WEBVTT - College Football Week 4 Preview (Ep. 106)

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<v Speaker 1>It's time to place your bets. Let's talk to the pros.

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<v Speaker 1>Welcome in everybody to betting pros. It's me Joey p

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<v Speaker 1>Joe Pi Zapia And today it's week four in college football.

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<v Speaker 1>We're gonna preview all the games for you, and of

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<v Speaker 1>course there's nobody to do that with better than the one,

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<v Speaker 1>the only, Scott Bogman right here from in this league.

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<v Speaker 1>Of course, you can follow him on the Twitter machine

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<v Speaker 1>at Bogman Sports Bogman. It was an interesting week three.

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<v Speaker 1>A little bit of a close call there for Alabama

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<v Speaker 1>the Juggernauts, so I will take the l on that one.

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<v Speaker 1>Oh my goodness, that got a little too close for comfort.

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<v Speaker 1>And a few other teams maybe we have to learn

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<v Speaker 1>a little bit more about. But overall, a good week

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<v Speaker 1>from you yet again, So how was your week three

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<v Speaker 1>for you? Look?

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<v Speaker 2>Well, I was super annoyed week three. I'll say that.

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<v Speaker 2>You know, the Texas game wasn't fun. I mean, they

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<v Speaker 2>did stomp Rice, but it's not a fun game against Rice.

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<v Speaker 2>You know, Texas Tech always gives them problems, which you know,

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<v Speaker 2>hint hint, that might be in the Leans this week.

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<v Speaker 2>But I was annoyed because I was like five and five,

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<v Speaker 2>you know, in my article, I'm like, that's just okay.

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<v Speaker 3>And the two, the late ones are the ones that

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<v Speaker 3>killed me.

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<v Speaker 2>It was BYU beating up ASU as you had sixteen

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<v Speaker 2>penalties to three. That'll lose you every single game straight out.

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<v Speaker 2>And UCLA after beating LSU and stomping Hawaii and getting

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<v Speaker 2>an extra week off to play President State lost straight up.

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<v Speaker 2>I didn't understand any of that, But after looking at

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<v Speaker 2>how well everybody else did, I went, oh, right, you

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<v Speaker 2>know what, I'll take five and five.

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<v Speaker 3>Five and five is okay on this weird week.

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<v Speaker 2>So we're gonna get back on track in week four

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<v Speaker 2>and there's a lot of fun games to go through here.

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<v Speaker 3>Man.

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<v Speaker 1>All right, well let's take a quick look around too.

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<v Speaker 1>What were your thoughts on Alabama? Just kind of eking

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<v Speaker 1>out that victory against Florida.

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<v Speaker 2>Look, you know, it's kind of one of the realm

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<v Speaker 2>of possibility things I put in there last week, was that, Look,

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<v Speaker 2>I think Bama is they were in mid season form

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<v Speaker 2>and Florida wasn't and all that stuff, But Florida would

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<v Speaker 2>probably just preparing for Alabama the first couple of weeks, right,

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<v Speaker 2>that's probably the only game they were focused on, which

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<v Speaker 2>why they didn't look good in the other games. We

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<v Speaker 2>weren't really paying attention to who was in front of them.

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<v Speaker 2>They're just looking forward to that game, and they played

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<v Speaker 2>them hard, and there's a lot of talent in Florida

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<v Speaker 2>and Bama just wasn't at peak Bama. So you're going

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<v Speaker 2>to get a close game when it comes down to that,

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<v Speaker 2>and Bama is. They're not going to every single year

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<v Speaker 2>put up some historical number, and I think that's kind

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<v Speaker 2>of what we were expecting. After seeing LSU put up

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<v Speaker 2>the best offensive team in NCAA history and then Alabama

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<v Speaker 2>go right over them, one up them the next season,

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<v Speaker 2>we thought, okay, well maybe Bama does it again and

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<v Speaker 2>sets more records. No, it's not gonna happen year after

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<v Speaker 2>year after year. So Bama is still I think it

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<v Speaker 2>dropped them from eighty first place votes to seventy nine,

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<v Speaker 2>so that's all at ding them was one vote in

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<v Speaker 2>the polls. So there's still the number one team and

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<v Speaker 2>there's probably still going to go undefeated, but they're a

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<v Speaker 2>little more vulnerable than they were last year, which was

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<v Speaker 2>not at all.

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<v Speaker 1>So all right, well, Bobman, let me ask you this question,

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<v Speaker 1>who is BYU?

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<v Speaker 3>I don't. I wish I could cuss on this one.

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<v Speaker 2>If I know, Joe, I have no idea who BYU

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<v Speaker 2>is because I'm just gonna go ahead and say that

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<v Speaker 2>Week one was the mirage because I thought Week two

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<v Speaker 2>was the mirage, or I thought maybe you of A

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<v Speaker 2>got better. Maybe BYU got way worse without Zach Wilson

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<v Speaker 2>and they beat Utah. But once again, I didn't think

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<v Speaker 2>Utah played well in that game. So I like, I'm

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<v Speaker 2>okay losing that game with the logic I used. I

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<v Speaker 2>still think that my logic made sense. Obviously the result

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<v Speaker 2>wasn't there. But and they did a wide out and

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<v Speaker 2>all that stuff. The crowd was insane for BYU and

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<v Speaker 2>it caused a bunch of penalties. There many many false

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<v Speaker 2>starts for ASU and Jade Daniels just look rattled in

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<v Speaker 2>that game. So you know, you go as far as

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<v Speaker 2>your quarterback in ninety percent of football games, you know,

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<v Speaker 2>and Jade Daniels did not look right through a couple

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<v Speaker 2>of picks. So BYU might be pretty good. I'll just

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<v Speaker 2>say that. SOA Taki's a great coach. That's what we know.

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<v Speaker 1>What about Miami are they any good? Is the Michigan

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<v Speaker 1>State any good?

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<v Speaker 2>Okay, Michigan State's good, That's what I'll say. Mel Tucker

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<v Speaker 2>has got those guys playing, and I think someone said

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<v Speaker 2>that as underdogs under Meltucker, who came in there last year,

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<v Speaker 2>they've won four games straight up as underdogs. Jim Harbaugh

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<v Speaker 2>from Michigan has won zero games straight up as underdogs

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<v Speaker 2>for Michigan. Now, granted, they're underdogs way less than Michigan

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<v Speaker 2>State is, so you have to give him a little

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<v Speaker 2>bit of slack on that. But they haven't pulled out

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<v Speaker 2>and upset victory one under Harbaugh and mel Tucker already

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<v Speaker 2>has four from Michigan State. Run play, you know, run well,

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<v Speaker 2>and play good defense and have a quarterback that's not

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<v Speaker 2>going to turn the ball over.

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<v Speaker 3>That's what they're doing right now.

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<v Speaker 2>And Miami, now we saw dear King's probably not gonna

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<v Speaker 2>play this week, so they're gonna look real bad. They're

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<v Speaker 2>just not a good team this year.

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<v Speaker 1>It looks like anything else from week three that caught

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<v Speaker 1>your eye that you think is noteworthy before we turn

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<v Speaker 1>the page and look ahead.

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<v Speaker 2>Not really, I just you know, I want to bury

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<v Speaker 2>week three. You allow grave, let's go.

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<v Speaker 3>Well, let's move on.

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<v Speaker 1>Let's move on, let's go. We're on to Cincinnati. Let's

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<v Speaker 1>go are here we go. As always, we're gonna talk

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<v Speaker 1>about the national games, and here are the ones that

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<v Speaker 1>Bagman has strong feelings for all the fields, as the

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<v Speaker 1>kids like to say, and let's start with LSU. That's

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<v Speaker 1>two and a half way favorites on the road at

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<v Speaker 1>Mississippi State. Uh and of course fifty five and a

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<v Speaker 1>half is the number. So your thoughts on this game here.

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<v Speaker 2>Box this one. Just for a full confession. I don't

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<v Speaker 2>like Mike Leach at all. I don't like his all offense,

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<v Speaker 2>no defense bit. I don't think that's ever gonna work.

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<v Speaker 2>He's been accused of being abusive towards the players.

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<v Speaker 3>I don't like that.

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<v Speaker 2>He made some questionable comments last season which had a

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<v Speaker 2>lot of his players transfer.

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<v Speaker 3>I don't like him and I never will.

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<v Speaker 2>So with that on the table, I obviously am going

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<v Speaker 2>to like LSU in this game. Mississippi State looked great

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<v Speaker 2>against NC State, but bad against Louisiana Tech. They lost.

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<v Speaker 2>They had one point lost to Memphis last week. And

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<v Speaker 2>it's not like LSU or or Orjron. It's not like

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<v Speaker 2>I like them, but I'm gonna take LSU at this

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<v Speaker 2>point because I think they're gonna be able to put

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<v Speaker 2>points up on Mississippi State because anyone not named NC

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<v Speaker 2>State apparently can. And I just I think I'm the

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<v Speaker 2>most confident in the over. I think the over is

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<v Speaker 2>kind of low here, fifty five and a half. I

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<v Speaker 2>think this is gonna be a classic shootout. Mississippi State's

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<v Speaker 2>gonna score, but LSU can score, So I think it's

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<v Speaker 2>going to be a shootout. And if it's only two

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<v Speaker 2>and a half points, I'm going to take LSU.

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<v Speaker 1>All right, Let's move on to the next one. Here

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<v Speaker 1>on the board, Texas A and M seventh ranked is

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<v Speaker 1>four and a half point favorites against Arkansas ranked sixteenth. Now,

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<v Speaker 1>Texas A and M did look better last week, but

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<v Speaker 1>then again, that was no Mexico, So I don't know

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<v Speaker 1>if you can really take too much of the New

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<v Speaker 1>Mexico contest against A and M. I guess the question

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<v Speaker 1>is how good is that Aggie's offense?

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<v Speaker 2>Not very is what I would say under Calzada, And

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<v Speaker 2>this one's in Jerry World in Dallas, so this is

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<v Speaker 2>going to be at what is it called now?

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<v Speaker 3>At and t I just always called Jerry.

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<v Speaker 1>You know, man, I can't keep up with any of

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<v Speaker 1>the naming of ballparks or stadiums anymore. I'm so old.

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<v Speaker 1>I still call it like, you know, whatever the original

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<v Speaker 1>one was, whenever it was called first. That's what I

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<v Speaker 1>call everything now, especially in baseball where they change every year.

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<v Speaker 1>It feels like I can't keep up my head.

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<v Speaker 2>Right at Troy Aikmanfield in Dallas, I think the Razorbacks

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<v Speaker 2>are going to win this one straight up. And maybe

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<v Speaker 2>I'm not giving A and M their credit, but like

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<v Speaker 2>you said, they had one good offensive showing against New Mexico.

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<v Speaker 2>New Mexico is not a very good team. They're getting

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<v Speaker 2>a point and a half against UTEP this week, so

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<v Speaker 2>which my guy Nick likes.

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<v Speaker 3>But I that game is terrible. That will be on

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<v Speaker 3>no TVs.

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<v Speaker 2>As it should be outside of you know, El Paso

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<v Speaker 2>in New Mexico. But I like the Razorbacks straight up.

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<v Speaker 2>They're eighth in the country in rushing. They're getting two

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<v Speaker 2>hundred and eighty two yards per game right now, Arkansas

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<v Speaker 2>is we saw them dominate Texas with the run game,

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<v Speaker 2>and I think Texas A and M's defense is way

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<v Speaker 2>better than Texas. Don't get me wrong there, but I

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<v Speaker 2>think this is going to turn into a slugfest, and

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<v Speaker 2>when it comes down to that, I'm going to go

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<v Speaker 2>with their veteran quarterback Jefferson over Calzada, who is starting

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<v Speaker 2>his third game for the Aggie. So I think, you know,

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<v Speaker 2>is a huge nationally televised game for both these teams.

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<v Speaker 2>I think this one is a game that can absolutely

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<v Speaker 2>put Arkansas back on the map as far as national contention.

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<v Speaker 2>So I like the Razorbacks to come away with a win.

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<v Speaker 3>Here.

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<v Speaker 1>The team that plays about twenty minutes from my house,

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<v Speaker 1>Rutgers Scarlet Lights taking on Michigan. Michigan obviously right nineteenth

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<v Speaker 1>their favored by eighteen and a half. That's a pretty

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<v Speaker 1>big number. I guess. The question is this is this

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<v Speaker 1>going to look more like the game where they push

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<v Speaker 1>into overtime last year or more like the fifty two

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<v Speaker 1>to nothing drubbing from twenty nineteen. I mean, Schiano certainly

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<v Speaker 1>has come back and made Rutgers at least more respectable

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<v Speaker 1>than they were in a few years leading up to that.

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<v Speaker 1>But where is Rutgers right now? And is this a

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<v Speaker 1>potential trap? A bit when it comes to this Michigan

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<v Speaker 1>number eighteen and a half.

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<v Speaker 2>I think I think it is and just the overwhelming

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<v Speaker 2>you know, bets are on Rutgers right now because this

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<v Speaker 2>number is big, So I think you're gonna be able

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<v Speaker 2>to I think my favorite thing here is the over

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<v Speaker 2>fifty two instead of the eighteen and a half, because

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<v Speaker 2>what I think you're gonna have here is a Michigan

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<v Speaker 2>team that has put up points. You know, they have

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<v Speaker 2>put up points. They're number one in RUSSI. Three hundred

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<v Speaker 2>and fifty yards per game is what Michigan is averaging

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<v Speaker 2>right now.

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<v Speaker 3>And they've played Washington.

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<v Speaker 2>In there, you know, and we all know Washington is

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<v Speaker 2>not what we expect them to be coming into the season,

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<v Speaker 2>but they're a team that should not be giving up

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<v Speaker 2>an absurd amount of rushing yards. And this is just

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<v Speaker 2>what Michigan is averaging and they've actually put together. I mean,

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<v Speaker 2>Blake korm you can actually use in college fantasy football

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<v Speaker 2>at this point, because my argument against why I dislike

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<v Speaker 2>Michigan on all fronts is because I can't stand Jim Harbaugh.

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<v Speaker 2>They use too many different offensive players, and they never

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<v Speaker 2>throw the ball, and they use fourteen different backs. Blake

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<v Speaker 2>Koram is actually getting the majority of the work for

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<v Speaker 2>Michigan right now, so I think they roll this one.

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<v Speaker 3>I'm I'm with you. I do respect Shiato.

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<v Speaker 2>I just don't think he's going to be able to

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<v Speaker 2>do it this quickly, and I don't think this is

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<v Speaker 2>a weird COVID year where you know, both teams get

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<v Speaker 2>to practice less and all that stuff. When we go

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<v Speaker 2>into overtime, Michigan looks sharp right now. I think I

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<v Speaker 2>think my favorite is the over. But if I'm betting

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<v Speaker 2>on that spread, I'm going to definitely be taking Michigan.

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<v Speaker 3>And given the.

0:11:01.760 --> 0:11:05.800
<v Speaker 1>Points, Tennessee goes to Florida. Florida ranked eleventh right now,

0:11:05.840 --> 0:11:07.800
<v Speaker 1>they are favoring this game by eighteen and a half.

0:11:08.000 --> 0:11:10.600
<v Speaker 1>The over under is sixty two bogs. Is this a

0:11:10.679 --> 0:11:13.840
<v Speaker 1>letdown game potentially for Florida because obviously a very emotional

0:11:13.880 --> 0:11:16.720
<v Speaker 1>contest last week coming close and maybe Argua we should

0:11:16.720 --> 0:11:19.079
<v Speaker 1>have beaten Alabama. But is there a bit of a

0:11:19.160 --> 0:11:20.960
<v Speaker 1>letdown here for Florida in this game? And is there

0:11:21.000 --> 0:11:22.120
<v Speaker 1>money to be made off of it?

0:11:22.320 --> 0:11:25.920
<v Speaker 2>Well, I'll tell you what. The betting public for sure

0:11:26.280 --> 0:11:29.520
<v Speaker 2>thinks that it is. Ninety percent of money is on

0:11:29.600 --> 0:11:34.640
<v Speaker 2>Tennessee right now, which is unbelievable to me. So because

0:11:34.679 --> 0:11:36.520
<v Speaker 2>I look at this line and I go, man, Florida

0:11:36.679 --> 0:11:39.760
<v Speaker 2>just almost beat Alabama. I thought it was going to

0:11:39.800 --> 0:11:41.880
<v Speaker 2>be at least twenty points. Well, it opened it twenty

0:11:42.200 --> 0:11:44.400
<v Speaker 2>and it has since slid to eighteen and a half.

0:11:44.440 --> 0:11:49.240
<v Speaker 2>So what I'm doing is I am waiting until Saturday

0:11:49.280 --> 0:11:52.280
<v Speaker 2>morning to bet this game at the best line I

0:11:52.320 --> 0:11:53.920
<v Speaker 2>can because if more money is going to come in

0:11:54.000 --> 0:11:55.880
<v Speaker 2>on Tennessee, this could shrink all the way down to

0:11:55.960 --> 0:11:59.400
<v Speaker 2>you know, fifteen, sixteen points here. So I'm going to

0:11:59.480 --> 0:12:02.520
<v Speaker 2>wait until Florida. But Florida. It's happened in Florida so

0:12:02.520 --> 0:12:06.000
<v Speaker 2>many times. Florida was ranked six last year and only

0:12:06.000 --> 0:12:09.840
<v Speaker 2>beat Tennessee by twelve. They've had plenty of games where

0:12:09.880 --> 0:12:12.760
<v Speaker 2>they're the fourth ranked team and the nation like this.

0:12:13.320 --> 0:12:16.480
<v Speaker 2>Sometimes Tennessee it seems to me this is the only

0:12:16.520 --> 0:12:18.760
<v Speaker 2>important game on their schedule. Is we want to play

0:12:18.800 --> 0:12:21.880
<v Speaker 2>Florida hard. They still lose most of the time. But

0:12:22.360 --> 0:12:23.720
<v Speaker 2>I'm gonna wait till the end of the week and

0:12:23.760 --> 0:12:26.520
<v Speaker 2>I'm gonna take Florida because I just think, I think

0:12:26.559 --> 0:12:29.240
<v Speaker 2>if you're Florida, you can't be let down by barely

0:12:29.320 --> 0:12:31.960
<v Speaker 2>losing to Alabama. You have to be inspired by barely

0:12:32.000 --> 0:12:33.760
<v Speaker 2>losing the Bama and you have to go out there

0:12:33.760 --> 0:12:36.760
<v Speaker 2>and thump Tennessee because you know now you have to

0:12:36.760 --> 0:12:39.360
<v Speaker 2>have big wins on that schedule to make the tournament.

0:12:39.640 --> 0:12:41.880
<v Speaker 2>So for Florida, I think they're going to go out

0:12:41.920 --> 0:12:44.920
<v Speaker 2>there and I think they're going to rock them. I

0:12:44.920 --> 0:12:47.440
<v Speaker 2>think it's going to be a tough one for Tennessee,

0:12:47.480 --> 0:12:49.839
<v Speaker 2>but they seem to climb into this one when you

0:12:50.000 --> 0:12:50.839
<v Speaker 2>least expect them.

0:12:50.840 --> 0:12:52.240
<v Speaker 3>But I'm pretty confident on Florida.

0:12:52.280 --> 0:12:55.640
<v Speaker 1>Here, fourth ranked Oklahoma is favored by seventeen over West

0:12:55.679 --> 0:12:59.480
<v Speaker 1>Virginia University. The number for this one is fifty six.

0:13:00.320 --> 0:13:02.760
<v Speaker 1>Seventeen is the spread. Do you think this is a

0:13:02.760 --> 0:13:04.240
<v Speaker 1>comfortable number here for Oklahoma?

0:13:05.000 --> 0:13:08.160
<v Speaker 2>No, I don't know how you could be comfortable with Oklahoma,

0:13:08.400 --> 0:13:11.000
<v Speaker 2>and the betting public is and I understand that. And look,

0:13:11.640 --> 0:13:14.400
<v Speaker 2>we saw West Virginia loose to Maryland week one. That's

0:13:15.120 --> 0:13:18.360
<v Speaker 2>understandable why people are on Oklahoma here and they're at home.

0:13:18.679 --> 0:13:21.479
<v Speaker 2>But we saw Oklahoma go toe to toe with Tulane.

0:13:22.320 --> 0:13:25.840
<v Speaker 2>They just barely beat Nebraska last week. You know, at

0:13:25.880 --> 0:13:29.439
<v Speaker 2>any point Oklahoma can turn on, there're a more talented team.

0:13:29.480 --> 0:13:32.120
<v Speaker 2>I don't think there's any arguing about that. But with

0:13:32.200 --> 0:13:36.440
<v Speaker 2>West Virginia beating Virginia Tech, who looks strong, you know,

0:13:37.480 --> 0:13:39.360
<v Speaker 2>came out beat you n C week one and all

0:13:39.360 --> 0:13:43.040
<v Speaker 2>that stuff, I know we can't keep doing transitive properties

0:13:43.040 --> 0:13:46.080
<v Speaker 2>and all that stuff. But I think I'm most confident

0:13:46.120 --> 0:13:48.400
<v Speaker 2>in the over fifty six in this game just because

0:13:48.440 --> 0:13:50.920
<v Speaker 2>of the way Oklahoma's defense has been playing. Sure, they

0:13:50.920 --> 0:13:54.560
<v Speaker 2>stopped Nebraska last week, but Illinois stopped Nebraska, you know,

0:13:54.679 --> 0:13:58.240
<v Speaker 2>so it's not like that is this insurmountable feat to

0:13:58.320 --> 0:14:01.640
<v Speaker 2>stop Nebraska's offense that has been bad for four years.

0:14:01.880 --> 0:14:03.640
<v Speaker 2>West Virginia is gonna go out there and put points

0:14:03.679 --> 0:14:06.160
<v Speaker 2>up on the board. I just don't know how when

0:14:06.200 --> 0:14:09.079
<v Speaker 2>you see what Oklahoma's defense is playing like right now,

0:14:09.480 --> 0:14:11.880
<v Speaker 2>you can have any confidence in them. So I like

0:14:12.120 --> 0:14:14.640
<v Speaker 2>the points for West Virginia. I like the over in

0:14:14.720 --> 0:14:16.320
<v Speaker 2>this game. I think it's gonna go toe to toe

0:14:16.320 --> 0:14:20.080
<v Speaker 2>for a shootout. Austin Kendall, quarterback for West Virginia, is

0:14:20.120 --> 0:14:21.400
<v Speaker 2>a transfer from Oklahoma.

0:14:21.600 --> 0:14:23.000
<v Speaker 3>You know, he wants to go in there and get

0:14:23.040 --> 0:14:23.640
<v Speaker 3>some revenge.

0:14:23.760 --> 0:14:26.560
<v Speaker 2>So let's see what WVU has I'm gonna take them

0:14:26.560 --> 0:14:27.120
<v Speaker 2>in this game.

0:14:27.480 --> 0:14:29.680
<v Speaker 1>The last time I had to worry about transitive properties.

0:14:29.680 --> 0:14:33.320
<v Speaker 1>I'm pretty sure I had a trapper keeper. Uh oh yeah,

0:14:33.400 --> 0:14:33.920
<v Speaker 1>pretty sure.

0:14:34.080 --> 0:14:36.440
<v Speaker 3>Was it the one that Bill Cosby had and came back?

0:14:37.360 --> 0:14:39.520
<v Speaker 1>It was not the one from south Park that that

0:14:39.640 --> 0:14:42.600
<v Speaker 1>guy had, No, it was definitely not. But try to

0:14:42.600 --> 0:14:44.680
<v Speaker 1>remember if it had like a character or something on it.

0:14:44.720 --> 0:14:46.800
<v Speaker 1>Probably not. Probably by middle school it's like, no, you

0:14:46.800 --> 0:14:47.880
<v Speaker 1>can't do the character ones.

0:14:47.920 --> 0:14:50.080
<v Speaker 2>So it's always had shapes on them. They had like

0:14:50.200 --> 0:14:51.320
<v Speaker 2>weird Yeah, they.

0:14:51.200 --> 0:14:53.880
<v Speaker 1>Had like designs or like space and things.

0:14:54.280 --> 0:14:56.000
<v Speaker 2>Not the same age. Yeah, I think I might have

0:14:56.080 --> 0:14:57.800
<v Speaker 2>got yours and a hand me down, so yeah.

0:14:57.840 --> 0:14:58.240
<v Speaker 3>Probably.

0:14:58.320 --> 0:14:59.880
<v Speaker 1>By the way, that reminds me of a bunch of stuff.

0:15:00.040 --> 0:15:01.880
<v Speaker 1>How she got to pick up last game? Here on

0:15:01.920 --> 0:15:05.600
<v Speaker 1>the likes Arizona at Oregon. Oregon rank third of the nation,

0:15:06.120 --> 0:15:09.200
<v Speaker 1>Oregon a massive favorite in this game. Twenty eight and

0:15:09.240 --> 0:15:11.440
<v Speaker 1>a half points. My goodness, fifty eight and a half

0:15:11.520 --> 0:15:14.400
<v Speaker 1>is the number. So that's a whole lot of points, Bogs.

0:15:14.440 --> 0:15:16.400
<v Speaker 1>Do you feel safe here with Oregon in Arizona?

0:15:16.560 --> 0:15:17.560
<v Speaker 3>It's not enough points?

0:15:17.800 --> 0:15:20.040
<v Speaker 2>Oregon by fifty U of a has only gotten worse

0:15:20.200 --> 0:15:23.520
<v Speaker 2>since that BYU game. They just lost to Northern Arizona.

0:15:23.800 --> 0:15:26.200
<v Speaker 2>I have a friend that, my guy Chad, who is

0:15:26.240 --> 0:15:30.120
<v Speaker 2>a huge U of a guy, just a Tucson guy,

0:15:30.320 --> 0:15:34.480
<v Speaker 2>loves it there. He texts me after that game, a

0:15:34.520 --> 0:15:37.200
<v Speaker 2>new all time low. You know, when you lose in

0:15:37.320 --> 0:15:41.160
<v Speaker 2>Northern Arizona, it is rough in the streets FCS school.

0:15:41.560 --> 0:15:43.320
<v Speaker 2>I like the over in this game. I think this

0:15:43.400 --> 0:15:45.120
<v Speaker 2>is you know, and that was what I was most

0:15:45.160 --> 0:15:47.840
<v Speaker 2>accurate on last week was over unders, opposite of my

0:15:47.920 --> 0:15:51.920
<v Speaker 2>NFL calls. But Oregon, I think is gonna get the

0:15:51.920 --> 0:15:54.640
<v Speaker 2>majority of this fifty eight and a half. Ninety two

0:15:54.640 --> 0:15:58.280
<v Speaker 2>percent of money is on Oregon right now. So I

0:15:58.400 --> 0:16:00.560
<v Speaker 2>like Oregon. I like the over in the game. I

0:16:00.880 --> 0:16:04.120
<v Speaker 2>expect this to be like a you know, forty nine

0:16:04.200 --> 0:16:07.960
<v Speaker 2>to fourteen game something like that. So you know, at

0:16:07.960 --> 0:16:11.320
<v Speaker 2>that point you're winning by thirty five and you're hitting

0:16:11.320 --> 0:16:11.720
<v Speaker 2>the over.

0:16:12.200 --> 0:16:13.840
<v Speaker 3>I think that's easy money.

0:16:14.120 --> 0:16:16.320
<v Speaker 1>All right. So those are the likes. Now let's go

0:16:16.360 --> 0:16:19.000
<v Speaker 1>to the leans. These are the games that Bogman has

0:16:19.240 --> 0:16:22.040
<v Speaker 1>less strong feelings about. But still we're not gonna let

0:16:22.080 --> 0:16:23.680
<v Speaker 1>you down. We're still gonna talk about him and break

0:16:23.720 --> 0:16:25.520
<v Speaker 1>them down a little bit. See if we can find

0:16:25.520 --> 0:16:27.760
<v Speaker 1>some things that we maybe like a little bit. But

0:16:27.840 --> 0:16:30.640
<v Speaker 1>let's start with Marshall at Appalachian State. This is not

0:16:30.680 --> 0:16:33.080
<v Speaker 1>the game that I thought we'd be talking about today, Bogs.

0:16:33.160 --> 0:16:34.240
<v Speaker 3>It's a Thursday game.

0:16:34.520 --> 0:16:38.480
<v Speaker 1>It's a Thursday game Appleationia State minus seven. The sixty

0:16:38.600 --> 0:16:41.720
<v Speaker 1>number is the over under. Your thoughts on this contest, Yeah.

0:16:41.600 --> 0:16:43.240
<v Speaker 2>That's what We're only talking about it because it's the

0:16:43.240 --> 0:16:45.440
<v Speaker 2>only game on Thursday, so it is nashally tell me yeah,

0:16:45.480 --> 0:16:47.720
<v Speaker 2>but still actually four games, but this is the only

0:16:47.800 --> 0:16:48.320
<v Speaker 2>nationally still.

0:16:48.320 --> 0:16:50.080
<v Speaker 1>I don't how many times Appalachian State we're going to

0:16:50.120 --> 0:16:51.040
<v Speaker 1>talk about this year, but.

0:16:51.440 --> 0:16:53.240
<v Speaker 2>Well, look we just talked about them last week because

0:16:53.240 --> 0:16:58.520
<v Speaker 2>they are right, you know, there are strong app State

0:16:58.600 --> 0:17:01.720
<v Speaker 2>is usually the strongest chief team, one of the stronger

0:17:01.800 --> 0:17:04.600
<v Speaker 2>G five teams. But I like Marshall plus the points

0:17:04.600 --> 0:17:06.480
<v Speaker 2>in this one. I'm a little confused on why with

0:17:06.600 --> 0:17:09.520
<v Speaker 2>so much confidence on the under, eighty three percent of

0:17:09.560 --> 0:17:13.000
<v Speaker 2>people are betting the under right now, this game isn't

0:17:13.000 --> 0:17:15.680
<v Speaker 2>closer to fifty to fifty because the line is small.

0:17:15.720 --> 0:17:16.800
<v Speaker 3>It's just a touchdown.

0:17:16.840 --> 0:17:21.080
<v Speaker 2>So Marshall hasn't played defense a defense anywhere close to Appstate,

0:17:21.440 --> 0:17:23.600
<v Speaker 2>but they've put up forty points in every game. I

0:17:23.600 --> 0:17:25.440
<v Speaker 2>think this is going to be a point for point game.

0:17:25.720 --> 0:17:28.400
<v Speaker 2>This could come down to the last team with the football.

0:17:28.720 --> 0:17:31.200
<v Speaker 2>So if it's going to be that close and it's

0:17:31.240 --> 0:17:34.400
<v Speaker 2>going to be low scoring, as you know, the better

0:17:34.480 --> 0:17:36.520
<v Speaker 2>scene the betting public teams to think it's going to be,

0:17:37.040 --> 0:17:39.840
<v Speaker 2>then I just for me, I think I got to

0:17:39.880 --> 0:17:41.679
<v Speaker 2>take the team getting the points, and I like what

0:17:41.720 --> 0:17:43.879
<v Speaker 2>Marshall's been doing so far. Now, they did lose to

0:17:43.960 --> 0:17:46.560
<v Speaker 2>ECU last week, which was a terrible game, but they

0:17:46.640 --> 0:17:50.440
<v Speaker 2>let up three touchdowns in the last seven minutes, so

0:17:50.560 --> 0:17:52.800
<v Speaker 2>they were comfortably leading most of that game.

0:17:52.880 --> 0:17:54.520
<v Speaker 3>So I do still think they're the better team. They

0:17:54.640 --> 0:17:55.600
<v Speaker 3>just choked it at the end.

0:17:56.040 --> 0:18:00.040
<v Speaker 1>If Superman's weakness is kryptonite, then Bogmins is certainly the

0:18:00.080 --> 0:18:03.760
<v Speaker 1>gold helmet of Notre Dame. Notre Dame brink twelve minus

0:18:03.800 --> 0:18:06.880
<v Speaker 1>six and a half right now favored against Wisconsin, ranked

0:18:06.960 --> 0:18:09.399
<v Speaker 1>number eighteen. This game is gonna be played at Soldier Field,

0:18:09.800 --> 0:18:11.320
<v Speaker 1>So Bogs, you want to take a shot this week

0:18:11.320 --> 0:18:16.560
<v Speaker 1>at Notre Dame or just run the other direction. Okay,

0:18:16.720 --> 0:18:17.440
<v Speaker 1>that says it all.

0:18:17.720 --> 0:18:21.639
<v Speaker 2>So this one, this one has confused me because I

0:18:21.640 --> 0:18:24.120
<v Speaker 2>thought the line was moving, I was reading the wrong thing.

0:18:24.240 --> 0:18:28.119
<v Speaker 2>But for me, I'm gonna end up taking the under

0:18:28.400 --> 0:18:30.080
<v Speaker 2>in this game is what I'm gonna do here.

0:18:30.200 --> 0:18:30.720
<v Speaker 3>I don't want to.

0:18:30.680 --> 0:18:32.640
<v Speaker 1>Forty seven and a half, So that's where you're gonna

0:18:32.640 --> 0:18:34.040
<v Speaker 1>go the under On the forty seven and a half.

0:18:34.160 --> 0:18:38.720
<v Speaker 2>I'll go the under because look, Wisconsin should run, run,

0:18:38.840 --> 0:18:43.120
<v Speaker 2>run the ball all over Notre Dame, right, and Notre

0:18:43.200 --> 0:18:46.119
<v Speaker 2>Dame can play offense, uh, but they can play a

0:18:46.119 --> 0:18:49.800
<v Speaker 2>little defense too. I just I haven't been able to

0:18:49.800 --> 0:18:51.879
<v Speaker 2>get them right. So I'm not gonna touch the line,

0:18:52.400 --> 0:18:56.840
<v Speaker 2>especially with Wisco giving the six points. I'm gonna take

0:18:56.880 --> 0:18:58.920
<v Speaker 2>the under in this game, and then after that I'm

0:18:58.920 --> 0:18:59.720
<v Speaker 2>gonna run away from it.

0:18:59.720 --> 0:19:02.200
<v Speaker 1>You're right, fair enough, all right? Boise State nine and

0:19:02.200 --> 0:19:04.640
<v Speaker 1>a half win, favorites at Utah State the over under

0:19:04.640 --> 0:19:06.200
<v Speaker 1>a sixty nine and a half. Do you have any

0:19:06.240 --> 0:19:07.280
<v Speaker 1>leans on this one?

0:19:07.440 --> 0:19:09.119
<v Speaker 2>When I look at this line, it really seems to

0:19:09.160 --> 0:19:11.560
<v Speaker 2>me like Boise State is gonna be a bit underrated.

0:19:11.920 --> 0:19:14.280
<v Speaker 2>But they are one and two, but the two losses

0:19:14.320 --> 0:19:18.600
<v Speaker 2>are against UCF and Oklahoma State, which are some tough teams.

0:19:18.880 --> 0:19:21.560
<v Speaker 2>I think they're the better overall squad, but Blake Anderson

0:19:21.880 --> 0:19:24.200
<v Speaker 2>has those guys at Utah State playing some really good

0:19:24.200 --> 0:19:27.240
<v Speaker 2>offense and all like. There are two games this week

0:19:27.280 --> 0:19:30.720
<v Speaker 2>that bothered me because my gut tells me one thing,

0:19:30.760 --> 0:19:33.960
<v Speaker 2>but the betting public heavily tells me the other thing.

0:19:34.040 --> 0:19:36.800
<v Speaker 2>This is one of them. Ninety percent of money right

0:19:36.800 --> 0:19:41.480
<v Speaker 2>now on Utah State. So that's why when I feel like, Okay,

0:19:41.720 --> 0:19:43.399
<v Speaker 2>Boise State nine and a half, that seems like a

0:19:43.440 --> 0:19:45.560
<v Speaker 2>pretty good line. They could win by two touchdowns. And

0:19:45.560 --> 0:19:47.480
<v Speaker 2>then I see most of the money on Utah State,

0:19:47.520 --> 0:19:50.360
<v Speaker 2>I go I must be missing something, so that one

0:19:50.440 --> 0:19:52.800
<v Speaker 2>kind of takes me out of it. I'm gonna I'll

0:19:52.880 --> 0:19:55.280
<v Speaker 2>take Boise State, but not with any confidence.

0:19:55.720 --> 0:19:57.680
<v Speaker 3>I will be putting zero dollars on that game this week.

0:19:57.880 --> 0:20:00.560
<v Speaker 1>All right, So we hit Bogwin in the Let's hit

0:20:00.600 --> 0:20:03.600
<v Speaker 1>him in the heart here. Texas Tech at Texas Texas

0:20:03.640 --> 0:20:05.760
<v Speaker 1>seven and a half point favorites. The number is sixty

0:20:06.080 --> 0:20:07.439
<v Speaker 1>and a half here on this one.

0:20:07.680 --> 0:20:10.960
<v Speaker 2>This is eazy. You gotta take Texas Tech in this game.

0:20:11.119 --> 0:20:12.919
<v Speaker 2>I mean, being a Texas fan.

0:20:13.800 --> 0:20:18.359
<v Speaker 1>Outright either, Look, wow, I think.

0:20:18.240 --> 0:20:20.440
<v Speaker 3>Texas should win. Texas is a more talented team.

0:20:20.440 --> 0:20:24.640
<v Speaker 2>But we just talked about what happens when Tennessee plays Florida. Right,

0:20:24.960 --> 0:20:27.320
<v Speaker 2>So when Tennessee plays Florida, they get up to play

0:20:27.320 --> 0:20:29.640
<v Speaker 2>that game every single year. They are never a better

0:20:29.680 --> 0:20:32.320
<v Speaker 2>team than Florida, but they will beat them on occasion,

0:20:32.359 --> 0:20:34.440
<v Speaker 2>and they will beat the spread almost every time because

0:20:34.480 --> 0:20:38.400
<v Speaker 2>they play them hard. Texas Tech Texas is their super

0:20:38.440 --> 0:20:41.200
<v Speaker 2>Bowl every single year. It took Texas with Sam Ellinger,

0:20:41.600 --> 0:20:45.440
<v Speaker 2>their four year starter last year and on sidekick and

0:20:45.480 --> 0:20:49.280
<v Speaker 2>a blown calling overtime to beat Texas Tech. So they

0:20:49.280 --> 0:20:52.520
<v Speaker 2>should have lost last season. I think going into this game,

0:20:52.680 --> 0:20:56.320
<v Speaker 2>I'm more confident with Casey Thompson as a quarterback than

0:20:56.359 --> 0:21:01.240
<v Speaker 2>I was with Hudson Card. I'll say I'm probably more way,

0:21:01.280 --> 0:21:04.359
<v Speaker 2>way more into the over sixty and a half in

0:21:04.400 --> 0:21:07.840
<v Speaker 2>this game than i am anything else. But I think

0:21:07.920 --> 0:21:10.439
<v Speaker 2>if i'm if I'm getting points for Texas Tech, That's

0:21:10.480 --> 0:21:13.120
<v Speaker 2>what I'm going to do. But the talent and everything

0:21:13.160 --> 0:21:15.960
<v Speaker 2>in my head says go with Texas. They're the better team.

0:21:16.000 --> 0:21:19.520
<v Speaker 2>But Texas Tech plays them tough every single season. Man,

0:21:19.560 --> 0:21:22.359
<v Speaker 2>it's always a tough game. Remember Michael Crabtree, that was

0:21:22.359 --> 0:21:25.160
<v Speaker 2>Texas Tech, you know. So I remember where I was,

0:21:25.760 --> 0:21:27.000
<v Speaker 2>I remember where I was.

0:21:26.920 --> 0:21:29.280
<v Speaker 1>When that you remember what was on your trapper keeper though,

0:21:29.359 --> 0:21:30.000
<v Speaker 1>that's the question.

0:21:30.119 --> 0:21:32.560
<v Speaker 2>Well, I didn't have a trapper keeper, Joe, I had

0:21:32.560 --> 0:21:33.240
<v Speaker 2>a five star.

0:21:33.760 --> 0:21:37.679
<v Speaker 1>Oh well, not all of us grew up in the

0:21:37.720 --> 0:21:40.359
<v Speaker 1>fancy neighborhood in Arizona. Some of us were slumming it

0:21:40.400 --> 0:21:41.480
<v Speaker 1>with trapper keepers.

0:21:41.600 --> 0:21:44.040
<v Speaker 3>That's right. No no velcrow for me. I had a

0:21:44.160 --> 0:21:45.200
<v Speaker 3>zipper sign.

0:21:47.200 --> 0:21:49.440
<v Speaker 1>Thing is when the when you pull the velker thing

0:21:49.480 --> 0:21:52.360
<v Speaker 1>and the piece of attached to the other part came

0:21:52.400 --> 0:21:54.600
<v Speaker 1>off with it, and you're like, well this is now

0:21:54.640 --> 0:21:56.320
<v Speaker 1>it's not going to work ever, and then it never

0:21:56.400 --> 0:21:57.040
<v Speaker 1>closed again.

0:21:57.280 --> 0:21:59.240
<v Speaker 3>You try to know that it doesn't know that.

0:21:59.280 --> 0:22:03.120
<v Speaker 1>Oh yeah, that's that's real first world problems right there.

0:22:03.520 --> 0:22:08.359
<v Speaker 1>Last one here Iowa State. Iowa stateed right fourteenth in

0:22:08.400 --> 0:22:11.359
<v Speaker 1>the nation taking on Baylor the over unders forty seven.

0:22:11.440 --> 0:22:14.440
<v Speaker 1>Iowa State is favored by seven in this game. I'm

0:22:14.440 --> 0:22:17.159
<v Speaker 1>surprised there's no half either way. But you got a

0:22:17.200 --> 0:22:19.480
<v Speaker 1>strong seven there. That's that's the thing that gives me

0:22:19.520 --> 0:22:21.240
<v Speaker 1>pause there. So your thoughts on Iowa State.

0:22:21.640 --> 0:22:24.320
<v Speaker 2>Look, this is another one along with that Boise State winning,

0:22:24.359 --> 0:22:26.200
<v Speaker 2>although this one is way worse for me because I

0:22:26.240 --> 0:22:28.639
<v Speaker 2>look at this game and I go. I mean, this

0:22:28.760 --> 0:22:31.879
<v Speaker 2>is Iowa State, no walk, isn't it. But there's something

0:22:31.920 --> 0:22:36.359
<v Speaker 2>I don't know because the betting public is on Baylor

0:22:36.400 --> 0:22:36.919
<v Speaker 2>a little bit more.

0:22:36.960 --> 0:22:38.800
<v Speaker 3>I think I wrote Iowa State, but I meant Baylor.

0:22:38.960 --> 0:22:40.080
<v Speaker 1>And they're on the under too.

0:22:40.400 --> 0:22:43.160
<v Speaker 2>Yeah, and they're on the under. So my gut says

0:22:43.160 --> 0:22:46.400
<v Speaker 2>Iowa State wins this one in a romp. But everyone

0:22:46.600 --> 0:22:50.199
<v Speaker 2>I know and trust everything I look at, and I

0:22:50.280 --> 0:22:52.400
<v Speaker 2>went through a bunch of them. You know, my guy

0:22:52.480 --> 0:22:54.639
<v Speaker 2>Nick over and see if you winning edge, he's taken

0:22:54.680 --> 0:22:59.000
<v Speaker 2>Baylor two. And I'm just I don't understand why there

0:22:59.080 --> 0:23:01.359
<v Speaker 2>is a little history here. They went into Ames and

0:23:01.359 --> 0:23:04.360
<v Speaker 2>played Iowa State real tough last year, and I feel

0:23:04.400 --> 0:23:06.560
<v Speaker 2>like there Baylor's a better team than they were last year.

0:23:07.000 --> 0:23:10.399
<v Speaker 2>But I just think that Iowa State has kind of

0:23:10.400 --> 0:23:13.119
<v Speaker 2>been asleep at the wheel so far this year, and.

0:23:13.119 --> 0:23:14.359
<v Speaker 3>Maybe that's what people are thinking.

0:23:15.040 --> 0:23:17.159
<v Speaker 2>But I think they're gonna wake up to play Baylor,

0:23:17.280 --> 0:23:20.000
<v Speaker 2>So I think they went in a rump. But everything

0:23:20.080 --> 0:23:22.960
<v Speaker 2>I look says Baylor. So I'm just gonna stay away

0:23:22.960 --> 0:23:23.280
<v Speaker 2>from this.

0:23:23.280 --> 0:23:25.320
<v Speaker 1>Game, all right. There you have it. Make sure you

0:23:25.320 --> 0:23:27.600
<v Speaker 1>get all of your lines too. From bettingpros Dot com

0:23:27.600 --> 0:23:29.720
<v Speaker 1>head over to Betting Pros right now. Of course, check

0:23:29.800 --> 0:23:33.680
<v Speaker 1>out Bogman's latest work there, and you can also check

0:23:33.720 --> 0:23:35.960
<v Speaker 1>out all the different lines from all the different houses.

0:23:35.960 --> 0:23:38.240
<v Speaker 1>That's what betting Pros is all about. It allows you

0:23:38.280 --> 0:23:39.959
<v Speaker 1>to go make the best ways you possibly can at

0:23:39.960 --> 0:23:41.960
<v Speaker 1>the best place to get the best odds that you want.

0:23:42.280 --> 0:23:45.280
<v Speaker 1>That is the beauty of betting Pros. Anything else here,

0:23:45.359 --> 0:23:47.160
<v Speaker 1>Bogs that you got your eye on here for week

0:23:47.200 --> 0:23:48.200
<v Speaker 1>four before we call it a day.

0:23:48.600 --> 0:23:51.680
<v Speaker 3>No, I'm just I'm excited to, uh see what you.

0:23:51.600 --> 0:23:54.200
<v Speaker 1>Can't say no and then say something. Well, Lan Harris

0:23:54.280 --> 0:23:55.880
<v Speaker 1>used to do this to me every show. I'd say

0:23:55.880 --> 0:23:58.240
<v Speaker 1>any final thoughts, he say no, and then he would

0:23:58.280 --> 0:24:00.359
<v Speaker 1>say a final thought, So give me actually fun.

0:24:00.520 --> 0:24:02.439
<v Speaker 2>Look, I like Dan, so Dan and I are going

0:24:02.480 --> 0:24:04.920
<v Speaker 2>to be on the same page here. No, but I'm

0:24:04.920 --> 0:24:06.840
<v Speaker 2>looking forward to a lot of these games. I want

0:24:06.840 --> 0:24:08.840
<v Speaker 2>to see how I want to see if my gut

0:24:08.880 --> 0:24:11.159
<v Speaker 2>is right on some of these games, or if the

0:24:11.160 --> 0:24:13.280
<v Speaker 2>betting public is right. Of course, you know you always

0:24:13.320 --> 0:24:15.760
<v Speaker 2>want to see if you're smarter than everybody else, right,

0:24:16.320 --> 0:24:18.760
<v Speaker 2>But I'm really interested to see how Florida bounces back

0:24:18.760 --> 0:24:20.960
<v Speaker 2>after that loss. They can't play it. You can't be

0:24:21.000 --> 0:24:23.600
<v Speaker 2>in national title contention with a loss and then another

0:24:23.720 --> 0:24:27.520
<v Speaker 2>loss to Tennessee, so I think they should come out

0:24:27.680 --> 0:24:32.080
<v Speaker 2>and pound Tennessee. But like Texas Tech and Texas, Tennessee

0:24:32.080 --> 0:24:33.960
<v Speaker 2>gets up to play Florida. So I think I'm most

0:24:34.000 --> 0:24:36.359
<v Speaker 2>excited to watch that game this weekend and Arkansas can

0:24:36.480 --> 0:24:39.160
<v Speaker 2>Arkansas put themselves. They will put themselves on the national

0:24:39.200 --> 0:24:41.320
<v Speaker 2>map if they beat Texas A and M.

0:24:41.440 --> 0:24:43.879
<v Speaker 3>And I would love to see it. So let's go Arkansas.

0:24:44.000 --> 0:24:45.399
<v Speaker 1>I know you would, but I think you're right. That

0:24:45.440 --> 0:24:48.240
<v Speaker 1>Florida Tennessee game, that's the one to keep a close

0:24:48.280 --> 0:24:50.280
<v Speaker 1>eye on and see if there is that letdown, which

0:24:50.640 --> 0:24:52.360
<v Speaker 1>is inevitable when you have to get up to play

0:24:52.359 --> 0:24:54.359
<v Speaker 1>a team like Alabama and then turn it around like that.

0:24:54.480 --> 0:24:57.159
<v Speaker 1>But I'll ass that's why they play the game. So

0:24:57.200 --> 0:24:58.960
<v Speaker 1>we'll be back again next week to do it all again.

0:24:59.000 --> 0:25:01.280
<v Speaker 1>In the meantime, you can follow on Twitter of course

0:25:01.320 --> 0:25:04.160
<v Speaker 1>at Betting Pro's NFL and check him out at Bogman Sports.

0:25:04.440 --> 0:25:05.880
<v Speaker 1>That'll do for us, but the story of the game

0:25:05.920 --> 0:25:08.520
<v Speaker 1>goes on for Scott Bogman. I'm Joey P. We will

0:25:08.560 --> 0:25:09.280
<v Speaker 1>see you next time.

0:25:09.359 --> 0:25:09.679
<v Speaker 2>Kids,