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Speaker 1: It's time to place your bets. Let's talk to the pros.

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Speaker 1: Welcome in everybody to betting pros. It's me Joey p

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Speaker 1: Joe Pi Zapia And today it's week four in college football.

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Speaker 1: We're gonna preview all the games for you, and of

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Speaker 1: course there's nobody to do that with better than the one,

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Speaker 1: the only, Scott Bogman right here from in this league.

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Speaker 1: Of course, you can follow him on the Twitter machine

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Speaker 1: at Bogman Sports Bogman. It was an interesting week three.

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Speaker 1: A little bit of a close call there for Alabama

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Speaker 1: the Juggernauts, so I will take the l on that one.

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Speaker 1: Oh my goodness, that got a little too close for comfort.

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Speaker 1: And a few other teams maybe we have to learn

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Speaker 1: a little bit more about. But overall, a good week

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Speaker 1: from you yet again, So how was your week three

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Speaker 1: for you? Look?

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Speaker 2: Well, I was super annoyed week three. I'll say that.

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Speaker 2: You know, the Texas game wasn't fun. I mean, they

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Speaker 2: did stomp Rice, but it's not a fun game against Rice.

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Speaker 2: You know, Texas Tech always gives them problems, which you know,

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Speaker 2: hint hint, that might be in the Leans this week.

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Speaker 2: But I was annoyed because I was like five and five,

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Speaker 2: you know, in my article, I'm like, that's just okay.

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Speaker 3: And the two, the late ones are the ones that

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Speaker 3: killed me.

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Speaker 2: It was BYU beating up ASU as you had sixteen

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Speaker 2: penalties to three. That'll lose you every single game straight out.

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Speaker 2: And UCLA after beating LSU and stomping Hawaii and getting

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Speaker 2: an extra week off to play President State lost straight up.

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Speaker 2: I didn't understand any of that, But after looking at

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Speaker 2: how well everybody else did, I went, oh, right, you

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Speaker 2: know what, I'll take five and five.

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Speaker 3: Five and five is okay on this weird week.

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Speaker 2: So we're gonna get back on track in week four

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Speaker 2: and there's a lot of fun games to go through here.

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Speaker 3: Man.

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Speaker 1: All right, well let's take a quick look around too.

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Speaker 1: What were your thoughts on Alabama? Just kind of eking

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Speaker 1: out that victory against Florida.

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Speaker 2: Look, you know, it's kind of one of the realm

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Speaker 2: of possibility things I put in there last week, was that, Look,

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Speaker 2: I think Bama is they were in mid season form

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Speaker 2: and Florida wasn't and all that stuff, But Florida would

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Speaker 2: probably just preparing for Alabama the first couple of weeks, right,

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Speaker 2: that's probably the only game they were focused on, which

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Speaker 2: why they didn't look good in the other games. We

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Speaker 2: weren't really paying attention to who was in front of them.

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Speaker 2: They're just looking forward to that game, and they played

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Speaker 2: them hard, and there's a lot of talent in Florida

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Speaker 2: and Bama just wasn't at peak Bama. So you're going

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Speaker 2: to get a close game when it comes down to that,

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Speaker 2: and Bama is. They're not going to every single year

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Speaker 2: put up some historical number, and I think that's kind

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Speaker 2: of what we were expecting. After seeing LSU put up

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Speaker 2: the best offensive team in NCAA history and then Alabama

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Speaker 2: go right over them, one up them the next season,

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Speaker 2: we thought, okay, well maybe Bama does it again and

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Speaker 2: sets more records. No, it's not gonna happen year after

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Speaker 2: year after year. So Bama is still I think it

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Speaker 2: dropped them from eighty first place votes to seventy nine,

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Speaker 2: so that's all at ding them was one vote in

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Speaker 2: the polls. So there's still the number one team and

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Speaker 2: there's probably still going to go undefeated, but they're a

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Speaker 2: little more vulnerable than they were last year, which was

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Speaker 2: not at all.

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Speaker 1: So all right, well, Bobman, let me ask you this question,

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Speaker 1: who is BYU?

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Speaker 3: I don't. I wish I could cuss on this one.

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Speaker 2: If I know, Joe, I have no idea who BYU

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Speaker 2: is because I'm just gonna go ahead and say that

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Speaker 2: Week one was the mirage because I thought Week two

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Speaker 2: was the mirage, or I thought maybe you of A

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Speaker 2: got better. Maybe BYU got way worse without Zach Wilson

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Speaker 2: and they beat Utah. But once again, I didn't think

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Speaker 2: Utah played well in that game. So I like, I'm

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Speaker 2: okay losing that game with the logic I used. I

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Speaker 2: still think that my logic made sense. Obviously the result

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Speaker 2: wasn't there. But and they did a wide out and

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Speaker 2: all that stuff. The crowd was insane for BYU and

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Speaker 2: it caused a bunch of penalties. There many many false

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Speaker 2: starts for ASU and Jade Daniels just look rattled in

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Speaker 2: that game. So you know, you go as far as

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Speaker 2: your quarterback in ninety percent of football games, you know,

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Speaker 2: and Jade Daniels did not look right through a couple

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Speaker 2: of picks. So BYU might be pretty good. I'll just

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Speaker 2: say that. SOA Taki's a great coach. That's what we know.

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Speaker 1: What about Miami are they any good? Is the Michigan

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Speaker 1: State any good?

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Speaker 2: Okay, Michigan State's good, That's what I'll say. Mel Tucker

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Speaker 2: has got those guys playing, and I think someone said

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Speaker 2: that as underdogs under Meltucker, who came in there last year,

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Speaker 2: they've won four games straight up as underdogs. Jim Harbaugh

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Speaker 2: from Michigan has won zero games straight up as underdogs

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Speaker 2: for Michigan. Now, granted, they're underdogs way less than Michigan

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Speaker 2: State is, so you have to give him a little

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Speaker 2: bit of slack on that. But they haven't pulled out

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Speaker 2: and upset victory one under Harbaugh and mel Tucker already

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Speaker 2: has four from Michigan State. Run play, you know, run well,

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Speaker 2: and play good defense and have a quarterback that's not

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Speaker 2: going to turn the ball over.

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Speaker 3: That's what they're doing right now.

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Speaker 2: And Miami, now we saw dear King's probably not gonna

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Speaker 2: play this week, so they're gonna look real bad. They're

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Speaker 2: just not a good team this year.

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Speaker 1: It looks like anything else from week three that caught

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Speaker 1: your eye that you think is noteworthy before we turn

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Speaker 1: the page and look ahead.

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Speaker 2: Not really, I just you know, I want to bury

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Speaker 2: week three. You allow grave, let's go.

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Speaker 3: Well, let's move on.

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Speaker 1: Let's move on, let's go. We're on to Cincinnati. Let's

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Speaker 1: go are here we go. As always, we're gonna talk

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Speaker 1: about the national games, and here are the ones that

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Speaker 1: Bagman has strong feelings for all the fields, as the

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Speaker 1: kids like to say, and let's start with LSU. That's

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Speaker 1: two and a half way favorites on the road at

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Speaker 1: Mississippi State. Uh and of course fifty five and a

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Speaker 1: half is the number. So your thoughts on this game here.

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Speaker 2: Box this one. Just for a full confession. I don't

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Speaker 2: like Mike Leach at all. I don't like his all offense,

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Speaker 2: no defense bit. I don't think that's ever gonna work.

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Speaker 2: He's been accused of being abusive towards the players.

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Speaker 3: I don't like that.

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Speaker 2: He made some questionable comments last season which had a

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Speaker 2: lot of his players transfer.

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Speaker 3: I don't like him and I never will.

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Speaker 2: So with that on the table, I obviously am going

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Speaker 2: to like LSU in this game. Mississippi State looked great

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Speaker 2: against NC State, but bad against Louisiana Tech. They lost.

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Speaker 2: They had one point lost to Memphis last week. And

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Speaker 2: it's not like LSU or or Orjron. It's not like

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Speaker 2: I like them, but I'm gonna take LSU at this

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Speaker 2: point because I think they're gonna be able to put

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Speaker 2: points up on Mississippi State because anyone not named NC

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Speaker 2: State apparently can. And I just I think I'm the

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Speaker 2: most confident in the over. I think the over is

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Speaker 2: kind of low here, fifty five and a half. I

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Speaker 2: think this is gonna be a classic shootout. Mississippi State's

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Speaker 2: gonna score, but LSU can score, So I think it's

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Speaker 2: going to be a shootout. And if it's only two

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Speaker 2: and a half points, I'm going to take LSU.

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Speaker 1: All right, Let's move on to the next one. Here

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Speaker 1: on the board, Texas A and M seventh ranked is

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Speaker 1: four and a half point favorites against Arkansas ranked sixteenth. Now,

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Speaker 1: Texas A and M did look better last week, but

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Speaker 1: then again, that was no Mexico, So I don't know

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Speaker 1: if you can really take too much of the New

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Speaker 1: Mexico contest against A and M. I guess the question

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Speaker 1: is how good is that Aggie's offense?

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Speaker 2: Not very is what I would say under Calzada, And

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Speaker 2: this one's in Jerry World in Dallas, so this is

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Speaker 2: going to be at what is it called now?

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Speaker 3: At and t I just always called Jerry.

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Speaker 1: You know, man, I can't keep up with any of

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Speaker 1: the naming of ballparks or stadiums anymore. I'm so old.

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Speaker 1: I still call it like, you know, whatever the original

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Speaker 1: one was, whenever it was called first. That's what I

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Speaker 1: call everything now, especially in baseball where they change every year.

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Speaker 1: It feels like I can't keep up my head.

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Speaker 2: Right at Troy Aikmanfield in Dallas, I think the Razorbacks

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Speaker 2: are going to win this one straight up. And maybe

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Speaker 2: I'm not giving A and M their credit, but like

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Speaker 2: you said, they had one good offensive showing against New Mexico.

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Speaker 2: New Mexico is not a very good team. They're getting

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Speaker 2: a point and a half against UTEP this week, so

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Speaker 2: which my guy Nick likes.

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Speaker 3: But I that game is terrible. That will be on

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Speaker 3: no TVs.

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Speaker 2: As it should be outside of you know, El Paso

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Speaker 2: in New Mexico. But I like the Razorbacks straight up.

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Speaker 2: They're eighth in the country in rushing. They're getting two

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Speaker 2: hundred and eighty two yards per game right now, Arkansas

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Speaker 2: is we saw them dominate Texas with the run game,

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Speaker 2: and I think Texas A and M's defense is way

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Speaker 2: better than Texas. Don't get me wrong there, but I

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Speaker 2: think this is going to turn into a slugfest, and

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Speaker 2: when it comes down to that, I'm going to go

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Speaker 2: with their veteran quarterback Jefferson over Calzada, who is starting

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Speaker 2: his third game for the Aggie. So I think, you know,

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Speaker 2: is a huge nationally televised game for both these teams.

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Speaker 2: I think this one is a game that can absolutely

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Speaker 2: put Arkansas back on the map as far as national contention.

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Speaker 2: So I like the Razorbacks to come away with a win.

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Speaker 3: Here.

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Speaker 1: The team that plays about twenty minutes from my house,

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Speaker 1: Rutgers Scarlet Lights taking on Michigan. Michigan obviously right nineteenth

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Speaker 1: their favored by eighteen and a half. That's a pretty

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Speaker 1: big number. I guess. The question is this is this

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Speaker 1: going to look more like the game where they push

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Speaker 1: into overtime last year or more like the fifty two

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Speaker 1: to nothing drubbing from twenty nineteen. I mean, Schiano certainly

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Speaker 1: has come back and made Rutgers at least more respectable

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Speaker 1: than they were in a few years leading up to that.

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Speaker 1: But where is Rutgers right now? And is this a

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Speaker 1: potential trap? A bit when it comes to this Michigan

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Speaker 1: number eighteen and a half.

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Speaker 2: I think I think it is and just the overwhelming

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Speaker 2: you know, bets are on Rutgers right now because this

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Speaker 2: number is big, So I think you're gonna be able

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Speaker 2: to I think my favorite thing here is the over

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Speaker 2: fifty two instead of the eighteen and a half, because

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Speaker 2: what I think you're gonna have here is a Michigan

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Speaker 2: team that has put up points. You know, they have

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Speaker 2: put up points. They're number one in RUSSI. Three hundred

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Speaker 2: and fifty yards per game is what Michigan is averaging

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Speaker 2: right now.

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Speaker 3: And they've played Washington.

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Speaker 2: In there, you know, and we all know Washington is

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Speaker 2: not what we expect them to be coming into the season,

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Speaker 2: but they're a team that should not be giving up

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Speaker 2: an absurd amount of rushing yards. And this is just

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Speaker 2: what Michigan is averaging and they've actually put together. I mean,

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Speaker 2: Blake korm you can actually use in college fantasy football

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Speaker 2: at this point, because my argument against why I dislike

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Speaker 2: Michigan on all fronts is because I can't stand Jim Harbaugh.

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Speaker 2: They use too many different offensive players, and they never

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Speaker 2: throw the ball, and they use fourteen different backs. Blake

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Speaker 2: Koram is actually getting the majority of the work for

218
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Speaker 2: Michigan right now, so I think they roll this one.

219
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Speaker 3: I'm I'm with you. I do respect Shiato.

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Speaker 2: I just don't think he's going to be able to

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Speaker 2: do it this quickly, and I don't think this is

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Speaker 2: a weird COVID year where you know, both teams get

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Speaker 2: to practice less and all that stuff. When we go

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Speaker 2: into overtime, Michigan looks sharp right now. I think I

225
00:10:56,400 --> 00:10:58,679
Speaker 2: think my favorite is the over. But if I'm betting

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Speaker 2: on that spread, I'm going to definitely be taking Michigan.

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Speaker 3: And given the.

228
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Speaker 1: Points, Tennessee goes to Florida. Florida ranked eleventh right now,

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Speaker 1: they are favoring this game by eighteen and a half.

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Speaker 1: The over under is sixty two bogs. Is this a

231
00:11:10,679 --> 00:11:13,840
Speaker 1: letdown game potentially for Florida because obviously a very emotional

232
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Speaker 1: contest last week coming close and maybe Argua we should

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Speaker 1: have beaten Alabama. But is there a bit of a

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Speaker 1: letdown here for Florida in this game? And is there

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Speaker 1: money to be made off of it?

236
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Speaker 2: Well, I'll tell you what. The betting public for sure

237
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Speaker 2: thinks that it is. Ninety percent of money is on

238
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Speaker 2: Tennessee right now, which is unbelievable to me. So because

239
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Speaker 2: I look at this line and I go, man, Florida

240
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Speaker 2: just almost beat Alabama. I thought it was going to

241
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Speaker 2: be at least twenty points. Well, it opened it twenty

242
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Speaker 2: and it has since slid to eighteen and a half.

243
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Speaker 2: So what I'm doing is I am waiting until Saturday

244
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Speaker 2: morning to bet this game at the best line I

245
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Speaker 2: can because if more money is going to come in

246
00:11:54,000 --> 00:11:55,880
Speaker 2: on Tennessee, this could shrink all the way down to

247
00:11:55,960 --> 00:11:59,400
Speaker 2: you know, fifteen, sixteen points here. So I'm going to

248
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Speaker 2: wait until Florida. But Florida. It's happened in Florida so

249
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Speaker 2: many times. Florida was ranked six last year and only

250
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Speaker 2: beat Tennessee by twelve. They've had plenty of games where

251
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Speaker 2: they're the fourth ranked team and the nation like this.

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Speaker 2: Sometimes Tennessee it seems to me this is the only

253
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Speaker 2: important game on their schedule. Is we want to play

254
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Speaker 2: Florida hard. They still lose most of the time. But

255
00:12:22,360 --> 00:12:23,720
Speaker 2: I'm gonna wait till the end of the week and

256
00:12:23,760 --> 00:12:26,520
Speaker 2: I'm gonna take Florida because I just think, I think

257
00:12:26,559 --> 00:12:29,240
Speaker 2: if you're Florida, you can't be let down by barely

258
00:12:29,320 --> 00:12:31,960
Speaker 2: losing to Alabama. You have to be inspired by barely

259
00:12:32,000 --> 00:12:33,760
Speaker 2: losing the Bama and you have to go out there

260
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Speaker 2: and thump Tennessee because you know now you have to

261
00:12:36,760 --> 00:12:39,360
Speaker 2: have big wins on that schedule to make the tournament.

262
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Speaker 2: So for Florida, I think they're going to go out

263
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Speaker 2: there and I think they're going to rock them. I

264
00:12:44,920 --> 00:12:47,440
Speaker 2: think it's going to be a tough one for Tennessee,

265
00:12:47,480 --> 00:12:49,839
Speaker 2: but they seem to climb into this one when you

266
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Speaker 2: least expect them.

267
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Speaker 3: But I'm pretty confident on Florida.

268
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Speaker 1: Here, fourth ranked Oklahoma is favored by seventeen over West

269
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Speaker 1: Virginia University. The number for this one is fifty six.

270
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Speaker 1: Seventeen is the spread. Do you think this is a

271
00:13:02,760 --> 00:13:04,240
Speaker 1: comfortable number here for Oklahoma?

272
00:13:05,000 --> 00:13:08,160
Speaker 2: No, I don't know how you could be comfortable with Oklahoma,

273
00:13:08,400 --> 00:13:11,000
Speaker 2: and the betting public is and I understand that. And look,

274
00:13:11,640 --> 00:13:14,400
Speaker 2: we saw West Virginia loose to Maryland week one. That's

275
00:13:15,120 --> 00:13:18,360
Speaker 2: understandable why people are on Oklahoma here and they're at home.

276
00:13:18,679 --> 00:13:21,479
Speaker 2: But we saw Oklahoma go toe to toe with Tulane.

277
00:13:22,320 --> 00:13:25,840
Speaker 2: They just barely beat Nebraska last week. You know, at

278
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Speaker 2: any point Oklahoma can turn on, there're a more talented team.

279
00:13:29,480 --> 00:13:32,120
Speaker 2: I don't think there's any arguing about that. But with

280
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Speaker 2: West Virginia beating Virginia Tech, who looks strong, you know,

281
00:13:37,480 --> 00:13:39,360
Speaker 2: came out beat you n C week one and all

282
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Speaker 2: that stuff, I know we can't keep doing transitive properties

283
00:13:43,040 --> 00:13:46,080
Speaker 2: and all that stuff. But I think I'm most confident

284
00:13:46,120 --> 00:13:48,400
Speaker 2: in the over fifty six in this game just because

285
00:13:48,440 --> 00:13:50,920
Speaker 2: of the way Oklahoma's defense has been playing. Sure, they

286
00:13:50,920 --> 00:13:54,560
Speaker 2: stopped Nebraska last week, but Illinois stopped Nebraska, you know,

287
00:13:54,679 --> 00:13:58,240
Speaker 2: so it's not like that is this insurmountable feat to

288
00:13:58,320 --> 00:14:01,640
Speaker 2: stop Nebraska's offense that has been bad for four years.

289
00:14:01,880 --> 00:14:03,640
Speaker 2: West Virginia is gonna go out there and put points

290
00:14:03,679 --> 00:14:06,160
Speaker 2: up on the board. I just don't know how when

291
00:14:06,200 --> 00:14:09,079
Speaker 2: you see what Oklahoma's defense is playing like right now,

292
00:14:09,480 --> 00:14:11,880
Speaker 2: you can have any confidence in them. So I like

293
00:14:12,120 --> 00:14:14,640
Speaker 2: the points for West Virginia. I like the over in

294
00:14:14,720 --> 00:14:16,320
Speaker 2: this game. I think it's gonna go toe to toe

295
00:14:16,320 --> 00:14:20,080
Speaker 2: for a shootout. Austin Kendall, quarterback for West Virginia, is

296
00:14:20,120 --> 00:14:21,400
Speaker 2: a transfer from Oklahoma.

297
00:14:21,600 --> 00:14:23,000
Speaker 3: You know, he wants to go in there and get

298
00:14:23,040 --> 00:14:23,640
Speaker 3: some revenge.

299
00:14:23,760 --> 00:14:26,560
Speaker 2: So let's see what WVU has I'm gonna take them

300
00:14:26,560 --> 00:14:27,120
Speaker 2: in this game.

301
00:14:27,480 --> 00:14:29,680
Speaker 1: The last time I had to worry about transitive properties.

302
00:14:29,680 --> 00:14:33,320
Speaker 1: I'm pretty sure I had a trapper keeper. Uh oh yeah,

303
00:14:33,400 --> 00:14:33,920
Speaker 1: pretty sure.

304
00:14:34,080 --> 00:14:36,440
Speaker 3: Was it the one that Bill Cosby had and came back?

305
00:14:37,360 --> 00:14:39,520
Speaker 1: It was not the one from south Park that that

306
00:14:39,640 --> 00:14:42,600
Speaker 1: guy had, No, it was definitely not. But try to

307
00:14:42,600 --> 00:14:44,680
Speaker 1: remember if it had like a character or something on it.

308
00:14:44,720 --> 00:14:46,800
Speaker 1: Probably not. Probably by middle school it's like, no, you

309
00:14:46,800 --> 00:14:47,880
Speaker 1: can't do the character ones.

310
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Speaker 2: So it's always had shapes on them. They had like

311
00:14:50,200 --> 00:14:51,320
Speaker 2: weird Yeah, they.

312
00:14:51,200 --> 00:14:53,880
Speaker 1: Had like designs or like space and things.

313
00:14:54,280 --> 00:14:56,000
Speaker 2: Not the same age. Yeah, I think I might have

314
00:14:56,080 --> 00:14:57,800
Speaker 2: got yours and a hand me down, so yeah.

315
00:14:57,840 --> 00:14:58,240
Speaker 3: Probably.

316
00:14:58,320 --> 00:14:59,880
Speaker 1: By the way, that reminds me of a bunch of stuff.

317
00:15:00,040 --> 00:15:01,880
Speaker 1: How she got to pick up last game? Here on

318
00:15:01,920 --> 00:15:05,600
Speaker 1: the likes Arizona at Oregon. Oregon rank third of the nation,

319
00:15:06,120 --> 00:15:09,200
Speaker 1: Oregon a massive favorite in this game. Twenty eight and

320
00:15:09,240 --> 00:15:11,440
Speaker 1: a half points. My goodness, fifty eight and a half

321
00:15:11,520 --> 00:15:14,400
Speaker 1: is the number. So that's a whole lot of points, Bogs.

322
00:15:14,440 --> 00:15:16,400
Speaker 1: Do you feel safe here with Oregon in Arizona?

323
00:15:16,560 --> 00:15:17,560
Speaker 3: It's not enough points?

324
00:15:17,800 --> 00:15:20,040
Speaker 2: Oregon by fifty U of a has only gotten worse

325
00:15:20,200 --> 00:15:23,520
Speaker 2: since that BYU game. They just lost to Northern Arizona.

326
00:15:23,800 --> 00:15:26,200
Speaker 2: I have a friend that, my guy Chad, who is

327
00:15:26,240 --> 00:15:30,120
Speaker 2: a huge U of a guy, just a Tucson guy,

328
00:15:30,320 --> 00:15:34,480
Speaker 2: loves it there. He texts me after that game, a

329
00:15:34,520 --> 00:15:37,200
Speaker 2: new all time low. You know, when you lose in

330
00:15:37,320 --> 00:15:41,160
Speaker 2: Northern Arizona, it is rough in the streets FCS school.

331
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Speaker 2: I like the over in this game. I think this

332
00:15:43,400 --> 00:15:45,120
Speaker 2: is you know, and that was what I was most

333
00:15:45,160 --> 00:15:47,840
Speaker 2: accurate on last week was over unders, opposite of my

334
00:15:47,920 --> 00:15:51,920
Speaker 2: NFL calls. But Oregon, I think is gonna get the

335
00:15:51,920 --> 00:15:54,640
Speaker 2: majority of this fifty eight and a half. Ninety two

336
00:15:54,640 --> 00:15:58,280
Speaker 2: percent of money is on Oregon right now. So I

337
00:15:58,400 --> 00:16:00,560
Speaker 2: like Oregon. I like the over in the game. I

338
00:16:00,880 --> 00:16:04,120
Speaker 2: expect this to be like a you know, forty nine

339
00:16:04,200 --> 00:16:07,960
Speaker 2: to fourteen game something like that. So you know, at

340
00:16:07,960 --> 00:16:11,320
Speaker 2: that point you're winning by thirty five and you're hitting

341
00:16:11,320 --> 00:16:11,720
Speaker 2: the over.

342
00:16:12,200 --> 00:16:13,840
Speaker 3: I think that's easy money.

343
00:16:14,120 --> 00:16:16,320
Speaker 1: All right. So those are the likes. Now let's go

344
00:16:16,360 --> 00:16:19,000
Speaker 1: to the leans. These are the games that Bogman has

345
00:16:19,240 --> 00:16:22,040
Speaker 1: less strong feelings about. But still we're not gonna let

346
00:16:22,080 --> 00:16:23,680
Speaker 1: you down. We're still gonna talk about him and break

347
00:16:23,720 --> 00:16:25,520
Speaker 1: them down a little bit. See if we can find

348
00:16:25,520 --> 00:16:27,760
Speaker 1: some things that we maybe like a little bit. But

349
00:16:27,840 --> 00:16:30,640
Speaker 1: let's start with Marshall at Appalachian State. This is not

350
00:16:30,680 --> 00:16:33,080
Speaker 1: the game that I thought we'd be talking about today, Bogs.

351
00:16:33,160 --> 00:16:34,240
Speaker 3: It's a Thursday game.

352
00:16:34,520 --> 00:16:38,480
Speaker 1: It's a Thursday game Appleationia State minus seven. The sixty

353
00:16:38,600 --> 00:16:41,720
Speaker 1: number is the over under. Your thoughts on this contest, Yeah.

354
00:16:41,600 --> 00:16:43,240
Speaker 2: That's what We're only talking about it because it's the

355
00:16:43,240 --> 00:16:45,440
Speaker 2: only game on Thursday, so it is nashally tell me yeah,

356
00:16:45,480 --> 00:16:47,720
Speaker 2: but still actually four games, but this is the only

357
00:16:47,800 --> 00:16:48,320
Speaker 2: nationally still.

358
00:16:48,320 --> 00:16:50,080
Speaker 1: I don't how many times Appalachian State we're going to

359
00:16:50,120 --> 00:16:51,040
Speaker 1: talk about this year, but.

360
00:16:51,440 --> 00:16:53,240
Speaker 2: Well, look we just talked about them last week because

361
00:16:53,240 --> 00:16:58,520
Speaker 2: they are right, you know, there are strong app State

362
00:16:58,600 --> 00:17:01,720
Speaker 2: is usually the strongest chief team, one of the stronger

363
00:17:01,800 --> 00:17:04,600
Speaker 2: G five teams. But I like Marshall plus the points

364
00:17:04,600 --> 00:17:06,480
Speaker 2: in this one. I'm a little confused on why with

365
00:17:06,600 --> 00:17:09,520
Speaker 2: so much confidence on the under, eighty three percent of

366
00:17:09,560 --> 00:17:13,000
Speaker 2: people are betting the under right now, this game isn't

367
00:17:13,000 --> 00:17:15,680
Speaker 2: closer to fifty to fifty because the line is small.

368
00:17:15,720 --> 00:17:16,800
Speaker 3: It's just a touchdown.

369
00:17:16,840 --> 00:17:21,080
Speaker 2: So Marshall hasn't played defense a defense anywhere close to Appstate,

370
00:17:21,440 --> 00:17:23,600
Speaker 2: but they've put up forty points in every game. I

371
00:17:23,600 --> 00:17:25,440
Speaker 2: think this is going to be a point for point game.

372
00:17:25,720 --> 00:17:28,400
Speaker 2: This could come down to the last team with the football.

373
00:17:28,720 --> 00:17:31,200
Speaker 2: So if it's going to be that close and it's

374
00:17:31,240 --> 00:17:34,400
Speaker 2: going to be low scoring, as you know, the better

375
00:17:34,480 --> 00:17:36,520
Speaker 2: scene the betting public teams to think it's going to be,

376
00:17:37,040 --> 00:17:39,840
Speaker 2: then I just for me, I think I got to

377
00:17:39,880 --> 00:17:41,679
Speaker 2: take the team getting the points, and I like what

378
00:17:41,720 --> 00:17:43,879
Speaker 2: Marshall's been doing so far. Now, they did lose to

379
00:17:43,960 --> 00:17:46,560
Speaker 2: ECU last week, which was a terrible game, but they

380
00:17:46,640 --> 00:17:50,440
Speaker 2: let up three touchdowns in the last seven minutes, so

381
00:17:50,560 --> 00:17:52,800
Speaker 2: they were comfortably leading most of that game.

382
00:17:52,880 --> 00:17:54,520
Speaker 3: So I do still think they're the better team. They

383
00:17:54,640 --> 00:17:55,600
Speaker 3: just choked it at the end.

384
00:17:56,040 --> 00:18:00,040
Speaker 1: If Superman's weakness is kryptonite, then Bogmins is certainly the

385
00:18:00,080 --> 00:18:03,760
Speaker 1: gold helmet of Notre Dame. Notre Dame brink twelve minus

386
00:18:03,800 --> 00:18:06,880
Speaker 1: six and a half right now favored against Wisconsin, ranked

387
00:18:06,960 --> 00:18:09,399
Speaker 1: number eighteen. This game is gonna be played at Soldier Field,

388
00:18:09,800 --> 00:18:11,320
Speaker 1: So Bogs, you want to take a shot this week

389
00:18:11,320 --> 00:18:16,560
Speaker 1: at Notre Dame or just run the other direction. Okay,

390
00:18:16,720 --> 00:18:17,440
Speaker 1: that says it all.

391
00:18:17,720 --> 00:18:21,639
Speaker 2: So this one, this one has confused me because I

392
00:18:21,640 --> 00:18:24,120
Speaker 2: thought the line was moving, I was reading the wrong thing.

393
00:18:24,240 --> 00:18:28,119
Speaker 2: But for me, I'm gonna end up taking the under

394
00:18:28,400 --> 00:18:30,080
Speaker 2: in this game is what I'm gonna do here.

395
00:18:30,200 --> 00:18:30,720
Speaker 3: I don't want to.

396
00:18:30,680 --> 00:18:32,640
Speaker 1: Forty seven and a half, So that's where you're gonna

397
00:18:32,640 --> 00:18:34,040
Speaker 1: go the under On the forty seven and a half.

398
00:18:34,160 --> 00:18:38,720
Speaker 2: I'll go the under because look, Wisconsin should run, run,

399
00:18:38,840 --> 00:18:43,120
Speaker 2: run the ball all over Notre Dame, right, and Notre

400
00:18:43,200 --> 00:18:46,119
Speaker 2: Dame can play offense, uh, but they can play a

401
00:18:46,119 --> 00:18:49,800
Speaker 2: little defense too. I just I haven't been able to

402
00:18:49,800 --> 00:18:51,879
Speaker 2: get them right. So I'm not gonna touch the line,

403
00:18:52,400 --> 00:18:56,840
Speaker 2: especially with Wisco giving the six points. I'm gonna take

404
00:18:56,880 --> 00:18:58,920
Speaker 2: the under in this game, and then after that I'm

405
00:18:58,920 --> 00:18:59,720
Speaker 2: gonna run away from it.

406
00:18:59,720 --> 00:19:02,200
Speaker 1: You're right, fair enough, all right? Boise State nine and

407
00:19:02,200 --> 00:19:04,640
Speaker 1: a half win, favorites at Utah State the over under

408
00:19:04,640 --> 00:19:06,200
Speaker 1: a sixty nine and a half. Do you have any

409
00:19:06,240 --> 00:19:07,280
Speaker 1: leans on this one?

410
00:19:07,440 --> 00:19:09,119
Speaker 2: When I look at this line, it really seems to

411
00:19:09,160 --> 00:19:11,560
Speaker 2: me like Boise State is gonna be a bit underrated.

412
00:19:11,920 --> 00:19:14,280
Speaker 2: But they are one and two, but the two losses

413
00:19:14,320 --> 00:19:18,600
Speaker 2: are against UCF and Oklahoma State, which are some tough teams.

414
00:19:18,880 --> 00:19:21,560
Speaker 2: I think they're the better overall squad, but Blake Anderson

415
00:19:21,880 --> 00:19:24,200
Speaker 2: has those guys at Utah State playing some really good

416
00:19:24,200 --> 00:19:27,240
Speaker 2: offense and all like. There are two games this week

417
00:19:27,280 --> 00:19:30,720
Speaker 2: that bothered me because my gut tells me one thing,

418
00:19:30,760 --> 00:19:33,960
Speaker 2: but the betting public heavily tells me the other thing.

419
00:19:34,040 --> 00:19:36,800
Speaker 2: This is one of them. Ninety percent of money right

420
00:19:36,800 --> 00:19:41,480
Speaker 2: now on Utah State. So that's why when I feel like, Okay,

421
00:19:41,720 --> 00:19:43,399
Speaker 2: Boise State nine and a half, that seems like a

422
00:19:43,440 --> 00:19:45,560
Speaker 2: pretty good line. They could win by two touchdowns. And

423
00:19:45,560 --> 00:19:47,480
Speaker 2: then I see most of the money on Utah State,

424
00:19:47,520 --> 00:19:50,360
Speaker 2: I go I must be missing something, so that one

425
00:19:50,440 --> 00:19:52,800
Speaker 2: kind of takes me out of it. I'm gonna I'll

426
00:19:52,880 --> 00:19:55,280
Speaker 2: take Boise State, but not with any confidence.

427
00:19:55,720 --> 00:19:57,680
Speaker 3: I will be putting zero dollars on that game this week.

428
00:19:57,880 --> 00:20:00,560
Speaker 1: All right, So we hit Bogwin in the Let's hit

429
00:20:00,600 --> 00:20:03,600
Speaker 1: him in the heart here. Texas Tech at Texas Texas

430
00:20:03,640 --> 00:20:05,760
Speaker 1: seven and a half point favorites. The number is sixty

431
00:20:06,080 --> 00:20:07,439
Speaker 1: and a half here on this one.

432
00:20:07,680 --> 00:20:10,960
Speaker 2: This is eazy. You gotta take Texas Tech in this game.

433
00:20:11,119 --> 00:20:12,919
Speaker 2: I mean, being a Texas fan.

434
00:20:13,800 --> 00:20:18,359
Speaker 1: Outright either, Look, wow, I think.

435
00:20:18,240 --> 00:20:20,440
Speaker 3: Texas should win. Texas is a more talented team.

436
00:20:20,440 --> 00:20:24,640
Speaker 2: But we just talked about what happens when Tennessee plays Florida. Right,

437
00:20:24,960 --> 00:20:27,320
Speaker 2: So when Tennessee plays Florida, they get up to play

438
00:20:27,320 --> 00:20:29,640
Speaker 2: that game every single year. They are never a better

439
00:20:29,680 --> 00:20:32,320
Speaker 2: team than Florida, but they will beat them on occasion,

440
00:20:32,359 --> 00:20:34,440
Speaker 2: and they will beat the spread almost every time because

441
00:20:34,480 --> 00:20:38,400
Speaker 2: they play them hard. Texas Tech Texas is their super

442
00:20:38,440 --> 00:20:41,200
Speaker 2: Bowl every single year. It took Texas with Sam Ellinger,

443
00:20:41,600 --> 00:20:45,440
Speaker 2: their four year starter last year and on sidekick and

444
00:20:45,480 --> 00:20:49,280
Speaker 2: a blown calling overtime to beat Texas Tech. So they

445
00:20:49,280 --> 00:20:52,520
Speaker 2: should have lost last season. I think going into this game,

446
00:20:52,680 --> 00:20:56,320
Speaker 2: I'm more confident with Casey Thompson as a quarterback than

447
00:20:56,359 --> 00:21:01,240
Speaker 2: I was with Hudson Card. I'll say I'm probably more way,

448
00:21:01,280 --> 00:21:04,359
Speaker 2: way more into the over sixty and a half in

449
00:21:04,400 --> 00:21:07,840
Speaker 2: this game than i am anything else. But I think

450
00:21:07,920 --> 00:21:10,439
Speaker 2: if i'm if I'm getting points for Texas Tech, That's

451
00:21:10,480 --> 00:21:13,120
Speaker 2: what I'm going to do. But the talent and everything

452
00:21:13,160 --> 00:21:15,960
Speaker 2: in my head says go with Texas. They're the better team.

453
00:21:16,000 --> 00:21:19,520
Speaker 2: But Texas Tech plays them tough every single season. Man,

454
00:21:19,560 --> 00:21:22,359
Speaker 2: it's always a tough game. Remember Michael Crabtree, that was

455
00:21:22,359 --> 00:21:25,160
Speaker 2: Texas Tech, you know. So I remember where I was,

456
00:21:25,760 --> 00:21:27,000
Speaker 2: I remember where I was.

457
00:21:26,920 --> 00:21:29,280
Speaker 1: When that you remember what was on your trapper keeper though,

458
00:21:29,359 --> 00:21:30,000
Speaker 1: that's the question.

459
00:21:30,119 --> 00:21:32,560
Speaker 2: Well, I didn't have a trapper keeper, Joe, I had

460
00:21:32,560 --> 00:21:33,240
Speaker 2: a five star.

461
00:21:33,760 --> 00:21:37,679
Speaker 1: Oh well, not all of us grew up in the

462
00:21:37,720 --> 00:21:40,359
Speaker 1: fancy neighborhood in Arizona. Some of us were slumming it

463
00:21:40,400 --> 00:21:41,480
Speaker 1: with trapper keepers.

464
00:21:41,600 --> 00:21:44,040
Speaker 3: That's right. No no velcrow for me. I had a

465
00:21:44,160 --> 00:21:45,200
Speaker 3: zipper sign.

466
00:21:47,200 --> 00:21:49,440
Speaker 1: Thing is when the when you pull the velker thing

467
00:21:49,480 --> 00:21:52,360
Speaker 1: and the piece of attached to the other part came

468
00:21:52,400 --> 00:21:54,600
Speaker 1: off with it, and you're like, well this is now

469
00:21:54,640 --> 00:21:56,320
Speaker 1: it's not going to work ever, and then it never

470
00:21:56,400 --> 00:21:57,040
Speaker 1: closed again.

471
00:21:57,280 --> 00:21:59,240
Speaker 3: You try to know that it doesn't know that.

472
00:21:59,280 --> 00:22:03,120
Speaker 1: Oh yeah, that's that's real first world problems right there.

473
00:22:03,520 --> 00:22:08,359
Speaker 1: Last one here Iowa State. Iowa stateed right fourteenth in

474
00:22:08,400 --> 00:22:11,359
Speaker 1: the nation taking on Baylor the over unders forty seven.

475
00:22:11,440 --> 00:22:14,440
Speaker 1: Iowa State is favored by seven in this game. I'm

476
00:22:14,440 --> 00:22:17,159
Speaker 1: surprised there's no half either way. But you got a

477
00:22:17,200 --> 00:22:19,480
Speaker 1: strong seven there. That's that's the thing that gives me

478
00:22:19,520 --> 00:22:21,240
Speaker 1: pause there. So your thoughts on Iowa State.

479
00:22:21,640 --> 00:22:24,320
Speaker 2: Look, this is another one along with that Boise State winning,

480
00:22:24,359 --> 00:22:26,200
Speaker 2: although this one is way worse for me because I

481
00:22:26,240 --> 00:22:28,639
Speaker 2: look at this game and I go. I mean, this

482
00:22:28,760 --> 00:22:31,879
Speaker 2: is Iowa State, no walk, isn't it. But there's something

483
00:22:31,920 --> 00:22:36,359
Speaker 2: I don't know because the betting public is on Baylor

484
00:22:36,400 --> 00:22:36,919
Speaker 2: a little bit more.

485
00:22:36,960 --> 00:22:38,800
Speaker 3: I think I wrote Iowa State, but I meant Baylor.

486
00:22:38,960 --> 00:22:40,080
Speaker 1: And they're on the under too.

487
00:22:40,400 --> 00:22:43,160
Speaker 2: Yeah, and they're on the under. So my gut says

488
00:22:43,160 --> 00:22:46,400
Speaker 2: Iowa State wins this one in a romp. But everyone

489
00:22:46,600 --> 00:22:50,199
Speaker 2: I know and trust everything I look at, and I

490
00:22:50,280 --> 00:22:52,400
Speaker 2: went through a bunch of them. You know, my guy

491
00:22:52,480 --> 00:22:54,639
Speaker 2: Nick over and see if you winning edge, he's taken

492
00:22:54,680 --> 00:22:59,000
Speaker 2: Baylor two. And I'm just I don't understand why there

493
00:22:59,080 --> 00:23:01,359
Speaker 2: is a little history here. They went into Ames and

494
00:23:01,359 --> 00:23:04,360
Speaker 2: played Iowa State real tough last year, and I feel

495
00:23:04,400 --> 00:23:06,560
Speaker 2: like there Baylor's a better team than they were last year.

496
00:23:07,000 --> 00:23:10,399
Speaker 2: But I just think that Iowa State has kind of

497
00:23:10,400 --> 00:23:13,119
Speaker 2: been asleep at the wheel so far this year, and.

498
00:23:13,119 --> 00:23:14,359
Speaker 3: Maybe that's what people are thinking.

499
00:23:15,040 --> 00:23:17,159
Speaker 2: But I think they're gonna wake up to play Baylor,

500
00:23:17,280 --> 00:23:20,000
Speaker 2: So I think they went in a rump. But everything

501
00:23:20,080 --> 00:23:22,960
Speaker 2: I look says Baylor. So I'm just gonna stay away

502
00:23:22,960 --> 00:23:23,280
Speaker 2: from this.

503
00:23:23,280 --> 00:23:25,320
Speaker 1: Game, all right. There you have it. Make sure you

504
00:23:25,320 --> 00:23:27,600
Speaker 1: get all of your lines too. From bettingpros Dot com

505
00:23:27,600 --> 00:23:29,720
Speaker 1: head over to Betting Pros right now. Of course, check

506
00:23:29,800 --> 00:23:33,680
Speaker 1: out Bogman's latest work there, and you can also check

507
00:23:33,720 --> 00:23:35,960
Speaker 1: out all the different lines from all the different houses.

508
00:23:35,960 --> 00:23:38,240
Speaker 1: That's what betting Pros is all about. It allows you

509
00:23:38,280 --> 00:23:39,959
Speaker 1: to go make the best ways you possibly can at

510
00:23:39,960 --> 00:23:41,960
Speaker 1: the best place to get the best odds that you want.

511
00:23:42,280 --> 00:23:45,280
Speaker 1: That is the beauty of betting Pros. Anything else here,

512
00:23:45,359 --> 00:23:47,160
Speaker 1: Bogs that you got your eye on here for week

513
00:23:47,200 --> 00:23:48,200
Speaker 1: four before we call it a day.

514
00:23:48,600 --> 00:23:51,680
Speaker 3: No, I'm just I'm excited to, uh see what you.

515
00:23:51,600 --> 00:23:54,200
Speaker 1: Can't say no and then say something. Well, Lan Harris

516
00:23:54,280 --> 00:23:55,880
Speaker 1: used to do this to me every show. I'd say

517
00:23:55,880 --> 00:23:58,240
Speaker 1: any final thoughts, he say no, and then he would

518
00:23:58,280 --> 00:24:00,359
Speaker 1: say a final thought, So give me actually fun.

519
00:24:00,520 --> 00:24:02,439
Speaker 2: Look, I like Dan, so Dan and I are going

520
00:24:02,480 --> 00:24:04,920
Speaker 2: to be on the same page here. No, but I'm

521
00:24:04,920 --> 00:24:06,840
Speaker 2: looking forward to a lot of these games. I want

522
00:24:06,840 --> 00:24:08,840
Speaker 2: to see how I want to see if my gut

523
00:24:08,880 --> 00:24:11,159
Speaker 2: is right on some of these games, or if the

524
00:24:11,160 --> 00:24:13,280
Speaker 2: betting public is right. Of course, you know you always

525
00:24:13,320 --> 00:24:15,760
Speaker 2: want to see if you're smarter than everybody else, right,

526
00:24:16,320 --> 00:24:18,760
Speaker 2: But I'm really interested to see how Florida bounces back

527
00:24:18,760 --> 00:24:20,960
Speaker 2: after that loss. They can't play it. You can't be

528
00:24:21,000 --> 00:24:23,600
Speaker 2: in national title contention with a loss and then another

529
00:24:23,720 --> 00:24:27,520
Speaker 2: loss to Tennessee, so I think they should come out

530
00:24:27,680 --> 00:24:32,080
Speaker 2: and pound Tennessee. But like Texas Tech and Texas, Tennessee

531
00:24:32,080 --> 00:24:33,960
Speaker 2: gets up to play Florida. So I think I'm most

532
00:24:34,000 --> 00:24:36,359
Speaker 2: excited to watch that game this weekend and Arkansas can

533
00:24:36,480 --> 00:24:39,160
Speaker 2: Arkansas put themselves. They will put themselves on the national

534
00:24:39,200 --> 00:24:41,320
Speaker 2: map if they beat Texas A and M.

535
00:24:41,440 --> 00:24:43,879
Speaker 3: And I would love to see it. So let's go Arkansas.

536
00:24:44,000 --> 00:24:45,399
Speaker 1: I know you would, but I think you're right. That

537
00:24:45,440 --> 00:24:48,240
Speaker 1: Florida Tennessee game, that's the one to keep a close

538
00:24:48,280 --> 00:24:50,280
Speaker 1: eye on and see if there is that letdown, which

539
00:24:50,640 --> 00:24:52,360
Speaker 1: is inevitable when you have to get up to play

540
00:24:52,359 --> 00:24:54,359
Speaker 1: a team like Alabama and then turn it around like that.

541
00:24:54,480 --> 00:24:57,159
Speaker 1: But I'll ass that's why they play the game. So

542
00:24:57,200 --> 00:24:58,960
Speaker 1: we'll be back again next week to do it all again.

543
00:24:59,000 --> 00:25:01,280
Speaker 1: In the meantime, you can follow on Twitter of course

544
00:25:01,320 --> 00:25:04,160
Speaker 1: at Betting Pro's NFL and check him out at Bogman Sports.

545
00:25:04,440 --> 00:25:05,880
Speaker 1: That'll do for us, but the story of the game

546
00:25:05,920 --> 00:25:08,520
Speaker 1: goes on for Scott Bogman. I'm Joey P. We will

547
00:25:08,560 --> 00:25:09,280
Speaker 1: see you next time.

548
00:25:09,359 --> 00:25:09,679
Speaker 2: Kids,