1 00:00:17,360 --> 00:00:20,400 Speaker 1: Welcome everyone to the Daily Juice podcast on the Betting 2 00:00:20,400 --> 00:00:22,919 Speaker 1: Pros Network com Sean second the Money Green, give me 3 00:00:22,920 --> 00:00:26,000 Speaker 1: a follow on Twitter at Shawn T. Green, and as always, 4 00:00:26,079 --> 00:00:28,560 Speaker 1: Daily Juice is being brought to by bet mgm us 5 00:00:28,600 --> 00:00:30,560 Speaker 1: a promo co Juice ten dollar that turns intowo hundred 6 00:00:30,560 --> 00:00:33,280 Speaker 1: dollars in free bets if either team scores a touchdown, 7 00:00:33,680 --> 00:00:38,880 Speaker 1: good for college and pro restrictions apply. All right, Uh yeah, 8 00:00:39,040 --> 00:00:41,280 Speaker 1: what's happening? If one and two on the night not great, 9 00:00:41,840 --> 00:00:44,360 Speaker 1: We'll get to that. We of course have some Thursday 10 00:00:44,440 --> 00:00:47,360 Speaker 1: night picks, got a side, got some props, maybe a 11 00:00:47,360 --> 00:00:50,880 Speaker 1: little DJ in action. Speaking of that, I just got 12 00:00:50,920 --> 00:00:55,560 Speaker 1: back from Vegas. Did the rare day trip to Vegas, 13 00:00:55,560 --> 00:00:58,680 Speaker 1: so woke up, got the first flight from Burbank to 14 00:00:58,840 --> 00:01:02,440 Speaker 1: Las Vegas. This mo came back on the last flight. 15 00:01:02,960 --> 00:01:07,040 Speaker 1: I mean, yeah, the free plug for Southwest amazing it was. 16 00:01:07,640 --> 00:01:10,000 Speaker 1: You know, you can get these flights pretty cheap. U 17 00:01:10,240 --> 00:01:12,759 Speaker 1: you know, obviously got down in the action a little bit. 18 00:01:12,959 --> 00:01:16,880 Speaker 1: I bet some games a little uh maybe squeezing a 19 00:01:16,920 --> 00:01:20,000 Speaker 1: little blackjack, and then yeah, tape some shows at the 20 00:01:20,040 --> 00:01:23,199 Speaker 1: win there for my other gig, and uh yeah back here, 21 00:01:23,520 --> 00:01:26,760 Speaker 1: back in La Man. That flight is awesome. Forty five 22 00:01:26,800 --> 00:01:30,119 Speaker 1: minutes and uh, you're in Paradise. You're back at you, 23 00:01:30,120 --> 00:01:33,280 Speaker 1: You're in Sin City living it up. All right, Let's 24 00:01:33,280 --> 00:01:37,400 Speaker 1: get to the recap. One and two sixers they got destroyed. Whoops, 25 00:01:37,640 --> 00:01:42,319 Speaker 1: my bad. Eighty five one thirteen beat only nineteen points. 26 00:01:43,760 --> 00:01:46,200 Speaker 1: I thought it was a good spot for them. Obviously 27 00:01:46,200 --> 00:01:49,840 Speaker 1: I was wrong. Cleveland just looks to be pretty good 28 00:01:49,840 --> 00:01:52,880 Speaker 1: this year. And uh yeah, I don't know else to say. 29 00:01:52,880 --> 00:01:56,040 Speaker 1: They just got their ass kicked u n C plus seven. 30 00:01:56,560 --> 00:01:58,840 Speaker 1: They're only down six and a half. Needed to kind 31 00:01:58,840 --> 00:02:02,440 Speaker 1: of come back, but Indian just held serve there in 32 00:02:02,520 --> 00:02:04,640 Speaker 1: the in the second half, and you know, they won 33 00:02:04,680 --> 00:02:06,760 Speaker 1: each half by six points. So they ended up winning 34 00:02:07,040 --> 00:02:11,079 Speaker 1: seventy seven sixty five, but saving the night from being 35 00:02:11,080 --> 00:02:15,639 Speaker 1: a complete disaster. New Mexico the Lobos. New Mexico won outright, 36 00:02:15,760 --> 00:02:19,480 Speaker 1: sixty nine to sixty five. They were catching ten and 37 00:02:19,520 --> 00:02:23,520 Speaker 1: a half points. I obviously, I was like, Okay, you 38 00:02:23,680 --> 00:02:26,839 Speaker 1: like these three dogs, Hey go with the sixers as 39 00:02:26,880 --> 00:02:29,639 Speaker 1: the small money line dog should have just went all 40 00:02:29,639 --> 00:02:32,320 Speaker 1: in on New Mexico. I The only thing that was 41 00:02:32,360 --> 00:02:34,720 Speaker 1: scaring me was like, what what am I missing that 42 00:02:34,760 --> 00:02:37,280 Speaker 1: this spread is ten and a half. Apparently I was 43 00:02:37,320 --> 00:02:41,080 Speaker 1: on the right side there, so yeah, it was. It 44 00:02:41,200 --> 00:02:44,760 Speaker 1: was just a good game in New Mexico. Well coach undefeated. 45 00:02:45,680 --> 00:02:47,680 Speaker 1: They could it could be kind of interesting. Could make 46 00:02:47,680 --> 00:02:50,480 Speaker 1: a little noise here, I mean, you know for a 47 00:02:50,600 --> 00:02:54,120 Speaker 1: team for New Mexico. We'll see. But off to a 48 00:02:54,160 --> 00:02:58,360 Speaker 1: great start. Hey, speaking a great starts, we are, uh, 49 00:02:58,360 --> 00:03:00,680 Speaker 1: we are coming to a great finish. See what I 50 00:03:00,720 --> 00:03:03,840 Speaker 1: did there with the Kenneth Walker jersey giveaway. Just go 51 00:03:03,880 --> 00:03:06,360 Speaker 1: to YouTube dot com slash betting Pros, hit subscribe, comment 52 00:03:06,919 --> 00:03:12,080 Speaker 1: on this very video with your yeah, why don't you 53 00:03:12,400 --> 00:03:18,200 Speaker 1: predict USA Netherlands? Give me the score prediction, and that 54 00:03:18,320 --> 00:03:21,960 Speaker 1: comment automatically entered to win an autograph K nine jersey 55 00:03:22,000 --> 00:03:25,040 Speaker 1: aka Kenneth Walker, courtesy and Pristine Auction, And we are 56 00:03:25,120 --> 00:03:28,600 Speaker 1: raffling that jersey away on Friday. So the episode that 57 00:03:28,639 --> 00:03:31,840 Speaker 1: posts on Friday, we will have the winner of the 58 00:03:32,720 --> 00:03:37,520 Speaker 1: jersey there, all right, kicking things off here we go 59 00:03:38,000 --> 00:03:41,640 Speaker 1: Bills at the Pats going bills minus three and a half, 60 00:03:41,720 --> 00:03:46,240 Speaker 1: two units over on DraftKings. This bill's offense. They've been 61 00:03:46,280 --> 00:03:48,320 Speaker 1: sputtered a little bit. Josh Allen has been forcing the 62 00:03:48,360 --> 00:03:51,160 Speaker 1: ball a little bit. This I think is And yeah, 63 00:03:51,200 --> 00:03:54,280 Speaker 1: I know the Patriots defense is pretty tough, but Bill 64 00:03:54,320 --> 00:03:57,960 Speaker 1: Belichick always struggles with rushing quarterbacks. You saw with Justin Fields, 65 00:03:58,400 --> 00:04:02,400 Speaker 1: and you know, just historically him and his loving son 66 00:04:02,760 --> 00:04:05,600 Speaker 1: just can't figure out rushing quarterbacks to save their life. 67 00:04:06,000 --> 00:04:09,120 Speaker 1: Josh Allen has had a pretty good number ats against 68 00:04:09,120 --> 00:04:11,640 Speaker 1: the Pats, and this is actually Josh Allen's They've had 69 00:04:11,680 --> 00:04:13,960 Speaker 1: a kind of crazy schedule. This is actually his first 70 00:04:14,400 --> 00:04:18,240 Speaker 1: full week of regular practice and another week from when 71 00:04:18,320 --> 00:04:21,880 Speaker 1: he sprained his elbow or whatever they you know, whatever 72 00:04:21,920 --> 00:04:25,320 Speaker 1: that elbow ucl injury is. And the Bills really can't 73 00:04:25,360 --> 00:04:29,000 Speaker 1: afford to lose ground in the AFC East. And I 74 00:04:29,200 --> 00:04:32,120 Speaker 1: still don't think the Patriots offense is very good. I 75 00:04:32,160 --> 00:04:35,159 Speaker 1: know they looked really good last week on Thanksgiving against 76 00:04:35,200 --> 00:04:37,720 Speaker 1: the Vikings. Mac Jones let him up for three hundred 77 00:04:37,720 --> 00:04:40,279 Speaker 1: and eighty yards. To me, that was more about the 78 00:04:40,400 --> 00:04:44,119 Speaker 1: Vikings defense than the Patriots offense. So I'm not gonna 79 00:04:44,120 --> 00:04:47,400 Speaker 1: be fooled and I'm gonna take the Bills minus three 80 00:04:47,400 --> 00:04:49,960 Speaker 1: and a half. Bill's defense is also getting healthy. I 81 00:04:50,000 --> 00:04:52,920 Speaker 1: think they're gonna be able to do pretty good rushing 82 00:04:52,960 --> 00:04:55,679 Speaker 1: the passer there, So yeah, give me the Bills minus 83 00:04:55,720 --> 00:04:58,640 Speaker 1: three and a half as far as props, let's get 84 00:04:58,640 --> 00:05:01,719 Speaker 1: it going. Josh Allen over forty two and a half 85 00:05:01,839 --> 00:05:07,360 Speaker 1: rush yards. Get that over on DK last year combined 86 00:05:07,839 --> 00:05:10,320 Speaker 1: two games against the Patriots eighteen for one oh three, 87 00:05:11,160 --> 00:05:13,159 Speaker 1: and again, like I said in the when we're talking 88 00:05:13,160 --> 00:05:15,480 Speaker 1: about the game, like the Patriots always struggle to stop 89 00:05:15,560 --> 00:05:18,080 Speaker 1: rushing quarterbacks, I think they are gonna be able to 90 00:05:18,080 --> 00:05:21,839 Speaker 1: stop Devin Singletary aka stay tuned for another prop I like, 91 00:05:22,279 --> 00:05:24,159 Speaker 1: but I think they're gonna have trouble with Josh Allen 92 00:05:24,200 --> 00:05:28,760 Speaker 1: and again, quarterbacks scramble when they feel desperate, when when 93 00:05:28,960 --> 00:05:32,000 Speaker 1: the game has a lot of steaks to it and 94 00:05:32,279 --> 00:05:35,680 Speaker 1: what you know, a division game on Monday night. Bills 95 00:05:35,839 --> 00:05:37,919 Speaker 1: really need this to kind of stay in the mix. 96 00:05:38,920 --> 00:05:40,960 Speaker 1: I love it. So give me Josh Allen over forty 97 00:05:41,000 --> 00:05:45,120 Speaker 1: two and a half rushing yards. Speaking of steaks, now 98 00:05:45,160 --> 00:05:48,280 Speaker 1: that's a transition. Omaha stakes just had. One of the 99 00:05:48,320 --> 00:05:51,479 Speaker 1: most of it was I'm a horrible cook. I know 100 00:05:51,520 --> 00:05:54,479 Speaker 1: what I'm doing on the grill, but normally can't really 101 00:05:54,480 --> 00:05:56,960 Speaker 1: make myself a great meal unless it's on the grill 102 00:05:57,160 --> 00:06:01,279 Speaker 1: and The Omaha steak I had last night was just oh, 103 00:06:01,360 --> 00:06:06,920 Speaker 1: it was a masterpiece. So they get you these flame mignons, 104 00:06:07,040 --> 00:06:10,000 Speaker 1: bacon wrapped flame and yon. I mean, right there, what 105 00:06:10,200 --> 00:06:13,960 Speaker 1: sounds what's better than a la was wrapped in bacon 106 00:06:14,279 --> 00:06:18,120 Speaker 1: and I had never made one, and I was like, wait, 107 00:06:18,160 --> 00:06:20,160 Speaker 1: how is this gonna work? And what I realized was 108 00:06:20,200 --> 00:06:24,599 Speaker 1: that the steak ends up cooking the outside wrap of 109 00:06:24,640 --> 00:06:28,480 Speaker 1: the bacon. It is, Oh man, I'm getting hungry just 110 00:06:28,520 --> 00:06:30,919 Speaker 1: thinking about I'm gonna go home and make another one again. 111 00:06:31,000 --> 00:06:32,560 Speaker 1: This job is awesome. Not only do you get to 112 00:06:32,560 --> 00:06:34,720 Speaker 1: talk about football, I also get to talk about steaks. 113 00:06:34,839 --> 00:06:38,000 Speaker 1: I also get free Omaha Steaks samples. It is It's 114 00:06:38,040 --> 00:06:41,360 Speaker 1: a dream come true. And again, anyone you're sending Omaha 115 00:06:41,400 --> 00:06:44,920 Speaker 1: steaks to they're gonna love it. Great for father in 116 00:06:45,040 --> 00:06:48,000 Speaker 1: law's dads, I mean, what are you getting your dad 117 00:06:48,000 --> 00:06:50,240 Speaker 1: for Christmas? Right? What do you get him for the holidays? 118 00:06:50,320 --> 00:06:53,000 Speaker 1: You have no idea? Your dad doesn't like getting stuff? 119 00:06:53,400 --> 00:06:57,040 Speaker 1: Does your dad like a giant box of vacuum sealed meat? 120 00:06:57,160 --> 00:06:58,839 Speaker 1: Of course he does. He's gonna love it. And you 121 00:06:58,880 --> 00:07:02,240 Speaker 1: save thirty dollars off play. You support the fellow juicers 122 00:07:02,920 --> 00:07:06,080 Speaker 1: aka me and the show always appreciates the support. All 123 00:07:06,120 --> 00:07:08,040 Speaker 1: you're gonna do is go to Omaha Steaks dot com 124 00:07:08,120 --> 00:07:11,000 Speaker 1: use a promo code Juice at checkout to get that 125 00:07:11,120 --> 00:07:14,280 Speaker 1: extra thirty dollars off Omaha Steaks dot Com promo code 126 00:07:14,560 --> 00:07:19,600 Speaker 1: Juice because the steaks are juicy. Minimum order may be required. Okay, 127 00:07:19,720 --> 00:07:22,560 Speaker 1: Mac Jones. Speaking of Mac Jones being a little fraudulent, 128 00:07:22,600 --> 00:07:26,040 Speaker 1: I'm gonna take his underpassing yards to twenty six and 129 00:07:26,080 --> 00:07:30,560 Speaker 1: a half. Buffalo's defense is pretty good. They're getting healthy, 130 00:07:31,360 --> 00:07:35,760 Speaker 1: and like, who who is explosive on this Patriots offense 131 00:07:35,800 --> 00:07:38,640 Speaker 1: that's really gonna light them up in the in the passing? Now, 132 00:07:38,680 --> 00:07:42,080 Speaker 1: maybe I am worried about Ramandre Stevenson because he seems 133 00:07:42,120 --> 00:07:44,480 Speaker 1: to be a huge target for the Pats right now, 134 00:07:44,520 --> 00:07:46,200 Speaker 1: so maybe that's how he gets over. But other than that, 135 00:07:46,280 --> 00:07:48,920 Speaker 1: I don't see it. Like Nelson Aguilar had himself a 136 00:07:48,960 --> 00:07:52,440 Speaker 1: game against Vikings. I don't see that happening against the 137 00:07:52,480 --> 00:07:56,600 Speaker 1: Bills here. And you know the Bills, what to twenty 138 00:07:56,600 --> 00:07:58,600 Speaker 1: one and a half is their average, and that's even 139 00:07:58,640 --> 00:08:00,760 Speaker 1: kind of inflating because there was that there was that 140 00:08:00,840 --> 00:08:03,720 Speaker 1: game again, they basically back to back games against Detroit 141 00:08:03,800 --> 00:08:07,280 Speaker 1: in a dome. That's gonna kind of raise you know, 142 00:08:07,560 --> 00:08:09,679 Speaker 1: it's easy to rack up passing yards in a dome, 143 00:08:10,520 --> 00:08:13,160 Speaker 1: and the Browns got a bunch of garbage yards passing, 144 00:08:13,240 --> 00:08:16,280 Speaker 1: so I think they can really slow down Mac Jones again, 145 00:08:16,320 --> 00:08:18,160 Speaker 1: That's why I like him for the game. Give me 146 00:08:18,240 --> 00:08:21,960 Speaker 1: Mac Jones under two twenty six and a half passing yards. 147 00:08:22,200 --> 00:08:24,560 Speaker 1: The Buffalo defense is getting right at the right time. 148 00:08:24,800 --> 00:08:26,600 Speaker 1: Now on the other side of the ball, I'm also 149 00:08:26,640 --> 00:08:30,200 Speaker 1: taking the under on Devin Singletary rush yards seeing that 150 00:08:30,280 --> 00:08:33,000 Speaker 1: at fifty three and a half, all these props are 151 00:08:33,320 --> 00:08:36,760 Speaker 1: courtesy of DK. You know, New England one of the 152 00:08:36,800 --> 00:08:39,079 Speaker 1: things they can really do well on defense is stuff 153 00:08:39,200 --> 00:08:41,920 Speaker 1: the run. Last three games, they've held opponents to sixty 154 00:08:41,920 --> 00:08:46,560 Speaker 1: four point seven yards per game total. And I think 155 00:08:46,840 --> 00:08:49,160 Speaker 1: the issue here is is Josh Allen is going to 156 00:08:49,200 --> 00:08:52,560 Speaker 1: be taking a lot of the rushes and I just 157 00:08:52,559 --> 00:08:54,840 Speaker 1: don't think Devin Singletary is gonna have a super efficient 158 00:08:54,880 --> 00:08:57,160 Speaker 1: game and I don't think he's gonna get the carries 159 00:08:57,160 --> 00:08:59,920 Speaker 1: to get over this fifty three and a half rush. 160 00:09:00,240 --> 00:09:05,160 Speaker 1: So give me the under on Devin single Terry rush yards. Last, 161 00:09:05,200 --> 00:09:10,360 Speaker 1: but not least everyone's favorite. Let's get a little fellow 162 00:09:10,440 --> 00:09:13,200 Speaker 1: juicers here, Let's get a little degenerate here. First off, 163 00:09:13,280 --> 00:09:17,400 Speaker 1: Dawson Knox anytime touchdown plus three ten and then of 164 00:09:17,440 --> 00:09:21,800 Speaker 1: course Dawson Knox two touchdowns plus twenty five one hundred. 165 00:09:21,960 --> 00:09:26,760 Speaker 1: Get those both on DK. I know you're just like, oh, Sean, 166 00:09:26,800 --> 00:09:28,840 Speaker 1: are you gonna pick a tight end and have two 167 00:09:28,920 --> 00:09:32,800 Speaker 1: touchdowns every episode? No? I also had Kliff Ramond that 168 00:09:32,800 --> 00:09:36,360 Speaker 1: didn't work out. But man, this the matchup makes sense. 169 00:09:36,600 --> 00:09:40,120 Speaker 1: Combined with Dawson Knox, he is just due. First off, 170 00:09:40,520 --> 00:09:43,680 Speaker 1: as far as teams that have allowed touchdowns to the 171 00:09:43,720 --> 00:09:46,800 Speaker 1: tight end, New England leads the league with the exception 172 00:09:47,000 --> 00:09:49,760 Speaker 1: of the Cardinals. Cardinals have had twelve games they've allowed 173 00:09:49,840 --> 00:09:53,040 Speaker 1: nine touchdowns to the tight ends. But Patriots are right 174 00:09:53,080 --> 00:09:54,920 Speaker 1: there and leading the league with teams who have had 175 00:09:54,960 --> 00:09:57,839 Speaker 1: eleven games with eight touchdowns. Now, let's take a look 176 00:09:57,840 --> 00:10:00,959 Speaker 1: at Dawson Knox himself before the year twenty twenties, three 177 00:10:01,000 --> 00:10:04,079 Speaker 1: years in the league, decent sample size, and last year 178 00:10:04,080 --> 00:10:06,199 Speaker 1: he had nine passing touchdowns. That it's probably a little high, 179 00:10:06,240 --> 00:10:09,040 Speaker 1: but you take all three years and he's had fourteen 180 00:10:09,080 --> 00:10:12,960 Speaker 1: touchdowns on one hundred and one catches, essentially a touchdown 181 00:10:12,960 --> 00:10:15,520 Speaker 1: percentage of fourteen percent. That sounds about right for a 182 00:10:15,559 --> 00:10:19,240 Speaker 1: tight end for a guy involved in this offense. And 183 00:10:19,480 --> 00:10:23,720 Speaker 1: this year he only has two touchdowns on thirty three receptions. 184 00:10:24,400 --> 00:10:27,560 Speaker 1: You're looking at like six percent there. Regression is coming. 185 00:10:27,720 --> 00:10:30,640 Speaker 1: And Bill Belichick what does he do? He shuts down 186 00:10:31,040 --> 00:10:34,839 Speaker 1: your biggest weapon. Your biggest weapon is Stefan Diggs, right, 187 00:10:34,920 --> 00:10:37,679 Speaker 1: So I think he might roll a little coverage over there. 188 00:10:38,200 --> 00:10:40,559 Speaker 1: Maybe it ends up being good for Isay McKenzie gave 189 00:10:40,640 --> 00:10:43,320 Speaker 1: Davis his real hit or miss, and I think this 190 00:10:43,360 --> 00:10:47,000 Speaker 1: creates an awesome opportunity for a big Dawson Knox game. 191 00:10:47,280 --> 00:10:50,880 Speaker 1: Dawson Knox eats we all ate Dawson Knox anytime touchdown 192 00:10:50,880 --> 00:10:54,280 Speaker 1: plus three ten and Dawson Knox two touchdowns at plus 193 00:10:54,360 --> 00:10:57,079 Speaker 1: twenty five hundred one unit on each of those. Devin 194 00:10:57,120 --> 00:11:00,400 Speaker 1: Singletary under fifty three and a half rush yards, Mac 195 00:11:00,520 --> 00:11:04,160 Speaker 1: Jones under two twenty six and a half passing yards, 196 00:11:04,440 --> 00:11:07,400 Speaker 1: Josh Allen over forty two and a half rush yards, 197 00:11:07,520 --> 00:11:10,600 Speaker 1: and the Bills minus three and a half for the game. 198 00:11:10,720 --> 00:11:14,400 Speaker 1: Two units over there. Of course, uh Omaha steaks promo 199 00:11:14,400 --> 00:11:18,000 Speaker 1: code juice thirty dollars off minimum required and bet MGM 200 00:11:18,280 --> 00:11:21,480 Speaker 1: also promo code Juice. Follow us on TikTok at Betting Pros. 201 00:11:21,520 --> 00:11:23,480 Speaker 1: Follow me on Twitter at Shawn T. Green. Check out 202 00:11:23,520 --> 00:11:26,480 Speaker 1: my other show, the Sports Gambling Podcast You Know What 203 00:11:26,520 --> 00:11:29,520 Speaker 1: to Do, Subscribe, rate and review, and as always, don't 204 00:11:29,559 --> 00:11:32,480 Speaker 1: forget to let it Ride.