1 00:00:02,759 --> 00:00:07,280 Speaker 1: Bloomberg Audio Studios, podcasts, radio news. 2 00:00:08,200 --> 00:00:11,240 Speaker 2: We want to welcome our TV and radio audience audiences 3 00:00:11,240 --> 00:00:13,440 Speaker 2: as we continue our market coverage and turn now to 4 00:00:13,640 --> 00:00:16,160 Speaker 2: the banks. With several reporting before the bell this morning, 5 00:00:16,160 --> 00:00:19,279 Speaker 2: Wells Fargo shares are up after that bank reported net 6 00:00:19,280 --> 00:00:22,360 Speaker 2: interest income for the fourth quarter that beat estimates and 7 00:00:22,400 --> 00:00:25,759 Speaker 2: forecast an increase in twenty twenty five net interest income. 8 00:00:25,880 --> 00:00:30,280 Speaker 2: Joining us now is Mike Santemassimo, CFO of Wells Fargo, 9 00:00:30,440 --> 00:00:33,080 Speaker 2: and Mike, I want to ask you about a potential 10 00:00:33,360 --> 00:00:35,720 Speaker 2: Trump bump that came through in your numbers. I know 11 00:00:35,760 --> 00:00:40,560 Speaker 2: this investment banking revenue growth was strong in the fourth quarter. 12 00:00:40,920 --> 00:00:43,800 Speaker 2: Is that as more people start to count on deals, 13 00:00:43,800 --> 00:00:46,920 Speaker 2: as more people start to look to work with your advisors. 14 00:00:47,000 --> 00:00:49,680 Speaker 3: Well, well, first, thanks thanks for having me. Look, I 15 00:00:49,720 --> 00:00:52,640 Speaker 3: think you're what you're seeing across you know, our businesses 16 00:00:52,760 --> 00:00:56,400 Speaker 3: is a continuation of like good performance now that we've 17 00:00:56,400 --> 00:00:59,160 Speaker 3: seen for a number of quarters. So it's not about 18 00:00:59,280 --> 00:01:01,800 Speaker 3: you know, a temporary you know bump that's coming. I 19 00:01:01,800 --> 00:01:05,240 Speaker 3: think it's just continued execution across you know, all of 20 00:01:05,280 --> 00:01:08,679 Speaker 3: the growth initiatives that we've talked about across investment banking 21 00:01:08,760 --> 00:01:11,200 Speaker 3: and some of what you're referencing in terms of deal 22 00:01:11,240 --> 00:01:15,000 Speaker 3: activity potentially coming. And then I think it's just you know, 23 00:01:15,080 --> 00:01:18,839 Speaker 3: in addition, good continued strength in the in the US 24 00:01:18,880 --> 00:01:22,720 Speaker 3: consumer where you're seeing good activity levels, you're seeing that 25 00:01:22,760 --> 00:01:25,880 Speaker 3: come through in terms of the results and our numbers. 26 00:01:25,880 --> 00:01:29,520 Speaker 3: You're seeing good credit performance, you're seeing good deposits levels, 27 00:01:29,560 --> 00:01:32,520 Speaker 3: you're seeing good growth in credit card balances, and so 28 00:01:32,560 --> 00:01:34,319 Speaker 3: it's a whole number of things I think that are 29 00:01:34,360 --> 00:01:37,480 Speaker 3: really really driving it. But it's clear people have a 30 00:01:37,600 --> 00:01:41,280 Speaker 3: sense of optimism coming into twenty twenty five as they 31 00:01:41,280 --> 00:01:44,120 Speaker 3: look at the new administration really you know, focused on 32 00:01:44,160 --> 00:01:47,520 Speaker 3: pro growth, pro business initiatives, and I think that's creating 33 00:01:47,560 --> 00:01:48,640 Speaker 3: some optimism for the year. 34 00:01:49,120 --> 00:01:52,560 Speaker 2: Yeah, even with rates you know, still high, not to 35 00:01:52,600 --> 00:01:56,440 Speaker 2: day's drop. Stocks really haven't gotten back to the highs 36 00:01:56,440 --> 00:01:57,800 Speaker 2: that we saw at the end of last year. 37 00:01:58,120 --> 00:02:00,680 Speaker 3: And yet we have a lot of confidence. 38 00:02:00,760 --> 00:02:04,720 Speaker 2: I knowe the NFIB the small Business Confidence the index 39 00:02:04,760 --> 00:02:06,680 Speaker 2: they put out was up to the highest level since 40 00:02:06,680 --> 00:02:07,680 Speaker 2: twenty eighteen. 41 00:02:08,040 --> 00:02:11,120 Speaker 3: Is that coming through in loan demand? Not quite yet, 42 00:02:11,200 --> 00:02:12,639 Speaker 3: you know. I think as we sort of talk to 43 00:02:12,680 --> 00:02:16,480 Speaker 3: our customers, we're definitely hearing that optimism in the conversations, 44 00:02:16,840 --> 00:02:20,680 Speaker 3: but it hasn't quite translated yet into demand for creditor 45 00:02:21,200 --> 00:02:25,200 Speaker 3: or many customers making big investments. We're building inventory because 46 00:02:25,240 --> 00:02:27,160 Speaker 3: they think demand will be there. I think there's still, 47 00:02:27,360 --> 00:02:28,960 Speaker 3: you know, being there's still a little bit of a 48 00:02:28,960 --> 00:02:30,960 Speaker 3: wait and see a little bit more prudence there in 49 00:02:31,040 --> 00:02:33,959 Speaker 3: terms of thinking about it. But as the year goes by, 50 00:02:34,040 --> 00:02:37,239 Speaker 3: if the if the macro picture continues to perform quite well, 51 00:02:37,600 --> 00:02:39,639 Speaker 3: I think you'll see more demand as we get later 52 00:02:39,680 --> 00:02:40,880 Speaker 3: in the later in the year. 53 00:02:41,440 --> 00:02:43,800 Speaker 1: Mike, efficiency has been a big theme at all the banks, 54 00:02:43,800 --> 00:02:46,240 Speaker 1: and I'm just curious, where are you in your efficiency push? 55 00:02:46,320 --> 00:02:48,240 Speaker 1: What will be the highlights in twenty twenty five. 56 00:02:48,520 --> 00:02:50,359 Speaker 3: Yeah, well, I think it. You know, it really started, 57 00:02:50,440 --> 00:02:53,280 Speaker 3: you know four plus years ago where and since then, 58 00:02:53,440 --> 00:02:55,920 Speaker 3: you know, we've delivered you know, twelve billion dollars of 59 00:02:55,960 --> 00:02:59,280 Speaker 3: gross saves, you know, across the different businesses and parts 60 00:02:59,320 --> 00:03:01,680 Speaker 3: of the company, and we've reinvested a lot of that 61 00:03:01,800 --> 00:03:06,120 Speaker 3: back into people, technology, capabilities, products, you know, across all 62 00:03:06,120 --> 00:03:08,360 Speaker 3: of our businesses. And I think as we look to 63 00:03:08,480 --> 00:03:10,799 Speaker 3: twenty twenty five, our thinking is no different than it's 64 00:03:10,840 --> 00:03:13,040 Speaker 3: been the last three or four years. Where you know, 65 00:03:13,040 --> 00:03:15,400 Speaker 3: we still have a significant amount of opportunity and we've 66 00:03:15,440 --> 00:03:19,160 Speaker 3: sort of highlighted that in our expense guidance for the year, 67 00:03:19,240 --> 00:03:21,160 Speaker 3: and so you know, we think there's more to come 68 00:03:21,200 --> 00:03:23,880 Speaker 3: there and we're focused on continuing to deliver that so 69 00:03:23,919 --> 00:03:27,840 Speaker 3: we can continue to invest across the businesses for growth 70 00:03:27,880 --> 00:03:29,040 Speaker 3: as well as efficiency. 71 00:03:29,560 --> 00:03:32,320 Speaker 1: So if you continue to invest, presumably hiring will be 72 00:03:32,360 --> 00:03:36,080 Speaker 1: quite important. What will your priorities for hiring be and 73 00:03:36,120 --> 00:03:37,160 Speaker 1: also other investments. 74 00:03:37,320 --> 00:03:39,040 Speaker 3: Yeah, like we you know, we've been hiring you know, 75 00:03:39,080 --> 00:03:41,720 Speaker 3: across the businesses and areas that we want to grow 76 00:03:42,040 --> 00:03:45,320 Speaker 3: while we get more efficient. And so generally that's in places, 77 00:03:45,360 --> 00:03:48,680 Speaker 3: you know, in client facing roles across the commercial bank, 78 00:03:48,760 --> 00:03:52,320 Speaker 3: the investment bank, or capital markets teams within our markets business, 79 00:03:52,680 --> 00:03:55,200 Speaker 3: as well as in wealth management. As we've continue to 80 00:03:55,480 --> 00:03:58,880 Speaker 3: you know, recruit more more advisors, not only you know, 81 00:03:59,000 --> 00:04:02,040 Speaker 3: to serve kind of the core wealth management channels, but 82 00:04:02,120 --> 00:04:04,600 Speaker 3: also in our bank branches as well. We've been hiring 83 00:04:04,640 --> 00:04:08,720 Speaker 3: advisors and bankers to support to support the effort there, 84 00:04:08,760 --> 00:04:10,480 Speaker 3: and I think we're going to continue to do that, 85 00:04:11,000 --> 00:04:13,440 Speaker 3: you know, as we go into twenty twenty five. And 86 00:04:13,480 --> 00:04:15,560 Speaker 3: we're happy so far with the return we're getting a 87 00:04:15,600 --> 00:04:16,960 Speaker 3: lot of those investments that we've made. 88 00:04:17,279 --> 00:04:21,159 Speaker 2: If we do see the FED able to cut rates here, 89 00:04:21,400 --> 00:04:25,039 Speaker 2: do you worry about net interest income erosion as you 90 00:04:25,920 --> 00:04:27,359 Speaker 2: have to sort of bring up what you pay on 91 00:04:27,400 --> 00:04:31,400 Speaker 2: deposits and the amount you can charge on loans comes down. 92 00:04:31,760 --> 00:04:34,120 Speaker 3: Well, I think, you know, what we've been seeing is 93 00:04:34,120 --> 00:04:37,040 Speaker 3: actually deposit costs come down now that the FED has 94 00:04:37,080 --> 00:04:39,640 Speaker 3: started to cut rates, and so if we see further cuts, 95 00:04:39,640 --> 00:04:41,760 Speaker 3: I think the positive costs will continue to come down. 96 00:04:42,520 --> 00:04:45,560 Speaker 3: You'll also see you know, loan yields come down as well. 97 00:04:45,560 --> 00:04:47,400 Speaker 3: But I think we've already you know, baked that into 98 00:04:47,440 --> 00:04:50,480 Speaker 3: our forecast and in our guidance that we gave today. 99 00:04:50,520 --> 00:04:53,000 Speaker 3: We assume there'll be at least one or two cuts 100 00:04:53,040 --> 00:04:56,120 Speaker 3: you know, coming this year. But we'll ultimately see and 101 00:04:56,200 --> 00:04:58,080 Speaker 3: then there'll be a lot of other factors in terms 102 00:04:58,120 --> 00:05:00,960 Speaker 3: of the level of deposits, the mix of those deposits, 103 00:05:01,279 --> 00:05:03,240 Speaker 3: you know, what we're seeing in the security side, as 104 00:05:03,279 --> 00:05:05,120 Speaker 3: well as other opportunities. So I think there's a number 105 00:05:05,120 --> 00:05:08,080 Speaker 3: of things that will ultimately drive it. And we're pretty 106 00:05:08,080 --> 00:05:10,400 Speaker 3: confident in our in the in the guidance we gave 107 00:05:10,440 --> 00:05:11,240 Speaker 3: at this point. 108 00:05:11,080 --> 00:05:13,760 Speaker 2: Is there going to be more opportunity to give money 109 00:05:13,760 --> 00:05:17,560 Speaker 2: back to shareholders. Mike, A lot of bank investors have 110 00:05:17,680 --> 00:05:22,200 Speaker 2: been optimistic about that going into Trump two point zero. 111 00:05:22,360 --> 00:05:25,640 Speaker 3: Well, I think, you know, we certainly have you know, 112 00:05:25,720 --> 00:05:29,400 Speaker 3: a lot of excess capital still here at the company, 113 00:05:29,440 --> 00:05:32,400 Speaker 3: and I think we've we've now given back twenty billion Dot. 114 00:05:32,400 --> 00:05:34,760 Speaker 3: We've bought back twenty billion dollars of stock last year, 115 00:05:35,839 --> 00:05:38,479 Speaker 3: and you know, we'll look at the opportunities to support 116 00:05:38,520 --> 00:05:41,440 Speaker 3: clients and you know, if we continue to see you 117 00:05:41,480 --> 00:05:43,320 Speaker 3: know that we have excess capital this year, we'll buy 118 00:05:43,360 --> 00:05:46,480 Speaker 3: back more stock like we've done, and I would anticipate 119 00:05:46,480 --> 00:05:49,520 Speaker 3: that we will do some as we go into this year, 120 00:05:49,560 --> 00:05:53,000 Speaker 3: but ultimately it'll we'll see it in terms of overall 121 00:05:53,040 --> 00:05:54,279 Speaker 3: quantum as we go through the year. 122 00:05:54,760 --> 00:05:58,120 Speaker 4: Mike, you did mention that the US consumer is strong, 123 00:05:58,320 --> 00:06:02,040 Speaker 4: but your CEO will also said the cards, for example, 124 00:06:02,040 --> 00:06:04,040 Speaker 4: as an area where Wells needs to get a little 125 00:06:04,040 --> 00:06:04,799 Speaker 4: bit more profitable. 126 00:06:05,080 --> 00:06:08,120 Speaker 1: Also home lending. What do you intend to do about that? 127 00:06:08,279 --> 00:06:10,280 Speaker 1: Is it a mind problem or a consumer problem? 128 00:06:10,400 --> 00:06:13,520 Speaker 3: Well? With credit cards, you know, we've we've refreshed our 129 00:06:13,560 --> 00:06:16,320 Speaker 3: whole product line in the last three and a half years, 130 00:06:16,400 --> 00:06:18,520 Speaker 3: and we've been in growth mode there to add new 131 00:06:18,560 --> 00:06:21,039 Speaker 3: customers and new accounts. And when you do that, in 132 00:06:21,080 --> 00:06:23,560 Speaker 3: the first few years of that, you've got a number 133 00:06:23,560 --> 00:06:27,719 Speaker 3: of upfront cost either acquisition costs or accounting related to 134 00:06:27,760 --> 00:06:32,080 Speaker 3: the allowance that you know, mutes the profitability of those relationships. 135 00:06:32,160 --> 00:06:35,320 Speaker 3: So it normally takes a few years for those relationships 136 00:06:35,320 --> 00:06:38,800 Speaker 3: to become profitable, just in normal course. And we're you know, 137 00:06:38,839 --> 00:06:41,200 Speaker 3: we're two as I said, we're three years into sort 138 00:06:41,240 --> 00:06:43,320 Speaker 3: of launching our first products. So it's just a matter 139 00:06:43,360 --> 00:06:45,560 Speaker 3: of time, you know, to start seeing more of that 140 00:06:45,600 --> 00:06:48,400 Speaker 3: profitability in the card as the as the new vintages 141 00:06:48,839 --> 00:06:51,800 Speaker 3: mature in the home lending side. You know, we've we 142 00:06:51,880 --> 00:06:54,920 Speaker 3: announced a number of things that we were doing, including 143 00:06:55,400 --> 00:06:58,640 Speaker 3: reducing the size of our servicing portfolio that we have there, 144 00:06:58,920 --> 00:07:00,800 Speaker 3: and that just takes some time to execute. We're down 145 00:07:00,839 --> 00:07:03,240 Speaker 3: twenty percent so far in that servicing book since we 146 00:07:03,240 --> 00:07:05,880 Speaker 3: started the effort, and we'll continue to do that over 147 00:07:05,920 --> 00:07:07,640 Speaker 3: the next couple of years to get to the right 148 00:07:07,640 --> 00:07:10,400 Speaker 3: size we want. But those things were pretty certain and 149 00:07:10,400 --> 00:07:12,800 Speaker 3: confident that we'll get the benefits that we think there. 150 00:07:13,160 --> 00:07:15,840 Speaker 1: Mike, from Monday, we'll have a new administration. I'm curious 151 00:07:15,840 --> 00:07:18,400 Speaker 1: as to what's your biggest hope for the next four years. 152 00:07:18,400 --> 00:07:20,920 Speaker 1: Several of the executives on the banking calls today so 153 00:07:21,080 --> 00:07:23,480 Speaker 1: that it should be better environment for banks. 154 00:07:23,720 --> 00:07:27,480 Speaker 3: Well, I think, broadly speaking, I think what's encouraging is 155 00:07:27,520 --> 00:07:32,840 Speaker 3: this the focus on growth and pro business policy. And 156 00:07:32,880 --> 00:07:35,920 Speaker 3: I think that's going to benefit everybody because for a 157 00:07:35,960 --> 00:07:38,720 Speaker 3: bank like ours and most banks in the US, as 158 00:07:38,880 --> 00:07:40,960 Speaker 3: if the economy in the US is doing well, we're 159 00:07:40,960 --> 00:07:42,960 Speaker 3: going to do well too, because it means our customers 160 00:07:42,960 --> 00:07:45,840 Speaker 3: are doing well and there's lots of activity that's there 161 00:07:45,880 --> 00:07:49,240 Speaker 3: for us to support them. And so I think, you know, 162 00:07:49,320 --> 00:07:51,600 Speaker 3: I think people are very encouraged by what they're hearing, 163 00:07:51,720 --> 00:07:55,520 Speaker 3: what they're seeing as that as relates to the policies 164 00:07:55,520 --> 00:07:57,480 Speaker 3: are talking about. And so we'll ultimately see over the 165 00:07:57,480 --> 00:07:59,920 Speaker 3: next few weeks and month coming months in terms of 166 00:08:00,040 --> 00:08:03,000 Speaker 3: what actually gets implemented. But this focus on growth and 167 00:08:03,440 --> 00:08:06,640 Speaker 3: pro business I think is what is what's encouraged ending 168 00:08:06,680 --> 00:08:07,320 Speaker 3: for most people. 169 00:08:07,880 --> 00:08:10,000 Speaker 1: All Right, Mike, thank you so much for your time today. 170 00:08:10,040 --> 00:08:12,960 Speaker 1: Wells Fargo the third best performer now in the KBW 171 00:08:13,000 --> 00:08:15,720 Speaker 1: Bank Index, up more than seven percent. That's Mike Santomosimo 172 00:08:16,080 --> 00:08:17,480 Speaker 1: CFO of Wells Fargo,