1 00:00:01,760 --> 00:00:05,200 Speaker 1: Alson media. 2 00:00:05,360 --> 00:00:09,879 Speaker 2: Dark woke is back, ten more years of liberal supremacy, 3 00:00:10,039 --> 00:00:14,480 Speaker 2: bankers in control in the great nation of Canada. This 4 00:00:14,560 --> 00:00:17,280 Speaker 2: is it could happen here. I'm Garrison Davis. I'm joined 5 00:00:17,280 --> 00:00:21,960 Speaker 2: by James Stout. We are discussing the twenty twenty five 6 00:00:22,160 --> 00:00:27,240 Speaker 2: Canadian election, which I maybe slightly exaggerated in the opening there. 7 00:00:27,360 --> 00:00:30,520 Speaker 2: But the election did happen yesterday or two days ago 8 00:00:30,520 --> 00:00:34,240 Speaker 2: whenever you're listening to this. I was up all day 9 00:00:34,479 --> 00:00:40,080 Speaker 2: on on CBC and on elections dot Ca checking in 10 00:00:40,120 --> 00:00:42,840 Speaker 2: on all the charts and all the stats to see 11 00:00:42,880 --> 00:00:46,839 Speaker 2: how this how this kind of upset election went, and 12 00:00:46,920 --> 00:00:50,559 Speaker 2: oh boy did it go. James, how much do you 13 00:00:50,680 --> 00:00:53,519 Speaker 2: do you know about Canada and elections? 14 00:00:53,680 --> 00:00:55,160 Speaker 3: But both of the things, the things that I have 15 00:00:55,200 --> 00:00:59,040 Speaker 3: some knowledge about. I've been to Canada twice. That's a 16 00:00:59,080 --> 00:01:00,920 Speaker 3: fellow common World member. 17 00:01:01,240 --> 00:01:03,480 Speaker 2: I guess. Yeah, we are both citizens of the Commonwealth. 18 00:01:03,720 --> 00:01:04,880 Speaker 2: So there we go. 19 00:01:05,080 --> 00:01:07,000 Speaker 4: Just kind of have a queen on the money. Queen 20 00:01:07,120 --> 00:01:08,320 Speaker 4: is dead, dead. 21 00:01:08,160 --> 00:01:11,039 Speaker 2: Queen Queen is dead, but yes, we do have. 22 00:01:11,080 --> 00:01:13,720 Speaker 4: Queen on money money. So that's another thing I understand. 23 00:01:13,880 --> 00:01:19,039 Speaker 2: We have a parliamentary system like yeah, like do I 24 00:01:19,080 --> 00:01:20,840 Speaker 2: say England or like Britain or UK. 25 00:01:21,080 --> 00:01:23,520 Speaker 4: It's a yeah, it's a United Kingdom. I think would 26 00:01:23,520 --> 00:01:27,959 Speaker 4: be the institute that Great Britain and Northern Ireland. 27 00:01:28,800 --> 00:01:30,560 Speaker 2: Well we have one of those two, but it's less 28 00:01:30,600 --> 00:01:32,920 Speaker 2: confusing because it's just one country. We don't try to 29 00:01:32,959 --> 00:01:36,440 Speaker 2: be three countries like like you in the UK, Britain 30 00:01:36,440 --> 00:01:37,200 Speaker 2: and England. 31 00:01:37,480 --> 00:01:40,240 Speaker 4: We're a continent, let a mini continent. That's what we're 32 00:01:40,280 --> 00:01:42,920 Speaker 4: going for. We've left Europe. We're on our way to 33 00:01:42,920 --> 00:01:44,440 Speaker 4: the Caribbean slowly. 34 00:01:45,040 --> 00:01:50,520 Speaker 2: Oops. Yeah, luckily Canada is doing just fine. Uh. The debatable, 35 00:01:50,680 --> 00:01:55,400 Speaker 2: but certainly this election has has gone probably slightly better 36 00:01:55,600 --> 00:01:59,800 Speaker 2: for global stability and stopping the advance of farign populism 37 00:02:00,200 --> 00:02:03,560 Speaker 2: then certainly what it looked a few months ago for 38 00:02:03,600 --> 00:02:06,040 Speaker 2: people WO don't know. Yes, Canada has a parliamentary system. 39 00:02:06,080 --> 00:02:09,560 Speaker 2: People do not elect the prime minister directly. They elect 40 00:02:09,760 --> 00:02:12,840 Speaker 2: the MP in their district, which is called a writing. 41 00:02:13,440 --> 00:02:16,840 Speaker 2: It's a first past the post system, so whoever gets 42 00:02:16,840 --> 00:02:20,200 Speaker 2: the most votes in each writing they get their representatives. 43 00:02:20,200 --> 00:02:24,000 Speaker 2: Since to Parliament, the party with the most representatives they 44 00:02:24,040 --> 00:02:26,800 Speaker 2: take control of the government and that is who the 45 00:02:26,840 --> 00:02:29,400 Speaker 2: Prime Minister is and the next Prime Minister of Canada 46 00:02:29,520 --> 00:02:33,600 Speaker 2: will be Mark Karney, who assumed the prime minister rule 47 00:02:34,320 --> 00:02:38,320 Speaker 2: like last month, winning the Liberal election after Justin Trudeau 48 00:02:38,400 --> 00:02:43,120 Speaker 2: resigned in January, and before we get into some of 49 00:02:43,200 --> 00:02:46,280 Speaker 2: the results, at first, a little bit of an election 50 00:02:46,440 --> 00:02:49,280 Speaker 2: kind of background. So Liberals have been in power for 51 00:02:49,360 --> 00:02:53,280 Speaker 2: nearly a decade, slowly getting less and less popular as 52 00:02:53,280 --> 00:02:56,040 Speaker 2: the cost of living has risen. Last election in twenty 53 00:02:56,080 --> 00:03:00,080 Speaker 2: twenty one, the Liberals kept their minority government, but the 54 00:03:00,200 --> 00:03:03,120 Speaker 2: leader of their party, Canadian Prime Minister Justin Trudeau, continued 55 00:03:03,160 --> 00:03:06,080 Speaker 2: to decline in popularity. By the end of twenty twenty 56 00:03:06,080 --> 00:03:09,080 Speaker 2: four's approval rating was just twenty two percent or net 57 00:03:09,240 --> 00:03:13,160 Speaker 2: negative fifty two. Conservatives were up twenty five points in 58 00:03:13,200 --> 00:03:15,520 Speaker 2: the polls. It was a near certainty that they would 59 00:03:15,520 --> 00:03:19,720 Speaker 2: sweep the next election. Trudeau announced his resignation on January sixth, 60 00:03:19,800 --> 00:03:21,799 Speaker 2: kind of the January sixth of Canada if you think 61 00:03:21,800 --> 00:03:25,480 Speaker 2: about it. Former banker Mark Karney won the party election 62 00:03:25,680 --> 00:03:29,480 Speaker 2: in March or twenty twenty five. Carney quickly called for 63 00:03:29,520 --> 00:03:32,320 Speaker 2: an election to write off the peak of anti Trump 64 00:03:32,360 --> 00:03:36,560 Speaker 2: sentiment sweeping across Canada. This was following Trump's talk of 65 00:03:36,640 --> 00:03:40,200 Speaker 2: annexing Canada. And the global trade war and tariffs directed 66 00:03:40,600 --> 00:03:45,400 Speaker 2: at the American neighbor upstairs next door. I don't know, yeah, 67 00:03:45,560 --> 00:03:49,680 Speaker 2: downstairs south, No, from America. It's a oh I see, yeah, okay, 68 00:03:49,720 --> 00:03:52,360 Speaker 2: yeah from Yeah, got it understand, which is maybe a 69 00:03:52,400 --> 00:03:54,600 Speaker 2: northern standpoint. But who cares. 70 00:03:55,160 --> 00:03:55,600 Speaker 5: Now. 71 00:03:55,640 --> 00:03:59,880 Speaker 2: This election or an election, would have happened by oct 72 00:04:00,000 --> 00:04:03,440 Speaker 2: Over twenty twenty five regardless. But calling it early was 73 00:04:03,480 --> 00:04:05,880 Speaker 2: a smart move by Liberals as this was the first 74 00:04:05,880 --> 00:04:08,200 Speaker 2: time in three years that they had led in the polls. 75 00:04:08,640 --> 00:04:12,040 Speaker 2: Support for other third parties like the Keebuqua Bloc and 76 00:04:12,120 --> 00:04:15,960 Speaker 2: the National Democratic Party the NDP had slowly been shifting 77 00:04:16,080 --> 00:04:19,880 Speaker 2: towards the Liberals, and we saw this in the results 78 00:04:20,360 --> 00:04:24,400 Speaker 2: Monday night. At this point, the Liberals are projected to 79 00:04:24,520 --> 00:04:28,280 Speaker 2: win one hundred and sixty eight seats, falling barely short 80 00:04:28,279 --> 00:04:32,719 Speaker 2: of the one hundred and seventy two majority. There's still, 81 00:04:32,800 --> 00:04:35,039 Speaker 2: as a time of recording, still a possible path for 82 00:04:35,080 --> 00:04:38,799 Speaker 2: them gaining a majority government, but it's fairly unlikely. It'll 83 00:04:38,800 --> 00:04:41,719 Speaker 2: probably be a minority government. The Conservatives have won one 84 00:04:41,800 --> 00:04:45,760 Speaker 2: hundred and forty four seats, the Blackabiqua twenty three and 85 00:04:45,800 --> 00:04:49,760 Speaker 2: the NDP a measly seven, with the Green Party snagging one. 86 00:04:50,360 --> 00:04:54,600 Speaker 2: Liberals also secured the largest vote share, forty three point 87 00:04:54,720 --> 00:04:57,920 Speaker 2: six percent of the vote compared to the Conservative's forty 88 00:04:58,000 --> 00:05:01,680 Speaker 2: one point four percent, though because of a vote efficiency 89 00:05:01,760 --> 00:05:04,599 Speaker 2: basically how spread apart certain votes are, this has still 90 00:05:04,680 --> 00:05:07,840 Speaker 2: led to much more seats for the Liberals than the Conservatives. Right, 91 00:05:07,880 --> 00:05:10,240 Speaker 2: if you have more Conservatives voting in a district that's 92 00:05:10,240 --> 00:05:14,120 Speaker 2: going to go Conservative anyway, those extra votes don't necessarily 93 00:05:14,920 --> 00:05:18,280 Speaker 2: mean there's going to be more representation in parliament. That's 94 00:05:18,320 --> 00:05:19,680 Speaker 2: the vote efficiency idea. 95 00:05:19,760 --> 00:05:22,840 Speaker 4: Yeah, first plus supposed to is a very bad system 96 00:05:22,880 --> 00:05:26,040 Speaker 4: as electoral systems go. It leads to an awful lot 97 00:05:26,040 --> 00:05:30,000 Speaker 4: of votes not counting for any representation. Like, for instance, 98 00:05:30,080 --> 00:05:32,279 Speaker 4: to Garrison Davis, party could have fifty one percent of 99 00:05:32,320 --> 00:05:36,719 Speaker 4: votes in all ridings and I could be there at 100 00:05:36,760 --> 00:05:39,360 Speaker 4: forty nine and I would get zero MPs. 101 00:05:39,839 --> 00:05:41,760 Speaker 2: Basic, Hey, sounds fine. 102 00:05:41,960 --> 00:05:45,640 Speaker 4: Sounds fine by me, Garrison Davis in control. 103 00:05:45,839 --> 00:05:47,880 Speaker 2: Well, this is kind of what happens in Canada. The 104 00:05:47,920 --> 00:05:51,039 Speaker 2: election system in Canada is pretty swayed towards the Liberals 105 00:05:51,040 --> 00:05:53,479 Speaker 2: because of how much more dispersed they are versus you know, 106 00:05:53,560 --> 00:05:57,799 Speaker 2: most Conservative supporters in the western Provincesaskatchewan, Alberta in BC 107 00:05:58,240 --> 00:06:02,280 Speaker 2: and a growing presence in ont But yeah, the Liberals 108 00:06:02,360 --> 00:06:03,880 Speaker 2: kind of always get a bit of a boost in 109 00:06:04,320 --> 00:06:08,480 Speaker 2: the election. Now, we did have record high early turnout 110 00:06:08,560 --> 00:06:12,559 Speaker 2: in Canada seven point three million people cast their vote 111 00:06:12,560 --> 00:06:17,200 Speaker 2: early during Easter week. The full turnout is higher than 112 00:06:17,240 --> 00:06:20,000 Speaker 2: it was the past few elections. But it matches pretty 113 00:06:20,080 --> 00:06:22,719 Speaker 2: much to the twenty fifteen election. So to get a 114 00:06:22,760 --> 00:06:25,520 Speaker 2: majority government you need one hundred and seventy two seats. 115 00:06:25,880 --> 00:06:27,599 Speaker 2: This allows you to not have to worry about like 116 00:06:27,640 --> 00:06:30,880 Speaker 2: no confidence votes which trigger new elections, and you don't 117 00:06:30,920 --> 00:06:34,479 Speaker 2: need to work with other parties to pass legislation. Now, 118 00:06:34,520 --> 00:06:37,640 Speaker 2: this will probably be a minority government with the Libs 119 00:06:37,680 --> 00:06:40,800 Speaker 2: having to work with a small number of remaining and 120 00:06:40,920 --> 00:06:44,479 Speaker 2: DP and Block seats to run the government, which one 121 00:06:44,520 --> 00:06:47,600 Speaker 2: could consider a good thing in terms of being pushed 122 00:06:47,640 --> 00:06:52,840 Speaker 2: maybe towards some better policies rather than just like liberal supremacy. 123 00:06:53,279 --> 00:06:55,320 Speaker 2: But it also in its government will be more unstable 124 00:06:55,480 --> 00:06:58,040 Speaker 2: and it kind of gives the Conservatives more room to wiggle. 125 00:06:58,120 --> 00:07:02,200 Speaker 2: So it's definitely a mixed bag. As reporting first came 126 00:07:02,200 --> 00:07:05,400 Speaker 2: in for Atlantic Canada, it showed that this would be 127 00:07:05,520 --> 00:07:09,039 Speaker 2: a tighter race than what the Liberals were hoping for. 128 00:07:10,040 --> 00:07:13,200 Speaker 2: During election night, it seemed Conservatives were on track to 129 00:07:13,200 --> 00:07:16,480 Speaker 2: pick up two seats in Newfoundland, though in the end 130 00:07:16,680 --> 00:07:21,360 Speaker 2: the Liberal incumbent barely kept their seat, beating the Conservative 131 00:07:21,400 --> 00:07:26,520 Speaker 2: challenger by twelve votes. In Terra Nova the Peninsulas. The 132 00:07:26,560 --> 00:07:29,239 Speaker 2: Libs did fare much better in Quebec, though they flipped 133 00:07:29,280 --> 00:07:32,320 Speaker 2: eleven seats. This was the best performance by Liberals in 134 00:07:32,360 --> 00:07:36,520 Speaker 2: Quebec in years now. Conservatives gained some seats from the 135 00:07:36,560 --> 00:07:40,760 Speaker 2: Liberals in Ontario under Doug Ford, with Conservatives flipping seats 136 00:07:40,800 --> 00:07:44,000 Speaker 2: around the Toronto suburbs. One of the biggest stories of 137 00:07:44,000 --> 00:07:48,640 Speaker 2: this election was just the complete NDP collapse the progressive 138 00:07:48,760 --> 00:07:53,640 Speaker 2: kind of democratic socialist New Democratic Party. They're currently projected 139 00:07:53,680 --> 00:07:57,160 Speaker 2: to lose seventeen of their twenty four previously held seats. 140 00:07:58,000 --> 00:08:02,600 Speaker 2: The NDP basically gave Carny this election. Jack met Singh 141 00:08:02,960 --> 00:08:06,320 Speaker 2: lost his seat. That's the leader of the NDP. He 142 00:08:06,400 --> 00:08:09,679 Speaker 2: lost his seat to Wade Chung, a Liberal, and stepped 143 00:08:09,680 --> 00:08:13,280 Speaker 2: down as leader on Monday night. Part of what makes 144 00:08:13,280 --> 00:08:15,800 Speaker 2: this such a big setback for the NDP is that 145 00:08:16,160 --> 00:08:20,040 Speaker 2: because they failed to win at least twelve seats, they 146 00:08:20,080 --> 00:08:24,840 Speaker 2: actually lose official party status in Parliament. Parties have to 147 00:08:24,840 --> 00:08:26,680 Speaker 2: win at least twelve seats to be recognized as an 148 00:08:26,680 --> 00:08:29,400 Speaker 2: official party in the House of Commons. Official parties get 149 00:08:29,400 --> 00:08:32,560 Speaker 2: to have offices in Parliament, extra staff, They get to 150 00:08:32,600 --> 00:08:37,439 Speaker 2: ask questions in legislative sessions and can sit on committees. Now, 151 00:08:37,559 --> 00:08:40,360 Speaker 2: the NDP did previously lose party status in nineteen ninety three, 152 00:08:40,679 --> 00:08:43,760 Speaker 2: winning only nine seats in that election, but this performance 153 00:08:43,840 --> 00:08:47,360 Speaker 2: was slightly worse, getting only seven. So this is going 154 00:08:47,440 --> 00:08:49,320 Speaker 2: to be a big shake up. The NDP is going 155 00:08:49,400 --> 00:08:53,040 Speaker 2: to have to be forced to rebuild, which is maybe 156 00:08:53,120 --> 00:08:56,760 Speaker 2: necessary based on kind of a degree of NDP stagnation 157 00:08:57,160 --> 00:09:00,120 Speaker 2: the past decade. They're kind of caught in like twenty 158 00:09:00,160 --> 00:09:05,480 Speaker 2: seventeen politics in my opinion, though saying did lead them 159 00:09:05,520 --> 00:09:09,199 Speaker 2: to pass some significant legislation and progressive policies do have 160 00:09:09,240 --> 00:09:12,760 Speaker 2: a degree of popularity in Canada. The NDP was polling 161 00:09:12,760 --> 00:09:15,679 Speaker 2: about the same as the Liberals just three months ago. 162 00:09:15,840 --> 00:09:18,920 Speaker 2: The movement that we're seeing is from NDP voters scared 163 00:09:18,960 --> 00:09:22,040 Speaker 2: of Polyev and Trump, so they moved to Carney to 164 00:09:22,080 --> 00:09:25,480 Speaker 2: avoid splitting the left vote, as Carney was seen as 165 00:09:25,600 --> 00:09:28,840 Speaker 2: more capable of beating Polyev than the NDP leader sing 166 00:09:28,840 --> 00:09:30,640 Speaker 2: and certainly Justin Trudeau. 167 00:09:31,400 --> 00:09:31,640 Speaker 4: Now. 168 00:09:31,720 --> 00:09:35,680 Speaker 2: Funnily enough, some of this quote unquote strategic voting actually 169 00:09:35,720 --> 00:09:38,120 Speaker 2: did end up splitting the vote in a place like 170 00:09:38,240 --> 00:09:43,560 Speaker 2: be seen specifically Vancouver, which recently has gone strongly NDP. 171 00:09:44,200 --> 00:09:46,880 Speaker 2: But this year the Conservatives were able to snag three 172 00:09:46,920 --> 00:09:51,000 Speaker 2: seats because enough previous NDP voters ended up going liberal 173 00:09:51,320 --> 00:09:54,960 Speaker 2: in an attempt to gain a Liberal majority, but that 174 00:09:55,080 --> 00:09:58,920 Speaker 2: resulted in neither the NDP nor the Liberal candidate actually 175 00:09:59,040 --> 00:10:02,680 Speaker 2: individually getting an enough votes to win the riding. Let's 176 00:10:02,679 --> 00:10:06,680 Speaker 2: talk about vote share compared to the last twenty twenty 177 00:10:06,720 --> 00:10:11,400 Speaker 2: one election, so Liberals did fairly well this election, especially 178 00:10:11,400 --> 00:10:14,880 Speaker 2: compared to previous ones. They gained over ten points compared 179 00:10:14,920 --> 00:10:18,199 Speaker 2: to the last election in twenty twenty one. Conservatives also 180 00:10:18,720 --> 00:10:22,840 Speaker 2: didn't do badly, actually like they actually did. Okay, this 181 00:10:22,880 --> 00:10:26,280 Speaker 2: certainly wasn't the result they were wanting, but they did 182 00:10:26,320 --> 00:10:28,720 Speaker 2: not do bad. They gained over seven and a half 183 00:10:28,760 --> 00:10:33,840 Speaker 2: points this race. Reliable conservative voters still voted conservative and 184 00:10:34,040 --> 00:10:37,520 Speaker 2: they were able to siphon off some support from other parties, 185 00:10:38,080 --> 00:10:41,920 Speaker 2: with Conservatives doing slightly better than what polling predicted, but 186 00:10:42,120 --> 00:10:45,760 Speaker 2: a lot of very close races across key districts. Now 187 00:10:45,800 --> 00:10:49,480 Speaker 2: where all those extra votes or vote movement is coming 188 00:10:49,480 --> 00:10:52,400 Speaker 2: from is all of the third parties. The Green Party 189 00:10:52,440 --> 00:10:55,920 Speaker 2: and the Blackapiqua both dropped over a point, The far 190 00:10:56,000 --> 00:11:00,920 Speaker 2: right People's Party dropped four points and the NDPP eleven 191 00:11:00,960 --> 00:11:04,920 Speaker 2: point six huge huge losses for the NDP. Most of 192 00:11:04,920 --> 00:11:08,880 Speaker 2: those voters probably going liberal, although some may just not 193 00:11:08,920 --> 00:11:12,760 Speaker 2: have voted. One of the more interesting parts about this 194 00:11:12,880 --> 00:11:17,600 Speaker 2: election is that the Conservative Party leader Pierre Polyev lost 195 00:11:17,840 --> 00:11:23,360 Speaker 2: his parliamentary seat. He lost to Liberal Bruce Fanjoy by 196 00:11:23,400 --> 00:11:27,040 Speaker 2: about four thousand votes. Oh damn, four point six percent 197 00:11:27,120 --> 00:11:30,120 Speaker 2: of the vote. So this is going to probably cause 198 00:11:30,160 --> 00:11:32,679 Speaker 2: a bit of an upset in the Conservative Party. There 199 00:11:32,760 --> 00:11:36,560 Speaker 2: might be some maternal conflict over whether Polyev should continue 200 00:11:37,000 --> 00:11:40,160 Speaker 2: as party leader, though he did not step down from 201 00:11:40,200 --> 00:11:44,560 Speaker 2: that position during his concession speech Monday night, James, do 202 00:11:44,360 --> 00:11:46,079 Speaker 2: you do you have any thoughts here before we pivot 203 00:11:46,120 --> 00:11:46,640 Speaker 2: to ads. 204 00:11:46,840 --> 00:11:49,520 Speaker 4: It wouldn't be such a like scene of such a 205 00:11:49,640 --> 00:11:52,480 Speaker 4: humiliation for the Conservatives if it wasn't for all the 206 00:11:52,520 --> 00:11:56,000 Speaker 4: polling until maybe like a couple of months ago. 207 00:11:56,200 --> 00:11:58,680 Speaker 2: Right, Yes, The reason why it's such an upset. Is 208 00:11:58,679 --> 00:12:01,920 Speaker 2: because they were like a destined to wear as almost 209 00:12:01,960 --> 00:12:06,440 Speaker 2: like divinely written into fate like three months ago, and 210 00:12:06,480 --> 00:12:09,240 Speaker 2: the fact that they fumbled this is gonna be like 211 00:12:09,640 --> 00:12:12,679 Speaker 2: a massive like historical footnote, not even a footnote. This 212 00:12:12,720 --> 00:12:16,560 Speaker 2: is like a historical topic. Is how conservatives fumbled this election? 213 00:12:17,040 --> 00:12:18,280 Speaker 4: Yeah, like people. 214 00:12:18,400 --> 00:12:21,520 Speaker 3: The thing is that the Liberals want despite people having 215 00:12:21,600 --> 00:12:23,800 Speaker 3: been pissed off with them for a long time and 216 00:12:23,840 --> 00:12:24,880 Speaker 3: wanting something different. 217 00:12:25,200 --> 00:12:28,840 Speaker 4: Yeah. Yeah, because people would just like mad at Trump. 218 00:12:29,000 --> 00:12:31,720 Speaker 2: And we will talk more about the background of the 219 00:12:31,800 --> 00:12:34,040 Speaker 2: lead up to this race and in those dynamics that 220 00:12:34,120 --> 00:12:49,040 Speaker 2: James mentioned in the next segment after these ads, Okay, 221 00:12:49,080 --> 00:12:51,839 Speaker 2: to talk more about the lead up to this race 222 00:12:51,880 --> 00:12:56,120 Speaker 2: and Trump's influence on this election. I talked with Lance 223 00:12:56,200 --> 00:13:01,920 Speaker 2: from the Serfs of fellow Canadian who talks politics just 224 00:13:01,960 --> 00:13:04,559 Speaker 2: as much as I do. So here is that interview 225 00:13:04,559 --> 00:13:07,400 Speaker 2: that I recorded just a few hours before the polls 226 00:13:07,440 --> 00:13:08,960 Speaker 2: closed in Canada. 227 00:13:10,240 --> 00:13:12,800 Speaker 6: Hey, my name is Lance. I run a number of 228 00:13:12,800 --> 00:13:15,640 Speaker 6: different channels, usually under the banner of the Serfs. There's 229 00:13:15,640 --> 00:13:18,120 Speaker 6: YouTube dot Com, Slash, the Surf Times and at the 230 00:13:18,120 --> 00:13:22,480 Speaker 6: Serf TV. On most other social media, I cover news, politics, 231 00:13:22,559 --> 00:13:26,720 Speaker 6: internet slop, usually from a dumpster fire like perspective. 232 00:13:26,320 --> 00:13:30,640 Speaker 2: And you're Canadian importantly, Yes, I am, I am. I 233 00:13:30,640 --> 00:13:33,800 Speaker 2: am Canadian, but I have been resigned to living in 234 00:13:33,800 --> 00:13:35,800 Speaker 2: the States for quite a while. I actually just had 235 00:13:35,800 --> 00:13:38,720 Speaker 2: some Canadian family visit me, and they kept making fun 236 00:13:38,760 --> 00:13:42,520 Speaker 2: of me for living in the States, specifically because the 237 00:13:42,559 --> 00:13:45,760 Speaker 2: States are trying to, you know, take take Canadian territories seemingly. 238 00:13:46,120 --> 00:13:47,480 Speaker 2: So now I'm getting a lot of hate for my 239 00:13:47,520 --> 00:13:51,600 Speaker 2: Canadian family members for living in America, which is interesting. 240 00:13:52,280 --> 00:13:53,960 Speaker 6: I was going to say, it's got to be a 241 00:13:54,000 --> 00:13:55,840 Speaker 6: scary time to be living in the United States as 242 00:13:55,880 --> 00:13:57,760 Speaker 6: a Canadian citizen a little bit. 243 00:13:58,160 --> 00:14:00,280 Speaker 2: I am I am dual, but we'll see how long 244 00:14:00,320 --> 00:14:04,520 Speaker 2: that matters. So I want to talk talk a little 245 00:14:04,559 --> 00:14:06,520 Speaker 2: bit about kind of the background of this election, because 246 00:14:06,520 --> 00:14:09,760 Speaker 2: I think this is maybe the most interesting Canadian election 247 00:14:09,840 --> 00:14:13,320 Speaker 2: in the past ten years, specifically because of how much 248 00:14:13,480 --> 00:14:18,319 Speaker 2: the results have always felt it inevitable, but the actual 249 00:14:18,600 --> 00:14:22,400 Speaker 2: results have like flip flop three months ago, four months ago, 250 00:14:22,960 --> 00:14:27,360 Speaker 2: I'm sure that me and you may have predicted probably 251 00:14:27,400 --> 00:14:30,640 Speaker 2: something resembling a conservative sweep. Not to put words in 252 00:14:30,680 --> 00:14:31,400 Speaker 2: your mouth. 253 00:14:32,640 --> 00:14:35,800 Speaker 6: Well, minority or majority government led by the Conservatives, know 254 00:14:35,960 --> 00:14:39,960 Speaker 6: no question, that was where all the major polling was trending, 255 00:14:40,040 --> 00:14:42,040 Speaker 6: and then the exact opposite on this. 256 00:14:42,080 --> 00:14:45,040 Speaker 5: Roller coaster election in both directions. 257 00:14:45,120 --> 00:14:48,200 Speaker 6: I think it's it's pretty easily explainable, especially to your 258 00:14:48,240 --> 00:14:51,680 Speaker 6: American listeners who might have been wondering what was happening. Essentially, 259 00:14:51,720 --> 00:14:54,760 Speaker 6: the country had a combination of burnout on Justin Trudeau 260 00:14:55,240 --> 00:14:59,000 Speaker 6: and the person who replaced Justin Trudeau, Mark Carney, effectively 261 00:14:59,080 --> 00:15:03,040 Speaker 6: took the number one campaign. It was the actual campaign 262 00:15:03,120 --> 00:15:06,520 Speaker 6: slogan of the Conservatives away from him immediately after being 263 00:15:06,720 --> 00:15:08,720 Speaker 6: crowned the new leader of the Liberal Party, which was 264 00:15:09,120 --> 00:15:12,360 Speaker 6: ax the tax, which is what you know, fascist Millhouse, 265 00:15:12,400 --> 00:15:15,080 Speaker 6: who we call Pierre Pollievro over here. That was his 266 00:15:15,120 --> 00:15:17,720 Speaker 6: big campaign promise, The Conservatives were going to ax the 267 00:15:18,080 --> 00:15:20,920 Speaker 6: carbon tax, and that had a lot of people excited, 268 00:15:21,120 --> 00:15:22,960 Speaker 6: a lot of people didn't like Justin Trudeau. And then 269 00:15:23,000 --> 00:15:24,920 Speaker 6: along comes Mark Carney and he takes both of those 270 00:15:24,960 --> 00:15:27,600 Speaker 6: things away from the Conservatives. He's not Justin Trudeau, and 271 00:15:27,640 --> 00:15:29,840 Speaker 6: he acts the tax and so they had to kind 272 00:15:29,880 --> 00:15:33,680 Speaker 6: of completely reset. And this was before the wild card 273 00:15:33,880 --> 00:15:36,800 Speaker 6: of Trump shows up, ye, which of course now is 274 00:15:37,080 --> 00:15:39,960 Speaker 6: caring not only Canada but the world. I would say 275 00:15:40,000 --> 00:15:42,000 Speaker 6: like most countries now are kind of having to completely 276 00:15:42,040 --> 00:15:44,640 Speaker 6: reset how they think and want to do geopolitics into 277 00:15:44,680 --> 00:15:46,320 Speaker 6: the future because of his policies. 278 00:15:46,440 --> 00:15:48,440 Speaker 2: Well, and I know, like a decent chunk of the 279 00:15:48,480 --> 00:15:51,520 Speaker 2: Alberta economy is now in great jeopardy because they can't 280 00:15:51,560 --> 00:15:54,000 Speaker 2: sell fuck Trudeau merchandise. 281 00:15:55,680 --> 00:15:58,040 Speaker 5: Which was dropping up the entire economy outside of the way. 282 00:15:58,600 --> 00:16:00,440 Speaker 2: Yeah, well, you know if you go to the oil, 283 00:16:00,840 --> 00:16:02,000 Speaker 2: which will probably be fine. 284 00:16:02,080 --> 00:16:02,680 Speaker 5: Yeah, yeah. 285 00:16:02,720 --> 00:16:04,600 Speaker 2: I guess could talk a little bit about kind of 286 00:16:04,640 --> 00:16:09,640 Speaker 2: what led to this universal hatred of Justin Trudeau in 287 00:16:09,640 --> 00:16:11,880 Speaker 2: like the past like like five years, just like ever 288 00:16:11,960 --> 00:16:12,920 Speaker 2: so briefly. 289 00:16:12,880 --> 00:16:17,800 Speaker 6: Yeah, for conservatives, a lot of it really became increasingly 290 00:16:17,800 --> 00:16:21,320 Speaker 6: more intense with COVID, and I think internationally there was 291 00:16:21,320 --> 00:16:25,960 Speaker 6: an association with very basic safety protocols and tyranny. So 292 00:16:26,000 --> 00:16:28,720 Speaker 6: I guess some people the United States and Canada both 293 00:16:28,760 --> 00:16:30,280 Speaker 6: saw the idea of wearing a mask g having to 294 00:16:30,400 --> 00:16:33,800 Speaker 6: wash their hands as some sortom of dictatorship akin to 295 00:16:33,920 --> 00:16:36,200 Speaker 6: some of the worst war crimes ever committed on any population. 296 00:16:36,600 --> 00:16:39,280 Speaker 6: That made a schism happen, where the sentiment kind of 297 00:16:39,360 --> 00:16:43,640 Speaker 6: really started accelerating towards less of you know, blaming Trudeau 298 00:16:43,640 --> 00:16:45,440 Speaker 6: for everything, kind of like Obama that used to be 299 00:16:45,440 --> 00:16:49,920 Speaker 6: a joke, like Trudeau to actual fuck Trudeau merchandise, and 300 00:16:50,200 --> 00:16:52,800 Speaker 6: the idea of you know, Trudeau being an enemy of 301 00:16:52,840 --> 00:16:55,440 Speaker 6: the state and a communist dictator that was on the 302 00:16:55,520 --> 00:16:57,560 Speaker 6: right side of things. On the left side of things, 303 00:16:57,600 --> 00:17:00,200 Speaker 6: everyone got burnt out from Trudeau because the performer of 304 00:17:00,440 --> 00:17:04,919 Speaker 6: progressive politics of his entire character, he was very vocal 305 00:17:04,920 --> 00:17:06,840 Speaker 6: about standing up for a lot of issues that on 306 00:17:06,840 --> 00:17:08,960 Speaker 6: one end he would you know, pretend to care about, 307 00:17:08,960 --> 00:17:11,720 Speaker 6: such as indigenous rights, land backs, stuff like that, and 308 00:17:11,760 --> 00:17:14,600 Speaker 6: then he would be suing the survivors of residential schools 309 00:17:14,600 --> 00:17:16,600 Speaker 6: in federal court to try and prevent them from getting 310 00:17:16,720 --> 00:17:18,919 Speaker 6: too much money from the federal government. So there was 311 00:17:18,960 --> 00:17:22,680 Speaker 6: a lot of Trudeau seems to performatively enjoy being perceived 312 00:17:22,800 --> 00:17:25,919 Speaker 6: as someone who's enlightened and progressive and trying to steer 313 00:17:26,480 --> 00:17:29,040 Speaker 6: the society in a good direction, where his policies are 314 00:17:29,080 --> 00:17:32,879 Speaker 6: effectively exacerbating wealth and equality very rapidly, because that's effectively 315 00:17:32,880 --> 00:17:34,680 Speaker 6: what you get with neoliberal centrists. 316 00:17:34,840 --> 00:17:35,040 Speaker 5: Right. 317 00:17:35,880 --> 00:17:38,040 Speaker 2: Yeah, I like to go back to that COVID thing 318 00:17:38,040 --> 00:17:41,560 Speaker 2: like I was in Calgary and like spring of twenty 319 00:17:41,560 --> 00:17:44,959 Speaker 2: twenty two, and I was getting made fun of in 320 00:17:45,000 --> 00:17:48,840 Speaker 2: like bars and clubs for like wearing a mask at 321 00:17:48,840 --> 00:17:52,480 Speaker 2: that point in time, like and that is that is Alberta. 322 00:17:52,520 --> 00:17:55,240 Speaker 2: But yeah, no, that was definitely like strong. We certainly 323 00:17:55,280 --> 00:17:57,160 Speaker 2: saw degrees of that here in the States as well, 324 00:17:57,560 --> 00:17:59,399 Speaker 2: but yeah, you know, it's a little bit of that. 325 00:17:59,440 --> 00:18:02,399 Speaker 2: Like general anti incumbent sentiment was growing so much last year, 326 00:18:02,440 --> 00:18:04,879 Speaker 2: which which you saw levied against the Democrats in the 327 00:18:04,920 --> 00:18:08,000 Speaker 2: States and certainly against the Liberals. And the way that 328 00:18:08,040 --> 00:18:10,159 Speaker 2: the Liberals in Canada have kind of been able to 329 00:18:10,720 --> 00:18:12,800 Speaker 2: maneuver away from that in the way that like the 330 00:18:12,800 --> 00:18:17,399 Speaker 2: Democrats haven't is super interesting. It's not necessarily like replicable, 331 00:18:17,800 --> 00:18:21,960 Speaker 2: especially for US politics, but it's still as interesting. I guess. 332 00:18:21,960 --> 00:18:25,159 Speaker 2: Like on the Conservative side, their leadership changed in twenty 333 00:18:25,240 --> 00:18:26,800 Speaker 2: twenty two, right. 334 00:18:27,320 --> 00:18:29,600 Speaker 6: Yeah, I think so it was it was twenty two 335 00:18:29,640 --> 00:18:32,120 Speaker 6: or twenty three, but I believe it was it was around. 336 00:18:31,800 --> 00:18:38,520 Speaker 2: Them that's when plivertcame became leader of the Conservative Party, 337 00:18:38,800 --> 00:18:41,919 Speaker 2: which is like you know, closed ranks and like coalesced 338 00:18:42,160 --> 00:18:45,240 Speaker 2: the past ten to five years or so, and they've 339 00:18:45,240 --> 00:18:48,040 Speaker 2: been they've been gaining a large it had been gaining, 340 00:18:48,080 --> 00:18:50,800 Speaker 2: you know, a large degree of popularity the past two 341 00:18:50,960 --> 00:18:54,520 Speaker 2: three years, not necessarily because of who their party leader is, 342 00:18:54,920 --> 00:18:57,639 Speaker 2: but because they are simply not the Liberal Party. At 343 00:18:57,720 --> 00:18:59,080 Speaker 2: least that's kind of what it seemed like to me, 344 00:18:59,160 --> 00:19:02,760 Speaker 2: because like approval ratings for Paul of Aara's never been 345 00:19:02,800 --> 00:19:06,639 Speaker 2: like great, but the Conservative Party has still been gaining popularity, 346 00:19:06,720 --> 00:19:08,720 Speaker 2: at least previous to the past few months. 347 00:19:08,960 --> 00:19:11,199 Speaker 6: Yeah, I don't want to play, you know, give the 348 00:19:11,240 --> 00:19:13,600 Speaker 6: far right any kind of kudos or points, but I 349 00:19:13,680 --> 00:19:16,440 Speaker 6: think from an analytical standpoint, something that people should realize 350 00:19:16,480 --> 00:19:18,639 Speaker 6: is that within the last i'd say year and a 351 00:19:18,640 --> 00:19:21,240 Speaker 6: half or so, Pierre was really really effective at doing 352 00:19:21,280 --> 00:19:23,440 Speaker 6: faux populism in a way that a lot of people 353 00:19:23,440 --> 00:19:25,040 Speaker 6: were starting to get very worried about, Yeah, and that 354 00:19:25,080 --> 00:19:27,879 Speaker 6: he was starting to see a lot about the working class, 355 00:19:27,920 --> 00:19:31,159 Speaker 6: you know, the housing crisis in the country and the 356 00:19:31,240 --> 00:19:33,640 Speaker 6: fact that the Liberals are out of touch elites who 357 00:19:33,680 --> 00:19:36,440 Speaker 6: only care about enriching themselves, and you know, a lot 358 00:19:36,600 --> 00:19:38,800 Speaker 6: obviously you'd have a lot of the right wing kind 359 00:19:38,840 --> 00:19:43,119 Speaker 6: of nebulous terms like woke ideology being tied into that 360 00:19:43,160 --> 00:19:45,359 Speaker 6: kind of stuff. But he was for a long time 361 00:19:45,520 --> 00:19:47,639 Speaker 6: kind of starting to gain a lot of ground in 362 00:19:47,720 --> 00:19:51,439 Speaker 6: traction as more of a moderate style conservative who was 363 00:19:51,520 --> 00:19:56,000 Speaker 6: concerned with helping the working class, which is astonishing considering 364 00:19:56,359 --> 00:19:58,720 Speaker 6: the man is a lifelong. 365 00:19:58,200 --> 00:20:00,439 Speaker 5: Politician like that, that is who he is. 366 00:20:00,480 --> 00:20:02,159 Speaker 6: He was making fun of people like the leader of 367 00:20:02,160 --> 00:20:04,640 Speaker 6: the Social Democrats here drug meet Singh. He was making 368 00:20:04,680 --> 00:20:06,520 Speaker 6: fun of him for just working for a pension and 369 00:20:06,560 --> 00:20:08,639 Speaker 6: not even caring about the people or the working class. 370 00:20:08,880 --> 00:20:11,400 Speaker 6: The man is never marched with the union I'm talking 371 00:20:11,400 --> 00:20:13,439 Speaker 6: about here. He's never marched with the union. He is 372 00:20:13,480 --> 00:20:17,480 Speaker 6: a you know, his voting track record is decidedly anti worker, 373 00:20:17,520 --> 00:20:20,119 Speaker 6: it's decidedly exacerbating wealth in the quality. Has worked his 374 00:20:20,280 --> 00:20:23,879 Speaker 6: entire life to make houses more expensive. But marketing and 375 00:20:23,960 --> 00:20:27,639 Speaker 6: branding really work, especially like you know, there's compilation clips 376 00:20:27,720 --> 00:20:30,560 Speaker 6: of him saying things that are JK rallying tier in 377 00:20:30,640 --> 00:20:34,600 Speaker 6: terms of both their nonsensicalness, Like talking about how electricity 378 00:20:34,680 --> 00:20:38,640 Speaker 6: is crafted by harnessing the power of the lightning bolts 379 00:20:38,680 --> 00:20:40,800 Speaker 6: into the wire that the electrician holds up. 380 00:20:41,880 --> 00:20:44,800 Speaker 5: Very cool, Yeah, very cool, four like powers. 381 00:20:45,280 --> 00:20:47,919 Speaker 6: I'm on board, but like, unfortunately that's just not how 382 00:20:47,960 --> 00:20:51,679 Speaker 6: we usually generate power in this but like it works 383 00:20:51,920 --> 00:20:53,880 Speaker 6: on some people. They like to see a man who've 384 00:20:54,480 --> 00:20:57,639 Speaker 6: fakes owan like different kinds of wood and tools, you know, 385 00:20:57,680 --> 00:20:59,000 Speaker 6: like at Tucker Carlson esque. 386 00:20:59,040 --> 00:21:01,040 Speaker 5: Yeah, I've got a would shop in my back and 387 00:21:01,359 --> 00:21:01,760 Speaker 5: it's like that. 388 00:21:02,040 --> 00:21:03,600 Speaker 6: Well, no, I think this is the first time you've 389 00:21:03,640 --> 00:21:06,480 Speaker 6: ever seen that lumber, sir. But as you know, again, 390 00:21:06,560 --> 00:21:09,919 Speaker 6: some voters, they really started his rebranding in that respect 391 00:21:09,920 --> 00:21:13,040 Speaker 6: actually worked pretty successful for yeah, the last year and 392 00:21:13,080 --> 00:21:14,479 Speaker 6: a half against Trudeau. 393 00:21:14,640 --> 00:21:16,840 Speaker 2: Yeah, he had a pretty substantial makeover the past the 394 00:21:16,880 --> 00:21:20,960 Speaker 2: past few years to make himself like presentable in this way. Yeah, 395 00:21:21,119 --> 00:21:24,240 Speaker 2: very like carlsonesque, very like Ben Shapiro goes to home 396 00:21:24,280 --> 00:21:27,280 Speaker 2: depot and gets some wood. Yes, it's definitely pulling from 397 00:21:27,280 --> 00:21:30,280 Speaker 2: that vein, although maybe a bit more successfully and like, 398 00:21:30,480 --> 00:21:33,720 Speaker 2: at least from my perspective, it feels like the degree 399 00:21:33,760 --> 00:21:36,879 Speaker 2: to which Pierre kind of hitched himself to like the 400 00:21:36,960 --> 00:21:39,879 Speaker 2: Trump populist wagon the past few years, especially like with 401 00:21:39,920 --> 00:21:43,439 Speaker 2: like sentiments like growing in like the Western provinces, that 402 00:21:43,520 --> 00:21:46,360 Speaker 2: kind of mirrors some of the Trumpian rhetoric. That type 403 00:21:46,359 --> 00:21:49,120 Speaker 2: of stuff was getting popularity. And now because he put 404 00:21:49,240 --> 00:21:51,159 Speaker 2: if not all his eggs, but some of his eggs 405 00:21:51,200 --> 00:21:54,320 Speaker 2: in the Trump basket. This is like backfired in like 406 00:21:54,480 --> 00:21:57,760 Speaker 2: popular opinion when it comes to his ability to succeed 407 00:21:57,800 --> 00:22:01,120 Speaker 2: as like a politician and like gaining support because we've 408 00:22:01,119 --> 00:22:04,320 Speaker 2: seen so much anti Trump polarization based on like the 409 00:22:04,320 --> 00:22:08,199 Speaker 2: fifty first state stuff based on the tariffs, and like 410 00:22:08,320 --> 00:22:11,240 Speaker 2: Carnie has been able to weaponize that pretty effectively against 411 00:22:11,680 --> 00:22:15,320 Speaker 2: against Pierre. Absolutely like it. Initially, like the way like 412 00:22:15,600 --> 00:22:18,600 Speaker 2: popularity points shifted was like by like twenty points, which 413 00:22:18,640 --> 00:22:21,400 Speaker 2: was like huge. Those have gotten closer, But. 414 00:22:21,640 --> 00:22:23,520 Speaker 6: I think it's one of the biggest reversals or if 415 00:22:23,560 --> 00:22:26,960 Speaker 6: not the biggest reversal in Canadian political history. Was the 416 00:22:27,000 --> 00:22:29,400 Speaker 6: dominating lead they had from having it almost an assured 417 00:22:29,440 --> 00:22:32,920 Speaker 6: majority to now perhaps losing to a liberal majority, which 418 00:22:33,000 --> 00:22:36,199 Speaker 6: again is unheard of. Yeah, one thing that people are 419 00:22:36,200 --> 00:22:38,960 Speaker 6: also kind of missing is that he also really closely 420 00:22:39,000 --> 00:22:41,840 Speaker 6: started associating himself with Elon Musk. 421 00:22:41,880 --> 00:22:46,520 Speaker 5: Prior to Leader of you know, the US or whatever 422 00:22:46,560 --> 00:22:48,400 Speaker 5: you want to call him, the real. 423 00:22:48,240 --> 00:22:49,399 Speaker 4: President of the United States. 424 00:22:49,400 --> 00:22:52,679 Speaker 6: But he had a number of rallies and on the 425 00:22:52,760 --> 00:22:55,840 Speaker 6: record praising Elon Musk prior to Elon Musk. This was 426 00:22:55,840 --> 00:22:58,760 Speaker 6: pretty Elon Musk overt Nazi era kind of more just 427 00:22:58,800 --> 00:23:00,560 Speaker 6: like Nazi light eraser. 428 00:23:01,359 --> 00:23:02,840 Speaker 5: Yeah, yeah, exactly. 429 00:23:03,560 --> 00:23:05,720 Speaker 6: But around that time, Pierre was asked, like, what do 430 00:23:05,720 --> 00:23:08,320 Speaker 6: you think about being endorsed and praised by Elon Musk, 431 00:23:08,480 --> 00:23:11,159 Speaker 6: And you know, he started making jokes about how his 432 00:23:11,280 --> 00:23:13,400 Speaker 6: kids want to go to Mars, so that's pretty cute, 433 00:23:13,440 --> 00:23:16,080 Speaker 6: and started talking about how he wants Elon Musk to 434 00:23:16,080 --> 00:23:19,400 Speaker 6: build more factories and plants in Canada. Well that's all 435 00:23:19,440 --> 00:23:21,480 Speaker 6: really coming back to hurt him now, because the very 436 00:23:21,480 --> 00:23:24,560 Speaker 6: idea of there being a stronger TESLA presence in the 437 00:23:24,600 --> 00:23:27,960 Speaker 6: country is decidedly rejected by the populace. Like, you know, 438 00:23:28,000 --> 00:23:29,800 Speaker 6: the protests that are going on in the United States 439 00:23:29,840 --> 00:23:32,439 Speaker 6: against tesla's are going on here as well. Maybe not 440 00:23:32,480 --> 00:23:36,240 Speaker 6: as large scale or perhaps as fire based, but a 441 00:23:36,240 --> 00:23:38,480 Speaker 6: lot of them are occurring here, and so like that 442 00:23:38,520 --> 00:23:40,560 Speaker 6: I think is also really hurting him. So there's been 443 00:23:40,600 --> 00:23:43,560 Speaker 6: this really funny, strange political dance that's kind of happened 444 00:23:43,560 --> 00:23:46,000 Speaker 6: in the last couple of months where everyone is trying 445 00:23:46,040 --> 00:23:48,760 Speaker 6: to say Trump loves you more. It's like a circular 446 00:23:48,840 --> 00:23:51,400 Speaker 6: firing squad. Like at one point the Conservatives were trying 447 00:23:51,440 --> 00:23:54,719 Speaker 6: to market themselves to saying Trump was making fun of 448 00:23:55,000 --> 00:23:58,560 Speaker 6: Pierre in this clip, so look he hates Pierre More. Yeah, 449 00:23:58,560 --> 00:24:00,960 Speaker 6: And then another it was like, oh no, no, look he's 450 00:24:01,040 --> 00:24:04,240 Speaker 6: talking a lot of smack about Mark Karney. He hates 451 00:24:04,280 --> 00:24:06,679 Speaker 6: Mark Carney Moore. So that that has actually become a 452 00:24:07,240 --> 00:24:10,360 Speaker 6: very strong dynamic of the Canadian election is who exactly 453 00:24:10,400 --> 00:24:12,520 Speaker 6: does Trump like more? And that's not going to be 454 00:24:12,600 --> 00:24:14,400 Speaker 6: good for you if it turns out you're the one. 455 00:24:14,640 --> 00:24:16,240 Speaker 2: I guess I'd like to talk a little bit now 456 00:24:16,640 --> 00:24:19,600 Speaker 2: at the end here about Mark Kearney himself and kind 457 00:24:19,600 --> 00:24:22,199 Speaker 2: of what this means for like the Liberal Party. He 458 00:24:22,280 --> 00:24:24,000 Speaker 2: was the Governor of the Bank of Canada, starting into 459 00:24:24,040 --> 00:24:26,240 Speaker 2: as an eight Then he became governor of the Bank 460 00:24:26,240 --> 00:24:30,960 Speaker 2: of England and managed them through the Brexit fiasco. Brexit 461 00:24:31,040 --> 00:24:33,359 Speaker 2: was not his idea. He was not pro Brexit, but 462 00:24:33,440 --> 00:24:35,959 Speaker 2: he just happened to be holding the reins of the 463 00:24:35,720 --> 00:24:38,760 Speaker 2: of the Bank of England during that time period. Returned 464 00:24:38,880 --> 00:24:42,919 Speaker 2: to Canada, has served as like an informal advisor to 465 00:24:43,119 --> 00:24:46,040 Speaker 2: Trudeau and now is the is the leader of the 466 00:24:46,119 --> 00:24:49,600 Speaker 2: Liberal Party. He's a very I don't know, he tries 467 00:24:49,640 --> 00:24:51,760 Speaker 2: to like project this sense of like he's like a 468 00:24:51,840 --> 00:24:55,399 Speaker 2: like like a reasonable man, which which which he you know, 469 00:24:55,440 --> 00:24:57,560 Speaker 2: in some ways is like he's like he's like kind 470 00:24:57,600 --> 00:25:02,800 Speaker 2: of boring. He works in banking. He's not like overtly charismatic. 471 00:25:03,280 --> 00:25:06,040 Speaker 2: But he doesn't have like the the like youthful, like 472 00:25:06,200 --> 00:25:10,639 Speaker 2: bumbling presence of like Trudeau. Like he just he seems 473 00:25:10,680 --> 00:25:12,840 Speaker 2: he seems kind of basic. I don't know. 474 00:25:16,600 --> 00:25:18,920 Speaker 6: Yeah, I mean that's a good way of putting it. Yeah, 475 00:25:18,920 --> 00:25:21,800 Speaker 6: you're totally right. I mean we're talking about a lifelong banker. 476 00:25:21,920 --> 00:25:24,000 Speaker 6: I mean, he's even worked for gold Mill Sacks. He 477 00:25:24,080 --> 00:25:28,560 Speaker 6: has a yes, a very long and started well. I mean, 478 00:25:28,800 --> 00:25:30,679 Speaker 6: in some view, it depends on your worldview. Right, if 479 00:25:30,680 --> 00:25:33,119 Speaker 6: you are as a person who thinks that the solution 480 00:25:33,280 --> 00:25:36,720 Speaker 6: going forward, especially in the face of actual manifesting fascism, 481 00:25:37,359 --> 00:25:42,160 Speaker 6: is more neoliberal policies, austerity and measures, then you might 482 00:25:42,200 --> 00:25:44,800 Speaker 6: be very, very excited to perhaps get your own, like 483 00:25:45,040 --> 00:25:48,520 Speaker 6: honestly Joe Biden style election here where we are once 484 00:25:48,560 --> 00:25:52,360 Speaker 6: again going to be choosing center to center right economic 485 00:25:52,400 --> 00:25:56,320 Speaker 6: policies that are going to undoubtedly exacerbate wealth and equality more. 486 00:25:56,720 --> 00:25:58,480 Speaker 6: They are not going to solve the housing crisis. The 487 00:25:58,520 --> 00:26:02,280 Speaker 6: housing crisis of Canada, while it is portrayed constantly as complex, 488 00:26:02,520 --> 00:26:05,280 Speaker 6: really goes down to fundamentally there are a lot of houses, 489 00:26:05,359 --> 00:26:07,200 Speaker 6: but there are also a lot of houses being built 490 00:26:07,240 --> 00:26:10,560 Speaker 6: in luxury markets that most people can't afford. Speculation is 491 00:26:10,600 --> 00:26:15,080 Speaker 6: not addressed, and so speculation usually gets blamed on foreign investors, 492 00:26:15,359 --> 00:26:17,960 Speaker 6: which in turn kind of brings up the whole immigration fears, 493 00:26:18,000 --> 00:26:21,080 Speaker 6: which are very successful. But with Carney, I mean, I 494 00:26:21,080 --> 00:26:23,800 Speaker 6: don't see anything dramatic. Not only did he acts the 495 00:26:23,800 --> 00:26:26,679 Speaker 6: carbon tax when he was in power initially, and that 496 00:26:26,800 --> 00:26:29,760 Speaker 6: was again, I think, strategically to remove the power the 497 00:26:29,760 --> 00:26:32,439 Speaker 6: Conservatives had on that policy. He also is getting rid 498 00:26:32,440 --> 00:26:34,600 Speaker 6: of the capital gains tax, which again is just going 499 00:26:34,640 --> 00:26:37,960 Speaker 6: to be funneling more money towards the ultra wealthy in Canada. 500 00:26:38,080 --> 00:26:41,080 Speaker 6: So the problem for me is that, if anything, I'm 501 00:26:41,080 --> 00:26:43,040 Speaker 6: happy that p here it looks like he might not win. 502 00:26:43,160 --> 00:26:44,720 Speaker 6: I don't know what by the time people are listening 503 00:26:44,800 --> 00:26:47,520 Speaker 6: to this, what the results are. But I also recognize 504 00:26:47,560 --> 00:26:50,600 Speaker 6: that this does not solve these crises. For simply putting 505 00:26:50,720 --> 00:26:55,440 Speaker 6: band aids on a pause before finally a Trump of 506 00:26:55,480 --> 00:26:58,679 Speaker 6: our own gets elected and then yes, people after the 507 00:26:58,720 --> 00:27:00,720 Speaker 6: facts start realizing, oh, Oh my god, he's doing a 508 00:27:00,760 --> 00:27:02,800 Speaker 6: lot of the horrifying things that he promised he would do. 509 00:27:03,160 --> 00:27:05,439 Speaker 6: He's actually trying to enact Project twenty twenty five. All 510 00:27:05,480 --> 00:27:06,560 Speaker 6: these terrible things are happening. 511 00:27:06,680 --> 00:27:08,840 Speaker 5: Yeah. Well, I mean, if this was an election. 512 00:27:08,640 --> 00:27:10,159 Speaker 6: Where it looked like Pierre was going to win, I 513 00:27:10,160 --> 00:27:12,520 Speaker 6: would say he is going to follow through on all 514 00:27:12,600 --> 00:27:15,160 Speaker 6: the aggressive measures and more that he's promising right now, 515 00:27:15,240 --> 00:27:17,600 Speaker 6: which include, you know, suspending the Canadian Charter of Rights 516 00:27:17,600 --> 00:27:20,200 Speaker 6: and Freedoms to people that he deems should be worthy 517 00:27:20,200 --> 00:27:23,880 Speaker 6: of receiving freedoms. Specifically because, like Donald Trump, he wants 518 00:27:23,920 --> 00:27:27,000 Speaker 6: to begin silencing people for their speech in relation to 519 00:27:27,040 --> 00:27:30,919 Speaker 6: protesting against Israel and their genocide of Palacidians, especially if 520 00:27:30,920 --> 00:27:33,119 Speaker 6: you are an immigrant or someone on a student visa, 521 00:27:33,560 --> 00:27:36,840 Speaker 6: and these policies you can see they're a disaster after 522 00:27:36,880 --> 00:27:38,439 Speaker 6: the fact, and people I think wake up to them 523 00:27:38,520 --> 00:27:40,960 Speaker 6: like Americans are right now when they realize Trump's actually 524 00:27:41,040 --> 00:27:45,280 Speaker 6: doing it. But you know, make no mistake, it doesn't require, 525 00:27:45,920 --> 00:27:48,800 Speaker 6: you know, too long of the increase in out wealth 526 00:27:48,800 --> 00:27:51,240 Speaker 6: and equality for people to look for an answer because 527 00:27:51,240 --> 00:27:53,080 Speaker 6: they're not being listened to by the libs or the 528 00:27:53,119 --> 00:27:53,840 Speaker 6: liberals here. 529 00:27:53,760 --> 00:27:55,800 Speaker 2: No it is interesting that how much this election has 530 00:27:55,840 --> 00:28:00,200 Speaker 2: almost mirrored the American two party system with the Black 531 00:28:00,280 --> 00:28:03,720 Speaker 2: Keebuquah as well as the MDP, like probably most likely 532 00:28:04,119 --> 00:28:06,119 Speaker 2: right this is before the results, but probably going to 533 00:28:06,160 --> 00:28:09,280 Speaker 2: be losing seats to both the Liberals and the Conservatives. 534 00:28:09,680 --> 00:28:11,000 Speaker 2: And like, I think like a big part of this 535 00:28:11,560 --> 00:28:14,240 Speaker 2: election I think is similarly looking back in the past 536 00:28:14,240 --> 00:28:15,960 Speaker 2: ten years, is how much I think the NDP is 537 00:28:16,000 --> 00:28:19,240 Speaker 2: frankly fumbled and probably needs to do a major overhaul 538 00:28:19,320 --> 00:28:23,520 Speaker 2: to really regain trust in the voters. And yeah, it's 539 00:28:23,560 --> 00:28:25,560 Speaker 2: going to be tough because I think, like for the 540 00:28:25,560 --> 00:28:27,919 Speaker 2: Progressives in Canada, it's kind of been convenient for the 541 00:28:27,960 --> 00:28:30,080 Speaker 2: Liberals to have a minority government because then they need 542 00:28:30,119 --> 00:28:31,520 Speaker 2: to work with ENDPT. 543 00:28:31,320 --> 00:28:33,439 Speaker 6: And they've gotten the law accomplished to be fair to 544 00:28:33,480 --> 00:28:36,920 Speaker 6: Chuck meet Seeing and you know, they're for American listeners, 545 00:28:36,920 --> 00:28:39,800 Speaker 6: the Social Democratic Party of Canada, they accomplished some great 546 00:28:39,840 --> 00:28:43,320 Speaker 6: things working in a minority government setting, including a pharmacare program, 547 00:28:43,360 --> 00:28:48,080 Speaker 6: including a federal feeding program for children, a school lunch program, 548 00:28:48,800 --> 00:28:51,280 Speaker 6: you know, working on paid family sickly even extending it. 549 00:28:51,360 --> 00:28:52,640 Speaker 6: So they've done a lot of good in sort of 550 00:28:52,760 --> 00:28:55,400 Speaker 6: enacting progressive policies. But it's the Liberals who are also 551 00:28:56,320 --> 00:28:58,200 Speaker 6: equally as good at taking credit for all the things 552 00:28:58,240 --> 00:29:00,200 Speaker 6: that people have come to really like, such as having 553 00:29:00,280 --> 00:29:02,920 Speaker 6: dental care for the first time and having cheaper firementcare 554 00:29:02,960 --> 00:29:03,640 Speaker 6: and stuff like that. 555 00:29:04,200 --> 00:29:06,720 Speaker 2: Thanks to Lance again for talking with me about the 556 00:29:06,760 --> 00:29:10,400 Speaker 2: Canadian election. It's time for one more ad break and 557 00:29:10,440 --> 00:29:24,840 Speaker 2: we'll come back to discuss the future of the Canadian government. Okay, 558 00:29:24,920 --> 00:29:28,160 Speaker 2: we are back. Let's talk a little bit more about 559 00:29:28,200 --> 00:29:32,360 Speaker 2: Trump's undue influence in the twenty twenty five Canadian election, 560 00:29:32,480 --> 00:29:34,920 Speaker 2: because it is a little bit odd for a foreign 561 00:29:34,960 --> 00:29:39,960 Speaker 2: leader to be exerting this much influence in the votes of, 562 00:29:40,160 --> 00:29:44,360 Speaker 2: you know, a separate country. Now, this was an election 563 00:29:44,680 --> 00:29:49,240 Speaker 2: that was previously about liberal stagnation and wanting change in 564 00:29:49,280 --> 00:29:53,560 Speaker 2: economic policy. This was kind of leading the conservative popular 565 00:29:53,600 --> 00:29:57,959 Speaker 2: support the past two three years, and very suddenly this 566 00:29:58,000 --> 00:30:01,080 Speaker 2: whole election changed and it became about to who Canada 567 00:30:01,160 --> 00:30:06,320 Speaker 2: trusted to oppose Trump and who Canadians wanted to be 568 00:30:06,400 --> 00:30:09,920 Speaker 2: like the face of Canada in this new global trade 569 00:30:09,920 --> 00:30:14,360 Speaker 2: war and this fight against a hostile neighbor. And Trump 570 00:30:14,440 --> 00:30:19,880 Speaker 2: did not help this. On election morning, Trump released a 571 00:30:19,960 --> 00:30:24,880 Speaker 2: statement basically endorsing himself as the leader of Canada. 572 00:30:25,280 --> 00:30:28,360 Speaker 4: Oh great, saying quote. 573 00:30:28,320 --> 00:30:30,680 Speaker 2: Good luck to the great people of Canada. Elect the 574 00:30:30,720 --> 00:30:33,000 Speaker 2: man who has the strength and wisdom to cut your 575 00:30:33,000 --> 00:30:36,320 Speaker 2: taxes in half, increase your military power for free to 576 00:30:36,640 --> 00:30:40,880 Speaker 2: the highest level in the world. Have your car, steel, aluminum, lumber, energy, 577 00:30:40,920 --> 00:30:43,240 Speaker 2: and all their businesses quadruple in size with the zero 578 00:30:43,360 --> 00:30:47,320 Speaker 2: tariffs or taxes. If Canada becomes the cherished fifty first 579 00:30:47,360 --> 00:30:52,000 Speaker 2: state of the United States of America, oh no more. 580 00:30:52,080 --> 00:30:54,840 Speaker 2: Artificially drawn a line from a many years ago. Look 581 00:30:54,880 --> 00:30:57,840 Speaker 2: how beautiful this land mass would be. Free access, with 582 00:30:57,880 --> 00:31:01,600 Speaker 2: no border, all positives, with no negatives. It was meant 583 00:31:01,680 --> 00:31:05,280 Speaker 2: to be. America can no longer subsidize Canada with hundreds 584 00:31:05,280 --> 00:31:07,440 Speaker 2: of billions of dollars a year that we've been spending 585 00:31:07,440 --> 00:31:11,080 Speaker 2: in the past. It makes no sense unless Canada is 586 00:31:11,120 --> 00:31:11,600 Speaker 2: a state. 587 00:31:11,960 --> 00:31:13,880 Speaker 4: Man Trump the border appelationist. 588 00:31:15,880 --> 00:31:19,800 Speaker 2: This is the rhetoric that really produced a liberal victory, 589 00:31:20,000 --> 00:31:22,280 Speaker 2: and Trump did kind of back off this stuff in 590 00:31:22,320 --> 00:31:24,760 Speaker 2: the past few weeks, and it's very funny to see 591 00:31:24,800 --> 00:31:27,120 Speaker 2: him go like full throttle the morning of the election, 592 00:31:27,240 --> 00:31:30,040 Speaker 2: in case anyone was like on the fence about whether 593 00:31:30,200 --> 00:31:34,320 Speaker 2: they really was worrying about like Trump. This just this 594 00:31:34,360 --> 00:31:37,360 Speaker 2: says like such a crazy hell, Mary. And we can 595 00:31:37,400 --> 00:31:41,720 Speaker 2: see this in some polling stats. On Trump's inauguration day, 596 00:31:41,720 --> 00:31:45,200 Speaker 2: the Conservatives in Canada were leading forty four point eight 597 00:31:45,280 --> 00:31:47,719 Speaker 2: percent in the polls compared to the Liberals twenty one 598 00:31:47,800 --> 00:31:51,240 Speaker 2: point nine percent to end the NDP's seventeen point six 599 00:31:51,960 --> 00:31:54,720 Speaker 2: But as Liberals searched for a new leader and as 600 00:31:54,720 --> 00:31:59,160 Speaker 2: Trump took office, the Conservative lead slowly started to slip. 601 00:31:59,640 --> 00:32:02,960 Speaker 2: The CID began referring to Canada as the fifty first state, 602 00:32:03,400 --> 00:32:07,040 Speaker 2: called the Prime minister quote unquote governor, and threatened to 603 00:32:07,080 --> 00:32:10,840 Speaker 2: impose huge tariffs to stop a non existent fentanyl smuggling 604 00:32:10,840 --> 00:32:15,640 Speaker 2: crisis through the Canadian US border. By April, the Conservative 605 00:32:15,720 --> 00:32:19,120 Speaker 2: lead had fully flipped over to the Liberals, who rose 606 00:32:19,160 --> 00:32:21,640 Speaker 2: to forty four percent in the polls, Conservatives falling to 607 00:32:21,720 --> 00:32:25,440 Speaker 2: thirty seven percent and the NDP around eight point five. 608 00:32:25,880 --> 00:32:28,920 Speaker 2: And these are pretty close to the final results. This 609 00:32:29,040 --> 00:32:32,080 Speaker 2: number is very accurate for liberal support. Conservatives got a 610 00:32:32,120 --> 00:32:34,320 Speaker 2: little bit more than thirty six percent of the vote 611 00:32:34,400 --> 00:32:36,560 Speaker 2: and NDP got a little bit less than this eight 612 00:32:36,600 --> 00:32:40,360 Speaker 2: point five. This is according to data from CBC and 613 00:32:40,480 --> 00:32:45,640 Speaker 2: Abacus this was very much a leader's election, meaning that 614 00:32:46,040 --> 00:32:48,640 Speaker 2: one of the biggest factors driving votes was who people 615 00:32:48,680 --> 00:32:52,360 Speaker 2: wanted the prime minister to be, and Mark Carney is 616 00:32:52,800 --> 00:32:55,480 Speaker 2: much more popular despite being kind of an unknown figure, 617 00:32:55,520 --> 00:32:59,120 Speaker 2: which kind of actually helps in popularity, Carney's was so 618 00:32:59,200 --> 00:33:03,000 Speaker 2: much more popular than Polyiev. The past three months, Carney 619 00:33:03,120 --> 00:33:07,280 Speaker 2: has steadily gained in popularity, getting forty six percent approval, 620 00:33:07,880 --> 00:33:12,480 Speaker 2: whereas Polyiev has slowly declined in popularity. I talked about 621 00:33:12,480 --> 00:33:14,480 Speaker 2: this a little bit with Lance, but the degree to 622 00:33:14,520 --> 00:33:17,600 Speaker 2: which he's aligned himself with this like anti woke, like 623 00:33:17,680 --> 00:33:20,960 Speaker 2: far right populism rhetoric really bit him in the ass 624 00:33:21,000 --> 00:33:25,320 Speaker 2: these past few months. He would have done fine against Trudeau, certainly, 625 00:33:25,720 --> 00:33:28,280 Speaker 2: he was really writing off that like anti incumbent wave, 626 00:33:29,000 --> 00:33:33,320 Speaker 2: but he is not like a loved figure across Canadian politics, 627 00:33:33,360 --> 00:33:38,080 Speaker 2: even among some conservatives. The two most important factors driving 628 00:33:38,240 --> 00:33:41,600 Speaker 2: Canadians vote, according to Abacus, was reducing cost of living 629 00:33:41,680 --> 00:33:45,160 Speaker 2: and dealing with Donald Trump. Younger voters seem to be 630 00:33:45,200 --> 00:33:48,040 Speaker 2: more focused on cost of living and changing policy, around 631 00:33:48,080 --> 00:33:51,680 Speaker 2: fifty seven percent of voters eighteen to twenty nine, while 632 00:33:51,800 --> 00:33:55,520 Speaker 2: older voters around fifty six percent of boomers were more 633 00:33:55,560 --> 00:33:58,720 Speaker 2: concerned about stopping Trump. The very first topic in the 634 00:33:58,720 --> 00:34:02,560 Speaker 2: Canadian Prime Minister debate was tariffs and US threats to 635 00:34:02,640 --> 00:34:05,720 Speaker 2: Canadian sovereignty. This is seen as like a very real 636 00:34:05,720 --> 00:34:10,200 Speaker 2: issue up there, and like hatred against the US is 637 00:34:10,760 --> 00:34:14,920 Speaker 2: genuinely growing, like like people are very upset. Canadians are 638 00:34:15,040 --> 00:34:18,160 Speaker 2: very upset about what Trump and the US has been doing. 639 00:34:18,400 --> 00:34:22,200 Speaker 2: It's being seen as like a genuine like like intense betrayal. 640 00:34:22,680 --> 00:34:25,760 Speaker 2: The by Canada movement's been gaining a lot of support 641 00:34:25,840 --> 00:34:28,640 Speaker 2: with people trying to only purchase Canadian products and this 642 00:34:28,680 --> 00:34:31,880 Speaker 2: has resulted in a real cultural moment in Canada united 643 00:34:31,920 --> 00:34:33,520 Speaker 2: against the United States. 644 00:34:33,840 --> 00:34:38,920 Speaker 4: It's genuinely remarkable. Like the Canada, the US have always 645 00:34:38,960 --> 00:34:41,680 Speaker 4: had pretty good relations for it. Well not a waste 646 00:34:41,719 --> 00:34:41,960 Speaker 4: they have. 647 00:34:42,920 --> 00:34:47,359 Speaker 2: Well ever since that one, that one, yeah, yeah, yeah, 648 00:34:47,840 --> 00:34:51,080 Speaker 2: they thinks they've improved it in and like it's what's remarkable. 649 00:34:51,080 --> 00:34:53,399 Speaker 4: It seems to be having an effect in Australia as well. 650 00:34:53,560 --> 00:34:56,160 Speaker 4: And if you've seen that, but like I think I 651 00:34:56,200 --> 00:34:57,920 Speaker 4: saw an ad the other day that just said Duston 652 00:34:57,960 --> 00:35:02,000 Speaker 4: wants to make Australia like America, Like straight up you 653 00:35:02,040 --> 00:35:03,640 Speaker 4: know that this is our Trump and able to align 654 00:35:03,680 --> 00:35:06,319 Speaker 4: with Trump, Like, yeah, it's incredible. 655 00:35:06,000 --> 00:35:08,440 Speaker 2: The degree which Trump doing this global trade war has 656 00:35:08,480 --> 00:35:12,319 Speaker 2: catalyzed negative sentiments around this, like far right populism, glo 657 00:35:12,920 --> 00:35:15,560 Speaker 2: global wave that we've been seeing has really been a 658 00:35:15,560 --> 00:35:19,879 Speaker 2: boon to neoliberal htch enemy the past few ys. 659 00:35:20,360 --> 00:35:23,120 Speaker 3: You'll see like any I mean obviously, like I take 660 00:35:23,239 --> 00:35:26,680 Speaker 3: voter interviews in like legacy media with a huge pinch 661 00:35:26,719 --> 00:35:29,879 Speaker 3: of salt right, it's pretty easy to find someone who 662 00:35:29,880 --> 00:35:32,280 Speaker 3: wants to say what you want them to say. And often, 663 00:35:32,400 --> 00:35:34,840 Speaker 3: you know, certainly some of the US voter interviews have 664 00:35:34,920 --> 00:35:37,600 Speaker 3: just been ridiculous, but like people saying, oh, I just 665 00:35:37,640 --> 00:35:39,520 Speaker 3: want to go back to how it was, Like I 666 00:35:39,560 --> 00:35:41,319 Speaker 3: want to go back to, you know, the things that 667 00:35:41,360 --> 00:35:45,040 Speaker 3: we're used to. And obviously Trump is training that for 668 00:35:45,080 --> 00:35:47,279 Speaker 3: a lot of people, and like in a very negative way. 669 00:35:47,719 --> 00:35:50,480 Speaker 3: And so you and as Garrison said, like the politics 670 00:35:50,480 --> 00:35:54,160 Speaker 3: of personality is becoming more important, like voting specifically for 671 00:35:54,440 --> 00:35:59,320 Speaker 3: individuals who they think will have like the negotiating ability 672 00:35:59,480 --> 00:36:02,840 Speaker 3: or just break or like whatever it is to stand 673 00:36:02,920 --> 00:36:03,480 Speaker 3: up to Trump. 674 00:36:03,560 --> 00:36:06,960 Speaker 2: Right, Yeah, And like in Canada, I think it's less 675 00:36:07,360 --> 00:36:11,160 Speaker 2: personality driven. Like actually Canadians are very against personality politics. Yeah, 676 00:36:11,640 --> 00:36:15,240 Speaker 2: it's more like competency driven. And this is where Carneie 677 00:36:15,280 --> 00:36:18,080 Speaker 2: was really able to succeed. It's because he's not a 678 00:36:18,120 --> 00:36:21,560 Speaker 2: compelling personality, but he is like a professional and that 679 00:36:21,640 --> 00:36:24,360 Speaker 2: is why he was elected. Carneie helped Canada whether the 680 00:36:24,400 --> 00:36:26,399 Speaker 2: two US and eight financial collapse better than almost any 681 00:36:26,400 --> 00:36:29,520 Speaker 2: other Western nation. He is genuinely good at his job 682 00:36:29,600 --> 00:36:33,960 Speaker 2: of being like a neoliberal like bank economy guy, and 683 00:36:34,160 --> 00:36:38,040 Speaker 2: specifically with these tariffs. This is the guy that you 684 00:36:38,239 --> 00:36:41,960 Speaker 2: want to handle this global trade crisis because this is 685 00:36:41,960 --> 00:36:43,799 Speaker 2: like what he has done his entire life. He's never 686 00:36:43,800 --> 00:36:46,839 Speaker 2: been elected to office before. He is just an economy guy. 687 00:36:47,480 --> 00:36:50,280 Speaker 2: And we saw this in like head to head matchups 688 00:36:50,520 --> 00:36:55,840 Speaker 2: with Carnie versus Polier rating certain things like finding common 689 00:36:55,880 --> 00:36:59,000 Speaker 2: ground to solve a dispute, where carne was twelve points 690 00:36:59,040 --> 00:37:02,160 Speaker 2: ahead adding up to a bully Carney's eight points ahead. 691 00:37:02,440 --> 00:37:06,000 Speaker 2: Managing household expenses Carney six points ahead. Sitting beside you 692 00:37:06,080 --> 00:37:11,400 Speaker 2: on a long airplane flight Carneie six points ahead. Captaining 693 00:37:11,400 --> 00:37:14,440 Speaker 2: a ship through a rough storm Carneie five points ahead. 694 00:37:14,440 --> 00:37:17,759 Speaker 4: That's what you need. You need a seafarer only five 695 00:37:18,000 --> 00:37:19,480 Speaker 4: ahead on seafaring. 696 00:37:19,040 --> 00:37:24,160 Speaker 2: Hosting the best party Carney one point ahead, and we'll see. 697 00:37:24,400 --> 00:37:26,640 Speaker 4: This is reminiscent of that, Like was it like Tim 698 00:37:26,680 --> 00:37:31,040 Speaker 4: the plumber shit from like the bush pail in election? 699 00:37:31,760 --> 00:37:33,359 Speaker 4: Like the people I would want to have a beer with. 700 00:37:33,440 --> 00:37:35,760 Speaker 2: Well, this is the funny thing is is the concerns 701 00:37:35,800 --> 00:37:38,279 Speaker 2: are still better in like those types of like physical 702 00:37:38,320 --> 00:37:42,680 Speaker 2: things like putting out a kitchen fire, polyb is up 703 00:37:42,719 --> 00:37:47,239 Speaker 2: to and putting up a shelf. Polyv's up six. There's 704 00:37:47,320 --> 00:37:52,000 Speaker 2: the only two one speasured where the conservative candidate edged 705 00:37:52,040 --> 00:37:54,080 Speaker 2: out the liberals is putting out a kitchen fire and 706 00:37:54,120 --> 00:37:57,120 Speaker 2: putting up a shelf. But all other things like solving disputes, 707 00:37:57,120 --> 00:38:01,080 Speaker 2: standing up to bullies, managing like expenses like household expenses. 708 00:38:01,400 --> 00:38:04,560 Speaker 2: Carnee Carney came out. I'm going to read a few 709 00:38:04,600 --> 00:38:09,360 Speaker 2: lines from Carnee's celebration acceptance speech here, and I'm just 710 00:38:09,400 --> 00:38:11,800 Speaker 2: gonna read them and not play clips because he blends 711 00:38:11,920 --> 00:38:14,440 Speaker 2: English and French and that's going to be annoying. No 712 00:38:14,520 --> 00:38:18,279 Speaker 2: offense to our French speakers out there. Yeah, Garrison, it's 713 00:38:18,280 --> 00:38:20,560 Speaker 2: gonna be annoying to play for a podcast. It's not 714 00:38:20,600 --> 00:38:24,440 Speaker 2: gonna do for the kbra Qua crowd quote. America wants 715 00:38:24,520 --> 00:38:28,279 Speaker 2: our land, our resources, our water, our country. These are 716 00:38:28,320 --> 00:38:31,080 Speaker 2: not idle threats. President Trump is trying to break us, 717 00:38:31,120 --> 00:38:35,440 Speaker 2: so America can own us. That will never happen. We 718 00:38:35,520 --> 00:38:38,720 Speaker 2: are once again at one of those hinge moments of history. 719 00:38:39,000 --> 00:38:41,600 Speaker 2: Our old relationship with the United States, relationship based on 720 00:38:41,640 --> 00:38:46,520 Speaker 2: steadily increasing integration, is over. The system of open global 721 00:38:46,560 --> 00:38:49,120 Speaker 2: trade anchored by the United States, a system that Canada 722 00:38:49,120 --> 00:38:51,560 Speaker 2: has relied on since the Second World War, a system that, 723 00:38:51,880 --> 00:38:55,000 Speaker 2: while not perfect, has helped deliver prosperity for a country 724 00:38:55,239 --> 00:38:59,759 Speaker 2: for decades, is over. But it is also our new reality. 725 00:39:00,120 --> 00:39:02,600 Speaker 2: We are over the shock of the American betrayal, but 726 00:39:02,680 --> 00:39:04,879 Speaker 2: we should never forget the lessons. We have to look 727 00:39:04,880 --> 00:39:06,799 Speaker 2: out for ourselves and above all, we have to take 728 00:39:06,840 --> 00:39:09,520 Speaker 2: care of each other. When I sit down with President Trump, 729 00:39:09,800 --> 00:39:12,760 Speaker 2: it will be to discuss the future economic and security 730 00:39:12,760 --> 00:39:16,000 Speaker 2: relationship between two sovereign nations, and it will be with 731 00:39:16,120 --> 00:39:18,840 Speaker 2: our full knowledge that we have many, many other options 732 00:39:18,920 --> 00:39:21,799 Speaker 2: than the United States to build prosperity for all Canadians. 733 00:39:22,200 --> 00:39:24,920 Speaker 2: We will strengthen our relations with reliable partners in Europe, 734 00:39:24,960 --> 00:39:28,000 Speaker 2: Asia and elsewhere. And if the United States no longer 735 00:39:28,040 --> 00:39:30,360 Speaker 2: wants to be in the forefront of the global economy. 736 00:39:30,719 --> 00:39:35,279 Speaker 2: Canada will unquote and yeah, this is the type of 737 00:39:35,320 --> 00:39:37,720 Speaker 2: rhetoric that's going to be I think successful in Canada 738 00:39:38,000 --> 00:39:41,279 Speaker 2: right now and probably in the next few decades. Is 739 00:39:41,840 --> 00:39:43,920 Speaker 2: Canada is going to try to take the spot that 740 00:39:43,960 --> 00:39:46,840 Speaker 2: America used to hold as like the center of like 741 00:39:46,920 --> 00:39:50,480 Speaker 2: global power, especially with climate change, with you know, crop 742 00:39:50,880 --> 00:39:54,520 Speaker 2: crops slowly slowly needed to be moved north. I think 743 00:39:54,600 --> 00:39:57,960 Speaker 2: as as as global warm progresses, Canada is in a 744 00:39:58,000 --> 00:40:01,040 Speaker 2: spot to be like a new emergent like world power. 745 00:40:01,520 --> 00:40:04,520 Speaker 2: And with the degree to which America is just kind 746 00:40:04,520 --> 00:40:08,799 Speaker 2: of giving up that role under Trump, remarkable, someone like 747 00:40:08,920 --> 00:40:14,760 Speaker 2: Carney is very interested in in gaining that degree of superiority. 748 00:40:15,480 --> 00:40:18,480 Speaker 2: Now I'm gonna I'm gonna read a few comments from 749 00:40:18,640 --> 00:40:21,760 Speaker 2: our listeners who I asked to send over their thoughts 750 00:40:21,800 --> 00:40:24,760 Speaker 2: on the Canadian election. And yes, this is a limited sample, 751 00:40:24,800 --> 00:40:27,200 Speaker 2: sask It's based on the politics of people who listen 752 00:40:27,239 --> 00:40:30,320 Speaker 2: to this show. But I still think there's some interesting 753 00:40:30,440 --> 00:40:34,960 Speaker 2: points here outlining what's happened in this election. Quote Mark 754 00:40:35,040 --> 00:40:37,640 Speaker 2: Karney might not be far enough left for my tastes, 755 00:40:37,680 --> 00:40:40,360 Speaker 2: but he immediately made gas cheaper, a tangible improvement for 756 00:40:40,520 --> 00:40:44,160 Speaker 2: my brokeass, and with the way he's been pulling, I'm 757 00:40:44,280 --> 00:40:46,959 Speaker 2: settling on voting for him to keep the Conservatives out 758 00:40:47,000 --> 00:40:51,759 Speaker 2: with their stated anti woke agenda parenthesis bigoted. Not like 759 00:40:51,840 --> 00:40:54,359 Speaker 2: I have much choice. I would have loved to be 760 00:40:54,360 --> 00:40:56,480 Speaker 2: picking here about my vote, but I don't feel confident 761 00:40:56,480 --> 00:40:58,640 Speaker 2: in the NDP or the Greens to come out on 762 00:40:58,719 --> 00:41:02,399 Speaker 2: top of the cons Another person said, quote, I can't 763 00:41:02,400 --> 00:41:05,160 Speaker 2: believe the country seems to be rallying around a neoliberal 764 00:41:05,200 --> 00:41:08,040 Speaker 2: central banker in the face of American fascism, But our 765 00:41:08,120 --> 00:41:11,040 Speaker 2: resentment to the US seems to kind of override all 766 00:41:11,120 --> 00:41:14,760 Speaker 2: other political considerations. So much of the way this election 767 00:41:14,880 --> 00:41:17,520 Speaker 2: is panning out is a display of our culture's profound 768 00:41:17,560 --> 00:41:20,880 Speaker 2: inability to take necessary risks. We're running scared to the 769 00:41:21,040 --> 00:41:24,279 Speaker 2: serious administrator, man in the blind hope things will be 770 00:41:24,320 --> 00:41:27,400 Speaker 2: safe and normal again. When he fails, will take a 771 00:41:27,520 --> 00:41:30,759 Speaker 2: late and stupid risk again. Unquote. And this is something 772 00:41:30,800 --> 00:41:33,680 Speaker 2: I've seen other people express, is like with this kind 773 00:41:33,719 --> 00:41:37,200 Speaker 2: of Obama esque, you know, serious man in charge, this 774 00:41:37,320 --> 00:41:40,960 Speaker 2: like return of neoliberalism. Will this just set the stage 775 00:41:41,120 --> 00:41:43,279 Speaker 2: for like the material conditions for someone like Trump to 776 00:41:43,320 --> 00:41:46,000 Speaker 2: emerge in the next ten years. This is a fear 777 00:41:46,000 --> 00:41:48,239 Speaker 2: that I've seen people express. I don't think it is 778 00:41:48,360 --> 00:41:52,839 Speaker 2: an inevitability, because this is not America in twenty twelve 779 00:41:52,920 --> 00:41:55,040 Speaker 2: or twenty sixteen. This is Canada in twenty twenty five. 780 00:41:55,120 --> 00:41:59,200 Speaker 2: The world is different, but I can understand this fear. Lastly, 781 00:41:59,400 --> 00:42:02,560 Speaker 2: I'll read one other comment or from Blue Sky quote. 782 00:42:03,160 --> 00:42:06,120 Speaker 2: I understand the drive to keep the Conservative Party out 783 00:42:06,120 --> 00:42:08,880 Speaker 2: of office, but I'm also terrified of what the Liberal 784 00:42:08,920 --> 00:42:11,439 Speaker 2: Party will do to this country if they can keep 785 00:42:11,480 --> 00:42:15,640 Speaker 2: campaigning on that very basis in perpetuity. It's good that 786 00:42:15,719 --> 00:42:18,920 Speaker 2: we will probably avoid the worst. It's terrible that progress 787 00:42:18,960 --> 00:42:21,280 Speaker 2: is on hold until the Conservative Party is no longer 788 00:42:21,280 --> 00:42:24,560 Speaker 2: a contender, which could take decades. I also do not 789 00:42:24,680 --> 00:42:27,400 Speaker 2: expect the Liberal Party to meaningfully change the conditions that 790 00:42:27,400 --> 00:42:30,279 Speaker 2: are pushing voters towards reactionary politics. To be again with 791 00:42:30,520 --> 00:42:34,080 Speaker 2: unquote so kind of a similar sentiment there. I think 792 00:42:34,080 --> 00:42:36,000 Speaker 2: that the role for progressives in Canada right now is 793 00:42:36,040 --> 00:42:39,960 Speaker 2: either to rebuild the NDP or infiltrate the Liberals, probably 794 00:42:40,000 --> 00:42:45,080 Speaker 2: rebuilding NDP in most cases because they are going to 795 00:42:45,160 --> 00:42:48,920 Speaker 2: have to have new leadership and seriously reevaluate their strategies 796 00:42:48,960 --> 00:42:54,080 Speaker 2: going forward. James Any notes here, I guess, yeah, I. 797 00:42:53,960 --> 00:42:55,920 Speaker 4: Think like I guess kind of to echo what a 798 00:42:56,000 --> 00:42:58,960 Speaker 4: lot of those people said, Like in the US, we 799 00:42:59,160 --> 00:43:02,640 Speaker 4: had Biden for four years, right, essentially because he was 800 00:43:02,640 --> 00:43:05,560 Speaker 4: elected on not being Trump, and he was able to 801 00:43:05,560 --> 00:43:07,279 Speaker 4: get away well, he thought he could get away with 802 00:43:07,320 --> 00:43:08,880 Speaker 4: more than he actually was able to get away with 803 00:43:08,960 --> 00:43:12,680 Speaker 4: as it turns out, electorally. But like we were admonished 804 00:43:12,719 --> 00:43:14,480 Speaker 4: to vote for the person who wasn't Trump, right, and 805 00:43:14,520 --> 00:43:17,000 Speaker 4: what we got is open air detention for migrants. What 806 00:43:17,040 --> 00:43:18,640 Speaker 4: we got is inflation, and what we got is a 807 00:43:18,680 --> 00:43:24,000 Speaker 4: genocide in Gaza, right. And this fear that a lot 808 00:43:24,040 --> 00:43:28,239 Speaker 4: of other nations in the global north right, like these 809 00:43:28,480 --> 00:43:31,319 Speaker 4: liberal economies are feeling, is going to lead to lots 810 00:43:31,360 --> 00:43:33,839 Speaker 4: of that, like, yes, we need a serious man like 811 00:43:34,160 --> 00:43:36,960 Speaker 4: we needed, we need a statesman to stand up to Trump, 812 00:43:37,560 --> 00:43:40,200 Speaker 4: and that's going to reinforce a lot of that neoliberal orthodoxy, 813 00:43:40,280 --> 00:43:43,279 Speaker 4: and that's going to make it very hard to make 814 00:43:43,320 --> 00:43:46,839 Speaker 4: any meaningful progress to electoral politics in those countries for 815 00:43:46,880 --> 00:43:48,560 Speaker 4: the next few years, which sucks. 816 00:43:48,760 --> 00:43:50,319 Speaker 2: I think this is why some people are excited about 817 00:43:50,320 --> 00:43:53,560 Speaker 2: the minority government, although it is less stable. Yeah, they 818 00:43:53,560 --> 00:43:56,120 Speaker 2: could be swayed by some more of the progressive agendas 819 00:43:56,200 --> 00:43:59,280 Speaker 2: from the NDP because they'll need an NDPU or block 820 00:43:59,320 --> 00:44:01,120 Speaker 2: cooperation to run the government. 821 00:44:01,320 --> 00:44:03,440 Speaker 4: Yeah, they can't do a by the date which like 822 00:44:03,600 --> 00:44:04,120 Speaker 4: I mean. 823 00:44:04,320 --> 00:44:07,560 Speaker 2: Also like Carney isn't Biden like and in the Canadian 824 00:44:07,600 --> 00:44:12,320 Speaker 2: Liberal Party is is not necessarily the like American Democratic Party. 825 00:44:12,400 --> 00:44:16,920 Speaker 2: Like that, they're they're different. Stuff on Gaza is different, 826 00:44:16,960 --> 00:44:20,000 Speaker 2: like that the Canadian Liberals have have restricted arms, arms 827 00:44:20,040 --> 00:44:23,880 Speaker 2: trades and arms deals to Israel the past year. Carney 828 00:44:24,040 --> 00:44:26,080 Speaker 2: is not thrown trans people under the bus the same 829 00:44:26,120 --> 00:44:30,080 Speaker 2: way some Democrats have the past year. Like these are 830 00:44:30,200 --> 00:44:32,320 Speaker 2: these are different people. I think, you know, Canada is 831 00:44:32,320 --> 00:44:36,080 Speaker 2: a different country than the United States. And I think 832 00:44:36,160 --> 00:44:38,960 Speaker 2: what we can see here is that this Canadian election, 833 00:44:39,080 --> 00:44:42,440 Speaker 2: although it was close, it still was a rejection of 834 00:44:42,480 --> 00:44:46,360 Speaker 2: Trump's style polities. Most Canadians do not want Canada to 835 00:44:46,440 --> 00:44:48,760 Speaker 2: go the way of America. There's there's been a subset 836 00:44:48,800 --> 00:44:52,560 Speaker 2: of Canadians, especially in Alberta and and and Saskatchewan, who 837 00:44:52,640 --> 00:44:55,160 Speaker 2: have been trying to push for this like mega style 838 00:44:55,640 --> 00:45:00,320 Speaker 2: like Canada first rhetoric and and this was denied I 839 00:45:00,400 --> 00:45:04,280 Speaker 2: think you were seeing more support for conservatives under Doug Ford. 840 00:45:04,280 --> 00:45:07,239 Speaker 2: With this more like moderate conservatism. I think that's something 841 00:45:07,280 --> 00:45:09,560 Speaker 2: to like watch out for more. But like this, this 842 00:45:09,600 --> 00:45:13,640 Speaker 2: Trump style of politics was was rejected across the country 843 00:45:14,000 --> 00:45:16,200 Speaker 2: and and Carney was able to figure out a way 844 00:45:16,239 --> 00:45:20,239 Speaker 2: to make people trust him to be a genuine like 845 00:45:20,400 --> 00:45:23,919 Speaker 2: combatant against against Trump and and usher in a new 846 00:45:24,400 --> 00:45:27,080 Speaker 2: a new golden age of neoliberal trade in the face 847 00:45:27,120 --> 00:45:32,320 Speaker 2: of Trump's Trump's chaotic and and anti market sentiments. 848 00:45:32,600 --> 00:45:35,000 Speaker 3: Hopefully it does put an end to like this, this 849 00:45:35,160 --> 00:45:37,520 Speaker 3: tendency among liberals, especially in the US but also in 850 00:45:37,560 --> 00:45:41,279 Speaker 3: the UK, to like feel that they need to engage 851 00:45:41,320 --> 00:45:44,080 Speaker 3: on right wing culture war talking points and like I 852 00:45:44,080 --> 00:45:47,440 Speaker 3: guess quote unquote give some ground, Like we've seen that 853 00:45:47,480 --> 00:45:50,640 Speaker 3: in the UK right with like really transfer big ship 854 00:45:50,840 --> 00:45:54,720 Speaker 3: commit at a labor party, and like I would hope 855 00:45:54,800 --> 00:45:57,960 Speaker 3: that like people can see where this leads to and 856 00:45:58,440 --> 00:46:00,600 Speaker 3: that they're not going to vote for liberals who go 857 00:46:00,680 --> 00:46:03,560 Speaker 3: throw trans people under the bus and like that that 858 00:46:03,640 --> 00:46:06,360 Speaker 3: will be like a deciding factor in their support. 859 00:46:06,480 --> 00:46:10,040 Speaker 4: But I guess that's just my hope right now. Yeah. 860 00:46:10,120 --> 00:46:13,239 Speaker 2: Well, and frankly, you know, a better liberal party or 861 00:46:13,280 --> 00:46:17,240 Speaker 2: a liberal NDP coalition would would be would be willing 862 00:46:17,280 --> 00:46:21,080 Speaker 2: to engage with the idea of like taking trans refugees 863 00:46:21,120 --> 00:46:24,600 Speaker 2: from these extremely hostile countries, which is just something they've 864 00:46:24,640 --> 00:46:27,799 Speaker 2: they've not like, you know, publicly talked about. But as 865 00:46:27,840 --> 00:46:29,560 Speaker 2: as things get worse in the States, we will, we 866 00:46:29,600 --> 00:46:32,120 Speaker 2: will see. So yeah, but that is what I have 867 00:46:32,160 --> 00:46:34,160 Speaker 2: to say as a as a Canadian who lives in 868 00:46:34,200 --> 00:46:38,359 Speaker 2: the United States. My thoughts on the Canadian election, you know, 869 00:46:38,560 --> 00:46:40,920 Speaker 2: it could have been worse. Is it is odd to 870 00:46:40,960 --> 00:46:46,000 Speaker 2: see Canada almost accidentally replicate America's two party system. So 871 00:46:46,760 --> 00:46:48,800 Speaker 2: even if this was a rejection of Trump style politics, 872 00:46:49,360 --> 00:46:53,600 Speaker 2: this this this climate of fear did result in replicating 873 00:46:53,680 --> 00:46:56,800 Speaker 2: America's two party system, which is kind of interesting the 874 00:46:56,840 --> 00:46:59,400 Speaker 2: amount of which, like the third parties lost support, with 875 00:46:59,560 --> 00:47:03,160 Speaker 2: support going just towards conservatives and liberals. That is, you know, 876 00:47:03,280 --> 00:47:05,840 Speaker 2: one of the big stories of this election. The the 877 00:47:05,960 --> 00:47:10,440 Speaker 2: NDP blowout one of the big stories and pauliev losing 878 00:47:10,480 --> 00:47:13,840 Speaker 2: his seat. I think is it is at least the 879 00:47:13,880 --> 00:47:15,920 Speaker 2: very least a nice cherry on top for this for 880 00:47:16,000 --> 00:47:16,520 Speaker 2: this election. 881 00:47:20,040 --> 00:47:22,560 Speaker 1: It could happen. Here is a production of cool Zone Media. 882 00:47:22,719 --> 00:47:25,800 Speaker 1: For more podcasts from cool Zone Media. Visit our website 883 00:47:25,880 --> 00:47:28,440 Speaker 1: cool Zonemedia dot com, or check us out on the 884 00:47:28,440 --> 00:47:31,399 Speaker 1: iHeartRadio app, Apple podcasts, or wherever you. 885 00:47:31,400 --> 00:47:32,520 Speaker 5: Listen to podcasts. 886 00:47:32,840 --> 00:47:34,759 Speaker 1: You can now find sources for it could happen here, 887 00:47:34,800 --> 00:47:37,760 Speaker 1: listed directly in episode descriptions. Thanks for listening.