WEBVTT - Elon Musk Takes a Gamble as Insurance Rates Skyrocket

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<v Speaker 1>Welcome to the Bloomberg Markets Podcast. I'm Paul Sweeney, along

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<v Speaker 1>with my co host of Bonnie Quinn. Every business day

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<v Speaker 1>we bring you interviews from CEOs, market pros, and Bloomberg experts,

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<v Speaker 1>along with essential market moving news. Find the Bloomberg Markets

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<v Speaker 1>Podcast on Apple podcast or wherever you listen to podcasts,

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<v Speaker 1>and on Bloomberg dot com. So rates for what's being

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<v Speaker 1>called Directors and Officers insurance they've skyrocketed because there's been

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<v Speaker 1>a surge in lawsuits by plaintiffs seeking to sue as

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<v Speaker 1>a group. Now the latest surgeon lawsuits coming as a

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<v Speaker 1>response to the coronavirus outbreak and how companies may have

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<v Speaker 1>bungled it in certain cases according to these plaintiffs. But interestingly,

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<v Speaker 1>Elon Musk never want to shy away from making a gesture.

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<v Speaker 1>Set in April, he was dropping the insurance policy that

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<v Speaker 1>protects Tesla's board from shareholder lawsuits. It doesn't mean they

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<v Speaker 1>wouldn't be insured. It meant that he would pay out

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<v Speaker 1>of his own pocket. It's a fantastic story today, brought

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<v Speaker 1>to us by Jeff Phey and Catherine Chilinsky of Bloomberg News,

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<v Speaker 1>and let's bring them in now. Jeff, why that Elon

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<v Speaker 1>Musk have put himself on the line, Like, it's not

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<v Speaker 1>that he doesn't have enough money, but I mean these

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<v Speaker 1>are potentially multimillion even more lawsuits. Elon is Elon is

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<v Speaker 1>what I want to say to start off. Also, I mean,

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<v Speaker 1>you're talking about an average increase over the last two

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<v Speaker 1>years of this kind of insurance starting to get a

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<v Speaker 1>bit out of hand, and the insurance company is insurance

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<v Speaker 1>companies are citing a jump in the numbers of security

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<v Speaker 1>suits and then of course the COVID thing, both of

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<v Speaker 1>which are legitimate reasons. But I mean forty percent in

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<v Speaker 1>a two year period, that's a that's a pretty big bump.

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<v Speaker 1>And you know, I mean companies are looking to conserved

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<v Speaker 1>resources given the economic body blows of the pandemic has caused.

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<v Speaker 1>So Elon sees this as a way of saving money.

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<v Speaker 1>So kind I want to bring you in here. You

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<v Speaker 1>cover all things on the insurance side on this d

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<v Speaker 1>n O or Directors and Officers insurance market. Here, what

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<v Speaker 1>is it typically cover? What kind of protections is it

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<v Speaker 1>typically give a board member? Yeah, so it gives them

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<v Speaker 1>a lot of liability protection in case they're stuit um.

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<v Speaker 1>It often you know, you see it occur when some

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<v Speaker 1>shareholder files the suit that alleges, you know, they've been

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<v Speaker 1>hurt because of a stock drop, which kind of makes

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<v Speaker 1>this a really interesting time period for the market, um

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<v Speaker 1>because you know, while we did see sort of the

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<v Speaker 1>stock market crash and a bit of the first quarter,

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<v Speaker 1>especially in March, it was a broad based decline. So

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<v Speaker 1>I think it's going to make a lot of these

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<v Speaker 1>claims a little more intriguing because whether you can prove

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<v Speaker 1>the cause, whether you were hurt by um this broad market,

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<v Speaker 1>or if it was just something that really affected a

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<v Speaker 1>bunch of companies at once. I think it's going to

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<v Speaker 1>be kind of an interesting tension we'll see in these lawsuits, well,

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<v Speaker 1>just on that particular. In christition as well. I mean,

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<v Speaker 1>there are some companies for whom that's more of a

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<v Speaker 1>problem than others, and Tesla might be one of them,

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<v Speaker 1>considering we saw it's your price cool above a thousand

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<v Speaker 1>dollars last week. And Ellen himself has run ins with

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<v Speaker 1>regulators from time to time, given his his round things

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<v Speaker 1>on Twitter sometimes and they can move stocks. So is

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<v Speaker 1>he really putting himself on the line. I mean, what's

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<v Speaker 1>the worst case scenario for Elon Musk in this in

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<v Speaker 1>this in this scene, Catherine Well, I would say, I mean,

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<v Speaker 1>obviously if there are lawfoods, then they do prove quite

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<v Speaker 1>um successful against him. You know, he's got a lot

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<v Speaker 1>on the line, and that's it becomes quite tricky in

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<v Speaker 1>his case because there are some conflicts of interest that

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<v Speaker 1>people have raised. You know, the board members need to

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<v Speaker 1>sort of make sure his wealth is there in a

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<v Speaker 1>way to protect them and um, and that's where do

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<v Speaker 1>you know, insurance always gets kind of interesting. You know,

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<v Speaker 1>That's why a lot of people turn to sort of

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<v Speaker 1>the traditional insurers to buy it because they want, you know,

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<v Speaker 1>someone who's very separate from the company and the board

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<v Speaker 1>to ensure them so that there's no conflict of interest.

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<v Speaker 1>And I think those were some of the concerns that

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<v Speaker 1>you know, experts we talked to raised, is that Ellen

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<v Speaker 1>is going to have to work over money if there

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<v Speaker 1>is a loss, and you know, he has obviously got

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<v Speaker 1>a lot of the Tesla and the board and they're

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<v Speaker 1>gonna have to make sure that they can kind of

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<v Speaker 1>keep things very independent. Yeah, Jeff, I kind of want

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<v Speaker 1>to follow up on that. If I were a board

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<v Speaker 1>member Tesla, I'm much sure. I'm sure, I'm I'm drinking

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<v Speaker 1>the Elon Tesla uh Elon Musk kool aid, But I'm

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<v Speaker 1>not sure i'd be comfortable not having that DNO insurance

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<v Speaker 1>policy behind me. What's the sense of other companies out there?

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<v Speaker 1>I mean, this is really unusual, isn't it? It is?

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<v Speaker 1>And given what Elon Musk thinks the best most journalists,

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<v Speaker 1>I would not sit by the phone waiting for that

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<v Speaker 1>call for your board appointment. But um um, the reality

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<v Speaker 1>is that nobody else that we were able to find

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<v Speaker 1>has done this. You know, we we poked around. Ja

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<v Speaker 1>and Jay may have had. They wouldn't comment on it.

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<v Speaker 1>They have their own captives ensure. But here's the reality.

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<v Speaker 1>We quote Stip McBride, who's a director at companies such

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<v Speaker 1>as Bluebell ice Cream in Texas as an old DNO

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<v Speaker 1>expert marketing from Mark Lane here now, and we quote

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<v Speaker 1>him the saying he would not join the Tesla board

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<v Speaker 1>without cutting his own separate deal with Elon Musk, That

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<v Speaker 1>he would write that would leave him no wiggle room

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<v Speaker 1>on covering litigation against Skip McBride. They may have done that.

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<v Speaker 1>That may be the way that they have handled that.

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<v Speaker 1>They did not disclose that, by the way, in their

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<v Speaker 1>SEC filings, what they did disclose is that the Elon's

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<v Speaker 1>board had basically chewed over the idea of whether this

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<v Speaker 1>left them in a conflict position when they found that

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<v Speaker 1>it did not. So, you know, this is all one

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<v Speaker 1>big Google lots that you've got sort of swirling around

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<v Speaker 1>involving COVID. You have the insurance industry saying that they

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<v Speaker 1>faced potential losses of four hundred and eighty billion dollars.

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<v Speaker 1>That's gonna be every month over insurance claims, business and

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<v Speaker 1>eruption other insurance claims. D you know, for an eighty

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<v Speaker 1>billion a month, it's really phenomenal. But I suppose, you know,

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<v Speaker 1>I mean, if the price has gone off that much,

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<v Speaker 1>then I guess you do get to that number pretty quickly.

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<v Speaker 1>What's the outlook for these coronavirus cases, Jeff, I mean here,

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<v Speaker 1>there's going to be so many of them. Yeah, here's

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<v Speaker 1>the deal. And you guys mentioned Tesla as being somebody

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<v Speaker 1>who's a particular risk. I don't see them at particular risk.

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<v Speaker 1>You know, we note in the story used a particular

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<v Speaker 1>risk as a Norwegian Cruise line and Princess Cruise Line,

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<v Speaker 1>and those guys have got already got at least a

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<v Speaker 1>half dozen security suits against them, saying not only did

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<v Speaker 1>you bungle COVID, but in the in the example of Norwegian,

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<v Speaker 1>you basically lied to people about you know, how bad

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<v Speaker 1>COVID was trying to get them to keep their booking

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<v Speaker 1>dates on the cruises that goes before a jury. And

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<v Speaker 1>I don't even want to think of a number that

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<v Speaker 1>gets attached in the verdict. Jeff Philly, thanks so much

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<v Speaker 1>for joining us. Jeff Philly is a legal reporter for

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<v Speaker 1>Bloomberg News uh and Cat Lynskey financial reporter covering all

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<v Speaker 1>things insurance for Bloomberg News as well, with a fascinating

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<v Speaker 1>story the two had out today, Elon Musk effectively self

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<v Speaker 1>ensuring his board. I. I just can't think another example

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<v Speaker 1>of that, Bonnie. I mean, if you were counting on

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<v Speaker 1>your CEO to ensure you poll, would you argue with him? Uh? No,

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<v Speaker 1>I don't think so. I mean, I just think the risk,

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<v Speaker 1>particularly in this environment, or just too great. And I

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<v Speaker 1>think it's, you know, it's really too much really to

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<v Speaker 1>ask for board member. I think in this environment, yeah, exactly,

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<v Speaker 1>I mean captive insurance trickier with dno because of conflicts

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<v Speaker 1>of interest. As we say in the story, it's definitely

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<v Speaker 1>well worth reading the whole story. Absolutely great stuff coming

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<v Speaker 1>out of Bloomberg does. Yeah, that's what he does. It's

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<v Speaker 1>Ellen being elon Hens one of the biggest public pension

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<v Speaker 1>plans in the country, second to maybe only one other.

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<v Speaker 1>Let's bring in Chris Ellman, chief investment officer at callister

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<v Speaker 1>Is the California State Teachers Retirement System. Chris, welcome back. Well, Fannie,

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<v Speaker 1>it's good to be back. We're number two in assets,

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<v Speaker 1>but we're number one in everyone's heart. That's what I

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<v Speaker 1>was hinting out there. Chris, Well, let's get straight to it. Then.

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<v Speaker 1>Have you had to revise what you're assuming you're going

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<v Speaker 1>to make in returns over the next several years. Well,

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<v Speaker 1>we haven't changed our long term assumption because it's a

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<v Speaker 1>thirty year average, Fannie. But what we have done is

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<v Speaker 1>reassessed and the keyword was when the Fed said interest

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<v Speaker 1>rates we're going to stay at zero through that's a

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<v Speaker 1>powerful statement, and so the next five years will probably

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<v Speaker 1>be lower returns, although the last time the Fed did that,

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<v Speaker 1>we had double digit returns for those five years. So

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<v Speaker 1>risk assets maybe profitable during this time period we have

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<v Speaker 1>to get through the health crisis. But I think that

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<v Speaker 1>we're going to see very low returns. Obviously had a

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<v Speaker 1>fixed income corporate credit uh anything was variable rates that reset,

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<v Speaker 1>but that means that equity investments and growth investments may

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<v Speaker 1>have a chance to use that free money that financing.

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<v Speaker 1>So Chris your your kind of parts. At Cowper's UH,

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<v Speaker 1>they were talking about needing to maybe I more private

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<v Speaker 1>equity uh to leverage and maybe even more leverage to

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<v Speaker 1>boost returns. I making the portfolio a little bit more

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<v Speaker 1>riskier in order to generate the returns that they need.

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<v Speaker 1>How do you view that? Yeah, Ben Ming's uh new

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<v Speaker 1>c I oh there, who's really taking a comprehensive look

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<v Speaker 1>at the portfolio? And we're all seeing a trend that

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<v Speaker 1>the Canadians have used some of the Dutch pension plans

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<v Speaker 1>UH and Danish pension plans have used, which is too

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<v Speaker 1>You know, when when interest rates are zero, uh, you

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<v Speaker 1>borrow money and leverage and you and go into growth assets.

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<v Speaker 1>But I think there's a natural for a public pension.

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<v Speaker 1>There's got to be a limit to that. And that's

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<v Speaker 1>what everybody wants to explore. You want to use that

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<v Speaker 1>lower cost money as an opportunity to buy into things

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<v Speaker 1>like real estate. Private equity should take advantage of it, obviously, um,

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<v Speaker 1>but also just across the portfolio. But there are natural limits,

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<v Speaker 1>no one has defined that. But but probably not more

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<v Speaker 1>than leverage. Um. We have a leverage policy. We actually

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<v Speaker 1>monitor that very closely. You take leverage in real estate.

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<v Speaker 1>Everybody buys their home with what down maybe down, so

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<v Speaker 1>they're leveraging over half. A public pension plan would be

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<v Speaker 1>doing just the opposite, barely leveraging the portfolio, Paul Um.

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<v Speaker 1>But it's it's simply because the fact that the Fed

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<v Speaker 1>has signaled rates are going to be so low for

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<v Speaker 1>so long. Um, that's very inexpensive money that allows you

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<v Speaker 1>to invest in other places. But not until the health

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<v Speaker 1>crisis is resolved. And can I point out, Chris and

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<v Speaker 1>correct me if I'm wrong, But you guys would actually

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<v Speaker 1>have been doing a little bit more of this than

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<v Speaker 1>other retirement systems for a long time. You've always been

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<v Speaker 1>a little more into real estate, a little riskier when

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<v Speaker 1>it comes to venture and growth and even fund of

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<v Speaker 1>funds and alternatives generally. Right, Well, Bonnie, uh spot on.

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<v Speaker 1>You've known me for almost two decades. I think, UM,

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<v Speaker 1>we we do tilt a little heavier toward real estate

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<v Speaker 1>UM than most public pensions UH, State of Washington, ourselves, Oregon.

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<v Speaker 1>There's a lot of funds that have a fairly large

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<v Speaker 1>allocation to private equity. UH. At our fund it's it's

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<v Speaker 1>currently about ten percent going to which is a big

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<v Speaker 1>dollar amount UM. And you know, the returns from private

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<v Speaker 1>equity are going to come down, but they're going to

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<v Speaker 1>be helped by this lower money. And the reason you're

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<v Speaker 1>going to come down is simply competition. There's just too

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<v Speaker 1>much money chasing too few deals. And and before the

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<v Speaker 1>health crisis, private equity companies were paying top dollar for

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<v Speaker 1>any kind of an investment, and that usually means lower

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<v Speaker 1>returns going forward. So we're still going to stay in

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<v Speaker 1>the space, but it's going to be less of a

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<v Speaker 1>return than you used to see. And the stay the

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<v Speaker 1>nineties of the two thousands. We think a broadly diverse

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<v Speaker 1>side portfolio is gonna help you through this. Growth investments

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<v Speaker 1>once we get out of the health crisis, growth investments

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<v Speaker 1>will be attractive to people, and that could be even

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<v Speaker 1>in US and non US stocks. You know the world

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<v Speaker 1>has had so many geopolitical challenges. Um, if you could

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<v Speaker 1>get its act together, Japan could finally start growing again.

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<v Speaker 1>You've got some investment opportunities, big if at the start

0:12:42.160 --> 0:12:45.040
<v Speaker 1>of those. Well again, I have to keep cavigating. We've

0:12:45.040 --> 0:12:47.760
<v Speaker 1>got to get through this health crisis. Yeah. Absolutely, that's

0:12:47.800 --> 0:12:51.120
<v Speaker 1>paramount for everybody. I think you know, it goes without saying,

0:12:51.480 --> 0:12:54.320
<v Speaker 1>but Chris, talk to me about your real estate holdings

0:12:54.360 --> 0:12:56.280
<v Speaker 1>and what you're you on real estate is right now,

0:12:56.320 --> 0:12:59.720
<v Speaker 1>because I think that sort of has split people in two,

0:13:00.040 --> 0:13:02.839
<v Speaker 1>does to what they are anticipating in terms of inflation

0:13:03.120 --> 0:13:06.160
<v Speaker 1>as to what they're anticipating in terms of how you

0:13:06.200 --> 0:13:11.720
<v Speaker 1>know structurally, light will change after this. Good good point, Bunny.

0:13:11.800 --> 0:13:14.360
<v Speaker 1>You know, right now real estate is fairly frozen. There

0:13:14.360 --> 0:13:17.600
<v Speaker 1>are no transactions, so there's no price information to figure

0:13:17.600 --> 0:13:21.080
<v Speaker 1>out where things are going into This real estate was

0:13:21.120 --> 0:13:24.680
<v Speaker 1>pretty much priced of perfection. The real estate our team

0:13:24.720 --> 0:13:28.440
<v Speaker 1>was doing was more build two core as we describe it,

0:13:28.520 --> 0:13:32.160
<v Speaker 1>so so speculative building, but leasing up the property and

0:13:32.200 --> 0:13:34.920
<v Speaker 1>making it a core holding. Most of the return in

0:13:34.960 --> 0:13:38.199
<v Speaker 1>real estate comes out of your lease income. It does

0:13:38.280 --> 0:13:40.760
<v Speaker 1>not come out of capital appreciation. As much as people

0:13:41.080 --> 0:13:43.280
<v Speaker 1>focus on that, I think that will be true and

0:13:43.320 --> 0:13:46.680
<v Speaker 1>you're right, the dynamics of the typical downtown office building

0:13:47.360 --> 0:13:49.520
<v Speaker 1>are going to change. Um, this is the first time

0:13:49.520 --> 0:13:51.600
<v Speaker 1>in my forty year career I've been able to work

0:13:51.640 --> 0:13:54.760
<v Speaker 1>from home. But I like it. I know my staff

0:13:56.080 --> 0:13:58.840
<v Speaker 1>of my staff liked it. So I think we're still

0:13:58.840 --> 0:14:03.439
<v Speaker 1>gonna have to come back to the office interact. Yeah,

0:14:03.800 --> 0:14:06.920
<v Speaker 1>it is amazing, you know there, but there's less interaction,

0:14:07.000 --> 0:14:10.240
<v Speaker 1>there's less dropping in in people's office and sharing ideas.

0:14:10.720 --> 0:14:14.040
<v Speaker 1>We need that interaction, that that creativity and the culture.

0:14:14.120 --> 0:14:16.880
<v Speaker 1>There's no culture when you're working from a zoom screen.

0:14:17.440 --> 0:14:19.680
<v Speaker 1>So but I think we're going to see a new

0:14:19.720 --> 0:14:21.800
<v Speaker 1>dynamic where, yes, a lot of people at least a

0:14:21.840 --> 0:14:23.920
<v Speaker 1>few days a week, maybe a week a month, work

0:14:24.000 --> 0:14:28.080
<v Speaker 1>from home. Um. Certainly the young families love it because

0:14:28.120 --> 0:14:30.800
<v Speaker 1>then they can be with their kids. But I can

0:14:30.880 --> 0:14:33.680
<v Speaker 1>tell you that people with teenagers are happy to get

0:14:33.680 --> 0:14:35.880
<v Speaker 1>back to the office. They want to get out of out.

0:14:36.000 --> 0:14:39.400
<v Speaker 1>So it's a it's a split. But you know the

0:14:39.400 --> 0:14:44.000
<v Speaker 1>other part of real estate apartments industrial Um, all of

0:14:44.040 --> 0:14:49.280
<v Speaker 1>those wonderful Amazon fulfillment centers, those are still very profitable.

0:14:49.320 --> 0:14:52.480
<v Speaker 1>There are sub segments in real estates such as UH

0:14:52.520 --> 0:14:55.360
<v Speaker 1>the server centers where the internet has to be kind

0:14:55.360 --> 0:14:59.640
<v Speaker 1>of housed or hubbed. Uh, those are profitable. So you know,

0:14:59.760 --> 0:15:03.400
<v Speaker 1>I've think I've always liked industrial because it's just big

0:15:03.440 --> 0:15:06.080
<v Speaker 1>and bold and and not a lot of landscapes, so

0:15:06.120 --> 0:15:07.520
<v Speaker 1>you don't have to water it. As long as the

0:15:07.560 --> 0:15:11.760
<v Speaker 1>trucks pull up, you're making money. Um. Retail is going

0:15:11.800 --> 0:15:13.880
<v Speaker 1>to be challenged, obviously, but people do want to go

0:15:13.920 --> 0:15:16.680
<v Speaker 1>back to the mall. But we've been we've in retail,

0:15:16.720 --> 0:15:19.640
<v Speaker 1>we've been underweight, and we have been a grocery anchored

0:15:19.720 --> 0:15:23.200
<v Speaker 1>kind of local chains and centers for a long time.

0:15:23.960 --> 0:15:25.520
<v Speaker 1>And Chris, thanks so much for joining us. We always

0:15:25.520 --> 0:15:30.080
<v Speaker 1>appreciate hearing your broad perspective. Chris Ailment, chief investment officer

0:15:30.200 --> 0:15:33.800
<v Speaker 1>for the California State Teachers Retirement System. They've got a

0:15:33.800 --> 0:15:37.120
<v Speaker 1>couple of dollars under management, about two thirty nine billion

0:15:37.160 --> 0:15:40.000
<v Speaker 1>based in Sacramento, putting that money to work for all

0:15:40.000 --> 0:15:46.880
<v Speaker 1>the good teachers from the state of California. Supreme Court

0:15:47.000 --> 0:15:50.040
<v Speaker 1>has been a busy here. Today, a divided US Supreme

0:15:50.120 --> 0:15:54.000
<v Speaker 1>Court ruled that federal law protects gay and transgender workers

0:15:54.000 --> 0:15:56.720
<v Speaker 1>from job discrimination, in a decision that gives millions of

0:15:56.840 --> 0:16:00.240
<v Speaker 1>LGBT people new civil rights. To get the latest on this,

0:16:00.320 --> 0:16:02.840
<v Speaker 1>we welcome Gregg's store. He covers all things on the

0:16:02.880 --> 0:16:05.080
<v Speaker 1>Supreme Court for us. Greg, So give us a sense

0:16:05.080 --> 0:16:08.680
<v Speaker 1>of how important this decision is. Greg, Was it expected?

0:16:08.840 --> 0:16:13.520
<v Speaker 1>What's your take? It's hugely important. Uh, more than half

0:16:13.520 --> 0:16:17.400
<v Speaker 1>the U. S States don't cover sexual orientation and gender

0:16:17.480 --> 0:16:20.600
<v Speaker 1>identity through their own antidiscrimination laws. And what that meant

0:16:20.680 --> 0:16:23.640
<v Speaker 1>was and most of the country it was perfectly legal

0:16:23.680 --> 0:16:27.360
<v Speaker 1>for an employer to fire somebody because of his or

0:16:27.360 --> 0:16:31.360
<v Speaker 1>her gender identity or sexual orientation. Now that can no

0:16:31.440 --> 0:16:33.640
<v Speaker 1>longer happen. And it's a ruling that came out of

0:16:33.680 --> 0:16:38.800
<v Speaker 1>a pretty conservative Supreme Court. Yeah, isn't it phenomenal? Greg?

0:16:38.840 --> 0:16:42.680
<v Speaker 1>Because it's it's quite ironic that even though we had

0:16:42.680 --> 0:16:45.520
<v Speaker 1>that massive decision a few years ago in two thousand

0:16:45.600 --> 0:16:50.640
<v Speaker 1>and fifteen legalizing same sex mariginationwide, that still people who

0:16:50.640 --> 0:16:53.160
<v Speaker 1>could have been fired from their jobs for the very

0:16:53.200 --> 0:16:56.200
<v Speaker 1>same thing, for being gay. Yeah, ironic is exactly the

0:16:56.280 --> 0:16:58.960
<v Speaker 1>right word for it. And it's something that a lot

0:16:59.000 --> 0:17:02.520
<v Speaker 1>of people did not know. But that decision involving gay

0:17:02.560 --> 0:17:04.919
<v Speaker 1>marriage was a constitutional decision. This was a matter of

0:17:04.920 --> 0:17:08.880
<v Speaker 1>interpreting uh, the nineteen sixty four Civil Rights Act. UH.

0:17:09.000 --> 0:17:12.280
<v Speaker 1>That law says that you can't discriminate against somebody on

0:17:12.320 --> 0:17:15.199
<v Speaker 1>the basis of sex. And the core question for the

0:17:15.320 --> 0:17:19.119
<v Speaker 1>Court in this case was a somewhat technical question, which

0:17:19.200 --> 0:17:23.280
<v Speaker 1>is whether that phrase words sex covers sexual orientation and

0:17:23.320 --> 0:17:27.080
<v Speaker 1>gender identity. And the Supreme Court today said yes, it does.

0:17:28.119 --> 0:17:31.160
<v Speaker 1>So it's interesting, Greg, I saw the conservative Justice Neil

0:17:31.320 --> 0:17:35.159
<v Speaker 1>Gorsuch and Chief Justice John Roberts joined the courts for

0:17:35.600 --> 0:17:39.800
<v Speaker 1>liberals in the six three majority vote. How surprising was

0:17:39.840 --> 0:17:42.960
<v Speaker 1>that to see those two conservative judges vote this way.

0:17:43.840 --> 0:17:46.439
<v Speaker 1>The Chief Justice was probably more surprising. A lot of

0:17:46.520 --> 0:17:49.360
<v Speaker 1>us had watched Justice Gorsers during the arguments, which were

0:17:49.640 --> 0:17:52.919
<v Speaker 1>way back in October UM, and he suggested that he

0:17:53.000 --> 0:17:55.240
<v Speaker 1>might actually read the statute this way, So there was

0:17:55.280 --> 0:17:59.040
<v Speaker 1>at least the possibility after the argument that he would

0:17:59.080 --> 0:18:02.159
<v Speaker 1>join the liberals in the Jordy UH. Chief Justice Roberts

0:18:02.160 --> 0:18:04.760
<v Speaker 1>did not suggest any such thing, And he had actually

0:18:04.800 --> 0:18:08.160
<v Speaker 1>been in dissent and all the courts be gay rights

0:18:08.200 --> 0:18:12.000
<v Speaker 1>decisions UH leading up to this moment, so I'm not

0:18:12.040 --> 0:18:13.800
<v Speaker 1>sure I would have guessed that he would have been there.

0:18:14.040 --> 0:18:16.200
<v Speaker 1>This was something that was certainly in the mix. But again,

0:18:16.600 --> 0:18:19.080
<v Speaker 1>given the overall direction of the court, it's a court

0:18:19.080 --> 0:18:21.760
<v Speaker 1>that has become more conservative since Donald Trump got to

0:18:21.760 --> 0:18:25.040
<v Speaker 1>appoint to justices, including gorst. Uh. You know, you have

0:18:25.160 --> 0:18:28.280
<v Speaker 1>to say, wow, it's it's it's quite a surprise to

0:18:28.280 --> 0:18:30.880
<v Speaker 1>see this court issue this really well. And in fact,

0:18:30.920 --> 0:18:33.320
<v Speaker 1>it was actually a trio of cases they were considering,

0:18:33.359 --> 0:18:36.160
<v Speaker 1>So the two gay rights cases, but also a very

0:18:36.240 --> 0:18:40.679
<v Speaker 1>interesting case transgender rights case a concerned a Michigan funeral

0:18:40.680 --> 0:18:43.960
<v Speaker 1>home chain that fired Amy Stevens. She was preparing to

0:18:43.960 --> 0:18:48.119
<v Speaker 1>start living openly as a woman. Tragically, though she she's

0:18:48.160 --> 0:18:50.639
<v Speaker 1>died now and the Supreme Court has come out with

0:18:50.680 --> 0:18:54.000
<v Speaker 1>the decision just more than a month after she died. Yes,

0:18:55.000 --> 0:18:57.760
<v Speaker 1>she did. She had had a health problems for for

0:18:57.800 --> 0:19:01.439
<v Speaker 1>a while. Um, you know, she she did get to

0:19:01.480 --> 0:19:03.919
<v Speaker 1>see a federal appeals court rule in her favor, but

0:19:03.960 --> 0:19:07.040
<v Speaker 1>of course when the Supreme Court got involved, that victory

0:19:07.080 --> 0:19:10.159
<v Speaker 1>for her was was in jeopardy. Um. You know, her

0:19:10.200 --> 0:19:13.639
<v Speaker 1>name will certainly be remembered as uh, someone who pushed

0:19:13.680 --> 0:19:17.960
<v Speaker 1>this issue, who insisted that she should be treated equally,

0:19:18.640 --> 0:19:20.800
<v Speaker 1>that she should not be discriminated against because she had

0:19:20.840 --> 0:19:26.160
<v Speaker 1>decided to begin living openly as a woman. But yes,

0:19:26.880 --> 0:19:29.720
<v Speaker 1>tragic for her that she didn't live to see this day.

0:19:29.920 --> 0:19:33.679
<v Speaker 1>It's interesting, Greg Tim Cook, the CEO of Apple, just

0:19:33.760 --> 0:19:36.919
<v Speaker 1>came out applauding the Supreme Court decision. Here. What's the

0:19:36.960 --> 0:19:41.000
<v Speaker 1>general feeling of corporate America as it relates to these

0:19:41.040 --> 0:19:42.760
<v Speaker 1>types of rights and what do you think the response

0:19:42.800 --> 0:19:44.760
<v Speaker 1>will be to this ruling. I think there'll be a

0:19:44.760 --> 0:19:46.760
<v Speaker 1>lot more of of what you just heard from from

0:19:46.760 --> 0:19:50.480
<v Speaker 1>Tim Cook. Uh, corporate America was was generally on the

0:19:50.560 --> 0:19:55.320
<v Speaker 1>side of expanding LGBT rights. Uh. In part just a

0:19:55.359 --> 0:19:58.439
<v Speaker 1>calculated business decision that they want to see clear rules

0:19:58.480 --> 0:20:00.640
<v Speaker 1>and now they know what the rules are, Uh, they

0:20:00.720 --> 0:20:04.360
<v Speaker 1>cannot discriminate. Uh. You know, and it's a nationwide rule.

0:20:04.400 --> 0:20:08.200
<v Speaker 1>They don't have to worry about a patchwork across the country.

0:20:08.720 --> 0:20:11.240
<v Speaker 1>But there's also you know, when you talk to a

0:20:11.280 --> 0:20:13.679
<v Speaker 1>lot of corporate leaders, they talk about how important it

0:20:13.720 --> 0:20:19.080
<v Speaker 1>is for them to maintain a diverse and welcoming workforce. Uh,

0:20:19.119 --> 0:20:21.600
<v Speaker 1>And this is something that in their minds will certainly

0:20:22.000 --> 0:20:26.160
<v Speaker 1>push us in that direction. Yeah, it's amazing. Just more

0:20:26.200 --> 0:20:28.120
<v Speaker 1>broadly on the docket, and what's left for the rest

0:20:28.160 --> 0:20:30.200
<v Speaker 1>of the year, and who will write the decisions. Greg,

0:20:30.240 --> 0:20:33.600
<v Speaker 1>I know you've been keeping ride. Well. I wouldn't have

0:20:33.640 --> 0:20:35.640
<v Speaker 1>guessed that Justice Courses was going to write this decision,

0:20:35.640 --> 0:20:38.480
<v Speaker 1>So I don't know who's going to write what going forward.

0:20:38.880 --> 0:20:41.240
<v Speaker 1>One big one we're waiting for, we should get pretty soon,

0:20:41.359 --> 0:20:46.280
<v Speaker 1>is whether President Trump can abolish the DOCTA deferred deportation program. Uh.

0:20:46.640 --> 0:20:49.200
<v Speaker 1>That's obviously gonna be very contentious. We're gonna have rulings

0:20:49.200 --> 0:20:52.560
<v Speaker 1>on abortion, religious rights, and then probably near the very

0:20:52.640 --> 0:20:55.760
<v Speaker 1>end of the term, rulings on those subpoenas by the

0:20:55.880 --> 0:20:59.080
<v Speaker 1>House and a New York Grand jury for President Trump's

0:20:59.160 --> 0:21:01.960
<v Speaker 1>financial and formation. That will no doubt be one of

0:21:01.960 --> 0:21:05.600
<v Speaker 1>the most politically divisive rulings of the term, and just

0:21:05.760 --> 0:21:09.000
<v Speaker 1>on which justices are left to right decisions at least, well,

0:21:09.240 --> 0:21:11.560
<v Speaker 1>it could be the way it works out. I would

0:21:11.560 --> 0:21:14.040
<v Speaker 1>expect Chief Justice Roberts to write some of the big ones. Uh.

0:21:14.800 --> 0:21:19.480
<v Speaker 1>The whole dynamic of who writes what the opinion is

0:21:19.600 --> 0:21:23.919
<v Speaker 1>dependent on the sitting in which the Court uh issues

0:21:23.960 --> 0:21:26.720
<v Speaker 1>it's ruling. So at this point it's a little hard

0:21:26.760 --> 0:21:30.159
<v Speaker 1>to guess. Um. I do think Chief Justice Roberts a

0:21:30.240 --> 0:21:31.960
<v Speaker 1>very good chance he will be the one writing the

0:21:32.040 --> 0:21:35.080
<v Speaker 1>doctor decision. Beyond that, it's a little hard to speculate.

0:21:36.840 --> 0:21:39.359
<v Speaker 1>All right, well, it is fascinating. Well, can keep an

0:21:39.359 --> 0:21:42.080
<v Speaker 1>eye on all of your stories, particularly that seminal decision

0:21:42.080 --> 0:21:45.200
<v Speaker 1>today from the Supreme Courts. It's amazing millions of LGBT

0:21:45.320 --> 0:21:48.720
<v Speaker 1>people use civil rights. Yeah, it's really it's extraordinary. I

0:21:48.720 --> 0:21:51.040
<v Speaker 1>wasn't aware that that many states did not have that

0:21:51.080 --> 0:21:55.200
<v Speaker 1>protections at the state level. So obviously this is a compelling,

0:21:55.720 --> 0:21:58.480
<v Speaker 1>uh and exceptionally important ruling here by the Supreme Court.

0:21:58.640 --> 0:22:01.320
<v Speaker 1>And it's always the incremental decision that makes change right

0:22:01.680 --> 0:22:05.040
<v Speaker 1>our Thanks to Greg's store, Supreme Court reporter for Bloomberg,

0:22:07.760 --> 0:22:12.720
<v Speaker 1>it is time for a Bloomberg Opinion segment. Max Neeson, biotech,

0:22:12.760 --> 0:22:16.240
<v Speaker 1>farm and healthcare calumnists for Bloomberg Opinion, joins us. Max,

0:22:16.280 --> 0:22:19.000
<v Speaker 1>You've got a great column out and I love that

0:22:19.080 --> 0:22:22.639
<v Speaker 1>the title here the headline to fight COVID nineteen this fall,

0:22:23.200 --> 0:22:26.000
<v Speaker 1>get a flu shot. We'll talk to us about the

0:22:26.000 --> 0:22:29.399
<v Speaker 1>flu shot. The people actually get this thing that doesn't work,

0:22:29.440 --> 0:22:31.760
<v Speaker 1>and how could it help in the you know, the

0:22:31.760 --> 0:22:36.600
<v Speaker 1>pandemic nineteen world. Yeah, absolutely so. I think what we're

0:22:36.640 --> 0:22:39.439
<v Speaker 1>seeing with with cases spiking in a number of U.

0:22:39.480 --> 0:22:43.240
<v Speaker 1>S States is pretty clear confirmation that the COVID nineteen

0:22:43.359 --> 0:22:46.240
<v Speaker 1>is is going to be around in a significant way

0:22:46.240 --> 0:22:49.360
<v Speaker 1>for some time to come. Considering that, you know, many

0:22:49.480 --> 0:22:52.880
<v Speaker 1>states never quite got it under control and have sort

0:22:52.880 --> 0:22:57.160
<v Speaker 1>of proceeded with openings without necessarily having developed the sort

0:22:57.200 --> 0:23:01.160
<v Speaker 1>of track tracing isolating capability that they need to keep

0:23:01.280 --> 0:23:04.719
<v Speaker 1>incidents flow over the long run. That means we'll have

0:23:04.840 --> 0:23:07.960
<v Speaker 1>cases in the fall as um, you know, you get

0:23:07.960 --> 0:23:12.280
<v Speaker 1>the seasonal return of flu and these are viruses diseases

0:23:12.320 --> 0:23:15.359
<v Speaker 1>that can look similar, both of which can can land

0:23:15.400 --> 0:23:18.560
<v Speaker 1>people in the hospital, and um, you know, in combination,

0:23:18.600 --> 0:23:21.600
<v Speaker 1>if you get a particularly severe flu season, you have

0:23:21.680 --> 0:23:26.280
<v Speaker 1>the potential to further overwhelm healthcare and hospital systems and

0:23:26.320 --> 0:23:29.440
<v Speaker 1>create a lot of extra sort of confusion and fear

0:23:30.000 --> 0:23:32.439
<v Speaker 1>um from people that that might think they have COVID

0:23:32.520 --> 0:23:36.000
<v Speaker 1>but could have flu, and then potentially, you know, uh

0:23:36.040 --> 0:23:38.440
<v Speaker 1>go get tested and just a lot of a lot

0:23:38.480 --> 0:23:43.000
<v Speaker 1>more burden on un testing and healthcare providers. So um,

0:23:43.080 --> 0:23:45.560
<v Speaker 1>you know, in terms of something that that the federal

0:23:45.600 --> 0:23:48.240
<v Speaker 1>government and state governments could do ahead of time, ahead

0:23:48.240 --> 0:23:52.080
<v Speaker 1>of that that potential result is roll out to a

0:23:52.119 --> 0:23:55.639
<v Speaker 1>greater extent um a flu vaccination program try to get

0:23:55.760 --> 0:24:00.119
<v Speaker 1>a higher proportion of the population vaccinated. And while the

0:24:00.640 --> 0:24:04.399
<v Speaker 1>effectiveness of the flu vaccine can vary depending on the strain,

0:24:04.600 --> 0:24:08.320
<v Speaker 1>into what extent vaccine developers get it right, I nearly

0:24:08.359 --> 0:24:12.720
<v Speaker 1>always provide some degree of protection, and really, ahead of

0:24:12.760 --> 0:24:15.760
<v Speaker 1>the autumn, anything that we can get to reduce the

0:24:15.800 --> 0:24:19.240
<v Speaker 1>burden is worthwhile. So really, the argument max has nothing

0:24:19.240 --> 0:24:21.880
<v Speaker 1>to do with coronavirus itself. It's just this may help

0:24:21.920 --> 0:24:25.800
<v Speaker 1>you not get flu, which will help the system in

0:24:25.920 --> 0:24:28.439
<v Speaker 1>terms of not overwhelming hospitals or doctors offices, and it

0:24:28.480 --> 0:24:31.920
<v Speaker 1>may keep you away from coronavirus plagued areas as well

0:24:31.920 --> 0:24:36.119
<v Speaker 1>should they re emerge. What about the different strains of flu?

0:24:36.520 --> 0:24:40.240
<v Speaker 1>What's the likelihood that the season's flu vaccine will work

0:24:40.280 --> 0:24:43.439
<v Speaker 1>better than other seasons of it all? Um, you know

0:24:43.520 --> 0:24:46.080
<v Speaker 1>that that's something that we won't know much about until

0:24:46.760 --> 0:24:49.480
<v Speaker 1>until we have the flu virus actually starts to circulate.

0:24:49.560 --> 0:24:52.520
<v Speaker 1>But you know, I think the a couple of extra

0:24:52.560 --> 0:24:56.159
<v Speaker 1>things to add on why this effort is worthwhile. First is,

0:24:56.320 --> 0:24:58.480
<v Speaker 1>you know, the flu will already have a harder time

0:24:58.560 --> 0:25:03.280
<v Speaker 1>if people are taking some degree of distancing steps masking UM,

0:25:03.320 --> 0:25:07.199
<v Speaker 1>you know, using greater hygiene efforts, adding even UM you know,

0:25:07.240 --> 0:25:10.000
<v Speaker 1>an average or less than average of vaccine on top

0:25:10.040 --> 0:25:12.840
<v Speaker 1>of that should lead to a much less acute season,

0:25:12.920 --> 0:25:15.680
<v Speaker 1>and then that's worthwhile. On top of that, any effort

0:25:15.720 --> 0:25:20.720
<v Speaker 1>to expand vaccination UM, get people connected with providers, create

0:25:20.840 --> 0:25:23.800
<v Speaker 1>you know, more accessible vaccination type target the sorts of

0:25:23.800 --> 0:25:27.120
<v Speaker 1>population that don't always get vaccinated that can be re applied,

0:25:27.480 --> 0:25:30.520
<v Speaker 1>reused in the future when we get a COVID vaccine,

0:25:30.600 --> 0:25:33.240
<v Speaker 1>because you know, it's not just getting into a vaccine,

0:25:33.240 --> 0:25:35.919
<v Speaker 1>but but getting it um in enough of a population

0:25:35.960 --> 0:25:38.919
<v Speaker 1>that you can have that that sort of broad protective effect.

0:25:38.920 --> 0:25:41.200
<v Speaker 1>That's going to be a huge challenge. And anything we

0:25:41.240 --> 0:25:43.560
<v Speaker 1>can do to build that infrastructure ahead of time while

0:25:43.600 --> 0:25:47.360
<v Speaker 1>doing something else useful should should be very helpful. So, Max,

0:25:47.480 --> 0:25:50.560
<v Speaker 1>I know this is a very fluid area here, but

0:25:50.640 --> 0:25:52.280
<v Speaker 1>give us a sense of kind of where we are

0:25:52.280 --> 0:25:54.520
<v Speaker 1>in terms of the vaccine. I know we've got many,

0:25:54.600 --> 0:25:59.639
<v Speaker 1>many groups, many companies, many research universities working towards it.

0:25:59.720 --> 0:26:01.680
<v Speaker 1>Kind of give us just a thirty foot view where

0:26:01.680 --> 0:26:06.360
<v Speaker 1>we are right now, still in very early stages. We

0:26:06.359 --> 0:26:09.960
<v Speaker 1>we just got some limited data from the vaccine China

0:26:10.080 --> 0:26:14.520
<v Speaker 1>signo vax vaccine and you know it looked it's what

0:26:14.600 --> 0:26:18.680
<v Speaker 1>you want to see, some degree of immune reaction, no

0:26:18.880 --> 0:26:22.400
<v Speaker 1>severe safety events. But it has with madurna pretty limited

0:26:22.520 --> 0:26:25.639
<v Speaker 1>data disclosure. Um, you know, we're really there. There's going

0:26:25.680 --> 0:26:27.680
<v Speaker 1>to be sort of a low bar for moving into

0:26:27.760 --> 0:26:30.360
<v Speaker 1>larger studies because we we want to try as many

0:26:30.400 --> 0:26:34.080
<v Speaker 1>different vaccine approaches as possible. It's gonna be some time

0:26:34.359 --> 0:26:37.320
<v Speaker 1>before we have a really solid sense of what's likely

0:26:37.359 --> 0:26:40.920
<v Speaker 1>to succeed and when and what what the most effective

0:26:40.960 --> 0:26:43.760
<v Speaker 1>vaccines will be. So still early days, but but lots

0:26:43.760 --> 0:26:46.720
<v Speaker 1>of progress being made now. We have openings in a

0:26:46.760 --> 0:26:49.520
<v Speaker 1>lot of places. Retail outlets in England selling non essential

0:26:49.560 --> 0:26:52.399
<v Speaker 1>items open today for the first time. Obviously, places like

0:26:52.440 --> 0:26:55.680
<v Speaker 1>New York are beginning to reopen as well. But Dr

0:26:55.720 --> 0:26:58.679
<v Speaker 1>Anthony Fauci suggested bands on travel to the United States

0:26:58.920 --> 0:27:04.520
<v Speaker 1>may remain untilvaccine arrives. How likely is that, Max, You know,

0:27:04.720 --> 0:27:09.760
<v Speaker 1>I think it depends on the situation going forward. And

0:27:10.400 --> 0:27:12.800
<v Speaker 1>you know some of those will be you know, relative

0:27:12.800 --> 0:27:16.080
<v Speaker 1>directed at other countries, other countries that cleft to your outbreaks.

0:27:16.200 --> 0:27:19.520
<v Speaker 1>Other countries may be hesitant about letting people travel here

0:27:20.040 --> 0:27:23.119
<v Speaker 1>just be considering that the virus continues to circulate that

0:27:23.200 --> 0:27:26.560
<v Speaker 1>I rates. It all depends on the extent to which um,

0:27:26.560 --> 0:27:29.960
<v Speaker 1>you know, states take action to keep for new outbreaks

0:27:30.000 --> 0:27:34.520
<v Speaker 1>under control, continue to do all of the many things

0:27:34.960 --> 0:27:39.320
<v Speaker 1>governments can do independent of the vaccine to keep incidents

0:27:39.359 --> 0:27:42.680
<v Speaker 1>low in the long run. Well, I would urge everybody

0:27:42.720 --> 0:27:47.000
<v Speaker 1>to keep up with Max's writings. He's writing a lot

0:27:47.040 --> 0:27:51.720
<v Speaker 1>of Bloomberg opinion pieces on the actual infection. Yeah. Absolutely, money,

0:27:51.760 --> 0:27:53.840
<v Speaker 1>and it's you know, it's interesting to see here. There's

0:27:54.000 --> 0:27:56.240
<v Speaker 1>a couple of paths here. We've got the path towards

0:27:56.560 --> 0:28:01.080
<v Speaker 1>treatments of uh, the illness as well as vaccines. And

0:28:01.119 --> 0:28:05.480
<v Speaker 1>we know that the again healthcare companies, research universities, doctors

0:28:05.480 --> 0:28:08.760
<v Speaker 1>and scientists across the world are working towards this, and

0:28:09.160 --> 0:28:11.000
<v Speaker 1>you know, people are just kind of waiting beta breath

0:28:11.040 --> 0:28:13.280
<v Speaker 1>to see kind of how this progresses, and hopefully we

0:28:13.280 --> 0:28:16.400
<v Speaker 1>can get a vaccine sooner rather than later. Yeah, exactly.

0:28:16.760 --> 0:28:21.680
<v Speaker 1>Thanks to Max Nis and Bloomberg Opinion columnist. Thanks for

0:28:21.720 --> 0:28:25.240
<v Speaker 1>listening to Bloomberg Markets podcast. You can subscribe and listen

0:28:25.280 --> 0:28:29.240
<v Speaker 1>to interviews at Apple Podcasts or whatever podcast platform you prefer.

0:28:29.480 --> 0:28:32.480
<v Speaker 1>I'm Bonnie Quinn. I'm on Twitter at Bonnie Quinn. And

0:28:32.520 --> 0:28:35.119
<v Speaker 1>I'm Paul Sweeney. I'm on Twitter at pt Sweeney. Before

0:28:35.119 --> 0:28:38.000
<v Speaker 1>the podcast, you can always catch us worldwide at Bloomberg

0:28:38.040 --> 0:28:38.320
<v Speaker 1>Radio