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Speaker 1: The volume.

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Speaker 2: All right, basketball season is here, and there's only one

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Speaker 2: time is it? Game Time? Hi everybody, and welcome in.

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Speaker 2: In about ten minutes, we'll have Chad Millman, which we

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Speaker 2: do sharper square where I give him about seven or

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Speaker 2: eight of my picks and he chews him up and

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Speaker 2: spits him out. And I'm taking more and more favorites

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Speaker 2: these days, as I think you do get to a

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Speaker 2: point in the season where the better teams separate, the

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Speaker 2: better coaches separate. Everybody gets banged up. It's a war

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Speaker 2: of attrition at this point. You see all these players dropping.

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Speaker 2: Sometimes DeVante Adams, the player goes out, comes back in.

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Speaker 2: He did had a touchdown. So the Jets beat the

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Speaker 2: Texans twenty one to thirteen on Hallowing. The Jets dressed

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Speaker 2: up as a pretty good football team. Aaron Rodgers I

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Speaker 2: thought played especially, you know, in the second half. I

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Speaker 2: thought he played pretty well. I've seen that so many

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Speaker 2: times this year where a quarterback brought Purtty against the

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Speaker 2: Cowboys Russell Wilson a couple of times Aaron Rodgers tonight,

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Speaker 2: where it just they just can't get it right in

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Speaker 2: the first half and then they just they get warmed up.

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Speaker 2: And I thought Aaron played a really good second half.

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Speaker 2: You know, when you have Bresall, when you have Davonte Adams,

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Speaker 2: when you have Garrett Wilson, you know, those are real weapons,

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Speaker 2: you know, if you can get decent protection. Aaron had

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Speaker 2: a nice run tonight. It got called back because of

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Speaker 2: a holding on the rookie from Penn State, but that

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Speaker 2: was a really nice run. He had two hundred and

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Speaker 2: eleven yards, twenty two to thirty two, three tds, no picks.

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Speaker 2: I like the Jets tonight. It was one of my

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Speaker 2: stronger plays. It would have been my first or second

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Speaker 2: strongest play if it was on Sunday. And I think

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Speaker 2: the you know, the reality of this game. It was

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Speaker 2: a really bad spot for a beat up Texans team

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Speaker 2: that can't protect CJ. Stroud. So the Jets had eight

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Speaker 2: sacks tonight, which is about double what teams have beginning

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Speaker 2: against Houston. But they're you know, they're down to Tank

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Speaker 2: Dell and a bunch of third and fourth level receivers.

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Speaker 2: So it was a good spot for the Jets. And

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Speaker 2: what's interesting for the Jets, and this is why this

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Speaker 2: win matters. So, yeah, two of their wins a short

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Speaker 2: week at home Patriots and Texans. But now think about this,

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Speaker 2: it's an advantage because the Jets are not going to

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Speaker 2: win a division. We know the Bills are going to

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Speaker 2: win the division. The Ravens will eventually win their division,

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Speaker 2: the Chiefs will win their Division Colts, Texans will go

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Speaker 2: back and fourth. But this is key the teams. The

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Speaker 2: Jets only hope to get into the playoffs is as

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Speaker 2: a wild card team, and right now, unless they go

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Speaker 2: on a losing streak, Pittsburgh looks like it will be

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Speaker 2: one of those wild card teams. But there's two other

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Speaker 2: wild card spots. And the good news is the Jags

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Speaker 2: could be one of those teams the Jets play them.

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Speaker 2: The Colts could be one of those teams Jets host

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Speaker 2: them in a couple of weeks. The Texans could be

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Speaker 2: one of those teams. The Jets just beat them. So

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Speaker 2: it looks like to me the three playoff teams in

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Speaker 2: the AFC we know are Bills, Ravens will make it.

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Speaker 2: They're just too good unless Lamar got hurt, and the Chiefs,

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Speaker 2: and then you're going to be battling the Colts, the Jags,

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Speaker 2: the Texans, the Chargers, the Steelers for three wild card spots.

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Speaker 2: And you've already got a w over the Texans and

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Speaker 2: you get the Colts at home. You also get the

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Speaker 2: advantage when you play on Thursday night, you get four

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Speaker 2: days extra rest against your next opponent that's Arizona. So

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Speaker 2: they'll have to travel out to the desert in Arizona,

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Speaker 2: but you got extra rest. Arizona plays a very physical

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Speaker 2: Chicago Bears team, a really good defense for the Chicago

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Speaker 2: Bears off a humiliating loss. So I'm sure the Bears,

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Speaker 2: you know, that's gonna be a physical game against Arizona.

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Speaker 2: You're gonna be more rested, more prepared. With a veteran

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Speaker 2: quarterback and Aaron Rodgers coming off a very good outing.

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Speaker 2: The more he plays with the Vonte Adams, the veteran,

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Speaker 2: it's gonna work. So they've got the pieces. I don't

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Speaker 2: think they're a brilliantly coached team, but I've said this before.

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Speaker 2: There's three really good teams in the AFC. Then you

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Speaker 2: know it's pretty mushy in the wild card race. Miami's

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Speaker 2: not as good as we thought. Chargers just they have

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Speaker 2: very limited firepower. Unless they make a trade at the deadline,

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Speaker 2: the Chargers are going to be in a bunch of

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Speaker 2: close games. If they played the Jets tomorrow, it would

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Speaker 2: be a close game. I mean, the Chargers just can't

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Speaker 2: They can't beat anybody badly. They don't have any playmakers.

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Speaker 2: Lad mcconkee, the rookie is like a two. He's twitchy

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Speaker 2: and clever, but he's not a burner. He's not an

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Speaker 2: over the top guy. Doesn't have huge separation in the NFL.

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Speaker 2: So I mean, it's what do I think about the Jets. Well,

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Speaker 2: they ran for about one hundred yards tonight, Aaron was comfortable,

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Speaker 2: Aaron had time to throw, and the schedule works out

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Speaker 2: extra rest for Arizona, Colt Seattle at home, Rams later

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Speaker 2: at home. I mean, only one team the Jets play

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Speaker 2: the rest of the way right now has a winning record,

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Speaker 2: the Buffalo Bills, and they're not one of the divisions,

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Speaker 2: so they don't have to worry about Buffalo. So it's

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Speaker 2: all right in front of you.

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Speaker 3: Listen.

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Speaker 2: I like CJ. Stroud, but he's down to second and

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Speaker 2: third tier receivers. They can't protect him. Joe Mixon's a

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Speaker 2: hell of a player. That was his number one weapon tonight.

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Speaker 2: But the Jets win twenty one to thirteen. And you know,

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Speaker 2: I was thinking about this. I was talking to Jmack

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Speaker 2: on the phone tonight. He was out with kids doing Halloween.

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Speaker 2: So I live in a place without a lot of

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Speaker 2: kids coming up, So I went out for a walk

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Speaker 2: and saw the kids in the neighborhood out having a

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Speaker 2: good time. But when I came back, I was talking

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Speaker 2: to Jmac and you know, New York has just had

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Speaker 2: a really rough stretch for a decade in sport. I mean,

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Speaker 2: the Yankees, it really wasn't competitive against the Dodgers. It

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Speaker 2: really wasn't they won a single game. Both the Padres

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Speaker 2: and the Mets matched up better against the Dodgers than

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Speaker 2: the Yankees did. The Yankees won one game, and it

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Speaker 2: was a bullpen game by the Dodgers. They went on

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Speaker 2: and too in the games in which Garrett Cole pitched.

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Speaker 2: They're just they're just, you know again, they beat they

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Speaker 2: can beat the Guardians, but the Yankees, they just don't

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Speaker 2: match up to the Dodgers, and the Dodgers were beat up.

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Speaker 2: They'll be a significantly better and healthier team next year.

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Speaker 2: The Giants and the Jets, at least one of them

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Speaker 2: has Aaron Rodgers and Quentin Williams. You know, the Knicks

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Speaker 2: are a nice story, but I don't think they're in

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Speaker 2: the class of the Celtics. So it's it's been rough.

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Speaker 2: I mean, it's it's you know, the Mets have a

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Speaker 2: rich owner and Francisco Lindoor is a remarkable player. But

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Speaker 2: they have good players and one great player, So I

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Speaker 2: mean they people. You know, you think to yourself, God,

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Speaker 2: why does anybody care about the Jets if you're in

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Speaker 2: New York? I mean because of Devonte Adams and and

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Speaker 2: and Garrett Wilson and Aaron Rodgers. You know, they have

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Speaker 2: their moments and like in the second half tonight, they

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Speaker 2: have their moments where they look competitive. So you know,

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Speaker 2: here's the good news for New York Colts, Jags, Texans,

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Speaker 2: all these teams that they can make up ground and

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Speaker 2: if they beat him head to head in the wild

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Speaker 2: card race and the AFC, I don't think they're going

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Speaker 2: to get there. I'll still stand by my prediction. I

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Speaker 2: think they're an eight or nine win team. But I

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Speaker 2: do think DeVante Adams like tonight in that second half,

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Speaker 2: and you can see the more he and Aaron play together.

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Speaker 2: And what I really liked about Aaron tonight is he

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Speaker 2: was really into it. He was really into it. He

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Speaker 2: had good energy in the second half. He was pumping

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Speaker 2: his fist, he was fired up. And that's what you

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Speaker 2: worry about with Aaron. He can be a very moody guy,

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Speaker 2: and I've said he I had an NFL coach tell

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Speaker 2: him a pretty famous NFL coach won't say he's just

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Speaker 2: Jay Cutler with talent, is that he's kind of a moody, prickly,

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Speaker 2: difficult guy. The difference is Aaron can really, when he

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Speaker 2: has time to throw, really can spin it. And tonight

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Speaker 2: he was in a groove. He had great energy, He

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Speaker 2: played inspired and it was fun to watch. The first

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Speaker 2: ALB wasn't fun, but twenty one to thirteen Jets win,

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Speaker 2: and it's something. Eight sacks ran the ball effectively. Aaron

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Speaker 2: had a good night. Now you have extra prep time

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Speaker 2: against the Arizona Cardinals. I love this time in the

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Speaker 2: NFL season because it does feel like the games get

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Speaker 2: a little bit easier to predict, just because it's statistically

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Speaker 2: defenses get hurt more than offenses, and you know, so

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Speaker 2: you get a separation. Now you get some finger pointing

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Speaker 2: in the bad locker rooms. The quarterbacks and the best

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Speaker 2: coaches feel like they separate. I don't think the Jets

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Speaker 2: have one of the better coach teams, but I do

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Speaker 2: think offensively, and that's what this lead. Nobody's stopping anybody defensively.

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Speaker 2: I still think the Jets miss Robert saw on that end.

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Speaker 2: But offensively, you got to be able to score. And

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Speaker 2: you start looking at the Jets pieces. If Aaron's healthy,

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Speaker 2: it's something that it's better than the Giants. I mean,

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Speaker 2: there are a lot of teams in worse shape than

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Speaker 2: Aaron Rodgers, Breese Hall, a decent backup, Alan the Kid

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Speaker 2: from Wisconsin, Garrett Wilson, and Davontae Adams. There are a

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Speaker 2: lot of teams in much worse shape than that. And

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Speaker 2: and this point forward, the offenses winning this league. I mean,

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Speaker 2: you go look at January and February the last three

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Speaker 2: or four years, it's the offenses that separate. Nobody's stopping

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Speaker 2: anybody late. Everybody's all thinged up on that side of

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Speaker 2: the ball. Listen, don't bail on CJ.

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Speaker 1: Stroud.

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Speaker 2: His last three games, he has a seventy six passer rating.

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Speaker 2: You're dealing with second tier wide receivers and there's no protection.

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Speaker 2: And this is like it's like Sam Donald. You look

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Speaker 2: at him with the Jets and you're like he's terrible,

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Speaker 2: and then you're like, oh, he goes to Minnesota and

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Speaker 2: he has a good coach, and he has good protection,

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Speaker 2: and he has weapons and got Sam Donald's pretty good.

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Speaker 2: It's amazing how it looks. You go watch Brock Prudy

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Speaker 2: without Christian McCaffrey, Deebo, Samuel's banged up, and you're like, ah,

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Speaker 2: what is he? Well, you know, all of a sudden

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Speaker 2: second half last week, he's moving. You know, you watch

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Speaker 2: Brock pretty Now as Jennings gets healthy and McCaffrey comes back,

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Speaker 2: you're gonna look at him and go, oh, he's pretty Folks.

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Speaker 2: There's like one or two guys in this league. Lamar Jackson,

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Speaker 2: Josh Allen, Patrick Mahomes are about it where it doesn't

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Speaker 2: really matter who's healthy and who's not. That's about it.

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Speaker 1: CJ.

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Speaker 2: Stroud He hasn't reached his peak yet. He'll probably reaches

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Speaker 2: he'll go into his prime after next season. This is

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Speaker 2: year two, next year, year three, year four to year

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Speaker 2: nine to ten, six years prime, won't have many surgeries

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Speaker 2: at that point. Still fresh now knows the game, knows

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Speaker 2: the coverages. He hadn't even reached this prime yet. So

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Speaker 2: you've got like second and third tier receivers, terrible protection,

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Speaker 2: and it's a defensive head coach. So you know he's

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Speaker 2: got a coordinator. But if that coordinator leaves that's not

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Speaker 2: ideal Bobby Slowick. So you know, I just there's three

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Speaker 2: guys in the world that it doesn't really matter. They're

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Speaker 2: just going to be wildly productive Mahomes Alan Lamar. For

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Speaker 2: guys like c J. Stroud, he's closer to a Sam Donald.

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Speaker 2: I think he's a better thrower with the football than

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Speaker 2: Sam Darnold, and he's a better athlete and a bigger,

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Speaker 2: the three greats and then a lot of these guys.

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Speaker 2: It's just circumstantial, and he'll be fine when they get

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Speaker 2: Nico Collins back. Nico Collins is uncoverable and they get

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Speaker 2: their offensive line straightened out. But don't sell any stock.

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Speaker 2: We've seen this kid when he has support and he's

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Speaker 2: really good. Everybody in this league. You know, Baker Mayfield

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Speaker 2: lost to Atlanta. That's the way it works for ninety

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Speaker 2: percent of the quarterbacks in this league. Does your favorite

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Speaker 2: Time for an ender edition of Sharper Square with Chad Millman,

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Speaker 2: the co host of the Favorites. All odds provided by DraftKings.

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Speaker 2: I felt pretty good about my picks, I said in

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Speaker 2: week six or seven, I start to just go with quarterbacks.

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Speaker 2: I think defenses get statistically more beat up, more injured.

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Speaker 2: Quarterbacks are even more important. Teams in locker rooms move

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Speaker 2: off players, more finger pointing. The better cultures win, the

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Speaker 2: better coaches win, the better quarterbacks win. So there's a

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Speaker 2: couple of big favorites I like this weekend, and they

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Speaker 2: don't normally do that. Let's go to the underdogs though,

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Speaker 2: Dolphins plus six at the Bills. I like Miami. Okay,

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Speaker 2: So this has been a series dominated by Buffalo, no question,

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Speaker 2: but they've played very good. They're really feeling themselves. They

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Speaker 2: travel cross country. Now it's back Miami. Two is the

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Speaker 2: first game back off of concussion. They actually controlled that game,

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Speaker 2: led by ten in the fourth. Usually quarterbacks off concussions

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Speaker 2: don't play great in the first week, second week, third week,

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Speaker 2: fourth week. You see improvement division rival game really like

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Speaker 2: Miami plus the point sharper square.

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Speaker 1: Look, it's flipped. It opened at six, moved up to

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Speaker 1: six and a half. The wise guys liked Buffalo at

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Speaker 1: six and a half, and there's been a lot of

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Speaker 1: wise guy money moving this back down to six. It

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Speaker 1: might even get down to five and a half before kickoff.

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Speaker 1: So wise guys are on your side here. They like Miami,

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Speaker 1: they like two where they want to fade the Bills

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Speaker 1: because they've been playing so well. I will tell you,

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Speaker 1: I'll give you the other side of that argument, because

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Speaker 1: I've bet Buffalo at minus six, I will be against

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Speaker 1: the wise guys. I might be against you two. I

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Speaker 1: want to give everybody the opportunity to hear both sides.

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Speaker 1: Tua is terrible against teams that are good that are

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Speaker 1: on the road, Okay, two and ten straight up, three

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Speaker 1: eight to one against the spread away from home versus

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Speaker 1: winning teams. In his NFL career with the Dolphins. Also,

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Speaker 1: the Bills offense has been top three in the league

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Speaker 1: across the majority of metrics, superficial, advanced metrics, whatever you

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Speaker 1: want to do when it comes to rushing the ball.

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Speaker 1: The Dolphins are a terrible tackling team. So from a

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Speaker 1: matchup perspective and a history perspective, I think the Bills

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Speaker 1: have an advantage. But the Wise guys, they like what

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Speaker 1: they saw. They feel like two of the second game

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Speaker 1: back after the concussion, he's going to be better. They

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Speaker 1: feel like this Buffalo team it's a little bit too high.

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Speaker 1: It's inflated because of how well the Bills have been playing.

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Speaker 1: So wise guys are with you, Colin, but I'm not okay.

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Speaker 2: So I like Arizona minus one and a half at home.

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Speaker 2: First of all, Matt eber Flus is the worst road

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Speaker 2: coach in the league. Terrible. Secondly, Arizona is better. Their

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Speaker 2: personnel offensively is the best kept secret in the league.

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Speaker 2: I love Connor the back, McBride the tight end. Harrison

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Speaker 2: now is getting more consistent. He's a dog kyler Murray

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Speaker 2: in the second half was outstanding. And I never trust

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Speaker 2: this team's consistency and maturity. But I like the staff.

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Speaker 2: I like their fight Chicago. If you start looking at Chicago,

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Speaker 2: they unraveled last week. They really did. They were lucky

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Speaker 2: to be in a position to lose by hail Mary.

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Speaker 2: Arizona's a good home team. Eber Flu's awful on the road.

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Speaker 2: Arizona minus one and a half. Sharper square.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, it's sharp ish, like if the wise guys are

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Speaker 1: playing anything here, they're playing Arizona, but it's not primary

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Speaker 1: in the games. They're betting. A lot of wise guys

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Speaker 1: I talked to, they kind of want to pass on

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Speaker 1: this game. In a perfect world, in a vacuum, they

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Speaker 1: bet on the Bears. The Bears are more talented offensively.

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Speaker 1: They're a really good defensive team, and they're really good

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Speaker 1: at rushing the passer, and they're really good in coverage.

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Speaker 1: Now the challenge for the Bears is Montes Sweat didn't

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Speaker 1: practice on Wednesday. Has an injured shin. We don't know

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Speaker 1: what his status will be. They're ten and five with

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Speaker 1: Montes Sweat since he joined the team. Okay, number one,

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Speaker 1: that's really good for pass rush. Number two, Braxton Jones

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Speaker 1: there left tackle. He probably isn't going to play. Did

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Speaker 1: not practice this week. They were terrible when he left

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Speaker 1: the game last week. Caleb was running for his life,

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Speaker 1: and then they got worse when Braxton Jones backup came

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Speaker 1: in and Braxton Jones backup is not going to be

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Speaker 1: playing this week, so they're scraping the bottom of the

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Speaker 1: barrel there. But here's what's interesting about Kyler. Kyler is

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Speaker 1: great in the chaos and what the Bears would create

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Speaker 1: and what their strength is is creating chaos for quarterbacks

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Speaker 1: because they are so good at rushing the passer and

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Speaker 1: so good in coverage. So kyler strengths actually plays to

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Speaker 1: the Bear strength, which is another reason why the wise

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00:17:54,400 --> 00:17:58,080
Speaker 1: guys aren't quite looking to rush to bet this game.

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Speaker 1: And like you, eberflus Man, and I can't imagine you

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Speaker 1: don't have a theory on this, but as a Bears fan,

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Speaker 1: why draft Kaleb Williams and then keep a coach who's

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Speaker 1: a defensive coach who if he doesn't do well this year,

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Speaker 1: you know you're going to get rid of then you're

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Speaker 1: going to bring in a new coach. And you've basically

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Speaker 1: wasted a year and created bad habits for Caleb Williams. Right,

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Speaker 1: So now all of a sudden, ebra flus is basically

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Speaker 1: throwing his team under the bus, saying we practiced this

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Speaker 1: play the Hail Mary every single week. I don't know

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Speaker 1: why the guys didn't do it right. That hasn't sat well,

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Speaker 1: so people don't know what they're going to get with

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Speaker 1: the Bears this week.

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Speaker 2: Okay, you know I love the magic number four, four

360
00:18:36,200 --> 00:18:38,840
Speaker 2: and a half and five. I take the favorites. Washington

361
00:18:38,960 --> 00:18:44,000
Speaker 2: thoroughly outplayed Chicago, and Chicago's a pretty decent team. The Giants, now,

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Speaker 2: as we talked about no Andrew Thomas Daniel Jones visibly

363
00:18:47,359 --> 00:18:51,200
Speaker 2: frustrated during the week two point conversion against the Steelers.

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00:18:52,200 --> 00:18:54,679
Speaker 2: They're off him. Everybody in the building knows that. It

365
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Speaker 2: just feels like a horrible environment. The owner has supported

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Speaker 2: the GM and the coach, the quarterback. I think Washington's

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Speaker 2: a really good team. I think they're for real. I

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Speaker 2: think now Jaden Daniels is healthier. I didn't feel he

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Speaker 2: was at one hundred percent last weekend. I would take

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Speaker 2: Washington minus four. I know it's a division rivalry game.

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Speaker 2: Sharper Square.

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Speaker 1: No, the wise guys are with you. They're they're betting

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Speaker 1: on Washington and it's a Normally they wouldn't right a

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Speaker 1: division game. Right, You're getting a home dog at more

375
00:19:22,400 --> 00:19:25,639
Speaker 1: than a field goal, you want to bet the home dog.

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Speaker 1: And we've got other games in which that is a

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Speaker 1: scenario this week, but right now, like three and a

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Speaker 1: half for a team that has lost its left tackle.

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Speaker 1: He was the only reason that you ever felt comfortable

380
00:19:38,680 --> 00:19:40,679
Speaker 1: betting on this team because he was so good at

381
00:19:40,680 --> 00:19:43,879
Speaker 1: stabilizing that line. And now Tyrone Tracy, who has really

382
00:19:43,920 --> 00:19:46,640
Speaker 1: been an offensive weapon out of the backfield for them,

383
00:19:46,880 --> 00:19:49,440
Speaker 1: the running back out of Purdue, he had a concussion,

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00:19:49,640 --> 00:19:52,359
Speaker 1: not likely to play. You're right about Daniel Jones. I

385
00:19:52,359 --> 00:19:54,119
Speaker 1: think it's only a matter of time before they give

386
00:19:54,200 --> 00:19:56,800
Speaker 1: him the hook because they owe him, you know, twenty

387
00:19:56,840 --> 00:20:01,440
Speaker 1: three million dollars if he gets injured next season. So

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Speaker 1: I think pretty soon this experiment with Danny Dimes is

389
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Speaker 1: going to end.

390
00:20:06,720 --> 00:20:09,760
Speaker 2: Okay, I think the Rams are really a good football

391
00:20:09,800 --> 00:20:12,240
Speaker 2: team when healthy. In fact, if you go back to

392
00:20:12,320 --> 00:20:15,560
Speaker 2: last year when Stafford, Kyron Williams, Pooka, and Cooper Cup

393
00:20:15,600 --> 00:20:18,560
Speaker 2: play their seven and three in their losses at Detroit

394
00:20:18,600 --> 00:20:23,760
Speaker 2: and overtime at Baltimore in overtime, offensive coach and Matt

395
00:20:23,760 --> 00:20:28,200
Speaker 2: Stafford played on Thursday extra time to prepare. They only

396
00:20:28,240 --> 00:20:30,439
Speaker 2: have to give up one at Seattle. This is a

397
00:20:30,520 --> 00:20:34,160
Speaker 2: coach and a quarterback mismatch. They are now healthier and

398
00:20:34,960 --> 00:20:40,960
Speaker 2: like the Packers offensively. The Rams defensively are crazy young

399
00:20:41,800 --> 00:20:47,520
Speaker 2: young teams grow. They become better and better every few weeks.

400
00:20:47,600 --> 00:20:51,080
Speaker 2: The Packers offense just getting better every two games. This

401
00:20:51,240 --> 00:20:57,680
Speaker 2: Rams defense is high draft picks, hungry, no stars, fast, young,

402
00:20:57,800 --> 00:21:01,520
Speaker 2: and collectively very good. The Rams put away the Seahawks.

403
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Speaker 1: Here Sharper Square, Colin, You and I right now are

404
00:21:06,800 --> 00:21:10,240
Speaker 1: going into the foxhold on the Los Angeles Rams. The

405
00:21:10,280 --> 00:21:13,479
Speaker 1: wise guys hate this bet. The Rams opened it as

406
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Speaker 1: one and a half point underdogs. They are now almost

407
00:21:17,480 --> 00:21:20,920
Speaker 1: two and a half point favorites. The wise guys they

408
00:21:21,040 --> 00:21:24,440
Speaker 1: love Seattle at two and a half. I'm with you

409
00:21:25,320 --> 00:21:27,640
Speaker 1: and Simon Hunter and my co host, he's with you,

410
00:21:27,760 --> 00:21:30,800
Speaker 1: like we feel like we are alone in the foxhol

411
00:21:30,960 --> 00:21:34,440
Speaker 1: betting this game, and we don't see what other people

412
00:21:34,520 --> 00:21:39,240
Speaker 1: are seeing in Seattle. You've said this before. Sean McVay.

413
00:21:39,760 --> 00:21:41,840
Speaker 1: For all the bells and whistles, all the motion on

414
00:21:41,880 --> 00:21:45,280
Speaker 1: this team, he likes to run the ball. And Kyen

415
00:21:45,280 --> 00:21:47,280
Speaker 1: Williams has been a top five running back in the

416
00:21:47,400 --> 00:21:50,320
Speaker 1: NFL the past season and the half and he has

417
00:21:50,359 --> 00:21:55,280
Speaker 1: been amazing since this season began, especially against team like Seattle,

418
00:21:55,600 --> 00:22:01,200
Speaker 1: which are bottom third in all the rushing staff that matter.

419
00:22:01,440 --> 00:22:05,639
Speaker 1: They're total rushing yards yards per carry EPA per rush

420
00:22:05,760 --> 00:22:07,760
Speaker 1: like they are not a very good rush defense, They're

421
00:22:07,760 --> 00:22:11,240
Speaker 1: still a team that's developing its talent. Hookah's back. He's

422
00:22:11,280 --> 00:22:13,760
Speaker 1: a great run blocker. You saw that last week. He's

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Speaker 1: just so freaking big Cooper cup back. Stafford is great

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Speaker 1: in these situations. He's a quarterback at the end of

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Speaker 1: the day. Like you've said, there are quarterbacks that you

426
00:22:23,720 --> 00:22:25,800
Speaker 1: just don't want to bet against. And sometimes I make

427
00:22:25,840 --> 00:22:28,240
Speaker 1: my decisions about who I want to bet on based

428
00:22:28,280 --> 00:22:32,720
Speaker 1: on how uncomfortable am I going to be if I

429
00:22:32,760 --> 00:22:35,439
Speaker 1: am betting the other side and this quarterback has the

430
00:22:35,520 --> 00:22:38,680
Speaker 1: ball in the last two minutes. Matthew Stafford's top five

431
00:22:38,720 --> 00:22:42,360
Speaker 1: on that list. So you and I brother, if it's

432
00:22:42,359 --> 00:22:44,760
Speaker 1: in the blazon, you're going to be in a foxhole.

433
00:22:45,080 --> 00:22:46,760
Speaker 1: I'm going to be in the foxhole. Will be in

434
00:22:46,800 --> 00:22:47,240
Speaker 1: it together.

435
00:22:49,600 --> 00:22:51,600
Speaker 2: There's a couple of games that are fascinating to me.

436
00:22:51,880 --> 00:22:54,560
Speaker 2: First of all, I don't know if it's a stay

437
00:22:54,560 --> 00:22:56,920
Speaker 2: away game. I think I would take the Vikings at

438
00:22:56,920 --> 00:22:59,320
Speaker 2: home minus five against the Colts because they're making a

439
00:22:59,400 --> 00:23:04,800
Speaker 2: quarterback change. Also, I think the Vikings I think the

440
00:23:04,920 --> 00:23:10,399
Speaker 2: Rams on the road and the Lions, those offenses and

441
00:23:10,440 --> 00:23:13,800
Speaker 2: those coaching staffs can make teams look very bad. And

442
00:23:13,880 --> 00:23:16,399
Speaker 2: I think Minnesota's defense, if you go back three weeks,

443
00:23:16,560 --> 00:23:19,040
Speaker 2: we thought it was pretty good. I think they need

444
00:23:19,080 --> 00:23:23,119
Speaker 2: to redeem themselves before they get into division play. I

445
00:23:23,119 --> 00:23:25,280
Speaker 2: think this is a good spot for them. I think

446
00:23:25,440 --> 00:23:28,959
Speaker 2: they have a quarterback advantage. I think both coaches are

447
00:23:28,960 --> 00:23:32,640
Speaker 2: really good, but in this spot with a quarterback change,

448
00:23:33,000 --> 00:23:36,720
Speaker 2: I think Minnesota has to get right. There's real urgency

449
00:23:36,760 --> 00:23:39,480
Speaker 2: here before they get to the Green Bays, the Detroit's,

450
00:23:40,040 --> 00:23:43,960
Speaker 2: the Chicago's in their schedule. I would take the Vikings

451
00:23:44,000 --> 00:23:45,400
Speaker 2: minus five sharper square.

452
00:23:45,840 --> 00:23:48,800
Speaker 1: Yeah, the wise guys have been betting the Colts. They

453
00:23:48,840 --> 00:23:50,679
Speaker 1: bet them at six, they bet them at five and

454
00:23:50,680 --> 00:23:52,840
Speaker 1: a half. If it's down to five, it means they

455
00:23:52,920 --> 00:23:59,120
Speaker 1: bet them again. The Colt situation is incredibly confusing. Shane

456
00:23:59,160 --> 00:24:03,920
Speaker 1: Steken kind of intimated that this was coming from ownership, right,

457
00:24:04,320 --> 00:24:08,879
Speaker 1: Like you look at Anthony Richardson, Completion percentage is not

458
00:24:08,960 --> 00:24:12,040
Speaker 1: a very good way to judge developing quarterback. And there's

459
00:24:12,080 --> 00:24:15,200
Speaker 1: been a lot of great analysis this week about if

460
00:24:15,200 --> 00:24:18,439
Speaker 1: you analyze each one of his throws. He's making the

461
00:24:18,520 --> 00:24:21,639
Speaker 1: choices that are the lower percentage throw but the higher

462
00:24:21,800 --> 00:24:25,640
Speaker 1: ROI if they're completed versus eight yard outs that won't

463
00:24:25,680 --> 00:24:27,960
Speaker 1: get you the first down, or twenty yard outs that

464
00:24:28,000 --> 00:24:30,960
Speaker 1: will get you the first down. And so there's decisions

465
00:24:31,000 --> 00:24:33,400
Speaker 1: being made there. And Shane Steichen, I'm a huge fan

466
00:24:33,440 --> 00:24:35,600
Speaker 1: as a coach. The wise guys are on this game

467
00:24:35,640 --> 00:24:38,040
Speaker 1: because when it became Flacco, they sort of felt a

468
00:24:38,040 --> 00:24:41,119
Speaker 1: little bit more comfortable that he can manage Brian Flores

469
00:24:41,480 --> 00:24:44,040
Speaker 1: defense and anything this guy throws at him. And don't forget,

470
00:24:45,040 --> 00:24:48,080
Speaker 1: the Colts have an elite rushing game. And we talked

471
00:24:48,119 --> 00:24:50,040
Speaker 1: about this last week. It's why I like the Colts

472
00:24:50,320 --> 00:24:53,240
Speaker 1: against the Texans last week. If you have a really

473
00:24:53,280 --> 00:24:55,800
Speaker 1: good coach who's a good play caller, and you have

474
00:24:55,880 --> 00:25:00,400
Speaker 1: an elite unit and you're a decent sized underdog, I'm

475
00:25:00,400 --> 00:25:02,520
Speaker 1: going to make that play. And that game played out

476
00:25:02,520 --> 00:25:05,520
Speaker 1: exactly as we expected it to play out with the Colts.

477
00:25:05,760 --> 00:25:08,119
Speaker 1: They dominated on the ground right and they had so

478
00:25:08,320 --> 00:25:11,160
Speaker 1: that Jonathan Taylor had more than one hundred yards rushing

479
00:25:11,160 --> 00:25:14,120
Speaker 1: in his first game back. They ran six point two

480
00:25:14,200 --> 00:25:17,200
Speaker 1: yards per carry. Like they will rely on the running

481
00:25:17,200 --> 00:25:19,960
Speaker 1: game they'll find ways to potentially keep this game close.

482
00:25:20,040 --> 00:25:23,000
Speaker 1: So feels a little bit trappy to bet the Vikings.

483
00:25:22,840 --> 00:25:25,640
Speaker 1: It's not going to be a game that I'm invested

484
00:25:25,640 --> 00:25:26,040
Speaker 1: in it all.

485
00:25:33,440 --> 00:25:36,280
Speaker 2: Okay, here's a game that I would never bet. You know,

486
00:25:36,400 --> 00:25:39,080
Speaker 2: I take the big number off the board. People try

487
00:25:39,119 --> 00:25:40,919
Speaker 2: to talk to me in the Lions Titans should have

488
00:25:40,960 --> 00:25:44,399
Speaker 2: won't do it. Ravens at home minus nine and a

489
00:25:44,440 --> 00:25:48,199
Speaker 2: half now, Lamar has taken a couple practices off the

490
00:25:48,400 --> 00:25:52,600
Speaker 2: Ravens by adding another receiver are telling you, listen, we

491
00:25:52,640 --> 00:25:55,840
Speaker 2: don't have Kansas City's defense or Buffalo's. We're going to

492
00:25:55,880 --> 00:25:58,360
Speaker 2: win by scoring. They want to ramp up this offense.

493
00:25:59,080 --> 00:26:02,600
Speaker 2: Their weakness is the back end, over the top. You

494
00:26:02,600 --> 00:26:06,720
Speaker 2: can beat them and Mahomes and Josh Allen might, Herbert might.

495
00:26:07,720 --> 00:26:10,679
Speaker 2: Bo Nicks isn't. That's not how they're built. He's not

496
00:26:10,760 --> 00:26:15,560
Speaker 2: a big deep ball thrower. He's more agile, mobile underneath.

497
00:26:16,760 --> 00:26:20,240
Speaker 2: Raven's weakness is not going to be exploited by Denver.

498
00:26:20,560 --> 00:26:24,040
Speaker 2: This is a tough spot. Raven's off a loss again.

499
00:26:24,640 --> 00:26:28,879
Speaker 2: Baltimore on most Sundays the last two years has been

500
00:26:29,160 --> 00:26:32,840
Speaker 2: the knockout artist in this league, blasting teams at home,

501
00:26:33,000 --> 00:26:39,679
Speaker 2: not beating them, blasting Niners Miami like Detroit. This is

502
00:26:39,680 --> 00:26:43,080
Speaker 2: a number, all swallow Ravens nine and a half. I

503
00:26:43,200 --> 00:26:45,399
Speaker 2: know I am as square as a lego.

504
00:26:45,840 --> 00:26:50,040
Speaker 1: Right, Not this week, brother, not this week. Like last week.

505
00:26:50,080 --> 00:26:52,120
Speaker 1: I tried to get you on the Lions. I love

506
00:26:52,760 --> 00:26:56,360
Speaker 1: the Lions, and like that was a no brainer from

507
00:26:56,400 --> 00:26:58,280
Speaker 1: the get go. It didn't matter what the number was

508
00:26:58,320 --> 00:27:01,600
Speaker 1: going to be. We were betting Lions the Ravens. The

509
00:27:01,640 --> 00:27:04,800
Speaker 1: wise guys are coming in on the Ravens. And it's

510
00:27:04,840 --> 00:27:09,440
Speaker 1: a little bit tricky because Denver's defense is peers, right,

511
00:27:09,800 --> 00:27:13,920
Speaker 1: get great pass rush, great pass rush, great against the run,

512
00:27:14,040 --> 00:27:17,920
Speaker 1: like their front four is phenomenal. But you can also

513
00:27:18,000 --> 00:27:21,159
Speaker 1: look at it and say they've played not very good teams.

514
00:27:21,640 --> 00:27:25,960
Speaker 1: They've had a relatively easy schedule, weaker quarterbacks, weaker quarterbacks. Right,

515
00:27:26,200 --> 00:27:28,240
Speaker 1: you can look at you can look at the Ravens

516
00:27:28,240 --> 00:27:32,000
Speaker 1: and say, okay, they should be dominating, but they laid

517
00:27:32,040 --> 00:27:34,960
Speaker 1: every they let every team back into it. And look

518
00:27:35,000 --> 00:27:38,920
Speaker 1: at what Jamis did last week. Look at what Jaden Daniels.

519
00:27:39,000 --> 00:27:42,080
Speaker 1: The Ravens were up by ten, they spread was seven

520
00:27:42,119 --> 00:27:45,119
Speaker 1: and a half. The Commanders lost that game by seven

521
00:27:45,359 --> 00:27:48,679
Speaker 1: because the Ravens let Jaden Daniels get back into it.

522
00:27:48,680 --> 00:27:51,560
Speaker 1: We've seen it week after week after week. The Ravens

523
00:27:51,600 --> 00:27:54,359
Speaker 1: give up seventeen point three points per game in the

524
00:27:54,359 --> 00:27:57,880
Speaker 1: second half this year. That is the worst in the NFL.

525
00:27:58,400 --> 00:28:01,960
Speaker 1: Only the Titans are at thirty one. It's like those

526
00:28:02,040 --> 00:28:04,879
Speaker 1: two and last week they were tied, and so the

527
00:28:05,119 --> 00:28:07,760
Speaker 1: Raven's number got worse this week and the Titans number,

528
00:28:07,800 --> 00:28:11,280
Speaker 1: after giving fifty two points, got better. That's how bad

529
00:28:11,640 --> 00:28:13,879
Speaker 1: the Ravens back end has been. If you watched that

530
00:28:13,960 --> 00:28:16,760
Speaker 1: game last week, Ross Tucker, who's a great broadcaster and

531
00:28:16,840 --> 00:28:20,560
Speaker 1: really good podcaster, he talked about like you look on

532
00:28:20,640 --> 00:28:23,720
Speaker 1: film and every single week this Ravens defense, the back end,

533
00:28:23,960 --> 00:28:26,240
Speaker 1: they look confused and they're communicating and trying to get

534
00:28:26,240 --> 00:28:29,920
Speaker 1: it right while the play is being called and while

535
00:28:29,920 --> 00:28:33,520
Speaker 1: the ball is being snapped. So it's a huge gamble

536
00:28:33,880 --> 00:28:36,520
Speaker 1: literally to take the Ravens at this big in number.

537
00:28:36,560 --> 00:28:39,280
Speaker 1: You gotta believe that boon Nicks won't be able to

538
00:28:39,280 --> 00:28:41,800
Speaker 1: go over the top in the same way. And you

539
00:28:41,840 --> 00:28:43,719
Speaker 1: know Sean Payton is going to have him sling it

540
00:28:43,800 --> 00:28:46,040
Speaker 1: like he's he's playing him like he's a fourth year pro.

541
00:28:46,160 --> 00:28:48,640
Speaker 1: So it's risky, but the wise guys are on it.

542
00:28:48,680 --> 00:28:50,600
Speaker 1: If you want to be on it, I can't walk

543
00:28:50,640 --> 00:28:51,040
Speaker 1: you off it.

544
00:28:51,600 --> 00:28:54,400
Speaker 2: Okay. So the game that's most interesting to me every game.

545
00:28:54,960 --> 00:28:57,160
Speaker 2: Every week, I pick a game and I want you

546
00:28:57,200 --> 00:29:01,200
Speaker 2: to convince me. So my natural thing is even off

547
00:29:01,200 --> 00:29:06,160
Speaker 2: of bye, Dallas just doesn't deliver much to the field

548
00:29:06,200 --> 00:29:09,080
Speaker 2: off of by against the San Francisco defense without Dray

549
00:29:09,120 --> 00:29:14,080
Speaker 2: green Law not really playing particularly well, some top starters out,

550
00:29:14,160 --> 00:29:17,440
Speaker 2: they couldn't generate much offense and they were dominated once

551
00:29:17,480 --> 00:29:19,600
Speaker 2: you went off script in the third quarter and adjusted

552
00:29:19,640 --> 00:29:22,840
Speaker 2: by the Niners. So I just don't like Dallas. Every

553
00:29:23,120 --> 00:29:25,800
Speaker 2: part of my being loves Atlanta minus two and a

554
00:29:25,840 --> 00:29:30,440
Speaker 2: half three every part. But Atlanta is off a very

555
00:29:30,600 --> 00:29:35,600
Speaker 2: very competitive divisional game, highly emotional game, and I can

556
00:29:35,640 --> 00:29:38,920
Speaker 2: see them coming back down the earth. I can see Dallas. Remember,

557
00:29:39,680 --> 00:29:43,360
Speaker 2: Atlanta offers no pressure. Guys like Dak and Gino Smith

558
00:29:43,400 --> 00:29:47,880
Speaker 2: with time to throw are usually really effective. So my

559
00:29:47,960 --> 00:29:51,120
Speaker 2: gut feeling is Atlanta's the side. I picked Atlanta to

560
00:29:51,480 --> 00:29:53,920
Speaker 2: be the number one seed in the NFC with twelve

561
00:29:53,960 --> 00:29:57,000
Speaker 2: to thirteen wins. I love them, but something tells me

562
00:29:57,160 --> 00:29:58,560
Speaker 2: Dallas is the side.

563
00:29:58,240 --> 00:30:01,240
Speaker 1: Here Dallas is where the wise guys are. And this

564
00:30:01,360 --> 00:30:03,800
Speaker 1: number gets to three, it gets bet down to two

565
00:30:03,840 --> 00:30:05,880
Speaker 1: and a half, it gets bet back up to three,

566
00:30:06,280 --> 00:30:08,240
Speaker 1: goes down to two and a half. The wise guys

567
00:30:08,760 --> 00:30:12,320
Speaker 1: definitely like the Cowboys here. It's a little strange, you know,

568
00:30:13,120 --> 00:30:17,880
Speaker 1: the Falcons. Kirk Cousins is basically run up his numbers

569
00:30:18,520 --> 00:30:22,840
Speaker 1: thrown against the Buccaneers and the Panthers. That's how he's

570
00:30:22,880 --> 00:30:25,960
Speaker 1: made had such a good year, and like he's played,

571
00:30:26,160 --> 00:30:28,560
Speaker 1: honest to guy, He's throwing like eight touchdowns and thrown

572
00:30:28,640 --> 00:30:33,320
Speaker 1: for eight hundred yards against the Buccaneers, and so you

573
00:30:33,360 --> 00:30:35,000
Speaker 1: look at those numbers, you're like, oh my god, he's

574
00:30:35,040 --> 00:30:37,880
Speaker 1: a Maybe he finally made Kyle Pitts look like what

575
00:30:37,960 --> 00:30:40,320
Speaker 1: everyone has been drooling about from a fantasy point of

576
00:30:40,400 --> 00:30:43,520
Speaker 1: view for the past three or four years. But against

577
00:30:43,760 --> 00:30:48,800
Speaker 1: regular teams, they're generally mediocre, and so the question becomes,

578
00:30:48,880 --> 00:30:51,600
Speaker 1: especially against teams that can cover and they can rush

579
00:30:51,680 --> 00:30:53,840
Speaker 1: the passer. So the question you have to ask yourself

580
00:30:53,920 --> 00:30:58,240
Speaker 1: is is Micah Parsons going to play? Because without Micah Parsons,

581
00:30:58,280 --> 00:31:01,160
Speaker 1: the Cowboys can't rush the passer. That is, you know,

582
00:31:01,320 --> 00:31:04,000
Speaker 1: part of the phrase and Achilles Heel for Kirk Cousins.

583
00:31:04,840 --> 00:31:07,360
Speaker 1: He's not very good against coverage right now. Is Deron

584
00:31:07,440 --> 00:31:10,400
Speaker 1: Bland going to play? He practiced this week the Cowboys cornerback.

585
00:31:10,880 --> 00:31:14,520
Speaker 1: If so, the Cowboys are much much better in coverage.

586
00:31:15,280 --> 00:31:18,560
Speaker 1: Dak Prescott is basically a mal Santa at this point.

587
00:31:18,720 --> 00:31:21,440
Speaker 1: Like he does not move inside the pocket, right he

588
00:31:21,520 --> 00:31:24,720
Speaker 1: just sits for four hours. The guy's just sitting there

589
00:31:25,080 --> 00:31:28,320
Speaker 1: giving away gifts to Cede Lamb. If he is able

590
00:31:28,960 --> 00:31:31,239
Speaker 1: to do that against a team like the Falcons they

591
00:31:31,240 --> 00:31:35,280
Speaker 1: can't get any pressure, then yeah, he's gonna slice them up.

592
00:31:35,680 --> 00:31:38,240
Speaker 1: Cowboys have no running game. They can't stop their run.

593
00:31:38,560 --> 00:31:42,440
Speaker 1: It is so ugly, it will be so uncomfortable. Everything

594
00:31:42,480 --> 00:31:45,680
Speaker 1: about these teams says fraud. So you're really just deciding

595
00:31:46,040 --> 00:31:48,640
Speaker 1: I'm betting on the underdog as a fraud.

596
00:31:49,560 --> 00:31:52,400
Speaker 2: Okay, there's always a game or two I missed. I

597
00:31:52,480 --> 00:31:54,719
Speaker 2: have a feeling Chargers Browns could be one of them.

598
00:31:54,760 --> 00:31:58,520
Speaker 2: I would be prone to bet against Cleveland after a win.

599
00:31:59,080 --> 00:32:00,960
Speaker 2: That would be my gut feeling. Is that one of

600
00:32:00,960 --> 00:32:01,840
Speaker 2: the games I missed.

601
00:32:02,440 --> 00:32:04,120
Speaker 1: Well, certainly, it's a game that a lot of wise

602
00:32:04,160 --> 00:32:07,520
Speaker 1: guys are talking about, and they have been betting on Cleveland.

603
00:32:07,560 --> 00:32:10,560
Speaker 1: This number has moved down. I think it was at

604
00:32:10,600 --> 00:32:13,560
Speaker 1: two and a half and no, down to two, now

605
00:32:13,600 --> 00:32:16,840
Speaker 1: down to one and a half. I'm with you, man,

606
00:32:17,360 --> 00:32:19,320
Speaker 1: I don't get it. And this is what makes betting

607
00:32:19,360 --> 00:32:23,600
Speaker 1: so interesting, right because you have to decide when are

608
00:32:23,640 --> 00:32:27,080
Speaker 1: you selling. It's like the market. Are you selling? Are

609
00:32:27,080 --> 00:32:29,120
Speaker 1: you going to hold on for one week too long?

610
00:32:29,200 --> 00:32:31,240
Speaker 1: Are you going to lose ten to twenty percent of

611
00:32:31,280 --> 00:32:34,600
Speaker 1: your value? Or are you getting out at the peak.

612
00:32:35,320 --> 00:32:39,040
Speaker 1: Let's break down the Ravens and the Chargers as competition

613
00:32:39,360 --> 00:32:41,880
Speaker 1: for Jamis. Let's break down Jamis as he played the

614
00:32:41,960 --> 00:32:45,080
Speaker 1: Ravens last week. He was great, sliced him up. Also

615
00:32:46,080 --> 00:32:48,520
Speaker 1: had a fumble at the end of the first half

616
00:32:48,960 --> 00:32:51,720
Speaker 1: that put the Ravens in position to score the go

617
00:32:51,760 --> 00:32:53,959
Speaker 1: ahead touchdown. Instead of being down six three, they're up

618
00:32:53,960 --> 00:32:57,840
Speaker 1: ten to six. The play before he threw that dime

619
00:32:57,880 --> 00:33:00,000
Speaker 1: to Cedric Tilman to win the game for the Ravens,

620
00:33:00,800 --> 00:33:03,080
Speaker 1: he threw a gimme interception to Kyle Hamilton. The Kyle

621
00:33:03,080 --> 00:33:06,040
Speaker 1: Hamilton dropped and there were three of those in that game, right,

622
00:33:06,560 --> 00:33:09,560
Speaker 1: So now you go look at the Chargers. The Chargers

623
00:33:09,840 --> 00:33:13,640
Speaker 1: have an elite run defense, they have a great playmaker

624
00:33:13,640 --> 00:33:16,200
Speaker 1: and Justin Herbert, who doesn't turn the ball over, you

625
00:33:16,320 --> 00:33:20,080
Speaker 1: know they are going to run the ball. Is Jameis

626
00:33:20,120 --> 00:33:24,840
Speaker 1: Winston going to get away with the same mistakes. That

627
00:33:25,280 --> 00:33:28,440
Speaker 1: is my concern in betting on the Browns. The wise

628
00:33:28,440 --> 00:33:33,040
Speaker 1: guys are betting that Jamis will continue to find a

629
00:33:33,080 --> 00:33:35,680
Speaker 1: way to be Jamis, and that because this offensive line

630
00:33:35,760 --> 00:33:38,280
Speaker 1: is getting healthier, because this defense is getting healthier, because

631
00:33:38,320 --> 00:33:41,880
Speaker 1: the game is in Cleveland, there's an upswing, there's still momentum.

632
00:33:42,200 --> 00:33:43,800
Speaker 1: I'm not buying it. So if you want to pass

633
00:33:43,800 --> 00:33:45,200
Speaker 1: on it, I get it. If you want to take

634
00:33:45,200 --> 00:33:48,320
Speaker 1: the Chargers, I get it. The Charger's number is getting lower.

635
00:33:49,160 --> 00:33:51,640
Speaker 1: It's a little trappy to take sort of the road dog,

636
00:33:51,840 --> 00:33:54,600
Speaker 1: the road favorite in this spot. So it's not a

637
00:33:54,680 --> 00:33:56,640
Speaker 1: huge play for me. But I will bet the Chargers.

638
00:33:57,080 --> 00:33:58,480
Speaker 2: Anything else I missed.

639
00:33:59,200 --> 00:34:04,080
Speaker 1: Yeah, I'll talk about the Lions and the Packers.

640
00:34:03,920 --> 00:34:06,760
Speaker 2: Well, because I don't know if Jordan Love is gonna play.

641
00:34:06,800 --> 00:34:11,319
Speaker 1: Doesn't matter. Don't care. As Jay Cutler says in the

642
00:34:11,480 --> 00:34:14,440
Speaker 1: Urinal in Chicago, when someone tells them they went to Vanderbilt,

643
00:34:14,960 --> 00:34:18,799
Speaker 1: don't care. I don't care. I'm betting the Packers at

644
00:34:18,800 --> 00:34:21,000
Speaker 1: plus three and a half. And by the way, if

645
00:34:21,040 --> 00:34:23,479
Speaker 1: Jordan Love isn't playing and it's Malik Willison, the number

646
00:34:23,520 --> 00:34:25,640
Speaker 1: goes up to four four and a half. I'm still

647
00:34:25,680 --> 00:34:32,200
Speaker 1: playing the Packers. Matt Lafleur is an elite, elite schemer.

648
00:34:32,840 --> 00:34:37,360
Speaker 1: He has been amazing this season. Matt lefloor seventy percent

649
00:34:37,400 --> 00:34:40,440
Speaker 1: against the spread when he is an underdog, and by

650
00:34:40,440 --> 00:34:42,960
Speaker 1: the way, when he's an underdog of three or more

651
00:34:43,000 --> 00:34:47,319
Speaker 1: points eighteen and four, you got Jared Goff who has

652
00:34:47,520 --> 00:34:52,319
Speaker 1: a bocky ankle. You've got Jared Goff playing outdoors. You've

653
00:34:52,360 --> 00:34:57,319
Speaker 1: got the Lions at peak value right now. You've got

654
00:34:57,320 --> 00:35:01,880
Speaker 1: the Lions going against a Packers offensive line that is

655
00:35:02,080 --> 00:35:05,719
Speaker 1: a fantastic pass blocking unit. And this will be the

656
00:35:05,719 --> 00:35:08,840
Speaker 1: first time we really see the impact of not having

657
00:35:09,160 --> 00:35:12,399
Speaker 1: Aiden Hutchinson to rush the passer. And by the way,

658
00:35:12,840 --> 00:35:16,120
Speaker 1: Lake willis what has he done badly to not give

659
00:35:16,200 --> 00:35:19,160
Speaker 1: us confidence? He Mett with fluor understands what he is

660
00:35:19,200 --> 00:35:23,280
Speaker 1: getting into with that quarterback. This is a smash the

661
00:35:23,320 --> 00:35:26,239
Speaker 1: smash spot for the Packers. I love the Packers here.

662
00:35:27,600 --> 00:35:30,839
Speaker 2: Well, that's why you're a professional gambler, and I'm a radioshmuck.

663
00:35:31,600 --> 00:35:35,040
Speaker 1: By the way. By the way, nobody knows nothing until

664
00:35:35,040 --> 00:35:39,240
Speaker 1: the game is over. But I am definitely my toughest

665
00:35:39,280 --> 00:35:41,160
Speaker 1: loss of the year I took. You know, I love

666
00:35:41,200 --> 00:35:44,040
Speaker 1: the number four. I took green Bay against Jacksonville and

667
00:35:44,080 --> 00:35:50,600
Speaker 1: they kneel before rushing in. That was rough, right, that

668
00:35:50,680 --> 00:35:53,160
Speaker 1: was rough. I think I told you to take Jacksonville

669
00:35:53,160 --> 00:35:53,879
Speaker 1: at three and a half.

670
00:35:54,280 --> 00:35:57,719
Speaker 2: I know, but I honestly green Bay led. I felt

671
00:35:57,719 --> 00:35:59,360
Speaker 2: like I was in the wrong. I felt like I

672
00:35:59,440 --> 00:36:02,360
Speaker 2: was on the right. But the way I lost. I

673
00:36:02,400 --> 00:36:06,600
Speaker 2: remember last year I lost a doint on the Saints.

674
00:36:06,760 --> 00:36:09,839
Speaker 2: They like hit the crossbar maybe twice in that game.

675
00:36:09,960 --> 00:36:12,440
Speaker 2: I felt like about once a year. I laugh. I

676
00:36:12,719 --> 00:36:14,640
Speaker 2: don't get angry. I feel like you got to be

677
00:36:14,719 --> 00:36:16,920
Speaker 2: kidding me. They led by I think ten At one

678
00:36:16,920 --> 00:36:19,239
Speaker 2: point in the second half, they're going in running for

679
00:36:19,280 --> 00:36:21,640
Speaker 2: the touchdown and the guy doesn't die of the two

680
00:36:21,760 --> 00:36:25,000
Speaker 2: and I thought, well, okay, the experts, that's right.

681
00:36:25,719 --> 00:36:28,480
Speaker 1: Yeah, that's how it works out. By the way, that

682
00:36:28,560 --> 00:36:31,759
Speaker 1: Jacksonville game was a joke. I was joking on the

683
00:36:31,760 --> 00:36:35,600
Speaker 1: podcast this week. I hated the Jacksonville bet. I didn't

684
00:36:35,600 --> 00:36:37,680
Speaker 1: want to make it. I thought it was a bad idea.

685
00:36:37,719 --> 00:36:41,320
Speaker 1: I hate that team. I'm not impressed with them. Everything

686
00:36:41,400 --> 00:36:44,439
Speaker 1: that we needed to go right in that game went right.

687
00:36:44,719 --> 00:36:48,160
Speaker 1: It was a lucky, lucky win. But then you got

688
00:36:48,160 --> 00:36:51,560
Speaker 1: to look at the Colts against the Texans, and either

689
00:36:51,760 --> 00:36:54,239
Speaker 1: I got lucky, we got we got either we got

690
00:36:54,280 --> 00:36:57,560
Speaker 1: really lucky with the Colts because the Texans were going

691
00:36:57,600 --> 00:37:00,840
Speaker 1: to the very least kick a field goal late in

692
00:37:00,880 --> 00:37:03,320
Speaker 1: the game. If Joe Mixon is ce J Shroud, don't

693
00:37:03,320 --> 00:37:06,320
Speaker 1: botch the snap, don't botch the handoff, and the Colts

694
00:37:06,320 --> 00:37:08,440
Speaker 1: recover and then you know they can go down and

695
00:37:08,480 --> 00:37:11,160
Speaker 1: do their thing or the game ends at three. It

696
00:37:11,200 --> 00:37:13,600
Speaker 1: wasn't going to go like that, But everything that leading

697
00:37:13,760 --> 00:37:16,000
Speaker 1: led up to that made it feel like a great handicap.

698
00:37:16,560 --> 00:37:19,160
Speaker 1: Everything with Jacksonville felt like a bad handicap, and we

699
00:37:19,280 --> 00:37:21,400
Speaker 1: just got lucky in the end. But you sort of

700
00:37:21,440 --> 00:37:23,279
Speaker 1: have to say to yourself, did I get lucky in

701
00:37:23,320 --> 00:37:25,719
Speaker 1: both games? Or were both games a great handicap? So

702
00:37:26,080 --> 00:37:29,520
Speaker 1: I'm going with they were genius ideas and I am

703
00:37:29,600 --> 00:37:33,919
Speaker 1: hoping the same thing happens with the Packers.

704
00:37:34,640 --> 00:37:37,200
Speaker 2: Sharper Square Chad Milman, co host of the Favorites All

705
00:37:37,239 --> 00:37:38,759
Speaker 2: Odds provided by DraftKings.

706
00:37:38,760 --> 00:37:42,000
Speaker 1: Thanks Buddy, see you Buddy, Joey Halloween.

707
00:37:42,080 --> 00:37:50,680
Speaker 2: Thanks the volume, Thanks so much for listening. If you've

708
00:37:50,760 --> 00:37:53,880
Speaker 2: enjoyed the podcast, take a moment, rate and review