1 00:00:10,960 --> 00:00:16,720 Speaker 1: This is a Jesse Kelly Show. It is the Jesse 2 00:00:16,920 --> 00:00:20,400 Speaker 1: Kelly Show. Another hour of the Jesse Kelly Show on 3 00:00:20,480 --> 00:00:25,440 Speaker 1: an amazing Thursday. We'll do a little Trump's negotiating currently 4 00:00:25,520 --> 00:00:28,720 Speaker 1: negotiating stuff. Let's cross our fingers say a prayer about that. 5 00:00:29,080 --> 00:00:32,800 Speaker 1: We'll probably get to fish Caught Fish Talk and a 6 00:00:32,840 --> 00:00:35,919 Speaker 1: half hour from now, Ryan Gerdusky is gonna join us. 7 00:00:36,360 --> 00:00:38,400 Speaker 1: Just in a great mood. And then what's say I'm 8 00:00:38,440 --> 00:00:41,680 Speaker 1: in a great mood? Oh tomorrow's ask doctor Jesse Friday. 9 00:00:42,159 --> 00:00:45,720 Speaker 1: Email your questions in now. Don't wait, they're already stacking 10 00:00:45,840 --> 00:00:51,839 Speaker 1: up Jesse at jessekellyshow dot com. So, as we have 11 00:00:51,920 --> 00:00:59,400 Speaker 1: discussed many many times before, Donald Trump negotiates every single 12 00:00:59,480 --> 00:01:04,040 Speaker 1: time in the exact same way. He's been doing this 13 00:01:04,200 --> 00:01:07,840 Speaker 1: publicly since long before he even got into politics, but 14 00:01:07,920 --> 00:01:11,360 Speaker 1: since he's been in politics, that's over a decade. He 15 00:01:11,440 --> 00:01:15,759 Speaker 1: does the exact same thing every single time, and there 16 00:01:15,760 --> 00:01:19,880 Speaker 1: are still people too stupid to understand what he's doing, 17 00:01:20,319 --> 00:01:23,160 Speaker 1: even though he wrote a book about it, he discusses 18 00:01:23,200 --> 00:01:26,760 Speaker 1: it all the time. What does he do? It's a 19 00:01:26,840 --> 00:01:33,360 Speaker 1: very effective negotiating tactic. He takes the absolute extreme position 20 00:01:34,400 --> 00:01:40,399 Speaker 1: on both sides of the issue. I've used this analogy 21 00:01:40,480 --> 00:01:44,720 Speaker 1: before because it's so Donald Trump. Hey, I might give 22 00:01:44,720 --> 00:01:47,320 Speaker 1: you a billion dollars, or I could shoot you in 23 00:01:47,360 --> 00:01:52,600 Speaker 1: the face. Ah, or a billion dollars or shoot you 24 00:01:52,640 --> 00:01:57,000 Speaker 1: in the face. And what happens is people on the left, 25 00:01:57,000 --> 00:01:59,440 Speaker 1: people on the right, people in the media. He comes 26 00:01:59,440 --> 00:02:01,560 Speaker 1: out and says, I'm gonna give you a billion dollars. 27 00:02:01,720 --> 00:02:05,120 Speaker 1: He can't do that. We don't have the money. That's ridiculous. 28 00:02:05,520 --> 00:02:07,320 Speaker 1: And then the next breath he says, or I might 29 00:02:07,360 --> 00:02:10,440 Speaker 1: shoot you in the face. He can't do it. That's murder. 30 00:02:11,120 --> 00:02:15,160 Speaker 1: Donald Trump is gonna shoot someone in the face. He's 31 00:02:15,280 --> 00:02:21,600 Speaker 1: just negotiating. Remember the Greenland thing. Remember I'm gonna buy Greenland. 32 00:02:21,800 --> 00:02:25,720 Speaker 1: I'm gonna own Greenland. I want Greenland. I might look. 33 00:02:25,760 --> 00:02:28,800 Speaker 1: I can't roll out a military invasion. I can't roll it. 34 00:02:28,840 --> 00:02:31,200 Speaker 1: What happened in the end, got exactly what he wanted, 35 00:02:31,520 --> 00:02:35,800 Speaker 1: a bunch of concessions. We crowded China in Russia out 36 00:02:35,840 --> 00:02:40,600 Speaker 1: of Greenland in the end by taking extreme crazy He 37 00:02:40,680 --> 00:02:44,800 Speaker 1: can't say that positions. He got what he wanted. In 38 00:02:44,880 --> 00:02:48,799 Speaker 1: the end. If I'm buying a business from Jewish producer crew, 39 00:02:49,360 --> 00:02:51,760 Speaker 1: that would be never mind. If I'm buying a business 40 00:02:51,800 --> 00:02:55,280 Speaker 1: from producer Corey, I can tell him, look, I'll give 41 00:02:55,280 --> 00:02:58,560 Speaker 1: you a million dollars, or I'll just take you to court, 42 00:02:58,720 --> 00:03:01,320 Speaker 1: sue you in the bankruptcy or Emilia. What do I 43 00:03:01,360 --> 00:03:03,400 Speaker 1: want in the end? Sell it to me for five 44 00:03:03,480 --> 00:03:07,320 Speaker 1: hundred thousand, That's what I want in the end. With Iran, 45 00:03:09,000 --> 00:03:11,640 Speaker 1: as I have said over and over and over and 46 00:03:11,680 --> 00:03:14,480 Speaker 1: over and over again, Ryan Gardusky will give us the 47 00:03:14,480 --> 00:03:17,000 Speaker 1: polling in a half hour to confirm or not what 48 00:03:17,040 --> 00:03:24,440 Speaker 1: I'm telling you. But Donald Trump knows, he knows it 49 00:03:24,520 --> 00:03:31,959 Speaker 1: is unbelievably unpopular with Independence. With the additional parts of 50 00:03:32,000 --> 00:03:35,280 Speaker 1: the coalition. You're fine, and maybe you personally aren't. But 51 00:03:35,600 --> 00:03:38,680 Speaker 1: the hardcore magas are fine. Fine, but they're always fine. 52 00:03:40,080 --> 00:03:45,320 Speaker 1: Independence hate it. They think he's not focused domestically. Therefore, 53 00:03:45,400 --> 00:03:49,680 Speaker 1: Donald Trump knows he has to get it wrapped up. 54 00:03:50,280 --> 00:03:52,920 Speaker 1: Whatever happens, he has to get it wrapped up. So 55 00:03:53,040 --> 00:03:56,600 Speaker 1: if you're looking at headlines, here are headlines you've seen 56 00:03:56,880 --> 00:04:01,640 Speaker 1: all day today. Donald Trump has plans to send in 57 00:04:01,720 --> 00:04:04,920 Speaker 1: ground troops. Donald Trump's gonna send in the ground troops. 58 00:04:05,040 --> 00:04:07,160 Speaker 1: The Marines are going in. The plans have already been 59 00:04:07,200 --> 00:04:10,000 Speaker 1: put in place. Donald Trump's sending in the ground troops. 60 00:04:10,560 --> 00:04:14,200 Speaker 1: And then right by those headlines, you've seen headlines all 61 00:04:14,320 --> 00:04:17,760 Speaker 1: day long of Iran's close to making a deal. Iran 62 00:04:17,800 --> 00:04:19,720 Speaker 1: wants to make a deal, They're close to making a deal, 63 00:04:19,720 --> 00:04:23,120 Speaker 1: They're almost going to make a deal. All this is 64 00:04:23,160 --> 00:04:26,920 Speaker 1: coming from Donald Trump is a negotiating pactic. Donald Trump 65 00:04:27,000 --> 00:04:29,240 Speaker 1: came out today on social media. I'm not going to 66 00:04:29,320 --> 00:04:31,440 Speaker 1: read it for you. He came out a few hours 67 00:04:31,480 --> 00:04:35,400 Speaker 1: ago and said, hey, these attacks on Iranian power plants, 68 00:04:36,839 --> 00:04:39,839 Speaker 1: all that stopped until April sixth. We're in the middle 69 00:04:39,839 --> 00:04:46,919 Speaker 1: of negotiations, no more. What's he doing. He's taking the 70 00:04:47,080 --> 00:04:52,760 Speaker 1: extreme side on both sides in an attempt to wrap 71 00:04:52,800 --> 00:04:57,240 Speaker 1: it up and get out. So he'll sit down and 72 00:04:57,279 --> 00:04:58,359 Speaker 1: tell the media this. 73 00:05:00,360 --> 00:05:04,920 Speaker 2: The fact that we're real and solid and we're there. 74 00:05:05,600 --> 00:05:07,719 Speaker 2: We're going to let you have eight boats of oil, 75 00:05:07,800 --> 00:05:12,719 Speaker 2: eight boats, eight big boats of oil. And I didn't 76 00:05:12,760 --> 00:05:16,520 Speaker 2: think much about it. Eight big tankers are going loaded 77 00:05:16,600 --> 00:05:19,360 Speaker 2: up with oil, right, And I said, well, I guess 78 00:05:20,240 --> 00:05:23,360 Speaker 2: I guess they were right, And they were they were real, 79 00:05:23,440 --> 00:05:28,640 Speaker 2: and I think they were Pakistani flagged, yes, And I said, well, 80 00:05:28,680 --> 00:05:30,919 Speaker 2: I guess we're dealing with the right people. And actually 81 00:05:32,200 --> 00:05:34,839 Speaker 2: they then apologized for something they said, and they said, 82 00:05:34,839 --> 00:05:38,200 Speaker 2: we're going to send two more boats and it ended 83 00:05:38,240 --> 00:05:40,359 Speaker 2: up being ten bouts. And I hope I haven't screwed 84 00:05:40,440 --> 00:05:43,480 Speaker 2: up your negotiations. But I thought it was appropriate to say, 85 00:05:43,560 --> 00:05:46,640 Speaker 2: because I did taught you the other day by saying 86 00:05:46,640 --> 00:05:47,880 Speaker 2: they're going to give us a present. 87 00:05:49,600 --> 00:05:52,800 Speaker 1: They gave us some gave us some oil. We're negotiated 88 00:05:52,839 --> 00:05:57,000 Speaker 1: with them through Pakistan. Stop bombing the oil fields. Hey, 89 00:05:57,200 --> 00:06:02,800 Speaker 1: stop all that ceases till April sixth. We're talking. It's 90 00:06:02,880 --> 00:06:05,520 Speaker 1: going well. But also, I could send in the Marines 91 00:06:05,600 --> 00:06:08,039 Speaker 1: right now if I wanted to, I might send in 92 00:06:08,040 --> 00:06:10,640 Speaker 1: the Marines and the eighty second Airborne. I'll just come 93 00:06:10,680 --> 00:06:12,200 Speaker 1: in and kill every one of you. It'd be easy, 94 00:06:12,279 --> 00:06:16,200 Speaker 1: would be nothing. How seriously, should you take any of this? 95 00:06:17,520 --> 00:06:21,240 Speaker 1: Not at all? No, I take that back. That's not 96 00:06:21,279 --> 00:06:24,440 Speaker 1: the way I mean it. How literally, even though you 97 00:06:24,480 --> 00:06:27,920 Speaker 1: know I hate that word. How literally? Should you take 98 00:06:28,360 --> 00:06:33,760 Speaker 1: any of this? Not at all? He is negotiating. Headline, 99 00:06:34,360 --> 00:06:38,400 Speaker 1: Trump warns Iran to get serious about peace talks before 100 00:06:38,440 --> 00:06:42,440 Speaker 1: it's too late. As Pentagon ready's the final blow to 101 00:06:42,520 --> 00:06:47,720 Speaker 1: the regime headline from the New York Post. He's negotiating. 102 00:06:49,080 --> 00:06:52,760 Speaker 1: He is not a moron. He knows we have to leave. 103 00:06:53,520 --> 00:06:57,680 Speaker 1: We cannot get bogged down there. The political reality at 104 00:06:57,720 --> 00:07:02,400 Speaker 1: home means we must I'm home soon. We have to 105 00:07:03,080 --> 00:07:06,560 Speaker 1: have to one hundred percent. We cannot see this thing 106 00:07:06,680 --> 00:07:10,840 Speaker 1: through all the way until we ran. It's incomplete, ruins 107 00:07:11,160 --> 00:07:14,200 Speaker 1: of regime change war, months and months. That is not 108 00:07:14,720 --> 00:07:20,360 Speaker 1: a political option. Donald Trump knows this. He's not a moron. 109 00:07:21,000 --> 00:07:23,160 Speaker 1: He is These are actually really important days. And it 110 00:07:23,160 --> 00:07:25,320 Speaker 1: would be a very good idea to pray right now 111 00:07:26,400 --> 00:07:30,600 Speaker 1: because he wants that off ramp. He wants it. As 112 00:07:30,640 --> 00:07:33,840 Speaker 1: we discussed, he's on the highway. He started this whole thing. 113 00:07:33,920 --> 00:07:37,200 Speaker 1: He has to own that. And maybe maybe he loves 114 00:07:37,240 --> 00:07:38,840 Speaker 1: what he's done so far. Maybe he doesn't. I don't 115 00:07:38,840 --> 00:07:41,200 Speaker 1: know him inside of his head, but he knows. Okay, 116 00:07:41,440 --> 00:07:43,600 Speaker 1: time to get off the highway. We got it rolling. 117 00:07:43,680 --> 00:07:48,640 Speaker 1: We killed the Ayatola that we wounded them severely. Time 118 00:07:48,680 --> 00:07:50,920 Speaker 1: to get off. I need an off ramp. I gotta pay. 119 00:07:51,880 --> 00:07:54,960 Speaker 1: I need to get off the highway. He's looking for 120 00:07:55,000 --> 00:07:59,760 Speaker 1: that off ramp now, he wants it. We have to 121 00:07:59,800 --> 00:08:09,960 Speaker 1: have domestically However, it might not be there because remember 122 00:08:10,000 --> 00:08:13,600 Speaker 1: everything I just told you, It's not like it's some 123 00:08:14,040 --> 00:08:19,440 Speaker 1: unbelievably brilliant political analysis. Every single word of what I 124 00:08:19,600 --> 00:08:24,360 Speaker 1: just told you. Iran knows. Why do you think Iran 125 00:08:24,480 --> 00:08:29,040 Speaker 1: closed the straight the strait of hormones? It was always 126 00:08:29,040 --> 00:08:33,360 Speaker 1: in their plan. Why would they do that. Iran knows 127 00:08:34,240 --> 00:08:40,040 Speaker 1: that by driving up prices in America, it can severely 128 00:08:40,320 --> 00:08:46,000 Speaker 1: wound the Trump presidency. You realize, when Democrats take the house, 129 00:08:46,760 --> 00:08:50,280 Speaker 1: Donald Trump is going to be impeached. It's a guarantee. 130 00:08:50,400 --> 00:08:53,480 Speaker 1: Write it down, take it home to the bank. Iran 131 00:08:53,559 --> 00:08:57,000 Speaker 1: has the power to impeach Donald Trump by refusing negotiations, 132 00:08:57,600 --> 00:09:03,480 Speaker 1: and Iran knows it. Headline usps the Postal Service adds 133 00:09:03,520 --> 00:09:07,480 Speaker 1: an eight percent package fee to fuel cost due to 134 00:09:07,520 --> 00:09:14,160 Speaker 1: fuel costs. Right now, Iran is driving down Donald Trump's 135 00:09:14,200 --> 00:09:17,079 Speaker 1: pull numbers to the point that if the election were 136 00:09:17,120 --> 00:09:23,640 Speaker 1: held today, we would get utterly annihilated. Annihilated. They know this. 137 00:09:24,600 --> 00:09:28,720 Speaker 1: Trump knows this. Everyone gets it. That's the game being 138 00:09:28,760 --> 00:09:32,040 Speaker 1: played right now now. Iran's not having a great time either. 139 00:09:32,360 --> 00:09:36,360 Speaker 1: All their leaders keep getting vaporized. Their economy was already 140 00:09:36,440 --> 00:09:39,280 Speaker 1: shaky before. It can't be doing all that. Well, what 141 00:09:39,440 --> 00:09:42,160 Speaker 1: America and Israel been bombing you to smith a reens. Look, 142 00:09:42,320 --> 00:09:45,960 Speaker 1: it's not like everything's great in Iran. But the weapon 143 00:09:46,080 --> 00:09:50,000 Speaker 1: they have. The weapon they have is not drones, although 144 00:09:50,040 --> 00:09:52,520 Speaker 1: I know they have them. It's not drones, it's not missiles, 145 00:09:52,520 --> 00:09:56,720 Speaker 1: it's not gone. So the weapon they have is the 146 00:09:56,760 --> 00:10:00,960 Speaker 1: mood of the American public. That is the ultimate weapon 147 00:10:01,040 --> 00:10:05,160 Speaker 1: for Iran, and Iran knows it, and so does Donald Trump. 148 00:10:05,360 --> 00:10:07,400 Speaker 1: And that is what is at stake here. So I 149 00:10:07,400 --> 00:10:11,520 Speaker 1: will once again ask you to pray. These coming days 150 00:10:12,320 --> 00:10:16,880 Speaker 1: are hugely important days, hugely important, and there are many 151 00:10:16,920 --> 00:10:19,480 Speaker 1: many different forces at work who don't want to see 152 00:10:19,480 --> 00:10:22,760 Speaker 1: an end to this, many of them the American Communists 153 00:10:22,840 --> 00:10:25,319 Speaker 1: most definitely, because they know what's coming if it doesn't end. 154 00:10:25,640 --> 00:10:28,520 Speaker 1: There you go. Now we'll get to some emails, but 155 00:10:28,559 --> 00:10:32,439 Speaker 1: first I'm want to tell you about pure Talk. Puretalk 156 00:10:33,559 --> 00:10:37,120 Speaker 1: is the patriotic cell phone company. I am glad you 157 00:10:37,320 --> 00:10:41,160 Speaker 1: enjoyed another little chat we had last night about MACV Sog, 158 00:10:42,240 --> 00:10:45,880 Speaker 1: those super stud legends who went behind enemy lines in Vietnam. 159 00:10:45,920 --> 00:10:47,800 Speaker 1: And I'm glad I once again got to tell you 160 00:10:47,840 --> 00:10:53,720 Speaker 1: that the guy who runs Puretalk, MACV sag Vietnam two tours. 161 00:10:54,200 --> 00:10:56,760 Speaker 1: How can it be with the verizons at and ts 162 00:10:56,840 --> 00:11:00,520 Speaker 1: and T mobiles. It's Pride Month. There's a cell company 163 00:11:00,520 --> 00:11:03,839 Speaker 1: out there that just cares about veterans. They're going to 164 00:11:03,920 --> 00:11:07,959 Speaker 1: deliver you an amazing cell phone plan for twenty five 165 00:11:08,120 --> 00:11:13,160 Speaker 1: bucks a month, unlimited talk, unlimited text, tons of data, 166 00:11:13,440 --> 00:11:15,640 Speaker 1: twenty five bucks a month. What are you paying now? 167 00:11:16,440 --> 00:11:20,360 Speaker 1: And they hire Americans. I'm proud to speak for pure Talk. 168 00:11:20,760 --> 00:11:23,080 Speaker 1: Switch to pure Talk. You can do it. During the break, 169 00:11:23,240 --> 00:11:26,640 Speaker 1: you'll speak to an American on the phone dial pound 170 00:11:26,800 --> 00:11:32,199 Speaker 1: two five zero and say Jesse Kelly, pound two five zero, 171 00:11:32,760 --> 00:11:36,640 Speaker 1: Say Jesse Kelly. We'll be back fighting for your freedom 172 00:11:36,679 --> 00:11:44,520 Speaker 1: every day. The Jesse Kelly Show. It is the Jesse 173 00:11:44,720 --> 00:11:47,600 Speaker 1: Kelly Show on an amazing Thursday. Remember if you missed 174 00:11:47,600 --> 00:11:49,720 Speaker 1: any part of the show, you can download at iHeart, 175 00:11:49,840 --> 00:11:54,760 Speaker 1: Spotify iTunes. So we're all looking for that sane democrat 176 00:11:54,840 --> 00:12:01,760 Speaker 1: right whoa congratulations? John Fetterman said something sane today? Isn't 177 00:12:01,760 --> 00:12:03,480 Speaker 1: this so exciting? The right thing? 178 00:12:03,960 --> 00:12:08,120 Speaker 3: Put the country ahead of the party. Now there's a 179 00:12:08,200 --> 00:12:11,880 Speaker 3: huge rally you know that another no King's kinds of protest. 180 00:12:12,360 --> 00:12:15,679 Speaker 3: So now it's it's also probably motivating some people in 181 00:12:15,800 --> 00:12:20,719 Speaker 3: my party that not they might be afraid to reopen 182 00:12:20,840 --> 00:12:24,400 Speaker 3: now because they they are demanding these kinds of extremes. 183 00:12:24,800 --> 00:12:27,559 Speaker 1: Man, he sounds like he could be one of us, 184 00:12:27,640 --> 00:12:30,680 Speaker 1: doesn't he. I could vote for that guy. Oh wait 185 00:12:30,679 --> 00:12:35,280 Speaker 1: a minute, he voted against the Savac today. Stop falling 186 00:12:35,320 --> 00:12:38,600 Speaker 1: for the John Fetterman routine. Please, I'm begging you, Jesse, 187 00:12:39,720 --> 00:12:43,880 Speaker 1: is Trump drunk on power after midnight hammer in the 188 00:12:43,920 --> 00:12:48,360 Speaker 1: Maduro raid, He's got to be feeling unstoppable. I think 189 00:12:48,400 --> 00:12:51,280 Speaker 1: heg Seth couldn't wait to use the military. And with 190 00:12:51,360 --> 00:12:54,960 Speaker 1: so many warhawks like Lindsey Graham constantly talking up the 191 00:12:55,080 --> 00:12:58,640 Speaker 1: US military might, why wouldn't Trump want to just go 192 00:12:58,720 --> 00:13:03,360 Speaker 1: around and do whatever he wants. Look, I can't speak 193 00:13:03,400 --> 00:13:09,359 Speaker 1: to drunk on power. And here's why Donald Trump, historically 194 00:13:09,400 --> 00:13:13,400 Speaker 1: with our military, has not operated it in that way. 195 00:13:14,040 --> 00:13:16,680 Speaker 1: He's been fairly non interventionist. You got to go somewhere 196 00:13:16,679 --> 00:13:19,840 Speaker 1: and get in, get out, be done. He's not operated 197 00:13:19,840 --> 00:13:26,400 Speaker 1: it in that way historically. However, I think it will 198 00:13:26,480 --> 00:13:30,360 Speaker 1: be very very fair to say all of us, I 199 00:13:30,400 --> 00:13:33,920 Speaker 1: know I would, I can't speak for you would possibly 200 00:13:34,000 --> 00:13:38,079 Speaker 1: be a little quote drunk on power. If you were 201 00:13:38,120 --> 00:13:41,199 Speaker 1: in command of the most powerful military force on earth, 202 00:13:42,480 --> 00:13:46,080 Speaker 1: these ancient conquerors, Has it ever occurred to you that 203 00:13:46,200 --> 00:13:50,480 Speaker 1: sometimes they went out and just conquered because they're sitting 204 00:13:50,840 --> 00:13:55,520 Speaker 1: on this powerful army, And well, why wouldn't I I 205 00:13:55,600 --> 00:13:59,720 Speaker 1: got to use it if if I put if I 206 00:13:59,720 --> 00:14:03,120 Speaker 1: put an awesome drill in your hands, maybe you're not 207 00:14:03,160 --> 00:14:05,560 Speaker 1: even a tool guy or a toolgirl, but I put 208 00:14:05,559 --> 00:14:08,520 Speaker 1: an awesome drill in your hands. What's the very first 209 00:14:08,520 --> 00:14:11,880 Speaker 1: thing you're doing the same thing I am doing. You 210 00:14:11,960 --> 00:14:16,240 Speaker 1: gotta press the trigger. It's human nature's drunk on power. 211 00:14:16,360 --> 00:14:21,760 Speaker 1: Maybe a little, I think that would be understandable. I 212 00:14:21,800 --> 00:14:27,800 Speaker 1: think Trump, I suspect Trump is trying to sort out 213 00:14:28,080 --> 00:14:34,880 Speaker 1: business globally. He is thinking globally. He has four years, 214 00:14:34,920 --> 00:14:37,920 Speaker 1: so he has less than that now, so he's thinking globally. 215 00:14:38,000 --> 00:14:39,960 Speaker 1: I want to cut this off and cut that off 216 00:14:39,960 --> 00:14:42,520 Speaker 1: and make sure he Roun's decapitated. I'm gonna square away 217 00:14:42,560 --> 00:14:45,640 Speaker 1: Venezuel that We're gonna take Cuba. We're gonna do. I 218 00:14:45,640 --> 00:14:48,640 Speaker 1: think he's thinking globally, and I understand that because the 219 00:14:48,720 --> 00:14:52,360 Speaker 1: United States president has to think globally. The danger in 220 00:14:52,520 --> 00:14:59,720 Speaker 1: that is it doesn't look like you're thinking domestically. Every 221 00:14:59,720 --> 00:15:03,560 Speaker 1: pres conferences about Iran, Now, how does the blue collar 222 00:15:03,600 --> 00:15:06,840 Speaker 1: worker not making it feel about Iran? He doesn't give 223 00:15:06,880 --> 00:15:10,680 Speaker 1: a crap shadow. I've been meditating on the Iran situation, 224 00:15:11,680 --> 00:15:14,040 Speaker 1: in particularly the back and forth with our president and 225 00:15:14,120 --> 00:15:17,720 Speaker 1: some group in Iran. Sounds like they're different factions within 226 00:15:17,760 --> 00:15:21,360 Speaker 1: the Iranian power structure. If that's true, our president's peace 227 00:15:21,400 --> 00:15:24,000 Speaker 1: plan is brilliant, even if it's a total headfake. Yeah, 228 00:15:24,280 --> 00:15:31,800 Speaker 1: like I said, he's negotiating. He is simply negotiating. He 229 00:15:31,880 --> 00:15:35,520 Speaker 1: has to be careful though now he knows that it's 230 00:15:35,560 --> 00:15:40,480 Speaker 1: a dangerous thing in a negotiation to be losing leverage. 231 00:15:40,920 --> 00:15:42,600 Speaker 1: And we're gonna speak. I go again. We're gonna speak 232 00:15:42,600 --> 00:15:45,520 Speaker 1: to Ryan Gradski here in five minutes. He has all 233 00:15:45,680 --> 00:15:48,880 Speaker 1: the polling breakdowns of who's still with us, who's against us? 234 00:15:48,880 --> 00:15:53,200 Speaker 1: But demographically Latino, it's a blue collar this, But who's 235 00:15:53,320 --> 00:15:56,120 Speaker 1: left us? Who's still with us? The ones who have 236 00:15:56,200 --> 00:15:58,600 Speaker 1: left us? Why have they left us? Can we get 237 00:15:58,640 --> 00:16:01,080 Speaker 1: him back? I might keep them on for two segments. 238 00:16:01,200 --> 00:16:03,320 Speaker 1: We are going to break this down and see where 239 00:16:03,360 --> 00:16:06,720 Speaker 1: we're at politically in this whole ugly bit of business. Jesse, 240 00:16:07,360 --> 00:16:11,360 Speaker 1: My wife is one of these gluten freaks. It's not 241 00:16:11,440 --> 00:16:14,920 Speaker 1: a big deal, but it does interrupt my oracle like 242 00:16:15,000 --> 00:16:18,840 Speaker 1: menu whispering skills as we can't go to certain restaurants. 243 00:16:19,400 --> 00:16:22,000 Speaker 1: Any advice on how to deal with these weird oaths? 244 00:16:22,480 --> 00:16:25,720 Speaker 1: Leave her at home, make her eat out one of 245 00:16:25,760 --> 00:16:28,400 Speaker 1: her disgusting meals before we go out so she can 246 00:16:28,520 --> 00:16:30,920 Speaker 1: just watch me eat says his name is Steve, Oh, 247 00:16:30,920 --> 00:16:33,280 Speaker 1: I'd leave her at home. Now, I'm kidding. You can't 248 00:16:33,360 --> 00:16:37,480 Speaker 1: leave her at home. The good news for these gluten 249 00:16:37,520 --> 00:16:40,920 Speaker 1: people who are weighing all of us down is this 250 00:16:40,960 --> 00:16:45,200 Speaker 1: is what Chris. This has become so common that now 251 00:16:45,880 --> 00:16:49,640 Speaker 1: almost every restaurant has an option for it. Now, even 252 00:16:49,680 --> 00:16:51,880 Speaker 1: this local pizza place that has opened up in my 253 00:16:52,000 --> 00:16:54,960 Speaker 1: area that we all love, kids love it, everyone loves it. 254 00:16:55,160 --> 00:16:58,320 Speaker 1: And we're talking pizzapasta, meatball subs. I mean, you name 255 00:16:58,400 --> 00:17:02,040 Speaker 1: it. It's Italian, right, it's all The restaurant might as well 256 00:17:02,080 --> 00:17:05,119 Speaker 1: be named gluten even they have. You can get a 257 00:17:05,160 --> 00:17:07,720 Speaker 1: call offlower crust pizza. You could get. Look, Chris, I 258 00:17:07,720 --> 00:17:10,480 Speaker 1: didn't say I was doing it. I said some people 259 00:17:10,560 --> 00:17:12,359 Speaker 1: can do it, right, So Ob can go there and 260 00:17:12,359 --> 00:17:14,199 Speaker 1: I can eat healthy and the rest of us can 261 00:17:14,280 --> 00:17:21,199 Speaker 1: eat something delicious. There are so many gluten freaks that 262 00:17:21,240 --> 00:17:27,200 Speaker 1: they're actually helping us normal people who aren't deformed. There 263 00:17:27,240 --> 00:17:30,840 Speaker 1: are so many of them that restaurants know they have 264 00:17:30,960 --> 00:17:35,840 Speaker 1: to have some sort of a gluten free section for 265 00:17:35,960 --> 00:17:39,400 Speaker 1: these weirdos who plague us all so, I wouldn't worry 266 00:17:39,440 --> 00:17:42,680 Speaker 1: about it. If you miss any part of the show, 267 00:17:42,720 --> 00:17:46,240 Speaker 1: you can download the whole thing on iHeart, Spotify, iTunes. 268 00:17:46,560 --> 00:17:51,080 Speaker 1: Trump shares a report on alleged Ukrainian plot to fund 269 00:17:51,280 --> 00:17:56,320 Speaker 1: the Biden campaign. Isn't that weird Ukraine would be interested 270 00:17:56,359 --> 00:18:00,960 Speaker 1: in funding Joe Biden's campaign keeping those checks rolling in? 271 00:18:01,760 --> 00:18:04,520 Speaker 1: You really do not like the amount of foreign involvement 272 00:18:04,520 --> 00:18:06,720 Speaker 1: in our elections. All Right, we're gonna talk to Ryan Gardusky. 273 00:18:07,240 --> 00:18:09,399 Speaker 1: We'll get back to some emails next to I'm going 274 00:18:09,440 --> 00:18:11,800 Speaker 1: to try to get some of those out, try to 275 00:18:12,440 --> 00:18:16,119 Speaker 1: try to clear out the backlog, because I'll admit I 276 00:18:16,160 --> 00:18:18,800 Speaker 1: have a little bit of stack here and I've been bad. 277 00:18:18,920 --> 00:18:24,560 Speaker 1: Hang on the Jesse Kelly Show. It is the Jesse 278 00:18:24,760 --> 00:18:28,359 Speaker 1: Kelly Show. Ryan Gardusky no wonder for friends. Any man 279 00:18:28,400 --> 00:18:31,639 Speaker 1: who selects the beach Boys, as his introduction song is 280 00:18:31,680 --> 00:18:35,720 Speaker 1: somebody just alright by me despite his heritage, which we 281 00:18:35,760 --> 00:18:38,479 Speaker 1: don't have to go into joining me now of the 282 00:18:38,560 --> 00:18:43,960 Speaker 1: seventeen seventy six project pack my buddy Ryan Gardusky, Ryan 283 00:18:44,080 --> 00:18:47,639 Speaker 1: well Don on the Beach Boys so criminally underrated. 284 00:18:47,880 --> 00:18:51,640 Speaker 4: You know what, like they actually are. And once he died, Brian, 285 00:18:52,200 --> 00:18:54,280 Speaker 4: once he died, I start of re listening to the 286 00:18:55,119 --> 00:18:57,800 Speaker 4: catalog and I was like, it was so good, Like 287 00:18:57,840 --> 00:19:00,639 Speaker 4: it was undeniably much better than people the credit for 288 00:19:01,119 --> 00:19:01,600 Speaker 4: it was. 289 00:19:01,800 --> 00:19:04,399 Speaker 1: It was And there's something to be said for music 290 00:19:04,440 --> 00:19:07,240 Speaker 1: that just makes you smile a little bit. Everything's so 291 00:19:07,440 --> 00:19:10,639 Speaker 1: angst ridden and angry. Now everything's anyway. Do we have 292 00:19:10,680 --> 00:19:13,320 Speaker 1: time to go into this, Ryan, because we have, we 293 00:19:13,400 --> 00:19:16,200 Speaker 1: have to tackle things in the country. First of all, 294 00:19:16,640 --> 00:19:18,720 Speaker 1: you are one of the best in the business at 295 00:19:18,760 --> 00:19:22,680 Speaker 1: tearing apart polls, what they're saying, what they're not saying. 296 00:19:22,800 --> 00:19:25,919 Speaker 1: So I give you the floor. How are we looking 297 00:19:26,000 --> 00:19:28,240 Speaker 1: right now for the election? 298 00:19:28,359 --> 00:19:31,520 Speaker 4: You means yes, I would say, like the first ten 299 00:19:31,560 --> 00:19:36,360 Speaker 4: minutes and saving private Ryan, it's not looking pretty. It's 300 00:19:36,400 --> 00:19:40,480 Speaker 4: it's the one thing really working against as a voter 301 00:19:40,560 --> 00:19:44,680 Speaker 4: intensity Democrats cannot wait to go vote they can't. They're 302 00:19:44,800 --> 00:19:47,200 Speaker 4: chomping at the bits to go vote, and Trump has 303 00:19:47,320 --> 00:19:52,760 Speaker 4: really lost a lot with independent voters. The one silver lining, 304 00:19:52,880 --> 00:19:54,560 Speaker 4: I guess, if you want to find that civil lining, 305 00:19:54,680 --> 00:19:58,720 Speaker 4: is that Latina voters have not rell like Trump's lost 306 00:19:58,720 --> 00:20:01,800 Speaker 4: some support long Latinas. However, they've not fallen back to 307 00:20:02,000 --> 00:20:06,719 Speaker 4: pre twenty twenty twenty twenty numbers where we're not going 308 00:20:06,760 --> 00:20:09,479 Speaker 4: to see like a fifty point landslide against Republicans from 309 00:20:09,520 --> 00:20:12,080 Speaker 4: Latinos the way that we used to historically do. The 310 00:20:12,280 --> 00:20:14,880 Speaker 4: movement towards Republicans seems to be a bit more permanent 311 00:20:14,920 --> 00:20:17,000 Speaker 4: than what Democrats had hoped or even if there's some 312 00:20:17,520 --> 00:20:19,159 Speaker 4: movement back, but it's not as severe. 313 00:20:20,280 --> 00:20:23,560 Speaker 1: Okay, let's focus on them specifically before we get to 314 00:20:23,640 --> 00:20:26,120 Speaker 1: other things. I want to know why, and I want 315 00:20:26,119 --> 00:20:29,520 Speaker 1: a couple things. I want to know why we get 316 00:20:29,520 --> 00:20:31,760 Speaker 1: a higher percentage now than we used to. And I 317 00:20:31,840 --> 00:20:36,000 Speaker 1: also want to know why Trump has lost a significant 318 00:20:36,000 --> 00:20:38,160 Speaker 1: percentage of Latinos. 319 00:20:38,640 --> 00:20:41,040 Speaker 4: I mean, we get impartially. We get them is because 320 00:20:41,080 --> 00:20:43,920 Speaker 4: there was a political realignment that will never be undone 321 00:20:43,960 --> 00:20:46,880 Speaker 4: in the sense that when when Hillary Clinton ran for president, 322 00:20:46,960 --> 00:20:49,480 Speaker 4: she got something like forty five to fifty percent of 323 00:20:49,560 --> 00:20:54,560 Speaker 4: Latinos who identify as conservative. They were just institutional Democrats, 324 00:20:54,680 --> 00:20:58,280 Speaker 4: the same way that the South, which was historically conservative, 325 00:20:58,680 --> 00:21:02,720 Speaker 4: was voting for Democrats all the way into early two thousands. Really, 326 00:21:02,760 --> 00:21:05,040 Speaker 4: I mean in early two thousands, you have Democrat, very 327 00:21:05,080 --> 00:21:09,199 Speaker 4: prominent Democrats throughout Mississippi, Alabama, I mean, in very very 328 00:21:09,280 --> 00:21:13,120 Speaker 4: high ranking positions in the Congress. That's just changed as 329 00:21:13,680 --> 00:21:17,639 Speaker 4: Democrats have become the party as of weird identity stuff 330 00:21:17,640 --> 00:21:21,160 Speaker 4: that they don't really you know, find interesting, and they 331 00:21:21,640 --> 00:21:23,560 Speaker 4: realized they don't have a place there anymore. So that's 332 00:21:23,600 --> 00:21:25,879 Speaker 4: a big part of it. And another big part of 333 00:21:25,880 --> 00:21:29,320 Speaker 4: it is the fact that the Democratic Party has become 334 00:21:29,359 --> 00:21:33,600 Speaker 4: identified with weird, especially trans stuff. I mean, the trans 335 00:21:33,640 --> 00:21:38,439 Speaker 4: stuff and the crime stuffs is kind of irreversible stench 336 00:21:38,480 --> 00:21:40,639 Speaker 4: that they just have on them, and it just doesn't 337 00:21:40,680 --> 00:21:43,120 Speaker 4: fly in the face of a lot of Latino voters. 338 00:21:43,520 --> 00:21:46,360 Speaker 4: So that's kind of just there. It's and also Latinos. 339 00:21:46,480 --> 00:21:49,720 Speaker 4: The biggest populations of Latinos Mexicans, Puerto Ricans, and Cubans. 340 00:21:50,080 --> 00:21:53,159 Speaker 4: There are no several generations removed from being immigrants at 341 00:21:53,160 --> 00:21:55,320 Speaker 4: this point, so a lot of them don't have the 342 00:21:55,320 --> 00:21:58,399 Speaker 4: same connection to the Latino and identity the way that 343 00:21:58,440 --> 00:22:00,960 Speaker 4: they did maybe thirty years ago. 344 00:22:02,040 --> 00:22:04,879 Speaker 1: Okay, well, yeah, I know that certainly applies to so 345 00:22:04,960 --> 00:22:08,200 Speaker 1: many of my Mexican friends whose families are have always 346 00:22:08,280 --> 00:22:11,040 Speaker 1: voted Democrat. They were so grossed out and weirded out 347 00:22:11,080 --> 00:22:14,359 Speaker 1: by the endless gay crap all the time from Democrats 348 00:22:14,400 --> 00:22:16,240 Speaker 1: that they lost a lot of those people. Okay, so 349 00:22:16,320 --> 00:22:20,560 Speaker 1: that's that's a good thing. That's good news. Now I'm 350 00:22:20,560 --> 00:22:23,320 Speaker 1: win saying, what's the bad news? Why'd we lose them? 351 00:22:24,440 --> 00:22:27,320 Speaker 4: Because, I mean, because the main thing is the economy, 352 00:22:27,359 --> 00:22:29,720 Speaker 4: there's no other way to say it. It's rough out there. 353 00:22:29,880 --> 00:22:32,880 Speaker 4: I mean price people expected prices to go down. They 354 00:22:32,920 --> 00:22:35,680 Speaker 4: did not go down, though inflation went down. People expected 355 00:22:35,720 --> 00:22:37,679 Speaker 4: wages to go up much faster than they have done them. 356 00:22:37,680 --> 00:22:39,480 Speaker 4: They've gone up slightly, but they haven't gone up great 357 00:22:39,840 --> 00:22:43,040 Speaker 4: for new hiring in the if you're unemployed, it is 358 00:22:43,280 --> 00:22:47,080 Speaker 4: atrocious out there. I know people with real degrees, with 359 00:22:47,200 --> 00:22:51,160 Speaker 4: real credentials who cannot find a job out there at all. 360 00:22:51,280 --> 00:22:54,080 Speaker 4: It is a very difficult time, and a lot of 361 00:22:54,160 --> 00:22:57,840 Speaker 4: essential things that you need, like housing, hasn't gone down yet. Now, 362 00:22:57,840 --> 00:23:00,320 Speaker 4: I will say the one the one caveat, we might 363 00:23:00,359 --> 00:23:03,200 Speaker 4: see some kind of little bounce or some glimmer of 364 00:23:03,200 --> 00:23:06,080 Speaker 4: Pope is in these tax returns with the no tax 365 00:23:06,119 --> 00:23:08,840 Speaker 4: on tip. I've spoken to people who work in restaurants 366 00:23:08,840 --> 00:23:11,800 Speaker 4: and in hair or hairstylists who said that they receive 367 00:23:11,840 --> 00:23:13,960 Speaker 4: the biggest tax return they've ever had, almost a life 368 00:23:14,040 --> 00:23:17,600 Speaker 4: changing kind of tax return. So maybe we'll see a 369 00:23:17,720 --> 00:23:20,360 Speaker 4: better bounce with the working class because of that. But look, 370 00:23:20,359 --> 00:23:23,160 Speaker 4: I mean, look at these job losses. Manufacturing hasn't returned 371 00:23:23,160 --> 00:23:26,160 Speaker 4: with numbers and manufacturers lost jobs. So with a lot 372 00:23:26,200 --> 00:23:30,160 Speaker 4: of blue collar employment that's really taken a toll out 373 00:23:30,240 --> 00:23:34,200 Speaker 4: on especially blue collar people, namely a special latinos. 374 00:23:34,960 --> 00:23:38,240 Speaker 1: Okay, again, we're speaking with Ryan Gradusky of the seventeen 375 00:23:38,320 --> 00:23:41,040 Speaker 1: seventy six project pack. He also has a wonderful substeck 376 00:23:41,119 --> 00:23:44,639 Speaker 1: by the way, super informative. Okay, Ryan, Other parts of 377 00:23:44,680 --> 00:23:48,280 Speaker 1: the coalition that we have lost, at least for the 378 00:23:48,359 --> 00:23:51,359 Speaker 1: time being, What are they, who are they and why? 379 00:23:53,040 --> 00:23:56,320 Speaker 4: There is seems to be amounting evidence that white collar 380 00:23:56,480 --> 00:24:00,240 Speaker 4: white sorry, blue collar white voters out of college degree 381 00:24:00,280 --> 00:24:03,240 Speaker 4: have definitely eased up support among Trump. Now, that doesn't 382 00:24:03,240 --> 00:24:05,960 Speaker 4: mean they're going to vote for Democrats necessarily they may 383 00:24:05,960 --> 00:24:07,960 Speaker 4: not vote at all. And this comes to the question 384 00:24:08,040 --> 00:24:10,400 Speaker 4: of how interested are you are in these elections, how 385 00:24:10,480 --> 00:24:13,600 Speaker 4: interested you are and going to vote. There is softness 386 00:24:13,640 --> 00:24:16,919 Speaker 4: around this, namely on the issue of the economy doesn't 387 00:24:16,960 --> 00:24:19,920 Speaker 4: feel better and they and you know, obviously Trump is 388 00:24:20,000 --> 00:24:22,960 Speaker 4: not the SENAI was by then, but the economy feels 389 00:24:23,240 --> 00:24:25,919 Speaker 4: like a bit like the Obama like the Biden economy, 390 00:24:26,720 --> 00:24:29,520 Speaker 4: and they really were hoping for a return. Maybe it 391 00:24:29,560 --> 00:24:31,280 Speaker 4: was a false hope, but it was a turn to 392 00:24:31,440 --> 00:24:34,720 Speaker 4: Trump's first term where it was, you know, magnificent growth 393 00:24:34,800 --> 00:24:37,520 Speaker 4: all around. They don't particularly care about the stock marker 394 00:24:37,600 --> 00:24:39,959 Speaker 4: not the stock markers don't well, it really hasn't. And 395 00:24:40,000 --> 00:24:42,760 Speaker 4: there's also a bit of fear around subject of AI 396 00:24:43,040 --> 00:24:46,080 Speaker 4: over you know, is AI going to affect their jobs? 397 00:24:46,600 --> 00:24:51,400 Speaker 4: People are very very nervous, especially young people, who soften 398 00:24:51,440 --> 00:24:54,639 Speaker 4: their support for Democrats, which they historically supported in twenty 399 00:24:54,680 --> 00:24:58,160 Speaker 4: twenty four, but you know, the economy for new employees 400 00:24:58,359 --> 00:25:01,960 Speaker 4: is abysinal. Employment rate is well into the double digits 401 00:25:01,960 --> 00:25:05,359 Speaker 4: for recent college graduates, and they are worried is that 402 00:25:05,440 --> 00:25:08,200 Speaker 4: AI has kind of you know, ended the job market 403 00:25:08,240 --> 00:25:11,920 Speaker 4: for them. It's it's and Trump is the AI president. 404 00:25:12,000 --> 00:25:16,440 Speaker 4: I told this to kind of every Republican worth listen 405 00:25:16,480 --> 00:25:22,520 Speaker 4: to me. AI is incredibly unpopular. Data center is super unpopular, 406 00:25:23,080 --> 00:25:26,880 Speaker 4: and Democrats are really kind of feeling that that populism 407 00:25:26,920 --> 00:25:29,280 Speaker 4: out in a way that Republicans won't even entertain at 408 00:25:29,320 --> 00:25:34,000 Speaker 4: this time. There's a very very smart Democratic data scientist 409 00:25:34,080 --> 00:25:36,520 Speaker 4: by the name of David Shore, incredibly smart. You should 410 00:25:36,520 --> 00:25:39,080 Speaker 4: look him up. He produced the study where they said, 411 00:25:39,119 --> 00:25:44,320 Speaker 4: if you introduced ideas around pop economic populism related to AI, 412 00:25:45,119 --> 00:25:49,240 Speaker 4: there's a four percent national shift in the and the 413 00:25:49,280 --> 00:25:53,080 Speaker 4: electorate from Republican to Democrats to Democrat. What does that mean? 414 00:25:53,320 --> 00:25:56,040 Speaker 4: That means you go from a Trump twenty twenty four 415 00:25:56,119 --> 00:26:01,040 Speaker 4: election to Biden Obama twenty twelve election. That is house 416 00:26:01,080 --> 00:26:03,600 Speaker 4: a year of a shift, it is, And how worry 417 00:26:03,680 --> 00:26:07,240 Speaker 4: people are? So you have prices not going down. There 418 00:26:07,359 --> 00:26:09,399 Speaker 4: inflation is going down, but the prices haven't. You have 419 00:26:09,400 --> 00:26:13,119 Speaker 4: a week job market week hiring, and you have a 420 00:26:13,160 --> 00:26:17,200 Speaker 4: genuine fear about of people of uncertainty, especially related to AI. 421 00:26:19,200 --> 00:26:23,160 Speaker 1: Okay, why I'll just ask you this one? In fact, Rian, 422 00:26:23,440 --> 00:26:25,280 Speaker 1: do you have time to stay for one more segment 423 00:26:25,280 --> 00:26:27,160 Speaker 1: after this? And I have other questions. Okay, all right, 424 00:26:27,080 --> 00:26:28,760 Speaker 1: well so we'll come back with more, but I want 425 00:26:28,760 --> 00:26:31,560 Speaker 1: to ask this question before we go to break. Why 426 00:26:31,680 --> 00:26:34,960 Speaker 1: is Trump the AI president? To find that? What is 427 00:26:35,000 --> 00:26:35,680 Speaker 1: he done? 428 00:26:36,600 --> 00:26:39,119 Speaker 4: Oh? He has been. I mean, if you look at 429 00:26:39,119 --> 00:26:44,440 Speaker 4: the White House white House's outline on AI regulation, there's 430 00:26:44,760 --> 00:26:47,760 Speaker 4: very minimal. It's a little things towards children's safety, it's 431 00:26:48,040 --> 00:26:52,119 Speaker 4: very very small. Mostly it says, please stop regulating AI 432 00:26:52,320 --> 00:26:57,240 Speaker 4: at the state level. And the answer from Republicans always is, oh, well, 433 00:26:57,240 --> 00:27:04,200 Speaker 4: then we're gonna have just California regulate. That is not Tennessee, Texas, Florida, Arkansas, 434 00:27:04,400 --> 00:27:07,119 Speaker 4: all are regulating AI because the government's not doing anything 435 00:27:07,160 --> 00:27:10,080 Speaker 4: and people want some kind of response. They're worried about 436 00:27:10,080 --> 00:27:13,919 Speaker 4: copyright law, they're worried about protections for children, they're worried 437 00:27:13,920 --> 00:27:18,160 Speaker 4: about you know, these expenses and energy from data centers. 438 00:27:18,240 --> 00:27:21,640 Speaker 4: All this stuff is real and serious and they're very 439 00:27:21,760 --> 00:27:24,000 Speaker 4: very nervous about it. And the states are responding, and 440 00:27:24,040 --> 00:27:27,199 Speaker 4: the federal government is it. And you have a lot 441 00:27:27,280 --> 00:27:29,760 Speaker 4: of people in and around Trump's circle who are just 442 00:27:29,880 --> 00:27:33,080 Speaker 4: tech bros. And the answer for them is always, don't 443 00:27:33,119 --> 00:27:36,080 Speaker 4: regulate the market all, don't raise taxes at all everything 444 00:27:36,119 --> 00:27:39,480 Speaker 4: will be figured out and somehow all this you know AI, 445 00:27:39,880 --> 00:27:42,760 Speaker 4: all this AI and I mentioned innovations is going to 446 00:27:42,920 --> 00:27:46,200 Speaker 4: end up with more jobs, despite many people saying it's 447 00:27:46,200 --> 00:27:47,240 Speaker 4: going to take jobs away. 448 00:27:48,840 --> 00:27:50,919 Speaker 1: We are going to return in just a moment with 449 00:27:51,040 --> 00:27:53,119 Speaker 1: Ryan Gardusky, and I'm going to ask him about the 450 00:27:53,200 --> 00:27:56,040 Speaker 1: foreign policy stuff because everyone has a strong opinion on that. 451 00:27:56,240 --> 00:27:58,880 Speaker 1: Is that a winner is it a loser? If so, why, 452 00:27:58,920 --> 00:28:01,280 Speaker 1: But we'll be back and talk to Ryan about that 453 00:28:01,440 --> 00:28:03,880 Speaker 1: in a moment. Before I come back and do that, 454 00:28:04,359 --> 00:28:07,800 Speaker 1: I wanted to remind you that there is somebody trying 455 00:28:07,840 --> 00:28:10,560 Speaker 1: to stick their hand in your back pocket and grab 456 00:28:10,600 --> 00:28:13,520 Speaker 1: your wallet as we speak. That is how you have 457 00:28:13,600 --> 00:28:17,800 Speaker 1: to think about online identity theft. And it's hard to 458 00:28:17,960 --> 00:28:22,840 Speaker 1: fully understand and accept how pervasive this is because we 459 00:28:22,960 --> 00:28:26,960 Speaker 1: can't see them. These crooks, these online crooks who steal 460 00:28:27,000 --> 00:28:29,320 Speaker 1: people's identity, and they drain their bank accounts and they 461 00:28:29,359 --> 00:28:31,960 Speaker 1: take loans out in their name. They are operating at 462 00:28:32,000 --> 00:28:35,280 Speaker 1: all times right now. They're looking for you as you 463 00:28:35,359 --> 00:28:38,120 Speaker 1: sleep tonight. They're looking for you and they might get you. 464 00:28:38,440 --> 00:28:42,560 Speaker 1: And you would have no idea without LifeLock. LifeLock monitors 465 00:28:42,600 --> 00:28:46,600 Speaker 1: all these dark websites and if they get you, LifeLock 466 00:28:46,680 --> 00:28:49,880 Speaker 1: will make you whole again. They guarantee it or your 467 00:28:49,880 --> 00:28:52,720 Speaker 1: money back. You join now, you save up the forty 468 00:28:52,760 --> 00:28:57,320 Speaker 1: percent off your first year LifeLock dot Com Promo Cojesse 469 00:28:58,120 --> 00:29:02,480 Speaker 1: Jesse or call one eight hundred do LifeLock Promote code Jesse. 470 00:29:03,120 --> 00:29:07,479 Speaker 1: Terms apply. We'll be back the Jesse Kelly Show on 471 00:29:07,640 --> 00:29:11,800 Speaker 1: air and online at Jesse Kellyshow dot com. It is 472 00:29:12,120 --> 00:29:16,080 Speaker 1: the Jesse Kelly Show on a Thursday. Reminding you tomorrow 473 00:29:16,160 --> 00:29:19,280 Speaker 1: is ask doctor Jesse Friday. Get your questions in now 474 00:29:19,320 --> 00:29:23,400 Speaker 1: to Jesse at Jesse Kellyshow dot com. Back with Ryan Gradusky. 475 00:29:23,480 --> 00:29:26,440 Speaker 1: All right, Ryan, let's talk about the elephant in the 476 00:29:26,520 --> 00:29:33,480 Speaker 1: room foreign policy Iran specifically right now. Obviously Trump diehards 477 00:29:33,520 --> 00:29:36,800 Speaker 1: are not going anywhere, that's always the case. Are we 478 00:29:36,920 --> 00:29:41,640 Speaker 1: actually losing independence over this? If so, why what's the gripe? 479 00:29:41,720 --> 00:29:45,160 Speaker 1: What do they love? It's the floor's yours. 480 00:29:45,680 --> 00:29:48,880 Speaker 4: I want people to understand. Look at Venezuela and the 481 00:29:49,360 --> 00:29:53,520 Speaker 4: arrest of Nicholas Mendoro. It was a flawless operation. Literally 482 00:29:53,680 --> 00:29:57,080 Speaker 4: nothing went wrong, and Trump experienced about a one and 483 00:29:57,120 --> 00:30:01,760 Speaker 4: a half point bounds from that entire No one really cares. 484 00:30:01,800 --> 00:30:05,160 Speaker 4: It is a very warary country who feels that we 485 00:30:05,240 --> 00:30:07,440 Speaker 4: need to emphasis we need to work on ourselves. We 486 00:30:07,520 --> 00:30:10,360 Speaker 4: need some tender loving care us as the American people. 487 00:30:11,160 --> 00:30:14,440 Speaker 4: Trump is done Trump. The belief is that Trump does 488 00:30:14,480 --> 00:30:17,680 Speaker 4: not have the priorities of the American people. If you 489 00:30:17,720 --> 00:30:22,360 Speaker 4: look across polling, comments about anas in Greenland or comments 490 00:30:22,360 --> 00:30:26,280 Speaker 4: about overthrown Cuba make it look like he is very distracted. 491 00:30:26,440 --> 00:30:27,880 Speaker 4: And there's been a lot of polling. When it comes 492 00:30:27,920 --> 00:30:31,520 Speaker 4: to the question of how do maga Republicans feel? I 493 00:30:31,520 --> 00:30:33,480 Speaker 4: wrote this on my National Populace newsletter. I'm going to 494 00:30:33,520 --> 00:30:36,040 Speaker 4: talk about on my substat on my podcast A Numbers 495 00:30:36,040 --> 00:30:40,440 Speaker 4: Game Ryan Grodowski. The when you look at it's very 496 00:30:40,440 --> 00:30:43,880 Speaker 4: difficult to look at MAGA Republicans because there's nothing to 497 00:30:44,040 --> 00:30:47,880 Speaker 4: identify them aside from what they claim. You cannot look 498 00:30:47,920 --> 00:30:52,120 Speaker 4: at their voter registration did and say, oh mail, oh Caucasian, Oh, 499 00:30:52,160 --> 00:30:57,040 Speaker 4: registered Democrat, registered Republican, lives in an urban area, age wise. 500 00:30:57,080 --> 00:30:59,840 Speaker 4: Things that kind of wait polls to make them accurate. 501 00:31:00,120 --> 00:31:03,280 Speaker 4: Everything is self determination. So the idea of who is 502 00:31:03,280 --> 00:31:06,840 Speaker 4: a MAGA Republican really depends on do they like Trump 503 00:31:06,920 --> 00:31:09,280 Speaker 4: at that given moment, which is why you're seeing polls 504 00:31:09,680 --> 00:31:12,920 Speaker 4: range from at low eighty one percent support the around 505 00:31:12,960 --> 00:31:16,080 Speaker 4: bombing to at high ninety two percent. The highest pole 506 00:31:16,160 --> 00:31:19,000 Speaker 4: of opposition was eleven percent and the lowest was two percent. 507 00:31:19,080 --> 00:31:23,760 Speaker 4: So overwhelming those who identify as MAGA Republicans support what 508 00:31:23,800 --> 00:31:28,000 Speaker 4: the president's doing, but that is not actually the president's base, 509 00:31:28,080 --> 00:31:30,920 Speaker 4: because they're beyond that. The president space comes from two 510 00:31:30,920 --> 00:31:34,400 Speaker 4: different things. One obviously Trump voters from twenty twenty four, 511 00:31:34,680 --> 00:31:37,480 Speaker 4: and the second white without a college degree, the most 512 00:31:37,560 --> 00:31:40,080 Speaker 4: loyal Republicans that there are, and at times the only 513 00:31:40,160 --> 00:31:43,120 Speaker 4: Republican voters are white without a college degree or majority 514 00:31:43,160 --> 00:31:46,280 Speaker 4: Republican voters. So when you look at Trump voters at 515 00:31:46,280 --> 00:31:49,800 Speaker 4: the very beginning when the bombings happen, eighty two percent support, 516 00:31:49,680 --> 00:31:52,880 Speaker 4: about twelve percent opposed, it not that far off from 517 00:31:52,920 --> 00:31:58,520 Speaker 4: where MAGA Republicans were really. As gas prices increased because 518 00:31:58,720 --> 00:32:02,520 Speaker 4: the bombing, Trump voters certainty about the support for the 519 00:32:02,640 --> 00:32:08,000 Speaker 4: bombings decreased substantially to by March eighteenth, it had fallen 520 00:32:08,040 --> 00:32:11,320 Speaker 4: to about seventy percent according to the Political poll in 521 00:32:11,360 --> 00:32:14,840 Speaker 4: the Fox newsport was seventy four percent. That's a significant 522 00:32:14,880 --> 00:32:18,680 Speaker 4: decrease from the eighty two percent and opposition, while opposition 523 00:32:18,760 --> 00:32:22,800 Speaker 4: has an increased uncertainty and undecided has increased this fear 524 00:32:23,200 --> 00:32:25,040 Speaker 4: that this is actually going to affect them at home. 525 00:32:25,080 --> 00:32:27,120 Speaker 4: This is not just an arrest of Nicholas Mandora where 526 00:32:27,160 --> 00:32:30,840 Speaker 4: nothing happens and this is over in thirty seconds. Among 527 00:32:30,960 --> 00:32:33,920 Speaker 4: whites without a college degree, this is this is key. 528 00:32:34,280 --> 00:32:37,440 Speaker 4: At the very beginning. According to Washington Post and CNN polling, 529 00:32:37,680 --> 00:32:39,719 Speaker 4: whites are the college degree support of the bombings by 530 00:32:39,760 --> 00:32:43,600 Speaker 4: almost twenty points. By the time that gas prices hit 531 00:32:43,840 --> 00:32:48,280 Speaker 4: They opposed the bombings by sixteen points. When it hit home, 532 00:32:48,840 --> 00:32:51,480 Speaker 4: they said, this is too much for me, especially as 533 00:32:51,520 --> 00:32:54,880 Speaker 4: they've been reeling from high prices throughout the Biden years 534 00:32:54,960 --> 00:32:57,520 Speaker 4: and now into the Trump years. Even though incomes have 535 00:32:57,760 --> 00:33:01,160 Speaker 4: ticked up past inflation levels, they haven't caught up to 536 00:33:01,200 --> 00:33:04,560 Speaker 4: where they were before COVID when things were getting comfortable 537 00:33:04,560 --> 00:33:07,440 Speaker 4: for them. So that is really where they're at where 538 00:33:07,440 --> 00:33:09,479 Speaker 4: they're saying this is now affecting me at home. There 539 00:33:09,520 --> 00:33:12,400 Speaker 4: are a few dead Americans, there's a couple injured Americans. 540 00:33:12,440 --> 00:33:14,960 Speaker 4: That's all sad, but now I'm feeling it at my 541 00:33:15,080 --> 00:33:17,360 Speaker 4: kitchen table. I have to decide what can I pay 542 00:33:17,440 --> 00:33:21,080 Speaker 4: for this week? That's really going to make them angry 543 00:33:21,080 --> 00:33:24,920 Speaker 4: and increasing uncertain. Even though they trust Trump, they're uncertain 544 00:33:24,920 --> 00:33:26,840 Speaker 4: that this was good for them in the long run. 545 00:33:28,160 --> 00:33:32,160 Speaker 1: Okay, last question for me in your opinion, because you 546 00:33:32,240 --> 00:33:36,400 Speaker 1: break all these things down demographically and polling wise, if 547 00:33:36,560 --> 00:33:40,480 Speaker 1: Donald Trump can find an off ramp with Iran, wrap 548 00:33:40,560 --> 00:33:44,640 Speaker 1: things up, come on back home. Can we get them back? 549 00:33:44,720 --> 00:33:47,400 Speaker 1: Can we earn them back? November is still a few 550 00:33:47,440 --> 00:33:51,240 Speaker 1: months off. We have some time. Can we get them back? Yeah? 551 00:33:51,240 --> 00:33:53,640 Speaker 4: The good thing is is that there is no trust 552 00:33:53,840 --> 00:33:55,960 Speaker 4: on behalf of the Democratic Party. And when you ask, 553 00:33:56,040 --> 00:33:59,480 Speaker 4: they were asked voters, they actually still trust Republicans more 554 00:33:59,520 --> 00:34:02,520 Speaker 4: than they try us Democrats, and they're very weirded out 555 00:34:02,600 --> 00:34:06,360 Speaker 4: by them. They find Democrats to be personally very strange, 556 00:34:06,400 --> 00:34:09,560 Speaker 4: and their obsession with things like who goes to who's 557 00:34:09,640 --> 00:34:12,000 Speaker 4: locker room and who's bathroom and their refusal to just say, 558 00:34:12,120 --> 00:34:13,759 Speaker 4: you know, we're not we're not a part of this. 559 00:34:13,760 --> 00:34:16,759 Speaker 4: They're kind of dodging questions. And also now we have 560 00:34:16,840 --> 00:34:19,480 Speaker 4: Democrats after a couple of victories like in Virginia and 561 00:34:19,520 --> 00:34:22,040 Speaker 4: in New York City, who were talking about affordability, and 562 00:34:22,080 --> 00:34:24,880 Speaker 4: the first thing they're doing is raising taxes, including on 563 00:34:24,960 --> 00:34:28,799 Speaker 4: middle income people. They're not really about that. So, yes, 564 00:34:28,960 --> 00:34:31,839 Speaker 4: they don't like the Democrats. It's just a binary choice, 565 00:34:31,920 --> 00:34:34,200 Speaker 4: Republican or Democrat. And a part of them is saying, well, 566 00:34:34,239 --> 00:34:36,279 Speaker 4: Trump's not working out for me, so I have to 567 00:34:36,360 --> 00:34:39,240 Speaker 4: vote against the party. That's that's that's against him. However, 568 00:34:39,239 --> 00:34:41,239 Speaker 4: they don't love that choice. They are not sold in 569 00:34:41,280 --> 00:34:43,520 Speaker 4: the Democratic Party at all. 570 00:34:43,719 --> 00:34:46,760 Speaker 1: Okay, I just wanted I needed some glimmer of hope 571 00:34:46,880 --> 00:34:48,520 Speaker 1: at the end, Ryan, and you delivered. 572 00:34:48,840 --> 00:34:50,560 Speaker 4: I gave you Ryan. 573 00:34:50,600 --> 00:34:53,640 Speaker 1: Where do you stand on the chili cheese dog? Because 574 00:34:53,680 --> 00:34:55,839 Speaker 1: we dis ordered some of those because it's opening day 575 00:34:55,840 --> 00:34:59,600 Speaker 1: in baseball? Where do you stand on this? I? 576 00:34:59,680 --> 00:35:01,959 Speaker 4: What is is it? I've never had one? 577 00:35:02,640 --> 00:35:04,399 Speaker 1: You've never had a chili cheese hot dog. 578 00:35:05,840 --> 00:35:08,160 Speaker 4: They come with the it's a hot dog with chili 579 00:35:08,239 --> 00:35:08,919 Speaker 4: on top of it? 580 00:35:11,840 --> 00:35:16,520 Speaker 1: Are you being serious right now? I chili kind of 581 00:35:16,520 --> 00:35:20,560 Speaker 1: a What the it's a hot dog with chili and cheese? 582 00:35:21,320 --> 00:35:21,839 Speaker 1: What do you mean? 583 00:35:21,960 --> 00:35:23,160 Speaker 4: What is inside? 584 00:35:23,440 --> 00:35:26,920 Speaker 1: Yes, it's on top of it. Do you live on 585 00:35:26,960 --> 00:35:31,399 Speaker 1: the moon? All right, We're gonna say, Chris, we need 586 00:35:31,440 --> 00:35:34,720 Speaker 1: to send Ryan some chili cheese hot dogs. Somehow I can't. 587 00:35:35,239 --> 00:35:37,719 Speaker 1: I'm just flabbergasted. This is the most devis This is 588 00:35:37,760 --> 00:35:40,440 Speaker 1: worse than the poll numbers, and I can't even believe this. Ryan, 589 00:35:40,520 --> 00:35:45,080 Speaker 1: Thank you, my brother. Enjoy your weekend. Chris is a 590 00:35:45,160 --> 00:35:48,120 Speaker 1: Jew and he's had chili cheese hot dogs. That's not 591 00:35:48,200 --> 00:35:56,040 Speaker 1: even legal for you, Ryan, I've lived a very different 592 00:35:56,080 --> 00:35:58,680 Speaker 1: life than some other people. I feel like, am I 593 00:35:58,719 --> 00:36:01,040 Speaker 1: the weird one here? I'm not the weird one? Right? 594 00:36:01,520 --> 00:36:04,560 Speaker 1: Thank you? Anyway, we still have an hour hang on