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Speaker 1: What's up, guys? How are you happy? Thursday? Welcome in

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Speaker 1: to another episode of the Daily Juice podcast with me

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Speaker 1: Matt Peralta at Sports Talk. Matt to follow me across

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Speaker 1: all socials. This podcast being brought to you by Olmaha

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Speaker 1: Steaks dot com Steak Timber going on right now. Juice

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Speaker 1: you get at Omaha Steaks dot com. Okay, backwards hat

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Speaker 1: for you watching on video for you audio folks who

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Speaker 1: don't hear or don't see what I'm wearing. I don't

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Speaker 1: believe in superstitions, but let's try one. A little bit

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Speaker 1: of a slumpbuster here or oh in three winning days,

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Speaker 1: yesterday was a losing day, but kind of one in one.

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Speaker 1: The baseball bet was a good bet. We got that right,

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Speaker 1: two nothing win for the Marlins. But then basketball was

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Speaker 1: bad bad. Should have late it with the Aces. Our

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Speaker 1: friend Matt Are on the Discord channel, said Matt lay

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Speaker 1: the Points. I was like, man, I just don't trust

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Speaker 1: this team. I don't trust the Aces. I'm gonna wait

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Speaker 1: to them, for them to get through this, and then

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Speaker 1: I'll probably bet them again. But I'm probably gonna wait

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Speaker 1: them to get through this first round and then get

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Speaker 1: into it, because I mean, that game was never closed.

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Speaker 1: They were up I think seventeen or eighteen points after

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Speaker 1: the first quarter and then it was our thirteen points

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Speaker 1: from the first quarter. It was never closed. They crushed them,

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Speaker 1: so blew them away, crushed them, and you know, what

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Speaker 1: can we do? You know, you just kind of tip

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Speaker 1: your cap and move on. So one in one down

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Speaker 1: point one on the day. So yes, it's a losing day,

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Speaker 1: but it really is nothing. It's a paper cut of

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Speaker 1: a day, but it's not a winning day. Which is

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Speaker 1: now three in a row. So Thursday, Friday, Saturday, Sunday,

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Speaker 1: we have a lot of the week left. We're only

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Speaker 1: down a couple of units, I think what two point

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Speaker 1: five units on the week, so we're definitely in rain

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Speaker 1: to have a winning week, just need to pick it

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Speaker 1: up here on a Thursday. So here's where we are

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Speaker 1: at today. We've got an early morning baseball bet on

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Speaker 1: the West coast, So for you West Coast people who

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Speaker 1: want to bet this, get in early. A college football

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Speaker 1: bet and an NFL bet coming up here for today.

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Speaker 1: All right. I like teasers, and so if you don't

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Speaker 1: like teasers, and you don't like, if you're gonna throw

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Speaker 1: negative ev at me, if you're gonna tell me it's

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Speaker 1: dumb and bad bets, I don't care. Do whatever you

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Speaker 1: want with this. I'll tell you. I'll break down the

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Speaker 1: Vikings game here in a second. But I especially on

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Speaker 1: Thursday nights, I love playing with the numbers in particular

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Speaker 1: same game teasers. I very much love doing that. So

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Speaker 1: I'm gonna do that again here today. But the baseball

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Speaker 1: bet is an early play. All right, Let's talk a

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Speaker 1: little bit about the Pirates and the Nationals. Josiah Gray

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Speaker 1: against Mitch Keller. Mitch Keller in his last start for

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Speaker 1: the Pirates was awful. He's actually been pretty bad this

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Speaker 1: year nine with a four point two three ERA last

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Speaker 1: time out, five innings, eight earned runs on the road

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Speaker 1: at the Braves. You say, man, it's the Braves, Okay,

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Speaker 1: I'll give it to you. Last home game he was

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Speaker 1: really good. Eight innings, no earn runs against the Cubs

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Speaker 1: in a two to one victory against the Cubs. Before that,

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Speaker 1: he went six one earned run However, this is a

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Speaker 1: day game and Mitch Keller is gonna face Josiah Gray

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Speaker 1: of the Nationals, and Josiah Gray is seven and eleven

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Speaker 1: with a four point one three ERA, and Josiah Gray

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Speaker 1: on the road. Well. Last time out six to three loss,

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Speaker 1: he lost four earn runs given up in just two

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Speaker 1: innings road game. Before that, he was pretty good against

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Speaker 1: the Yankees six innings, only one earned run. Before that

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Speaker 1: it was four and two thirds on the road four

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Speaker 1: earned runs and four and two thirds against the Phillies.

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Speaker 1: So not great. In the games pitched since August first,

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Speaker 1: the total number runs scored have been ten, nine, nine, three,

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Speaker 1: nine and ten. The total of this game is eight

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Speaker 1: and a half. Let me throw a couple of trends

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Speaker 1: at you if you are a trend fan. The over

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Speaker 1: for the Pirates have hit in twelve straight games when

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Speaker 1: the Pirates are at home and it's the last game

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Speaker 1: of the series. The Pirates are also twelve and one

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Speaker 1: to the over over their last thirteen home day games

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Speaker 1: in Pittsburgh over eight and a half one point one

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Speaker 1: units early nine thirty start twelve thirty Eastern times start.

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Speaker 1: Nationals at the Pirates over eight and a half for

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Speaker 1: one point one units. Bet number two to college football.

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Speaker 1: We go. Navy is at Memphis. Look the number is fourteen.

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Speaker 1: It opened up at sixteen and a half. It's been

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Speaker 1: bet down to fourteen. Now I'm interested. I didn't like

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Speaker 1: it over fourteen at fourteen. Now I'm interested. Memphis has

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Speaker 1: played two cupcakes, really haven't played anybody worth their salt.

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Speaker 1: They are a relatively inexperienced team. They don't bring back

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Speaker 1: a lot of players. But we watched Navy against Notre Dame,

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Speaker 1: and I don't care if they scored twenty four points

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Speaker 1: in one twenty four nothing last week against a cupcake.

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Speaker 1: They are not a good football team. They can't score.

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Speaker 1: The team total for Navy is fifteen and a half.

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Speaker 1: Fandle has that juice to the over, But fifteen and

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Speaker 1: a half to give you an idea what we're talking

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Speaker 1: about here for Navy's offense against Memphis. I don't think

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Speaker 1: Navy scores. In fact, do you want to just bet

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Speaker 1: Navy team total under fifteen and a half? I don't

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Speaker 1: mind that. I think they get a touchdown in a

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Speaker 1: field goal. The question will be what does Memphis score.

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Speaker 1: That's why I'm not going to bet the over because

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Speaker 1: I'm concerned that it's going to be twenty eight ten

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Speaker 1: in the game they cover fourteen, but they don't get over.

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Speaker 1: It's thirty eight and the game goes under, or it's

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Speaker 1: thirty to ten game they cover, game doesn't go over.

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Speaker 1: Total for this game is a little high forty six

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Speaker 1: and a half. I lean towards the under for the game.

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Speaker 1: I lean towards team total under for Navy, but I

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Speaker 1: think the better bet is just to take Memphis minus fourteen.

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Speaker 1: And I think Memphis will score a lot. I don't

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Speaker 1: think Navy will score much. And I think you're gonna

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Speaker 1: see Navy unleash a lot of their stuff. That this

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Speaker 1: is our first like quote unquote real game, if you

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Speaker 1: want to call it that, and I think we have

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Speaker 1: an opportunity here to watch Navy or watch Memphis rather

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Speaker 1: put up some points and score. I don't like Navy's defense.

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Speaker 1: I really don't like their offense. But with the running

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Speaker 1: clock the way that it is in college football, these

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Speaker 1: are games that you would one hundred percent go Matt.

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Speaker 1: It's a running clock like this game, there may not

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Speaker 1: be enough possessions for this game to go over. And

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Speaker 1: that's very, very possible, but there should be enough for

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Speaker 1: Navy and Memphis here as conference opponents. There should be

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Speaker 1: enough time for Memphis to win this game. Maybe it's

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Speaker 1: twenty one to three, who knows, and they get a

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Speaker 1: W out of this. But I think the running attack

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Speaker 1: for Memphis will be good enough. Their passing attack, I

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Speaker 1: think will be very good. They beat Bethune Cook Cookmin.

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Speaker 1: Fifty six to fourteen. They beat Arkansas State thirty seven

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Speaker 1: to three. They are home here against Navy for their

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Speaker 1: conference opener. Again. Navy lost forty two to three to

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Speaker 1: Notre Dame on the road in Ireland. The game was

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Speaker 1: never close. I don't think Navy's very good offensively. I

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Speaker 1: think this is a big transition year for the midshipman.

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Speaker 1: Memphis minus fourteen one point one units at home here

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Speaker 1: for on ESPN. This game will be broadcasted seven to thirty.

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Speaker 1: Start time for this game here for the opener of

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Speaker 1: the conference opener for both squads like Memphis laying fourteen

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Speaker 1: at one point one units. And finally, let's talk about

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Speaker 1: Thursday Night football. Okay, injuries Kenneth Gainwell out, Fletcher Cox questionable,

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Speaker 1: James Bradbury out, Reid Blankenship out all four of those

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Speaker 1: players or three of the four of those players. Fletcher

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Speaker 1: Cox might play for the Eagles, but they've got real

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Speaker 1: issues defensive Defensively, that's a safety, cornerback, defensive tackle, and

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Speaker 1: a running back who are all either questionable or out

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Speaker 1: for this game. Vikings have Marcus Davenport defensive end, but

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Speaker 1: really Christian Derishaw is questionable their left tackle. He didn't

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Speaker 1: play last week and it was significant in the loss

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Speaker 1: for the Vikings not to have their starting left tackle.

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Speaker 1: They also don't have their starting center, and Gary Bradbury

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Speaker 1: he is out. But opportunity here on Thursday Night football

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Speaker 1: for this team to bounce back. Here's my philosophy for

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Speaker 1: Week two of the NFL. Bounced back for teams that

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Speaker 1: were either that lost or looked awful teams. I'm looking

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Speaker 1: at the Vikings, the Giants, the Bengals, the Steelers. Okay,

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Speaker 1: these are teams that all looked horrible. Seahawks, I say Seahawks.

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Speaker 1: Seahawks two teams that I am looking at, going Okay,

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Speaker 1: you lost, you got you stun some people, but the

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Speaker 1: jump from Week one to Week two can be significant.

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Speaker 1: The Giants blanked. I think they win outright the Vikings

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Speaker 1: lost to Tampa Bay. I think they could win this

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Speaker 1: game outright on the road against the Eagles. The Eagles

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Speaker 1: didn't look good against the Patriots, but they won. They

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Speaker 1: won because the Patriots spotted them sixteen points in the

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Speaker 1: first half. Other than that, they didn't do anything offensively. Now,

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Speaker 1: can the Vikings defense stole them down? I don't know.

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Speaker 1: Eagles are at home. That's dangerous. The numbers dipped down

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Speaker 1: below seven. Once it went down below seven, I went, okay,

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Speaker 1: this is perfect for a same game teaser. I don't

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Speaker 1: like either defense to be honest, holding either offense down.

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Speaker 1: I think Kirk Cousins should have a bounced back game.

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Speaker 1: I think they should look much better here offensively throwing

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Speaker 1: the football again. If the Vikings win the game outright,

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Speaker 1: I'm not going to be stunned by any means. But

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Speaker 1: the Vikings have been losing one score games, or they're

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Speaker 1: expected to lose a bunch of one score games because

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Speaker 1: they were unbelievable last year in one score games. I

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Speaker 1: don't need them to keep it within one score if

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Speaker 1: I tease this. If I go from six and a

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Speaker 1: half six point teaser, it up to twelve and a

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Speaker 1: half Vikings plus twelve and a half. I'm gonna take

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Speaker 1: the total in this game, which is forty nine, and

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Speaker 1: I'm gonna pull it down to forty three, and I'm

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Speaker 1: gonna go over vikings plus twelve and a half over

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Speaker 1: forty to over forty three for this same game. Minus

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Speaker 1: one twenty teaser. Shop around, okay, find books that will

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Speaker 1: give you minus one twenty on teasers. Now every book's

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Speaker 1: gonna do that. Okay. You got to shop around and

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Speaker 1: find what books available in your area. They'll give you

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Speaker 1: miss one twenty on teasers. I don't want mis one forty.

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Speaker 1: You can lay one thirty, but I don't like it

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Speaker 1: at all. It should be mius one twenty. Okay, that's

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Speaker 1: what teasers should be. Minus one twenty. Most books in

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Speaker 1: your area or a book in your area should have

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Speaker 1: it as a minus one twenty teaser. I think the

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Speaker 1: Vikings could either win the game outright or keep it

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Speaker 1: close within one score and lose by seven. I think

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Speaker 1: the number is right, so I'm gonna play with it.

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Speaker 1: Here can say, Matt want you to pull it down

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Speaker 1: and take the Eagles. Here's the thing I'm not so

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Speaker 1: sure of. The Eagles win the game. Like I said,

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Speaker 1: this is bounce back Week two. Vikings have heard it

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Speaker 1: over and over again about oh my gosh, you lost

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Speaker 1: to the Baker Mayfield, you lost to the Buccaneers. How

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Speaker 1: in the world that's pathetic, blah blah blah. Right, bounce

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Speaker 1: back week two. Teams that got embarrassed in Week one

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Speaker 1: are stewing and they aren't tired yet. Yes, playing Sunday

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Speaker 1: to Thursday is dangerous. Yes, on the road Sunday to

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Speaker 1: Thursday is dangerous. I understand all of that. Okay, I

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Speaker 1: think the Vikings keep this game close. I think we

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Speaker 1: see scoring for both teams. I'm gonna same game tease

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Speaker 1: this Vikings six and a half up to plus twelve

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Speaker 1: and a half, and I'm gonna take the total down

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Speaker 1: from forty nine down to forty three. And I'm betting

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Speaker 1: over on Thursday night. You also can flip it around

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Speaker 1: and go up if you want, and take the under

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Speaker 1: if you want. If you want to do that, that's fine.

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Speaker 1: I just think we're gonna see offense given the injuries

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Speaker 1: we've got. Defensively, I don't think either defense rear you know,

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Speaker 1: roars and really stops either from scoring. I really don't

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Speaker 1: think that's going to be the case. I think both

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Speaker 1: teams are going to score. I think the Vikings score,

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Speaker 1: I think the Eagles score. I think it's a seven

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Speaker 1: to ten point margin plus twelve and a half. I

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Speaker 1: like it. Vikings plus twelve and a half teased up

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Speaker 1: to twelve and a half total down to forty three.

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Speaker 1: We're taking over from minus one to twenty at one

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Speaker 1: point two units. I don't like betting prop bets on Thursdays.

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Speaker 1: Games get wonky. Don't like betting props, especially when I

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Speaker 1: have other things to bet. Not gonna bet it. Okay

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Speaker 1: over eight and a half one point one units, Nationals

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Speaker 1: in the Pirates. That's a twelve thirty Eastern time start

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Speaker 1: Navy against Memphis, laying the fourteen for Memphis here on

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Speaker 1: Thursday night, one point one units down. That game kicks

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Speaker 1: at seven to thirty Eastern time. Same game teaser plus

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Speaker 1: twelve and a half Vikings over forty three at one

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Speaker 1: point two units. That game kicks at eight fifteen Eastern time.

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Speaker 1: Three bets staggered. Let's have some fun here on a Thursday.

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Speaker 1: Need a winning day. Let's go have a winning day.

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Speaker 1: Hopefully take ourselves into the weekend with a chance to

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Speaker 1: have a winning week. Min' is Matt Parolt. You guys

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Speaker 1: can follow me on all socials at sports Talk Matt.

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Speaker 1: Each and every morning the Diligence Podcast I was being

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Speaker 1: brought to you by olmah steaks dot com