1 00:00:02,400 --> 00:00:07,120 Speaker 1: Bloomberg Audio Studios, podcasts, radio news. 2 00:00:14,280 --> 00:00:17,520 Speaker 2: Single best IDEA huge newsflow going on. I'm gonna keep 3 00:00:17,520 --> 00:00:21,520 Speaker 2: this wicket short today. What a great set of guests 4 00:00:21,520 --> 00:00:25,520 Speaker 2: in today. Alicia Manel with us from Boston College. She 5 00:00:25,680 --> 00:00:30,120 Speaker 2: is retiring from what she invented, the Center for Retirement Research. 6 00:00:30,320 --> 00:00:36,040 Speaker 2: Absolutely iconic. I'm thinking about the failure of the American 7 00:00:36,120 --> 00:00:41,559 Speaker 2: retirement system. What an honor to speak to Professor Manell. 8 00:00:41,800 --> 00:00:45,600 Speaker 2: Also in Today, David Salem from a HEDGEI really quite 9 00:00:45,600 --> 00:00:48,760 Speaker 2: scathing on alternative investments? How do you account for them? 10 00:00:49,240 --> 00:00:52,239 Speaker 2: What does the future look like for the illiquidity of 11 00:00:52,280 --> 00:00:56,120 Speaker 2: alternative investments? Jim Caron in on the dynamics of the 12 00:00:56,120 --> 00:00:58,760 Speaker 2: bond market. Karen with too much equity talk. I was 13 00:00:58,800 --> 00:01:03,640 Speaker 2: surprised that with Morgan Stanley, Jim Karen on the Fed. 14 00:01:03,960 --> 00:01:05,399 Speaker 1: This is one of the things that the Fed has 15 00:01:05,440 --> 00:01:08,120 Speaker 1: to worry about, is that we're getting these numbers like 16 00:01:08,160 --> 00:01:11,640 Speaker 1: point two point three percent month over month and inflation. 17 00:01:12,200 --> 00:01:15,319 Speaker 1: We need to start getting point ones. And that's the 18 00:01:15,360 --> 00:01:18,120 Speaker 1: issue here because essentially we need to get not just 19 00:01:18,200 --> 00:01:20,039 Speaker 1: down to that target level, but we have to believe 20 00:01:20,080 --> 00:01:21,840 Speaker 1: that we're going to stay there. It has to be durable, 21 00:01:21,920 --> 00:01:23,800 Speaker 1: meaning that the way the Fed would say it is 22 00:01:23,800 --> 00:01:25,679 Speaker 1: that not only does inflation have to come down, but 23 00:01:25,720 --> 00:01:28,920 Speaker 1: it has to stay anchored at lower levels. And you 24 00:01:28,920 --> 00:01:31,160 Speaker 1: know today's number is a friendly number in the sense 25 00:01:31,200 --> 00:01:33,920 Speaker 1: that did bring down yields. You know, it didn't surprise 26 00:01:33,959 --> 00:01:36,960 Speaker 1: to the upside. I think the markets were worried about that. Effectively, 27 00:01:36,959 --> 00:01:39,080 Speaker 1: this keeps the Fed on track to cutting interest rates. 28 00:01:39,120 --> 00:01:42,320 Speaker 2: In December, Jim Karen of Morgan Stanley, of course, of 29 00:01:42,400 --> 00:01:46,720 Speaker 2: conversation with Neil Kashkari, Michael McKee and John Farrell with 30 00:01:46,880 --> 00:01:49,680 Speaker 2: that that was interesting to say the least, and an 31 00:01:49,720 --> 00:01:52,440 Speaker 2: important conversation. In the last twenty four hours, sin Alli 32 00:01:52,480 --> 00:01:57,640 Speaker 2: basic with Jane Fraser of City Group. My most important 33 00:01:57,680 --> 00:02:02,360 Speaker 2: conversation was with the Richer Has, the former ambassador, all 34 00:02:02,440 --> 00:02:05,960 Speaker 2: of his work with Northern Ireland years ago, of course 35 00:02:06,560 --> 00:02:09,760 Speaker 2: the Modern Council on Foreign Relations. He's now emeritus there 36 00:02:09,800 --> 00:02:15,080 Speaker 2: and with some of you partners. Richard has on the 37 00:02:15,120 --> 00:02:18,520 Speaker 2: new tightness of the American system. Richard has on our 38 00:02:18,560 --> 00:02:20,040 Speaker 2: parliamentary approach. 39 00:02:20,240 --> 00:02:23,720 Speaker 3: For the first time in modern memory, we've become effectively 40 00:02:23,720 --> 00:02:27,440 Speaker 3: a parliamentary system. You've got one party, indeed one individual 41 00:02:27,720 --> 00:02:30,720 Speaker 3: with the lion's share of control the White House, the Senate, 42 00:02:30,840 --> 00:02:33,960 Speaker 3: the House, and Supreme Court that tilts that way. So 43 00:02:34,360 --> 00:02:37,200 Speaker 3: we no longer really have checks and balances to a 44 00:02:37,400 --> 00:02:40,440 Speaker 3: significant degree at the federal level. So the real question 45 00:02:40,600 --> 00:02:44,440 Speaker 3: is how does this president, how does this administration comport itself? 46 00:02:44,639 --> 00:02:47,200 Speaker 3: Does it respect any limits? Yes, they won the election, 47 00:02:47,520 --> 00:02:50,000 Speaker 3: but forty eight to forty nine percent of America voted 48 00:02:50,040 --> 00:02:52,720 Speaker 3: against them. And the real question is does our system 49 00:02:52,760 --> 00:02:55,480 Speaker 3: work with this degree of concentration of power? And what 50 00:02:55,600 --> 00:02:58,080 Speaker 3: makes me a little bit uneasy, Tom, is we're beginning 51 00:02:58,120 --> 00:03:02,640 Speaker 3: to see somehow would I call it exstitutional institutional things, 52 00:03:02,800 --> 00:03:06,320 Speaker 3: for example, this potential board of military people to look 53 00:03:06,360 --> 00:03:10,239 Speaker 3: at the political orientation of the generals, or what Elon 54 00:03:10,360 --> 00:03:15,360 Speaker 3: Muskus and Vivekas are being asked to do postage possibly 55 00:03:15,400 --> 00:03:18,120 Speaker 3: also a trades our position. What's interesting about all these things? 56 00:03:18,160 --> 00:03:20,720 Speaker 3: You should you're giving people the authority, but they're not 57 00:03:20,760 --> 00:03:22,960 Speaker 3: really accountable, and that makes me uneasy. 58 00:03:23,200 --> 00:03:26,480 Speaker 2: Richard Haass, some of you partners there blistering. I can't 59 00:03:26,480 --> 00:03:29,080 Speaker 2: say enough about his book. You want a short book 60 00:03:29,120 --> 00:03:32,519 Speaker 2: to throw at the brats. You've got college kids, they're 61 00:03:32,560 --> 00:03:37,120 Speaker 2: living at home, high school kids, smart and acute. Give 62 00:03:37,200 --> 00:03:41,800 Speaker 2: them a civics lesson. Richard Haas's The Bill of Obligations 63 00:03:42,360 --> 00:03:46,720 Speaker 2: is a spectacular one underd page read We're out on YouTube. 64 00:03:46,800 --> 00:03:51,440 Speaker 2: Subscribe to Bloomberg podcast growing each day on YouTube. Can somebody? 65 00:03:51,640 --> 00:03:54,080 Speaker 2: Peter kaff go Over at Business Insider said it was 66 00:03:54,120 --> 00:03:56,720 Speaker 2: a YouTube election. I don't know if it was or not. 67 00:03:56,840 --> 00:04:00,320 Speaker 2: All I know is YouTube's growing each in every day 68 00:04:01,040 --> 00:04:05,240 Speaker 2: we are on our podcast, YouTube podcast, Apple Podcasts. Single 69 00:04:05,320 --> 00:04:12,120 Speaker 2: best idea