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Speaker 1: The favorite podcast is presented by fan Duel sports Book.

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Speaker 1: step or text next step to five two in Arizona

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Speaker 1: one eight seven eight nine seven seven seven seven or

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Speaker 1: hundred ambler or visit FanDuel dot com slash r G

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Speaker 1: in Colorado, Indiana, New Jersey, Virginia one seven zero seven

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Speaker 1: for confidential help. In Michigan, called the Tennessee Red Line

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Speaker 1: at one eight eight nine, or visit one eight hundred

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Speaker 1: Gambler dot net in West Virginia. Welcome to the Favorites

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Speaker 1: that podcast from the Volume Podcast Network, the no doubt

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Speaker 1: number one betting podcast in the country. Matt Mitchell, is

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Speaker 1: that not right? That is currently very much correct? Congratulations,

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Speaker 1: very much correct? Nice word for yeah, wow, that's crazy.

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Speaker 1: A cord of the things that track which are impossible

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Speaker 1: to measure. But in the Apple charts there are no

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Speaker 1: betting podcasts higher than ours right now, Look at that Chad,

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Speaker 1: are we peaking? Is this it? I don't know, Dondia.

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Speaker 1: I peeked in high school, so maybe I was wrong.

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Speaker 1: Maybe this thing is. In December, you expect all this

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Speaker 1: to creat People are less interested, people are out of money.

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Speaker 1: Not our fans, not our fans, you know, in October,

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Speaker 1: and then we made it all back in November because

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Speaker 1: we are the best sports bettors in the world. I

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Speaker 1: am Chad Noman from the Action Network Chief Content Officer.

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Speaker 1: I am joined by my co host, my bff, my companion,

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Speaker 1: professional better Signment Hunter Man. It's such a different feel

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Speaker 1: this week than last week. Last week I felt like

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Speaker 1: chaos with Thanksgiving everything going on this week, it felt

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Speaker 1: like it's been going on for like a month, just

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Speaker 1: because there's no holidays, there's nothing going on. It's very

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Speaker 1: different this week. On a Thursday, Oh, it was one

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Speaker 1: game to night Chad. Kind of an easy day. Yeah,

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Speaker 1: buddy of mine, as you know, as you know, and

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Speaker 1: I'll share this with everybody else and Matt Mitchell knows.

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Speaker 1: I was in the city on Tuesday, had meetings all

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Speaker 1: day Tuesday. Woke up Wednesday morning. Uh, did a really

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Speaker 1: great run through Lower Manhattan. It's always nice to do

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Speaker 1: a run in Manhattan and like a cool sunny day.

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Speaker 1: Um got back, took a shower, was eating breakfast. Got

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Speaker 1: a call that one of the people I was in

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Speaker 1: a meeting with tested positive for COVID on Wednesday morning.

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Speaker 1: So I had to shut everything down, leave the city.

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Speaker 1: I am now. The CDC guidelines say that if you

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Speaker 1: are vaccinated and you're not showing any symptoms, you can

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Speaker 1: walk around, wear a mask, you know, take the right precautions,

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Speaker 1: and then test five to seven days later. That's the

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Speaker 1: CDC guidelines. Stacy K. Millman guidelines. Come home, don't talk

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Speaker 1: to anybody, don't even touch the dog. Get the funk upstairs.

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Speaker 1: So I am ensconced on the third floor, where luckily

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Speaker 1: we've got a guest bedroom at bathroom in my office.

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Speaker 1: This morning I woke up and I'm like, fucking bullshit,

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Speaker 1: Like I can't be held down. Fuck the matriarchy. But

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Speaker 1: now I'm realizing I don't have to drive anyone anywhere.

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Speaker 1: I don't have to feed anyone anything. I'm getting my

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Speaker 1: meals brought to me, and tonight I'm gonna watch the

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Speaker 1: Knicks Bulls game. And like there's nothing I can do

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Speaker 1: to be with anybody because my wife refuses to let

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Speaker 1: me out of the third floor. She's just sliding the

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Speaker 1: foo uneath the door for you. Basically, she's bringing it

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Speaker 1: up on a tray, leaving at the top of the steps.

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Speaker 1: I'm like, fucking Rapunzel. And then like if I come close,

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Speaker 1: she's like, don't come close, Do not come close to me. Um.

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Speaker 1: So that's what's happening in our house. Well, we're all

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Speaker 1: very thankful Chad that you don't have it, or we

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Speaker 1: don't know yet. We're hoping you don't have it. We're

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Speaker 1: hoping I don't have it. We're hoping we got a bit.

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Speaker 1: We got a lot of decisions to make. Uh, let's

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Speaker 1: see as everybody knows. Uh, it's Thursday, which means we

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Speaker 1: will narrow down the slate. There's been a lot of

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Speaker 1: market news. There have been some injury updates, especially in

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Speaker 1: games that we talked about on Tuesday. We are smashing

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Speaker 1: it lately. The last five weeks. We went three and two,

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Speaker 1: four and one, four and one, so eight and two,

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Speaker 1: eleven and four quick math. But there's a lot of

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Speaker 1: news going on, so we should probably get to it. Reminder,

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Speaker 1: our Simon says, bet was the Steelers, but you said

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Speaker 1: to wait on that, and I do believe it opened

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Speaker 1: it three and a half. Belief the line might have

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Speaker 1: gone up a little bit, Yeah, touch four and a half,

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Speaker 1: a couple of pros that better down to four still

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Speaker 1: in five four and a half at some books before

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Speaker 1: we came on. I think it was at um four

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Speaker 1: four and a half on Fandal. So that line was

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Speaker 1: gonna keep moving kind of towards the Steelers just because

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Speaker 1: what it might be out. A couple of guys might

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Speaker 1: be out for the Steelers. So I told you you'll

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Speaker 1: get a better number if you just wait on that one.

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Speaker 1: That was Simon says are FOXHLL was the New York Giants,

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Speaker 1: of which there is injury news we will discuss, but

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Speaker 1: before we get to Simon. We recorded on Tuesday. We

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Speaker 1: posted on Tuesday. Between now and between then and now,

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Speaker 1: you've probably had calls from our friends, sharp calls, Hello,

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Speaker 1: who's there? I'm talking? They did. I would say more

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Speaker 1: of the calls this week were more about the favorites.

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Speaker 1: We didn't take. A couple of guys comment and said

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Speaker 1: I was a little too heavy on the dogs, but

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Speaker 1: I mean that's natural. I love home dogs. We had

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Speaker 1: some big home dogs. Home dogs, love them, fulfilling that

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Speaker 1: that Philly post Thanksgiving accent. Home dogs are my john Yo.

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Speaker 1: I feel like the biggest one I got called about

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Speaker 1: is people love the Eagles, so they thought you were

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Speaker 1: getting a good number at six and a half. Again,

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Speaker 1: I didn't want to touch it because of the Hurts injury.

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Speaker 1: Apparently he's good to go, he will be playing, so

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Speaker 1: you can still get that number. A bunch of professionals

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Speaker 1: have taken that. A bunch of professionals have taken the

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Speaker 1: Colts at a big number against this Houston team. Interesting,

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Speaker 1: very interesting, So they liked it. It was at eight

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Speaker 1: and a half, A couple of them bet that bet

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Speaker 1: again at nine. Now I'm seeing at nine nine and

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Speaker 1: a half a couple of books. A lot of the

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Speaker 1: agreement to for us this week, like we can dive

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Speaker 1: in all the different games, but they're there with us

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Speaker 1: about our picks with the Steelers. They they're even about

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Speaker 1: the Giants, and we can talk with the Giants that

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Speaker 1: did injury to Daniel Jones. That line shot up only

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Speaker 1: to five and a half. The pros didn't really care.

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Speaker 1: They've already been it down a lot of books of

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Speaker 1: four and a half. Some books you might still find

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Speaker 1: a five. But that's why it's a little scary bet

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Speaker 1: earlier in the week. There's a lot of unknowns and

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Speaker 1: there's gonna be a lot of line movement. And I

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Speaker 1: got burned a little the Giants. I took it at

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Speaker 1: three and a half and it shut all up to

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Speaker 1: five and a half. So I did take it again.

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Speaker 1: But that just hurts where you didn't know that there

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Speaker 1: was a major nick injury to Daniel Jones, and that

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Speaker 1: was kind of a big news breaker. Why do you

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Speaker 1: think they're on the egos so heavily. The simple fact

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Speaker 1: that I don't I don't think they see the Jets,

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Speaker 1: you know, covering against an Eagles team, that they're better

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Speaker 1: than they showed against the Giants. I mean that that

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Speaker 1: was one of those games, or Hurts just beat himself.

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Speaker 1: The guy had three turnovers. Without those turnovers, that's a

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Speaker 1: much different closer game. So they probably looked at and said,

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Speaker 1: you know, you're under. I'm getting under a touchdown with

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Speaker 1: a playoff team. That's what Again, these professionals we've talked

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Speaker 1: about all weeks, they've been betting the Eagles. They view

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Speaker 1: them as a playoff team. That's the simple fact. They

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Speaker 1: have it as a different metric where they think the

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Speaker 1: books are the value in them. So they've just been

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Speaker 1: betting them and it's worked out some weeks. Other weeks

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Speaker 1: we've seen it. They've just been againting burned by them.

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Speaker 1: So it's interesting that they're still so committed to this team.

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Speaker 1: I really had no feel for this, but I'm I'm

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Speaker 1: in agreement with them that six and a half for

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Speaker 1: this Eagles team. That's a good number with Hurts playing,

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Speaker 1: But most books are gonna be at seven. Now, Yeah,

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Speaker 1: that number is gonna shoot up. Also, I was listening

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Speaker 1: to the Action Network podcast this morning. Uh Stucky also

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Speaker 1: loved the Eagles minus six and a half. Just thinks

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Speaker 1: this Jets team is trash And the truth is, like

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Speaker 1: Zach Wilson grated out one of the worst quarterbacks in

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Speaker 1: the NFL. Yeah, now he is. And that's what that

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Speaker 1: was so faithful by the Houston game. Houston, they literally

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Speaker 1: had to lose, like try to lose that game to

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Speaker 1: lose it, and that's what they pretty much did. So

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Speaker 1: that's what was so brual, Like you're up fourteen to

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Speaker 1: three on Zach Wilson, you should be good, but no,

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Speaker 1: apparently not the Houston Texas. Well, we still owe people

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Speaker 1: a big balls better the week, which I'm sure we'll

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Speaker 1: get to today. A reminder for Scoot Roulette, Um, you

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Speaker 1: were on the Steelers plus three and a half. I

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Speaker 1: am on the Falcons plus ten and a half. Kind

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Speaker 1: of aunty about it now, but we're gonna dig into

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Speaker 1: all that. Let's start. Let's start with, um, we're gonna

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Speaker 1: touch on Thursday night real quick. I guess we might

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Speaker 1: as well like a lot of you know, cameras out

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Speaker 1: Taysom Hill. Starting Tuesday, we were leaning Saints plus four

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Speaker 1: and a half. Currently, the line is it's actually up

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Speaker 1: to six right now. And I told people that's why

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Speaker 1: you waited on that it opened at six. I said

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Speaker 1: that was the better number. You should just wait because

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Speaker 1: you already missed that number. Now it's back up to

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Speaker 1: six and touch six and a half and a couple

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Speaker 1: of books for a little bit, and they got bet

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Speaker 1: back down to me. The simple bet here is just

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Speaker 1: bet the under. I don't really trust Taysom hill Um.

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Speaker 1: It might he might be three and one towards the

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Speaker 1: under the last four games he started. Uh, just a

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Speaker 1: team that plays different when he's at quarterback. They kind

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Speaker 1: of run the ball more more threard th like three,

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Speaker 1: third and two is just long drives with this team,

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Speaker 1: and that's the only way they're gonna be able to

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Speaker 1: cover and beat this Dallas team. So if I had

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Speaker 1: a preferred play, I wouldn't take either side anymore. And

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Speaker 1: I can't feel great about this really banged up Saints team.

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Speaker 1: And I guess you were getting a better number with Dallas,

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Speaker 1: but I wouldn't have taken it because I don't really

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Speaker 1: trust Das either. So for me, if I'm just gonna

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Speaker 1: make a bet on this game, I'll be on the under.

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Speaker 1: All right, let's get into the games that we are

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Speaker 1: going to think about, because I don't think this is

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Speaker 1: going to be one of our final five. On Tuesday,

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Speaker 1: the Chargers were at three and a half. The line

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Speaker 1: has now moved to three and it might get even lower.

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Speaker 1: So clearly it's a game that we were looking at

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Speaker 1: and we felt good about with the Chargers. I hope

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Speaker 1: people were able to get it. What's interesting is that

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Speaker 1: the line is moving, uh, and the money is and

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Speaker 1: and the bets are coming in on the Bengals. Yeah,

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Speaker 1: we talked that was just that was too much this

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Speaker 1: this number should be three. That's why we're saying the

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Speaker 1: value was on the three and a half. It's a

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Speaker 1: true coin flip game. Both quarterbacks have moments of brilliance

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Speaker 1: and moments of These guys are young, they're just making

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Speaker 1: a second year of mistakes. So I we again, if

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Speaker 1: we're just going off the basis, we love the Charges

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Speaker 1: team because simply because they just got really dominated by

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Speaker 1: a Denver team and since he just had one of

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Speaker 1: the best ones of the season. So we we took

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Speaker 1: that approach. We looked at it that way, and matchup wise,

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Speaker 1: I like the matchup for this Chargers offense against this

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Speaker 1: Bengals defense. So every little thing points to me liking

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Speaker 1: at three and a half. Still don't hate it at three.

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Speaker 1: That's what we talked about. We just wanted the hook

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Speaker 1: just because it's a better number. If we wake up

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Speaker 1: Sunday morning and we're still feeling like we like the

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Speaker 1: Charges and it's three and a half as our best five,

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Speaker 1: I wouldn't hate it. But it's just it's just unlikely

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Speaker 1: because we have other lines we love a little more. Yeah,

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Speaker 1: the Charges. This this feels like now that we are

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Speaker 1: back in our rhythm and we are not letting Twitter

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Speaker 1: get in our head, we are not letting things we've

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Speaker 1: seen in the field get in our head. We're seeing

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Speaker 1: the board as clearly as we're beautiful minding this thing right,

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Speaker 1: Boom boom everywhere, Like it's just they're popping up, taking

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Speaker 1: a team that just had a bad beat off of

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Speaker 1: a Bengals team that just dominated their biggest rival. Of

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Speaker 1: course you're gonna take the Chargers. That alone especial, especially

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Speaker 1: when you were getting the best number of three and

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Speaker 1: a half. That's what that's the whole point. It's like,

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Speaker 1: even when you lose these kind of games. You know

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Speaker 1: that you've got a good number, and you know that

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Speaker 1: your reasoningly was sound to take it like this is

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Speaker 1: again you just said it. This is the Bilo opportunity

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Speaker 1: on the Chargers. We're not going to talk about the

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Speaker 1: Lions and the Vikings, Like, I just don't see us

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Speaker 1: putting the Lions at plus seven. It is that our

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Speaker 1: final five. We might a lot of pros love that

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Speaker 1: one them, So I mean we'll talk Sunday about that one. Yeah,

255
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Speaker 1: I've had a couple of guys they love that number.

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Speaker 1: I mean they've been I would say most professionals have

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Speaker 1: been waiting for that seven and a half, Like they

258
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Speaker 1: just think if we keep waiting, the public will keep

259
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Speaker 1: betting in Minnesota. The fact that I haven't given to them,

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Speaker 1: I do think a lot of them think it's interesting

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Speaker 1: that the book this wipe on the lines of the

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Speaker 1: books making a stand on and they're saying, no, we're

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Speaker 1: not giving you that seven and a half. Take the

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Speaker 1: seven or like the people are doing with the Vikings.

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Speaker 1: They're just using it down to the one. So I

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Speaker 1: do think it's an interesting, interesting number. It's uh, I

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Speaker 1: would say, I I personally have not really touched Detroit's

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Speaker 1: money line since maybe week two. Like again we had

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Speaker 1: them week one, we got lucky with the back door.

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Speaker 1: I also had a decent amount of their money line,

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Speaker 1: which just let on fire. I kind of took the

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Speaker 1: view I need to see this team win before I

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Speaker 1: would touch their money line again. I might actually put

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Speaker 1: their money line this week. I had a couple of

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Speaker 1: professionals say they like their money line as well. So

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Speaker 1: this is uh. One of the more sneakier bets this

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Speaker 1: week is looking at this Detroit team here because I think,

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Speaker 1: let me like, what what is the logic here? What

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Speaker 1: is the math? What is the science other than the

280
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Speaker 1: fact is a home dog that hasn't won anything, that

281
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Speaker 1: is at a big number against a team that seems

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Speaker 1: to find ways every week to lose. Those are not

283
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Speaker 1: measurable week to week. What we are seeing on the

284
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Speaker 1: field is Dan Campbell calling plays, consistently, calling draws on

285
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Speaker 1: third and thirty two. A team that consistent yet consistently

286
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Speaker 1: gets into scenarios. A quarterback who was really terrible, like

287
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Speaker 1: truly awful and maybe playing with an injury, a defensive

288
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Speaker 1: secondary that is the worst in the league, um going

289
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Speaker 1: against feeling and justin Jefferson with no Dalvin Cook, so

290
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Speaker 1: the offense could be wide open. Tell me why, Tell

291
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Speaker 1: me why other than it's a big home dog. Professionals

292
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Speaker 1: would like this number. I'm not sure. I mean, I'm

293
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Speaker 1: with you and everything. I hate to Troy. I think

294
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Speaker 1: they're terrible. I think Dank Campbell is not like not

295
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Speaker 1: a way and over his head. But like you just said,

296
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Speaker 1: a lot of their play calling is so questionable. And

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Speaker 1: this team, there's certain times you think they're giving up,

298
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Speaker 1: but they keep these games close. I think the professor

299
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Speaker 1: is looking from the standpoint that Vikings just don't blow

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Speaker 1: teams out. They play every game close. Detroit plays every

301
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Speaker 1: game close for the most part, and metrop wise, everything

302
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Speaker 1: you just said so true about this this Vikings offense.

303
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Speaker 1: We're also gotta talk with the regressions coming for Kirk Cousins.

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Speaker 1: Kirk Cousins has been playing way above his head all season,

305
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Speaker 1: and we saw a little bit last week. I mean,

306
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Speaker 1: he was just bad on third down. So I think

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Speaker 1: it's one of those people are banking on the public

308
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Speaker 1: is now off of Detroit. People have moved on, and

309
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Speaker 1: the book's taking a stand here, leaving this number at

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Speaker 1: seven like it doesn't make sense. Why isn't moved. I

311
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Speaker 1: know for a fact, it's making tea's like crazy. It's

312
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Speaker 1: been getting bet like crazy. People are only on this

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Speaker 1: Minnesota number. It's just sitting there at seven. So if

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Speaker 1: we if if it's Sunday and it's still sitting there,

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Speaker 1: I'm probably gonna have to talk into it because that's

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Speaker 1: such a you gotta you gotta stand with the book there.

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Speaker 1: The bookmakers are telling you we're taking a stand on

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Speaker 1: a number. You have to ride with them. They know

319
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Speaker 1: what they're doing. That's how they make big money on

320
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Speaker 1: the kind of games like this. That's terrible. There's mark

321
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Speaker 1: my words, Mark my words. Come Sunday, you will not

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Speaker 1: convince me to take the lines. If it drops down

323
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Speaker 1: a six and a half, I guarantee it. We have

324
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Speaker 1: it in. Oh my god, I'm gonna hate this. I'm

325
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Speaker 1: gonna hate on Sunday morning so much. The Giants since

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Speaker 1: we spoke. We liked the Giants at three and a

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Speaker 1: half when Daniel Jones was the quarterback. Mike Glennan now

328
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Speaker 1: the quarterback. The Giant shot up to five and a half.

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Speaker 1: Immediately get block down to four and a half. We

330
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Speaker 1: discussed this before, you know, as we were coming down

331
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Speaker 1: the air, still like the Giants here. Can't can't see

332
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Speaker 1: any reason why I shouldn't like the Giants. It's a

333
00:16:52,440 --> 00:16:59,920
Speaker 1: dolphins like they're riding the crest right now. To talk

334
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Speaker 1: about regression is due for regression. He's incredibly accurate right

335
00:17:03,720 --> 00:17:07,600
Speaker 1: now that defense has had some really nice games but

336
00:17:07,720 --> 00:17:10,880
Speaker 1: also some really lucky breaks. Explained to the people why

337
00:17:10,960 --> 00:17:13,960
Speaker 1: we will still love the Giants with Mike lennanin nothing

338
00:17:14,000 --> 00:17:15,960
Speaker 1: really changed. We were in bedding because of Daniel jenonals

339
00:17:16,000 --> 00:17:18,040
Speaker 1: were bending more so of the Giants defense and their

340
00:17:18,119 --> 00:17:20,439
Speaker 1: offensive scheme that this is gonna be a kind of

341
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Speaker 1: game that want to keep close. I thought it was

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Speaker 1: just really interesting that I dropped down to three. No

343
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Speaker 1: real reason for the bookmakers have dropped it down they

344
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Speaker 1: did from three and a half other than the professional

345
00:17:28,680 --> 00:17:30,919
Speaker 1: money coming in. We talked about it. Shot all up

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Speaker 1: the five and a half the pros. They said, I

347
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Speaker 1: don't know why you guys are moving it two and

348
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Speaker 1: a half points for Daniel Jones. They better right back

349
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Speaker 1: down to four and a half. So I still think

350
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Speaker 1: this number might come down to four. I think you

351
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Speaker 1: just nailed it. To kind of where the total is

352
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Speaker 1: also given away a lot of vibes where it's forty one.

353
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Speaker 1: It's it's interesting they made it so low of a

354
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Speaker 1: forty one told what they're saying. Both these defenses are

355
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Speaker 1: really good. This is gonna be a low scoring, kind

356
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Speaker 1: of ugly battle game. And we're getting a lot of

357
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Speaker 1: points now with this Giants team and a low total.

358
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Speaker 1: Now we're getting four and a half. Not that it

359
00:18:01,040 --> 00:18:03,639
Speaker 1: reminds me exactly the game, but last year, Cole McCoy,

360
00:18:03,760 --> 00:18:05,840
Speaker 1: you're a good friend. He was on the Shiants team.

361
00:18:05,880 --> 00:18:09,280
Speaker 1: They went to Seattle. The Seattle Seahawks were unbelievable last year.

362
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Speaker 1: People forget that, and they were really dominating teams at home.

363
00:18:12,119 --> 00:18:14,280
Speaker 1: The Giants went up there, I might have been eleven

364
00:18:14,320 --> 00:18:15,800
Speaker 1: point dog or a tend at a half point dog

365
00:18:15,840 --> 00:18:19,560
Speaker 1: with Cole McCoy and one outright a good defense playing

366
00:18:19,560 --> 00:18:22,080
Speaker 1: a team that was due for aggression and that Seahawks

367
00:18:22,119 --> 00:18:24,560
Speaker 1: team last year, so kind of the same thing point

368
00:18:24,560 --> 00:18:26,159
Speaker 1: you just talked about. This Miami team is just a

369
00:18:26,200 --> 00:18:28,359
Speaker 1: little inflated right now. I feel like we're getting an

370
00:18:28,359 --> 00:18:31,159
Speaker 1: extra point point and a half off of that, getting

371
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Speaker 1: now an extra half a point that they the bookmakers

372
00:18:34,200 --> 00:18:36,080
Speaker 1: are giving us kind of because they really downgraded this

373
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Speaker 1: team with Daniel Jones being out. But I don't think,

374
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Speaker 1: you know, Jones has proven this season to be worth

375
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Speaker 1: anything more than a backup. Maybe a half point is fair,

376
00:18:43,280 --> 00:18:46,040
Speaker 1: but what does he do game by game to really

377
00:18:46,040 --> 00:18:47,760
Speaker 1: be like, Okay, this is the reason the Giants won

378
00:18:47,840 --> 00:18:50,639
Speaker 1: this game. It's only happened maybe once this entire season.

379
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Speaker 1: Love this. There's nothing that we've discussed so far that

380
00:18:55,880 --> 00:18:58,639
Speaker 1: makes me think in the final five. I don't like

381
00:18:58,680 --> 00:19:01,440
Speaker 1: the Giants still that five tol what of the fossil.

382
00:19:02,040 --> 00:19:04,200
Speaker 1: We haven't gotten to the big balls better the week yet.

383
00:19:06,480 --> 00:19:09,160
Speaker 1: I bet we're coming up to it, because we're gonna

384
00:19:09,160 --> 00:19:14,960
Speaker 1: talk about the Atlanta Falcons are now eleven point underdogs

385
00:19:15,000 --> 00:19:17,560
Speaker 1: at home against the Buccaneers, and we do have a

386
00:19:17,640 --> 00:19:29,119
Speaker 1: way for it pros Joe's alerts the bets on the

387
00:19:29,160 --> 00:19:34,440
Speaker 1: Tampa Bay Buccaneers of the tickets on the Atlanta Falcons.

388
00:19:35,160 --> 00:19:37,679
Speaker 1: That's interesting. Again, we talked about just like way too

389
00:19:37,680 --> 00:19:40,280
Speaker 1: many points in division on matchup where Tampa Bay is

390
00:19:40,280 --> 00:19:43,560
Speaker 1: not fully healthy. Back to back road games, they just

391
00:19:43,600 --> 00:19:46,560
Speaker 1: haven't been the same team on the road, and you know,

392
00:19:47,280 --> 00:19:50,680
Speaker 1: I saw a crazy stat about Matt Ryan's record against

393
00:19:50,680 --> 00:19:53,920
Speaker 1: his Tampa Bay team. It's terrible. His career wise, he's

394
00:19:53,960 --> 00:19:56,840
Speaker 1: not been good against them. His career record against Tom

395
00:19:56,880 --> 00:19:59,000
Speaker 1: Brady is terrible. I don't think he's ever won a

396
00:19:59,040 --> 00:20:02,400
Speaker 1: game outright against Braiding his career, so kind of scary.

397
00:20:02,680 --> 00:20:04,760
Speaker 1: I already been on their money line, and I've already

398
00:20:04,760 --> 00:20:09,120
Speaker 1: been Atlanta, but kind of just a really weird matchup

399
00:20:09,200 --> 00:20:12,080
Speaker 1: for this Campa Bay team. I'm not feeling as good

400
00:20:12,119 --> 00:20:14,400
Speaker 1: anymore about the money line because apparently Brady just has

401
00:20:14,400 --> 00:20:18,240
Speaker 1: Matt Ryan's number. But eleven points now in divisional game,

402
00:20:19,000 --> 00:20:21,040
Speaker 1: maybe there's a trap, but I'll walk into it, like

403
00:20:21,080 --> 00:20:23,879
Speaker 1: I have to bet this number. It's it's way too inflated.

404
00:20:24,000 --> 00:20:26,920
Speaker 1: If this was nine, maybe you'd have me start thinking

405
00:20:26,920 --> 00:20:30,159
Speaker 1: a little bit about Tampa. But you're across the key

406
00:20:30,240 --> 00:20:32,320
Speaker 1: number in ten time and a half. We gotta we

407
00:20:32,320 --> 00:20:34,879
Speaker 1: gotta take we gotta take Atlanta here. Yeah, it's a

408
00:20:34,920 --> 00:20:37,080
Speaker 1: really big number. The one thing that scares me is

409
00:20:37,800 --> 00:20:41,960
Speaker 1: um Atlanta's defense is terrible. Their defensive line is terrible,

410
00:20:42,040 --> 00:20:45,240
Speaker 1: their pass rush is terrible. Well, Tom Brady just be

411
00:20:45,320 --> 00:20:47,520
Speaker 1: able to stand there for forty four years and pick

412
00:20:47,560 --> 00:20:51,800
Speaker 1: apart this defense and every single time unless Atlanta scores

413
00:20:51,840 --> 00:20:54,080
Speaker 1: every time, if Matt Ryan does what he usually does,

414
00:20:54,080 --> 00:20:56,720
Speaker 1: which is throw a stupid pick or you know, they

415
00:20:56,760 --> 00:21:00,679
Speaker 1: have a stupid fumble or whatever it is, that's the

416
00:21:00,720 --> 00:21:03,560
Speaker 1: delta between fourteen and twenty one. And that's what this

417
00:21:03,640 --> 00:21:06,320
Speaker 1: game could be the entire game. Now we're gonna need luck.

418
00:21:06,359 --> 00:21:08,040
Speaker 1: I mean, that's what burned us. We bet this earlier

419
00:21:08,040 --> 00:21:13,400
Speaker 1: in the season. It was, I believe, but the Atlanta

420
00:21:13,440 --> 00:21:16,200
Speaker 1: had the ball, like you just talked about, Matt Ryan

421
00:21:16,240 --> 00:21:18,760
Speaker 1: threw a pick six, then they went three and out.

422
00:21:19,000 --> 00:21:21,280
Speaker 1: In the Tampa Bay scored i think two more touchdowns

423
00:21:21,280 --> 00:21:23,920
Speaker 1: in a row. So that that is definitely the back

424
00:21:23,920 --> 00:21:26,679
Speaker 1: of my mind. We we're open the trends that's been

425
00:21:26,720 --> 00:21:28,200
Speaker 1: good to us this year. It keeps going, which is

426
00:21:28,240 --> 00:21:30,640
Speaker 1: Brady fading Brady on the road and obviously didn't work

427
00:21:30,640 --> 00:21:33,439
Speaker 1: out last week for us, But I mean, that was

428
00:21:33,920 --> 00:21:36,159
Speaker 1: that was insane. Lenny running that touchdown and that that

429
00:21:36,240 --> 00:21:38,200
Speaker 1: was that was one of those usually we're gonna cover

430
00:21:38,240 --> 00:21:41,240
Speaker 1: that number. So again, if you're back in Tampa Bay,

431
00:21:42,400 --> 00:21:44,000
Speaker 1: you're you're in the same standpoint as they went back

432
00:21:44,040 --> 00:21:45,960
Speaker 1: in Atlanta. You're gonna need some weird bounce to go

433
00:21:46,000 --> 00:21:47,280
Speaker 1: your way at the end of this game to cover

434
00:21:47,359 --> 00:21:50,080
Speaker 1: that number. Like you just talked about Matt Matt Ryan

435
00:21:50,160 --> 00:21:53,560
Speaker 1: is it's scary having this pig of a number with him. Oh. So,

436
00:21:53,680 --> 00:21:56,960
Speaker 1: you know what we're gonna do. We're gonna make sound

437
00:21:57,520 --> 00:22:03,720
Speaker 1: professional decisions. The sound professional decision is to take the

438
00:22:03,720 --> 00:22:10,200
Speaker 1: Atlanta Falcons as huge home underdogs. It is the sound

439
00:22:10,359 --> 00:22:16,520
Speaker 1: professional decision as the Colts visit the Texans is to

440
00:22:16,600 --> 00:22:20,760
Speaker 1: take the Colts plus ten. That Texans were eight and

441
00:22:20,760 --> 00:22:23,680
Speaker 1: a half on Tuesday. We liked it. I know you've

442
00:22:23,720 --> 00:22:28,120
Speaker 1: said you've gotten some reports that a lot of professionals

443
00:22:28,119 --> 00:22:30,960
Speaker 1: coming in on the Colts. The amount of money and

444
00:22:30,960 --> 00:22:35,040
Speaker 1: the amount of tickets on the Colts percent of the

445
00:22:35,040 --> 00:22:37,159
Speaker 1: money coming in on the Colts. That tells me that

446
00:22:37,200 --> 00:22:43,320
Speaker 1: there's professional money and public money on the Colts. What

447
00:22:43,400 --> 00:22:45,120
Speaker 1: are they seeing that we're not seeing that we would

448
00:22:45,160 --> 00:22:49,960
Speaker 1: do what is professional. They probably just loved the aspect

449
00:22:50,000 --> 00:22:52,359
Speaker 1: of the Colts play with ball control. This this is

450
00:22:52,359 --> 00:22:56,399
Speaker 1: the team that can dominate the run again, Carson, last week,

451
00:22:57,359 --> 00:22:59,480
Speaker 1: that was I think I said at five terms. I

452
00:22:59,520 --> 00:23:01,439
Speaker 1: met the cold today of mean cars fon firsonally, but

453
00:23:02,359 --> 00:23:04,440
Speaker 1: they're up twenty four to one. Last week, he had

454
00:23:04,440 --> 00:23:06,439
Speaker 1: a strip sack, Brady goes down and scores a touchdown.

455
00:23:06,480 --> 00:23:08,840
Speaker 1: He comes back, he throws a pick. He just had

456
00:23:08,960 --> 00:23:11,040
Speaker 1: three turnovers in the game. Is pretty much why the

457
00:23:11,040 --> 00:23:14,080
Speaker 1: Colts didn't win it. So I think pros are looking, Okay,

458
00:23:14,600 --> 00:23:17,000
Speaker 1: he's not gonna have that kind of game again against Houston.

459
00:23:17,280 --> 00:23:19,000
Speaker 1: And this is a big number for Houston to cover.

460
00:23:19,160 --> 00:23:22,320
Speaker 1: Where Taylor has played well since he's been back, but

461
00:23:22,400 --> 00:23:24,600
Speaker 1: he's just one man and we've seen it where he

462
00:23:24,600 --> 00:23:26,720
Speaker 1: hasn't really be able to carry this offense. Like he's

463
00:23:26,720 --> 00:23:29,879
Speaker 1: not a superstar, he's just a average, below average kind

464
00:23:29,920 --> 00:23:33,360
Speaker 1: of quarterback. So I think they're looking at the standpoint

465
00:23:33,440 --> 00:23:36,000
Speaker 1: that this Houston team, if they're getting under they're getting

466
00:23:36,040 --> 00:23:38,520
Speaker 1: under ten with the like again, the line was eight

467
00:23:38,520 --> 00:23:40,320
Speaker 1: and a half, it was nine nine a half. It's

468
00:23:40,320 --> 00:23:43,080
Speaker 1: still some books they probably just gonna have the ten

469
00:23:43,160 --> 00:23:46,760
Speaker 1: is the key number. So they're saying this cold team

470
00:23:46,800 --> 00:23:48,440
Speaker 1: one of the top teams in the a f C,

471
00:23:48,680 --> 00:23:50,920
Speaker 1: a team that's that's gonna make the playoffs, most likely

472
00:23:51,320 --> 00:23:53,399
Speaker 1: playing against the Houston team that's gonna have, you know,

473
00:23:53,920 --> 00:23:56,640
Speaker 1: a top three, top four pick. Well they won't because

474
00:23:56,640 --> 00:24:00,960
Speaker 1: they traded away. But um, I get what they're they're

475
00:24:01,000 --> 00:24:03,160
Speaker 1: looking at. We're like me and you, naturally we want

476
00:24:03,160 --> 00:24:05,880
Speaker 1: to take Houston. I will be taking Houston. This gets

477
00:24:05,880 --> 00:24:08,840
Speaker 1: a ten time a half. Nothing's changed. I'm still I

478
00:24:08,880 --> 00:24:11,600
Speaker 1: still like Houston. It's just gonna make me pause or

479
00:24:11,680 --> 00:24:13,600
Speaker 1: I'm not gonna be putting a decent amount of money

480
00:24:13,640 --> 00:24:16,440
Speaker 1: on this because of respect for these pros. Of pros

481
00:24:16,480 --> 00:24:18,720
Speaker 1: coming on big favorite, they have a good red on

482
00:24:18,760 --> 00:24:28,600
Speaker 1: that game. As Ali G says, respect alright, I don't

483
00:24:28,600 --> 00:24:30,679
Speaker 1: know that the way you describe it, I don't know

484
00:24:30,720 --> 00:24:33,640
Speaker 1: that the Texans maker of Final five, we won't get

485
00:24:33,640 --> 00:24:35,760
Speaker 1: a good number that numbers. That number is not gonna

486
00:24:35,760 --> 00:24:37,159
Speaker 1: be what we wanted to be. Right, It's an eight

487
00:24:37,160 --> 00:24:39,320
Speaker 1: and a half in the contest, probably because it locks

488
00:24:39,359 --> 00:24:41,960
Speaker 1: on Tuesday or Wednesday. It's already getting up to ten.

489
00:24:42,000 --> 00:24:44,960
Speaker 1: It could go higher. So let's tre a couple of games. Like,

490
00:24:45,000 --> 00:24:47,120
Speaker 1: we've got four or five more games to walk through here,

491
00:24:47,320 --> 00:24:49,119
Speaker 1: and I think it's important. It's a little more than

492
00:24:49,160 --> 00:24:52,000
Speaker 1: we usually have. It's cut check time. The Bears are

493
00:24:52,000 --> 00:24:54,840
Speaker 1: eight point dogs at home against Kyler Murray coming back.

494
00:24:54,960 --> 00:24:58,160
Speaker 1: I guess Cliff Kingsbury, who won't deny that he might

495
00:24:58,160 --> 00:25:01,280
Speaker 1: go to Oklahoma A home team getting a massive amount

496
00:25:01,320 --> 00:25:04,240
Speaker 1: of points. This sets up to be take the Bears.

497
00:25:05,000 --> 00:25:08,400
Speaker 1: Why wouldn't I take the Bears? No? I hate this.

498
00:25:08,720 --> 00:25:10,399
Speaker 1: I hate that like we have to do it. I

499
00:25:10,800 --> 00:25:14,000
Speaker 1: don't want to it all though, like I usually i'd

500
00:25:14,000 --> 00:25:15,960
Speaker 1: be pounding this one like I would be the same

501
00:25:16,040 --> 00:25:18,879
Speaker 1: view as Detroit or the same view as Houston. Um,

502
00:25:19,000 --> 00:25:21,520
Speaker 1: because I now I'm getting a better number. But the

503
00:25:21,560 --> 00:25:23,760
Speaker 1: more I break down film on this that the fear

504
00:25:23,880 --> 00:25:26,600
Speaker 1: is if Arizona gets up two touchdowns, I don't know

505
00:25:26,640 --> 00:25:29,679
Speaker 1: how the Bears get back like they just naggy is

506
00:25:29,760 --> 00:25:32,320
Speaker 1: just has no imagination with the offense, and it's hard

507
00:25:32,359 --> 00:25:33,879
Speaker 1: to see how they put up points to keep up

508
00:25:33,880 --> 00:25:36,440
Speaker 1: with this Arizona team. So so one of those I'll

509
00:25:36,440 --> 00:25:38,160
Speaker 1: just wait on and I'll hope that maybe you guys

510
00:25:38,200 --> 00:25:40,520
Speaker 1: will have weather in Chicago, and then I'll be all

511
00:25:40,560 --> 00:25:42,200
Speaker 1: in on the Bears. If this is a running ball

512
00:25:42,200 --> 00:25:44,879
Speaker 1: control kind of game, I love the Bears. That's this

513
00:25:44,920 --> 00:25:47,959
Speaker 1: is the perfect stop for their offense. But there's no

514
00:25:48,000 --> 00:25:51,040
Speaker 1: real weather. It's a nice day in Chicago. Tyler Murray

515
00:25:51,080 --> 00:25:53,520
Speaker 1: doesn't have really worry about the elements. It's gonna be

516
00:25:53,560 --> 00:25:55,480
Speaker 1: It's gonna be a route probably for this Cardinals team.

517
00:25:55,520 --> 00:25:57,800
Speaker 1: They're just they have one of the best records of

518
00:25:57,800 --> 00:26:00,000
Speaker 1: football for a reason. This team is legit. They've been

519
00:26:00,000 --> 00:26:02,560
Speaker 1: winning games with Colt McCoy. Now you're getting arguably the

520
00:26:02,640 --> 00:26:05,960
Speaker 1: m VP back. It's a big upgrade. But we're just

521
00:26:06,040 --> 00:26:08,159
Speaker 1: hoping for weather because he's gonna be rusty. He's not

522
00:26:08,160 --> 00:26:10,080
Speaker 1: gonna want to be out there in the cold. Everything

523
00:26:10,200 --> 00:26:13,000
Speaker 1: is just it's really depending on the home field advantage

524
00:26:13,000 --> 00:26:15,200
Speaker 1: for this Bears team. That's why we, like you just said,

525
00:26:15,480 --> 00:26:17,160
Speaker 1: we want to take this number. This is a really

526
00:26:17,160 --> 00:26:19,359
Speaker 1: good number for a home team that they liked the

527
00:26:19,400 --> 00:26:21,880
Speaker 1: elements so well, we'll wait and see on this one.

528
00:26:22,480 --> 00:26:27,080
Speaker 1: What the Bear is gonna need, Matt Mitchell, they are

529
00:26:27,119 --> 00:26:43,960
Speaker 1: going to need to bear down hit it. Raven Steelers

530
00:26:44,640 --> 00:26:47,520
Speaker 1: like we got to talk about it. The line has

531
00:26:47,560 --> 00:26:49,800
Speaker 1: moved from three and a half. It did exactly what

532
00:26:49,840 --> 00:26:52,679
Speaker 1: you said it would. You said, wait for this number,

533
00:26:52,960 --> 00:26:55,240
Speaker 1: it's gonna move. It went up to four and a

534
00:26:55,320 --> 00:26:58,480
Speaker 1: half in some places. Still waiting on t J. Watten News,

535
00:26:58,680 --> 00:27:01,479
Speaker 1: We're expecting Joe Hayden to be back. I wonder what

536
00:27:01,520 --> 00:27:03,760
Speaker 1: Mike Tomlin is going to say about that. I'm gonna

537
00:27:03,760 --> 00:27:05,280
Speaker 1: look at Too Real close today to see if you

538
00:27:05,359 --> 00:27:07,920
Speaker 1: highly conditioned, they're ready to go, you know what I mean,

539
00:27:08,240 --> 00:27:09,760
Speaker 1: And if you're not, I'm gonna put you in the news.

540
00:27:10,320 --> 00:27:12,600
Speaker 1: You got a Ravens team that beat up a Browns

541
00:27:12,600 --> 00:27:15,160
Speaker 1: team in in prime time, even though it was ugly.

542
00:27:15,520 --> 00:27:18,119
Speaker 1: You got a Steelers team that just got throttled with

543
00:27:18,200 --> 00:27:21,520
Speaker 1: Ben Roethlisberger looking almost like a hundred year old man.

544
00:27:21,880 --> 00:27:24,320
Speaker 1: When is this game not close? When is the Steelers

545
00:27:24,440 --> 00:27:27,160
Speaker 1: Ravens game not a three point game? I'm so glad

546
00:27:27,200 --> 00:27:29,439
Speaker 1: you came around. That's the exact mentality you need for

547
00:27:29,480 --> 00:27:31,480
Speaker 1: this matchup, Chad. You just throw out all you throw

548
00:27:31,520 --> 00:27:34,280
Speaker 1: it all out. It doesn't matter. Lamar was havingn m

549
00:27:34,359 --> 00:27:37,120
Speaker 1: v P season and the Steelers were not good that year.

550
00:27:37,240 --> 00:27:39,800
Speaker 1: Their games are close there, It's just always close between

551
00:27:39,840 --> 00:27:44,480
Speaker 1: these teams. Historically, Lamar has been terrible against this Pittsburgh's team.

552
00:27:44,640 --> 00:27:48,040
Speaker 1: Pittsburgh has always schemed up very well against Lamar. So

553
00:27:48,760 --> 00:27:52,280
Speaker 1: nothing changed. I love the number, so happy and moved up.

554
00:27:52,680 --> 00:27:54,639
Speaker 1: I was really happy to get at some books to

555
00:27:54,720 --> 00:27:58,000
Speaker 1: touch five at one point. I love that you nailed it.

556
00:27:58,040 --> 00:28:00,440
Speaker 1: We have to take Pittsburgh here as a home divisional

557
00:28:00,520 --> 00:28:04,239
Speaker 1: dog against the team where Lamar's had multiple interviews. Now

558
00:28:04,280 --> 00:28:07,200
Speaker 1: we talked about being six affected him. He doesn't feel

559
00:28:07,200 --> 00:28:09,040
Speaker 1: that he has the same strength. He isn't like he

560
00:28:09,080 --> 00:28:10,800
Speaker 1: says he was tired at the end of the game,

561
00:28:10,840 --> 00:28:13,240
Speaker 1: which has never really happened for him. It's only happened

562
00:28:13,480 --> 00:28:15,280
Speaker 1: when he came back from COVID. I know that wasn't

563
00:28:15,280 --> 00:28:17,840
Speaker 1: co related. He was just sick. Uh the other week.

564
00:28:18,320 --> 00:28:20,320
Speaker 1: You guys just had major stuff going on though. He

565
00:28:20,400 --> 00:28:22,800
Speaker 1: just hasn't been consistent. He hasn't been a practice consistent.

566
00:28:23,080 --> 00:28:26,320
Speaker 1: It's gonna catch up to him. And you know, you

567
00:28:26,640 --> 00:28:29,320
Speaker 1: really did nail on the head. It's if this is

568
00:28:29,480 --> 00:28:31,600
Speaker 1: If it's three, If it's more than three, like we

569
00:28:31,600 --> 00:28:33,720
Speaker 1: were talking three and a half, we would have taken it.

570
00:28:33,880 --> 00:28:35,680
Speaker 1: Now it's four and a half. Now it's four, we

571
00:28:35,960 --> 00:28:38,440
Speaker 1: still love it. We're still gonna take it. So nothing changed.

572
00:28:38,440 --> 00:28:41,160
Speaker 1: We're gonna be on Pittsburgh this Sunday. Great stats that

573
00:28:41,200 --> 00:28:44,520
Speaker 1: I'm cribbing from Stuckey on the Action Network podcast. Since

574
00:28:44,600 --> 00:28:48,400
Speaker 1: John Harbad joined the team in two thousand eight. In

575
00:28:48,440 --> 00:28:52,360
Speaker 1: this series, thirteen and thirteen in the regular season average

576
00:28:52,360 --> 00:28:56,960
Speaker 1: margin of one. Twenty of the twenty six games decided

577
00:28:56,960 --> 00:29:01,440
Speaker 1: by one possession, seventeen and decided four or last four

578
00:29:01,480 --> 00:29:04,680
Speaker 1: have gone into overtime. Faves of three or more in

579
00:29:04,720 --> 00:29:09,520
Speaker 1: this series one thirteen and two against the spread. Read

580
00:29:09,560 --> 00:29:11,640
Speaker 1: that one more time. Faves of three or more are

581
00:29:11,720 --> 00:29:14,640
Speaker 1: one thirteen and two in this series. Those little secrets

582
00:29:14,680 --> 00:29:16,280
Speaker 1: that your boy had, I don't. I can't believe Stuck

583
00:29:16,280 --> 00:29:19,720
Speaker 1: gave it out. That's an old old school pros pros nos.

584
00:29:19,880 --> 00:29:21,800
Speaker 1: So that's funny you give that out. Yeah, I didn't

585
00:29:21,800 --> 00:29:22,880
Speaker 1: want to dive in too much of That's why it

586
00:29:22,920 --> 00:29:25,320
Speaker 1: was gonna be my biggest bets. You just everyone knows

587
00:29:25,360 --> 00:29:27,960
Speaker 1: that number. You always take that, so that that's that's

588
00:29:27,960 --> 00:29:29,560
Speaker 1: great Stucky gave it out. But that's one of those

589
00:29:29,600 --> 00:29:32,480
Speaker 1: I keep for myself. Wow, look at you. It's just

590
00:29:32,520 --> 00:29:34,040
Speaker 1: a good secret. That's like, you just don't want the

591
00:29:34,040 --> 00:29:36,200
Speaker 1: public to know those kind of numbers because that the

592
00:29:36,240 --> 00:29:37,959
Speaker 1: public maybe next year that will remember that and they

593
00:29:37,960 --> 00:29:39,800
Speaker 1: will come in heavy on the dog in this matchup.

594
00:29:39,960 --> 00:29:42,400
Speaker 1: I love it every time. It just flip flops whoever

595
00:29:42,400 --> 00:29:44,160
Speaker 1: it is the dog that year you take it. It's

596
00:29:44,200 --> 00:29:46,560
Speaker 1: greater than three and a half. It's I'm not a genius.

597
00:29:46,600 --> 00:29:49,840
Speaker 1: I just keep it simple. Stupid is not that smart.

598
00:29:50,720 --> 00:29:54,200
Speaker 1: Broncos visiting the Chiefs. This game has come down. It

599
00:29:54,400 --> 00:29:56,160
Speaker 1: was at ten, now it's a nine and a half.

600
00:29:56,920 --> 00:29:59,120
Speaker 1: I think we still like the Broncos. Here we go.

601
00:30:00,080 --> 00:30:02,080
Speaker 1: It's like it's weighing on me though I told you

602
00:30:02,120 --> 00:30:03,920
Speaker 1: I I just was not gonna be happy betting it

603
00:30:04,000 --> 00:30:07,280
Speaker 1: because I just don't know what's up with Teddy. But Teddy,

604
00:30:07,320 --> 00:30:10,920
Speaker 1: Teddy Covers is a dog, divisional dog. We're gonna be

605
00:30:10,960 --> 00:30:12,720
Speaker 1: taking it. And I saw they might have a little bit.

606
00:30:12,720 --> 00:30:14,560
Speaker 1: They might have a chance of snow as well in

607
00:30:14,600 --> 00:30:18,520
Speaker 1: this game, which heavily slants towards Denver. Denver is a

608
00:30:18,600 --> 00:30:21,760
Speaker 1: run first kind of team, so that might be the

609
00:30:21,760 --> 00:30:23,400
Speaker 1: reason the numbers come down, just because that's what the

610
00:30:23,400 --> 00:30:25,480
Speaker 1: pros are bedding on. Because other than that, you just wait.

611
00:30:26,200 --> 00:30:30,280
Speaker 1: No one knows what's going on with Teddy. So I mean,

612
00:30:30,480 --> 00:30:32,280
Speaker 1: it's interesting the numbers dropped. I'm like, looking at it

613
00:30:32,360 --> 00:30:34,240
Speaker 1: right now, that's that's that is weird. It's moved down.

614
00:30:34,440 --> 00:30:36,880
Speaker 1: But some of might I know something. Some of myight

615
00:30:36,880 --> 00:30:39,120
Speaker 1: know Teddy is full go. I just I don't have

616
00:30:39,160 --> 00:30:41,560
Speaker 1: word yet if he is gonna be definitely starting the Sunday.

617
00:30:41,760 --> 00:30:44,360
Speaker 1: So you want to wait until we know I did

618
00:30:44,400 --> 00:30:46,160
Speaker 1: take it. I mean, if you can still grab a ten,

619
00:30:46,200 --> 00:30:47,959
Speaker 1: you're here in this, Yeah, grab it just for a

620
00:30:47,960 --> 00:30:50,320
Speaker 1: little bit. They can buy out. Um if he's out,

621
00:30:50,360 --> 00:30:52,719
Speaker 1: because we talked about there's I don't care. If it's

622
00:30:52,800 --> 00:30:56,000
Speaker 1: number seventeen. I'm not taking Drew Lock. He's horrible. Oh

623
00:30:56,040 --> 00:30:59,160
Speaker 1: my god, forget Drew Lock. It's a lock. We're not

624
00:30:59,240 --> 00:31:02,400
Speaker 1: taking Drew Lock. That's where it is. Yeah. If it's

625
00:31:02,440 --> 00:31:04,080
Speaker 1: third and two and he just needs a completion, I

626
00:31:04,080 --> 00:31:06,280
Speaker 1: don't trust the kid and Bill throughout three yards, not

627
00:31:06,560 --> 00:31:10,480
Speaker 1: even close. I assume I have a feeling we're coming

628
00:31:10,520 --> 00:31:17,080
Speaker 1: up to Patriots and Bills, big balls better the week.

629
00:31:20,720 --> 00:31:25,360
Speaker 1: The Bills make me throw your hand on something to

630
00:31:25,680 --> 00:31:29,680
Speaker 1: throw your hand back. Now the Bills. I'm making it happen.

631
00:31:30,600 --> 00:31:33,800
Speaker 1: People hate this bet chat hearing it from everywhere. Everyone

632
00:31:33,840 --> 00:31:37,320
Speaker 1: hates it. Professionals around the Patriots, the public on the Patriots.

633
00:31:37,760 --> 00:31:39,800
Speaker 1: What a gift, What a gift forgetting here with the Bills.

634
00:31:40,280 --> 00:31:42,680
Speaker 1: Explain it to me. It was minus two and a half,

635
00:31:42,720 --> 00:31:44,800
Speaker 1: which was a treat. Now it's back up to minus three.

636
00:31:45,560 --> 00:31:49,200
Speaker 1: Mac has been great. I got no doubt that's Mac

637
00:31:49,280 --> 00:31:54,120
Speaker 1: Jones right now. He's a witch nipple quarterback. Now we've

638
00:31:54,160 --> 00:31:56,360
Speaker 1: hit the two high level of the hype. We've got

639
00:31:56,440 --> 00:31:58,760
Speaker 1: people posting tickets to them, been on him, m VP

640
00:31:58,880 --> 00:32:01,480
Speaker 1: of the league. We got just everyone's all in on.

641
00:32:01,560 --> 00:32:03,640
Speaker 1: People are posting stats of him with Brady, like him

642
00:32:03,680 --> 00:32:05,880
Speaker 1: against Brady in their first seven games, and how he's

643
00:32:05,880 --> 00:32:08,280
Speaker 1: been better than Brady. Even the NFL is a completely

644
00:32:08,320 --> 00:32:14,480
Speaker 1: different game two years ago, So it's it's hit that level.

645
00:32:14,920 --> 00:32:16,920
Speaker 1: You're not hearing anything about the Bills. If anything we're

646
00:32:17,040 --> 00:32:18,760
Speaker 1: hearing about the Bills is just negative stuff about how

647
00:32:18,760 --> 00:32:21,200
Speaker 1: they don't match up all against his Patriots team. I

648
00:32:21,280 --> 00:32:24,040
Speaker 1: love it. I love it so much that, like I

649
00:32:24,120 --> 00:32:25,920
Speaker 1: we don't. We usually don't do Mondays. I like being

650
00:32:25,960 --> 00:32:28,960
Speaker 1: over by Sunday. We might consider this one, like we might,

651
00:32:29,400 --> 00:32:31,800
Speaker 1: I might have to play this one, but I completely

652
00:32:31,840 --> 00:32:34,760
Speaker 1: have this in our final five right now. You are

653
00:32:34,920 --> 00:32:37,240
Speaker 1: You have loved this from the beginning, And what I

654
00:32:37,280 --> 00:32:39,400
Speaker 1: know is when you love something as much as you

655
00:32:40,080 --> 00:32:43,440
Speaker 1: love this, I don't ask questions. I'm just like, all right,

656
00:32:43,680 --> 00:32:45,920
Speaker 1: we're going with it. No, No, you always ask questions.

657
00:32:45,920 --> 00:32:56,320
Speaker 1: That's why I love you, wanna That's when I immediately,

658
00:32:56,320 --> 00:32:59,440
Speaker 1: when I saw this line, I knew that it was

659
00:32:59,480 --> 00:33:01,600
Speaker 1: just gonna be all Patriots money, and I knew it

660
00:33:01,640 --> 00:33:03,360
Speaker 1: was gonna be a primetime game and they're gonna be

661
00:33:03,360 --> 00:33:06,040
Speaker 1: on the road as a dog, and that's just not

662
00:33:06,080 --> 00:33:07,960
Speaker 1: where you want to be. As it better. Um, the

663
00:33:08,200 --> 00:33:11,320
Speaker 1: books know what they're doing here. So it is interesting

664
00:33:11,360 --> 00:33:13,400
Speaker 1: that it touched down to two and a half because

665
00:33:13,400 --> 00:33:16,440
Speaker 1: they're that that means the books needed some bills money, honestly.

666
00:33:17,000 --> 00:33:18,760
Speaker 1: But then it went back up in a couple of minutes.

667
00:33:18,800 --> 00:33:21,120
Speaker 1: I was like, Okay, now they're they're just testing the

668
00:33:21,120 --> 00:33:23,240
Speaker 1: water to see what the professionals are doing. The professionals

669
00:33:23,240 --> 00:33:24,560
Speaker 1: came in heavy on the two and a half, so

670
00:33:24,920 --> 00:33:27,040
Speaker 1: nothing's changed. We still love the bills of minus three.

671
00:33:27,520 --> 00:33:29,680
Speaker 1: Did you get the two and a half? Yeah, but

672
00:33:29,760 --> 00:33:31,800
Speaker 1: not for a lot. It's gonna take me, you know,

673
00:33:32,120 --> 00:33:34,360
Speaker 1: forty five minutes to either get to fill or get

674
00:33:34,360 --> 00:33:37,080
Speaker 1: the e C. So I couldn't get on it quick enough.

675
00:33:37,160 --> 00:33:39,840
Speaker 1: But if nothing's changed, I'm still waiting a little bit

676
00:33:39,840 --> 00:33:41,800
Speaker 1: because I'm hoping the pub will keep betting it down

677
00:33:42,040 --> 00:33:44,480
Speaker 1: because again we talked about the time the public is

678
00:33:44,520 --> 00:33:46,240
Speaker 1: gonna be putting this in teasers. They're gonna be putting

679
00:33:46,240 --> 00:33:48,240
Speaker 1: the Patriots money line and money line parlays like this

680
00:33:48,280 --> 00:33:50,760
Speaker 1: will be They just like this number a lot, So

681
00:33:50,760 --> 00:33:52,840
Speaker 1: they're gonna be keep betting this number all weekend. So

682
00:33:52,960 --> 00:33:54,840
Speaker 1: I do think you could get lucky. It could touch

683
00:33:54,880 --> 00:33:56,800
Speaker 1: back down to two and a half. Yea. Well, it

684
00:33:56,880 --> 00:33:58,720
Speaker 1: was also the fact that it's the Monday and night game.

685
00:33:58,760 --> 00:34:02,960
Speaker 1: People are gonna be chasing, right. Oh yeah, I love that. Well, listen,

686
00:34:03,760 --> 00:34:08,160
Speaker 1: that was our big balls better the week. I think

687
00:34:08,160 --> 00:34:14,000
Speaker 1: we're we're zeroing in on Giants, Falcons, Steelers, Broncos, Bills.

688
00:34:14,719 --> 00:34:19,319
Speaker 1: If you asked me right now, I'd say that it's

689
00:34:19,400 --> 00:34:21,960
Speaker 1: very possible we take the Broncos out on Sunday and

690
00:34:22,000 --> 00:34:26,000
Speaker 1: put in the Chargers. That's probably to me the biggest

691
00:34:26,080 --> 00:34:29,399
Speaker 1: question mark, depending on Teddy. It's also possible we could

692
00:34:29,480 --> 00:34:32,239
Speaker 1: feel better about the Chargers than the Falcons, but I

693
00:34:32,280 --> 00:34:35,160
Speaker 1: think we feel good about the Giants, the Steelers, and

694
00:34:35,200 --> 00:34:38,000
Speaker 1: the Bills. And again, we didn't touch on a couple

695
00:34:38,000 --> 00:34:40,400
Speaker 1: of pros like just In case people are wondering about

696
00:34:40,400 --> 00:34:43,800
Speaker 1: it was that Washington number. A couple of different pros

697
00:34:43,800 --> 00:34:45,960
Speaker 1: I've talked to have hit that Washington number. That's why

698
00:34:46,360 --> 00:34:48,400
Speaker 1: it's just been sitting there. I think the books are

699
00:34:48,440 --> 00:34:50,479
Speaker 1: happy where it's at. They'll let the public keep betting

700
00:34:50,480 --> 00:34:53,600
Speaker 1: the Raiders and the pros will come in, they'll keep

701
00:34:53,640 --> 00:34:56,280
Speaker 1: taking Washington. So I don't have a great feel personally

702
00:34:56,280 --> 00:34:58,840
Speaker 1: for that game. I will, you know, eventually, probably end

703
00:34:58,920 --> 00:35:01,640
Speaker 1: up back back and this Washington team. I was just

704
00:35:01,680 --> 00:35:03,839
Speaker 1: hoping for a three, but it might not get there,

705
00:35:03,880 --> 00:35:06,120
Speaker 1: just because the professionals. Anytime it's touched it, I've just

706
00:35:06,160 --> 00:35:09,399
Speaker 1: pounded it. So it's one of those half um even

707
00:35:09,440 --> 00:35:12,240
Speaker 1: on the fence, I would not go with. Vegas Raiders

708
00:35:12,280 --> 00:35:15,080
Speaker 1: have been sitting at two and a half. Yeah, all week.

709
00:35:15,360 --> 00:35:18,080
Speaker 1: All week, They're getting all the bets. So the fact

710
00:35:18,080 --> 00:35:19,960
Speaker 1: that it hasn't moved it is a pretty good indication

711
00:35:20,080 --> 00:35:22,320
Speaker 1: of how professionals are feeling about this and what the

712
00:35:22,320 --> 00:35:29,640
Speaker 1: bookmakers know will happen. And now a word from our

713
00:35:29,680 --> 00:35:32,640
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714
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718
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00:35:51,560 --> 00:35:54,760
Speaker 1: game parley of the Pittsburgh Steelers money line the under

720
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721
00:35:59,320 --> 00:36:02,120
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738
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740
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741
00:37:12,320 --> 00:37:15,200
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742
00:37:15,320 --> 00:37:18,120
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743
00:37:18,239 --> 00:37:22,799
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744
00:37:22,800 --> 00:37:25,200
Speaker 1: back to the show. Let's get to the money line. Parlay.

745
00:37:25,280 --> 00:37:28,960
Speaker 1: A lot of ugly dogs out there heartbroken about the Saints.

746
00:37:28,960 --> 00:37:30,759
Speaker 1: I really wanted to put that man. It's always fun

747
00:37:30,800 --> 00:37:32,960
Speaker 1: starting one of these things off on Thursday night. But

748
00:37:33,600 --> 00:37:35,439
Speaker 1: just don't. Just don't see how this team is gonna

749
00:37:35,440 --> 00:37:37,960
Speaker 1: win now with all the guys that have out on offense,

750
00:37:38,000 --> 00:37:41,000
Speaker 1: it's Kamar both their offensive tackles. They're starting Taysom Hill,

751
00:37:41,000 --> 00:37:44,560
Speaker 1: who hasn't played in weeks. Um I just don't like

752
00:37:44,640 --> 00:37:47,799
Speaker 1: the vibe. So I'll stay away from the Thursday. Let's

753
00:37:47,800 --> 00:37:50,640
Speaker 1: go to the Sunday slate for our money line round Robin.

754
00:37:51,640 --> 00:37:53,839
Speaker 1: People are gonna hate it, but we gotta do it.

755
00:37:53,920 --> 00:37:58,440
Speaker 1: Giants with the backup quarterback on the road, love it. Lines.

756
00:37:58,600 --> 00:38:01,120
Speaker 1: Haven't won a game yet this year. I'm ben it

757
00:38:01,239 --> 00:38:03,359
Speaker 1: this week. I know Chad aides it. I'm doing it.

758
00:38:03,360 --> 00:38:06,040
Speaker 1: It's it feels like it's that week. No one's gonna

759
00:38:06,080 --> 00:38:07,799
Speaker 1: be doing it. That's why we should be doing it.

760
00:38:08,640 --> 00:38:10,680
Speaker 1: But it has felt every single week like the lines

761
00:38:10,719 --> 00:38:12,920
Speaker 1: of the team. I could see it. I could see it.

762
00:38:13,120 --> 00:38:15,480
Speaker 1: I could see it. And this is the week where

763
00:38:15,480 --> 00:38:19,319
Speaker 1: nobody can just been so bad. Yeah, you see what

764
00:38:19,360 --> 00:38:21,120
Speaker 1: I'm coming from. Now, that's why we have to do it.

765
00:38:21,360 --> 00:38:24,520
Speaker 1: So we got Giants lines, me and Chad touch and

766
00:38:24,600 --> 00:38:26,719
Speaker 1: I like the Chargers. I know it's short now, it's

767
00:38:26,719 --> 00:38:30,360
Speaker 1: only down to UM plus one fifty. Still like it.

768
00:38:30,480 --> 00:38:32,640
Speaker 1: Still think you're getting ge value in the amount. Run Robin,

769
00:38:33,480 --> 00:38:36,400
Speaker 1: stay away from the Jaguars. I'll be doing that one personally.

770
00:38:36,600 --> 00:38:39,440
Speaker 1: You can stay away. I'll throw that out Washington football team.

771
00:38:39,440 --> 00:38:42,200
Speaker 1: They're a short one too. This feels safe though. Plus

772
00:38:43,320 --> 00:38:48,080
Speaker 1: and the capitalut How do we not go Stealers the Ravens.

773
00:38:48,560 --> 00:38:51,120
Speaker 1: That feels like a great fifth option there. So if

774
00:38:51,120 --> 00:38:53,200
Speaker 1: you if you're looking for a juice here one I'm

775
00:38:53,200 --> 00:38:55,200
Speaker 1: I am doing the Chargers, I mean not Chargers, the

776
00:38:55,280 --> 00:38:58,920
Speaker 1: Jaguars because something to me just feels wrong with Stafford.

777
00:38:59,000 --> 00:39:01,440
Speaker 1: So I'm just gonna be in that number. They might

778
00:39:01,560 --> 00:39:03,920
Speaker 1: lose by thirty points. This is the perfect time for

779
00:39:03,960 --> 00:39:06,960
Speaker 1: this Rams team to get right against a bad team.

780
00:39:07,080 --> 00:39:09,920
Speaker 1: At the same time, Stafford is bad. This guy is

781
00:39:09,920 --> 00:39:11,560
Speaker 1: bad right now. Me and Chad we did not trust

782
00:39:11,640 --> 00:39:13,359
Speaker 1: him coming to the year. We talked all summer about

783
00:39:13,400 --> 00:39:16,080
Speaker 1: professionals coming in on them. We just stayed away from it.

784
00:39:16,200 --> 00:39:19,000
Speaker 1: We did not trust this Rams team. It looks like

785
00:39:19,040 --> 00:39:21,040
Speaker 1: we might be right. Stafford just might not be that

786
00:39:21,120 --> 00:39:24,040
Speaker 1: kind of guy. So I will be taking this this

787
00:39:24,120 --> 00:39:26,680
Speaker 1: Jaguars team. But I'm not making people do it. I

788
00:39:26,719 --> 00:39:28,600
Speaker 1: told people on the show, I will not force in

789
00:39:28,719 --> 00:39:31,239
Speaker 1: my Jaguars bets anymore. So I get if you don't

790
00:39:31,239 --> 00:39:33,280
Speaker 1: want in your round robin. Well, look, you should explain

791
00:39:33,320 --> 00:39:38,280
Speaker 1: to people though, because it is interesting. You bet high dollars,

792
00:39:38,600 --> 00:39:43,239
Speaker 1: high volume. The NFL season is your work season, so

793
00:39:43,360 --> 00:39:46,360
Speaker 1: you're going to bet every game and a lot of

794
00:39:46,400 --> 00:39:49,920
Speaker 1: the derivatives in every single game, money lines, totals, first

795
00:39:49,920 --> 00:39:54,160
Speaker 1: halfs whatever it is, um sides. It's not like your

796
00:39:54,360 --> 00:39:58,400
Speaker 1: love with every bet you make. And Sean Zarrillo, the

797
00:39:58,480 --> 00:40:01,040
Speaker 1: baseball antist for the Action Network, talks about this all

798
00:40:01,040 --> 00:40:03,480
Speaker 1: the time. You know, he models every single baseball game.

799
00:40:03,560 --> 00:40:06,360
Speaker 1: If he can find a tiny one percent edge, a

800
00:40:06,440 --> 00:40:10,560
Speaker 1: two percent edge from his model versus what the odds

801
00:40:10,560 --> 00:40:13,640
Speaker 1: are showing, that is worth making a bet on because

802
00:40:13,640 --> 00:40:15,480
Speaker 1: in the long term those are r o I positive.

803
00:40:15,760 --> 00:40:18,280
Speaker 1: So to you when you're saying I'm throwing the Jaguars

804
00:40:18,320 --> 00:40:20,920
Speaker 1: in there, I don't love the Jaguars, but at this number,

805
00:40:21,239 --> 00:40:22,840
Speaker 1: with what I'm seeing on the other side, it's a

806
00:40:22,880 --> 00:40:26,640
Speaker 1: combination of player performance and math. The value is there.

807
00:40:26,840 --> 00:40:29,360
Speaker 1: Doesn't mean you expected to win, but you expect in

808
00:40:29,400 --> 00:40:32,319
Speaker 1: the long term to win those bets more often than

809
00:40:32,360 --> 00:40:34,839
Speaker 1: you lose them, and that's why you decide to do that.

810
00:40:36,120 --> 00:40:38,439
Speaker 1: I never in my wilder streams how this Jaguars team

811
00:40:38,440 --> 00:40:40,080
Speaker 1: was ever going to beat the Bills. But I had

812
00:40:40,080 --> 00:40:42,040
Speaker 1: been modeled at nine. They were giving me I think

813
00:40:42,040 --> 00:40:44,880
Speaker 1: it was thirteen. That's four points. That's an extra plus

814
00:40:44,920 --> 00:40:47,000
Speaker 1: one fifty plus two hundred on the moneyline as well.

815
00:40:47,040 --> 00:40:49,560
Speaker 1: So that's that's what Chad's pretty much breaking down there.

816
00:40:49,560 --> 00:40:52,120
Speaker 1: It's like I don't believe it either. I mean, that's

817
00:40:52,239 --> 00:40:53,879
Speaker 1: that's the biggest issue I think we were run into,

818
00:40:54,040 --> 00:40:56,480
Speaker 1: is they think they know the football is one of

819
00:40:56,480 --> 00:40:58,000
Speaker 1: the most random games. That's why I feel like we

820
00:40:58,040 --> 00:41:00,840
Speaker 1: all love it. It's any given Sundays, the saying you

821
00:41:00,920 --> 00:41:03,759
Speaker 1: really never know. Um, So that's how I feel about

822
00:41:03,760 --> 00:41:05,680
Speaker 1: the Jaguars team. There's no scenari I have seen this

823
00:41:05,719 --> 00:41:08,959
Speaker 1: team winning. Trevor Lawrence, he looks lost right now. There there,

824
00:41:09,560 --> 00:41:12,399
Speaker 1: they're coaching staff there, there were like we joked about

825
00:41:12,400 --> 00:41:15,280
Speaker 1: they might be a Notre Dame or wherever comes Sunday.

826
00:41:15,360 --> 00:41:18,400
Speaker 1: So it's a lot of drama going to Jaguars. But

827
00:41:18,440 --> 00:41:21,320
Speaker 1: just on paper, yeah, I love the matchup. This is

828
00:41:21,320 --> 00:41:23,719
Speaker 1: way too many points for a Ramps team that they

829
00:41:23,719 --> 00:41:26,000
Speaker 1: have not proven to be worthy of being favored by

830
00:41:26,040 --> 00:41:28,440
Speaker 1: thirteen points at home against the Jaguars. And that's not

831
00:41:28,440 --> 00:41:31,520
Speaker 1: a terribles people think they are. So it's it's gross,

832
00:41:31,560 --> 00:41:33,040
Speaker 1: but that's what we do here. We hold our nose

833
00:41:33,040 --> 00:41:35,640
Speaker 1: and we take these bets. I don't love the randomness.

834
00:41:35,640 --> 00:41:38,839
Speaker 1: The randomness makes me sick. And every single time there's

835
00:41:38,880 --> 00:41:42,680
Speaker 1: a holding call, a pass, interference call, an interception, a

836
00:41:42,840 --> 00:41:46,960
Speaker 1: draw run for a touchdown from eighty yards to end

837
00:41:47,000 --> 00:41:50,000
Speaker 1: a half and kill your fucking total, that makes me

838
00:41:50,040 --> 00:41:54,040
Speaker 1: want to quarantine myself. No. I mean, I try not

839
00:41:54,120 --> 00:41:55,719
Speaker 1: to be too much on the reps here because people

840
00:41:55,880 --> 00:41:59,440
Speaker 1: probably get sick of that. But this year it's it's

841
00:41:59,600 --> 00:42:03,760
Speaker 1: been it's been really bad. It's really egregious. Yeah, So

842
00:42:04,200 --> 00:42:07,000
Speaker 1: I do think there areguing major changes coming down the future,

843
00:42:07,040 --> 00:42:09,400
Speaker 1: just because of all the money that the NFL is

844
00:42:09,400 --> 00:42:12,080
Speaker 1: taking in with sports betting. Now, all right, let's do

845
00:42:12,120 --> 00:42:18,360
Speaker 1: a seviva. Where are savva the survivor pool pick of

846
00:42:18,440 --> 00:42:28,280
Speaker 1: the week. The biggest ones are stay aways at this point,

847
00:42:28,360 --> 00:42:30,560
Speaker 1: where where we're gonna tell people to stay away from?

848
00:42:30,600 --> 00:42:32,319
Speaker 1: I would stay away from the vikings. The fact that

849
00:42:32,360 --> 00:42:34,800
Speaker 1: so many professionals have talked to me about betting Detroit's

850
00:42:34,840 --> 00:42:37,560
Speaker 1: money line. I haven't heard it all season, honestly, Like

851
00:42:38,000 --> 00:42:40,600
Speaker 1: they were on the barriers last week money line against them,

852
00:42:40,600 --> 00:42:42,600
Speaker 1: they didn't they've heard of the stat that I think

853
00:42:42,640 --> 00:42:45,120
Speaker 1: it was what twelve and oh road favorites against the

854
00:42:45,160 --> 00:42:49,200
Speaker 1: lines on the money line, So stay away from the Vikings.

855
00:42:49,239 --> 00:42:52,920
Speaker 1: I just don't like it. Matroplies this week. If you

856
00:42:53,040 --> 00:42:56,359
Speaker 1: have it, Colts Texans feels like a safe one. We're

857
00:42:56,400 --> 00:42:58,680
Speaker 1: Renny talked about Brady's career. I don't think he's ever

858
00:42:58,719 --> 00:43:03,000
Speaker 1: lost to Matt Ryan, but in years feel pretty safe. Man.

859
00:43:03,880 --> 00:43:06,000
Speaker 1: I would stay away from RAMS. I know it's a

860
00:43:06,000 --> 00:43:08,000
Speaker 1: big number and some people might been waiting to use

861
00:43:08,000 --> 00:43:10,719
Speaker 1: a RAMS this position. I just can't do it. Just

862
00:43:10,800 --> 00:43:13,759
Speaker 1: their mojo is so bad right now. I don't trust it.

863
00:43:13,800 --> 00:43:17,279
Speaker 1: But if you're stuck and you have to, I get it.

864
00:43:17,320 --> 00:43:20,520
Speaker 1: The RAMS then their percentage wise, they have over seventy

865
00:43:20,560 --> 00:43:24,040
Speaker 1: eight percent chance winning straight up against this Jaguars team,

866
00:43:24,120 --> 00:43:28,440
Speaker 1: So besides Tampa Bay, that's the best odds right now

867
00:43:28,480 --> 00:43:32,040
Speaker 1: to win straight off. You're never judging, And what I

868
00:43:32,040 --> 00:43:34,680
Speaker 1: mean by that is I get why you're doing it.

869
00:43:34,719 --> 00:43:36,880
Speaker 1: I understand. I can't hate on you for it. You

870
00:43:36,920 --> 00:43:40,520
Speaker 1: want to take the RAMS, I know why. I get it.

871
00:43:40,520 --> 00:43:43,759
Speaker 1: It's never like you idiot, how could you do that.

872
00:43:44,280 --> 00:43:46,120
Speaker 1: I'm just trying to warn people because it's like I've

873
00:43:46,160 --> 00:43:48,279
Speaker 1: been there. I know the feeling where it feels too good.

874
00:43:48,280 --> 00:43:50,360
Speaker 1: To be true. And that's that's just my fear of

875
00:43:50,400 --> 00:43:52,120
Speaker 1: this RAMS one. I know a couple of guys who

876
00:43:52,120 --> 00:43:53,840
Speaker 1: have been saving the RAMS just for this week, but

877
00:43:54,640 --> 00:43:56,480
Speaker 1: I just would not do. I just have bad feeling

878
00:43:56,520 --> 00:43:59,840
Speaker 1: about it. Oh in chiefs Andy Redolfs bye week. So

879
00:44:00,520 --> 00:44:03,560
Speaker 1: I'll tell you what it is. Sixteen and eleven against

880
00:44:03,560 --> 00:44:06,720
Speaker 1: the spread, or straight up sixteen or eleven against the spread.

881
00:44:08,400 --> 00:44:11,319
Speaker 1: That's that's what that's what quit your day job numbers. Though.

882
00:44:11,680 --> 00:44:13,920
Speaker 1: That's a good number. It is true. So yeah, it's

883
00:44:13,960 --> 00:44:17,040
Speaker 1: against the spread. I'm assuming straight up those records prettydamn good.

884
00:44:17,080 --> 00:44:19,640
Speaker 1: So me and Chad we got burned in this exact

885
00:44:19,680 --> 00:44:22,240
Speaker 1: situation against this Denver team is a double digit underdog.

886
00:44:22,280 --> 00:44:26,640
Speaker 1: So I'm not going to recommend anyone, alright. So look,

887
00:44:26,680 --> 00:44:30,000
Speaker 1: if you've got you know, if you're thinking about Tampa,

888
00:44:30,200 --> 00:44:32,279
Speaker 1: cults are Tampa. That's what it feels like. You've got.

889
00:44:32,280 --> 00:44:34,600
Speaker 1: Cults are Tampa. Those are your choices. Stay away from

890
00:44:34,640 --> 00:44:37,680
Speaker 1: the Rams, stay away from the vikings, all right, quick

891
00:44:37,719 --> 00:44:40,600
Speaker 1: upday for you guys. The Action Network just launched a

892
00:44:40,680 --> 00:44:45,239
Speaker 1: new hockey betting podcast called Line Change. It's hosted by

893
00:44:45,280 --> 00:44:48,319
Speaker 1: our editor Mike Leeboff and the professional hockey better known

894
00:44:48,400 --> 00:44:51,759
Speaker 1: as so many sports, and they cover the whole an

895
00:44:51,960 --> 00:44:54,480
Speaker 1: HL board in about twenty minutes. So if you love

896
00:44:54,560 --> 00:44:57,960
Speaker 1: betting the pucks, check out line change with new episodes

897
00:44:58,080 --> 00:45:02,600
Speaker 1: dropping at ten am Eastern every two Tuesday and Thursday. Okay,

898
00:45:02,640 --> 00:45:06,680
Speaker 1: this has been the favorites from the Volume podcast network.

899
00:45:06,719 --> 00:45:09,160
Speaker 1: We are the number one sports betting trill of the country.

900
00:45:09,480 --> 00:45:12,800
Speaker 1: I am Chad Milman. He is Simon Hunter producer Matt Mitchell.

901
00:45:13,000 --> 00:45:16,880
Speaker 1: Download us from Spotify, from Apple podcast, wherever you get

902
00:45:17,320 --> 00:45:22,480
Speaker 1: your podcasts. Moved back on Tuesday. I love you