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Speaker 1: This Thanksgiving only, DraftKings is cooking up an offer for

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Speaker 1: Pick two to six players of the same sport and

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Speaker 1: choose if they'll have more or less of a certain

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Speaker 1: stat like touchdowns, passing yards, interceptions, and more. Lock them

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Speaker 3: The most valuable commodity I know of is information.

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Speaker 2: Five five dollars.

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Speaker 3: This is a role hoping the tackle ship one man.

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Speaker 1: You're saying that humans need fantasy to make life bearable.

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Speaker 4: Humans need fantasy to be human.

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Speaker 2: My goodness, miss.

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Speaker 1: Nice, prone, the best, relentless, refusing to give up.

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Speaker 3: All right, hit that horn, very bless?

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Speaker 2: What's the verybody?

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Speaker 1: Welcome to the Fantasy Flex podcast from the Action Network

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Speaker 1: in fantasy webs Happy Thanksgiving.

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Speaker 2: I'm your host, Chris Raybon.

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Speaker 1: NFL Week thirteen Fantasy DFS preview is here. I am

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Speaker 1: joined by one of the most accurate rankers in the game.

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Speaker 1: The odds maker Sean Kerner sean Happy Thanksgiving, congrats on

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Speaker 1: the top ten finished a couple of weeks ago in

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Speaker 1: Fantasy pros.

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Speaker 5: How you doing, thank you, thank you, Happy Early Thanksgiving,

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Speaker 5: and congrats on the top three finish a couple of

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Speaker 5: weeks ago.

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Speaker 3: And uh my god, you are the Jalen Naylor whisper.

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Speaker 5: As soon as you gave out the dark said books

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Speaker 5: should take the odds off the board because it's now

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Speaker 5: one hundred percent chance. You said I jinked it. I said,

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Speaker 5: there's no such thing as jinxing. I genly their touchdown.

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Speaker 3: So I kind of love the fact that you have

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Speaker 3: the Vikings matchup this week.

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Speaker 5: So I'm going to be patiently waiting to see if

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Speaker 5: I'm about the hammer Naylor's touchdown prop right now.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, And it's crazy because I actually thought it like

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Speaker 1: that was during like there's just aly so hectic, So

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Speaker 1: I thought it got overturned because I saw them go

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Speaker 1: to break and they cut away from it on red

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Speaker 1: zone and I just assumed he was like he stepped

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Speaker 1: out because they were showing like his foot and you

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Speaker 1: know when they cut away and don't return to the game.

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Speaker 1: It's like, all right, I guess it right, And then

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Speaker 1: next thing I know, I looked at the box Schooler

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Speaker 1: and I'm like, oh.

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Speaker 3: It did stand.

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Speaker 2: Okay, yep, okay. So yeah, we'll try to get some

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Speaker 2: more hits on this one.

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Speaker 1: We'll go through every game on the slate, starting with

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Speaker 1: the Thanksgiving slate, then the Black Friday, and then Sunday Monday.

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Speaker 1: But before we do, a reminder that Sean and I

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Speaker 1: have teamed up with DraftKings Pick six this Thanksgiving only.

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Speaker 1: DraftKings is cooking up an offer for the whole fam.

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Speaker 1: New Pick six customers get fifty dollars and Pick six

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Speaker 1: credits when they play five dollars or more on their

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Speaker 1: first picks, and if that's not tasty enough, all customers

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Speaker 1: can opt in to receive a fifty percent winnings moves

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Speaker 1: for NFL Week thirteen. Here's how Pick six works. You

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Speaker 1: pick two to six players of the same sport and

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Speaker 1: choose if they'll have more or less of a certain

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Speaker 1: stat touchdowns, passing yards, interceptions and the like for NFL points, assists,

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Speaker 1: rebounds and so on for NBA. Lock in those selections

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Speaker 1: and compete against opponents for a shot at you cash prizes,

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Speaker 1: Plus you can opt in for a fifty percent winnings

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Speaker 1: moves to be used on NFL Week thirteen only, max

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Speaker 1: entry fee and reward Barries Sean, I am going to

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Speaker 1: go with Jordan Love on Thanksgiving more than point five interceptions.

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Speaker 1: I have his odds of throwing a pick in the

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Speaker 1: mid to upper fifty percent.

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Speaker 2: He's actually throwing one in all but one game this year.

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Speaker 1: I think he's gonna have some regression on that, but

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Speaker 1: I do think that he goes more than zero point

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Speaker 1: five picks on Thanksgiving.

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Speaker 2: What about you?

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Speaker 5: Yeah, I'm going to go with another Thanksgiving one here.

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Speaker 5: I'm going to go with Ceedee Lamb less than six

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Speaker 5: and a half receptions against the Giants. I'm projecting actually

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Speaker 5: closer to five point seven. And this is a game

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Speaker 5: where you know Dallas should be able to play with

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Speaker 5: the lead for most of the game, lean on the

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Speaker 5: run game and their defense here against whoever's you know

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Speaker 5: under center for the Giants. Plus, as you mentioned, like,

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Speaker 5: if he gets you know, a long touch on early,

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Speaker 5: that'll only help his less than here, and you know

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Speaker 5: he's he's a player where probably a ton of people

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Speaker 5: are going to be on his more then, So I

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Speaker 5: think this is great leverage here. We're kind of fading

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Speaker 5: the public here, and I think this is the sharp side.

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Speaker 5: So give me ceedee LAMB less than six and a

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Speaker 5: half receptions.

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Speaker 3: I like that.

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Speaker 1: I currently have projected at five point nine receptions for

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Speaker 1: cd LAMB. And if you all out there are interested

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Speaker 1: in playing DraftKings Pick six as well and maybe getting

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Speaker 1: some more than in some West end CD lam make

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Speaker 1: sure to download the DraftKings Pick six app now and

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Speaker 1: use code flex six that's fl ex six for new

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Speaker 1: Pick six customers to play five dollars and get fifty

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Speaker 1: dollars Pick six credits plus opten to receive a fifty

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Speaker 1: percent winnings boost for NFL Week thirteen only. All right,

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Speaker 1: we'll start off with the Thanksgiving slate.

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Speaker 2: We got three games.

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Speaker 1: First up, Bears that Lions, Lions favored by ten the

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Speaker 1: total forty eight and a half.

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Speaker 2: Sean, who do you like in this matchup?

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Speaker 5: I'm going to go with Roma Dunsay here at five

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Speaker 5: k This is a very top heavy game, just you know,

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Speaker 5: quite a few studs here, and since it's not a

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Speaker 5: showdown slate, this this is a fun three game flight.

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Speaker 5: We don't have to get too crazy here and roll

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Speaker 5: like you know, Marcedes Lewis out there or somebody like that.

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Speaker 5: So going to go with the rookie who I think

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Speaker 5: has a ton of upside and is still kind of

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Speaker 5: under the radar still because you know, DJ Moore and

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Speaker 5: Keenan Allen are still putting up big numbers. But o'doonsay's

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Speaker 5: been playing well, especially lately, five or more catches in

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Speaker 5: three the last four games. And this should be a

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Speaker 5: very pass heavy game script for the Bears here. And

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Speaker 5: you know I've mentioned it, but the Lions use man

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Speaker 5: coverage at the highest rate. Odonsay actually leads a team

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Speaker 5: in yards per route run against man coverage, so this

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Speaker 5: is a great spot for him. Keenan Allen, I think

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Speaker 5: all is going to be very popular. He's only one

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Speaker 5: hundred dollars more expensive than Doomsday, and I have Alan

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Speaker 5: projected for you know, a point or two higher than Dunsay.

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Speaker 5: So I think Allen's you know, the safer playing cash games,

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Speaker 5: but for tournaments, I think rolling at Dudeesday just one

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Speaker 5: hundred dollars cheaper than Alan, I think gives you some

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Speaker 5: you know, solid leverage in GPPs in an event that

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Speaker 5: you know, his production kind of outweighs Keenan's here. I

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Speaker 5: think that's just a great kind of leverage play for again,

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Speaker 5: a three game slate and.

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Speaker 1: DJ Moore had his ball up game, Allen had his,

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Speaker 1: so Dounsday's is coming next up. We got the Giants

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Speaker 1: at the Cowboys. Cowboys favored by three and a half.

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Speaker 1: The total is thirty seven and I'm going to go

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Speaker 1: with the ugly one here, Jaln Hyatt for the Giants.

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Speaker 1: He's about a couple hundred dollars above mind price on

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Speaker 1: DK fifty two percent route rate last week split snaps

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Speaker 1: with Darius Slayton.

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Speaker 2: You wouldn't know it because he didn't catch a ball.

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Speaker 2: But remember no.

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Speaker 1: More Daniel Jones, so you do introduce some more quarterback variants,

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Speaker 1: and Daniel Jones was very hesitant to you know, throw

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Speaker 1: downfield and it kind of had to be drawn up

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Speaker 1: and it just never really worked out. But all you

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Speaker 1: need is one, you know, big play from Javin Hyatt

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Speaker 1: to hit and his average up to target is twenty one.

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Speaker 1: So maybe we get Drew locked, maybe we get de veto,

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Speaker 1: but either way it should be better news for Hyatt

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Speaker 1: than Daniel Jones, and there's a chance that he continues

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Speaker 1: to you know, kind of split snaps with Slayton, because

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Speaker 1: remember Slayton, they kept trying to get him off the

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Speaker 1: team and he just kept playing.

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Speaker 2: Well and so they had to start him.

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Speaker 1: But they're obviously looking toward the future now or they

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Speaker 1: wouldn't have, you know, played Hired as much as they

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Speaker 1: did last week.

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Speaker 2: So jam and Hyatt still looking for.

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Speaker 1: First NFL receiving touchdown ad out of twenty one. It's

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Speaker 1: coming sooner or later.

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Speaker 2: So take some Hyatt.

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Speaker 1: And then for the Cowboys, Luke Schoonmaker thirty four hundred

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Speaker 1: six catches fifty six yards against US on ten targets

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Speaker 1: and then three for fifty five in a touch against

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Speaker 1: the Commanders last week. He's been targeted on twenty six

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Speaker 1: percent of his routes by Cooper Rush over the past

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Speaker 1: two weeks. So that is some nice upside at that price.

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Speaker 1: So Hiatten, school Maker for me in this one. Miami

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Speaker 1: Green Bay in Green Bay should be pretty cold. Packers

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Speaker 1: favored by three and a half total forty seven.

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Speaker 2: Sean, who do you like?

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Speaker 5: Yeah, So if you know Romeo Dobbs looking more doubtful here.

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Speaker 5: I think we got to target some of these Green

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Speaker 5: Bay wide receivers. I'm gonna go Dontavian Wicks at forty

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Speaker 5: two hundred. You know, he might be a bit chucky

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Speaker 5: because a lot of sharp DFS players. No, he has

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Speaker 5: a ton of upside just every week, but especially when

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Speaker 5: one of the top three receivers is expected to miss.

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Speaker 5: So again he should, you know, have more of a

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Speaker 5: full time role if Dobbs misses, which I'm expecting he will,

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Speaker 5: but you got to take him aout this price, and

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Speaker 5: you can get contrarion elsewhere because just you got to

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Speaker 5: take advantage of the guy with a high ceiling like

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Speaker 5: this at forty two hundred. If you just want to

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Speaker 5: get really contrarian, you could also pivot to Bo Melton,

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Speaker 5: our guy Bo Melton who just whenever he gets chances,

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Speaker 5: he comes through. So he would be a much sneakier

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Speaker 5: play at thirty one hundred and could potentially be the

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Speaker 5: key to unlock some of these massive gvps.

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Speaker 3: It is, you know, three games.

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Speaker 5: Slate, so you kind of need to get contrarian somewhere.

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Speaker 5: So you know, Melton would be the the ultra contrarian

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Speaker 5: play where his Wicks would just be a very solid

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Speaker 5: value play here at forty two hundred.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, hopefully he starts getting some catchable targets, and I

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Speaker 1: think he has like seventeen catches on forty six targets

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Speaker 1: or something like that's been absurd, but yeah, a lot

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Speaker 1: of talent.

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Speaker 2: I love Dantavian Wicks.

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Speaker 3: Looking for weekly.

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Speaker 1: Projections from me and Sean Kerner, the only place you'll

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Speaker 1: find them is at Fantasy labs dot com. You'll get

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Speaker 1: Flex forty at checkout, and before we move on herey

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Speaker 1: quick announcement, Action Network is running back our annual Black

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Speaker 1: Network squad. It's Actionnetwork dot Com slash Black Friday for

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Speaker 1: the best price of the year on Action Pro. All right,

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Speaker 1: let's go to the Black Friday game. We got the

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Speaker 1: Chiefs hosting the Raiders. Chiefs favored by twelve and a

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Speaker 1: half total forty two and a half. I like a

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Speaker 1: pair of tight ends in this one, but not the starters.

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Speaker 1: I like Michael Mayer for the Raiders. On the Showdown Slight.

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Speaker 1: He is sixteen hundred and the Chiefs are tied for

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Speaker 1: the most schedule adjusted yards allowed to tight ends, and

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Speaker 1: he gives you some nice leverage on brock Boers. And

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Speaker 1: then you compare him with Noah Gray. He's thirty six hundred,

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Speaker 1: but he's got four touchdowns over his last two week.

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Speaker 1: But I think people actually kind of look to fade

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Speaker 1: him because kind of came out of nowhere with those

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Speaker 1: four touchdowns, and there's gonna be a lot of people

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Speaker 1: on Kelsey, and then there's all these chiefs receivers that

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Speaker 1: kind of choose from as well. So I think Gray

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Speaker 1: is still sneaky, and I like pairing the two backup

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Speaker 1: tight ends that still see a lot of time on

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Speaker 1: the old Mayor running around over forty percent at the time,

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Speaker 1: and Gray's been in the high fifties, low sixties in

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Speaker 1: terms of his route rate, and they might try to,

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Speaker 1: you know, they're probably trying to conserve Kelsey for the playoffs.

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Speaker 1: Kelsey's starting to tick down a little bit in his

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Speaker 1: snap count. So Noah Gray, with the number three tight

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Speaker 1: end getting hurt in Hendershot, can see a lot of

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Speaker 1: work yet again. And everyone's kind of worried about Hopkins

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Speaker 1: and Worthy and Kelsey, and so Noah Gray is going

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Speaker 1: to continue to find matchups. And Vegas is a bottom

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Speaker 1: five team in DVOA against tight ends. So like Mayor

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Speaker 1: and Noah Gray in the Black Friday game, all right,

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Speaker 1: let's go main slate Seahawks at the Jets. Seahawks favored

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Speaker 1: by two and a half on the road total forty

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Speaker 1: one and a half.

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Speaker 2: Sean who you're looking at in Seahawks Jets.

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Speaker 5: Yeah, so this is just a really top heavy game.

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Speaker 5: Don't need me to tell you to take Kenneth Walker,

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Speaker 5: Garrett Wilson type. So I'm going to go with like

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Speaker 5: the clear dartfrow here, it's Xavier Gibson at min price.

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Speaker 5: He's three k. He's the guy that's probably gonna have

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Speaker 5: very low ownership. But he has, you know, taken over

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Speaker 5: the number three wide receiver role since the Mike Williams trade,

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Speaker 5: and we saw Malachi Corley, you know, fumble the ball

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Speaker 5: at the end zone. He had that pre touchdown celebration,

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Speaker 5: so he's kind of been in the doghouse since then.

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Speaker 3: So it's been all Gibson.

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Speaker 5: And it's tough for Gibson to really draw targets with

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Speaker 5: you know, Breese Hall, DeVante Adams, Garrett Wilson dominating targets.

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Speaker 5: But this Jets team is swirling down the drain right now.

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Speaker 5: They're already talking about, you know, possibly benching Rogers. So

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Speaker 5: anything that happened here, this is a very volatile situation.

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Speaker 5: And have to remember Gibson's their return man. He had

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Speaker 5: that amazing walk off return touchdown in Week one last year,

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Speaker 5: so he has that upside here. They haven't given him

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Speaker 5: any design rush temps last year. But he had a

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Speaker 5: handful last year, including a rushing touchdown, So I think

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Speaker 5: he has some sneaky upside here at three k not

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Speaker 5: a guy I would have a ton of exposure to.

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Speaker 5: But if you do attack this game, he would be

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Speaker 5: like the the clear dart throw to me.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, he's playing over Corley, the rookie. So that's how positive.

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Speaker 3: I thought.

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Speaker 1: Maybe Corley at some point would jump him, but maybe

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Speaker 1: it was that drop touchdown in the Houston game that's

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Speaker 1: got him in the fourth spot.

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Speaker 3: All right.

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Speaker 1: Next up, we got the Steelers Bengals in Cincinnati. The

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Speaker 1: Bengals are three point favorites. I believe this is a

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Speaker 1: luck ranking game in favor of.

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Speaker 2: The Bengals and our luck rankings.

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Speaker 1: I don't know if I could fade Tom Win though

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Speaker 1: as an underdog, but so you kind of keep that

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Speaker 1: in mind when you look at this game. The Steelers

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Speaker 1: will probably find some ways to do some crazy things.

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Speaker 1: So I'm gonna go with Calvin Austin. He is thirty

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Speaker 1: three hundred. A quarter of his targets have been deep,

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Speaker 1: and he kinda is forgotten, you know, buried with you know,

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Speaker 1: all these bad quarterbacks for the Steelers. But now that

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Speaker 1: he has a quarterback in Russell Wilson who could throw

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Speaker 1: the deep bow. He scored twice in his last four games,

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Speaker 1: and I still think it was gonna be p people

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Speaker 1: kind of trying to catch that Mike Williams breakout in

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Speaker 1: a bottle. So even though Austin did have a good

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Speaker 1: game last Thursday, I believe it was I don't know

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Speaker 1: if he's going to be too chalky or anything like that.

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Speaker 2: So like to go back to Calvin Austin.

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Speaker 1: I think he's gonna have a lot more of those

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Speaker 1: splash games now that you have Russ that quarterback. And

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Speaker 1: on the other side, Jermaine Burton at thirty one hundred

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Speaker 1: at the number four receiver for the Bengals, but love

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Speaker 1: to target these rookies coming.

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Speaker 2: Out of a bye. Hopefully he doesn't fall asleep at any.

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Speaker 1: Meetings or anything like that, get healthy scratched, which has

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Speaker 1: happened already this season. But he's got an average up

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Speaker 1: the target of just under twenty three. Two of his

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Speaker 1: four catches this year have been a forty plus and

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Speaker 1: as the number four receiver, he's been on the field

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Speaker 1: about a quarter of the time, so it's a true

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Speaker 1: dart throw, but he could start to cut into Josavash's time,

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Speaker 1: I think, and coming out of the bye that might be,

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Speaker 1: you know, when we see they're playing times flip, assuming

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Speaker 1: you know he didn't just do anything to piss off

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Speaker 1: the coaches during this layoff. So I think Burton is

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Speaker 1: a guy who's probably gonna pop at some point for

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Speaker 1: a long touchdown.

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Speaker 2: So like him along with Kevin Austin.

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Speaker 1: Next up we get the Patriots and the Indianapolis Colts.

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Speaker 1: Coats looking a little banged up. Josh downs, some offensive

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Speaker 1: lineman injuries, so not sure there'll be a one hundred percent.

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Speaker 1: The line is two and a half something. There's some

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Speaker 1: threes out there in favor of the Colts on the road.

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Speaker 1: Forty two and a half is the total Sean who

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Speaker 1: you got?

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Speaker 5: I'm sticking with my boy here, Ady Mitchell at thirty

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Speaker 5: nine hundred. If there's anything I've learned the last few seasons,

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Speaker 5: it's to not shy away when I'm waiting for a

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Speaker 5: rookie to break out. I think it's gonna happen any

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Speaker 5: week now with Mitchell, he needs. The only thing slung

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Speaker 5: him down is playing time. He hasn't been able to

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Speaker 5: be on the field because you know, the Colts are

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Speaker 5: pretty stacked at wide receiver. He's also just missed on

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Speaker 5: some long catches, some potential touchdowns, so he's all so

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Speaker 5: do for just you know, positive regression and just luck.

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Speaker 5: But as you mentioned, the Colts wide receivers are dealing

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Speaker 5: with quite a few injuries. You know, Pittman's is playing

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Speaker 5: through like a back injury. Josh Downs is week to week.

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Speaker 5: I think he might miss here. Ashton Doolin is in

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Speaker 5: danger of missing, so we could see Mitchell get a

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Speaker 5: ton of playing time here. He cashed in week ten

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Speaker 5: in the same situation where we had, you know, extensive

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Speaker 5: playing time against the Bills.

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Speaker 3: So again, he's the kind of.

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Speaker 5: Guy where you want to be in on him pretty

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Speaker 5: heavily before he breaks out, then after before the market

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Speaker 5: kind of catches on. But he's just a rookie that

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Speaker 5: you know, I might com for him as a raw

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Speaker 5: tie Higgins. I just think he has massive, massive upside

382
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Speaker 5: and it's gonna hit eventually, and I think this could

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Speaker 5: be the week he actually sees enough playing time to

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Speaker 5: pop off.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, I mean, he was playing like seventy eighty percent

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Speaker 1: of the snaps those first couple of weeks without Josh downs,

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Speaker 1: so down spin out would be big, all right. Next up,

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Speaker 1: we got the Cardinals the Vikings. Vikings favored by three

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Speaker 1: and a half to total forty five and a half.

390
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Speaker 1: And yeah, I'm going back to Jaman Naylor here. I

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Speaker 1: mean you you have to you have to thirty five hundred.

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Speaker 1: You know, hopefully he catches more than one ball with

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Speaker 1: a touchdown this week, but he's on the field over

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Speaker 1: fifty percent of the time. You gotta worry about Jefferson.

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Speaker 1: You gotta worry about Adison. Now Hockinson. You mentioned like

396
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Speaker 1: everyone's a bigger threat. So he's gonna find himself with opportunities.

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Speaker 1: And that's why he's caught five touchdowns already this season.

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Speaker 1: He's got seven red zone targets. So this Cardinal defense

399
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Speaker 1: twenty six in DVOA against wide receivers not among their

400
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Speaker 1: team's top two according to FTN, So this is a

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Speaker 1: good matchup on paper for Nailer as well. On the

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Speaker 1: other side, Jay Jones, he is men priced and he

403
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Speaker 1: overtook Dorts. He's been overtaking Dorts as the number three

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Speaker 1: wide receiver. Thought that might happen at some point they

405
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Speaker 1: both have, they're both different kind of receivers.

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Speaker 2: I wouldn't be surprised to see it flip flop. But

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Speaker 2: Jay Jones did run.

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Speaker 1: Round on forty eight percent of the dropbacks last week

409
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Speaker 1: to twenty three percent for Dors. So you know, he

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Speaker 1: is on the field and hasn't seen a catch, hasn't

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Speaker 1: seen a target. I don't believe actually this year yet.

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Speaker 1: So he's gonna come out of nowhere one week, can

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Speaker 1: probably catch you know, like four for forty eight and

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Speaker 1: a touchdown or something like that. When the Cardinals you know,

415
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Speaker 1: just need to throw it and they're not you know,

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Speaker 1: target their top two. So this is kind of a

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Speaker 1: sneaky play here, Zay Jones three K. Eventually, I think

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Speaker 1: he's gonna find himself with a catch. Titans at Commanders.

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Speaker 1: The Commanders are favored by five and a half at home,

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Speaker 1: the total forty four and a half.

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Speaker 2: Commander's dealing with a lot of injuries too.

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Speaker 1: He got Wiley is banged up on the old line

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Speaker 1: as well as the center, and a couple of running

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Speaker 1: backs Echler and Robinson banged up, among others.

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Speaker 2: Who do you like in this one?

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Speaker 3: Yeah?

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Speaker 5: Well, first off, got gotta parlay, Jalen Naylor touchdown like

428
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Speaker 5: a Nick Westbrook Akina touchdown white, right, Yeah, so Nick

429
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Speaker 5: Westberg a Kina, you know, just a touchdown machine now,

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Speaker 5: So he's an option in this game. But my guy

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Speaker 5: is going to be Jeremy McNichols at fifty four hundred.

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Speaker 5: You know, both Brian Robinson Junior and Austin Nuckler looking

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Speaker 5: iffy this week. So McNichols would be the lead back

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Speaker 5: for Washington if both were to be ruled out. Chris Rodriez,

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Speaker 5: who I also like, would mix in as well, but

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Speaker 5: McNichols would be the guy to have. But you know,

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Speaker 5: for now, it's impossible to project or rank this backfield

438
00:22:32,040 --> 00:22:35,359
Speaker 5: until we know more. But I do like that DraftKings,

439
00:22:35,560 --> 00:22:37,879
Speaker 5: you know, price him up at fifty four hundred, So

440
00:22:38,080 --> 00:22:39,760
Speaker 5: if he does end up getting the start, you know,

441
00:22:39,800 --> 00:22:41,240
Speaker 5: I don't think his ownership is going to be out

442
00:22:41,240 --> 00:22:43,960
Speaker 5: of control because again they priced him up quite a

443
00:22:44,040 --> 00:22:46,679
Speaker 5: bit kind of anticipating that. So I think that's going

444
00:22:46,760 --> 00:22:49,080
Speaker 5: to help. I think that'll keep his rostership at Bay.

445
00:22:49,200 --> 00:22:52,720
Speaker 5: And he's a threat for multiple touchdowns here in that scenario.

446
00:22:52,920 --> 00:22:54,960
Speaker 5: So he just has a ton of upside and He's

447
00:22:54,960 --> 00:22:57,600
Speaker 5: a guy that I can't see many people clicking and

448
00:22:57,760 --> 00:23:00,640
Speaker 5: having in like too many lineups. So I think he's

449
00:23:00,720 --> 00:23:03,040
Speaker 5: gonna be a solid play this week if I would say,

450
00:23:03,080 --> 00:23:06,200
Speaker 5: maybe just if either Brian Robinson or Austin Eckler out,

451
00:23:06,280 --> 00:23:08,680
Speaker 5: Like if just one of these guys are out, I

452
00:23:08,720 --> 00:23:11,560
Speaker 5: think he's gonna provide enough upside to use in GPPs.

453
00:23:12,160 --> 00:23:14,359
Speaker 2: Yeah, I'm I would think Ekwa was gonna be I

454
00:23:14,440 --> 00:23:15,359
Speaker 2: mean he didn't.

455
00:23:15,440 --> 00:23:17,760
Speaker 1: He got concussed and like went to the hospital and

456
00:23:18,040 --> 00:23:19,399
Speaker 1: you know, they had to go visit him in the

457
00:23:19,440 --> 00:23:23,800
Speaker 1: hospital and just and it's his second concussion. So I mean, listen,

458
00:23:23,880 --> 00:23:26,400
Speaker 1: injuries have been weird this year and guys playing not playing,

459
00:23:26,480 --> 00:23:30,119
Speaker 1: But I would be highly surprised if Robinson tends to

460
00:23:30,240 --> 00:23:32,200
Speaker 1: tough it out, but he could be limited. So that

461
00:23:32,240 --> 00:23:35,040
Speaker 1: would make McNichols even a better like contrarian play because

462
00:23:35,240 --> 00:23:37,720
Speaker 1: Robins would probably get the nominal start but could be

463
00:23:37,760 --> 00:23:41,159
Speaker 1: a threat for uh like you know, five six carries

464
00:23:41,160 --> 00:23:41,960
Speaker 1: again or something like that.

465
00:23:42,560 --> 00:23:43,879
Speaker 2: So yeah, like McNichols.

466
00:23:44,440 --> 00:23:49,600
Speaker 1: Houston at Jacksonville next up. The Jags are five point

467
00:23:49,680 --> 00:23:51,880
Speaker 1: dogs at home. The total is forty three and a half.

468
00:23:52,880 --> 00:23:55,879
Speaker 1: Waiting to see if Trevor Lawrence is for sure gonna go.

469
00:23:55,960 --> 00:23:59,320
Speaker 1: He did return to practice on Monday, but coach Peterson

470
00:23:59,320 --> 00:24:00,840
Speaker 1: says he's gonna wait till later in the week to

471
00:24:00,920 --> 00:24:04,440
Speaker 1: determine his status. You never know what that means, but

472
00:24:05,240 --> 00:24:09,760
Speaker 1: this his non throwing shoulders, so kind of optimistic that

473
00:24:09,840 --> 00:24:14,240
Speaker 1: he may be back. And regardless going with Parker Washington

474
00:24:14,640 --> 00:24:16,960
Speaker 1: on the Jags, he is thirty nine hundred.

475
00:24:17,040 --> 00:24:20,160
Speaker 2: Gabe Davis is on IR joining Christian Kirk.

476
00:24:20,200 --> 00:24:22,920
Speaker 1: So Parker Washington's essentially going to be the number two

477
00:24:23,359 --> 00:24:26,960
Speaker 1: wide receiver behind Brian Thomas Jr. Who is obviously, you know,

478
00:24:27,080 --> 00:24:29,320
Speaker 1: the more sexy player, and then you got Evian Ingram

479
00:24:29,600 --> 00:24:32,400
Speaker 1: as well. So I probably no higher than number three

480
00:24:32,480 --> 00:24:35,560
Speaker 1: in the target pecking order. But Washington has shown some juice.

481
00:24:35,600 --> 00:24:37,840
Speaker 1: You know, he had a turn for a touchdown earlier

482
00:24:37,920 --> 00:24:41,000
Speaker 1: this year, He's had a couple of decent games and

483
00:24:41,080 --> 00:24:43,240
Speaker 1: when he's gotten high volume in the past for this

484
00:24:43,359 --> 00:24:46,600
Speaker 1: Jaguar team. So like him kind of off of buy,

485
00:24:46,800 --> 00:24:49,600
Speaker 1: out of sight, out of mind. I think he might,

486
00:24:49,840 --> 00:24:52,119
Speaker 1: you know, be a little be sneaky here. And then

487
00:24:52,200 --> 00:24:55,800
Speaker 1: on the Texan side, got to keep going to Dalton Schultz,

488
00:24:56,280 --> 00:24:58,480
Speaker 1: I just feel like at some point he's going to

489
00:24:58,560 --> 00:25:01,720
Speaker 1: get in the end zone and combine like yards with touchdowns.

490
00:25:01,800 --> 00:25:04,200
Speaker 1: Last week it was Stover that got a touchdown, I believe,

491
00:25:04,280 --> 00:25:07,120
Speaker 1: instead of Schultz. But this Jags team number thirty two,

492
00:25:07,200 --> 00:25:10,080
Speaker 1: dead last and dvoa against tight ends, Dalton Schultz still

493
00:25:10,160 --> 00:25:13,440
Speaker 1: getting you know, the majority of the snaps at tight

494
00:25:13,600 --> 00:25:17,040
Speaker 1: end over seventy percent route rate each and every week.

495
00:25:17,160 --> 00:25:19,480
Speaker 1: So at some point I think he's gonna have a

496
00:25:20,480 --> 00:25:22,720
Speaker 1: big game here, and you know everyone's going to be

497
00:25:22,800 --> 00:25:26,040
Speaker 1: more focused on Nico of course, and then Tank Dell.

498
00:25:26,520 --> 00:25:28,600
Speaker 1: So I don't think Dalton Schultz will get too much

499
00:25:28,640 --> 00:25:35,040
Speaker 1: love on this slate. Chargers Falcons in Atlanta. Falcons are

500
00:25:35,080 --> 00:25:37,639
Speaker 1: one and a half point underdogs. Charges coming off that

501
00:25:37,760 --> 00:25:40,439
Speaker 1: Monday at night lost to the Ravens. The totals forty

502
00:25:40,800 --> 00:25:41,600
Speaker 1: seven and a half.

503
00:25:41,720 --> 00:25:45,200
Speaker 2: JK. Dobbins if for this one, Sean, who you like?

504
00:25:45,920 --> 00:25:47,720
Speaker 5: Yeah, I saw I got the Chargers game, So I

505
00:25:47,840 --> 00:25:50,000
Speaker 5: just went straight to my guy. Put Will Disley in

506
00:25:50,040 --> 00:25:52,600
Speaker 5: the outline right rolling with him here. He's only four K,

507
00:25:53,640 --> 00:25:56,240
Speaker 5: which is way too cheap. I've been riding the Will

508
00:25:56,359 --> 00:25:58,840
Speaker 5: Disley train in the past couple weeks and before I

509
00:25:58,920 --> 00:26:02,240
Speaker 5: took the over on his receptions prop against the Ravens.

510
00:26:03,320 --> 00:26:05,800
Speaker 5: His under was actually one of the top two most

511
00:26:05,840 --> 00:26:09,080
Speaker 5: bet props for Monday Night Football.

512
00:26:09,160 --> 00:26:09,680
Speaker 3: Yeah right.

513
00:26:10,680 --> 00:26:13,119
Speaker 5: I think it's just I think it's clear that public

514
00:26:13,240 --> 00:26:15,720
Speaker 5: just isn't buying whoever the hell this will Disley is Like,

515
00:26:16,040 --> 00:26:18,560
Speaker 5: they're not buying it. Forty I think it was like

516
00:26:18,720 --> 00:26:20,879
Speaker 5: forty and a half. That's a pretty high prop for

517
00:26:20,920 --> 00:26:22,840
Speaker 5: a tight end. So people just thought, like, yeah, he

518
00:26:22,920 --> 00:26:26,320
Speaker 5: had one good game, but I'm you know, fading this guy.

519
00:26:26,760 --> 00:26:29,080
Speaker 5: So I just think the public's not really buying it.

520
00:26:29,280 --> 00:26:32,240
Speaker 5: And really, if you look at the underlying usage, I

521
00:26:32,280 --> 00:26:35,040
Speaker 5: don't see him slowing down if anything, after that game.

522
00:26:35,440 --> 00:26:38,479
Speaker 5: They're going to notice on the film. Herbert himself included

523
00:26:38,520 --> 00:26:41,639
Speaker 5: that he should have been targeting Disley even more so,

524
00:26:42,760 --> 00:26:45,840
Speaker 5: Love is upside here against the Falcons. Again, he's way

525
00:26:45,880 --> 00:26:48,200
Speaker 5: too cheap at four K. I don't think his ownership

526
00:26:48,200 --> 00:26:50,240
Speaker 5: will be too high. I just think he's just a

527
00:26:50,359 --> 00:26:54,000
Speaker 5: high floor, decently high ceiling option right now.

528
00:26:55,240 --> 00:26:57,600
Speaker 1: Yeah, I mean that game in Cincinnati had four for

529
00:26:57,720 --> 00:27:03,439
Speaker 1: eighty and a touchdown. He's been you know, four catchers

530
00:27:03,440 --> 00:27:05,720
Speaker 1: are more than five of the last six games and

531
00:27:05,960 --> 00:27:08,680
Speaker 1: five catchers are more in three of the of his

532
00:27:08,800 --> 00:27:11,800
Speaker 1: last six. He's he's putting up some some pretty decent volume.

533
00:27:11,880 --> 00:27:14,560
Speaker 1: Has a couple of games over eighty already this season.

534
00:27:14,640 --> 00:27:17,000
Speaker 1: So yeah, like like him, he's and he's one of

535
00:27:17,040 --> 00:27:19,320
Speaker 1: those guys like you know, John hu and will diss

536
00:27:19,359 --> 00:27:22,240
Speaker 1: with these these veteran guys just up. Zach ERTs just

537
00:27:22,320 --> 00:27:24,800
Speaker 1: popping up at tight end. We thought he was gonna

538
00:27:24,800 --> 00:27:26,000
Speaker 1: be a waste that and all of a sudden we

539
00:27:26,080 --> 00:27:29,760
Speaker 1: have like a Henry Yeah, thorough options.

540
00:27:30,160 --> 00:27:30,400
Speaker 3: Yeah.

541
00:27:31,600 --> 00:27:35,200
Speaker 1: Tampa Bay at Carolina, the panther to six point home

542
00:27:35,359 --> 00:27:38,440
Speaker 1: underdogs a total forty six and a half on the

543
00:27:38,600 --> 00:27:41,879
Speaker 1: Carolina Setomago David Moore at wire receiver. He had a

544
00:27:41,960 --> 00:27:44,320
Speaker 1: six for eighty one in a touchdown on ten target

545
00:27:44,400 --> 00:27:48,880
Speaker 1: game last week. And I do think Jalen Coker will

546
00:27:48,920 --> 00:27:51,720
Speaker 1: probably be back, and uh that would kind of you know,

547
00:27:51,800 --> 00:27:54,600
Speaker 1: push people off more because you got to get the rookie,

548
00:27:54,960 --> 00:27:58,080
Speaker 1: you got thevan back who's you know, a known quantity.

549
00:27:58,600 --> 00:28:01,320
Speaker 1: David Moore just like a journey man who kind of

550
00:28:01,320 --> 00:28:04,320
Speaker 1: follows Canalis wherever he goes more often than not. And

551
00:28:04,480 --> 00:28:08,040
Speaker 1: so it doesn't surprise me that more is pretty productive.

552
00:28:08,040 --> 00:28:09,840
Speaker 1: I actually had him ranked pretty high last week. I

553
00:28:09,880 --> 00:28:13,000
Speaker 1: think he was close to my top fifty at wide

554
00:28:13,040 --> 00:28:16,040
Speaker 1: receiver because you know, once they ruled Cocher out, it

555
00:28:16,160 --> 00:28:18,080
Speaker 1: was gonna be more. But this week I think he'll

556
00:28:18,200 --> 00:28:21,879
Speaker 1: he'll still get probably fifty percent or more of the

557
00:28:21,960 --> 00:28:25,280
Speaker 1: snaps in what will be a four man wide receiver rotation.

558
00:28:25,880 --> 00:28:28,040
Speaker 2: And I just think he's the sneakiest.

559
00:28:27,640 --> 00:28:30,200
Speaker 1: Vet but any I mean, he has that ten target

560
00:28:30,440 --> 00:28:33,560
Speaker 1: you know, kind of touchdown upside and bright sound. Playing

561
00:28:33,600 --> 00:28:36,600
Speaker 1: a lot better for the Carolina Panthers. And again more

562
00:28:37,119 --> 00:28:40,360
Speaker 1: knows this Canalis offenses with him in Tampa Bay, so

563
00:28:41,840 --> 00:28:44,200
Speaker 1: like him as a sneaky dart throw and on the

564
00:28:44,280 --> 00:28:48,080
Speaker 1: Tampa Bay side, Jalen McMillan thirty seven hundred sixty nine

565
00:28:48,080 --> 00:28:49,440
Speaker 1: percent route rate last week.

566
00:28:49,520 --> 00:28:50,520
Speaker 2: Didn't really do anything with it.

567
00:28:50,600 --> 00:28:52,200
Speaker 1: He's another rookie that I think at some point is

568
00:28:52,240 --> 00:28:55,120
Speaker 1: going to have a blow up game. Third rounder out

569
00:28:55,200 --> 00:28:57,760
Speaker 1: of Washington. He's had a couple of games with you know,

570
00:28:57,880 --> 00:29:01,719
Speaker 1: seven eight targets, just hasn't really the production hasn't been there.

571
00:29:01,800 --> 00:29:03,440
Speaker 1: But you look at all these but they're playing six

572
00:29:03,520 --> 00:29:07,080
Speaker 1: receivers are the Bucks, but most of them are kind

573
00:29:07,080 --> 00:29:10,240
Speaker 1: of priced around the same, except obviously Mike Evans. But

574
00:29:10,440 --> 00:29:13,280
Speaker 1: McMillan is one of the ones that's actually getting like

575
00:29:13,840 --> 00:29:16,320
Speaker 1: decent playing time, sixty nine percent route rate.

576
00:29:17,080 --> 00:29:21,560
Speaker 2: You know, Miller and Jarrett and Trey.

577
00:29:21,440 --> 00:29:25,120
Speaker 1: Palmer, those guys are all below forty percent, So I

578
00:29:25,200 --> 00:29:27,840
Speaker 1: think McMillan is a sneaky bet. Baker Mayfields been playing

579
00:29:27,880 --> 00:29:32,200
Speaker 1: really well too, so maybe stat those two for a

580
00:29:32,240 --> 00:29:36,200
Speaker 1: little bit of a contrarian. Look there, let's go Rams

581
00:29:36,400 --> 00:29:40,240
Speaker 1: at Saints. Rams three point favorites on the road total

582
00:29:40,360 --> 00:29:41,360
Speaker 1: forty eight and a half.

583
00:29:41,400 --> 00:29:42,960
Speaker 2: Sew who like Ram Saints.

584
00:29:43,880 --> 00:29:47,800
Speaker 5: I'm gonna go with Foster Moreau at three K. You know,

585
00:29:47,960 --> 00:29:51,080
Speaker 5: Taysom Hill and mvs or the no brainer high upside

586
00:29:51,120 --> 00:29:54,840
Speaker 5: plays here for the Saints. Certainly use them in GPPs,

587
00:29:55,720 --> 00:29:59,320
Speaker 5: but I think Moreau could be sneaky here because his

588
00:29:59,520 --> 00:30:03,600
Speaker 5: usage his been really solid and even trending up even

589
00:30:03,640 --> 00:30:06,240
Speaker 5: with all three tight ends being healthy right now. He

590
00:30:06,760 --> 00:30:09,880
Speaker 5: led the group with a seventy three percent routes run

591
00:30:09,960 --> 00:30:12,680
Speaker 5: rate in the last game with a you know, three

592
00:30:12,760 --> 00:30:15,520
Speaker 5: catch fifty yard game, and I just think it's just

593
00:30:15,720 --> 00:30:19,360
Speaker 5: due to all the injuries they have at wide receiver. Obviously,

594
00:30:19,520 --> 00:30:22,360
Speaker 5: MBS has stepped up, but they've really pivoted to just

595
00:30:22,680 --> 00:30:24,560
Speaker 5: leaning on their three tight ends. I guess one of

596
00:30:24,600 --> 00:30:26,880
Speaker 5: them is a hybrid tight end in Taysom Hill, but

597
00:30:27,400 --> 00:30:29,360
Speaker 5: they've just been leaning on their three tight end. So

598
00:30:29,440 --> 00:30:32,200
Speaker 5: I think, you know, taking a fire on Morow at

599
00:30:32,280 --> 00:30:35,960
Speaker 5: this price in some spots makes a ton of sense.

600
00:30:36,000 --> 00:30:39,640
Speaker 5: And he's he's a nice leverage play against Taysom Hill

601
00:30:39,680 --> 00:30:42,480
Speaker 5: and MBS teams because if he goes off, it could

602
00:30:42,520 --> 00:30:44,280
Speaker 5: be at the expense of those two guys, and I

603
00:30:44,320 --> 00:30:48,000
Speaker 5: think those two guys will be barely highly owned and GPP.

604
00:30:48,200 --> 00:30:51,000
Speaker 5: So I think Moro's kind of sneaky at three K here.

605
00:30:52,360 --> 00:30:54,440
Speaker 1: Yeah, he gets a lot of playing time because the

606
00:30:54,440 --> 00:30:56,480
Speaker 1: Saints have no choice but to play all these tight

607
00:30:56,600 --> 00:30:58,680
Speaker 1: ends because they just ran out of received. They've made

608
00:30:58,720 --> 00:31:02,520
Speaker 1: a tipped in inactive week two weeks ago last game,

609
00:31:02,800 --> 00:31:04,800
Speaker 1: and he had been their number one receiver for a

610
00:31:04,880 --> 00:31:07,920
Speaker 1: bit because that's they were just down bad. Soh yeah,

611
00:31:07,920 --> 00:31:09,680
Speaker 1: I wouldn't be surprised. I mean, they just set records

612
00:31:09,720 --> 00:31:12,120
Speaker 1: for like amount of tight end snaps in.

613
00:31:14,040 --> 00:31:18,600
Speaker 2: One game. It's Taysom Hill and Moron. They got Dallen Hulker.

614
00:31:18,680 --> 00:31:20,520
Speaker 3: I mean even Dallen Hulker next ten.

615
00:31:20,600 --> 00:31:23,680
Speaker 5: Yeah, that's a incrediable one hundred and ninety three ute

616
00:31:23,760 --> 00:31:24,840
Speaker 5: run like total.

617
00:31:24,880 --> 00:31:28,640
Speaker 1: Right, yeah, yeah, pushing two hundred is crazy for tight ends,

618
00:31:28,720 --> 00:31:30,360
Speaker 1: like two tight ends per pass play.

619
00:31:30,560 --> 00:31:36,800
Speaker 2: Essentially what we got next, Oh, Philly at Baltimore. This

620
00:31:36,880 --> 00:31:37,760
Speaker 2: one should be a good one.

621
00:31:38,080 --> 00:31:42,520
Speaker 1: Ravens favored by a field goal total up at fifty one.

622
00:31:43,560 --> 00:31:46,800
Speaker 1: I'm gonna go with Isaiah Likely to bounce back from

623
00:31:46,840 --> 00:31:51,280
Speaker 1: the gooseg thirty seven hundred and you know this Baltimore

624
00:31:51,640 --> 00:31:55,280
Speaker 1: receiving court. It's been really tough to kind of predict

625
00:31:55,320 --> 00:31:57,240
Speaker 1: week two week, but Mark Andrews starting to come on,

626
00:31:57,800 --> 00:32:00,200
Speaker 1: you know, maybe kind of low some people in just

627
00:32:00,280 --> 00:32:02,480
Speaker 1: when you think he can kind of project this Ravens

628
00:32:02,560 --> 00:32:06,040
Speaker 1: receiving corps and it's like, okay, Flowers Bateman Andrews got it.

629
00:32:06,280 --> 00:32:09,160
Speaker 1: Then Likely's gonna pop right back up with you know,

630
00:32:09,920 --> 00:32:12,600
Speaker 1: eighty five yards and two touchdowns. So I love him

631
00:32:12,640 --> 00:32:14,960
Speaker 1: coming off of goose egg. And on the Philly side,

632
00:32:15,080 --> 00:32:17,720
Speaker 1: it's really tough to find a dart throw. Uh, you know,

633
00:32:17,960 --> 00:32:20,600
Speaker 1: try thought Britain Covey might get more snaps last week,

634
00:32:20,680 --> 00:32:21,120
Speaker 1: but he didn't.

635
00:32:21,280 --> 00:32:22,120
Speaker 2: He can get too many.

636
00:32:22,640 --> 00:32:24,560
Speaker 1: Uh, So I'm gonna go with Johan Dotson just because

637
00:32:24,560 --> 00:32:27,040
Speaker 1: he hasn't really done much this year, but he's still

638
00:32:27,080 --> 00:32:30,600
Speaker 1: the safest bet for playing time and rarely gets more

639
00:32:30,640 --> 00:32:33,160
Speaker 1: than one or two targets in a game. So I

640
00:32:33,240 --> 00:32:35,960
Speaker 1: don't think people will really be on him or you know,

641
00:32:36,040 --> 00:32:38,200
Speaker 1: excited to play him. People will probably look at you know,

642
00:32:38,280 --> 00:32:41,440
Speaker 1: Johnny Wilson or maybe even Covey or Calca Tariff. They're

643
00:32:41,440 --> 00:32:45,200
Speaker 1: trying to go cheap on the Eagles. But Dotson still

644
00:32:45,280 --> 00:32:46,360
Speaker 1: has you know, he still had.

645
00:32:46,280 --> 00:32:46,880
Speaker 2: That rookie year.

646
00:32:46,960 --> 00:32:50,240
Speaker 1: He had some some decent touchdown upside, and uh, there's

647
00:32:50,240 --> 00:32:53,320
Speaker 1: always gonna know as we're in week thirteen now, you

648
00:32:53,560 --> 00:32:57,000
Speaker 1: usually even the Johan Dotsons of the world have you know,

649
00:32:57,160 --> 00:33:01,000
Speaker 1: one one blow up game before the season's over. So,

650
00:33:01,640 --> 00:33:04,800
Speaker 1: uh would be a good time for one against Baltimore,

651
00:33:04,840 --> 00:33:09,480
Speaker 1: who has struggled against wide receivers all Right, Sunday Night

652
00:33:09,640 --> 00:33:13,160
Speaker 1: Football Niners at Bill's. Bill's favored by six and a

653
00:33:13,200 --> 00:33:16,080
Speaker 1: half total forty five and a half. That probably means

654
00:33:16,120 --> 00:33:19,800
Speaker 1: no purty. Also could be some weather in this game.

655
00:33:20,200 --> 00:33:22,360
Speaker 1: So with that said, who do you like?

656
00:33:23,480 --> 00:33:25,920
Speaker 5: Yeah, I'm gonna go with Ray Davis here because you

657
00:33:26,000 --> 00:33:27,800
Speaker 5: know this is a Showdown site, so we need to

658
00:33:27,840 --> 00:33:29,920
Speaker 5: get a little bit more controlling with the value play.

659
00:33:30,840 --> 00:33:33,000
Speaker 3: And like you said, I'm not sure brock Pertty is

660
00:33:33,000 --> 00:33:33,480
Speaker 3: gonna play.

661
00:33:34,160 --> 00:33:36,880
Speaker 5: And on the Bill side, not sure if you know,

662
00:33:37,040 --> 00:33:39,560
Speaker 5: Keon Coleman or Dalton and Cad will suit up, So

663
00:33:40,200 --> 00:33:42,680
Speaker 5: it's tough to project you know, both teams right now.

664
00:33:42,840 --> 00:33:46,000
Speaker 5: But if Purtty is out, you know, this could be

665
00:33:46,120 --> 00:33:48,400
Speaker 5: a much more run heavy game script than you would

666
00:33:48,440 --> 00:33:52,680
Speaker 5: expect in like a Niners Bills game. Plus, the odds

667
00:33:52,720 --> 00:33:56,200
Speaker 5: of Bills is blowing out San Francisco is still low,

668
00:33:56,320 --> 00:33:59,680
Speaker 5: but much higher if Perty's out again, the line's already

669
00:33:59,760 --> 00:34:02,080
Speaker 5: up to six and a half seven. Like you said,

670
00:34:02,120 --> 00:34:04,680
Speaker 5: there could be some weather, So that sets up nicely

671
00:34:04,760 --> 00:34:06,960
Speaker 5: for Ray Davis, especially you know later in the game

672
00:34:07,440 --> 00:34:11,719
Speaker 5: playing mop up duty, and he's probably a bigger threat

673
00:34:11,800 --> 00:34:15,759
Speaker 5: for a short yard touchdown than people realize too, so

674
00:34:15,880 --> 00:34:19,399
Speaker 5: he has some paths to hitting here. Again, he's only

675
00:34:19,480 --> 00:34:21,640
Speaker 5: really a play for a Showdown slate. I wouldn't use him,

676
00:34:21,920 --> 00:34:24,040
Speaker 5: you know, for a main slate, but for a Showdown slate,

677
00:34:24,160 --> 00:34:26,759
Speaker 5: especially how this game's shapen up again, A lot of

678
00:34:26,800 --> 00:34:28,600
Speaker 5: things unpacked here, a lot of uncertainty.

679
00:34:29,080 --> 00:34:31,359
Speaker 3: I think Ray Davis could end up being pretty sneaky here.

680
00:34:32,320 --> 00:34:34,319
Speaker 1: Yeah, just choose a Bill's running back that's not James

681
00:34:34,400 --> 00:34:38,399
Speaker 1: Cook at random and pretty likely to hit every every

682
00:34:38,480 --> 00:34:42,279
Speaker 1: so often there because it's they rotate their backs, even

683
00:34:42,320 --> 00:34:45,839
Speaker 1: though Cook is that weed back. All right, Monday Night

684
00:34:45,920 --> 00:34:49,400
Speaker 1: Football close it out, got the Browns going to Denver

685
00:34:50,480 --> 00:34:52,720
Speaker 1: Broncos five and a half point favorites a total forty

686
00:34:52,800 --> 00:34:54,920
Speaker 1: two for the Broncos.

687
00:34:55,840 --> 00:34:59,160
Speaker 2: I think we talked about this on our player Projection.

688
00:34:59,040 --> 00:35:01,760
Speaker 1: Pod out right now now right here on the Fantasy

689
00:35:01,800 --> 00:35:06,200
Speaker 1: Flex channel, that Broncos backfield is just a nightmare. And

690
00:35:06,280 --> 00:35:08,560
Speaker 1: you know, like it's usually it's gonna be one of

691
00:35:08,600 --> 00:35:11,360
Speaker 1: the guys who's gonna have a good game, and everyone

692
00:35:11,400 --> 00:35:11,759
Speaker 1: else is it.

693
00:35:11,800 --> 00:35:14,080
Speaker 2: So I'm gonna go with Audric Estime. He's been the

694
00:35:14,160 --> 00:35:14,719
Speaker 2: quiet one.

695
00:35:15,120 --> 00:35:19,400
Speaker 1: He had three games ago he had the most carries

696
00:35:19,440 --> 00:35:22,279
Speaker 1: and you know, Javonte Williams only had one and looked

697
00:35:22,280 --> 00:35:24,359
Speaker 1: like he was trending up, and then he hasn't really

698
00:35:24,400 --> 00:35:26,279
Speaker 1: done much the last two weeks, and last week he

699
00:35:26,360 --> 00:35:29,040
Speaker 1: kind of went back to his normal you know, handful

700
00:35:29,080 --> 00:35:34,279
Speaker 1: of snaps usage, but Davonte Williams had eight carries for

701
00:35:34,719 --> 00:35:38,480
Speaker 1: what one yard or something like that, so it was

702
00:35:38,719 --> 00:35:41,440
Speaker 1: it was pretty ugly. So I could see Estime kind

703
00:35:41,480 --> 00:35:44,680
Speaker 1: of being the weed back out of the gate this week,

704
00:35:45,000 --> 00:35:47,200
Speaker 1: you know, because they also try to, oh, eight carries

705
00:35:47,239 --> 00:35:50,640
Speaker 1: for negative too, I'm sorry. So Sean Payton likes to

706
00:35:50,719 --> 00:35:53,600
Speaker 1: kind of motivate his guys, like especially Davonte, so I

707
00:35:53,680 --> 00:35:55,640
Speaker 1: could see Estime being the guy this week.

708
00:35:55,680 --> 00:35:55,759
Speaker 2: You know.

709
00:35:55,880 --> 00:35:59,480
Speaker 1: McLoughlin ended up stepping up last week and lead in

710
00:35:59,480 --> 00:36:05,040
Speaker 1: the back field, so like Estima in a home favorite spot,

711
00:36:05,120 --> 00:36:07,480
Speaker 1: he is more of an early down guy. Although he

712
00:36:07,520 --> 00:36:09,759
Speaker 1: did have a good catch I think a couple of

713
00:36:09,760 --> 00:36:13,520
Speaker 1: weeks ago, uh, you know, showed some athleticism there, so

714
00:36:13,800 --> 00:36:18,200
Speaker 1: we'll see. This is just a weird backfield to project.

715
00:36:18,560 --> 00:36:21,440
Speaker 1: Marvin Mims also getting snapped, So a lot a lot

716
00:36:21,520 --> 00:36:23,960
Speaker 1: going on here. That's why I like Estime, who had

717
00:36:24,160 --> 00:36:26,440
Speaker 1: just the least going on last week. And then on

718
00:36:26,480 --> 00:36:29,600
Speaker 1: the Cleveland side, I gotta go with Jamari Thrash locked

719
00:36:29,680 --> 00:36:33,600
Speaker 1: in number four wide receiver. Tilman is a little banged up.

720
00:36:34,320 --> 00:36:36,359
Speaker 1: We'll see what's good with him. I think he should

721
00:36:36,400 --> 00:36:39,239
Speaker 1: be good to go. But either way Thrash number four

722
00:36:39,320 --> 00:36:44,160
Speaker 1: receiver you know, rookie draft late round draft pick this season,

723
00:36:44,760 --> 00:36:47,880
Speaker 1: got a season high twenty route rate last week. That

724
00:36:47,960 --> 00:36:51,520
Speaker 1: was probably because Tilman was a little banged up. But

725
00:36:52,200 --> 00:36:54,680
Speaker 1: this is at that time of the year when you

726
00:36:54,800 --> 00:36:57,800
Speaker 1: start seeing guys like Thrash play a little bit more so,

727
00:36:58,440 --> 00:36:59,440
Speaker 1: uh denver.

728
00:36:59,400 --> 00:37:00,560
Speaker 2: I mean playing really well.

729
00:37:00,920 --> 00:37:03,120
Speaker 1: If they end up blowing them out or something like that,

730
00:37:03,480 --> 00:37:05,239
Speaker 1: you might just see Thrash on the field weight you know,

731
00:37:05,320 --> 00:37:08,440
Speaker 1: some comeback situations, get a look at them. So like

732
00:37:08,560 --> 00:37:12,320
Speaker 1: him is a really sneaky dart throw on the showdown

733
00:37:12,560 --> 00:37:15,319
Speaker 1: sleep before we move on, a quick word from our

734
00:37:15,360 --> 00:37:19,920
Speaker 1: friends that Hello Fresh. HelloFresh gives you farm fresh, pre

735
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736
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737
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738
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739
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740
00:37:37,280 --> 00:37:39,640
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741
00:37:40,280 --> 00:37:44,920
Speaker 1: But just like the better market, no matter what you're craving, HelloFresh.

742
00:37:44,320 --> 00:37:45,840
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743
00:37:46,200 --> 00:37:49,520
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744
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745
00:37:52,520 --> 00:37:56,879
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746
00:37:56,960 --> 00:37:59,800
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747
00:38:00,040 --> 00:38:03,800
Speaker 1: variety of recipes and flavors to perfectly accompany.

748
00:38:03,640 --> 00:38:05,880
Speaker 2: The fall football season.

749
00:38:06,400 --> 00:38:09,640
Speaker 1: Sean, I know, when you're not projecting yards per route run,

750
00:38:10,120 --> 00:38:11,360
Speaker 1: you're rocking with Hello Fresh.

751
00:38:11,440 --> 00:38:12,359
Speaker 2: Why do you like it so much?

752
00:38:12,920 --> 00:38:13,080
Speaker 3: Yeah?

753
00:38:13,120 --> 00:38:14,960
Speaker 5: I mean we're in the middle of the NFL season,

754
00:38:15,000 --> 00:38:16,920
Speaker 5: so I don't have time to meal plan or go

755
00:38:17,000 --> 00:38:19,919
Speaker 5: to the grocery store even think about, you know, making food,

756
00:38:20,000 --> 00:38:23,200
Speaker 5: but they have everything ready to go. So I do

757
00:38:23,360 --> 00:38:26,520
Speaker 5: find it like therapeutic to take time off looking at routes,

758
00:38:26,560 --> 00:38:29,160
Speaker 5: run data and you know, target sharing things like that

759
00:38:29,520 --> 00:38:31,840
Speaker 5: to actually make my food, and you know they're step

760
00:38:31,880 --> 00:38:35,520
Speaker 5: by step instructions, make it easier than playing Brian Thomas

761
00:38:35,640 --> 00:38:37,719
Speaker 5: Junior in DFS anytime he's under five K.

762
00:38:37,920 --> 00:38:38,680
Speaker 3: So I love it.

763
00:38:39,040 --> 00:38:39,680
Speaker 2: Yeah, there you go.

764
00:38:39,920 --> 00:38:45,440
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765
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766
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767
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768
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769
00:39:04,080 --> 00:39:05,960
Speaker 1: And before we get out of here, I just want

770
00:39:06,080 --> 00:39:08,600
Speaker 1: to mention that we have a new account on the

771
00:39:08,680 --> 00:39:11,719
Speaker 1: Action Network app called Parlay Express where all of the

772
00:39:11,800 --> 00:39:16,600
Speaker 1: Action experts are contributing some fun long shot and parlays.

773
00:39:16,680 --> 00:39:21,520
Speaker 1: So we're gonna pick our favorite plays, one from each

774
00:39:21,600 --> 00:39:24,680
Speaker 1: of us from this podcast and we'll throw them in

775
00:39:24,680 --> 00:39:28,640
Speaker 1: Anytime Touchdown Parlay. Last week we had Ady Mitchell and

776
00:39:28,920 --> 00:39:29,880
Speaker 1: Jeremy McNichols.

777
00:39:29,960 --> 00:39:30,759
Speaker 2: It did not hit.

778
00:39:30,840 --> 00:39:33,880
Speaker 1: McNichols got close. I think he got pushed out like

779
00:39:33,960 --> 00:39:36,319
Speaker 1: the three or four yard line late in the Commander's game.

780
00:39:36,360 --> 00:39:41,120
Speaker 1: But Sean, who's gonna be your leg of our Anytime

781
00:39:41,200 --> 00:39:44,439
Speaker 1: Touchdown Parlay Express for this week?

782
00:39:45,000 --> 00:39:48,920
Speaker 5: I gotta stick with Ady Mitchell here. Could have way

783
00:39:49,000 --> 00:39:51,000
Speaker 5: more opportunity. Last week it was way more of a

784
00:39:51,200 --> 00:39:53,920
Speaker 5: dart throw. This week could actually have a legit shot

785
00:39:54,400 --> 00:39:56,920
Speaker 5: to score, depending on like Josh down status. So we

786
00:39:57,040 --> 00:40:00,040
Speaker 5: probably won't have odds for this anytime soon. But but

787
00:40:00,280 --> 00:40:03,080
Speaker 5: whatever they are, I want them and I'm gonna go

788
00:40:03,160 --> 00:40:05,239
Speaker 5: with Parker Washington. I feel like it's like the poor

789
00:40:05,360 --> 00:40:08,600
Speaker 5: Man's Ady Mitchell. You know it's he's gonna get a

790
00:40:08,640 --> 00:40:09,399
Speaker 5: lot of playing time.

791
00:40:09,800 --> 00:40:12,920
Speaker 1: He got two receivers on in your reserve and has

792
00:40:13,080 --> 00:40:17,120
Speaker 1: has some juice as well, can return some kicks. So yeah,

793
00:40:17,360 --> 00:40:21,200
Speaker 1: like like this one, Ady Mitchell Parker Washington. Be sure

794
00:40:21,280 --> 00:40:25,680
Speaker 1: to follow the Parlay Express handle in the Action Network

795
00:40:25,800 --> 00:40:29,520
Speaker 1: app to see the odds for this parlay as well

796
00:40:29,680 --> 00:40:33,799
Speaker 1: as all the others that Sean, myself and the rest

797
00:40:33,840 --> 00:40:35,640
Speaker 1: of the Action experts are on.

798
00:40:36,760 --> 00:40:39,720
Speaker 2: That's gonna do it For NFL Week thirteen Fantasy.

799
00:40:39,560 --> 00:40:42,960
Speaker 1: Football and DFS preview, make sure to subscribe to the

800
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803
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