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Speaker 1: Welcome to The Favorites, the podcast presented by BET three

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Speaker 1: sixty five. We are part of the Action Network. Today

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Speaker 1: is our week sixteen Tuesday NFL episode. I am Chad Milman,

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Speaker 1: Chief Content Officer of the Action Network. We are coming

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Speaker 1: off of a four and one week in our contest,

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Speaker 1: following up a three and two week the week before.

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Speaker 1: A lot of lines we liked on Sunday have already moved,

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Speaker 1: which is why you need to listen to the Sunday

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Speaker 1: show if you want to get the best of the number.

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Speaker 1: Simon and I were just discussing before we came on

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Speaker 1: Big Big line Moves today's show. We will get to

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Speaker 1: our Simon says, in our exact decision. On Thursday, we

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Speaker 1: will finalize our big Balls Better of the Week, our

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Speaker 1: foxhol our Survivor, Actually we probably won't get the Survivor,

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Speaker 1: and our money line parlay, and don't forget this episode.

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Speaker 1: We'll look at the entire boarder we begin narrowing down

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Speaker 1: the five picks we'll enter in the Favorites Podcast. One

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Speaker 1: hundred thousand dollars Pro Football Pick Them contest still free

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Speaker 1: and open for sign ups. It's awarding weekly and season

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Speaker 1: long cash prizes at Favorites dot actionnetwork dot com. Let's

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Speaker 1: bring in my co host, my bff, my companion, Mi

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Speaker 1: cam Padre Professional Better, Simon hotter Heado Simon, I'm good.

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Speaker 1: I'm good. I'm good. I'm good. I'm good. I'm really good.

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Speaker 1: Set of this episode last week heading into week fifteen,

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Speaker 1: that I thought our handicapping the week before when we

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Speaker 1: had finished three and two turned out to be great.

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Speaker 1: That we were just chicken on a couple of games,

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Speaker 1: and we weren't going to be chicken going to last

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Speaker 1: week and specifically on the Bucks and the Panthers, we

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Speaker 1: were not chicken. It paid off. Let's make a pledge

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Speaker 1: to each other right now. We won't be chickens again.

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Speaker 1: We will be courageous in the face of line moves,

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Speaker 1: roster moves, quarterback changes, wise, guys chirping in our ears.

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Speaker 1: We will be bold, Simon. We will reach for the stars.

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Speaker 1: You know why, Why Because they are there. That's where

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Speaker 1: we go next. The Favorites podcast is presented by Bet

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Speaker 1: never ordinary at Bet three six five. Must be twenty

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Speaker 1: one or older in pre is in Colorado, Iowa, Louisiana,

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Speaker 1: New Jersey, Ohio, Virginia or eighteen and other're in Kentucky.

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Speaker 1: Gambling problem called one eight hundred gambler or one eight

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Speaker 1: hundred bets off in Iowa terms. Conditions restrictions apply. Also,

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Speaker 1: please please please remember you can catch every episode of

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Speaker 1: the Favorites live on YouTube. For those enjoying on YouTube,

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Speaker 1: don't forget to give us a like and subscribe to

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Speaker 1: the Action Network YouTube page. Before we get to week sixteen,

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Speaker 1: four housekeeping notes. First housekeeping note, and this is big.

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Speaker 1: You gotta listen because we've got a very big announcement

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Speaker 1: at the end of this week. Fifteen winners round up

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Speaker 1: in the Favorites Contest through fifteen weeks. Simon, you and

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Speaker 1: I are now forty three and thirty two in the

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Speaker 1: contest about fifty seven percent, a little bit above fifty

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Speaker 1: seven percent against the spread, three hundred and eightieth place

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Speaker 1: top three percent. Not bad, not bad at all, especially

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Speaker 1: to the jag off who gave us a one star

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Speaker 1: review because we had two bad weeks in a row.

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Speaker 1: You can suck it because you know what, not every

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Speaker 1: week is going to be perfect. We're giving you a podcast.

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Speaker 1: We're doing the best we can. One star review after

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Speaker 1: three weeks. You're like that dude Bill who was coming

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Speaker 1: after me because he thought I was not being as

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Speaker 1: transparent as I can. Come on. Week fifteen saw just

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Speaker 1: ninety entries finished five and oh in the contest. We

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Speaker 1: had a tie for first place. Two entries went five

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Speaker 1: and oh with the same tiebreaker. Congrats to Brian Vendetti

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Speaker 1: and Joshua Brady enjoy the cash. This week's producer couple

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Speaker 1: Word goes to Jeffrey Hartnett for finishing dead fucking last

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Speaker 1: and the Week fifteen contests going to five, missing the

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Speaker 1: tiebreaker by two hundred and fifty yards. Jeffrey, jeff Jeffrey, Jeffrey.

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Speaker 1: Please email our producer Matt Mitchell at podcast at actionnetwork

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Speaker 1: dot com to claim you're not cash Brice, thanks for

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Speaker 1: playing week sixteen in the contest. Now tiebreaker total rushing

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Speaker 1: yards and ravens niners on Christmas Night, Good luck to everybody.

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Speaker 1: Second Christmas Eve, New Year's Eve coming up. There are

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Speaker 1: both Sundays. We will not have our Sunday live recap

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Speaker 1: episode for week sixteen or seventeen. Go spend that time

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Speaker 1: with your families, your friends, your loved ones, handicapping for

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Speaker 1: the next day, whatever it takes. Third housekeeping note, here

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Speaker 1: we go, folks, we are running it back. Another live show.

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Speaker 1: That's right after the glorious time we all had together.

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Speaker 1: The Favorites Podcast returns to the Shepherd and the Knucklehead

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Speaker 1: and Hoboken, New Jersey for the greatest sports event of

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Speaker 1: the year. That's Wildcard Weekend, folks. Wildcard Weekend, Sunday, January fourteenth, again,

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Speaker 1: like last time, doors open at four pm. Simon and

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Speaker 1: I will be there. We'll have drinks, we'll have merch,

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Speaker 1: we'll record our show live at seven point thirty. We're

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Speaker 1: going to sweat the bets together. That was the most

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Speaker 1: fun part of the day, Simon, as you recall, like

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Speaker 1: we were sweating, I think the Titans and the Colts.

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Speaker 1: We were sweating the Commanders and that Dolphins like we

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Speaker 1: were sweating the Jets. It was so great to be

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Speaker 1: sweating it with everybody, and then to have unfortunately the

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Speaker 1: Niners crushed the Eagles, which is a big game we had.

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Speaker 1: I can't wait to do it again with everybody, all

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Speaker 1: our listeners. It was just a wonderful event. I think

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Speaker 1: we all felt the warmth. We can't wait to do

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Speaker 1: it again. We're also doing an event that Saturday, Wildcard

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Speaker 1: watch party with Stucky, with Raybon, with Kerner. We're all

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Speaker 1: going to be in town that Saturday, same location, Shepherd

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Speaker 1: and the Knucklehead four o'clock thirteenth. Check out the links

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Speaker 1: in this episode description. You got RSVP folks last time

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Speaker 1: we were at capacity. We can't wait to see you

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Speaker 1: all there. Futures Portfolio update, So look, Jalen Carter had

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Speaker 1: a sack last night. Think he's about minus five hundred

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Speaker 1: a bet three sixty five. Tyreek Hill's still about two

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Speaker 1: hundred yards ahead of anybody, even though we missed last week. Look,

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Speaker 1: the most interesting conversation signmon is MVP bet Josh Shallen

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Speaker 1: at tend to one early in the year. He's a

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Speaker 1: very live dog. We you and I are having a

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Speaker 1: conversation about Christian McCaffrey or Brock Purty. I think it's

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Speaker 1: a narrative, Lord, and I think the narrative is starting

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Speaker 1: to pick up steam for Christian McCaffrey Monday night, if

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Speaker 1: he gets the shine, then by Tuesday morning, I think

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Speaker 1: he's going to be favorite to win MVP.

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Speaker 2: I told you, I just think if all things being equal,

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Speaker 2: at the end of the dead they're going to give

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Speaker 2: it to Party if they win that game. He does

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Speaker 2: have the story Perdy, where McCaffrey really doesn't. Purdy had

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Speaker 2: major surgery on his elbow. I was one of those

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Speaker 2: doubters where I was like, this guy came back way

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Speaker 2: too soon. They're rushing him back. They shouldn't be trading

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Speaker 2: Trey Lance like they were just so all in on

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Speaker 2: Party and it worked. I mean, it's crazy to think,

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Speaker 2: but this team was all in on a seventh round pick.

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Speaker 2: It's already skewed to the quarterbacks. If he can just

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Speaker 2: do what he's been doing right, if they win this game,

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Speaker 2: it will go McCaffrey Offensive Player of the Year MVP

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Speaker 2: will be pretty which just again, it just makes sense

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Speaker 2: the way they do these awards. The last running back

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Speaker 2: to win it Adrian Peterson. I told you he had

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Speaker 2: the story at the narrative he had twenties acl the

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Speaker 2: season before. I love, I love where coming from. I

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Speaker 2: hope you're right, because me and you both have bet

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Speaker 2: McCaffrey in a big number. I just I just can't

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Speaker 2: see it getting there.

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Speaker 1: We want to cash a big ticket. Let's get into it.

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Speaker 1: First game up Thursday night, Los Angeles Rams four point

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Speaker 1: favorites over the New Orleans Saints. The Saints are bad,

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Speaker 1: They've beaten bad teams the past two weeks. The Rams

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Speaker 1: have been balling out on offense. To me, it's a

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Speaker 1: roster mismatch, a coaching a coaching mismatch, a short week game. Yeah,

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Speaker 1: I bet the Rams at minus four. But after I

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Speaker 1: had betted, I said, hey, Evan, throw some stats into

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Speaker 1: the script about you know, these games, this situation for

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Speaker 1: these teams, and everything he put in there, nothing will

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Speaker 1: good for betting the favorites at home on Thursday nights.

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Speaker 2: It feels like we're getting a little bit of a

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Speaker 2: bump here, probably one point to the Saints team just

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Speaker 2: because it is a short weekend. They're on the road.

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Speaker 2: I wanted to be on the Rams here. I'm right

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Speaker 2: with you, Chad. Like my first lawst number, I wanted

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Speaker 2: to be on the Rams. But it's crazy that all

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Speaker 2: Like I'm looking in the app right now, all the bets,

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Speaker 2: all the tickets are on the Rams, and a couple

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Speaker 2: of books have moved for four and a half back

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Speaker 2: down to four, So it looks like the pros are

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Speaker 2: on the Saints. If the Pros keep betting and it

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Speaker 2: gets down to three, just like the Ravens last week,

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Speaker 2: I'll take that value there, but if not, I probably

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Speaker 2: end up on the Saints chat as painful it is,

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Speaker 2: but luckily we don't need to make this one of

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Speaker 2: our five. It's just a weird wonky game where it's like,

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Speaker 2: how did the Saints keep up with this? This Rams

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Speaker 2: high powered offense? Last week was the week right they

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Speaker 2: had the stupid turnovers. I can't see the Rams and

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Speaker 2: then back to back weeks having those kind of dumb turnovers.

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Speaker 2: So get where Chad's coming from. Taking the Rams here,

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Speaker 2: just just be careful and know the professionals do like

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Speaker 2: the Saints in this game.

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Speaker 1: All right. Cincinnati at Pittsburgh Simon Sunday night, I mentioned

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Speaker 1: this game, and you were still reeling a little bit

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Speaker 1: because you had invested heavily in the Steelers against the

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Speaker 1: Colts on Saturday. And I said, look, this is a

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Speaker 1: Tomlin spot underdog at home off a loss, but you

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Speaker 1: were against it. I'm like, all right, let's think about

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Speaker 1: the under And then on Monday morning, I woke up

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Speaker 1: and I was still feeling the Steelers. And then I

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Speaker 1: got a little confirmation bias from Brandon Anderson, who does

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Speaker 1: his hot read in the podcast that Evan and Jolgolantu

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Speaker 1: Sunday Nights Action Network round Up for Sunday look Ahead

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Speaker 1: from Monday for the rest of the week. And this

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Speaker 1: is one of those games, Simon. We can't put it

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Speaker 1: in the contest. It's a Saturday game, but we cannot

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Speaker 1: be chicken. Let me read some stats, okay, directly from

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Speaker 1: Brandon Anderson week five forward as a dog Mike Tomlin

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Speaker 1: sixty nine at home as a dog, seventy nine percent

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Speaker 1: Division games in his career twenty five five and one

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Speaker 1: eighty one percent as a dog after a loss of

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Speaker 1: seven or more ninety percent. Again, it's a spread again,

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Speaker 1: since he sixty seven percent AFC North Dogs late in

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Speaker 1: the season Week sixteen seventeen eighteen sixty four percent. The

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Speaker 1: Bengals have no DJ reader Jamar Chase is banged up.

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Speaker 1: Jake Browning narrative can exist forever. Buy low on the Steelers,

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Speaker 1: sell high on the Bengals, wrap it up in a

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Speaker 1: bow early Christmas present, no chickening out Steelers plus two

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Speaker 1: and a half.

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Speaker 2: What say you now caveat is I didn't like it

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Speaker 2: Sunday because that was in Mitchdruwisky, and I just refuse

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Speaker 2: to put more money on Mitch Druvsky. Thank god Tomlin's

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Speaker 2: come out and said it's gonna be Mason Rudolph, the

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Speaker 2: man with a dent in his head, So I don't know.

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Speaker 2: I'll take I'll take him with you, but thank god

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Speaker 2: this won't be in our contest. It's like, I'll bet

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Speaker 2: it just because of what you just said. I knew

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Speaker 2: it was gonna better regardless, but I hate it. I

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Speaker 2: hate I hate backing this Pittsburgh team like I can't.

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Speaker 2: I can't see another clip of their ride receivers not

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Speaker 2: blocking and letting their running backs get tackled, Like you know,

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Speaker 2: it's the classic of they are incredible of drafting these

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Speaker 2: ryge receivers, but this latest group they have have some

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Speaker 2: of the worst attitudes I've ever seen in a rye

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Speaker 2: receiving group. And you know, the guy Pickens might have

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Speaker 2: all the town in the world. He feels like a

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Speaker 2: guy that's gonna be out of the league in like

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Speaker 2: three or four years, just because he has such a

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Speaker 2: shit attitude. Like all he does is bitch on the

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Speaker 2: sideline not getting the ball, and he doesn't hold blocks

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Speaker 2: on the field, so it'stead of getting touchdowns, they're getting

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Speaker 2: tackled at the one yard line. Like he's just he's

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Speaker 2: everything I hate when you play sports when you have

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Speaker 2: that kayuz all the town in the world, but he's

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Speaker 2: such a narcissist that all he thinks about is himself.

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Speaker 2: You now, every a play should be with him. It's

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Speaker 2: just like, uh, it kills me. In a team sport

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Speaker 2: where you just need to all be on the same page,

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Speaker 2: you have guys like him. So yeah, the fear is

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Speaker 2: Tomlins lost his locker room. But Jad just gave you

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Speaker 2: the stats. Me and him, we've been playing this spot

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Speaker 2: every year together. We just always bet Tomlin these kind

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Speaker 2: of spots, So no doubt we're gonna bet it. Go

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Speaker 2: grab it two if you can still find it out

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Speaker 2: there at two and a half. But yeah, it sucks.

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Speaker 2: I hate betting this Pittsburgh team. It's just not been fun.

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Speaker 1: Simon, speaking of narcissism, can you repeat everything you just said.

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Speaker 1: I was mostly just staring at myself in the zoom

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Speaker 1: when you were talking, so I didn't really hear it

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Speaker 1: about bomb Buffalo at the LA Chargers another Saturday game. Look,

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Speaker 1: this is a game talk about not being chicken. I

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Speaker 1: mentioned this to you on Sunday night. It was at fourteen,

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Speaker 1: you know, like, of course we got to take it.

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Speaker 1: We were as we were recording the show, we saw

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Speaker 1: Stucky put the pick in the app He took it

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Speaker 1: at fourteen, stay there until Monday morning. I don't know

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Speaker 1: why I never bet it. I know we had such clarity,

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Speaker 1: all those reasons, like I was a chicken, and I

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Speaker 1: just I freaking I freaking regret this so much, and

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Speaker 1: I know I'm gonna have to wait, like hope on

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Speaker 1: Saturday it gets back to fourteen. We're going to talk

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Speaker 1: about this stat a couple of times today. Teams to

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Speaker 1: lose by twenty points or more of the previous week

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Speaker 1: facing a team that didn't fifty nine percent against the spread.

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Speaker 1: Since twenty twenty, teams to allow forty plus points in

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Speaker 1: their previous game twenty two to thirteen and two against

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Speaker 1: the spread last two seasons, fifty plus points sixh and

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Speaker 1: one the last three seasons. Of course, we got to

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Speaker 1: bet the Chargers, and I just missed the window. And

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Speaker 1: now I'm just annoyed.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, it sucks you missed the key number I did.

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Speaker 2: I wish I could say I got a ton down

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Speaker 2: on I didn't get that much down on the Chargers.

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Speaker 2: I mean the line if it gets the ten, I

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Speaker 2: feel like that kind of shifts to be in the

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Speaker 2: value on Buffalo. And if you're a big teaser guy,

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Speaker 2: you gotta be happy. Now I could tease them blow seven's.

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Speaker 2: That's pretty nice of the books to do it. I'd

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Speaker 2: be a little weary. It's interesting it's move so much.

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Speaker 2: I mean, before he came on, I checked if there's

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Speaker 2: any injury news. I'm not really seen anything. I don't

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Speaker 2: know why. I don't know why it's moved so much,

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Speaker 2: but I guess it's because you know, the Bills defense,

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Speaker 2: as good as they've been playing, it's still a team

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Speaker 2: that's lost major guys, right, there's still a team that

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Speaker 2: teams could should be able to move the ball on them.

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Speaker 2: So maybe the books are worried about a back door

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Speaker 2: on this one. It's just it's interesting it's moved so

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Speaker 2: much just because you know it's still I mean, the

284
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Speaker 2: tickets are very skewed towards the Bills, but the money's

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Speaker 2: pretty even at this point, right, Like if you're looking

286
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Speaker 2: in the action app, it's you know, there's been some

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Speaker 2: early money on this Chargers team. So yeah, I'm not

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Speaker 2: sure what you should do with this one. People, if

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Speaker 2: you've missed that fourteen thirteen and a half, I guess

290
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Speaker 2: just wait and maybe you can get the Bills at

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Speaker 2: ten and try to get a nice little middle there,

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Speaker 2: or play them in a teaser. But yeah, for me,

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Speaker 2: it's moved too much. When you have a play on

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Speaker 2: a chat.

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Speaker 1: I think it's it's probably moved because one or two

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Speaker 1: groups came in that we haven't figured out who they

297
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Speaker 1: are yet, And I bet the Chargers pretty heavy, and

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Speaker 1: I think there's a bi low sell high and the

299
00:16:13,120 --> 00:16:16,520
Speaker 1: Chargers were so bad and the Bills were so good

300
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Speaker 1: that of course they're going to try to find that

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Speaker 1: delta and what that breaking point is. This line did

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Speaker 1: get down to ten and a half and then it

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Speaker 1: started coming back up.

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Speaker 2: Like you said, it's extended rest and they have a

305
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Speaker 2: new coach like that could be the cat bounce. Yeah,

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Speaker 2: that's why people are probably betting them. It's just that simple, you.

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Speaker 1: Know, instead of the straight cat strut, the dead cat bounce.

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Speaker 1: Detroit at Minnesota. Boy, this one moves right Saturday another

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Speaker 1: get another Saturday game was moving on Sunday night open

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Speaker 1: at four and a half, moved to three and a

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Speaker 1: half by the time we were on the show, now

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Speaker 1: at three, Nick Mullins, officially, the starter Vikings defense is

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Speaker 1: legit nasty. So is the Lion's offense when it's healthy

314
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Speaker 1: and they are healthy. They got everybody now and this

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Speaker 1: one is indoors, you know. I asked Devin to look

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Speaker 1: up some stats. How does this scenario division game favorite

317
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Speaker 1: of three on the road, home dogs in the division

318
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Speaker 1: the last five seasons three or higher forty nine percent

319
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Speaker 1: against the spread Home division dogs overall fifty percent against

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Speaker 1: the spread the last decade November or later forty five percent.

321
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Speaker 1: So I've been looking for reasons to bet the Lions.

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Speaker 1: The fact that it's at a field goal, now maybe

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Speaker 1: we feel like maybe we pulled the trigger there.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, I would take it, like if this was two

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Speaker 2: and a half our contest, I'd be really happy, but

326
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Speaker 2: I know it's gonna be three and a half because

327
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Speaker 2: they're never nice to us in that way.

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Speaker 1: Well, it's a Saturday game, so we can't even bet

329
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Speaker 1: better in the contest, but as a better Sunday in

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Speaker 1: Minnesota game. Is it Saturday? Is it Sunday? Hold on?

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Speaker 2: Yeah, yeah, yeah, yeah, so yeah, I don't know.

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Speaker 1: Good.

333
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Speaker 2: It's an interesting number where it's like what Chad said

334
00:18:11,760 --> 00:18:14,600
Speaker 2: is true. People were back in the blankings. They're saying themselves,

335
00:18:15,160 --> 00:18:18,719
Speaker 2: this defense is still underrated, and you know, if they

336
00:18:18,760 --> 00:18:21,600
Speaker 2: would have beat Sincy, this would probably be a little lower.

337
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Speaker 2: And it's like, I don't know, I feel like this

338
00:18:23,240 --> 00:18:25,719
Speaker 2: is as low as it could possibly get, right, Like

339
00:18:26,200 --> 00:18:27,600
Speaker 2: if they move this to two and a half, they

340
00:18:27,600 --> 00:18:30,560
Speaker 2: were going to get flooded, yeah with Detroit money. So

341
00:18:31,200 --> 00:18:32,920
Speaker 2: can't see it again lower, only can see it getting

342
00:18:33,000 --> 00:18:36,040
Speaker 2: back higher. We already know the professionals you're at. This

343
00:18:36,119 --> 00:18:38,240
Speaker 2: was four and a half, they've hit it four and

344
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Speaker 2: a half, four, three and a half and now they're

345
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Speaker 2: down to three on Minnesota, So I think Chad's right.

346
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Speaker 2: Like to me, the line movement shifted towards the Lions.

347
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Speaker 2: If we could get them to and a half in contest,

348
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Speaker 2: I'd be happy to take that.

349
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Speaker 1: I'd like Matt Mitchell to do some rips for the

350
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Speaker 1: end of the year of Simon just saying I think

351
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Speaker 1: Chad's right. Good luck, yeah, good luck with that. Washington

352
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Speaker 1: at the New York Jets. The Jets are three point favorites.

353
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Speaker 1: Can we just skip this one?

354
00:19:14,440 --> 00:19:16,560
Speaker 2: Yeah? I mean we're supposed to take the Jets here,

355
00:19:17,320 --> 00:19:20,000
Speaker 2: but Chad's right, we can keep it moving because it's

356
00:19:20,040 --> 00:19:22,600
Speaker 2: like we don't know who the quarterback is. But I'll

357
00:19:22,600 --> 00:19:24,440
Speaker 2: grab the Jets. I'll take the minus three of them

358
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Speaker 2: at home. You know, it feels like the secret is

359
00:19:29,000 --> 00:19:31,200
Speaker 2: out on that Washington offense and teams are kind of

360
00:19:31,200 --> 00:19:34,360
Speaker 2: figured out how to play. How I mean last week

361
00:19:34,400 --> 00:19:37,199
Speaker 2: they took him out to quote unquote protect him. And

362
00:19:37,680 --> 00:19:40,359
Speaker 2: I think it was was it Brisset that came in.

363
00:19:40,480 --> 00:19:45,040
Speaker 2: I think it was Jacob. He had he had more

364
00:19:45,040 --> 00:19:46,800
Speaker 2: pass in your hearts, yeah than how did and I

365
00:19:46,840 --> 00:19:49,639
Speaker 2: think ten minutes of playing and how did in the

366
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Speaker 2: whole entire game. So just dysfunction. We've seen it now

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Speaker 2: multiple weeks. Ron Rivert is a dinosaur. He's not keeping

368
00:19:57,440 --> 00:20:02,160
Speaker 2: up with the league. You know. The Jets, the fear

369
00:20:02,200 --> 00:20:04,080
Speaker 2: is they're just full on quin right because now they

370
00:20:04,119 --> 00:20:07,040
Speaker 2: are at a playoff contention and Rogers probably isn't gonna

371
00:20:07,040 --> 00:20:08,840
Speaker 2: come back, and what's the point at this point, But

372
00:20:09,880 --> 00:20:12,960
Speaker 2: it's just their defense at home, catching three feels like

373
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Speaker 2: that's the team I want to back with. Chad's right, like,

374
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Speaker 2: there's no way that ends up in our contest.

375
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Speaker 1: Just to buttress your point, to booy your confidence, to

376
00:20:22,480 --> 00:20:28,560
Speaker 1: bolster whatever decision you make. Teams scoring three points or

377
00:20:28,640 --> 00:20:32,520
Speaker 1: less in their previous game sixty percent against the spread

378
00:20:32,640 --> 00:20:35,919
Speaker 1: the next game the last decade, one team fits that

379
00:20:36,000 --> 00:20:39,879
Speaker 1: criteria this week, New York Jets. Teams getting shut out

380
00:20:40,080 --> 00:20:43,680
Speaker 1: sample size forty six games since twenty fifteen. The next week,

381
00:20:44,160 --> 00:20:48,800
Speaker 1: seventy percent against the spread. One team fits that criteria,

382
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Speaker 1: New York Jets.

383
00:20:51,359 --> 00:20:52,040
Speaker 2: So there you go.

384
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Speaker 1: Maybe it will be in our contest. Green Bay at Carolina,

385
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Speaker 1: Green Bay ugly loss at home, Carolina ugly winner home.

386
00:21:00,280 --> 00:21:04,000
Speaker 1: Jordan Love was actually not terrible against the Bucks. He

387
00:21:04,080 --> 00:21:09,880
Speaker 1: just played against Baker Mayfield, who is slash was elite.

388
00:21:10,119 --> 00:21:12,280
Speaker 1: The problem with Jordan Love is he was terrible early

389
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Speaker 1: in the game when the Packers had a chance to

390
00:21:14,840 --> 00:21:16,919
Speaker 1: get a lead and build on a lead. And I

391
00:21:16,960 --> 00:21:20,399
Speaker 1: think we did last week with Carolina. Just catch lightning

392
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Speaker 1: in the bottle in a bottle. So the numbers at five,

393
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Speaker 1: it's been bouncing around open to three, got up to five,

394
00:21:27,119 --> 00:21:29,240
Speaker 1: went to four and a half, back to five. I

395
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Speaker 1: don't really have a strong feeling.

396
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Speaker 2: Here, Simon says, take Carolina Panthers.

397
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Speaker 1: Oh no, you didn't, Simons do it?

398
00:21:37,560 --> 00:21:40,840
Speaker 2: We do what Sion's say. Yeah, yeah, I just won't

399
00:21:40,960 --> 00:21:42,520
Speaker 2: she grabbed the number now because I think it does

400
00:21:42,560 --> 00:21:44,920
Speaker 2: go back down to three and a half four. She's

401
00:21:44,960 --> 00:21:46,680
Speaker 2: just too big, too big of a number. This has

402
00:21:46,680 --> 00:21:49,840
Speaker 2: moved too much, too much respect to the Screen Bay

403
00:21:49,880 --> 00:21:52,800
Speaker 2: team and Jordan Love. As good as he played mid season,

404
00:21:52,840 --> 00:21:54,359
Speaker 2: you kind of see his woes his last couple of

405
00:21:54,400 --> 00:21:57,040
Speaker 2: weeks right in missing these throws, having bad throws here.

406
00:21:57,080 --> 00:21:59,280
Speaker 2: And there's just part of the growing pains of being

407
00:21:59,280 --> 00:22:00,000
Speaker 2: a starting in the lead.

408
00:22:00,320 --> 00:22:00,439
Speaker 1: Right.

409
00:22:00,760 --> 00:22:03,359
Speaker 2: Think about it. You haven't played this many games in

410
00:22:03,400 --> 00:22:06,239
Speaker 2: their entire lives, right, And Eventually all these guys are

411
00:22:06,240 --> 00:22:08,360
Speaker 2: for the first year usually hit a wall because it's

412
00:22:08,359 --> 00:22:10,679
Speaker 2: a long season. You're taking hits all season. Your body's

413
00:22:10,720 --> 00:22:12,920
Speaker 2: beat up. Teams are getting the film on you know

414
00:22:13,080 --> 00:22:15,320
Speaker 2: exactly what you wouldn't do. They know that he wants

415
00:22:15,359 --> 00:22:16,879
Speaker 2: to pass to this side of the field, he likes

416
00:22:16,960 --> 00:22:18,560
Speaker 2: using this side of the field, or he looks throw

417
00:22:18,640 --> 00:22:20,919
Speaker 2: up the middle and they're taking that away. It's just

418
00:22:20,960 --> 00:22:22,960
Speaker 2: Carolina at home too. I told you, child, I'm a

419
00:22:23,000 --> 00:22:24,800
Speaker 2: sucker to this team at home. They just play so

420
00:22:24,880 --> 00:22:28,240
Speaker 2: much better at home defensively as well. Every teaser will

421
00:22:28,280 --> 00:22:31,199
Speaker 2: have Green Bay in it, like everyone's gonna tie to it,

422
00:22:31,400 --> 00:22:33,679
Speaker 2: especially Carolina coming off a win last week. No one

423
00:22:33,720 --> 00:22:35,800
Speaker 2: think they're gonna this team's gonna win back to back games.

424
00:22:35,840 --> 00:22:38,879
Speaker 2: So I'm sorry people. I promise people too. People are

425
00:22:38,880 --> 00:22:40,280
Speaker 2: because that the last time we're gonna been the Panther

426
00:22:40,320 --> 00:22:42,119
Speaker 2: And I was like, I hope so, But this line's

427
00:22:42,119 --> 00:22:43,960
Speaker 2: too much. This should be three, three and a half,

428
00:22:44,040 --> 00:22:47,280
Speaker 2: it's five, Like this is insane, the amount of movement

429
00:22:47,320 --> 00:22:50,080
Speaker 2: this number has had. It's just the Panthers aren't as

430
00:22:50,200 --> 00:22:53,359
Speaker 2: bad as well perceived. Bryce Shung is right, he's bad,

431
00:22:53,800 --> 00:22:55,760
Speaker 2: but their team as a whole. They do have some

432
00:22:55,760 --> 00:22:58,320
Speaker 2: some players on that defense. Just looking at this number,

433
00:22:58,320 --> 00:22:59,800
Speaker 2: it's just too too highs.

434
00:22:59,600 --> 00:23:01,720
Speaker 1: Panthers haven't run a play while leading in the fourth

435
00:23:01,800 --> 00:23:05,320
Speaker 1: quarter this season. The two wins they have two wins

436
00:23:05,359 --> 00:23:07,200
Speaker 1: both came on the last play of the game when

437
00:23:07,200 --> 00:23:10,720
Speaker 1: they were trailing. Here's a stat from Evan that may

438
00:23:12,040 --> 00:23:18,840
Speaker 1: challenge your strong feelings. It is smart to fade bad

439
00:23:18,880 --> 00:23:21,440
Speaker 1: teams off a recent win. Teams that are one in

440
00:23:21,560 --> 00:23:24,720
Speaker 1: four straight up in their last five games coming off

441
00:23:24,720 --> 00:23:28,879
Speaker 1: a win last twenty years, sample size of north of

442
00:23:29,040 --> 00:23:32,399
Speaker 1: two hundred games, nearly two hundred and thirty games, thirty

443
00:23:32,440 --> 00:23:36,080
Speaker 1: six percent against the spread, including to eighth straight up

444
00:23:36,080 --> 00:23:39,240
Speaker 1: this season, three and seventeen straight up the last two years.

445
00:23:39,240 --> 00:23:44,600
Speaker 1: In Week sixteen, two teams match that criteria, Carolina and Seattle.

446
00:23:45,160 --> 00:23:47,120
Speaker 2: I love Carolina, I love the fate Seattle this week,

447
00:23:47,200 --> 00:23:49,119
Speaker 2: so I don't have to deal with that stat.

448
00:23:49,400 --> 00:23:50,920
Speaker 1: We like them when they work for us.

449
00:23:51,200 --> 00:23:53,440
Speaker 2: We have You're not wrong.

450
00:23:53,480 --> 00:23:55,639
Speaker 1: You know, sometimes you've got to know what you're doing.

451
00:23:56,000 --> 00:23:58,920
Speaker 1: That's the point of this podcast. Leave Land at Houston

452
00:23:59,080 --> 00:24:01,159
Speaker 1: early Plan Houston and for Us at two and a half.

453
00:24:01,359 --> 00:24:03,239
Speaker 1: Opened at one and a half moved quickly to two

454
00:24:03,280 --> 00:24:05,320
Speaker 1: and a half hasn't budged as far as I know,

455
00:24:05,359 --> 00:24:07,360
Speaker 1: we're still waiting on word for Stroud, which I think

456
00:24:07,440 --> 00:24:10,080
Speaker 1: is why it hasn't gone to three. I think wise

457
00:24:10,080 --> 00:24:11,800
Speaker 1: guys are just buying the number at less than a

458
00:24:11,800 --> 00:24:17,080
Speaker 1: field goal, awaiting the news as a as a matchup.

459
00:24:17,160 --> 00:24:19,920
Speaker 1: You've pointed out the Browns have real issues on the road,

460
00:24:20,240 --> 00:24:22,679
Speaker 1: so I looked this up. Their past five games on

461
00:24:22,720 --> 00:24:25,920
Speaker 1: the road, they've allowed thirty eight points to Indy, a

462
00:24:25,960 --> 00:24:29,320
Speaker 1: game they won, twenty four to Seattle, a loss, thirty

463
00:24:29,359 --> 00:24:32,439
Speaker 1: one to Baltimore, a win, twenty nine to Denver, a

464
00:24:32,520 --> 00:24:36,199
Speaker 1: loss thirty six to La a loss. They will be

465
00:24:36,440 --> 00:24:39,960
Speaker 1: without brand Delpit again, who's on injured reserve, their safety,

466
00:24:40,119 --> 00:24:43,320
Speaker 1: their quarterback of the defensive backfield, their leading tackler before

467
00:24:43,320 --> 00:24:45,520
Speaker 1: he went out. I don't actually think that mattered much

468
00:24:45,520 --> 00:24:47,480
Speaker 1: against the Bears. I do think if CJ plays, that

469
00:24:47,520 --> 00:24:50,320
Speaker 1: would matter a lot against Houston. I love this pick,

470
00:24:50,359 --> 00:24:51,639
Speaker 1: and I love that we're getting at two and a

471
00:24:51,680 --> 00:24:52,359
Speaker 1: half now.

472
00:24:52,400 --> 00:24:54,560
Speaker 2: I was gonna make it. Simon says, but you're so right,

473
00:24:54,720 --> 00:24:58,200
Speaker 2: there's too much unknown about CJ. Like you still here,

474
00:24:58,200 --> 00:25:01,919
Speaker 2: we are Tuesday morning. You still concussion protocol yesterday, so

475
00:25:02,600 --> 00:25:05,040
Speaker 2: no need to rush this bet. I mean, worst case.

476
00:25:05,400 --> 00:25:06,960
Speaker 2: This is why I put a little bet now just

477
00:25:06,960 --> 00:25:08,600
Speaker 2: at two and a half, just in case he does

478
00:25:08,600 --> 00:25:10,280
Speaker 2: come back and all sudden, this balloon's up to three

479
00:25:10,320 --> 00:25:12,800
Speaker 2: and a half. Four. But just got to keep your

480
00:25:12,800 --> 00:25:15,119
Speaker 2: alerts on social media. You need to know Adam Schefter

481
00:25:15,200 --> 00:25:18,119
Speaker 2: whenever he gets cleared. CJ. We love this number, so

482
00:25:18,520 --> 00:25:21,600
Speaker 2: you know we might early lock in our contest just

483
00:25:21,600 --> 00:25:24,119
Speaker 2: because we're getting a good number right here on Texans.

484
00:25:24,200 --> 00:25:26,320
Speaker 2: We know Houston. They're just better at home as well.

485
00:25:26,600 --> 00:25:30,639
Speaker 1: Brown's defense at home thirteen points per game, that's the

486
00:25:30,640 --> 00:25:34,520
Speaker 1: best in the NFL. On the road thirty points per game,

487
00:25:35,040 --> 00:25:36,280
Speaker 1: most in the NFL.

488
00:25:36,760 --> 00:25:38,480
Speaker 2: That's crazy, all.

489
00:25:38,440 --> 00:25:43,080
Speaker 1: Right, Indye at Atlanta, Ah, This one is heartbreaking from

490
00:25:43,119 --> 00:25:45,959
Speaker 1: a contest point of view, But kudos to Simon. You

491
00:25:46,080 --> 00:25:49,000
Speaker 1: nailed this one on Sunday night. You liked Atlanta plus two.

492
00:25:49,119 --> 00:25:52,879
Speaker 1: It totally makes sense. They were off a terrible, ugly loss.

493
00:25:53,000 --> 00:25:57,040
Speaker 1: Indy had come off a dominating win on Saturday, just

494
00:25:57,240 --> 00:25:59,960
Speaker 1: right in the middle of the playoff race. Buying low,

495
00:26:00,160 --> 00:26:01,919
Speaker 1: selling high. You had to bet it. It actually got

496
00:26:01,960 --> 00:26:03,720
Speaker 1: to two and a half yesterday. That's what I got

497
00:26:03,720 --> 00:26:06,600
Speaker 1: it at Falcons plus two and a half, I got

498
00:26:06,600 --> 00:26:08,760
Speaker 1: a couple words. And now we know Taylor Heineke's gonna

499
00:26:08,760 --> 00:26:12,240
Speaker 1: be playing, and so since since the announcement of him

500
00:26:12,280 --> 00:26:16,080
Speaker 1: playing in place of Desmond Ritter a quarterback, this line

501
00:26:16,119 --> 00:26:20,000
Speaker 1: has moved to Atlanta minus one. Here are my biggest

502
00:26:20,000 --> 00:26:22,760
Speaker 1: worries for this game. The Colts rushing defense has gotten

503
00:26:22,800 --> 00:26:26,080
Speaker 1: much much better since Grover Stewart came back from his

504
00:26:27,119 --> 00:26:33,720
Speaker 1: ped suspension. And I'm very worried about this Atlanta offensive

505
00:26:33,760 --> 00:26:38,560
Speaker 1: line and their health. We know Kaylen McGarry didn't play.

506
00:26:39,440 --> 00:26:42,440
Speaker 1: I'm looking last week. We're looking for good updates on Lyndstrum,

507
00:26:42,600 --> 00:26:46,240
Speaker 1: Chris Lynstrum, drewdalomand Jake Matthews. It's a very good offensive line.

508
00:26:47,720 --> 00:26:50,159
Speaker 1: Less good if they're not playing. Less less good if

509
00:26:50,160 --> 00:26:53,040
Speaker 1: they're trying to run the ball against Rover Stewart and

510
00:26:53,119 --> 00:26:54,760
Speaker 1: an improving Cults rush defense.

511
00:26:55,720 --> 00:26:57,720
Speaker 2: Yeah, and you just said, like the value might shift

512
00:26:57,760 --> 00:26:59,600
Speaker 2: you to the Colts if this gets up to plus

513
00:26:59,600 --> 00:27:02,720
Speaker 2: two plus two and a half for the Colts. How

514
00:27:02,760 --> 00:27:04,600
Speaker 2: does this not end up in our contest? Like? Who

515
00:27:04,640 --> 00:27:07,439
Speaker 2: the hell is Atlanta And Heinikee. They're getting that many points,

516
00:27:07,480 --> 00:27:10,280
Speaker 2: but you know, I'll take a small mini victory lap

517
00:27:10,320 --> 00:27:12,959
Speaker 2: where I should it on Ridder for I don't know

518
00:27:13,080 --> 00:27:15,440
Speaker 2: seven months of the offseason and took a lot of

519
00:27:15,560 --> 00:27:18,560
Speaker 2: e from Atlanta fans saying, I don't know shit, My

520
00:27:18,640 --> 00:27:22,080
Speaker 2: insiders are wrong, and it's like Atlanta they're with this

521
00:27:22,119 --> 00:27:24,400
Speaker 2: guy every day. They saw him practicing every day. If

522
00:27:24,400 --> 00:27:27,760
Speaker 2: your front offense doesn't believe in your quarterback in the draft,

523
00:27:28,080 --> 00:27:30,400
Speaker 2: that should be huge red flags your team head into

524
00:27:30,440 --> 00:27:32,600
Speaker 2: the season and it's all pay it's played out that way.

525
00:27:32,760 --> 00:27:36,200
Speaker 2: He's just not good. Ridder so Heinikey being worth three

526
00:27:36,240 --> 00:27:38,560
Speaker 2: and a half points is insane, Like, I can't believe

527
00:27:38,600 --> 00:27:41,800
Speaker 2: it's moved that much off heinike News culture are just

528
00:27:41,840 --> 00:27:44,520
Speaker 2: a really well coached team, like I think Coward is

529
00:27:44,520 --> 00:27:46,920
Speaker 2: when they talked about it, it's like these the shift NFL

530
00:27:47,000 --> 00:27:50,400
Speaker 2: to go with the offensive guys. Yes, is this exact

531
00:27:50,480 --> 00:27:52,800
Speaker 2: example of this Colts team? Like if they had a

532
00:27:52,880 --> 00:27:56,400
Speaker 2: DC the defensive corner was their head coach, this team

533
00:27:56,520 --> 00:27:58,439
Speaker 2: might have three or four wins right as soon as

534
00:27:58,440 --> 00:28:00,760
Speaker 2: is there a number one quarterback went down, their season

535
00:28:00,800 --> 00:28:03,440
Speaker 2: would have been over. But they got an offensive guy

536
00:28:03,560 --> 00:28:05,679
Speaker 2: and he's made the whole system work around Minshew and

537
00:28:05,680 --> 00:28:09,199
Speaker 2: he's really highlighted Minshew's strengths. Yeah, Chad's right, Like I

538
00:28:09,240 --> 00:28:11,520
Speaker 2: wanted to be on Atlanta here the number might move

539
00:28:11,600 --> 00:28:13,639
Speaker 2: too much if it gets up to two and a half,

540
00:28:14,480 --> 00:28:16,240
Speaker 2: I'm probably gonna be on the Colts. Like this will

541
00:28:16,280 --> 00:28:19,000
Speaker 2: be too much movement for Colts team that they're in

542
00:28:19,119 --> 00:28:21,520
Speaker 2: every game like this, these two teams, it's like the

543
00:28:21,600 --> 00:28:24,320
Speaker 2: Spider Man meme. They're the exact same team, like they

544
00:28:24,440 --> 00:28:26,919
Speaker 2: just they're right there at the same level, right in

545
00:28:26,960 --> 00:28:30,040
Speaker 2: the middle of the Colts could win their division. Sam

546
00:28:30,080 --> 00:28:32,359
Speaker 2: goes to Atlanta. It's like they're not that good, but

547
00:28:32,359 --> 00:28:34,439
Speaker 2: they're in weak divisions and they're still playing for something.

548
00:28:34,520 --> 00:28:36,359
Speaker 2: So we come back Thursday, and this is two and

549
00:28:36,400 --> 00:28:38,160
Speaker 2: a half. We're gonna be back on the Colts.

550
00:28:38,480 --> 00:28:40,880
Speaker 1: Also, I'm super excited to talk about who the Bears

551
00:28:40,880 --> 00:28:43,840
Speaker 1: are gonna get when they trade Justin Fields to the

552
00:28:43,880 --> 00:28:47,440
Speaker 1: Atlanta Falcons. It could be we take all three of

553
00:28:47,480 --> 00:28:51,720
Speaker 1: their interi offensive linemen and we take their number one

554
00:28:52,280 --> 00:28:52,960
Speaker 1: draft pick.

555
00:28:52,960 --> 00:28:55,480
Speaker 2: Don't draft a tight end at the fourth pick overall,

556
00:28:55,640 --> 00:28:57,400
Speaker 2: take the quarterback in Justin fields.

557
00:28:57,640 --> 00:29:00,560
Speaker 1: Yeah, right, Seattle at Tennessee. We talked about it a

558
00:29:00,600 --> 00:29:02,800
Speaker 1: little bit. Tennessee plus two and a half. Look, I

559
00:29:03,440 --> 00:29:05,320
Speaker 1: waited to put some notes in for this game until

560
00:29:05,320 --> 00:29:08,160
Speaker 1: after the game last night. What's interesting is, even after

561
00:29:08,240 --> 00:29:10,000
Speaker 1: the win and Monday night football, this game is still

562
00:29:10,000 --> 00:29:12,680
Speaker 1: at two and a half. I was leaning Tennessee before.

563
00:29:13,440 --> 00:29:15,800
Speaker 1: Now I'm one hundred percent going to have to take

564
00:29:15,840 --> 00:29:19,360
Speaker 1: Tennessee after the Seattle win and the stat I just

565
00:29:19,400 --> 00:29:23,080
Speaker 1: gave you that we didn't like for Carolina perfectly fits

566
00:29:23,120 --> 00:29:25,720
Speaker 1: with Seattle. Yeah, teams one and four straight up in

567
00:29:25,720 --> 00:29:28,320
Speaker 1: their last five games, coming off a win thirty six

568
00:29:28,360 --> 00:29:31,000
Speaker 1: percent the last twenty years against the spread book it

569
00:29:31,600 --> 00:29:32,680
Speaker 1: we're taking Tennessee here.

570
00:29:33,480 --> 00:29:36,160
Speaker 2: Yeah, it's sickening. I'm sorry everybody, but this is like

571
00:29:36,240 --> 00:29:38,280
Speaker 2: probably gonna be our big balls by the week. It's just,

572
00:29:38,640 --> 00:29:45,120
Speaker 2: oh goodness, amazing spot to take Tennessee here. They are bad.

573
00:29:45,280 --> 00:29:47,640
Speaker 2: Anyone that bet on the last week, you experienced it.

574
00:29:48,200 --> 00:29:50,400
Speaker 2: We had a pick six and we still lost our

575
00:29:50,480 --> 00:29:53,400
Speaker 2: damn bet against Case Kingdom last week, so they are

576
00:29:53,520 --> 00:29:56,040
Speaker 2: left for dead. No one's betting this. Put the professionals

577
00:29:56,520 --> 00:29:59,120
Speaker 2: bat like a pro. Take Tennessee here. This is such

578
00:29:59,160 --> 00:30:01,800
Speaker 2: a great Uh, don't care if it's Drew Lock, don't

579
00:30:01,800 --> 00:30:05,160
Speaker 2: care if it's Gino. We love this spot back in

580
00:30:05,200 --> 00:30:08,720
Speaker 2: this this team and this uh you know Titan's defense

581
00:30:08,760 --> 00:30:11,760
Speaker 2: that their biggest weakness is the past. That's what the

582
00:30:11,760 --> 00:30:14,960
Speaker 2: Seahawks want to do. It's scary, like the matchup is

583
00:30:15,000 --> 00:30:18,320
Speaker 2: definitely scary for Tennessee. But like Chad said, it's such

584
00:30:18,360 --> 00:30:22,280
Speaker 2: a huge letdown spot, short week travel, all of it

585
00:30:22,320 --> 00:30:25,400
Speaker 2: is negative for the Seattle team. So I'm not shocked

586
00:30:25,440 --> 00:30:27,360
Speaker 2: it's not moved. I was hoping it would get up

587
00:30:27,360 --> 00:30:29,840
Speaker 2: to three. Maybe if you know, does get clear, it

588
00:30:29,840 --> 00:30:32,680
Speaker 2: gets up to three. But the only place I see

589
00:30:32,680 --> 00:30:34,480
Speaker 2: this number really going is down. Like it just feels

590
00:30:34,480 --> 00:30:37,600
Speaker 2: like this is a smash spot for professional betters where

591
00:30:37,640 --> 00:30:40,680
Speaker 2: it's just like like after the last two weeks, right,

592
00:30:40,680 --> 00:30:44,040
Speaker 2: they had an emotional win against Miami, they came home

593
00:30:44,120 --> 00:30:47,960
Speaker 2: have an emotional loss against Houston. You gotta bet, you

594
00:30:48,000 --> 00:30:50,400
Speaker 2: gotta bet them to bounce back here, especially at this number.

595
00:30:50,440 --> 00:30:51,960
Speaker 2: So two and a half give me Tennessee.

596
00:30:52,760 --> 00:30:56,479
Speaker 1: Simon. I've got very good news for you is holiday season.

597
00:30:56,560 --> 00:30:59,640
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598
00:30:59,800 --> 00:31:04,360
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599
00:31:04,480 --> 00:31:07,440
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600
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601
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602
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603
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604
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605
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607
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608
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609
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611
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612
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613
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Speaker 1: get fifty percent off. All right, Last week we made

614
00:32:05,560 --> 00:32:10,600
Speaker 1: a big move with Baker Mayfield Baker Moxie Mayfield, King

615
00:32:10,640 --> 00:32:14,920
Speaker 1: of Moxie. Now they are one point favorites at home

616
00:32:14,960 --> 00:32:18,440
Speaker 1: against Jacksonville. Huge move overnight on Sunday based on the

617
00:32:18,440 --> 00:32:24,080
Speaker 1: Trevor Lawrence concussion news because the Bucks weren't plus two

618
00:32:24,120 --> 00:32:27,120
Speaker 1: and a half if Trevor plays. We have two former

619
00:32:27,200 --> 00:32:29,680
Speaker 1: number one overall picks. One of them this season has

620
00:32:29,720 --> 00:32:32,280
Speaker 1: twenty four touchdowns eight picks, completing sixty four percent of

621
00:32:32,280 --> 00:32:34,480
Speaker 1: his passes seven point one yards pert tenp for a

622
00:32:34,480 --> 00:32:39,920
Speaker 1: team tied for first place. The other eighteen touchdowns ten picks,

623
00:32:39,920 --> 00:32:42,440
Speaker 1: sixty five percent of his passages are completed for seven

624
00:32:42,480 --> 00:32:45,720
Speaker 1: point two yards per attempt for a team tied for

625
00:32:45,760 --> 00:32:49,880
Speaker 1: first place. What do you think of that? Baker Mayfield

626
00:32:49,920 --> 00:32:56,320
Speaker 1: is playing at a franchise level right now, franchise quarterback level.

627
00:32:56,560 --> 00:32:58,840
Speaker 1: Why don't we trust Baker here? And I know we don't.

628
00:33:00,400 --> 00:33:04,160
Speaker 2: We're supposed to fade them, unfortunately, Yeah, we're supposed to do.

629
00:33:04,960 --> 00:33:06,320
Speaker 2: But I don't know what to do with the Trevor

630
00:33:06,400 --> 00:33:08,000
Speaker 2: Lawrence news or It's like, I don't even know if

631
00:33:08,040 --> 00:33:12,600
Speaker 2: this guy is gonna play. You know, he smacked his

632
00:33:12,680 --> 00:33:14,640
Speaker 2: head pretty bad there at that game, like he had

633
00:33:14,760 --> 00:33:17,560
Speaker 2: classic whatever it was. I think they either whipped him

634
00:33:17,560 --> 00:33:18,760
Speaker 2: down whever it was. We did the thing where he

635
00:33:18,760 --> 00:33:23,200
Speaker 2: slammed the back of his head, which is again insane.

636
00:33:23,400 --> 00:33:25,400
Speaker 2: There's just not a big ass pad on the back

637
00:33:25,440 --> 00:33:29,000
Speaker 2: of the helmet. Who cares, But look, yeah, just put

638
00:33:29,000 --> 00:33:30,880
Speaker 2: a pad back there. It'll never make sense when they

639
00:33:30,880 --> 00:33:34,920
Speaker 2: don't do it. But yeah, we want to fade the

640
00:33:34,960 --> 00:33:38,080
Speaker 2: Bucks here, like this is peak value, Like this number

641
00:33:38,160 --> 00:33:40,600
Speaker 2: is way too low. They should be a bigger dog.

642
00:33:41,360 --> 00:33:43,640
Speaker 2: It was right at two and a half three, that's

643
00:33:43,680 --> 00:33:46,120
Speaker 2: where I wanted to take them, But now it's moved

644
00:33:46,160 --> 00:33:48,840
Speaker 2: so much. It's like the value is definitely on Trevor

645
00:33:48,920 --> 00:33:51,120
Speaker 2: Lawrence and this Jaguars team now if it is Trevor

646
00:33:51,200 --> 00:33:56,640
Speaker 2: Lawrence's quarterback, so exciting times for the Buccaneers. They're just

647
00:33:56,680 --> 00:33:59,280
Speaker 2: this is a different level. Like the Jaguars got crazy

648
00:33:59,400 --> 00:34:02,880
Speaker 2: unlucky against the Ravens team. We expect them to bounce back.

649
00:34:03,240 --> 00:34:05,479
Speaker 2: And Baker's coming off the best game of his entire career,

650
00:34:05,680 --> 00:34:08,400
Speaker 2: like Evan told us, he's the only guy other than

651
00:34:08,480 --> 00:34:11,960
Speaker 2: Rogers ever to have a perfect QB rating in Lambeau.

652
00:34:12,120 --> 00:34:14,520
Speaker 2: Like the guy threw for three hundred yards was a

653
00:34:14,520 --> 00:34:17,279
Speaker 2: three or four touchdowns. It's crazy. You just expect a

654
00:34:17,360 --> 00:34:19,960
Speaker 2: let down game here, especially a Jaguars team that just

655
00:34:20,000 --> 00:34:23,120
Speaker 2: got embarrassed. I mean I'm looking at the bet splits

656
00:34:23,200 --> 00:34:27,120
Speaker 2: right now. It's actually skewed a little bit towards the Jaguars,

657
00:34:27,160 --> 00:34:29,040
Speaker 2: so like at least the public is still believing the

658
00:34:29,040 --> 00:34:31,560
Speaker 2: Shaguars team. I think that's the right move here where

659
00:34:31,560 --> 00:34:33,720
Speaker 2: it's like I wanted to be on Tampa. The numbers

660
00:34:33,719 --> 00:34:36,200
Speaker 2: moved too much. No bets for me yet, But once

661
00:34:36,239 --> 00:34:38,440
Speaker 2: I know Forever is gonna be back, I'll be in

662
00:34:38,480 --> 00:34:39,359
Speaker 2: on the Jaguars.

663
00:34:39,600 --> 00:34:42,759
Speaker 1: I don't imagine this getting into our contest. No, No,

664
00:34:42,920 --> 00:34:44,359
Speaker 1: I feel like we're gonna have a lot of other

665
00:34:44,400 --> 00:34:49,600
Speaker 1: games that feel a lot better to us in the contest.

666
00:34:49,800 --> 00:34:51,480
Speaker 1: One game that I think is peaking with a lot

667
00:34:51,480 --> 00:34:55,080
Speaker 1: of people's interest. Dallas as a one and a half

668
00:34:55,120 --> 00:34:59,239
Speaker 1: point underdog against Miami. Talked about it Sunday night. It

669
00:34:59,280 --> 00:35:01,920
Speaker 1: was at two. You betted it too, it moved to

670
00:35:01,960 --> 00:35:05,359
Speaker 1: one and a half. Miami hasn't beaten a good team. No,

671
00:35:05,840 --> 00:35:09,840
Speaker 1: Dallas gets sacked by good teams. Dak lost the MVP

672
00:35:10,960 --> 00:35:14,160
Speaker 1: on Sunday. One of these teams has to prove it.

673
00:35:14,560 --> 00:35:17,680
Speaker 1: I do think Tyreek Hill's status is a big deal.

674
00:35:18,160 --> 00:35:20,760
Speaker 1: He is supposed to play, he is likely to play.

675
00:35:21,120 --> 00:35:25,200
Speaker 1: I know you like Dallas here, I feel like I

676
00:35:25,320 --> 00:35:25,960
Speaker 1: like Miami.

677
00:35:27,560 --> 00:35:30,160
Speaker 2: It's fair. It's like this one's really tough to make

678
00:35:30,200 --> 00:35:32,799
Speaker 2: an opinion on. I just I like Dallas in the

679
00:35:32,840 --> 00:35:35,200
Speaker 2: sense that they just got blown out and embarrassed, so

680
00:35:35,200 --> 00:35:37,200
Speaker 2: it's gonna be a week of hell for them. Or

681
00:35:37,200 --> 00:35:40,560
Speaker 2: on the flip side, Miami, I don't think they give

682
00:35:40,640 --> 00:35:41,920
Speaker 2: up a single point right is now you said they

683
00:35:41,920 --> 00:35:44,480
Speaker 2: don't give up a single point to the Jets, Like

684
00:35:44,800 --> 00:35:48,719
Speaker 2: that's the vibes are all there. You got an incredible

685
00:35:48,760 --> 00:35:52,240
Speaker 2: team right now. Like I get Miami's feeling good. Dallas

686
00:35:52,280 --> 00:35:54,640
Speaker 2: has that doubt that we're not good enough. They're gonna

687
00:35:54,680 --> 00:35:57,920
Speaker 2: hear it all week. You know, you guys haven't beat anybody.

688
00:35:58,200 --> 00:36:01,359
Speaker 2: You've struggled against good teams an awful on the road

689
00:36:01,400 --> 00:36:04,680
Speaker 2: this season. May do they need this bad? I know

690
00:36:04,719 --> 00:36:07,680
Speaker 2: Miami needs a bad too, But I just I'm looking

691
00:36:07,719 --> 00:36:10,400
Speaker 2: at the different levels of teams here, it just feels

692
00:36:10,400 --> 00:36:12,480
Speaker 2: like Dallas is more ahead of them right, Like this

693
00:36:12,520 --> 00:36:15,120
Speaker 2: is a more complete team at this point, especially if

694
00:36:15,160 --> 00:36:17,759
Speaker 2: Tyreek's out, Like that's the decider there. If Tyreek's in,

695
00:36:18,680 --> 00:36:19,440
Speaker 2: he's going to play.

696
00:36:19,840 --> 00:36:22,040
Speaker 1: Tyreek's playing. He knows that we've got to we've got

697
00:36:22,080 --> 00:36:24,759
Speaker 1: a ticket. We need him to we He knows we

698
00:36:24,760 --> 00:36:26,720
Speaker 1: got a ticket. He could probably this one more game

699
00:36:27,239 --> 00:36:29,320
Speaker 1: and we'd be fine because he's so far ahead.

700
00:36:29,680 --> 00:36:35,640
Speaker 2: But to be close though, Uh great, No, it's a

701
00:36:35,640 --> 00:36:37,600
Speaker 2: hard one. It's a hard one. I want to I'll

702
00:36:37,640 --> 00:36:39,840
Speaker 2: be honest. I want to take Dallas. I've taken a

703
00:36:39,840 --> 00:36:41,640
Speaker 2: little bit on Dallas just because I thought the number

704
00:36:41,680 --> 00:36:45,480
Speaker 2: was too high. It has come down. You know, I

705
00:36:45,520 --> 00:36:47,640
Speaker 2: talk all the time. Two is a key number than me.

706
00:36:47,760 --> 00:36:49,520
Speaker 2: So if I touched Dallas a one and a half, No,

707
00:36:49,800 --> 00:36:51,799
Speaker 2: I thought two was the poor number to get. I

708
00:36:51,800 --> 00:36:54,440
Speaker 2: did get it. Don't really like I'm with Chat on

709
00:36:54,480 --> 00:36:55,600
Speaker 2: this one. I don't really know what to do with it.

710
00:36:55,640 --> 00:36:58,280
Speaker 2: Where he likes Miami, I like Dallas. We're both split

711
00:36:58,360 --> 00:37:02,799
Speaker 2: on it. It's just this is such a Miami game

712
00:37:02,880 --> 00:37:05,040
Speaker 2: to lose like that once again, they've sucked all their

713
00:37:05,040 --> 00:37:07,560
Speaker 2: fans back in and they just fall apart in these

714
00:37:07,640 --> 00:37:10,480
Speaker 2: kind of games. So definitely a tricky game that's going

715
00:37:10,520 --> 00:37:12,319
Speaker 2: to decide a narrative for both these teams head into

716
00:37:12,320 --> 00:37:12,920
Speaker 2: the playoffs.

717
00:37:13,160 --> 00:37:15,279
Speaker 1: Maybe we'll hear more about it from sharp calls. Maybe

718
00:37:15,280 --> 00:37:20,080
Speaker 1: we'll have a firmer decision on Thursday. Here's the stat

719
00:37:20,120 --> 00:37:24,880
Speaker 1: from Evan to support me. Teams that are really good

720
00:37:25,080 --> 00:37:28,480
Speaker 1: listed as underdogs late in the season have struggled. Teams

721
00:37:28,480 --> 00:37:32,000
Speaker 1: with a winning percentage of seventy percent or more in

722
00:37:32,040 --> 00:37:40,160
Speaker 1: December or later listed as dogs forty against the spread

723
00:37:40,520 --> 00:37:42,200
Speaker 1: in the regular season. Ev if you could tell me

724
00:37:42,239 --> 00:37:45,959
Speaker 1: in the chat what the horizon is on that that's

725
00:37:46,000 --> 00:37:49,880
Speaker 1: a sample of about one hundred and twenty five games,

726
00:37:50,120 --> 00:37:55,520
Speaker 1: so that Dallas fits that and one other team, and

727
00:37:55,560 --> 00:37:57,640
Speaker 1: we're going to talk about this game because I know

728
00:37:57,680 --> 00:38:00,359
Speaker 1: you and I completely disagree on this game. Well, another

729
00:38:00,400 --> 00:38:02,560
Speaker 1: team fits this criteria and we're gonna get to that one.

730
00:38:02,560 --> 00:38:06,560
Speaker 1: That's a little bit of foreshadowing, folks. Arizona at Chicago,

731
00:38:06,680 --> 00:38:09,200
Speaker 1: Chicago's four and a half point favorite. I have nothing

732
00:38:09,239 --> 00:38:14,880
Speaker 1: to say about this game other than after Sunday, the

733
00:38:15,960 --> 00:38:20,719
Speaker 1: Chicago Bears text chain has officially decided that it's time

734
00:38:20,760 --> 00:38:23,319
Speaker 1: to move on from Justin Fields. We're gonna trade them.

735
00:38:23,400 --> 00:38:27,240
Speaker 1: We're gonna trade them. We've given the stamp of approval.

736
00:38:27,600 --> 00:38:30,160
Speaker 1: Time to get to Caleb Williams. I was there. I

737
00:38:30,280 --> 00:38:31,880
Speaker 1: was totally there, and then one of the guys in

738
00:38:31,920 --> 00:38:35,120
Speaker 1: the chain, my buddy Matt. We had a long, hour

739
00:38:35,160 --> 00:38:37,720
Speaker 1: long conversation on Sunday a couple of weeks ago before

740
00:38:37,719 --> 00:38:41,000
Speaker 1: the Bears beat the Lions. His wife intervened, She's like,

741
00:38:41,120 --> 00:38:42,799
Speaker 1: we got to get out of here. I cannot listen

742
00:38:42,800 --> 00:38:44,839
Speaker 1: to you talk about the Bears and Justin Fields anymore today.

743
00:38:45,440 --> 00:38:50,960
Speaker 1: And we were all in, but I'm back to reality,

744
00:38:51,400 --> 00:38:54,680
Speaker 1: cayleb Williams. Get to the Bears. Let's start over with

745
00:38:54,719 --> 00:38:57,440
Speaker 1: the contract, get a haul of picks, build some talent,

746
00:38:58,600 --> 00:39:02,480
Speaker 1: free up our cap space. This game I want to pass.

747
00:39:04,320 --> 00:39:06,400
Speaker 2: Yeah, you gotta get rid of get rid of fields,

748
00:39:06,400 --> 00:39:08,320
Speaker 2: get rid of the head coaches, start over.

749
00:39:08,520 --> 00:39:11,840
Speaker 1: Start over. You can't keep the head coach, and you

750
00:39:11,840 --> 00:39:14,520
Speaker 1: can't get rid of the head coach and keep fields,

751
00:39:14,560 --> 00:39:17,480
Speaker 1: then you're you're paying, You're overpaying for a quarterback and

752
00:39:17,520 --> 00:39:18,719
Speaker 1: you're starting from scratch again.

753
00:39:18,960 --> 00:39:22,200
Speaker 2: Yeah. And I don't know if you saw the stat

754
00:39:22,320 --> 00:39:27,200
Speaker 2: about them this season, but it's pretty crazy where you

755
00:39:27,239 --> 00:39:30,040
Speaker 2: guys have had three losses where you're ten in the

756
00:39:30,080 --> 00:39:33,160
Speaker 2: fourth quarter, and apparently you guys are basically like the

757
00:39:33,160 --> 00:39:35,279
Speaker 2: only team to have that happen to you, like Cape

758
00:39:35,280 --> 00:39:38,439
Speaker 2: having these losses where you would be what eight and

759
00:39:38,600 --> 00:39:40,239
Speaker 2: six at this point, it be something where you guys

760
00:39:40,280 --> 00:39:42,600
Speaker 2: would be like a game back of the lines if

761
00:39:42,600 --> 00:39:46,960
Speaker 2: you just hadn't blown those games. So yeah, it's too

762
00:39:47,000 --> 00:39:49,760
Speaker 2: big of a number here, like Arizona. This is the play.

763
00:39:49,880 --> 00:39:52,759
Speaker 2: You have to take Arizona here, the numbers should be three.

764
00:39:52,960 --> 00:39:56,120
Speaker 2: You're getting an extra point just because Arizona has been

765
00:39:56,160 --> 00:39:58,799
Speaker 2: bad these this last month. I mean, they have been

766
00:39:59,440 --> 00:40:03,759
Speaker 2: very bad, and you know, I don't know if it's

767
00:40:03,760 --> 00:40:05,560
Speaker 2: just because they're so young and they have no talent,

768
00:40:06,440 --> 00:40:09,160
Speaker 2: but this Bears team is just as young and they

769
00:40:09,160 --> 00:40:12,040
Speaker 2: are struggling with talent, especially in the secondary. Like what

770
00:40:12,120 --> 00:40:13,640
Speaker 2: if Black a throw for it? You, I have three

771
00:40:13,680 --> 00:40:16,120
Speaker 2: hundred and fifty yards on this secondary after you threw

772
00:40:16,200 --> 00:40:18,839
Speaker 2: three picks. So this is this is a team that's

773
00:40:18,880 --> 00:40:23,120
Speaker 2: been number one since Week five in turnovers and interceptions

774
00:40:23,560 --> 00:40:27,520
Speaker 2: but has nothing to show for it. They have, say,

775
00:40:27,520 --> 00:40:29,480
Speaker 2: they have some crazy stat where they had nine picks

776
00:40:29,680 --> 00:40:32,440
Speaker 2: in these last couple of weeks. They have thirteen total

777
00:40:32,480 --> 00:40:35,479
Speaker 2: points off those interceptions. Like this is just a team

778
00:40:35,560 --> 00:40:39,080
Speaker 2: that they just struggle. They struggle to be consistent in

779
00:40:39,120 --> 00:40:42,480
Speaker 2: so many ways. So Arizona is terrible. I agree with

780
00:40:42,520 --> 00:40:45,360
Speaker 2: everything people have pushed back on this one, but Snummer's

781
00:40:45,400 --> 00:40:47,799
Speaker 2: too high. Plus four is way too high. They should

782
00:40:47,800 --> 00:40:49,960
Speaker 2: be plus three. So I'll take the free point of

783
00:40:50,040 --> 00:40:52,680
Speaker 2: value and I'll take Arizona here the.

784
00:40:52,640 --> 00:40:55,400
Speaker 1: Statue were referring to that Evan gave us on Sunday.

785
00:40:55,719 --> 00:40:58,640
Speaker 1: The Bears are now three and three straight up since

786
00:40:58,680 --> 00:41:01,120
Speaker 1: the start of last season when eating by ten plus

787
00:41:01,120 --> 00:41:05,040
Speaker 1: points entering the fourth quarter. The rest of the NFL

788
00:41:05,440 --> 00:41:09,000
Speaker 1: in that window one ninety two, sixteen and one ninety

789
00:41:09,000 --> 00:41:11,520
Speaker 1: three percent. So the Bears are five hundred, the rest

790
00:41:11,520 --> 00:41:15,400
Speaker 1: of the NFL ninety three percent. I mean, I guess

791
00:41:15,800 --> 00:41:19,239
Speaker 1: you know, we'll talk about it. Maybe I could be

792
00:41:19,320 --> 00:41:22,280
Speaker 1: persuaded this is one of the five, if only because

793
00:41:23,440 --> 00:41:26,480
Speaker 1: it would be a year my guy pick like I

794
00:41:26,520 --> 00:41:31,200
Speaker 1: am blinded by fear and failure for the Bears.

795
00:41:31,320 --> 00:41:32,919
Speaker 2: Then airs when I get blown up by twenty points

796
00:41:33,000 --> 00:41:34,640
Speaker 2: last week. Though you got that other stat you can

797
00:41:34,680 --> 00:41:35,520
Speaker 2: you can hold on too.

798
00:41:35,760 --> 00:41:37,800
Speaker 1: They didn't they? I think they only lost by twelve?

799
00:41:38,600 --> 00:41:41,960
Speaker 2: Oh are you sure I covered? No, I've covered the

800
00:41:41,960 --> 00:41:43,480
Speaker 2: forty nine ers.

801
00:41:43,840 --> 00:41:46,880
Speaker 1: They they played the forty nine ers and the Niners

802
00:41:46,920 --> 00:41:49,320
Speaker 1: won twenty eight to twelve. Didn't They are twenty eight sixteen.

803
00:41:49,320 --> 00:41:50,080
Speaker 1: It was on score.

804
00:41:50,280 --> 00:41:52,399
Speaker 2: They got like forty five points or something last week.

805
00:41:52,640 --> 00:41:53,440
Speaker 2: I'll pull it up for you.

806
00:41:53,560 --> 00:41:57,879
Speaker 1: Pull it out. New England at Denver Denver plus six

807
00:41:57,920 --> 00:41:58,360
Speaker 1: and a half.

808
00:41:58,640 --> 00:41:59,280
Speaker 2: Yeah, five.

809
00:42:00,760 --> 00:42:01,800
Speaker 1: Forty sixteen.

810
00:42:02,200 --> 00:42:04,400
Speaker 2: Yeah, so it doesn't damn we didn't get our twenty.

811
00:42:04,239 --> 00:42:06,719
Speaker 1: Didn't get our twenty. See the math I can do

812
00:42:06,760 --> 00:42:09,400
Speaker 1: so quickly. New England and Denver plus six and a half.

813
00:42:09,480 --> 00:42:11,319
Speaker 1: I kept thinking, I said this on Sunday. I wanted

814
00:42:11,320 --> 00:42:15,120
Speaker 1: to back New England here. The defense is improving. Bailey

815
00:42:15,239 --> 00:42:17,560
Speaker 1: is not mac Jones. But you made a really good point.

816
00:42:18,520 --> 00:42:20,200
Speaker 1: You made a really good point that I said, the

817
00:42:20,200 --> 00:42:22,439
Speaker 1: Bronco has been winning all their games on turnovers and

818
00:42:22,520 --> 00:42:24,280
Speaker 1: that's why we faded them this past week.

819
00:42:24,719 --> 00:42:25,000
Speaker 2: Yeah.

820
00:42:25,040 --> 00:42:27,760
Speaker 1: And then you made the point, yeah, but New England

821
00:42:27,840 --> 00:42:31,200
Speaker 1: is the one that that is always turning the ball over.

822
00:42:31,880 --> 00:42:35,359
Speaker 1: And then Evan did give us teams to lose by

823
00:42:35,400 --> 00:42:37,439
Speaker 1: twenty points or more the previous week facing a team

824
00:42:37,480 --> 00:42:40,840
Speaker 1: we didn't fifty nine percent against the spread since twenty twenty.

825
00:42:41,080 --> 00:42:43,560
Speaker 1: That would be the Broncos against the Chiefs, I mean

826
00:42:43,600 --> 00:42:45,600
Speaker 1: against the Patriots.

827
00:42:46,520 --> 00:42:48,600
Speaker 2: Yeah, and I said it. I thought at five and

828
00:42:48,600 --> 00:42:51,040
Speaker 2: a half, the value was there on Denver. I was like,

829
00:42:51,080 --> 00:42:52,960
Speaker 2: this number is only going to go up. Yere at

830
00:42:52,960 --> 00:42:56,400
Speaker 2: sixteen a halfs it crossed the key number. You know,

831
00:42:56,560 --> 00:42:58,560
Speaker 2: still like Denver, but obviously we don't like it as much.

832
00:42:58,640 --> 00:43:00,200
Speaker 2: Like this is a this is a big move been

833
00:43:00,239 --> 00:43:04,000
Speaker 2: moving up to this point. I mean, the total is

834
00:43:04,040 --> 00:43:07,879
Speaker 2: down to thirty four, which is like makes perfect sense,

835
00:43:07,960 --> 00:43:11,319
Speaker 2: right for these two teams that you know, as much

836
00:43:11,360 --> 00:43:14,439
Speaker 2: trust I have in rusting this offense, they are also

837
00:43:14,480 --> 00:43:16,520
Speaker 2: been They've been in consistent as well this year, this

838
00:43:16,600 --> 00:43:19,760
Speaker 2: Denver team, So they benefit a lot from short fields

839
00:43:19,760 --> 00:43:23,080
Speaker 2: and that's what's really helped this offense. So yeah, my

840
00:43:23,160 --> 00:43:25,600
Speaker 2: gut instinct is like, we want to take New England here,

841
00:43:26,120 --> 00:43:28,920
Speaker 2: but we know the deal right Denver mile high at home.

842
00:43:29,960 --> 00:43:32,200
Speaker 2: It's a real thing, especially this late in the season.

843
00:43:34,160 --> 00:43:36,120
Speaker 2: You know, Chad just gave us the stat this is

844
00:43:36,120 --> 00:43:38,399
Speaker 2: the Denver team that got blown out last week. Now

845
00:43:38,400 --> 00:43:41,480
Speaker 2: they're six and a half point favorite, so the books

846
00:43:41,520 --> 00:43:43,440
Speaker 2: know they're gonna need day in New England here. So

847
00:43:43,480 --> 00:43:45,240
Speaker 2: I might come around on New England at this point.

848
00:43:45,520 --> 00:43:47,680
Speaker 2: I just can't get there yet. I still like Denver,

849
00:43:47,719 --> 00:43:49,640
Speaker 2: but I don't like them at that number. It's moved

850
00:43:49,640 --> 00:43:50,560
Speaker 2: too much for me to take.

851
00:43:51,200 --> 00:43:54,320
Speaker 1: Yeah, I agree, it's sort of. It's in a no

852
00:43:54,480 --> 00:43:58,080
Speaker 1: man's land right now for us. We can't back either one.

853
00:43:58,280 --> 00:44:00,279
Speaker 1: It's too bad we couldn't take Denver I five half

854
00:44:00,320 --> 00:44:04,719
Speaker 1: on Sunday Night, Simon, I want you to concentrate very

855
00:44:04,719 --> 00:44:07,080
Speaker 1: hard right now, think very hard on this next question.

856
00:44:07,120 --> 00:44:10,000
Speaker 1: It will determine both of our futures. Can you name

857
00:44:10,040 --> 00:44:12,920
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860
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865
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866
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867
00:44:36,719 --> 00:44:39,759
Speaker 1: see the national champions playing at an elite level. I

868
00:44:39,920 --> 00:44:42,480
Speaker 1: said this on the show last week. I bought tickets

869
00:44:42,480 --> 00:44:46,800
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870
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871
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872
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873
00:44:55,040 --> 00:44:57,200
Speaker 1: You can redeem code favorites for twenty dollars off your

874
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876
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Speaker 1: lows price guaranteed. All right, Las Vegas at Kansas City.

877
00:45:08,560 --> 00:45:12,080
Speaker 1: Kansas City is a ten point favorite. I have zero

878
00:45:12,200 --> 00:45:14,920
Speaker 1: read on this other than in the last twenty years

879
00:45:15,400 --> 00:45:19,680
Speaker 1: Home division favorites of over a touchdown forty seven percent.

880
00:45:20,800 --> 00:45:24,560
Speaker 1: Mahomes six four and one against the spread in this spot.

881
00:45:25,280 --> 00:45:27,799
Speaker 1: I do think this Kansas City team is struggling. I

882
00:45:27,840 --> 00:45:29,960
Speaker 1: do think it's getting harder and harder for them to score.

883
00:45:30,360 --> 00:45:32,719
Speaker 1: I do think there is frustration. I do think that

884
00:45:32,760 --> 00:45:35,520
Speaker 1: Patrick Mahomes is probably losing a little bit faith in

885
00:45:35,560 --> 00:45:41,839
Speaker 1: his receiving core. So, I mean, I guess we got

886
00:45:41,880 --> 00:45:44,360
Speaker 1: to lean Las Vegas here, but I don't have like

887
00:45:45,680 --> 00:45:49,160
Speaker 1: contest confidence in this now.

888
00:45:49,239 --> 00:45:51,160
Speaker 2: The thing that's scaring me is, what the hell is this?

889
00:45:51,320 --> 00:45:55,359
Speaker 2: Lying like I got this at seven it's ten. That's

890
00:45:55,400 --> 00:45:57,319
Speaker 2: glare and the books. You're telling us that I'm over

891
00:45:57,360 --> 00:46:02,400
Speaker 2: valuing this Raiders team way too much. I mean, it's brutal,

892
00:46:02,480 --> 00:46:04,640
Speaker 2: like they just came off a sixty point game. Now

893
00:46:04,640 --> 00:46:08,960
Speaker 2: they're a ten point dog. Yeah, I want to take Vegas,

894
00:46:08,960 --> 00:46:12,680
Speaker 2: but it's stinks. This line stinks. Don't know what to

895
00:46:12,680 --> 00:46:15,520
Speaker 2: do with it. I'll probably end up on the Raiders,

896
00:46:15,520 --> 00:46:17,799
Speaker 2: but no chance is one of our five because I

897
00:46:17,840 --> 00:46:19,520
Speaker 2: just I'm so confused by this number. I don't know

898
00:46:19,520 --> 00:46:22,480
Speaker 2: why it's so high. You need to talk to a

899
00:46:22,480 --> 00:46:24,480
Speaker 2: couple of bookmakers or a couple of the professionals. I

900
00:46:24,520 --> 00:46:27,319
Speaker 2: just don't don't get this number at all. I think

901
00:46:27,360 --> 00:46:30,399
Speaker 2: if it was seven and a half eight, they would

902
00:46:30,400 --> 00:46:34,319
Speaker 2: have got plenty of Raiders' money. And maybe they made

903
00:46:34,320 --> 00:46:36,960
Speaker 2: it this hot just to protect against the teasers, right,

904
00:46:37,080 --> 00:46:39,160
Speaker 2: because now you can't do your seven point teaser. It

905
00:46:39,200 --> 00:46:41,359
Speaker 2: gets you to three, which is we sell. The time

906
00:46:41,400 --> 00:46:43,319
Speaker 2: you push on a teaser, you lose that teaser bet.

907
00:46:43,400 --> 00:46:46,640
Speaker 2: So maybe that's why they've hung the ten to protect that.

908
00:46:46,760 --> 00:46:50,560
Speaker 2: But interesting number. Just the Chiefs. I didn't think they'd

909
00:46:50,560 --> 00:46:52,680
Speaker 2: ever get at this big of a number unless they're

910
00:46:52,680 --> 00:46:55,799
Speaker 2: playing against you know, the Panthers or something. But yeah,

911
00:46:55,880 --> 00:46:58,799
Speaker 2: last week right before kickoff and moved all up to

912
00:46:58,840 --> 00:47:01,279
Speaker 2: ten against the Patriot and this week they open up

913
00:47:01,520 --> 00:47:05,880
Speaker 2: again minus ten at home. Interesting interesting numbers, So no

914
00:47:06,200 --> 00:47:07,200
Speaker 2: read on this one for me yet.

915
00:47:07,280 --> 00:47:12,440
Speaker 1: Chad home favorites home division favorites of ten or higher.

916
00:47:12,880 --> 00:47:14,320
Speaker 1: So I just gave you seven and a half or

917
00:47:14,360 --> 00:47:19,799
Speaker 1: higher forty five percent against the spread the past twenty years.

918
00:47:20,239 --> 00:47:25,240
Speaker 1: My home seven or higher twenty one, twenty six, and two,

919
00:47:28,760 --> 00:47:32,440
Speaker 1: and he's fourteen and twenty one as a favorite of

920
00:47:32,480 --> 00:47:35,440
Speaker 1: seven or more since twenty and since twenty twenty and

921
00:47:35,480 --> 00:47:35,799
Speaker 1: I think.

922
00:47:35,719 --> 00:47:37,600
Speaker 2: As a double digit favorite, Evan. I could be wrong,

923
00:47:37,600 --> 00:47:39,920
Speaker 2: but isn't he like eleven and thirteen against the spread

924
00:47:40,000 --> 00:47:42,960
Speaker 2: as a double digit favorite? So not great, but not

925
00:47:43,600 --> 00:47:45,600
Speaker 2: not that much to fade there.

926
00:47:45,960 --> 00:47:47,520
Speaker 1: So a lot of the stats that I just gave

927
00:47:47,560 --> 00:47:51,239
Speaker 1: are also applicable to the Giants at Philly. This is

928
00:47:51,320 --> 00:47:57,200
Speaker 1: a Monday night football game. I don't really know what

929
00:47:57,520 --> 00:48:00,000
Speaker 1: to do with this one. It's like it's a similar

930
00:48:00,120 --> 00:48:02,920
Speaker 1: situation as the chiefs of the Raiders say, once dominant

931
00:48:02,960 --> 00:48:07,960
Speaker 1: team getting the benefit of the doubt from bookmakers and

932
00:48:08,160 --> 00:48:10,960
Speaker 1: likely the public against a team with a rookie quarterback

933
00:48:11,640 --> 00:48:14,480
Speaker 1: that has shown flashes. But it's probably nothing more than

934
00:48:14,480 --> 00:48:19,160
Speaker 1: a really nice story, right, So eleven and a half

935
00:48:19,239 --> 00:48:21,160
Speaker 1: is a lot of freaking points though, for the Eagles

936
00:48:21,160 --> 00:48:22,840
Speaker 1: in a division matchup.

937
00:48:24,280 --> 00:48:25,920
Speaker 2: Like my you know, back in the day, people were

938
00:48:25,920 --> 00:48:27,520
Speaker 2: like breaking their arms to get out of the draft.

939
00:48:28,000 --> 00:48:29,560
Speaker 2: That's what Tim of DeVito should have done. He should

940
00:48:29,560 --> 00:48:32,279
Speaker 2: have won that game before the Saints. Should have had

941
00:48:32,320 --> 00:48:33,919
Speaker 2: his buddy over. Just step on his arm and break

942
00:48:33,960 --> 00:48:36,680
Speaker 2: that bad boy in half, and then you just ride off.

943
00:48:36,880 --> 00:48:40,200
Speaker 2: I'll go open U about Pizzeria North Jersey, the Vito's

944
00:48:40,239 --> 00:48:43,000
Speaker 2: giant spot, whatever you're gonna call it in You're gonna

945
00:48:43,000 --> 00:48:45,680
Speaker 2: live the good life. But he wanted to stay healthy.

946
00:48:45,680 --> 00:48:48,120
Speaker 2: He is competitive, he wants to keep playing. And the

947
00:48:48,160 --> 00:48:51,160
Speaker 2: story's gonna start unralling here, right chat. It's like the

948
00:48:51,200 --> 00:48:54,440
Speaker 2: guy can only hit on sixteen so many times I

949
00:48:54,520 --> 00:48:57,400
Speaker 2: get twenty one. It's like the most insane run of

950
00:48:57,480 --> 00:49:01,080
Speaker 2: luck with this kid. De Vitoe's gone. And watch his

951
00:49:01,280 --> 00:49:05,799
Speaker 2: college tape. It is truly incredible, how good he is

952
00:49:05,840 --> 00:49:09,320
Speaker 2: compared to what he was in college. Oh yeah, it's bizarre.

953
00:49:09,400 --> 00:49:13,080
Speaker 2: So yeah, I want to take the giants like the Eagles.

954
00:49:14,120 --> 00:49:17,160
Speaker 2: We might take all that COVID or the flu and

955
00:49:17,239 --> 00:49:19,880
Speaker 2: they're traveling on a short week. Oh I guess not,

956
00:49:19,920 --> 00:49:24,399
Speaker 2: because this is a Monday game. But that's just it's

957
00:49:24,440 --> 00:49:26,520
Speaker 2: crazy again the books, they know what they're doing, making

958
00:49:26,560 --> 00:49:29,040
Speaker 2: it so big. I mean, maybe it is because it's Christmas.

959
00:49:29,440 --> 00:49:31,600
Speaker 2: Maybe we're getting the same things here as a Thanksgiving

960
00:49:31,600 --> 00:49:34,080
Speaker 2: where they just bump up these favorites because they know

961
00:49:34,280 --> 00:49:35,960
Speaker 2: all the teasers. All these people are just gonna do

962
00:49:36,000 --> 00:49:38,879
Speaker 2: the three team teasers because it's three games on a day.

963
00:49:38,920 --> 00:49:40,640
Speaker 2: It's like, this is what the public likes to do.

964
00:49:41,280 --> 00:49:43,440
Speaker 2: But once again, it's like I had this eight and

965
00:49:43,480 --> 00:49:46,480
Speaker 2: a half, it's ten and a half. Like that's a

966
00:49:46,480 --> 00:49:48,600
Speaker 2: lot of points of value for the Giants right now.

967
00:49:48,640 --> 00:49:50,360
Speaker 1: So eleven and a half.

968
00:49:51,239 --> 00:49:52,440
Speaker 2: It's eleven and a half.

969
00:49:53,160 --> 00:49:57,840
Speaker 1: Dude, that's what I'm saying. Every trend, every scenario it

970
00:49:57,960 --> 00:50:02,560
Speaker 1: says take the freak Giants. Yeah, I know, I hate it,

971
00:50:02,760 --> 00:50:05,719
Speaker 1: and I actually feel more comfortable about doing it here

972
00:50:05,760 --> 00:50:07,000
Speaker 1: than I do with the Raiders.

973
00:50:07,600 --> 00:50:10,040
Speaker 2: Especially the Eagles have owned the Giants. I think we

974
00:50:10,080 --> 00:50:14,040
Speaker 2: beat them thirty seven to seven last year in the playoffs,

975
00:50:14,080 --> 00:50:17,560
Speaker 2: and we dominated them during the regular season as well.

976
00:50:17,680 --> 00:50:19,920
Speaker 2: You know, we just match up really well against the Giants.

977
00:50:19,920 --> 00:50:23,080
Speaker 2: But see, I just said, that's just so many points.

978
00:50:23,160 --> 00:50:26,520
Speaker 2: So once again, no chances will be one of our five.

979
00:50:26,560 --> 00:50:28,840
Speaker 2: I'm just not that confident in betting and Davido on

980
00:50:28,880 --> 00:50:30,640
Speaker 2: the road in this spot. We saw it last week

981
00:50:30,640 --> 00:50:33,759
Speaker 2: against the Saints, where it's like they were sucking us in.

982
00:50:33,840 --> 00:50:36,240
Speaker 2: They were like, here, here's six points against Derek Carr

983
00:50:36,440 --> 00:50:38,879
Speaker 2: thick this. You want this, don't you. I'm not gonna

984
00:50:38,920 --> 00:50:40,560
Speaker 2: let it happen again this week, Like, I'm not gonna

985
00:50:40,600 --> 00:50:42,520
Speaker 2: let this be one of our five. So maybe we'll

986
00:50:42,520 --> 00:50:43,880
Speaker 2: take the Giants at eleven and a half ten and

987
00:50:43,880 --> 00:50:45,839
Speaker 2: a half, but this won't be one of our five.

988
00:50:47,239 --> 00:50:48,640
Speaker 1: The next one is not going to be one of

989
00:50:48,680 --> 00:50:52,160
Speaker 1: our five either, because you and I are diametrically opposed

990
00:50:52,160 --> 00:50:56,160
Speaker 1: on this. Baltimore at San Francisco, SIP. This goes a

991
00:50:56,200 --> 00:50:59,720
Speaker 1: five and a half point favorites Monday Night Football Executive Decision,

992
00:51:00,160 --> 00:51:00,840
Speaker 1: San Francisco.

993
00:51:02,080 --> 00:51:07,760
Speaker 2: Yeah, the choice between the unthinkable and the impossible.

994
00:51:07,400 --> 00:51:15,200
Speaker 1: Your Honors Texture executive decision. Yeah, I'm saying I know

995
00:51:15,239 --> 00:51:17,799
Speaker 1: you hate it. It's as chalky as it gets. But

996
00:51:18,560 --> 00:51:21,480
Speaker 1: this team is dominant. I don't think we are fully

997
00:51:22,000 --> 00:51:26,640
Speaker 1: recognizing how dominant this team is, how well coached this

998
00:51:26,719 --> 00:51:31,240
Speaker 1: team is. We're blinded by a three game losing streak

999
00:51:31,239 --> 00:51:33,600
Speaker 1: in the middle of the season when they were without

1000
00:51:33,760 --> 00:51:36,160
Speaker 1: two of their most important weapons, Trent Williams at left

1001
00:51:36,160 --> 00:51:38,960
Speaker 1: tackle and Deebo Samuel, who does everything on the field.

1002
00:51:39,640 --> 00:51:42,480
Speaker 1: And I'm telling you right now, this team when they

1003
00:51:42,520 --> 00:51:45,160
Speaker 1: are healthy and everybody is playing, which is what they

1004
00:51:45,160 --> 00:51:46,960
Speaker 1: are now, and they haven't been like that for Kyle

1005
00:51:47,000 --> 00:51:52,879
Speaker 1: Shanahan in seven years of coaching. They're undefeated this year,

1006
00:51:53,480 --> 00:51:57,879
Speaker 1: winning by an average of double digits, dominating teams, dominating

1007
00:51:57,960 --> 00:52:00,440
Speaker 1: good teams, doesn't matter who they are playing. They are

1008
00:52:00,480 --> 00:52:03,120
Speaker 1: not the Cowboys, they are not the Eagles, they are

1009
00:52:03,120 --> 00:52:05,399
Speaker 1: not the Bills. They are not even the Ravens, who

1010
00:52:05,400 --> 00:52:10,600
Speaker 1: have struggled against bad teams and good teams when healthy.

1011
00:52:10,640 --> 00:52:13,279
Speaker 1: This is a team that is so good we are

1012
00:52:13,280 --> 00:52:17,120
Speaker 1: going to talk about it in historic proportions when the

1013
00:52:17,160 --> 00:52:19,760
Speaker 1: season is over and they have won the Super Bowl

1014
00:52:20,040 --> 00:52:24,880
Speaker 1: and Christian McCaffrey has been named the m v P.

1015
00:52:25,800 --> 00:52:27,560
Speaker 2: All those reasons I just gave you is why you

1016
00:52:27,600 --> 00:52:30,360
Speaker 2: need to bet the Ravens here. It's just the hype

1017
00:52:30,400 --> 00:52:34,120
Speaker 2: is out of control, Like what are we doing here? Evan?

1018
00:52:34,160 --> 00:52:35,480
Speaker 2: Maybe we can put in our chat, but I know

1019
00:52:35,520 --> 00:52:38,880
Speaker 2: he put a stat out about anytime Lamar has been

1020
00:52:38,920 --> 00:52:41,879
Speaker 2: a dog in this kind of position perform as well.

1021
00:52:43,160 --> 00:52:45,080
Speaker 2: Me and you, I'll never forget this. We bet on

1022
00:52:45,160 --> 00:52:50,080
Speaker 2: the Chiefs against Lamar. Lamar might have been a four

1023
00:52:50,120 --> 00:52:51,640
Speaker 2: point dog or four and a half point dog and

1024
00:52:51,680 --> 00:52:53,839
Speaker 2: a livid landed on five like we cover by half

1025
00:52:53,840 --> 00:52:56,160
Speaker 2: a point with the Chiefs, and that might have been

1026
00:52:56,200 --> 00:52:59,920
Speaker 2: his first years like a full time starter. So okay, here,

1027
00:53:00,000 --> 00:53:03,640
Speaker 2: here we go. Lamar is a dog eleven and two

1028
00:53:03,960 --> 00:53:07,479
Speaker 2: ats Chad like, this is just a spot you take.

1029
00:53:07,560 --> 00:53:10,800
Speaker 2: You take Lamar on the spot, especially against a team

1030
00:53:10,880 --> 00:53:13,200
Speaker 2: like this is just so hyped up right now where

1031
00:53:13,800 --> 00:53:15,680
Speaker 2: the forty nine ers are really good. Everything Chad has

1032
00:53:15,719 --> 00:53:18,400
Speaker 2: said is so true, where it's like, not only do

1033
00:53:18,400 --> 00:53:22,120
Speaker 2: you have all the talent in the world on the offense,

1034
00:53:22,680 --> 00:53:25,120
Speaker 2: they have the quarterback like Purty is so much better

1035
00:53:25,120 --> 00:53:27,640
Speaker 2: than Jimmy g Ever was in his career. And it's

1036
00:53:27,680 --> 00:53:29,719
Speaker 2: only his second year, or I guess should say his

1037
00:53:29,760 --> 00:53:32,480
Speaker 2: first year is a full time starter. It's incredible, It

1038
00:53:32,560 --> 00:53:35,719
Speaker 2: really is incredible what this kid's doing. You know, it's

1039
00:53:35,760 --> 00:53:39,600
Speaker 2: like Shanahan's dream scenario, Like he has this guy who

1040
00:53:40,440 --> 00:53:44,000
Speaker 2: you know all of his weaknesses, you just don't see

1041
00:53:44,000 --> 00:53:45,880
Speaker 2: it in the league. Like the things he did so

1042
00:53:46,080 --> 00:53:49,440
Speaker 2: bad in college, they somehow fixed it in two years,

1043
00:53:49,480 --> 00:53:52,400
Speaker 2: Like him making bad reads, him forcing him bad throws,

1044
00:53:52,920 --> 00:53:56,160
Speaker 2: even his fifty to fifty balls downfield. He's putting in

1045
00:53:56,200 --> 00:53:58,279
Speaker 2: a position where it's like either his receiver is gonna

1046
00:53:58,280 --> 00:54:00,520
Speaker 2: get it like he started to his outside shoulder, or

1047
00:54:00,560 --> 00:54:02,799
Speaker 2: no one's gonna get it. Like it's incredible how well

1048
00:54:02,840 --> 00:54:05,759
Speaker 2: perty's playing. As I hype them up here. This is

1049
00:54:05,760 --> 00:54:09,600
Speaker 2: why you take the Ravens like it's a battle tested team.

1050
00:54:09,719 --> 00:54:11,960
Speaker 2: They're a team that I've played in a ton of

1051
00:54:12,000 --> 00:54:14,279
Speaker 2: really close games. I mean I just went through Wai

1052
00:54:14,320 --> 00:54:16,120
Speaker 2: Child was talking the forty nine ers. Chad's right, like,

1053
00:54:16,760 --> 00:54:20,239
Speaker 2: other than those three games skid, they basically have dominated

1054
00:54:20,239 --> 00:54:22,880
Speaker 2: and blown out every team they've played, like They've just

1055
00:54:22,960 --> 00:54:25,799
Speaker 2: been dominant from Week one all the way to now

1056
00:54:25,840 --> 00:54:28,560
Speaker 2: Week fifteen. So I get where Chad's coming from. I

1057
00:54:28,640 --> 00:54:31,640
Speaker 2: just think it's too big of a number. You know,

1058
00:54:31,640 --> 00:54:34,920
Speaker 2: if this gets the six, I'm gonna have to unload

1059
00:54:34,960 --> 00:54:36,759
Speaker 2: on this Ravens team, which I do not want to do.

1060
00:54:36,840 --> 00:54:38,879
Speaker 2: So I'm hoping the pros come in and bet this down.

1061
00:54:38,880 --> 00:54:40,600
Speaker 2: There should be closer to four to four and a half.

1062
00:54:41,000 --> 00:54:42,800
Speaker 2: I'll take the points. I'll take the five and a half.

1063
00:54:44,160 --> 00:54:47,959
Speaker 1: Really good teams the past twenty years listed as underdogs

1064
00:54:48,040 --> 00:54:53,240
Speaker 1: late in the season have struggled teams with a seventy

1065
00:54:53,320 --> 00:54:57,760
Speaker 1: plus win percentage in December or later who are listed

1066
00:54:57,800 --> 00:55:01,480
Speaker 1: as dogs one hundred and twenty five games, sample size

1067
00:55:02,239 --> 00:55:06,720
Speaker 1: forty against the spread, two teams.

1068
00:55:06,320 --> 00:55:08,320
Speaker 2: Five chance of hitting.

1069
00:55:08,120 --> 00:55:15,080
Speaker 1: It, Dallas, Baltimore. You're you're unloading at the five and

1070
00:55:15,120 --> 00:55:17,279
Speaker 1: a half. I'm hoping that the wise guys feel the

1071
00:55:17,280 --> 00:55:20,640
Speaker 1: way you do and they continue to come in on

1072
00:55:21,280 --> 00:55:22,800
Speaker 1: and they come in on the Ravens at five and

1073
00:55:22,840 --> 00:55:25,799
Speaker 1: a half, so I can get the forty nine ers

1074
00:55:25,840 --> 00:55:27,920
Speaker 1: at maybe five.

1075
00:55:28,400 --> 00:55:30,560
Speaker 2: I've done nothing, though, I'm just waiting. I'm hoping what

1076
00:55:30,880 --> 00:55:34,880
Speaker 2: you say is true, which is like the public should

1077
00:55:34,920 --> 00:55:36,640
Speaker 2: like the forty nine year They've been the best team

1078
00:55:36,680 --> 00:55:38,799
Speaker 2: all season. They should be the Super Bowl favorites. I mean,

1079
00:55:38,840 --> 00:55:40,359
Speaker 2: I've had them power rate and up, so my number

1080
00:55:40,360 --> 00:55:43,480
Speaker 2: one team now for on you know, three four weeks,

1081
00:55:43,520 --> 00:55:47,000
Speaker 2: like they've just they've been incredible. And this is what

1082
00:55:47,080 --> 00:55:51,320
Speaker 2: we talked about. This is every teaser on that Monday

1083
00:55:51,440 --> 00:55:53,759
Speaker 2: slate on Christmas is going to be tied to this

1084
00:55:53,840 --> 00:55:57,439
Speaker 2: team like so you know, I'm hoping the pros wade

1085
00:55:57,440 --> 00:55:59,400
Speaker 2: and this gets up to six like this, to me,

1086
00:55:59,440 --> 00:56:01,000
Speaker 2: this will just keep going up just because the public

1087
00:56:01,000 --> 00:56:04,480
Speaker 2: will keep hanging this one. So yeah, Chat, I don't

1088
00:56:04,480 --> 00:56:06,120
Speaker 2: think you're gonna get what you want, which is this

1089
00:56:06,200 --> 00:56:08,160
Speaker 2: going down to four to three and a half. I

1090
00:56:08,200 --> 00:56:10,600
Speaker 2: can only really see this being bumped up by game

1091
00:56:10,640 --> 00:56:13,239
Speaker 2: time just because the publics that are coming heavy on this.

1092
00:56:13,320 --> 00:56:15,960
Speaker 2: I mean that just the forty nine ers are the

1093
00:56:16,000 --> 00:56:18,240
Speaker 2: most talked about, most beloved team right now in football

1094
00:56:18,920 --> 00:56:19,720
Speaker 2: exact decision.

1095
00:56:20,640 --> 00:56:22,360
Speaker 1: I think it's gonna be hard for us to find

1096
00:56:22,360 --> 00:56:27,560
Speaker 1: five that we both agree on right now that doesn't

1097
00:56:27,600 --> 00:56:29,839
Speaker 1: include the Jets.

1098
00:56:30,280 --> 00:56:31,399
Speaker 2: I got Arizona.

1099
00:56:32,400 --> 00:56:38,960
Speaker 1: Oh yeah, I forgot Arizona, got Tennessee, Arizona, Tennessee, probably

1100
00:56:38,960 --> 00:56:41,759
Speaker 1: Detroit if we can get it at three, Arolina plus

1101
00:56:41,760 --> 00:56:42,360
Speaker 1: fe I guess.

1102
00:56:42,200 --> 00:56:43,440
Speaker 2: You're right, it's gonna be tough to get to the

1103
00:56:43,440 --> 00:56:44,759
Speaker 2: five now. I'm looking at it because we need a

1104
00:56:44,800 --> 00:56:47,319
Speaker 2: lot of lines to set up a certain way in

1105
00:56:47,320 --> 00:56:48,000
Speaker 2: this contest.

1106
00:56:48,000 --> 00:56:50,920
Speaker 1: But Houston two and a half, Tennessee two and a half,

1107
00:56:51,280 --> 00:56:56,360
Speaker 1: and then like we're talking about Arizona. We're talking about Detroit,

1108
00:56:56,400 --> 00:56:59,279
Speaker 1: We're talking about the Jets, the freaking Giants, and then

1109
00:56:59,320 --> 00:57:01,160
Speaker 1: you know, of course want to take the Niners. Of

1110
00:57:01,200 --> 00:57:03,520
Speaker 1: course you're gonna want to take the Niners. At three

1111
00:57:03,600 --> 00:57:05,680
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Speaker 1: Be sure to catch the next episode of the favorites

1127
00:57:46,800 --> 00:57:50,520
Speaker 1: live on the Action Network You two page Thursday, eleven

1128
00:57:50,560 --> 00:57:57,080
Speaker 1: am Eastern. Also, don't for get live events Shepherd and

1129
00:57:57,080 --> 00:58:00,360
Speaker 1: the Knucklehead, Me and Simon Sunday After You're New and

1130
00:58:00,480 --> 00:58:02,560
Speaker 1: wild Card Weekend. We're bringing it back. We want to

1131
00:58:02,560 --> 00:58:04,920
Speaker 1: see everybody there. It was so fun to be with everybody.

1132
00:58:06,120 --> 00:58:09,479
Speaker 1: Doors open at four pm Eastern, Live show podcast seven

1133
00:58:09,560 --> 00:58:13,120
Speaker 1: thirty pm Eastern. We'll be sweating bets together, free drinks,

1134
00:58:13,160 --> 00:58:15,960
Speaker 1: free entry, free hugs from me and Simon. You know

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00:58:16,000 --> 00:58:18,200
Speaker 1: we'll give them out. Anyone who was there, they know

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Speaker 1: that we were happy to hug everybody. Go to OURSVP.

1137
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Speaker 1: We had a packed house last time. We want to

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00:58:25,720 --> 00:58:28,800
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1140
00:58:28,840 --> 00:58:32,840
Speaker 1: subscribe if you can review, say whatever you want. Feedback

1141
00:58:32,960 --> 00:58:36,000
Speaker 1: is a gift until Thursday, eleven am Eastern. Love You.

1142
00:58:40,760 --> 00:58:45,280
Speaker 1: Action Network reminds you please gamble responsibly. If you or

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Speaker 1: someone you care about has a gambling problem, help is

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