1 00:00:00,120 --> 00:00:04,640 Speaker 1: The Action Network podcast Better than Most, Better than Most, 2 00:00:05,680 --> 00:00:07,000 Speaker 1: Better than Most. 3 00:00:07,400 --> 00:00:17,960 Speaker 2: Winner Tricking Down You got real talent, Go concentrate on golf. 4 00:00:19,239 --> 00:00:21,800 Speaker 3: Welcome to the Action Now with podcasts presented by DraftKings. 5 00:00:21,800 --> 00:00:24,279 Speaker 3: I'm your host Mike Calabres and every Wednesday I am 6 00:00:24,360 --> 00:00:27,440 Speaker 3: enjoyed by Spencer Agiar and Kyle Murray to dive into 7 00:00:27,480 --> 00:00:30,520 Speaker 3: the latest and greatest PGA tournament event that we are 8 00:00:30,560 --> 00:00:33,040 Speaker 3: looking forward to Thursday through Sunday. Today we're going to 9 00:00:33,120 --> 00:00:37,160 Speaker 3: be previewing the Texas Children's Houston Open and Memorial Park 10 00:00:37,240 --> 00:00:41,239 Speaker 3: Municipal Golf Course in beautiful Houston, Texas. This course has 11 00:00:41,280 --> 00:00:43,840 Speaker 3: an incredible history dating back more than one hundred years. 12 00:00:44,040 --> 00:00:46,200 Speaker 3: It was created in nineteen twelve. It was a nine 13 00:00:46,240 --> 00:00:50,320 Speaker 3: hole course that was used as basically a recovery space 14 00:00:50,360 --> 00:00:53,560 Speaker 3: for convalescent soldiers recovering from injury or illness. The first 15 00:00:53,640 --> 00:00:55,880 Speaker 3: tournament was held in nineteen forty six, when it was 16 00:00:55,920 --> 00:00:59,440 Speaker 3: expanded to eighteen holes Byron Nelson edged out Ben Hogan. 17 00:00:59,640 --> 00:01:02,319 Speaker 3: So this is drippin in history. Arnold Palmer won here, 18 00:01:02,360 --> 00:01:06,240 Speaker 3: Gary player Phil Mickelson. So many great endings because this 19 00:01:06,280 --> 00:01:09,840 Speaker 3: tournament sets up particularly fifteen sixteen seventeen eighteen for a 20 00:01:09,920 --> 00:01:13,680 Speaker 3: dramatic finish. The course went under a fifteen million dollar 21 00:01:13,800 --> 00:01:17,560 Speaker 3: transformation back in late twenty nineteen. The project was tapped 22 00:01:17,560 --> 00:01:20,840 Speaker 3: by architect Tom Doak and actually had Brooks Koepka be 23 00:01:20,920 --> 00:01:24,280 Speaker 3: the player consultant on it to rework the course. Multiple 24 00:01:24,319 --> 00:01:26,960 Speaker 3: players and analysts will point out, you know, leading up 25 00:01:26,959 --> 00:01:30,240 Speaker 3: to this first round that this course is very reminiscent 26 00:01:30,319 --> 00:01:32,920 Speaker 3: of augusta National player's note. That's much more of a 27 00:01:33,000 --> 00:01:36,160 Speaker 3: second shot golf course with pure lies around the green 28 00:01:36,280 --> 00:01:39,280 Speaker 3: allowing for more creative shot making. A lot of golfers 29 00:01:39,360 --> 00:01:41,000 Speaker 3: like to get in the right frame of mind leading 30 00:01:41,080 --> 00:01:44,160 Speaker 3: up to the Masters next month. And a little fun fact. 31 00:01:44,319 --> 00:01:46,839 Speaker 3: Locals don't pay more than thirty eight dollars per rounds, 32 00:01:46,840 --> 00:01:50,120 Speaker 3: and juniors can play for ten dollars during the week. 33 00:01:50,240 --> 00:01:51,680 Speaker 3: All right, I'm going to bring you guys in here 34 00:01:51,720 --> 00:01:54,680 Speaker 3: to talk more about this exact layout, the kind of 35 00:01:54,680 --> 00:01:58,640 Speaker 3: golfers that are primed to perhaps overperform, and any other 36 00:01:58,680 --> 00:02:00,200 Speaker 3: thoughts that you have on the course. Spencer, get you 37 00:02:00,280 --> 00:02:01,840 Speaker 3: started your first Yeah, I. 38 00:02:01,800 --> 00:02:03,640 Speaker 1: Think you talked about it, Michael. This there was a 39 00:02:03,680 --> 00:02:06,560 Speaker 1: rebuild done a handful of years ago. What it was 40 00:02:06,640 --> 00:02:09,280 Speaker 1: meant to do and what was put into places they 41 00:02:09,320 --> 00:02:12,800 Speaker 1: wanted dramatic lead changes down the stretch that you're gonna 42 00:02:12,840 --> 00:02:15,959 Speaker 1: see that come into play on the final six holes. 43 00:02:17,000 --> 00:02:20,040 Speaker 1: All of them feature either a twenty one percent bogie 44 00:02:20,160 --> 00:02:23,320 Speaker 1: or worse rate or a twenty six percent or better 45 00:02:23,440 --> 00:02:27,720 Speaker 1: burdy or better rate. That's the blueprint that you kind 46 00:02:27,760 --> 00:02:30,560 Speaker 1: of can expect here. And Tom Doak is known for 47 00:02:30,639 --> 00:02:34,200 Speaker 1: these very distinctive complexes. It's any course that you see 48 00:02:34,240 --> 00:02:37,240 Speaker 1: him work on, you're going to always have these distinctive complexes. 49 00:02:37,280 --> 00:02:39,239 Speaker 2: That's going to be in the forefront of the equation here. 50 00:02:39,760 --> 00:02:42,760 Speaker 1: Five point four percent increase in dispersion of scoring when 51 00:02:42,760 --> 00:02:45,640 Speaker 1: you're looking at strokes gained around the green. Players have 52 00:02:45,760 --> 00:02:47,959 Speaker 1: quite often mentioned how failing to get a putter in 53 00:02:48,000 --> 00:02:50,840 Speaker 1: hand kind of creates this ping pong effect where you 54 00:02:50,840 --> 00:02:53,880 Speaker 1: can go back and forth on this very unique contextual setup. 55 00:02:54,320 --> 00:02:57,799 Speaker 1: You have a clamshale hole where on the par four 56 00:02:57,919 --> 00:03:00,520 Speaker 1: tenth uh that's where like landing here. 57 00:03:00,600 --> 00:03:02,720 Speaker 2: It's very funky. You'll see it on television. We'll talk 58 00:03:02,760 --> 00:03:03,519 Speaker 2: about it a bunch. 59 00:03:04,440 --> 00:03:06,080 Speaker 1: I think though, for me, the one thing that I 60 00:03:06,080 --> 00:03:08,240 Speaker 1: will add and I would love to hear what Kyle's 61 00:03:08,320 --> 00:03:11,680 Speaker 1: thoughts are on this, like the ease of the property. 62 00:03:11,840 --> 00:03:13,840 Speaker 1: This used to be played in the fall and now 63 00:03:13,880 --> 00:03:17,040 Speaker 1: we get it in March time. There is a certain 64 00:03:17,120 --> 00:03:19,320 Speaker 1: ease of the property that you probably did not get 65 00:03:19,440 --> 00:03:23,240 Speaker 1: during the fall. We see that with this distance versus 66 00:03:23,280 --> 00:03:26,280 Speaker 1: accuracy question. If you look last year and you dive 67 00:03:26,320 --> 00:03:29,280 Speaker 1: into any of the statistics, it generates one of the 68 00:03:29,400 --> 00:03:33,600 Speaker 1: more straightforward Bomber's paradise venues that you can see. I 69 00:03:33,639 --> 00:03:35,440 Speaker 1: do want to note from this, and this would be 70 00:03:35,440 --> 00:03:37,520 Speaker 1: the one caveat that I would throw into the mix 71 00:03:37,560 --> 00:03:41,760 Speaker 1: of everything. It was extremely wet last year, and I 72 00:03:41,800 --> 00:03:44,440 Speaker 1: do think that there is some level to be said 73 00:03:44,640 --> 00:03:48,280 Speaker 1: that people are over simplifying what the process is here 74 00:03:48,680 --> 00:03:51,880 Speaker 1: of just find these distance golfers hit the ball far. 75 00:03:52,600 --> 00:03:54,800 Speaker 1: There's really not that many areas where you can miss. 76 00:03:54,840 --> 00:03:57,040 Speaker 1: You do have these tree lined if you go really 77 00:03:57,120 --> 00:03:59,920 Speaker 1: wayward on shots, but I don't think it's doing a 78 00:04:00,120 --> 00:04:03,320 Speaker 1: fair justice to what this course is. There are short 79 00:04:03,360 --> 00:04:05,480 Speaker 1: game statistics throughout, and it's a lot of the dope 80 00:04:05,520 --> 00:04:08,320 Speaker 1: stuff that I talked about that are very indicative for 81 00:04:08,440 --> 00:04:10,520 Speaker 1: success here, Like you don't have to look any further 82 00:04:10,600 --> 00:04:14,600 Speaker 1: than last season fifty one percent of the dispersion output 83 00:04:15,000 --> 00:04:17,799 Speaker 1: of the winner of that golf tournament landed in strokes 84 00:04:17,800 --> 00:04:20,320 Speaker 1: gain putting you get it, about fifteen percent more in 85 00:04:20,360 --> 00:04:23,599 Speaker 1: strokes gain around the green. So for me, this is 86 00:04:23,640 --> 00:04:26,039 Speaker 1: one of those venues where it's gonna be some combination 87 00:04:26,160 --> 00:04:30,080 Speaker 1: sure driving at similar test driver heavy venues, long courses, 88 00:04:30,160 --> 00:04:34,039 Speaker 1: low misfairway penalties. But I think you are doing a 89 00:04:34,080 --> 00:04:36,359 Speaker 1: disservice to yourself if you don't also add in the 90 00:04:36,400 --> 00:04:39,560 Speaker 1: long iron approaches from two hundred plus yards the overall 91 00:04:39,600 --> 00:04:43,039 Speaker 1: short game acumen that I talked about, And for me, 92 00:04:43,240 --> 00:04:45,200 Speaker 1: that is kind of how I tried to build this 93 00:04:45,279 --> 00:04:45,920 Speaker 1: model this week. 94 00:04:46,040 --> 00:04:48,320 Speaker 2: I think far too many people have viewed. 95 00:04:48,160 --> 00:04:50,320 Speaker 1: This as a distance only course and you're getting these 96 00:04:50,360 --> 00:04:53,599 Speaker 1: really funky returns to the mix to where there are 97 00:04:53,640 --> 00:04:56,200 Speaker 1: probably gonna be implosions and traps that are gonna happen. 98 00:04:56,240 --> 00:05:01,680 Speaker 1: And I would rather find Tee to Green success overall success. Yes, 99 00:05:01,760 --> 00:05:03,960 Speaker 1: distance matters, but we're not going to only stick in 100 00:05:04,000 --> 00:05:04,480 Speaker 1: that area. 101 00:05:05,320 --> 00:05:07,839 Speaker 3: Kyle, let's get you in here, and for the listeners 102 00:05:07,880 --> 00:05:10,479 Speaker 3: out there, Bomber's paradise the phrase the over unners said 103 00:05:10,480 --> 00:05:11,960 Speaker 3: at seven and a half in this episode is we're 104 00:05:11,960 --> 00:05:14,360 Speaker 3: go'll be talking about it a lot beyond that, though, 105 00:05:14,400 --> 00:05:16,240 Speaker 3: Spencer brings up a lot of good points in terms 106 00:05:16,279 --> 00:05:18,920 Speaker 3: of the cistical profile who you're looking for in this 107 00:05:19,000 --> 00:05:22,640 Speaker 3: field that matches the course beyond the distance, and you know, 108 00:05:22,720 --> 00:05:25,240 Speaker 3: having a preference to people who can really vombit, you know, 109 00:05:25,279 --> 00:05:27,400 Speaker 3: north of three hundred and twenty yards off the tea box. 110 00:05:27,560 --> 00:05:29,359 Speaker 3: What kind of golfers are you looking forward to attack 111 00:05:29,360 --> 00:05:30,960 Speaker 3: this course, Kyle, Yeah. 112 00:05:30,800 --> 00:05:33,280 Speaker 4: I think Spencer, you know, prettyers will broke it down perfectly. 113 00:05:33,360 --> 00:05:35,080 Speaker 4: You know, I'll add one to the tally here. I 114 00:05:35,080 --> 00:05:37,120 Speaker 4: think there is going to be a lot of tendencies 115 00:05:37,120 --> 00:05:40,080 Speaker 4: that you know, lay into the bomber's paradise sort of profile. 116 00:05:40,160 --> 00:05:42,760 Speaker 4: But to Spencer's point, there's a lot of underlying stats 117 00:05:42,760 --> 00:05:45,000 Speaker 4: that I think kind of brings short games up into 118 00:05:45,040 --> 00:05:45,480 Speaker 4: play as well. 119 00:05:45,480 --> 00:05:46,640 Speaker 5: You touched on the putting stuff. 120 00:05:46,720 --> 00:05:49,600 Speaker 4: I actually found a pretty significant value in around the 121 00:05:49,640 --> 00:05:52,159 Speaker 4: green and just you know, total scrambling in general. So 122 00:05:52,760 --> 00:05:54,400 Speaker 4: I do think that distance is certainly going to help. 123 00:05:54,440 --> 00:05:56,600 Speaker 4: We've seen that over the past couple of years. Spencer 124 00:05:56,640 --> 00:05:59,000 Speaker 4: mentioned the time of year, the season change that has 125 00:05:59,040 --> 00:06:01,320 Speaker 4: certainly led to some shit in the data. That we've 126 00:06:01,360 --> 00:06:03,960 Speaker 4: seen kind of come to fruition throughout these end results 127 00:06:03,960 --> 00:06:07,880 Speaker 4: for tournament data. But nonetheless I'm actually seeing, you know, yes, 128 00:06:08,040 --> 00:06:10,880 Speaker 4: distance will certainly help, but if players can kind of 129 00:06:10,880 --> 00:06:13,600 Speaker 4: offset that with strong long iron play, I think there's 130 00:06:13,640 --> 00:06:16,520 Speaker 4: more they're more than capable of kind of factoring into 131 00:06:16,600 --> 00:06:20,279 Speaker 4: some other sorts of profiles outside of just the pure 132 00:06:20,320 --> 00:06:23,080 Speaker 4: bomber profile. I do think distance will certainly help here. 133 00:06:23,120 --> 00:06:24,920 Speaker 4: It's going to be a much different course compared to 134 00:06:24,960 --> 00:06:26,360 Speaker 4: what we've seen over the past couple weeks, where it's 135 00:06:26,400 --> 00:06:29,560 Speaker 4: been a lot of precision and location type golf. That 136 00:06:29,680 --> 00:06:31,559 Speaker 4: is going to be a different scenario here in this spot. 137 00:06:31,600 --> 00:06:35,000 Speaker 4: But the greens are tricky in the spot, the lies 138 00:06:35,040 --> 00:06:37,960 Speaker 4: around the greens are tricky here at Memorial, So I 139 00:06:38,000 --> 00:06:40,880 Speaker 4: think that is going to kind of lead to short 140 00:06:40,920 --> 00:06:42,640 Speaker 4: game stuff being a little bit more important that I 141 00:06:42,720 --> 00:06:44,240 Speaker 4: think the industry or. 142 00:06:44,240 --> 00:06:45,560 Speaker 5: Maybe the market is factoring in. 143 00:06:46,080 --> 00:06:47,760 Speaker 4: When I ran my model, I saw some names that 144 00:06:47,760 --> 00:06:49,880 Speaker 4: I wasn't quite expecting to be up at the top, 145 00:06:49,920 --> 00:06:52,320 Speaker 4: and that's purely because they don't necessarily fit into. 146 00:06:52,080 --> 00:06:52,880 Speaker 5: That bomber's role. 147 00:06:52,920 --> 00:06:55,280 Speaker 4: Like someone like Shane Lowry grading out really well here. 148 00:06:55,320 --> 00:06:57,360 Speaker 4: He's certainly not going to be a type of player 149 00:06:57,400 --> 00:06:59,680 Speaker 4: that you think of when you're thinking of bombers. But 150 00:07:00,000 --> 00:07:01,880 Speaker 4: I think that kind of goes into the overall thesis 151 00:07:01,920 --> 00:07:05,120 Speaker 4: of this this week's course analysis is that, yes, distance 152 00:07:05,160 --> 00:07:07,080 Speaker 4: is going to certainly help, but there are plenty of 153 00:07:07,160 --> 00:07:09,200 Speaker 4: ways that guys who don't fit that mold you can 154 00:07:09,240 --> 00:07:11,520 Speaker 4: find themselves with some success here. And there's gonna be 155 00:07:11,520 --> 00:07:12,800 Speaker 4: a couple of other names that I'm sure I'll touch 156 00:07:12,800 --> 00:07:15,640 Speaker 4: on throughout the course of the video. But nonetheless, I 157 00:07:15,640 --> 00:07:18,360 Speaker 4: think overall summary, yes, this is certainly going to help here, 158 00:07:18,760 --> 00:07:21,280 Speaker 4: but there's a lot more that goes into the breakdown. 159 00:07:21,440 --> 00:07:23,240 Speaker 4: Spencer related out well, I think short game is going 160 00:07:23,280 --> 00:07:25,800 Speaker 4: to be a little bit more important than in some. 161 00:07:25,680 --> 00:07:27,840 Speaker 5: Weeks, but I'm excited to talk about it for sure. 162 00:07:27,920 --> 00:07:29,880 Speaker 3: Let's get into our head to head markets presented by 163 00:07:29,960 --> 00:07:34,160 Speaker 3: Draft Kings Spencer Gary Woodland minus one fourteen over JT Posting. 164 00:07:34,960 --> 00:07:39,040 Speaker 3: Woodland obviously had that iconic sixty two eight under part 165 00:07:39,160 --> 00:07:42,880 Speaker 3: on Sunday last year nearly shocked everyone, overtaking Min Wu 166 00:07:43,000 --> 00:07:46,280 Speaker 3: Lee there on Sunday. Didn't quite get there, but certainly 167 00:07:46,440 --> 00:07:48,480 Speaker 3: you have to have confidence in his game fitting this 168 00:07:48,520 --> 00:07:51,480 Speaker 3: particular course, he leads the PGA in driving distance with 169 00:07:51,520 --> 00:07:54,200 Speaker 3: an average of three hundred and twenty five point one 170 00:07:54,440 --> 00:07:57,400 Speaker 3: yards off the tee. But as we just said, it's 171 00:07:57,440 --> 00:07:59,440 Speaker 3: not just about what you do from the tea box. 172 00:07:59,520 --> 00:08:01,000 Speaker 3: What else do you like in terms of him in 173 00:08:01,000 --> 00:08:02,480 Speaker 3: this particular matchup against JT. 174 00:08:03,080 --> 00:08:05,640 Speaker 2: Yeah, that was a scary Sunday for me, Michael. 175 00:08:05,720 --> 00:08:09,040 Speaker 1: I had Min wou Lee and there were a lot 176 00:08:09,040 --> 00:08:10,160 Speaker 1: of chasers. 177 00:08:10,320 --> 00:08:11,560 Speaker 2: It was back to back years. 178 00:08:11,600 --> 00:08:13,760 Speaker 1: Funny enough, I had Jaeger the year before that where 179 00:08:13,800 --> 00:08:16,400 Speaker 1: Scotty ended up coming in second. So feel like I've 180 00:08:16,480 --> 00:08:19,000 Speaker 1: run pretty well at this tournament over the course of time. 181 00:08:19,080 --> 00:08:22,600 Speaker 1: But you have to be very careful when it comes 182 00:08:22,640 --> 00:08:25,840 Speaker 1: to these like Gary Woodland's a really prime example of this. 183 00:08:25,920 --> 00:08:29,040 Speaker 1: If you remove what he did last week, there is 184 00:08:29,200 --> 00:08:32,200 Speaker 1: nothing better than a sixty fourth on his resume this 185 00:08:32,320 --> 00:08:35,319 Speaker 1: year in six tournaments. And I think as an industry 186 00:08:35,360 --> 00:08:38,840 Speaker 1: sometimes there's an overcorrection that can take place that one 187 00:08:38,880 --> 00:08:41,320 Speaker 1: tournament ends up entering the mix and people want to 188 00:08:41,320 --> 00:08:43,840 Speaker 1: make these really aggressive moves in one direction or the other. 189 00:08:44,000 --> 00:08:45,880 Speaker 1: It doesn't have to just be for good play. It 190 00:08:45,920 --> 00:08:49,440 Speaker 1: can be for bad play. It's the Jake Knapp syndrome 191 00:08:49,480 --> 00:08:51,400 Speaker 1: that can come into play to where one of the 192 00:08:51,480 --> 00:08:55,880 Speaker 1: hottest golfers in the world he flops at the players 193 00:08:55,920 --> 00:08:58,600 Speaker 1: and now there's this sentiment of where does he stand? 194 00:08:58,600 --> 00:08:59,640 Speaker 2: Do we want to play him? Do we not want 195 00:08:59,640 --> 00:09:00,000 Speaker 2: to play him? 196 00:09:00,040 --> 00:09:02,040 Speaker 1: And that's kind of the answers that you always have 197 00:09:02,120 --> 00:09:05,160 Speaker 1: to ask yourself. But when I look into the Woodland profile, 198 00:09:05,760 --> 00:09:08,080 Speaker 1: there is so much that it likes about him, and 199 00:09:08,480 --> 00:09:10,240 Speaker 1: you know, like, look, but Kyle and I have both 200 00:09:10,280 --> 00:09:12,800 Speaker 1: talked about that distance is not the only answer here, 201 00:09:12,840 --> 00:09:15,560 Speaker 1: but it is certainly something that is going to help 202 00:09:15,600 --> 00:09:18,040 Speaker 1: the equation. I ran in my model of one of 203 00:09:18,040 --> 00:09:21,200 Speaker 1: the seven main statistical categories, it was long iron play 204 00:09:21,200 --> 00:09:24,600 Speaker 1: from two hundred plus yards plus that distance combination. He 205 00:09:24,720 --> 00:09:26,960 Speaker 1: was inside of the top ten of my model. There. 206 00:09:27,559 --> 00:09:29,880 Speaker 1: We have three top twenty one finishes from him at 207 00:09:29,880 --> 00:09:32,920 Speaker 1: this tournament over the last three years. I wouldn't necessarily 208 00:09:32,920 --> 00:09:35,800 Speaker 1: say that this is some predictive venue year in year out. 209 00:09:36,200 --> 00:09:38,160 Speaker 1: I've even talked about at the start of last year 210 00:09:38,200 --> 00:09:40,760 Speaker 1: it was wet. Years before that we were in a 211 00:09:40,760 --> 00:09:43,400 Speaker 1: different part of the year. But a lot of those 212 00:09:43,480 --> 00:09:45,840 Speaker 1: categories of what he's bringing to the mix and all 213 00:09:45,880 --> 00:09:48,280 Speaker 1: of these top thirties that he is forming. For me, 214 00:09:48,920 --> 00:09:52,360 Speaker 1: it means something from an output perspective, and I think 215 00:09:52,400 --> 00:09:55,280 Speaker 1: when we look at JT posts and skill set, there's 216 00:09:55,320 --> 00:09:57,760 Speaker 1: a lot of issues that it finds because of that 217 00:09:57,880 --> 00:10:00,880 Speaker 1: lack of distance that he has. There's a lot of 218 00:10:00,920 --> 00:10:03,520 Speaker 1: reasons to believe that what we saw from Woodland last 219 00:10:03,559 --> 00:10:06,360 Speaker 1: week is a predictive quality that he can roll over 220 00:10:06,400 --> 00:10:10,040 Speaker 1: into this venue fourteenth on the profile from what we 221 00:10:10,080 --> 00:10:13,000 Speaker 1: got from him at the valspar that looks good on paper, 222 00:10:13,400 --> 00:10:15,760 Speaker 1: but when you dive deeper into what he actually did 223 00:10:15,800 --> 00:10:19,400 Speaker 1: to get that fourteenth place finish the reprojected leaderboards, when 224 00:10:19,440 --> 00:10:21,760 Speaker 1: you use the actual ball striking and then the baseline 225 00:10:21,760 --> 00:10:25,800 Speaker 1: short game stats, he is very consistent from what he 226 00:10:25,880 --> 00:10:28,680 Speaker 1: should have done and what he produced. And for me, 227 00:10:28,800 --> 00:10:30,840 Speaker 1: from a guy who has the caliber of Woodland to 228 00:10:30,840 --> 00:10:33,640 Speaker 1: be a major champion, to get hot at any given time, 229 00:10:33,760 --> 00:10:36,640 Speaker 1: to play this tournament well every single time he plays it, 230 00:10:37,400 --> 00:10:39,839 Speaker 1: I actually think the market was too slow to move 231 00:10:39,880 --> 00:10:42,480 Speaker 1: on this one. I don't think post and profiles very 232 00:10:42,480 --> 00:10:45,760 Speaker 1: well for this course, and I think Woodland statistically, from 233 00:10:45,800 --> 00:10:49,240 Speaker 1: a long term perspective, it looks like a legitimate top 234 00:10:49,320 --> 00:10:51,120 Speaker 1: thirty five player here, and that's more than what I 235 00:10:51,120 --> 00:10:53,080 Speaker 1: can say for the JT post and outlook. 236 00:10:53,720 --> 00:10:56,240 Speaker 3: All right with Woodland, let's go shot to chaser. We 237 00:10:56,320 --> 00:10:59,079 Speaker 3: go from the number one player on tour in terms 238 00:10:59,120 --> 00:11:02,360 Speaker 3: of driving distance to Shane Lowry Kyle, who is I 239 00:11:02,360 --> 00:11:04,360 Speaker 3: believe one hundred and forty eighth in terms of his 240 00:11:04,440 --> 00:11:06,920 Speaker 3: ranking off the tee. You like him overhaul at minus 241 00:11:06,960 --> 00:11:09,200 Speaker 3: one oh five, And I mean, this is what's interesting 242 00:11:09,200 --> 00:11:11,720 Speaker 3: about breaking down this course. He's played really well here 243 00:11:11,760 --> 00:11:14,360 Speaker 3: despite you know, his limitations off the tee for top 244 00:11:14,440 --> 00:11:17,360 Speaker 3: sixteen finishes, and he's just one of nine golfers in 245 00:11:17,400 --> 00:11:19,440 Speaker 3: the field who rank in the top twenty five in 246 00:11:19,520 --> 00:11:24,000 Speaker 3: both bogie avoidance and total strokes gained in difficult scoring conditions. 247 00:11:24,160 --> 00:11:26,200 Speaker 3: What else has drawn you to Lowry in this spot? 248 00:11:27,040 --> 00:11:27,240 Speaker 5: Yeah? 249 00:11:27,360 --> 00:11:30,040 Speaker 4: I think you know, when looking at the entire field, 250 00:11:30,080 --> 00:11:32,480 Speaker 4: Lowry certainly one of the better all around, you know, 251 00:11:32,720 --> 00:11:35,000 Speaker 4: top to bottom players, But I mean it's no secret 252 00:11:35,040 --> 00:11:37,760 Speaker 4: he doesn't necessarily fit the course here. From off the 253 00:11:37,840 --> 00:11:40,720 Speaker 4: t perspective, I have him as the one hundredth best 254 00:11:40,720 --> 00:11:43,280 Speaker 4: off the T fit for this course. So certainly not 255 00:11:43,360 --> 00:11:45,440 Speaker 4: a great spot to be in from that perspective. But 256 00:11:45,520 --> 00:11:47,400 Speaker 4: When I look at his approach fit, he's the number 257 00:11:47,440 --> 00:11:49,600 Speaker 4: one fit in this field on approach play, and I 258 00:11:49,600 --> 00:11:51,680 Speaker 4: think that goes back to what I said earlier, where 259 00:11:51,760 --> 00:11:54,000 Speaker 4: you know, certainly distance will help, but as long as 260 00:11:54,000 --> 00:11:56,160 Speaker 4: guys can make up for the lack of distance with 261 00:11:56,480 --> 00:11:59,320 Speaker 4: long iron play, specifically in certain buckets you know, one 262 00:11:59,360 --> 00:12:00,559 Speaker 4: to seventy five two undred. 263 00:12:00,440 --> 00:12:02,280 Speaker 5: Yard shots, that's where Lowry thrives. 264 00:12:02,320 --> 00:12:03,480 Speaker 4: And I think that's going to be a spout where 265 00:12:03,480 --> 00:12:06,400 Speaker 4: he can potentially find some value and maybe the market 266 00:12:06,440 --> 00:12:09,079 Speaker 4: is underrating him because I do think there's a certain 267 00:12:09,520 --> 00:12:12,600 Speaker 4: aspect towards this sort of course, in this sort of 268 00:12:12,600 --> 00:12:14,360 Speaker 4: event where you know, especially when you look at some 269 00:12:14,400 --> 00:12:17,000 Speaker 4: recent results, you see, okay, does he hit the ball far, 270 00:12:17,280 --> 00:12:19,559 Speaker 4: Let's give him maybe a more significant grade. But I 271 00:12:19,600 --> 00:12:21,840 Speaker 4: think again we've talked about some more things that go 272 00:12:21,920 --> 00:12:23,320 Speaker 4: into it here, and I think he's just being a 273 00:12:23,320 --> 00:12:26,360 Speaker 4: bit undervalued here based on that. Also see him with 274 00:12:26,440 --> 00:12:29,880 Speaker 4: a nice differential in terms of his raw strokes gained 275 00:12:29,920 --> 00:12:32,720 Speaker 4: data on the greens, but also you know other putting 276 00:12:32,880 --> 00:12:36,000 Speaker 4: performance data like three put avoidance, you know, the significant 277 00:12:36,000 --> 00:12:37,720 Speaker 4: putting stats that we like to look at. But when 278 00:12:37,760 --> 00:12:41,040 Speaker 4: you look at him on Bermuda greens and on fast greens, 279 00:12:41,120 --> 00:12:43,880 Speaker 4: he tends to perform much better a top ten fit 280 00:12:44,240 --> 00:12:47,360 Speaker 4: in the putting model that I have, So Lowry certainly 281 00:12:47,400 --> 00:12:49,280 Speaker 4: does not grade well off the tee, but again I 282 00:12:49,320 --> 00:12:51,480 Speaker 4: think that there's just ways that he's able to make 283 00:12:51,559 --> 00:12:54,120 Speaker 4: up for it throughout the rest of his game, specifically 284 00:12:54,160 --> 00:12:56,760 Speaker 4: the approach and the short game on the greens. Harry 285 00:12:56,760 --> 00:12:58,280 Speaker 4: Hall obviously a guy who gets it done with the 286 00:12:58,320 --> 00:13:00,439 Speaker 4: putter at times, but he also is one of the 287 00:13:00,480 --> 00:13:03,840 Speaker 4: players in the field who has some really solid putting numbers. 288 00:13:03,840 --> 00:13:06,040 Speaker 4: But you put him on Bermuda greens, on fast greens, 289 00:13:06,200 --> 00:13:07,040 Speaker 4: and his numbers take. 290 00:13:06,960 --> 00:13:09,800 Speaker 5: A pretty significant hit here. So I think again it's. 291 00:13:09,640 --> 00:13:11,880 Speaker 4: A spot where the field, where you know, the market 292 00:13:11,960 --> 00:13:14,640 Speaker 4: might be overvaluing the stuff that Hall is good at 293 00:13:14,679 --> 00:13:17,079 Speaker 4: and maybe giving him more of a significant grade here, 294 00:13:17,080 --> 00:13:19,800 Speaker 4: and I think we're discounting Lowry too much. So I 295 00:13:19,960 --> 00:13:24,360 Speaker 4: like Lowry over Harry Hall. And then my second matchup 296 00:13:24,360 --> 00:13:26,760 Speaker 4: play is Keith Mitchell over Wyndham Clark Mitchell. 297 00:13:27,080 --> 00:13:28,520 Speaker 3: If I could jump in there, I'm glad that you 298 00:13:28,559 --> 00:13:31,400 Speaker 3: brought up putting, because Mitchell profiles as a great fit 299 00:13:31,480 --> 00:13:34,520 Speaker 3: to have success here if his putter cooperates, Like, how 300 00:13:34,520 --> 00:13:36,160 Speaker 3: do you account that kind of variance? 301 00:13:36,400 --> 00:13:38,160 Speaker 4: Yeah, yeah, I'm glad you let in with that, because 302 00:13:38,360 --> 00:13:40,840 Speaker 4: the main thesis behind Keith Keith Mitchell. Obviously he's going 303 00:13:40,880 --> 00:13:42,760 Speaker 4: to be someone who does grade well with the off 304 00:13:42,800 --> 00:13:44,560 Speaker 4: the tee stuff. He's a top twenty fit off the 305 00:13:44,600 --> 00:13:47,960 Speaker 4: tee for me in this week. But he has the 306 00:13:48,000 --> 00:13:51,480 Speaker 4: best differential between regular raw strokes, gained putting and other 307 00:13:51,520 --> 00:13:54,720 Speaker 4: putting metrics compared to these specific splits. So looking at 308 00:13:54,720 --> 00:13:57,160 Speaker 4: speed and Bermuda, so, I mean, we've we've heard some 309 00:13:57,200 --> 00:13:59,200 Speaker 4: things about Keith Mitchell at times being kind of a 310 00:13:59,200 --> 00:14:01,720 Speaker 4: Bermuda specialist. Hasn't always come to fruition at times because 311 00:14:01,720 --> 00:14:03,440 Speaker 4: you know how frustrating he can be on the greens. 312 00:14:03,800 --> 00:14:05,920 Speaker 5: But that you know, big hike. 313 00:14:05,760 --> 00:14:08,559 Speaker 4: In terms of his performance on Bermuda splits and fast 314 00:14:08,600 --> 00:14:10,880 Speaker 4: greens is enough for me to find some pretty sigificant 315 00:14:10,880 --> 00:14:13,360 Speaker 4: interest in here and then just fading Wyndam Clark due 316 00:14:13,360 --> 00:14:15,760 Speaker 4: to his poor putting numbers as of Like, he's also 317 00:14:15,800 --> 00:14:18,520 Speaker 4: someone typically you know, historically looking at his po he's 318 00:14:18,520 --> 00:14:20,320 Speaker 4: put on paper over the last three or four years. 319 00:14:20,480 --> 00:14:22,400 Speaker 4: Obviously he had that great Runney won the US open 320 00:14:22,400 --> 00:14:24,880 Speaker 4: and whatnot. But he would typically be a guy who 321 00:14:24,880 --> 00:14:26,920 Speaker 4: would grade out well on this sort of course with 322 00:14:27,000 --> 00:14:29,040 Speaker 4: the off the t play and the putting play, but 323 00:14:29,440 --> 00:14:31,440 Speaker 4: that's been two parts of his game that had been 324 00:14:31,440 --> 00:14:34,720 Speaker 4: failing him as of late. Still a pretty solid off 325 00:14:34,720 --> 00:14:36,800 Speaker 4: the tee fit here in the top thirty or so 326 00:14:37,240 --> 00:14:40,120 Speaker 4: in my model, but outside the top ninety in terms 327 00:14:40,160 --> 00:14:43,120 Speaker 4: of putting fit for this course here. So again, Keith 328 00:14:43,160 --> 00:14:45,840 Speaker 4: Mitchell I think actually has I believe it or not. 329 00:14:45,880 --> 00:14:47,320 Speaker 4: I'm gonna maybe duck when I say this, but I 330 00:14:47,320 --> 00:14:49,560 Speaker 4: think Keith Mitchell actually has the putting advantage over. 331 00:14:49,400 --> 00:14:51,160 Speaker 5: Wyndham Clark this week. That's a scary thing to. 332 00:14:51,200 --> 00:14:54,360 Speaker 4: Say, but yeah, my model likes the splits that we've 333 00:14:54,360 --> 00:14:57,920 Speaker 4: seen for Keith Mitchell in these particular scenarios with faster 334 00:14:58,000 --> 00:14:59,280 Speaker 4: greens and Bermuda surfaces. 335 00:14:59,520 --> 00:15:01,320 Speaker 3: Before we move on, don't forget to sign up for 336 00:15:01,480 --> 00:15:04,280 Speaker 3: Action Pro for real time pick alerts from experts like 337 00:15:04,360 --> 00:15:07,720 Speaker 3: Kyle Murray, Spencer Aguilar, myself, our entire action network team. 338 00:15:07,840 --> 00:15:10,080 Speaker 3: Plus you can access our pro projections powered by Sean 339 00:15:10,160 --> 00:15:13,440 Speaker 3: Kerner and our predictive analytics team. 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Spencer, you 358 00:15:58,360 --> 00:16:00,920 Speaker 3: like Ricky Feller plus one seventy to finish in the 359 00:16:00,960 --> 00:16:03,120 Speaker 3: top twenty, and Ricky has been hot, He's made the 360 00:16:03,160 --> 00:16:06,360 Speaker 3: cut in six straight starts, He's enjoyed four top twenty finishes. 361 00:16:06,560 --> 00:16:09,000 Speaker 3: He ranks fifth in strokes gained among the field for 362 00:16:09,040 --> 00:16:11,240 Speaker 3: this event and third in strokes gained on the green, 363 00:16:11,320 --> 00:16:14,400 Speaker 3: a critical stat given Memorial Parks past winners have often 364 00:16:14,440 --> 00:16:16,760 Speaker 3: been defined by elite putting performances. 365 00:16:17,080 --> 00:16:19,440 Speaker 1: Yeah, I mean in Kyle came on this show, I 366 00:16:19,480 --> 00:16:22,320 Speaker 1: believe it was at the Players Championship, and I think 367 00:16:22,360 --> 00:16:25,200 Speaker 1: his reason of opposing Ricky Fowler in that tournament, which 368 00:16:25,240 --> 00:16:27,600 Speaker 1: he landed outside of the top forty, came down to 369 00:16:27,640 --> 00:16:30,400 Speaker 1: a lot of what he does is reliant on the putter. 370 00:16:31,240 --> 00:16:33,440 Speaker 1: That's actually a positive here for all the reasons that 371 00:16:33,480 --> 00:16:35,400 Speaker 1: I've talked about at the very beginning part of this show, 372 00:16:35,520 --> 00:16:37,920 Speaker 1: like if you're gonna get dispersion marks that are going 373 00:16:38,000 --> 00:16:39,760 Speaker 1: to put you in that fifty percent range of what 374 00:16:39,840 --> 00:16:42,480 Speaker 1: putting looks like. And we know Ricky Fowler can get 375 00:16:42,520 --> 00:16:44,240 Speaker 1: hot with the putter at any given time. He's a 376 00:16:44,240 --> 00:16:46,880 Speaker 1: top ten player in my sheet in any of the 377 00:16:46,880 --> 00:16:50,280 Speaker 1: short game statistics that you're looking at. I know that 378 00:16:50,360 --> 00:16:52,880 Speaker 1: the recent results, like there's a lot of fringe top 379 00:16:52,920 --> 00:16:55,480 Speaker 1: twenties in there on both sides of the aisle, you 380 00:16:55,520 --> 00:16:58,520 Speaker 1: haven't necessarily gotten a lot of top five finishes from him. 381 00:16:58,560 --> 00:17:01,320 Speaker 2: Recently, I came very close. 382 00:17:01,120 --> 00:17:03,320 Speaker 1: To put putting an outright ticket on him, and I 383 00:17:03,400 --> 00:17:05,560 Speaker 1: decided not to, and I decided to just play the 384 00:17:05,560 --> 00:17:09,120 Speaker 1: safer route here and to make this a top twenty bet. 385 00:17:09,160 --> 00:17:12,000 Speaker 1: But like any of the expected scoring marks, whether that's 386 00:17:12,359 --> 00:17:16,760 Speaker 1: weighted strokes, gain total, the in event correlations, the weighted scoring, 387 00:17:17,280 --> 00:17:19,720 Speaker 1: he is top ten across the board in all of 388 00:17:19,760 --> 00:17:20,520 Speaker 1: those areas. 389 00:17:20,560 --> 00:17:22,160 Speaker 2: And I always like. 390 00:17:22,160 --> 00:17:25,320 Speaker 1: When my model starts aligning, because I say this a lot, Michael, 391 00:17:25,400 --> 00:17:28,159 Speaker 1: like I run things from a long term perspective. My 392 00:17:28,280 --> 00:17:30,119 Speaker 1: numbers of what you see are from more of a 393 00:17:30,160 --> 00:17:32,479 Speaker 1: two year perspective of how I'm running it to begin with. 394 00:17:32,560 --> 00:17:35,399 Speaker 1: But when you look at at any of these strokes 395 00:17:35,440 --> 00:17:38,240 Speaker 1: gained metrics from with Scotty being out of the tournament, 396 00:17:38,280 --> 00:17:42,240 Speaker 1: now the top four players in long term strokes gained 397 00:17:42,280 --> 00:17:45,720 Speaker 1: for me, in no particular order, or min Wu, Nikolai Hooyguard, 398 00:17:46,119 --> 00:17:49,239 Speaker 1: Jake Knap, Ricky Fowler, that's the exact same four that 399 00:17:49,280 --> 00:17:52,000 Speaker 1: you pretty much see when you condense this down to 400 00:17:52,040 --> 00:17:55,639 Speaker 1: the last twenty four rounds. So I really like that 401 00:17:55,760 --> 00:17:58,240 Speaker 1: answer for all four of those guys, I think all 402 00:17:58,280 --> 00:18:01,639 Speaker 1: four of them made logical senses an outright ticket. The 403 00:18:01,720 --> 00:18:04,679 Speaker 1: board has completely changed on itself at this point with 404 00:18:04,760 --> 00:18:07,760 Speaker 1: Scotty removing and all this mad dash into the market. 405 00:18:07,800 --> 00:18:10,040 Speaker 1: But I really like Ricky here for a top twenty. 406 00:18:10,040 --> 00:18:11,879 Speaker 1: I think he's one of the safer plays on the board. 407 00:18:11,920 --> 00:18:15,359 Speaker 1: And just very quickly before we move on past Kyle's topic, 408 00:18:15,680 --> 00:18:18,879 Speaker 1: there's not a huge difference between Keith Mitchell and Wyndham Clark, 409 00:18:18,920 --> 00:18:21,800 Speaker 1: but I'll throw my body in front of his very fast. 410 00:18:22,160 --> 00:18:25,159 Speaker 1: It's like eighty nine versus ninety seven in expected putting, 411 00:18:25,200 --> 00:18:27,359 Speaker 1: but Keith Mitchell is the better putter in my model, 412 00:18:27,400 --> 00:18:28,280 Speaker 1: for whatever that's worth. 413 00:18:29,000 --> 00:18:31,160 Speaker 3: All right, from one top twenty paying out plus one 414 00:18:31,200 --> 00:18:34,240 Speaker 3: seventy to even more lucrative one at three to one 415 00:18:34,280 --> 00:18:37,280 Speaker 3: for Ryan Fox finish within the top twenty. Fox has 416 00:18:37,320 --> 00:18:39,800 Speaker 3: been hot. You know, He's banked four consecutive top twenty 417 00:18:39,840 --> 00:18:42,560 Speaker 3: four finishes in twenty twenty six, with his best being 418 00:18:42,600 --> 00:18:46,040 Speaker 3: a top seven finish at the Genesis Invitational. What else 419 00:18:46,040 --> 00:18:47,200 Speaker 3: do you like about him here, Kyle? 420 00:18:47,520 --> 00:18:49,760 Speaker 4: Yeah, I'll start with the one thing I am concerned 421 00:18:49,760 --> 00:18:52,200 Speaker 4: about it, and that's obviously he withdrew from the players 422 00:18:52,200 --> 00:18:53,679 Speaker 4: with the kidney stone issue. 423 00:18:53,760 --> 00:18:55,800 Speaker 5: I have never had kidney stones. 424 00:18:55,840 --> 00:18:59,320 Speaker 4: I don't quite know what to expect from a layoff perspective, 425 00:18:59,600 --> 00:19:01,800 Speaker 4: or maybe you know, I've heard the pain is pretty. 426 00:19:01,560 --> 00:19:02,840 Speaker 5: Rough on those sorts of things. 427 00:19:02,920 --> 00:19:05,159 Speaker 4: But considering he's back in the field and you know, 428 00:19:05,160 --> 00:19:07,840 Speaker 4: we've seen some positive remarks from him, you know, on 429 00:19:07,880 --> 00:19:10,840 Speaker 4: the podium and whatnot, I'm expecting, you know, fairly fairly 430 00:19:10,880 --> 00:19:14,119 Speaker 4: strong health status for Ryan Fox this week, and obviously 431 00:19:14,200 --> 00:19:17,240 Speaker 4: you mentioned some strong form as of late. Prior to 432 00:19:17,240 --> 00:19:19,600 Speaker 4: that withdraw, he had three straight finishes inside the top 433 00:19:19,640 --> 00:19:23,000 Speaker 4: twenty five, including that T. Seven at the Genesis grades 434 00:19:23,040 --> 00:19:24,960 Speaker 4: out as the top fifteen player in this in this 435 00:19:25,000 --> 00:19:27,000 Speaker 4: week's event. For me, in my model, you know, he's 436 00:19:27,000 --> 00:19:29,320 Speaker 4: the guy who does benefit from some solid, you know, 437 00:19:29,400 --> 00:19:31,520 Speaker 4: top to bottom play as well, but also the top 438 00:19:31,560 --> 00:19:34,959 Speaker 4: thirty player off the tee, strong putting fit here at 439 00:19:35,000 --> 00:19:37,840 Speaker 4: this course with the permuta surfaces and faster greens, but 440 00:19:38,240 --> 00:19:41,320 Speaker 4: sixteenth and stroke skin te to green in my blended model. 441 00:19:41,400 --> 00:19:42,800 Speaker 4: So again, he's a guy who can kind of get 442 00:19:42,800 --> 00:19:44,639 Speaker 4: it done across the board. But you know, when I 443 00:19:44,640 --> 00:19:46,520 Speaker 4: look at how he fits off the tee, he does 444 00:19:46,520 --> 00:19:48,920 Speaker 4: get a nice improvement compared to some of the baseline 445 00:19:49,040 --> 00:19:50,879 Speaker 4: off the TA numbers that he has. And then also 446 00:19:51,200 --> 00:19:53,960 Speaker 4: the short game stuff does tend to improve as well 447 00:19:53,960 --> 00:19:56,480 Speaker 4: in these sorts of environments. Top twenty five player around 448 00:19:56,560 --> 00:19:59,320 Speaker 4: the Green. I already mentioned the putting splits as well. 449 00:19:59,320 --> 00:19:59,720 Speaker 5: For Fox. 450 00:19:59,880 --> 00:20:01,560 Speaker 4: I think this three to one number is a little 451 00:20:01,560 --> 00:20:02,920 Speaker 4: bit too long. It might be, you know, a little 452 00:20:02,920 --> 00:20:06,320 Speaker 4: bit of a discount due to that potential kidney stone issue, 453 00:20:06,320 --> 00:20:08,200 Speaker 4: but again at three to one for a guy who 454 00:20:08,240 --> 00:20:10,800 Speaker 4: grades out inside the top fifteen in my model, I'll 455 00:20:10,800 --> 00:20:12,200 Speaker 4: gladly take the risk there. 456 00:20:12,880 --> 00:20:14,960 Speaker 3: And you'd like to also throw in Adam Scott, who 457 00:20:15,000 --> 00:20:17,880 Speaker 3: ranks third in this field and shots gained from approach. 458 00:20:18,880 --> 00:20:21,879 Speaker 4: Yeah, you mentioned it, strong approach player, you're not necessarily 459 00:20:21,880 --> 00:20:24,080 Speaker 4: the longest off the tee, but I don't think it's 460 00:20:24,119 --> 00:20:26,480 Speaker 4: something that's going to necessarily hurt him either in the 461 00:20:26,520 --> 00:20:29,960 Speaker 4: spot second in my blended model in Strokes and Ted Green. 462 00:20:30,080 --> 00:20:32,760 Speaker 4: So again just the guy who can get done from 463 00:20:32,760 --> 00:20:35,760 Speaker 4: the ball shaking perspective, and then the putting splits also 464 00:20:35,800 --> 00:20:38,680 Speaker 4: a guy who does see you know, a pretty slight uptick. 465 00:20:38,720 --> 00:20:40,719 Speaker 4: But again I do think that these particular splits are 466 00:20:40,760 --> 00:20:43,000 Speaker 4: going to be tricky with you know, the sort of 467 00:20:43,080 --> 00:20:45,879 Speaker 4: severity of the green conditions, whether it be you know 468 00:20:45,960 --> 00:20:48,080 Speaker 4: them drying up or just the speeds in general. But 469 00:20:48,280 --> 00:20:51,000 Speaker 4: Adam Scott, I think someone who has performed better in 470 00:20:51,080 --> 00:20:53,400 Speaker 4: my model over those splits on. 471 00:20:53,359 --> 00:20:55,720 Speaker 5: The greens as well. So the t to green play 472 00:20:55,760 --> 00:20:56,639 Speaker 5: is going to be there for Scott. 473 00:20:57,000 --> 00:20:58,639 Speaker 4: I like the way that he fits this course from 474 00:20:58,640 --> 00:21:00,840 Speaker 4: a short game perspective as well, So I like Scott 475 00:21:00,880 --> 00:21:02,800 Speaker 4: two to one plus two hundred for a top twenty. 476 00:21:03,840 --> 00:21:06,760 Speaker 3: Let's get into our outrights here. You know, I'm juggling 477 00:21:06,800 --> 00:21:10,360 Speaker 3: between covering college basketball doing the PGA Show, and there's 478 00:21:10,400 --> 00:21:12,800 Speaker 3: lots of names that are difficult, you know, Patrick Gungbam 479 00:21:13,240 --> 00:21:15,760 Speaker 3: Chilovich for Iowa State, and I scroll down to the 480 00:21:15,760 --> 00:21:17,479 Speaker 3: bottom to see what you guys are playing in your 481 00:21:17,520 --> 00:21:20,720 Speaker 3: outrights and I'm like, oh, you know, Min Wuli, no problem, 482 00:21:20,760 --> 00:21:22,560 Speaker 3: Oh Kyle, what have you done to me? 483 00:21:22,640 --> 00:21:22,880 Speaker 6: Here? 484 00:21:23,480 --> 00:21:28,240 Speaker 3: Niko Lai Hogar and Michael thorb Orrins and we'll just 485 00:21:28,280 --> 00:21:30,640 Speaker 3: call him Thor for the duration of this show. Let's 486 00:21:30,640 --> 00:21:34,120 Speaker 3: start there Thor at thirty to one to win this thing. 487 00:21:34,160 --> 00:21:35,919 Speaker 3: What caught your eye when you got into some of 488 00:21:35,960 --> 00:21:36,840 Speaker 3: his numbers. 489 00:21:37,200 --> 00:21:40,280 Speaker 5: Yeah, I think you nailed the pronunciation there. Thor's guy. 490 00:21:40,520 --> 00:21:43,880 Speaker 4: I was watching him on Sunday at the Waste Management 491 00:21:43,840 --> 00:21:45,320 Speaker 4: and I was just thinking to myself, this guy is 492 00:21:45,320 --> 00:21:48,120 Speaker 4: going to win on tour pretty Soonior and it ended 493 00:21:48,200 --> 00:21:50,760 Speaker 4: up being pretty close for him winning that event there. 494 00:21:50,840 --> 00:21:52,960 Speaker 4: Obviously wasn't able to able to close it out there 495 00:21:52,960 --> 00:21:55,880 Speaker 4: with the T three at the Waste Management, but nonetheless, 496 00:21:55,880 --> 00:21:57,439 Speaker 4: this is the guy who I think is you know, 497 00:21:57,560 --> 00:22:00,480 Speaker 4: on his way to at least one PGA Tour rather 498 00:22:00,720 --> 00:22:04,040 Speaker 4: two as later strong Ted de Green play twenty fifth 499 00:22:04,160 --> 00:22:06,680 Speaker 4: my blended model, and then when you look at the 500 00:22:06,680 --> 00:22:08,040 Speaker 4: way that he can get it done off the t 501 00:22:08,240 --> 00:22:10,000 Speaker 4: certainly the guy who can get it dumb from a 502 00:22:10,000 --> 00:22:13,439 Speaker 4: bombing perspective. But if this does end up being similar 503 00:22:13,440 --> 00:22:15,280 Speaker 4: to last year where we saw Minuleague coming at twenty 504 00:22:15,359 --> 00:22:17,760 Speaker 4: under par, I think someone who fits this course from 505 00:22:17,960 --> 00:22:20,240 Speaker 4: you know, going out there and putting up a low number. 506 00:22:20,440 --> 00:22:23,560 Speaker 4: Thorbejornson is the number one player in my scoring conditions 507 00:22:23,600 --> 00:22:25,960 Speaker 4: model this week. So that's something I'm willing to back 508 00:22:26,000 --> 00:22:27,520 Speaker 4: here for a guy who I do think is going 509 00:22:27,560 --> 00:22:30,760 Speaker 4: to win on tour sooner. Resion later his approach numbers 510 00:22:30,760 --> 00:22:32,520 Speaker 4: don't look as good as I would have liked from 511 00:22:32,600 --> 00:22:35,199 Speaker 4: you know, these particular buckets, but nonetheless, the off the 512 00:22:35,200 --> 00:22:37,760 Speaker 4: tee play looks solid, and his ability to go out 513 00:22:37,760 --> 00:22:40,720 Speaker 4: there and have these spike ceiling weeks from from a 514 00:22:40,760 --> 00:22:43,240 Speaker 4: scoring perspective has me on this thirty or one for 515 00:22:43,280 --> 00:22:44,160 Speaker 4: an outright winner here. 516 00:22:44,480 --> 00:22:47,880 Speaker 3: You know, it's it's interesting. I'll hop back to Hogar 517 00:22:48,000 --> 00:22:50,919 Speaker 3: in a moment, just looking at the field. When you 518 00:22:51,000 --> 00:22:53,720 Speaker 3: remove some of the you know, absolute top players in 519 00:22:53,760 --> 00:22:55,760 Speaker 3: the world, all of a sudden, the payouts get pretty good, 520 00:22:55,960 --> 00:22:59,000 Speaker 3: including back in the defending champion. You know, in a 521 00:22:59,040 --> 00:23:01,400 Speaker 3: lot of cases with Scott and Rory, you're looking at 522 00:23:01,400 --> 00:23:03,919 Speaker 3: single digits closing in you know, two three to one. 523 00:23:04,240 --> 00:23:06,760 Speaker 3: But Minwu Lee fifteen to one. You think he's just 524 00:23:06,800 --> 00:23:08,840 Speaker 3: gonna run this one back and hopefully it won't be 525 00:23:08,880 --> 00:23:10,639 Speaker 3: the sweat that it was last year for you. Spencer. 526 00:23:11,440 --> 00:23:13,520 Speaker 1: Yeah, I mean, I do think for what it's worth, 527 00:23:13,600 --> 00:23:15,239 Speaker 1: this was a better price when it was twenty two 528 00:23:15,280 --> 00:23:17,840 Speaker 1: to twenty five to one, before Scotty removed himself from 529 00:23:17,840 --> 00:23:20,480 Speaker 1: the field. I still think there is value here in 530 00:23:20,480 --> 00:23:22,719 Speaker 1: this fifteen to one number. It's going to be a 531 00:23:22,760 --> 00:23:25,640 Speaker 1: lot more difficult to construct a card with a lot 532 00:23:25,640 --> 00:23:27,920 Speaker 1: of the names that I have underneath, if you didn't 533 00:23:27,960 --> 00:23:31,000 Speaker 1: already start it with Minwu in the twenty to one range. 534 00:23:31,040 --> 00:23:32,840 Speaker 2: There I had Minwu. 535 00:23:32,920 --> 00:23:35,080 Speaker 1: I'll just throw out the other options I had just 536 00:23:35,119 --> 00:23:38,919 Speaker 1: for anybody who's listening. I also bet Nikolai Hoygard, I 537 00:23:38,920 --> 00:23:42,119 Speaker 1: bet his brother Rasmus Hoyguard, and I took Jake Knapp. 538 00:23:42,200 --> 00:23:47,400 Speaker 1: But I really like Minwu in this tournament, and there 539 00:23:47,480 --> 00:23:51,239 Speaker 1: is a lot from a statistical perspective of what we 540 00:23:51,280 --> 00:23:54,000 Speaker 1: are seeing from him that is trending in the exact 541 00:23:54,000 --> 00:23:57,400 Speaker 1: same direction of how he won this tournament last year. 542 00:23:57,920 --> 00:23:59,919 Speaker 1: This is a golfer who's long off the t is 543 00:24:00,119 --> 00:24:02,160 Speaker 1: as good with his short game as you're gonna find, 544 00:24:02,560 --> 00:24:05,320 Speaker 1: and there have been corollary trends if you're picking up 545 00:24:05,320 --> 00:24:07,919 Speaker 1: on them for why he has posted some of these 546 00:24:07,960 --> 00:24:10,560 Speaker 1: finishes inside of the top thirty that he has to 547 00:24:10,600 --> 00:24:12,280 Speaker 1: start the year, and a lot of that deals with 548 00:24:12,320 --> 00:24:15,199 Speaker 1: the approach play. He's a good long iron player, at 549 00:24:15,280 --> 00:24:17,159 Speaker 1: least relative to where he is for the rest of 550 00:24:17,200 --> 00:24:19,919 Speaker 1: his game. So I think he is a name that 551 00:24:19,960 --> 00:24:22,040 Speaker 1: makes a ton of sense, And if we're just looking 552 00:24:22,080 --> 00:24:24,640 Speaker 1: here and this doesn't mean that these are the golfers 553 00:24:24,640 --> 00:24:27,320 Speaker 1: that are going to win or the golfers that are 554 00:24:27,320 --> 00:24:29,760 Speaker 1: even going to perform. But one of the things I 555 00:24:29,880 --> 00:24:32,359 Speaker 1: like to look at is where is the sharp money 556 00:24:32,400 --> 00:24:36,199 Speaker 1: moving at the Sharper locations in the books. And I 557 00:24:36,240 --> 00:24:38,159 Speaker 1: will throw out like the top six or seven just 558 00:24:38,160 --> 00:24:40,040 Speaker 1: so everybody can hear. You can shop around. You might 559 00:24:40,080 --> 00:24:41,760 Speaker 1: be able to find better than some of these prices. 560 00:24:41,800 --> 00:24:45,800 Speaker 1: But biggest mover Ricky Castillo. He moved at a lot 561 00:24:45,800 --> 00:24:49,280 Speaker 1: of the Sharper books from like one hundred and ten 562 00:24:49,440 --> 00:24:53,200 Speaker 1: down to like sub eighty. Michael Thorbjornsen, which is what 563 00:24:53,320 --> 00:24:56,560 Speaker 1: Kyle just talked about. Shkim had a big move from 564 00:24:56,600 --> 00:24:58,280 Speaker 1: one seventy into the one twenties. 565 00:24:58,760 --> 00:24:59,800 Speaker 2: Nikolai Hoyguard. 566 00:25:00,200 --> 00:25:02,160 Speaker 1: You could have gotten him at one point this week 567 00:25:02,200 --> 00:25:04,760 Speaker 1: at like thirty eight to one or higher. You're now 568 00:25:04,800 --> 00:25:08,600 Speaker 1: more into that twenty in the twenty somewhere in that range. Minwu, Lee, 569 00:25:08,640 --> 00:25:11,800 Speaker 1: Ryan Gerard, Ricky Fowler. I mean, like, those are the 570 00:25:11,880 --> 00:25:14,520 Speaker 1: names that are seeing the biggest hit right now from 571 00:25:14,600 --> 00:25:17,879 Speaker 1: sharp action. And I do think it's interesting if you 572 00:25:17,880 --> 00:25:20,720 Speaker 1: look specifically, even more so at Kyle's card, like he 573 00:25:20,760 --> 00:25:24,879 Speaker 1: has two of the four most sharp moves in the 574 00:25:25,040 --> 00:25:27,520 Speaker 1: entire space, and I think there is a reason behind that, 575 00:25:27,680 --> 00:25:30,840 Speaker 1: Like it's that skill set and that profile that you're 576 00:25:30,880 --> 00:25:33,159 Speaker 1: seeing over and over again from a lot of these guys, 577 00:25:33,160 --> 00:25:35,840 Speaker 1: and it's why they are moving in the correct direction. 578 00:25:36,880 --> 00:25:39,680 Speaker 3: Anything to add on Hoygar, you know at twenty seven 579 00:25:39,760 --> 00:25:41,560 Speaker 3: to one, what the cutoff price would be for you. 580 00:25:41,600 --> 00:25:45,240 Speaker 4: Kyle, Yeah, for a cut off price, I would say 581 00:25:45,240 --> 00:25:48,720 Speaker 4: maybe twenty two twenty three to one for Hoyguard. There 582 00:25:48,760 --> 00:25:50,720 Speaker 4: he actually grades out as the best player in this 583 00:25:50,840 --> 00:25:53,840 Speaker 4: model from a fit perspective for me, I think, you know, 584 00:25:54,000 --> 00:25:57,160 Speaker 4: looking at the way that my model was built, it's 585 00:25:57,160 --> 00:25:59,720 Speaker 4: built on about eleven or twelve key metrics or sometimes 586 00:25:59,800 --> 00:26:01,960 Speaker 4: you know custom metrics. There's only two players that have 587 00:26:02,000 --> 00:26:04,919 Speaker 4: positive grades across the board for every single metric one. 588 00:26:05,000 --> 00:26:07,639 Speaker 4: Adam Scott Poygard is the second one. So you know, 589 00:26:07,880 --> 00:26:09,439 Speaker 4: when you talk about a guy who can, you know, 590 00:26:09,560 --> 00:26:12,760 Speaker 4: certainly get it done from a ceiling perspective with the 591 00:26:12,760 --> 00:26:14,520 Speaker 4: ball striking and with the putting and with you around 592 00:26:14,520 --> 00:26:16,280 Speaker 4: the green play. He's also someone that is a prety 593 00:26:16,280 --> 00:26:17,919 Speaker 4: steady player as well, so I do like him in 594 00:26:17,960 --> 00:26:20,280 Speaker 4: other markets as well. But twenty seven to one for 595 00:26:20,280 --> 00:26:21,919 Speaker 4: the outright with something that I was certainly seeing some 596 00:26:22,000 --> 00:26:25,359 Speaker 4: value on. You know, Spencer outlined quite a bit on 597 00:26:25,600 --> 00:26:28,919 Speaker 4: Hoyguard as well. So but for me, the main features 598 00:26:28,920 --> 00:26:31,320 Speaker 4: that I was looking at the Shrowskin approach top ten 599 00:26:31,359 --> 00:26:34,080 Speaker 4: player in this field. He's the third best fit for 600 00:26:34,160 --> 00:26:36,320 Speaker 4: approach play in my model this week, he's eleventh in 601 00:26:36,400 --> 00:26:38,720 Speaker 4: terms of off the t fit. And so for me, 602 00:26:39,080 --> 00:26:40,600 Speaker 4: the way that he breaks down in terms of the 603 00:26:40,800 --> 00:26:44,040 Speaker 4: not only just the I guess baselines that he's putting 604 00:26:44,040 --> 00:26:46,280 Speaker 4: out there, but for these ceiling performances, these these spike 605 00:26:46,320 --> 00:26:48,800 Speaker 4: week abilities, Tooygard is certainly one of the better players 606 00:26:49,160 --> 00:26:50,719 Speaker 4: in my model. I'm looking to chase that out right 607 00:26:50,720 --> 00:26:53,120 Speaker 4: when here at twenty seven to one, when we. 608 00:26:53,080 --> 00:26:54,639 Speaker 3: Look at the rest of your card here, I'm going 609 00:26:54,680 --> 00:26:57,240 Speaker 3: to tip my hands and say, my favorite bet that 610 00:26:57,320 --> 00:27:00,400 Speaker 3: you have this week, Kyle is a top twenty at 611 00:27:00,440 --> 00:27:03,760 Speaker 3: nearly five to one on Aldrich pot Jeter, a high 612 00:27:03,840 --> 00:27:06,520 Speaker 3: risk option who really tends to pop when he can 613 00:27:06,560 --> 00:27:08,560 Speaker 3: just bomb it off the tee and use that, you know, 614 00:27:08,640 --> 00:27:12,760 Speaker 3: to his advantage, and certainly having an advantage over other 615 00:27:12,800 --> 00:27:17,240 Speaker 3: golfers in the field. Plus four seventy. I'm interested. I'm 616 00:27:17,240 --> 00:27:19,719 Speaker 3: gonna fire on this one. Was there anything else beyond 617 00:27:19,840 --> 00:27:22,160 Speaker 3: his driving acumen that really drew you to him here? 618 00:27:22,840 --> 00:27:25,359 Speaker 4: Yeah? I mean, obviously the bomber aspect of it is 619 00:27:25,400 --> 00:27:27,280 Speaker 4: the main reason why the model is is kind of 620 00:27:27,320 --> 00:27:29,920 Speaker 4: fueling him here, But the putting fit also fits pretty well, 621 00:27:29,920 --> 00:27:33,240 Speaker 4: and his scoring conditions fit for me in my model 622 00:27:33,240 --> 00:27:36,200 Speaker 4: this week also is you know, a top thirty fit 623 00:27:36,280 --> 00:27:38,800 Speaker 4: for the scoring conditions here as well for the different 624 00:27:38,880 --> 00:27:41,560 Speaker 4: lengths of three is part fourth, part fives, et cetera. 625 00:27:41,720 --> 00:27:44,760 Speaker 4: So those three kind of metrics is that the main 626 00:27:44,800 --> 00:27:47,400 Speaker 4: things sort of pushing me here, But also the main 627 00:27:47,880 --> 00:27:51,240 Speaker 4: issue with pot Geater is the around the green play obviously, 628 00:27:51,320 --> 00:27:53,040 Speaker 4: and the putting is going to struggle times. But like 629 00:27:53,080 --> 00:27:56,440 Speaker 4: I mentioned, the putting fit for these sorts of conditions improves, 630 00:27:56,640 --> 00:27:59,959 Speaker 4: and the approach play also you know something that isn't phenomenal. 631 00:28:00,040 --> 00:28:02,320 Speaker 4: But again, he's someone that I think will also be 632 00:28:02,320 --> 00:28:05,240 Speaker 4: able to play himself into better approach conditions because of 633 00:28:05,280 --> 00:28:07,040 Speaker 4: how far he can at the ball and how you know, 634 00:28:07,040 --> 00:28:09,000 Speaker 4: he will be able to sort of vomit into certain 635 00:28:09,040 --> 00:28:10,960 Speaker 4: locations that we'll be able to set them out for 636 00:28:11,000 --> 00:28:13,560 Speaker 4: easier approach shots. So I think it's a spot where 637 00:28:13,600 --> 00:28:15,920 Speaker 4: some of the strengths will be influenced in a good 638 00:28:15,920 --> 00:28:18,040 Speaker 4: way for pot gear, but also some of his weaknesses 639 00:28:18,240 --> 00:28:20,080 Speaker 4: could potentially be covered up based on the way this 640 00:28:20,160 --> 00:28:23,080 Speaker 4: course is laid out and those strengths of the distance 641 00:28:23,119 --> 00:28:24,879 Speaker 4: off the tea. 642 00:28:24,960 --> 00:28:27,760 Speaker 3: For your other two, in terms of top twenties, you 643 00:28:27,760 --> 00:28:29,680 Speaker 3: have Tony fen now three to one. You got David 644 00:28:29,680 --> 00:28:33,080 Speaker 3: Lipski at plus six fifty for a top twenty. I'll 645 00:28:33,080 --> 00:28:35,119 Speaker 3: actually I'll switch up the format here a little bit. 646 00:28:35,160 --> 00:28:38,040 Speaker 3: Between those two spencer, who would you be interested in 647 00:28:38,040 --> 00:28:41,360 Speaker 3: playing at those prices because obviously you know, in terms 648 00:28:41,400 --> 00:28:44,000 Speaker 3: of Lipski he almost got over the hump at the valspar, 649 00:28:44,400 --> 00:28:46,680 Speaker 3: but it seems at least in terms of this pricing 650 00:28:46,720 --> 00:28:48,880 Speaker 3: that books are anticipating him falling back to Earth. 651 00:28:49,960 --> 00:28:52,520 Speaker 1: I have positive value on both of those two numbers 652 00:28:52,600 --> 00:28:56,120 Speaker 1: of where Kyle got them. I mean, I think for me, 653 00:28:56,600 --> 00:28:59,320 Speaker 1: if I was to pick one of the two, I 654 00:28:59,320 --> 00:29:01,560 Speaker 1: think there's a little bit more safety in the profile 655 00:29:01,720 --> 00:29:03,840 Speaker 1: of what you get with Tony Fenow. He's a little 656 00:29:03,840 --> 00:29:05,520 Speaker 1: bit higher in my model. I mean, they're both top 657 00:29:05,560 --> 00:29:08,800 Speaker 1: forty caliber players across the board with it. But I 658 00:29:08,880 --> 00:29:12,440 Speaker 1: think if you look specifically for Feenal, this has historically 659 00:29:12,520 --> 00:29:15,440 Speaker 1: been the sort of venues that you want to try 660 00:29:15,480 --> 00:29:18,600 Speaker 1: to find success, where he can freely hit driver off 661 00:29:18,640 --> 00:29:21,400 Speaker 1: the tee, he can use his short game acumen to 662 00:29:21,440 --> 00:29:24,080 Speaker 1: try to find success. And then if you look at 663 00:29:24,080 --> 00:29:26,640 Speaker 1: some of the putting returns, like Kyle's talked about this 664 00:29:26,800 --> 00:29:29,640 Speaker 1: quite a bit when talking about putters, like it's the 665 00:29:29,720 --> 00:29:32,360 Speaker 1: same way that I try to find it. A bad 666 00:29:32,360 --> 00:29:34,160 Speaker 1: putter is a bad putter, and a good putter is 667 00:29:34,240 --> 00:29:37,959 Speaker 1: usually a good putter. But there are differences in the 668 00:29:37,960 --> 00:29:41,040 Speaker 1: profile depending on what green complex you get, how fast 669 00:29:41,120 --> 00:29:44,360 Speaker 1: or slow the greens are. Fenw is a very marginal 670 00:29:44,520 --> 00:29:47,440 Speaker 1: improver for me in a lot of the putting statistics. 671 00:29:47,560 --> 00:29:49,240 Speaker 1: It doesn't make them all of a sudden a top 672 00:29:49,320 --> 00:29:52,160 Speaker 1: thirty putter in this field. But any improvement when you 673 00:29:52,160 --> 00:29:54,240 Speaker 1: add some of those characteristics on the back end of 674 00:29:54,240 --> 00:29:57,600 Speaker 1: the equation, they mean something from a profile build. So 675 00:29:58,080 --> 00:30:00,440 Speaker 1: anytime that I can see that for players like that's 676 00:30:00,560 --> 00:30:03,840 Speaker 1: that's honestly the exact way that I landed on Steven 677 00:30:03,880 --> 00:30:06,280 Speaker 1: Jaeger to win this tournament two years ago. It's just 678 00:30:06,400 --> 00:30:09,680 Speaker 1: this profile on similar green complexes that shot them way 679 00:30:09,720 --> 00:30:12,080 Speaker 1: up my model, and it shot so far up my 680 00:30:12,120 --> 00:30:14,080 Speaker 1: model that I picked him to win the golf tournament. 681 00:30:14,120 --> 00:30:17,120 Speaker 1: But like a lot of these smaller moves work perfectly 682 00:30:17,160 --> 00:30:19,840 Speaker 1: well in these placement bets, so I think it makes 683 00:30:19,880 --> 00:30:22,200 Speaker 1: sense on both of them. I would probably take female 684 00:30:22,240 --> 00:30:24,360 Speaker 1: there if picking between the two, though in. 685 00:30:24,400 --> 00:30:28,360 Speaker 3: Terms of short game Lipski is elite really grades out well. 686 00:30:28,400 --> 00:30:30,680 Speaker 3: Is there something with Tony Fenow that kind of drew 687 00:30:30,680 --> 00:30:31,640 Speaker 3: you to him, Kyle. 688 00:30:32,240 --> 00:30:34,640 Speaker 4: Yeah, I mean Spencer mentioned it. The he does see 689 00:30:34,640 --> 00:30:37,680 Speaker 4: a nice uptick for me as well in these particular conditions, 690 00:30:37,720 --> 00:30:40,560 Speaker 4: but I think the there are certainly some other players 691 00:30:40,600 --> 00:30:42,520 Speaker 4: who see more of an improvement in terms of their 692 00:30:42,880 --> 00:30:45,160 Speaker 4: the way they project putting wise. So that's sort of 693 00:30:45,200 --> 00:30:48,360 Speaker 4: why I have some other outright options a bit ahead 694 00:30:48,360 --> 00:30:51,200 Speaker 4: of few this week, but I also have considered him 695 00:30:51,400 --> 00:30:52,960 Speaker 4: in the out market. He grades out as one of 696 00:30:53,000 --> 00:30:55,360 Speaker 4: the better approach fits for me in this model. Top 697 00:30:55,400 --> 00:30:57,360 Speaker 4: ten player, we know that he has the distance to 698 00:30:58,000 --> 00:31:00,440 Speaker 4: certainly fit in that bomber profiles well, and then he's 699 00:31:00,440 --> 00:31:02,680 Speaker 4: also a top five player around the green, so I 700 00:31:02,720 --> 00:31:04,760 Speaker 4: think a lot of things look pretty solid here for 701 00:31:04,880 --> 00:31:07,400 Speaker 4: Tony fin now mainly the way that he fits into 702 00:31:07,480 --> 00:31:10,400 Speaker 4: the approach conditions based on these different buckets. And then yeah, 703 00:31:10,440 --> 00:31:12,640 Speaker 4: as Spencer mentioned the short game stuff, I think that'll 704 00:31:12,640 --> 00:31:14,440 Speaker 4: allow him to really take advantage of some of these 705 00:31:15,280 --> 00:31:17,320 Speaker 4: unique spots around the green and then specifically in the 706 00:31:17,280 --> 00:31:18,080 Speaker 4: part fives as well. 707 00:31:18,440 --> 00:31:20,560 Speaker 3: That'll do it for today's episode. Thanks for joining us 708 00:31:20,560 --> 00:31:22,560 Speaker 3: here on the Action Network podcast. Be sure to check 709 00:31:22,600 --> 00:31:25,080 Speaker 3: out Action network dot com and the Action App for 710 00:31:25,160 --> 00:31:27,840 Speaker 3: all the great golf, betting and DFS content that we're 711 00:31:27,880 --> 00:31:30,680 Speaker 3: consistently churning out, and even better, sign up for Action Pro. 712 00:31:30,840 --> 00:31:33,040 Speaker 3: You can find Spencer on x over at t off 713 00:31:33,080 --> 00:31:36,479 Speaker 3: Sports and Kyle at k Murray DFS. That's k m 714 00:31:36,640 --> 00:31:39,400 Speaker 3: U r R DFS. They're at the same handles on 715 00:31:39,440 --> 00:31:42,560 Speaker 3: the free award winning Action Network app. For Spencer Aguar 716 00:31:42,600 --> 00:31:45,920 Speaker 3: and Kyle Murray on Michael Calibrey's Best of Luck betting 717 00:31:45,960 --> 00:31:47,880 Speaker 3: this weekend, and we'll see you here next time. In 718 00:31:47,960 --> 00:32:03,160 Speaker 3: the Action Network podcast presented by Draft Games, Action Network 719 00:32:03,240 --> 00:32:07,280 Speaker 3: reminds you please gamble responsibly. If you or someone you 720 00:32:07,400 --> 00:32:09,000 Speaker 3: care about has a gambling problem. 721 00:32:09,280 --> 00:32:11,880 Speaker 4: Help is available twenty four to seven at one eight 722 00:32:11,960 --> 00:32:12,760 Speaker 4: hundred Gambler