1 00:00:03,840 --> 00:00:07,240 Speaker 1: Global business news twenty four hours a day. If Bloomberg 2 00:00:07,280 --> 00:00:10,399 Speaker 1: dot Com the radio plus mobile lact and on your radio. 3 00:00:10,640 --> 00:00:14,640 Speaker 1: This is a Bloomberg Business flag from Bloomberg World Handquarters. 4 00:00:14,680 --> 00:00:18,120 Speaker 1: I'm Charlie Pelota. Another move law for US equities. We've 5 00:00:18,160 --> 00:00:20,280 Speaker 1: got thirteen minutes to go ahead of the clothes here. 6 00:00:20,320 --> 00:00:23,800 Speaker 1: Stocks are falling as heightened political and security risks rattle 7 00:00:23,920 --> 00:00:27,560 Speaker 1: emerging markets, adding to the anxiety surrounding the outlook for 8 00:00:27,680 --> 00:00:31,000 Speaker 1: US interest rates. The SMP five hundred indecks down now 9 00:00:31,160 --> 00:00:34,960 Speaker 1: fifteen points at one seventy one, a drop of seven 10 00:00:35,000 --> 00:00:37,960 Speaker 1: tenths of one percent. We've got the down Jones Industrial 11 00:00:37,960 --> 00:00:40,680 Speaker 1: Average down ninety three points, a drop of five tens 12 00:00:40,680 --> 00:00:44,000 Speaker 1: of one percent. Naz stack is down fifty three points, 13 00:00:44,040 --> 00:00:47,560 Speaker 1: a drop of one percent. The tenure down to thirty seconds, 14 00:00:47,600 --> 00:00:51,200 Speaker 1: the yield one point five five percent, Gold down seventeen 15 00:00:51,240 --> 00:00:53,720 Speaker 1: sixty the ounce the thirteen twenty four, a drop of 16 00:00:53,800 --> 00:00:57,520 Speaker 1: one point three percent. And crude oil West Texas Intermediate 17 00:00:57,560 --> 00:01:01,680 Speaker 1: down two point nine percent, declining a barrel to forty 18 00:01:01,720 --> 00:01:06,000 Speaker 1: six dollars. And see, I'm Charlie Pellett, and that's of 19 00:01:06,000 --> 00:01:11,200 Speaker 1: Bloomberg Business Flash. This is taking stuff with Dathlee Hayes 20 00:01:11,240 --> 00:01:16,000 Speaker 1: and Grim Box on Bloomberg Radio. Hi'm Alex Brinka and 21 00:01:16,000 --> 00:01:19,000 Speaker 1: for Kathleen Hayes today. Um, and now we are looking 22 00:01:19,319 --> 00:01:24,319 Speaker 1: for great investment opportunities. Here with a few from his 23 00:01:24,760 --> 00:01:27,840 Speaker 1: book of tricks is David Deet's founder, President and chief 24 00:01:27,880 --> 00:01:31,720 Speaker 1: investment Strategies at Point View Wealth Management, who helps oversee 25 00:01:32,080 --> 00:01:36,279 Speaker 1: about two hundred and fifty million dollars from Summit New Jersey. David, 26 00:01:36,480 --> 00:01:40,319 Speaker 1: where are you finding opportunities these days? Well, we're looking 27 00:01:40,760 --> 00:01:45,400 Speaker 1: at areas which are out of favor, have not performed well. 28 00:01:45,720 --> 00:01:50,080 Speaker 1: The evaluations look attractive, and really there's some reason for 29 00:01:50,120 --> 00:01:53,360 Speaker 1: a callus for better opportunities ahead. The first one I 30 00:01:53,360 --> 00:01:57,480 Speaker 1: would highlight is financial services. Um, there's no bubble there, 31 00:01:57,640 --> 00:02:01,640 Speaker 1: despite the other marketing industries near record highs. In fact, 32 00:02:01,720 --> 00:02:04,160 Speaker 1: this is the one group that has never really recovered. 33 00:02:04,680 --> 00:02:08,839 Speaker 1: And why are they being held back? The first one, 34 00:02:08,840 --> 00:02:11,600 Speaker 1: of course, the first reasons is the low interest rates 35 00:02:11,680 --> 00:02:14,320 Speaker 1: is keeping a lid on their pricing on their loans. 36 00:02:14,760 --> 00:02:18,480 Speaker 1: And certainly by two by Friday at this time, we'll 37 00:02:18,520 --> 00:02:21,040 Speaker 1: know a little bit more about perhaps the trajectory of 38 00:02:21,040 --> 00:02:24,080 Speaker 1: interest rates. Most people think industrates are going up eventually, 39 00:02:24,280 --> 00:02:27,120 Speaker 1: this may be a great opportunity to take positions in 40 00:02:27,160 --> 00:02:30,959 Speaker 1: financial services stocks, particularly banks, to take advantage of potentially 41 00:02:31,040 --> 00:02:35,320 Speaker 1: high strates going forward. Thanks, are we talking US firms? Yeah, 42 00:02:35,400 --> 00:02:38,799 Speaker 1: we're We're we're us focused here. Um, we think there's 43 00:02:38,840 --> 00:02:43,000 Speaker 1: playing opportunities on this side of the pond. One we 44 00:02:43,040 --> 00:02:46,200 Speaker 1: would site is Bank of America. Bank of America has 45 00:02:46,440 --> 00:02:50,920 Speaker 1: one of the best franchises in this country, with a 46 00:02:51,000 --> 00:02:55,760 Speaker 1: coast to coast network of banks uh in all fifty states. Um. 47 00:02:56,240 --> 00:03:00,880 Speaker 1: They cover the gamut from investment banking to retail banking 48 00:03:01,040 --> 00:03:05,240 Speaker 1: and loans and dealing with high net worth investors needs. 49 00:03:05,320 --> 00:03:07,760 Speaker 1: Yet this is a stock to selling it just two 50 00:03:07,880 --> 00:03:11,919 Speaker 1: thirds of tangible book values, suggesting is worth more dead 51 00:03:12,000 --> 00:03:15,440 Speaker 1: than alive. And we think ultimately, if people see a 52 00:03:15,440 --> 00:03:18,520 Speaker 1: path forward on interest rates, people will develop more interest 53 00:03:18,560 --> 00:03:22,080 Speaker 1: in Banks America Aside from fundamentals, Are there other catalysts 54 00:03:22,120 --> 00:03:24,680 Speaker 1: you are considering? What I mean? Morgan Stanley comes to 55 00:03:24,720 --> 00:03:27,720 Speaker 1: mind with value Act getting involved. There are there other 56 00:03:27,800 --> 00:03:30,600 Speaker 1: kind of potential upside catalysts that that play into your 57 00:03:30,639 --> 00:03:34,160 Speaker 1: investment decisions? Yeah? Absolutely, they got The banks got off 58 00:03:34,160 --> 00:03:36,400 Speaker 1: to a bad start this year because of concerns of 59 00:03:36,480 --> 00:03:40,120 Speaker 1: the quality of their energy loans. But since we've seen 60 00:03:40,280 --> 00:03:44,040 Speaker 1: energy prices advance about eight from their Fabruary low, I 61 00:03:44,080 --> 00:03:47,920 Speaker 1: think some of the concerns there has dissipated. Second, of course, 62 00:03:48,080 --> 00:03:52,480 Speaker 1: banks have been your traditional source of dividends, but they've 63 00:03:52,480 --> 00:03:55,400 Speaker 1: been held back because of the need to get permission 64 00:03:55,440 --> 00:03:58,280 Speaker 1: from regulators and past these so called stressed us. Well, 65 00:03:58,320 --> 00:04:01,800 Speaker 1: at the beginning of the summer, all US banks pass 66 00:04:01,880 --> 00:04:05,120 Speaker 1: the stress staff, and their plans to return capital of 67 00:04:05,160 --> 00:04:07,600 Speaker 1: the shareholders in the form of buy backs and dividends 68 00:04:07,600 --> 00:04:10,360 Speaker 1: were all validated by regulars. So I think you could 69 00:04:10,360 --> 00:04:13,560 Speaker 1: easily see a situation where the banks start to pay 70 00:04:13,560 --> 00:04:16,520 Speaker 1: back a lot more of their earnings, and that's going 71 00:04:16,600 --> 00:04:21,279 Speaker 1: to attract investor interests. David Deeds just comparing JP Morgan Chase, 72 00:04:21,360 --> 00:04:24,560 Speaker 1: for example, in Bank of America, the yield a dividend 73 00:04:24,640 --> 00:04:27,960 Speaker 1: yield on Bank of America under two percent, the yield 74 00:04:28,000 --> 00:04:32,880 Speaker 1: for JP Morgan Chasing a nearly three percent. Shares of 75 00:04:33,000 --> 00:04:36,000 Speaker 1: Bank of America down eight and a half percent this year. 76 00:04:36,200 --> 00:04:39,720 Speaker 1: JP Morgan Chase basically unchanged. Why would you favor one 77 00:04:39,760 --> 00:04:46,760 Speaker 1: over the other. Well, because the book value on Bank 78 00:04:46,760 --> 00:04:49,920 Speaker 1: of Americas is two thirds of tangible book value, while 79 00:04:50,000 --> 00:04:54,120 Speaker 1: JP Morgan's is one point three. So I think there's 80 00:04:54,120 --> 00:04:56,880 Speaker 1: a lot of room for ketchup. In Bank of America 81 00:04:57,400 --> 00:05:00,599 Speaker 1: the price the earning free issues. There's somewhat similar suggesting 82 00:05:00,600 --> 00:05:03,360 Speaker 1: that Bank America is paying out a much lower uh 83 00:05:03,520 --> 00:05:06,440 Speaker 1: percentage of their profits in the form of dividends. Again, 84 00:05:06,480 --> 00:05:10,120 Speaker 1: I can see ketchup. So here again investing the laggard 85 00:05:10,160 --> 00:05:13,440 Speaker 1: for a catchup and try and outperform in that manner. 86 00:05:14,640 --> 00:05:19,160 Speaker 1: Outside of financials wherelse are you looking? We like energy? 87 00:05:19,800 --> 00:05:21,640 Speaker 1: Yeah we do. I mean, you know, one of the 88 00:05:21,720 --> 00:05:25,599 Speaker 1: reasons people are fraught within decision now is you've got 89 00:05:25,960 --> 00:05:29,120 Speaker 1: the stock market indessees knocking on all time high levels. 90 00:05:29,240 --> 00:05:31,800 Speaker 1: But of course that's not the case in energy. Anyone 91 00:05:31,839 --> 00:05:35,080 Speaker 1: who needs to know why, Hey, in Arizona you can 92 00:05:35,080 --> 00:05:37,680 Speaker 1: buy gasoline at a dollar eighty one a gall at 93 00:05:37,680 --> 00:05:39,560 Speaker 1: the pump just a couple of years ago, where we're 94 00:05:39,560 --> 00:05:42,960 Speaker 1: about five dollars a gallon. So energy is the the 95 00:05:43,000 --> 00:05:47,040 Speaker 1: anti bubble um And of course economics one oh one. 96 00:05:47,120 --> 00:05:49,880 Speaker 1: So just here's what happens um second year in a 97 00:05:49,960 --> 00:05:53,600 Speaker 1: row of a downtrend in capital expenditures, the number of 98 00:05:53,680 --> 00:05:57,320 Speaker 1: drilling rigs has been flashed basically, UM people have been 99 00:05:57,400 --> 00:05:59,440 Speaker 1: laid off left and right. The banks don't want to 100 00:05:59,520 --> 00:06:03,600 Speaker 1: lens the air anymore. So production and supply is propty. 101 00:06:03,960 --> 00:06:05,560 Speaker 1: So we think we're going to get in to a 102 00:06:05,600 --> 00:06:08,200 Speaker 1: situation now that energy prices about half what they were, 103 00:06:08,640 --> 00:06:12,360 Speaker 1: where that supply demand starts to stabilize and ultimately starts 104 00:06:12,360 --> 00:06:15,360 Speaker 1: to move up. And so we're looking for first class 105 00:06:15,480 --> 00:06:17,760 Speaker 1: energy companies to take advantage of that trend? Are we 106 00:06:17,839 --> 00:06:21,760 Speaker 1: talking old services companies, drillers, explorers? Where do you sign 107 00:06:21,839 --> 00:06:25,599 Speaker 1: the most opportunity? You know, I think across the board. 108 00:06:26,000 --> 00:06:29,200 Speaker 1: One company that we're highlighting here is Baker Hughes. Baker 109 00:06:29,200 --> 00:06:32,200 Speaker 1: Houston's at fifty two dollars to share. Now last year, 110 00:06:32,839 --> 00:06:36,280 Speaker 1: late last year, Haliburn took our run at it. Remember Halibern, 111 00:06:36,320 --> 00:06:39,280 Speaker 1: Baker Hughes, Slamberget, and Weatherford are the big four and 112 00:06:39,320 --> 00:06:42,119 Speaker 1: oil services. So you had the number two and number 113 00:06:42,160 --> 00:06:44,960 Speaker 1: three wanting to get together um to form a much 114 00:06:44,960 --> 00:06:49,599 Speaker 1: bigger competitor to Slamberge. Haliburn offered seventy dollars to share 115 00:06:49,720 --> 00:06:52,120 Speaker 1: for this doctors now fifty two, so you know what 116 00:06:52,360 --> 00:06:56,159 Speaker 1: they thought was fair value. Unfortunately the deal did not 117 00:06:56,360 --> 00:06:59,160 Speaker 1: go through for anty trust concerns. If I think it 118 00:06:59,320 --> 00:07:01,320 Speaker 1: highlighted value, a lot of people who were in a 119 00:07:01,400 --> 00:07:04,760 Speaker 1: short term for that merger have left. And so if 120 00:07:04,800 --> 00:07:08,080 Speaker 1: you're an energy bowl as we are, longer term, we 121 00:07:08,120 --> 00:07:11,360 Speaker 1: think Baker Hughes is an attractive way to play the 122 00:07:11,400 --> 00:07:15,040 Speaker 1: improving investor cast flow into the energy space. When you 123 00:07:15,120 --> 00:07:19,480 Speaker 1: talk about Baker Hughes, the yield there at one point 124 00:07:19,480 --> 00:07:22,680 Speaker 1: three percent, would you consider buying one of the major 125 00:07:22,760 --> 00:07:27,440 Speaker 1: integrated oil companies like Royal Dutch shell shares they're paying 126 00:07:27,480 --> 00:07:32,119 Speaker 1: about seven and a half percent. Well, you know, we 127 00:07:32,120 --> 00:07:36,280 Speaker 1: we liked the sector overall. Again, companies like Royal Dutch 128 00:07:36,440 --> 00:07:41,480 Speaker 1: Total VP they're also under pressure because they're non domestic. 129 00:07:41,760 --> 00:07:44,880 Speaker 1: People are very leery of European stocks. As a result, 130 00:07:44,920 --> 00:07:48,240 Speaker 1: you're getting better dividends. So I mean, the interesting thing 131 00:07:48,360 --> 00:07:51,760 Speaker 1: is you're getting under one percent for a ten year 132 00:07:52,080 --> 00:07:56,640 Speaker 1: English sovereign bond in Royal Dutch, headquartered in in uh 133 00:07:56,680 --> 00:07:59,720 Speaker 1: London is paying seven percent. What am I missing here? 134 00:07:59,760 --> 00:08:02,240 Speaker 1: That looks like an attractive area for a portion of 135 00:08:02,240 --> 00:08:06,240 Speaker 1: your money U S investors, But are there other opportunities 136 00:08:06,240 --> 00:08:10,240 Speaker 1: outside of domestic equities? That you are looking. Yeah. I 137 00:08:10,240 --> 00:08:13,920 Speaker 1: mean one area that we like is emerging markets. Of course, 138 00:08:14,320 --> 00:08:17,280 Speaker 1: you know Latin American stocks, TENNY stocks, they had just 139 00:08:17,320 --> 00:08:20,960 Speaker 1: went gang busters in the first decade of the century, 140 00:08:21,280 --> 00:08:25,120 Speaker 1: but over the last six years they have slowed down dramatically, 141 00:08:25,640 --> 00:08:28,600 Speaker 1: but the fundamentals are still intact. One is they've got 142 00:08:28,640 --> 00:08:32,840 Speaker 1: the younger demographics, so there's much better growth potential there. Um. 143 00:08:33,160 --> 00:08:36,800 Speaker 1: The second, of course, the valuations. We're struggling with some 144 00:08:36,840 --> 00:08:39,160 Speaker 1: of the highest valuations we've seen the last twenty years, 145 00:08:39,200 --> 00:08:42,280 Speaker 1: but the price earning multiples in the emerging markets is 146 00:08:42,320 --> 00:08:46,320 Speaker 1: about ten or eleven, so they're very attractively priced. Um. 147 00:08:46,360 --> 00:08:50,280 Speaker 1: The one area that we're particularly focused on is Latin America. 148 00:08:50,679 --> 00:08:54,280 Speaker 1: Why is commodity based If we're right on our energy call, 149 00:08:54,360 --> 00:08:58,200 Speaker 1: and I think that goes to other commodities like copper 150 00:08:58,400 --> 00:09:02,000 Speaker 1: and iron ore devil buy some stability there right now. 151 00:09:02,040 --> 00:09:05,079 Speaker 1: Of course they're under the cloud because of political turmoil. 152 00:09:05,200 --> 00:09:08,400 Speaker 1: But what we're saying, for example, in Brazil they're impeaching 153 00:09:08,400 --> 00:09:12,600 Speaker 1: the president. Um. Those um, you know, non free market 154 00:09:12,679 --> 00:09:14,960 Speaker 1: forces are being pushed back a little bit, and so 155 00:09:15,040 --> 00:09:17,680 Speaker 1: we think the valuations are attractive in some of those 156 00:09:17,720 --> 00:09:21,240 Speaker 1: areas and can provide a place to put your money 157 00:09:21,559 --> 00:09:24,840 Speaker 1: in this very low interest rate environment, and you're very 158 00:09:24,880 --> 00:09:28,600 Speaker 1: fearful for the high valuations on US domestic stocks, David 159 00:09:28,679 --> 00:09:31,720 Speaker 1: diets I was taking a look courtesy of your research 160 00:09:31,840 --> 00:09:35,520 Speaker 1: at the Fidelity Latin America Fund. The symbol there is 161 00:09:35,720 --> 00:09:39,040 Speaker 1: f l A t X and U to dated something 162 00:09:39,040 --> 00:09:43,240 Speaker 1: more than thirty. Is it too expensive now? No, I 163 00:09:43,280 --> 00:09:45,800 Speaker 1: don't think so, because since two thousand and ten is 164 00:09:45,880 --> 00:09:53,200 Speaker 1: down thirty notwithstanding that recent gain versus about SMP. But 165 00:09:53,320 --> 00:09:56,000 Speaker 1: just drilled down into some of the fundamentals that David 166 00:09:56,160 --> 00:09:59,480 Speaker 1: n yield on that portfolio courtesy Warning Star is four 167 00:09:59,520 --> 00:10:02,560 Speaker 1: point eight percent versus just two point three percent the 168 00:10:02,679 --> 00:10:05,240 Speaker 1: SMP five hundred, and the price to earning creation that 169 00:10:05,320 --> 00:10:11,000 Speaker 1: portfolio versus the SMPS nineteen now ad mentally more volatilely there. 170 00:10:11,120 --> 00:10:14,079 Speaker 1: But for those fearful of the higher valuations in the 171 00:10:14,200 --> 00:10:17,760 Speaker 1: sky high prices here, we think that if you like 172 00:10:17,880 --> 00:10:21,040 Speaker 1: dividend yield, cheaper valuations, this is a home for a 173 00:10:21,080 --> 00:10:23,880 Speaker 1: portion of your money. Thanks very much for spending time 174 00:10:23,920 --> 00:10:26,880 Speaker 1: with us. David Dietz is the founder of the President 175 00:10:26,880 --> 00:10:30,800 Speaker 1: and the chief investment strategist for Point View Wealth Management, 176 00:10:30,800 --> 00:10:34,280 Speaker 1: helping to manage more than two hundred and fifty million dollars. 177 00:10:34,280 --> 00:10:38,320 Speaker 1: Based in Summit, New Jersey. He's speaking about investing in 178 00:10:38,440 --> 00:10:43,360 Speaker 1: energy stocks such as Baker, Hughes, Schlumberge, and Halliburton, as 179 00:10:43,400 --> 00:10:47,720 Speaker 1: well as bank stocks a Bank of America, JP, Morgan, Chase, 180 00:10:47,880 --> 00:10:51,040 Speaker 1: Wells Fargo, and he also likes Latin America with the 181 00:10:51,080 --> 00:10:56,120 Speaker 1: Fidelity Latin America Fund f l A t X. This 182 00:10:56,200 --> 00:10:58,840 Speaker 1: is taking stock on Bloomberg. I'm PIM Fox. I want 183 00:10:58,840 --> 00:11:02,400 Speaker 1: to thank my co host Alex Barrinka. Thanks John, Are 184 00:11:02,400 --> 00:11:05,480 Speaker 1: you kidding? It's wonderful to have you. Alex Barrinka of 185 00:11:05,640 --> 00:11:08,560 Speaker 1: Bloomberg News knows everything there is to know about initial 186 00:11:08,640 --> 00:11:11,160 Speaker 1: public offerings. We're going to take you through to the 187 00:11:11,160 --> 00:11:12,760 Speaker 1: close on Wall Street next