WEBVTT - How Chat GPT and AI interact with the World

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<v Speaker 1>Bloomberg Audio Studios, podcasts, radio news.

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<v Speaker 2>You're listening to Bloomberg Business Week with Carol Messer and

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<v Speaker 2>Tim Stenebeck on Bloomberg Radio. Look, I said we're going

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<v Speaker 2>all in on AI. The author comes to our four

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<v Speaker 2>o'clock hour today. Alphabet just reported we got that news

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<v Speaker 2>just now, Caroline Hyde and man Deep Singh joining us

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<v Speaker 2>Microsoft's GitHub agreeing to bank artificial intelligence models from Anthropic

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<v Speaker 2>and Google into a coding assistant used by millions of

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<v Speaker 2>software developers. And then there was that Wall Street Journal

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<v Speaker 2>report earlier today Carol elon Musk's XAI is in talks

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<v Speaker 2>to raise funding at a value of forty billion dollars.

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<v Speaker 1>Yeah, that's real money. So much of the reason we

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<v Speaker 1>are talking about AI is because of Jeffrey Hinton, Nobel

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<v Speaker 1>Prize winner in physics for work in AI, known as

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<v Speaker 1>the godfather of AI. He was on the most recent

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<v Speaker 1>episode of Wall Street Week with David weston.

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<v Speaker 3>These big eye systems, great sub goals. Now, the problem

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<v Speaker 3>with that is if you give something the ability to

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<v Speaker 3>create subcoals, it will quickly realize this one particular subcoal

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<v Speaker 3>that's almost always useful. So if I have the goal

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<v Speaker 3>of just getting more control over the world. That will

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<v Speaker 3>help me achieve everything I want to achieve. So these

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<v Speaker 3>things will realize that very quickly. Even if they've got

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<v Speaker 3>no self interest. Then I understand that if I get

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<v Speaker 3>more control, I'm it'll be better at doing what they

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<v Speaker 3>want me to do, and so they will try and

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<v Speaker 3>get more control. That's the beginning of a very slippery slope.

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<v Speaker 1>A slippery slope. Indeed, perhaps our next guest work with

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<v Speaker 1>Jeffrey Hinton developing the Boltzmann machine. It is the first

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<v Speaker 1>learning algorithm for Mueller neural networks. And if you're scratching

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<v Speaker 1>your et duh, you're going to get an explainer in

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<v Speaker 1>just a moment.

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<v Speaker 2>We're very pleased to have a doctor Terrence Sanowski with

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<v Speaker 2>us today's Francis Crick Chair at the Salk Institute for

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<v Speaker 2>Biological Studies, Distinguished Professor at the University of California at

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<v Speaker 2>San Diego. He's also president of the Neural Information Processing

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<v Speaker 2>Systems Foundation. He joined us from San Diego. His new

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<v Speaker 2>book out. It's called chat GPT and the Future of AI,

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<v Speaker 2>The Deep Language Revolution. Terry, good to have you with us.

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<v Speaker 2>Congratulations on the book. You have been thinking about this

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<v Speaker 2>stuff for more than three decades. At this point, I

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<v Speaker 2>think a lot of people have been talking about it

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<v Speaker 2>and thinking about investing in it for two years. At

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<v Speaker 2>this point, are you just saying every day, finally people

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<v Speaker 2>are taking seriously what I've been looking at for a generation.

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<v Speaker 4>Well, it's great to be here to have this opportunity.

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<v Speaker 4>My book launched today, and I'm really excited about it.

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<v Speaker 4>I think that what's happening right now is really unbelievable

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<v Speaker 4>in terms of the breath and the depth and the excitement.

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<v Speaker 4>And so I was there at the beginning. Jeffrey Hinton

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<v Speaker 4>and I collaborated in the nineteen eighties. All the learning

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<v Speaker 4>algorithms that are being used today for these large languages

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<v Speaker 4>models and deep learning were developed by us back in

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<v Speaker 4>that era. And of course what we didn't have back

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<v Speaker 4>then were computers that were fast enough that could scale

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<v Speaker 4>up these models to be you know, be able to

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<v Speaker 4>solve these very difficult problems and artificial intelligence. But this

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<v Speaker 4>you mentioned, the Neural Information Processing Systems Foundation on the

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<v Speaker 4>President reorganized the biggest AI meeting and in December, we're

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<v Speaker 4>expecting sixteen thousand researchers to descend on Vancouver. After by

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<v Speaker 4>the way Taylor Swift, she's the big headliner on Sunday,

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<v Speaker 4>but we have the rest of the week.

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<v Speaker 1>So I want to ask you, how did you think

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<v Speaker 1>about neural networks in large language models in the nineteen eighties.

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<v Speaker 1>How do you think about them today.

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<v Speaker 4>Well, we actually had a premonition that these large language models,

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<v Speaker 4>I should say not the large they were small language models.

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<v Speaker 4>Back we're really good at language. And that was a

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<v Speaker 4>particular project, a summer project for a gratitude in my

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<v Speaker 4>lap called net talk, which was trained on a dictionary

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<v Speaker 4>to be able to pronounce English text. You know, if

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<v Speaker 4>you give it an article from the Wall Street Journal

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<v Speaker 4>and they would pronounce it in an understandable way. And

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<v Speaker 4>this in linguistics is a very difficult problem because English

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<v Speaker 4>is so irregular. There are a lot of regularities, but

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<v Speaker 4>you also have irregularities, and then you have rules for

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<v Speaker 4>the irregularities. But it really was amazing that a small,

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<v Speaker 4>tiny network with just a few hundred units and tens

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<v Speaker 4>of thousands of weights, the parameters, the connections between the

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<v Speaker 4>units could do that. It was like an amazing compression

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<v Speaker 4>of complexity. And now we know that these large language models,

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<v Speaker 4>the deep learning networks, they love language, and they are

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<v Speaker 4>capable of things that we never could have imagined.

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<v Speaker 2>Well, we're gonna we have a few minutes with you now,

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<v Speaker 2>and then we're going to come back and have even

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<v Speaker 2>more time with you. But that's really what I wanted

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<v Speaker 2>to talk about the idea of super intelligent AI. What

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<v Speaker 2>are we not thinking about? What's the threat out there?

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<v Speaker 4>So you know, my good friend Jeff is very concerned,

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<v Speaker 4>and I think he's one of the smartest people I've

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<v Speaker 4>ever met. And if he's worried about it, then there's

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<v Speaker 4>some as a concern. However, I think that even if

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<v Speaker 4>you're concerned, it's very difficult to know when that's going

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<v Speaker 4>to happen, if it ever will happen. And there are

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<v Speaker 4>super forecasters out there, and this is from the Economist magazine,

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<v Speaker 4>who are much better at people who are experts at

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<v Speaker 4>predicting you know, if and when there may be a

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<v Speaker 4>catastrophic or existential threat, and it turns out that in fact,

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<v Speaker 4>they're not as a concerned as the experts in AI.

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<v Speaker 4>I'm happy that someone is thinking about the worst case

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<v Speaker 4>outcome because if not, then if it ever happens, we're

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<v Speaker 4>in trouble. But right now, I'm more concerned about trying

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<v Speaker 4>to understand how they work mathematically and also to learn

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<v Speaker 4>more from the brain. After all these were designed. Back then,

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<v Speaker 4>Jeff and I looked at the brain the only existence

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<v Speaker 4>proof you could solve any problem in AI. And you know,

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<v Speaker 4>we tried to build something that was based on similar principles.

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<v Speaker 4>So now we can continue. There's a lot more in

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<v Speaker 4>the brain we can learn from.

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<v Speaker 2>But paint that picture for us, because I think a

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<v Speaker 2>lot of people are worried about doomsday scenarios here, and

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<v Speaker 2>if Jeffrey Hinton is worried about that stuff, I mean,

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<v Speaker 2>should we we should be worried about it.

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<v Speaker 4>You're saying, I think that we should be cautious, that

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<v Speaker 4>is to say, we should be uh constantly thinking along

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<v Speaker 4>the lines that Jeff is in terms of what could

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<v Speaker 4>possibly happen, and you know, be cautious and put in

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<v Speaker 4>precautions so that it can't happen.

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<v Speaker 2>What sorry, I just yeah, go ahead.

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<v Speaker 4>What I'm really concerned about are the unintended consequences, things

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<v Speaker 4>that you cannot predict. Something may happen that you know,

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<v Speaker 4>no one thought of, even Jeff.

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<v Speaker 1>Yeah, and like you know, we have learned certainly right

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<v Speaker 1>great financial crisis pandemic like the un the unthinkable can

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<v Speaker 1>happen and you throw technology into it and you just

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<v Speaker 1>kind of don't know where it's gonna go exactly. Okay,

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<v Speaker 1>so now I'm terrified. Okay, Terrence Stoke go anywhere. We're

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<v Speaker 1>gonna do some news. I do wonder what.

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<v Speaker 2>Yeah, I think we have time for one more question

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<v Speaker 2>before we go.

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<v Speaker 1>Well, so you know, okay, we have a minute and

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<v Speaker 1>then we're gonna take a break and come back. But

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<v Speaker 1>I just do wonder. You know, when you talk to people,

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<v Speaker 1>do you say, wait, this is really going to be

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<v Speaker 1>net net a good thing?

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<v Speaker 4>Look, all new technologies have good and bad consequences, and

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<v Speaker 4>you try to mitigate the bad, and you you have

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<v Speaker 4>to balance them, you know. Yeah, and right now it

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<v Speaker 4>looks like the good is way way ahead of the

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<v Speaker 4>bad in terms of the impact it may have on

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<v Speaker 4>us and society and businesses. But you know, like I say,

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<v Speaker 4>we have to be careful because we don't really know

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<v Speaker 4>where it's heading.

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<v Speaker 1>You know what worries me too, And we will talk

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<v Speaker 1>about this maye when we come back. I feel like

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<v Speaker 1>we throw around a lot of words, not you, but

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<v Speaker 1>all of us in the general like you know, whether

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<v Speaker 1>it's you know, AI, generative AI, and like you know,

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<v Speaker 1>and I don't know that we really understand what's going on,

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<v Speaker 1>and so it's hard to know what it could possibly become.

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<v Speaker 1>So we're going to pick your brain a little bit

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<v Speaker 1>more Terry when we come back.

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<v Speaker 2>It's Terry Sanowski. He's a Francis Kirk Charity Sauk Institute

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<v Speaker 2>for Biological Studies, Distinguished Professor at the University of California

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<v Speaker 2>at San Diego, President of the Neural Information Processing Systems Foundation.

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<v Speaker 2>The new book out now, Chat GPT in the Future

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<v Speaker 2>of AI The Deep Language Revolution More with doctor Sanowski.

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<v Speaker 1>Right after this, I want to get back to our guests.

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<v Speaker 1>We're talking with doctor Terrence Sanowski. He is Francis Crick

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<v Speaker 1>Chair at the Salk Institute for Biological Studies, Distinguished Professor

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<v Speaker 1>at the University of California at San Diego. He's also

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<v Speaker 1>president of the Neural Information Processing Systems Foundation, and he's

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<v Speaker 1>joining us from San Diego on this Tuesday. His new

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<v Speaker 1>book Chat CHEPT in the Future of AI, The Deep

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<v Speaker 1>Language Revolution. I got to ask you because I am

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<v Speaker 1>still trying to understand and I get worried that we

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<v Speaker 1>throw these words around. Certainly not you, but we as

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<v Speaker 1>we try to understand this with now, you know, not

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<v Speaker 1>having full comprehension of what art artificial intelligence, the large

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<v Speaker 1>language models that we're talking about today, where it takes us.

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<v Speaker 1>Is it as subtle at evolving in life changing as

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<v Speaker 1>the Internet was for us.

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<v Speaker 4>So this is something that is emerging. And I have

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<v Speaker 4>since the book was sent to press in the summer,

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<v Speaker 4>I have a sub stack where I have tried to

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<v Speaker 4>fill in with, you know, the new things that are happening.

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<v Speaker 4>And I'm preparing something a new twelfth version the blog

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<v Speaker 4>on the question of whether AI is overhyped or under hyped,

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<v Speaker 4>and and you know, I've thought a lot about this,

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<v Speaker 4>and you know, I think that it depends on the timescale.

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<v Speaker 4>I think that on the short timescale it is overhyped.

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<v Speaker 4>There's no doubt about it. There's just so much out there.

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<v Speaker 4>I mean, every day the newspapers are filled with AI

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<v Speaker 4>and your program. But I think in the long run

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<v Speaker 4>it's actually under hyped. I think the real change in

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<v Speaker 4>the Internet, for example, didn't occur within the first ten years.

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<v Speaker 4>It was much later. Again, unintended applications that merge that

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<v Speaker 4>you know, have enormous impact on our lives, like social media,

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<v Speaker 4>So I think the same thing's going to happen with AI.

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<v Speaker 1>But is it is it different? Like I guess, I'm like,

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<v Speaker 1>what do you mean, Like, the Internet is not I

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<v Speaker 1>wanted to say comfortable, but it's not because there's some

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<v Speaker 1>really bad things that happen and we know that, right,

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<v Speaker 1>and that's the battle we have with social media. And

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<v Speaker 1>we want to talk to you about kind of regulatory

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<v Speaker 1>oversight of AI in a moment. But I just I'm

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<v Speaker 1>just trying to understand. You know, it does feel so

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<v Speaker 1>seamless and just such a part of everything we do.

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<v Speaker 1>But it hasn't necessarily replaced a ton of jobs. It's

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<v Speaker 1>created jobs, It's replaced some jobs. I guess you could say,

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<v Speaker 1>I'm just trying to understand, Like on what scale do

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<v Speaker 1>you put it? You mentioned the internet, So is it

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<v Speaker 1>apples to apples or is it something else?

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<v Speaker 4>No, Well, first of all, it'll it uses the internet,

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<v Speaker 4>So I mean that's like the the machinery that you

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<v Speaker 4>need to reach to scale up and reach a large population.

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<v Speaker 4>But it's more intimate than the Internet in the following

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<v Speaker 4>sense that it talks to us, right, I mean It's

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<v Speaker 4>as if an alien landed on the Earth and could

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<v Speaker 4>talk to us in English, and it knew everything about

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<v Speaker 4>you know, what, humans, history, everything, and the only thing

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<v Speaker 4>we can be sure if it's not human. But it's

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<v Speaker 4>really quite remarkable. Let me give you one example of

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<v Speaker 4>something that I was really surprised at when they did

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<v Speaker 4>a study of whether people who needed cognitive therapy preferred

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<v Speaker 4>real humans or AI. They preferred AI, which was really

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<v Speaker 4>quite remarkable. I didn't expect that. And part of the

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<v Speaker 4>reason is that the AI is not judgmental like humans.

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<v Speaker 1>Well wait, but isn't it depends on the data, Like

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<v Speaker 1>we talk about, it wasn't.

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<v Speaker 2>Getting trained on judgmental data.

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<v Speaker 4>It was you know, Actually, it's a good question. What

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<v Speaker 4>was it trained on. I think that it was fine

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<v Speaker 4>tuned with you know, data from real subjects that we're

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<v Speaker 4>that we're talking with a doctor. But even without that,

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<v Speaker 4>I'll tell you something again, it's shocking is that it

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<v Speaker 4>is actually empathy. These large language models can empathize with humans.

0:13:21.920 --> 0:13:23.960
<v Speaker 4>And why is it? How is that? Well, it actually

0:13:24.040 --> 0:13:28.480
<v Speaker 4>absorbed a lot of text out there, novels, you know, letters,

0:13:28.559 --> 0:13:32.080
<v Speaker 4>and read it and so forth, and where empathy was

0:13:32.679 --> 0:13:37.400
<v Speaker 4>being part of the discussion, and so it absorbed that

0:13:37.440 --> 0:13:38.559
<v Speaker 4>too well.

0:13:38.559 --> 0:13:41.960
<v Speaker 2>I wanted to hear a little bit of your thoughts

0:13:41.960 --> 0:13:44.760
<v Speaker 2>on what we heard from Elon Musk a little earlier today.

0:13:44.760 --> 0:13:48.040
<v Speaker 2>He actually participated in a surprise conversation at the Future

0:13:48.040 --> 0:13:50.839
<v Speaker 2>Investment Initiative to discuss the future of AI.

0:13:51.240 --> 0:13:53.120
<v Speaker 5>It's most likely going to be great, and there's this

0:13:53.280 --> 0:13:58.400
<v Speaker 5>some chance which could be tense, that it goes bad.

0:14:00.200 --> 0:14:03.560
<v Speaker 5>The chances on zero that it goes bad. But overall,

0:14:03.559 --> 0:14:05.840
<v Speaker 5>at one point you said that covers eighty percent full

0:14:06.960 --> 0:14:08.240
<v Speaker 5>is one positive way to look at it.

0:14:08.280 --> 0:14:12.800
<v Speaker 2>Maybe ninety percent, okay, eighty or ninety percent positive. The

0:14:12.880 --> 0:14:17.880
<v Speaker 2>question I have for you, professor, is do we need

0:14:18.760 --> 0:14:22.640
<v Speaker 2>an international regulatory body? Do we need the largest, most

0:14:22.640 --> 0:14:25.160
<v Speaker 2>powerful governments around the world to create some sort of

0:14:26.080 --> 0:14:29.720
<v Speaker 2>standard to ensure or help ensure that this goes the

0:14:29.760 --> 0:14:30.160
<v Speaker 2>right way.

0:14:31.720 --> 0:14:36.200
<v Speaker 4>Well, as you know, in the UK they passed an

0:14:36.240 --> 0:14:40.080
<v Speaker 4>AI Act which is like one hundred pages long and

0:14:40.240 --> 0:14:46.240
<v Speaker 4>you know, incredibly detailed, and it's already absolute. I just

0:14:46.400 --> 0:14:50.120
<v Speaker 4>moving blasting forward and you know you're trying to catch

0:14:50.160 --> 0:14:54.280
<v Speaker 4>up with it. But I do believe that it's absolutely

0:14:54.360 --> 0:14:58.359
<v Speaker 4>essential that it be regulated, and it should be regulated

0:14:59.000 --> 0:15:02.760
<v Speaker 4>by people who a building it. The government, okay, is

0:15:04.240 --> 0:15:07.720
<v Speaker 4>the business of protecting people. And we'll see how that

0:15:07.760 --> 0:15:13.240
<v Speaker 4>plays out. But in for example, genetics, this happened, you know,

0:15:13.320 --> 0:15:16.640
<v Speaker 4>back in the sixties seventies. They had a meeting where

0:15:16.640 --> 0:15:19.600
<v Speaker 4>they came together at a solomar and they came up

0:15:19.640 --> 0:15:24.920
<v Speaker 4>with a containment rules and regulations for doing experiments under

0:15:24.960 --> 0:15:30.200
<v Speaker 4>the careful protection so that nothing leaks out, nothing gets out.

0:15:30.680 --> 0:15:32.160
<v Speaker 4>And I think we need to do the same.

0:15:34.320 --> 0:15:37.200
<v Speaker 1>Okay, So when does as you said, ten years for

0:15:37.240 --> 0:15:40.800
<v Speaker 1>the internet to really kind of make its impact and

0:15:40.880 --> 0:15:45.240
<v Speaker 1>presence really known and maybe you know, integrated into our lives.

0:15:45.360 --> 0:15:50.760
<v Speaker 1>So is it a decade before we see LMS and

0:15:51.320 --> 0:15:54.280
<v Speaker 1>AI at this level integrated into our lives.

0:15:56.000 --> 0:15:59.040
<v Speaker 4>We are at a stage that aviation was at when

0:16:00.240 --> 0:16:04.560
<v Speaker 4>at Kitty Hawk the Wright brothers made the first flight.

0:16:04.760 --> 0:16:07.640
<v Speaker 4>It was ten feet up and one hundred feet long,

0:16:08.280 --> 0:16:12.360
<v Speaker 4>and that really was the you know, something that then

0:16:12.680 --> 0:16:16.520
<v Speaker 4>took decades and decades to build. And the most difficult thing,

0:16:16.560 --> 0:16:20.080
<v Speaker 4>by the way that airplanes, you know, design of airplanes

0:16:20.120 --> 0:16:23.040
<v Speaker 4>had to solve was control. How do you how do

0:16:23.080 --> 0:16:25.280
<v Speaker 4>you make it go where you want to go without

0:16:25.320 --> 0:16:28.760
<v Speaker 4>crashing and that's something that again it's like we're going

0:16:28.760 --> 0:16:32.240
<v Speaker 4>through right now with AI. And yes, it will take decades.

0:16:32.280 --> 0:16:33.600
<v Speaker 4>It's not going to happen overnight.

0:16:37.040 --> 0:16:37.280
<v Speaker 3>I know.

0:16:37.680 --> 0:16:39.800
<v Speaker 1>It's just it's kind of fascinating. We have a million

0:16:39.840 --> 0:16:41.760
<v Speaker 1>more questions. Is it going to take all the jobs?

0:16:41.840 --> 0:16:43.160
<v Speaker 1>Is it going to is it going to create jobs?

0:16:43.160 --> 0:16:45.080
<v Speaker 1>Is it going to take jobs? Just got thirty seconds

0:16:45.320 --> 0:16:45.880
<v Speaker 1>and yes.

0:16:45.760 --> 0:16:50.240
<v Speaker 4>Yes, you know, I get asked that question whenever I

0:16:50.240 --> 0:16:53.480
<v Speaker 4>give a public talk, and my answer is that you

0:16:53.520 --> 0:16:55.720
<v Speaker 4>won't lose your job, but your job's going to change

0:16:55.760 --> 0:16:58.080
<v Speaker 4>and you're going to need new skills, and you know

0:16:58.200 --> 0:17:01.480
<v Speaker 4>it will morph over time. Now, you know these are

0:17:01.520 --> 0:17:03.680
<v Speaker 4>people who are in the workforce now, but you know

0:17:03.760 --> 0:17:06.639
<v Speaker 4>young people coming up, they'll have no trouble whatsoever finding

0:17:07.040 --> 0:17:08.560
<v Speaker 4>new jobs in this new industry.

0:17:09.280 --> 0:17:12.440
<v Speaker 2>We gotta get you back on the show, doctor Sanowski.

0:17:12.520 --> 0:17:13.199
<v Speaker 2>Really appreciate you.

0:17:13.560 --> 0:17:15.199
<v Speaker 1>Just say, Terry, what we always want to know is,

0:17:15.240 --> 0:17:17.560
<v Speaker 1>like you know, people like us, you know anchors.

0:17:17.720 --> 0:17:19.280
<v Speaker 2>We don't have time for him to answer that question.

0:17:19.480 --> 0:17:21.680
<v Speaker 2>We don't have time for him to answer that question. Carol,

0:17:21.720 --> 0:17:23.359
<v Speaker 2>I'm sorry, I got to give the book a play.

0:17:23.440 --> 0:17:24.880
<v Speaker 1>Well, come back hopefully.

0:17:24.560 --> 0:17:26.960
<v Speaker 2>The new book Chat GPT in the future of AI,

0:17:27.280 --> 0:17:31.720
<v Speaker 2>the Deep Language Revolution, Doctor Terry Sanowski. He was there

0:17:31.760 --> 0:17:34.440
<v Speaker 2>at the beginning. He knows it all. He's Francis Krickchair

0:17:34.560 --> 0:17:38.399
<v Speaker 2>at the Salk Constitute for Biological Studies, among many other things.

0:17:38.440 --> 0:17:40.080
<v Speaker 2>This is Bloomberg BusinessWeek.