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Speaker 1: Welcome to Sharper Square, presented by hard Rock bet. We

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Speaker 1: are part of the Volume podcast network. This is the

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Speaker 1: show that makes the square sharper and makes the wise

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Speaker 1: guys pay attention. I am Chadmill. I am joined as

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Speaker 1: os by my BFF, my companion Michael Fadre, my co

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Speaker 1: host Professional Better Simon Hunter eto si.

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Speaker 2: Im in chat? Are we doing brother, dude?

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Speaker 3: I am so ready.

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Speaker 1: This is the stripped down in the room eavesdropping version

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Speaker 1: of Sharper Square. Everyone's going to get to hear us

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Speaker 1: debate the final five we want to put into our contest.

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Speaker 1: Now that injuries have been reported, lines have been moving.

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Speaker 1: Don't forget you can see the dynamic contest lines. Simon

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Speaker 1: and I are playing at the free Sharper Square.

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Speaker 3: Pro Football Pick Them contest.

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Speaker 1: If you've signed up to play at Sharpersquare dot the

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Speaker 1: Volume dot com, you can track us in the contest

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Speaker 1: chat at Simon FFS.

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Speaker 3: Are you ready, brother?

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Speaker 2: I'm ready?

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Speaker 3: Okay.

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Speaker 1: These are the games we had zeroed in on the

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Speaker 1: other day. First one up Los Angeles Chargers at Kansas

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Speaker 1: City Chiefs. The Chiefs number has moved from three and

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Speaker 1: a half early in the week to six it is

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Speaker 1: going to be frigid, frigid, frigid.

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Speaker 3: In Kansas City.

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Speaker 1: In the contest, the line is five and a half

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Speaker 1: because the contest lines open on Tuesday.

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Speaker 3: And as I just said, they are dynamic.

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Speaker 1: If you look like some lines, it's always better to

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Speaker 1: put your picks in early.

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Speaker 3: I did.

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Speaker 1: We got Kansas City minus four and a half. I

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Speaker 1: think we love the luck factor here. Kansas City has

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Speaker 1: just not been getting lucky. The Chargers got very lucky

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Speaker 1: against the Eagles. We love the weather factor, We love

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Speaker 1: the anti Chargers O line factor.

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Speaker 3: At least I do. We haven't spoken since Thursday, so

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Speaker 3: I have no idea.

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Speaker 4: If you're still with me now, I'm still with you.

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Speaker 4: This is the game where I thought the public and

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Speaker 4: professionals bail over the Chargers, and it's been the opposite.

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Speaker 2: Honestly, is the week so long here the.

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Speaker 4: Public is kind of taking our view as well, where

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Speaker 4: it's like you already wanted to bet the Chiefs because

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Speaker 4: it's such a desperate spot against a Chargers team that's

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Speaker 4: banged up on our short week out in the elements,

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Speaker 4: but the fact that the Pros have coming so heavy

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Speaker 4: and move this number, like you said, for four and

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Speaker 4: a half alway to six. That's crazy to me because

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Speaker 4: that's now it's like, Okay, if you have an opportunity

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Speaker 4: to get six and a half in our contest before kick,

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Speaker 4: how do you not throw a little on the Chargers

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Speaker 4: at that. Yeah, So to me, if you're seeing that

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Speaker 4: five and a half a hard rock or like us,

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Speaker 4: you can get five and a half or four and

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Speaker 4: a half in the contest, still love the Chiefs.

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Speaker 2: We're really just playing the situation here.

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Speaker 4: We do not think the Chiefs are a six point

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Speaker 4: better team than this Chargers team. It really is what

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Speaker 4: you talked about. This is the out and the elements

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Speaker 4: with the one handed quarterback. And you know this Chargers team,

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Speaker 4: they've always found a way, especially Herbert in this exact spot.

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Speaker 2: But you can only only overcome so much.

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Speaker 4: So I'll be interesting how this Chargers team tries to

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Speaker 4: take advantage of a Chief's banged up offensive line.

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Speaker 2: Like we've talked about this.

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Speaker 4: Year, they don't really have guys on that Chargers front

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Speaker 4: that really scare you to get the pass for us.

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Speaker 4: So you think Mahomes would be in a good spot here,

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Speaker 4: and like we talked about, that number opened at three

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Speaker 4: and a half. All the early money was on the Chargers,

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Speaker 4: and it kept going the other way. And as the

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Speaker 4: week has gone along and people have seen what we

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Speaker 4: talked about on Tuesday, which was predicting there might be

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Speaker 4: a bad weather here, it's just gone the other way.

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Speaker 4: So you're like me where we're kind of we're locked

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Speaker 4: in in our picks, in our five, mostly because we

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Speaker 4: have such a good number. This is one of those games,

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Speaker 4: so the four and a half, if you're able to

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Speaker 4: get in the chiefs, that's a really nice spot to be.

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Speaker 4: And like we're in right now.

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Speaker 1: The Buffalo Bills are now one point favorites at the

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Speaker 1: New England Patriots. Simon, this is going to be our

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Speaker 1: Rock and a hard plays Better the Week presented by

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Speaker 1: Hard Rock That hour around.

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Speaker 3: I'm in New England.

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Speaker 1: It's twenty degrees snowing, supposed to let up a little bit.

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Speaker 1: Our hero Josh Allen and his beautiful bride Hailey Steinfeld

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Speaker 1: announced this week that they are expecting. Leave it to

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Speaker 1: Josh Allen to figure out a way to make sure

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Speaker 1: he and his wife have a baby during the offseason.

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Speaker 3: The guy can do no wrong. He is just brilliant

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Speaker 3: at everything.

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Speaker 1: One of the many reasons why we have continued to

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Speaker 1: bet on the Buffalo Bills at minus one, minus one

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Speaker 1: and a half. But we're not getting consensus from the

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Speaker 1: professional community, and that's why it's our rock and a

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Speaker 1: hard place.

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Speaker 4: Yeah, a lot of pushback of this one is just

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Speaker 4: it's been fun the last a couple days talking to him.

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Speaker 2: In this week.

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Speaker 4: Obviously, all the games are so great. There's been a

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Speaker 4: lot of discourse, right, there's no all the pros are

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Speaker 4: lining up on these three or four games together in Unison.

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Speaker 4: It's just a ton of back and forth in a

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Speaker 4: lot of opinions because it's so many games that are

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Speaker 4: dictating the one seed to two seed playoff divisional games.

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Speaker 4: It's just all happening this week. It's you can't ask

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Speaker 4: for much better as you hit in December. So this

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Speaker 4: match what you talked about. I get the love for

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Speaker 4: the Patriots. I'm just I'm happy to pay and lose

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Speaker 4: money on the Bills, as simple as that, Like I

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Speaker 4: make number three. I get the public sentiment with this

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Speaker 4: pitch team.

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Speaker 2: If it's honestly the truth, tat if they had.

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Speaker 4: A fully healthy offensive line, this Patriots team, and they

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Speaker 4: had a fully healthy defensive line. Yes, I could have

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Speaker 4: been talked into that, right, but they might be down their.

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Speaker 2: Best the end in New England and you know.

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Speaker 4: Looking at that offensive line, can they be exploited by Buffalo.

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Speaker 2: It's to be determined. Right.

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Speaker 4: With this Buffalo defense, they've had games where they they've

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Speaker 4: really done well pressure in quarterbacks, right. You saw it

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Speaker 4: in that Pittsburgh game. You saw it against the Chiefs,

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Speaker 4: and there's other games that's just not there. Right, It's

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Speaker 4: lackluster and it kind of disappears. So we do believe

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Speaker 4: this type game you can take advantage of it. And there

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Speaker 4: are some defensive formats that we've seen may struggle with that.

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Speaker 4: I'm interesting if the Bills kind of attack, right, We've

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Speaker 4: seen it when some teams they only rush too and

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Speaker 4: they drop everyone back in the coverage. He struggles with it,

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Speaker 4: and he likes to pull it down if he doesn't

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Speaker 4: see clearly open or you know, single cover safeties, he

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Speaker 4: tends to pull it down, runs with it, which I

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Speaker 4: honestly think in this type of game, the Bills are

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Speaker 4: going to try to attack. So there's a lot to

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Speaker 4: love for this game, and the biggest one is just

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Speaker 4: that number. So I'm happy to pay for it, and

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Speaker 4: this is one of the best games to day just

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Speaker 4: because if New England does win this we've talked about it.

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Speaker 4: This is basically they win the division. So did Drake

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Speaker 4: May sleep a wink last night?

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Speaker 2: I don't know.

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Speaker 4: It's gonna be interesting how this kid handles this type

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Speaker 4: of game, because not that they've been on cruise control here,

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Speaker 4: but this is their first test in what feels like

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Speaker 4: two three months, So I'm really excited for this game.

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Speaker 1: Drake May is in the middle of bakeness in his house. Okay,

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Speaker 1: he is eating so much sugar. I don't know how

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Speaker 1: the guy is able to function. I don't know how

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Speaker 1: he's able to sleep. He could be incredibly lethargic all

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Speaker 1: day today because he's been busy eating chuck Chip peppermint

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Speaker 1: Christmas cookies. He's busy and you know rice Krispy Christmas treats.

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Speaker 1: Like the guy has a lot of sugar going on

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Speaker 1: in his house right now. On the field, the one

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Speaker 1: thing I would say, the reason why I really like

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Speaker 1: this game. New England's rush defense has just been getting

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Speaker 1: worse and worse as the season's going on because of

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Speaker 1: the injuries, and we know that the Bills.

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Speaker 3: They're gonna want to run the ball.

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Speaker 1: That is who they are. They're a physical, run the

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Speaker 1: ball team. Give me the Bills championship pedigree. They know

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Speaker 1: this is their shot. If they lose this game, it

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Speaker 1: could flip the division for a decade. So that's why

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Speaker 1: I think the Bills need to cover this game. Detroit

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Speaker 1: at the Los Angeles Rams line is currently six. We

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Speaker 1: got it at five and a half in the contest.

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Speaker 1: It's a sneaky You had to be listening to understand

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Speaker 1: that Simon loved this game on Tuesday at five and

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Speaker 1: a half.

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Speaker 2: Still true, Still true.

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Speaker 4: I am shockingly people can tell from this contest have

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Speaker 4: we started so far?

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Speaker 2: I am very chalk heavy this week, So yeah we are.

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Speaker 2: It's weird, yeah, a little bit.

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Speaker 4: Where I mean, obviously we talk all the time. We

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Speaker 4: at least we have some dogs reforcing this week. But

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Speaker 4: that's just how we ended up on Tuesday. And like

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Speaker 4: you said, you locked in a lot of these picks

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Speaker 4: on Tuesday, and this is one of those games you

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Speaker 4: locked in, so we have the better number. Obviously, we

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Speaker 4: wish it was the five, but we got the hook.

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Speaker 4: It's the five and a half, no problem, And.

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Speaker 1: Which we're going to get in the contest. They don't

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Speaker 1: do We're not doing flat numbers. It's always going to

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Speaker 1: be a hook.

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Speaker 4: Yeah, And it was interesting what the summer was going

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Speaker 4: to do just because there was a possibility Devanta Adams

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Speaker 4: is going to miss this game. Right, he has been

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Speaker 4: not practicing because of a hamstring and you've kind of

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Speaker 4: seen these last couple of weeks.

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Speaker 2: He's not really been the threat he was before.

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Speaker 4: They're kind of just using them in their their packages

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Speaker 4: when they get to the red zone, which I think

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Speaker 4: is smart. Use use the young kid Puoka while work

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Speaker 4: in the middle of the field. When you get to

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Speaker 4: the red zone, you take care and use the vet there.

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Speaker 4: So we talked about this matchup the lines, if you're

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Speaker 4: trying to allow to yourself or just not a lot

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Speaker 4: of yourself. We even find a way to spin it

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Speaker 4: and find success. How can you back the Lions here?

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Speaker 4: We gave out that number right Golf Campbell seventeen and

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Speaker 4: three as a dog greater than four. My pushback, which

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Speaker 4: means I've talked a little about this season is a

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Speaker 4: lot of these might be Ben Johnson's stats and I'm

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Speaker 4: interesting with this type of matchup that this is going

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Speaker 4: to have to be all along golf in this offense,

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Speaker 4: they're gonna have to keep up in some way because

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Speaker 4: you've just seen it their secondary it's too injuries to overcome.

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Speaker 4: Now you're down, you know, both your safeties, your down corners.

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Speaker 4: It's a lot to ask against the MVP who's increased

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Speaker 4: control right now in Stafford playing against his former team,

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Speaker 4: which he can say it doesn't mean a lot, but

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Speaker 4: they've played two times down every time after the game

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Speaker 4: he says, it means a lot.

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Speaker 2: So to me, nothing's changed there.

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Speaker 4: And you know, I look at this lines matchup and

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Speaker 4: it's gonna be interesting if the way they win this

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Speaker 4: game will be by running it.

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Speaker 2: We've seen this Rams team.

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Speaker 4: The only teams they lose to are teams that can

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Speaker 4: run the ball and ball control. And you know that

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Speaker 4: fluky loss against Carolina where you know Bryce shown through

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Speaker 4: for three fifty. Yeah, those things can happen. But just

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Speaker 4: going back further their past losses, which mainly has been

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Speaker 4: to the Eagles, it's when the Eagles can run for

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Speaker 4: a ton of ton and ball control keep Stafford off

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Speaker 4: the field.

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Speaker 2: Never leg me in rhythm.

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Speaker 4: The lines do have that they have you can argue

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Speaker 4: with top two, top three running back of football now

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Speaker 4: and Gibbs, so there is there is a lane for it.

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Speaker 4: I just I can't see it, and I think this

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Speaker 4: number should probably be seven, seven and a half like

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Speaker 4: this is just priced as if this is Detroit of

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Speaker 4: the past, and the public stream in that way right

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Speaker 4: now as we sit here, most books, bookmakers I've talked to,

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Speaker 4: most books I've seen, it's been pretty heavy Detroit money,

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Speaker 4: and we always talk it's pretty notice but when a

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Speaker 4: ton of money's coming on one side, especially the dog,

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Speaker 4: and the number, like we said, has gone for four

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Speaker 4: and a half to five and a half now to six.

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Speaker 4: So I'm confidence Rams side, but I definitely want to

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Speaker 4: see what's going on with Demontae Smith.

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Speaker 2: You have not Demantae Adams.

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Speaker 4: If you do not bet this yet, if he is out,

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Speaker 4: maybe you get lucky and drops back down to five

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Speaker 4: and a half five. But I don't mind taking this

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Speaker 4: Rams of the six if that's the only hum where

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Speaker 4: you can.

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Speaker 1: Get Lions incredibly beat up on the offensive line. Meanwhile,

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Speaker 1: on the other side of the ball, Stafford is brilliant

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Speaker 1: against Man, which is what the Lions have played basically

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Speaker 1: every game. We saw them play zone against the Cowboys,

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Speaker 1: but Stafford is even better against zone. Whether it's their

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Speaker 1: success rate in the running game, which is the best

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Speaker 1: since twenty eighteen when the Rams were awesome in success

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Speaker 1: rate in the run game, whether it's thirteen personnel, which

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Speaker 1: Sean McVay has been using NonStop this year, if it's

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Speaker 1: Devonte Adams, Puka Nakua. They've just been at every level

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Speaker 1: in every scheme, so unstoppable offensively against a really beat

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Speaker 1: up Detroit Lyons secondary for sure. Green Bay at Denver

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Speaker 1: another chalky one for us. This was Chad's choice. Little

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Speaker 1: concerned because it had been two and then it had

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Speaker 1: gone up to two and a half. Over the past

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Speaker 1: twenty four hours it's gone down to one and a half,

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Speaker 1: And honestly, there are some places with his line as

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Speaker 1: green Bay minus one. So I'm seeing the tickets come

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Speaker 1: in on Denver. Obviously, that's professional money coming in on Denver.

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Speaker 1: Two worries me a little bit. I think it's the

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Speaker 1: worst number we're getting in the contest, because in the

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Speaker 1: contest we got it to two and a half.

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Speaker 4: Yeah, it honestly feels like it's a Josh Shacob movement.

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Speaker 4: The guy didn't practice all week, which again not a

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Speaker 4: big to tell me he is a vet, but he

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Speaker 4: did pop up and it did come out that it's like, Okay,

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Speaker 4: it's not a guarantee he's going to play in this game.

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Speaker 4: They need they're going to work him out before the

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Speaker 4: game and see how he's feeling. And we talked about

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Speaker 4: it last week, like when he's going with that offense,

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Speaker 4: they're untoppable. He's you're such a game changer, especially when

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Speaker 4: they get.

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Speaker 2: Down to the red zone.

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Speaker 4: So I can lie to you that worries me a

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Speaker 4: little bit, but what we're saying still holds true. I

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Speaker 4: still think overall, this is a better Packers team, and

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Speaker 4: this is a unique spot for this Broncos team that

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Speaker 4: they have been tested in certain matchups this year. But

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Speaker 4: when they play really good defenses, you've seen they have

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Speaker 4: struggled and especially bone Knicks and you know that Houston game.

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Speaker 4: I still think we handicapped that right. Bo Nix just

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Speaker 4: got very lucky that CJ got knocked out and he

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Speaker 4: was able to come back in that game against David

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Speaker 4: SMOs who just hadn't played with the Ones all season.

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Speaker 4: So another matchup here we're really as much we love

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Speaker 4: Jordan Love and we're depending on this offense. I have

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Speaker 4: to show up against great Broncos defense. It's really about

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Speaker 4: this Packers defense. Can they shut down bone Knicks and

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Speaker 4: stop this Broncos team. And you know the Packers defense,

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Speaker 4: they've been up and down this year. This feels like

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Speaker 4: a really unique, great matchup for them to test themselves.

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Speaker 4: And the fact that it's a true great playoff team

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Speaker 4: and you know, we've seen it times again Parsons. People

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Speaker 4: have probably been seeing these clips all week. He's just

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Speaker 4: basically being held NonStop these last couple of weeks. And

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Speaker 4: that's exciting to me though, because that shows whatever has

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Speaker 4: happened early in the year.

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Speaker 2: I remember he had some type of injury. I forget what.

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Speaker 4: He was getting shots in his back and it was like, okay,

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Speaker 4: did the Cowboys fleece? This Green Bay team getting damaged

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Speaker 4: goods here? And he's been nothing but great for them

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Speaker 4: this home stretch here, and he's been one of the

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Speaker 4: better defensive players in the season. So we're really heavily

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Speaker 4: rely on the Screen Bay's defense to show up on

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Speaker 4: the flip side as.

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Speaker 2: Good as those Broncos defense is to a lot of people.

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Speaker 4: I think the Packers have so many ways to attack

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Speaker 4: them offensively, and you've seen it with since Watson's been

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Speaker 4: back that wur receiving corps, He's been such a game

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Speaker 4: chitger with them, and so the tuplecraft stuff scared me, Chad,

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Speaker 4: but I've come around on Green Bay's offense since they've

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Speaker 4: gone back to those two stud receivers.

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Speaker 1: Also, Jordan Love has just been great against pressure, and

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Speaker 1: we know that the Broncos don't necessarily need to bring

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Speaker 1: blitz pressure. They usually go with five men because they

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Speaker 1: can get pascertained on the corner who can basically take

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Speaker 1: away half the field. You don't have to bring the

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Speaker 1: extra guys. But Jordan Love has just been great against

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Speaker 1: it all season. So we're kind of bet. I think

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Speaker 1: we're betting more on the Packers defense here to contain

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Speaker 1: bo Nicks than we are on the Packers offense to

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Speaker 1: beat up on the Broncos defense.

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Speaker 3: Right now, we have.

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Speaker 1: Four games that we love all chalk on the other

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Speaker 3: All right, let's talk about some underdogs.

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Speaker 1: First one, Minnesota five and a half point underdog against Dallas.

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Speaker 3: There are six is out there.

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Speaker 1: It was six and a half early in the week

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Speaker 1: when we talked about it. Hopefully people were able to

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Speaker 1: get that. Look, it's a tricky game. I don't think

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Speaker 1: we're betting on JJ McCarthy here. I think it's another

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Speaker 1: one where we're betting on the Cowboys. On the Vikings

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Speaker 1: defense to be able to contain the Cowboys in some

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Speaker 1: capacity and Kevin O'Connell to come up with some game

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Speaker 1: plan that puts JJ McCarthy in the offense in an

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Speaker 1: advantageous position against a Dallas defense that has been bad.

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Speaker 1: They've been better with Quinn Williams, they're getting Trayvon Diggs back,

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Speaker 1: but they have been bad. So we're kind of betting

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Speaker 1: on the bigger number here.

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Speaker 4: Yeah, and it's a tough week ons with the dogs. Like,

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Speaker 4: there's four dogs I've been on and this is one

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Speaker 4: of them. And you know, you had the option to

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Speaker 4: put any dog you wanted, and this is the dog

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Speaker 4: you chose, chat, So this is the dog I'm gonna

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Speaker 4: happily support you with.

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Speaker 2: So I like it. I like the number, And like you.

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Speaker 4: Said, the Cowboys, this feels a little inflated for what

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Speaker 4: they're gonna be facing here, just defensively for this Minnesota team.

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Speaker 4: And you know, the fear for me would just be

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Speaker 4: can JJ keep up if Dak is on one? And

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Speaker 4: that's gonna be the issue. So yeah, like this is

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Speaker 4: simply us playing the number. Obviously, we wish we had

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Speaker 4: gotten this six and a half. Six which I know

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Speaker 4: a couple of people in our contest half because this

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Speaker 4: did touch six a hard rock in a couple of

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Speaker 4: other books. But I got a non issue at the

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Speaker 4: five and a half. It's this number should be three

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Speaker 4: and a half. So we're gonna quickly find out pretty

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Speaker 4: early here chat. We won't will know quickly if JJ's

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Speaker 4: on script here with Koc. We at worst, first two

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Speaker 4: drives we go ten right field goal in the touchdown.

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Speaker 4: That's usually a nice sign that JJ's in rhythm with

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Speaker 4: KOC and this team and we're gonna need it. Like

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Speaker 4: we've seen these stats, It's Cowboys defense is atrocious, but

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Speaker 4: their offense, especially after losses, tends to show up right.

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Speaker 2: It's a juggernaut.

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Speaker 4: Pickens has been hearing, you know, last two weeks how

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Speaker 4: he's been quitting on routes being terrible. So expected to

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Speaker 4: bounce back here, but just a bad spot, we would

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Speaker 4: think for this Cowboys team, This Vikings defense, they are

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Speaker 4: great against veteran quarterbacks. And you know we've seen Dak

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Speaker 4: as great as he is, he does struggle against these type.

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Speaker 2: Of defense, especially with Brian Flores at the home.

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Speaker 4: So yeah, the interesting game here that on another game

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Speaker 4: talk to bookmakers, all Dallas money, all the teasers, all

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Speaker 4: the parlays. I know people don't believe, but you have

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Speaker 4: to throw a little if you're a hater, a contrarian,

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Speaker 4: the guy, and you have to throw a little on

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Speaker 4: Minnesota's money line. I know it sounds crazy, but this

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Speaker 4: is just going to be such a hammered game, especially

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Speaker 4: being the prime time Sunday night game.

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Speaker 1: The other game that really it came down to Minnesota

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Speaker 1: and Dallas and Carolina and New Orleans, and now Carolina

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Speaker 1: is in the driver's seat with Tampa Bay's loss the

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Speaker 1: other night to win the NFC South. We love the

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Speaker 1: Carolina Panthers, but two and a half New Orleans two

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Speaker 1: and a half was your signon says on Tuesday, the

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Speaker 1: line is basically touching three at a lot of places.

439
00:20:10,640 --> 00:20:13,680
Speaker 1: We're getting two and a half in the contest. On Thursday,

440
00:20:13,680 --> 00:20:17,399
Speaker 1: you were leaking confidence. I was too, which is when

441
00:20:17,440 --> 00:20:19,240
Speaker 1: I would have put in the picks, and it's why

442
00:20:19,240 --> 00:20:20,400
Speaker 1: I put in Minnesota.

443
00:20:20,880 --> 00:20:22,320
Speaker 3: Are you still leaking confidence?

444
00:20:23,880 --> 00:20:25,360
Speaker 2: Uh no, It's just like a sort of thing.

445
00:20:25,359 --> 00:20:27,840
Speaker 4: I believe in it, but I see the avenue of

446
00:20:27,880 --> 00:20:32,200
Speaker 4: me just getting just crushed, stomped out here because again

447
00:20:32,200 --> 00:20:35,640
Speaker 4: we're backing two gross dogs after they just had two

448
00:20:35,720 --> 00:20:36,600
Speaker 4: really big wins.

449
00:20:36,680 --> 00:20:39,480
Speaker 2: So I'm interesting how the Saints team bounce of his back.

450
00:20:40,359 --> 00:20:44,840
Speaker 4: You know, we've talked it's a unique team in New Orleans.

451
00:20:44,880 --> 00:20:47,879
Speaker 4: They've actually been much better on the road than I've

452
00:20:47,920 --> 00:20:51,399
Speaker 4: been at home. They've been futured at home, surprisingly, But

453
00:20:52,400 --> 00:20:55,159
Speaker 4: this is to me a game that's all on Carolina

454
00:20:55,320 --> 00:20:57,840
Speaker 4: and Bryce Young and Howie handles and then mounts a

455
00:20:57,880 --> 00:21:01,119
Speaker 4: pressure he hasn't felt since college, Like this is an

456
00:21:01,160 --> 00:21:03,320
Speaker 4: insane unique spot to be in that if he wins

457
00:21:03,359 --> 00:21:05,920
Speaker 4: this game and then his next week against the Bucks,

458
00:21:06,240 --> 00:21:08,480
Speaker 4: they've won the division, which is something that's insane to

459
00:21:08,520 --> 00:21:11,680
Speaker 4: think about this Parlanta Panther team, especially not just this season,

460
00:21:11,800 --> 00:21:14,159
Speaker 4: going back these last couple of years. They just is

461
00:21:14,200 --> 00:21:17,439
Speaker 4: Bryce shung the guys he left for dead. Now fast forward,

462
00:21:17,880 --> 00:21:20,280
Speaker 4: they might be stealless division from a Bucks team that's

463
00:21:20,280 --> 00:21:23,560
Speaker 4: collapsing down the stretch here. So I still love this

464
00:21:23,640 --> 00:21:26,200
Speaker 4: Saints team. It just feels like you're getting a UNI

465
00:21:26,200 --> 00:21:28,919
Speaker 4: expot the Panthers. We've talked about it. They've been favored

466
00:21:29,080 --> 00:21:31,960
Speaker 4: eleven times now since what is a twenty twenty two

467
00:21:32,440 --> 00:21:34,520
Speaker 4: and their own eleven. I guess its spreading straight up.

468
00:21:34,600 --> 00:21:37,800
Speaker 4: So again they break the curse. This is their moment

469
00:21:37,880 --> 00:21:39,879
Speaker 4: to live up to it. I have to keep fading

470
00:21:39,880 --> 00:21:42,080
Speaker 4: it here and back a Saints team that once again

471
00:21:42,320 --> 00:21:43,399
Speaker 4: undervalued by the public.

472
00:21:43,400 --> 00:21:44,960
Speaker 2: It's another just like that Minnesota game.

473
00:21:45,560 --> 00:21:48,040
Speaker 4: Every book maker I talk to, they couldn't wait to

474
00:21:48,080 --> 00:21:50,040
Speaker 4: get me to bet some Saints twenty because they desperately

475
00:21:50,080 --> 00:21:51,960
Speaker 4: needed it, and I bust their balls. I'm like, well,

476
00:21:51,960 --> 00:21:53,480
Speaker 4: if you need so bad, why not bust it to

477
00:21:53,480 --> 00:21:55,840
Speaker 4: the three. Like, if you guys are acting like you

478
00:21:56,000 --> 00:21:59,240
Speaker 4: desperately need Saints' numbers, push it to the three. You're

479
00:21:59,240 --> 00:22:01,400
Speaker 4: gonna get a ton of money. And like Chad said,

480
00:22:01,400 --> 00:22:03,600
Speaker 4: a bunch of books half at the three. But the

481
00:22:03,640 --> 00:22:05,440
Speaker 4: most interesting one of me is the two or three

482
00:22:05,480 --> 00:22:08,480
Speaker 4: biggest public books have held at the two and a half,

483
00:22:08,520 --> 00:22:11,000
Speaker 4: and they are taking the most amount of Panthers money.

484
00:22:11,080 --> 00:22:14,199
Speaker 4: So I'll stand with the books here. I'll back the Saints.

485
00:22:14,240 --> 00:22:16,480
Speaker 4: But I get why you chose Minnesota with the Saints.

486
00:22:16,480 --> 00:22:18,720
Speaker 4: It's it's a it's a tough call, but I would

487
00:22:18,760 --> 00:22:21,200
Speaker 4: say with the bigger number on this Minnesota team, it's

488
00:22:21,240 --> 00:22:23,159
Speaker 4: more it's more comfortable taking that number.

489
00:22:22,920 --> 00:22:26,520
Speaker 1: There, that was really that was really the deciding factor

490
00:22:26,520 --> 00:22:28,600
Speaker 1: to me was the bigger number and a really good

491
00:22:29,080 --> 00:22:31,040
Speaker 1: They at least have one unit we know we can

492
00:22:31,160 --> 00:22:36,600
Speaker 1: count on, all right, So to me, it's it's right now.

493
00:22:37,440 --> 00:22:38,960
Speaker 4: I'll just say one more game. I want to first

494
00:22:38,960 --> 00:22:40,600
Speaker 4: you win, just because well we get it real quick.

495
00:22:40,640 --> 00:22:42,680
Speaker 4: It was just the Commanders. I still think it's a

496
00:22:42,680 --> 00:22:44,399
Speaker 4: two and a half. This game should probably be closer

497
00:22:44,440 --> 00:22:46,480
Speaker 4: to a pick. So it's two and out hard rock,

498
00:22:46,520 --> 00:22:48,240
Speaker 4: but plenty two and a half's out there.

499
00:22:49,040 --> 00:22:50,720
Speaker 2: The Giants are just so.

500
00:22:51,119 --> 00:22:55,360
Speaker 4: Bad, and once again everyone's just piling up on them.

501
00:22:55,359 --> 00:22:58,919
Speaker 4: I get it there. They do have a more complete

502
00:22:58,960 --> 00:23:01,200
Speaker 4: team than the Commanders. Actually, you know, look at the defense.

503
00:23:01,280 --> 00:23:02,880
Speaker 4: Defense of the Commanders are just so bad.

504
00:23:02,920 --> 00:23:04,160
Speaker 2: But I think.

505
00:23:04,080 --> 00:23:07,120
Speaker 4: Mariota, if he's got if he's got you know, Debo,

506
00:23:07,600 --> 00:23:10,920
Speaker 4: if he's got Terry McLaurin, he's got Roriguez the running back.

507
00:23:11,040 --> 00:23:14,280
Speaker 4: That's a pretty potent offense Washington's bringing to the field here.

508
00:23:14,320 --> 00:23:17,199
Speaker 4: So I'm shocked it's not moved to a pick. I

509
00:23:17,240 --> 00:23:18,640
Speaker 4: still think the two and a half's are good number.

510
00:23:18,680 --> 00:23:20,600
Speaker 4: So that that and the Saints, those are the two

511
00:23:20,600 --> 00:23:24,200
Speaker 4: really ugly dogs I like this week, including Cincinnati, but again,

512
00:23:24,280 --> 00:23:26,680
Speaker 4: all those three, I think we're never going to get

513
00:23:26,680 --> 00:23:27,480
Speaker 4: there because of the number.

514
00:23:27,960 --> 00:23:29,800
Speaker 3: Do we want to put Washington in?

515
00:23:30,000 --> 00:23:32,479
Speaker 1: Like the only the only question in the contest at

516
00:23:32,480 --> 00:23:34,680
Speaker 1: this point is we lose the four and a half

517
00:23:34,680 --> 00:23:36,560
Speaker 1: on Kansas City, we'd probably get five and a half,

518
00:23:36,640 --> 00:23:40,120
Speaker 1: so everything else would stay the same. Do we want

519
00:23:40,119 --> 00:23:43,600
Speaker 1: to put Washington in instead of Minnesota?

520
00:23:45,720 --> 00:23:47,160
Speaker 2: I wish I had the foresight here.

521
00:23:47,200 --> 00:23:48,920
Speaker 4: The thing is just scaring me off, which I'm sure

522
00:23:48,960 --> 00:23:50,240
Speaker 4: you have the same exact filia right now, is that

523
00:23:50,240 --> 00:23:52,600
Speaker 4: we were on four favorites, which it never never works

524
00:23:52,600 --> 00:23:54,919
Speaker 4: out for us. But I think we're in unique spots here,

525
00:23:55,000 --> 00:23:58,640
Speaker 4: especially that Green Bay in Buffalo game, where those are

526
00:23:58,640 --> 00:24:01,879
Speaker 4: two favorites that are actually honestly not getting that much

527
00:24:01,920 --> 00:24:03,160
Speaker 4: public love or professional love.

528
00:24:03,240 --> 00:24:04,919
Speaker 2: So I don't know.

529
00:24:05,119 --> 00:24:07,520
Speaker 4: I get why we maybe make a move here, but

530
00:24:07,560 --> 00:24:09,640
Speaker 4: I'm trying not to overthink and keep. Like you said,

531
00:24:09,680 --> 00:24:12,080
Speaker 4: we have good contest lines. The only bad number we

532
00:24:12,119 --> 00:24:14,320
Speaker 4: have is Green Bay, but I don't think that's bad

533
00:24:14,440 --> 00:24:15,840
Speaker 4: enough to move off. I don't think the two and

534
00:24:15,880 --> 00:24:18,080
Speaker 4: aps can affect us that much, So I don't know

535
00:24:18,240 --> 00:24:20,640
Speaker 4: if you want to step up and say something, Chad,

536
00:24:20,680 --> 00:24:22,399
Speaker 4: and have a game you want to play it, and

537
00:24:22,440 --> 00:24:23,800
Speaker 4: say this is the one I want to put in.

538
00:24:24,240 --> 00:24:25,880
Speaker 2: I'll support it. But as we said here.

539
00:24:25,800 --> 00:24:27,520
Speaker 4: Right now, the only one I really want to take

540
00:24:27,520 --> 00:24:30,000
Speaker 4: out is honestly in Minnesota. And it's like these other dogs,

541
00:24:30,320 --> 00:24:32,359
Speaker 4: it's no different. I'm not that much more confident these

542
00:24:32,400 --> 00:24:35,320
Speaker 4: other dogs either. So it's a weird week honestly on it.

543
00:24:35,480 --> 00:24:41,760
Speaker 1: Well, I agree like Minnesota is the one I'm most uncomfortable.

544
00:24:40,960 --> 00:24:42,600
Speaker 3: With, have been all week.

545
00:24:43,080 --> 00:24:45,359
Speaker 1: Yeah, but I don't I don't love New Orleans, I

546
00:24:45,400 --> 00:24:49,000
Speaker 1: don't love Washington, I don't love Cincinnati. Those are the

547
00:24:49,040 --> 00:24:53,640
Speaker 1: other ones that I've looked at. So I guess, let's

548
00:24:53,640 --> 00:24:56,199
Speaker 1: not change it. Let's not change it, let's not overthink it.

549
00:24:56,240 --> 00:24:58,760
Speaker 1: That's what we always do, and then we make a mistake.

550
00:24:59,000 --> 00:25:02,720
Speaker 1: So our official cond test picks Kansas City minus four

551
00:25:02,720 --> 00:25:04,280
Speaker 1: and a half. We got that early in the week,

552
00:25:04,760 --> 00:25:08,920
Speaker 1: Minnesota plus five and a half. We got Buffalo minus

553
00:25:09,080 --> 00:25:12,240
Speaker 1: one and a half, we got the Rams minus five

554
00:25:12,280 --> 00:25:15,159
Speaker 1: and a half. We've got Green Bay minus two and

555
00:25:15,200 --> 00:25:19,320
Speaker 1: a half. That's what we're running with today, Simon. This

556
00:25:19,400 --> 00:25:22,680
Speaker 1: has been sharper square. Part of the volume podcast network.

557
00:25:22,720 --> 00:25:26,280
Speaker 1: We will be back on sharper Square YouTube tonight live

558
00:25:27,240 --> 00:25:31,040
Speaker 1: after America's Game of the Week as Packers Broncos to

559
00:25:31,080 --> 00:25:34,439
Speaker 1: recap all the misery and glory of the day. Watch

560
00:25:34,600 --> 00:25:38,480
Speaker 1: or listen on YouTube at sharper Square. Like this video, subscribe.

561
00:25:37,920 --> 00:25:38,720
Speaker 3: To this channel.

562
00:25:38,880 --> 00:25:41,959
Speaker 1: Also download us from Spotify, Apple Pods, wherever you get

563
00:25:42,000 --> 00:25:45,400
Speaker 1: your pods. Rate review, subscribe, leave us five stars, say

564
00:25:45,400 --> 00:25:48,639
Speaker 1: whatever you want. Feedback is a gift until tonight, Love

565
00:25:48,760 --> 00:25:50,400
Speaker 1: you Together.

566
00:25:50,560 --> 00:25:51,320
Speaker 2: We can do it.

567
00:25:52,200 --> 00:25:54,800
Speaker 1: Nobody can do it alone, but together we can do it.

568
00:25:54,920 --> 00:25:57,320
Speaker 4: Let's play our kind of footpath and we'll come out

569
00:25:57,320 --> 00:25:57,920
Speaker 4: of up with a win.

570
00:25:58,040 --> 00:25:58,440
Speaker 3: Let's come

571
00:26:00,000 --> 00:26:00,040
Speaker 2: And