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Review the 10 00:00:26,160 --> 00:00:40,680 Speaker 1: disclosures and disclaimers at cbo dot com slash us underscore disclaimers. 11 00:00:42,880 --> 00:00:47,879 Speaker 3: Welcome in episode one twenty three, our Conference Championship weekend 12 00:00:48,520 --> 00:00:52,880 Speaker 3: edition of What's Right with Nick Right, our weekly gambling show. 13 00:00:53,800 --> 00:00:57,240 Speaker 3: Last week we went to and two. We should have 14 00:00:57,320 --> 00:01:00,760 Speaker 3: gone three and one. Our stream of being on the 15 00:01:00,840 --> 00:01:04,840 Speaker 3: right side, or streak of not having losing weeks continues. 16 00:01:05,160 --> 00:01:06,760 Speaker 3: Two and two is nothing to right home about. But 17 00:01:06,800 --> 00:01:09,920 Speaker 3: there's only four games we and well, let's just go 18 00:01:09,959 --> 00:01:12,479 Speaker 3: through them right now before we get to this Weekends Picks, 19 00:01:12,760 --> 00:01:14,759 Speaker 3: which you guys, if you've been listening to this show 20 00:01:14,800 --> 00:01:17,840 Speaker 3: throughout the year, you probably know this Weekends Picks. So 21 00:01:17,920 --> 00:01:20,520 Speaker 3: our playoff records now six and four, Our season record 22 00:01:20,520 --> 00:01:23,839 Speaker 3: fifty six fifty two in two, which does not sound great. 23 00:01:23,880 --> 00:01:25,760 Speaker 3: But if you know what we were looking like around 24 00:01:25,800 --> 00:01:29,399 Speaker 3: week fifteen, you know what a heater were on Cincinnati 25 00:01:29,400 --> 00:01:31,760 Speaker 3: plus five and a half at Buffalo. We told you 26 00:01:31,800 --> 00:01:34,119 Speaker 3: they'd win outright, We told you they were the better 27 00:01:34,160 --> 00:01:37,000 Speaker 3: team that was proven out San Francisco minus three and 28 00:01:37,040 --> 00:01:40,640 Speaker 3: a half against Dallas. That game, as we discussed on Monday, 29 00:01:40,920 --> 00:01:44,440 Speaker 3: went about as hilariously as everyone could predict it would. 30 00:01:44,840 --> 00:01:48,440 Speaker 3: Giants plus seven and a half at Philly was flatly 31 00:01:48,520 --> 00:01:51,040 Speaker 3: the wrong side of that bet. But if you remember 32 00:01:51,120 --> 00:01:54,400 Speaker 3: last Friday's show, I said that was the game I 33 00:01:54,400 --> 00:01:57,320 Speaker 3: felt the least confident. That was the game that I 34 00:01:57,400 --> 00:01:59,800 Speaker 3: was just like a divisional game. I'll grab the points. 35 00:02:00,640 --> 00:02:02,840 Speaker 3: We weren't sure how healthy Jalen was going to be, 36 00:02:03,160 --> 00:02:05,120 Speaker 3: but there was a chance the game was going to 37 00:02:05,160 --> 00:02:08,360 Speaker 3: go exactly the way it did, which is it gets 38 00:02:08,400 --> 00:02:10,919 Speaker 3: out of hand early and Philly rolls all over them. 39 00:02:11,240 --> 00:02:13,080 Speaker 3: And then there's Kansas City minus eight and a half 40 00:02:13,080 --> 00:02:17,320 Speaker 3: against Jacksonville. Now that did not cover, but that is 41 00:02:17,480 --> 00:02:20,760 Speaker 3: flatley and clearly was the right side of the bet 42 00:02:21,400 --> 00:02:24,760 Speaker 3: because in order for that to not cover by a 43 00:02:24,880 --> 00:02:28,240 Speaker 3: point and a half. You needed Mahomes to get hurt, 44 00:02:29,280 --> 00:02:33,760 Speaker 3: Mahomes to when he came back in be incredibly hampered 45 00:02:33,800 --> 00:02:37,160 Speaker 3: due to injury, and then the Chiefs to fail to 46 00:02:37,160 --> 00:02:40,800 Speaker 3: pick up consecutive third and ones that would have allowed 47 00:02:40,840 --> 00:02:44,200 Speaker 3: them to essentially salt the game away. Even though all 48 00:02:44,240 --> 00:02:47,200 Speaker 3: of that happened, it was still Chiefs winning by ten 49 00:02:47,760 --> 00:02:50,200 Speaker 3: with less than a minute remaining. Then the Jags, to 50 00:02:50,240 --> 00:02:52,959 Speaker 3: their credit, did do the smart thing, kick the field 51 00:02:52,960 --> 00:02:54,760 Speaker 3: goals so you can then attempt the on side and 52 00:02:54,800 --> 00:02:57,080 Speaker 3: the hail mary. They got the field goal, they didn't 53 00:02:57,080 --> 00:02:58,760 Speaker 3: get the on side and the hail mary. So we 54 00:02:58,880 --> 00:03:02,240 Speaker 3: feel fine about how we did last week, but not 55 00:03:02,480 --> 00:03:06,040 Speaker 3: nearly as great as how we could feel about this 56 00:03:06,160 --> 00:03:11,160 Speaker 3: week if we end up nailing these two games. Because well, Demonse, 57 00:03:11,760 --> 00:03:14,880 Speaker 3: I'll welcome you in now and I'll let you discuss 58 00:03:14,919 --> 00:03:20,480 Speaker 3: what has been the underlying story of this entire gambling season, 59 00:03:21,040 --> 00:03:23,560 Speaker 3: our preseason super Bowl bet. Go right ahead. 60 00:03:23,680 --> 00:03:25,680 Speaker 2: Yes, before we get into your picks for this week, 61 00:03:26,040 --> 00:03:29,400 Speaker 2: let's talk about your big super Bowl prediction. Yeah, we 62 00:03:29,760 --> 00:03:31,960 Speaker 2: talked about it in the first show. Yeah, we're going 63 00:03:32,000 --> 00:03:32,320 Speaker 2: to show. 64 00:03:32,760 --> 00:03:34,760 Speaker 3: Oh, we have a clip, all right, let's watch the clip. 65 00:03:35,440 --> 00:03:39,800 Speaker 3: My Super Bowl pick is Chiefs Niners. If you bet 66 00:03:39,840 --> 00:03:42,840 Speaker 3: the Chiefs win the AFC and the Niners to win 67 00:03:42,920 --> 00:03:45,000 Speaker 3: the NFC. It's a rematch, by the way, Super Bowl 68 00:03:45,040 --> 00:03:49,840 Speaker 3: from a few years ago. That is plus five thousand, 69 00:03:50,680 --> 00:03:56,400 Speaker 3: fifty to one. Demonse, there's four teams left. The Eagles 70 00:03:56,400 --> 00:03:59,400 Speaker 3: are left, the Bengals are left, and who are the 71 00:03:59,440 --> 00:04:00,680 Speaker 3: other two two teams remaining? 72 00:04:01,120 --> 00:04:02,440 Speaker 2: The forty nine Ers and the Chiefs. 73 00:04:02,640 --> 00:04:07,280 Speaker 3: So we are as close as we can get to 74 00:04:07,360 --> 00:04:09,840 Speaker 3: hitting that fifty to one. Now, you go right ahead. 75 00:04:10,240 --> 00:04:12,880 Speaker 2: Yeah, so you obviously called that back when the first 76 00:04:12,920 --> 00:04:14,880 Speaker 2: episode of this particular show aired. 77 00:04:15,080 --> 00:04:16,719 Speaker 3: Yeah, can you walk timber second? 78 00:04:16,920 --> 00:04:19,640 Speaker 2: Yep, can you walk us through your thought process and 79 00:04:19,680 --> 00:04:21,839 Speaker 2: what made you choose this particular bet. 80 00:04:22,000 --> 00:04:23,919 Speaker 3: Okay, So why did I like the Chiefs and the 81 00:04:24,000 --> 00:04:28,480 Speaker 3: Niners before the year. So we'll start with the Chiefs. 82 00:04:28,920 --> 00:04:31,200 Speaker 3: I thought a number of things were happening. One is, 83 00:04:31,600 --> 00:04:36,080 Speaker 3: I thought people were way overvaluing the AFC West. Now listen, 84 00:04:36,160 --> 00:04:38,039 Speaker 3: I thought the Chargers were good enough to make the 85 00:04:38,080 --> 00:04:41,239 Speaker 3: conference championship game, and maybe they would have been. They 86 00:04:41,320 --> 00:04:46,760 Speaker 3: obviously got absolutely annihilated by injuries, and they still found 87 00:04:46,760 --> 00:04:49,040 Speaker 3: a way into the playoffs. Were up twenty seven to 88 00:04:49,080 --> 00:04:52,000 Speaker 3: nothing in their playoff game. But I thought the Raiders 89 00:04:52,040 --> 00:04:54,160 Speaker 3: were not going to be very good, and I the 90 00:04:54,160 --> 00:05:00,560 Speaker 3: Broncos were hilariously overvalued. Additionally, what I did get wrong 91 00:05:01,200 --> 00:05:03,080 Speaker 3: was I thought the Bengals were gonna take a bit 92 00:05:03,120 --> 00:05:05,920 Speaker 3: of a step back. Now it looked like that was correct. 93 00:05:05,920 --> 00:05:07,640 Speaker 3: At the beginning of the season, I had the Bengals 94 00:05:07,680 --> 00:05:09,840 Speaker 3: making the playoffs, making it as a wild card team. 95 00:05:11,200 --> 00:05:14,080 Speaker 3: The Bengals have been obviously one of the hottest teams 96 00:05:14,120 --> 00:05:16,479 Speaker 3: in the league ever since the opening month of the season. 97 00:05:17,160 --> 00:05:19,400 Speaker 3: But the other part of it was there was real 98 00:05:19,560 --> 00:05:25,280 Speaker 3: value on the Chiefs because everyone was anointing the Buffalo Bills, 99 00:05:26,000 --> 00:05:29,200 Speaker 3: and so the Chiefs were not the overwhelming favorites within 100 00:05:29,240 --> 00:05:32,279 Speaker 3: their division. They weren't the favorites at all. They were 101 00:05:32,320 --> 00:05:34,720 Speaker 3: the favorites in their division, were not overwhelming as they 102 00:05:34,720 --> 00:05:38,760 Speaker 3: had been in years past. You could get plus money 103 00:05:38,800 --> 00:05:41,640 Speaker 3: on them to win their division, meaning they were the 104 00:05:41,680 --> 00:05:45,240 Speaker 3: favorites for the AFC West. But Chiefs versus the field, 105 00:05:45,680 --> 00:05:48,080 Speaker 3: they were an underdog according to the money on it. 106 00:05:48,600 --> 00:05:51,320 Speaker 3: And then there was the Bills that were treated like 107 00:05:51,400 --> 00:05:55,880 Speaker 3: this unstoppable juggernaut that I just simply did not buy 108 00:05:55,960 --> 00:05:59,120 Speaker 3: into so for all of those reasons, plus the fact 109 00:05:59,279 --> 00:06:05,400 Speaker 3: I thought the U market was slightly overstating the impact 110 00:06:05,400 --> 00:06:10,560 Speaker 3: of Tyreek Hill being gone. And I knew now, to 111 00:06:10,640 --> 00:06:12,839 Speaker 3: be fair, I didn't pick the Chiefs to be the 112 00:06:12,839 --> 00:06:15,599 Speaker 3: one seed. I thought they were gonna have to play 113 00:06:15,920 --> 00:06:18,160 Speaker 3: a road playoff game or two for the first time 114 00:06:18,200 --> 00:06:21,640 Speaker 3: in the Mahomes era. But I knew what they're playing 115 00:06:21,839 --> 00:06:26,479 Speaker 3: was on defense, in playing all these young players, half 116 00:06:26,600 --> 00:06:31,400 Speaker 3: dozen rookies getting significant snaps, and the idea then would 117 00:06:31,400 --> 00:06:37,080 Speaker 3: be by the end of the year, by games fifteen, sixteen, seventeen, eighteen, 118 00:06:37,680 --> 00:06:42,120 Speaker 3: those rookies are no longer really rookies, and the defense 119 00:06:42,160 --> 00:06:45,400 Speaker 3: could be peaking at just the right time, and I 120 00:06:45,480 --> 00:06:50,240 Speaker 3: knew Mahomes would be fine. And to be honest, that 121 00:06:50,360 --> 00:06:54,480 Speaker 3: is exactly what happened. The Bills were frauds. The AFC 122 00:06:54,520 --> 00:06:57,520 Speaker 3: West was not the greatest division ever, and the Chiefs 123 00:06:57,560 --> 00:07:01,400 Speaker 3: defense now sits here today in the NFL in sacks 124 00:07:01,760 --> 00:07:04,440 Speaker 3: the most pressures of any team in the league outside 125 00:07:04,440 --> 00:07:07,960 Speaker 3: of Dallas, and the most quarterback hits of any team 126 00:07:08,000 --> 00:07:11,520 Speaker 3: in the league outside of Dallas. With these young players 127 00:07:11,560 --> 00:07:14,720 Speaker 3: coming into their own and the Chiefs offense led the 128 00:07:14,800 --> 00:07:17,960 Speaker 3: league in points and led the league in yards. So 129 00:07:18,400 --> 00:07:21,280 Speaker 3: that was the chief side of the bet. Then there's 130 00:07:21,320 --> 00:07:25,040 Speaker 3: the Niners side of the bet. The Niners bet was 131 00:07:25,960 --> 00:07:30,640 Speaker 3: essentially a twofold bet. The first one was I looked 132 00:07:30,680 --> 00:07:34,640 Speaker 3: around the NFC and I did not believe in the 133 00:07:34,680 --> 00:07:37,520 Speaker 3: Eagles the way everyone else seemed. They were the trendy team. 134 00:07:37,600 --> 00:07:39,480 Speaker 3: We talked about it. People are talking about that they 135 00:07:39,480 --> 00:07:42,480 Speaker 3: could be the one seed, and I said, listen. I 136 00:07:42,600 --> 00:07:45,840 Speaker 3: reluctantly picked them to win their division, but I did 137 00:07:45,880 --> 00:07:48,160 Speaker 3: not think they would be a fourteen and three team. Well, 138 00:07:48,160 --> 00:07:50,240 Speaker 3: they were a fourteen and three team and could have 139 00:07:50,280 --> 00:07:52,640 Speaker 3: been better than that, if we're being totally honest, they 140 00:07:52,640 --> 00:07:55,720 Speaker 3: were what thirteen and one? And then Jalen got hurt. 141 00:07:55,800 --> 00:07:59,000 Speaker 3: So I missed on the Eagles, but the rest of it. 142 00:07:59,480 --> 00:08:02,800 Speaker 3: What was our favorite preseason win total? Bucks under eleven 143 00:08:02,800 --> 00:08:04,440 Speaker 3: and a half. I didn't look at the Bucks as 144 00:08:04,480 --> 00:08:07,880 Speaker 3: a real contender. The Packers, to me, missed their window. 145 00:08:08,200 --> 00:08:10,440 Speaker 3: I didn't look at the Packers as a real contender. 146 00:08:10,840 --> 00:08:16,520 Speaker 3: The Rams we knew that. We didn't know Stafford was 147 00:08:16,560 --> 00:08:18,520 Speaker 3: gonna get hurt, but he did go into the year 148 00:08:18,600 --> 00:08:21,400 Speaker 3: with an elbow injury. We knew they'd miss von Miller, 149 00:08:21,440 --> 00:08:23,960 Speaker 3: we knew they'd miss Odell. So the Rams to me, 150 00:08:24,440 --> 00:08:28,360 Speaker 3: were not a dynamite contender. So now we're really only 151 00:08:28,400 --> 00:08:30,720 Speaker 3: down to a handful of teams as far as who 152 00:08:30,720 --> 00:08:35,560 Speaker 3: could win the NFC and the Niners. It wasn't that 153 00:08:35,720 --> 00:08:40,040 Speaker 3: I thought Trey Lance was going to instantly come in 154 00:08:40,080 --> 00:08:44,360 Speaker 3: and be better than Jimmy Garoppolo. But Jimmy Garoppolo statistically 155 00:08:45,120 --> 00:08:48,960 Speaker 3: is one of the worst playoff quarterbacks ever. He has 156 00:08:49,000 --> 00:08:51,719 Speaker 3: played six career playoff games. He has four touchdowns, he 157 00:08:51,760 --> 00:08:55,080 Speaker 3: has six interceptions. He has a passer rating of seventy four. 158 00:08:55,800 --> 00:09:01,160 Speaker 3: He is the worst postseason fourth quarter fourth quarter quarterback ever, 159 00:09:01,440 --> 00:09:04,520 Speaker 3: a passer rating of less than twenty in his career 160 00:09:04,520 --> 00:09:07,120 Speaker 3: in the postseason in the fourth quarter. And so my 161 00:09:07,280 --> 00:09:11,120 Speaker 3: logic there was the Niners by the end of the 162 00:09:11,280 --> 00:09:15,800 Speaker 3: season are going to have better quarterback play than they'd 163 00:09:15,840 --> 00:09:19,640 Speaker 3: had at any point during the Jimmy Garoppolo era. Now 164 00:09:19,679 --> 00:09:22,560 Speaker 3: that ended up being true, But it wasn't because of 165 00:09:22,600 --> 00:09:25,920 Speaker 3: Trey Lance. It was because of Brock Purty. But Mike 166 00:09:26,040 --> 00:09:30,360 Speaker 3: Kyle Shanahan has coached eight playoff games with the Niners. 167 00:09:30,920 --> 00:09:34,559 Speaker 3: The two best quarterbacking performances that he's gotten have been 168 00:09:34,559 --> 00:09:37,959 Speaker 3: the two Brock Party games. So I loved the Niners defense. 169 00:09:38,000 --> 00:09:40,240 Speaker 3: Loved Damiko Ryans. We said it on the show before 170 00:09:40,240 --> 00:09:43,880 Speaker 3: the year, now he's the new head coaching candidate. Loved 171 00:09:43,920 --> 00:09:47,040 Speaker 3: their skill position guys, and I thought Trey Lance was 172 00:09:47,080 --> 00:09:50,360 Speaker 3: going to add a dynamic to the offense as far 173 00:09:50,400 --> 00:09:54,600 Speaker 3: as quarterback run game that Shanahan's offense would be just 174 00:09:54,920 --> 00:09:58,640 Speaker 3: utterly devastating with. Now that never came to fruition. The 175 00:09:58,720 --> 00:10:01,960 Speaker 3: guy played five quarter and broke his leg. But and 176 00:10:02,000 --> 00:10:05,120 Speaker 3: then Jimmy G came in, and once they traded for 177 00:10:05,200 --> 00:10:10,000 Speaker 3: McCaffrey after the Chiefs game, they were rolling. And then 178 00:10:10,040 --> 00:10:11,640 Speaker 3: I think the best thing that could happen to him 179 00:10:11,720 --> 00:10:14,720 Speaker 3: was Jimmy G goes out. And I don't think Perty's great. 180 00:10:15,120 --> 00:10:17,600 Speaker 3: I don't even know if Perty's good, but Perty is 181 00:10:17,679 --> 00:10:20,600 Speaker 3: not a terrible playoff quarterback. The way Jimmy G has been, 182 00:10:20,960 --> 00:10:24,680 Speaker 3: the NFC is wide open. Now what did I say 183 00:10:24,679 --> 00:10:28,160 Speaker 3: when I was explaining this whole thing. My two big 184 00:10:28,200 --> 00:10:34,200 Speaker 3: misses were underrating the Eagles and underrating the Bengals. I 185 00:10:34,280 --> 00:10:36,800 Speaker 3: had them both making the playoffs. I had neither of 186 00:10:36,840 --> 00:10:40,240 Speaker 3: them as actual Super Bowl contenders. Either one of those 187 00:10:40,320 --> 00:10:45,319 Speaker 3: teams could of course ruin my fifty to one bet, 188 00:10:45,559 --> 00:10:46,559 Speaker 3: but and the. 189 00:10:47,120 --> 00:10:49,280 Speaker 2: But got a chance to be responsible in edge it. 190 00:10:51,080 --> 00:10:55,840 Speaker 3: I don't hedge bets. I don't. I'm not hedging you. 191 00:10:56,840 --> 00:10:59,800 Speaker 3: I would be This is a do as I say, 192 00:10:59,840 --> 00:11:03,200 Speaker 3: now as I do type of thing. If you had 193 00:11:03,200 --> 00:11:07,160 Speaker 3: this future writing, I would be hassling you on a 194 00:11:07,240 --> 00:11:10,160 Speaker 3: daily basis, trying to convince you to hedge it. 195 00:11:11,160 --> 00:11:13,199 Speaker 2: But yeah, I was about to say, I can't afford 196 00:11:13,240 --> 00:11:15,240 Speaker 2: to not have sixteen thousands of my bank account. 197 00:11:15,400 --> 00:11:18,680 Speaker 3: Well, even if it were, I think let's say you 198 00:11:18,720 --> 00:11:20,920 Speaker 3: made one hundred dollar bet and it was to win 199 00:11:21,000 --> 00:11:22,920 Speaker 3: five thousand, you know what I mean, instead of one 200 00:11:22,920 --> 00:11:24,880 Speaker 3: thousand dollars bet to win fifty thousand. If it was 201 00:11:24,880 --> 00:11:27,520 Speaker 3: one hundred dollars bet to win five thousand, and you 202 00:11:27,679 --> 00:11:30,520 Speaker 3: right now could get fifteen hundred out of it, I 203 00:11:30,520 --> 00:11:34,440 Speaker 3: would be strongly encouraging you to take it. I don't 204 00:11:34,440 --> 00:11:34,839 Speaker 3: know if you. 205 00:11:34,880 --> 00:11:37,800 Speaker 2: Would bring it back down to my scale. 206 00:11:38,040 --> 00:11:39,960 Speaker 3: What do you think you would do? Because you made 207 00:11:39,960 --> 00:11:41,960 Speaker 3: one hundred dollar bet before. So let's say you made 208 00:11:42,000 --> 00:11:44,680 Speaker 3: a hundred dollar future and it was fifty to one 209 00:11:45,440 --> 00:11:49,240 Speaker 3: and you Now the little cash out option says fifteen hundred. 210 00:11:49,480 --> 00:11:50,160 Speaker 3: What are you doing? 211 00:11:51,200 --> 00:11:52,640 Speaker 2: I think I'm sticking with it. 212 00:11:53,040 --> 00:11:59,080 Speaker 3: Okay, let me ask this. We're watching the game Sunday. 213 00:11:59,200 --> 00:12:03,400 Speaker 3: The Niners win the early game. Now the cash out 214 00:12:03,440 --> 00:12:07,800 Speaker 3: option is twenty four hundred. All it's either gonna sand 215 00:12:07,920 --> 00:12:10,880 Speaker 3: so you can either click yes, or it's gonna be zero, 216 00:12:11,080 --> 00:12:13,000 Speaker 3: or it's gonna be five thousand. What are you doing? 217 00:12:15,880 --> 00:12:17,280 Speaker 3: What are you doing? What do you think? 218 00:12:18,400 --> 00:12:21,240 Speaker 2: Hey man, I'm hoping Joe Burrow gets banged up early. 219 00:12:21,520 --> 00:12:22,320 Speaker 3: Oh okay, well. 220 00:12:24,240 --> 00:12:26,599 Speaker 2: I'm kidding. No, I would pray for injury, but I 221 00:12:27,040 --> 00:12:29,600 Speaker 2: definitely think i'd still have to, especially if they're forty 222 00:12:29,640 --> 00:12:32,680 Speaker 2: nine Ers were to win early. I couldn't see myself. 223 00:12:32,840 --> 00:12:33,080 Speaker 3: Now. 224 00:12:33,559 --> 00:12:35,920 Speaker 2: This happened to me earlier in the early in the year. 225 00:12:36,200 --> 00:12:38,280 Speaker 2: What happened with the parlay? And it was like, the 226 00:12:39,280 --> 00:12:43,400 Speaker 2: uh is the Packers playing the Bills? I think, oh, yeah, 227 00:12:44,320 --> 00:12:47,400 Speaker 2: the Packers plus yeah, ten and a half or eleven. 228 00:12:47,840 --> 00:12:50,600 Speaker 3: Yeah, the Bills were it was Sunday night football. Yeah, 229 00:12:50,640 --> 00:12:53,440 Speaker 3: the Bills were crushing them. And then the Bills ended 230 00:12:53,480 --> 00:12:56,480 Speaker 3: up having a terrible second half and the Packers ended 231 00:12:56,559 --> 00:12:59,520 Speaker 3: up Yeah, losing twenty seven to seventeen. Yeah, it was 232 00:12:59,520 --> 00:13:02,319 Speaker 3: a miraculus cover. But you didn't cash out of that one. No, 233 00:13:02,720 --> 00:13:06,640 Speaker 3: And if you remember during that one when the bills 234 00:13:06,640 --> 00:13:11,280 Speaker 3: went up huge early, your cash out on it was nothing. 235 00:13:11,320 --> 00:13:15,319 Speaker 3: It was terrible. All right, let's get into these games. 236 00:13:16,520 --> 00:13:22,280 Speaker 3: San Francisco is getting two and a half points at Philadelphia. 237 00:13:22,880 --> 00:13:26,160 Speaker 3: Unlike the Chiefs line, which has moved all over the place, 238 00:13:26,640 --> 00:13:29,920 Speaker 3: this line has been quite static. Demonte go ahead. 239 00:13:30,559 --> 00:13:34,079 Speaker 2: Jalen Hurts the season and this season and is a 240 00:13:34,160 --> 00:13:36,079 Speaker 2: twenty and three as a favorite in his career. 241 00:13:36,160 --> 00:13:40,120 Speaker 3: Sorry, yeahs, and he's fifteen to one overall this season. 242 00:13:40,160 --> 00:13:42,120 Speaker 3: As far as just straight up wins, go ahead, right. 243 00:13:42,520 --> 00:13:46,120 Speaker 2: Four ricky quarterbacks have ever been in Four ricky quarterbacks 244 00:13:46,160 --> 00:13:48,800 Speaker 2: have ever been in a championship game? Yeah, Mark Sanchez, 245 00:13:49,320 --> 00:13:53,880 Speaker 2: Joe Flacco, Ben Roethlisberger, Sean King, all, oh, and four 246 00:13:53,960 --> 00:13:54,400 Speaker 2: straight up? 247 00:13:54,720 --> 00:14:01,160 Speaker 3: Yeah, So that doesn't. None of those factors really bother 248 00:14:01,280 --> 00:14:07,000 Speaker 3: me here. So let's go through those rookie quarterbacks that 249 00:14:07,040 --> 00:14:11,719 Speaker 3: we're talking about. Mark Sanchez, Joe Flacco, Ben Roethlisberger, Sean King. 250 00:14:12,440 --> 00:14:14,840 Speaker 3: So we're talking about the Jets of the late two 251 00:14:14,880 --> 00:14:21,360 Speaker 3: thousand aughts, the Ravens of the mid two thousands, bent, 252 00:14:21,480 --> 00:14:25,520 Speaker 3: the Steelers of the same era, and then the Bucks 253 00:14:25,760 --> 00:14:30,760 Speaker 3: of late nineties. Okay, yeah, Shaun King twenty some years ago. 254 00:14:31,320 --> 00:14:35,760 Speaker 3: So all of those teams were trying to win games 255 00:14:36,640 --> 00:14:42,000 Speaker 3: thirteen to ten, seventeen fourteen. They were trying to win 256 00:14:42,360 --> 00:14:48,840 Speaker 3: purely on their the strength of their defense. So, yes, 257 00:14:49,000 --> 00:14:51,800 Speaker 3: the rookie quarterbacks, it would have been nice if they 258 00:14:51,800 --> 00:14:55,000 Speaker 3: could make plays, but those guys really hadn't been making 259 00:14:55,040 --> 00:14:59,720 Speaker 3: plays all year. And those were defensive oriented teams. Nin 260 00:15:01,360 --> 00:15:05,240 Speaker 3: have the best defense in football, and since they got 261 00:15:05,320 --> 00:15:09,960 Speaker 3: Christian McCaffrey and hell forget that, since Rock Purty took 262 00:15:10,000 --> 00:15:13,920 Speaker 3: over one of the highest scoring offenses in football. They 263 00:15:13,920 --> 00:15:16,840 Speaker 3: didn't show that against Dallas, and Dallas has a very 264 00:15:16,880 --> 00:15:19,480 Speaker 3: good defense similar to Phillies, by the way, but they 265 00:15:19,560 --> 00:15:24,560 Speaker 3: did certainly did show it against Seattle. Now, what is 266 00:15:24,680 --> 00:15:30,800 Speaker 3: concerning is Rock party on the road in the playoffs 267 00:15:31,200 --> 00:15:34,920 Speaker 3: for the very first time. That is concerning. But I'm 268 00:15:34,960 --> 00:15:42,000 Speaker 3: gonna tell you what I didn't like from Philadelphia this weekend. Now, 269 00:15:42,000 --> 00:15:47,040 Speaker 3: they played great, and Jalen was excellent, and the defense 270 00:15:47,120 --> 00:15:50,520 Speaker 3: was excellent. There's not many, you know, holes to poke 271 00:15:50,600 --> 00:15:54,520 Speaker 3: in their performance at the end of the first quarter, 272 00:15:55,840 --> 00:15:59,320 Speaker 3: you're beating up the Giants, who the Giants were not 273 00:15:59,400 --> 00:16:02,000 Speaker 3: a good team this year. Congrats to them from making 274 00:16:02,000 --> 00:16:04,400 Speaker 3: the division round. But that's not a great team. But 275 00:16:04,600 --> 00:16:11,080 Speaker 3: like skycam showed Nick Sirianni and he looked straight into 276 00:16:11,080 --> 00:16:16,920 Speaker 3: the camera and did this whole like an mean no, no, no. 277 00:16:17,000 --> 00:16:19,520 Speaker 3: That was different that actually in mind when he ran 278 00:16:19,640 --> 00:16:21,880 Speaker 3: down to the pylon and yelled at the ref and 279 00:16:21,920 --> 00:16:23,640 Speaker 3: he said, I'm allowed to be down here. I know 280 00:16:23,680 --> 00:16:27,040 Speaker 3: what the believe I'm doing. This was him looking into 281 00:16:27,080 --> 00:16:32,040 Speaker 3: the camera and doing one of these like like, yeah, 282 00:16:32,280 --> 00:16:38,840 Speaker 3: where are those guys? And I felt, hmm, maybe maybe 283 00:16:39,360 --> 00:16:42,280 Speaker 3: believe in the hype a little too much for a 284 00:16:42,360 --> 00:16:46,400 Speaker 3: team that didn't finish the year great and now in 285 00:16:46,480 --> 00:16:50,320 Speaker 3: their first playoff game, played a team that was, by 286 00:16:50,360 --> 00:16:53,240 Speaker 3: any advanced metric, by anything, one of the very worst 287 00:16:53,240 --> 00:16:55,880 Speaker 3: teams to make the postseason by record, by eye test, 288 00:16:55,960 --> 00:17:00,600 Speaker 3: by advanced metrics. You didn't have a Niners team that 289 00:17:01,680 --> 00:17:06,000 Speaker 3: I feel like has had members of this coaching staff 290 00:17:07,160 --> 00:17:14,919 Speaker 3: working on this exact matchup for probably six weeks. The Niners, 291 00:17:15,480 --> 00:17:19,200 Speaker 3: who knew they were winning that division for a long time, 292 00:17:19,560 --> 00:17:22,800 Speaker 3: and who knew this was going to be the team 293 00:17:22,840 --> 00:17:24,960 Speaker 3: they had to get through. Now you can say the 294 00:17:25,000 --> 00:17:27,520 Speaker 3: same thing about Philadelphia that they have been working on 295 00:17:27,600 --> 00:17:31,440 Speaker 3: the Niners. But I would argue harder to game plan 296 00:17:31,520 --> 00:17:37,120 Speaker 3: for the Niners because of their positional versatility, because there's 297 00:17:37,200 --> 00:17:41,840 Speaker 3: less film on Party available, and because of the Shanahan offense. 298 00:17:44,440 --> 00:17:48,280 Speaker 3: I think the Niners can win not I think I 299 00:17:48,440 --> 00:17:53,359 Speaker 3: know the Niners can win a low scoring game or 300 00:17:53,400 --> 00:17:57,879 Speaker 3: a high scoring game. I don't know that. I believe 301 00:17:58,000 --> 00:18:07,080 Speaker 3: that Philadelphia can shut down the Niners off correct. And 302 00:18:08,080 --> 00:18:12,879 Speaker 3: now the road part of it is concerning, and they're listen, 303 00:18:13,520 --> 00:18:17,520 Speaker 3: Brock Party is likely turning into a pumpkin at some 304 00:18:17,640 --> 00:18:20,480 Speaker 3: point in the next few weeks. Is he gonna be 305 00:18:20,520 --> 00:18:22,760 Speaker 3: on the road in Philadelphia, one of the most hostile 306 00:18:22,840 --> 00:18:26,560 Speaker 3: environments in the league. Maybe, But I also think Shanahan's 307 00:18:26,640 --> 00:18:33,120 Speaker 3: going to try to coach around having to put rock 308 00:18:33,200 --> 00:18:36,680 Speaker 3: Party in those spots. Also, let me be honest here, 309 00:18:36,840 --> 00:18:39,600 Speaker 3: not just because of the bet on the San Francisco side, 310 00:18:40,000 --> 00:18:42,880 Speaker 3: but I am pretty pot committed to not fully believing 311 00:18:42,880 --> 00:18:45,800 Speaker 3: in Philadelphia, so I might as well keep that going. 312 00:18:46,400 --> 00:18:50,040 Speaker 3: I'd love getting three here, getting two and a half 313 00:18:50,119 --> 00:18:53,360 Speaker 3: is something I'm going to be betting than well, I'm 314 00:18:53,359 --> 00:18:55,880 Speaker 3: gonna be essentially betting the Niners on the money line. 315 00:18:55,920 --> 00:18:58,320 Speaker 3: Just to begin with, I'll take the Niners plus two 316 00:18:58,359 --> 00:18:58,800 Speaker 3: and a half. 317 00:18:58,880 --> 00:19:00,720 Speaker 2: So those four teams that we talkked about earlier with 318 00:19:00,720 --> 00:19:04,080 Speaker 2: the four rookie quarterbacks, yeah, they all had top three defenses. 319 00:19:04,240 --> 00:19:04,760 Speaker 3: Yeah. 320 00:19:04,920 --> 00:19:07,520 Speaker 2: Tampa had the number three defense in nineteen ninety nine, 321 00:19:07,880 --> 00:19:10,960 Speaker 2: Pittsburgh had the number one defense in two thousand and four. Yep, 322 00:19:11,040 --> 00:19:13,879 Speaker 2: the Ravens had the number three defense in two thousand 323 00:19:13,920 --> 00:19:16,920 Speaker 2: and eight, and the Jets had the number one defense 324 00:19:16,960 --> 00:19:18,000 Speaker 2: in two thousand and nine. 325 00:19:18,320 --> 00:19:21,040 Speaker 3: Yeah, so that and the Niners have a top three 326 00:19:21,080 --> 00:19:24,960 Speaker 3: defense this year. The point that I'm making is what 327 00:19:25,119 --> 00:19:27,280 Speaker 3: those teams have in common with this Niners team is 328 00:19:27,320 --> 00:19:30,200 Speaker 3: a great defense. With those teams don't have in common 329 00:19:30,240 --> 00:19:33,240 Speaker 3: with this Niners team is an explosive offense. And to 330 00:19:33,320 --> 00:19:37,320 Speaker 3: the Niners, because of McCaffrey, because of Deebo, because of Ayuk, 331 00:19:37,440 --> 00:19:40,680 Speaker 3: because of Kittle, they have a very explosive offense. And 332 00:19:41,040 --> 00:19:44,960 Speaker 3: we talked last week about how they can put McCaffrey, 333 00:19:45,240 --> 00:19:49,000 Speaker 3: used Check Kittle, Ayuk, and Deebo on the field and 334 00:19:49,080 --> 00:19:50,840 Speaker 3: you don't know what formation they're going to be in. 335 00:19:51,119 --> 00:19:52,760 Speaker 3: They can be in five wide, they can be in 336 00:19:52,800 --> 00:19:55,159 Speaker 3: two tight end, they can be into running back, and 337 00:19:55,240 --> 00:19:59,800 Speaker 3: it is very, very difficult to match up with them. Also, 338 00:20:00,760 --> 00:20:05,200 Speaker 3: I know Lane Johnson's back, and he came back from 339 00:20:05,240 --> 00:20:08,000 Speaker 3: that injury and he looked good against the Giants. I 340 00:20:08,040 --> 00:20:11,800 Speaker 3: wonder how that groin injury is gonna play with Nicky 341 00:20:11,800 --> 00:20:16,119 Speaker 3: Bosa screaming around the edge on. So for all those reasons, 342 00:20:16,280 --> 00:20:22,080 Speaker 3: I like San Francisco next game. Pray for brook next game. Demase. 343 00:20:22,760 --> 00:20:26,280 Speaker 2: All right, So we got Kansas City plus one for Cincinnati. 344 00:20:26,359 --> 00:20:29,040 Speaker 3: Yes, and so let me talk about this line for 345 00:20:29,080 --> 00:20:31,760 Speaker 3: a minute, because by the time people hear this, my 346 00:20:31,800 --> 00:20:34,679 Speaker 3: guess is it'll actually be a pick them. So it 347 00:20:34,840 --> 00:20:39,280 Speaker 3: opened Chiefs minus two and a half. It instantly, within minutes, 348 00:20:40,040 --> 00:20:43,119 Speaker 3: went to Chiefs minus one and a half by the 349 00:20:43,160 --> 00:20:48,120 Speaker 3: next morning, By Monday morning, it was Chiefs plus one 350 00:20:48,119 --> 00:20:54,400 Speaker 3: and a half. By Tuesday afternoon it was Chiefs plus 351 00:20:54,520 --> 00:20:57,359 Speaker 3: two and a half. So it went from Kansas City 352 00:20:57,480 --> 00:21:00,440 Speaker 3: minus two and a half at the instant open to 353 00:21:00,520 --> 00:21:03,960 Speaker 3: Kancity minus one and a half very quickly thereafter, then 354 00:21:04,040 --> 00:21:08,320 Speaker 3: through the zero all the way to Cincinnati. Minus two 355 00:21:08,359 --> 00:21:12,280 Speaker 3: and a half. It has now since my homes practiced, 356 00:21:13,080 --> 00:21:16,000 Speaker 3: it has now moved to Kansas City plus one and 357 00:21:16,000 --> 00:21:19,160 Speaker 3: a half to plus one, And it looks like it's 358 00:21:19,200 --> 00:21:21,560 Speaker 3: going to end up being a pick them if not. 359 00:21:21,680 --> 00:21:24,320 Speaker 3: Chiefs favored by a point by kickoff. But we'll see you, 360 00:21:24,320 --> 00:21:25,280 Speaker 3: but go ahead. 361 00:21:25,080 --> 00:21:27,760 Speaker 2: All right. The Bengals are getting seventy percent of the 362 00:21:27,760 --> 00:21:30,600 Speaker 2: bets is road favorites. Yeah, you gotta love that. Yep, 363 00:21:30,920 --> 00:21:32,919 Speaker 2: my moms will be a home dog for only the 364 00:21:32,960 --> 00:21:36,359 Speaker 2: second time, for the second time ever. Yep, lost to 365 00:21:36,400 --> 00:21:39,879 Speaker 2: Buffalo is a home dog this year? At what number? 366 00:21:39,880 --> 00:21:42,680 Speaker 2: Would you take the Bengals plus twenty plus twenty five? 367 00:21:42,760 --> 00:21:45,880 Speaker 3: Okay, well, listen, I wouldn't be taking the I wouldn't 368 00:21:45,880 --> 00:21:52,640 Speaker 3: be taking the Bengals just out of principle. I don't 369 00:21:52,680 --> 00:21:57,720 Speaker 3: think this is a great game. I don't think this 370 00:21:57,960 --> 00:22:01,440 Speaker 3: is a game that comes down to the final possession. 371 00:22:01,960 --> 00:22:03,680 Speaker 2: Well, you think it's one of these teams he's gonna 372 00:22:03,680 --> 00:22:05,800 Speaker 2: blow the other team out. I think bad game. 373 00:22:06,760 --> 00:22:08,720 Speaker 3: I think the Chiefs are gonna be. 374 00:22:08,720 --> 00:22:11,840 Speaker 2: In firm control of this game. That's interesting. 375 00:22:11,960 --> 00:22:16,560 Speaker 3: I think that there's a lot going into the smoke 376 00:22:16,640 --> 00:22:21,880 Speaker 3: on the Bengals right now. One is people were legitimately 377 00:22:21,920 --> 00:22:25,480 Speaker 3: concerned about Mahomes's health. I understand that, but I think 378 00:22:25,520 --> 00:22:27,600 Speaker 3: he's gonna be okay. I saw him jogging around the 379 00:22:27,600 --> 00:22:30,680 Speaker 3: practice field. I don't think he's gonna be one hundred 380 00:22:30,640 --> 00:22:33,080 Speaker 3: day the guy's the fact that he was a full 381 00:22:33,160 --> 00:22:37,520 Speaker 3: participant in practice, not limited, but a full participant is 382 00:22:38,160 --> 00:22:39,200 Speaker 3: very very positive. 383 00:22:39,240 --> 00:22:41,920 Speaker 2: Go ahead, So can you like, I know you can't 384 00:22:42,000 --> 00:22:45,399 Speaker 2: like like lie on those types of things, but like, 385 00:22:45,440 --> 00:22:48,040 Speaker 2: could you like fudge it a little bit like saying 386 00:22:48,080 --> 00:22:50,040 Speaker 2: he was a full participant but really like he. 387 00:22:50,080 --> 00:22:52,560 Speaker 4: Was there the whole time, he was moving around, but like, yeah, 388 00:22:52,640 --> 00:22:54,560 Speaker 4: still you could. 389 00:22:54,720 --> 00:22:56,640 Speaker 3: You could get in trouble for it, but you could 390 00:22:56,680 --> 00:22:58,800 Speaker 3: because the media is not there for the whole practice. 391 00:22:59,160 --> 00:23:01,919 Speaker 3: But when was there, we have video of him jogging 392 00:23:01,960 --> 00:23:04,400 Speaker 3: and looking fine and he wasn't in a walking boot 393 00:23:04,440 --> 00:23:08,320 Speaker 3: or any of that stuff. So there's that. Here's another 394 00:23:08,400 --> 00:23:11,720 Speaker 3: stat that I think will blow people's minds, and we 395 00:23:11,840 --> 00:23:16,320 Speaker 3: talked about it a lot on the Thursday pot Joe 396 00:23:16,400 --> 00:23:19,760 Speaker 3: Burrow is five and one in the postseason. The Bengals 397 00:23:19,760 --> 00:23:24,040 Speaker 3: have been this dominant postseason team, clutch, Joe cool, all 398 00:23:24,080 --> 00:23:30,399 Speaker 3: of it. In their six postseason games. Do you know 399 00:23:30,440 --> 00:23:32,520 Speaker 3: how many offensive touchdowns they have? 400 00:23:33,960 --> 00:23:38,440 Speaker 2: I'm sorry I left out a very important partover look. 401 00:23:38,359 --> 00:23:41,879 Speaker 3: No, well, hold on in there. In the Bengals six 402 00:23:42,880 --> 00:23:49,480 Speaker 3: postseason games, how many fourth quarter off is Joe Burrow 403 00:23:49,600 --> 00:23:52,960 Speaker 3: is the mister clutch all of it. How many fourth 404 00:23:53,040 --> 00:23:59,920 Speaker 3: quarter playoff touchdowns do you think they have fourth quarter 405 00:24:00,160 --> 00:24:03,679 Speaker 3: offensive playoff touchdowns? Because we all saw Sam Hubbard the 406 00:24:03,720 --> 00:24:06,120 Speaker 3: fumble six in the six games, you think they have two? 407 00:24:07,800 --> 00:24:09,320 Speaker 2: The enter zero zero. 408 00:24:09,760 --> 00:24:15,040 Speaker 3: Okay, So the Bengals, who again I give massive credit 409 00:24:15,080 --> 00:24:18,120 Speaker 3: to and I give massive credit to Burrow. I think 410 00:24:18,200 --> 00:24:24,080 Speaker 3: people are slightly misremembering how they've won their games. So 411 00:24:24,240 --> 00:24:27,480 Speaker 3: let's go through all of them before we talk about 412 00:24:27,520 --> 00:24:31,560 Speaker 3: them coming to Arrowhead, which the players on the Bengals, 413 00:24:31,560 --> 00:24:35,159 Speaker 3: not Joe, but the other ones are calling burrowhead because 414 00:24:35,200 --> 00:24:39,440 Speaker 3: he won their one time okay, their first playoff game 415 00:24:39,480 --> 00:24:43,080 Speaker 3: ever against the Las Vegas Raiders. They had a ten 416 00:24:43,160 --> 00:24:47,240 Speaker 3: point lead going into the fourth quarter, They added a 417 00:24:47,280 --> 00:24:50,280 Speaker 3: field goal, and they escaped with a seven point win 418 00:24:51,200 --> 00:24:55,119 Speaker 3: after Derek Carr refused to throw the ball into the 419 00:24:55,200 --> 00:24:58,280 Speaker 3: end zone. They scored three fourth quarter points in that game. 420 00:24:59,560 --> 00:25:03,880 Speaker 3: Against the the Tennessee Titans. It was tied going into 421 00:25:03,880 --> 00:25:08,720 Speaker 3: the fourth quarter. They scored zero points that entire fourth 422 00:25:08,800 --> 00:25:13,879 Speaker 3: quarter until with twenty seconds left, Ryan Tannehill threw one 423 00:25:13,920 --> 00:25:17,560 Speaker 3: of the worst picks you've ever seen right around midfield 424 00:25:18,520 --> 00:25:20,760 Speaker 3: and they ended up kicking a field goal at the gun. 425 00:25:21,240 --> 00:25:25,320 Speaker 3: So that is now six fourth quarter points. Against the Chiefs, 426 00:25:26,520 --> 00:25:29,760 Speaker 3: it was tied going into the fourth quarter. They kicked 427 00:25:29,800 --> 00:25:32,199 Speaker 3: one field goal in the fourth quarter, and then of 428 00:25:32,240 --> 00:25:34,840 Speaker 3: course obviously kicked a field goal in overtime, but that 429 00:25:34,920 --> 00:25:40,400 Speaker 3: is now nine fourth quarter points against the Rams. They 430 00:25:40,840 --> 00:25:43,600 Speaker 3: had a twenty to sixteen lead going into the fourth 431 00:25:43,680 --> 00:25:48,600 Speaker 3: quarter in the Super Bowl and scored zero points against 432 00:25:48,640 --> 00:25:54,119 Speaker 3: the Ravens. That game going into the fourth quarter was 433 00:25:54,200 --> 00:26:00,640 Speaker 3: tied seventeen to seventeen. Tyler Huntley fumbled Sam Hubbard returned 434 00:26:00,640 --> 00:26:04,440 Speaker 3: it and that was their only points of the fourth quarter. 435 00:26:04,920 --> 00:26:08,040 Speaker 3: And against the Buffalo Bills, they were up twenty four 436 00:26:08,080 --> 00:26:10,919 Speaker 3: to ten going into the fourth quarter, added a field 437 00:26:10,960 --> 00:26:16,000 Speaker 3: goal and that was it. So they have been excellent 438 00:26:16,480 --> 00:26:21,400 Speaker 3: defensively during this playoff run. The turnover stuff is historic. 439 00:26:21,840 --> 00:26:25,760 Speaker 3: I think it's now thirteen to three the turnovers, or 440 00:26:26,320 --> 00:26:28,600 Speaker 3: it's thirteen to three or fourteen to three or twelve 441 00:26:28,640 --> 00:26:32,159 Speaker 3: to three, something like that. Fourced turnovers to turnovers given up. 442 00:26:33,400 --> 00:26:37,080 Speaker 3: And the defense. The defense has been unbelievable and Burrow 443 00:26:37,119 --> 00:26:41,119 Speaker 3: has been clutch on third and longs, particularly early in 444 00:26:41,160 --> 00:26:47,040 Speaker 3: the games. However, with all that said, they have never 445 00:26:47,080 --> 00:26:49,760 Speaker 3: scored twenty eight points in a playoff game. They have 446 00:26:49,920 --> 00:26:54,240 Speaker 3: never scored a fourth quarter offensive touchdown. They are averaging 447 00:26:54,840 --> 00:26:59,200 Speaker 3: as a team two points aside from the Hubbard player. 448 00:26:59,200 --> 00:27:02,280 Speaker 3: As an offense, I should say two points per fourth quarter. 449 00:27:02,960 --> 00:27:07,040 Speaker 3: So the Bengals unstoppable offense not exactly true. Now we 450 00:27:07,080 --> 00:27:11,320 Speaker 3: talk about this. The story going into the Bills game 451 00:27:11,600 --> 00:27:16,400 Speaker 3: was man down three offensive line, Bills couldn't take advantage 452 00:27:16,400 --> 00:27:19,119 Speaker 3: of it. What did I tell you earlier about the 453 00:27:19,160 --> 00:27:22,760 Speaker 3: Chiefs second league in sacks and pressures and quarterback hits? 454 00:27:23,359 --> 00:27:27,240 Speaker 3: The single best interior defensive linemen in football since Aaron 455 00:27:27,280 --> 00:27:30,960 Speaker 3: Donald had down yere plays for the Chiefs in Chris Jones. 456 00:27:32,040 --> 00:27:34,560 Speaker 3: Now it's a weird Chris Jones a zero playoff sacks 457 00:27:34,560 --> 00:27:38,119 Speaker 3: in his career. Why is that? Well, because he's always 458 00:27:38,160 --> 00:27:41,439 Speaker 3: getting double teamed, which is why Frank Clark has the 459 00:27:41,560 --> 00:27:45,320 Speaker 3: fourth most playoff sacks in NFL history. Coming around the edge. 460 00:27:45,680 --> 00:27:46,959 Speaker 3: I think the Chiefs are gonna be able to take 461 00:27:46,960 --> 00:27:51,879 Speaker 3: advantage of that offensive line. I think the Chiefs we 462 00:27:52,080 --> 00:27:56,400 Speaker 3: forget that. The Bengals did not look like they were 463 00:27:56,440 --> 00:28:00,000 Speaker 3: in the Chiefs class in the AFC Championship game last 464 00:28:00,160 --> 00:28:03,719 Speaker 3: year before Mahomes made that mistake at halftime and then 465 00:28:03,840 --> 00:28:06,760 Speaker 3: kind of short circuited the rest of the way. What 466 00:28:06,880 --> 00:28:10,879 Speaker 3: the only truly bad playoff performance of his career. The 467 00:28:11,040 --> 00:28:14,280 Speaker 3: first time these two teams met, the Chiefs had a 468 00:28:14,320 --> 00:28:18,400 Speaker 3: fourth quarter lead and were driving to essentially I think 469 00:28:18,440 --> 00:28:23,080 Speaker 3: salt the gameway. And of all people, Travis Kelsey fumbles 470 00:28:23,080 --> 00:28:26,760 Speaker 3: the football and the Bengals end up winning the game 471 00:28:27,040 --> 00:28:30,720 Speaker 3: holding on. Then after they score their touchdown, Andy Reid 472 00:28:30,720 --> 00:28:32,560 Speaker 3: makes a bad decision I feel like taking the ball 473 00:28:32,600 --> 00:28:35,160 Speaker 3: out of Mahomes's hands kicking a field goal. They missed 474 00:28:35,160 --> 00:28:39,080 Speaker 3: the field goal. Bengals salt the game away. The Chiefs 475 00:28:39,080 --> 00:28:43,520 Speaker 3: are better than them. Mahomes as great as Burrow is. 476 00:28:44,640 --> 00:28:49,360 Speaker 3: Mahomes is better than Burrow. It is at arrowhead. And 477 00:28:49,440 --> 00:28:53,040 Speaker 3: if you believe, as I think most people do at 478 00:28:53,040 --> 00:28:57,520 Speaker 3: this point, that Mahomes has a real chance to be 479 00:28:57,680 --> 00:29:00,640 Speaker 3: not one of the greatest players ever, but as a 480 00:29:00,680 --> 00:29:05,400 Speaker 3: real chance to be the greatest player ever. This is 481 00:29:06,400 --> 00:29:09,959 Speaker 3: the type of game and the type of moment that 482 00:29:10,040 --> 00:29:13,680 Speaker 3: the greatest players ever add to their legend, not at 483 00:29:13,680 --> 00:29:17,360 Speaker 3: one hundred percent a chance for redemption against the team 484 00:29:17,440 --> 00:29:20,160 Speaker 3: that knocked you out last year and prevented you from 485 00:29:20,200 --> 00:29:25,040 Speaker 3: going to three straight Super Bowls at you know, on 486 00:29:25,200 --> 00:29:30,960 Speaker 3: an injured ankle goes out there in deals, So I listen, 487 00:29:31,000 --> 00:29:35,320 Speaker 3: We're gonna do exotics later. The Chiefs minus six and 488 00:29:35,320 --> 00:29:37,440 Speaker 3: a half might be on a card. 489 00:29:37,480 --> 00:29:37,760 Speaker 5: I have. 490 00:29:38,480 --> 00:29:41,440 Speaker 3: The Chiefs minus nine and a half might be on 491 00:29:41,480 --> 00:29:44,520 Speaker 3: a card I have. I think the Chiefs look great. 492 00:29:45,200 --> 00:29:48,960 Speaker 3: I think Pacheco has a big game, and I think 493 00:29:49,000 --> 00:29:51,960 Speaker 3: Kadarius Tony has a big game. And I think the 494 00:29:52,040 --> 00:29:55,440 Speaker 3: Kansaity Chiefs go back to the Super Bowl. So there 495 00:29:55,440 --> 00:29:58,400 Speaker 3: it is Kansadity plus one, San Francisco plus two and 496 00:29:58,400 --> 00:30:01,160 Speaker 3: a half. Take a quick break, play a quick game 497 00:30:01,200 --> 00:30:02,760 Speaker 3: with you guys. That's next, What's right? 498 00:30:10,280 --> 00:30:13,080 Speaker 5: This episode is brought to you by Unstoppable. Discover the 499 00:30:13,120 --> 00:30:16,480 Speaker 5: inspiring true story about Anthony Roblasts, who defined every expectation 500 00:30:16,560 --> 00:30:19,440 Speaker 5: to become a national wrestling champion, and Unstoppable, a new 501 00:30:19,480 --> 00:30:23,040 Speaker 5: original movie from Amazon MGM Studios and director William Goldenberg. 502 00:30:23,160 --> 00:30:26,320 Speaker 5: Evoking the excitement and camaraderie of classic sports dramas and 503 00:30:26,360 --> 00:30:29,760 Speaker 5: thrilling wrestling matches. Unstoppable features an all star ensemble cast 504 00:30:29,840 --> 00:30:33,360 Speaker 5: including Jirell Jerome, Jennifer Lopez, Don Cheatle, Michael Panya, and 505 00:30:33,360 --> 00:30:37,600 Speaker 5: Bobby Knavalli. Watch Unstoppable now exclusively on Amazon Prime Video. 506 00:30:38,680 --> 00:30:42,120 Speaker 3: All right, welcome back in Championship week in gambling show, 507 00:30:42,600 --> 00:30:44,440 Speaker 3: we gave you the Niners plus two and a half 508 00:30:45,240 --> 00:30:48,200 Speaker 3: the Chiefs to win. That line's gonna be moving. We 509 00:30:48,560 --> 00:30:51,040 Speaker 3: told you we thought it might be a pick'em line 510 00:30:51,080 --> 00:30:54,719 Speaker 3: move and all about. But those are our bets. And 511 00:30:54,800 --> 00:30:57,479 Speaker 3: now we're gonna play a game, and I have a 512 00:30:57,480 --> 00:31:01,480 Speaker 3: feeling I'm gonna be annoyed by it. We'll see demons 513 00:31:01,720 --> 00:31:02,479 Speaker 3: go right ahead. 514 00:31:02,920 --> 00:31:04,480 Speaker 2: All right, So we're about to play a new game 515 00:31:05,040 --> 00:31:07,840 Speaker 2: in honor of the second or the conference final. 516 00:31:07,960 --> 00:31:09,400 Speaker 3: Yeah, Conference champions weekend. 517 00:31:09,840 --> 00:31:11,880 Speaker 4: We're gonna call it hammer, pass, fade. 518 00:31:12,200 --> 00:31:13,960 Speaker 3: Okay, So I'll. 519 00:31:13,760 --> 00:31:16,080 Speaker 2: Give you three bets and you will tell me which 520 00:31:16,120 --> 00:31:19,040 Speaker 2: one we should absolutely hammer, which we should pass on, 521 00:31:19,200 --> 00:31:20,640 Speaker 2: and which we should fade. 522 00:31:20,520 --> 00:31:22,600 Speaker 3: And go against. Okay, good, got it. 523 00:31:22,760 --> 00:31:25,600 Speaker 4: So this first one we got is called the exotic hedges. 524 00:31:25,800 --> 00:31:28,360 Speaker 2: So obviously you have your fifty to one chiefs forty 525 00:31:28,440 --> 00:31:30,280 Speaker 2: nine ers bet while you're not hedging. 526 00:31:30,720 --> 00:31:32,760 Speaker 4: There's a few ways to sort a hedge. 527 00:31:32,880 --> 00:31:35,640 Speaker 2: Uh huh. We got Joe Burrow for Super Bowl MVP 528 00:31:35,760 --> 00:31:39,240 Speaker 2: at plus three fifty, Jalen Hurts for Super Bowl MVP 529 00:31:39,400 --> 00:31:42,479 Speaker 2: at plus three hundred, or since he to beat Philly 530 00:31:42,560 --> 00:31:44,800 Speaker 2: in the Super Bowl at plus five hundred. 531 00:31:46,360 --> 00:31:53,800 Speaker 3: Okay, you can't fade them all, all right, Listen, guys, 532 00:31:54,320 --> 00:31:57,360 Speaker 3: first I put those back on the screen. I will 533 00:31:57,400 --> 00:32:02,160 Speaker 3: give you I will play along to a degree. If 534 00:32:02,200 --> 00:32:05,160 Speaker 3: I were gonna bet one of these I would be. 535 00:32:05,320 --> 00:32:08,040 Speaker 3: The hammer would be Jail and Hurt super Bowl MVP, 536 00:32:09,360 --> 00:32:16,200 Speaker 3: the pass would be Joe Burrow's Super Bowl MVP, and 537 00:32:16,240 --> 00:32:20,080 Speaker 3: the fade going against it would be Cincinnati over Philly, 538 00:32:20,480 --> 00:32:24,480 Speaker 3: because I don't think Cincinnati, with their offensive line issues, 539 00:32:24,880 --> 00:32:29,640 Speaker 3: could handle either the Niners or the Eagles come the 540 00:32:29,680 --> 00:32:34,600 Speaker 3: Super Bowl. However, this is one of the many reasons 541 00:32:36,200 --> 00:32:39,280 Speaker 3: you don't head. I don't hedge because I'm a gambler. 542 00:32:39,720 --> 00:32:43,320 Speaker 3: But one of the many things people do wrong is 543 00:32:43,440 --> 00:32:47,360 Speaker 3: think they're hedging and they're not. None of those are 544 00:32:47,440 --> 00:32:52,360 Speaker 3: effective hedges, guys, So let's just paint this sati. Okay, 545 00:32:53,200 --> 00:32:56,080 Speaker 3: what if the Eagles win and the Chiefs win and 546 00:32:56,160 --> 00:32:59,360 Speaker 3: Mahomes wins the Super Bowl. Now I've lost my fifty 547 00:32:59,360 --> 00:33:01,800 Speaker 3: to one bet and I've lost this dumb bet you 548 00:33:01,840 --> 00:33:05,240 Speaker 3: guys made me do that. Those are not effective hedges. 549 00:33:06,400 --> 00:33:12,000 Speaker 3: I'm not public defending your guys lunacy on not understanding 550 00:33:12,440 --> 00:33:16,240 Speaker 3: the way if I wanted to hedge out of my bet, 551 00:33:16,640 --> 00:33:21,080 Speaker 3: It's very very simple. I put a few thousand dollars 552 00:33:21,480 --> 00:33:26,600 Speaker 3: on the Philadelphia Eagles money line and then if they 553 00:33:26,720 --> 00:33:30,160 Speaker 3: if then, if they win, my bet is dead and 554 00:33:30,200 --> 00:33:34,200 Speaker 3: I win that few thousand dollars. If they lose, I 555 00:33:34,320 --> 00:33:39,160 Speaker 3: then put ten thousand dollars on the Bengals money line. 556 00:33:39,680 --> 00:33:43,520 Speaker 3: If they win, my bet is dead and I've now won, 557 00:33:43,720 --> 00:33:46,680 Speaker 3: you know, the seven eight grand And if they lose, 558 00:33:47,000 --> 00:33:49,360 Speaker 3: now instead of winning fifty, I've won like thirty eight 559 00:33:49,400 --> 00:33:52,200 Speaker 3: because I lost a couple thousand on the first hedge 560 00:33:52,200 --> 00:33:54,680 Speaker 3: and the ten thousand and second edge. That's the way 561 00:33:55,520 --> 00:33:58,160 Speaker 3: you would hedge if you wanted to, not by placing 562 00:33:58,200 --> 00:34:01,200 Speaker 3: exotics where you might live. Who's both next? 563 00:34:01,400 --> 00:34:04,200 Speaker 4: All right? So this let's call it two touchdown scores. 564 00:34:04,960 --> 00:34:08,320 Speaker 2: So Christiancaffrey for two touchdowns is a plus five hundred, 565 00:34:08,600 --> 00:34:14,640 Speaker 2: Travis Kelcey for two touchdowns at plus six hundred, Chase Chase, sorry, 566 00:34:14,680 --> 00:34:19,440 Speaker 2: Jamar Chase for two touchdowns at plus six fifty. All right. 567 00:34:20,040 --> 00:34:23,040 Speaker 3: I don't love any of these. Actually, they're not good 568 00:34:23,160 --> 00:34:29,880 Speaker 3: enough odds for my purposes. But if I were going 569 00:34:29,960 --> 00:34:33,000 Speaker 3: to bet one, it'd be Christian McCaffrey. 570 00:34:35,360 --> 00:34:36,359 Speaker 4: I would. 571 00:34:37,800 --> 00:34:42,680 Speaker 3: Pass on Kelsey and I would fade Chase. 572 00:34:42,719 --> 00:34:43,640 Speaker 2: I would one exactly. 573 00:34:44,600 --> 00:34:47,480 Speaker 3: Yeah, if I were going to do it. Now, there 574 00:34:47,520 --> 00:34:50,080 Speaker 3: is someone I do like as a prop bet to 575 00:34:50,080 --> 00:34:54,240 Speaker 3: score a couple of touchdowns, McKinnon. But he wasn't listed there. 576 00:34:54,360 --> 00:34:56,960 Speaker 2: But go right ahead, all right, So all goes, we 577 00:34:57,000 --> 00:34:59,399 Speaker 2: call this all goes right. If you have a huge 578 00:34:59,480 --> 00:35:02,120 Speaker 2: day Sunday, it's because at least one of these things happen. 579 00:35:02,640 --> 00:35:06,240 Speaker 2: Pick one to Hammer Mahomes over three hundred and fifty 580 00:35:06,280 --> 00:35:10,240 Speaker 2: passing yards at plus five hundred, McKinnon for two plus 581 00:35:10,280 --> 00:35:15,200 Speaker 2: touchdowns at plus thirteen hundred, Eagles team total under twenty 582 00:35:15,239 --> 00:35:16,880 Speaker 2: three and a half at plus one hundred. 583 00:35:17,600 --> 00:35:20,680 Speaker 3: Okay, so I would the McKinnon at thirteen to one 584 00:35:20,800 --> 00:35:23,000 Speaker 3: for two touchdowns it would be the one that I 585 00:35:23,040 --> 00:35:25,319 Speaker 3: would be hammering. Not because it's the most likely it's 586 00:35:25,320 --> 00:35:27,600 Speaker 3: thirteen to one, but I think there's the most value there. 587 00:35:28,200 --> 00:35:30,959 Speaker 3: I don't mind the Mahomes over three hundred and fifty 588 00:35:30,960 --> 00:35:34,520 Speaker 3: passing yards, But the thing is this Mahomes throwing for 589 00:35:34,560 --> 00:35:38,080 Speaker 3: three fifty says it's a back and forth highly you know, 590 00:35:38,200 --> 00:35:40,680 Speaker 3: tightly contested game. Mahomes gotta throw a lot or the 591 00:35:40,719 --> 00:35:43,279 Speaker 3: Chiefs are losing by a lot. I don't think either 592 00:35:43,320 --> 00:35:45,800 Speaker 3: one of those things is gonna happen. So I would 593 00:35:45,840 --> 00:35:48,879 Speaker 3: pass on that, and I would fade if I had 594 00:35:48,920 --> 00:35:51,360 Speaker 3: to the Eagles team total under because I think that 595 00:35:51,440 --> 00:35:54,520 Speaker 3: Eagles Niners game might be high scoring. I don't love 596 00:35:54,560 --> 00:35:56,560 Speaker 3: that one, but that's where I would be on it. 597 00:35:57,239 --> 00:36:00,680 Speaker 2: The way you're talking about this Chief Cincinnati game was crazy, 598 00:36:00,880 --> 00:36:02,400 Speaker 2: Like how you don't think it's going to be a 599 00:36:02,440 --> 00:36:04,840 Speaker 2: back and forth game? Do you not know the history 600 00:36:04,880 --> 00:36:05,960 Speaker 2: between these two teams. 601 00:36:06,520 --> 00:36:08,879 Speaker 3: I know the Chiefs were up by fourteen points at 602 00:36:08,880 --> 00:36:11,680 Speaker 3: the end of the season last year and Cincinnati came back, 603 00:36:11,680 --> 00:36:14,040 Speaker 3: and one I know the Chiefs were up by eighteen 604 00:36:14,080 --> 00:36:17,160 Speaker 3: points in the AFC Championship Game. Mahome short circuited, and 605 00:36:17,200 --> 00:36:20,439 Speaker 3: the Bengals came back in one. I say the Chiefs 606 00:36:20,480 --> 00:36:21,920 Speaker 3: came back and one the first time. The Bengals won 607 00:36:22,440 --> 00:36:24,400 Speaker 3: all of them, obviously. And I know the Chiefs were 608 00:36:24,440 --> 00:36:26,960 Speaker 3: up by seven in the game in Cincinnati and the 609 00:36:27,000 --> 00:36:30,080 Speaker 3: Bengals came back and one. I also know the Bengals 610 00:36:30,080 --> 00:36:33,800 Speaker 3: are calling arrowhead burrowhead. Joe Mixon's talking all that trash. 611 00:36:34,080 --> 00:36:36,520 Speaker 3: Eli Apple's talking all that trash. And the Chiefs have 612 00:36:36,560 --> 00:36:38,959 Speaker 3: the greatest player in the history of the sport at 613 00:36:38,960 --> 00:36:42,920 Speaker 3: home and he's never lost. He has lost three playoff 614 00:36:42,960 --> 00:36:46,360 Speaker 3: games ever won with five backup offensive linemen to the 615 00:36:46,400 --> 00:36:50,000 Speaker 3: Bucks in the Super Bowl and two AFC Championship games 616 00:36:50,000 --> 00:36:51,279 Speaker 3: in overtime. 617 00:36:52,200 --> 00:36:54,239 Speaker 2: I think you're just riding on the fact that they 618 00:36:54,280 --> 00:36:57,080 Speaker 2: got thought that offensive line all banged up. I think 619 00:36:57,120 --> 00:36:57,960 Speaker 2: that's what you're. 620 00:36:57,840 --> 00:37:01,160 Speaker 3: Well, the reason Mahomes doesn't have two rings is because 621 00:37:01,160 --> 00:37:03,320 Speaker 3: of offensive line injuries. That stuff matters. 622 00:37:03,400 --> 00:37:06,800 Speaker 2: Next, all right, this one's highest scoring team on Sunday. 623 00:37:07,040 --> 00:37:09,480 Speaker 2: We'll leave out Cincinnati because we know you're not taking 624 00:37:09,520 --> 00:37:13,279 Speaker 2: that one. Eagles plus two thirty, Chiefs plus three ten 625 00:37:13,640 --> 00:37:15,280 Speaker 2: the Niners at plus four hundred. 626 00:37:15,680 --> 00:37:19,080 Speaker 3: I would hammer the Chiefs. I would consider betting the Niners, 627 00:37:19,080 --> 00:37:21,240 Speaker 3: but I'll pass on it and I'll fade the Eagles. 628 00:37:21,719 --> 00:37:23,600 Speaker 3: The Eagles can't be the most high the highest scoring 629 00:37:23,640 --> 00:37:25,640 Speaker 3: team if I think they're losing. That would be a 630 00:37:25,640 --> 00:37:26,080 Speaker 3: hard one. 631 00:37:26,120 --> 00:37:29,920 Speaker 2: All right, Next, all right, crazy odds non quarterback to 632 00:37:29,920 --> 00:37:33,480 Speaker 2: throw a pass in either game plus fifteen hundred, McCaffrey 633 00:37:33,520 --> 00:37:36,360 Speaker 2: first touchdown and forty nine Ers to win plus nine hundred. 634 00:37:36,400 --> 00:37:40,120 Speaker 3: Hold on, hold on that non quarterback to throw. That's 635 00:37:40,120 --> 00:37:42,239 Speaker 3: not to throw a passing touchdown, that's just to throw 636 00:37:42,280 --> 00:37:42,680 Speaker 3: a pass. 637 00:37:42,800 --> 00:37:45,080 Speaker 2: I was thinking that, like, okay, all right, go ahead, 638 00:37:45,280 --> 00:37:47,400 Speaker 2: and then Demond's had to hit any partly plus one 639 00:37:47,440 --> 00:37:48,400 Speaker 2: hundred and fifty thousand. 640 00:37:48,719 --> 00:37:49,040 Speaker 4: All right. 641 00:37:49,560 --> 00:37:52,759 Speaker 3: I like the McCaffrey bet, whether hammer on. I like 642 00:37:52,840 --> 00:37:57,600 Speaker 3: the McCaffrey bet, McCaffrey first touchdown, Niners to win, then nine. 643 00:37:57,760 --> 00:38:01,719 Speaker 3: So there is a great Super Bowl bet that you'll enjoy. 644 00:38:01,760 --> 00:38:05,600 Speaker 3: Demanse which is over under two and a half people 645 00:38:05,600 --> 00:38:10,279 Speaker 3: to throw a pass. So that means non quarterback or back. 646 00:38:11,719 --> 00:38:15,160 Speaker 3: Yeah yeah, so right, But so that can be because 647 00:38:15,200 --> 00:38:18,279 Speaker 3: of a trick play or there's a quarterback injury and 648 00:38:18,520 --> 00:38:23,560 Speaker 3: a guy comes in. But I would hammer McCaffrey. I 649 00:38:23,680 --> 00:38:28,719 Speaker 3: would pass on demands hitting the parlay. I'm not fading it. 650 00:38:28,760 --> 00:38:33,000 Speaker 3: I'm just fasting on it. And I am gonna fade 651 00:38:33,040 --> 00:38:37,520 Speaker 3: the non quarterback throw a pass because this does the 652 00:38:37,600 --> 00:38:43,680 Speaker 3: Chiefs that never have non quarterbacks throw passes never uh. 653 00:38:43,760 --> 00:38:46,600 Speaker 3: And the other teams are gonna ride with their quarterbacks, 654 00:38:46,719 --> 00:38:51,280 Speaker 3: and the Niners Deebo and Ayuk would be the guys 655 00:38:51,320 --> 00:38:53,200 Speaker 3: and they don't throw passes. These aren't the teams to 656 00:38:53,239 --> 00:38:56,399 Speaker 3: do it in the Super Bowl. That's a fun bet 657 00:38:56,440 --> 00:38:58,960 Speaker 3: to make. All right, I've got a single game parlay 658 00:38:59,000 --> 00:39:00,640 Speaker 3: for you. We'll do that as we wrap up the 659 00:39:00,640 --> 00:39:09,160 Speaker 3: Gambling Show. Next, What's record? Welcome back in episode one 660 00:39:09,280 --> 00:39:14,680 Speaker 3: twenty three Conference Championship WEEKND Gambling Show. All right, here's 661 00:39:14,719 --> 00:39:18,719 Speaker 3: the deal. As we are recording this show on Thursday, 662 00:39:18,960 --> 00:39:23,400 Speaker 3: as predicted, the line has moved, so we've put in 663 00:39:23,440 --> 00:39:26,120 Speaker 3: the Chiefs plus one. We did it though, you know, 664 00:39:26,160 --> 00:39:30,279 Speaker 3: in the A bloc all of that. Right now, our 665 00:39:30,320 --> 00:39:33,359 Speaker 3: friends at Fox Bet have the Chiefs at minus one. 666 00:39:34,000 --> 00:39:36,040 Speaker 3: I said that I thought by the time people heard 667 00:39:36,040 --> 00:39:37,879 Speaker 3: this it would be a pick them. I don't think 668 00:39:37,920 --> 00:39:39,560 Speaker 3: they want this game to land on a pick them. 669 00:39:39,600 --> 00:39:41,200 Speaker 3: I think they want it to land on my so 670 00:39:41,239 --> 00:39:44,040 Speaker 3: it might fluctuate a bit, but money coming back in 671 00:39:44,160 --> 00:39:50,120 Speaker 3: on the Chiefs. Here are the bets that I I'll be 672 00:39:50,160 --> 00:39:52,240 Speaker 3: honest with you guys, I don't know what I'm putting 673 00:39:52,280 --> 00:39:56,000 Speaker 3: in because I'm so pot committed on the fifty to one. 674 00:39:56,200 --> 00:39:59,680 Speaker 3: But let's say the Eagles lose. I'm sorry, the Eagles 675 00:39:59,719 --> 00:40:03,240 Speaker 3: win and the fifty to one is dead. I will 676 00:40:03,280 --> 00:40:09,080 Speaker 3: be putting in Kansas City minus six and a half 677 00:40:09,760 --> 00:40:14,520 Speaker 3: at plus two hundred and Kansas City minus nine and 678 00:40:14,560 --> 00:40:20,279 Speaker 3: a half at U plus two ninety. I am putting those. 679 00:40:20,400 --> 00:40:24,240 Speaker 3: I will be putting those in. And I am also 680 00:40:25,320 --> 00:40:33,160 Speaker 3: going to strongly recommend the following. Okay, pa Checko over 681 00:40:33,800 --> 00:40:39,800 Speaker 3: fifty and a half rushing yards, Mahomes over two hundred 682 00:40:39,800 --> 00:40:45,000 Speaker 3: and eighty two and a half UH passing yards. I'm 683 00:40:45,000 --> 00:40:51,160 Speaker 3: trying to build this UH player to score anytime. Where's anytime? Touchdown? 684 00:40:51,200 --> 00:40:51,439 Speaker 2: Score? 685 00:40:51,440 --> 00:40:54,880 Speaker 3: There we go, TD score. Where is my guy? Jeric 686 00:40:55,000 --> 00:41:01,279 Speaker 3: McKinnon to score a touchdown, Kadarius Tony to score a touchdown? 687 00:41:02,640 --> 00:41:10,320 Speaker 3: Those four bets McKinnon to score, Tony to score, Mahomes 688 00:41:10,560 --> 00:41:14,720 Speaker 3: over to eighty two and a half and Pachecko over 689 00:41:14,840 --> 00:41:18,720 Speaker 3: fifty and a half. That right there is twenty seven 690 00:41:18,800 --> 00:41:21,840 Speaker 3: to one. Will they let me parlay that with minus 691 00:41:21,920 --> 00:41:28,400 Speaker 3: six and a half? They will? It only puts it 692 00:41:28,480 --> 00:41:34,600 Speaker 3: at forty one sixty four? Let me see hold on, 693 00:41:36,400 --> 00:41:42,000 Speaker 3: all right, here's what we're putting in. Pachecko over fifty 694 00:41:42,040 --> 00:41:45,000 Speaker 3: and a half, Mahomes over too eighty two and a half, 695 00:41:45,600 --> 00:41:50,200 Speaker 3: McKinnon to score a touchdown, Cadarius Tony to score a touchdown, 696 00:41:50,880 --> 00:41:54,120 Speaker 3: and the Chiefs minus two and a half. It's thirty 697 00:41:54,120 --> 00:41:59,080 Speaker 3: four to one. That is our single game parlay for 698 00:41:59,280 --> 00:42:03,480 Speaker 3: this Chiefs game. We are not putting one in for 699 00:42:04,160 --> 00:42:08,640 Speaker 3: the Niners Eagles game. And then Demons, I know you've 700 00:42:08,640 --> 00:42:12,960 Speaker 3: got one final offer for me, my friend, Yes, last chance. 701 00:42:12,760 --> 00:42:15,919 Speaker 2: To edge as we got Super Bowl matchup Eagles over 702 00:42:15,920 --> 00:42:18,920 Speaker 2: Bengals or Bengals over Eagles at plus five hundred. 703 00:42:20,880 --> 00:42:22,200 Speaker 3: What do you think I'm gonna say to that? 704 00:42:23,080 --> 00:42:25,919 Speaker 2: I mean, you're probably gonna stick to what you've been saying. Yeah, 705 00:42:26,440 --> 00:42:27,160 Speaker 2: it's an offer. 706 00:42:27,440 --> 00:42:32,200 Speaker 3: Yeah I am not and by I am not hedging 707 00:42:32,239 --> 00:42:36,879 Speaker 3: this bet. We've spent an hour today explaining why I'm 708 00:42:36,920 --> 00:42:39,719 Speaker 3: not hedging this bet. Now, what I will tell you 709 00:42:39,800 --> 00:42:47,400 Speaker 3: is this from an emotional just Rex standpoint. It is 710 00:42:47,440 --> 00:42:50,520 Speaker 3: not great for me that the Chiefs game is the 711 00:42:50,560 --> 00:42:53,920 Speaker 3: second game. I would prefer the Chiefs game be the 712 00:42:53,960 --> 00:42:59,479 Speaker 3: first game. But the fact that the Niners could come 713 00:42:59,520 --> 00:43:06,239 Speaker 3: in and then I if the Chiefs lose, I lose 714 00:43:06,280 --> 00:43:09,319 Speaker 3: out on the fifty thousand, I have to deal with 715 00:43:09,480 --> 00:43:13,800 Speaker 3: so much trash talking for the next year. There's nothing 716 00:43:13,800 --> 00:43:15,600 Speaker 3: I could do about it until the Chiefs play the 717 00:43:15,640 --> 00:43:18,440 Speaker 3: Bengals again in the playoffs. Who knows when that would happen. 718 00:43:19,080 --> 00:43:23,439 Speaker 3: All the it'd all take from people with the TV show, 719 00:43:23,480 --> 00:43:27,520 Speaker 3: all of it go. I'm gonna be a mess Sunday. Luckily, 720 00:43:28,320 --> 00:43:30,600 Speaker 3: I think the Chiefs are gonna handle their business quite well. 721 00:43:31,560 --> 00:43:35,920 Speaker 3: Kansas City is gonna win, the Niners are gonna win, 722 00:43:37,000 --> 00:43:42,640 Speaker 3: and that Niners Chiefs Super Bowl EXACTA is going to 723 00:43:42,719 --> 00:43:47,960 Speaker 3: be an all time wager that we're speaking into existence. 724 00:43:48,360 --> 00:43:49,440 Speaker 3: That's what's gonna happen. 725 00:43:49,640 --> 00:43:52,280 Speaker 2: So I got another offer. Yeah, Black and Miles consumed 726 00:43:52,320 --> 00:43:54,080 Speaker 2: on Sunday over under one and a half. 727 00:43:56,160 --> 00:43:59,919 Speaker 3: Oh, I never it'll be under, but it'll be exactly one. 728 00:44:00,480 --> 00:44:05,600 Speaker 3: And it will either be stressed out and upset or 729 00:44:05,719 --> 00:44:09,600 Speaker 3: celebratory on IG Live should be fun. Talk to you 730 00:44:09,600 --> 00:44:12,280 Speaker 3: guys on Monday. Enjoy Championship weekend.