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Speaker 1: Happy Opening Day, everybody, what's up?

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Speaker 2: Welcome into a Thursday morning episode of the Daily Juice Podcast.

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Speaker 2: I'm your host, Matt Pereltz at Sports Talk Matt to

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Speaker 2: follow me across all socials. This podcast being brought to

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Speaker 2: you by olmah Steaks dot com slash Juice. Go there,

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Speaker 2: get a subscription, ten percent off your first order, free

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Speaker 2: burgers for life, and money back guarantee. We're going quick

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Speaker 2: at the top because we got a lot to get to,

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Speaker 2: all right, one in one night last night, So cross

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Speaker 2: it off, slide it off, head to Thursday. We got

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Speaker 2: a lot going on today, Okay, So to recap the

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Speaker 2: bets we have already made for today, we are on

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Speaker 2: the under one for Iowa State and they're gaming again Illinois.

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Speaker 2: We are on the under seven and a half opening

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Speaker 2: day Marlins their game at home today, and we are

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Speaker 2: on the under eight and a half for the Diamondbacks

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Speaker 2: at home against the Rockies today. Okay, not a lot

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Speaker 2: of offense Marlins, Pirates, d Backs and the Rockies. More

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Speaker 2: in the Rockies.

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Speaker 1: Here.

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Speaker 2: In just one second, I'm going to add an naa

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Speaker 2: tournament bet and two season win total plays at it

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Speaker 2: today here. Hopefully you get these before the game start

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Speaker 2: here today in Major League Baseball. But let me just

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Speaker 2: explain to you where we're at right now with our futures. Essentially,

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Speaker 2: we have a bet on Arizona on the money line

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Speaker 2: today against Clemson. We have a bet on North Carolina

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Speaker 2: on the money line today against Alabama, and a bet

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Speaker 2: I bet on Iowa State today money line against Illinois.

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Speaker 2: I'm not hedging the Arizona play. I'm not hedging the

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Speaker 2: North Carolina play, but I'm gonna tell you on the

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Speaker 2: Discord channel before the game starts between Iowa State and

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Speaker 2: Illinois whether or not I'm going to hedge with Illinois.

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Speaker 2: All Right, it's essentially minus one oh two miss one

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Speaker 2: oh five. I'm hoping that we can get some plus

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Speaker 2: money at some point, and maybe I'm gonna wait to

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Speaker 2: do an in game, but I most likely will bet

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Speaker 2: a single unit or two on Illinois money line today

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Speaker 2: against Iowa State. Illinois can win the game. There's no debate, Okay,

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Speaker 2: there's much more of a coin flip situation going on

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Speaker 2: than I think. Arizona and North Carolina are on a

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Speaker 2: collision course to play each other here, and I think

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Speaker 2: they're gonna wind up playing in the Elite eight, so

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Speaker 2: I like both those teams to win.

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Speaker 1: Iowa State's a different story.

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Speaker 2: I don't know yet exactly what I'm going to do

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Speaker 2: with that, but we have something going in the Iowa

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Speaker 2: State Illinois game for the under in that game. We

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Speaker 2: gave that a couple of days ago. North Carolina money

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Speaker 2: line with their future, Arizona State Arizona money line with

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Speaker 2: their future. All right, so let's talk about the one

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Speaker 2: game we don't have anything in action for that is

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Speaker 2: known as San Diego State up against Yukon. This is

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Speaker 2: a rematch of the National Championship game last year. The

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Speaker 2: number is large. It's a little bit too large for me,

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Speaker 2: to be quite honest. It feels like a backdoor. I

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Speaker 2: don't love a lot in this game. Numbers eleven, eleven

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Speaker 2: and a half. It concerns me a lot whether or

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Speaker 2: not Yukon can cover this, even though they have been

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Speaker 2: covering big numbers here in the NCAA tournament and doing

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Speaker 2: it not with ease, but they have been doing it.

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Speaker 2: They've won the first game of the tournament up against

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Speaker 2: Stenson by thirty nine. They beat Northwestern by seventeen to

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Speaker 2: win the Biggie's Championship, they beat Marquette by sixteen. Three

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Speaker 2: straight double digit wins for Yukon games haven't really been close.

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Speaker 2: San Diego State beat Yale by twenty eight. They beat

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Speaker 2: UAB by four in their first two games in the

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Speaker 2: NCAA Tournament. While I think this could be a blowout

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Speaker 2: and Yukon could kill them if San Diego State can't score.

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Speaker 2: They are twelve and nine to the over away from

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Speaker 2: home this year. Yukon is eight sorry in twelve and

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Speaker 2: eight to the under away from home this year, Yukon

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Speaker 2: has held Northwestern too fifty eight stets into fifty two,

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Speaker 2: Marquette to fifty seven. They've scored seventy three, ninety one,

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Speaker 2: and seventy five. All three games have gone under one

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Speaker 2: forty three, one forty five and a half in one

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Speaker 2: thirty six and a half, this total is one thirty six.

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Speaker 2: Concerned about this game going over because Yukon scores too

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Speaker 2: much and Yukon puts up ninety and we're sweating it

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Speaker 2: out here, I'd rather go to the team total for

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Speaker 2: San Diego State. Lead is not going to have much

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Speaker 2: in terms of rebounding advantage against Yukon. His second chance

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Speaker 2: points opportunities are going to be limited tremendously. Yukon is deep,

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Speaker 2: Yukon is long, and Yukon is going to have a

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Speaker 2: real advantage at almost every position over San Diego State.

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Speaker 2: While I'm not comfortable laying the eleven, I do think

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Speaker 2: they cover. I'd rather bet the team total under sixty

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Speaker 2: two and a half for San Diego State. Okay, as

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Speaker 2: we get in the tournament, we have to start to

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Speaker 2: look at different ways to take advantage of the market.

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Speaker 2: Where might they be a little bit of an inefficiency.

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Speaker 2: Where might we be able to kind of jump in

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Speaker 2: here and say, all right, how can we find an angle?

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Speaker 2: Because I don't like laying eleven. I don't like the

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Speaker 2: total of one point thirty six scares me. San Diego State,

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Speaker 2: according to Kenpom, is going to score sixty five points.

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Speaker 2: They're going to cover this number according to Kenpom, seventy

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Speaker 2: three to fifty eight.

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Speaker 1: I don't know what's going on.

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Speaker 2: Like, I don't know really how where to jump in

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Speaker 2: with all of this, other than jumping in I'm sorry,

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Speaker 2: he's got a text message from a head coach in

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Speaker 2: the tournament.

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Speaker 1: Sorry, I just came across my screen.

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Speaker 2: That's why I stumbled there for a second, went wait

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Speaker 2: to coach, just text me, uh, seventy three sixty five

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Speaker 2: is kenpom. I think it's too high. Team total under

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Speaker 2: sixty two and a half. They'll score in the fifties.

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Speaker 2: First two opponents, Northwestern and Stetson scored in the fifties.

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Speaker 2: Yukon will hold San Diego State to under sixty points.

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Speaker 2: The number sixty two and a half under sixty two

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Speaker 2: and a half one point one units for San Diego

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Speaker 2: State tonight against the Yukon.

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Speaker 1: All right, So that.

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Speaker 2: Gives us four bets to jump in with all in

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Speaker 2: action on all four games tonight in the NAA Tournaments,

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Speaker 2: arison a money line North Carol mona nine under San

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Speaker 2: Diego State team total, and we'll talk about the Iowa

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Speaker 2: State game later during the day. Bettingpros dot Com slash

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Speaker 2: Chat is our discord channel. I'll explain most likely I'm

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Speaker 2: gonna bet one, maybe two units on Illinois. Okay, I

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Speaker 2: definitely am concerned about that. I have Iowa State to

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Speaker 2: the final four on my bracket, but I'm a little

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Speaker 2: concerned Illinois has played Terrence Shannon's playing out of his mind.

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Speaker 2: So I'm very concerned about that play. So we may

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Speaker 2: have a hedge coming up with the Illinois game, maybe

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Speaker 2: in game Illinois hedge, but most likely a hedge in Illinois.

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Speaker 2: All right, so let's do two more team totals for

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Speaker 2: us here. Today, the Rockies are going to be the

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Speaker 2: worst team in baseball. The A's might be worse, but

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Speaker 2: I don't think so. The A's might actually be better.

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Speaker 2: The A's have some young talents. The Rockies are gonna

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Speaker 2: trade Chris Bryant. The Rockies probably will trade Kyle Freelou's

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Speaker 2: start today for them. Their team total is sixty and

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Speaker 2: a half. It's minus one twenty to the under I'm

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Speaker 2: going under. According to Fangrafts, they're gonna have nearly a

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Speaker 2: minus two hundred run differential. They're not going to score,

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Speaker 2: and they play at course Field. They have the worst

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Speaker 2: offense in baseball and they're playing at course field. They're

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Speaker 2: gonna get trounced. Their pitching staff is not very good

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Speaker 2: at all. Early in the year, maybe they'll hang around,

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Speaker 2: but by the time we get to the summer, this

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Speaker 2: Rockies team is going to be god awful. Under sixty

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Speaker 2: and a half wins minus one twenty on the Colorado

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Speaker 2: Rockies to probably be the worst team in baseball.

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Speaker 1: Fifty and fifty six.

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Speaker 2: Those were the two worst win percent win totals last

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Speaker 2: year in Major League Baseball. Royals in the A's Rockies

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Speaker 2: are gonna be right there. Fifty five fifty six, low

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Speaker 2: fifties wins, Rockies under sixty and a half wins here

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Speaker 2: for one point one units, and I am going to

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Speaker 2: bet my team. We bet the Bruins get cashed. We're

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Speaker 2: betting the Red Sox over seventy seven and a half wins.

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Speaker 2: Call it a homer play, call it whatever you want.

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Speaker 2: But these kids are saying the right things. They're saying,

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Speaker 2: Sure doubt us, talk about our goals being crazy, Say

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Speaker 2: we're gonna stink, Say we can't score any runs. But

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Speaker 2: if their kids play well, Alex cora is a good manager.

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Speaker 2: Alex Coray does not take over teams to be god

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Speaker 2: awful and back to back years. Now, if they win

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Speaker 2: eighty games, are they in the playoffs?

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Speaker 1: No?

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Speaker 2: But I do think they got a shot to get

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Speaker 2: that third wild card. Think the Red Sox are going

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Speaker 2: to be in the conversation. I think they're going to

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Speaker 2: be better than people think. Think the kids are gonna

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Speaker 2: play another pitching staff is got awful. I'll give you

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Speaker 2: that they're gonna be a softball team. Bet they're overs,

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Speaker 2: but I think they can score. Rafaeld Devers, I think

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Speaker 2: they're gonna score some runs. I really do at Fenway Park.

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Speaker 2: When the weather warms up, rap Field Devers might have

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Speaker 2: his first MVP type season like Epic Big. He's twenty

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Speaker 2: seven years old. It's time to turn it on and

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Speaker 2: just be a monster this year for the Red Sox

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Speaker 2: over seventy seven and a half wins for the Red Sox, Okay,

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Speaker 2: four bets, two overs, two unders, Red Sox over seventy

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Speaker 2: seven and a half wins under Rockies sixty and a

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Speaker 2: half wins. We're taking the where were the two bets?

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Speaker 2: Oh the blanket and the two bets we made on

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Speaker 2: this For team totals, my brain's not working at the moment,

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Speaker 2: but I just I say, at the beginning from a

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Speaker 2: team total perspective, right where we are with team totals so.

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Speaker 1: Rockies under, Red Sox over.

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Speaker 2: Iowa State under one forty seven today, Marlins under seven

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Speaker 2: and a half today, Diamond under eight and a half today,

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Speaker 2: Team total under six two and a half San Diego

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Speaker 2: State today. Watch for Arizona, North Carolina and a Hedge

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Speaker 2: potentially coming on Iowa State. That's a big Thursday. It's

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Speaker 2: a lot of things. We have a lot of action.

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Speaker 2: We got baseball in the morning to get rolling. We

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Speaker 2: got basketball all day and all night. Team totals going

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Speaker 2: in for a couple of futures for futures coming in

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Speaker 2: with Major League Baseball. That's a lot of stuff. Oh,

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Speaker 2: there we go over on the Cubs eighty three and

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Speaker 2: a half wins and under on the Marlins seventy eight

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Speaker 2: and a half wins. There we go. Sorry, I was

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Speaker 2: looking around for it. Rockies under, Marlin's under, Red Sox

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Speaker 2: over Cubs over.

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Speaker 1: I like that. That's good.

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Speaker 2: That's gonna be fun. Those are our four future bets

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Speaker 2: there for that. If you want another one, Diamondbacks over

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Speaker 2: eighty four and a half wins, I like the Dbacks

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Speaker 2: going over eighty four and a half wins. If you

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Speaker 2: like that as well, I've played that as well, and

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Speaker 2: I won't do it officially, but that's a play I

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Speaker 2: like as well on that. Okay, So I'll be in

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Speaker 2: the Discord channel. Let's watch some basketball, Let's watch some baseball.

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Speaker 2: Happening opening today. Have a hot dog for me, have

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Speaker 2: a beer for me. Enjoy the games should be a

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Speaker 2: ton of fun. Two games already rained out, which kind

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Speaker 2: of stinks. But let's get rocking and rolling. Big time,

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Speaker 2: big time opportunity to watch a ton of sports today.

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Speaker 2: Baseball season's back, let's go and as Matt Parol, follow

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Speaker 2: me across all socials at Sports Doc Matt every morning

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Speaker 2: Dally News podcast. I was being brought to you by

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Speaker 2: Omah steaks dot com