1 00:00:01,200 --> 00:00:07,440 Speaker 1: The volume Callin Coward Podcast presented by FanDuel Sports Book. 2 00:00:07,520 --> 00:00:09,639 Speaker 1: No better place to bet the action than on FanDuel 3 00:00:09,680 --> 00:00:13,000 Speaker 1: Sports Book during the football season. There's a lot of reasons. 4 00:00:13,240 --> 00:00:17,239 Speaker 1: It's America's number one sports book. Incredibly easy to use, 5 00:00:17,800 --> 00:00:21,759 Speaker 1: super safe, totally secure, super fast payouts in as quick 6 00:00:21,760 --> 00:00:24,720 Speaker 1: as two hours. You're not going to get that anywhere. Also, 7 00:00:24,840 --> 00:00:28,640 Speaker 1: same game parlay bets, live betting. It's the best. Hey, 8 00:00:28,680 --> 00:00:31,600 Speaker 1: if you're new, just download the FanDuel Sports Book App. 9 00:00:31,640 --> 00:00:34,159 Speaker 1: I did it in fifteen seconds. Get started now sign up. 10 00:00:34,640 --> 00:00:37,159 Speaker 1: Please use the promo code Colin so they know we 11 00:00:37,200 --> 00:00:40,600 Speaker 1: sent you. Please use the promo code Collins c O 12 00:00:40,760 --> 00:00:52,199 Speaker 1: L I N FanDuel Sports Book App. Sign up, Hi, everybody, 13 00:00:52,200 --> 00:00:58,000 Speaker 1: and welcome to Sharp or Square Day. Chad Milman our 14 00:00:58,080 --> 00:01:02,240 Speaker 1: picks AFC NFC Championship. What a week. I hope you 15 00:01:02,400 --> 00:01:05,200 Speaker 1: like that Nick Wright interview. It's one of my favorites. 16 00:01:05,880 --> 00:01:11,120 Speaker 1: But first, fake questions, real answers. There's stuff I want 17 00:01:11,120 --> 00:01:12,640 Speaker 1: to talk about, but I don't want to wait for 18 00:01:12,680 --> 00:01:15,520 Speaker 1: you to ask me. Dear Colin, what do you make 19 00:01:15,560 --> 00:01:21,400 Speaker 1: of some of these coaching hires? Excellent question? Forget the hires, 20 00:01:21,480 --> 00:01:25,480 Speaker 1: I don't even understand the interview process. How does Jason 21 00:01:25,600 --> 00:01:29,000 Speaker 1: Garrett not get an interview? He coached nine and a 22 00:01:29,080 --> 00:01:32,200 Speaker 1: half years in Dallas and had one losing season the 23 00:01:32,280 --> 00:01:37,080 Speaker 1: year Tony Romo fell apart physically. The NFC East was 24 00:01:37,160 --> 00:01:40,200 Speaker 1: not the circus it is today. The Giants won a 25 00:01:40,360 --> 00:01:44,480 Speaker 1: Super Bowl during his stay. The Eagles went from Andy 26 00:01:44,520 --> 00:01:49,640 Speaker 1: Reid to Doug Peterson. Washington went through a renaissance with 27 00:01:49,800 --> 00:01:54,560 Speaker 1: RG three. The division was pretty darn sound during Jason 28 00:01:54,680 --> 00:01:58,480 Speaker 1: Garrett's train I don't understand it. He's not getting an interview. 29 00:01:58,600 --> 00:02:03,080 Speaker 1: I got nothing against Fangio. Did you watch the Broncos games? 30 00:02:03,880 --> 00:02:07,559 Speaker 1: That offense was remedial. It's an offensive league. Jason Garrett 31 00:02:07,560 --> 00:02:11,279 Speaker 1: an offensive coach. Vic Fangio got an interview with the Jaguars. 32 00:02:11,360 --> 00:02:14,360 Speaker 1: I wouldn't let him in the building to meet Trevor Lawrence. 33 00:02:14,840 --> 00:02:19,240 Speaker 1: I got nothing against Vance Joseph for Raheem Morris. They 34 00:02:19,240 --> 00:02:21,960 Speaker 1: were disasters in their first job. I'm not saying they 35 00:02:22,000 --> 00:02:24,680 Speaker 1: can't get a second interview. How is Jason Garrett not 36 00:02:24,720 --> 00:02:29,640 Speaker 1: getting interviewed? Is Doug Peterson even getting interviewed? He beat 37 00:02:29,680 --> 00:02:32,200 Speaker 1: Brady and Belichick with Nick Foles in a Super Bowl. 38 00:02:32,480 --> 00:02:36,240 Speaker 1: Jim Caldwell won fifty six percent of his games and 39 00:02:36,400 --> 00:02:42,120 Speaker 1: made the playoffs twice in Detroit. How is he not 40 00:02:42,240 --> 00:02:45,079 Speaker 1: interviewing for every one of these jobs? I don't even 41 00:02:45,160 --> 00:02:49,760 Speaker 1: understand it. It's recency bias, I guess, and I guess 42 00:02:49,840 --> 00:02:53,239 Speaker 1: Jason Garrett is now not a hot property. He'd certainly 43 00:02:53,240 --> 00:02:58,600 Speaker 1: get an interview with me. Dear Colin explained the burnout 44 00:02:58,639 --> 00:03:03,360 Speaker 1: from Sean Payton. Well, Sean Payton is an example of 45 00:03:03,360 --> 00:03:06,480 Speaker 1: what I would call the curse of being great. When 46 00:03:06,480 --> 00:03:09,400 Speaker 1: you're great, you rise to prominence, and then you have 47 00:03:09,480 --> 00:03:13,400 Speaker 1: to fend off everybody as they try to catch up 48 00:03:13,440 --> 00:03:16,919 Speaker 1: to you and steal assistance from you, and steal your 49 00:03:16,960 --> 00:03:20,880 Speaker 1: ideas and poach ideas from you. He's one of the 50 00:03:20,880 --> 00:03:24,200 Speaker 1: great originators of offensive football in the twenty first century. 51 00:03:24,560 --> 00:03:26,760 Speaker 1: He gained more yards and put up more points than 52 00:03:26,800 --> 00:03:30,560 Speaker 1: any NFL coach in their first one hundred games. Think 53 00:03:30,560 --> 00:03:34,240 Speaker 1: about the Saints offensive rankings since he took over with 54 00:03:34,360 --> 00:03:37,640 Speaker 1: New Orleans in two thousand and six. Number one, number four, 55 00:03:37,720 --> 00:03:40,280 Speaker 1: number one, number one, number six, number one, number two, 56 00:03:40,360 --> 00:03:43,000 Speaker 1: number four, number one, number two, number one, number two. 57 00:03:43,480 --> 00:03:46,600 Speaker 1: Then as Breeze got older, number eight, number nine, number twelve, 58 00:03:48,400 --> 00:03:52,360 Speaker 1: and the league was copying him and chasing him. There's 59 00:03:52,360 --> 00:03:57,160 Speaker 1: only been fourteen five thousand yard passing seasons in league history. 60 00:03:57,560 --> 00:04:04,280 Speaker 1: Drew Brees has five member breeze, especially the second half 61 00:04:04,280 --> 00:04:08,200 Speaker 1: of his career, did not throw the ball down field 62 00:04:08,240 --> 00:04:13,080 Speaker 1: as much. Very few cheap yards from Drew Brees. If 63 00:04:13,120 --> 00:04:15,800 Speaker 1: I ran Fox Sports, I said it a couple of 64 00:04:15,880 --> 00:04:18,120 Speaker 1: days ago, I'd give him a bunch of money, get 65 00:04:18,200 --> 00:04:20,960 Speaker 1: him in house, and figure out how to use him. 66 00:04:21,040 --> 00:04:26,239 Speaker 1: He's just a brilliant offensive mind in an increasingly offensive league. 67 00:04:27,000 --> 00:04:29,760 Speaker 1: Dear Colin, what will you be keeping your eye on 68 00:04:29,880 --> 00:04:33,480 Speaker 1: as the rest of the postseason plays out in the NFL? Well, 69 00:04:33,520 --> 00:04:35,880 Speaker 1: think about this. We have four coaches left, three year 70 00:04:35,960 --> 00:04:40,359 Speaker 1: young Sean McVeigh, Kyle Shanahan, and Zach Taylor. Andy Reid 71 00:04:41,240 --> 00:04:44,520 Speaker 1: is the old guy left, but the last three coaches 72 00:04:44,560 --> 00:04:47,480 Speaker 1: to win the Super Bowl Old Guy Bruce Arians, old 73 00:04:47,480 --> 00:04:50,880 Speaker 1: Guy Andy Reid, old guy Bill Belichick. If you pull 74 00:04:50,960 --> 00:04:54,760 Speaker 1: back to the last ten years, that list includes old 75 00:04:54,760 --> 00:04:59,200 Speaker 1: guy Pete Carroll, Tom Coughlin, old guy, and Bill Belichick. 76 00:04:59,279 --> 00:05:04,359 Speaker 1: Several times, young coaches are innovators, they're fresh, they're exciting, 77 00:05:04,400 --> 00:05:11,160 Speaker 1: their new experience matters a lot at the end of seasons. 78 00:05:11,520 --> 00:05:14,800 Speaker 1: I'll take Andy Reid to win this weekend and win 79 00:05:14,839 --> 00:05:19,080 Speaker 1: the Super Bowl. Dear Colin, you've been critical of Aaron Rodgers. 80 00:05:19,400 --> 00:05:21,919 Speaker 1: Please don't stop. Give me something else that irks you 81 00:05:21,960 --> 00:05:27,240 Speaker 1: about Aaron. Well, these questions are fantastic this week. One 82 00:05:27,279 --> 00:05:30,919 Speaker 1: of the things I think is important I continue to 83 00:05:31,000 --> 00:05:35,840 Speaker 1: love sports. Right. You don't want to hear me complain 84 00:05:35,920 --> 00:05:41,320 Speaker 1: about sports being tired or tedious. Tom Brady loves football. 85 00:05:41,640 --> 00:05:43,920 Speaker 1: He's obsessed by it. So was Peyton Manning, so was 86 00:05:44,000 --> 00:05:49,400 Speaker 1: Russell Wilson, Kobe Bryant, Michael Jordan. I don't care about 87 00:05:49,440 --> 00:05:53,799 Speaker 1: your balanced life. I'm not interested in your off seasons. Okay, 88 00:05:53,839 --> 00:05:55,520 Speaker 1: I want a guy who wants to win as much 89 00:05:55,560 --> 00:06:00,720 Speaker 1: as I do. Aaron Rodgers keeps reminding us that he'd 90 00:06:00,760 --> 00:06:05,080 Speaker 1: be fine without football. I don't think that's great self awareness. 91 00:06:05,880 --> 00:06:08,720 Speaker 1: Fans don't want to hear it, Your coaches don't want 92 00:06:08,720 --> 00:06:11,520 Speaker 1: to hear it. I'm not sure your executives want to 93 00:06:11,520 --> 00:06:15,920 Speaker 1: hear it. Aaron has this need to project that he 94 00:06:16,000 --> 00:06:19,680 Speaker 1: has a very broad, sophisticated life and football is but 95 00:06:19,800 --> 00:06:23,120 Speaker 1: a tiny slice of the pie. Yeah, it wasn't for 96 00:06:23,240 --> 00:06:30,000 Speaker 1: Michael Jordan or Kobe or Lebron or Brady or Montana. Yeah, 97 00:06:30,080 --> 00:06:32,600 Speaker 1: Joe Montana didn't spend a lot of time talking about 98 00:06:32,640 --> 00:06:37,560 Speaker 1: his wineries in NAPA until he retired. Aaron keeps reminding 99 00:06:37,640 --> 00:06:40,720 Speaker 1: us he is so smart and so sophisticated. He could 100 00:06:40,720 --> 00:06:46,120 Speaker 1: have a beautiful, beautiful life without football. Like Farv, You're 101 00:06:46,120 --> 00:06:48,920 Speaker 1: gonna leave, We're gonna say bye, and the league will 102 00:06:48,920 --> 00:06:53,000 Speaker 1: continue to grow. Guess what, Aaron, Football doesn't need you either, 103 00:06:53,080 --> 00:06:58,080 Speaker 1: I guess Dear Colin, how will we look back at 104 00:06:58,120 --> 00:07:01,800 Speaker 1: Big Ben's career several years now? Well, I said this 105 00:07:01,839 --> 00:07:05,080 Speaker 1: the other day on television. He reminds me of Marlon Brando. 106 00:07:05,240 --> 00:07:08,760 Speaker 1: From nineteen fifty through the seventies, Brando was one of 107 00:07:08,760 --> 00:07:10,800 Speaker 1: the great, if not the greatest, actor of all time. 108 00:07:11,160 --> 00:07:14,120 Speaker 1: He won an Oscar for On the Waterfront and The Godfather, 109 00:07:14,920 --> 00:07:17,400 Speaker 1: But the last fifteen years of his life the Larry 110 00:07:17,480 --> 00:07:19,880 Speaker 1: King interviews, he was a punchline. They made fun of 111 00:07:19,960 --> 00:07:23,520 Speaker 1: him on Saturday Night Live, on Letterman, he was just 112 00:07:23,560 --> 00:07:26,640 Speaker 1: a he was a mess. John Travolta made fun of 113 00:07:26,720 --> 00:07:30,480 Speaker 1: him on Saturday Night Live. And if John Travolta thinks 114 00:07:30,480 --> 00:07:35,960 Speaker 1: he's crazy. He must be crazy. Ben, similarly like Marlon Brando, 115 00:07:36,080 --> 00:07:40,320 Speaker 1: will be viewed iconically once we get a little distance 116 00:07:40,560 --> 00:07:43,080 Speaker 1: from his career. But if you've had to live in 117 00:07:43,120 --> 00:07:46,720 Speaker 1: it in the last ten years, he couldn't beat Brady, 118 00:07:46,760 --> 00:07:49,480 Speaker 1: couldn't beat Peyton, couldn't beat Mahomes. In the minute Joe 119 00:07:49,480 --> 00:07:53,360 Speaker 1: Burrow got healthy, he dominates the division. Let's be honest, 120 00:07:53,480 --> 00:07:58,600 Speaker 1: it's been twelve years since Big Ben won even a 121 00:07:58,720 --> 00:08:03,360 Speaker 1: divisional round playoff game against another elite to semi elite 122 00:08:03,440 --> 00:08:09,440 Speaker 1: quarterback Joe Flacco twenty twelve. So from afar ten years 123 00:08:09,440 --> 00:08:12,960 Speaker 1: from now, two super Bowls, eight division titles, a big statue, 124 00:08:13,240 --> 00:08:16,640 Speaker 1: top ten passing yards and touchdowns. But it's been a 125 00:08:16,640 --> 00:08:20,440 Speaker 1: pretty turbulent flight with a lot of disappointments for the 126 00:08:20,520 --> 00:08:27,520 Speaker 1: last ten years, just like Marlon Brando. All right, everybody, 127 00:08:28,160 --> 00:08:34,080 Speaker 1: welcome in time for another edition of Sharp or Square. 128 00:08:35,400 --> 00:08:39,920 Speaker 1: Now I bring in Chad Milman, Chief Content Officer of 129 00:08:39,960 --> 00:08:43,600 Speaker 1: the Action Network. He is, of course a sharp, somebody 130 00:08:43,600 --> 00:08:48,240 Speaker 1: who bets talks to professional sports gamblers. I am, of 131 00:08:48,280 --> 00:08:52,480 Speaker 1: course a square. I think all of you know that 132 00:08:52,559 --> 00:08:56,040 Speaker 1: on mini levels, and so let's bring in Chad Milman, 133 00:08:56,240 --> 00:08:59,760 Speaker 1: Chief content officer of the Action Network. So, how did 134 00:08:59,760 --> 00:09:03,480 Speaker 1: you do last weekend? I forget I did incredibly well. 135 00:09:04,679 --> 00:09:08,760 Speaker 1: I believe we discussed this on this podcast last week. 136 00:09:09,480 --> 00:09:13,839 Speaker 1: I loved the Titans minus three and a half. That 137 00:09:13,880 --> 00:09:20,040 Speaker 1: didn't work out. Clearly, you could argue right side bad outcome. 138 00:09:20,320 --> 00:09:23,640 Speaker 1: You get nine sacks, you got a quarterback who throws 139 00:09:23,720 --> 00:09:26,360 Speaker 1: three interceptions, You've got a chance to go ahead by 140 00:09:26,360 --> 00:09:28,720 Speaker 1: a touchdown, You've got the ball deep in their in 141 00:09:28,720 --> 00:09:33,160 Speaker 1: their territory. You can't convert fourth and one bad luck. 142 00:09:33,960 --> 00:09:36,360 Speaker 1: I also say the right side is the winning side, 143 00:09:36,520 --> 00:09:42,479 Speaker 1: and that side lost. I was on Los Angeles plus three. 144 00:09:42,559 --> 00:09:45,760 Speaker 1: We talked about that. I had talked about the San 145 00:09:45,800 --> 00:09:48,520 Speaker 1: Francisco forty nine ers plus five and a half, and 146 00:09:49,080 --> 00:09:52,880 Speaker 1: this was one where all of the professionals the betting 147 00:09:52,920 --> 00:09:56,320 Speaker 1: market loved the Buffalo Bills. They loved him at plus 148 00:09:56,320 --> 00:09:57,839 Speaker 1: two and a half. They loved him at plus two. 149 00:09:57,840 --> 00:10:00,160 Speaker 1: It got that down to one and a half. And 150 00:10:00,240 --> 00:10:02,280 Speaker 1: this is your main to the conversation today. I bet 151 00:10:02,600 --> 00:10:06,800 Speaker 1: I never it never made sense to me. Patrick Mahomes 152 00:10:07,360 --> 00:10:11,960 Speaker 1: transcendent talent. We talked about this. When you're saying who 153 00:10:11,960 --> 00:10:14,760 Speaker 1: are the five quarterbacks you would take right now. To me, 154 00:10:14,960 --> 00:10:18,360 Speaker 1: Patrick Mahomes was number one, not even a question. I 155 00:10:18,400 --> 00:10:21,800 Speaker 1: don't care how much he's getting paid, and we saw 156 00:10:21,840 --> 00:10:24,240 Speaker 1: that bear out. You just don't bet against Patrick Mahomes 157 00:10:24,320 --> 00:10:27,600 Speaker 1: at home on a short number in a game like that. 158 00:10:27,600 --> 00:10:29,360 Speaker 1: That was my side. That was my best bet of 159 00:10:29,360 --> 00:10:31,120 Speaker 1: the week. That was the one I bet. I bet 160 00:10:31,200 --> 00:10:33,280 Speaker 1: Kansas said he I got minus one and a half. 161 00:10:33,520 --> 00:10:37,839 Speaker 1: I will tell you I was shocked the Niners beat 162 00:10:37,840 --> 00:10:42,120 Speaker 1: Green Bay. I was. I'm very rarely shocked in the NFL. 163 00:10:42,760 --> 00:10:55,000 Speaker 1: I was shocked why by healthy, rested Aaron Rodgers quarterback edge. 164 00:10:56,080 --> 00:10:58,240 Speaker 1: I thought Green Bay was a more physical team than 165 00:10:58,320 --> 00:11:01,600 Speaker 1: previous years. They wouldn't be as rattled and unsettled against 166 00:11:01,640 --> 00:11:05,760 Speaker 1: a very good defensive front, and Aaron Rodgers as the 167 00:11:06,080 --> 00:11:10,440 Speaker 1: kind of reigning MVP at home off a bye, should 168 00:11:10,480 --> 00:11:15,960 Speaker 1: generally outdue Jimmy Garoppolo, crazy of me. I was wrong. Well, 169 00:11:16,000 --> 00:11:20,559 Speaker 1: look you, when you bet the five and a half 170 00:11:21,120 --> 00:11:24,080 Speaker 1: on the Niners, it's always good to take a little 171 00:11:24,120 --> 00:11:27,200 Speaker 1: piece of the money line too, especially on those short favorites. 172 00:11:27,280 --> 00:11:29,040 Speaker 1: You don't have to bet a whole unit, right. Units 173 00:11:29,080 --> 00:11:32,280 Speaker 1: are generally representative of the amount of money you normally 174 00:11:32,320 --> 00:11:34,240 Speaker 1: bet in a game. If you normally bet fifty bucks 175 00:11:34,280 --> 00:11:36,760 Speaker 1: in a game, that's one unit. If you're betting one 176 00:11:36,800 --> 00:11:39,199 Speaker 1: hundred bucks on a game and you're normally a fifty 177 00:11:39,200 --> 00:11:42,240 Speaker 1: dollars better, that's two units. Right. So units are really 178 00:11:42,280 --> 00:11:46,560 Speaker 1: representative of how comfortable you are with a particular number 179 00:11:46,559 --> 00:11:48,960 Speaker 1: and how much confidence you have. If you like a 180 00:11:48,960 --> 00:11:51,720 Speaker 1: team that is a short underdog, it always makes sense 181 00:11:51,760 --> 00:11:55,560 Speaker 1: to put a little bit on that team to win, outright. 182 00:11:55,960 --> 00:11:57,520 Speaker 1: I knew a lot of professional betters who did that 183 00:11:57,559 --> 00:12:01,000 Speaker 1: with the Niners, because they were certainly sharp side last week. 184 00:12:03,200 --> 00:12:07,160 Speaker 1: So here we go, Bengals plus seven at the Chiefs. 185 00:12:07,280 --> 00:12:09,880 Speaker 1: Andy Reid's not only great off a bye, this is 186 00:12:09,920 --> 00:12:12,400 Speaker 1: not a bye when he faces a team for the 187 00:12:12,440 --> 00:12:15,120 Speaker 1: second time within a year. He's twenty three thirteen and 188 00:12:15,120 --> 00:12:20,880 Speaker 1: one against the spread Mahomes at home. I still don't 189 00:12:20,920 --> 00:12:25,960 Speaker 1: think the Bengals are completely healthy. Their offensive line is 190 00:12:25,960 --> 00:12:31,000 Speaker 1: obviously the weakness right now of their franchise. I felt 191 00:12:31,080 --> 00:12:34,959 Speaker 1: last week they had topped out. I feel the difference 192 00:12:35,080 --> 00:12:38,599 Speaker 1: is the Chiefs are a much more dynamic offense than Tennessee. 193 00:12:39,679 --> 00:12:43,120 Speaker 1: I would take Kansas City to win. I think they'll 194 00:12:43,200 --> 00:12:46,559 Speaker 1: dominate I think they'll cover. I think it's potentially a blowout, 195 00:12:46,960 --> 00:12:53,640 Speaker 1: sharp or square. That is a square play, my friend, 196 00:12:54,360 --> 00:12:57,320 Speaker 1: I can't say that you're alone. For the record, you know, 197 00:12:57,400 --> 00:13:01,120 Speaker 1: we do the Favorites podcast for the value and me 198 00:13:01,200 --> 00:13:06,240 Speaker 1: and professional better Simon Hunter. All of the wise guys 199 00:13:06,280 --> 00:13:09,960 Speaker 1: are coming in on the Bengals, and this was sort 200 00:13:09,960 --> 00:13:12,920 Speaker 1: of the biggest debate that we had today. I love 201 00:13:12,960 --> 00:13:15,280 Speaker 1: the Bengals in this spot. If you can get the 202 00:13:15,320 --> 00:13:19,720 Speaker 1: Bengals at seven and a half, you should. The majority 203 00:13:19,760 --> 00:13:22,280 Speaker 1: of the money is coming in on the Bengals, the 204 00:13:22,320 --> 00:13:24,560 Speaker 1: majority of the tickets are coming in on the Chiefs. 205 00:13:24,559 --> 00:13:27,880 Speaker 1: When you have that discrepancy, it basically means the professionals 206 00:13:27,880 --> 00:13:32,400 Speaker 1: are on the Bengals, the public are on the Chiefs. 207 00:13:33,840 --> 00:13:38,640 Speaker 1: The Bengals. Most people have this game power rated five 208 00:13:38,720 --> 00:13:42,120 Speaker 1: to six, so you're getting about anywhere from a point 209 00:13:42,160 --> 00:13:45,240 Speaker 1: to two points of an advantage if you're betting the Bengals. 210 00:13:46,080 --> 00:13:48,120 Speaker 1: The Chiefs played the sixth most man coverage in the 211 00:13:48,240 --> 00:13:52,240 Speaker 1: NFL this year. Cincinnati had an NFL best eleven point 212 00:13:52,240 --> 00:13:57,080 Speaker 1: four yards per pass attempt against man coverage. Kansas City 213 00:13:57,120 --> 00:13:59,840 Speaker 1: against the playoff teams from the divisional weekend in this 214 00:14:00,080 --> 00:14:02,559 Speaker 1: season were one in three that a one win was 215 00:14:02,559 --> 00:14:06,520 Speaker 1: against Buffalo on overtime. Obviously, none of those games have 216 00:14:06,600 --> 00:14:10,160 Speaker 1: been by more than seven points in Kansas City winning. 217 00:14:10,240 --> 00:14:12,600 Speaker 1: They've played nineteen games this year, only eight wins of 218 00:14:12,600 --> 00:14:15,200 Speaker 1: seven or more. Cincinnati played in nineteen games only two 219 00:14:15,240 --> 00:14:18,319 Speaker 1: losses of seven or more. So, but what really gets 220 00:14:18,360 --> 00:14:21,840 Speaker 1: me here, what really gets me is that this is 221 00:14:21,880 --> 00:14:26,800 Speaker 1: a huge, huge number for a Cincinnati team that is 222 00:14:26,840 --> 00:14:29,440 Speaker 1: as explosive as it is, and that has a quarterback 223 00:14:29,720 --> 00:14:33,480 Speaker 1: who does not get rattled, who's very very good against 224 00:14:33,480 --> 00:14:37,640 Speaker 1: the blitz, and who has talent and Jamar Chase who 225 00:14:37,680 --> 00:14:41,040 Speaker 1: can get downfield and score points in bunches. So if 226 00:14:41,040 --> 00:14:44,160 Speaker 1: this game as the Chiefs up by fourteen with two 227 00:14:44,160 --> 00:14:47,600 Speaker 1: minutes left and a Swiss cheese defense that has gotten 228 00:14:47,640 --> 00:14:50,600 Speaker 1: better but it's still not, you know, top twenty defense, 229 00:14:51,240 --> 00:14:52,880 Speaker 1: do I really think that the Bengals aren't going to 230 00:14:52,880 --> 00:14:54,360 Speaker 1: find a way to score a touchdown in less than 231 00:14:54,400 --> 00:14:57,000 Speaker 1: two minutes. I'm taking the seven, seven and a half 232 00:14:57,000 --> 00:14:59,600 Speaker 1: because of the back door. That's really it. I think 233 00:14:59,600 --> 00:15:02,600 Speaker 1: the Chiefs gonna win. I think they'll probably win by 234 00:15:02,640 --> 00:15:06,240 Speaker 1: a decent number. But if there's backdoor protection, here, especially 235 00:15:06,280 --> 00:15:12,120 Speaker 1: if you can get the seven and a half. NFL 236 00:15:12,200 --> 00:15:15,080 Speaker 1: playoffs are in full gear and everybody can get in 237 00:15:15,160 --> 00:15:17,440 Speaker 1: on the action with a risk free bet on the 238 00:15:17,520 --> 00:15:21,240 Speaker 1: Fandel sports Book. Doesn't matter if you're new to FanDuel 239 00:15:21,800 --> 00:15:25,040 Speaker 1: or if you already have an account. All customers get 240 00:15:25,120 --> 00:15:28,640 Speaker 1: up to ten dollars back if your same game parlay 241 00:15:28,840 --> 00:15:32,440 Speaker 1: doesn't win. Okay. Same game parlays let you combine multiple 242 00:15:32,480 --> 00:15:35,800 Speaker 1: bets from one matchup for a big payout, bet, a little, win, 243 00:15:35,880 --> 00:15:38,240 Speaker 1: a lot. You can combine bets on the money line, 244 00:15:38,240 --> 00:15:40,760 Speaker 1: point spread, player stats, and so much more. I like 245 00:15:40,840 --> 00:15:44,720 Speaker 1: Fandel sports Book number one sports book, easy to use, 246 00:15:45,400 --> 00:15:48,840 Speaker 1: safe and secure payouts within two hours. If you already 247 00:15:48,840 --> 00:15:51,800 Speaker 1: have an account, just place your risk free same game 248 00:15:51,880 --> 00:15:55,440 Speaker 1: parlay on any conference championship game. To qualify new customers 249 00:15:55,520 --> 00:15:59,560 Speaker 1: joint today, please use the promo code column Okay, that's 250 00:15:59,600 --> 00:16:02,720 Speaker 1: gonna get via the risk free beat plus if you're 251 00:16:02,720 --> 00:16:05,240 Speaker 1: a first time betting with Fandel thirty to one odds 252 00:16:05,240 --> 00:16:07,680 Speaker 1: on any team in the conference championship to win again, 253 00:16:07,760 --> 00:16:11,000 Speaker 1: code's column twenty one plus in President in Arizona, Colorado, Indiana, Michigan, Jersey, 254 00:16:11,000 --> 00:16:13,720 Speaker 1: Tennessee in Virginia or West Virginia. Refund issued as non 255 00:16:13,720 --> 00:16:15,720 Speaker 1: withdrawable CSYE credit that expires in seven days. Max refund 256 00:16:15,720 --> 00:16:18,040 Speaker 1: ten bucks respections of plice terms at sportsbook Fandel dot com. 257 00:16:18,080 --> 00:16:19,960 Speaker 1: Same game parably available for multiple sports and all states 258 00:16:20,000 --> 00:16:22,800 Speaker 1: on mobile slash web gambling problem called one hundred Gambler. 259 00:16:22,880 --> 00:16:26,080 Speaker 1: Visit fandel dot com slash RG in Colorado, Jersey, and Virginia, 260 00:16:26,200 --> 00:16:27,760 Speaker 1: or call one eight hundred and nine with it Indiana 261 00:16:28,680 --> 00:16:31,200 Speaker 1: seventy seventy one seventeen for confidential help. In Michigan, Tennessee 262 00:16:31,240 --> 00:16:33,280 Speaker 1: redline is one hundred and eighty nine sevent eighty nine, 263 00:16:33,320 --> 00:16:34,720 Speaker 1: or go to one one hundred gamble dot net and 264 00:16:34,720 --> 00:16:36,680 Speaker 1: West Virginia or called one eight hundred next step or 265 00:16:36,720 --> 00:16:39,000 Speaker 1: text next step to five three three four two Arizona. 266 00:16:42,760 --> 00:16:47,000 Speaker 1: It is interesting. The Bengals played a lot of close games. 267 00:16:48,240 --> 00:16:53,640 Speaker 1: They narrowly beat the Jaguars. They narrowly lost to the Bears. 268 00:16:54,320 --> 00:17:00,400 Speaker 1: They narrowly beat the Vikings early. It's interesting team. I'm 269 00:17:00,400 --> 00:17:02,840 Speaker 1: looking at the best teams they played this year. They 270 00:17:02,880 --> 00:17:08,639 Speaker 1: hammered the Raiders in Vegas. They got hammered by the Chargers, 271 00:17:10,119 --> 00:17:16,760 Speaker 1: narrow lost to the Bengals. They hammered the Ravens, they 272 00:17:16,840 --> 00:17:20,320 Speaker 1: beat Kansas City narrow lost at home to the Packers, 273 00:17:21,080 --> 00:17:23,480 Speaker 1: so there is and they beat the Titans. There is 274 00:17:23,520 --> 00:17:26,879 Speaker 1: an argument to be made that sometimes they played to 275 00:17:26,920 --> 00:17:30,639 Speaker 1: their competition and they played their best football against the 276 00:17:30,680 --> 00:17:34,199 Speaker 1: best teams that there's We've seen that before. I was 277 00:17:34,200 --> 00:17:36,240 Speaker 1: going to say the thing about the Bengals. That's interesting, 278 00:17:36,520 --> 00:17:39,280 Speaker 1: and this was a huge debate that we had today 279 00:17:39,359 --> 00:17:42,240 Speaker 1: that Simon and I had today on the podcast, which 280 00:17:42,359 --> 00:17:46,960 Speaker 1: was the Bengals have been winning in flukey ways, right, 281 00:17:47,320 --> 00:17:50,240 Speaker 1: And they sort of beat the Raiders but got a 282 00:17:50,240 --> 00:17:52,760 Speaker 1: little bit of help from the officials and had a 283 00:17:52,840 --> 00:17:55,040 Speaker 1: ball tip off a helmet that probably would have tied 284 00:17:55,080 --> 00:17:57,640 Speaker 1: the game if not for that. And then they beat 285 00:17:57,680 --> 00:17:59,960 Speaker 1: the Titans even though getting sacked night times. They got 286 00:18:00,160 --> 00:18:03,359 Speaker 1: Ryan Tannehill and a bad game plan and the Titans 287 00:18:03,400 --> 00:18:08,800 Speaker 1: aren't making good calls offensively. My counter to that is 288 00:18:08,840 --> 00:18:12,040 Speaker 1: that the Bengals have the kind of offense and the 289 00:18:12,119 --> 00:18:14,920 Speaker 1: kind of makeup and the kind of players that overcome 290 00:18:14,960 --> 00:18:17,920 Speaker 1: the flukiness that is around them. And so you see 291 00:18:17,920 --> 00:18:20,280 Speaker 1: this all the time with teams. Some teams they create 292 00:18:20,320 --> 00:18:22,359 Speaker 1: their own luck. Some teams put themselves in position to 293 00:18:22,400 --> 00:18:26,280 Speaker 1: win even when everything else around them doesn't make sense analytically. 294 00:18:26,560 --> 00:18:28,080 Speaker 1: And so I know a lot of people who are 295 00:18:28,160 --> 00:18:31,560 Speaker 1: saying the Chiefs in a blowout because of everything we've seen. 296 00:18:32,160 --> 00:18:35,600 Speaker 1: And I've just seen too much of the Bengals in 297 00:18:35,640 --> 00:18:39,080 Speaker 1: positions to keep games close because of the personnel they 298 00:18:39,160 --> 00:18:41,919 Speaker 1: have in the field. All right, let's go Sharper square 299 00:18:42,000 --> 00:18:44,400 Speaker 1: Niners plus three and a half at the RAM. So 300 00:18:44,600 --> 00:18:47,600 Speaker 1: Sean McVeigh has averaged about twenty seven and a half 301 00:18:47,680 --> 00:18:50,760 Speaker 1: points since he came into this league with Jared Goffin 302 00:18:50,800 --> 00:18:54,120 Speaker 1: Matt Stafford. In the last six games against the forty 303 00:18:54,200 --> 00:18:59,000 Speaker 1: nine ers, he's averaged about eighteen points, so almost ten 304 00:18:59,040 --> 00:19:02,879 Speaker 1: points less. I think this matchup and a couple of 305 00:19:02,880 --> 00:19:05,399 Speaker 1: these matchups in the last six against the Niners they 306 00:19:05,440 --> 00:19:08,480 Speaker 1: scored seven months, they scored ten months, they scored only 307 00:19:08,560 --> 00:19:11,760 Speaker 1: seven in the second half and overtime in their last matchup. 308 00:19:12,320 --> 00:19:14,600 Speaker 1: I think the defensive front, which has a couple of 309 00:19:14,600 --> 00:19:18,800 Speaker 1: first rounders, is a matchup problem for the Rams because 310 00:19:18,840 --> 00:19:24,320 Speaker 1: I think the defensive line talent Armstead boast of first 311 00:19:24,400 --> 00:19:27,600 Speaker 1: round picks simply overwhelmed less talented players for the Rams. 312 00:19:27,640 --> 00:19:29,920 Speaker 1: I think the Rams offensive line as a unit is 313 00:19:30,040 --> 00:19:34,400 Speaker 1: very good in pass protection. The run is often blown up. 314 00:19:35,880 --> 00:19:38,920 Speaker 1: Sean mcvay's run games often blown up by this defensive front. 315 00:19:38,960 --> 00:19:41,680 Speaker 1: Adding Fred Warner, who I think is the best linebacker 316 00:19:41,680 --> 00:19:44,520 Speaker 1: in football, this is a matchup problem for the Rams. 317 00:19:46,600 --> 00:19:50,480 Speaker 1: This game will be close sharper square. I think the 318 00:19:50,600 --> 00:19:55,200 Speaker 1: Niners three and a half is the side, So that's 319 00:19:55,200 --> 00:19:59,720 Speaker 1: the sharp side. What's really interesting here is that you 320 00:20:00,119 --> 00:20:04,440 Speaker 1: think a Niners team that swept the Rams, that has 321 00:20:04,520 --> 00:20:08,960 Speaker 1: done what you've described sort of schematically, that is six 322 00:20:09,040 --> 00:20:14,560 Speaker 1: and oho straight up the past three seasons, they've won 323 00:20:14,600 --> 00:20:19,679 Speaker 1: all five games when they've been an underdog. This is 324 00:20:19,720 --> 00:20:22,560 Speaker 1: a team that you would think this line gets posted. 325 00:20:23,160 --> 00:20:26,560 Speaker 1: It should be Rams minus three and it should stay there. 326 00:20:27,040 --> 00:20:29,080 Speaker 1: It's been a three and a half all week. It's 327 00:20:29,119 --> 00:20:32,400 Speaker 1: barely come down. You look at the numbers, the majority 328 00:20:32,440 --> 00:20:35,480 Speaker 1: of the bets by a very small percentage. Whereas like 329 00:20:36,160 --> 00:20:39,119 Speaker 1: the Chiefs and Bengals, there's a wide disparity between the 330 00:20:39,200 --> 00:20:42,040 Speaker 1: money bet on the Bengals and the tickets on the Chiefs, 331 00:20:42,040 --> 00:20:44,600 Speaker 1: this one is much closer. It's all in that forty 332 00:20:44,640 --> 00:20:48,880 Speaker 1: to sixty range, that band, but it's a little bit 333 00:20:49,040 --> 00:20:51,399 Speaker 1: in favor of the Rams, which is why the number 334 00:20:51,840 --> 00:20:54,520 Speaker 1: hasn't come back down to three. There are a bunch 335 00:20:54,520 --> 00:20:57,119 Speaker 1: of syndicates and syndicates we've talked about this. These are 336 00:20:57,160 --> 00:20:59,879 Speaker 1: these groups that are professional betters. They pull their money, 337 00:21:00,240 --> 00:21:02,760 Speaker 1: they bet a lot sort of game to game together. 338 00:21:03,720 --> 00:21:05,800 Speaker 1: From the beginning of the season, they've been on the RAMS, 339 00:21:05,880 --> 00:21:09,679 Speaker 1: and this is sort of indicative of the believing in 340 00:21:09,680 --> 00:21:13,680 Speaker 1: the Rams. It's a really interesting spot to me. It's 341 00:21:13,720 --> 00:21:15,720 Speaker 1: kind of like with the Bengals. If you're getting that hook, 342 00:21:16,359 --> 00:21:19,120 Speaker 1: you take the hook. I mean, this is a matchup. 343 00:21:19,200 --> 00:21:21,199 Speaker 1: Jimmy g As fifteen and four as a dog in 344 00:21:21,240 --> 00:21:24,080 Speaker 1: his career, fourteen and five straight as a straight up 345 00:21:24,080 --> 00:21:27,520 Speaker 1: as a dog, best winning percentage of any quarterback in 346 00:21:27,600 --> 00:21:30,200 Speaker 1: Super Bowl era. In Super Bowl era as a dog, 347 00:21:31,000 --> 00:21:34,120 Speaker 1: Kyle Shan had eighteen and ten as a road dog. 348 00:21:34,520 --> 00:21:38,399 Speaker 1: Seven and three against the spread against McVeagh home field. 349 00:21:38,440 --> 00:21:41,440 Speaker 1: Here is basically a zero. We've seen it. We've seen 350 00:21:41,440 --> 00:21:45,760 Speaker 1: the Rams trying to manipulate the ticket selling so it 351 00:21:45,880 --> 00:21:49,720 Speaker 1: favors the Rams. Most professionals have this game power raided 352 00:21:49,760 --> 00:21:51,600 Speaker 1: as RAMS minus one, so there's about two and a 353 00:21:51,600 --> 00:21:55,960 Speaker 1: half points of value and schematically you're right. Like to me, 354 00:21:56,400 --> 00:21:58,520 Speaker 1: the Niners can attack the middle of the field and 355 00:21:58,600 --> 00:22:01,879 Speaker 1: use the Rams aggressiveness defense with Von Miller with Aaron 356 00:22:01,920 --> 00:22:06,560 Speaker 1: Donald against them, and you can see how Deebo will 357 00:22:06,640 --> 00:22:09,800 Speaker 1: get these pitches in the backfield and find a way 358 00:22:10,200 --> 00:22:13,040 Speaker 1: to cut inside rather than having to run outside based 359 00:22:13,040 --> 00:22:17,280 Speaker 1: on the aggressiveness of the Rams defense. So I think 360 00:22:17,280 --> 00:22:18,879 Speaker 1: the Rams are the right side here. You're getting a 361 00:22:18,880 --> 00:22:21,440 Speaker 1: hook and you're getting a team that matches up really well. 362 00:22:22,720 --> 00:22:26,280 Speaker 1: You know, it's funny how in my mind when I 363 00:22:26,320 --> 00:22:29,119 Speaker 1: start looking at the Bengals and you start looking at 364 00:22:29,160 --> 00:22:32,399 Speaker 1: a lot of the numbers, I I can't see a 365 00:22:32,560 --> 00:22:35,720 Speaker 1: Cincinnati Bengal forty nine or Super Bowl. I just can't. 366 00:22:35,760 --> 00:22:38,560 Speaker 1: It feels like it feels like a Rams Chief Super Bowl. 367 00:22:39,119 --> 00:22:42,639 Speaker 1: Stranger things have happened. But you know it's interesting you 368 00:22:42,680 --> 00:22:49,320 Speaker 1: look at all these young coaches left, Shanahan, McVeigh, Zach Taylor. 369 00:22:50,920 --> 00:22:52,720 Speaker 1: Go and look at the last four or five Super 370 00:22:52,760 --> 00:22:58,399 Speaker 1: Bowl coaches that have won, Andy Reid, Bruce arians Bill Belichick. 371 00:22:59,280 --> 00:23:02,320 Speaker 1: If you extend it, you know the last ten or 372 00:23:02,359 --> 00:23:06,760 Speaker 1: twelve years, you get Tom Coughlin, Mike Tomlin, Pete Carol Belichick. 373 00:23:06,840 --> 00:23:10,560 Speaker 1: Lots of times, I do think my feeling on the 374 00:23:10,560 --> 00:23:14,160 Speaker 1: final four teams. I do feel strongly about Andy Reid 375 00:23:14,200 --> 00:23:16,000 Speaker 1: winning a Super Bowl, which I would root for because 376 00:23:16,000 --> 00:23:18,639 Speaker 1: I really like him. But there is some value. You 377 00:23:18,680 --> 00:23:22,359 Speaker 1: are seeing a lot of offensive coaches take over the league, 378 00:23:22,440 --> 00:23:26,720 Speaker 1: but the old guys, the old guys offense or defense 379 00:23:26,840 --> 00:23:29,800 Speaker 1: usually do well. Does that mean anything to you, No, 380 00:23:30,160 --> 00:23:32,600 Speaker 1: not necessarily. I mean I think sometimes they are just 381 00:23:32,640 --> 00:23:36,640 Speaker 1: sort of coincidences, right, and it's about rosters, and oftentimes 382 00:23:37,200 --> 00:23:41,960 Speaker 1: it's about quarterbacks. And Bill Belichick has had the best quarterback, 383 00:23:42,359 --> 00:23:46,120 Speaker 1: Andy Reid has had the best quarterback. Bruce arians has 384 00:23:46,160 --> 00:23:49,359 Speaker 1: had the best quarterback. And I think that's why people 385 00:23:49,359 --> 00:23:52,159 Speaker 1: would say, all right, Patrick Mahomes plays for the Chiefs. 386 00:23:52,440 --> 00:23:55,360 Speaker 1: What they're doing is unprecedented. What he can do is unprecedented. 387 00:23:55,400 --> 00:23:58,280 Speaker 1: There's nobody watching that game the other night against the 388 00:23:58,320 --> 00:24:01,440 Speaker 1: Bills when it was thirteen seconds. Who wasn't on their 389 00:24:01,480 --> 00:24:06,000 Speaker 1: feet wherever they were thinking there's a chance, right. It 390 00:24:06,200 --> 00:24:10,000 Speaker 1: just he's too good of a quarterback. So that's why 391 00:24:10,119 --> 00:24:13,040 Speaker 1: people think, Okay, the Chiefs blow them out. That's why 392 00:24:13,040 --> 00:24:15,159 Speaker 1: people think, Okay, the Chiefs. Look the Chiefs have the 393 00:24:15,200 --> 00:24:19,119 Speaker 1: shortest odds to win the Super Bowl right now, There's 394 00:24:19,160 --> 00:24:22,080 Speaker 1: no doubt people are favoring Leaves to win at all. 395 00:24:22,720 --> 00:24:25,360 Speaker 1: When I think about the coaches that are left. Shanahan, 396 00:24:25,760 --> 00:24:30,640 Speaker 1: Zach Taylor, McVey, Andy Reid. Who love Andy Reid. I 397 00:24:30,680 --> 00:24:32,720 Speaker 1: wanted Andy Reid to win at least one Super Bowl 398 00:24:32,760 --> 00:24:36,080 Speaker 1: because I do think in this era you could argue 399 00:24:36,520 --> 00:24:40,160 Speaker 1: that he is as good, if not better, a coach 400 00:24:40,200 --> 00:24:43,040 Speaker 1: than Bill Belichick, and the only difference has been quality 401 00:24:43,080 --> 00:24:46,240 Speaker 1: of quarterbacks. But what he has done for the game 402 00:24:46,480 --> 00:24:50,920 Speaker 1: creatively offensively, the development of his coaching tree amazing. Love 403 00:24:50,960 --> 00:24:54,240 Speaker 1: the guy. I want to see Kyle Shanahan win one. 404 00:24:54,320 --> 00:24:55,920 Speaker 1: I just think he's the best coach in the NFL. 405 00:24:56,000 --> 00:24:58,360 Speaker 1: I think he gets more joy and passion out of 406 00:24:58,680 --> 00:25:01,119 Speaker 1: having second and third string and figuring out what to 407 00:25:01,119 --> 00:25:04,199 Speaker 1: do with them and getting people like Deebo Samuel and 408 00:25:04,240 --> 00:25:07,080 Speaker 1: turning them into sort of all around football players. That 409 00:25:07,200 --> 00:25:09,720 Speaker 1: to me is a gift. I love watching this guy coach. 410 00:25:10,920 --> 00:25:13,440 Speaker 1: By the way, I want to circle back Aaron Rodgers now, 411 00:25:13,960 --> 00:25:16,600 Speaker 1: even as a favorite, and many of these home Lambeau 412 00:25:16,680 --> 00:25:22,159 Speaker 1: playoff games buy home favorite quarterback advantage. Aaron Rodgers loses. 413 00:25:22,680 --> 00:25:25,280 Speaker 1: Didn't you think it was interesting? You know, Aaron's a 414 00:25:25,359 --> 00:25:28,399 Speaker 1: very complex guy. He keeps reminding us how he doesn't 415 00:25:28,400 --> 00:25:31,440 Speaker 1: need football, how he'd be wildly happy if he retired. 416 00:25:31,480 --> 00:25:34,080 Speaker 1: He has to keep reminding us over and over. You know, 417 00:25:34,080 --> 00:25:37,639 Speaker 1: it's constant projecting on how you know, Brady's telling us 418 00:25:37,680 --> 00:25:40,399 Speaker 1: how much he loves football. Aaron Rodgers keeps reminding us 419 00:25:40,400 --> 00:25:43,639 Speaker 1: he doesn't really need football, which I feel is you know, 420 00:25:43,880 --> 00:25:45,680 Speaker 1: speaking on so many levels to some of the weird 421 00:25:45,720 --> 00:25:48,639 Speaker 1: insecurities with Aaron Rodgers. But did you notice after the 422 00:25:48,760 --> 00:25:52,640 Speaker 1: Mercedes Lewis fumble, next two drives three and out, three 423 00:25:52,640 --> 00:25:56,080 Speaker 1: and out no yards? Aaron gets into these weird tunnels 424 00:25:56,240 --> 00:25:59,240 Speaker 1: where he plays the victim constantly. You know, he like 425 00:25:59,359 --> 00:26:02,119 Speaker 1: rips the prize, rips vaccines, rips Fauci, and then he 426 00:26:02,200 --> 00:26:05,560 Speaker 1: plays the victim. I can't believe people are critical of me. Well, 427 00:26:05,560 --> 00:26:09,080 Speaker 1: those are polarizing topics and polarizing things to take on, right, 428 00:26:09,160 --> 00:26:14,359 Speaker 1: presidents and vaccines. And I think he's a really odd bird. 429 00:26:14,880 --> 00:26:18,640 Speaker 1: And I found once again in a big spot. If 430 00:26:18,640 --> 00:26:22,119 Speaker 1: you put a little pressure on Aaron, he was unsettled. 431 00:26:22,920 --> 00:26:25,600 Speaker 1: And Greg Kosell told me today he just didn't look 432 00:26:25,600 --> 00:26:28,600 Speaker 1: like Aaron And I do think there are certain quarterbacks 433 00:26:28,600 --> 00:26:32,160 Speaker 1: in this league that need to be comfortable to be successful, 434 00:26:32,560 --> 00:26:36,440 Speaker 1: and they don't deal well as well from behind. Matt 435 00:26:36,440 --> 00:26:38,600 Speaker 1: Stafford jil has been a very good quarterback from behind. 436 00:26:38,680 --> 00:26:40,919 Speaker 1: He had the highest fourth quarter passer rating in the NFL. 437 00:26:41,880 --> 00:26:45,400 Speaker 1: The ship was leaking water this past weekend, he was fine. 438 00:26:46,280 --> 00:26:52,880 Speaker 1: Stafford surprisingly has some really interesting fourth quarter passer rating stats, 439 00:26:53,800 --> 00:26:56,600 Speaker 1: even in Detroit. But what did you make of sort 440 00:26:56,600 --> 00:26:59,960 Speaker 1: of Aaron Rodgers in the offense evaporating after the opening draw? 441 00:27:01,400 --> 00:27:05,720 Speaker 1: To me, that was as much about what San Francisco did, 442 00:27:06,359 --> 00:27:10,040 Speaker 1: how they adjusted, what Kyle Shanahan did. You watched that 443 00:27:10,080 --> 00:27:13,960 Speaker 1: first drive, and those of us who were Niners backers, 444 00:27:13,960 --> 00:27:17,560 Speaker 1: those of us who bet the under, We're like, we're screwed. 445 00:27:17,800 --> 00:27:21,080 Speaker 1: This is done, and you think to yourself, how can 446 00:27:21,200 --> 00:27:24,360 Speaker 1: we have ever thought this? And almost immediately you could 447 00:27:24,400 --> 00:27:27,720 Speaker 1: see the Niners were able to adjust what they were 448 00:27:27,720 --> 00:27:32,360 Speaker 1: doing defensively. What's really interesting and what's impressive about the Niners? 449 00:27:33,280 --> 00:27:36,560 Speaker 1: You mentioned the pressure. Forget about Aaron Rodgers off the 450 00:27:36,560 --> 00:27:38,840 Speaker 1: field for a second, and sort of how you manage pressure, 451 00:27:38,880 --> 00:27:42,919 Speaker 1: how you manage criticism, how you take in what the 452 00:27:42,960 --> 00:27:47,360 Speaker 1: criticism is and ignore what your role in sort of 453 00:27:47,640 --> 00:27:52,000 Speaker 1: achieving that criticism or getting that criticism is on the field. 454 00:27:52,720 --> 00:27:54,680 Speaker 1: He's just not very good under pressure. I mean, that's 455 00:27:55,240 --> 00:28:00,040 Speaker 1: their statistical measurements to show Aaron Rodgers under pressure, it 456 00:28:00,040 --> 00:28:01,840 Speaker 1: has not been a very good quarterback. And what the 457 00:28:01,920 --> 00:28:04,160 Speaker 1: Niners can do is get up the field pressure with 458 00:28:04,200 --> 00:28:06,800 Speaker 1: just four players you mentioned the defensive line, right, so 459 00:28:07,160 --> 00:28:09,280 Speaker 1: they're able to drop back in coverage, and that has 460 00:28:09,320 --> 00:28:11,800 Speaker 1: a huge impact on what a team like the Niners, 461 00:28:12,240 --> 00:28:15,040 Speaker 1: the Rant, what the Packers do, and also offensively, what 462 00:28:15,119 --> 00:28:16,879 Speaker 1: a team like the Rams does where they're running a 463 00:28:16,920 --> 00:28:18,840 Speaker 1: lot of crossing roots where they've got a lot of 464 00:28:18,880 --> 00:28:23,159 Speaker 1: people out in running their roots, and the Rant or 465 00:28:23,160 --> 00:28:26,720 Speaker 1: the Niners can find ways to get seven people dropping 466 00:28:26,720 --> 00:28:30,560 Speaker 1: back into coverage and messing up sort of the air traffic. Right. 467 00:28:31,240 --> 00:28:33,199 Speaker 1: I think that was a huge hindrance for them, and 468 00:28:33,240 --> 00:28:34,960 Speaker 1: then the Niners just sort of did what they do 469 00:28:35,080 --> 00:28:37,280 Speaker 1: is they found a way to be creative offensively, which 470 00:28:37,320 --> 00:28:40,800 Speaker 1: is why I love Kyle Shanahan so much. So. I 471 00:28:40,880 --> 00:28:44,440 Speaker 1: do think on the field the pressure had a huge 472 00:28:44,440 --> 00:28:49,040 Speaker 1: impact on Aaron Rodgers. Sharper Square Chad Melman, chief Content 473 00:28:49,160 --> 00:28:53,120 Speaker 1: Officer of the Action Network. We love having the favorites 474 00:28:53,200 --> 00:28:57,680 Speaker 1: on our volume feed. Can't wait. Great talking to you, buddy, 475 00:28:57,920 --> 00:29:15,080 Speaker 1: Great talking to YouTube, my friend. You were the Volume