1 00:00:00,080 --> 00:00:01,599 Speaker 1: Hey, guys, Saga and Crystal here. 2 00:00:01,680 --> 00:00:05,240 Speaker 2: Independent media just played a truly massive role in this election, 3 00:00:05,360 --> 00:00:07,840 Speaker 2: and we are so excited about what that means for 4 00:00:07,880 --> 00:00:08,720 Speaker 2: the future of the show. 5 00:00:08,880 --> 00:00:10,719 Speaker 1: This is the only place where you can find honest 6 00:00:10,760 --> 00:00:13,239 Speaker 1: perspectives from the left and the right that simply does 7 00:00:13,320 --> 00:00:14,640 Speaker 1: not exist anywhere else. 8 00:00:14,760 --> 00:00:17,080 Speaker 2: So if that is something that's important to you, please 9 00:00:17,120 --> 00:00:19,599 Speaker 2: go to Breakingpoints dot com. Become a member today and 10 00:00:19,640 --> 00:00:22,800 Speaker 2: you'll get access to our full shows, unedited, ad free, 11 00:00:22,800 --> 00:00:25,600 Speaker 2: and all put together for you every morning in your inbox. 12 00:00:25,680 --> 00:00:27,560 Speaker 1: We need your help to build the future of independent 13 00:00:27,560 --> 00:00:29,920 Speaker 1: news media and we hope to see you at Breakingpoints 14 00:00:29,960 --> 00:00:33,559 Speaker 1: dot com. 15 00:00:33,680 --> 00:00:38,080 Speaker 2: Good morning, everybody, Happy Thursday, and more importantly, happy comedy takeover. Ryan. 16 00:00:38,120 --> 00:00:38,680 Speaker 2: Great to see you. 17 00:00:38,840 --> 00:00:39,959 Speaker 3: Thanks, all right, we got it. 18 00:00:40,240 --> 00:00:44,120 Speaker 2: How you doing doing good? Lots to get to this morning. 19 00:00:44,159 --> 00:00:49,240 Speaker 2: We've got theoretically anyway, diplomacy happening in Geneva on the 20 00:00:49,680 --> 00:00:51,760 Speaker 2: Aran front, so we'll dig into that. We've got some 21 00:00:51,800 --> 00:00:54,640 Speaker 2: weird things developing with regard to Cuba. I'm hoping you 22 00:00:54,680 --> 00:00:57,240 Speaker 2: can explain that to me. We have AI pushing for 23 00:00:57,360 --> 00:01:00,319 Speaker 2: nuclear war, so definitely keeping our eye on that one 24 00:01:00,320 --> 00:01:03,959 Speaker 2: as well. Hillary Clinton is testifying with regards to the 25 00:01:03,960 --> 00:01:07,440 Speaker 2: Epstein files today, and there have been some there's been 26 00:01:07,480 --> 00:01:10,600 Speaker 2: some new fallout there, Bill Gates admitting to two affairs 27 00:01:10,640 --> 00:01:14,880 Speaker 2: with Russian women, Larry Summers out at Harvard completely. Ryan 28 00:01:14,920 --> 00:01:16,320 Speaker 2: and I are also going to do a deep dive 29 00:01:16,319 --> 00:01:20,280 Speaker 2: into the Save America Act that the Republicans are pushing 30 00:01:20,319 --> 00:01:24,200 Speaker 2: hard and look at the Maha moms who are abandoning 31 00:01:24,319 --> 00:01:27,600 Speaker 2: the Trump Mega movement and feeling betrayed. This comes as 32 00:01:27,600 --> 00:01:29,920 Speaker 2: Casey Means testified she's trying to win support to become 33 00:01:30,200 --> 00:01:32,440 Speaker 2: Surgeon General of the United States. And then Ryan's going 34 00:01:32,480 --> 00:01:34,080 Speaker 2: to be doing some heavy lifting. He's going to talk 35 00:01:34,120 --> 00:01:37,319 Speaker 2: to David Hogg and David Dan We've got dueling. David's 36 00:01:37,360 --> 00:01:40,959 Speaker 2: coming in to talk about some Democratic Party interesting fights 37 00:01:40,959 --> 00:01:43,600 Speaker 2: and dark money that's moving around there as well. And 38 00:01:43,640 --> 00:01:46,240 Speaker 2: he also recorded an interview with Nita Alum, who is 39 00:01:47,040 --> 00:01:50,400 Speaker 2: part of that dark money you know situation. She's having 40 00:01:50,400 --> 00:01:53,080 Speaker 2: a bunch of money spent against her. Ryan, just give 41 00:01:53,080 --> 00:01:55,320 Speaker 2: a little preview of that one and what's going on 42 00:01:55,440 --> 00:01:57,240 Speaker 2: why her race in particular is so interesting. 43 00:01:57,440 --> 00:02:00,000 Speaker 4: Yeah, her election is this coming Tuesday in North Carolina 44 00:02:00,400 --> 00:02:02,960 Speaker 4: and it's a rematch from twenty twenty two where she 45 00:02:03,120 --> 00:02:06,760 Speaker 4: lost by about nine points to this candidate, Valerie Fushi, 46 00:02:06,800 --> 00:02:10,280 Speaker 4: who's now the incumbent, but APAC had to spend more 47 00:02:10,320 --> 00:02:13,200 Speaker 4: than two million dollars beating her. Then she's now a 48 00:02:13,240 --> 00:02:17,280 Speaker 4: county commissioner. It looked like Nida was going to beat 49 00:02:17,320 --> 00:02:21,440 Speaker 4: her fairly easily going into this rematch because she's out, 50 00:02:21,639 --> 00:02:26,160 Speaker 4: she's outraised Fushi, and the district was redrawn a little 51 00:02:26,160 --> 00:02:29,000 Speaker 4: bit to make it even more progressive. Fushi had even 52 00:02:29,040 --> 00:02:30,840 Speaker 4: though she got all this a PAC money, she started 53 00:02:30,840 --> 00:02:34,160 Speaker 4: criticizing a pack, so APAC wasn't spending for her. All 54 00:02:34,200 --> 00:02:35,679 Speaker 4: of a sudden in the last like ten days of 55 00:02:35,720 --> 00:02:40,000 Speaker 4: the race, millions of dollars of AI money. And also 56 00:02:40,080 --> 00:02:42,800 Speaker 4: what we can report today is a PAC money is 57 00:02:42,800 --> 00:02:46,799 Speaker 4: flooding into the district. This comes after value Fushi said 58 00:02:46,800 --> 00:02:47,600 Speaker 4: she would not take. 59 00:02:47,480 --> 00:02:48,360 Speaker 3: Any a PAC money. 60 00:02:48,480 --> 00:02:51,400 Speaker 4: But they found they found a new kind of secret 61 00:02:51,440 --> 00:02:54,400 Speaker 4: vehicle to move it into the district. See we're going 62 00:02:54,720 --> 00:02:56,280 Speaker 4: we'll keep that as a teaser. You got to stick 63 00:02:56,280 --> 00:02:57,440 Speaker 4: around and find out how they did this. 64 00:02:58,120 --> 00:03:02,040 Speaker 2: Yeah, and you definitely will want to know because it's 65 00:03:02,120 --> 00:03:05,480 Speaker 2: very consequential how they are doing this, and says a 66 00:03:05,600 --> 00:03:10,560 Speaker 2: lot about the Democratic Party. I'll just leave it at that. Guys, 67 00:03:10,600 --> 00:03:13,400 Speaker 2: As you know, we've been having all kinds of segments demonetize, 68 00:03:13,440 --> 00:03:15,800 Speaker 2: but fortunately because of your support, we don't have to 69 00:03:15,840 --> 00:03:18,680 Speaker 2: care if you're able to become a premium subscriber breakingpoints 70 00:03:18,680 --> 00:03:21,160 Speaker 2: dot com to continue to support the work that we do. 71 00:03:21,440 --> 00:03:23,600 Speaker 2: You know, when we're covering war, when we're covering the 72 00:03:23,600 --> 00:03:26,200 Speaker 2: Epstein files, all of these things can be very tricky 73 00:03:26,440 --> 00:03:29,440 Speaker 2: from a YouTube perspective, but as I said before, we 74 00:03:29,480 --> 00:03:31,360 Speaker 2: don't really have to worry about that too much because 75 00:03:31,360 --> 00:03:33,720 Speaker 2: of the great support you guys have shown. All Right, 76 00:03:33,800 --> 00:03:35,920 Speaker 2: with that, let's go ahead and get into questions of 77 00:03:35,960 --> 00:03:38,400 Speaker 2: war and peace. As I said before, there is at 78 00:03:38,440 --> 00:03:42,600 Speaker 2: least theoretical diplomacy going on in Geneva today. Steve Witkoff 79 00:03:42,640 --> 00:03:45,960 Speaker 2: and Jared Kushner are there. Oman is the intermediary. They 80 00:03:46,000 --> 00:03:48,920 Speaker 2: are supposed to be meeting with the Iranians and trying 81 00:03:48,920 --> 00:03:51,080 Speaker 2: to strike some sort of a deal. I think it 82 00:03:51,160 --> 00:03:54,560 Speaker 2: is an open question all around how serious this administration 83 00:03:54,880 --> 00:03:58,360 Speaker 2: is about that diplomacy, but at least theoretically there could 84 00:03:58,360 --> 00:04:00,560 Speaker 2: be some kind of an off ramp. We're all reading 85 00:04:00,560 --> 00:04:03,520 Speaker 2: the tea leaves here from various administration officials about how 86 00:04:03,560 --> 00:04:06,440 Speaker 2: they are currently thinking about whether or not we will 87 00:04:06,440 --> 00:04:08,560 Speaker 2: be going to war with Iran. So let's go ahead 88 00:04:08,560 --> 00:04:10,360 Speaker 2: and take a listen to the Vice President of the 89 00:04:10,440 --> 00:04:13,560 Speaker 2: United States, JD. Vance on the threat that Iron postes. 90 00:04:13,720 --> 00:04:16,200 Speaker 5: Iran cannot have a nuclear weapon. If they try to 91 00:04:16,240 --> 00:04:19,440 Speaker 5: rebuild the nuclear weapon, that causes problems for US, And 92 00:04:19,440 --> 00:04:20,839 Speaker 5: in fact, we've seen evidence that. 93 00:04:20,839 --> 00:04:22,840 Speaker 3: They have tried to do exactly that. 94 00:04:22,920 --> 00:04:25,719 Speaker 5: So the President sending those negotiators to try to address 95 00:04:25,760 --> 00:04:28,640 Speaker 5: that problem. As the President has said repeatedly, he wants 96 00:04:28,720 --> 00:04:31,719 Speaker 5: to address that problem diplomatically, but of course the President 97 00:04:31,760 --> 00:04:33,560 Speaker 5: has other options as well. 98 00:04:33,640 --> 00:04:39,360 Speaker 2: Ryan, anything significant that you glean from those comments. 99 00:04:37,640 --> 00:04:40,599 Speaker 4: Just that they've kind of lost even the pretense of 100 00:04:40,640 --> 00:04:44,120 Speaker 4: having any respect for the public. You know, in June 101 00:04:44,200 --> 00:04:47,839 Speaker 4: they said they completely obliterated the nuclear program, but a 102 00:04:47,839 --> 00:04:50,280 Speaker 4: week ago Whitkapf went on TV and said that, you know, 103 00:04:50,360 --> 00:04:52,760 Speaker 4: they're now weeks away from a bomb. 104 00:04:53,040 --> 00:04:54,800 Speaker 3: It's like, and now. 105 00:04:54,839 --> 00:04:58,560 Speaker 4: Jade Vance is saying, well, Okay, yes we obliterated it, 106 00:04:59,080 --> 00:05:03,159 Speaker 4: and yes there's no instead they're doing any enrichment or 107 00:05:03,200 --> 00:05:05,520 Speaker 4: moving towards the bomb. But we have evidence that they're 108 00:05:05,560 --> 00:05:10,680 Speaker 4: thinking about it. It's like, what like stop, but but 109 00:05:11,440 --> 00:05:13,200 Speaker 4: now here I am being a hypocrite because I had 110 00:05:13,200 --> 00:05:15,839 Speaker 4: said that I didn't like the fact that they weren't 111 00:05:15,839 --> 00:05:17,880 Speaker 4: even trying to lie us into war. So at least 112 00:05:17,960 --> 00:05:20,560 Speaker 4: now they're trying to lie us into war. So yes, 113 00:05:20,640 --> 00:05:23,200 Speaker 4: I apologize. It's something, it's something. 114 00:05:23,240 --> 00:05:26,479 Speaker 2: At least it's a low bar. It's a pretty low bar're. 115 00:05:26,000 --> 00:05:28,479 Speaker 4: At least lying to us. Finally, before they were just like, 116 00:05:28,640 --> 00:05:29,480 Speaker 4: we're going to do it. 117 00:05:29,920 --> 00:05:31,920 Speaker 2: About we don't really care what you think, Like, we're 118 00:05:31,920 --> 00:05:34,040 Speaker 2: not even we're going to make up a variety. We 119 00:05:34,120 --> 00:05:37,960 Speaker 2: really care about the Iranian protesters, Okay, sure, yeah, and 120 00:05:38,080 --> 00:05:41,080 Speaker 2: real great beacons of human rights here from this administration, 121 00:05:41,200 --> 00:05:44,640 Speaker 2: deep concern for those sorts of principles and values. Marco 122 00:05:44,720 --> 00:05:47,320 Speaker 2: Rubio kind of sounding similar notes about, you know, how 123 00:05:47,360 --> 00:05:51,200 Speaker 2: Iran represents some grave threat to the American public. No 124 00:05:51,240 --> 00:05:54,880 Speaker 2: one serious would agree with that whatsoever. But in any case, 125 00:05:55,120 --> 00:05:56,800 Speaker 2: here's the Secretary of State, who's supposed to be a 126 00:05:57,120 --> 00:05:59,440 Speaker 2: serious person saying exactly that. Let's take a listen. 127 00:05:59,720 --> 00:06:01,480 Speaker 6: I think tomorrow Steve and Jarrett will be there. I 128 00:06:01,520 --> 00:06:03,919 Speaker 6: think they're on their way there now. Actually, and the 129 00:06:03,920 --> 00:06:06,160 Speaker 6: President was very clear last night that he always prefers 130 00:06:06,200 --> 00:06:10,159 Speaker 6: to plumbing. After their nuclear program was obliterated, they were 131 00:06:10,160 --> 00:06:12,400 Speaker 6: told not to try to restart it, and here they are. 132 00:06:12,480 --> 00:06:14,920 Speaker 6: You can see them always trying to rebuild elements of it. 133 00:06:15,080 --> 00:06:17,080 Speaker 6: They're not enriching right now, but they're trying to get 134 00:06:17,120 --> 00:06:19,359 Speaker 6: to the point where they ultimately can. The other thing 135 00:06:19,400 --> 00:06:22,640 Speaker 6: I would point you to, however, is that Iran possesses 136 00:06:23,320 --> 00:06:26,840 Speaker 6: a very large number of ballistic missiles, particularly short range 137 00:06:26,839 --> 00:06:30,880 Speaker 6: ballistic missiles that threaten the United States and our bases 138 00:06:30,920 --> 00:06:33,560 Speaker 6: in the region and our partners in the region, and 139 00:06:33,680 --> 00:06:37,240 Speaker 6: all of our basses in the UAE and Qatar in Bahrain. 140 00:06:37,880 --> 00:06:42,120 Speaker 6: And they also possess naval assets that threaten shipping and 141 00:06:42,200 --> 00:06:44,599 Speaker 6: try to threaten the US Navy. So I want to 142 00:06:44,680 --> 00:06:47,840 Speaker 6: be understand that. And beyond just a nuclear program, they 143 00:06:47,880 --> 00:06:52,159 Speaker 6: possess these conventional weapons that are solely designed to attack 144 00:06:52,200 --> 00:06:55,479 Speaker 6: America and attack Americans if they so choose to do so. 145 00:06:56,040 --> 00:06:59,400 Speaker 2: And that language right there, Ryan is really terrible because 146 00:06:59,440 --> 00:07:02,560 Speaker 2: now he's using not only you know, okay, So if 147 00:07:02,920 --> 00:07:06,440 Speaker 2: if the focus was really on nuclear weapons, there's a 148 00:07:06,480 --> 00:07:08,640 Speaker 2: deal that could be done. We know that because there 149 00:07:08,680 --> 00:07:11,520 Speaker 2: already was a deal that was done previously that we 150 00:07:11,560 --> 00:07:15,040 Speaker 2: walked away from, So that would be extremely doable. But 151 00:07:15,120 --> 00:07:17,280 Speaker 2: when you start throwing these other things into the mix. 152 00:07:17,360 --> 00:07:19,600 Speaker 2: Oh and by the way, they have ballistic missiles. This 153 00:07:19,640 --> 00:07:21,280 Speaker 2: is the first time I've heard this one. By the way, 154 00:07:21,320 --> 00:07:24,040 Speaker 2: they have naval assets of ships. What they're they're not 155 00:07:24,080 --> 00:07:26,720 Speaker 2: allowed to have any of that. I mean, no sane 156 00:07:26,920 --> 00:07:30,360 Speaker 2: government would give up all of their ability to defend 157 00:07:30,360 --> 00:07:33,920 Speaker 2: themselves in any situation, let alone when they have this 158 00:07:34,160 --> 00:07:38,240 Speaker 2: rogue nuclear power, superpower backed regime in the region that 159 00:07:38,320 --> 00:07:41,200 Speaker 2: is constantly trying to destroy them. So it's when you 160 00:07:41,240 --> 00:07:45,200 Speaker 2: start hearing that language that it becomes very dispiriting and 161 00:07:45,240 --> 00:07:47,760 Speaker 2: hard to imagine how we avoid some sort of conflict. 162 00:07:48,080 --> 00:07:51,200 Speaker 4: It's like they have these magical devices that float on 163 00:07:51,240 --> 00:07:53,760 Speaker 4: top of water and we just can't. We can't allow this, 164 00:07:54,360 --> 00:07:57,320 Speaker 4: We can't can't have this. They're threatening shit, they're threatening ships. 165 00:07:57,520 --> 00:08:01,960 Speaker 4: Now the irony there is that clearly he understands the 166 00:08:02,000 --> 00:08:04,400 Speaker 4: politics and in his mind he's saying, they have these 167 00:08:04,400 --> 00:08:07,440 Speaker 4: ballistic missiles that can threaten Israel, Like that's what he's 168 00:08:07,480 --> 00:08:08,320 Speaker 4: saying in his mind. 169 00:08:08,400 --> 00:08:10,320 Speaker 2: Yeah, our partners in the region that's Israel. 170 00:08:11,760 --> 00:08:12,640 Speaker 3: But then he doesn't go there. 171 00:08:12,640 --> 00:08:16,360 Speaker 4: He says, right, he leads with our bases, our American bases. Well, 172 00:08:16,400 --> 00:08:19,600 Speaker 4: a couple of things. One, why do we have American 173 00:08:19,640 --> 00:08:21,840 Speaker 4: bases all over the world? And does that mean, like 174 00:08:22,040 --> 00:08:24,120 Speaker 4: so if we put it an American base near a country, 175 00:08:24,120 --> 00:08:26,880 Speaker 4: that country has to disarm itself. That's kind of an 176 00:08:26,960 --> 00:08:29,120 Speaker 4: amusing kind of proposition for the world. 177 00:08:29,120 --> 00:08:30,560 Speaker 2: But they probably think about it that way. 178 00:08:30,640 --> 00:08:34,800 Speaker 4: But yeah, but the restrictions that it particularly Israel is 179 00:08:34,840 --> 00:08:38,040 Speaker 4: pushing for and that we are advocating for as a 180 00:08:38,080 --> 00:08:41,000 Speaker 4: result of that, would still allow them. 181 00:08:40,840 --> 00:08:42,080 Speaker 3: To hit American bases. 182 00:08:42,520 --> 00:08:45,040 Speaker 4: Like what we are doing is we're saying, we want 183 00:08:45,080 --> 00:08:48,160 Speaker 4: your ballistic missile restrictions such that you cannot attack Israel, 184 00:08:48,920 --> 00:08:52,440 Speaker 4: but our basin cutters right by Iran, the other bases 185 00:08:52,720 --> 00:08:56,720 Speaker 4: in Iraq, et cetera very much closer to Iran, And 186 00:08:56,800 --> 00:08:59,959 Speaker 4: so the deal that Israel is pushing on them would 187 00:09:00,160 --> 00:09:05,200 Speaker 4: still allow Iranian ballistic missiles to hit American basis, which 188 00:09:05,240 --> 00:09:08,760 Speaker 4: is I mean, just unpack that in your mind for 189 00:09:08,800 --> 00:09:13,400 Speaker 4: a second. It's incredible. Not that anybody is remotely confused 190 00:09:13,400 --> 00:09:15,439 Speaker 4: about this anymore, but if they are just just kind 191 00:09:15,440 --> 00:09:17,240 Speaker 4: of sit with that one for a second. 192 00:09:17,559 --> 00:09:20,040 Speaker 2: I do want to say I was listening to John 193 00:09:20,080 --> 00:09:23,400 Speaker 2: Mierscheimer this morning in an interview with Glenn Deson, and 194 00:09:23,520 --> 00:09:27,800 Speaker 2: he actually was somewhat optimistic based on Trump's comments in 195 00:09:27,840 --> 00:09:30,439 Speaker 2: the State of the Union because he didn't talk about, 196 00:09:30,960 --> 00:09:33,120 Speaker 2: oh my god, the naval assets and the ballistic missiles, 197 00:09:33,120 --> 00:09:36,160 Speaker 2: et cetera. He more or less confined his remarks to 198 00:09:36,440 --> 00:09:39,080 Speaker 2: just nuclear weapons, and so he thought there was a 199 00:09:39,120 --> 00:09:41,400 Speaker 2: possibility that maybe they would find some sort of a 200 00:09:41,400 --> 00:09:44,400 Speaker 2: face saving compromise and walk away from this thing because 201 00:09:45,000 --> 00:09:47,840 Speaker 2: the problem, I mean, the problems are abundant. The politically, 202 00:09:48,000 --> 00:09:50,760 Speaker 2: it's a disaster, and they seem to know that, in fact, 203 00:09:50,920 --> 00:09:53,400 Speaker 2: this is insane. We can put a three up on 204 00:09:53,480 --> 00:09:56,880 Speaker 2: the screen. Somebody is leaking to Politico that they believe 205 00:09:57,080 --> 00:10:00,679 Speaker 2: the politics are better if Israel strikes iron first. And 206 00:10:00,760 --> 00:10:04,240 Speaker 2: here's the logic, which is the most cynical thing you 207 00:10:04,240 --> 00:10:07,800 Speaker 2: can possibly imagine. They're like, all right, well, if Israel 208 00:10:07,880 --> 00:10:12,079 Speaker 2: hits Iran, Iran is likely to strike back and hit us, 209 00:10:12,720 --> 00:10:16,520 Speaker 2: and then maybe the American people can be more cajoled 210 00:10:16,520 --> 00:10:21,280 Speaker 2: and more persuaded to directly attack Iran so effectively They're like, 211 00:10:21,440 --> 00:10:24,800 Speaker 2: we want to jeopardize the lives and the safety of 212 00:10:24,840 --> 00:10:28,720 Speaker 2: some American service members in the region in service of 213 00:10:28,960 --> 00:10:31,480 Speaker 2: persuading the American public that we have to go to war. 214 00:10:31,800 --> 00:10:34,000 Speaker 2: But you know, to go back to my point about 215 00:10:34,000 --> 00:10:36,320 Speaker 2: the argument, which I'm not sure I really buy, but 216 00:10:36,360 --> 00:10:38,120 Speaker 2: I want to lay out there the argument that they 217 00:10:38,160 --> 00:10:40,600 Speaker 2: may actually walk away from this thing, that we may see, 218 00:10:40,640 --> 00:10:43,920 Speaker 2: you know, a much welcome and desired taco on this situation. 219 00:10:44,160 --> 00:10:48,199 Speaker 2: Is I perceive that this leak, because it is such 220 00:10:48,200 --> 00:10:51,839 Speaker 2: a sort of gross reasoning, must be coming from someone 221 00:10:51,880 --> 00:10:54,600 Speaker 2: inside the administration who does not want this thing to 222 00:10:54,600 --> 00:10:58,200 Speaker 2: go forward. We also know that General Kanan others on 223 00:10:58,240 --> 00:11:01,360 Speaker 2: the military side have been worn, Hey, we really don't 224 00:11:01,400 --> 00:11:05,880 Speaker 2: have great military options here. We're already significantly depleted. Even 225 00:11:06,000 --> 00:11:08,880 Speaker 2: with this vast armada that we've amassed in the region, 226 00:11:09,160 --> 00:11:12,720 Speaker 2: We've only got maybe like seven to ten days of firepower. 227 00:11:12,880 --> 00:11:15,520 Speaker 2: The Iranians are going to hit back hard. It's not 228 00:11:15,679 --> 00:11:19,600 Speaker 2: going to be a little, you know, choreographed return strike 229 00:11:19,920 --> 00:11:23,959 Speaker 2: the way that it has been in previous in previous instances. 230 00:11:24,480 --> 00:11:27,320 Speaker 2: And by the way, what are you even really trying 231 00:11:27,360 --> 00:11:30,920 Speaker 2: to accomplish, Because this is very unlikely to accomplish any 232 00:11:31,040 --> 00:11:36,200 Speaker 2: of your purported aims. So Trump, you know, I think 233 00:11:36,240 --> 00:11:38,319 Speaker 2: one thing you can say about him is he has 234 00:11:38,440 --> 00:11:40,880 Speaker 2: learned one lesson from Iraq, which is not like, don't 235 00:11:40,880 --> 00:11:42,960 Speaker 2: go and throw your weight around the world, but it's like, 236 00:11:43,040 --> 00:11:45,720 Speaker 2: don't get dragged in boots on the ground to these long, 237 00:11:46,080 --> 00:11:50,439 Speaker 2: forever wars. And so perhaps he's nervous. Perhaps he's nervous 238 00:11:50,480 --> 00:11:53,840 Speaker 2: that this could in fact spiral into something that is 239 00:11:54,440 --> 00:11:57,280 Speaker 2: more out of control and does not allow him to 240 00:11:58,080 --> 00:12:00,880 Speaker 2: declare some quick and easy victory the way that he 241 00:12:01,160 --> 00:12:03,760 Speaker 2: likes to do. I mean, that is his preferred option 242 00:12:04,400 --> 00:12:08,440 Speaker 2: for how to use the military, and there isn't a great, 243 00:12:08,880 --> 00:12:12,280 Speaker 2: you know, tactical path to him accomplishing the you know, 244 00:12:12,360 --> 00:12:15,760 Speaker 2: spectacular military victory mission accomplished moment. 245 00:12:16,200 --> 00:12:18,040 Speaker 3: Yeah, And I think that's right. I think that is 246 00:12:18,080 --> 00:12:18,640 Speaker 3: what he's thinking. 247 00:12:18,720 --> 00:12:21,760 Speaker 4: Jeremy it over drops that reported that you know, he's 248 00:12:21,760 --> 00:12:24,360 Speaker 4: been saying privately and in over office meetings and meetings 249 00:12:24,360 --> 00:12:28,280 Speaker 4: with his intelligence community advisors that yes, like he very 250 00:12:28,320 --> 00:12:29,640 Speaker 4: much wants to do this and wants to be the 251 00:12:29,640 --> 00:12:32,800 Speaker 4: guy that does this, but he keeps asking like, what 252 00:12:32,800 --> 00:12:34,640 Speaker 4: what kind of chaos is it going to produce when 253 00:12:34,679 --> 00:12:37,079 Speaker 4: will it die down? Will it still be going by 254 00:12:37,120 --> 00:12:40,200 Speaker 4: the midterms. That's a key question that that he has 255 00:12:40,640 --> 00:12:43,839 Speaker 4: and so far, h he hasn't, as far as we 256 00:12:43,880 --> 00:12:46,800 Speaker 4: can tell, gotten a satisfactory answer of like, Okay, we're 257 00:12:46,800 --> 00:12:52,240 Speaker 4: gonna completely empty the clip on Iran and we're going 258 00:12:52,320 --> 00:12:56,560 Speaker 4: to you know, break the back of the regime, uh 259 00:12:56,600 --> 00:12:58,240 Speaker 4: and not and they won't they won't be able to 260 00:12:58,280 --> 00:13:00,960 Speaker 4: govern the place anymore. And then we'll make and who 261 00:13:01,040 --> 00:13:03,280 Speaker 4: knows what comes next. And so he's like, well, what 262 00:13:03,320 --> 00:13:06,240 Speaker 4: comes next and what does that look like? And so 263 00:13:06,360 --> 00:13:09,440 Speaker 4: far he hasn't gotten anything that because he you know, 264 00:13:09,559 --> 00:13:12,480 Speaker 4: previously he's been asking a lot, you know, about Libya, 265 00:13:12,640 --> 00:13:15,480 Speaker 4: Like he's he uses Libya as an example of something 266 00:13:15,480 --> 00:13:18,280 Speaker 4: that went wrong and he doesn't want a Libya situation. 267 00:13:18,480 --> 00:13:22,120 Speaker 4: And that's very hard for kind of US policymakers because 268 00:13:22,120 --> 00:13:26,200 Speaker 4: they're like, you think Libya is bad, weird because like 269 00:13:26,800 --> 00:13:28,720 Speaker 4: Trump in that sense is more of a normal person, 270 00:13:29,000 --> 00:13:31,880 Speaker 4: because Libya is bad, like it's terrible, it's a it's 271 00:13:31,880 --> 00:13:34,840 Speaker 4: a failed state. You know, many hundreds of thousands of 272 00:13:34,840 --> 00:13:38,280 Speaker 4: people you know, suffering killed. He sees that as a 273 00:13:38,280 --> 00:13:42,760 Speaker 4: negative for American policymakers. They're like, well, now that peace 274 00:13:42,800 --> 00:13:45,240 Speaker 4: has been taken off the chessboard, they're no longer a threat, 275 00:13:46,240 --> 00:13:47,040 Speaker 4: you know, to Israel. 276 00:13:47,080 --> 00:13:48,160 Speaker 3: They are cut off. 277 00:13:48,200 --> 00:13:49,800 Speaker 4: He is no longer in power, So who cares, like 278 00:13:49,840 --> 00:13:53,800 Speaker 4: what's going on now? And so that that has presented 279 00:13:53,960 --> 00:13:57,360 Speaker 4: a bit of an analytical problem for kind of his 280 00:13:57,360 --> 00:14:00,320 Speaker 4: his advisors, because they're like, oh, so he want but 281 00:14:00,360 --> 00:14:02,240 Speaker 4: he doesn't want to do nation building, but he doesn't 282 00:14:02,240 --> 00:14:05,800 Speaker 4: want them to be chaos, but he wants to regime gone. Hmmm, 283 00:14:06,160 --> 00:14:10,000 Speaker 4: like what's what's left here? And so so I think 284 00:14:10,040 --> 00:14:13,120 Speaker 4: what he ends up deciding to do here will be 285 00:14:13,240 --> 00:14:15,400 Speaker 4: will suggest whether or not he's actually calling the shots, 286 00:14:15,440 --> 00:14:18,200 Speaker 4: because I think if he could, like he doesn't. He 287 00:14:18,240 --> 00:14:21,960 Speaker 4: sees this as a political you know, albatross or a 288 00:14:22,040 --> 00:14:26,320 Speaker 4: real political problem for him if he does this. But 289 00:14:26,480 --> 00:14:29,040 Speaker 4: if he does it, it means really he got pressured 290 00:14:29,040 --> 00:14:32,640 Speaker 4: into it and he couldn't He couldn't say no, which 291 00:14:32,680 --> 00:14:36,560 Speaker 4: is a kind of which I might be where we 292 00:14:36,600 --> 00:14:39,200 Speaker 4: wind up. You know, the Iranian he said on his 293 00:14:39,200 --> 00:14:42,760 Speaker 4: speech Tuesday night, you know they won't say the magic words, 294 00:14:42,760 --> 00:14:45,240 Speaker 4: we will not build a bomb. They said those words. 295 00:14:45,240 --> 00:14:49,520 Speaker 4: Today they're meeting in Geneva again today they will reiterate that, 296 00:14:49,800 --> 00:14:52,480 Speaker 4: no question about it. They will be very clear, and 297 00:14:52,480 --> 00:14:56,200 Speaker 4: they're willing to go further than before, like perhaps in definitely. 298 00:14:56,200 --> 00:14:57,560 Speaker 3: Delay in Richmond. 299 00:14:57,920 --> 00:15:01,000 Speaker 4: One thing that proposing is like, we will not stockpile 300 00:15:02,360 --> 00:15:06,040 Speaker 4: any enriched material. In other words, we have a civilian 301 00:15:06,120 --> 00:15:09,800 Speaker 4: nuclear program, so obviously we need to enrich some uranium 302 00:15:10,280 --> 00:15:13,240 Speaker 4: so that we can keep the program operational, but we 303 00:15:13,280 --> 00:15:15,520 Speaker 4: will only enrich as much as we need. If we 304 00:15:15,560 --> 00:15:18,960 Speaker 4: have any extra, we will not store it. That would 305 00:15:19,000 --> 00:15:21,600 Speaker 4: be far and away beyond what Carrie and Obama were 306 00:15:21,600 --> 00:15:24,360 Speaker 4: able to get out of the Iranians. So that feels 307 00:15:24,360 --> 00:15:25,600 Speaker 4: like the kind of thing Trump would. 308 00:15:25,400 --> 00:15:27,280 Speaker 3: Like to take. So if he doesn't take it, it 309 00:15:27,360 --> 00:15:28,840 Speaker 3: really tells you who's in charge. 310 00:15:29,400 --> 00:15:32,120 Speaker 2: Yeah, I mean, I think another problem here is that 311 00:15:32,760 --> 00:15:37,920 Speaker 2: we're not dealing with sophisticated like we are not dealing 312 00:15:37,960 --> 00:15:41,560 Speaker 2: with sophisticated experts when it comes to nuclear weapons. In 313 00:15:41,600 --> 00:15:44,720 Speaker 2: Steve Witkoff and Jared Kushner and Sacer's pointing, the sound 314 00:15:44,840 --> 00:15:47,400 Speaker 2: is absolutely true. I mean, under the Obama administration, when 315 00:15:47,400 --> 00:15:52,160 Speaker 2: the JCPOA was negotiated, they painstakingly went through this and 316 00:15:52,360 --> 00:15:55,240 Speaker 2: you know understood all of the science of it, and 317 00:15:55,320 --> 00:15:59,640 Speaker 2: it was extraordinarily detailed, and so there's a risk when 318 00:15:59,680 --> 00:16:02,760 Speaker 2: you get people who are non experts involved, who you know, 319 00:16:02,960 --> 00:16:06,040 Speaker 2: may not even be able to fully understand the compromises 320 00:16:06,080 --> 00:16:09,000 Speaker 2: that Iran is offering and the ways in which it's vastly, 321 00:16:09,200 --> 00:16:12,360 Speaker 2: you know, going way further than what Obama was able 322 00:16:12,400 --> 00:16:15,200 Speaker 2: to achieve. I wanted to come back to your point 323 00:16:15,240 --> 00:16:18,120 Speaker 2: about we're going to learn something about the pressure that 324 00:16:18,320 --> 00:16:20,640 Speaker 2: Trump is under and whether or not he's really in 325 00:16:20,760 --> 00:16:24,320 Speaker 2: charge or not. I just want to underscore that because 326 00:16:24,760 --> 00:16:28,840 Speaker 2: basically the only country that really wants this is Israel, 327 00:16:29,440 --> 00:16:34,160 Speaker 2: and so you know how powerful is the lobby, right, 328 00:16:34,320 --> 00:16:37,400 Speaker 2: And I think it will also tell us something about 329 00:16:37,880 --> 00:16:42,040 Speaker 2: Trump's like what he's implicated in terms of the Epstein files. 330 00:16:42,240 --> 00:16:44,400 Speaker 2: You know, I missed this, but about a year ago 331 00:16:44,800 --> 00:16:48,320 Speaker 2: there was times of Israel post from like you know, 332 00:16:48,360 --> 00:16:52,160 Speaker 2: someone who regularly blogs from them for them, and they 333 00:16:52,360 --> 00:16:56,800 Speaker 2: were directly threatening like, oh, you crossed Israel. Guess what 334 00:16:56,840 --> 00:16:59,000 Speaker 2: the Epstein files are back at the in the news, 335 00:16:59,040 --> 00:17:02,080 Speaker 2: maybe you should learn something about that. It's like, Wow, 336 00:17:02,560 --> 00:17:05,359 Speaker 2: that is incredible. I don't know how I missed that 337 00:17:05,440 --> 00:17:07,440 Speaker 2: at the time. But for that to just be said 338 00:17:07,480 --> 00:17:10,840 Speaker 2: outright in the times of Israel was like, okay, And 339 00:17:10,920 --> 00:17:13,360 Speaker 2: so you know, I don't think we should I don't 340 00:17:13,400 --> 00:17:17,760 Speaker 2: think we should erase that element of things either, because 341 00:17:18,840 --> 00:17:21,600 Speaker 2: you have talked before about the way that the Israelis 342 00:17:21,680 --> 00:17:24,320 Speaker 2: used the Monica Lewinsky affair against Clinton to try to 343 00:17:24,359 --> 00:17:27,480 Speaker 2: you know, coercive in the context of negotiations previously, like 344 00:17:27,520 --> 00:17:31,320 Speaker 2: they're not above it. And from the Israeli perspective, obviously 345 00:17:31,480 --> 00:17:34,440 Speaker 2: they want to be the sole power in the region 346 00:17:34,720 --> 00:17:37,199 Speaker 2: and be able to throw their weight around. They certainly 347 00:17:37,200 --> 00:17:39,639 Speaker 2: want to be the only nuclear power in the region 348 00:17:40,119 --> 00:17:43,520 Speaker 2: and are perfectly happy for Iran to be a collapsed, 349 00:17:43,560 --> 00:17:46,040 Speaker 2: failed state and all of the you know, chaos and 350 00:17:46,160 --> 00:17:49,280 Speaker 2: you know, human tragedy that that would entail. And I 351 00:17:49,320 --> 00:17:51,800 Speaker 2: think that they understand they have a limited time to 352 00:17:51,880 --> 00:17:54,720 Speaker 2: accomplish this. Both from the perspective of it is true 353 00:17:54,760 --> 00:17:57,800 Speaker 2: that the Iranian government is weak right now. You know, 354 00:17:57,840 --> 00:17:59,920 Speaker 2: if you're going to do it, they sense an opening, 355 00:18:00,080 --> 00:18:02,280 Speaker 2: they sort of smell blood in the water. And then 356 00:18:02,320 --> 00:18:06,400 Speaker 2: in addition, they have their own internal demographic weakness. Syl 357 00:18:06,440 --> 00:18:10,640 Speaker 2: Benfram was tweeting yesterday about how they're suffering from net 358 00:18:10,680 --> 00:18:13,760 Speaker 2: out migration, and most of the people who are leaving 359 00:18:13,960 --> 00:18:17,520 Speaker 2: are young, they're more educated. These are like the more 360 00:18:17,560 --> 00:18:22,000 Speaker 2: secular U secular, highly educated types that they really depend 361 00:18:22,040 --> 00:18:24,520 Speaker 2: on for their military, they really depend on for their 362 00:18:24,520 --> 00:18:28,200 Speaker 2: technology sector. And so they've got a massive demographic crisis 363 00:18:28,240 --> 00:18:30,600 Speaker 2: because right now the social contract in the country is 364 00:18:30,640 --> 00:18:37,080 Speaker 2: effectively that those more secular educated types go to you know, 365 00:18:37,119 --> 00:18:40,879 Speaker 2: go to school and work and serve in the military, 366 00:18:41,320 --> 00:18:44,600 Speaker 2: and their tax money is what supports this broad social 367 00:18:44,600 --> 00:18:48,720 Speaker 2: safety net that the you know, the more orthodox types 368 00:18:48,760 --> 00:18:51,440 Speaker 2: who don't want to serve in the military and don't 369 00:18:51,440 --> 00:18:54,359 Speaker 2: want to work, that they benefit from. That is also 370 00:18:54,440 --> 00:18:56,600 Speaker 2: the group in terms of you know, in terms of 371 00:18:56,680 --> 00:18:59,840 Speaker 2: Jews in Israel, that is having the most children, so 372 00:19:00,280 --> 00:19:03,560 Speaker 2: you have more and more of the preponderance of the population. 373 00:19:04,000 --> 00:19:05,560 Speaker 2: Is that, you know, the type that doesn't work and 374 00:19:05,600 --> 00:19:07,399 Speaker 2: doesn't work, no one deserve in the military, So it 375 00:19:07,400 --> 00:19:09,679 Speaker 2: doesn't work out like the math doesn't math at a 376 00:19:09,680 --> 00:19:12,280 Speaker 2: certain point. And they're very well aware of that. They're 377 00:19:12,280 --> 00:19:14,120 Speaker 2: also very well aware of the way that the world 378 00:19:14,160 --> 00:19:17,280 Speaker 2: has turned against them in terms of popular opinion. So 379 00:19:17,400 --> 00:19:20,240 Speaker 2: they still have a lot of obviously forced they still 380 00:19:20,240 --> 00:19:22,280 Speaker 2: have the full throat of backing the United States of 381 00:19:22,280 --> 00:19:25,159 Speaker 2: America for now, but they have to be looking at 382 00:19:25,200 --> 00:19:28,120 Speaker 2: the way that politics have shifted so dramatically with them 383 00:19:28,240 --> 00:19:31,080 Speaker 2: for them within the Democratic Party, and they can't feel 384 00:19:31,119 --> 00:19:33,720 Speaker 2: confident that whoever is the next president of the United 385 00:19:33,760 --> 00:19:37,080 Speaker 2: States is going to support them in any way whatsoever. 386 00:19:37,200 --> 00:19:38,960 Speaker 2: I mean, that's really on the table right now. I 387 00:19:38,960 --> 00:19:40,359 Speaker 2: think is going to be a defining issue of the 388 00:19:40,359 --> 00:19:43,440 Speaker 2: Democratic primary. So I think that's part of why even 389 00:19:43,520 --> 00:19:46,600 Speaker 2: though you know, Israel has their own weaknesses right now, 390 00:19:46,640 --> 00:19:49,679 Speaker 2: and Iran figured out how to penetrate some of their defenses, 391 00:19:49,760 --> 00:19:52,520 Speaker 2: but I think that's why they are willing to engage 392 00:19:52,520 --> 00:19:55,439 Speaker 2: in what is for them also a very risky strategy 393 00:19:55,480 --> 00:19:57,600 Speaker 2: of pushing for this war right now at this moment. 394 00:19:58,440 --> 00:20:01,040 Speaker 4: Yeah, and so you know, both of us then are 395 00:20:01,040 --> 00:20:03,919 Speaker 4: on record this is a this is a critical moment 396 00:20:04,520 --> 00:20:07,000 Speaker 4: for Trump to show whether or not he's in charge here. 397 00:20:07,320 --> 00:20:12,000 Speaker 4: So if he does not launch another war on Iran, 398 00:20:13,320 --> 00:20:15,000 Speaker 4: you and I will both be like, hey, all right, 399 00:20:15,080 --> 00:20:17,920 Speaker 4: the man stood up for himself. I'm willing to say 400 00:20:17,960 --> 00:20:21,080 Speaker 4: it if he does it. So how's that for a carrot? 401 00:20:21,840 --> 00:20:28,879 Speaker 4: As president? Speaking of Trump's wars because of blockade is 402 00:20:28,920 --> 00:20:29,440 Speaker 4: an active war. 403 00:20:29,800 --> 00:20:31,160 Speaker 3: Let's move on to Cuba. 404 00:20:31,680 --> 00:20:37,200 Speaker 4: So yesterday, in a firefight between a speedboat with ten 405 00:20:37,520 --> 00:20:41,640 Speaker 4: Cuban nationals from the United States and the Cuban Coast Guard, 406 00:20:42,680 --> 00:20:47,520 Speaker 4: four of those Cuban nationals were killed. The rest of 407 00:20:47,560 --> 00:20:51,960 Speaker 4: them were captured by the Cubans. The Cuban captain, according 408 00:20:51,960 --> 00:20:56,879 Speaker 4: to the Cuban government, was wounded when this speedboat that 409 00:20:56,920 --> 00:20:58,919 Speaker 4: was about one nautical mile off the coast of Cuba 410 00:20:59,040 --> 00:21:00,000 Speaker 4: opened fire on it. 411 00:21:00,040 --> 00:21:04,399 Speaker 3: We can put up a four here. Uh. This is 412 00:21:04,440 --> 00:21:07,840 Speaker 3: from This is from drop. This is from drop site. 413 00:21:08,200 --> 00:21:12,560 Speaker 4: Laying out what the Cuban officials released late later that night. 414 00:21:12,600 --> 00:21:17,160 Speaker 4: They said they they UH neutralized what they called a 415 00:21:17,160 --> 00:21:19,959 Speaker 4: a terrorist action. They said the men were armed with 416 00:21:20,560 --> 00:21:24,800 Speaker 4: and seized with assault rifles, handguns, molotov cocktails, body armor, 417 00:21:25,119 --> 00:21:30,600 Speaker 4: telescopic sites, and camouflage uniforms, and that they were they 418 00:21:30,600 --> 00:21:33,760 Speaker 4: were intent on meeting somebody on the island and UH 419 00:21:33,800 --> 00:21:37,760 Speaker 4: and fomenting some kind of revolt there. They also said 420 00:21:37,920 --> 00:21:44,080 Speaker 4: that notably two of them, Ami hal Sanchez Gonzalez and 421 00:21:44,240 --> 00:21:47,959 Speaker 4: leord and Cruz Gomez, had already been listed on Cuba's 422 00:21:48,040 --> 00:21:51,320 Speaker 4: quote national list of persons and entities linked to terrorism, 423 00:21:51,359 --> 00:21:54,640 Speaker 4: which is which is published weekly in their in their 424 00:21:54,720 --> 00:21:58,840 Speaker 4: in their what that's called the official Gazette. That update, 425 00:21:59,280 --> 00:22:02,760 Speaker 4: that updated registry included sixty two individuals, and so two 426 00:22:02,800 --> 00:22:06,280 Speaker 4: of those individuals were on this ship. And they said 427 00:22:06,280 --> 00:22:10,960 Speaker 4: they also detained Daniel Hernandez Santos inside the country. They said, 428 00:22:11,480 --> 00:22:15,520 Speaker 4: everybody has the six that were captured, plus the one 429 00:22:15,520 --> 00:22:18,600 Speaker 4: that was taken on land, have confessed to this. We 430 00:22:18,640 --> 00:22:23,840 Speaker 4: can put up jd Vance, who has asked about this 431 00:22:24,280 --> 00:22:26,840 Speaker 4: at a briefing. Here's a five that. 432 00:22:26,920 --> 00:22:29,600 Speaker 7: Was I think that you know about the situation off 433 00:22:29,600 --> 00:22:32,360 Speaker 7: the coast of Cuba versus speed boat. 434 00:22:32,160 --> 00:22:36,359 Speaker 5: Shop, and briefed on that for Americans were killed in intervening. Yeah, 435 00:22:36,359 --> 00:22:40,000 Speaker 5: so on the second thing, heishi Marco briefly about fifteen 436 00:22:40,040 --> 00:22:41,560 Speaker 5: minutes ago on it. But we don't know a whole 437 00:22:41,560 --> 00:22:45,040 Speaker 5: lot of details, and so I'll defer to the White 438 00:22:45,040 --> 00:22:47,440 Speaker 5: House to provide more updates as we get them. Certainly, 439 00:22:47,800 --> 00:22:50,879 Speaker 5: you know a situation that we're monitoring. Hopefully it's not 440 00:22:50,960 --> 00:22:52,480 Speaker 5: as bad as we fear it could be. But I 441 00:22:52,560 --> 00:22:54,359 Speaker 5: can't say more because I just don't know more. 442 00:22:54,760 --> 00:22:57,199 Speaker 4: And so Crystal all ten of the men on the 443 00:22:57,240 --> 00:23:00,880 Speaker 4: speedboat were Cuban nationals who living in the United States. 444 00:23:00,920 --> 00:23:05,320 Speaker 4: We don't know yet if any had become American citizens 445 00:23:06,000 --> 00:23:08,240 Speaker 4: or not, but we do know that they were. You know, 446 00:23:08,320 --> 00:23:12,359 Speaker 4: they were armed and within within a mile of the 447 00:23:12,400 --> 00:23:15,919 Speaker 4: Cuban coast and according to the Cubans fired on the 448 00:23:15,960 --> 00:23:20,280 Speaker 4: coast guard. They fired first. So we don't have video 449 00:23:20,359 --> 00:23:22,480 Speaker 4: yet of this. It would be I think it would 450 00:23:22,480 --> 00:23:26,680 Speaker 4: be unusual. For the reason I credit the Cuban government 451 00:23:26,680 --> 00:23:30,880 Speaker 4: account here is that it would just be unusual for 452 00:23:31,880 --> 00:23:34,280 Speaker 4: the Cuban coast guard to just open fire on a 453 00:23:34,359 --> 00:23:38,200 Speaker 4: ship like that, right they have, They wouldn't basically never 454 00:23:38,240 --> 00:23:38,600 Speaker 4: done that. 455 00:23:39,000 --> 00:23:41,720 Speaker 2: It wouldn't be in their interest remotely right now to 456 00:23:41,920 --> 00:23:44,640 Speaker 2: provoke the US, you know, I mean this perfect pretet 457 00:23:44,680 --> 00:23:48,040 Speaker 2: like if you kill some American citizens, we don't like 458 00:23:48,040 --> 00:23:49,879 Speaker 2: you said, know if these are American citizens are not? 459 00:23:50,240 --> 00:23:53,240 Speaker 2: Again we learned from the Iran block where they're like 460 00:23:53,320 --> 00:23:55,520 Speaker 2: looking for pretext, Oh my god, you killed an American, 461 00:23:55,600 --> 00:23:56,800 Speaker 2: Now we're going to bomb the shit on of you. 462 00:23:57,040 --> 00:23:59,280 Speaker 2: Like they would love some sort of pretext to mess 463 00:23:59,320 --> 00:24:01,080 Speaker 2: with Cuba. I don't know what do you read in 464 00:24:01,160 --> 00:24:02,840 Speaker 2: terms of the tea leaves here o or whether these 465 00:24:02,840 --> 00:24:05,280 Speaker 2: were just some like Miami Cubans freelancing, or whether this 466 00:24:05,480 --> 00:24:07,040 Speaker 2: was some sort of you know, U s c I 467 00:24:07,080 --> 00:24:10,240 Speaker 2: A backed attempt to get on the island and cause 468 00:24:10,280 --> 00:24:11,120 Speaker 2: some sort of mischief. 469 00:24:11,520 --> 00:24:11,639 Speaker 3: You know. 470 00:24:11,720 --> 00:24:16,680 Speaker 4: On the one hand, it feels like the camouflage, you know, scopes, 471 00:24:16,840 --> 00:24:20,400 Speaker 4: like assault weapons, like it feels like it has some 472 00:24:20,760 --> 00:24:23,920 Speaker 4: you know, sophistication behind it. On the other hand, this 473 00:24:24,000 --> 00:24:24,879 Speaker 4: is the United States. 474 00:24:25,880 --> 00:24:27,680 Speaker 2: You know, you can not hard to access those things. 475 00:24:27,720 --> 00:24:30,439 Speaker 4: You can get all that stuff, you know, with a 476 00:24:30,480 --> 00:24:34,160 Speaker 4: credit card. You know, We're not We're not a place 477 00:24:34,200 --> 00:24:38,560 Speaker 4: that makes it difficult, particularly in Florida, to to arm 478 00:24:38,640 --> 00:24:40,000 Speaker 4: up that boat in the way that they did. 479 00:24:40,400 --> 00:24:44,359 Speaker 3: Uh. There there are you know, there is a you know, there. 480 00:24:44,240 --> 00:24:49,000 Speaker 4: Is a Cuban exile community there that is extraordinarily radical 481 00:24:49,000 --> 00:24:52,080 Speaker 4: and there's a militant wing of it that you know, 482 00:24:52,320 --> 00:24:55,840 Speaker 4: this is this has shades of this scandal from many. 483 00:24:55,720 --> 00:24:59,120 Speaker 3: Years ago called they called Brothers to the Rescue. 484 00:24:59,119 --> 00:25:04,760 Speaker 4: Where Miami exiles were flying over Cuba repeatedly and the 485 00:25:04,760 --> 00:25:08,359 Speaker 4: Cubans kept warning them stop and then eventually shot the 486 00:25:08,400 --> 00:25:12,119 Speaker 4: plane down. I believe it was a member of Congress 487 00:25:12,160 --> 00:25:17,199 Speaker 4: or somebody else was recently pushing Trump to indict and 488 00:25:17,240 --> 00:25:21,320 Speaker 4: then go capture Raul Castro for the murder of these 489 00:25:21,920 --> 00:25:24,919 Speaker 4: four men in the in what's called this Brothers to 490 00:25:24,960 --> 00:25:28,520 Speaker 4: the Rescue, you know, plane downing, So it has echoes 491 00:25:28,560 --> 00:25:33,600 Speaker 4: of that. What what what links are there to American intelligence? 492 00:25:33,640 --> 00:25:36,680 Speaker 4: You know, maybe we'll find out sooner rather than later. 493 00:25:37,040 --> 00:25:40,199 Speaker 4: But it's plausible that you know, there is enough of 494 00:25:40,240 --> 00:25:43,960 Speaker 4: a militant, you know, easily armed community in Miami that 495 00:25:43,960 --> 00:25:47,359 Speaker 4: would just that would do this and believe that they're 496 00:25:47,400 --> 00:25:50,480 Speaker 4: helping to spark some type of uprising on the island 497 00:25:50,520 --> 00:25:54,399 Speaker 4: that would then lead to some significant American intervention. So 498 00:25:55,080 --> 00:25:57,639 Speaker 4: could go either way. What what what? What do you think? 499 00:25:58,640 --> 00:26:00,760 Speaker 2: I mean? I think knowing a little bit more about 500 00:26:00,760 --> 00:26:03,119 Speaker 2: the background of these individuals would be helpful. You know, 501 00:26:03,240 --> 00:26:05,560 Speaker 2: certainly if one I was like, oh, former Delta Force 502 00:26:05,680 --> 00:26:08,359 Speaker 2: or whatever. Really okay, you know, a former Navy cl 503 00:26:08,480 --> 00:26:11,040 Speaker 2: We've okay, we've seen this before. So you know, for me, 504 00:26:11,080 --> 00:26:14,560 Speaker 2: it's still a question mark. I find both explanations plausible, 505 00:26:14,680 --> 00:26:16,760 Speaker 2: but you know, maybe give us an update. One of 506 00:26:16,800 --> 00:26:20,439 Speaker 2: the things that we were hopeful about when the Supreme 507 00:26:20,480 --> 00:26:23,320 Speaker 2: Court struck down Trump's tariffs and you brought this up immediately. 508 00:26:23,400 --> 00:26:26,320 Speaker 2: Ryan was, well, they've been using those terrorifts to threaten 509 00:26:26,400 --> 00:26:30,240 Speaker 2: Mexico and say you can't send the oil that Cuba 510 00:26:30,280 --> 00:26:32,639 Speaker 2: has already purchased. You can't send it to Cuba or 511 00:26:32,720 --> 00:26:34,000 Speaker 2: else we're going to tear if the shit on if 512 00:26:34,040 --> 00:26:37,040 Speaker 2: you Well, that tool has been taken out of their arsenal. 513 00:26:37,080 --> 00:26:39,800 Speaker 2: But when we talked to Jose of Dropside News that 514 00:26:39,840 --> 00:26:42,560 Speaker 2: you're ahead of your Latin America desk, he was pretty 515 00:26:42,600 --> 00:26:44,960 Speaker 2: doubtful that it would really change the calculation because his 516 00:26:45,080 --> 00:26:48,280 Speaker 2: sense was that Claudia Scheinbaum had told, had been told 517 00:26:48,560 --> 00:26:50,879 Speaker 2: in no uncertain terms like no, this is really a 518 00:26:50,920 --> 00:26:53,520 Speaker 2: problem for us, and you know, and that she would 519 00:26:53,560 --> 00:26:58,440 Speaker 2: be likely to listen and you know, not violate the 520 00:26:58,520 --> 00:27:00,959 Speaker 2: illegal oil embargo that we put on the island. 521 00:27:01,520 --> 00:27:06,000 Speaker 4: Yeah, because there are other tariffs that Trump can you know, 522 00:27:06,040 --> 00:27:09,320 Speaker 4: put on Mexican goods up to think fifty percent. You know, 523 00:27:09,600 --> 00:27:12,680 Speaker 4: you can challenge them and they will be challenged, no doubt. 524 00:27:12,800 --> 00:27:15,240 Speaker 2: Well, and she, I mean Trump made the point. He's like, well, 525 00:27:15,240 --> 00:27:17,479 Speaker 2: it's kind of ridiculous that I can destroy a country, 526 00:27:17,520 --> 00:27:19,680 Speaker 2: but I can't levey tariffs. And I mean in a sense, 527 00:27:20,400 --> 00:27:22,440 Speaker 2: he's correct, Like there's all kinds of ways that he 528 00:27:22,480 --> 00:27:25,720 Speaker 2: could screw with Mexico that don't have to do with tariffs. 529 00:27:25,480 --> 00:27:26,560 Speaker 3: Right right, So. 530 00:27:28,720 --> 00:27:32,479 Speaker 4: It's a real question for Shinbaum of how much she 531 00:27:32,560 --> 00:27:34,640 Speaker 4: wants to, you know, how important is it to her, 532 00:27:34,960 --> 00:27:37,600 Speaker 4: you know, to show solidarity with the Cubans and also 533 00:27:37,640 --> 00:27:41,000 Speaker 4: show her sovereignty. When she was asked about it at 534 00:27:41,000 --> 00:27:47,040 Speaker 4: her press conference I believe it was yesterday, she did say, like, 535 00:27:47,240 --> 00:27:50,040 Speaker 4: the tariffs that were preventing us from sending the Cuba 536 00:27:50,119 --> 00:27:53,320 Speaker 4: have been ruled unconstitutional in the United States, so stay 537 00:27:53,359 --> 00:27:57,200 Speaker 4: tuned as to what that means. So she did open 538 00:27:57,240 --> 00:28:00,080 Speaker 4: the door to the possibility that this Supreme Court ruling 539 00:28:00,520 --> 00:28:04,720 Speaker 4: will actually, you know, is having her rethink that maybe 540 00:28:04,720 --> 00:28:06,920 Speaker 4: she's just using that for leverage to get something else 541 00:28:06,960 --> 00:28:11,440 Speaker 4: out of Trump behind the scenes. But it's still a 542 00:28:11,520 --> 00:28:14,000 Speaker 4: jump ball, like it's back and play otherwise. 543 00:28:14,320 --> 00:28:19,719 Speaker 2: In other words, all right, let's move on to this 544 00:28:20,280 --> 00:28:23,840 Speaker 2: AI fight. And I want to start here, guys with 545 00:28:24,040 --> 00:28:26,840 Speaker 2: a seven, which is the latest in this feud between 546 00:28:26,840 --> 00:28:31,600 Speaker 2: the Pentagon and Anthropic. Pentagon has taking the first step, 547 00:28:31,680 --> 00:28:37,440 Speaker 2: according to Axios, toward blacklisting Anthropic, and I really want 548 00:28:37,480 --> 00:28:42,520 Speaker 2: everyone to take all of this very seriously, because Anthropic 549 00:28:42,600 --> 00:28:47,200 Speaker 2: has positioned itself as the most safety conscious large AI 550 00:28:47,400 --> 00:28:51,600 Speaker 2: like Frontier AI lab, and I think they've especially with 551 00:28:51,640 --> 00:28:53,960 Speaker 2: this fight with the Pentagon, I think they've earned that 552 00:28:54,040 --> 00:28:56,960 Speaker 2: reputation at this point. That's not to say, and we'll 553 00:28:57,000 --> 00:28:59,160 Speaker 2: get to some of the problems a little bit later 554 00:28:59,360 --> 00:29:01,640 Speaker 2: that you know, it's all great because they are also 555 00:29:02,000 --> 00:29:05,080 Speaker 2: very much acceding to the market logic of we got 556 00:29:05,080 --> 00:29:07,240 Speaker 2: to throw safety to the side and just build, build, build, 557 00:29:07,640 --> 00:29:11,480 Speaker 2: But they put down two pretty reasonable red lines with 558 00:29:11,560 --> 00:29:15,120 Speaker 2: regard to the Pentagon's use of Claude their AI, which 559 00:29:15,200 --> 00:29:18,200 Speaker 2: was number one, we don't want it used for mass 560 00:29:18,200 --> 00:29:23,080 Speaker 2: surveillance of Americans. Okay, that seems pretty reasonable. And number two, 561 00:29:23,400 --> 00:29:26,640 Speaker 2: we don't want it to be used for autonomous killer 562 00:29:26,720 --> 00:29:31,120 Speaker 2: robots where there is no human being involved whatsoever. Those 563 00:29:31,160 --> 00:29:35,120 Speaker 2: seem like, you know, really a low bar to meat. 564 00:29:35,560 --> 00:29:38,600 Speaker 2: And yet the Pentagon has thrown a complete fit over this, 565 00:29:38,640 --> 00:29:42,080 Speaker 2: and Pete Hegseth in particular, and so this showdown has 566 00:29:42,120 --> 00:29:45,920 Speaker 2: been ongoing. I believe the deadline that heg Seth arbitrarily 567 00:29:45,960 --> 00:29:50,600 Speaker 2: set for Anthropic to completely capitulate to their demands is tomorrow. 568 00:29:51,120 --> 00:29:54,160 Speaker 2: And the two threats that he had made were either 569 00:29:54,600 --> 00:29:56,960 Speaker 2: we're going to actually just use the Defense Production Act 570 00:29:57,080 --> 00:30:01,320 Speaker 2: to seize your technology and give however we want. You're 571 00:30:01,360 --> 00:30:03,880 Speaker 2: not going to get a say in it whatsoever, or 572 00:30:04,160 --> 00:30:06,920 Speaker 2: and that one had a little bit more of potential 573 00:30:07,000 --> 00:30:10,240 Speaker 2: legal issues with it. Or the other direction, which they 574 00:30:10,280 --> 00:30:12,560 Speaker 2: look like they're going in at this point, Ryan, is 575 00:30:12,920 --> 00:30:16,760 Speaker 2: we're going to declare your product a supply chain risk 576 00:30:17,160 --> 00:30:20,360 Speaker 2: because again, you won't completely capitulate to our demands for 577 00:30:20,480 --> 00:30:24,000 Speaker 2: killer robots and mass surveillance of Americans. Apparently, and that 578 00:30:24,160 --> 00:30:25,720 Speaker 2: means not only are we going to end our two 579 00:30:25,760 --> 00:30:28,640 Speaker 2: hundred million dollar contract with you, but all of our 580 00:30:28,760 --> 00:30:31,960 Speaker 2: everyone we work with at the Pentagon, all the you know, 581 00:30:32,240 --> 00:30:35,800 Speaker 2: prime contractors, any of our suppliers, We're going to tell 582 00:30:35,840 --> 00:30:38,040 Speaker 2: them they can't work with you either because you're a 583 00:30:38,120 --> 00:30:41,720 Speaker 2: quote unquote supply chain risk. It looks like they're moving 584 00:30:41,760 --> 00:30:44,000 Speaker 2: in that direction, and the only thing that's really preventing 585 00:30:44,000 --> 00:30:46,720 Speaker 2: them is that Claude is actually, you know, the best 586 00:30:46,760 --> 00:30:48,720 Speaker 2: of these models, I think in general at this point, 587 00:30:48,760 --> 00:30:52,520 Speaker 2: but specifically for whatever the Pentagon is using it for, 588 00:30:52,600 --> 00:30:55,760 Speaker 2: Claude apparently performs better than the other models, and so 589 00:30:56,040 --> 00:30:58,160 Speaker 2: it's going to be kind of a mess for them 590 00:30:58,200 --> 00:31:01,760 Speaker 2: to disentangle this. And actually there's a quote here from 591 00:31:01,880 --> 00:31:04,680 Speaker 2: some senior military official that's like, yeah, if we have 592 00:31:04,720 --> 00:31:08,560 Speaker 2: to stop using Anthropic, if we have to stop using Claude, 593 00:31:08,760 --> 00:31:10,600 Speaker 2: that's going to be a mess. And we're going to 594 00:31:10,760 --> 00:31:14,680 Speaker 2: make them pay for the trouble that they've cost us. 595 00:31:15,280 --> 00:31:18,720 Speaker 2: Of course, Elon and x AI have stepped up and said, hey, 596 00:31:18,720 --> 00:31:21,320 Speaker 2: we don't have any problem. We'll do your autonomous killer 597 00:31:21,640 --> 00:31:25,400 Speaker 2: robot swarms. No no issue here, So you know, x 598 00:31:25,520 --> 00:31:27,600 Speaker 2: is raising their hand and say, hey, count us in. 599 00:31:28,040 --> 00:31:31,560 Speaker 2: But and and the Pentagon is going to reportedly give 600 00:31:31,600 --> 00:31:35,480 Speaker 2: them access to their classified systems, et cetera. But apparently 601 00:31:35,560 --> 00:31:37,560 Speaker 2: the you know, the product is is not as good 602 00:31:37,840 --> 00:31:42,280 Speaker 2: at this point coming from Elon than it is from Anthropics. 603 00:31:42,360 --> 00:31:44,480 Speaker 2: So that's kind of where things stand at this point. 604 00:31:44,600 --> 00:31:48,200 Speaker 4: Ryan, Yeah, shocked that GROC is not not up to 605 00:31:48,200 --> 00:31:53,000 Speaker 4: the task of uh that the Pentagon wants wants or two. 606 00:31:53,440 --> 00:31:57,400 Speaker 3: But yes, they're they're they're using the language that. 607 00:31:59,160 --> 00:32:02,600 Speaker 4: You know that and they are walking back the safety 608 00:32:02,600 --> 00:32:05,479 Speaker 4: pledge like that's you know, this this that was reported 609 00:32:05,560 --> 00:32:07,080 Speaker 4: yesterday that this. 610 00:32:07,040 --> 00:32:10,240 Speaker 2: Was you're talking about. Anthropic is walking back the safety pledge. 611 00:32:09,600 --> 00:32:14,560 Speaker 4: And the quote from Jared Kaplan, who is the chief 612 00:32:14,760 --> 00:32:18,240 Speaker 4: Science officer who gave the time, he said, we didn't 613 00:32:18,240 --> 00:32:20,320 Speaker 4: feel with the rapid advance of AI that it made 614 00:32:20,360 --> 00:32:24,040 Speaker 4: sense for us to make unilateral commitments if competitors are 615 00:32:24,200 --> 00:32:27,800 Speaker 4: blazing ahead. We felt that it wouldn't actually help anyone 616 00:32:27,840 --> 00:32:31,719 Speaker 4: for us to stop training AI models. So the argument 617 00:32:31,800 --> 00:32:35,200 Speaker 4: that Musk and Altman and all of the others have 618 00:32:35,200 --> 00:32:38,080 Speaker 4: been making from the beginning is that we can't be 619 00:32:38,200 --> 00:32:41,560 Speaker 4: ethical because nobody else will be. We'd we'd like to be, 620 00:32:42,360 --> 00:32:44,440 Speaker 4: but nobody else is, so we can't be, So we 621 00:32:44,560 --> 00:32:45,479 Speaker 4: have to march forward. 622 00:32:46,040 --> 00:32:46,320 Speaker 3: Uh. 623 00:32:46,400 --> 00:32:48,760 Speaker 4: Anthropic was the only one really that was saying no, 624 00:32:48,920 --> 00:32:51,480 Speaker 4: that we don't believe in that. We we believe that 625 00:32:51,680 --> 00:32:56,080 Speaker 4: we can do this separately. And now they're capitulating, you know, 626 00:32:56,160 --> 00:33:00,000 Speaker 4: to this under these under this combination of pressures. 627 00:33:00,120 --> 00:33:03,200 Speaker 2: Yeah. Well, in their message would basically be like, what 628 00:33:02,920 --> 00:33:05,240 Speaker 2: you think it's going to be better if Elon wins 629 00:33:05,360 --> 00:33:08,840 Speaker 2: the AI war and ends up with AGI or super 630 00:33:08,880 --> 00:33:11,720 Speaker 2: intelligence first, do you think that's going to be better? 631 00:33:11,760 --> 00:33:16,600 Speaker 2: I mean, that's that's their thinking and that logic is 632 00:33:16,640 --> 00:33:19,520 Speaker 2: not just the competition between these companies, but then it's 633 00:33:19,560 --> 00:33:22,720 Speaker 2: also the competition, you know, this geopolitical competition between the 634 00:33:22,840 --> 00:33:25,360 Speaker 2: US and China and all this fear mongering about like, 635 00:33:25,360 --> 00:33:28,600 Speaker 2: oh my god, if China achieves AGI or super intelligence first, 636 00:33:28,760 --> 00:33:32,120 Speaker 2: then we're done for et cetera. And so the safety 637 00:33:32,160 --> 00:33:34,480 Speaker 2: pledge that you're talking about, you know, their previous model 638 00:33:34,520 --> 00:33:38,280 Speaker 2: had basically been like, Okay, if we develop a model 639 00:33:38,360 --> 00:33:41,840 Speaker 2: and we can't feel comfortable like certifying that this is 640 00:33:41,880 --> 00:33:44,600 Speaker 2: completely safe, we're not going to release it and we're 641 00:33:44,640 --> 00:33:46,680 Speaker 2: going to stop. We're going to pause and figure out 642 00:33:46,720 --> 00:33:50,640 Speaker 2: what's going on. And now they're like, well, yeah, we're 643 00:33:50,680 --> 00:33:53,000 Speaker 2: not going to do that anymore, and we're going to 644 00:33:53,120 --> 00:33:56,240 Speaker 2: we have these other safety guidelines in place, so don't worry. 645 00:33:56,280 --> 00:33:59,880 Speaker 2: But you know, that particular model of actually stopping development 646 00:34:00,160 --> 00:34:02,160 Speaker 2: and figuring out what the hell is going on before 647 00:34:02,200 --> 00:34:05,480 Speaker 2: moving forward, yeah, we can't really. We can't really do 648 00:34:05,520 --> 00:34:08,200 Speaker 2: that because we're going to fall behind, and the market 649 00:34:08,239 --> 00:34:10,920 Speaker 2: logic dictates that we have to keep going. And you know, 650 00:34:11,000 --> 00:34:15,040 Speaker 2: in a sense, Ryan, I sort of empathize with them 651 00:34:15,120 --> 00:34:18,440 Speaker 2: because I think in the system that exists now with 652 00:34:18,960 --> 00:34:21,719 Speaker 2: government completely I mean, you can't even say hands off. 653 00:34:21,800 --> 00:34:25,200 Speaker 2: Like they're actively pushing all of this forward as fast 654 00:34:25,239 --> 00:34:28,400 Speaker 2: as they possibly can. You are not going to be 655 00:34:28,400 --> 00:34:30,920 Speaker 2: able to resist those pressures. I mean, this is really 656 00:34:30,960 --> 00:34:34,600 Speaker 2: an issue from you know, from our politicians where they 657 00:34:34,640 --> 00:34:37,839 Speaker 2: need to come in and regulate, because as long as 658 00:34:37,880 --> 00:34:40,400 Speaker 2: you have one company that's willing to say, you know, 659 00:34:40,520 --> 00:34:43,200 Speaker 2: to hell with all the safeguards, I'm going to bolt, 660 00:34:43,280 --> 00:34:45,640 Speaker 2: I'm going to I'm going to go ahead and race 661 00:34:45,680 --> 00:34:49,040 Speaker 2: ahead as fast as i can, then it means the 662 00:34:49,080 --> 00:34:52,759 Speaker 2: most irresponsible actor is the one that is most likely 663 00:34:52,880 --> 00:34:57,640 Speaker 2: to achieve artificial general intelligence or super intelligence the first 664 00:34:57,719 --> 00:35:01,880 Speaker 2: and that is a terrible, terrible set of circumstances. So 665 00:35:02,600 --> 00:35:05,640 Speaker 2: you know, it's really it's really a genuine failure and 666 00:35:05,680 --> 00:35:08,640 Speaker 2: a terrifying one of the political class, as evidenced now 667 00:35:08,719 --> 00:35:11,040 Speaker 2: by this, you know, this fight with the Pentagon and 668 00:35:11,080 --> 00:35:13,200 Speaker 2: the fact that they've decided to draw this hard line 669 00:35:13,239 --> 00:35:15,640 Speaker 2: of like, no, we demand that we use your product 670 00:35:16,080 --> 00:35:20,239 Speaker 2: for both surveillance and you know, killer robot purposes. I 671 00:35:20,280 --> 00:35:24,480 Speaker 2: wanted to play the CEO of Anthropic Dario amide Uh 672 00:35:24,640 --> 00:35:27,160 Speaker 2: responded to, you know, explaining his thinking of why this 673 00:35:27,400 --> 00:35:29,880 Speaker 2: was a hard line for them and listen. I. Like 674 00:35:29,920 --> 00:35:31,279 Speaker 2: I said, it's a low bar. I do want to 675 00:35:31,320 --> 00:35:34,400 Speaker 2: give them credit though, because at least they're standing up 676 00:35:34,440 --> 00:35:37,359 Speaker 2: against something in all of this. None of the other 677 00:35:37,400 --> 00:35:39,920 Speaker 2: companies seems to be doing that. This is a eight. 678 00:35:40,000 --> 00:35:41,919 Speaker 2: Let's go ahead and take a listen to him laying 679 00:35:41,920 --> 00:35:42,800 Speaker 2: out his concerns. 680 00:35:43,280 --> 00:35:46,480 Speaker 8: That's one reason why I'm you know, I'm worried about 681 00:35:46,520 --> 00:35:50,160 Speaker 8: the you know, the the the autonomous drone swarm. Right, So, 682 00:35:50,640 --> 00:35:56,520 Speaker 8: you know, the constitutional protections in our military structures depend 683 00:35:56,560 --> 00:35:59,520 Speaker 8: on the idea that there are humans who would we hope, 684 00:35:59,640 --> 00:36:03,799 Speaker 8: dis bay illegal orders with fully autonomous weapons. We don't 685 00:36:03,800 --> 00:36:08,000 Speaker 8: necessarily have those protections, but I actually think this whole 686 00:36:08,040 --> 00:36:14,360 Speaker 8: idea of constitutional rights and liberty along many different dimensions 687 00:36:15,520 --> 00:36:19,720 Speaker 8: you know, can be undermined by AI if we don't 688 00:36:19,920 --> 00:36:23,800 Speaker 8: update these these protections appropriately. So, you know, think about 689 00:36:23,840 --> 00:36:26,640 Speaker 8: the Fourth Amendment. It is not illegal to you know, 690 00:36:27,120 --> 00:36:30,040 Speaker 8: put cameras around everywhere in public space and you know, 691 00:36:30,080 --> 00:36:32,239 Speaker 8: record every conversation. It's a public space. You don't have 692 00:36:32,239 --> 00:36:35,040 Speaker 8: a right to privacy in a public space. But today 693 00:36:35,400 --> 00:36:38,520 Speaker 8: the government couldn't record that all and make sense of it. 694 00:36:38,800 --> 00:36:42,680 Speaker 8: With AI, the ability to transcribe speech to look through it, 695 00:36:42,880 --> 00:36:46,480 Speaker 8: correlate it all You could say, oh, there's this, you know, 696 00:36:47,480 --> 00:36:49,920 Speaker 8: this person is a member of the opposition, this person 697 00:36:49,960 --> 00:36:52,919 Speaker 8: is expressing this view, and make a map of all 698 00:36:53,160 --> 00:36:55,319 Speaker 8: you know, one hundred million and so are you going 699 00:36:55,360 --> 00:36:58,080 Speaker 8: to make a mockery of the Fourth Amendment by the 700 00:36:58,120 --> 00:37:02,160 Speaker 8: technology finding kind of technical ways around it? And and 701 00:37:02,160 --> 00:37:05,000 Speaker 8: and so you know, again, if we if we had 702 00:37:05,040 --> 00:37:06,919 Speaker 8: the time, and we should do this. We should try 703 00:37:06,920 --> 00:37:08,800 Speaker 8: to do this even even if we don't have the time. 704 00:37:09,239 --> 00:37:15,040 Speaker 8: Is there some way of reconceptualizing constitutional rights and liberties 705 00:37:15,480 --> 00:37:17,839 Speaker 8: in the age of AI, Like, you know, we don't 706 00:37:17,880 --> 00:37:19,640 Speaker 8: need to write a new constitutional but you. 707 00:37:19,560 --> 00:37:20,839 Speaker 7: Know, does you have to do this? 708 00:37:20,880 --> 00:37:23,600 Speaker 3: Do we expand the meaning of the Fourth Amendment? Do 709 00:37:23,640 --> 00:37:25,480 Speaker 3: we expand the meaning of the First Amendment? 710 00:37:25,920 --> 00:37:28,640 Speaker 2: What do you think about those comments? Ryan and the 711 00:37:28,719 --> 00:37:31,719 Speaker 2: kind of like moral and ethical landscape that is being 712 00:37:31,920 --> 00:37:32,719 Speaker 2: trod right now. 713 00:37:33,200 --> 00:37:37,200 Speaker 4: I feel like that if those comments are not just 714 00:37:37,360 --> 00:37:42,000 Speaker 4: accepted as common sense and a baseline for how we're 715 00:37:42,000 --> 00:37:48,080 Speaker 4: moving forward, but instead are bull dozed over and used 716 00:37:48,120 --> 00:37:53,120 Speaker 4: as a rationale to nationalize the company and take its 717 00:37:53,360 --> 00:37:56,120 Speaker 4: take its product from it and use it again, Like 718 00:37:57,080 --> 00:38:01,040 Speaker 4: we're so ft like, yeah, the like they those to 719 00:38:01,200 --> 00:38:05,480 Speaker 4: me seems like such obvious basic principles that as humanity forget. 720 00:38:05,880 --> 00:38:08,960 Speaker 4: We do happen to have a constitution that says people 721 00:38:08,960 --> 00:38:12,560 Speaker 4: have you know, the right to you know, you know 722 00:38:12,640 --> 00:38:15,439 Speaker 4: that have basic protections, including the Fourth Amendment, and also 723 00:38:15,520 --> 00:38:18,920 Speaker 4: you can't just kill people for no reason. But even 724 00:38:18,960 --> 00:38:22,680 Speaker 4: if you don't have the constitution, like basic human rights 725 00:38:22,680 --> 00:38:26,520 Speaker 4: and our basic conception of humanity would suggest that those 726 00:38:26,520 --> 00:38:30,800 Speaker 4: are just that's just a that is the starting point, 727 00:38:30,920 --> 00:38:32,360 Speaker 4: and you would you would hope that would be the 728 00:38:32,400 --> 00:38:34,560 Speaker 4: starting point, and then people would then build on top 729 00:38:34,600 --> 00:38:36,440 Speaker 4: of that. Here are some other things that I think 730 00:38:36,440 --> 00:38:38,840 Speaker 4: we need to protect and some other things that we 731 00:38:38,840 --> 00:38:40,919 Speaker 4: should make sure that we're protecting as we're growing. 732 00:38:41,000 --> 00:38:41,080 Speaker 3: This. 733 00:38:41,800 --> 00:38:45,160 Speaker 4: To have that be the radical edge that's going to 734 00:38:45,200 --> 00:38:53,320 Speaker 4: be destroyed already instantly instantly is like wow, okay, well. 735 00:38:53,200 --> 00:38:55,439 Speaker 2: Yeah, and you know there's a lot of like, oh 736 00:38:55,480 --> 00:38:58,040 Speaker 2: I voted for this discourse or like I didn't vote 737 00:38:58,040 --> 00:39:01,799 Speaker 2: for this discourse around you know, Trump voters, but this 738 00:39:01,960 --> 00:39:06,919 Speaker 2: was definitely not a central part of the campaignity voting. Yeah, 739 00:39:06,920 --> 00:39:09,040 Speaker 2: we're going to just you know, off to the races 740 00:39:09,080 --> 00:39:11,080 Speaker 2: on Yeah, I mean not to say that that, like 741 00:39:11,120 --> 00:39:13,919 Speaker 2: I was paying attention to, that was their orientation for sure, 742 00:39:14,400 --> 00:39:16,840 Speaker 2: but the idea of like, yeah, we're just going to 743 00:39:16,920 --> 00:39:19,879 Speaker 2: try to eliminate all white collar work and by the way, 744 00:39:19,920 --> 00:39:22,000 Speaker 2: suck up all the water and electricity and spik your 745 00:39:22,080 --> 00:39:27,000 Speaker 2: rates and create these like you know, super dystopian panopticon surveillance, 746 00:39:27,040 --> 00:39:32,400 Speaker 2: state killer autonomous robots. You know, we're gonna we're going 747 00:39:32,480 --> 00:39:35,239 Speaker 2: to have this massive secret police force that is going 748 00:39:35,280 --> 00:39:37,600 Speaker 2: to be enabled with all of this technology, et cetera. 749 00:39:37,680 --> 00:39:39,960 Speaker 2: And that's going to be a main push. Like that 750 00:39:40,120 --> 00:39:42,600 Speaker 2: is the central and one of the most consequential things 751 00:39:42,880 --> 00:39:48,160 Speaker 2: that this administration is doing. The public is wildly, wildly 752 00:39:48,320 --> 00:39:51,839 Speaker 2: against all of this on any variety of fronts, and 753 00:39:52,000 --> 00:39:54,719 Speaker 2: to your point, they're just it looks like from the 754 00:39:54,800 --> 00:39:58,560 Speaker 2: jump they're just going to bulldoze through any of the 755 00:39:58,600 --> 00:40:03,600 Speaker 2: most terrifying concerns that are being offered here and say, Nope, 756 00:40:03,800 --> 00:40:06,200 Speaker 2: we want it all. We will do it all, and 757 00:40:06,320 --> 00:40:09,080 Speaker 2: we will use the whole force of the government, even 758 00:40:09,120 --> 00:40:11,279 Speaker 2: though we do not have a democratic mandate to do this, 759 00:40:11,800 --> 00:40:14,839 Speaker 2: in order to compel you to comply. And so let's 760 00:40:14,880 --> 00:40:17,720 Speaker 2: take a look at you know, the responsible decision making 761 00:40:17,840 --> 00:40:20,879 Speaker 2: nature of these leading AI products. At this point, let's 762 00:40:20,880 --> 00:40:24,319 Speaker 2: put a six up on the screen. Some new rather 763 00:40:24,440 --> 00:40:29,840 Speaker 2: terrifying research here from someone who tested the leading AI models, 764 00:40:30,160 --> 00:40:32,720 Speaker 2: and the headline here for new scientists says, AIS cannot 765 00:40:32,760 --> 00:40:37,279 Speaker 2: stop recommending nuclear strikes in wargame simulations. So they set 766 00:40:37,360 --> 00:40:39,640 Speaker 2: up these wargame simulations where it was like you know, 767 00:40:39,840 --> 00:40:45,760 Speaker 2: Claude versus Chat, GPT or whatever, and in ninety five 768 00:40:45,880 --> 00:40:50,720 Speaker 2: percent of instances, the AIS in the simulated war would 769 00:40:50,760 --> 00:40:55,680 Speaker 2: recommend using nukes. So that's that's where we're at, and 770 00:40:55,920 --> 00:40:57,799 Speaker 2: these are the products that we want to just like 771 00:40:58,400 --> 00:41:02,880 Speaker 2: let you know, run wild with any sort of human intervention, uh, 772 00:41:03,160 --> 00:41:05,920 Speaker 2: with the most powerful military on the planet that has 773 00:41:06,000 --> 00:41:08,880 Speaker 2: ever existed. So that seems like a really great idea. 774 00:41:10,200 --> 00:41:15,040 Speaker 4: Yeah, yes, And so when you think about autonomous armed drones, 775 00:41:15,360 --> 00:41:20,239 Speaker 4: like the next step would be you know autonomous like 776 00:41:20,640 --> 00:41:24,919 Speaker 4: how do you put guardrails around that autonomy that that 777 00:41:25,320 --> 00:41:26,959 Speaker 4: stopped short of control. 778 00:41:26,640 --> 00:41:27,480 Speaker 3: Of nuclear weapons? 779 00:41:28,320 --> 00:41:33,360 Speaker 4: Like if if you have deliberately destroyed all the safety mechanisms, 780 00:41:33,920 --> 00:41:37,000 Speaker 4: like don't you don't get a second chance at this 781 00:41:37,120 --> 00:41:38,839 Speaker 4: to come back in and be like, oh, you know what, 782 00:41:39,560 --> 00:41:42,080 Speaker 4: you were right? We actually, you know, should have made 783 00:41:42,080 --> 00:41:46,440 Speaker 4: sure before we rolled out this Pentagon AI that it 784 00:41:46,480 --> 00:41:48,600 Speaker 4: wouldn't just nuclear world. 785 00:41:48,719 --> 00:41:52,000 Speaker 3: You're right, next are bad. We're going to update it 786 00:41:52,040 --> 00:41:52,520 Speaker 3: and fix this. 787 00:41:52,719 --> 00:41:57,440 Speaker 2: Like you don't get that, yeah, completely. I was trying to. 788 00:41:57,800 --> 00:42:01,319 Speaker 2: I was messing around with CHAGBT yesterday and we're having 789 00:42:01,320 --> 00:42:03,480 Speaker 2: to like remodel our bathroom and I was trying to 790 00:42:03,480 --> 00:42:05,840 Speaker 2: get it to like move a shower head in the 791 00:42:06,880 --> 00:42:09,839 Speaker 2: new shower and it was it would not listen, and 792 00:42:09,840 --> 00:42:12,120 Speaker 2: it kept on like just producing an image that was 793 00:42:12,160 --> 00:42:14,120 Speaker 2: like the shower head in the same place. And I'd 794 00:42:14,160 --> 00:42:16,040 Speaker 2: be like, why are you doing this? And every time 795 00:42:16,040 --> 00:42:18,680 Speaker 2: I'd be like, you're right, I'm sorry, blah blah blah, 796 00:42:18,719 --> 00:42:22,000 Speaker 2: you know, and look when it's a showerhead in a 797 00:42:22,160 --> 00:42:25,560 Speaker 2: you know, fake image, no big deal. But what people 798 00:42:25,560 --> 00:42:28,239 Speaker 2: who are deeply concerned on the safety front point too, 799 00:42:28,520 --> 00:42:33,680 Speaker 2: is it's very possible that the catastrophe that makes everyone 800 00:42:33,760 --> 00:42:38,680 Speaker 2: wake up is an existential Like it's it's such a disaster, 801 00:42:39,160 --> 00:42:42,279 Speaker 2: can't yeah that you can't recover from it, or it's 802 00:42:42,320 --> 00:42:44,760 Speaker 2: so it's you know, horrifying, or you're talking about millions 803 00:42:44,800 --> 00:42:47,759 Speaker 2: of lives, like you know, there are a lot of 804 00:42:47,880 --> 00:42:50,560 Speaker 2: AI safety types who hope there's some sort of like 805 00:42:51,200 --> 00:42:55,719 Speaker 2: Chernobyl esque disaster that is really bad enough to wake 806 00:42:55,760 --> 00:42:58,640 Speaker 2: people up, but not so bad that you can't recover 807 00:42:58,760 --> 00:43:01,600 Speaker 2: from it, because there is a possibility that you know 808 00:43:01,760 --> 00:43:04,480 Speaker 2: already these models have developed to a point where they're 809 00:43:05,040 --> 00:43:09,920 Speaker 2: very powerful, and they're acting in ways that are extremely unpredictable. 810 00:43:10,760 --> 00:43:12,839 Speaker 2: We've gotten, you know, I've got a new example of 811 00:43:12,880 --> 00:43:15,280 Speaker 2: that we can put up here on the screen. A nine. 812 00:43:15,360 --> 00:43:19,120 Speaker 2: This is from Akash Gupta, who and this was reported elsewhere, 813 00:43:19,160 --> 00:43:22,560 Speaker 2: and he writes an AI newsletter. But in any case, 814 00:43:22,560 --> 00:43:25,279 Speaker 2: he says, one person writing the Spanish language prompt spent 815 00:43:25,320 --> 00:43:29,200 Speaker 2: a month talking Claude into acting as a penetration tester. 816 00:43:29,400 --> 00:43:33,440 Speaker 2: Federal Tax Authority, National Electoral Institute for State Governments, Mexico 817 00:43:33,520 --> 00:43:36,920 Speaker 2: City Civil Registry, Monore's water utility, one hundred and fifty 818 00:43:36,960 --> 00:43:39,960 Speaker 2: gigabytes out the door, one hundred and ninety five million 819 00:43:40,040 --> 00:43:45,320 Speaker 2: taxpayer records. The conversation lugs were publicly accessible the entire time. 820 00:43:45,680 --> 00:43:47,720 Speaker 2: What makes us worth paying attention to is the sequence. 821 00:43:47,800 --> 00:43:50,880 Speaker 2: Gambit Security is really firm that found the breach, traces 822 00:43:50,920 --> 00:43:54,040 Speaker 2: the attack to December twenty five through January twenty sixth. Today, 823 00:43:54,280 --> 00:43:58,680 Speaker 2: Anthropic dropped that central pledge of its responsible Scaling Policy 824 00:43:58,960 --> 00:44:01,239 Speaker 2: twenty twenty three commitment to never train a model unless 825 00:44:01,239 --> 00:44:05,000 Speaker 2: safety measures were proven adequate first. Also today, Defense Secretary 826 00:44:05,080 --> 00:44:08,919 Speaker 2: Hegseth gave Daryu Amidae an ultimatum roll back your AI 827 00:44:08,920 --> 00:44:11,800 Speaker 2: state guards or lose a two hundred million dollars Pentagon contract. 828 00:44:11,920 --> 00:44:14,600 Speaker 2: The Pentagon threaten to declare Anthropic a supply chain risk 829 00:44:14,640 --> 00:44:17,239 Speaker 2: and invoke the Defense Production Act. Three stories hit the 830 00:44:17,280 --> 00:44:20,359 Speaker 2: company on the same day, an AI assisted government breach, 831 00:44:20,560 --> 00:44:23,520 Speaker 2: a gutted safety policy, and a military shakedown, and they're 832 00:44:23,560 --> 00:44:27,719 Speaker 2: all connected by the same underlying tension, and so you 833 00:44:27,719 --> 00:44:31,520 Speaker 2: know you already have Claude. Basically, what this hacker was 834 00:44:31,560 --> 00:44:35,040 Speaker 2: able to do was to jail break claud meaning that 835 00:44:35,280 --> 00:44:37,560 Speaker 2: the sort of restrictions that are put in place about 836 00:44:37,560 --> 00:44:40,120 Speaker 2: don't do bad things. They're able to sort of break 837 00:44:40,160 --> 00:44:43,799 Speaker 2: it out of that, which is a well known vulnerability 838 00:44:43,840 --> 00:44:46,359 Speaker 2: for these models. You can sort of like cajole them like, well, 839 00:44:46,480 --> 00:44:48,440 Speaker 2: we don't want to do this, but hypothetically, and if 840 00:44:48,480 --> 00:44:50,360 Speaker 2: you talk to them long enough, then they start to 841 00:44:50,400 --> 00:44:53,759 Speaker 2: lose track of the things that they're not supposed to 842 00:44:53,760 --> 00:44:56,920 Speaker 2: do et cetera. And so this person was able over 843 00:44:57,160 --> 00:44:59,920 Speaker 2: you know, a month's time to talk Claude into hacking 844 00:45:00,040 --> 00:45:02,400 Speaker 2: into the Mexican government and stealing all of this data. 845 00:45:02,800 --> 00:45:06,719 Speaker 2: So this is where these models already are. And I 846 00:45:06,760 --> 00:45:11,160 Speaker 2: think ethical one, yeah, and this is the ethical one exactly. 847 00:45:11,719 --> 00:45:14,440 Speaker 2: And so I think people I just see a lot 848 00:45:14,480 --> 00:45:16,560 Speaker 2: of people still with their heads in the sand because 849 00:45:16,560 --> 00:45:18,720 Speaker 2: they'll see stupid stuff like you know, like my situation 850 00:45:18,760 --> 00:45:20,880 Speaker 2: with chat GPT, and they're like, this stuff is this 851 00:45:20,960 --> 00:45:23,000 Speaker 2: is nonsense, Like this is a parlor trick. This is 852 00:45:23,040 --> 00:45:25,320 Speaker 2: not going to transform anything. That's not a risk to anyone. 853 00:45:25,600 --> 00:45:29,000 Speaker 2: I wish that was true already. You know, Claud Code 854 00:45:29,000 --> 00:45:31,680 Speaker 2: and Claud Cowork. You can see the way they're upending markets, 855 00:45:31,719 --> 00:45:36,720 Speaker 2: destroying software companies. Like to imagine that this isn't going 856 00:45:36,760 --> 00:45:41,280 Speaker 2: to have a significant disruptive effect in one way or another. 857 00:45:41,400 --> 00:45:44,239 Speaker 2: I think it's just utterly delusional at this point and 858 00:45:44,320 --> 00:45:45,520 Speaker 2: not a sustainable view. 859 00:45:46,040 --> 00:45:50,880 Speaker 4: Well, let's hear Dario himself, Dario Muddy on that. Let's 860 00:45:51,080 --> 00:45:52,320 Speaker 4: here's a ten. 861 00:45:52,719 --> 00:45:55,279 Speaker 9: About some of the things that are more like in 862 00:45:55,360 --> 00:45:58,920 Speaker 9: the you know, in the kind of public awareness and 863 00:45:59,000 --> 00:46:03,279 Speaker 9: the actions of wider society. You know, it is surprising 864 00:46:03,360 --> 00:46:06,640 Speaker 9: to me that we are, you know, in my view, 865 00:46:06,760 --> 00:46:10,120 Speaker 9: so close to these models reaching the level of human intelligence, 866 00:46:10,760 --> 00:46:16,080 Speaker 9: and yet there doesn't seem to be a wider recognition 867 00:46:16,160 --> 00:46:18,399 Speaker 9: in society of what's about to happen. It's as if 868 00:46:18,400 --> 00:46:21,400 Speaker 9: this tsunami is coming at us, and you know, it's 869 00:46:21,440 --> 00:46:23,520 Speaker 9: so close we can see it on the horizon, and 870 00:46:23,600 --> 00:46:26,480 Speaker 9: yet people are coming up with these explanations, Oh, it's 871 00:46:26,520 --> 00:46:29,400 Speaker 9: not actually a tsunami, it's you know that that you know, 872 00:46:29,600 --> 00:46:31,319 Speaker 9: that's just a trick of the light, like it's some 873 00:46:31,480 --> 00:46:33,520 Speaker 9: you know. And I think along with that, there hasn't 874 00:46:33,560 --> 00:46:36,160 Speaker 9: been a public awareness of the risks, and you know, 875 00:46:36,280 --> 00:46:40,239 Speaker 9: therefore governments haven't acted to address the risk. There's even 876 00:46:40,239 --> 00:46:42,880 Speaker 9: an ideology that, you know, we should just try to 877 00:46:42,920 --> 00:46:45,880 Speaker 9: accelerate as fast as possible, which, you know, I understand 878 00:46:45,920 --> 00:46:47,080 Speaker 9: the benefits of the technology. 879 00:46:47,120 --> 00:46:48,799 Speaker 3: I wrote Machines of Loving Grace, but I. 880 00:46:48,760 --> 00:46:52,359 Speaker 9: Think there hasn't been an appropriate realization of the risks 881 00:46:52,400 --> 00:46:54,479 Speaker 9: of the technology, and there certainly hasn't been action. 882 00:46:54,640 --> 00:46:56,279 Speaker 3: So I would say that the. 883 00:46:57,080 --> 00:47:00,439 Speaker 9: Technical work on controlling the eye systems has gone maybe 884 00:47:00,480 --> 00:47:02,400 Speaker 9: a little better than I expected, and kind of the 885 00:47:02,440 --> 00:47:05,000 Speaker 9: societal awareness has gone maybe a little worse. 886 00:47:05,120 --> 00:47:07,759 Speaker 10: Than I expected. So I'm about where I was a 887 00:47:07,760 --> 00:47:10,960 Speaker 10: few years ago. Yeah, okay, well, and you put up 888 00:47:10,960 --> 00:47:12,640 Speaker 10: the next almis. This is the one I mentioned earlier 889 00:47:12,640 --> 00:47:15,799 Speaker 10: a eleven. This is from yesterday. Anthropic Ditch is its 890 00:47:15,840 --> 00:47:18,560 Speaker 10: core safety promise in the middle of an AI redline 891 00:47:18,600 --> 00:47:22,040 Speaker 10: fight with the Pentagon. So there we go. 892 00:47:22,280 --> 00:47:26,440 Speaker 2: Great not great. And Dario recently wrote an essay, very 893 00:47:26,440 --> 00:47:29,880 Speaker 2: long essay I recommend people read it, laying out his 894 00:47:30,200 --> 00:47:33,880 Speaker 2: concerns in more specificity, and he makes I think an 895 00:47:33,880 --> 00:47:37,480 Speaker 2: insightful point, which is, look, you're always going to have 896 00:47:38,000 --> 00:47:40,880 Speaker 2: technical experts in the world who, if they so desired, 897 00:47:40,920 --> 00:47:43,520 Speaker 2: could unleash, like, you know, some sort of biological or 898 00:47:43,600 --> 00:47:47,759 Speaker 2: chemical warfare, and you're always going to have separate and 899 00:47:47,800 --> 00:47:50,719 Speaker 2: apart from that, you're always going to have people who 900 00:47:50,760 --> 00:47:55,160 Speaker 2: are malevolent or extremist actors who would desire to unleash 901 00:47:55,200 --> 00:47:58,200 Speaker 2: that sort of pain, death and chaos. But it's pretty 902 00:47:58,280 --> 00:48:01,439 Speaker 2: rare to find people who are are both expert enough 903 00:48:02,040 --> 00:48:06,359 Speaker 2: and either malevolent enough or extreme enough, or radicalized enough 904 00:48:06,440 --> 00:48:09,040 Speaker 2: or crazy enough or whatever. And in fact, the two 905 00:48:09,040 --> 00:48:11,600 Speaker 2: things tend not to go together because it usually is 906 00:48:11,719 --> 00:48:16,000 Speaker 2: like unstable misanthropic losers, you know, school shooter types who 907 00:48:16,000 --> 00:48:17,880 Speaker 2: want to do this sort of stuff, who are unlikely 908 00:48:17,960 --> 00:48:21,000 Speaker 2: to be skilled enough to actually pull it off. And 909 00:48:21,080 --> 00:48:24,800 Speaker 2: what you have with these ais now is the ability 910 00:48:24,840 --> 00:48:27,120 Speaker 2: to turn anyone into you don't need to be an 911 00:48:27,160 --> 00:48:30,600 Speaker 2: expert anymore. You can you can vibe warfare, you know 912 00:48:30,760 --> 00:48:33,160 Speaker 2: you can. You can just if you can jail break 913 00:48:33,160 --> 00:48:36,200 Speaker 2: one of these things, which is, you know, if the 914 00:48:36,200 --> 00:48:38,080 Speaker 2: claud one can be done, then you can imagine the 915 00:48:38,160 --> 00:48:41,279 Speaker 2: Xai one or whatever other model that's even that's less 916 00:48:41,320 --> 00:48:45,919 Speaker 2: responsible than Claude being even more easily jail broken. They're 917 00:48:45,920 --> 00:48:50,160 Speaker 2: all pushing ahead without having these safeguards in place. The 918 00:48:50,200 --> 00:48:54,840 Speaker 2: politicians are actively encouraging this off to the race's mentality, 919 00:48:55,400 --> 00:48:58,239 Speaker 2: and so now you don't need to have in a 920 00:48:58,280 --> 00:49:03,040 Speaker 2: singular person that level of malevolence and expertise in order 921 00:49:03,120 --> 00:49:07,560 Speaker 2: to have some sort of you know, horror perpetrated. So 922 00:49:07,840 --> 00:49:11,120 Speaker 2: that's that's kind of already the landscape that we live in, 923 00:49:11,400 --> 00:49:16,919 Speaker 2: and you know, it's it's deeply, deeply disturbing. And with this, 924 00:49:17,920 --> 00:49:20,279 Speaker 2: with this government in charge, I have zero hope that 925 00:49:20,320 --> 00:49:23,200 Speaker 2: there's going to be any sort of significant, meaningful reform. 926 00:49:23,320 --> 00:49:25,880 Speaker 2: And so I think that's where the data center fights 927 00:49:25,920 --> 00:49:28,239 Speaker 2: come in, where at least if you can slow things 928 00:49:28,280 --> 00:49:31,040 Speaker 2: to you know, grind the gears a little bit. We've 929 00:49:31,080 --> 00:49:33,239 Speaker 2: got to slow this timeline down so that there's at 930 00:49:33,320 --> 00:49:35,680 Speaker 2: least a chance for democracy to catch up. So there's 931 00:49:35,800 --> 00:49:38,680 Speaker 2: at least a chance to have this debate in the 932 00:49:39,000 --> 00:49:42,279 Speaker 2: twenty twenty eight elections, because I have no doubt that 933 00:49:42,320 --> 00:49:44,880 Speaker 2: the public is horrified, you know, to the extent that 934 00:49:44,880 --> 00:49:47,879 Speaker 2: they're aware of everything that's going on. They're horrified by 935 00:49:47,960 --> 00:49:50,000 Speaker 2: what is going on here from a variety of levels, 936 00:49:50,000 --> 00:49:53,360 Speaker 2: from the resource usage to the you know, job loss, 937 00:49:53,600 --> 00:49:56,640 Speaker 2: to the more existential concerns. But if we don't even 938 00:49:56,719 --> 00:49:58,759 Speaker 2: have a chance to weigh in, you know, before this 939 00:49:58,760 --> 00:50:02,080 Speaker 2: thing takes off to to agr to super intelligence, then 940 00:50:02,520 --> 00:50:04,040 Speaker 2: I don't know, when we're pretty hosed. 941 00:50:04,280 --> 00:50:08,560 Speaker 4: Yes, And when the right talks about school shootings, for instance, 942 00:50:09,200 --> 00:50:11,800 Speaker 4: they will say, look, we don't it's not a problem 943 00:50:11,840 --> 00:50:14,480 Speaker 4: with guns. The guns are not the problem. The problem 944 00:50:15,040 --> 00:50:18,239 Speaker 4: is mental health. We have a mental health crisis in 945 00:50:18,280 --> 00:50:22,440 Speaker 4: this country, and that is why people lash out. Okay, 946 00:50:22,440 --> 00:50:26,960 Speaker 4: you thought school shootings were bad, give those if you 947 00:50:27,120 --> 00:50:29,560 Speaker 4: do believe that we have this mental health crisis that 948 00:50:29,640 --> 00:50:34,640 Speaker 4: is leading people to want to commit mass, horrific violence 949 00:50:35,320 --> 00:50:39,640 Speaker 4: on the way towards suicide. How is that going to 950 00:50:39,800 --> 00:50:44,160 Speaker 4: unfold if we have given them the ability to do 951 00:50:44,400 --> 00:50:47,960 Speaker 4: cataclysmic levels of damage on their way out? 952 00:50:48,360 --> 00:50:53,320 Speaker 3: So yeah, dark, very dark. 953 00:50:56,640 --> 00:50:59,360 Speaker 4: Hillary Clinton heads to Capitol Hill today to give a 954 00:50:59,360 --> 00:51:02,680 Speaker 4: position behind hind closed doors. Let's roll through some Epstein 955 00:51:02,920 --> 00:51:07,560 Speaker 4: updates for you today. First of all, unearthed audio from 956 00:51:07,800 --> 00:51:12,959 Speaker 4: the from the radio program Howard Stern many years ago 957 00:51:13,520 --> 00:51:17,800 Speaker 4: is making the rounds again in the context of these 958 00:51:18,080 --> 00:51:22,440 Speaker 4: files that the DOJ appears to have withheld that relate 959 00:51:22,520 --> 00:51:26,000 Speaker 4: to char an accusation against President Trump, which we'll get 960 00:51:26,000 --> 00:51:28,320 Speaker 4: to in a moment. We'll also talking about Bill Gates, 961 00:51:28,960 --> 00:51:31,440 Speaker 4: who has now admitted to a couple of affairs with 962 00:51:31,480 --> 00:51:35,000 Speaker 4: some Russian sex workers and apologize for that. We'll talk 963 00:51:35,000 --> 00:51:38,520 Speaker 4: about whether there's some blackmail potential involved there when it 964 00:51:38,520 --> 00:51:42,800 Speaker 4: comes to Jeffrey Epstein. But let's roll this Trump clip 965 00:51:42,840 --> 00:51:47,759 Speaker 4: that is surging around the internet again. This is B three. 966 00:51:48,200 --> 00:51:51,040 Speaker 9: What is the best thing about being Donald Trump right now? 967 00:51:51,239 --> 00:51:54,560 Speaker 7: Well, the fact I'm married, okay, and I'm very happily 968 00:51:54,560 --> 00:51:55,680 Speaker 7: we met I have a great way, but if I 969 00:51:55,680 --> 00:51:59,160 Speaker 7: weren't married, I'd be able to get all of the 970 00:51:59,160 --> 00:52:02,600 Speaker 7: girls I want, except for possibly Robin. Do you think 971 00:52:02,640 --> 00:52:04,840 Speaker 7: you could now be banging twenty four year olds? 972 00:52:04,880 --> 00:52:04,960 Speaker 6: Oh? 973 00:52:05,040 --> 00:52:09,239 Speaker 7: Absolutely? Would you do it? I have no problem? Yeah. 974 00:52:09,280 --> 00:52:11,000 Speaker 2: Do you have an age limit or would you? 975 00:52:11,480 --> 00:52:11,640 Speaker 5: No? 976 00:52:11,640 --> 00:52:13,280 Speaker 7: No, I have no age. I mean I have an agent. 977 00:52:13,280 --> 00:52:16,200 Speaker 7: I don't want to be with you. Twelve year olds. 978 00:52:16,239 --> 00:52:17,279 Speaker 3: Can I make a prediction for you? 979 00:52:17,440 --> 00:52:17,720 Speaker 7: Yes? 980 00:52:18,000 --> 00:52:19,560 Speaker 3: I saw you have one more marriage in you. 981 00:52:20,520 --> 00:52:22,719 Speaker 7: Well that's nice. I'm sure Millenia will love to hear. 982 00:52:23,320 --> 00:52:27,799 Speaker 4: Okay, so this is a time at Crystal Wilsee he's got. 983 00:52:27,680 --> 00:52:30,759 Speaker 2: His lines, Ryan. Yeah, twelve year olds, that's too far. 984 00:52:31,160 --> 00:52:33,520 Speaker 4: This is the kind when Mark, the Mark Foley scandal 985 00:52:33,560 --> 00:52:35,480 Speaker 4: was going around. I believe this was the two thousand 986 00:52:35,480 --> 00:52:36,360 Speaker 4: and six midterms. 987 00:52:36,400 --> 00:52:36,920 Speaker 3: Is that right? 988 00:52:37,320 --> 00:52:41,640 Speaker 4: This was a Republican congressman who was who was creeping 989 00:52:41,680 --> 00:52:44,879 Speaker 4: on interns. Not twelve I don't think twelve year olds, 990 00:52:44,880 --> 00:52:46,319 Speaker 4: but maybe maybe it won't. 991 00:52:46,320 --> 00:52:48,360 Speaker 2: They're like high school sophomores. I think they are. 992 00:52:49,400 --> 00:52:50,000 Speaker 3: Let go on that. 993 00:52:50,200 --> 00:52:53,799 Speaker 4: Let have gone pretty low, like the disgusting creature. And 994 00:52:53,840 --> 00:52:56,640 Speaker 4: he was forced to resign because the chats came out. 995 00:52:56,680 --> 00:52:59,840 Speaker 4: It was like this early internet thing where people realized 996 00:52:59,840 --> 00:53:03,080 Speaker 4: that you could catch people in bad behavior because the 997 00:53:03,120 --> 00:53:06,480 Speaker 4: Internet was saving what they were doing. So he's that's 998 00:53:06,520 --> 00:53:10,160 Speaker 4: his reference to folly there. Even Howard Stern is like, 999 00:53:10,239 --> 00:53:12,239 Speaker 4: you're an old man. Twenty four seems a little young 1000 00:53:12,280 --> 00:53:16,560 Speaker 4: for you. Trump's absolutely not, but he does draw the 1001 00:53:16,560 --> 00:53:22,720 Speaker 4: line at twelve. So yeah, so that's our that's our president. 1002 00:53:22,840 --> 00:53:25,640 Speaker 4: I believe this might be the same interview where he 1003 00:53:25,760 --> 00:53:29,480 Speaker 4: talked about how the reason he bought Miss teen Universe 1004 00:53:29,560 --> 00:53:33,080 Speaker 4: or Miss teen USA, whichever one he purchased, was so 1005 00:53:33,320 --> 00:53:36,640 Speaker 4: that he could walk into the locker room while the 1006 00:53:36,840 --> 00:53:39,719 Speaker 4: while the young teens were changing and creep on them. 1007 00:53:40,600 --> 00:53:43,920 Speaker 4: And his daughter Avonka later was asked about that and 1008 00:53:43,920 --> 00:53:46,680 Speaker 4: she said, oh, yeah, that that sounds like that absolutely 1009 00:53:46,719 --> 00:53:48,959 Speaker 4: sounds like something my dad would do. And the teen 1010 00:53:49,000 --> 00:53:52,239 Speaker 4: girls also said publicly, yeah, it was creepy and he 1011 00:53:52,280 --> 00:53:56,640 Speaker 4: would do that. So it's one of these just in 1012 00:53:56,680 --> 00:53:58,279 Speaker 4: your face moments that. 1013 00:53:58,320 --> 00:54:02,040 Speaker 2: Is completely and Lis would be one up on the screen. 1014 00:54:02,480 --> 00:54:05,120 Speaker 2: You've got a bunch about Shout on to Roger Sollenbarger, 1015 00:54:05,160 --> 00:54:08,680 Speaker 2: independent journalists who first unearthed some of these hidden files, 1016 00:54:08,960 --> 00:54:12,080 Speaker 2: you've had NPR, New York Times and other outlets now 1017 00:54:12,080 --> 00:54:16,440 Speaker 2: who have confirmed it. This latest revelation comes from CNN, 1018 00:54:16,480 --> 00:54:18,680 Speaker 2: where they've built on some of the reporting and identified 1019 00:54:18,760 --> 00:54:22,239 Speaker 2: additional missing files. Now, the key ones that people have 1020 00:54:22,239 --> 00:54:24,359 Speaker 2: been focused on, to your point, Ryan, are about these 1021 00:54:25,000 --> 00:54:28,439 Speaker 2: allegations from a a woman made them at the TEMP. 1022 00:54:28,480 --> 00:54:30,479 Speaker 2: But she was a girl, a thirteen year old girl, 1023 00:54:31,120 --> 00:54:35,000 Speaker 2: when she alleges that she was sexually assaulted by Donald Trump. 1024 00:54:35,400 --> 00:54:38,719 Speaker 2: And this is initially in the files as coming in 1025 00:54:38,760 --> 00:54:41,080 Speaker 2: on the FBI's anonymous tip line, which people kind of 1026 00:54:41,080 --> 00:54:42,920 Speaker 2: looked at and like, eah, anyone can just call in 1027 00:54:42,960 --> 00:54:45,799 Speaker 2: and make some sort of allegation. But what we have 1028 00:54:45,920 --> 00:54:49,319 Speaker 2: now learned is that she was deemed credible enough to 1029 00:54:49,400 --> 00:54:53,000 Speaker 2: have come in for four different interviews, and those interviews 1030 00:54:53,239 --> 00:54:56,840 Speaker 2: were not contained in the files that were released. That 1031 00:54:56,960 --> 00:54:59,440 Speaker 2: is a flagrant violation as far as we can tell 1032 00:54:59,560 --> 00:55:03,040 Speaker 2: of the of the law here. No specific explanation has 1033 00:55:03,040 --> 00:55:05,640 Speaker 2: been offered as to why they were withheld, and we 1034 00:55:05,719 --> 00:55:09,400 Speaker 2: do know that Ghlaine Maxwell was given given access to 1035 00:55:09,719 --> 00:55:14,080 Speaker 2: those interviews in context of discovery for her trial. So 1036 00:55:14,160 --> 00:55:17,680 Speaker 2: now you have CNN saying dozens of FBI witness interviews 1037 00:55:17,719 --> 00:55:20,040 Speaker 2: from the investigation of Jeffrey Epstein appear to be missing 1038 00:55:20,120 --> 00:55:23,320 Speaker 2: from the massive trove of files released by the Department 1039 00:55:23,320 --> 00:55:26,440 Speaker 2: of Justice last month, according to a CNN review, including 1040 00:55:26,600 --> 00:55:29,080 Speaker 2: three interviews related to a woman who accused Trump of 1041 00:55:29,080 --> 00:55:32,880 Speaker 2: sexually assaulting her decades ago. An evidence log provided to 1042 00:55:32,920 --> 00:55:36,880 Speaker 2: attorneys for Epstein associate Gallaine Maxwell, includes serial numbers for 1043 00:55:36,920 --> 00:55:41,360 Speaker 2: about three hundred and twenty five FBI witness interview records, 1044 00:55:41,600 --> 00:55:44,400 Speaker 2: but more than ninety of those records, over a quarter 1045 00:55:44,480 --> 00:55:47,520 Speaker 2: of the list, do not appear to be present on 1046 00:55:47,560 --> 00:55:51,319 Speaker 2: the DOJ website. Among those missing records are those three 1047 00:55:51,360 --> 00:55:54,040 Speaker 2: interviews related to a woman who told agents Epstein had 1048 00:55:54,080 --> 00:55:57,440 Speaker 2: repeatedly abused her starting when she was approximately thirteen, and 1049 00:55:57,480 --> 00:56:00,759 Speaker 2: who also accused Trump of sexually assaulted her. So you 1050 00:56:00,800 --> 00:56:03,000 Speaker 2: know she was thirteen, she would have made his twelve 1051 00:56:03,040 --> 00:56:05,880 Speaker 2: year old cutoff there, Ryan. But in any case, what 1052 00:56:05,960 --> 00:56:09,080 Speaker 2: CNN is finding here is it's not only those interviews 1053 00:56:09,080 --> 00:56:11,880 Speaker 2: that are missing. There are a lot of other witness 1054 00:56:11,920 --> 00:56:16,000 Speaker 2: interviews which have been excluded from the files, and you 1055 00:56:16,040 --> 00:56:19,759 Speaker 2: know that is unacceptable. The government has to offer some 1056 00:56:19,800 --> 00:56:23,960 Speaker 2: sort of specific reason, and there's limited exceptions why files 1057 00:56:24,000 --> 00:56:28,480 Speaker 2: would be you know, withheld or for reactions. So you know, 1058 00:56:28,560 --> 00:56:32,719 Speaker 2: the blatant, brazen nature of this cover up just to 1059 00:56:32,960 --> 00:56:34,440 Speaker 2: continues to be exposed. 1060 00:56:36,040 --> 00:56:38,960 Speaker 4: Yeah, and so to be fair to Trump here, which 1061 00:56:39,080 --> 00:56:43,200 Speaker 4: we always endeavor to do here at breaking points, one 1062 00:56:43,200 --> 00:56:49,239 Speaker 4: of these one of these women sued the estate, did 1063 00:56:49,280 --> 00:56:52,439 Speaker 4: not mention Trump when suing the Epstein estate and had 1064 00:56:52,480 --> 00:56:58,200 Speaker 4: that suit tossed like it was. And there are a 1065 00:56:58,239 --> 00:57:01,959 Speaker 4: lot of problems that you can cite with people who've 1066 00:57:01,960 --> 00:57:06,680 Speaker 4: been able to get a compensation from the from the 1067 00:57:06,680 --> 00:57:09,279 Speaker 4: Epstein estate. There are a lot of criticism that you 1068 00:57:09,320 --> 00:57:12,600 Speaker 4: know that girls and not girls, but women who were 1069 00:57:12,600 --> 00:57:17,200 Speaker 4: adults and were involved in recruiting refashioned themselves as as 1070 00:57:17,280 --> 00:57:20,640 Speaker 4: victims and were able to get payoffs from the Epstein 1071 00:57:20,760 --> 00:57:23,400 Speaker 4: estate and at the bar was not you know, terribly 1072 00:57:23,480 --> 00:57:26,080 Speaker 4: high for you know, proving that you deserved some kind 1073 00:57:26,080 --> 00:57:28,760 Speaker 4: of compensation from the Epsteina States. So the fact that 1074 00:57:28,800 --> 00:57:32,360 Speaker 4: she was unable to get that from the Epsteina State 1075 00:57:32,400 --> 00:57:35,800 Speaker 4: and did not mention Trump, and I believe claims that 1076 00:57:35,840 --> 00:57:40,160 Speaker 4: happened in southern California, and there's I don't think there's 1077 00:57:41,400 --> 00:57:43,520 Speaker 4: you know, a Mark Epstein is saying that his brother 1078 00:57:44,160 --> 00:57:47,400 Speaker 4: never summered or you know what, that wouldn't wouldn't have 1079 00:57:47,400 --> 00:57:49,440 Speaker 4: been there. There's there's a lot of and the FBI 1080 00:57:49,520 --> 00:57:53,200 Speaker 4: found ultimately found the complaint to be not credible, which 1081 00:57:53,240 --> 00:57:56,600 Speaker 4: is probably then why they pulled it. But it's illegal 1082 00:57:56,840 --> 00:57:58,880 Speaker 4: to pull it, like you're not, like, that's not what 1083 00:57:58,920 --> 00:58:01,919 Speaker 4: the Epstein files are. Consparency Act says that you can't 1084 00:58:01,960 --> 00:58:05,080 Speaker 4: just say, well, we don't think that this allegation is credible, 1085 00:58:05,080 --> 00:58:07,320 Speaker 4: so we're not going to we're not going to post 1086 00:58:07,360 --> 00:58:11,000 Speaker 4: it because it's about the president. No, like that's the 1087 00:58:11,320 --> 00:58:13,200 Speaker 4: Act says you have to you have to post it. 1088 00:58:13,640 --> 00:58:15,840 Speaker 4: So that so then there's the other one seems to 1089 00:58:15,880 --> 00:58:20,480 Speaker 4: be involves mar A Lago and does and that one 1090 00:58:20,520 --> 00:58:25,440 Speaker 4: seems to be more credible, So just just putting that 1091 00:58:25,480 --> 00:58:27,840 Speaker 4: out there in the interest of tr and the other. 1092 00:58:27,840 --> 00:58:31,080 Speaker 2: One being the details there are that she does not 1093 00:58:31,200 --> 00:58:34,040 Speaker 2: allege that she was sexually assaulted by Trump, but she 1094 00:58:34,160 --> 00:58:37,160 Speaker 2: alleges that she was, you know, introduced to Trump at 1095 00:58:37,200 --> 00:58:40,520 Speaker 2: a young age and Trump was kind of like leering 1096 00:58:40,560 --> 00:58:43,960 Speaker 2: at her, and you know, Epstein said, oh, well, this 1097 00:58:43,960 --> 00:58:45,760 Speaker 2: this is a good one, isn't it. And they sort 1098 00:58:45,800 --> 00:58:48,000 Speaker 2: of like laughed, and she was like, what the hell's 1099 00:58:48,040 --> 00:58:51,200 Speaker 2: going on here? So it doesn't you know, again, there's 1100 00:58:51,240 --> 00:58:57,160 Speaker 2: no allegation of wrongdoing by the president outside of knowledge 1101 00:58:57,400 --> 00:59:00,040 Speaker 2: of what is going on here and providing some in 1102 00:59:00,080 --> 00:59:03,480 Speaker 2: site into you know, just exactly how intimately he was 1103 00:59:03,520 --> 00:59:08,120 Speaker 2: involved in the disgusting and depraved and illegal activities of 1104 00:59:08,160 --> 00:59:09,560 Speaker 2: Jeffrey Epstein, right. 1105 00:59:09,440 --> 00:59:11,680 Speaker 4: And because and we know in the two thousand and 1106 00:59:11,720 --> 00:59:14,120 Speaker 4: two was it Vanity fair or maybe New York Magazine 1107 00:59:14,160 --> 00:59:17,880 Speaker 4: article about Janny Fair Epstein, there's a quote from Trump 1108 00:59:17,920 --> 00:59:21,160 Speaker 4: where he says, you know, he likes him young, he 1109 00:59:21,160 --> 00:59:22,880 Speaker 4: loves him young, likes him young. 1110 00:59:23,000 --> 00:59:25,840 Speaker 2: Yeah, so like and we be mar A Lago is 1111 00:59:25,920 --> 00:59:28,680 Speaker 2: known to have been a key hunting ground actually for 1112 00:59:28,720 --> 00:59:33,160 Speaker 2: Glaine in particular, and that's where Virginia Guffray was working 1113 00:59:33,240 --> 00:59:36,720 Speaker 2: at sixteen years old when she was you know, recruited 1114 00:59:37,040 --> 00:59:39,560 Speaker 2: and groomed and ends up trafficing by. 1115 00:59:39,400 --> 00:59:42,840 Speaker 4: Them, and which according to Trump, not according to Trump, 1116 00:59:42,840 --> 00:59:46,880 Speaker 4: but like in fairness Trump that he then got upset 1117 00:59:46,920 --> 00:59:52,000 Speaker 4: with them for poaching Virginia away from there. Like so 1118 00:59:52,080 --> 00:59:56,000 Speaker 4: there was like anyway just going bet and over backwards 1119 00:59:56,000 --> 00:59:58,840 Speaker 4: to be fair to Trump here, but yes, did he know, Yeah, 1120 00:59:58,880 --> 01:00:03,000 Speaker 4: he knew and actually in the files, according to the 1121 01:00:03,240 --> 01:00:06,880 Speaker 4: what Dade County or what county is Palm Beach is 1122 01:00:06,880 --> 01:00:11,480 Speaker 4: at Dade County. The sheriff there said that Trump called 1123 01:00:11,760 --> 01:00:13,600 Speaker 4: and so glad you got this guy like he's creep. 1124 01:00:14,280 --> 01:00:17,120 Speaker 4: So like you can either you can say A that 1125 01:00:17,240 --> 01:00:20,400 Speaker 4: is credit to Trump. B it's full knowledge of what 1126 01:00:20,440 --> 01:00:22,800 Speaker 4: he was doing. And he maintained a friendship with the 1127 01:00:22,840 --> 01:00:27,600 Speaker 4: guy for about twenty years and then before the early 1128 01:00:27,640 --> 01:00:29,920 Speaker 4: eighties to two thousands before having. 1129 01:00:29,720 --> 01:00:32,040 Speaker 3: A fall falling out over a real estate transaction. 1130 01:00:32,800 --> 01:00:35,560 Speaker 2: Yeah, and so all this is all right, you know 1131 01:00:36,040 --> 01:00:38,480 Speaker 2: the story we've been giving in anyway, I think it's 1132 01:00:38,520 --> 01:00:39,720 Speaker 2: Palm Beach County, isn't. 1133 01:00:39,520 --> 01:00:40,760 Speaker 3: It sounds right? 1134 01:00:41,400 --> 01:00:44,720 Speaker 2: Yeah, well we'll go with that. We've also got a 1135 01:00:44,760 --> 01:00:46,680 Speaker 2: couple other end let's put B five up on the 1136 01:00:46,680 --> 01:00:50,640 Speaker 2: screen here. Actually, so Larry Summers was all over these files, 1137 01:00:50,640 --> 01:00:53,720 Speaker 2: you know, asking Epstein for lady advice and all sorts 1138 01:00:53,760 --> 01:00:57,280 Speaker 2: of things. And so he has now been completely forced 1139 01:00:57,280 --> 01:01:01,320 Speaker 2: down at Harvard University, and he'd already been forced to 1140 01:01:01,760 --> 01:01:04,920 Speaker 2: They finally got amount at Center for American Progress. Crazy 1141 01:01:04,960 --> 01:01:07,840 Speaker 2: he was still involved over there, but that's another topic 1142 01:01:07,880 --> 01:01:10,520 Speaker 2: for another day. In any case, he'd been forced to 1143 01:01:10,560 --> 01:01:13,400 Speaker 2: step down from various leadership positions and board now he's 1144 01:01:13,400 --> 01:01:17,840 Speaker 2: been forced out of his professorship entirely over his Epstein pies. 1145 01:01:18,480 --> 01:01:21,560 Speaker 2: So we're not getting legal repercussions here in the United States, 1146 01:01:21,600 --> 01:01:23,800 Speaker 2: but we are getting a little bit of corporate cancel 1147 01:01:23,840 --> 01:01:26,680 Speaker 2: culture repercussions. I was telling Sober it makes me a 1148 01:01:26,680 --> 01:01:29,280 Speaker 2: little more sympathetic towards cancel culture, since apparently that's the 1149 01:01:29,280 --> 01:01:31,360 Speaker 2: only way that we get any lead accountability here in 1150 01:01:31,360 --> 01:01:33,160 Speaker 2: the United States. So I guess we'll take what we 1151 01:01:33,200 --> 01:01:36,480 Speaker 2: can get with that and then put before up on 1152 01:01:36,560 --> 01:01:40,640 Speaker 2: the screen. This is some new revelations about a governor, 1153 01:01:40,680 --> 01:01:44,800 Speaker 2: a Democratic governor of the Virgin Islands, who was exchanging 1154 01:01:45,680 --> 01:01:49,720 Speaker 2: providing favors to Jeffrey Epstein leading right up until his 1155 01:01:49,920 --> 01:01:53,640 Speaker 2: arrest in twenty nineteen for child sex crimes. So, according 1156 01:01:53,720 --> 01:01:56,479 Speaker 2: to media eight just months before his twenty nineteen arrest, 1157 01:01:56,560 --> 01:01:59,120 Speaker 2: Jeffrey Epstein was being helped by US Virgin Islands Governor 1158 01:01:59,120 --> 01:02:02,360 Speaker 2: Albert Bryan Junior. And Virgin Islands, of course, are like 1159 01:02:02,560 --> 01:02:05,440 Speaker 2: his island is part of the Virgin Islands, so he 1160 01:02:05,520 --> 01:02:09,080 Speaker 2: maintained very close relationships with all of the politicians there 1161 01:02:09,120 --> 01:02:12,600 Speaker 2: so he could do whatever he needed to do on 1162 01:02:12,720 --> 01:02:16,000 Speaker 2: his quote unquote pedophile island Little Saint James. After in 1163 01:02:16,040 --> 01:02:19,720 Speaker 2: this original reporting by the Ways from CNN, after Epstein 1164 01:02:19,800 --> 01:02:22,920 Speaker 2: was ordered to stop unauthorized construction on Little Saint James 1165 01:02:22,920 --> 01:02:25,520 Speaker 2: and Great Saint James in the US Virgin Islands, the 1166 01:02:25,560 --> 01:02:28,200 Speaker 2: serial sex offender went to Brian for help. According to 1167 01:02:28,240 --> 01:02:31,600 Speaker 2: the Network, text messages from twenty nineteen reviewed by CNN 1168 01:02:31,640 --> 01:02:34,360 Speaker 2: show Brian, a Democrat, telling Epstein he had spoken with 1169 01:02:34,360 --> 01:02:37,400 Speaker 2: the territory's top environmental official and asked him to pause 1170 01:02:37,520 --> 01:02:41,040 Speaker 2: enforcement until they could discuss the matter. As Epstein complained 1171 01:02:41,040 --> 01:02:43,960 Speaker 2: about possible mounting fines and negative press coverage. Brian later 1172 01:02:43,960 --> 01:02:46,400 Speaker 2: wrote he had asked the commissioner overseeing the case to 1173 01:02:46,480 --> 01:02:50,320 Speaker 2: accuse himself and concede on all previous permit requests. In 1174 01:02:50,360 --> 01:02:53,440 Speaker 2: one text message to Epstein, the Democratic governor wrote, we 1175 01:02:53,560 --> 01:02:56,840 Speaker 2: got you. In another exchange, after Epstein asked Brian whether 1176 01:02:56,880 --> 01:03:01,960 Speaker 2: he could spare fifteen minutes, the governor quickly responded, for you. Absolutely. 1177 01:03:02,240 --> 01:03:04,480 Speaker 2: It's not a lovely, lovely story of friendship. 1178 01:03:04,600 --> 01:03:05,600 Speaker 3: It's so nice, you know. 1179 01:03:05,640 --> 01:03:08,720 Speaker 4: It's about the friends that we make along the way 1180 01:03:08,760 --> 01:03:13,640 Speaker 4: it truly is. And so meanwhile, speaking of friends people 1181 01:03:13,640 --> 01:03:16,200 Speaker 4: made along the way. But Bill Gates, I can put 1182 01:03:16,240 --> 01:03:20,080 Speaker 4: up B two here, you know, has apologized to staff 1183 01:03:20,520 --> 01:03:24,480 Speaker 4: and said that okay, yes I did have affairs with 1184 01:03:24,560 --> 01:03:30,440 Speaker 4: quote two Russian women, and that Epstein later found out 1185 01:03:30,840 --> 01:03:36,160 Speaker 4: about these affairs. Epstein paid for one of the women's education, 1186 01:03:36,280 --> 01:03:39,240 Speaker 4: which was you go through the files, He's constantly dangling 1187 01:03:39,240 --> 01:03:42,600 Speaker 4: and this is what's you know, another layer of darkness 1188 01:03:42,600 --> 01:03:45,680 Speaker 4: on top of it. These women wanted, wanted an education, 1189 01:03:45,800 --> 01:03:47,920 Speaker 4: wanted to improve their lot in life, and they saw 1190 01:03:49,240 --> 01:03:52,040 Speaker 4: their relationship, you know, with Epstein and his network as 1191 01:03:52,520 --> 01:03:55,120 Speaker 4: a way of getting that thing that society makes so 1192 01:03:55,200 --> 01:03:57,880 Speaker 4: hard for people, which is just to get ahead, get 1193 01:03:57,880 --> 01:04:01,080 Speaker 4: an education, get it, get ahead. These constantly dangling that 1194 01:04:01,200 --> 01:04:04,280 Speaker 4: and in front of them and oftentimes not delivering on it. 1195 01:04:04,320 --> 01:04:06,440 Speaker 4: In this case, he he did pay for one of 1196 01:04:06,480 --> 01:04:10,200 Speaker 4: the women's education. Uh, then he had Bill Gates pay 1197 01:04:10,280 --> 01:04:15,680 Speaker 4: him back, which I cannot understand this world of billionaires, 1198 01:04:17,040 --> 01:04:19,480 Speaker 4: Like are you serious if I'm if I'm out with 1199 01:04:19,480 --> 01:04:21,840 Speaker 4: a friend and like Chick fil A', I'm picking up 1200 01:04:22,040 --> 01:04:24,720 Speaker 4: there they're Chick fil a. It's fine, like and or 1201 01:04:24,760 --> 01:04:26,440 Speaker 4: the friend be like, you know what I got you 1202 01:04:26,480 --> 01:04:30,360 Speaker 4: this time? Like that's what you do for friends. So 1203 01:04:30,480 --> 01:04:37,000 Speaker 4: he picks up the Bill Gates's uh mistresses education and 1204 01:04:37,040 --> 01:04:40,520 Speaker 4: then invoices him for it, like what is going on? 1205 01:04:40,760 --> 01:04:44,000 Speaker 4: Like you're he's a they're both billionaires, can't pick up 1206 01:04:44,000 --> 01:04:47,640 Speaker 4: each other's mistresses college bills and just say you get 1207 01:04:47,640 --> 01:04:49,800 Speaker 4: the next one, like you. 1208 01:04:49,760 --> 01:04:51,480 Speaker 2: Need to see that. The text from the you know, 1209 01:04:51,560 --> 01:04:53,880 Speaker 2: like from the Virgin Islands governor, I got you, right. 1210 01:04:53,760 --> 01:04:55,800 Speaker 4: I got you, I got I got you. Hey, let 1211 01:04:55,800 --> 01:04:57,959 Speaker 4: me let me, let me get that table. No, no, 1212 01:04:58,640 --> 01:05:00,760 Speaker 4: I got this one. You get you, you get the 1213 01:05:00,800 --> 01:05:04,240 Speaker 4: next one, Like for some reason, this one is like 1214 01:05:04,800 --> 01:05:08,680 Speaker 4: what's wrong with these people? So it looks like what 1215 01:05:08,720 --> 01:05:11,120 Speaker 4: Epstein really had in mind because I'm I'm kidding, like 1216 01:05:11,160 --> 01:05:12,800 Speaker 4: this is not in the top ten of their most 1217 01:05:12,800 --> 01:05:15,200 Speaker 4: depraved characteristics, but it's. 1218 01:05:15,040 --> 01:05:16,440 Speaker 3: One of them. 1219 01:05:16,720 --> 01:05:18,880 Speaker 4: I think what Epstein really wanted is some paper trail 1220 01:05:19,800 --> 01:05:24,280 Speaker 4: that he could then hold over Bill Gates at. 1221 01:05:24,120 --> 01:05:27,480 Speaker 2: Which you're so much better at understanding the criminal mind. 1222 01:05:29,840 --> 01:05:31,760 Speaker 2: So I see you're reporting because. 1223 01:05:31,480 --> 01:05:35,520 Speaker 4: He been in this for too long. But he so 1224 01:05:35,640 --> 01:05:39,240 Speaker 4: he then does try to implicitly use it against Gates 1225 01:05:39,240 --> 01:05:42,600 Speaker 4: as Gates suggests here that like, yeah, and because he's 1226 01:05:42,640 --> 01:05:45,640 Speaker 4: got the paper trail, he's got them. 1227 01:05:46,520 --> 01:05:50,280 Speaker 2: And apparently so some of what we've gleaned from the 1228 01:05:50,360 --> 01:05:52,880 Speaker 2: files is, you know, in the context of like Leon 1229 01:05:53,000 --> 01:05:57,520 Speaker 2: Black and what is it Steve Tish, it seems like 1230 01:05:57,640 --> 01:06:03,440 Speaker 2: Epstein has these young women in his orbit and you know, 1231 01:06:03,680 --> 01:06:07,760 Speaker 2: pays for their you know, their dentistry and dangles a 1232 01:06:07,840 --> 01:06:12,680 Speaker 2: modeling career or whatever, and then he like farms them 1233 01:06:12,720 --> 01:06:18,240 Speaker 2: out to his rich, depraved quote unquote friends, and so 1234 01:06:18,280 --> 01:06:22,200 Speaker 2: they they are trafficked like directly by him. What it 1235 01:06:22,240 --> 01:06:25,720 Speaker 2: looks like with Bill Gates is that these women, as 1236 01:06:25,800 --> 01:06:28,200 Speaker 2: far as we can tell, did not come directly from 1237 01:06:28,240 --> 01:06:33,280 Speaker 2: the Epstein network. But nevertheless Epstein found out about it 1238 01:06:33,960 --> 01:06:38,320 Speaker 2: and realize like, oh, this is an angle I can work. 1239 01:06:38,560 --> 01:06:41,680 Speaker 2: You know, this is a piece of information that can 1240 01:06:41,720 --> 01:06:44,280 Speaker 2: be useful to me in the future, and you know, 1241 01:06:44,440 --> 01:06:47,120 Speaker 2: lo and behold. Years later, when Bill Gates tries to 1242 01:06:47,680 --> 01:06:49,840 Speaker 2: is probably under pressure from his wife and tries to 1243 01:06:49,840 --> 01:06:53,440 Speaker 2: pull away from his relationship to Epstein, that's when Epstein 1244 01:06:53,480 --> 01:06:55,880 Speaker 2: writes this mement to himself of you know, oh, well, 1245 01:06:55,920 --> 01:06:57,720 Speaker 2: here's all the things I know about this dude, and 1246 01:06:57,920 --> 01:07:00,480 Speaker 2: that he definitely wouldn't want to come out that he 1247 01:07:00,520 --> 01:07:03,800 Speaker 2: contracted some sort of STD from one of these Russian 1248 01:07:03,840 --> 01:07:06,520 Speaker 2: women and didn't want his wife to find out. So 1249 01:07:06,560 --> 01:07:09,920 Speaker 2: it was trying to, you know, use Epstein to procure 1250 01:07:09,960 --> 01:07:14,720 Speaker 2: antibiotics to slip surreptitiously to his wife, is what Epstein 1251 01:07:14,760 --> 01:07:17,439 Speaker 2: wrote in the memo to himself anyway. So we haven't 1252 01:07:17,440 --> 01:07:20,360 Speaker 2: gotten confirmation specifically from Bill Gates on that particular part, 1253 01:07:20,400 --> 01:07:22,439 Speaker 2: but you know, this would seem to confirm some key 1254 01:07:22,680 --> 01:07:26,240 Speaker 2: aspects of what Epstein was memorializing there to himself. 1255 01:07:26,480 --> 01:07:29,040 Speaker 4: And what a couple of people who knew Epstein told 1256 01:07:29,080 --> 01:07:31,920 Speaker 4: me was that it was very hard to get rid 1257 01:07:31,920 --> 01:07:33,640 Speaker 4: of them. And these are not people who had like 1258 01:07:33,800 --> 01:07:37,200 Speaker 4: problematic relationships with him, so they were doing some self justification. 1259 01:07:37,280 --> 01:07:40,720 Speaker 4: But people who knew knew him and knew his world 1260 01:07:40,880 --> 01:07:44,840 Speaker 4: that it wasn't as easy as like he wasn't taking 1261 01:07:44,880 --> 01:07:47,080 Speaker 4: the hint. You know what, Jeff, I don't think we're 1262 01:07:47,080 --> 01:07:48,800 Speaker 4: going to be buddies anymore. I don't think we're going 1263 01:07:48,840 --> 01:07:51,200 Speaker 4: to hang out anymore. It was much more of a 1264 01:07:51,240 --> 01:07:54,160 Speaker 4: mafia thing, like oh no, no, no, no, that is 1265 01:07:54,200 --> 01:07:57,440 Speaker 4: not that is not how this goes like, no, we 1266 01:07:57,480 --> 01:08:00,280 Speaker 4: are still involved. You're not getting rid I mean you 1267 01:08:00,320 --> 01:08:03,760 Speaker 4: can see that in the Leon Black emails that the 1268 01:08:03,800 --> 01:08:07,360 Speaker 4: New York Times and others reported on that Leon Black 1269 01:08:07,520 --> 01:08:11,080 Speaker 4: can't get rid of him and ends up continuing paying 1270 01:08:11,160 --> 01:08:14,320 Speaker 4: you know, millions of dollars to them going going forward. 1271 01:08:14,720 --> 01:08:18,200 Speaker 4: And so Epstein along the way knows he's going to 1272 01:08:18,240 --> 01:08:20,200 Speaker 4: be he's not going to let this person get away. 1273 01:08:20,240 --> 01:08:22,800 Speaker 3: And so what do you do along the way. 1274 01:08:22,840 --> 01:08:26,479 Speaker 4: You build up enormous amounts of a compromising information so 1275 01:08:26,520 --> 01:08:28,720 Speaker 4: you don't even have to use it, although it does 1276 01:08:28,760 --> 01:08:32,960 Speaker 4: appear that he used it with Gates, just just them 1277 01:08:33,080 --> 01:08:36,919 Speaker 4: knowing that you have it means that it's it's easier 1278 01:08:36,920 --> 01:08:40,240 Speaker 4: than for these men to just continue be like, Okay, 1279 01:08:40,320 --> 01:08:42,840 Speaker 4: you know what I can't get out of it's it's 1280 01:08:42,880 --> 01:08:45,519 Speaker 4: it's going to it could blow up my entire life 1281 01:08:45,640 --> 01:08:48,840 Speaker 4: if if I try too hard to extract myself from 1282 01:08:48,840 --> 01:08:50,920 Speaker 4: this relationship that I probably should and that I know 1283 01:08:51,000 --> 01:08:53,360 Speaker 4: I should not have gotten in. And then on the 1284 01:08:53,439 --> 01:08:55,080 Speaker 4: on the flip side, you're like, I do have a 1285 01:08:55,080 --> 01:08:56,080 Speaker 4: lot of fun with him. 1286 01:08:56,560 --> 01:08:59,519 Speaker 3: The island's nice and all that. 1287 01:08:59,600 --> 01:09:01,439 Speaker 10: The prey things that we do, we do kind of 1288 01:09:01,479 --> 01:09:02,280 Speaker 10: like those things. 1289 01:09:02,320 --> 01:09:05,200 Speaker 2: So yeah, and he introduced me to this person and 1290 01:09:05,280 --> 01:09:08,080 Speaker 2: that person. I made this deal with him, you know, 1291 01:09:08,560 --> 01:09:12,360 Speaker 2: and he's helping me with my Nobel Peace Prize aspirations. Apparently, 1292 01:09:12,400 --> 01:09:15,280 Speaker 2: in the context of Bill Gates, that was something that. 1293 01:09:15,320 --> 01:09:17,120 Speaker 4: Which he would be the guy he like knew that 1294 01:09:17,200 --> 01:09:20,760 Speaker 4: he knew the Norwegians and had Yeah, he blew up 1295 01:09:20,760 --> 01:09:24,600 Speaker 4: the entire Norwegian you know, political system. 1296 01:09:24,640 --> 01:09:27,040 Speaker 3: So yeah, if he's going to help you get your. 1297 01:09:27,000 --> 01:09:30,640 Speaker 2: Nobel so incredible. Yeah, and people, you know, some of 1298 01:09:30,960 --> 01:09:33,000 Speaker 2: some of those skeptics will say, like, well, if all 1299 01:09:33,000 --> 01:09:36,080 Speaker 2: these people like knew about this world and you know 1300 01:09:36,120 --> 01:09:38,519 Speaker 2: all this way he was operating, surely one of them 1301 01:09:38,560 --> 01:09:40,840 Speaker 2: would have come forward and blown the whistle. And it's like, 1302 01:09:41,200 --> 01:09:43,759 Speaker 2: when you dig into each of these relationships you understand 1303 01:09:43,760 --> 01:09:47,240 Speaker 2: why no one did because because if you're Bill Gates, 1304 01:09:47,280 --> 01:09:48,720 Speaker 2: you don't want your wife to know that you had 1305 01:09:48,720 --> 01:09:50,800 Speaker 2: these two affairs and that you got an STD and 1306 01:09:50,840 --> 01:09:54,120 Speaker 2: tried to slipper sir reptitious and ibiotics. You're not you know, 1307 01:09:54,160 --> 01:09:56,000 Speaker 2: you're not looking if you're just daily to have the 1308 01:09:56,040 --> 01:09:58,240 Speaker 2: emails revealed where you're saying, hey, I had a great 1309 01:09:58,240 --> 01:10:00,479 Speaker 2: time with snow White and maybe the next is princess 1310 01:10:00,520 --> 01:10:02,439 Speaker 2: I should try on as beauty and the beast. You're 1311 01:10:02,479 --> 01:10:04,880 Speaker 2: not really excited about that stuff coming to light, so 1312 01:10:05,120 --> 01:10:08,080 Speaker 2: it's mutually sure destruction and you keep your mouth shut 1313 01:10:08,160 --> 01:10:09,400 Speaker 2: because that's what's best for you. 1314 01:10:09,640 --> 01:10:11,479 Speaker 4: Yeah, And and lots of people over the years, whether it's 1315 01:10:11,520 --> 01:10:15,559 Speaker 4: Maria Farmer come cheat the sarn Off or like Tina Brown, 1316 01:10:15,720 --> 01:10:18,120 Speaker 4: like like plenty of people like tried to blow the 1317 01:10:18,120 --> 01:10:22,120 Speaker 4: whistle throughout that's years. And there's there's no mechanism for 1318 01:10:22,200 --> 01:10:25,200 Speaker 4: accountability within elite circle. So if you come out and 1319 01:10:25,200 --> 01:10:27,920 Speaker 4: say like, there's no like calling the police, there's no 1320 01:10:28,120 --> 01:10:30,880 Speaker 4: like I'm going to press charges through this vehicle that 1321 01:10:30,880 --> 01:10:34,559 Speaker 4: we that we have, it would be assumed that you 1322 01:10:34,640 --> 01:10:38,080 Speaker 4: have some you're you're either a gold digger or you 1323 01:10:38,160 --> 01:10:41,720 Speaker 4: had some business deal that went south with Epstein. That 1324 01:10:41,880 --> 01:10:44,840 Speaker 4: isn't our business. So you guys sort this out. There's 1325 01:10:44,880 --> 01:10:48,800 Speaker 4: no way to actually hold people in these elite circles accountable, 1326 01:10:48,960 --> 01:10:50,360 Speaker 4: and so what you and so I've seen a lot 1327 01:10:50,360 --> 01:10:53,200 Speaker 4: of people complaining this is becoming a moral panic, Like. 1328 01:10:53,160 --> 01:10:54,240 Speaker 3: Okay, let's say it is. 1329 01:10:54,840 --> 01:10:58,799 Speaker 4: Then then set up a system of accountability for the elites. 1330 01:10:59,120 --> 01:11:02,360 Speaker 4: If you have an elite class that is immune from 1331 01:11:02,439 --> 01:11:08,680 Speaker 4: any accountability, do not complain when the public produces its 1332 01:11:08,720 --> 01:11:10,120 Speaker 4: own mechanisms. 1333 01:11:09,600 --> 01:11:10,960 Speaker 3: Of accountability against them. 1334 01:11:10,960 --> 01:11:13,519 Speaker 4: A saw Grand Platner picking up on making that argument, 1335 01:11:14,560 --> 01:11:16,920 Speaker 4: which is I think exactly the one to take out 1336 01:11:16,960 --> 01:11:17,560 Speaker 4: of this. 1337 01:11:17,560 --> 01:11:19,880 Speaker 3: This class should not exist. 1338 01:11:21,960 --> 01:11:23,960 Speaker 2: Yeah, and that's that's my point about you know that 1339 01:11:24,040 --> 01:11:26,240 Speaker 2: I was kind of jokingly making about cancel culture, which 1340 01:11:26,280 --> 01:11:29,240 Speaker 2: is a form of virgilante justice. Like you don't support 1341 01:11:29,800 --> 01:11:34,160 Speaker 2: mob justice in that way, which you know is definitely 1342 01:11:34,200 --> 01:11:36,800 Speaker 2: not the ideal way to go about things, then you 1343 01:11:36,920 --> 01:11:41,680 Speaker 2: have to support some sort of actual accountability, and not 1344 01:11:41,800 --> 01:11:43,920 Speaker 2: just with regard to the Epstein class, but you know, 1345 01:11:44,000 --> 01:11:46,639 Speaker 2: going back to the Iraq War, lies into the financial 1346 01:11:46,640 --> 01:11:49,280 Speaker 2: crisis and nobody goes to prison, and the just absolute 1347 01:11:49,280 --> 01:11:52,080 Speaker 2: impunity that elite seem to operate with, we just we 1348 01:11:52,120 --> 01:11:55,599 Speaker 2: haven't had that. So you don't be surprised then when 1349 01:11:55,640 --> 01:12:00,759 Speaker 2: people resort to like mob online, cancel culture, and digital 1350 01:12:00,960 --> 01:12:04,040 Speaker 2: vigilante justice, because that's the only chance that they have 1351 01:12:04,400 --> 01:12:06,439 Speaker 2: of seeing any of these people held to account. 1352 01:12:06,960 --> 01:12:11,360 Speaker 4: Democracy or barbarism, no justice, no peace, like these these 1353 01:12:11,760 --> 01:12:15,400 Speaker 4: cliches exist for a reason, and that's right. Some moments, 1354 01:12:15,880 --> 01:12:18,559 Speaker 4: they have more fire behind them than others. Right now, 1355 01:12:18,840 --> 01:12:19,880 Speaker 4: the fire is burning