14.100 Yeah, literally, if the second quarter doesn't happen, then overtime 0:03:14.139 --> 0:03:16.980 doesn't happen. And it took in the fourth quarter, they 0:03:17.220 --> 0:03:21.320 defended their faces off. Davion Mitchell was not going to 0:03:21.340 --> 0:03:24.340 let them lose that game. Like he's really he really 0:03:24.380 --> 0:03:27.560 was the catalyst in that quarter for what ended up happening. 0:03:27.639 --> 0:03:30.240 And then Bam Adebayo, obviously, he had a great night. 0:03:30.260 --> 0:03:32.040 He has best game of the season so far from 0:03:32.080 --> 0:03:36.060 an offensive standpoint. Defensively, he was good as well. But 0:03:36.100 --> 0:03:38.400 from an offensive standpoint, it was easily his best night. 0:03:39.110 --> 0:03:44.210 And then Klay, who had a very costly mistake defensively 0:03:44.250 --> 0:03:47.350 in fouling Ruri Hachimura late on an and one, but 0:03:48.010 --> 0:03:50.710 had eight threes and had 30 points. And he's been 0:03:51.430 --> 0:03:54.050 really good these last few games for them. Yeah, but 0:03:54.090 --> 0:03:56.660 they just need to get more out of the quote 0:03:56.680 --> 0:04:00.940 unquote others like Tim Hardaway Jr. And Andrew Wiggins in particular, 0:04:01.700 --> 0:04:04.860 Pella Larson, Nikola Jovic, even like they're just not getting 0:04:04.920 --> 0:04:05.820 enough from those guys. 0:04:06.600 --> 0:04:08.560 But Davion has brought it this year. 0:04:09.100 --> 0:04:12.059 Bam has been playing better lately, especially last night. 0:04:12.080 --> 0:04:13.180 And Klay's been better lately. 0:04:13.700 --> 0:04:16.960 And Giannis is Giannis. I don't think Giannis was like 0:04:17.620 --> 0:04:22.370 Giannis level impactful last night, but he's been very, very productive. And, 0:04:22.810 --> 0:04:25.050 you know, they're still tinkering, but they've won three of four. 0:04:25.830 --> 0:04:27.750 They have a tough one tonight, as we'll talk about, 0:04:29.310 --> 0:04:31.950 which maybe didn't look that tough a week and a 0:04:31.970 --> 0:04:34.330 half ago. But now it's a tough one on the 0:04:34.370 --> 0:04:35.190 second of a back to back. 0:04:35.830 --> 0:04:38.930 I'm looking at the fourth quarter box from last night. 0:04:39.570 --> 0:04:41.930 It's amazing that the Heat were able to come back 0:04:42.089 --> 0:04:44.010 the way that they did. They did not shoot the 0:04:44.050 --> 0:04:46.990 ball well in the final quarter. 36% from the field. 0:04:47.029 --> 0:04:50.300 They were 0-7 from three-point range in that final quarter, 0:04:50.680 --> 0:04:53.040 but they just turned the water off for the Clippers. 0:04:53.140 --> 0:04:53.960 They held L.A. 0:04:54.339 --> 0:04:56.620 To 20 points in the final frame, able to push 0:04:56.640 --> 0:04:58.539 the game to overtime, some clutch buckets. 0:04:59.080 --> 0:05:01.740 How many turnovers did the Clippers have in that quarter? 0:05:01.760 --> 0:05:03.900 In the fourth or in the game? In the fourth quarter. 0:05:03.920 --> 0:05:04.900 In the fourth, they had six. 0:05:05.410 --> 0:05:05.950 Yeah. 0:05:06.029 --> 0:05:08.670 And he'd had one. So those extra possessions, that's how 0:05:08.710 --> 0:05:11.169 you push a game to OT when you're down. 0:05:11.890 --> 0:05:16.030 Real quick, before we get to the games themselves, an 0:05:16.070 --> 0:05:19.770 important note from last night. Maybe you've seen this by now. 0:05:20.310 --> 0:05:27.880 The Victor Wimbenyama stat line. Holy hell. 52 points, 24 rebounds, 0:05:28.160 --> 0:05:31.800 eight blocked shots. Let me give you some historical context 0:05:31.839 --> 0:05:35.789 from ESPN insights on this. No one has ever scored 0:05:35.790 --> 0:05:41.550 50 plus points, grabbed 20 plus rebounds, blocked eight plus shots, 0:05:42.190 --> 0:05:46.030 started 18 for 18 from the line and made a 0:05:46.050 --> 0:05:49.310 three pointer. Now, what's even more incredible is what I 0:05:49.360 --> 0:05:51.770 just said is no one's ever done this. No one's 0:05:51.830 --> 0:05:53.960 ever done this in NBA history. 0:05:54.130 --> 0:05:55.100 For a season. 0:05:56.360 --> 0:05:59.440 In a whole season, no one's ever done all of 0:05:59.500 --> 0:06:00.159 those things. 0:06:00.600 --> 0:06:03.060 And Victor M. Benyama did it on Wednesday night. 0:06:03.660 --> 0:06:04.040 Really? 0:06:04.060 --> 0:06:05.780 No one's ever done that in the season. No one's 0:06:05.860 --> 0:06:07.600 ever done that in an entire season. 0:06:07.640 --> 0:06:10.480 I mean, I'm not tracking this stuff, but that's what 0:06:10.520 --> 0:06:11.560 the numbers guys tell me. 0:06:12.020 --> 0:06:16.640 I mean, somebody said that the stat line was Wilt Chamberlain-like. 0:06:17.060 --> 0:06:18.240 And literally, I mean. 0:06:18.279 --> 0:06:21.380 Is there anybody else in league history, really, that could 0:06:21.400 --> 0:06:22.880 do that other than Wilt and Wemby? 0:06:23.460 --> 0:06:24.920 Yeah, probably not. 0:06:25.000 --> 0:06:30.000 You know, I guess... I guess Peek Shack. Although, I 0:06:30.160 --> 0:06:32.170 don't know about the A-blocks. You know what I mean? 0:06:32.230 --> 0:06:33.080 Kareem, obviously. 0:06:33.870 --> 0:06:37.909 Uh hakeem olajuwon also like but but i was you 0:06:37.950 --> 0:06:38.990 know it's funny. 0:06:38.790 --> 0:06:41.810 Because i have he's not hitting threes though that's. 0:06:41.390 --> 0:06:44.570 True i have wimby on my fantasy team which is 0:06:45.029 --> 0:06:46.469 i mean i have wimby how many points did he 0:06:46.510 --> 0:06:49.650 get last night wimby bam and kiante george um who 0:06:49.710 --> 0:06:54.070 all was who all were great last night um wimby 0:06:54.130 --> 0:07:00.799 had 112.80 points in fantasy last night Which is about 0:07:00.920 --> 0:07:05.120 what Bam had the night he scored 83 points. I 0:07:05.160 --> 0:07:06.620 think even more. I think he might have had more 0:07:06.660 --> 0:07:08.870 than Bam had when he had 83 and 9. And 0:07:08.890 --> 0:07:12.590 I went to look up what's the best fantasy basketball 0:07:12.610 --> 0:07:15.050 performance ever. And one of the answers I got was 0:07:15.070 --> 0:07:18.110 like Hakeem Olajuwon in 87. I genuinely don't know if 0:07:18.150 --> 0:07:21.190 we were doing fantasy basketball in 1987. I doubt it. 0:07:21.540 --> 0:07:23.700 But Hakeem Olajuwon had a game where he had 38 points, 0:07:23.700 --> 0:07:28.100 17 rebounds, 12 blocks. And I don't remember if it 0:07:28.140 --> 0:07:31.700 was six steals and seven assists or seven steals and 0:07:31.760 --> 0:07:35.980 six assists. But that is kind of like what we 0:07:36.020 --> 0:07:38.240 saw yesterday, but it was ridiculous. At one point, Wemby 0:07:38.260 --> 0:07:40.180 made his first, I forget if it was 16 or 0:07:40.180 --> 0:07:41.640 18 consecutive free throws. 0:07:42.120 --> 0:07:44.230 That was part of the stat. It was the 18. Yeah, 0:07:44.230 --> 0:07:47.330 18 consecutive free throws. Yeah, it was the 18. That's right. 0:07:47.450 --> 0:07:51.450 So Wemby, I mean, speaking of people who weren't going 0:07:51.470 --> 0:07:54.520 to let their team lose, not to put Davion Mitchell 0:07:54.600 --> 0:07:56.840 and Victor Weminyama in the same sentence, but Wemby was 0:07:56.900 --> 0:07:57.780 not letting that happen. 0:07:57.800 --> 0:07:59.700 And that game was slipping away from them. 0:07:59.760 --> 0:08:04.800 Like Dallas, Dallas is, it's early, but they're a little 0:08:04.820 --> 0:08:08.410 bit more feisty than I expected even this soon. 0:08:08.430 --> 0:08:11.450 I was high on Dallas coming into the season. I'm 0:08:11.490 --> 0:08:12.310 kicking myself. 0:08:13.490 --> 0:08:15.750 Obviously for not betting Wemby props, that would have been great. 0:08:15.810 --> 0:08:18.830 But I was, I was staring at that Dallas line. 0:08:18.850 --> 0:08:20.890 Dallas not only covers the spread, they only lost the 0:08:20.910 --> 0:08:23.410 game by one and Cooper flag only scored 19 points. 0:08:24.210 --> 0:08:26.250 They were down big too. And Cooper Cooper was like 0:08:26.890 --> 0:08:29.630 one for nine to start one for eight, something like that. 0:08:30.310 --> 0:08:32.050 He did not have a good game, but Kyrie Irving 0:08:32.110 --> 0:08:34.590 was incredible last night. So it's good to see him 0:08:34.790 --> 0:08:37.860 get back to form. I think in some respects, as 0:08:37.890 --> 0:08:40.220 amazing as it is, the Victor Wimbenyama put up the 0:08:40.250 --> 0:08:41.420 stat line he did last night. 0:08:41.660 --> 0:08:42.559 It's a little troubling. 0:08:43.020 --> 0:08:45.260 That he did that and they won the game by 0:08:45.400 --> 0:08:47.110 one against Dallas. 0:08:47.420 --> 0:08:51.650 Stephon Castle shot 30%. Couldn't get it going. He always 0:08:51.690 --> 0:08:54.250 tries his ass off. He had 10 rebounds, but the 0:08:54.270 --> 0:08:56.530 shot wasn't falling. Dylan Harper was doing a very good 0:08:56.550 --> 0:08:59.510 job of getting into the lane as per usual. And 0:08:59.530 --> 0:09:03.429 he shot 60% from the floor. But yeah, like Devin 0:09:03.450 --> 0:09:05.730 Vassell started the game and went over eight and scored 0:09:05.750 --> 0:09:06.190 two points. 0:09:07.610 --> 0:09:10.110 They still don't have Tobias Harris in the lineup. 0:09:10.990 --> 0:09:14.900 And in watching the team, I'm like, okay, I think 0:09:14.960 --> 0:09:16.800 he's going to be a little bit more important than 0:09:16.840 --> 0:09:18.760 I thought. I don't know how many games you're going 0:09:18.780 --> 0:09:22.640 to get where, um, Devin Vassell and Julian Champagny in 0:09:22.679 --> 0:09:27.170 a combined 57 minutes, score two points and finish, you know, 0:09:27.290 --> 0:09:29.850 over 14 from the field and over 10 from three, 0:09:30.650 --> 0:09:34.350 you know, Kelvin Johnson really gave you nothing. Like all 0:09:34.370 --> 0:09:36.550 of that is kind of concerning, but I don't think 0:09:36.710 --> 0:09:40.350 all of that is going to be a constant forever either, 0:09:40.490 --> 0:09:44.740 you know? Um, And I think I think Tobias Harris, 0:09:45.120 --> 0:09:47.850 when when it does happen, that infusion will be interesting 0:09:47.880 --> 0:09:48.250 to see. 0:09:48.730 --> 0:09:51.930 But, yeah, you need more from Vassell, Champagne and Castle. 0:09:52.190 --> 0:09:55.929 You know, Castle's offense just constantly somebody who also has 0:09:55.970 --> 0:09:57.010 him on his fantasy team. 0:09:57.190 --> 0:09:58.910 Constantly goes up and down. So. 0:10:00.450 --> 0:10:05.980 Yeah, it's a little unsteady from that regard. So, yeah, 0:10:06.000 --> 0:10:07.960 Wemby should not need to put up these numbers, but 0:10:07.980 --> 0:10:10.080 the fact that he can and be a plus 23, 0:10:10.080 --> 0:10:12.140 it wasn't one of these things where, like, the team 0:10:12.160 --> 0:10:14.760 was just neutral despite him having a great game. It 0:10:14.780 --> 0:10:17.439 was plus 23 in a game where, you know, the 0:10:17.460 --> 0:10:19.440 Spurs just won by one point, which is ridiculous. 0:10:20.120 --> 0:10:21.589 So there were 14 games last night. 0:10:21.610 --> 0:10:23.270 We could go big picture on a lot of these, 0:10:23.410 --> 0:10:25.770 but we'll save that for another day because we have 0:10:25.910 --> 0:10:29.630 bets to get to. Let's talk about, we're going to 0:10:29.650 --> 0:10:33.190 go rather than do three star, two star, one star, uh, 0:10:33.210 --> 0:10:35.050 which you're still welcome to bring to the table. 0:10:35.070 --> 0:10:36.350 We're going to go game by game. 0:10:36.429 --> 0:10:38.950 Cause there's two of them and give out our best 0:10:38.990 --> 0:10:42.390 bets for each one magic sons in Phoenix, the sons 0:10:42.929 --> 0:10:46.110 favored by a point and a half total sitting at 0:10:46.170 --> 0:10:49.480 two 22 and a half. Um, The Suns on the 0:10:49.520 --> 0:10:52.020 second night of a back-to-back. I was on them last 0:10:52.110 --> 0:10:56.989 night against the Trailblazers. Looked great at first. And their defense, 0:10:57.550 --> 0:11:00.709 which I think is due for some positive regression. They're 0:11:00.750 --> 0:11:04.340 ranked among the worst in the NBA. It's just not 0:11:04.390 --> 0:11:07.980 positively regressing. And if you can't get up for a 0:11:08.020 --> 0:11:12.840 game against a Portland team that smacked you up in 0:11:12.860 --> 0:11:16.380 the opener... this is like a classic revenge spot. 0:11:16.880 --> 0:11:17.820 You're at home. 0:11:18.020 --> 0:11:21.360 You played this game two weeks ago and got embarrassed 0:11:22.120 --> 0:11:25.640 and they got embarrassed in the second half again. So 0:11:26.220 --> 0:11:28.590 not a lot of faith in the Phoenix suns. I 0:11:28.620 --> 0:11:31.090 don't have a spread bet on this game. I would 0:11:31.140 --> 0:11:33.570 take the magic plus one and a half. I have 0:11:33.590 --> 0:11:37.569 this game projected at plus 1.25. So there's just not 0:11:37.610 --> 0:11:40.430 much of an edge on the sun on, on the, uh, 0:11:40.570 --> 0:11:42.370 on the magic here. But I think for me, the 0:11:42.390 --> 0:11:46.500 bet is the team total over on the magic at 0:11:47.380 --> 0:11:50.400 a one 11 and a half. They've struggled to shoot 0:11:50.440 --> 0:11:54.560 at home, but they're first in the league at, as 0:11:54.600 --> 0:11:56.900 of right now, in terms of three point shooting on 0:11:56.980 --> 0:12:00.000 the road, this team's actually shot the ball better away 0:12:00.040 --> 0:12:03.679 from Kia center, 41% from long range on the road, 0:12:03.710 --> 0:12:07.569 according to nba.com. And for whatever reason, the magic have 0:12:07.610 --> 0:12:10.150 been productive in opposing environments. They're two and one on 0:12:10.170 --> 0:12:13.179 the season away from Kia center and And the Suns, 0:12:14.170 --> 0:12:16.970 I was wrong. They're just not positively regressing yet. The 0:12:17.030 --> 0:12:19.309 defense is broken. They have the worst defensive rating in 0:12:19.330 --> 0:12:21.950 the NBA right now. And while that might not hold 0:12:22.070 --> 0:12:24.830 season long, I don't think second night of a back 0:12:24.850 --> 0:12:27.709 to back is the time that you correct this stuff, 0:12:27.790 --> 0:12:30.940 especially against a team that has been performing well. 0:12:31.160 --> 0:12:33.260 Away from the house. So I like the magic to 0:12:33.300 --> 0:12:34.559 go over the team total tonight. 0:12:35.320 --> 0:12:38.850 Kind of like them to win, but I didn't. It's 0:12:38.890 --> 0:12:39.650 not on the docket. 0:12:40.250 --> 0:12:43.690 The Magic have also lost two in a row. They're 2-5. 0:12:43.730 --> 0:12:46.790 There's a little bit of desperation there. So desperation spot, 0:12:46.830 --> 0:12:51.380 taking the team that's better rested. I could endorse a 0:12:51.410 --> 0:12:53.660 Magic play here, but I think just attacking the points, 0:12:53.679 --> 0:12:55.480 because they're not winning this game if this game is 0:12:55.540 --> 0:12:58.319 played in the mud and Phoenix figures out their defense tonight. 0:12:58.940 --> 0:13:02.679 Yeah, and then Phoenix against Portland last night, losing by 0:13:02.679 --> 0:13:06.590 13 points. um second night of a back-to-back we don't 0:13:06.630 --> 0:13:08.450 have a long we don't have a big sample size 0:13:08.490 --> 0:13:10.450 of anybody on the second night of back-to-back yet this 0:13:10.510 --> 0:13:13.130 year teams have only done it really they've had one 0:13:13.190 --> 0:13:16.010 maybe two back-to-back so far uh for the most part 0:13:16.550 --> 0:13:19.400 so as we get more data on that you know 0:13:19.440 --> 0:13:23.280 we'll see um i like tristan da silva here over 0:13:23.500 --> 0:13:27.660 uh two and a half threes he is shooting as 0:13:27.700 --> 0:13:32.449 you know a ton of them most nights um which 0:13:32.510 --> 0:13:35.770 is what frankly a not to keep bringing up my 0:13:35.809 --> 0:13:37.670 fantasy team, I picked him up when Paolo got hurt 0:13:39.410 --> 0:13:42.589 at the recommendation of Dan Titus, you know, our guy 0:13:42.610 --> 0:13:49.030 from Yahoo. He, being Tristan Da Silva, he just shot 0:13:49.030 --> 0:13:52.429 10 again, second time he's done that this year, 10 attempts. 0:13:54.020 --> 0:13:57.660 Teams should, or people should know, Phoenix, I think up 0:13:57.720 --> 0:14:02.320 until last night, the worst three-point defense in the NBA 0:14:02.360 --> 0:14:05.490 so far, teams were shooting As of a couple games ago, 0:14:05.590 --> 0:14:07.600 it was 43%. It's down to 40%, but it's still 0:14:07.640 --> 0:14:10.179 at 40% against the Suns from three. 0:14:10.520 --> 0:14:11.260 It's them and the Heat. 0:14:11.580 --> 0:14:14.040 These are the teams that are just bleeding the most 0:14:14.580 --> 0:14:17.939 from beyond the arc and not defending the three-point shot well. 0:14:19.180 --> 0:14:20.850 And part of it, yes, part of it is luck. 0:14:20.950 --> 0:14:23.170 Part of it is teams are just making everything. Like 0:14:23.190 --> 0:14:25.610 Darius Garland could not miss, it felt like, down the 0:14:25.630 --> 0:14:30.210 stretch last night from distance, like from like real... I 0:14:31.150 --> 0:14:34.710 think Brooke Lopez had a big one late as well. But, 0:14:35.170 --> 0:14:37.360 you know, it just is what it is as far 0:14:37.390 --> 0:14:40.660 as that. But these two teams, and Phoenix in particular, 0:14:40.680 --> 0:14:43.800 they've been getting up high quality, giving up high quality looks, 0:14:44.220 --> 0:14:46.200 which is part of why their defense is broken so far, 0:14:46.220 --> 0:14:48.820 and teams have been taking advantage of that. Tristan Da Silva, 0:14:49.540 --> 0:14:54.540 in seven games this year so far, has taken 52 threes. 0:14:54.900 --> 0:14:58.100 It's basically seven and a half per. And this is 0:14:58.200 --> 0:15:01.700 while not even averaging a full 30 minutes a game. 0:15:03.060 --> 0:15:06.750 You know, like he's just he's just putting up basically 0:15:06.890 --> 0:15:09.190 a three every four minutes he's out there. 0:15:09.910 --> 0:15:12.130 So the volume is there. It's over two and a half. 0:15:12.190 --> 0:15:15.930 As I mentioned, he's over that three, four times this year, 0:15:15.970 --> 0:15:18.470 as a matter of fact, where he's gone four for 10. 0:15:18.470 --> 0:15:20.510 He's gone five for nine, four for five and a 0:15:20.580 --> 0:15:21.170 five for eight. 0:15:22.020 --> 0:15:25.460 Um basically there's only two instances this year where he's 0:15:25.480 --> 0:15:28.119 taken fewer than seven threes in the game which i 0:15:28.140 --> 0:15:30.260 feel like is the sweet spot i'm look i like 0:15:30.300 --> 0:15:32.070 to look at the attempts like well how much do 0:15:32.110 --> 0:15:35.170 you need to get to get this obviously because you 0:15:35.190 --> 0:15:37.850 don't want to bank on somebody going like three for 0:15:37.930 --> 0:15:40.390 four you know if they're just not taking a ton 0:15:40.430 --> 0:15:42.600 or whatever the case may be but he can do 0:15:42.630 --> 0:15:45.940 that also that's always in the cards but he's averaging 0:15:45.980 --> 0:15:48.060 seven and a half. I think this is a game 0:15:48.400 --> 0:15:50.310 where you want to be aggressive in hunting that three 0:15:50.370 --> 0:15:52.930 because of how Phoenix has defended it. So it would 0:15:52.970 --> 0:15:55.590 surprise me if he fell below maybe like eight attempts, 0:15:56.310 --> 0:16:01.220 but I think somewhere between seven, eight and like 10, that's, 0:16:01.340 --> 0:16:03.540 that's what I would expect in terms of output. And that's, 0:16:03.640 --> 0:16:06.240 that's all he would need. I would think to get 0:16:06.280 --> 0:16:08.200 this done. So good matchup for him. He's 44% from 0:16:08.220 --> 0:16:12.460 three so far. Uh, I don't know if that's going 0:16:12.480 --> 0:16:14.560 to sustain itself, but he's a very good shooter. And 0:16:14.620 --> 0:16:18.020 this is a team that needs his shooting. So he's 0:16:18.040 --> 0:16:20.060 going to continue to get those opportunities regardless. 0:16:20.760 --> 0:16:21.300 Yeah. 0:16:21.320 --> 0:16:23.180 And I mentioned part of the reason why I like 0:16:23.220 --> 0:16:25.200 the team total over for the magic is that the 0:16:25.280 --> 0:16:27.370 offense has been better away from home. And some of 0:16:27.410 --> 0:16:30.430 that stuff does hold throughout the course of the year 0:16:30.450 --> 0:16:32.950 where some teams, it's hard to put your finger on why, 0:16:33.010 --> 0:16:36.110 but some teams are just better away from home. Some 0:16:36.130 --> 0:16:38.190 teams are better at home. We see it every single 0:16:38.230 --> 0:16:39.850 year in the NBA. And it seems like there's a 0:16:39.910 --> 0:16:43.400 trend forming for the magic. And it's three-point shooting. 41% 0:16:43.400 --> 0:16:46.640 on the road as a team. Well, who's helping to 0:16:46.700 --> 0:16:49.660 lift that? It's Tristan Da Silva. So I'm completely with you. 0:16:49.680 --> 0:16:52.440 I bet this, this morning as well, over two and 0:16:52.460 --> 0:16:55.820 a half made threes at even money. He's shooting 65% 0:16:55.820 --> 0:17:00.040 from long range on the road this year. So you 0:17:00.060 --> 0:17:03.640 mentioned like he does. Yes, he can get up 10, 0:17:03.640 --> 0:17:06.350 but he can also get this done if he takes six. 0:17:07.080 --> 0:17:08.850 And he's probably not going to do that. The only 0:17:08.900 --> 0:17:12.050 team that he's attempted five or fewer against is Toronto. 0:17:12.430 --> 0:17:15.530 That's an elite defense. Phoenix is not that anytime he's 0:17:15.550 --> 0:17:18.350 gone up against anything that resembles a weak defense, he's 0:17:18.390 --> 0:17:20.490 getting up 10. It was a point of emphasis for 0:17:20.520 --> 0:17:22.719 Sean Sweeney in the preseason. If you look at his 0:17:22.780 --> 0:17:26.359 preseason numbers, he had at least 10 three-point attempts in 0:17:26.580 --> 0:17:30.960 every game in the preseason. So there was a specific 0:17:31.119 --> 0:17:35.090 focus and I attacked his props. In the last game 0:17:35.130 --> 0:17:38.110 against Washington, because Anthony Black was ruled out, I thought 0:17:38.150 --> 0:17:40.290 he was going to see an increase in minutes. While 0:17:40.310 --> 0:17:42.610 he didn't hit his props, one thing that I think 0:17:42.630 --> 0:17:45.570 is encouraging going into this game, where I believe Anthony 0:17:45.609 --> 0:17:48.810 Black is going to play, is that I was dead wrong. 0:17:49.070 --> 0:17:52.010 He didn't get an uptick in minutes, which means it's 0:17:52.050 --> 0:17:54.950 not like there's no variance there as far as whether 0:17:54.970 --> 0:17:58.750 or not AB plays or not. Tristan Da Silva is 0:17:58.790 --> 0:18:03.369 going to get his static 30 to 35 no matter what. Um, 0:18:03.810 --> 0:18:06.460 and he's got, he got 32 with Anthony black out 0:18:06.480 --> 0:18:09.000 of the lineup game before he got 35 with Anthony 0:18:09.020 --> 0:18:12.180 black in the lineup. So it's just not, it's something 0:18:12.240 --> 0:18:14.919 to store in your back pocket in the future is 0:18:14.980 --> 0:18:18.500 if you see, I thought that Tristan De Silva would 0:18:18.520 --> 0:18:21.660 be direct minutes replacement for Anthony black. That's not the case. 0:18:21.960 --> 0:18:24.310 So keep that in mind in the future. If you 0:18:24.350 --> 0:18:26.949 see Anthony black miss, don't just go race after the 0:18:26.970 --> 0:18:29.010 Tristan De Silva props because those two. 0:18:28.950 --> 0:18:33.600 Are not necessarily relevant. Well, we're in lockstep here to start. 0:18:34.040 --> 0:18:36.540 So do you have anything else on this game before 0:18:36.560 --> 0:18:39.040 I move on to Heat Warriors? 0:18:39.400 --> 0:18:42.400 Yeah, just the injury report that came out. Phoenix hasn't submitted, 0:18:42.760 --> 0:18:46.200 but Orlando does have, as expected, Paolo's out, Jalen Suggs 0:18:46.240 --> 0:18:47.640 is out, Jonathan Isaacs is out. 0:18:47.680 --> 0:18:49.760 So just no real surprises there. 0:18:50.600 --> 0:18:55.040 Okay, so we have another game to get to. Warriors Heat. 0:18:55.119 --> 0:18:57.080 Heat on the second night of a back-to-back. Before we 0:18:57.119 --> 0:18:58.640 get to the rest of our plays, let's. 0:18:58.480 --> 0:19:00.500 Kick it over to the crew for a quick word 0:19:00.520 --> 0:19:02.750 about From our sponsor, DraftKings. 0:19:03.210 --> 0:19:05.609 Basketball season is here, and we've teamed up with DraftKings 0:19:05.630 --> 0:19:07.930 to bring you a brand new offer. 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Do 0:19:52.740 --> 0:19:55.520 we trust them on the second night of a back 0:19:55.560 --> 0:19:59.600 to back as seven and a half point underdogs here, 0:19:59.800 --> 0:20:03.070 the warriors favored by seven and a half total sitting 0:20:03.090 --> 0:20:05.950 at two 35 and a half. We saw this steamed 0:20:06.390 --> 0:20:11.010 to the under overnight while we were fast asleep. I 0:20:11.050 --> 0:20:13.250 had this, there's the warriors opened as four and a 0:20:13.290 --> 0:20:15.750 half point favorites in this game. 0:20:17.230 --> 0:20:17.770